Latest / Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning / Ross Fulton Analysis: How Will Ohio State Attack Jim Knowles' Penn State Defense?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to Buck Guys tomorrow morning for Tuesday, October twenty eighth.
- 0:02Speaker 1: I'm your host, Tom or the Penn State game in
- 0:04Speaker 1: four days, the game against Michigan in thirty two days.
- 0:08Speaker 1: On today's show, we're welcoming our buddy Ross Fulton, the
- 0:10Speaker 1: ex's and o's guru at bucke huddle dot com and
- 0:12Speaker 1: when rosses on the show, We're sponsored by Jeff Rubies
- 0:14Speaker 1: of Columbus, broadly offering national acclaimed USDA Prime Stakes, seafood
- 0:18Speaker 1: and sushi and peckable service, live entertainment, and an attention
- 0:21Speaker 1: to detail that is simply unmatched. Just go to Jeffruby
- 0:23Speaker 1: dot com slash Columbus to check out the menu and
- 0:25Speaker 1: make a reservation today. All right, So on these shows,
- 0:28Speaker 1: we normally are breaking down the film from Ohio State's
- 0:31Speaker 1: previous game on the previous Saturday. My Ohio State didn't
- 0:35Speaker 1: have a game on the previous Saturday, so instead we're
- 0:37Speaker 1: going to be taking a look at some of this
- 0:39Speaker 1: sort of bigger picture stuff that we don't normally get
- 0:41Speaker 1: a chance to talk about in too much detail. We're
- 0:43Speaker 1: also going to be answering a couple questions from you
- 0:45Speaker 1: guys if we asked you on the last week's show
- 0:47Speaker 1: to ask leave any questions you have in the comments
- 0:50Speaker 1: of those previous videos. Got some good ones, so we'll
- 0:53Speaker 1: be getting answering a couple of those later on in
- 0:55Speaker 1: the show. But first, Ross I wanted to talk a
- 0:57Speaker 1: little bit about some of the storylines that we've been
- 1:00Speaker 1: talking about a bunch this season, including Ohio State's use
- 1:03Speaker 1: of different formations, different personnel. Obviously heavy tight end usage
- 1:09Speaker 1: has been a topic of conversation, a topic of some
- 1:13Speaker 1: consternation among Ohio State fans.
- 1:15Speaker 3: You know, it.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Feels like that sort of dialing back a little bit
- 1:18Speaker 1: using fourteen personnel and thirteen personnel that's sort of starting
- 1:21Speaker 1: to go away. But where are you seeing that? Are
- 1:24Speaker 1: you seeing that in the numbers? And then what is
- 1:27Speaker 1: that translated to in terms of production?
- 1:30Speaker 2: Jay bud Davis on X highly recommend he puts together
- 1:34Speaker 2: these like, you know, snap shots for teams of their
- 1:38Speaker 2: you know, various usage and what they're facing on defense,
- 1:40Speaker 2: and I mean you could see in the numbers he
- 1:42Speaker 2: unfortunately does not have you know, like thirteen or above,
- 1:47Speaker 2: but just in terms of twelve, which I assume is
- 1:49Speaker 2: twelve personel and above, Ohio state's been in that thirty
- 1:52Speaker 2: seven percent in the time, so which might feel a
- 1:55Speaker 2: little light, you know when you anecdotically you're like, oh,
- 1:58Speaker 2: they're in twelve personnel lot, it's still less than eleven,
- 2:02Speaker 2: but it's still like relative to the college football as
- 2:05Speaker 2: a whole. He like puts together how often do you
- 2:08Speaker 2: do something, and then like, what has it compared to
- 2:10Speaker 2: like the median in college football? You know, that's they're
- 2:13Speaker 2: using that fifteen percent more of the time than your
- 2:16Speaker 2: average college football team. So it's certainly higher, certainly an uptake,
- 2:22Speaker 2: you know. I mean this is always sort of a
- 2:25Speaker 2: trade off rate. I think if we like put the
- 2:27Speaker 2: thirteen and fourteen, like even those heavier looks to the side.
- 2:32Speaker 2: I mean, if you're going to ask me, you know
- 2:34Speaker 2: what their best eleven is, I continue to think it
- 2:37Speaker 2: probably is twelve personnel with Coasmeric and Claire as your
- 2:40Speaker 2: two tight ends, probably over playing eleven personnel with Brandon
- 2:45Speaker 2: Innis in the slot. So you understand personnel wise why
- 2:48Speaker 2: it's kicked up, but it is, you know, honestly, like
- 2:52Speaker 2: when you look at the numbers, they've been probably more
- 2:54Speaker 2: efficient then some people might think from heavier personnel but
- 2:59Speaker 2: not particularly as explosive, and so you know, I guess
- 3:03Speaker 2: you might expect that although you know, with the heavier
- 3:06Speaker 2: sets you've been hoping that you get you know, teams
- 3:09Speaker 2: coming down to the box, which they have. When you
- 3:12Speaker 2: look at the numbers, like they faced a heavy box
- 3:15Speaker 2: you know, almost half the time forty percent of the time,
- 3:18Speaker 2: which again is well above the college football average. So,
- 3:22Speaker 2: like we've talked about, like they're playing some heavier personnel
- 3:24Speaker 2: and they're getting lots of heavy boxes to take away
- 3:26Speaker 2: the run.
- 3:28Speaker 1: So I'll have you sort of define what actually where
- 3:31Speaker 1: is the line that makes it a heavy box versus
- 3:34Speaker 1: a light box. And you would think, okay, heavy box,
- 3:38Speaker 1: that should mean that there's lots of stuff open deep.
- 3:41Speaker 1: Why are they not throwing the ball more if the
- 3:43Speaker 1: teams are putting more guys closer to the line of scrimmage.
- 3:46Speaker 1: So a little bit of a two fer there for you.
- 3:49Speaker 3: Yeah, so I'm somewhat surmising.
- 3:52Speaker 2: I have to say, how about Davis characterized as it,
- 3:54Speaker 2: But he listed like light box six man box in
- 3:57Speaker 2: a heavy box, So I presume heavy box is seven
- 4:00Speaker 2: or more inside the tackle box. And you know, to
- 4:04Speaker 2: answer your question, so again like as we've talked about it,
- 4:06Speaker 2: we've sort of borne that out right with some of
- 4:08Speaker 2: the clips we've shown of teams, you know, having an
- 4:11Speaker 2: extra hat in the in the box or being gapped out.
- 4:14Speaker 2: The answer to why aren't they throwing deep against is
- 4:17Speaker 2: because a lot of what they're getting is Cover three
- 4:19Speaker 2: right where you have three deep zone defenders and uh
- 4:23Speaker 2: four underneath, and so that that allows you with Cover
- 4:26Speaker 2: three you can roll a safety down. I mean, Ohio
- 4:28Speaker 2: State defensively does this a lot, So you're bringing a
- 4:31Speaker 2: safety into the box, but you have three deep defenders
- 4:33Speaker 2: and like you're getting those real soft zones, particularly in
- 4:36Speaker 2: the corners protecting themselves. So like you know that corner
- 4:40Speaker 2: has a deep third so he can always be on
- 4:42Speaker 2: top of a receiver vertically. So you know, you will
- 4:46Speaker 2: like to attack Cover three with you know, flood routes
- 4:50Speaker 2: and like hitting you know, so you see a lot
- 4:52Speaker 2: of curl flat from Ohio State against all this Cover
- 4:54Speaker 2: three and then like hitches and like hit the seams
- 4:57Speaker 2: and you know those steam routes we've showed a couple
- 4:59Speaker 2: of times are sort of probably the area where Julian
- 5:01Speaker 2: Sand hasn't quite pulled the trigger. The most and so
- 5:06Speaker 2: that's sort of like, you know, I think there's been
- 5:07Speaker 2: some opportunities there from time to time, but you know,
- 5:11Speaker 2: as we've shown, he's obviously progressing and I think like
- 5:13Speaker 2: he'll get there. But that's that's probably why some teams
- 5:16Speaker 2: have felt comfortable, you know, standing cover three to say
- 5:19Speaker 2: on top of Jeremiah Smith and you know, take their
- 5:22Speaker 2: chance in the middle of the field.
- 5:24Speaker 1: All right, So we'll transition from middle of the field
- 5:26Speaker 1: to middle of the field. And one of the stats
- 5:29Speaker 1: that you that we have discussed is middle of the
- 5:31Speaker 1: field open versus middle of the field closed. And this
- 5:34Speaker 1: is something that feels somewhat self explanatory, but maybe just
- 5:39Speaker 1: sort of lay it out for people in terms of
- 5:41Speaker 1: what that actually means. And I'm assuming the answer is
- 5:44Speaker 1: that Ohio State's seeing a lot more middle of the
- 5:46Speaker 1: field closed this year than a lot of teams.
- 5:49Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that sort of picks up on what I
- 5:51Speaker 2: was saying recurring cover three. Right, So the middle of
- 5:52Speaker 2: the field close just means like, do you if you're
- 5:54Speaker 2: middle of the field close? It means you have a
- 5:56Speaker 2: safety in the middle of the field basically over the ball,
- 6:00Speaker 2: but you know, fifteen yards back if it's middle to
- 6:02Speaker 2: field open, you're usually playing two high safeties, either Cover
- 6:05Speaker 2: two or Cover four. When you're in the middle of
- 6:06Speaker 2: field closed, it's generally Cover one or Cover three, So
- 6:09Speaker 2: you know Cover one is man coverage with the deep safety.
- 6:12Speaker 2: Cover three, as we just said, is like a zone
- 6:14Speaker 2: three deep four hunder. So they're facing a lot of
- 6:16Speaker 2: middle of the field closed as you said, fifty four
- 6:18Speaker 2: percent of the time, so again eight percentage points higher
- 6:21Speaker 2: than the call it average offense in college football faces,
- 6:25Speaker 2: but they are only seeing man nineteen percent of the time,
- 6:27Speaker 2: which is well below what your average college football offense faces.
- 6:31Speaker 2: So the upshot of that is if you've got a
- 6:33Speaker 2: lot of mobile field clothes and not much man, you're
- 6:35Speaker 2: getting lots of Cover three, and so that's what we
- 6:37Speaker 2: were saying. So obviously teams do not want to play
- 6:40Speaker 2: them in man coverage. We saw what happened against Minnesota
- 6:43Speaker 2: when they did want to play van coverage. And you're
- 6:46Speaker 2: talking about explosives, you're getting a lot of, as I said,
- 6:49Speaker 2: the soft Cover three zone, which is why you know,
- 6:51Speaker 2: as we talked about last week, why these RPOs are
- 6:55Speaker 2: so effective, because you're just getting these free access hitches
- 6:58Speaker 2: and outs where these coverages are corners are bailing, and
- 7:01Speaker 2: so you know, that's how defenses are protecting themselves, right
- 7:03Speaker 2: as I said, they want to get an extra hat
- 7:05Speaker 2: in the box against the run.
- 7:06Speaker 3: They want to, but they also don't want to get
- 7:08Speaker 3: beat deep.
- 7:09Speaker 2: And you know, they're basically hoping that Ohio State will
- 7:11Speaker 2: choose to run like we've seen them do and they'll
- 7:14Speaker 2: get a High State behind the sticks and hopefully can
- 7:16Speaker 2: get off the field. And so that's why those those
- 7:19Speaker 2: RPOs in my mind, are so critical. You know, High
- 7:22Speaker 2: State's still again according to Bud Davis, you know they've
- 7:26Speaker 2: they've run RPOs fifteen percent of the time, which is,
- 7:29Speaker 2: you know, actually below the college football average. So I'm
- 7:32Speaker 2: sure if you just use the Wisconsin game it would
- 7:34Speaker 2: be above. But obviously we've shown, you know, whether it
- 7:37Speaker 2: was the first happigans Washington or Illinois times where it
- 7:40Speaker 2: they looked like RPOs, but it sure didn't seem like
- 7:42Speaker 2: the read was live because the free access throws are there.
- 7:46Speaker 2: So I think, you know, as we can talk about
- 7:49Speaker 2: like I think a big chunk of what will help
- 7:50Speaker 2: the run game is continue to use those and force
- 7:53Speaker 2: teams out of those cover three looks all right.
- 7:55Speaker 1: I'm going to sort of skip ahead because we have
- 7:57Speaker 1: a question about teams trying to take away the r PO,
- 8:00Speaker 1: and I want to get that in right now. This
- 8:03Speaker 1: one is from Perry Ellison fifty two to fifty five.
- 8:06Speaker 1: He wants to know will teams be able to take
- 8:07Speaker 1: away the RPO if their corners simply pray play.
- 8:10Speaker 2: Press, they could take away some of them, like those
- 8:15Speaker 2: free access reads, right, like those hitches we showed against Wisconsin. Yeah,
- 8:20Speaker 2: that read is generally gone. I mean you can read
- 8:22Speaker 2: a post app if the corner bails quickly. And we
- 8:25Speaker 2: showed like against Wisconsin, right that like later in the
- 8:27Speaker 2: game they did they rolled their corners up. They were
- 8:30Speaker 2: still in cover three, so they bailed and they kept
- 8:33Speaker 2: their safety and sort of where you would throw that
- 8:35Speaker 2: glance route. But the upshot is that is then you
- 8:37Speaker 2: should be able to run the ball better, right because
- 8:39Speaker 2: like I showed that one clip against Wisconsin where like
- 8:42Speaker 2: suddenly that safety isn't quite as noisy, and now you're
- 8:44Speaker 2: gaining five or six yards instead of three or four
- 8:48Speaker 2: before you get to that unblocked defender because that you know,
- 8:51Speaker 2: that safety is just not accounted for in the blocking scheme,
- 8:54Speaker 2: and so you know you can do that, you can
- 8:56Speaker 2: roll your safety. You can obviously play cover one right,
- 8:58Speaker 2: Like Cover one takes away RPOs because now you've accounted
- 9:01Speaker 2: for the various receivers. You know, if teams, as we
- 9:06Speaker 2: said though, if teams want to play Cover one, that
- 9:08Speaker 2: obviously opens up opportunities downfield, opens up slants, crossing routes,
- 9:12Speaker 2: the lake, and or you can play Cover two right
- 9:15Speaker 2: and because that's you get your corners like squatting in
- 9:17Speaker 2: the flat, so again take away some of those free
- 9:20Speaker 2: access throws. But now again you're too high. You should
- 9:23Speaker 2: get advantageous evers to run the ball. So I High State,
- 9:25Speaker 2: it's such a good passing team and obviously like has
- 9:28Speaker 2: their two biggest threats outside, so they really shouldn't be
- 9:33Speaker 2: getting teams wanting to play them super heavy in the box.
- 9:36Speaker 2: And like you know, the fact that Julian Sane has
- 9:38Speaker 2: like an eighty percent completion percentage like against sort of
- 9:41Speaker 2: shows that they're they're probably being too conservative if they
- 9:44Speaker 2: really had to put the pedal down, because like that
- 9:47Speaker 2: just shows like it's too easy for them to pass
- 9:48Speaker 2: the ball. Basically, like you're you're you're super efficient passing,
- 9:52Speaker 2: and you know they're they're almost like below average efficient
- 9:55Speaker 2: running it. So you know, I presume they'll keep as
- 9:59Speaker 2: I said post Wisconsin like not sure they'll you know,
- 10:02Speaker 2: rpot every time all the time, depending on what teams
- 10:04Speaker 2: are giving them. But I think they're they're going to
- 10:07Speaker 2: have to use the pass to help their run game.
- 10:12Speaker 1: That was a really long and detailed and really good answer.
- 10:16Speaker 1: That was sort of an explanation of we hear of
- 10:19Speaker 1: posing coaches talking about having to pick your poison against
- 10:21Speaker 1: Ohio State. That was I thought a great description of
- 10:25Speaker 1: the details of exactly what all the different kinds of
- 10:28Speaker 1: poison are and which one you have to pick. There
- 10:29Speaker 1: is not a do it all, one fits all, you know,
- 10:33Speaker 1: one size fits all answer to stopping the Ohio State offense,
- 10:37Speaker 1: because they can do a bunch of different stuff. One
- 10:39Speaker 1: of the things that they, I think would probably like
- 10:41Speaker 1: to do more is take those deep shots. As you said,
- 10:44Speaker 1: a lot of teams are trying their very best to
- 10:46Speaker 1: keep Ohio State from being able to throw the ball
- 10:48Speaker 1: down the field. How much is Ohio State throwing or
- 10:52Speaker 1: they are they throwing down the field more than other teams,
- 10:55Speaker 1: less than other teams more than you'd expect, less than
- 10:58Speaker 1: you'd expect. What where are they on those deep shots?
- 11:01Speaker 3: Yeah? So good?
- 11:02Speaker 2: Using Bud Davis's numbers, you know, throws deep throws which
- 11:06Speaker 2: he defines as fifteen yards or more in the air. Right,
- 11:10Speaker 2: Ohio State is only doing that fifteen percent of the time,
- 11:13Speaker 2: which is thirteen percentage points below like the college football average.
- 11:18Speaker 2: So they're not doing it quite as much, right, And
- 11:20Speaker 2: there's some scheme issues to that, like we just described.
- 11:24Speaker 2: I think we've shown right over time, particularly like early
- 11:27Speaker 2: in the season. I think Julian sand was conservative, like
- 11:31Speaker 2: we've we've showed a couple examples where he's you know,
- 11:34Speaker 2: whether it was that Wisconsin game to seem throw potentially
- 11:37Speaker 2: to Jeremih Smith where he had to move off his
- 11:39Speaker 2: launch pat point because of you know, the blocking, and
- 11:42Speaker 2: he dumped it down to Bo Jackson, which was still
- 11:44Speaker 2: an exposed to play but just done differently, or you know,
- 11:48Speaker 2: just what they've been calling. Ohio State has not been
- 11:51Speaker 2: taking a ton of shots downfield.
- 11:53Speaker 3: I think.
- 11:54Speaker 2: I do think sometimes the general focus on Jeremi Smith
- 11:58Speaker 2: ignores the fact that, like Cardinal Tates had a bunch
- 12:00Speaker 2: of explosive plays as well downfield. But I do think
- 12:05Speaker 2: and it's not just like throwing it vertically right like
- 12:07Speaker 2: we showed some of it, like those deep you know,
- 12:09Speaker 2: sale route concepts are like why crosses, like getting things
- 12:12Speaker 2: deep digs things again over the middle of the field
- 12:15Speaker 2: where you can attack the second level of cover three.
- 12:18Speaker 2: And you know, I don't have doubt that Julian Sank
- 12:21Speaker 2: can do that. We've seen him do it. I think
- 12:23Speaker 2: it's just like, you know, they want to developing them
- 12:26Speaker 2: along and again, so like these season stats, I think
- 12:28Speaker 2: kind of obscure sometimes, Like you know, that Texas game
- 12:32Speaker 2: was they were in a very different place than where
- 12:34Speaker 2: they are now.
- 12:36Speaker 1: We've kind of talked around a little bit some of
- 12:38Speaker 1: the issues in the run game, and I do want
- 12:40Speaker 1: to get to those next. But one of the areas
- 12:42Speaker 1: that I was wondering about with that is when you're
- 12:45Speaker 1: not able to run the ball super well or super consistently.
- 12:48Speaker 1: I mean, they've been efficient but not explosive generally in
- 12:52Speaker 1: the run game, but sometimes they haven't been particularly efficient either.
- 12:55Speaker 1: How much does that impact what they're able to do
- 12:57Speaker 1: with play action? Obviously, if you have a really strong
- 13:00Speaker 1: run threat, that would seemingly increase your your ability and
- 13:04Speaker 1: the level of threat from play action passing. How has
- 13:07Speaker 1: that impacted Ohio State's ability to use play action this year?
- 13:11Speaker 2: I don't think so at all, And like that's like
- 13:12Speaker 2: sort of like one of the things that advanced stats
- 13:15Speaker 2: as has shown is like you don't actually have to
- 13:17Speaker 2: be a good run team for play action to be effective.
- 13:20Speaker 2: Linebackers and second level defenders respected no matter what. But
- 13:23Speaker 2: I do think like one of the things I have
- 13:26Speaker 2: liked about what I've seen from the Ohigh State offense
- 13:28Speaker 2: under Ryan Day and Brian Hartline this year is they've
- 13:30Speaker 2: been pretty consistent in using play action from under center
- 13:35Speaker 2: and pistol, like those heavy looks heavy bootleg again helps
- 13:38Speaker 2: Julian Sans like comfortable throwing boot legs on the run.
- 13:44Speaker 2: But like you know, we've obviously talked in previous years
- 13:46Speaker 2: where it's like, oh, they had a game where they
- 13:47Speaker 2: were in pistol and it was one hundred percent run.
- 13:50Speaker 2: They've been, you know, I think, as I said, very
- 13:53Speaker 2: consistent with play action this year. In fact, like again
- 13:55Speaker 2: look at the same stats for Bud Davis, They've used
- 13:58Speaker 2: play action forty nine percent of the time they're passing,
- 14:01Speaker 2: which is you know, nineteen percentage points above the college
- 14:04Speaker 2: turble average. So a lot of play action obviously, Like
- 14:06Speaker 2: play action comes in many forms, right, Like they can
- 14:09Speaker 2: be in the gun and saying can kind of stick
- 14:10Speaker 2: the ball out and you're giving it. But as appair
- 14:13Speaker 2: to like under center you're pulling a guard. You've got
- 14:16Speaker 2: like those deep two man routes like the day like
- 14:19Speaker 2: so much, you know, the last of what for example,
- 14:22Speaker 2: like jeremih Smith's last catch against Wisconsin came off of
- 14:25Speaker 2: that on that deep dig.
- 14:28Speaker 3: So obviously different types.
- 14:29Speaker 2: Of play action, but I do think I've been pretty
- 14:31Speaker 2: pleased with the amount and the types of play action
- 14:34Speaker 2: they've used this season.
- 14:36Speaker 1: All Right, So I got to ask you about the
- 14:38Speaker 1: offensive line that has obviously been a big point of
- 14:40Speaker 1: concern for a lot of Ohio State fans. How big
- 14:44Speaker 1: of a concern is it? Where is the concern if
- 14:47Speaker 1: there is one? I mean, where do things stend right
- 14:49Speaker 1: now with the offensive line?
- 14:52Speaker 2: I think it's a moderate concern, you know, I think
- 14:55Speaker 2: the last two weeks Illinois Wisconsin, like both they're definitely
- 14:59Speaker 2: been some execution breakdowns. Like we talked about the numbers
- 15:03Speaker 2: in the run game earlier, and like that's obviously I
- 15:06Speaker 2: still think personally a bigger issue. And like if you
- 15:08Speaker 2: clean out the clean up the box, it will make
- 15:11Speaker 2: like the identification for the offensive line easier. I do
- 15:16Speaker 2: think they've been trying a lot of run concepts, maybe
- 15:19Speaker 2: to which I as I've said, I and theory like,
- 15:22Speaker 2: but maybe it's been too much for them and they
- 15:24Speaker 2: like need to sort of you know, bring bring down
- 15:27Speaker 2: the number and rep things more that that are working
- 15:31Speaker 2: and discard those that aren't. Like they went from being
- 15:33Speaker 2: super heavy gap early in the season, like picking up
- 15:35Speaker 2: on the playoffs to now they've been more and more
- 15:37Speaker 2: zone as time goes on. So maybe they see that.
- 15:40Speaker 2: But there's they're definitely execution breakdowns. I mean some on
- 15:42Speaker 2: the left side, but much more so on the right side.
- 15:45Speaker 2: You know, Philip Daniels like his his feet and pass
- 15:48Speaker 2: protection are pretty slow.
- 15:50Speaker 1: Uh.
- 15:51Speaker 3: You know, pass protection has not been a big issue.
- 15:54Speaker 2: Parts of like that is because Julian sand moves very
- 15:57Speaker 2: well in the pocket and can like can feel the
- 15:59Speaker 2: right and so that makes it. And you know, Ryan
- 16:02Speaker 2: Day has historically had a very good track record of
- 16:05Speaker 2: like doing things like to protect the quarterback, Like he'll
- 16:08Speaker 2: use different six seven man pass protections you know, different
- 16:12Speaker 2: slide chip pole guys full slide house slide you know,
- 16:17Speaker 2: but the runt like you know, i'd say the primary
- 16:19Speaker 2: concern is Tiger shabolout, like he's almost started for he
- 16:24Speaker 2: started at least for a year and a half now,
- 16:26Speaker 2: and you just like see the same problems over and
- 16:28Speaker 2: over again, Like he leans too far forward so it's
- 16:31Speaker 2: hard for him to pick up slants and stunts. And
- 16:34Speaker 2: I should say that's been like the majority of the
- 16:36Speaker 2: issues the offensive line has had is like identifications slash
- 16:40Speaker 2: handling among them between them, like when teams are slanting
- 16:44Speaker 2: and stunting, which they're getting a lot of at least
- 16:46Speaker 2: they had did for both Illinois and Wisconsin, so that's
- 16:48Speaker 2: been causing them problems. So you know, obviously Josh Badilla
- 16:52Speaker 2: has been playing some for Tegra. I wouldn't be surprised
- 16:56Speaker 2: if his role continues to grow. I mean, he's still
- 16:58Speaker 2: a little small, like he'd certainly does not bring the
- 17:00Speaker 2: physical presence that Chipola brings. But you know, as long
- 17:04Speaker 2: as they like keep having these miscues, you want someone
- 17:08Speaker 2: who's like being technically sound. So I personally don't think
- 17:11Speaker 2: like either of them, Like I don't think Tiger is
- 17:14Speaker 2: going to go from starting to not planing at all,
- 17:15Speaker 2: but I wouldn't be surprised if they're like the split
- 17:17Speaker 2: the numbers get more even in terms of snaps.
- 17:21Speaker 1: All right, and then let's close before we get to
- 17:23Speaker 1: our last question from a viewer. I do want to
- 17:26Speaker 1: kind of close some of the broader questions with just
- 17:29Speaker 1: sort of the issues they've had in the run game.
- 17:31Speaker 1: When you look at the numbers, how big of an
- 17:34Speaker 1: issue is it, because I think at times it has
- 17:36Speaker 1: felt like this team can't run the ball against anyone
- 17:38Speaker 1: and it's a total disaster. And sorry when I say
- 17:41Speaker 1: it has felt I mean people online are saying. So
- 17:44Speaker 1: you sort of get that perspective on things, and then
- 17:47Speaker 1: you know, you also look at some of the efficiency
- 17:50Speaker 1: numbers and it's like, well, let's maybe not nearly as
- 17:53Speaker 1: bad as you think it is sometimes. So what are
- 17:56Speaker 1: you seeing in the numbers and what do you think
- 17:59Speaker 1: is the actual root cause of whatever issues there are
- 18:03Speaker 1: in the run game right now?
- 18:05Speaker 2: Yeah, so when you look at the Bud Davis numbers,
- 18:07Speaker 2: Ohio State's actually been pretty has pretty good success rate, right,
- 18:11Speaker 2: Like he uses the like a color coding the darker.
- 18:14Speaker 2: The green is the more successful you are, and like
- 18:16Speaker 2: Purple's like you're below average rate.
- 18:19Speaker 3: It's like everything Ohio State is doing.
- 18:23Speaker 2: With you know, maybe the exception of inside runs, but
- 18:26Speaker 2: even that, it's like they're all green, right, Like on
- 18:28Speaker 2: success rates, So Day talked about that, right, Like by
- 18:30Speaker 2: success rate, we mean did you get four yards when
- 18:33Speaker 2: you ran on first down?
- 18:34Speaker 3: Half the distance you needed on second down? And on
- 18:36Speaker 3: third and fourth down? Did you convert? Right?
- 18:39Speaker 2: Like that success rate by contrast, like their EPA, which
- 18:42Speaker 2: is like expected points per attempt, like how much did
- 18:45Speaker 2: it advance you towards scoring?
- 18:48Speaker 3: Is very low.
- 18:49Speaker 2: And so I think kind of as you said your question,
- 18:51Speaker 2: like they've been pretty efficient. They have not been explosive
- 18:56Speaker 2: at all out of the run game. And that's for
- 18:58Speaker 2: you know, multiple reasons. Again, like I think obviously the
- 19:02Speaker 2: running back room is a work in progress, right, Like
- 19:05Speaker 2: two guys got twenty carries against Texas to start the
- 19:09Speaker 2: first game, and those guys might be like third and
- 19:12Speaker 2: fourth on the depth chart. Now, right, you have like
- 19:14Speaker 2: two freshmen who have probably been looked the most consistent
- 19:18Speaker 2: as runners.
- 19:19Speaker 3: I actually think the CJ.
- 19:20Speaker 2: Donaldson's probably been better than some people getting credit for
- 19:22Speaker 2: like he you know, he does I think some things
- 19:25Speaker 2: well getting nor South in the run game, but obviously,
- 19:28Speaker 2: like you know, it's I think a lot of people
- 19:30Speaker 2: expected James Peoples to be the.
- 19:32Speaker 3: Guy this year and that has not come to fruition.
- 19:36Speaker 2: So you got you know, so you got freshmen, you know,
- 19:40Speaker 2: you just so they're not making a lot of guys
- 19:42Speaker 2: miss you also for all the reasons we talked about,
- 19:44Speaker 2: like you know, heavy personnel packages, more guys in the box,
- 19:48Speaker 2: it's just sort of hard to get past the second level.
- 19:50Speaker 2: So you know, the numbers do bear out that, Like
- 19:53Speaker 2: they've been best running Stretch to the Boundary, which again
- 19:57Speaker 2: I always you know, laugh at is tries people crazy,
- 20:02Speaker 2: but that's been their most consistent run play, both in
- 20:04Speaker 2: terms of success rted EPA. But like I'm I think
- 20:09Speaker 2: for this group, like I still think, you know, I
- 20:12Speaker 2: think we're gonna see more of Jackson and West. But
- 20:15Speaker 2: if they're efficient and they're not super explicit other run game, like,
- 20:18Speaker 2: that's not the end of the world because they have
- 20:20Speaker 2: this such explicive potential from Smith and Tate and Claire
- 20:24Speaker 2: as well.
- 20:26Speaker 1: All right, so now we get to talk about this
- 20:28Speaker 1: weekend's game between Ohio State and Penn State. And I
- 20:32Speaker 1: think over the summer, we expected to come into this
- 20:35Speaker 1: game with all sorts of storylines and national implication championship
- 20:39Speaker 1: implications on both sides, and Big Ten championship implications on
- 20:42Speaker 1: both sides, and just you know, one of the biggest
- 20:45Speaker 1: games on the college football calendar. And one side of
- 20:49Speaker 1: this game has held up its end of the bargain,
- 20:51Speaker 1: and the other side of this game has not had
- 20:53Speaker 1: the season it expected. And the head coach who we
- 20:56Speaker 1: expected to be talking about this week is no longer there.
- 20:58Speaker 1: Starting quarterback who expected we're talking about this week is
- 21:01Speaker 1: no longer there. So Ohio State is currently about a
- 21:04Speaker 1: three touchdown favorite against Penn State this weekend, not the
- 21:07Speaker 1: number I think anyone was expecting over the course of
- 21:10Speaker 1: the summer. But one storyline that is going to be
- 21:14Speaker 1: exactly what we thought it was going to be is
- 21:17Speaker 1: the storyline of Jim Nole's defense against the Ohio State offense.
- 21:20Speaker 1: And obviously not they're not having exactly the season that
- 21:23Speaker 1: they expected to have either. But the question we had
- 21:26Speaker 1: a question from Todd Roberts forty two seventeen on YouTube
- 21:29Speaker 1: Ken Ross Talk about how Ohio State will to attack
- 21:31Speaker 1: Penn State and Jim Noles defense. It will be interesting
- 21:34Speaker 1: to see the chess game between both Knowles and day
- 21:38Speaker 1: Slash Heartline will play to gain an advantage on play
- 21:40Speaker 1: calling since both know each other's schemes, etc. So all right,
- 21:44Speaker 1: I guess let's start with how big of an advantage
- 21:48Speaker 1: is it to know each other? You know, have been
- 21:51Speaker 1: in the building with each other for the last three
- 21:53Speaker 1: years and to you know, you know, you you have
- 21:56Speaker 1: gone up against each other, You've seen how the other
- 21:58Speaker 1: person responds. How big of an advantage is that or
- 22:02Speaker 1: is it an advantage for either side or is it
- 22:04Speaker 1: just kind of they both know each other, so it's
- 22:07Speaker 1: going to be you know, you kind of throw it
- 22:08Speaker 1: out the window.
- 22:10Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it probably cancels each other out, you know,
- 22:14Speaker 2: it probably forces you to break tendencies more. But like
- 22:19Speaker 2: you know, as I said, I think that given you know,
- 22:22Speaker 2: Knowles is very familiar, Day Days obviously very familiar with Knowles,
- 22:25Speaker 2: you know, but it also matters a lot like who
- 22:28Speaker 2: the personnelity is and what they're doing. So like earlier
- 22:31Speaker 2: this season, Jim Knowles was basically like rerunning the hits
- 22:34Speaker 2: from Ohio States playoff run, you know, like things we
- 22:37Speaker 2: talked about last year, spilling the football outside, using a
- 22:40Speaker 2: lot of like those three high safety looks a lot
- 22:43Speaker 2: of what we saw from Hio State's defense. And then
- 22:45Speaker 2: during this recent skid, he's really been sort of throwing
- 22:48Speaker 2: the kitchen sick at things, trying to find out what's working.
- 22:51Speaker 2: I mean, they're you know, Penn State's really thin at linebacker.
- 22:54Speaker 2: I think that's impacting them and what they're trying to do.
- 22:57Speaker 2: So that stuff's probably gonna matter more because as I said,
- 23:00Speaker 2: like as familiar as Knowles is with Day like it
- 23:03Speaker 2: cuts both ways.
- 23:05Speaker 1: Yeah, they have been playing a former walk on at
- 23:07Speaker 1: linebacker and just sort of checking out some Penn State media,
- 23:12Speaker 1: the response from the fan base and the current grades
- 23:14Speaker 1: from the fan base. I haven't looked at PFF on him,
- 23:16Speaker 1: but the grades from the fan base have not been
- 23:18Speaker 1: real positive. So that's certainly a storyline that we'll be
- 23:21Speaker 1: keeping an eye on this week. So if you're Ohio
- 23:25Speaker 1: State and you know what you know about Jim Knowles,
- 23:27Speaker 1: but you know that Jim Noles knows what he knows
- 23:29Speaker 1: about you, and you know now what you know sort
- 23:32Speaker 1: of where Penn State is personnel wise on defense? What
- 23:36Speaker 1: do you do to Todd's question, how will Ohio State
- 23:40Speaker 1: go after Penn State in Jim Knowles's defense.
- 23:47Speaker 2: I think it'll be interesting to me to see what
- 23:49Speaker 2: Knowles does with the RPO threat.
- 23:51Speaker 3: I guess would be my first step.
- 23:53Speaker 2: Like you know, he may play a lot of cover one,
- 23:57Speaker 2: sort of be aggressive in which case to state all
- 24:00Speaker 2: of the opportunities to attack downfield. I assume he's gonna
- 24:03Speaker 2: he wants to probably cancel out High States run game.
- 24:07Speaker 2: So I think it'll be probably he'll be more aggressive
- 24:11Speaker 2: than what you've seen just in terms of like his
- 24:13Speaker 2: Cover one usage relative to other opponents, and so I
- 24:16Speaker 2: do think that'll probably give High State opportunities downfield if
- 24:19Speaker 2: they if they take their shots.
- 24:22Speaker 1: All right, well, we will find out. We will find
- 24:25Speaker 1: out together on Saturday when the Buckeyes take on Penn State.
- 24:29Speaker 1: The game kicks off at noon Eastern on Fox. We'll
- 24:32Speaker 1: have our full team there covering that game from beginning
- 24:35Speaker 1: to end. We'll have our live pregame show, our live
- 24:37Speaker 1: postgame show, all that you can find at YouTube dot
- 24:40Speaker 1: com slash Buckeye Huddle. We have our full coverage after
- 24:44Speaker 1: the game as well. You'll be able to find your
- 24:45Speaker 1: postgame press conferences, all that kind of stuff, including the
- 24:49Speaker 1: live Brian Day press conference on our postgame show. But
- 24:52Speaker 1: you can find that all at YouTube dot com slash
- 24:54Speaker 1: bucke Huddle. We're gonna have plenty to talk about in
- 24:57Speaker 1: the lead up to that game as well as we
- 24:58Speaker 1: count down the days to that game, and then of
- 25:01Speaker 1: course we have plenty to talk about afterwards, and we
- 25:03Speaker 1: would love to talk about with you all at Buckeye
- 25:05Speaker 1: Huddle dot com. That's where we're having the whole team,
- 25:08Speaker 1: covering the team, covering recruiting, covering x's and o's and more.
- 25:12Speaker 1: It's all at Buckey Huddle dot com. And thanks again
- 25:14Speaker 1: to our sponsors at Jeff Rubies of Columbus, the award
- 25:16Speaker 1: winning Upscale steakhouse in downtown Columbus name one of the
- 25:19Speaker 1: top fifty steakhouses in America by Food Network. Just go
- 25:22Speaker 1: to Jeff Ruby dot com slash Columbus to check out
- 25:24Speaker 1: the menu and make a reservation today. That will do
- 25:27Speaker 1: it for today. Thank you guys all for joining us.
- 25:29Speaker 1: Have a great day. We'll talk to you tomorrow.