Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Nvidia Forecasts Decelerating Growth After Two-Year AI Boom
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- 0:23Speaker 2: The stock story of the day is in vidiot. Always
- 0:27Speaker 2: highly anticipated. They reported numbers inline, guidance in line. But
- 0:32Speaker 2: it wasn't a beat and raised Like a lot of
- 0:34Speaker 2: investors had become accustomed to a lot of fuzziness in
- 0:38Speaker 2: the numbers and the estimates out there, whether to include
- 0:41Speaker 2: China revenue, not to include China revenue. Who are you
- 0:43Speaker 2: given the US government it's fifteen percent cut. I think
- 0:46Speaker 2: the numbers are kind of squishy out there, at least
- 0:47Speaker 2: in the near turn. It's a CFA term squishy. Cu
- 0:50Speaker 2: John Sabani. It's his job to kind of make sense
- 0:53Speaker 2: of it. He's a senior analyst covering semiconductors for Bloomberg Intelligence.
- 0:57Speaker 2: He's based out there in San Francisco. Cu John, love
- 0:59Speaker 2: to get your informed opinion about what you saw from
- 1:03Speaker 2: the good folks at in video last night.
- 1:07Speaker 3: Yeah, like you said, it was once again a solid
- 1:09Speaker 3: sprinted guide. It checked all the fundamental key boxes, but
- 1:14Speaker 3: as has been the case with this name, you know,
- 1:16Speaker 3: the expectations always run higher, and maybe not all the
- 1:20Speaker 3: numbers were able to clear that high hurdle of expectations.
- 1:23Speaker 3: Specifically the data center compute numbers in two Q. You
- 1:27Speaker 3: would have liked to see that come in a little
- 1:28Speaker 3: bit high. But there was still a lot of strong
- 1:31Speaker 3: positive underlyings. One, the networking was a significant bead, which
- 1:36Speaker 3: shows the strength and the attachment that they're getting from
- 1:40Speaker 3: their networking switches and chips in the Blackwell ramp.
- 1:43Speaker 4: Second, like you mentioned, the.
- 1:45Speaker 3: Three Q consensus had China included, and they still beat
- 1:49Speaker 3: their three Q guide without China. If you add in
- 1:51Speaker 3: the China guide of two to five billion, they would
- 1:53Speaker 3: have handsomely beaten the three Q numbers. So that noisy
- 1:57Speaker 3: sort of consensus shadowed the goodness is coming out of
- 2:01Speaker 3: the guide of Nvidia.
- 2:02Speaker 2: All right, So what's the company telling us now about China?
- 2:06Speaker 2: Guess quite frankly, I just I'm reading the press. I
- 2:08Speaker 2: don't know whether they're going to be able to sell
- 2:09Speaker 2: stuff in the China or when, or whether they're going
- 2:12Speaker 2: to have to give a fifteen percent cut to the
- 2:14Speaker 2: US government.
- 2:15Speaker 5: How's that going to play out?
- 2:17Speaker 3: Yeah, so China still remains, you know, after learning sort
- 2:20Speaker 3: of that overhang in terms of uncertainty. The company did
- 2:24Speaker 3: guide to a two to five billion revenues from the
- 2:28Speaker 3: age twenty in China next quarter, which is positive.
- 2:31Speaker 4: That means they feel confident that they'll.
- 2:33Speaker 3: At least be able to ship some and get some
- 2:36Speaker 3: of the revenues back. But yes, you know, the spark
- 2:39Speaker 3: here for the China story will not appear until we
- 2:43Speaker 3: have a clarity, and we believe until they have a
- 2:46Speaker 3: blackwell version of a China chip, which they get approval
- 2:49Speaker 3: from the government, that will end really open up a
- 2:52Speaker 3: massive amount of revenues coming from China. And there's a
- 2:55Speaker 3: lot of hurdle's unit to clear. Right, there's the government,
- 2:58Speaker 3: which has nothing to do with in media. The US
- 3:00Speaker 3: China relationship needs to get sorted out because now even
- 3:03Speaker 3: China can put in a roadblock from Nvidia selling or
- 3:07Speaker 3: allowing their companies in China from buying in media chip.
- 3:10Speaker 4: So there is work to be done.
- 3:13Speaker 3: As you mentioned, the fifteen percent cut is not ironed
- 3:16Speaker 3: out in terms of laws. There is We've heard new
- 3:19Speaker 3: stories about potential lawsuits.
- 3:20Speaker 4: So those two.
- 3:21Speaker 3: Government and geopolitical angle needs to be cleared before we
- 3:26Speaker 3: can start seeing billions of dollars of data center China
- 3:29Speaker 3: revenue coming.
- 3:29Speaker 2: In Ku John, we're what's the competitive landscape here for
- 3:33Speaker 2: these chip companies VISA, v in Nvidia and just kind
- 3:37Speaker 2: of positioning for AI.
- 3:40Speaker 5: I assume in Vidia's position A. Who's kind of B
- 3:43Speaker 5: and C.
- 3:45Speaker 3: Yeah, So you know this space is divided into two categories.
- 3:49Speaker 3: One is the merchant GPUs, which is what in Vdia
- 3:51Speaker 3: sells and dominates that landscape, this sort of second competitor there,
- 3:57Speaker 3: or the B is AMD, which is a very far distant.
- 4:00Speaker 3: You know, Nvidia today has about over ninety percent in
- 4:03Speaker 3: terms of revenue share and the remaining is going to
- 4:07Speaker 3: a very small to AMD.
- 4:09Speaker 4: But there's another piece, which is.
- 4:10Speaker 3: We call what we call A six, which is what
- 4:12Speaker 3: these big hyperscalers and cloud providers like Amazon and Google
- 4:16Speaker 3: designed their own chips. So that's sort of the other
- 4:19Speaker 3: competitive landscape where there's a risk of the A six
- 4:22Speaker 3: taking sort of share away from merchant GPUs even though
- 4:26Speaker 3: they don't compete directly for the same socket, they could
- 4:29Speaker 3: take away the wallet share.
- 4:31Speaker 2: And so does that mean companies like Nvidia have to
- 4:35Speaker 2: pour money into R and D for that next chip
- 4:37Speaker 2: to stay on front, because I know in your business
- 4:40Speaker 2: technology changes quickly.
- 4:43Speaker 4: Yeah, definitely.
- 4:44Speaker 3: I mean, look, and Media has been even before the
- 4:47Speaker 3: AI event happened, and Media has been the biggest R
- 4:49Speaker 3: and D spender. They have continued and this is what
- 4:52Speaker 3: really got them to the stage of being ahead of
- 4:55Speaker 3: everyone else, and they have to continue spending out spending
- 4:58Speaker 3: everyone else to sort of keep that lead. Their roadmap
- 5:01Speaker 3: for the next two and a half years does suggest
- 5:03Speaker 3: that they should be able to keep this lead handsomely,
- 5:06Speaker 3: and for that it will definitely require high R and
- 5:09Speaker 3: D spending.
- 5:10Speaker 2: So this name to me who I'm used to stocks
- 5:14Speaker 2: trading in, you know, much lower multiples in my world,
- 5:17Speaker 2: But this seems like a stock that can actually earn
- 5:19Speaker 2: its way, and we have seen it earn its way
- 5:22Speaker 2: into its multiple.
- 5:24Speaker 5: I mean, you can make an argument this is not
- 5:25Speaker 5: an expensive.
- 5:26Speaker 4: Stock, You're right.
- 5:29Speaker 3: I mean, if you look at from a historical perspective,
- 5:34Speaker 3: it's actually the multiple is much more lower than what
- 5:37Speaker 3: we have seen in media trade in the past two years.
- 5:39Speaker 3: So given that fact, and also when we look at
- 5:42Speaker 3: the relative comparison when you think about a company growing
- 5:45Speaker 3: at fifty percent and making revenue in the hundreds of billions,
- 5:49Speaker 3: that isn't unprecedented, especially growing with gross margins of seventy
- 5:53Speaker 3: mits or low seventy percent. I mean, you're talking about
- 5:56Speaker 3: a financial profile for software company, not a seving net company.
- 6:00Speaker 3: So definitely, when you take into those two things into account,
- 6:04Speaker 3: it does seem that it might not be really highly valuable.
- 6:08Speaker 2: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 6:13Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
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- 6:23Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 6:27Speaker 2: Dollar General the stocks pretty much, they reported numbers, lifted
- 6:30Speaker 2: their guidance. Stock's flat today, but boy, it's a forty
- 6:33Speaker 2: seven percent year to date, so the street definitely likes
- 6:36Speaker 2: what's going on at DG. Let's talk to an expert
- 6:38Speaker 2: on this, Jen bartashes. She covers all the retail stuff
- 6:41Speaker 2: for Bloomberg Intelligence. Jen, what'd you take away from Dollar
- 6:45Speaker 2: General's results?
- 6:47Speaker 6: Yeah, Hi, Paul, you know, overall, the results were pretty encouraging,
- 6:52Speaker 6: and you know, we're looking at the consumer who is
- 6:55Speaker 6: willing to spend selectively, and the value proposition for people
- 6:59Speaker 6: who are in the discount space is really resonating. And
- 7:02Speaker 6: so the tactics that the companies put in place to
- 7:05Speaker 6: really improve store operations and things like that seem to
- 7:09Speaker 6: be gaining traction and drawing more people into the.
- 7:11Speaker 7: Stores, drawing more people into the stores, and drawing people
- 7:14Speaker 7: from different income strata as well. More higher income customers
- 7:17Speaker 7: are coming in. So that being the case, GEN does
- 7:20Speaker 7: it need to broaden its selection of products available to customers.
- 7:26Speaker 6: Well, I don't know that they need to broaden the selection,
- 7:28Speaker 6: but they need to be thoughtful about the selection that's
- 7:30Speaker 6: in the stores. I mean, these are small boxes, so
- 7:33Speaker 6: you have very limited space, and in order to retain
- 7:36Speaker 6: those higher income consumers from middle income, high income that
- 7:40Speaker 6: are coming into Dollar General, part of it is going
- 7:43Speaker 6: to be making sure that there are things that are
- 7:44Speaker 6: fresh and interesting but still at very good value. And
- 7:48Speaker 6: I think one of the interesting points is that Dollar
- 7:50Speaker 6: General has been able to maintain a selection of things
- 7:53Speaker 6: at one dollar price point, and when you think about it,
- 7:56Speaker 6: their biggest rival in the Dollars Tree, the dollar space.
- 7:58Speaker 6: Dollar Tree move to one twenty five as their baseline price,
- 8:02Speaker 6: So there's definitely some opportunity there to appeal to that
- 8:06Speaker 6: value seeker and give them something to be excited about.
- 8:10Speaker 2: So if I look on the back of or on
- 8:12Speaker 2: a tag for most of those items, I'm going to
- 8:15Speaker 2: see made in China or something like that. How are
- 8:18Speaker 2: they dealing with tariffs? How much are they passing on
- 8:20Speaker 2: to consumers versus maybe taking in their margin.
- 8:23Speaker 6: I think one of the advantages Dollar General has is
- 8:26Speaker 6: that they have a lot less exposure to imports than
- 8:29Speaker 6: most other retailers in the discount space, and that's really
- 8:32Speaker 6: because over eighty percent of their sales are consumables, which
- 8:36Speaker 6: is more food and household items, and the discretionary parts,
- 8:40Speaker 6: which would be the decorations, the apparel. That sort of
- 8:43Speaker 6: stuff is a much smaller part of their business, so
- 8:46Speaker 6: they're able to mitigate some of the costs they are.
- 8:49Speaker 6: They did talk about passing through prices when absolutely necessary,
- 8:54Speaker 6: but I think that's part of the solution for Dollar
- 8:56Speaker 6: General is that that product mix is playing in their
- 8:59Speaker 6: favor right now.
- 9:00Speaker 7: Right so they're like a smaller scale Walmart in many respects,
- 9:04Speaker 7: rather than a smaller scale five below for instance. So
- 9:08Speaker 7: given all of that, Jen, you had mentioned Dollar Tree
- 9:11Speaker 7: being one of the biggest competitors to Dollar General. That
- 9:13Speaker 7: company reports September third. How much can we take away
- 9:17Speaker 7: from Dollar General and apply it to Dollar Tree.
- 9:20Speaker 6: Well, I think Dollar Tree is in a bit of
- 9:21Speaker 6: a unique position because they've shed off the Family Dollar operations,
- 9:25Speaker 6: which means that they can really now focus on getting
- 9:28Speaker 6: Dollar Tree to function at the best that it possibly can.
- 9:33Speaker 6: I think that you have customers who are going into
- 9:36Speaker 6: Dollar Tree. They have a multi price point program that
- 9:40Speaker 6: they've been rolling out that's been doing pretty well. That
- 9:42Speaker 6: should help support some of the top line growth. It's
- 9:45Speaker 6: really going to be a question about margin for Dollar
- 9:47Speaker 6: Tree and how much tariffs are impacting them already, although
- 9:52Speaker 6: from what we've seen from other retailers, that impact may
- 9:55Speaker 6: still be delayed into further in the second half of
- 9:57Speaker 6: this year, just because they already had things in inventory
- 10:00Speaker 6: that they're currently selling.
- 10:02Speaker 2: So, Jen, in any town, USA, do these four dollars stores,
- 10:07Speaker 2: Dollar Tree, Dollar Rama all that did? They are they
- 10:10Speaker 2: all in the same town together? Is it more regionally
- 10:13Speaker 2: carved out?
- 10:14Speaker 6: Well, Dollar General by far has the greatest penetration into
- 10:18Speaker 6: what you would call rural America and so you find
- 10:21Speaker 6: them in very small communities sometimes is one of the
- 10:24Speaker 6: key retailers in very small towns. When you look at
- 10:28Speaker 6: like Family Dollar, it tends to skew a little bit
- 10:30Speaker 6: more urban. There is some there is some rural presence,
- 10:33Speaker 6: but not nearly as much. And they're in the process
- 10:35Speaker 6: of closing a lot of stores for the other dollar,
- 10:39Speaker 6: you know, the other dollar in low price you know,
- 10:42Speaker 6: providers like A five below. They're still in the growth stage,
- 10:46Speaker 6: so they don't have nearly a number of stores. You know.
- 10:48Speaker 6: You have to remember Dollar General has over twenty thousand
- 10:51Speaker 6: store locations just the United States, so it is pervasive
- 10:55Speaker 6: through a lot of smaller communities.
- 10:57Speaker 5: That's amazing. I didn't know that.
- 10:59Speaker 7: That is pretty remarkable. Now now that Dollar Tree is
- 11:02Speaker 7: shedding Family Dollar, what kind of opportunities does that provide
- 11:05Speaker 7: for Dollar General.
- 11:07Speaker 6: Well, it certainly gives an opportunity to look, especially where
- 11:11Speaker 6: stores are closing, in terms of gaining market share, but
- 11:13Speaker 6: it's also about re asserting value position and you know,
- 11:19Speaker 6: capturing customers that have been dissatisfied or who may be
- 11:23Speaker 6: looking for another alternative. We also saw Party City close,
- 11:27Speaker 6: you know, last year and into the beginning of this year,
- 11:29Speaker 6: and so you know there are there are strategic opportunities
- 11:33Speaker 6: where they can go after you know, some of those
- 11:35Speaker 6: types of occasions that historically people might not have gone
- 11:38Speaker 6: to Dollar General for.
- 11:40Speaker 5: Say, with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 11:45Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live
- 11:49Speaker 1: weekdays at ten a m. Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and
- 11:51Speaker 1: Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand
- 11:55Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, or watch US live on YouTube.
- 12:00Speaker 5: One of the ones I always like is Dick's Sporting Goods.
- 12:02Speaker 2: Give a sense of how the sporting goods business is doing,
- 12:05Speaker 2: and they reported some number stock trading off a little bit.
- 12:07Speaker 4: Here.
- 12:07Speaker 2: Lindsay Dutch joins US Consumer Hardlines senior analyst from Bloomberg Intelligence. Lindsay,
- 12:12Speaker 2: talk to us about dick Sporting Goods. What did they
- 12:14Speaker 2: report most recently.
- 12:16Speaker 8: Hi, Paul, thanks for having me. Yes, Dick's Sporting Goods
- 12:19Speaker 8: had another strong quarter five percent same story growth. That's
- 12:24Speaker 8: an acceleration sequentially and year over year. You know they're
- 12:28Speaker 8: seeing strength across apparel, footwear, team sports, and golf. So
- 12:33Speaker 8: a strong quarter, but the stock is trading off, and
- 12:37Speaker 8: I think a lot of that is sort of a
- 12:39Speaker 8: conservative outlook for the second half, you know, with some
- 12:42Speaker 8: uncertainty and a lot of investors are still worried about
- 12:46Speaker 8: the incorporation of Footlocker. With that deal to close in September, talk.
- 12:49Speaker 5: Just about the foot Locker deal, what's the upside there?
- 12:52Speaker 8: Yeah, So the Footlocker deal is a little bit different
- 12:54Speaker 8: for DIS in terms of, you know, it leans a
- 12:57Speaker 8: little bit more towards lifestyle rather than sport. It is
- 13:01Speaker 8: it is a big acquisition, you're talking about adding about
- 13:05Speaker 8: eight billion dollars in revenue. It also Footlocker skews to
- 13:10Speaker 8: a lower income consumer and they have mall based stores,
- 13:14Speaker 8: so it's a little bit of a different animal for DIS.
- 13:16Speaker 8: You know, Dix has proven their own turnaround over the
- 13:20Speaker 8: past couple of years and they really have strong demand
- 13:23Speaker 8: with their assortment, but they're going to have to show
- 13:25Speaker 8: that they can do that again with Footlocker.
- 13:29Speaker 7: Is there is there a carefully articulated strategy about integrating
- 13:33Speaker 7: Footlocker into Dix or I know they said that they're
- 13:36Speaker 7: going to run as separate business unit. So I'm wondering,
- 13:38Speaker 7: what's the point of buying footlocker then.
- 13:42Speaker 8: So you're right correct, they're going to keep the footlocker banners,
- 13:46Speaker 8: They're going to keep the stores there. As a customer,
- 13:49Speaker 8: you might not even know that Dix has made this purchase.
- 13:53Speaker 8: I think the big thing for Dix is expanding, you know,
- 13:58Speaker 8: their customer reach and therefore the longer term opportunity for
- 14:03Speaker 8: the company as a whole. So, like I said, you know,
- 14:07Speaker 8: Dicks already caters to more of a sports type focused customer,
- 14:12Speaker 8: you know, a higher income consumer. A foot locker is
- 14:14Speaker 8: bringing a whole nother consumer set to two Dicks, and
- 14:19Speaker 8: they're going to really try to lean into their expertise
- 14:22Speaker 8: on assortment, bring newness to footwear, bring a little bit
- 14:26Speaker 8: more apparel into those foot locker stores, and they're going
- 14:29Speaker 8: to try to gain market share, you know, with this
- 14:32Speaker 8: broader reach.
- 14:34Speaker 2: Lindsay, what are the the the.
- 14:37Speaker 5: The Dicks of the world, the footlockers, the lord.
- 14:39Speaker 2: What are they saying about tariffs and how much they're
- 14:41Speaker 2: going to take in the margin, how much they're going
- 14:43Speaker 2: to pass a on the consumers. What's the because I
- 14:45Speaker 2: think a lot of sneakers come from China.
- 14:49Speaker 8: Yes, So Diggs noted that they have seen you know,
- 14:52Speaker 8: some price increases they sound more sporadic in nature. That's
- 14:57Speaker 8: relatively consistent with the other you know, coverge in my
- 15:00Speaker 8: retail universe. You know, we're seeing very few retailers you
- 15:04Speaker 8: to take every single item up by a certain amount.
- 15:08Speaker 8: So the price increases are coming in more selectively. They're
- 15:14Speaker 8: most easily passed through to the consumer when it's a
- 15:17Speaker 8: new product, you know, something that people are willing to
- 15:21Speaker 8: pay up for anyway, so you know they have seen,
- 15:26Speaker 8: you know, new things coming from saying Nike for example,
- 15:31Speaker 8: you may be able to get that customer to just
- 15:33Speaker 8: take on that price increase in terms of margin. When
- 15:36Speaker 8: I think about Dix, you know they're still expecting expansion
- 15:40Speaker 8: both on the growth basis and on an operating basis
- 15:43Speaker 8: this year. You know, they are trying to manage costs
- 15:46Speaker 8: as well, but this company is also investing. They're opening
- 15:50Speaker 8: new stores, and so that that is adding you know,
- 15:54Speaker 8: additional cost pressure, not just on on.
- 15:56Speaker 6: The product side.
- 15:58Speaker 5: So Lindia, I got to ask you about that, spy
- 16:00Speaker 5: as well.
- 16:00Speaker 7: The stock is down more than six percent in early trading,
- 16:04Speaker 7: even though the second quarter did beat analyssessments and the
- 16:07Speaker 7: company ended fourteen straight quarters of quarterly sales declines. What
- 16:12Speaker 7: has investors disappointed?
- 16:15Speaker 8: I think the real worry bead for Best Buy is
- 16:18Speaker 8: demand for second half. So even this year, you know,
- 16:22Speaker 8: just for the first eight months of the year has
- 16:24Speaker 8: been a little bit of.
- 16:25Speaker 5: A wild ride for Best Buy.
- 16:26Speaker 8: You know, we came into the year with positive demand momentum,
- 16:30Speaker 8: things were looking good, you know, then we got tariff announcements,
- 16:33Speaker 8: we had to roll back guidance. You know, there was
- 16:36Speaker 8: a lot more uncertainty, and now we're flipping back with
- 16:39Speaker 8: these results to more on the positive side. So I
- 16:42Speaker 8: think there's concern entering the second half of the year
- 16:46Speaker 8: about you know, where demand is going to shake out.
- 16:50Speaker 8: We did see strength, you know, in gaming, particularly with
- 16:53Speaker 8: the Nintendo switch to for the second quarter. We're seeing
- 16:59Speaker 8: momentum continue in computing and phones for the third quarter.
- 17:04Speaker 8: All of that is positive, but home theater and appliances
- 17:08Speaker 8: have sort of remained weak for Best Buy, and at
- 17:11Speaker 8: home theater entertainment category, that's a really big one.
- 17:14Speaker 5: For the fourth quarter. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg
- 17:17Speaker 5: Intelligence coming up after this.
- 17:21Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live
- 17:24Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Cocklay and Android
- 17:28Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app, Listen on demand wherever
- 17:31Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 17:35Speaker 7: We want to go back to company news and how
- 17:37Speaker 7: the NASAC is the lone index there that is really
- 17:40Speaker 7: moving higher right now. A lot of it can be
- 17:42Speaker 7: due to earnings from companies like Snowflake, like CrowdStrike, not
- 17:47Speaker 7: necessarily do in video, which is lower. So let's bring
- 17:49Speaker 7: in Mandeep seeing Bloomberg Intelligence senior tech industry analysts, and Mandep,
- 17:54Speaker 7: I want to start on I wanted to start on
- 17:56Speaker 7: CrowdStrike because I know what they do, but I'm going
- 17:58Speaker 7: to go to Snowflake, which is up about eighteen and
- 18:01Speaker 7: a half percent trading right now. It's another one of
- 18:03Speaker 7: these enterprise software companies that there are so many of.
- 18:07Speaker 7: So let's talk first about what Snowflake said that got
- 18:10Speaker 7: investors so excited and how tied the AI story it is.
- 18:14Speaker 9: Yeah, I mean, Snowflake is another one of those database
- 18:17Speaker 9: analytics companies that got beaten up because everyone thought lms
- 18:22Speaker 9: will take share from them. And there's been a pretty
- 18:26Speaker 9: wide spectrum when you look at the valuations for database
- 18:30Speaker 9: and analytics companies. On the one hand, you've got a
- 18:32Speaker 9: palenteer that's trading at almost one hundred times sales, not
- 18:37Speaker 9: earning sales. And on the other hand, you've got you know,
- 18:40Speaker 9: players like Snowflake that are at a much more reasonable valuation.
- 18:44Speaker 9: Mango dB, I mean, the stock is up almost fifty
- 18:47Speaker 9: percent since they reported earning three days back. So to
- 18:52Speaker 9: answer your question, what they said was they are now
- 18:55Speaker 9: participating in this AI agent deployment. Basically, all these enterprises
- 19:01Speaker 9: who are renting the GPU capacities, who are trying to
- 19:04Speaker 9: build a product on chat GPT, they're actually deploying that
- 19:09Speaker 9: in production. Now that AI agent, customer service agent, or
- 19:12Speaker 9: that search chat pot is getting deployed with enterprise data.
- 19:16Speaker 9: And that is what I think is helping someone like Snowflake,
- 19:20Speaker 9: which caters to enterprises. But everyone thought they would be
- 19:24Speaker 9: disintermediated with the chat GPT solving all the problems. So
- 19:27Speaker 9: that's not the case. That's why Mango dB did well,
- 19:30Speaker 9: That's why Snowflake did well. Not every company is going
- 19:33Speaker 9: to participate like that, but clearly these companies have, and
- 19:36Speaker 9: that's why you're seeing their stock getting bid up.
- 19:39Speaker 2: So these I guess, I know, I guess they're classified
- 19:42Speaker 2: as infrastructure software.
- 19:44Speaker 9: Yeah, databases yeah, and their databases yeah.
- 19:48Speaker 2: And so databases you're going they're going to have value
- 19:51Speaker 2: in an AI world, right. I would just think it's
- 19:53Speaker 2: the raw material of data for this launch language model.
- 19:57Speaker 9: You go back in the last thirty years, database is
- 20:00Speaker 9: one of the stickiest business. Like think of Oracle database.
- 20:03Speaker 9: Nobody was able to get rid of their Oracle database databases. Look,
- 20:09Speaker 9: I mean, and that's why databases are like so hard
- 20:12Speaker 9: to displace. Once your data is in a like particular products,
- 20:17Speaker 9: database I cuturally migrated. I mean, there's no way out.
- 20:21Speaker 9: Technology will come, they will be AI. What do you
- 20:24Speaker 9: train AI on? It's your data, right, So your custom
- 20:27Speaker 9: data is still in that product, and that's why mainframes
- 20:31Speaker 9: are still around. So from that standpoint, I think database
- 20:36Speaker 9: when you look at their gross retention, their net retention,
- 20:38Speaker 9: their metrics are always better than application software. You can
- 20:43Speaker 9: replace your application software with a chat GPT product that
- 20:46Speaker 9: can automate the whole thing.
- 20:47Speaker 4: I see.
- 20:48Speaker 9: But that's where the stickiness comes from. And you know,
- 20:51Speaker 9: the pendulum keeps swinging. I mean, the market was very
- 20:54Speaker 9: bearish on these companies for a while, but now they're realizing,
- 20:57Speaker 9: oh guess what they will participate in this AI deployment,
- 21:00Speaker 9: and I think Snowflake is definitely one open.
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