Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 314 - 7/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 314 - 7/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 314 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
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  guys. And we got a lot to get to on
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  today's podcast because we're getting right back to Major
• 0:44
  League Baseball. You know, you love it.
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  I know it's kind of the dog days of summer here.
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  And maybe some people are like, you know, sports betting in the
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  summer. Just wake me up when NFL
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  returns. But no, if you grind Major
• 0:55
  League Baseball, you are loving this time of year.
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  Again, not much else going on, but we have all our focus really
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  on Major League Baseball where we can hopefully continue to
• 1:04
  grind out a profit. I do have a three pack of sweats
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  for you today, guys. We got a loaded slate of 15
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  games. I probably could have added two
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  or three more bets, but I always try to limit my plays.
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  You know, when I was younger and getting into sports betting for
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  the first time, I remember in my early 20s when I was living with
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  a bunch of my guy friends and Brighton and Austin and
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  Somerville and Boston, You know, we'd love to bet, you know, 10
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  games a night, sweat all night, have all different things going
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  on and try to have a big night. But you know what happens
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  sometimes, You know, the more bets you make, the more risk you
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  assume the juice eats away at your winnings.
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  You want to go 10 and O, you could easily go 1:00 and 9:00
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  and have a terrible night. So I learned over time kind of
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  less is more a little joke that I kind of made.
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  I guess it's not much of a joke because we don't want to joke
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  about alcohol. But anyway, if you had 10
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  glasses of wine a night, you probably have a problem.
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  If you have one glass a night with dinner, you're probably
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  fine. So again, less is more in
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  moderation and I think to me, and again, if you've been
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  grinding MLB with us since opening day this year, our sweet
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  spot is making 3 plays, trying to focus on, hey, we got a slate
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  of 15 games, let's pick the three games that fit our model,
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  check off all the boxes. The beauty of that is the goal
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  is to grind as many 2IN1 winning days as you possibly can.
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  And if things don't go your way and you have a terrible night,
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  you never want to go O and three, but hey, O and three
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  won't kill you again. O and five, O and 10:00, That's
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  when you can really have a problem.
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  So less is more in that spot. And Speaking of going O and
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  three, you know what else happens sometimes?
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  Sometimes you go 3 and O and sweep the board.
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  Great night last night to start our week, guys. 3 and O + 3.38
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  units. Boy, we had some plus money dogs
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  that barked last night. Dogs were barking up a storm.
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  How about first bed of the night, the Detroit Tigers
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  getting a little bit of plus money?
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  They're like plus 105. I actually ended up closing at
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  basically a pick em again. That late movement is always
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  notable to me when you open as a dog and you see that line move
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  further in your favor. And they came through for us
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  with Kaider Montero pitch in the jam and the bats of I think it
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  was Colt Keith and Baez had a Homer.
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  Detroit got a winner for us 5 to 1, which is nice.
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  Also had a winner there with the LA Angels.
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  Had to sweat that one. Got to degrom, which was nice.
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  It's not often you score, you know, four or five runs off of
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  degrom or maybe was like 3 until he got pulled.
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  But anyway, Angels clawed their way back and they walked it off
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  in the bottom of the ninth on a walk to Shawn you.
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  Well, which was nice. And remember, that was a public
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  all over Texas reverse line movement on the Angels.
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  That's when RLM takes place, when the betting line goes away
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  from the popular side toward the unpopular side.
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  Three out of four bets on Texas, but Texas fell -145 down to
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  around -130 so we got some plus money on the Angels.
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  And then, oh by the way, the G men coming up, absolutely
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  massive for the team. Sanchez pitched well for Philly,
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  but San Fran, they had a one nothing lead.
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  Then they coughed it up. It was 1 to one.
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  They end up scoring. I think it was a couple runs in
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  the eighth inning, which was huge and got us the winner there
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  3 to 1. So nice little 3 and O bust out
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  the brooms plus 3.38 unit night. I'll see if we can ride that
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  momentum, bring it into tonight and hopefully produce another
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  winning day. That being said, right back to
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  baseball for today, guys. As I mentioned, a three pack, 2
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  pretty short favorites and then one larger favorite.
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  We're going to see if we can find a way to scratch and claw
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  and get 2 out of 3 go 2 and one ecot a winning day.
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  So without further ado, let's waste no more time.
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  Let's start the the game the the cap off tonight by going out to
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  Milwaukee where they like to make the beer, the beer makers.
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  We have a 7:40 PM Eastern Time first pitch, the LA Dodgers
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  visiting the Milwaukee Brew Crew.
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  Let's set the stage talk line, movement, system, matches, bet
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  splits. I'll give you my play for this
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  one. So going into it, we have the
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  Brewers 51 and 40. They dominate the last night
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  series opener, 9 to one big win over the Dodgers.
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  They cashed as a + 115 home dog pitching rematch for tonight.
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  The Dodgers who are 56 and 36 and have now lost four in a row,
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  they're going to go with the veteran lefty Clayton Kershaw
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  four and O 3.43 ERA. The ageless wonder.
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  Meanwhile, the Brewers going with the young stud Jacob
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  Mesorowski 3 and 13.2 O ERA. So what are you seeing across
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  the market for this one? This game open Dodgers very
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  short -115 Rd. favorite Milwaukee around a -. 1 O 5 home
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  dog. And we've seen sharps jump on
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  the Dodgers in a bounce back spot.
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  I like the Dodgers in a very rare short money line price here
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  because the Dodgers open -115 Dodgers have now been up to -120
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  some shops as high now as -125 S.
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  Not a massive steam move, but about a 5 to 10 cent move in
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  favor of LA. If you look at the LA splits.
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  Notable to me that at DraftKings they're only getting 65% of bets
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  but 72% of dollars. And then out at Circa, this one
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  really caught my eye. Only 33% of money line bets on
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  the Dodgers, but it accounts for more than 50% of the dollars.
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  So you have a pretty good low bets higher dollar split both at
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  DraftKings and Circa coming in favor of the Dodgers with which
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  aligns with that line move toward the Dodgers.
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  Now Dodgers. Not a huge line move play to me,
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  but a big system match play. I have a bunch of systems.
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  I have six overall lit up on the Dodgers tonight.
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  Here are some of the top ones. Rd. favorites off a loss who
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  made the playoffs the previous year, playing an opponent who
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  also made the playoffs. So you're off a loss, bounce
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  back your favorite, you're expected to win.
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  You're on the road, you're a little contrarian, and you're
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  playing a pretty good team, which typically means hopefully
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  you rise to the occasion. You don't take them lightly.
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  That system this year is 21 and 1362 percent, 3% ROI.
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  Nothing amazing, but a winning system.
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  Another variation, Rd. favorites off a loss, playing an opponent
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  off a win, 117 and 7760 percent, 4% ROI.
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  And here's the really good one. Stay with me.
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  It's a little bit a little bit of a mouthful favorites, awful
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  loss in a sweet spot -120 to -150 playing an opponent who
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  made the playoffs the previous year.
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  That system is 54 and 3164% with a 12% ROI.
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  So it also matches on the Dodgers.
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  Now, if you isolate the Dodgers in particular, think of LA.
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  They're almost never a dog. They're almost always a
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  favorite, and they're usually laying big numbers -150 - 200 -
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  250. It's very rare.
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  The Dodgers are -120 -, 125. So in this spot, the Dodgers,
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  let's say First off a loss, do they bounce back?
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  And oh, they've lost four in a row here, but they're still 21
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  and 1264 percent, 3% ROI off a loss.
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  So it's still one of the better bounce back teams in baseball.
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  But here's the angle that I was trying to trying to get at when
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  the Dodgers are what I call a quote UN quote value play.
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  So they're a short favorite -150 or less in that situation.
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  The Dodgers are 11 and six this year, 65%, thirteen percent ROI
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  and spec. Since 2022, when they're -150 or
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  less as a favorite, they're 94 and 4966% with a 16% ROI.
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  So in this spot, it's been profitable to play a good team
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  when they're laying a short number.
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  Now I'm going to bank on the Dodgers offense hopefully waking
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  up here because they really didn't do anything last night.
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  But on the year they are hitting two 6000 and 41 homers, 501 runs
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  scored. Brewers meanwhile only hitting
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  24788 home runs, 429 runs scored.
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  Also we do have Dodgers facing a righty tonight.
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  Mizarowski this kids pretty good young stud, but maybe the
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  Dodgers bats can get to him. He is a righty and LA is hitting
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  260 against righty's this year. That's the third best average in
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  baseball against righty's. And oh, by the way, Clayton
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  Kershaw, I know he's getting older, but he's 2 and O 1.5 O
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  ERA on the road this year. He's pitched very well on the
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  road. So you Add all up.
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  Dodgers got blown out last night, but tonight they have a
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  line move in their favor. They got a low bets, higher
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  dollars bets split at DraftKings and Circo.
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  They're matching a lot of systems.
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  I'm going to take a shot on LA here as a sharp play, but also a
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  value play. Good team at a short price on a
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  losing streak. I got LA at -120 I think ESPN
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  bet still has -120 But shop around.
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  A lot of other books are as high as -125 Let's go Dodgers next
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  one for you. 7:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, let's go to
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  the Windy City, the Southside Chicago White Sox hosting the
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  Toronto Blue Jays now going into it, we got the Jays or red hot.
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  I believe they're now in first place in the American League
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  East, overtaking the Yankees. They're 53 and 38.
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  They won last night. Series opener 8 to 4 covered and
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  actually not covered. I guess they cover the run line,
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  but came through, I should say as a -170 Rd. favorite.
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  So pitching match up for tonight on the South side, we have the
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  Jays going with the ready Chris Bassett.
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  He's 8 and four with a 4.32 ERA. Meanwhile, the White Sox are
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  going to go with the ready Aaron Savalli just picked him up and
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  trade. He's one and five with a 4.6 O
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  ERA this year. What are you seeing across the
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  market for this one? Well, nothing but steam on the
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  Blue Jays. Give me the Jays in this one
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  guys. Toronto open this game as low as
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  a -. 170 Rd. favorite Chicago plus 150 home dog and sharps.
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  They're not worried about this big price.
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  They have gotten down hard, they've hammered Toronto.
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  Toronto's been steamed up -170 up to -195 some shops even get
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  into -200. Now the importance of having
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  multiple outs and finding the best price.
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  I got -185 on Toronto at Bet MGM and I still, I believe Bet MGM
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  still has -185 but again, shop around cuz again some looks
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  closer to -200 I like the bets. What's on the Jays?
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  It's very heavy pro and Joe. So not not just the public, but
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  smart money hammering Toronto here.
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  They're getting 92% bets, 94% dollars at DraftKings.
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  They're getting 79% bets, 84% dollars at Circa.
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  So basically you have a low bets, higher dollars pro and Joe
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  one way action split in favor of Toronto, which coincides of the
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  line move. And remember Publix just saying,
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  hey, take the Jays, good record, good winning team, fade the
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  White Sox, they stink. But wise guys don't think that
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  way. Wise guys are comparing their
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  projected number to what the odds makers are offering.
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  So maybe the sharps who set their own power ratings and
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  lines had Toronto maybe -190 -? 200 to begin with.
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  Which is why when it opened -170 they hammered Toronto 'cause
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  that steam in their favor. Now the Jays are matching quite
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  a few systems for me if you look at big Rd. favorites -185 or
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  more with at least $0.05 of steam in their favor.
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  Those teams are 30 and 9 this year, 77 percent, 11% ROI.
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  Jays in particular, 25 and 1464 percent, 8% ROI as a favorite.
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  That makes them the 5th best chalk team in baseball.
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  And oh by the way, when they're a favorite against the team who
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  missed the playoffs the previous year, they improved to 19 and
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  968 percent, 13% ROI. I'm going to bank on the Jays
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  offense hopefully lighting up Savalley.
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  They're hitting 258 on the year, 97 homers, 420 runs scored.
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  White Sox only hitting 222 as a team, 70 home runs, 315 runs
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  scored. In particular, if you look home
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  and road and righty lefty, Toronto is hitting 256 against
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  righties. That's the 7th best in baseball
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  and they're hitting 244 on the road.
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  That's 13th in baseball. So they're top 13 against
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  righties and I'm hitting on the road.
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  Flip it the other way. Chicago's hitting 219 against
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  Reddy's. That ranks 30th, dead last in
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  baseball. And they're hitting 226 at home,
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  that ranks 28th. So they're bottom of the barrel
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  in that spot. Blue Jays also have the better
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  bullpen. You know, I'd love a blowout.
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  You know, I'm sure we'll have to sweat this one.
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  But because you got to sweat every game, it's never easy.
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  That's why you got to embrace those rocking chair wins when
• 12:45
  you get them. But advantage in the bullpen for
• 12:48
  Toronto, 3.62 ERA versus 4 point O2 for the White Sox and recent
• 12:53
  performance. Toronto's red hot right now.
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  They've won nine of their last 10.
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  They're nine and one in the last 10.
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  I should say, hitting 260. White Sox four and six in the
• 13:02
  last 10, last 10 only hitting 238.
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  So I know it's a big number here, which is really important
• 13:07
  to again, shop for the best line.
• 13:09
  Get these, get these numbers early.
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  If you do want to follow the all systems go best bet picks.
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  You would have gotten an alert from Juice Reel when I put this
• 13:18
  in at -185. So it would have saved you
• 13:20
  hopefully a little bit of juice. But again, shop around.
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  I still think -185 before I started the pod, it was still
• 13:27
  -185 at Bet MGM. But again, shop around because
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  some books closer to -200 But I'll be sweating the J's -185
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  last bit of the night. Let's go out to sunny San Diego.
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  9:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, the D backs visiting the
• 13:43
  Padres. Now the Diamondbacks, who are 45
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  and 46. They took last night's series
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  opener against San Diego six to three came through as a plus one
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  O 5 Rd. dog. And tonight three match we got
• 13:54
  the D backs going with the ready Merrill Kelly.
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  He's seven and four 3.55 ERA. Meanwhile, the pods who are 48
• 14:01
  and 42, they're going with the ready Nick Pavetta 9 and two
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  this year, 3.25 ERA. He's had a Goodyear.
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  What have we seen across the market for this one?
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  Looks like smart money banking on the Padres, the father's the
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  dads to bounce back because we saw the opener of San Diego -120
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  at home, Arizona run a + 100 Rd. dog and we've seen San Diego now
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  get steamed up -120 up to -130 some shops even as high now as
• 14:26
  -135 S good 1015 cent steam in favor of San Diego.
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  Now if you look at the splits, they look pretty good on San
• 14:34
  Diego. At DraftKings, 64% bets nearly
• 14:37
  70% of the money on the dads at circa 90% bets 99% dollars on
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  the dads. So a lot of big money Pro and
• 14:46
  Joe in favor of San Diego. And then I have a lot of system
• 14:48
  matches. I got 6 lit up here on San
• 14:51
  Diego. Home favorites who made the
• 14:53
  playoffs the previous year getting at least $0.05 of line
• 14:55
  movement in their favor. That system is 164 and 8167
• 15:00
  percent, 5% ROI. Another angle here is if you
• 15:04
  were a favorite in game two of a new series and you lost the
• 15:08
  opener, you also made the playoffs the previous year and
• 15:10
  you're getting that 5 cent line movement.
• 15:12
  Those teams are 21 and 10 this year, 68 percent, 8% ROI.
• 15:17
  If we isolate the Padres in particular, they're 23 and 1266
• 15:21
  percent, 8% ROI as a home favorite.
• 15:24
  That's the 9th best home favorite in baseball.
• 15:27
  They're also 13 and 572 percent, 20% ROI as a home favorite with
• 15:32
  a line move. So when they're at home, they're
• 15:34
  expected to win and the line goes in their favor.
• 15:36
  They're getting some element of smart money.
• 15:38
  Smart, you know, sharp money backing them.
• 15:41
  They've been really good, winning basically three out of
• 15:43
  four games. Padres also 23 and 1856%.
• 15:47
  But a 13% ROI off a loss that makes them the fifth most
• 15:51
  profitable bounce back team in baseball.
• 15:54
  Another little angle here, Correlative betting favorite low
• 15:56
  total total in this game is 7 1/2.
• 15:58
  Some books are 8, but always a good sign when you're a favorite
• 16:01
  to have a low total 88 or less because the fair amount of
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  expected runs scored more likely to come from quote UN quote,
• 16:07
  that better team was expected to win.
• 16:10
  And oh by the way, Nick Pavetta, I'm a Red Sox fan.
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  I kind of agreed to let him go but man, probably Red Sox are
• 16:16
  regretting that because he's had a great year.
• 16:18
  But Nick Pavetta is 6 and O with a 2.55 ERA at home this year.
• 16:22
  So I want to back Pavetta at home.
• 16:24
  A little cherry on top, popped open the Juice Reel app.
• 16:27
  I noticed an 11% sharp mush edge on San Diego.
• 16:31
  So 11% more of the sharper winning betters who have
• 16:33
  downloaded Juice Reel are going with the pods.
• 16:36
  So line move in their favor. Bounce back system match, a lot
• 16:40
  of low bets, higher dollar splits.
• 16:42
  Let's see if the pods can get a win for us tonight.
• 16:44
  I'm on San Diego -130 so Dodgers, Blue Jays, San Diego,
• 16:50
  can we find a way to get two of those?
• 16:52
  That is the goal. You got a winning night.
• 16:55
  So that about does it for episode 314 of the All Systems
• 16:58
  Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 17:01
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 17:03
  And I start first as always by saying thank you.
• 17:06
  Thank you for taking the time out of out of your day, out of
• 17:09
  your busy lives. And we got a lot going on.
• 17:11
  It's summer, you know, you're, you got, you know, going to the
• 17:14
  beach, doing whatever you're doing, trying to stay cool.
• 17:16
  It's been a heat wave in New England.
• 17:18
  Luckily it's going to break later tonight and get back to
• 17:20
  the 70s. I don't, I don't like these 90°
• 17:22
  days too much for me. But anyway, I know it's summer.
• 17:26
  I know you got other things going on, but the fact that you
• 17:28
  guys are tuning in, grinding these, these breakdowns and
• 17:31
  games with me, it really means a lot.
• 17:32
  I really, really appreciate it if you do like the pod and you
• 17:36
  enjoy the breakdowns, you know, win, lose or draw, tail fade,
• 17:39
  pick and choose, do whatever you want.
• 17:41
  But if you want to support the pod, please would you give it a
• 17:43
  five star review. If you're listening on Spotify
• 17:46
  or iTunes, if you want to leave a nice comment under the review
• 17:48
  section or click the follow button.
• 17:51
  That way you get a pop up alert on your smartphone as soon as I
• 17:54
  post the pod each each early afternoon.
• 17:56
  Or if you want to recommend the pod to a friend, I'd also very
• 17:59
  much appreciate that. Next, if you enjoy this style of
• 18:03
  betting breakdown, obviously we're looking at individual
• 18:05
  games, but we the whole part of this pod is teaching a
• 18:08
  philosophy or a foundation or kind of a way to attack sports
• 18:12
  betting. And that is from the data-driven
• 18:14
  perspective. So if you want to learn more
• 18:16
  about data-driven betting, not just for baseball, but for all
• 18:18
  sports, guess what I wrote a book.
• 18:21
  If you want to go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide
• 18:24
  to sports betting, you can pick up a copy of that book.
• 18:27
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry, how lines are
• 18:29
  set, how and why they move, how to read line movement, how to
• 18:32
  locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online,
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  how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
• 18:38
  management plan, chapters on all the major sports.
• 18:40
  It's all included in the Everything Guide to sports
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  betting. And while you're at it, while
• 18:44
  you're picking up the everything guide on Amazon, stay on
• 18:47
  Amazon.com and then type in the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
• 18:51
  That's my new book. It comes out August 12th,
• 18:53
  basically coming up on pretty much a month away, which is
• 18:56
  crazy. But I can't wait for you guys to
• 18:59
  hold the the sharp betting playbook in your hands and get
• 19:02
  ready for the NFL season. So if you want to pre-order a
• 19:04
  copy on Amazon, you'd make me happy.
• 19:06
  You would make Triumph books, my publisher, very happy.
• 19:09
  So bring the everything guide and the sharp betting playbook
• 19:11
  to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
• 19:14
  I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale, truly, whatever you want.
• 19:17
  We'll get some nachos. We'll sweat the Jays, the
• 19:19
  Dodgers and the Padres together tonight.
• 19:22
  Next, have you downloaded rhythm and juice reel yet?
• 19:25
  My two favorite sports betting apps make sure you download
• 19:27
  rhythm. They do a great job of powering
• 19:29
  this pod. It's it's not RYTHM, it's
• 19:32
  RITHMM. So again, data backed AI models
• 19:37
  and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 19:39
  You got baseball and WNBA live in the rhythm app right now as
• 19:42
  we await football, but then also we get to juice reel Juice reels
• 19:46
  got so many great features. One of the ones that I always
• 19:49
  like to promote is the fact that if you download Juice Rail, you
• 19:53
  can support the podcast. This podcast is free if you
• 19:57
  would like to get the best bet picks that way.
• 20:00
  I'd still hope you listen to the pod, but maybe you got to go do
• 20:02
  something. You got to go to the dentist
• 20:04
  office. I don't know.
• 20:05
  You got to do whatever. You just want the place.
• 20:08
  Support the pod. You can sign up for $4.99 a week
• 20:12
  to get the ASG best bets on the juicer lap and hopefully beat
• 20:15
  some closing lines. Because as soon as I bet them
• 20:18
  and I'm synced up the juicer reel, I bet, I met bet MGM,
• 20:21
  FanDuel, DraftKings, whatever. Caesar's ESPN bet, it goes right
• 20:25
  to the juicer lap and you'll be able to follow those and tail or
• 20:28
  fader, do whatever you like, but support the pod.
• 20:31
  That's only $4.99 a week. You're also going to get the
• 20:34
  role with Jackson. Best bet picks, the sharp mush
• 20:36
  indicators, the arbitrage plays the shop for the best line
• 20:39
  features. It's all available and included
• 20:42
  when you download Juice Reel. So download Juice Reel, download
• 20:44
  Rhythm, and do a favor for my friend Megan who runs Rhythm and
• 20:50
  my buddy Ricky Gold who runs Juice Reel.
• 20:52
  Give him a five star review in the App Store.
• 20:54
  They would appreciate that. Next, do you have a live odds
• 20:58
  page? If you don't have one, you need
• 20:59
  one. I can't stress how important a
• 21:01
  live odds page is. Honestly, I don't know how
• 21:03
  you're betting without a live odds page because the first
• 21:06
  thing you got to know, what are the games being played today?
• 21:08
  What can I literally what games can I bet on?
• 21:11
  Start times, live scoring, live line in game wagering once the
• 21:15
  game gets going. But more importantly, it allows
• 21:17
  you to track the market in real time.
• 21:19
  So you're going to get a opening column that never changes, just
• 21:22
  gives you the opening number. Then you're going to get going
• 21:24
  to get all the current prices. So you can shop for the best
• 21:26
  line. You can see which direction the
• 21:28
  line is moving. You can get line history.
• 21:30
  You can identify steam. As soon as the team's getting
• 21:33
  steam, they're getting big money across the market.
• 21:35
  The odds for that team get lit up in red.
• 21:39
  Then you can figure out a book that hasn't adjusted yet, get a
• 21:41
  good number. Also, I mentioned yesterday
• 21:44
  Kyder Montero, a pitching change took place.
• 21:47
  My Odds Logic live odds page, there's a notification, Kyder
• 21:50
  Montero is that has been named the starter.
• 21:52
  So you get little notifications like that which help you.
• 21:54
  So you need a live odds page. There's a bunch of them out
• 21:57
  there. I'm not going to say Odds Logic
• 21:59
  is the only one, but I think it's the best value because a
• 22:01
  lot of them are, you know, 249 bucks a month, 300 bucks a
• 22:06
  month, you know, $800 a month, literally.
• 22:08
  I know one that's that cost that much.
• 22:10
  Odd Logic is 99 bucks a month and if you go to
• 22:13
  oddslogic.com/josh 123, you're going to get a 7 day free trial
• 22:18
  and then 50% off your first month.
• 22:20
  So you can try for seven days for free.
• 22:22
  First month it'll be 49 bucks. If you like it, you can
• 22:25
  continue, but again, give it a shot.
• 22:27
  Odds logic.com/josh 123 and my buddy James Perez, I know he
• 22:32
  signed up yesterday for a trial and he's loving it so far.
• 22:36
  So that about does it for episode 314 of the ASG Pod.
• 22:39
  I'll leave you with two final things.
• 22:41
  Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 22:44
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 22:47
  Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Rich
• 22:50
  Park Casino, R.E.M Gem Springfield in my neck of the
• 22:52
  woods in Massachusetts. We're out in in the desert where
• 22:57
  the true grinders get down or Billy Walters sends his number
• 22:59
  runners where the lowest juice possible is found the South
• 23:02
  Point or sweat and Sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
• 23:04
  stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 23:07
  Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 23:10
  We're going to get we're going to get to Circa.
• 23:12
  Maybe we'll get a we'll get a burger at What's the name of
• 23:15
  that burger place? It's so freaking good.
• 23:17
  Oh my God, what's the next name of it?
• 23:19
  Victory Burger. We'll get a victory burger.
• 23:21
  But I'm going to see you at one side of the sports book.
• 23:23
  You're going to see me. We're just going to look at each
• 23:25
  other. Bust out of broom from the
• 23:27
  janitor's closet and do a little little Frank Sinatra dance.
• 23:31
  What do you think? Because again, 3 and O last
• 23:33
  night, show me a Giants ticket, an Angels ticket, a Tigers
• 23:37
  ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
• 23:39
  you. We'll sweat some games at the
• 23:40
  book together. So as always, guys 3 and OO and
• 23:43
  three, two and one, one and two. After a great night, after a
• 23:47
  terrible night, grinding again, hot cold summer in the middle.
• 23:51
  When we're great and running hot, whenever as good as we
• 23:53
  think, when we're struggling and it feels like we can't get a
• 23:55
  winner, whenever as bad as we think, we're always somewhere in
• 23:58
  the middle. We just got to keep grinding
• 23:59
  this situate this, this philosophy long term because
• 24:03
  that's how you see the fruits, your labor data-driven betters.
• 24:05
  Remember, maybe you know by now you're not going to become a
• 24:07
  millionaire overnight. The whole point is to grind long
• 24:10
  term and steadily, quietly, you know, kind of consistently build
• 24:15
  our bankroll. That's always the goal.
• 24:17
  So if we can do that, if we can find games that fit our model,
• 24:20
  make bets with our head and not our heart, games that are
• 24:23
  against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
• 24:26
  avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, and I'm
• 24:29
  pretty confident that we can then guess what we're going to
• 24:32
  be successful sports betters. So have a great Tuesday night,
• 24:34
  everybody. Let's get a couple winners here
• 24:36
  on the diamond. We right back at it tomorrow for
• 24:39
  a big hump day edition episode 315 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 24:43
  Betting podcast. Good luck everybody and have a
• 24:46
  great Tuesday night.