Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3898 Tehran Regime on the BRINK as Trump CRUSHES NATO!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_02]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_02]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_02]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_02]: We're now getting a front row seat on Trump's astonishingly brilliant strategy behind the ceasefire, and it's playing out in real time.
- 0:31[SPEAKER_02]: Something extraordinary is happening inside the Islamic Republic of Iran right now.
- 0:36[SPEAKER_02]: And almost nobody in the legacy media understands it.
- 0:38[SPEAKER_02]: In fact, what's being called a failed ceasefire or what's being called confusion or what's being called chaos is actually now.
- 0:47[SPEAKER_02]: I want you to hear this very carefully deliberate.
- 0:51[SPEAKER_02]: The chaos is the strategy.
- 0:54[SPEAKER_02]: And once you understand that everything Trump is doing makes perfect sense.
- 0:58[SPEAKER_02]: Stick with me to the very end of this video because I'm gonna show you a masterclass in geopolitical strategy and we're gonna see how Trump is publicly humiliating NATO and causing our so-called European allies to absolutely panic.
- 1:15[SPEAKER_02]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve York, Patre Professor here to help you make sense of the madness with breaking news and analysis.
- 1:22[SPEAKER_02]: You're not going to get anywhere else.
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- 1:28[SPEAKER_02]: Vice President JD Vance is preparing to lead the US delegation in high stakes piece talks with Iran in Islamabad Pakistan on Saturday.
- 1:38[SPEAKER_02]: It will, in fact, be the highest level direct engagement between the United States and Iran.
- 1:44[SPEAKER_02]: since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, vans would be joined by special envoy, Steve Whitkoff and Jared Kushner while Iran's parliament speaker Muhammad Galibov and foreign minister Abbas Ahrachi are expected to lead Tehran side.
- 2:01[SPEAKER_02]: This Iranian delegation, however, is actually begging a larger question.
- 2:08[SPEAKER_02]: Who, in fact, is actually leading Iran?
- 2:13[SPEAKER_02]: One of the things that's becoming increasingly clear here with the ceasefire is the fact that there is no actual ceasefire, at least not in the conventional formal sense.
- 2:26[SPEAKER_02]: As many of you know, Iran has continued to launch missiles at both Israel and the Gulf States since the supposed ceasefire began, and we're learning that this is because Iran no longer has an actual functioning government.
- 2:41[SPEAKER_02]: Again, they're putting on the face of a function and government with these talks with their delegation, but the reality is that the regime is now visibly splitting along fault lines that have been building for years.
- 2:54[SPEAKER_02]: And the fractures actually accelerating faster than anyone predicted.
- 2:59[SPEAKER_02]: Here's what's actually happening on the ground.
- 3:02[SPEAKER_02]: According to multiple regional intelligence sources, more than 50 senior Iranian officials, commanders, strategic advisors, the backbone of the inner circle have been eliminated across a series of coordinated precision operations.
- 3:18[SPEAKER_02]: And those who remain, they've stopped meeting in large groups together.
- 3:24[SPEAKER_02]: They've tightened communications.
- 3:25[SPEAKER_02]: They've largely siloed off their communications in the splinter groups.
- 3:31[SPEAKER_02]: And it's because they're terrified of strikes.
- 3:33[SPEAKER_02]: And again, this siloing, this fracturing of the leadership was very deliberate on the part of Trump.
- 3:40[SPEAKER_02]: and these Rayleigh forces.
- 3:42[SPEAKER_02]: The organizational backbone of the Islamic Republic has been dramatically thinned.
- 3:47[SPEAKER_02]: And now, the regime that once spoke with one terrifying voice is speaking with many fractured contradictory competing voices.
- 3:57[SPEAKER_02]: Remember, we've been talking a lot about the so-called mosaic doctrine.
- 4:03[SPEAKER_02]: It's a decentralized defense doctrine that allows the IRGC
- 4:10[SPEAKER_02]: regimens in the case that their top leadership gets wiped out.
- 4:15[SPEAKER_02]: So the Mosaic is provincial commanders the authority to act autonomously without waiting for Tehran's approval, but it's Achilles heel as we're seeing is that it's nearly impossible for them to act in a unified and coordinated manner since so much of their command and control and communications capabilities have been wiped out.
- 4:36[SPEAKER_02]: So that's why we're seeing these very sporadic contradictory messages and launches in the light.
- 4:43[SPEAKER_02]: There isn't a single government running things in Iran.
- 4:47[SPEAKER_02]: The regime has been splintered in various factions.
- 4:50[SPEAKER_02]: And so this is where analysts like Rod Martin and my R2C and others are noting a crucial insight here.
- 4:58[SPEAKER_02]: Trump is not negotiating with Iran, quote unquote.
- 5:04[SPEAKER_02]: He's not negotiating with a single regime.
- 5:08[SPEAKER_02]: He's negotiating with one of the larger factions, right?
- 5:13[SPEAKER_02]: There are lots of some estimate there are 31 factions, some estimate there are 24, and of course not all of them want peace.
- 5:23[SPEAKER_02]: Not all of them even want to negotiate.
- 5:26[SPEAKER_02]: Again, that begs the question, what is Trump actually doing here
- 5:34[SPEAKER_02]: Bottom line, Trump is effectively pitting these factions against each other.
- 5:41[SPEAKER_02]: Full stop.
- 5:43[SPEAKER_02]: He's making competing offers of money, power and security to different factions and watching what happens next because here's the game.
- 5:52[SPEAKER_02]: If one faction betrays another, they take care of the bad actor for Trump without a single American bomb being dropped.
- 6:03[SPEAKER_02]: Trump will randomly target them again and blame them all as if they're still one unified government.
- 6:09[SPEAKER_02]: which will, of course, only served to infuriate them and calls them to turn on each other, precisely because there is no longer a central authority to prevent that internal war.
- 6:20[SPEAKER_02]: It's absolutely brilliant.
- 6:22[SPEAKER_02]: So on one side, if we were to just create, like say, two sides here, on one side, you got the diplomatic establishment, they're led by President Pezashkin, who want to deal.
- 6:33[SPEAKER_02]: They want to end this thing.
- 6:34[SPEAKER_02]: They want to establish diplomatic relations
- 6:39[SPEAKER_02]: but they're being thwarted by another side.
- 6:43[SPEAKER_02]: The more hard-line IRGC factions who are giving 72-hour ultimatums for the diplomatic faction to retract any and all proposals for peace.
- 6:55[SPEAKER_02]: They're calling those who want a diplomatic resolution, collaborators with the enemy.
- 7:01[SPEAKER_02]: They're collaborators with the Zionists.
- 7:04[SPEAKER_02]: And they're threatening to eliminate them, right?
- 7:08[SPEAKER_02]: This is one faction of the Iranian government threatening to destroy another faction of the Iranian government without the United States or Israel having to drop a single bomb.
- 7:18[SPEAKER_02]: This is exactly what a number of analysts are telling us to watch for.
- 7:22[SPEAKER_02]: The factions are turning on each other in real time, publicly.
- 7:28[SPEAKER_02]: And so for those who think this is chaos, it isn't.
- 7:32[SPEAKER_02]: What we're watching is actually very controlled, very deliberate, very engineered disintegration of a 47-year-old theocratic regime, faction by faction, commander by commander, institution by institution, and it's not just Iran.
- 7:49[SPEAKER_02]: NATO is next.
- 7:52[SPEAKER_02]: Our supposed European allies are the next ones in Trump's crosshairs, and you're
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- 10:01[SPEAKER_02]: The NATO alliance, which the New York Times embarrassingly called the North American treaty organization, by fake news, never fails to disappoint.
- 10:15[SPEAKER_02]: It's staring at one of the biggest cracks in its history.
- 10:19[SPEAKER_02]: One statement, one single statement from NATO Secretary, General Mark Rada, has sent shockwaves across European capitals after meeting with President Trump at the White House, Rada went on CNN and confirmed what everyone already suspected, Trump is clearly disappointed.
- 10:36[SPEAKER_02]: with several NATO allies for their failure to support the United States during the Iran conflict and Ruta agrees.
- 10:44[SPEAKER_01]: The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the President is weighing punishing some NATO allies for not being helpful to the U.S. and Israel during the war, quote, the proposal would involve moving U.S. troops out
- 10:56[SPEAKER_01]: of NATO member countries deemed unhelpful to the Iran War effort and stationed them in countries that were more supportive of the U.S. military campaign.
- 11:03[SPEAKER_01]: Did the President talk about that at all today?
- 11:05[SPEAKER_00]: Again, it was a very frank.
- 11:06[SPEAKER_00]: It was a very open discussion.
- 11:08[SPEAKER_00]: He clearly told me what he thought of what happened over the last couple of weeks.
- 11:13[SPEAKER_01]: Some countries specifically said, you can't use our bases, you can't even fly over our airspace, Spain, France.
- 11:20[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, the large majority, including France, of European nations, has been doing what they committed before they would do in a case like this.
- 11:30[SPEAKER_00]: So Europe has a platform of power projection for the United States, was in full play over the last six weeks.
- 11:38[SPEAKER_00]: And yes, it is true, not all European nations lived up to those commitments, and I totally understand that he is disappointed about it.
- 11:45[SPEAKER_02]: Again, that's NATO's Secretary Mark Rue, the doing is best.
- 11:49[SPEAKER_02]: to save face for an alliance that's so clearly disappointed president Trump and Trump made it absolutely clear that it is the United States and the United States alone that will ultimately determine the future of NATO, not Spain, not France, certainly not the UK, the United States.
- 12:08[SPEAKER_02]: And right now the United States is calling out the utter and complete hypocrisy of a number of member nations.
- 12:14[SPEAKER_02]: Remember, the British needed us for the
- 12:17[SPEAKER_02]: All right, they couldn't defend those islands alone.
- 12:20[SPEAKER_02]: The French needed us in chat.
- 12:22[SPEAKER_02]: We rebuilt Western Europe after two world wars that they started on their own soil.
- 12:30[SPEAKER_02]: And then when we asked for overflight rights to finish a campaign that directly defend their energy supply and their security, those countries said no.
- 12:43[SPEAKER_02]: They said no.
- 12:48[SPEAKER_02]: than just their hypocrisy.
- 12:52[SPEAKER_02]: President Trump is calling this out.
- 12:54[SPEAKER_02]: It's not just that Europe won't help.
- 12:58[SPEAKER_02]: It's that Europe literally can't help.
- 13:03[SPEAKER_02]: I mean, just look at the data.
- 13:06[SPEAKER_02]: The population of Europe is 450 million, 100 million more people than America.
- 13:12[SPEAKER_02]: It's got a $22 trillion GDP, the third largest economic block on the planet, and yet, and yet, despite that, Europe can't field a credible independent military force.
- 13:26[SPEAKER_02]: I think about that, a population nearly half a billion people, a $20 trillion economy, and their perhaps the single most limp-rusted weaklings on the planet.
- 13:38[SPEAKER_02]: Why?
- 13:40[SPEAKER_02]: Victor Davis Hansen was talking about this the other day because Europe chose utopia overcapability.
- 13:48[SPEAKER_02]: They chose the life of a luxury welfare state over war preparedness, and they did it smuggly as well.
- 13:57[SPEAKER_02]: Their fertility rates have cratered.
- 14:00[SPEAKER_02]: They're down to an average of just 1.3 children per woman, way below the 2.1 replacement level.
- 14:06[SPEAKER_02]: They're literally disappearing from the face of the earth.
- 14:11[SPEAKER_02]: They went all in on wind and solar and gutted their energy independence.
- 14:16[SPEAKER_02]: They went full-greditumber, leaving them begging Russia for natural gas all the wild simultaneously asking us to defend them from Russia.
- 14:25[SPEAKER_02]: They hollowed out their militaries.
- 14:27[SPEAKER_02]: They led in millions upon millions of so-called refugees from the Middle East and Northern Africa from regions deeply hostile to Western values.
- 14:37[SPEAKER_02]: And now, their governments are terrified of taking any foreign policy stance that could provoke domestic Islamic radicalism.
- 14:46[SPEAKER_02]: So what does moral posturing give you when you've got no power?
- 14:51[SPEAKER_02]: gives you press releases.
- 14:53[SPEAKER_02]: It gives you, you know, we condemn this illegal American misadventure.
- 14:58[SPEAKER_02]: It gives you empty virtue signaling from nations that can't even fill the round recruitment quotas.
- 15:06[SPEAKER_02]: And so one of the solutions here, the United States has VDH is actually floating this.
- 15:13[SPEAKER_02]: Don't necessarily leave NATO, don't give Russia what it wants, don't give China what it wants, don't leave NATO, just become Canada.
- 15:23[SPEAKER_02]: Pay like 1.5% of your GDP show up to the summit, fly the flag,
- 15:31[SPEAKER_02]: And in the meantime, just build bilateral relationships with nations that actually showed up, Greece, Poland, Czech Republic, Portugal, nations willing to negotiate real partnerships and exchange for real American security guarantees.
- 15:47[SPEAKER_02]: Because when Trump says NATO disappointed him, he's not throwing a tantrum.
- 15:52[SPEAKER_02]: He's stating a structural fact about an alliance.
- 15:55[SPEAKER_02]: that is held together at this point, almost entirely by American resolve and willpower.
- 16:02[SPEAKER_02]: And that simply can't hold forever.
- 16:05[SPEAKER_02]: So we'll obviously see what happens in both theaters and Iran and NATO, but right now it does appear that they both share one thing in common.
- 16:15[SPEAKER_02]: They're both collapsing.
- 16:17[SPEAKER_02]: under the weight of their own internal contradictions.
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