Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 277 - 5/13/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 277 - 5/13/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 277 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:37
Happy Tuesday. The early portion of our week
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rolls on and we got a lot to get to, a lot to talk about, a lot
0:44
of games to dissect and bet on today I have a four pack of
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sweats that I'm excited to break down the guys, including a bet
0:51
in the NBA playoffs. 2 big games here tonight.
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I'm going to focus on one total, just like last night, that has
0:57
all three rhythm recommendations lighting up in One Direction.
1:00
So stay tuned for that and then we're going to get right back to
1:03
Major League Baseball. I have a three pack of plays for
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you guys today. And I also want to mention the
1:08
importance of the odds logic live odds page.
1:10
You guys hear me talk about it during every podcast.
1:13
Usually it's it's at the back end of the pod where you wrap
1:16
things up. I tell you about rhythm and
1:17
juice reel and I shield to for you guys to buy my books.
1:21
Of course. No, no, no embarrassment there
1:23
because I'm proud of them. I think they can benefit you.
1:25
But anyway, I always mention odds logic.
1:28
So I want to mention one thing that happened to me which I
1:31
found out first on Odds Logic and is a great kind of
1:34
encapsulation of how Odds Logic can help you to make smart bets.
1:38
So stay tuned for that. It has to do with their
1:40
notifications which are very very quick and I actually saw
1:44
this notification before anyone else reported it.
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So I want to give a shout out to Odds Logic and remind you guys
1:49
again how you can sign up to get a 7 day free trial and 50% off
1:53
your first month using the Odds logic.com/josh 123 link.
1:58
Now that being said, other than my Celtics blown it last night,
2:01
another big lead and Jayson Tatum probably rupturing his
2:04
Achilles and ending the title chances to repeat and probably
2:09
being out all of next year. All right, P to the Celtics most
2:13
likely, although they are favored in the next game at home
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by like 4 1/2, which is kind of intriguing.
2:17
But besides that, from our perspective, good night to to
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start the week off last night, guys 3 and 1 + 1.22 units went
2:25
two and one in baseball. Had a couple big hits there with
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the New York Mets. They actually blew it.
2:31
I don't know why Edmund Diaz didn't come in.
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I don't know if he's hurt or maybe pitched the previous game,
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but they brought in some other guy who gave up a run to the
2:37
Pirates. I'm like, here we go again.
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But luckily the Mets walked it off in the bottom of the ninth.
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And then the Yankees, their bats came to life in Seattle, had a
2:45
couple winners there with the New York teams.
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Only lost was the Red Sox, and boy was it a loss.
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They got their faces ripped off. That was pretty pathetic. 14 to
2:52
2. So either way, two and one
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winning night in MLB. And then we also got a winner in
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the NBA postseason, Minnesota, Golden State over 199 1/2.
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Love that play for a couple of reasons.
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Number one was the fact that we were able to shop around and get
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a really good #199 1/2 at DraftKings.
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The importance of having multiple outs shopping for the
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best price, but we got the 199 1/2 that actually closed at two
3:16
O 1 1/2. So we beat the closing line and
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if you remember, we had three rhythm models.
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They're all basically around 2O four.
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So we had a good shop for the best line.
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We had a really good bet split in that game.
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If you guys remember I'm looking at it right now.
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Remember it was what was it 80% bets 90% dollars on the over at
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DraftKings 73% bets over 90% dollars at circa.
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We had a sharp mush edge and beautiful cash that over as that
3:44
total flew over. So overall guys 3 and 1 + 1.22
3:48
units. Good start to the week.
3:50
As always sports betting, the challenge is if you have a
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winning day to try to post another winning day.
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Get a hot streak going. If you have a losing day, the
3:57
challenge of course is to bounce back, keep your head up and try
3:59
to find some winners on the next day's slate.
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With that being said, let's dive right into it.
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Now. I want to start off with some
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NBA because there is a game tonight that is checking off
4:09
with quite a few boxes for me. So I want to go to the late game
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tonight. 9:30 PM Eastern Time, we got the Denver Nuggets
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visiting the Oklahoma City Thunder.
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This series is tied two to two. Big Game 5 here for tonight.
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Now in terms of the side, not a ton of movement.
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You know, we open this game pretty much OK C -, 10 -, 10
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1/2. You're pretty much sitting
4:30
around 10 here at this point. One thing I did notice is if you
4:34
take a look at the best splits for this game, you kind of
4:37
seeing basically a little bit of, you know, kind of public
4:41
money. I would say on Denver, 75% bets,
4:43
but only 54% dollars on the spread at DraftKings.
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But at Circa, you're actually looking at OK C being a little
4:50
bit sharp, 41% bets, 53% dollars.
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So I have no dog in the fight. It is a big number.
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Again, some books have dipped a little bit toward the Nuggets,
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but they are a little bit trendy.
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I got nothing in here for this side, but I do have a play for
5:04
you guys on the total. So just like last night, wash,
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rinse for Pete. Let's root for some points.
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I'm going Nuggets Thunder over 221.
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Now the importance here is getting 221 because that is
5:17
available at DraftKings, but we do have a bunch of other books
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around the market at 221 1/2. So again, have those multiple
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outs. But if we look at kind of the
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way we're breaking on the scheme like we do any other game, first
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thing I noticed is that this total did rise a little bit.
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Most books opened around 2:20. We've now been bet up to two,
5:34
21221 1/2. Straight off the bat, we got
5:37
some money flowing over. If you look at the bet splits,
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just like last night, both DraftKings and Circa are showing
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a pretty good low bets, higher dollar split on the over.
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If you'll get DraftKings, 76% of bets and 87% of dollars are on
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this over. And if you look at Circa, 64%
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bets, 82% dollars on the over. So the total is ticked up.
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We got low bets, higher dollars at both DraftKings and Circa.
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And then if we go to our rhythm recommendations here, all three
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predictions in models are telling us to take the over.
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I have one model with a total of 221.9.
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I have another model at 222.6 and I have a third model at
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223.5. So if you remember last night,
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you know we needed to go over 199 1/2 and most of our models
6:24
are around 2O four. That was basically a 4 1/2 point
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edge. This one not quite as
6:28
pronounced, but you are looking at around two to three-point
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edge toward the over again with rhythm predicting most of these
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models around 222-220-3224 and again, we just need a 222 to
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catch this over. The other thing I'm thinking
6:44
about is a buy low opportunity because if you guys remember the
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last game to type the series you had OKC win in Denver, 92 to 87,
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extremely low scoring game. But we've seen a big discrepancy
6:56
between the games that are in Denver and the games that are in
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OK C here. Because you look at the two
7:00
games in Denver, both low scoring altitude, you know, 217
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and 179. That's an average of 198.
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You're not even breaking 200 on average out in Denver.
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But do you guys remember what happened in those first two
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games in OK C? You had a 121 to 119 game and a
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149 to one O 6 game. So the two games in Denver were
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217 and 179. The two games in OK C were 2:55
7:26
and 2:40. That's an average of around 247
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1/2. So maybe it's the play style.
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Maybe it's something about the Nuggets at home or sorry, the
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Thunder at home. Maybe you're getting away from
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the altitude. Rest is pretty much the same.
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You're one day on, one day off. So nothing huge differently in
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terms of that. But if we have a total that's
7:46
ticked up a bit, we can get a good #221 still at DraftKings.
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We got low bets, higher dollar splits at DraftKings and Circa.
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We have rhythm recommendations. They're telling us to take the
7:55
over. A lot of these are between 2:22,
7:58
2/23 and 2:24. We have a buy low play on a
8:02
previous game that went way under.
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And then we have again, the style of play at home leading to
8:07
much higher scoring games so far this series.
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So you add it all up here, guys. We had an over that cashed last
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night on a very low total. This one's obviously quite a bit
8:15
higher, 20 points higher than last night's game, but to me,
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whether it's a lower number, higher number, kind of the same
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thing applies. A total that was started a
8:24
little bit low, got ticked up, good bet splits, good rhythm
8:27
recommendations, and again, style of play at home in OK C.
8:30
So Long story short, late game for me on the East Coast that
8:33
starts at 9:30 PM Eastern Time, it's going to be on TNT and I'm
8:38
going to root for some points in this one.
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So I'm going OK, C Denver over 221 and again, a lot of books
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are 221 1/2. Make sure you got access to
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DraftKings 221. Now over to some Major League
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Baseball because we got three games here tonight.
8:54
That caught my eye, to be honest with you guys.
8:55
I could have added a few more, but I didn't want to push it too
8:58
much. But I did find one right off the
9:00
bat that was a great lesson in the importance of odds logic in
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their live odds page, which you hear me talk about quite a bit.
9:07
Now I'm going to set the stage. I'm going to tell you how odds
9:10
logic helped me to bet this game.
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So it's a 6:40 PM Eastern Time game, little bit earlier than
9:16
usual, between the White Sox and the Cincinnati Red Legs.
9:20
Let's set the stage and I'll give you my angle for this one.
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The White Sox come in, of course.
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One of the worst teams in baseball, 12 and 29, just took
9:27
two or three against the Marlins.
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They won that series finale 4 to 2 as a + 115 home dog.
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Meanwhile, the Red Legs, 20 and 22 on the year, just dropped two
9:36
or three against the Astros. They lost that series finale 6
9:39
to nothing as a + 125 Rd. dog. So what are we seeing across the
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market for this one? Well, pitching match up, this is
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important. The White Sox were slated to
9:49
start ready Jonathan Cannon. He's two and four with a four
9:53
point O 9 ERA and we were expecting the Reds to go with
9:56
the lefty Andrew Abbott, He's 2 and O with a 2.25 ERA.
10:01
However, we did see a bit of a change take place for this game.
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Now, it doesn't change my cap, but I think it's the importance
10:09
of getting these alerts as soon as you can.
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So I'm operating on the premises of Canon versus Abbott.
10:16
But as I'm looking at my odds logic live odds page, I got my
10:19
notifications lit up. I see a little notice, I'm a
10:22
little alert, makes a little Ding, sound, Ding, Ding.
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It says game 973, Chicago White Sox.
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What is it? Jonathan Cannon scratched from
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scheduled start Tuesday at Cincinnati.
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Following notification 10 seconds later, game 973.
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Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Brandon Isert has been
10:40
named the starter Tuesday at Cincinnati.
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So why is that important? It's important because on the
10:46
one hand, you want to get these alerts as soon as you can
10:49
because again, you want to be able to bet accordingly.
10:52
But the other angle here is, you know, we talked about this, or
10:55
at least I try to, probably not as often as I should, but
10:57
baseball action versus listed pitcher, it's very important
11:00
here because when you're betting baseball, I always recommend
11:03
listed pitcher. Basically what that means is you
11:07
are betting a game based on all the work that you've put in to
11:10
handicap that game based on the starting pitchers.
11:12
Starting pitchers are really important.
11:14
They're like the quarterback in the NFL, the goalie in hockey.
11:17
You know, basketball, you don't really have that one player, but
11:19
you know, star players being in or out can really affect the
11:21
line. The whole point being is that,
11:23
you know, to protect yourself, you want to bet listed pitcher.
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That way if a guy gets scratched, you know your bet,
11:30
your bet is voided and you can always just bet it again.
11:32
If you bet action again, you're kind of tied to that no matter
11:35
what happens. So the important thing here is
11:37
that I like the Reds prior to this pitching change.
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So I had bet the Reds at -200 Now they open around -190 they
11:45
got steamed up to -200 some books even as high as -210 -,
11:49
220. I like the splits on the Reds.
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92% bets 95% dollars at DraftKings, 93% bets, 99%
11:57
dollars at Circa. Reds have a ton of system
12:00
matches here. Home favorites -200 or more, 62
12:03
and 1581 percent, 13% ROI. Both teams below 500 take the
12:08
favorite 49 and 2071 percent, 15% ROI.
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Interleague. Home favorites 69 and 3964
12:16
percent, 7% ROI. Both teams coming off a day off
12:20
take the favorite 44 and 1772 percent, 18% ROI.
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So all these angles, the big steam, the good bet splits, the
12:28
big system matches all in the Reds.
12:31
But here's the thing, if you bet listed pitcher, as soon as I got
12:35
that alert from odds logic that we had cannon scratched and
12:38
Brandon Isert starting, my bet got voided because of listed
12:42
pitcher. So when I saw that alert, what I
12:45
did was I immediately went back to go bet the game again and
12:49
again. It's one more step, it's a
12:50
little more work, but you want to be able to at least protect
12:53
yourself. And you can always just re bet
12:55
it again. If I didn't see that alert and I
12:58
bet listed pitcher or sorry. Yeah, and I bet listed pitcher.
13:01
Let's say I forget about. I don't notice it.
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You know, I got to pick up groceries after this and make
13:06
some dinner before the wife gets home.
13:08
I got some things I got to do today.
13:09
What if I forget about it? I start to watch the game.
13:13
Let's say the Reds win. I don't know, 7 to one.
13:15
I'm happy. I want to bet.
13:17
Then I say to myself, whoa, whoa.
13:19
I log into my account, my bet MGM account.
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There's no winner there. It says void.
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Well, it's voided because the starting pitcher got scratched.
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So this is a long winded way of me saying odds logic is a great
13:30
live odds page. I usually highlight how you can
13:32
track the lines, shop for the best price again, anticipate
13:36
line moves, get better numbers. But with these notifications, it
13:39
can help you to to again, especially in baseball, starting
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pitcher get scratched. You want to know immediately.
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So I immediately went right back in and bet the Reds at -200 Reds
13:50
also, we just continue the cap here.
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They have the better bats, starting 238. 42 homers, 198
13:56
runs scored. White Sox only hitting two 1429
13:59
homers, 139 runs scored. I want to bet against Chicago on
14:02
the road. 3 and 17 on the road this year.
14:05
Second worst record in baseball. Only the Rockies are worse.
14:08
White Sox are only hitting 217 against lefties.
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Facing Abbott tonight, they ranked 23rd.
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Reds are hitting 245 against righties.
14:15
That ranks 17th. And if we dig a little deeper
14:18
here, I want to back Abbott. Big lefty, he's been really
14:22
good. I remember when he was a rookie
14:23
and he got called up. He has a 0.00 ERA and too many
14:27
starts. No runs allowed in nine innings.
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That's about as good as you can get.
14:31
In fact, you can't get any better than that.
14:33
And at home versus the road, on the road, ERA of three, nothing
14:36
wrong with that. At home, ERA of 1.
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So there's a starting picture that got scratched.
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Maybe you bet this. You read my sharp report earlier
14:42
today. If you already bet it, action
14:46
again, I'd recommend listed pitcher, but you are safe in
14:48
this situation. That's the thing with action,
14:50
like it can help you or it can hurt you, but you're flipping
14:52
the coin. Listed pitcher, you always just
14:54
get voided and you can just bet the game right again.
14:56
So that's that's the advantage there.
14:59
The Long story short, if you already bet it, you might want
15:01
to double check to see if it got voided or not.
15:03
But I'm going to stick with this spot here and go with and go
15:08
with the Reds. I got a -, 200 at Bet MGM and
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also funny how things work out. I just got two more alerts on my
15:14
Odds Logic page telling me that Saint Louis and Philly and
15:17
Minnesota and Baltimore, both those games got postponed.
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So I got those alerts there as well.
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But again, pitching change example why Odds Logic is great.
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I am on the Reds -200 next one for you.
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Let's look at a 7 O 7:00 PM Eastern Time, first pitch
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between Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays.
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Now going into it we got the Rays 18 and 22 on the year just
15:41
took two or three against the Brew Crew didn't get the sweep
15:43
though. They lost that series finale 4
15:45
to 2 as a -, 140 home favorite. Meanwhile the Jays 20 and 20 on
15:50
the year 1 four in a row though just swept the Mariners in
15:53
Seattle. They won that series finale 9 to
15:55
one as a + 155 Rd. dog. So pitching matchup tonight we
16:00
got the Rays going with the ready Shane Baz.
16:02
He is 3 and 2 with a 4.93 ERA. You know all the Jays are going
16:06
to go with the ready Jose Burrios one and one 3.86 ERA.
16:11
What have we seen across the market for this one?
16:13
Well, we have the Toronto Blue Jays opening as around a very
16:17
short -120 home favorite, Tampa Bay around a plus one O 5 row
16:21
dog and sharps have jumped on the Jays at home.
16:24
That's where I'm going guys. Give me the Jays.
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Jays got steamed up -120 now up to -130 a lot of books know as
16:31
high as -135 -, 140. I got Toronto -130 at bet MGM.
16:37
Look at the bet splits here. They look pretty good on the
16:39
Jays. 68% bets, 69% dollars at DraftKings at Circa only 53%
16:45
bets but 65% dollars. So both low bets, higher dollar
16:49
splits, especially out in Vegas look pretty good on Toronto.
16:52
I have 5 system matches on the Jays here.
16:54
Some of the best ones home favorites.
16:56
Simple system, but it continues to cash 245 and one 4164 percent
17:02
4% ROI this year. Rested favorites coming off a
17:05
day off 65 and 3068 percent, 12% ROI.
17:09
And when both teams are coming off a day off, which is the case
17:12
here, take the favorite 44 and 1772 percent, 18% ROI.
17:18
And that's the same system that lit up there on the Reds.
17:21
Dig a little deeper here. We do have some correlative
17:23
betting favorite low total. So the total on this one is 8.
17:27
Again, 8 1/2 is your line of demarcation.
17:29
If it's eight or less, it's a low total.
17:30
If it's nine or higher, it's a high total.
17:33
We do have a total here of eight.
17:35
So if your amount of expected runs scored more likely to come
17:38
from quote UN quote, that better team.
17:40
Shane Bass, by the way, he was great to start, but in May he's
17:43
made two starts and he has an area of 13.
17:46
He's giving up thirteen runs in nine innings.
17:48
Meanwhile, Barrios 2.84 ERA in two May starts, he's only giving
17:52
up four runs in 12.2 and he's pitched in Toronto is five and
17:56
two in his last seven starts. So we got some steam in favor of
17:59
Toronto, got some good bet splits, got good system matches
18:03
here and a little cherry on top, 14% sharp mush edge in favor of
18:08
the Jays at Juice Real. So 14% more of the sharper
18:11
winning betters are going with the Jays as opposed to the more
18:15
profit deficient betters who are leaning on Tampa Bay.
18:18
So give me Toronto on this one guys.
18:20
Let's get a win north of the border.
18:22
Got him at -130 at Bet MGM. Another one for you.
18:25
Last one in baseball tonight I would call an ain't broke don't
18:29
fix it play New York Yankees at the Seattle Mariners first pitch
18:33
9:40 PM Eastern Time tonight in the Pacific Northwest.
18:37
Now Yankees 24 and 17 had a big win for us last night 11 to 5.
18:41
Boy did their bats come alive out of nowhere.
18:43
Things like 4th 5th inning they scored like seven runs but they
18:47
took your business as around a -. 150 Rd. favorite last night.
18:51
Now pitching match up for tonight we have the lefty Max
18:54
Freed. Big offseason edition for the
18:56
Yankees. Big game, a big contract from
18:58
the Braves. He's been awesome. 6 and O one
19:00
point O 5 ERA. You know the Mariners who are 22
19:03
and 18. They're going to go with the
19:05
ready Brian Wu, who's four and one with a 3.25 ERA.
19:08
Now, what have we seen across the market for this one?
19:12
Well, not a huge steam move, but an angle here to continue to
19:15
back the Yankees. Yankees open this game around a
19:19
-. 130 - 135 Rd. favorite we've now seen the Yankees get but up
19:24
to around -140 some shops even -145 S not a Big Ten 20-30 cents
19:29
steam move, but about a 5 to $0.10 steam move in favor of New
19:32
York. Like I like the bet splits on
19:35
the Bronx Bombers 80% bets 82% dollars at DraftKings.
19:39
At Circa, this is a big 160% bets 97% dollars.
19:44
So big lopsided support out in Vegas on the Yankees.
19:48
I have 4 system matches on New York.
19:51
First one. Here are a couple of the best
19:53
ones. Favorites who made the playoffs
19:55
the previous season, 2 O two and one, 1763 percent, 3% ROI.
20:01
Favorites with line movement in their direction who made the
20:03
playoffs the previous season. Even better, 146 and 7068
20:08
percent, 8% ROI. We have a really good
20:11
correlative betting favorite, low total favorite here of
20:14
around -140 -, 145 with a total of 7 1/2 and it's just under
20:19
could be a low scoring game. More, more benefit there to the
20:23
better team. Was expected to win, which is
20:25
always a good thing. I'm going to bank on the
20:27
Yankees. I mean #1 let's have a good
20:29
start from Max Freed. But hopefully the bats of New
20:32
York can get to Brian Wu because the Yankees are awesome hitting.
20:36
I don't want to jinx them. And Aaron Judges numbers are
20:39
ridiculous, but Yankees are hitting 26774 homers, 246 runs
20:45
scored. Seattle's only hitting 24256
20:49
homers, 197 runs scored. New York is hitting 282 on the
20:53
road, first in baseball. Seattle's only hitting 2:15 at
20:56
home. That ranks 29th.
20:58
And Max Freed, 0.64 ERA and two May starts.
21:01
He's only giving up one run in 14 innings.
21:04
And on the road, 0.44 ERA at home, 1.44.
21:09
So again, modest number here. Little bit of line movement,
21:13
good system matches. I want to back Freed.
21:16
Let's hope the inks bats can stay hot.
21:17
I'm on the Yankees. I got him at -140 It should
21:21
still be available at Bet MGM and Caesar's, but shop around
21:24
cuz some other books are closer to -145 S the Red Legs, Toronto
21:29
and the Yankees. And again, let's get some points
21:31
over 221 OKC in Denver tonight. So that about does it for
21:37
episode 277 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
21:41
powered by Rhythm. Of course.
21:43
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
21:45
start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
21:48
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
21:51
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
21:54
with me. Win, lose or draw.
21:56
Good day, bad day. The fact that we continue to
21:59
grind as a community from a data-driven perspective, that
22:02
makes me very proud to toast this pod.
22:04
But if you do enjoy the pod and you want to again, let me know
22:07
you appreciate it. Could you do me a solid, it cost
22:09
you no money and take you 2 seconds to do it.
22:12
Just give this podcast a five star review.
22:15
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, you want to leave a
22:18
nice comment in the review section.
22:20
I'll take it you want to click the follow button.
22:22
That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
22:24
You want to recommend the pod to a friend.
22:26
All of those would be again much appreciated.
22:29
Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, data-driven
22:33
sharp contrarian betting focusing on line movement, bet
22:36
split system matches, taking a contrarian approach, not betting
22:39
based on our gut instinct and bias.
22:41
We all have them. But again, usually, usually
22:44
they're wrong. So that's why you don't want to
22:46
bet with your gut instinct and bias.
22:47
Stay tuned to the numbers. I bet with your head and not
22:49
your heart. But if you want to learn more
22:51
about data-driven betting, you have someone in your life who
22:53
could use a bit of a data-driven approach.
22:56
Or maybe you just want to support the pod.
22:58
You know you could do. You could make my day by going
23:01
to Amazon.com and typing in the Everything Guide to Sports
23:05
Betting. It's my first book I ever wrote.
23:07
Very proud of it. It's great for new betters,
23:09
especially if you're in a newly legalized state.
23:12
But it's got everything I've learned in the industry.
23:13
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
23:16
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
23:18
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
23:21
a bankroll management plan. It's all included in the
23:24
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:26
While you're at it, picking up the Everything Guide.
23:29
Also, you should stay on Amazon.com and type in the NFL
23:32
Sharp Betting Playbook. It's my new book.
23:34
It comes out August 12th. It's all about how to bet the
23:37
NFL from a data-driven approach. I cannot wait for it to get out
23:41
there and for you guys to check it out.
23:43
But if you want to pick up a pre-ordered copy, you would make
23:46
my day times 2 and I very much appreciate it.
23:49
So you can bring the Sharp Betting Playbook pre-order and
23:53
the everything guide to the sports book.
23:55
I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
23:57
ale and we'll sweat some games together.
23:59
Get some, get some mozzarella sticks.
24:00
What do you think next? Have you downloaded Rhythm and
24:04
Juice Real yet? My two favorite sports betting
24:06
apps. If you haven't, what are you
24:08
waiting for? Great example last night Rhythm
24:11
recommending that over in the Warriors game for us.
24:15
Last night came through. Rhythm is great for their AI
24:18
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
24:21
Also, WNBA is right around the corner, so we might dabble in
24:25
some WNBA and Rhythm does have WNBA predictions, so stay tuned
24:29
for that. If you bet MLB player props,
24:31
Rhythms got you covered there as well.
24:33
Then also Juice Reel where you can.
24:35
I'm going to hold out the hat, pass the hat.
24:38
If you got a $5.00 bill and you want to support the the podcast
24:41
because the pod is free. But if you wanted to sign up to
24:45
get the all systems go official best bets from the Juice Reel
24:49
Buy sell page 5 bucks a week 499 again, I think of it as a tip
24:54
jar. If you have a good bartender who
24:56
takes care of you or a good waiter or waitress and you know
25:00
they give you good service. Hey, give him a little tip and I
25:03
will. I will accept tips in the form
25:05
of you signing up to get the all systems go best bet picks to
25:08
make juice real happy make me happy.
25:11
You'll get numbers earlier in the day and you also hopefully
25:15
beat some closing lines, which is always the goal.
25:17
But aside from that, you also get the robo Jackson best bet
25:19
picks each day, the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage
25:22
opportunities, the shop for the best line futures.
25:25
Sync up your sports books to the app, all your sports betting
25:29
apps. And once you do that, you'll get
25:31
a running report card of all your action as well as real bets
25:34
and dollars wagered from everyone who's downloaded the
25:36
app on Juice Reel. So go download Juice Reel, go
25:39
download rhythm, give him a shot with a 7 day free trial.
25:42
Get the all systems go best bet picks from Juice Reel and you'll
25:46
be off and running and give him a five star view in the App
25:48
Store while you're at it. Lastly, I mentioned earlier, but
25:52
you got to have a live odds page if you're betting on sports.
25:54
Sports betting is hard enough. Trying to beat these razor sharp
25:57
lines the odds maker set trying to overcome the juice, trying to
26:00
avoid bad beats and ref screwing us and bullpens imploding in the
26:03
9th inning. You know we don't.
26:06
What did JFK used to say? We don't do it because it's
26:08
easy. We do it because it's because
26:09
it's hot. That's why we're going to the
26:11
moon. But again, we don't bet on
26:13
sports because it's easy. That would be great.
26:15
We'd all make money. But part of the reason why
26:18
sports betting is, is so, I don't know, challenging is that
26:21
it's hard to win. So when you do win, it means
26:24
more. And when you're losing, you
26:25
don't get down on yourself as much because you know you're in
26:27
a very difficult business. But you got to have a live odds
26:31
page that'll make your life a lot easier.
26:33
It won't make it completely easy, but it will make it easier
26:36
to #1 figure out what games are being played that day, what
26:39
games can I get down on, what games are available to me.
26:42
And then of course, you'll also get, which is the most important
26:45
thing, all the numbers, all the current odds for all the
26:48
different sports books have a opening column that never
26:50
changes, only shows you the opening number for every game to
26:53
the right of that is all the current numbers.
26:55
Shop for the best price, look for the best number immediately.
26:59
See which direction the line is moved as well as as I mentioned
27:03
today, getting those notifications letting you know
27:05
if a guy gets scratched, if a, you know, quarterback is hurt,
27:08
downgraded and doubtful if you can, you know, get a game
27:12
postponed, they'll let you know there as well.
27:14
It's really all-encompassing and there are many live odds pages
27:17
out there, but the best is odds logic.
27:20
So give odds logic a shot with a 7 day free trial and 50% off
27:23
your first month by going to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
27:30
So that about does it for episode 277 on a big Tuesday
27:33
here guys. I want to wish you the best of
27:35
luck tonight, but as always, I'll leave you with two final
27:38
thoughts. One, whether I see you at the
27:40
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
27:43
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in
27:45
Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park
27:48
casino R.E.M. GM Springfield.
27:50
And my neck of the woods are at the Nash in Nashville, New
27:52
Hampshire. Or of course, out in the desert
27:54
where the true grinders get down.
27:55
Or Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest
27:58
juice possible is found at the South Point where sweat and
28:00
sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
28:03
When you catch a big ticket at Circa whoever, maybe you're
28:06
going to walk up to me. Show me a beautiful Minnesota
28:10
Golden State over 199 1/2. Show me a Yankees ticket.
28:13
Show me a Mets ticket. Guess what?
28:15
First one's on me, next one's on you.
28:17
We'll post about the book and sweat data-driven place all
28:19
night long. So wish the best luck everyone.
28:22
Have a great Tuesday night. As always.
28:25
Stay sharp, stay, stay contrarian, bet against the
28:28
public. Place yourself on the side of
28:30
the house, always got to get that closing line value again,
28:33
whether you're 3 and one, one and three, four and OO and four,
28:36
two and two. Stick to the model, Stick to the
28:38
blueprint. Stay true to our bankroll
28:41
management. Bet with our head and not our
28:42
heart. If we can do that, we can stay
28:44
true to the model. Bypass the games that have some
28:47
red flags. Get down on the games fearless
28:49
but disciplined grinders with blinders and the games that
28:51
check off our boxes. Guess what?
28:54
If we can do that long term, we're going to be successful
28:56
sports betters. So have a great night, enjoy
28:58
your Tuesday again, let's get some winners on the diamond so
29:01
we can get this over in the NBA playoffs.
29:04
And they'll be right back at it tomorrow for episode 278 of the
29:08
All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
29:12
Good luck everybody and have a great Tuesday night.