Latest / THE DAILY BRIEF / Investing in Quantum and Physical AI
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: What interests me so much is within your podcast, you've
- 0:03Speaker 1: just been speaking to a family, you've backed Logical all
- 0:05Speaker 1: about the future of quantum. Yeah, have been deep diving
- 0:08Speaker 1: on this. So when you see these sorts of iterations
- 0:11Speaker 1: and breakthroughs, what do you make of it? Where is
- 0:14Speaker 1: the opportunity for you in the seed in the series? A.
- 0:16Speaker 2: First of all, great question. As you know, I am
- 0:19Speaker 2: a long term, early stage investor and I like to
- 0:22Speaker 2: look for companies that could be worth ten, twenty thirty
- 0:24Speaker 2: billion dollars. There's very few of those in the world,
- 0:27Speaker 2: and I think that led me to quantum now almost
- 0:29Speaker 2: a year and a half ago, thinking it's sort of
- 0:32Speaker 2: the next wave of innovation after AI, and the potential
- 0:38Speaker 2: is profound once and if we build these quantum computers,
- 0:41Speaker 2: and mind you, it's a category where the people have
- 0:43Speaker 2: been toiling away for thirty years without much success, but
- 0:47Speaker 2: the best experts in the world believe that in the
- 0:49Speaker 2: next decade we will begin to see real advancements towards
- 0:53Speaker 2: building the first scaled quantum computer. And what comes out
- 0:56Speaker 2: of that is huge advancements in financial services, in pharmaceutical
- 1:00Speaker 2: and all these other categories that are going to change
- 1:02Speaker 2: the world in any profound way.
- 1:03Speaker 1: When you think about IBM's role here and they've come
- 1:05Speaker 1: on the show and said by twenty twenty nine, are
- 1:08Speaker 1: quantum computer is going to be in there in the
- 1:09Speaker 1: world and achieving real things. Then from the early stage founder,
- 1:14Speaker 1: how are you seeking them out and where can they
- 1:16Speaker 1: add to the quantum process? Sure? So, I think the
- 1:19Speaker 1: big goal.
- 1:20Speaker 2: Right now is people are trying to get to ten
- 1:21Speaker 2: thousand cubits so many different hardware types six or seven
- 1:25Speaker 2: based on how you've cut it, and I think your
- 1:27Speaker 2: most important researchers and PhDs in the world are trying
- 1:30Speaker 2: to get to ten thousand, one hundred thousand skilled cubits.
- 1:33Speaker 2: That is the march that everyone is working towards, and
- 1:37Speaker 2: we're rooting for them.
- 1:39Speaker 3: Alexi, I'm really interested in like the business model, which
- 1:42Speaker 3: I know is a bit of a dry way of
- 1:43Speaker 3: looking at it. But when we think about compute for
- 1:46Speaker 3: data centers in the AI context, people lease that capacity, right.
- 1:51Speaker 3: I think about the work that Google is doing in quantum.
- 1:53Speaker 3: It uses its quantum machines in house for research. So
- 1:59Speaker 3: with what HSBC did with IBM, and when you're looking
- 2:02Speaker 3: to invest in the earlier stages of this field. How
- 2:06Speaker 3: do quantum computing companies give their services to a financial
- 2:10Speaker 3: institution like an HSBC. What's the model for that?
- 2:13Speaker 2: That's a great question. So I think we're going to
- 2:14Speaker 2: see a few things. First of all, right now people
- 2:17Speaker 2: will rent out their quantum computers. You're seeing prices from
- 2:21Speaker 2: ten thousand to you know, in different cases, fifty thousand
- 2:24Speaker 2: dollars per per per hour, et cetera. So people will
- 2:27Speaker 2: rent them out. I actually think it could be a
- 2:29Speaker 2: profound business model shift, which is whatever is created with
- 2:33Speaker 2: that quantum computer, whatever IP, whatever technology that comes out
- 2:37Speaker 2: of using those advancements in compute that you could take
- 2:43Speaker 2: a revenue stream forever. So that is sort of an
- 2:45Speaker 2: interesting shift. Somebody once said to me that whoever builds
- 2:48Speaker 2: the first quantum computer almost overnight could become Pfizer because
- 2:51Speaker 2: the compute of what's possible for pharmaceuticals could be that profound.
- 2:55Speaker 2: So it gives you a sense of the shift, which
- 2:57Speaker 2: is you could potentially take a stream of the IP
- 3:00Speaker 2: that comes out of quantum computers as a new business model.
- 3:03Speaker 3: Entirely, Alexi, you are one of many I would say
- 3:08Speaker 3: that is arguing that physical AI is having a chat
- 3:11Speaker 3: GPT moment. Physical AI is now a pretty broad category.
- 3:16Speaker 3: So which vertical within that would you say that is
- 3:19Speaker 3: most true?
- 3:19Speaker 2: Of great question? So what I get excited about as
- 3:23Speaker 2: everyone was running at digital AI, as you've seen the
- 3:29Speaker 2: dollars pour into the category and inspired our venture fund,
- 3:32Speaker 2: early stage venture fund is very thesis driven. So for us,
- 3:35Speaker 2: what physical AI means is taking big foundational models that
- 3:39Speaker 2: now exist credibly that can interact with things like sensors
- 3:43Speaker 2: and robotics and create smart devices everywhere in our physical world.
- 3:48Speaker 2: If you think about just our infrastructure. We all live
- 3:52Speaker 2: because of our infrastructure, our water, our pipeline, our electricity,
- 3:55Speaker 2: our roads, and we're getting to the point where we
- 3:58Speaker 2: can no longer be reactive, which is what we almost
- 4:00Speaker 2: like the Roman times, something breaks, you go and fix
- 4:02Speaker 2: it to becoming predictive about our ecosystem around us, our
- 4:06Speaker 2: world and infrastructure around us. And that is what we
- 4:09Speaker 2: mean by physical AI. It inspired. We're really looking for
- 4:13Speaker 2: the intersection of observability and predictability in the environment around us.
- 4:18Speaker 1: And looking at your poor photio companies, you've already made
- 4:20Speaker 1: some key bets. Yes, we're thinking about bright AI TC labs.
- 4:24Speaker 1: What is it that these companies that we see on
- 4:25Speaker 1: our screen now have offered you from the seed in
- 4:29Speaker 1: series a area you feel hasn't been adopted already by big industry,
- 4:33Speaker 1: by big companies already listed.
- 4:35Speaker 2: Sure, I'll start with bright Ai. Bright Ai. Alex, the
- 4:39Speaker 2: CEO is an absolute technical genius, the godfather of IoT,
- 4:44Speaker 2: and he invented a sticker. There's now two hundred and
- 4:47Speaker 2: fifty thousand already deployed of these stickers, and they can
- 4:50Speaker 2: go on anything from a utility poll to a water pipeline.
- 4:53Speaker 2: And here's what it does. It then sends an observability
- 4:56Speaker 2: layer back to whichever company has bought these stickers and
- 4:59Speaker 2: can say, now proactively, the utility pole is twenty five
- 5:02Speaker 2: degrees slanted, let's go fix it before it falls on
- 5:07Speaker 2: an electrical wire and takes power grids out. Literally, men
- 5:11Speaker 2: and women walk up and down utility poles right now
- 5:13Speaker 2: and observe them physically and then fix things versus being
- 5:16Speaker 2: predictive and fixing it. In the water world, will literally
- 5:21Speaker 2: find inside pipelines the leaks and right now today we
- 5:24Speaker 2: lose six billion gallons of treated water, which is fifteen
- 5:28Speaker 2: million homes of water. Think about that, every single day
- 5:31Speaker 2: because of leaks and verse and Bright AI is the
- 5:34Speaker 2: sensors that we'll get ahead of that seth BRIGHTAI a
- 5:36Speaker 2: company we're really rooting for another company, as we said,
- 5:40Speaker 2: with TC Labs, which is an incredible team out of Google.
- 5:43Speaker 2: They're trying to save one gigaton of carbon each year.
- 5:47Speaker 2: And what they do is go take the energy we
- 5:49Speaker 2: already have. So think about this, because of AI, we
- 5:52Speaker 2: need wild amounts of energy. Right, There's not enough energy
- 5:56Speaker 2: is the headline, and so they are going to the
- 5:59Speaker 2: infrastructure already have oil refineries and not only helping make
- 6:02Speaker 2: them be more efficient using AI so that they can
- 6:05Speaker 2: produce more energy, but also more carbon friendly. So that's
- 6:09Speaker 2: tc lobs. And then finally tree Swift is the data
- 6:12Speaker 2: set of sensors for our forests, the forests of the
- 6:16Speaker 2: lungs of the planet, and they are measuring them so
- 6:18Speaker 2: that we can get ahead of forest fires and major
- 6:21Speaker 2: storms that then take power out. So, as you see,
- 6:25Speaker 2: you're very forwarde binking and physical AI