Latest / Cultural Wars | America Out Loud News / The assimilation threshold and why immigration has limits
Transcript
- 0:00In a world full of lies and deception, it takes courage to speak the truth.
- 0:05In a nation hell bent on its own destruction, it takes honor to seek a return to glory.
- 0:12Join us in cutting through the lies.
- 0:14Join us in cutting through the propaganda.
- 0:18Join us as we seek the truth on cutting through the fog from the America Out Loud Network.
- 0:24And here's your host, Wallace Garno.
- 0:27Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Cutting Through the Chaos on the America Out Loud Network, where we cut through the lies in the propaganda to bring you the out loud truth.
- 0:38I'm your host Wallace Garno, and as we narrow into what will be our 100th episode.
- 0:44We're not there yet, I believe this is number 92, but as we get closer to our nine, our 100th episode, we're also getting closer to the country's 250th birthday.
- 0:54My wife and I will be at the Nashville get together over July 2nd to uh July 4th.
- 1:00The whole we're gonna have a bunch of people from America Outloud out there.
- 1:02Malcolm, the editor-in-chief will be out there.
- 1:05I'll be there.
- 1:06I know Paul Angle is going to be there, and uh a bunch of other hosts, writers and uh and and personalities from America Out Loud will be in Nashville July 2nd to the 4th.
- 1:16If you don't have tickets, uh I invite you to get them.
- 1:19You can meet me personally, you can meet other personalities from America out loud, and uh, I think we're gonna have a great time celebrating the 250th birthday of our nation.
- 1:29By then we'll be past a hundred episodes on uh on on cutting through the chaos, and uh, we're just gonna have a great time.
- 1:36So hope to see you there, be a celebration, the birthday of our nation, and uh let's do it.
- 1:42Got a great show for you today.
- 1:44I want to talk about what I call the assimilation threshold.
- 1:48And being from Michigan, I kind of understand the assimilation threshold perhaps better than most.
- 1:54Uh because there's an old saying in Michigan that everyone on the on the west side of the state thinks that everything east of Lansing is Detroit, and that everyone in Detroit thinks that everything west of Lansing is Indiana.
- 2:07Uh the upper peninsula wants to be its own state, and the thumb wants to be its own country.
- 2:12Now I grew up on the west side of the state, and I can affirm to that when I was a kid, uh, as soon as we got west of Lansing, I was looking for Detroit.
- 2:20My dad used to take me to University of Michigan football games several times a year.
- 2:24My uncle played for the University of Michigan and had season tickets.
- 2:28So my dad would buy two of the season tickets.
- 2:30He'd sell one to his buddy Ollie Jochums.
- 2:32He had another friend that had uh was his name, Lauren Teal, that had his own season ticket way out in the end zone, and then my aunt and uncle had season tickets right next to my dad and Mr.
- 2:43Jokums.
- 2:44Well, my aunt and uncle only went to the big games.
- 2:46Any game that Michigan was going to win by 30 points, they were going to go to.
- 2:49So I'd go to the game.
- 2:50We would sell Mr.
- 2:51Teal's ticket on the way into the stadium for face value.
- 2:54We weren't scalping.
- 2:56And uh then Mr.
- 2:57Teal, my dad, Mr.
- 2:58Jochum and I would all sit together and watch the game, and uh, and and I remember as we got close to Ann Arbor, I always thought we were on the, you know, we're practically in Detroit.
- 3:07Well, turns out there's a fair difference distance between Ann Arbor and Detroit.
- 3:12But that was that west side of the state thinking that everything east of Lansing is Detroit.
- 3:18And then, of course, if you're in the city of Detroit, if you're from that area, then when you think of West Side, you're thinking of of the cities on the west side of Detroit suburbs.
- 3:26So like Wixham and Walt Lake.
- 3:28I lived in that area for a while, and people used to make fun of me because they'd say West Side, and I'm like thinking Muskegon or Kalamazoo or Grand Rapids, something on the west side of the state, and they're like, no, that's not the West Side.
- 3:38The West Side of Detroit, you idiot.
- 3:40We mean here in Wixa.
- 3:42And uh I got teased a bit for that.
- 3:45Also, those of us in the Lower Peninsula, we uh like to call the people the upper peninsula youpers.
- 3:52And of course, the people in the upper peninsula like to call those of us who live in the lower peninsula trolls after the troll who lived under the bridge in the children's story, uh the Billy Goats Gruff.
- 4:04Now, outside of tourism, there are not many jobs in the Upper Peninsula.
- 4:07It's absolutely God's country.
- 4:08It is absolutely gorgeous up there.
- 4:10Not the winter's cold, the summer's absolutely gorgeous in Michigan's Upper Peninsula.
- 4:15And the Mackinac Bridge, which is five miles long, is one of the most underappreciated bridges in the world.
- 4:23My wife and I last year uh spent a few weeks in Japan.
- 4:27And in Japan, going from one of the islands to the other, we went over the second longest suspension bridge in the world.
- 4:34Having grown up in Michigan with the Mackinac Bridge, I was kind of looking forward to going over the second longest suspension bridge in the world, because the Mackinac Bridge isn't even in the top ten, but it's still a very, very impressive bridge.
- 4:46So I'm thinking to myself, this is gonna be bigger than the Mackinac Bridge.
- 4:50Well, lo and behold, compared to the Mackinac Bridge, it did not look very impressive.
- 4:54The I don't remember how long the span of this bridge was, but the entire distance compared to the Mackinac Bridge, it was it was the most anticlimatic moment of the trip.
- 5:04It's a tiny little bridge compared to the Mackinac.
- 5:07But the thing about the Mackinac Bridge is that while the span of the suspension portion of the bridge is not that big compared to other large suspension bridges, it's still one of the biggest in the world, but not in the top ten anymore.
- 5:21Uh the bridge as a whole is five miles long.
- 5:26And when you see the whole thing, it's not only gorgeous, but it's very, very impressive.
- 5:30The size of this thing is very, very impressive.
- 5:33So if you go to Michigan, make sure you see the Mackinac Bridge, it'll absolutely be worth it.
- 5:38Uh but anyway, that's kind of what separates the whole thing.
- 5:41They call us the Billy Goats Gruff because we live under the Mackinac Bridge, not under it in the water, of course, but in terms of on a map, the upper peninsula of the Lower Peninsula.
- 5:50Uh, if you live in the Lower Peninsula, you live under the bridge, therefore you are a troll.
- 5:56The last time I was in the Upper Peninsula, a youpa reminded me that they like to call those who live under the bridge trolls.
- 6:02And I said, Yeah, well, you youpers have another nickname for those of us for the Lower Peninsula.
- 6:08Well, he didn't know what it was, so we asked, and I said, Well, sometimes you call us employed.
- 6:12Well, he didn't think it was funny, but I did, because there, as I said, not a lot of jobs up there outside of the tour season.
- 6:17There's uh a lot of poor people up there, a lot of people in the northern part of Michigan are on welfare.
- 6:22It's it's it's not a very most of the people that have jobs in Michigan are in the south, and uh that's just a fact of the state.
- 6:31Well, having been born and raised in Kalamazoo, uh, on the west side of this of Michigan, uh, though I've lived in Detroit now for about 20 years, I think I'm always probably gonna be a little bit of a transplant.
- 6:45My wife was born and raised in Communist Poland.
- 6:47She too is going to go to Nashville, so if you go to Nashville, you can meet her.
- 6:51Uh, but she's lived in the Detroit area for more than 30 years now, and she knows Detroit better than I do.
- 6:58She knows the restaurants downtown.
- 7:00She just knows the area better than I do.
- 7:02I've always lived in the in the in the outer suburbs, uh, the 20 years I've been in the Detroit area.
- 7:07She originally immigrated to Ham Tramic, which is right next to Detroit proper.
- 7:11It's actually surrounded by Detroit proper.
- 7:13There are two, quote, suburbs in Detroit, one of which is Hamptramic, that are completely surrounded by the city of Detroit.
- 7:20So she didn't live in Detroit in terms of the city limits, but she lived inside the city limits, just in another city that, believe it or not, is completely surrounded by Detroit.
- 7:31And she lived there for a number of years before she eventually moved to one of the nicer suburbs.
- 7:37My wife spent a lot of money, incidentally, in immigrating to the United States.
- 7:41She came over on a student visa, and there's a story there.
- 7:44She actually wanted to be a psychologist and wanted to go to the University of Warsaw.
- 7:48Well, this was under communism, so when it was time for her to, she took her test and everything.
- 7:54It was time to talk to the guy who was in charge of who gets admitted and who doesn't.
- 7:58He said, you know, you did very well on your entrance exam, and and you did so well that there are some years that you might be able to get in for the psychology program just on your test scores and and what you've done in school and everything else that goes into this just on that.
- 8:14But this particular year, we have more people that did well on the tests and that have a good background and everything else, and then we have slots available.
- 8:21So if you would like to go to the University of Warsaw to study psychology, what you can do is your father can buy my son a new car.
- 8:29And for the new car, I will let you go to college.
- 8:34That's how it worked.
- 8:35They don't get a lot of money being the person who decides who gets to go to college and who doesn't.
- 8:39But it was a communist country, and power has you can sell power.
- 8:45Power is a commodity that can be bought and sold in the market.
- 8:48So in a communist country like Poland at that time, it was bought and sold.
- 8:52He had the power to decide who gets to go to college.
- 8:56So what happened?
- 8:57He said, Well, you have to buy a car.
- 8:58Well, turns out that Gosh's father couldn't afford a car.
- 9:02He didn't have that much money.
- 9:04He did fairly well.
- 9:04He built malls in Communist Poland, of all things, he built malls.
- 9:08Uh, but he did pretty well.
- 9:10He's a contractor.
- 9:10He had his own home.
- 9:12He didn't live in a little apartment, actually at a good sized home.
- 9:14They still have that home.
- 9:16And uh, well, he's dead, but his mother is his wife's still, my wife's uh mother still has that home.
- 9:22And uh anyway, you couldn't afford to buy the bribe to get her into college.
- 9:28Uh, but the bribe to get her a student visa was a lot cheaper.
- 9:34So he did bribe somebody to get her a student visa.
- 9:37That's not something necessarily bad in Communist Poland at that time.
- 9:41That was the only way to get a visa.
- 9:43So don't look down on him for bribing.
- 9:45He was doing what he could for his daughter.
- 9:47And so she got uh a student visa, and then she applied to extend it.
- 9:51Eventually she got a green card.
- 9:54And then after I married her, I met her 20 years after she was here, by the way.
- 9:58People always ask me, do you meet her in the middle of the
- 10:00Military.
- 10:00No, I met her on e-Harmony 20 years after she had immigrated to the United States.
- 10:06And after we were married, she became a citizen.
- 10:11That's expensive, by the way.
- 10:12After the fees and everything, from from coming over in a student visa, getting the green card, everything else, all of the costs, it cost her about $10,000 to become legal, and then she became a citizen.
- 10:25And she became legal, you know, she she did all the paperwork and everything.
- 10:29That was 20 years ago.
- 10:30So if you want to come over legally today, I don't know if the fees have changed, but if you look at $10,000 20 years ago when she did it, those fees today, that's more like $16,000 in today's money, just going on an inflation calculator.
- 10:46So that's what it costs to immigrate to the United States from Poland legally.
- 10:52Now, my wife, as a legal immigrant, she has to pay taxes to cover the living expenses, the college costs, and the medical care of all of those who have immigrated into this country illegally.
- 11:06And because she came legally, she doesn't get that.
- 11:08Nobody pays to cover her living expenses or college or her medical care.
- 11:12She has to pay for that herself or me as a family.
- 11:15We have to pay for that.
- 11:17The government doesn't give her anything.
- 11:19So in addition to paying for the living expenses, college costs, and medical care of those who immigrated illegally, she has to pay for her own living expenses, college costs and medical care costs.
- 11:32And that's not just her.
- 11:34If you immigrate legally into the United States, you have to pay your own expenses.
- 11:40Whereas if you immigrate illegally, your living expenses, college costs, and medical expenses are picked up by the taxpayer.
- 11:47I want you to think about that for a moment.
- 11:49Think about the fact that a legal immigrant gets taxed heavily to pay for illegal immigrants, whereas illegal immigrants get all of that for free.
- 11:59If my wife could go back 20 years, she should have come in illegally.
- 12:02She should have she should have come in a student visa, just let it expire and forgotten all about it.
- 12:06And then today she could say, look, I'm an illegal immigrant.
- 12:09I want my free housing, I want food, I want you to take care of me.
- 12:14I want you to spend taxpayer money on me because I'm illegal, and that's what you do, and I should not have come legally because if if I come legally, you tax the shit out of me after I pay $16,000 for the privilege of being legal to cover those who did not pay anything, who did not go through the process, who are here illegally, and who should not be.
- 12:37Now I could talk about the shooting of Renee Good.
- 12:40Uh my perspective there is it's a tremendous tragedy that Renee Good is dead.
- 12:44I am never going to say it is a good thing when somebody is when somebody dies.
- 12:50Did she deserve it?
- 12:52I'm going to say no, she didn't deserve it.
- 12:54That doesn't mean that the police officer was not justified.
- 12:57That just means that she put herself in a situation she could not possibly control.
- 13:02I don't think she intended to hit the police officer with her car.
- 13:06I don't think she she obviously didn't want to get arrested, which is what they were trying to do when she decided to speed away.
- 13:11Uh but the point of the matter is she put herself in an impossible situation which she was obstructing justice.
- 13:18She was doing it all day when uh when police came, when federal police came, ICE agents, who are, by the way, federal police officers, when they finally decided to arrest her for obstructing justice.
- 13:31And don't believe all of the YouTube memes, although all the Facebook memes or whatever that you're seeing on this.
- 13:37These are federal police officers.
- 13:39They have the right to arrest for federal crimes.
- 13:42If they see the crime, they can arrest.
- 13:44If you obstruct justice, they can arrest.
- 13:46They do have arrest authority, not just for illegal aliens, but also for American citizens that do things like what uh what Renee Good did along with her wife, which was obstructing justice.
- 13:59So eventually they get sick of her obstructing justice, they decide to arrest.
- 14:03The guy that shot her, uh his name's Officer Ross, I believe, uh, he went around the car all the way.
- 14:09He was not in front of the car when she decided to flee.
- 14:12When other officers said, you know, get out of the car, get the F out of the car, and they were they're arresting her.
- 14:17What she did is she backed up.
- 14:18And if you watch the video, there are multiple angles of this.
- 14:20As she backed up, she also turned her car.
- 14:23My guess is that she was backing up, so she was probably looking behind her, whether in her rear view camera or over shoulder, rear view mirror, whatever.
- 14:30My guess is she was looking behind her as she was backing up, probably did not know that in the process of turning as she backed up, she also pointed her car directly at a federal officer.
- 14:40That was Officer Ross, the guy who ended up shooting her.
- 14:43Well, when she started going forward, her tires were still directly at him.
- 14:46So of course he thought she's running me over.
- 14:48Well, she turned the tires and tried to go around him, I think.
- 14:51She was trying, I don't think she was trying to run him over.
- 14:53I think she was trying to escape.
- 14:55Now, once you're under arrest, that's no longer supposed to be an option for you.
- 14:59You have the right to leave when they say get out of here.
- 15:02When you when you get to the point where they're like, okay, you've been obstructing uh justice all day, now we're going to arrest you.
- 15:08Once you get to that point, the smart thing is to say, okay, cool, I'm getting out of the car, arrest me.
- 15:13You're probably gonna you're gonna get booked, obviously.
- 15:15You're gonna get arraigned, uh, but you're also probably gonna get released and and probably just fine.
- 15:20Technically, it's a felon, technically, it's a whole slew of felons because she'd been doing it all day.
- 15:25Indications are they've been doing it the previous day.
- 15:27You know, her wife told the police officer, you know, that we don't change our we don't change our uh license plate.
- 15:33It'll be the same plate the next time you come back and see us.
- 15:36She indicated the wife did that they've been doing this for several days, would be back tomorrow, that this is what they do.
- 15:42They they obstruct justice, that's what they do.
- 15:45But I don't think the intent was to arrest her at a felony count of obstructing justice.
- 15:49I think it was just to get her out of the way.
- 15:51So she probably would have been arrested, arraigned, booked, released, and then and then given a fine.
- 15:57Well, that's not what she wanted.
- 15:59She wanted to leave as as her spouse said, uh, her wife said, you know, drive baby drive.
- 16:05Well, she did.
- 16:06She drove, and as she drove, she clipped the police officer who she had pointed the car at as she backed up, officer Ross, that is, and as she tried to go around him, she actually hit him with her car.
- 16:16Now, if you put yourself in Officer Ross's shoes, he sees the car back up pointing at him.
- 16:22The tires are directed at him, starts coming forward, and it's actually spinning the power tire on this SUV.
- 16:28Uh, it didn't have posse, it wasn't spinning two tires, it would have been spinning one, but it was spinning that tire, and and all of a sudden it's coming at him.
- 16:35Well, he of course draws his service weapon and and in self-defense fires at the person that uh is driving into him.
- 16:42Well, the person hits him.
- 16:44Uh Miss Good hit him.
- 16:45She hit him with it with a car, and and and he almost fell down.
- 16:48If you look at the video that he took, you can see that he almost fell down.
- 16:52If you see video from other people, he was able to maintain his footing.
- 16:55He did not fall over.
- 16:56But he was hit by the car.
- 16:58And uh, if you put hims yourself in his shoes, at the moment that car is speeding toward him, of course he feels that that he's in danger of death or serious injury from this, this car coming at him.
- 17:09And so he defended himself.
- 17:11He opened fire on her.
- 17:12Now, does that mean that she deserved to die?
- 17:14I don't think she was trying to hit him.
- 17:16I don't think that she was trying to put him in in jeopardy, but she did put him in jeopardy, and well, you know, that's what happened.
- 17:24If you if you put a police officer in jeopardy, your intentions don't matter.
- 17:28The fact that he is is potentially going to be killed or seriously injured is what matters to him, because he doesn't know what your intent is.
- 17:35He can't read your mind.
- 17:37And if you put a police officer in a position where he has a reason to think that it's his life or yours, that he's going to get seriously injured or killed if he doesn't defend himself.
- 17:46Well, nine out of ten times I think the police officer is going to shoot you, and maybe you don't deserve to die, uh, but that doesn't change the fact that he has every legal right to defend himself, and that is unfortunately what happened to Miss Good.
- 18:00Uh am I happy she's dead?
- 18:01No, I see as a terrible tragedy.
- 18:03But it's also a terrible tragedy for this poor police officer who is now being raked over the coals over social media, people calling him a murderer, people wanting to go after his family, people wanting to go after him.
- 18:14You know, this guy's got to live with the fact that he killed somebody.
- 18:17Was it self-defense?
- 18:18Yes.
- 18:18It was self-defense, and it was it was justified.
- 18:21But that doesn't mean he wanted to do it.
- 18:23He has to live with that for the rest of his life.
- 18:25That he was put in a position he was forced to kill somebody, and and he did so.
- 18:29And now this is a tragedy all the way around.
- 18:32I feel horrific for for the family of Miss Good.
- 18:35Uh certainly they didn't want her to die, certainly they probably didn't want her to protest other than the wife.
- 18:40I feel terrible for her three children, and uh, and I feel terrible for the police officer that was put in such a terrible situation that he had to take the life of somebody else.
- 18:50So, you know, a lot of people want to say it's one thing, it's the other thing.
- 18:54No, she didn't deserve to die.
- 18:55I don't think she was trying to hit him with her car, but she did hit him with her car, and and of course, as a police officer with a car coming at you, you have to do what you have to do.
- 19:03You have to defend yourself, and and so that's what happened.
- 19:06It was a terrible tragedy, and uh, I feel bad for everyone.
- 19:10But anyway, my wife came over, had to pay for the living and expenses of other people now because she did it the right way, and our country wants to give every incentive possible not to do it legally, but to do it illegally instead.
- 19:24So uh I wrote about Social Security forces us to allow illegal immigration several months ago.
- 19:30I also did a show on that, you might remember it.
- 19:33Uh, I'm not gonna get into all of that again, but suffice it to say that the system was designed for an ever-growing population, the social security system that is.
- 19:42And in order to keep it solvent, as our birth rates have dropped, and as people have lived longer, well, we have to import workers to keep the system solvent.
- 19:52Uh, during the illegal immigration peak under Joe Biden, the United States taxpayer was paying 195 billion dollars.
- 20:00A year that went through USAID into various NGOs, and that money, American taxpayer dollars from Joe Biden through NGOs, was used to illegally migrate millions and millions of people through South and Central America into the United States.
- 20:16So it wasn't just migrants happened.
- 20:18We know now that it was actually paid for by the American taxpayer at 195 billion dollars a year.
- 20:24Over four years, that's a lot of money.
- 20:26That's almost 800 billion dollars.
- 20:28It's a lot of money that we spent illegally migrating millions and millions of people into our country.
- 20:35And that's in addition, by the way, to the cost of supporting those illegal immigrants once they got here.
- 20:40So yeah, costs now are higher.
- 20:42We brought in billions of people or millions of people were paying their expenses.
- 20:46We paid to bring them in.
- 20:47It's absolutely insane.
- 20:49The European nations call their various versions of Social Security by the correct name.
- 20:54They call them pensions.
- 20:55But their systems are designed the same way ours is, where those currently working pay special taxes to cover the obligations of those who have retired.
- 21:05The economic need to pay those pensions with a shrinking workforce and an aging population is one of the reasons Europe, with our help destabilize the Middle East to create a massive migration of people from the Islamic world into Europe.
- 21:20And if you can hear my heater kicking on and off, I apologize for it.
- 21:23It's very cold in Michigan today.
- 21:25Anyway, modern immigration debates always begin from a false premise.
- 21:29Immigration is treated as a moral binary in which one is either pro-immigration or anti-immigration, compassionate or cruel, or some other such thing.
- 21:39Now, this framing is emotionally satisfying, of course, particularly if you're on the side that you think you're the compassionate pro-immigration one and everybody else is evil.
- 21:48But while it may be emotionally satisfying, I hate to say it, but it's emotion intellectually, ladies and gentlemen, it's useless.
- 21:56The question really should be whether or not we can assimilate immigrants at the pace needed to save our insolvent retirement system.
- 22:05Now, assimilation is a rate-dependent system.
- 22:08It's subject to limits in the same way any complex social system is.
- 22:12The moral quality of immigration policy, it can't be assessed without reference to the absorptive capacity of the nation being immigrated into.
- 22:22That's true, whether it's us, Germany, whatever.
- 22:24Ignoring the immigration capacity guarantees failure, causing disaster for both the immigrants as well as for the native population, be that of England, us, whatever.
- 22:37Assimulation is routinely misunderstood as well.
- 22:41It's not automatic, and it does not occur simply because newcomers arrive in a free society and say this is great.
- 22:48Doesn't work that way.
- 22:50Assimilation is a finite social capacity dependent on institutions, expectations, incentives, and perhaps most importantly, the confidence of the host culture in its own norms.
- 23:04Well, like any capacity, it can be exceeded.
- 23:08The critical variable is pace relative to assimilation capacity.
- 23:14In other words, how many people are coming in compared to how many people a country can absorb and assimilate?
- 23:19Below a certain threshold, assimilation is going to proceed.
- 23:23But above that threshold, the process will begin to break down.
- 23:27This is not a moral judgment.
- 23:28I'm not saying assimilation is.
- 23:30I'm not saying that immigration is good, I'm not saying immigration is bad.
- 23:33I'm not making a moral judgment.
- 23:35What I'm talking about is a structural reality.
- 23:39Societies can ignore these consequences.
- 23:41But we need only look to Europe to see what the costs of doing so are.
- 23:46When immigration exceeds a society's assimilation threshold, the character of the society changes.
- 23:53Responsibility begins to shift away from individuals and communities and toward institutions.
- 23:59Informal norms give way to formal rules, and judgment becomes replaced by procedure.
- 24:05Over time, administration expands and attempt to manage what culture no longer can.
- 24:10In a healthy system, people come over at a slow enough pace that they see our culture.
- 24:14Maybe the immigrants don't adopt it, but their kids do.
- 24:17By the time you get to their grandkids, they're no different than any other American.
- 24:20They've lost the language of their of their grandparents, and maybe they still have the recipes.
- 24:25I've got an amazing Coco Vin recipe from Quebec, but I stuck French in high school, but I mean I am an American.
- 24:32I am not a French Canadian.
- 24:33I have a French Canadian name, but I am an American, and I am only an American, and that is what generally happens.
- 24:40You maintain maybe pieces of the culture, like a family recipe, but the culture itself, you become an American.
- 24:47If that administrative layer fails, if assimilation no longer occurs, well, it it inevitably will fail.
- 24:56The administrative layer inevitably will fail under sustained pressure.
- 25:00And if that happens, if the administrative layer fails, culture has failed now, and the administrative layer has as well.
- 25:08The only remaining tool is coercion.
- 25:10That's how you keep the peace, coercion.
- 25:12It's the only tool left once a culture fails, that stimulation that is in the administrative layer.
- 25:18And this is a trajectory that modern societies enter.
- 25:23Not because they're hateful, not because they're xenophobic, but because they refuse to think in systems rather than slogans.
- 25:30They say, you know, we are a welcoming people, so we're welcoming them in.
- 25:33Sweden doesn't have a culture of its own.
- 25:35Sweden is for the immigrants.
- 25:37These are actual things that the cultural ambassador of Sweden and that the president of Sweden have said.
- 25:43So, no, when when it's it's the trajectory fails because of those slogans, because people are not thinking in systems.
- 25:54So we're going to think in systems.
- 25:57Let's start with the assimilation threshold.
- 25:59The most persistent mistake in immigration debates is the belief that good intentions override scale.
- 26:05They do not.
- 26:07Intentions may matter from a purely moral perspective, but they matter very little systemically.
- 26:13Systems respond to pressure.
- 26:15They do not respond to sentiment.
- 26:17There's also a difference between something feeling good and something doing good.
- 26:22Many things that may feel good to the uninformed can actually do a great deal of harm if implemented.
- 26:28Conversely, some of the things that do a great deal of good may feel very counterintuitive to the uninformed.
- 26:36We look at, for example, do we want to raise or lower the minimum wage?
- 26:40Should we have a minimum wage?
- 26:41Well, raising somebody's wage sounds very good to the uninformed, but it takes the entry rungs of getting into work away from those who are not yet working and can actually do a great deal of harm.
- 26:52And particularly in the long term.
- 26:54This is why we have the saying that, you know, that hell the path to hell is paved with good intentions.
- 27:00That's exactly why.
- 27:01And I talked about term.
- 27:03There are short-term first-level effects from any given policy as well as longer-term second, third or higher level effects.
- 27:11One thing causes another, causes another, causes another, and you get the second, third and what have you effects.
- 27:16Often the short-term effects of a given policy are the opposite of the long-term effects.
- 27:22So lower interest rates from the Fed, for example, bring down lending costs initially, but over time it increases the rate of inflation, which increases lending costs.
- 27:31So often the short-term and the long-term effects are the exact opposite of one another when we're talking about things like economics and we're talking about today, a simulation.
- 27:41It is entirely understandable when individuals who may not know a great deal about a particular topic vote based on what feels good or vote only based on the short-term effects.
- 27:53It is, however, incumbent upon those in elected office or an unelected government positions to go beyond feeling good and inform themselves and actually what actually does good in the long-term for society at large.
- 28:07What a wonderful thing would be if politicians did that.
- 28:10At a minimum, assimilation requires several non-negotiables.
- 28:13The first is that the immigrant must subordinate their own moral framework to that of the host country, at least in the public sphere.
- 28:20This does not mean abandoning private belief or cultural memory, but it does mean accepting the host nation's norms govern public life.
- 28:28Without this moral subordination, a simulation can't even begin.
- 28:33Language acquisition is equally essential.
- 28:35A shared language is not just a tool for communication, but it's the mechanism by which cultural norms and expectations are transmitted.
- 28:43Trust depends on being understood.
- 28:45So societies that fracture linguistically fractures socially as well.
- 28:49Finally, simulation requires institutional trust.
- 28:52Immigrants must view the host society's legal, political, and civic institutions as legitimate, even when those institutions act against their immediate interests.
- 29:03If courts, police, schools, and laws are regarded as alien or hostile, well, parallel systems will inevitably emerge, as we have seen.
- 29:13The assimilation threshold or the point at which absorption gives way to fragmentation, it varies significantly based on those and other factors.
- 29:23And of course, those were cultural distance matters.
- 29:27Cultural distance does matter.
- 29:29But immigrants from societies with similar social norms or expectations of civic behavior with similar conceptions of individual responsibility, they assimilate more easily and more quickly than from those societies organized around fundamentally different assumptions.
- 29:46So the cultural distance does matter.
- 29:49What matters more though is moral compatibility.
- 29:53Difference in cuisine, clothing, and custom are trivial compared to differences in how authority, law, individual.
- 30:00Individual rights and moral obligations are understood.
- 30:03Where moral frameworks align assimilation is smooth, but where they conflict, assimilation becomes difficult at best and impossible at worst.
- 30:14The confidence of the host culture, of course, may be the most decisive factor of all, as a society that asserts its norms unapologetically and that expects newcomers to conform to them can absorb far more people than can a society plagued by self-doubt.
- 30:30Also far more difference than a society plagued by self-doubt.
- 30:35Moral confidence simply raises the assimilation threshold, whereas moral uncertainty lowers it.
- 30:41Finally, expectations matter.
- 30:43A culture that expects assimilation tends to get it.
- 30:46A culture that insists on neutrality, treating all norms as moral equally equivalent.
- 30:50You know, cultural load, they call it multiculturalism, you know, or a society that fears asserting its own standards upon newcomers.
- 30:58It's not even really looking for assimilation, and what is no longer expected tends to not occur.
- 31:04The key insight is this.
- 31:06Weak moral confidence dramatically lowers the assimilation threshold, and even modest immigration levels can overwhelm a society that no longer believes it has the right to shape those who enter it.
- 31:19I'll say that again.
- 31:20The key insight weak moral confidence dramatically lowers the assimilation threshold, and even modest immigration levels can overwhelm a society that no longer believes it has the right to shape those who enter it.
- 31:32Once the threshold is crossed, the problem is not solved by compassion or good intentions.
- 31:38Instead, the society begins to balkanize around different nor moral norms, until the only way to keep the society from tearing itself apart is through totalitarianism.
- 31:47Yugoslavia is a case study in totalitarianism and balkanization.
- 31:51Tito tried to keep the country together through totalitarian force, and he did so very successfully.
- 31:57But when he died, Yugoslavia split into regions and almost immediately went to war, most notably with Serbia invading and trying to ethnically cleanse Bosnia.
- 32:07Yugoslavia started with different moral orders.
- 32:09You had Eastern Orthodox, the primary religion in the Serbian region, Roman Catholicism in the Croatian region, Islam in Bosnia, and secularism in Slovenia.
- 32:19The greatest conflict came between the Orthodox and the Eastern Orthodox and the Islamic religions.
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- 36:58Ladies and gentlemen, welcome back to Cutting Through the Chaos and the America Out Loud Network.
- 37:02I'm your host Wallace Garnot, and we're talking about the assimilation threshold.
- 37:07Before the break, we were talking about what the assimilation threshold is.
- 37:12Let's talk today about liberal democracy's moral foundation.
- 37:15One of the most damaging myths in modern political thought is the belief that liberal democracy emerged from some moral neutrility.
- 37:23It did not.
- 37:25Neutrity was not the starting addition that was at best a downstream luxury.
- 37:30You see, every functioning liberal democracy in modern history emerged from a Christian moral substrate.
- 37:35That, by the way, is not a theological claim, it's an historical one.
- 37:38It is absolutely true.
- 37:40Every liberal democracy in modern history emerged from a Christian moral substrate.
- 37:46Long before we had constitutions, courts, or parliaments, Christian moral assumptions had already shaped how law and responsibility were understood in the societies that labored later became liberal democracies.
- 37:58The core assumptions that make liberal democracies possible were inherited from Christian ethics, and then they were translated later into civic form.
- 38:06The idea of individual dignity, it's not self-evident.
- 38:10It rests on the belief that each person possesses intrinsic worth by virtue of being human.
- 38:16That belief did not originate in enlightenment philosophy.
- 38:19No, it came from Christian from Christianity's assertion that every person is made in the image of God.
- 38:27Equality before the law, likewise did not emerge from civic discourse.
- 38:31Historically, law reflected caste.
- 38:33Christianity undermined caste by insisting on moral equality before a higher authority, that's God, and that supplanted social hierarchies.
- 38:42Liberal democracies later secularized that moral claim to legal equality, but the actual caste breakdown, the actual thought of us being equal before a higher authority, that's Christianity.
- 38:54Finally, liberal democracy depends on the elevation of conscience over coercion.
- 39:00Christianity, uniquely among the world religions at the time, renounced forced belief on the assumption that force led to corruption.
- 39:09That theological principle later became the foundation for both the freedoms of speech and the freedom of religion, because coarse belief is by definition, it's not free.
- 39:20The Enlightenment did not replace Christian morality, by the way, it secularized it, stripping away theology while retaining the moral architecture of Christianity.
- 39:29The institutions remain functional only so long, though, as the underlying moral assumptions remain widely shared.
- 39:36This is why John Adams said we are not a Christian nation, but we are a nation of Christians.
- 39:42The fact that we have that moral value, or those that moral system, those moral assumptions, the fact that we share those, if they are widely shared, is critical to the continuation of our society.
- 39:55Which brings us to what is often cited as an exception, the state of Israel.
- 40:00The laws of Moses, however, can be broken up into civil law for the governing of the ancient state of Israel, a ceremonial law designed to separate God's chosen people from the other peoples of the earth, and moral law.
- 40:12And this is where we get into maybe Israel isn't so different at all, and maybe it's not an exception.
- 40:17Israel stands as the one modern liberal democracy that did not arise from a Christian culture, yet it functions for the same reason Western liberal democracies historically did.
- 40:28Judaism shares the same moral law.
- 40:33Judaism and Christianity, in fact, are morally identical.
- 40:36They agree on the nature of human dignity, the objectivity of moral law, the limits on power, and the illegitimacy of coercive belief.
- 40:46Christianity did not invent a new moral framework.
- 40:49It universalized the Jewish one.
- 40:51Nobody argues that Judaism and Christianity are the same religion, but Christianity was born out of Judaism, and a lot of theological scholars to this day point out that what these religions share in many ways makes them act functionally almost like separate sex of the same religion rather than separate religions entirely.
- 41:12Now, they are not sexes, they do have fundamentally different beliefs in the nature of the Messiah and thus the nature of man's relationship with God.
- 41:20But the moral foundations are shared.
- 41:24And because of this shared moral foundation, liberal institutions can function in Israel in ways they cannot, where the moral law is contested or where it's subordinate to political or religious authority.
- 41:36This point matters.
- 41:38Liberal democracy is not merely a set of procedures.
- 41:41No, it's a moral system that presupposes shared limits.
- 41:45Courts only function if their authority is recognized as legitimate.
- 41:49Rights only exist if restraint is viewed as virtuous.
- 41:52Liberal institutions cannot float freely above culture.
- 41:56They are anchored to it.
- 41:57When the culture that sustains them erodes, neutrality does not save them.
- 42:01Administration replaces norms, coercion replaces consent, and the system then only survives by force.
- 42:08Force being what keeps these competing moral standards from tearing each other apart.
- 42:13Liberal democracy, it did not begin neutral, and it cannot remain stable once neutrality is elevated above our moral inheritance.
- 42:22That fact explains both our historical success as well as Western society's present fragility.
- 42:29Let's talk about moral compatibility, it's not mere tolerance.
- 42:33Modern immigration debates lean heavily on the language of tolerance.
- 42:38The assumption is that if a society sufficiently open-minded and culturally diverse populations will coexist peacefully and over time just naturally converge.
- 42:48This assumption rests on a fundamental error by treating all differences as if they are equivalent.
- 42:55They are not.
- 42:57Some differences are trivial, as we said earlier from the standpoint of social cohesion.
- 43:01Differences in food, dress, music, accent, and custom pose no threat to a liberal society.
- 43:09They are cosmetic variations so that sit comfortably atop a shared civic framework.
- 43:14Even linguistic differences, while significant, are manageable so long as language acquisition proceeds and a shared public language emerges.
- 43:23These are the differences that most people have in mind speak about diversity, but these are not the differences that determine whether a society holds together.
- 43:32What matters is moral compatibility.
- 43:35A liberal democracy can tolerate an enormous range of cultural expression, but it cannot function if multiple competing claims to ultimate moral authority coexist within the same legal and civic space.
- 43:49Now, assimilation does not require immigrants to abandon private religious faith.
- 43:54It does, however, require the acceptance of the host society's ultimate authority in the public sphere.
- 44:02At a minimum, assimilation requires the acceptance of the supremacy of civil law over religious or customary law.
- 44:10It requires acceptance of free speech, including speech that offends or even that blasphemes.
- 44:17It requires acceptance of freedom of religion, which necessarily includes the freedom to leave one's religion.
- 44:23These are not optional features of liberal democracy.
- 44:27They are foundational.
- 44:28They define the moral boundaries within which pluralism is possible.
- 44:32Any system of belief that rejects these commitments cannot coexist as an equal authority without undermining society at large.
- 44:41This leads to a simple but uncomfortable reality.
- 44:44Any moral system that claims total jurisdiction over human life must either dissolve or fail to assimilate, as there is no stable equilibrium in which two sovereign moral authorities can peacefully share the same civic space outside of totalitarianism.
- 45:01Now here's an important point.
- 45:02At small numbers, assimilation is always the dominant force.
- 45:06Social pressure then flows in one direction from the host culture toward the immigrant.
- 45:11Incentives reward conformity and nonconformity carries tremendous cost.
- 45:33This is how assimilation is historically worked, but when the numbers of immigrants are too high, the dynamics invert.
- 45:40As population size increases, well, immigrants no longer experience the host culture as a surrounding force.
- 45:46Instead, the experience is one environment among many.
- 45:50Internal institutions emerge, including religious authorities, schools, media outlets, advocacy organizations, and informal enforcement mechanisms.
- 46:00What was once cultural memory then becomes cultural infrastructure.
- 46:04At this point, ideology no longer weakens across generations.
- 46:08No, it self-reinforces.
- 46:09Children are socialized internally before they ever meaningfully encounter the broader society.
- 46:15Norms are taught intentionally rather than absorbed, and deviations are corrected by the immigrant community to prevent dissimulation.
- 46:23Most importantly, internal dissent becomes very costly.
- 46:27The pressure to conform no longer comes from the outside.
- 46:31No, now it comes from within, making a simulation an act of defection.
- 46:36Scale is the pivot point.
- 46:38If 10 million are introduced at once and then concentrated geographically, well, they establish institutions, they transmit doctrine intentionally, and they work to preserve and extend their worldview.
- 46:49Of course they do.
- 46:50If ten are committed ideologically, well, even if they're ideological extremists, if you place ten people into liberal society, what happens?
- 46:59Their ideology will dissolve over subsequent generations because social pressure overwhelms their children and grandchildren.
- 47:06In most cases, their grandchildren can barely even remember the original belief system, no matter how extreme it might have been.
- 47:13We can see a case study of this by looking at Ham Tramic.
- 47:17Shortly after I met my wife, she asked me if I wanted to go to, or she told me rather she had to go to Ham Tramok.
- 47:22She'd lived in Ham Tramic for years before moving into the suburbs, and at this time her brother still lived there.
- 47:28Now, having grown up on the west side of Michigan, my mind made no differentiation between Detroit proper and all of the suburbs, and I had never heard of Ham Tramic, but that name has kind of a phonetically New England vibe to it, so when she said she had to go to Ham Tramic, somehow I thought she meant something in Connecticut.
- 47:45Well, she asked me I wanted to go with her, and we have a little bit of an embarrassing conversation.
- 47:49I told her I couldn't take the time off of work to go to Connecticut.
- 47:52She had no idea what I was talking about.
- 47:54She's like, you know, Ham Trampic is right down by Detroit.
- 47:57I was shocked to find out it's only 20 minutes away.
- 48:00Now Connecticut's a lot further than that.
- 48:02Um but the point is that for more than a century, Ham Tramic functioned as an entry enclave.
- 48:07New immigrant groups settled there because it was affordable and it was close to industrial work.
- 48:13Amtramic was never the destination, though.
- 48:15It was simply the first rung on the ladder for new immigrants.
- 48:18Germans, Poles, and other European immigrants passed through Ham Tramic in successive waves.
- 48:24They clustered initially out of necessity, relying on shared language and community support, while they established themselves economically, but as upward mobility came, movement followed.
- 48:35And the direction of that movement matters.
- 48:37It was upward and outward.
- 48:38As Polish immigrants, their children and their grandchildren accumulated wealth, they dispersed in surrounding suburbs such as Birmingham, Troy, and Rochester Hills.
- 48:47Ethnic identity then softened into heritage.
- 48:50Language is often retained for a generation, but usually not two.
- 48:54What matters here is the pattern repeated reliably across immigrant groups for generations.
- 49:00Hamtramic was a temporary incubator.
- 49:02It was not a permanent cultural island.
- 49:05But now that pattern is changed.
- 49:07More recently, immigration to Hamtramck does not show the same outward diffusion.
- 49:11Instead of upward mobility leading to dispersion into the surrounding region, growth increasingly takes the form of lateral contiguous expansion.
- 49:20Population increase spills outward while remaining geographically and culturally connected to the original enclave.
- 49:26The community grows, but it doesn't dissolve.
- 49:29Hamptramic and Dearborn are today both parts of the same Islamic enclave.
- 49:34And this distinction is critical.
- 49:36Lateral expansion preserves internal authority structures.
- 49:39Cultural norms are reinforced rather than diluted, and exposure to the host culture is reduced.
- 49:45As population density rises, rather than serving as a bridge into American society, the enclave becomes self sustaining.
- 49:54As a result, cultural authority remains internal.
- 49:57Now, that's not to say Muslims are not compatible.
- 50:00With our society, but it is to say that fundamentalists within Islam are not, and that the more devout someone gets toward Islam, the less compatible with civilization they become.
- 50:11That's not a judgment about the character or intentions of the people involved.
- 50:15It's an observation about systems.
- 50:17When immigration remains below the assimilation threshold, enclaves function as gateways.
- 50:22When that threshold is exceeded, enclaves cease to be transitional and instead become destinations.
- 50:28At that point, assimilation is not merely slow, it changes direction.
- 50:33Hamptramic matters because it shows a shift in real time at the neighborhood level, where abstractions give way to lived reality.
- 50:41And though I pick on ham tramac, that's because it's close to home.
- 50:44Similar patterns of both assimilation and its opposite occur all across the United States.
- 50:52Let's go from failed assimilation to administrative control.
- 50:55When a simulation fails, societies do not collapse immediately.
- 50:59They attempt to compensate.
- 51:00And at first the response is fragmented of to a fragmented society is simply administration.
- 51:06As moral consensus erodes, the informal systems that once govern life lose their authority.
- 51:12Norms no longer bind because they are no longer shared.
- 51:14What was once enforced socially, now becomes enforced procedurally.
- 51:19Norms then are replaced by rules.
- 51:21Where behavior is once shaped by expectation and shame, all of a sudden it's shaped by policy and compliance.
- 51:26Where communities once mediated conflict directly, now institutions step into referee.
- 51:32The role of government expands, not because it seeks power, but because something must manage the differences between different moral systems after culture no longer can.
- 51:41This is the phase often described as multiculturalism, but it is more accurately understood as administrative multiculturalism.
- 51:48Diversity is no longer sustained through shared moral limits, but through regulation.
- 51:53Disagreement is not resolved so much as it is suppressed.
- 51:56Now, this arrangement can persist for a time.
- 51:58In fact, it can feel deceptively stable.
- 52:00Procedure gives the impression of fairness, but that's fragile.
- 52:04As parallel communities solidify administrative systems are increasingly asked to perform moral arbitration without moral authority.
- 52:11Every rule starts to look partisan.
- 52:14Every enforcement decision is interpreted as favoring one group over another, and this is particularly true once different rules emerge for different groups and the law is selectively enforced.
- 52:24At that stage, parallel identities harden.
- 52:27People no longer see themselves primarily as participants in a shared civic order, but as members of competing groups within it.
- 52:33Law is no longer perceived as impartial.
- 52:36It's viewed as a weapon or a shield, depending on who wields it.
- 52:40As trust collapses, politics transforms.
- 52:42It ceases to be a debate about policy, it becomes demographic warfare.
- 52:46Votes are counted less as expressions of preference and more as expressions of groove power group power.
- 52:52At that point, the society has three choices.
- 52:55It will either have coercive unity, that's the Tito model, that's when you have totalitarianism.
- 53:02The second is fragmentation.
- 53:04The shared civic space dissolves.
- 53:06Communities separate either formally or informally, and uh the state shrinks, splits, and then disappears.
- 53:12That's what happened to Yugoslavia.
- 53:15Uh the last option then is complete totalitarianism, and uh, well, that kind of administration is not the opposite of Balkanization.
- 53:24It's actually the last attempt prevent it.
- 53:27Uh when the administration fails, what remains is simply power exercised openly, or fragmentation embraced reluctantly.
- 53:36There is no other path.
- 53:38Now let's talk about the choices we have, what nations must choose.
- 53:42The old English or the old Michigan jokes at the beginning of this, uh, they work because they're harmless, West versus East, youpers versus trolls.
- 53:51These are friendly rivalries, but they exist inside a shared culture.
- 53:55Nobody seriously believes Michigan is going to split into warring states because the upper peninsula feels neglected, or because Detroit thinks everything west of Lansing is Indiana.
- 54:05No, those divisions matter specifically because they don't matter.
- 54:08And that's a distinction that I'm talking about.
- 54:10Nations do not face a thousand choices at once.
- 54:13They face a narrowing sequence of them.
- 54:16First comes a choice between assimilation and administration.
- 54:20A society can expect newcomers to adopt its norms and moral limits, or it can attempt to manage the differences indefinitely through policy, regulation, and procedure.
- 54:30Assimilation requires confidence and clarity, but administration does not.
- 54:34Still comes at a cost, though.
- 54:36When administration expands far enough, the next choice appears: administration or coercion.
- 54:41Rules only work while they are viewed as legitimate.
- 54:45Once they are seen as partisan or imposed, well then the rules they stop working, and enforcement becomes necessary because all of a sudden they're seen as imposed.
- 54:54At that point, surveillance grows, speech narrows, dissent is reframed as destabilization.
- 55:00The society may remain intact, but only because force replaces consent.
- 55:06And uh when coercion can no longer hold, the final choice emerges between tyranny or fracture.
- 55:13At that point, unity survives only as containment.
- 55:16Remove the pressure and the system breaks apart along the moral and cultural seams that immigration without assimilation created.
- 55:24A society unwilling to defend its moral foundation, simply put will not remain free.
- 55:30It will become managed, then coerced, and finally divided.
- 55:34The question that nations face, including our own, is not whether they wish to be compassionate, tolerant, or diverse.
- 55:42The question is whether they believe in themselves strongly enough to remain whole.
- 55:48And ladies and gentlemen, whether or not we remain a whole is a choice we will have to make, and once we make that choice, everything else follows.
- 55:57So when somebody calls you a xenophobe, say no, I believe in immigration, I just believe in legal immigration, and I believe that those who immigrate have a moral obligation to, over at least the next couple of generations, they have a moral obligation to assimilate and to become American.
- 56:16And just like that, ladies and gentlemen, we are out of time.
- 56:20But that's okay.
- 56:21I got through the in the entire thing.
- 56:23We talked about the assimilation threshold, we talked about the levels at which we can bring people in and have them assimilate, and we talked about the factors that reduce those levels and create fragmentation.
- 56:35As always, thank you for tuning in.
- 56:37Please tell others who might be interested in cutting through the chaos to listen in, either on Saturday and Sunday at 9 a.m.
- 56:44Eastern Standard Time, on Sunday at 10 p.m.
- 56:47Eastern Standard Time, which is a rerun, or on podcast whenever they have time.
- 56:53And we'll see you next week at the same time and place, where will once again be time to get involved and to get loud on America out loud.