Latest / The Morning Edition / Trump or Netanyahu – who pushed who into the Iran war?
Transcript
- 0:01S1: When will this war end? As it enters its seventh week,
- 0:05S1: the question hovers over each bit of reporting on the
- 0:08S1: ongoing destruction in Iran and more recently, in Lebanon.
- 0:12S2: The war has caused thousands of deaths in the Middle
- 0:15S2: East and disrupted the global economy particularly.
- 0:18S1: But as with so many wars, how and why it
- 0:21S1: ends is often determined by the strong personalities of the
- 0:24S1: leaders involved. I'm Samantha Selinger Morris, and you're listening to
- 0:29S1: Morning Edition from The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald. Today,
- 0:33S1: international and political editor Peter Hartcher on who's driving this war.
- 0:38S1: American President Donald Trump or Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
- 0:43S1: It's April the 16th. Welcome, Peter, back to the podcast.
- 0:50S3: Pleasure to be here, Samantha.
- 0:51S1: Okay. Well, first off, there's been so much discussion ever
- 0:54S1: since this war began more than six weeks ago about
- 0:57S1: just who pushed who into this war. So can you
- 1:00S1: briefly walk us through the latest evidence that suggests that
- 1:03S1: it was Israel that pushed the US into this war?
- 1:06S3: HMM. Trump's critics love to say that he's just some
- 1:10S3: sort of an agent for Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister,
- 1:14S3: and that he's credulous or that he's a captive. And
- 1:19S3: the latest evidence was the New York Times piece last
- 1:23S3: week by our former colleague Jonathan Swan, together with Maggie Haberman,
- 1:29S3: where the piece opened with a meeting in the Situation
- 1:32S3: Room in the white House, where Trump and his top
- 1:36S3: officials received Netanyahu in person to brief them on his
- 1:41S3: pitch for why they should join him in waging war
- 1:45S3: on Iran. And behind Netanyahu. Displayed on the screens were
- 1:49S3: the heads of Mossad and the military, and he proceeded
- 1:52S3: to spend an hour pitching this war to Donald Trump,
- 1:56S3: at the end of which Donald Trump, according to the
- 1:59S3: New York Times reporting, said, sounds good to me and
- 2:03S3: sat back.
- 2:04S1: Yeah.
- 2:05S3: So it doesn't sound like a hard sell. No. And
- 2:09S3: I should add that although the Israeli side has quibbled
- 2:13S3: with the content and nature of the meeting, there have
- 2:17S3: been no substantive denials from the US side about that meeting.
- 2:21S3: That was February 11th. The war started a couple of
- 2:22S3: weeks later. So that's taken as evidence by many to
- 2:27S3: to mean that Donald Trump simply was a sap in
- 2:32S3: Netanyahu's war plan.
- 2:34S1: Okay. And we know that that's not a narrative that
- 2:35S1: is that is solely presented there, that others definitely have
- 2:38S1: this view as well. Because you and I were speaking
- 2:40S1: before recording about Tucker Carlson, who obviously has long been
- 2:45S1: an ally of Trump. Now they've fallen out. But he
- 2:47S1: went so far the other day as saying that Trump
- 2:50S1: is a slave to Netanyahu.
- 2:52S4: I don't think it's as simple as he's under the
- 2:55S4: control of Netanyahu. Um, but, you know, you could summarize
- 2:59S4: it that way and you wouldn't be totally inaccurate. And again,
- 3:01S4: we know this because the single biggest mistake Trump or
- 3:06S4: any American president in my lifetime has made was going
- 3:08S4: to war with Iran in an effort to change its regime.
- 3:12S4: The whole thing is a fantasy.
- 3:14S1: Now they are in a feud. So we can take
- 3:16S1: that with a grain of salt. But of course, there
- 3:17S1: are others. Trump's former counterterrorism in chief, Joe Kent, but
- 3:21S1: you've just written, you know, a strong take against this narrative.
- 3:24S1: So why do you think it isn't so clear cut
- 3:26S1: that Trump is just some lackey of.
- 3:28S3: Netanyahu and the original source to confirm the appearance that
- 3:32S3: this is Netanyahu's war with Trump following came from Marco Rubio,
- 3:36S3: who is both secretary of state and national security advisor
- 3:38S3: to Donald Trump, where Rubio said, we knew the Israelis
- 3:43S3: were going to strike Iran, whether or not America was involved.
- 3:47S3: That would have provoked the Iranians into attacking American assets
- 3:50S3: in the Middle East and our bases. Therefore, we decided
- 3:53S3: to join the war preemptively.
- 3:56S5: We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action.
- 3:58S5: We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces.
- 4:02S5: And we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after
- 4:04S5: them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher
- 4:07S5: casualties and perhaps even higher those killed.
- 4:10S3: But Trump himself took issue with this and said, no,
- 4:13S3: that's not right. If anything, I forced Israel's hand in
- 4:17S3: this war. But then there are the other. There's a
- 4:19S3: countervailing evidence, some of which you mentioned. Um, I make
- 4:24S3: two points. First of all, for Netanyahu to be invited
- 4:28S3: into the Situation Room, which is not a place where
- 4:31S3: foreign leaders go to make a pitch to Trump and
- 4:35S3: his top officials in that organized, uh, manner strongly implies
- 4:41S3: that Trump was already pretty well inclined towards the war,
- 4:45S3: which Netanyahu had spent a year talking Trump into anyway. Uh,
- 4:49S3: so it looks like Trump was already pretty keen on
- 4:53S3: the whole thing, which is why he didn't want to
- 4:55S3: interrogate Netanyahu's pitch too closely. We also have plenty of evidence,
- 5:02S3: plenty of comments from Trump over the months about how
- 5:05S3: Iran deserved to be hit and what a dreadful regime
- 5:08S3: they were. And we also have the the word of
- 5:11S3: the Israeli ambassador to the US, who has said that
- 5:16S3: the two were actually working in a close partnership. They
- 5:18S3: were both in favor of the war. And that seems
- 5:22S3: to me to be the most likely and plausible characterization
- 5:27S3: of the whole thing. That won't stop the Trump critics.
- 5:29S3: They love to make him look weak and and feeble minded,
- 5:33S3: which may or may not be true, but in this case,
- 5:36S3: to suggest that Netanyahu dragged him against his will into
- 5:38S3: this war, I think looks. The historians might correct me
- 5:41S3: when they get around to it. Yes, but based on
- 5:44S3: everything we know now, it looks like Trump did not
- 5:46S3: need to be drafted into this war. He was up
- 5:48S3: for it from the beginning.
- 5:49S6: Okay, well, let's pull back.
- 5:50S1: For a minute. Can you walk us through like, why
- 5:52S1: does it matter who drew who into this war in
- 5:56S1: the first place.
- 5:57S3: Well, it matters for a couple of reasons. As some
- 5:59S3: of the Democrats have said about Trump, are we such
- 6:02S3: an enfeebled nation that we let the Israelis dictate when
- 6:08S3: America goes to war, and against whom and when? That's
- 6:12S3: a pretty tough accusation, and it undercuts American credibility. Trump's
- 6:17S3: own standing and credibility, of course, as well. It also
- 6:21S3: matters because how the war started will have a lot
- 6:25S3: to do with how the war finishes. We know that
- 6:28S3: Trump's only ally in starting the war was Netanyahu. So therefore,
- 6:34S3: I mean, everybody now is consumed by the question of
- 6:37S3: how long this thing will go on for, because that
- 6:40S3: dictates so much, including whether we end up with a
- 6:43S3: global recession or not. So with everybody paying intense attention
- 6:49S3: to that question, we also have to pay a little
- 6:51S3: bit of attention to, Well, he went into this war
- 6:54S3: with Israel. So how is it going to end? And
- 6:58S3: does he need Israel to be on board before he
- 7:00S3: decides to end the hostilities?
- 7:02S6: Okay, well, let's walk through this.
- 7:03S1: The different agendas that Trump and Netanyahu have in terms
- 7:07S1: of why they wanted this war, what they want out
- 7:09S1: of this war, what it would mean for each of
- 7:11S1: them for this war to be a success for their
- 7:13S1: respective countries, for their respective personal agendas, because they're quite different, right?
- 7:17S3: Yeah. And quite quickly, this war developed from being a
- 7:21S3: single front war against Iran into a second front war
- 7:26S3: between Israel and Lebanon. Four days into the war, the
- 7:29S3: Hezbollah terrorists who occupy part of Lebanon fired rockets into Israel,
- 7:36S3: and Israel took the opportunity to respond. And that's now
- 7:39S3: developed into a fully fledged war where the Israelis are
- 7:42S3: attacking Hezbollah, doing a lot of collateral damage in Lebanon
- 7:47S3: in the process, more than 2000 civilians killed, according to
- 7:51S3: the Lebanese government, one and a bit 1.1 million people
- 7:56S3: are relocated dislocated from their homes in southern Lebanon and
- 8:00S3: forced north as Israel enforces what it calls a buffer
- 8:03S3: zone of 6 to 8km deep into Lebanese territory, with
- 8:08S3: questions about whether that's going to remain a permanent buffer,
- 8:11S3: whether it will be extended, whether it turns into a
- 8:13S3: new Israeli occupation or not. So there's now two wars
- 8:18S3: involved here, and the second of those is Israel, Hezbollah.
- 8:22S3: Hezbollah operating from Lebanon, and the first of which is
- 8:25S3: the larger one that's getting most of the attention.
- 8:27S1: So tell us then the different agendas, you know, because Trump,
- 8:29S1: Trump has reasons to want to either be in this
- 8:33S1: or end it. And Netanyahu has reasons to want to
- 8:35S1: be in it and end it. And they're completely different.
- 8:38S1: So what are they? Peter.
- 8:39S3: Yeah, and I would say that Trump's motivation to keep
- 8:43S3: the war with Iran going is a lot less than
- 8:47S3: Netanyahu's interests in keeping one or both of those fronts going.
- 8:51S3: Trump had trouble for weeks articulating the whole purpose and
- 8:54S3: point of this war. As we all know.
- 8:56S1: It changed daily.
- 8:57S3: It changed daily, sometimes hourly. So the current articulated point
- 9:03S3: of the war, according to Donald Trump and, you know,
- 9:06S3: check what time of day it is, it might change.
- 9:09S3: That's right. By the time we finish this podcast. That's right.
- 9:12S3: Is to is that he said 99% of it is
- 9:15S3: that Iran must not have a nuclear weapon at the
- 9:18S3: end of this. But he's also said and is now
- 9:22S3: mounting this operation in in the Strait of Hormuz, to
- 9:24S3: say that Iran must reopen the Strait of Hormuz. And
- 9:27S3: until it does, we're going to do it. We're going
- 9:29S3: to blockade it.
- 9:30S1: Blockade their blockade.
- 9:31S3: Yeah. Blockade there. And on a technical but important point here,
- 9:35S3: while the Iranians were de facto blocking the entire strait
- 9:39S3: and only allowing their allied and their own oil through
- 9:44S3: mostly to China, uh, Trump says we're not blocking the
- 9:48S3: whole strait. The Americans are blocking X access into and
- 9:52S3: out of Iran and allowing other commercial traffic through the strait.
- 9:55S3: So that is an important distinction. And apparently 20 commercial
- 9:59S3: vessels went through were allowed through because they were non
- 10:02S3: they weren't heading to Iran or out of Iran in
- 10:04S3: the first 24 hours of that blockade. So that's an
- 10:06S3: important distinction nonetheless. So Trump's Trump's got those stated goals.
- 10:14S3: Now it's a bit different when it comes to Netanyahu
- 10:16S3: with Netanyahu. Well he's his defense minister overnight our time.
- 10:22S3: Israel Katz said that the threshold issue for Israel is
- 10:27S3: the nuclear capability. And what is the nuclear capability? The
- 10:32S3: consensus of experts is that there is still around 400
- 10:37S3: up to 440kg of enriched uranium, enriched to about 60% purity,
- 10:44S3: which is in Iran, very likely buried underground in facilities
- 10:50S3: deep underground, where access to them has been blocked off
- 10:53S3: by American and Israeli bombing. And the bombing has sealed
- 10:57S3: the entrances under, you know, enormous volumes of rubble. So
- 11:02S3: that is there. And both the US now, as Trump stated,
- 11:06S3: latest top priority, but also Israel calling it a threshold
- 11:09S3: issue that now is the biggest demand that both the
- 11:13S3: Americans and the Israelis are making. So that is quite
- 11:16S3: complicated in how that is resolved. And the Iranians have
- 11:21S3: yet to make any concessions on on that point. Then
- 11:25S3: there's the political motivation.
- 11:26S1: Now, this is where it really sort of.
- 11:28S3: This is where they diverge. Yeah. Much more. Yeah. And
- 11:31S3: this also brings in the second front, which is the
- 11:33S3: Israeli war against Lebanon. So to deal with the Iran
- 11:37S3: war first. Amazing that this on the first day Trump
- 11:41S3: said this may take a couple of days or might
- 11:44S3: take 4 or 5 weeks. We're now in the sixth week.
- 11:47S3: And yet we are still. We are still talking about
- 11:50S3: a two fronted war that shows no sign of being solved,
- 11:54S3: even though we're in a two week ceasefire, at least
- 11:56S3: on the Iran front. So Trump's motivation here is to
- 12:03S3: be able to declare victory in this war, to achieve
- 12:07S3: his at least one or more of his stated objectives.
- 12:10S3: Who knows which ones they'll be? Yeah. But in terms
- 12:13S3: of his domestic political and economic needs, he needs to
- 12:17S3: get the pressure off the oil price and take the
- 12:21S3: inflationary pressure out of the US economy well before they
- 12:24S3: get to the November midterm elections. On the current outlook.
- 12:28S3: He's not going to achieve that because even if the
- 12:30S3: war is stopped tomorrow, the inflationary impulse that's going through
- 12:34S3: the US economy, partly because of the tariffs that he
- 12:37S3: spent the last year imposing, but then more recently, on
- 12:41S3: top of that, the inflationary effect of higher oil prices
- 12:44S3: and petrol prices in the US has pushed inflation up
- 12:47S3: to 3.3% in the US already, and that will continue
- 12:50S3: to build regardless of what happens, even if the war
- 12:52S3: is finished now. So his priority is to try and
- 12:55S3: take the sting out of that and to be able
- 12:57S3: to declare victory and say and look. And now petrol
- 13:00S3: prices are going to come down again.
- 13:03S1: We'll be right back. Do we know at least when
- 13:09S1: we're recording this, like, what would it would require for
- 13:11S1: Trump to put as much pressure on Netanyahu as possible,
- 13:15S1: like end this now? Because, I mean, realistically, he's not
- 13:18S1: going to get rid of Iran's enriched uranium.
- 13:21S3: Well, it does seem that the, uh, the processing and
- 13:27S3: bomb making capabilities of the Iranians have been savagely impaired.
- 13:32S3: But the existence of 60% uranium 440kg apparently is enough
- 13:37S3: to make dozens of nuclear warheads. So it is a
- 13:39S3: potential problem. That is a problem that's only going to
- 13:42S3: be solved, at least in the interim. In the short term,
- 13:46S3: by diplomacy, the Iranians would have to agree on the
- 13:51S3: treatment of that uranium, whether to leave it in the ground,
- 13:53S3: retrieve it, under what circumstances, and all all the accompanying
- 13:57S3: questions that that has not even been seriously, as far
- 14:01S3: as we know, addressed in the peace talks. So, uh,
- 14:04S3: what would it take that would take a lot, but
- 14:06S3: then to get. So, so then on the second front, uh,
- 14:12S3: where Netanyahu is waging a very determined war against Hezbollah. Uh, Netanyahu,
- 14:21S3: his stated aim is to destroy Hezbollah and prevent it
- 14:26S3: from being able to fire weapons into Israel. And that's
- 14:30S3: going to be tough. Um, as soon as Trump announced
- 14:32S3: the main ceasefire in Iran, within a few hours, Netanyahu's
- 14:37S3: forces fired their biggest single volley into Lebanon. It was
- 14:41S3: obviously a defiant message. No, Trump, you know, you can
- 14:44S3: have your ceasefire in Iran, but we're not going to
- 14:46S3: give you a ceasefire in Lebanon. And you, Hezbollah, you're
- 14:49S3: in you're in big trouble. And just in the last
- 14:51S3: 24 hours before we speak now, another 30 or so
- 14:54S3: missiles have flown from Hezbollah into Israel. Hezbollah forces is
- 14:58S3: not showing any sign of running out of munitions or
- 15:01S3: will to wage this war, even though there were there
- 15:05S3: was a negotiation, the beginning of a negotiation, again, in
- 15:07S3: the last 24 hours. This whole thing moves pretty quickly.
- 15:11S3: For the first time since 1993, between the Israelis and
- 15:15S3: the Lebanese over this border war.
- 15:19S7: Israel and Lebanon have begun direct negotiations in Washington, DC.
- 15:23S7: Lebanese authorities are hoping to stop Israeli attacks in the country,
- 15:26S7: but Israeli officials are focused on Hezbollah's disarmament.
- 15:29S5: A historic opportunity. We understand we're working against decades of
- 15:33S5: history and complexities that have led us to this unique
- 15:35S5: moment and the opportunity here. I know some of you
- 15:38S5: are shouting questions about ceasefires.
- 15:40S3: The Lebanese government desperately wants the war to finish, but
- 15:42S3: it's the parasite in the Lebanese host body, which is.
- 15:45S3: Hezbollah is desperate to continue the fight against Israel, which
- 15:49S3: of course is the whole reason that Hezbollah exists.
- 15:52S1: Right. And so this is the real sticking point, right?
- 15:54S1: Because Iran says or did recently that Israel must cease
- 15:58S1: its war on Hezbollah as a condition of any peace
- 16:00S1: agreement that Tehran reaches with the US. So will you
- 16:04S1: walk us through this, because you've written quite extensively in
- 16:06S1: your latest column about just how much Israelis are determined
- 16:12S1: that Netanyahu continue to prosecute this war on Hezbollah, regardless
- 16:17S1: of any negotiations imposed by the US. Tell us about this,
- 16:20S1: because you spoke to a veteran Israeli political commentator who, Ari,
- 16:24S1: and he told you about this?
- 16:25S3: Yeah. That's right. And there's also polling which tells the
- 16:29S3: story as well, which is that the war was and
- 16:33S3: is very popular with Israelis. They are very much in
- 16:37S3: favor of a strong majority in favor of trying to
- 16:41S3: defeat Iran. And just as strong a majority to try
- 16:45S3: and defeat Hezbollah. You know, a proxy arm of Iran.
- 16:50S3: I think it's around 70% on the polling that I've seen.
- 16:54S3: Want the war to continue on both fronts. And the
- 16:58S3: level of disappointment or disapproval of Netanyahu for agreeing to
- 17:03S3: stop bombing Iran is quite is quite strong. So he's
- 17:07S3: got every political incentive to keep going. Yeah. On both
- 17:10S3: fronts if he can. But certainly with Hezbollah, which is
- 17:12S3: what he's exactly what he's doing. Yeah. Ehud Yaari made
- 17:15S3: the point that the the perception in Israel will be
- 17:18S3: that the war is not finished in Lebanon or Iran
- 17:23S3: until the nuclear threat is disarmed, is removed, until the
- 17:30S3: ability of Iran to fire missiles into Israel is ended.
- 17:36S3: And until Hezbollah is disabled. And until then, this is
- 17:39S3: unfinished business for Israel. And of course, while Trump faces
- 17:43S3: a November election. Yes, the midterms for which he's trying
- 17:46S3: to clear this. Clear this up.
- 17:48S1: End it.
- 17:49S3: Essentially end it with. With maximum. Maximum attempt to claim
- 17:53S3: maximum grounds for victory and minimum economic pain. On the
- 17:57S3: other hand. Netanyahu's in the middle of a war that
- 18:01S3: is very popular, and the pressure on him is to continue.
- 18:04S3: And he has an election that he has to call
- 18:06S3: by late October. So the pressure on him is to
- 18:09S3: keep running it as hard as he can, with as
- 18:13S3: much determination as possible. It's favored by all the voters
- 18:16S3: of all political persuasions, um, in, uh, Israel. So that's
- 18:22S3: two very different sets of incentives. Trump wants to wind
- 18:25S3: it up as quickly as possible. Netanyahu wants to keep
- 18:28S3: it going as hard as he can for as long
- 18:29S3: as he can ahead of that election, and not to
- 18:31S3: be seen to be retreating or giving up against Israel's
- 18:35S3: existential enemies.
- 18:36S1: Because it has to be said. I mean, this war
- 18:38S1: with Iran and now with Lebanon. It's such a win
- 18:42S1: politically and personally for Netanyahu, right? I mean, we've spoken
- 18:45S1: about it before that he's had other personal reasons, arguably,
- 18:49S1: for wanting this war to continue as long as possible, because,
- 18:53S1: of course, when when, when the wars end, whether in
- 18:56S1: Gaza or with Iran, he is going to face charges
- 19:00S1: of corruption that have yet to go through the courts. Yeah.
- 19:03S1: Not to mention, of course, his arguable failures that led
- 19:06S1: up to the October 7th attacks on Israel in the
- 19:09S1: first place. So is Trump just in this for as
- 19:11S1: long as Netanyahu wants? Then at the end of the day,
- 19:13S1: because Netanyahu is a, by many accounts, very stubborn. This
- 19:19S1: is this is this is what he's wanted for decades, right?
- 19:21S1: He's wanted this opportunity to attack Iran. No other American
- 19:25S1: president would back him in this. Finally, he's got this opportunity. So, yeah.
- 19:30S1: Does it look like Trump will just be dragged into
- 19:32S1: this as long as Netanyahu wants?
- 19:34S3: It's very difficult to tell, but the different incentives suggest
- 19:38S3: that Trump will try to call the war to an
- 19:40S3: end and call off at least, at least in the
- 19:44S3: Iran front, and to call off Netanyahu. Will Netanyahu pay
- 19:48S3: him any heed? He might well pay lip service.
- 19:51S1: Like, what incentive would Netanyahu have to to agree to that?
- 19:55S3: The only incentive he has, really, is to preserve his
- 19:57S3: friendship and alliance with Trump and the US and be
- 20:01S3: seen to be a good ally. But in terms of
- 20:04S3: his own domestic politics, his own priorities, and he's under,
- 20:10S3: you know, savage attack from the opposition parties. Yair Lapid,
- 20:15S3: the opposition leader and former prime minister of Israel. Probably
- 20:20S3: his best line is he says Hamas still rules Gaza.
- 20:24S3: Hezbollah is still ruling Lebanon. Instead of an 86 year
- 20:29S3: old Ayatollah Khomeini in Iran, there is a 56 year
- 20:33S3: old Ayatollah Khomeini in Iran. what's this guy Netanyahu doing?
- 20:38S3: So he's got very strong incentives, especially with that election
- 20:42S3: coming up. Yeah. So Trump might try to call him off.
- 20:46S3: But we know that Trump's got limited leverage and limited
- 20:50S3: willpower when it comes to enforcing his diktat on leaders
- 20:55S3: with whom he feels some empathy or, I don't know
- 20:59S3: what you'd call it, what Trump feels. That's for a
- 21:02S3: whole psychological.
- 21:03S1: That's.
- 21:04S3: Right obsession. We haven't even got a couch here.
- 21:06S1: Yeah.
- 21:07S3: Um, so for example, with Putin, he thought he could
- 21:11S3: force Putin to come up with a peace deal with
- 21:13S3: Ukraine in a day. And it's it's now over a year.
- 21:17S3: So he has limited leverage and limited willpower to enforce
- 21:23S3: his demands on on those people he sees as allies.
- 21:26S3: So it could well be that the US pulls out.
- 21:30S3: And then he has to try to talk Netanyahu into
- 21:33S3: limiting his warfare and it's only. We can only guess
- 21:38S3: how that might go, but we can observe. Yeah. Clearly
- 21:41S3: that they have different incentives, different different pressures, and that
- 21:45S3: Netanyahu want to keep this going for as long as
- 21:46S3: he can.
- 21:47S1: And just to wrap up, Peter, I mean, just hours
- 21:49S1: before we started recording this on Wednesday morning, the United
- 21:52S1: States announced that Israel and Lebanon had agreed to launch
- 21:54S1: direct negotiations to end fighting between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon,
- 21:58S1: as you said before. So, yeah, is there any hope
- 22:01S1: that this might accomplish anything? Because if Hezbollah is not
- 22:04S1: part of these talks, doesn't that perhaps render them useless?
- 22:08S3: Well, Hezbollah has said they refuse to talk to Israel
- 22:11S3: and they're hell bent on destroying Israel. This is a
- 22:14S3: problem for Lebanon, of course, because it doesn't want the
- 22:17S3: Israeli bombardments and the war, but it can't force Hezbollah
- 22:22S3: to the table because it's too feeble and Hezbollah is
- 22:24S3: too strong within the Lebanese political system. It's got cabinet
- 22:28S3: ministers in the Lebanese government. It's got a big political
- 22:31S3: support base. Hezbollah is a big force all by itself.
- 22:35S3: So what Marco Rubio said in hosting these talks in
- 22:39S3: Washington between Lebanon and Israel is that the intention is
- 22:42S3: to start a process to isolate Hezbollah. So for both Lebanon,
- 22:47S3: Israel and the US to work towards, uh, isolating Hezbollah,
- 22:53S3: exactly how they do that. Who knows? It'll be interesting
- 22:56S3: to see. But that's their stated intention. So if they
- 22:59S3: can make any progress, then the talks will have some value.
- 23:03S3: But that remains to be seen. It's day one.
- 23:07S1: Well, it's always good to talk things over with you, Peter.
- 23:09S1: So thank you again.
- 23:10S3: Plenty to talk about.
- 23:12S1: Thanks so much.
- 23:12S3: Pleasure.
- 23:15S1: In other news today, David Warner's position as Sydney Thunder
- 23:18S1: captain is in jeopardy after he was charged with drink
- 23:22S1: driving earlier this month. Half the crop growing farmers in
- 23:25S1: Australia may not grow anything this season, as the skyrocketing
- 23:28S1: prices of fertilizer and diesel make the production of staples
- 23:32S1: like wheat, barley and canola unaffordable. And according to some
- 23:37S1: of the nation's top military, the Australian Defence Force will
- 23:40S1: be dangerously unprepared for the growing security threats the nation
- 23:44S1: faces unless the Albanese government announces a major increase in
- 23:48S1: defence spending this week. You can read more at the
- 23:51S1: ajcosta or smh.com.au. Today's episode of The Morning Edition was
- 24:02S1: produced by Julia Carcasole. Our executive producer is Tammy Mills.
- 24:06S1: To listen to our episodes as soon as they drop,
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- 24:22S1: Links are in the show notes. I'm Samantha Selinger Morris,
- 24:25S1: thanks for listening.