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- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome, everybody, to the best betting show ever. It's Thursday.
- 0:03Speaker 1: We got more college football games. Tonight, we've got a
- 0:07Speaker 1: baseball slate. We're going to talk some NFL. This is
- 0:10Speaker 1: a betting show. We're here to make money. I'm Lawrence Pressman.
- 0:13Speaker 1: Joe Ranieri with me. Same with Art the Caesar. Hit
- 0:16Speaker 1: the like, subscribe to our channel, and let's get into it. Art,
- 0:19Speaker 1: how did the books do last night, my friend?
- 0:22Speaker 2: Well, you had a late Yankee win, and then the
- 0:25Speaker 2: game goes over. extra innings, and then you have the
- 0:27Speaker 2: Dodgers win. That game goes over. So that's usually not
- 0:31Speaker 2: a good start. But we focus today on, like you said, Prez,
- 0:34Speaker 2: the college football slate, four games. That will see a
- 0:37Speaker 2: lot of action. Small baseball slate. So everything's going to
- 0:40Speaker 2: be focused here on CFP.
- 0:43Speaker 1: Yeah, we're going to get into the CFP a little later.
- 0:45Speaker 1: A sharp bet. So, Art, look, I mean, minus a million,
- 0:51Speaker 1: minus six million, minus six and a half, and minus
- 0:54Speaker 1: a Google. Those are the numbers in the games tonight.
- 0:59Speaker 1: Any sharp bets, totals, sides?
- 1:03Speaker 2: All right, let me start with baseball. There's only one
- 1:04Speaker 2: side today. They're on the Royals, so the one baseball
- 1:07Speaker 2: game will get that.
- 1:08Speaker 1: Out of the way.
- 1:09Speaker 2: They are on the Royals. The Colorado-Georgia Tech game is
- 1:12Speaker 2: very interesting. That's been pretty split action from the people
- 1:15Speaker 2: I've talked to around town. Six and a half has
- 1:17Speaker 2: kind of been that number. You know, it's gone up
- 1:19Speaker 2: to seven, and then it will get bought back. So
- 1:21Speaker 2: it's one of those that once it hits a key number,
- 1:23Speaker 2: it goes back. We talked earlier in the week about
- 1:27Speaker 2: the UAB total, which was as high as like 56
- 1:29Speaker 2: and a half. I've seen some places this morning, even
- 1:32Speaker 2: 54 and a half. So you've continued to see the
- 1:34Speaker 2: under get pushed in that UAB game. And that is
- 1:38Speaker 2: sharp action.
- 1:41Speaker 1: There we go.
- 1:42Speaker 3: Terrible week.
- 1:43Speaker 4: It's just a terrible week one in college, but it's
- 1:46Speaker 4: like their version of preseason. Some of these games, I
- 1:50Speaker 4: think there's only one, right? Ole Miss and Louisville is
- 1:53Speaker 4: the only two top 25 teams going at it. Everything
- 1:57Speaker 4: else is 30-point spreads here.
- 2:00Speaker 3: And everything's changing next year, by the way. No more
- 2:02Speaker 3: week zero.
- 2:03Speaker 4: So they're going to start by Labor Day or maybe
- 2:06Speaker 4: the week prior, and it's not.
- 2:08Speaker 3: Going to get any better.
- 2:09Speaker 4: They're going to keep scheduling these cupcakes early on because
- 2:13Speaker 4: that's really their preseason.
- 2:16Speaker 3: It ain't going to get any better anytime soon.
- 2:19Speaker 2: Well, Joe, you're not rewarded for scheduling the big game.
- 2:22Speaker 2: Look at Texas last year. If Texas plays Ohio and
- 2:27Speaker 2: doesn't play Ohio State, they make the playoffs.
- 2:29Speaker 3: Correct.
- 2:29Speaker 1: Yep.
- 2:30Speaker 3: So true.
- 2:31Speaker 2: So why schedule all the games?
- 2:32Speaker 3: Yep.
- 2:35Speaker 1: Boys, let's get to our parlay of the day. Art DeCesar,
- 2:39Speaker 1: where are you going, my brother?
- 2:42Speaker 2: Quick question. I know this is early. Are we doing
- 2:44Speaker 2: college or are we going to do that tomorrow?
- 2:48Speaker 1: Friday is NFL, so it is our college football parlay, correct.
- 2:54Speaker 2: All right, cool. So we'll do college. I'm going to
- 2:57Speaker 2: take the points with Clemson. I think all the pressure's
- 2:59Speaker 2: on LSU. Give me Clemson plus the points.
- 3:03Speaker 1: Joe?
- 3:06Speaker 4: I'm going to take Colorado on the points tonight. That's
- 3:10Speaker 4: where I'm going to go. I'm going to go Dion
- 3:13Speaker 4: and company. I'm going to take the six. I think
- 3:15Speaker 4: there's still a seven out there, too, as well. I'll
- 3:17Speaker 4: take the touchdown in Colorado.
- 3:21Speaker 1: Boise State has fallen plus 24 and a half. We
- 3:25Speaker 1: didn't think that would happen a few years ago. I'm
- 3:28Speaker 1: going to take Oregon. I think they win cover by
- 3:33Speaker 1: at least four. So 24 and a half for me
- 3:37Speaker 1: on Oregon. There's our parlay of the day. Predictive markets.
- 3:41Speaker 1: I nailed Bitcoin yesterday and then we saw an increase overnight.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Now we're closing in on 80, Joe. 79,745. Yep.
- 3:53Speaker 4: Does it hit 80 again, Prez? Because all indications are
- 3:56Speaker 4: that's where it's heading.
- 3:57Speaker 1: Yeah, brother. We've seen an increase of 2,500 already today
- 4:01Speaker 1: in the last few hours. The momentum is good. We're
- 4:05Speaker 1: going to have You know, everybody listening, I mean, we
- 4:08Speaker 1: see this year in, year out. This is about FOMO.
- 4:11Speaker 1: You know, you want to figure out when to tie Bitcoin.
- 4:13Speaker 1: It's just gone up $ 20, 000 in the last month. Did
- 4:18Speaker 1: you miss it? No. No, you did not. You missed
- 4:22Speaker 1: the sharp side of it. Now comes the FOMO side
- 4:26Speaker 1: of it. And let me tell you, the FOMO side
- 4:29Speaker 1: is way sexier. It is a buying time for Bitcoin.
- 4:34Speaker 1: I would take, yes, over 80 at 40. Yes, over 79,
- 4:39Speaker 1: 750 at 48. Yes, over to 79, 500 at 61.
- 4:45Speaker 1: Three units bet, one on each. I think this is
- 4:49Speaker 1: going to continue to move in the right direction.
- 4:52Speaker 3: I like it. There's no reason. If it ain't broke,
- 4:57Speaker 3: don't fix it, Prez.
- 4:59Speaker 1: Joe, yesterday we basically, I basically called it all out.
- 5:04Speaker 1: Toronto won, Texas lost, every team lost. Let's take a
- 5:08Speaker 1: look at the AL Wild Card standings.
- 5:14Speaker 4: You're talking about to make the playoffs, right? Is that
- 5:17Speaker 4: what we were doing?
- 5:19Speaker 1: It was 19% for Toronto yesterday and I think 36%
- 5:23Speaker 1: or so for Cleveland.
- 5:26Speaker 4: Let's see what we got now that everybody lost. Let's
- 5:30Speaker 4: go that direction.
- 5:31Speaker 3: All right. And what do you think it is now, Prez?
- 5:38Speaker 1: 21. All right.
- 5:39Speaker 3: Let's see.
- 5:40Speaker 4: Let's bring it over and let's open this thing up
- 5:44Speaker 4: and see what we got.
- 5:45Speaker 3: Boom.
- 5:46Speaker 2: Okay.
- 5:48Speaker 3: Okay. I should get that music going on here.
- 5:53Speaker 1: All right.
- 5:53Speaker 3: Where is Cleveland?
- 5:55Speaker 1: Oh, yeah. So, no. So, 28. So, look at that, Joe.
- 5:59Speaker 1: You said it wouldn't move at all.
- 6:02Speaker 4: They were 19 cents. They moved 9 cents. Settle down.
- 6:05Speaker 3: They were 19 cents yesterday. That's an incredible return if
- 6:09Speaker 3: you sell today.
- 6:09Speaker 4: If they lose today, they're going to be right back
- 6:11Speaker 4: down to 19 cents.
- 6:13Speaker 3: Settle down.
- 6:14Speaker 1: Sell.
- 6:15Speaker 3: Sell right now.
- 6:16Speaker 2: What?
- 6:16Speaker 3: In a 9-cent move? Stop it.
- 6:19Speaker 1: Why? Why, Joe?
- 6:21Speaker 4: Because the volatility, people weren't putting $ 20K on Toronto to.
- 6:26Speaker 3: Move $ 0. 09 in 24 hours. That's not what we're doing.
- 6:32Speaker 1: Nine cents. Nine cents is 9% return over 24 hours.
- 6:37Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, yeah.
- 6:39Speaker 1: We'll take that all day long.
- 6:40Speaker 4: The guys playing parlays will jump all over that, I
- 6:43Speaker 4: am sure. Please, please. If you believe Toronto's going to
- 6:47Speaker 4: do it, hold on to it. You got a 19-cent ticket.
- 6:49Speaker 4: If they actually make the postseason, then you can cash.
- 6:53Speaker 4: I mean, my goodness, that ticket's going to be ridiculous.
- 6:56Speaker 1: Well, I think they're going to win tonight, and I
- 7:01Speaker 1: think they have an easy schedule. They're set up for
- 7:03Speaker 1: a run, and they've got some pedigree. This is still
- 7:06Speaker 1: a team that had most of their players go to
- 7:09Speaker 1: the World Series Game 7 last year.
- 7:11Speaker 4: Why is Seattle more money than they are? Seattle's 21 cents,
- 7:15Speaker 4: and Baltimore is 18 cents?
- 7:21Speaker 2: It's the schedule, and they had a good trip to Fenway.
- 7:25Speaker 3: That's bonkers to me. Absolutely bonkers.
- 7:28Speaker 1: Joe, don't forget you got a team like Seattle and Cleveland.
- 7:32Speaker 1: They're double dipping Seattle five back to win division four
- 7:36Speaker 1: and a half back to win the wild card. So
- 7:38Speaker 1: that's why they're 21% of Toronto's only 28%. But I'll
- 7:43Speaker 1: tell you something, man, the no at 80 seems sexy
- 7:46Speaker 1: to me for Seattle. I know it's a big number,
- 7:48Speaker 1: but I mean, there's just Seattle is not making the
- 7:52Speaker 1: playoffs and, I'm in for buying still. I think Toronto
- 7:56Speaker 1: is a buy. I think this is a team that
- 7:59Speaker 1: has veteran talent. They've been there. They've done that. The
- 8:02Speaker 1: schedule lines up perfectly. And Art DeCesar made a good
- 8:06Speaker 1: comment off air. They've got an ace, Art, a stalker.
- 8:11Speaker 1: And we saw it last night, really, in a must-win game.
- 8:16Speaker 1: Just shut them down. So, yeah, I think Toronto is
- 8:19Speaker 1: still a buy, Joe and Art, even at that number. Yep.
- 8:23Speaker 4: Look, on an opportunity there, I think it's all going
- 8:26Speaker 4: to come down to the final week anyway, Art. I
- 8:29Speaker 4: just think it's all going to come down to who
- 8:32Speaker 4: can put together enough wins in order to be able
- 8:34Speaker 4: to rattle it off there and put themselves in a position.
- 8:38Speaker 4: And the problem is none of these teams can be
- 8:39Speaker 4: trusted to do any of that.
- 8:42Speaker 3: That's crazy.
- 8:43Speaker 1: Yep. Nuts. CFB Thursday, boys. Before we get into that,
- 8:48Speaker 1: let's talk some business art. You're rolling, man. Started selling
- 8:52Speaker 1: picks about a week, 10 days ago. You've had an
- 8:54Speaker 1: excellent run so far. Congratulations. Shout out to a few
- 8:59Speaker 1: of the people that purchased you yesterday, Art. One of
- 9:03Speaker 1: your big followers grabbed a year, so shout out. Thank
- 9:07Speaker 1: you for that. How does that feel, Art? Tell me internally.
- 9:13Speaker 1: You've got For the first time in your life, clients
- 9:17Speaker 1: that are basically in your– this is you now. This
- 9:23Speaker 1: is your show. They're going to win or lose money
- 9:26Speaker 1: based on your information, based on your work. How does
- 9:29Speaker 1: that make you feel? Excited, nervous, anxiety, stressed? I freaking
- 9:35Speaker 1: hate it.
- 9:37Speaker 2: I think all of the above, Prez, but I think
- 9:39Speaker 2: I'm going to trust in my process and feel– you know,
- 9:42Speaker 2: confident in the abilities that I have and the information
- 9:44Speaker 2: I can provide. And, you know, it's been a really
- 9:47Speaker 2: good start so far. I've been really crushing the first fives,
- 9:50Speaker 2: three and one in first fives, and you throw in
- 9:52Speaker 2: even a free play in there, which was a winner,
- 9:54Speaker 2: 4-1 in first fives. Got another first five up there today.
- 9:57Speaker 2: So been doing really good isolating those first fives, keeping
- 10:01Speaker 2: the bullpens out of this late in the season. So, listen,
- 10:03Speaker 2: go over and check out my page, and let's continue
- 10:06Speaker 2: to roll.
- 10:07Speaker 1: Yeah, Art DeCesar. And, you know, Joe is new to this, too.
- 10:10Speaker 1: Joe's only a couple of years in to selling picks
- 10:13Speaker 1: as well. It is a stressful gig, to say the least. Guys,
- 10:18Speaker 1: stay with us all the way. What do you got
- 10:21Speaker 1: going today, Art?
- 10:24Speaker 2: Like I said, just another first five play. Like I said,
- 10:27Speaker 2: we've been rolling in those, so just going to continue
- 10:29Speaker 2: to isolate those. Like I said, all about keeping the
- 10:32Speaker 2: bullpens out of these games in the late innings, trying
- 10:34Speaker 2: to find first five pitchers that I like in situations
- 10:37Speaker 2: and short prices.
- 10:41Speaker 1: Joe, what do you got going for the clients?
- 10:44Speaker 4: All about college football from this point. So I have
- 10:49Speaker 4: one up already, and I've got two more on the way.
- 10:52Speaker 4: So head on over to the page and pick them
- 10:55Speaker 4: all up. Just get one of those. I think the
- 10:57Speaker 4: Weekend Warrior starts next week. Yes.
- 11:01Speaker 3: Yep, that's a great package to consider.
- 11:03Speaker 4: And right now you can get one of those three-day
- 11:05Speaker 4: all-access passes, and you get three extra days. So that's
- 11:08Speaker 4: a pretty good opportunity as well.
- 11:11Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'm the same as you, Joe. I'm going
- 11:13Speaker 1: to be pretty careful on baseball right now. It's the
- 11:18Speaker 1: dog days. It gets a little harder. So likely going
- 11:23Speaker 1: to pass today. But again, my college football total is
- 11:25Speaker 1: up for Saturday. Nothing tonight. Tough card tonight. We're going
- 11:30Speaker 1: to talk about it right now. Missouri. How about that?
- 11:36Speaker 1: How about that total? Minus what is it now? 712.
- 11:43Speaker 1: I like them, guys. I think they cover that number
- 11:46Speaker 1: by three.
- 11:49Speaker 4: That's not a bad way to look. I think they're
- 11:53Speaker 4: going to be a lot of running involved with Mizzou.
- 11:58Speaker 4: They're going to be a ton of running going on
- 12:00Speaker 4: at Mizzou here. They're an under team for me this year.
- 12:03Speaker 4: I'm not buying into them, but again, this is kind
- 12:07Speaker 4: of like, you know, Varsity playing JV, Art, any which
- 12:11Speaker 4: way you cut it in some of these games, it's terrible.
- 12:14Speaker 1: Minus, what is it? It's minus 54.
- 12:19Speaker 2: And a half.
- 12:19Speaker 3: That's correct.
- 12:21Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah.
- 12:23Speaker 2: I think they.
- 12:24Speaker 1: Cover that number. I feel they cover that number, guys.
- 12:28Speaker 2: Yep.
- 12:29Speaker 3: Terrible.
- 12:30Speaker 1: 56-0?
- 12:30Speaker 2: No, I think it's going.
- 12:33Speaker 1: To be more around 61-6, 61-3. That type of a number.
- 12:39Speaker 3: Could very well be.
- 12:42Speaker 1: Okay, let's go through all four of these games. Well,
- 12:44Speaker 1: all four of the main games. Massachusetts, Rutgers. Rutgers minus
- 12:48Speaker 1: 28 and a half. 52 and a half is the total.
- 12:51Speaker 1: Feels like the total is a bit high in a
- 12:54Speaker 1: UMass game. I would lean on the under here, Joe.
- 12:59Speaker 4: The problem is, I mean, we've seen this. The total, what,
- 13:02Speaker 4: was 55-and-a-half over the summer. Now it's 51-and-a-half, and we
- 13:08Speaker 4: just keep seeing it go that way. So, listen, UMass
- 13:11Speaker 4: is not a college program that kind of restarted everything
- 13:15Speaker 4: going on there. Rutgers is going to be lucky to
- 13:18Speaker 4: win five games. I think I had them this year.
- 13:21Speaker 4: This will be one of them, but I'm with you, Prez.
- 13:24Speaker 4: I only look at the total.
- 13:27Speaker 1: Art?
- 13:28Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, they're going to bet Rutgers, too,
- 13:30Speaker 2: no matter what the spread is, because it's UMass, like
- 13:33Speaker 2: Joe said.
- 13:34Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 13:35Speaker 1: It's going up now. There's 29s on tap. Wake Forest
- 13:38Speaker 1: playing Akron, another just, wow, minus 25.5. But a small total, guys, 48.5.
- 13:46Speaker 1: It feels like a team total might be the way
- 13:49Speaker 1: to go, a Wake Forest over or an Akron under, Art.
- 13:54Speaker 2: Well, this game was 22, 22.5, and then has.
- 13:58Speaker 2: Gone up a whole field goal so clearly the books
- 14:01Speaker 2: are really one-sided here with the wake forest money.
- 14:05Speaker 4: Joe yeah i would only take the points here 24
- 14:09Speaker 4: and a half with akron got a new uh new
- 14:12Speaker 4: look new coach new quarterback new everything and there's just
- 14:15Speaker 4: far too many questions wake forest lost a ton from
- 14:19Speaker 4: a year ago on the offensive side there so Yeah,
- 14:23Speaker 4: Akron will play some defense, and I'll take the, what, 24.5
- 14:27Speaker 4: points now?
- 14:28Speaker 3: That's where I would look.
- 14:30Speaker 2: Even higher.
- 14:30Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah.
- 14:32Speaker 1: So, Art, Joe Ranieri and I were offered a fair
- 14:38Speaker 1: amount of money to do Depends commercials. Joe was a maybe.
- 14:43Speaker 1: I said no. I'm like, you know what? I just
- 14:46Speaker 1: don't need the cash and going on air and talking
- 14:50Speaker 1: about how I pee in my diapers just really wasn't
- 14:53Speaker 1: appealing to me. So Deion Sanders is coaching tonight, plus
- 15:00Speaker 1: six and a half against Georgia Tech. And look, he'll
- 15:04Speaker 1: be on the sideline in his Depends, pissing in his diapers.
- 15:07Speaker 1: So we won't get him, see him run tonight. off
- 15:12Speaker 1: to the washroom, will be completely focused on the game tonight,
- 15:16Speaker 1: whereas the Georgia Tech coach might end up having to
- 15:20Speaker 1: run to the loo. Do you take that into account, Joe,
- 15:23Speaker 1: in this handicap?
- 15:26Speaker 4: No, he has been there and done this before. Experience matters.
- 15:30Speaker 4: It depends, Prez. So I think he'll be able to
- 15:33Speaker 4: navigate this.
- 15:33Speaker 3: There's no problem.
- 15:34Speaker 4: They put a whole damn bathroom on the sideline for him.
- 15:36Speaker 4: So I think he'll be just fine here. But listen,
- 15:40Speaker 4: it was a rough year for him last year. Three
- 15:42Speaker 4: and nine was not good. But all indications are that
- 15:47Speaker 4: he was a much more focused player. Deion Sanders, Coach
- 15:51Speaker 4: Prime this year, had a pretty good recruiting class here,
- 15:55Speaker 4: and Georgia Tech lost everybody. Two new coordinators going on
- 15:59Speaker 4: over there. Haynes King is gone. They got a good
- 16:01Speaker 4: running back, but I don't know. Call me crazy. I'll
- 16:05Speaker 4: take the points here. I'll take Deion here, who might
- 16:09Speaker 4: have a trick or two up his sleeve with this class.
- 16:12Speaker 1: Or in his pants, Joe. Yeah. Mm-hmm.
- 16:14Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, we mentioned that.
- 16:17Speaker 1: How much do you think he got paid, Art? How much? Millions.
- 16:22Speaker 2: Oh, millions, absolutely. Deion's not doing that for less than millions.
- 16:28Speaker 1: No.
- 16:30Speaker 2: He's still Deion Sanders. I mean, listen, he hasn't been
- 16:32Speaker 2: a great coach, but he's still prime. Didn't he have
- 16:37Speaker 2: the song Must Be the Money? He's all about the money, Deion.
- 16:41Speaker 3: All about the money.
- 16:41Speaker 1: Remember when he was a rapper?
- 16:43Speaker 3: I love it.
- 16:45Speaker 1: What do you like?
- 16:48Speaker 2: It's just split action on the game. I mean, honestly,
- 16:50Speaker 2: I would lean taking Georgia Tech under the touchdown. I
- 16:53Speaker 2: could see Joe's point. Not only did they have a
- 16:55Speaker 2: good recruiting class, they were really good in the transfer portal, Colorado.
- 16:59Speaker 2: So I get it. You lose a guy like Haynes King,
- 17:01Speaker 2: who was basically the franchise face of Georgia Tech. This
- 17:06Speaker 2: should be actually a really good game. Obviously the best game. Yeah, exactly.
- 17:09Speaker 2: Best game on the board. I would lean Georgia Tech.
- 17:12Speaker 2: I don't love it, though.
- 17:14Speaker 1: I like the over in the Illinois game, Art.
- 17:18Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's come down pretty nice. Like I said,
- 17:21Speaker 2: there's some 54.5s out there. But there's 55.5s as well. Oh,
- 17:27Speaker 2: there you go. So even lower as we've been on
- 17:29Speaker 2: air here. Because I remember right before I came on,
- 17:31Speaker 2: I was seeing 54.5s. So listen, obviously that always goes
- 17:34Speaker 2: to show you shop around. Because there's going to be
- 17:36Speaker 2: some two, three-point.
- 17:37Speaker 1: Disparities here in some of these totals. Well, there's a 55.5 too.
- 17:41Speaker 1: There you go. And 54 is a big number.
- 17:45Speaker 2: Mm-hmm.
- 17:46Speaker 1: So I like the over. You got anything on this game?
- 17:51Speaker 2: No, I mean, like I said, with the Sharp guys
- 17:53Speaker 2: taking the under from where it was earlier in the summer,
- 17:56Speaker 2: I can understand why they did that. Now you're probably
- 17:58Speaker 2: at a price point, Prez, where there's going to be
- 18:01Speaker 2: a buyback on the over.
- 18:02Speaker 1: There we go. Joe?
- 18:05Speaker 4: Lay it with Illinois. I mean, Illinois is laying what?
- 18:09Speaker 4: Four more than four scores? I mean, UAB's defense, if
- 18:12Speaker 4: you remember last year, was absolutely hilariously bad. They returned
- 18:17Speaker 4: one starter. They got a new D.C. They still didn't
- 18:22Speaker 4: recruit anybody. It's going to be Illinois. This is the
- 18:25Speaker 4: kind of game there that Bielema is just going to
- 18:27Speaker 4: run up the score here. It's going to get ugly here.
- 18:31Speaker 4: UAB is going to be atrocious again this season.
- 18:35Speaker 1: Yeah. Whoa, UAB. Anyway, let's move on NFL week one.
- 18:42Speaker 1: I'll throw some games at you guys. Stop. We haven't
- 18:44Speaker 1: talked about Trevor Lawrence. I call him Fabio minus seven
- 18:49Speaker 1: and a half against Cleveland. I want to bet against Cleveland.
- 18:53Speaker 1: I can't bet on Jacksonville, Joe. This team is just, they're,
- 18:57Speaker 1: they're inconsistent. I can't count on Trevor Lawrence. It's too
- 19:02Speaker 1: many points. What do you think?
- 19:05Speaker 4: Under for me. That's the only way I would look
- 19:08Speaker 4: at this game here. And listen, they're going to run
- 19:10Speaker 4: the ball now, Jacksonville, a bunch. And listen, Deshaun Watson
- 19:15Speaker 4: is not going to have.
- 19:17Speaker 3: A great game.
- 19:19Speaker 4: He's not going to be throwing a ball. Turnovers could
- 19:21Speaker 4: be a problem. Some easy points for Jacksonville here. But
- 19:24Speaker 4: I just don't see where the points are coming from Cleveland.
- 19:27Speaker 1: The under makes sense. And it hasn't moved. I think
- 19:31Speaker 1: it'll go down, Art. I think if you're going to bet...
- 19:34Speaker 1: The under, I think you should probably bet it now. Yeah.
- 19:38Speaker 2: Yeah, I could see that. And like you said, Prez,
- 19:40Speaker 2: it's tough to lay seven and a half opening game.
- 19:42Speaker 2: You want to do it. You know Jacksonville is going
- 19:45Speaker 2: to probably be the number one teaser option this week
- 19:48Speaker 2: to be in the top one or two. so that
- 19:50Speaker 2: will be a big thing books will need the browns
- 19:52Speaker 2: in a bad in a big way.
- 19:53Speaker 1: Well i mean right off the bat guys the uh
- 19:56Speaker 1: the um the the teaser the long teaser i mean
- 20:01Speaker 1: it's everywhere there's a long teaser in the seattle game
- 20:05Speaker 1: and the rams game and the jacksonville game and the
- 20:07Speaker 1: cincinnati game There's a Wong teaser in the Baltimore game,
- 20:11Speaker 1: in the Atlanta game, in the Buffalo game, depending on
- 20:15Speaker 1: which way. Chicago. I mean, Detroit. The Chargers. I mean,
- 20:23Speaker 1: it's all the way. You could probably put, you know,
- 20:27Speaker 1: round robin the Wong teasers and have yourself 40 bets. Mm-hmm.
- 20:31Speaker 3: Can do it. And there will be.
- 20:35Speaker 1: There will be people that do that. Fez, for instance,
- 20:38Speaker 1: as we know, that's something that he will tell his–
- 20:42Speaker 1: he's not selling picks anymore, but that's the type of
- 20:46Speaker 1: advice he'd give out.
- 20:47Speaker 3: Absolutely.
- 20:49Speaker 1: Round robin every Wong teaser together. No matter how many
- 20:52Speaker 1: bets it is, you're going to make money long-term that way.
- 20:57Speaker 1: Let's talk Buffalo, Art. Minus one and a half. We've
- 21:02Speaker 1: done a deep dive into this before. Anytime it's two
- 21:05Speaker 1: or less, we suggest you take the money line. They're
- 21:08Speaker 1: on the road against Houston. Look, both teams are coming
- 21:13Speaker 1: in excited about the season. Houston's defense is spectacular. I
- 21:18Speaker 1: don't buy their offense at all, like at all. And
- 21:23Speaker 1: I think Buffalo is just going to be a tough
- 21:27Speaker 1: out all year long. I like the Bills here. I
- 21:31Speaker 1: don't want to play a road team so early, but
- 21:35Speaker 1: Houston's coming into the season overrated.
- 21:37Speaker 2: Houston's defense is the best defense in the league. They
- 21:43Speaker 2: thrashed Buffalo last year. I mean, they made that Buffalo
- 21:47Speaker 2: offense look really bad. I like taking Houston home, and
- 21:50Speaker 2: I think they're one of the best teaser options as well.
- 21:54Speaker 1: Interesting. Joe?
- 21:56Speaker 3: Every year with Houston, it's the same stuff.
- 21:59Speaker 4: Starts slow, then they pick up steam right around the
- 22:02Speaker 4: middle of October, and then that defense kicks in and
- 22:05Speaker 4: takes over here. But I'm not a Stroud fan. You
- 22:09Speaker 4: give me Josh Allen versus Stroud, I'll take Josh Allen
- 22:12Speaker 4: all day long.
- 22:14Speaker 1: Yeah, that's how I see it, Artis. And I understand
- 22:17Speaker 1: what you're saying. You think Houston will end up being
- 22:21Speaker 1: the top defense in the league?
- 22:25Speaker 2: I do.
- 22:25Speaker 1: I don't. really it's tough to it's going to be
- 22:30Speaker 1: a bit it is a bit skewed given their division
- 22:34Speaker 1: you know you look at the Rams you know the
- 22:37Speaker 1: Rams are rolling out a good defense but they've got
- 22:40Speaker 1: teams in their division that can put up points you
- 22:43Speaker 1: know so I think Denver is going to roll out
- 22:47Speaker 1: a good defense I think the Chargers are going to
- 22:49Speaker 1: roll out a good defense it'll be interesting to see
- 22:54Speaker 1: where that falls Chicago, Carolina, this will be our last
- 22:58Speaker 1: game we talk about, minus two and a half of
- 23:00Speaker 1: the Bears on the road. That is an overinflated opinion
- 23:05Speaker 1: on the Bears based on what they did last year,
- 23:08Speaker 1: and it is a disrespect to Carolina based on what
- 23:12Speaker 1: they did last year. I think Carolina's the play art.
- 23:19Speaker 2: I can't disagree. I would take the points with Carolina.
- 23:21Speaker 2: I'd probably even sprinkle the money line. The Bears are,
- 23:24Speaker 2: once again, one of those two or three teams that
- 23:26Speaker 2: is the sexy offseason team. Everybody loves the Bears. Everybody's
- 23:30Speaker 2: picking Caleb Williams to do stuff. Bears to make a
- 23:32Speaker 2: Super Bowl run. I don't buy it with the Bears.
- 23:36Speaker 3: Joke.
- 23:38Speaker 4: I don't like the Bears long term, but I probably
- 23:41Speaker 4: like them enough in this game that I would look
- 23:43Speaker 4: to back them. I mean, somebody's got to win that division,
- 23:47Speaker 4: the AFC North here. But I think they're good enough
- 23:52Speaker 4: to be able to get it done against Carolina, who
- 23:55Speaker 4: I still think is going to be better than they
- 23:58Speaker 4: were again a year ago.
- 23:59Speaker 3: I like the trajectory, but I like the Bears in
- 24:02Speaker 3: this one.
- 24:04Speaker 1: Guys, we're going to do a quick mailbag section first,
- 24:06Speaker 1: and then I'll duck out and leave you guys to
- 24:09Speaker 1: do the MLB rundown. Pablo writes, and guys, please make
- 24:15Speaker 1: sure to subscribe to our channel, like our videos, let
- 24:19Speaker 1: your friends know about what we're doing, and comment, because
- 24:22Speaker 1: we read the comments. So Pablo goes off about Mark Carney,
- 24:26Speaker 1: the Prime Minister of Canada, and then he asks, hey, Prez,
- 24:29Speaker 1: are you an elbow-zo? So Joe and Art... I am
- 24:35Speaker 1: not cool enough to know what the hell that means.
- 24:37Speaker 1: Do either of you know what an Elbozo is?
- 24:40Speaker 3: No idea.
- 24:44Speaker 2: That's the first time I've ever heard that.
- 24:45Speaker 3: I've never heard of Elbo. No idea. No.
- 24:49Speaker 1: He goes, hey, Prez, are you an Elbozo? So I
- 24:53Speaker 1: don't know what you're talking about. B-Monger should have gone
- 24:57Speaker 1: all in, Prez. He's talking about the aces and betting the,
- 25:01Speaker 1: shoving with the, 30-something big blinds with aces. Yeah, that's
- 25:06Speaker 1: why you're not playing in a $ 5, 000 event today, and
- 25:10Speaker 1: I am. You have to maximize the cards you get,
- 25:15Speaker 1: and if you lose, you lose. That's just the way
- 25:17Speaker 1: it works. But that would be equivalent of selling a
- 25:22Speaker 1: winning bet for $ 0. 10 on the dollar. So I'm not sorry.
- 25:27Speaker 1: I played that right, and God had other wishes he
- 25:33Speaker 1: needed me to be on the show today yes David
- 25:37Speaker 1: took David Wright's awesome show art great sharp bets Ralph
- 25:41Speaker 1: segment is amazing Richie we got an inside guy and
- 25:47Speaker 1: Richie then talks about Clay Travis Joe tell us about
- 25:51Speaker 1: the show you're on with you're on Clay Travis's network right.
- 25:56Speaker 4: Correct yep sport and state And just go to sportandstate.com,
- 26:02Speaker 4: or you can go to the show channel on Tilt
- 26:05Speaker 4: Show on YouTube, 4 o'clock each Monday through Friday.
- 26:10Speaker 3: It's a great name.
- 26:11Speaker 1: On Tilt, Joe, Ariel, and Kelly. Freebird agrees with me
- 26:17Speaker 1: about the jet lag to Australia. He's done it. And, yeah,
- 26:22Speaker 1: that's going to be a real thing. Jason writes, Prez,
- 26:26Speaker 1: you have an impressive winning percentage for your past. Four
- 26:29Speaker 1: seasons of college football totals. Thanks, my friend. We'll win
- 26:32Speaker 1: the one on Saturday and keep that moving. Does Kelshi
- 26:37Speaker 1: have no-run first innings? Proxy asks. Joe, do you know?
- 26:41Speaker 1: I don't think so.
- 26:43Speaker 3: I'm going to look right now here, Prez.
- 26:49Speaker 4: No, they do no-run.
- 26:51Speaker 3: No, they do not.
- 26:53Speaker 1: Okay, and then, Joe, we have a request from Logan,
- 26:57Speaker 1: and I'll end here, for a new song, the 10
- 27:01Speaker 1: woman guys.
- 27:04Speaker 3: Okay. Oh, you got it.
- 27:06Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 27:07Speaker 3: Done.
- 27:08Speaker 1: The 10. It'd be like, Joe is late. Why again?
- 27:12Speaker 3: Cause he's a woman. God damn. That's a, all right.
- 27:17Speaker 3: We'll have to make a followup to it. That's fine.
- 27:19Speaker 3: We can do that.
- 27:21Speaker 1: Okay. Boys. I'm out of here. I'm going to play
- 27:23Speaker 1: the 5k, 10 million up top guaranteed prize pool. If
- 27:28Speaker 1: I make it through, I won't see you tomorrow. If
- 27:31Speaker 1: I don't, I will. Lots of love, everybody. Thanks for watching. Joe, Art,
- 27:35Speaker 1: take it away. MLB Rundown, all yours.
- 27:38Speaker 3: Good luck here, Art.
- 27:39Speaker 4: Let's take a look at some of this atrociousness that
- 27:43Speaker 4: we have going on here today.
- 27:47Speaker 3: I keep thinking, Art, it's Friday, but it's not. Yeah.
- 27:50Speaker 1: Right?
- 27:50Speaker 4: It feels like a Friday. But a couple of afternoon games,
- 27:54Speaker 4: we'll pass those over. Blue Jays, Guardians, Giants. Pirates, White Sox,
- 27:58Speaker 4: and Angels. Let's start with the Red Sox now taking
- 28:01Speaker 4: on the Orioles. The Orioles lost a heartbreaker last night
- 28:06Speaker 4: in epic fashion to Colorado.
- 28:07Speaker 3: That was disgusting.
- 28:09Speaker 4: Red Sox can't seem to beat the Yankees, and they
- 28:13Speaker 4: certainly didn't beat Seattle. Bennett against Young. What are we
- 28:18Speaker 4: thinking here? Art, never liked that trip back from Colorado
- 28:22Speaker 4: the next day.
- 28:23Speaker 2: No, yeah, they were on a nine-game road trip, lost
- 28:26Speaker 2: in heartbreaking fashion. You got to look at the Red
- 28:28Speaker 2: Sox here.
- 28:29Speaker 3: I agree.
- 28:29Speaker 4: Brewers, Cubs, Logan Henderson taking on Kevin Gausman has been
- 28:34Speaker 4: great for the Cubs since coming over from Toronto. It's
- 28:37Speaker 4: basically a pick-em prize. I'll pick the Brewers.
- 28:39Speaker 3: What are you thinking?
- 28:41Speaker 2: Yeah, and what would that be? The Brewers winning three
- 28:43Speaker 2: out of four here and really strangleholding that division. Not
- 28:46Speaker 2: that the Cubs are really going to catch them, but
- 28:49Speaker 2: after the Cubs won game one, it looks like the
- 28:50Speaker 2: Brewers got their feet Under them, I'm with you. Brewers
- 28:53Speaker 2: are passed.
- 28:54Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah. The Royals did it to me again last night.
- 28:57Speaker 3: Great job, Royals. Really good.
- 28:59Speaker 4: Now they got to take on Sandy Alcantara. Waka on
- 29:02Speaker 4: the mound.
- 29:03Speaker 3: I give up with this series, Art. Any thoughts?
- 29:06Speaker 2: Yeah, like I said, the one sharp play we had
- 29:08Speaker 2: in baseball today was the Royals, so they are back
- 29:10Speaker 2: in Kansas City at home.
- 29:11Speaker 3: Now you're going to make me bet them again.
- 29:13Speaker 4: All right, Rays and Rangers, McClanahan against Cal Quantrill. I
- 29:18Speaker 4: do like the Rangers in this spot, getting a run
- 29:22Speaker 4: and a half at home.
- 29:23Speaker 3: What are you thinking, Art?
- 29:26Speaker 2: Man, the Rangers really need to put some wins together here.
- 29:28Speaker 2: I know they were fine against the A's, but then
- 29:30Speaker 2: they got blown out yesterday. I actually like the under
- 29:32Speaker 2: in the game.
- 29:33Speaker 4: Mariners flying back home, now taking on the Athletics. I'm
- 29:37Speaker 4: not laying $ 2 with Anderson.
- 29:39Speaker 3: I get it. Nice rookie, but no, I'm not doing it.
- 29:43Speaker 4: Even against the Athletics, who are winning more games than
- 29:45Speaker 4: they should be there, Art.
- 29:47Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, I think Seattle's a rat. I
- 29:49Speaker 2: know that their schedule lines up for them to maybe
- 29:51Speaker 2: make a run here, but you can't lay that price
- 29:54Speaker 2: with Seattle.
- 29:55Speaker 4: Dodgers taking on the Cardinals here. Scooble on the mound.
- 29:59Speaker 4: What are we thinking tonight, Art?
- 30:02Speaker 2: Look at that price. That price is ridiculous. There have
- 30:04Speaker 2: been a lot of runs in this series. I don't know.
- 30:08Speaker 2: Maybe Scooble shuts down St. Louis today. Maybe a team
- 30:11Speaker 2: total under. For the Cardinals.
- 30:13Speaker 3: $ 3. Unbelievable. And there you got it here, guys.
- 30:16Speaker 4: Short card here. Getaway day in Major League Baseball. Don't
- 30:20Speaker 4: forget to hit that like and subscribe button. Become part
- 30:23Speaker 4: here of the WagerTalk TV family. Art and I will
- 30:26Speaker 4: be back tomorrow. We'll talk about some of our week
- 30:28Speaker 4: one college football selections. Getting ready, of course, for the
- 30:33Speaker 4: first full weekend of football. And a lot of football
- 30:36Speaker 4: over the next, you know, four or five months here
- 30:39Speaker 4: on the weekend. So, Looking forward to that. Make sure
- 30:42Speaker 4: that like and subscribe button is hit. Come back and
- 30:44Speaker 4: join us tomorrow for another edition of the best betting
- 30:48Speaker 4: show ever.
- 30:48Speaker 3: Enjoy.