Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 20: Championship Week Betting Preview
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls at your paper tape
- 0:05Speaker 1: of week you dabled the crazy sheets, You get nestled
- 0:07Speaker 1: in and you get ready to talk about championship weekend.
- 0:10Speaker 1: I mark up here in the podcasting studio, my man
- 0:12Speaker 1: Scott is out on the road as we record this
- 0:14Speaker 1: Wednesday morning.
- 0:15Speaker 2: How the hell are you, brother, man? I'm good, just
- 0:17Speaker 2: up here in the upper Midwest. Had a little snow
- 0:20Speaker 2: this week, and I'm heading to the Northeast later tonight
- 0:26Speaker 2: and then I'll fly home. So a lot going on
- 0:29Speaker 2: this week. What a lot of travel was in Indianapolis.
- 0:33Speaker 2: Fun times there. Everybody is all fired up about the
- 0:36Speaker 2: Big Ten championship this week. Uh cool story of Indiana's
- 0:39Speaker 2: basketball team plays in Indianapolis earlier that day. So, man,
- 0:45Speaker 2: if you're an Indiana fan, what a great day for
- 0:47Speaker 2: you in Indianapolis. So it should be a lot of fun.
- 0:51Speaker 2: Big Ten's gonna be a lot of fun games. Last week.
- 0:53Speaker 2: More had a huge week last week. That's as good
- 0:56Speaker 2: of a gambling week as I think I've ever had.
- 0:59Speaker 3: Seeing the ball.
- 1:00Speaker 1: Seeing the balls got he Seeing the ball's what I
- 1:02Speaker 1: like to call it was.
- 1:03Speaker 4: It was really fun.
- 1:05Speaker 3: It was a lot we only got a couple more
- 1:07Speaker 3: weeks of a meaningful gambling. We'll have to sort through
- 1:10Speaker 3: bowl season. With the portal being.
- 1:12Speaker 1: Opened later after Christmas. Maybe we'll get some kids that
- 1:16Speaker 1: don't opt out for bowl games. But we'll see if
- 1:18Speaker 1: we get there, we'll kind of figure out how we're
- 1:19Speaker 1: gonna tread that. In college football playoffs, rankings all came out.
- 1:24Speaker 1: You got a couple of weird things out there if
- 1:26Speaker 1: you haven't looked at them yet. Uh, Duke somehow wins
- 1:29Speaker 1: the ACC game on Saturday, then they will not get
- 1:33Speaker 1: the auto bid, most likely for their conference, and then
- 1:35Speaker 1: you will get two G five teams in. So you
- 1:37Speaker 1: could get a JMU and a North Texas and Plaine
- 1:41Speaker 1: possibly in the in the playoffs, which is kind of interesting. Uh.
- 1:44Speaker 1: And then you leave Miami out for the most part,
- 1:46Speaker 1: and so a lot of talk you're gonna hear, a
- 1:48Speaker 1: lot of Texas rhetoric.
- 1:50Speaker 3: You're gonna hear if.
- 1:50Speaker 1: Bama loses or they out blah blah blah blah blah.
- 1:53Speaker 1: I don't really care. I'm just here to battle the games.
- 1:56Speaker 1: But may in college football it's like watching Days of
- 1:58Speaker 1: Our Lives with with you know, men playing sports in
- 2:01Speaker 1: type hands.
- 2:03Speaker 4: Well.
- 2:03Speaker 2: I think everybody knows how I feel about this committee
- 2:05Speaker 2: because I think athletic directors as a whole are the
- 2:07Speaker 2: dumbest people in America. I mean, Lusus in the middle
- 2:11Speaker 2: of right and somebody at fifty million dollar check and
- 2:13Speaker 2: what do they do, Go give lang kiff In a
- 2:15Speaker 2: bigger bio. I mean, it's just amazing how dumb these
- 2:20Speaker 2: people are. And it is repeated, and it is wild
- 2:24Speaker 2: to me how bad Jimmy Sexton just hounds them in
- 2:29Speaker 2: the ass with no loop. I mean, it is amazing
- 2:33Speaker 2: to me what he does to them, and it is repeated,
- 2:37Speaker 2: and it's over and over and at school he's just working.
- 2:41Speaker 4: On a different level.
- 2:42Speaker 2: And evidently a lot of the reason Penn Station I've
- 2:45Speaker 2: been able to get a coach is because Sexton is
- 2:48Speaker 2: basically not working with them, and it has turned all
- 2:51Speaker 2: kinds of other people off. And even other agents are
- 2:54Speaker 2: hesitant because they're trying to side with Sexton. So it's
- 2:58Speaker 2: interesting what's going on. Also, think they've just gone after
- 3:01Speaker 2: the wrong people. Have seen a list of the people
- 3:03Speaker 2: they've kind of whipped on, and they need to be
- 3:07Speaker 2: happy they missed on a couple of them, and a
- 3:09Speaker 2: couple of them just weren't weren't good fits, you know.
- 3:12Speaker 2: For me, still don't know how you don't have a
- 3:15Speaker 2: coach and you were the first guy to fire somebody.
- 3:18Speaker 2: But again, athletic directors as a whole are the dumbest
- 3:21Speaker 2: people in America. And if you think they're not going
- 3:24Speaker 2: to screw up this ranking system, just just just watch
- 3:28Speaker 2: because they're going to. And I mean this mark, I
- 3:31Speaker 2: can't say this enough. This is all I'll say about it.
- 3:34Speaker 2: If you put a team in over a team they
- 3:37Speaker 2: lost to, if Notre Dame makes it over Main, then
- 3:41Speaker 2: you just need to toss this whole system like we're
- 3:45Speaker 2: starting over. We're as shitty as the VCS was, you know,
- 3:48Speaker 2: because we're missing the mark when what happens on the
- 3:52Speaker 2: field doesn't matter. They have the exact same record. Neither
- 3:56Speaker 2: one of them have really played anybody, you know, and
- 4:01Speaker 2: and at the end of the day, on the field matters.
- 4:04Speaker 2: I mean, the only team that's d USC I guess
- 4:13Speaker 2: you could say Miami. I mean, I guess you could
- 4:15Speaker 2: say Pittsburgh. But I don't think they're any good either,
- 4:19Speaker 2: as is evidence by I'm getting their ass kicked by
- 4:21Speaker 2: Miami and Notre Dame. But I just I just do
- 4:25Speaker 2: not understand how you can say on the field doesn't
- 4:28Speaker 2: matter when they've got the exact same record, and yet
- 4:30Speaker 2: they're doing the exact same thing with Vanderbilt two spots later.
- 4:36Speaker 2: They got a better record than Texas, but they're ranked
- 4:39Speaker 2: behind them because they lost to them. You can't make
- 4:42Speaker 2: it make sense because you can't make you can't make
- 4:45Speaker 2: flayd arguments make sense.
- 4:47Speaker 4: And that's the deal. This is it's a flawed argument.
- 4:49Speaker 4: That's the deal.
- 4:50Speaker 2: But that goes on. We'll see how We'll see how
- 4:53Speaker 2: it goes. Tech probably gonna be a force, probably gonna
- 4:56Speaker 2: be the four seed, maybe even the three seed if
- 4:59Speaker 2: they win. So I think it'll be uh. I think
- 5:03Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be interesting. I don't think the
- 5:05Speaker 2: rankings are going to change really at all. They might,
- 5:08Speaker 2: but Georgia wins big and Indiana loses big, they might
- 5:13Speaker 2: bump Georgia to two in Indiana the three.
- 5:16Speaker 4: But I think it's all going to stay the same.
- 5:19Speaker 2: I think you know what the playoff is now, it's
- 5:21Speaker 2: just does Duke figure out how to get in there
- 5:24Speaker 2: and we get two G five guys or do we
- 5:27Speaker 2: not and if I'm gonna tell you, if I was
- 5:28Speaker 2: the a c C, if Duke wins, I'd have a
- 5:31Speaker 2: statement preparedness like, well, we're actually as a conference going
- 5:34Speaker 2: to send the best team in our conference, who is Miami.
- 5:37Speaker 4: To the to the to the deal, and then they
- 5:40Speaker 4: get in. Then they get in. I'm sure that them
- 5:43Speaker 4: as our representative, I'm sure.
- 5:45Speaker 1: The ACC would love to snub the biggest brand that
- 5:49Speaker 1: they've got in college basketball.
- 5:51Speaker 5: Yeah, fuck you, guys, yep, let's go to Miami. Man,
- 5:57Speaker 5: Big Monday starts next week. All right, you know, it's
- 5:59Speaker 5: like we'll worry about jellen Mark. You're a bunch of nerds, nerdsbous.
- 6:08Speaker 2: But I do think it is gonna be I do
- 6:10Speaker 2: think it's that is gonna be an interesting deal. Last week,
- 6:12Speaker 2: Man of Games, that that Ohio State game was probably
- 6:17Speaker 2: about like I thought, except for the first quarter. Ryan
- 6:22Speaker 2: Day finally played, finally called a game and kind of
- 6:25Speaker 2: let his team play throwing the ball down the field.
- 6:27Speaker 2: If he had done that the last two years. They
- 6:29Speaker 2: crushed those guys. I really believe that. But that that
- 6:34Speaker 2: game was interesting. Alabama Auburn boy, crazy things just happening
- 6:39Speaker 2: that in that series. I mean it is weird. Bama
- 6:43Speaker 2: jumps up seventeen nothing, you.
- 6:44Speaker 4: Think, man, this is gonna be a blowout.
- 6:47Speaker 2: And then they get that lucky play coming out of
- 6:49Speaker 2: half where he scrambles and turns into a touchdown down
- 6:52Speaker 2: the sideline and boom, the game is on and you
- 6:55Speaker 2: could tell Bama got tight and and then they're running
- 6:59Speaker 2: you know, then they're running backs kind of starting getting
- 7:01Speaker 2: banged up a little bit. So it was that was
- 7:03Speaker 2: a fascinating game. Vandy woodshit in Tennessee.
- 7:09Speaker 1: And hang on, let's not let's not overlook the fact
- 7:12Speaker 1: that Vandy pounds those guys. They win ten games for
- 7:15Speaker 1: the first time in school history. And Pobby, his brother
- 7:18Speaker 1: gets arrested, and that's awesome.
- 7:22Speaker 4: That's completely awesome. They're a walking mess.
- 7:27Speaker 1: Did you hear the I don't know if you listened
- 7:29Speaker 1: to it, but the game I was driving back, so
- 7:31Speaker 1: I was listening to the radio. But the referee was
- 7:34Speaker 1: talking about how it's like when you do a PABA game.
- 7:36Speaker 1: It's completely different. It's like normally because you get all
- 7:39Speaker 1: the jawn and he goes and typically it's out with
- 7:41Speaker 1: the wide receivers in the cornerbacks.
- 7:43Speaker 3: He goes.
- 7:43Speaker 1: Those guys are talking to each other the whole time.
- 7:45Speaker 1: He goes, when you do a pabya game, he goes,
- 7:48Speaker 1: you're getting it in the backfield. He goes, that guy
- 7:50Speaker 1: is talking shit all the time. Any defender that comes
- 7:53Speaker 1: through there, it's like he's talking to him the whole time.
- 7:56Speaker 1: That guy's a treasure. How does he not win the Heisman?
- 7:59Speaker 1: How does he with You can't tell me.
- 8:01Speaker 3: There's somebody more valuable to the team. The diego Poppy
- 8:04Speaker 3: is to.
- 8:04Speaker 2: Benterbille Well, and you just said it's not the best player,
- 8:08Speaker 2: it's the guy who's most valuable to their team, and
- 8:11Speaker 2: which is how they justified it with with Woodson, which
- 8:14Speaker 2: was probably true back then, as is evidence by t
- 8:21Speaker 2: whatever his name is. Teve Martin was going undefeated winning
- 8:23Speaker 2: a Natty the next year with that.
- 8:25Speaker 4: Same time team.
- 8:26Speaker 2: The but you're you're right, and same thing with Travis
- 8:30Speaker 2: last year, that that's the guy that's the most valuable
- 8:32Speaker 2: to their team.
- 8:33Speaker 4: So I agree with you.
- 8:34Speaker 2: It's it's fun to watch him play. He talks a
- 8:37Speaker 2: lot of smack. Vandy getting the number one high school
- 8:40Speaker 2: recruit in the country seek committing from Georgia yesterday. I mean,
- 8:45Speaker 2: that just does you there's a lot there's a lot
- 8:47Speaker 2: of things different going on in college football right now.
- 8:50Speaker 2: Clemson putting Belt South Carolina was a man you talked
- 8:55Speaker 2: about hot Sea. I mean, Shane biember is on the
- 9:00Speaker 2: hot seat in twenty twenty six. He will lead the
- 9:03Speaker 2: charge of hot seat. In twenty twenty six. I will
- 9:07Speaker 2: put Wood to Nebraska. I mean, just you know, just
- 9:10Speaker 2: some just some games that I that are really really like.
- 9:14Speaker 2: The only game I that I think I that I
- 9:16Speaker 2: just missed that I felt, man, I just missed this
- 9:19Speaker 2: was Memphis Navy. That was the only game. That's why
- 9:23Speaker 2: I'm on the wrong side of this. And I knew
- 9:25Speaker 2: it early. I was like, I'm in the wrong side
- 9:28Speaker 2: of this.
- 9:28Speaker 4: And other than that, I didn't.
- 9:30Speaker 2: And the other one I would say, I knew Tech
- 9:34Speaker 2: was gonna win, but I didn't think they would play
- 9:36Speaker 2: as well and as motivated as they played. Texas Tech
- 9:40Speaker 2: is damn good. And I would tell you the three
- 9:43Speaker 2: teams I think have a chance to win the Natty.
- 9:45Speaker 2: Now this I could be proven wrong Saturday if Indiana
- 9:48Speaker 2: wins this game, but I ain't. Ohio State, Georgia and
- 9:54Speaker 2: Texas Tech are the only teams that truly have a
- 9:56Speaker 2: chance to win the Natty.
- 9:59Speaker 4: That Tech defence is good, war is good.
- 10:02Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's the difference between this Tech team and
- 10:06Speaker 1: most Tech teams because their quarterback play is the one
- 10:08Speaker 1: to hold up. And I was obviously I'm pulling for Tech.
- 10:12Speaker 1: I've got two kids at Tech. My wife went to Tech.
- 10:14Speaker 1: I think everybody I'm related to went to Tech except
- 10:16Speaker 1: for me because I went to Baylor, which means I'm
- 10:19Speaker 1: the golden ticket to get everybody into heaven, because that's
- 10:21Speaker 1: what happens when you get a Baylor degree.
- 10:22Speaker 3: You automatically get to go to heaven. But they don't
- 10:24Speaker 3: tell you that till you're there anyway.
- 10:27Speaker 1: But this Tech team is the defense travels man and
- 10:30Speaker 1: and the Jacob Rodriguez kid. I know they kind of
- 10:33Speaker 1: I don't know if you've the line them up in
- 10:35Speaker 1: the Wildcat, but they call it the Stash package.
- 10:37Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 10:37Speaker 1: And he's popped a couple of touchdowns, and I know
- 10:40Speaker 1: what they're doing. They're trying to get him, you know,
- 10:41Speaker 1: a Heisman looking I frankly, I think he deserves.
- 10:43Speaker 3: His chance to be in New York.
- 10:45Speaker 1: I mean, look up, we could have a Mendoza, a
- 10:47Speaker 1: Pavia and a Rodriguez all in New York City for
- 10:50Speaker 1: the Heisman Trophy, and every Puerto Rican in Manhattan is
- 10:54Speaker 1: going to show up to root for him just because
- 10:55Speaker 1: they've got Spanish names.
- 10:57Speaker 3: But uh, but the kid's good and he leave that defense.
- 11:00Speaker 1: But I said from day one, and I was on
- 11:02Speaker 1: this train, hence the fact that I have one hundred
- 11:04Speaker 1: and twenty to one ticket on tech that we put
- 11:06Speaker 1: out in May when those numbers first hit. But when
- 11:08Speaker 1: you look at that team, that defensive front is really
- 11:12Speaker 1: really good. It's an SEC NFL caliber defensive front. And
- 11:16Speaker 1: one of the guys is hurt and I haven't seen
- 11:18Speaker 1: if he's gonna be able to make it back for
- 11:19Speaker 1: the playoffs or not. But you've got seven guys on
- 11:22Speaker 1: that defense that are probably all going to go play
- 11:24Speaker 1: on Sunday. And that's just something you don't see that often.
- 11:27Speaker 1: Those those are Georgia and Bama type type defenses. Yeah,
- 11:34Speaker 1: and don't I don't think anybody in the country has
- 11:35Speaker 1: really recognized it yet. And so as long as they
- 11:37Speaker 1: don't lose to by you this weekend, I think they
- 11:41Speaker 1: get in, they're going to slide up, maybe even get
- 11:43Speaker 1: a buy. But I'm with you watching them come off
- 11:46Speaker 1: the by then having to go to Morgantown, which is
- 11:48Speaker 1: kind of a weird place to play, and just dominate
- 11:52Speaker 1: everything about that game. To me, let me know that
- 11:56Speaker 1: their headspace is right. I mean, those guys know what
- 11:58Speaker 1: they're They're there for a reason and they know it,
- 12:01Speaker 1: and they have proven that you can build a roster
- 12:04Speaker 1: if you've got the right pieces from the portal and
- 12:07Speaker 1: have cohesion and make it work. And so it's gonna
- 12:10Speaker 1: be fun. But if there are some good teams, I
- 12:12Speaker 1: would agree with you that Georgia Ohio State are the
- 12:15Speaker 1: two best teams in the tournament. I think I'm pretty
- 12:18Speaker 1: happy with where I've seated myself in that space. And
- 12:21Speaker 1: then I've got Texas Tech in there as well, So
- 12:24Speaker 1: you know, I'm excited, man, I'm excited. We got a
- 12:26Speaker 1: decent week of college football left. This week in FCS
- 12:30Speaker 1: is going full board. How about this. I don't know
- 12:32Speaker 1: if you caught this or not. The Ivy League was
- 12:35Speaker 1: finally admitted into the FCS tournament. I didn't know that
- 12:39Speaker 1: they were not in the tournament.
- 12:42Speaker 3: Wow, but this is their first year to get in
- 12:43Speaker 3: and I don't know if you saw the end of
- 12:45Speaker 3: the Yale game.
- 12:46Speaker 4: Oh that's.
- 12:50Speaker 1: So, we're gonna start doing some digging on some of
- 12:52Speaker 1: these FCS teams. These numbers are actually out there now,
- 12:55Speaker 1: but trying to get data on some of these teams
- 12:57Speaker 1: is tough.
- 12:58Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm excited, Scott. Are you ready for this?
- 13:01Speaker 4: We got one more weekend ready, Championship week? I like it.
- 13:05Speaker 3: Let's get started.
- 13:06Speaker 4: Don't be a lot gonna be a lot of fun
- 13:08Speaker 4: this we can uh.
- 13:09Speaker 3: Kinnesas State Jacksonville State will play.
- 13:12Speaker 1: These are all the G five games or home games,
- 13:14Speaker 1: by the way, Kinnesaw State, Jacksonville State.
- 13:16Speaker 3: All point here.
- 13:17Speaker 1: Kennesaw State comes in laying two and a half in
- 13:19Speaker 1: this week. Oh unders at fifty nine and a half.
- 13:22Speaker 1: When you look at these teams, we haven't talked a
- 13:24Speaker 1: ton about these. Kennesaw State, man, what a great program
- 13:27Speaker 1: coming from FCS, moving their way up and here they've
- 13:30Speaker 1: got a chance to win the conference.
- 13:33Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, I mean yes, and they.
- 13:39Speaker 1: And so they've got a chance to win the conference title,
- 13:41Speaker 1: which is pretty exciting. Jacksonville State, they lose rich Rod,
- 13:45Speaker 1: but they still run the piss out of the ball.
- 13:47Speaker 1: They play with a ship ton of tempo. If you
- 13:50Speaker 1: haven't watched these guys go yet both of these teams too. Uh,
- 13:53Speaker 1: I would lean Kinnessas State minus two and a half.
- 13:55Speaker 1: You're getting a lot of traction on that. Also, the
- 13:57Speaker 1: over at fifty nine and a half is catch them
- 13:59Speaker 1: a lot, But I would lay it with Kinnesas State
- 14:02Speaker 1: at two and a half.
- 14:02Speaker 3: Haven't got involved yet, but that's where I kind of
- 14:04Speaker 3: like this gi.
- 14:04Speaker 4: Yeah, I like Kansas State. This team's fast. I don't know.
- 14:07Speaker 2: I'm total football junkie and I spend a lot of
- 14:11Speaker 2: time in the hotel room, so I end up watching
- 14:13Speaker 2: a lot of a lot of sports, especially midweeks, and man.
- 14:17Speaker 4: These guys are fast.
- 14:18Speaker 2: There's a lot more speed on this team than I
- 14:21Speaker 2: think people realize. And so, yeah, I like Kansas State here,
- 14:24Speaker 2: but I do think it's gonna be I scored.
- 14:28Speaker 3: Next one. We got Troy James Madison, Baby Jam you got.
- 14:33Speaker 3: I hope these guys don't get snubbed.
- 14:35Speaker 1: Lay in twenty three and a half against Troy. This
- 14:37Speaker 1: is a team that's gonna go on to win the
- 14:39Speaker 1: Sun Belt. Probably they will if they pull us one off. Scott,
- 14:42Speaker 1: I'm excited about this one because we got a ticket
- 14:44Speaker 1: from this summer on JMU to win this one and
- 14:47Speaker 1: so lay at twenty three and a half over under
- 14:49Speaker 1: here is forty seven and a half. Bob Chesney, you know,
- 14:52Speaker 1: one foot out the door on his way to UCLA.
- 14:55Speaker 4: How about a great high How great of a hire
- 14:57Speaker 4: is that for? You see?
- 14:57Speaker 2: It much very good hire for them. Believe he's taking
- 15:01Speaker 2: that job.
- 15:01Speaker 4: But it's.
- 15:04Speaker 3: A hard job. It's a really hard job. That they're
- 15:06Speaker 3: not gonna play in the Rose Bowl anymore.
- 15:08Speaker 1: They're moving their home games to sofi A Stadium, which
- 15:11Speaker 1: I don't think that's a bad movie.
- 15:12Speaker 2: To be honest with you, Well, they ain't gonna get
- 15:14Speaker 2: me less up there. Let me say that maybe.
- 15:17Speaker 1: This James Madison team can play. If you haven't watched
- 15:20Speaker 1: him yet, you know, the one thing with James Madison
- 15:23Speaker 1: that they've struggled with is when they've had to step
- 15:25Speaker 1: up in conference. The Louisville game, the Washington State game,
- 15:29Speaker 1: they pounded liberty. That Liberty is terrible. But they've dominated
- 15:33Speaker 1: in the Sunbelt. They're averaging forty eight points a game
- 15:36Speaker 1: over the last three Sun Belt matchups that they've played.
- 15:39Speaker 3: Their defense is suffocating for a team this level.
- 15:42Speaker 1: You know, quarterback play looks good Alec Barrett has done fantastic.
- 15:45Speaker 1: They're running back that can kind of do everything as
- 15:48Speaker 1: a beast man. And I don't want to lay twenty
- 15:51Speaker 1: three and a half with JMU. So you're gonna laugh,
- 15:53Speaker 1: I'm gonna play. I've gotta hope the game starts slow
- 15:56Speaker 1: and I can get an end game vet at like seventeen,
- 15:59Speaker 1: because I think JAMU is gonna win.
- 16:01Speaker 3: I do think they're gonna I probably will cover.
- 16:03Speaker 1: I just don't want to lay twenty four points in
- 16:06Speaker 1: a conference championship game and some weird backdoor cover.
- 16:10Speaker 3: Come and catch me on the spot. What are your
- 16:11Speaker 3: thoughts here?
- 16:12Speaker 2: I agree, I think you know, I think this game
- 16:14Speaker 2: may go over because of what you said. James Madison
- 16:17Speaker 2: has scored so many points in conference, you know, hard
- 16:20Speaker 2: to believe they're not going to score, you know, thirty one,
- 16:23Speaker 2: thirty five at a minimum, and then we just need
- 16:27Speaker 2: just need a couple of touchdowns out of Troy, you know.
- 16:30Speaker 2: So I think the over's got a legit chance. But
- 16:33Speaker 2: I always hate them when their low numbers like this
- 16:35Speaker 2: because they generally stay low scoring. But it does feel
- 16:40Speaker 2: like as much as James Madison has dominated this league
- 16:43Speaker 2: that they're going to continue to do it with a
- 16:44Speaker 2: home game on Saturday.
- 16:46Speaker 1: And the interesting thing too, is is they're paired up
- 16:49Speaker 1: right in the same window as the North Texas two
- 16:51Speaker 1: lane game, and so knowing the fact that these teams
- 16:55Speaker 1: it's going to come down to who's the higher ranked
- 16:58Speaker 1: team to get in, you kind of wonder if Chesney's
- 17:01Speaker 1: gonna keep his foot on the gas because and the
- 17:03Speaker 1: other thing that's interesting all three of these teams are
- 17:06Speaker 1: losing their coaches, and so how's that gonna play into
- 17:10Speaker 1: the mentality of what these teams are?
- 17:12Speaker 4: Yeah, that's right.
- 17:14Speaker 3: It's interesting space. Interesting space.
- 17:16Speaker 1: So I kind of like your over angle there, because
- 17:19Speaker 1: you got to wonder if James Madison is just gonna
- 17:21Speaker 1: want to put it to them, because why would you
- 17:23Speaker 1: take your foot off the gas knowing that you've got
- 17:24Speaker 1: one chance left.
- 17:25Speaker 4: For one chance?
- 17:26Speaker 3: Yeah, yep uh, North Texas two lane.
- 17:30Speaker 1: This will be played on two lanes, two lanes campus,
- 17:32Speaker 1: North Texas Lane two and a half over under here
- 17:35Speaker 1: is sixty six and a half. Scotty, what's your thoughts
- 17:38Speaker 1: on this one?
- 17:39Speaker 2: You know, I'm probably not going to play this game,
- 17:42Speaker 2: but if I do, I think I'm gonna take North
- 17:44Speaker 2: Texas lay in the points. But every time I have
- 17:50Speaker 2: tried to get invested in two lane, I've been unimpressed
- 17:53Speaker 2: when I watch them. And that's that's not a shot
- 17:56Speaker 2: against them. I mean they're they're you know, they're AAC
- 17:59Speaker 2: team or AC AAC team, so it doesn't doesn't really
- 18:03Speaker 2: surprise me. But I just think North Texas defense is
- 18:08Speaker 2: a little bit better than people realize, and that offense
- 18:11Speaker 2: can score, and I think it's gonna be enough to
- 18:14Speaker 2: give them problems. Man, This too lane offense goes as
- 18:17Speaker 2: a QB goes, and I feel like he doesn't run
- 18:21Speaker 2: the football nearly as much as I would like for
- 18:24Speaker 2: him to do. When he's back to by, I think
- 18:26Speaker 2: there's sometimes he could pull and run and do and
- 18:30Speaker 2: do some damage. I just again, I don't have a
- 18:34Speaker 2: great feel for this game because I think these teams
- 18:36Speaker 2: are pretty evenly matched.
- 18:37Speaker 4: But I'm taking it. I'm taking North Texas.
- 18:40Speaker 1: I'm glate in North Texas might have stood half of
- 18:42Speaker 1: this week. I think you get this below the number.
- 18:45Speaker 1: We had some sharp money coming in early when it
- 18:47Speaker 1: was over three. Bumped it down a little bit.
- 18:48Speaker 3: Here.
- 18:49Speaker 1: North Texas's defense, I look for them to blitch the
- 18:52Speaker 1: balls off of Jake retz laugh of this week. I
- 18:54Speaker 1: looked at some PFF stats this week, and you put
- 18:58Speaker 1: pressure on this kid in dirty up the pocket and
- 19:00Speaker 1: his numbers dropped dramatically. He just in this coach, and
- 19:04Speaker 1: I think it's what to you point is like he's
- 19:07Speaker 1: not tucking and going like he did last year at BYU.
- 19:11Speaker 1: And there's actually a pretty good video out there from
- 19:13Speaker 1: last year if you go to PFF with Jake Gretz
- 19:16Speaker 1: Love talking about how he handles the blips, how he
- 19:18Speaker 1: likes to play into it, things like that, and.
- 19:20Speaker 3: So I like to kill a lot. I think North
- 19:22Speaker 3: Texas will dirty this thing up.
- 19:24Speaker 1: I think they're gonna cover this game and then keep
- 19:26Speaker 1: their fingers crossed that maybe they get a chance to
- 19:28Speaker 1: get in the dance.
- 19:29Speaker 3: But I'm gonna lay its late two and a half
- 19:31Speaker 3: with North Texans Scott UNLV Boise State. This game will
- 19:35Speaker 3: be played on the smurf turf. This is a rematch
- 19:37Speaker 3: from a game just a few weeks ago.
- 19:40Speaker 1: UNLV's are getting four here over under fifty eight and
- 19:43Speaker 1: a half. I'm really surprised Dan mullen is still coaching
- 19:46Speaker 1: at UNLV. I thought for sure he was gonna be
- 19:50Speaker 1: on the move. If you end up at Penn State,
- 19:52Speaker 1: I'm gonna laugh. But anyway, looking at this one, I
- 19:55Speaker 1: lean to UNLV, But boys, he just pants these guys
- 19:58Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago QUARTERB for Boise States banged up,
- 20:01Speaker 1: They're gonna give it a go match, It's gonna come
- 20:03Speaker 1: back in this one. I kind of wonder if something
- 20:06Speaker 1: happens and they don't have to just sit down and
- 20:08Speaker 1: run the ball. But this year and LV team offensively
- 20:11Speaker 1: is fantastic defensively, so I haven't got involved.
- 20:16Speaker 3: You gotta pick in.
- 20:17Speaker 4: This one, I don't.
- 20:18Speaker 2: I will stay away from this because again it feels
- 20:20Speaker 2: like I mean, I thought UNLV had a chance to
- 20:22Speaker 2: cover a significantly better, bigger line Hells at twenty and
- 20:25Speaker 2: a half, and they didn't. And they didn't cover it.
- 20:29Speaker 2: It's on the road, it's at Boise. It just it
- 20:32Speaker 2: feels like, boys, you cover this, but you're right, they're
- 20:34Speaker 2: banged up, so you know, Vegas knows something here.
- 20:38Speaker 4: This line seems stinky. So if you're gonna take it,
- 20:41Speaker 4: I take Boise.
- 20:43Speaker 3: Western Michigan MIAVII of Ohio.
- 20:46Speaker 1: How does the MAC get a neutral site game and
- 20:49Speaker 1: they play this game in Detroit. That's the most mac
- 20:51Speaker 1: thing ever. You take teams that have literally been suffering
- 20:54Speaker 1: on Tuesdays and Wednesdays in the cold ass weather for
- 20:57Speaker 1: the last three weeks, and then we're gonna play the
- 20:59Speaker 1: championshi game of a dome.
- 21:01Speaker 4: Move them indoors, baby, They.
- 21:03Speaker 3: Should play this game in the up like around Marquette
- 21:06Speaker 3: or somewhere like that.
- 21:06Speaker 1: Anyway, Western Michigan lay in two and a half against
- 21:10Speaker 1: Miami over under here is forty three and a half.
- 21:13Speaker 3: This game has been played just a few weeks ago
- 21:15Speaker 3: as well, and Maymie Ohio came back to win that game.
- 21:18Speaker 1: Big ticket thing is though day one Finn Miami Ohio
- 21:21Speaker 1: quarterback to transferred in and on the team anymore, left
- 21:24Speaker 1: the team to get ready for the NFL, which I
- 21:26Speaker 1: don't understand.
- 21:27Speaker 3: That at all. But he's not there, Scotty, how are
- 21:30Speaker 3: we going to play back?
- 21:30Speaker 4: Shop man? This team's not good without the one thin
- 21:34Speaker 4: I mean that, that's the bottom line. They're a different
- 21:36Speaker 4: football team. That kid was The kid's good man.
- 21:38Speaker 2: He's a good player and uh probably should have stayed
- 21:41Speaker 2: at Toledo not bailed a couple of years ago. Where
- 21:43Speaker 2: do he go Baylor and then sat on the Pine.
- 21:46Speaker 2: Probably should have stayed at Tulane. I mean that Toledo,
- 21:49Speaker 2: but hey, what do I know, Go to work, play
- 21:53Speaker 2: for the guys who made you. May not make as
- 21:54Speaker 2: much money, but you're also they're also not going to
- 21:56Speaker 2: screw you up. But this team's just not very good.
- 22:00Speaker 2: I really like Western here lay in the two and
- 22:03Speaker 2: a half. I think they're playing good football. I think
- 22:07Speaker 2: without Bakon Finn that's the difference in this ball game.
- 22:11Speaker 3: Yeah, I would agree with you.
- 22:12Speaker 1: I'll tell you if you're gonna take Western, get them
- 22:13Speaker 1: now before that number goes over three, because I think
- 22:16Speaker 1: by game time the public will push it that way
- 22:18Speaker 1: because they're gonna want to lay the favorite in that one,
- 22:20Speaker 1: and so it's already been moving from one and a
- 22:22Speaker 1: half up to two and a half. So I would
- 22:24Speaker 1: go ahead and jump on Western if you're gonna play
- 22:25Speaker 1: that game Saturday. Next game we got at eleven o'clock
- 22:28Speaker 1: on Saturday, Scott Texas Tech BYU we played at Jerry
- 22:31Speaker 1: World Lina to sit at twelve and a half over
- 22:33Speaker 1: Runners at forty.
- 22:34Speaker 3: Nine and a half.
- 22:35Speaker 1: Again, these two teams play just a couple of weeks ago,
- 22:37Speaker 1: This will determine who wins the Big Twelve and who
- 22:40Speaker 1: gets the auto bid. I don't think if BYU beats Tech,
- 22:43Speaker 1: I don't think Tech gets a bid. That's my personal opinion.
- 22:46Speaker 1: I think as muddy as the water is around this
- 22:48Speaker 1: thing currently, I don't think that they're gonna give the
- 22:50Speaker 1: Big Twelve two bids, and so Tech has to win
- 22:53Speaker 1: this game lay in twelve and a half in this
- 22:55Speaker 1: one forty nine and a half.
- 22:57Speaker 3: I've said this a couple of times.
- 22:58Speaker 1: I think Tech goes as far as Barry more quarterbacks
- 23:00Speaker 1: going to carry him.
- 23:01Speaker 3: Uh.
- 23:02Speaker 1: Tech comes into this game. He's banged up a little bit,
- 23:04Speaker 1: but they come in healthy. This Texas Tech defense is
- 23:07Speaker 1: not a good matchup for b wy's offense. By's offense
- 23:10Speaker 1: is very ground heavy. They run the ball well, they're
- 23:13Speaker 1: very physical, but when they matched up against a good
- 23:16Speaker 1: defense in Texas Tech. I know this game was in
- 23:18Speaker 1: Lubbock and Tech didn't even play that well and may
- 23:21Speaker 1: beat this team twenty nine to seven. I wouldn't be
- 23:23Speaker 1: scared to lay twelve and a half with Tech. I
- 23:25Speaker 1: think they're going to cover this number and win the
- 23:26Speaker 1: Big Twelve championship.
- 23:28Speaker 4: And the only thing that scares me is I started,
- 23:30Speaker 4: as I've been writing down these games, I like a
- 23:32Speaker 4: bunch of favorites. That's the only thing that scares me.
- 23:36Speaker 4: You know, you start you start looking at at these games,
- 23:40Speaker 4: and you know, I just talked about West Virginia.
- 23:42Speaker 2: I just talked about you know, North Texas. We're going
- 23:46Speaker 2: to get to the other games in a little bit.
- 23:48Speaker 2: But that's the only thing that scares me. Tech was
- 23:51Speaker 2: significantly better. I still think by us fools gold. I
- 23:55Speaker 2: don't think the Big twelve was very good. Outside of
- 23:59Speaker 2: the top three or four teams. I mean, I don't
- 24:01Speaker 2: mean this bad. Arizona State is one of the best
- 24:03Speaker 2: three or four teams in that league. They lost Mississippi State.
- 24:06Speaker 4: I mean I lost Arizona last week.
- 24:08Speaker 2: How about that Arizona That's right, yep, the U so
- 24:11Speaker 2: I mean, you know, it's at the end of the day,
- 24:12Speaker 2: I just don't think they were very good. I think Arizona,
- 24:15Speaker 2: Arizona State, b y, you. These guys in Utah are
- 24:19Speaker 2: the best teams in the league. Utah is not very good.
- 24:22Speaker 2: I mean that that that that that team our people
- 24:25Speaker 2: are talking about that team making the playoff is almost
- 24:28Speaker 2: laughable to me. But you know it kind of kind
- 24:31Speaker 2: of is what it is. Tech doesn't get in if
- 24:34Speaker 2: they lose this game. I think there will be smoke
- 24:36Speaker 2: roar because they've been really impressive all year. And I
- 24:41Speaker 2: don't know how in the world you're gonna let you're
- 24:44Speaker 2: gonna let you're gonna let them drop what would be ten?
- 24:48Speaker 2: What nine slight eight slots in the poll, whatever it is.
- 24:52Speaker 2: It seems like a ton for one loss to a
- 24:53Speaker 2: team you've already beaten. So I don't know that they
- 24:57Speaker 2: fall out, but I think it does create some man archy.
- 25:00Speaker 4: But that's the thing that really makes me like.
- 25:02Speaker 2: Tech is that I think they know they got to
- 25:04Speaker 2: win and they are the better football team.
- 25:06Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you on this, baby. I think Tech
- 25:09Speaker 3: is gonna beat the boys in special underwear here. I
- 25:11Speaker 3: think they're gonna handle it.
- 25:12Speaker 1: But I could see it being a little bit lower
- 25:14Speaker 1: scoring than what people might think.
- 25:15Speaker 3: I mean, the last one was twenty nine to seven.
- 25:17Speaker 3: Tech did play that well.
- 25:19Speaker 1: Uh, there was a couple of moments during that game
- 25:21Speaker 1: I thought b Yu was gonna turn it and Tech
- 25:23Speaker 1: benefit for some turnovers, a couple of bad bad throws.
- 25:26Speaker 1: Morton didn't get picked off in so I think the
- 25:29Speaker 1: most I think the public will be on by you
- 25:32Speaker 1: getting twelve and a half is what my opinion is.
- 25:35Speaker 2: That game is at Jerry World, Right, It's that Jerry World. Yeah,
- 25:38Speaker 2: that's that's Tech's largest alumni base. It's gonna be packed,
- 25:43Speaker 2: you know. I think it'll be full of Texas Tech fans.
- 25:46Speaker 3: Well in the Mormons travel baby, I mean, I'm not
- 25:50Speaker 3: gonna lie to see you. They'll get a lot of people.
- 25:51Speaker 4: Well, there's not that many of them.
- 25:53Speaker 1: I mean that's everywhere, bro, you turn over a rockets,
- 25:57Speaker 1: find a find a Mormon somewhere.
- 25:58Speaker 2: I promise there's a lot bought four churches in Frisco.
- 26:01Speaker 1: So, I mean it's like Mormons and gays, dude, they're everywhere.
- 26:06Speaker 3: Now you just turn over rocks, so they're just everywhere.
- 26:08Speaker 3: I don't know, it's fine.
- 26:09Speaker 1: I mean, good thing I owned this channel so I
- 26:12Speaker 1: don't have to monitor myself anyway.
- 26:14Speaker 3: Yeah, but there's gonna be a pretty good crowd at
- 26:16Speaker 3: this one.
- 26:16Speaker 1: The get in price for these tickets is gone through
- 26:18Speaker 1: the roof with Tech making it, and so I do
- 26:21Speaker 1: think you'll have both RIP fan bases will be represented
- 26:23Speaker 1: pretty well. Let's go Texas Tech I'm gonna lay it
- 26:25Speaker 1: with twelve and a half Scotty SEC Championship. Georgia and
- 26:29Speaker 1: Alabama come into this one. This should be a fantastic game.
- 26:33Speaker 1: Of course, Alabama won the first game. They got out
- 26:35Speaker 1: early like twenty one OHO, and then it was like
- 26:37Speaker 1: they just kind of just shut down. And Georgia slowly,
- 26:43Speaker 1: methodically came back in that game but couldn't quite get
- 26:45Speaker 1: it done. And they come in for the rematch. Here
- 26:48Speaker 1: George's laying two and a half over unders forty seven
- 26:50Speaker 1: and a half. This game is played in Atlanta, You'll
- 26:54Speaker 1: have both fan bases will be packed. Good thing is
- 26:58Speaker 1: Bama's the home team, which is nice because that means
- 27:01Speaker 1: they will sell beer there. Because when George is the
- 27:03Speaker 1: home team, they do not sell beer there.
- 27:05Speaker 4: That's right.
- 27:07Speaker 2: No wonder that Georgia don't made them, No wonder they're
- 27:09Speaker 2: because because Georgia is the higher seed. That's fabulous. You
- 27:13Speaker 2: know that the domes like, uh, they're the road team.
- 27:16Speaker 2: We need to make some money out of this deal.
- 27:18Speaker 1: Yeah, because when I went to the LSU Georgia game
- 27:20Speaker 1: a couple of years ago, I go to the beer.
- 27:21Speaker 3: Stand, I'm like, what's going on?
- 27:23Speaker 1: I can't sell bear. George is the only SEC team
- 27:26Speaker 1: that does not sell beer inside of their stadium.
- 27:27Speaker 3: A little no fact.
- 27:28Speaker 1: But anyway, uh later two and a half over, there's
- 27:31Speaker 1: forty seven and a half Scotty break this SEC matchup.
- 27:33Speaker 4: Down for you, Well it can.
- 27:35Speaker 2: This gets down to Ken Kirby get Obama monkey off
- 27:38Speaker 2: his back. I mean he has dominated pretty much everybody
- 27:42Speaker 2: else and has an is he oh in six?
- 27:45Speaker 4: One and six?
- 27:46Speaker 2: I think he's one in six because he did to
- 27:48Speaker 2: beat him in the SEC Championship and then lost him
- 27:50Speaker 2: in the Natty the one in six against Alabama?
- 27:55Speaker 4: So does that change?
- 27:56Speaker 2: I think it does. They're playing much better football. But
- 27:58Speaker 2: who's playing really good football right now? It is counter
- 28:00Speaker 2: stock him and that kid's kind of gotten enough snaps
- 28:04Speaker 2: under his But you can see why Kirby liked him.
- 28:06Speaker 2: White believes he's back next year. That's another big thing
- 28:10Speaker 2: for Georgia. But I think they get this done. Bama's
- 28:14Speaker 2: not playing as well. I think where there is some
- 28:18Speaker 2: concern is how close does Bama keep it. I don't
- 28:21Speaker 2: even think there's really that many people that think Bama's
- 28:23Speaker 2: gonna win this. I think it's more of how close
- 28:27Speaker 2: are they going to keep it. They go lose by
- 28:29Speaker 2: three t ds, and do they make the attorney I mean,
- 28:33Speaker 2: I think I think obviously Greg saying he's going to
- 28:36Speaker 2: be like, hell, no, you're not penalizing him for playing
- 28:38Speaker 2: the thirteenth game.
- 28:41Speaker 4: But there would be some calls for that.
- 28:45Speaker 2: So I think that I think that would be interesting.
- 28:48Speaker 2: But I think Georgia gets it done here. Everybody knows
- 28:51Speaker 2: I love Jay Simpson ty Simpson, He's been absolutely incredible,
- 28:57Speaker 2: uh to watch. If he's not quarterbacking that football team,
- 29:00Speaker 2: I'm not sure this isn't a five hundred football team.
- 29:03Speaker 2: If they're getting average quarterback play as bad as they
- 29:08Speaker 2: are running the football they are, they might be seven
- 29:12Speaker 2: and five and the board would already been fired. So
- 29:16Speaker 2: I mean, he needs to think his lucky stars that
- 29:18Speaker 2: this kid stuck around, because that is really what's saving them.
- 29:22Speaker 2: They can't run the football and being one dimensional, I
- 29:26Speaker 2: think sets up Georgia in a really a really good fashion.
- 29:31Speaker 2: Their pass rush has gotten better, they have finally figured
- 29:34Speaker 2: some things out. I think it's really just some kids
- 29:36Speaker 2: have matured, or it could have been they played a
- 29:38Speaker 2: really bad Missippi State offensive line and.
- 29:40Speaker 4: Got on track. They realized, oh, this is how it's
- 29:43Speaker 4: supposed to go.
- 29:45Speaker 2: But that's what they've gotten better since that game, and
- 29:47Speaker 2: they've gotten more pressure on the quarterback a lot more sacks.
- 29:50Speaker 2: I just think george is the better team. That's the
- 29:52Speaker 2: bottom mine. I think Georgia is the better team than
- 29:54Speaker 2: I think the better coach team.
- 29:57Speaker 3: I like Georgia here, man. I think Georgia is.
- 30:00Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm high on Georgia to win the Natty,
- 30:03Speaker 1: and I think they get it done here. I will
- 30:05Speaker 1: think it's going to be interesting when you get a
- 30:06Speaker 1: three loss Bama.
- 30:08Speaker 3: That gets in on SAT on Sunday night.
- 30:13Speaker 1: Yeah, Texas fans going crazy, Miami fans arguably going crazy.
- 30:21Speaker 3: So it will be interesting to see how it goes down.
- 30:23Speaker 1: That's the only real thing to be that I think
- 30:26Speaker 1: could make this even money or is it? If Bama
- 30:29Speaker 1: loses and they get in with three losses, everybody's head
- 30:32Speaker 1: they're gonna explode.
- 30:33Speaker 3: Or maybe the committee.
- 30:35Speaker 1: But if you're also the committee and Bama loses and
- 30:38Speaker 1: you're out and they put Miami in there, I don't
- 30:41Speaker 1: I'm not against it. I mean, I'm telling you it's
- 30:43Speaker 1: like I think Miami should be there, and I wouldn't
- 30:45Speaker 1: be against that move.
- 30:47Speaker 2: I'm look, I think Miami definitely. I think Miami is
- 30:50Speaker 2: one of the twelve best teams in America. I do
- 30:52Speaker 2: believe that. But I'll tell you what else. I think
- 30:54Speaker 2: Notre Dame's probably one of the twelve best teams in America.
- 30:57Speaker 2: I agree, you know, you know, I think that is
- 31:02Speaker 2: you know, I think I think that's just reality. Bama
- 31:06Speaker 2: has not Bama has has not looked dominant. They really
- 31:11Speaker 2: can't run the football and they still have a really
- 31:13Speaker 2: bad loss to start the season. They just don't play
- 31:17Speaker 2: with the same intensity and edge that I've seen in
- 31:20Speaker 2: the past.
- 31:21Speaker 3: You know, they have it years to be Yeah.
- 31:24Speaker 4: And I just don't I just don't understand.
- 31:26Speaker 2: I just don't understand how they can't run the football
- 31:29Speaker 2: with all the dudes that they have signed. It's just
- 31:33Speaker 2: amazing to me. I mean, I just don't understand it.
- 31:37Speaker 2: So you know, we'll see. I think Georgia is just
- 31:41Speaker 2: the better football team. That really is That really is
- 31:43Speaker 2: the truth. I think they were the better football team
- 31:45Speaker 2: the first time they played, and they just didn't figure
- 31:47Speaker 2: out a way to win it.
- 31:49Speaker 1: Next game we got Scotty ACC Championship. Duke getting three
- 31:53Speaker 1: and a half over under his fifty seven and a half.
- 31:56Speaker 1: Duke is not a good football team. Duke is seven
- 31:59Speaker 1: and five. I've probably watched more Duke this season than
- 32:02Speaker 1: that I happened years. I'm not sure why, but Virginia
- 32:05Speaker 1: comes into this channel. Morris is back. See everybody seems healthy.
- 32:08Speaker 1: Tony Elliot's done a really good job this season with
- 32:11Speaker 1: this Cuva team. I mean, they've got two losses. They
- 32:14Speaker 1: got a bad fuck up loss to Wake Forest, and
- 32:16Speaker 1: then they've got an NC State loss that randomly is
- 32:19Speaker 1: not a conference game because they had it scheduled prior
- 32:22Speaker 1: to and this one. So I like the Uva here
- 32:25Speaker 1: lay in three and a half. I may buy the
- 32:27Speaker 1: hook and get it down to three. But these two
- 32:29Speaker 1: teams played just a few weeks ago, and Virginia handled
- 32:33Speaker 1: their business and won that game thirty four to seventeen,
- 32:36Speaker 1: and they out gained Duke five forty to two fifty five.
- 32:41Speaker 1: And there's only two turnover. I mean, and Duke only
- 32:43Speaker 1: had one turnover in that game. I mean, they just
- 32:45Speaker 1: absolutely dominated them. And so I think Uva crushes here.
- 32:50Speaker 1: This is probably gonna be my biggest biggest bet on Saturday.
- 32:54Speaker 2: Yeah, I think EVA is gonna let them have it again.
- 32:58Speaker 2: Here's the thing that when you talk about this team
- 33:02Speaker 2: not being good, Man, they got pounded by an average
- 33:04Speaker 2: Illinois team.
- 33:06Speaker 4: They got pounded by Tulane.
- 33:08Speaker 2: But and and both those games were at home, you know,
- 33:12Speaker 2: And and they've gotten They lost to Yukon, they lost
- 33:18Speaker 2: to Virginia, and then they've got a loss to Georgia
- 33:20Speaker 2: Tech in there. This team is not one of the
- 33:23Speaker 2: two best teams in this league. Hell, it's not one
- 33:25Speaker 2: of the three best teams in the league.
- 33:26Speaker 4: This is the fourth and.
- 33:27Speaker 2: Fifth best team in this league. And it's not a
- 33:31Speaker 2: good league. And yeah, I think at the end of
- 33:34Speaker 2: the day, I think Virginia is going to put it
- 33:36Speaker 2: on them. Morse has been really good as well at
- 33:38Speaker 2: quarterback for these guys, and it all got jump started
- 33:42Speaker 2: with that win over Florida State. And then we all
- 33:45Speaker 2: thought Florida State was still a good football team based
- 33:48Speaker 2: on what we saw with Bama and and and at
- 33:52Speaker 2: the end, at the end of it, it doesn't matter
- 33:54Speaker 2: what gets a team believing and gets them going in
- 33:57Speaker 2: the right direction. That gave them tremendous Oh, their quarterback
- 34:01Speaker 2: played well and they honestly have never really come off
- 34:04Speaker 2: of it.
- 34:04Speaker 4: So I do like Virginia here. I think they're going
- 34:07Speaker 4: to win.
- 34:08Speaker 2: I think they're going to cover, and I think they're
- 34:11Speaker 2: going to avoid complete calamity for the ACC.
- 34:16Speaker 3: And if you don't want to lay the three, you
- 34:18Speaker 3: can still lay look as well as move them down,
- 34:20Speaker 3: but you can.
- 34:21Speaker 1: They's a minus one fifty out there if you just
- 34:23Speaker 1: want to take the money light on Duke me, excuse
- 34:25Speaker 1: me Virginia. So I'm big on Virginia here. I don't
- 34:29Speaker 1: see Duke staying in this game at all. Again, Virginia
- 34:32Speaker 1: comes in laser focus. They know what the win, they
- 34:35Speaker 1: guarantee themselves a shot and see that's the other fucked
- 34:38Speaker 1: up thing. Duke wins and they know they're not even
- 34:41Speaker 1: in Yeah, I mean, I understand the motivation to win
- 34:45Speaker 1: the conference, but you can't.
- 34:47Speaker 3: You're not even going to get in the tournament if
- 34:49Speaker 3: you win.
- 34:49Speaker 1: And so you're kind of just scratching your head, going
- 34:52Speaker 1: how much are we going to give these guys? And
- 34:53Speaker 1: they haven't been able to get up for a big
- 34:55Speaker 1: game all season.
- 34:57Speaker 4: Not to say that I think things are not crooked.
- 35:00Speaker 2: But you're really gonna tell me the ACC is going
- 35:03Speaker 2: to be like, you know, call this game straight, boys.
- 35:09Speaker 4: I mean seriously, I mean, you see some of the.
- 35:11Speaker 2: Fishiest officiating stuff in these big games where there's a
- 35:15Speaker 2: vested interest for a team and.
- 35:17Speaker 4: You're just like, you know, the league is getting heavy
- 35:19Speaker 4: handed here.
- 35:20Speaker 2: And when it goes to replay like that replay for
- 35:23Speaker 2: the Michigan game last week, there's no way, no way.
- 35:28Speaker 4: Did I do I think that was a touchdown? Yes?
- 35:30Speaker 4: Did he have control of the ball when he crossed
- 35:32Speaker 4: the end zone?
- 35:33Speaker 3: No?
- 35:33Speaker 2: Did he put a foot down in the end zone? No,
- 35:36Speaker 2: should have been a touchback. They didn't have a bass
- 35:39Speaker 2: to call that way.
- 35:41Speaker 4: That's the deal.
- 35:42Speaker 2: Do I hate the rule because yes, you know it's
- 35:46Speaker 2: a it's a touchdown, you know to me, because the
- 35:49Speaker 2: kids scored. He did regain control, he crossed the plane,
- 35:53Speaker 2: you know, he was he had control of it before
- 35:55Speaker 2: his foot came down. And that's all that really has
- 35:58Speaker 2: to happen anywhere else on field except when you're going
- 36:01Speaker 2: out of bounds, and you know, so, I mean I
- 36:06Speaker 2: can justify in my mind, all right, they just kind
- 36:09Speaker 2: of looked the other way because to them it really
- 36:10Speaker 2: wasn't touchdown because I thought it was too. But by
- 36:13Speaker 2: the rule it wasn't and you had to turn it over.
- 36:16Speaker 2: You can't tell me that that's not going to go
- 36:18Speaker 2: on Saturday. In the ACC game's no, they're like, we're
- 36:22Speaker 2: fixed the costs ourselves one hundreds of millions of dollars.
- 36:25Speaker 4: What are we doing?
- 36:27Speaker 1: Well, we'll see what's gonna happen. The nice thing about
- 36:29Speaker 1: the ACC, though, is when they go to replay.
- 36:31Speaker 3: You get to listen to them talk.
- 36:33Speaker 2: That's the great part. Yeah, boy, yeah, that'll be fabulous.
- 36:36Speaker 2: If magically we can't hear oh, communications aren't working at
- 36:39Speaker 2: the green.
- 36:40Speaker 3: Dot's not working here anymore. Oh my god. If if
- 36:43Speaker 3: that happens, I'm sure you'll be the first one to
- 36:45Speaker 3: text me.
- 36:45Speaker 1: It's like, look, I told you. Anyway, we get a
- 36:48Speaker 1: baby Big ten Championship. Indianapolis, Ohio State, Indiana. Both these
- 36:53Speaker 1: teams are undefeated. Both these teams coming at twelve and zero.
- 36:56Speaker 1: Ohio State comes in at ten and two against the
- 36:59Speaker 1: number four and eight to the over under. Indiana comes
- 37:03Speaker 1: in here twelve and oh seven and five of the number.
- 37:05Speaker 3: Eight and four to the over. Both of these teams
- 37:09Speaker 3: are well balanced strong defenses.
- 37:11Speaker 1: Ohio State only gives up about eight points a game
- 37:13Speaker 1: Indiana's given up around eleven. Both of these teams can
- 37:17Speaker 1: put some numbers up. Indiana's putting up forty four points
- 37:19Speaker 1: a game ofho States putting up thirty seven Indiana kind
- 37:22Speaker 1: of there's some of their numbers to me are a
- 37:24Speaker 1: little through gayzy, you know, since they're not scared to
- 37:26Speaker 1: bully teams. And I think Signetty likes to do that,
- 37:29Speaker 1: but I don't think he's gonna be able to bully
- 37:31Speaker 1: this Ohio State team. This Ohio State team. What I
- 37:34Speaker 1: was really impressed with last week was Julian saying and
- 37:38Speaker 1: how calm and poised he was, especially after he through
- 37:42Speaker 1: that early interception, because you know that's a long throw
- 37:46Speaker 1: when you're trying to hit that out route where that
- 37:48Speaker 1: thing got picked out there. But you could tell they've
- 37:51Speaker 1: taken the reins off of this kid. I mean, the ball,
- 37:53Speaker 1: the play calling was better. They're using the middle of
- 37:56Speaker 1: the field. You've still got the two best, I mean,
- 37:59Speaker 1: Carneal Tate and.
- 38:01Speaker 4: Uh Jeremiah Smith.
- 38:03Speaker 3: Jeremih Smith, Dude, those guys are unreal.
- 38:06Speaker 1: I mean, I just how you play with those guys
- 38:08Speaker 1: the whole time, and so so I like Ohio State here.
- 38:13Speaker 1: I haven't laid anything with it, but I would lay
- 38:16Speaker 1: the four if I get.
- 38:18Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Ohio State here, and again this is
- 38:21Speaker 2: a I'm looking at chalk, But it really does get
- 38:25Speaker 2: down to me. Both these defenses I think are good.
- 38:28Speaker 2: The difference for me is you just named two guys
- 38:32Speaker 2: that can get open on anybody. Yeah, anybody. They can
- 38:37Speaker 2: get open on anybody. And then on defense, they got
- 38:41Speaker 2: a guy back in the defensive backfield who's as good
- 38:43Speaker 2: as anybody playing safety in Caleb Downs. That to me
- 38:48Speaker 2: is the difference. They're high end talent, to me is
- 38:51Speaker 2: what the difference in this ball game is going to be.
- 38:53Speaker 2: I think six is a great coach. He may very
- 38:55Speaker 2: well out coach them. I think this is a significantly
- 38:58Speaker 2: better Indiana team. And last year I think they look
- 39:03Speaker 2: like a Big ten football team. They're bigger, they're physical,
- 39:06Speaker 2: they're faster, there's just everything about them. They looked like
- 39:09Speaker 2: a better football team. And they're getting really good quarterback play.
- 39:14Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, I think the
- 39:16Speaker 2: high end talent is all standing on one sideline, and
- 39:19Speaker 2: I think it's all sitting on that Ohio State sideline.
- 39:22Speaker 2: There was a play in that game they went back
- 39:24Speaker 2: and reshowed it and he was the read on this
- 39:27Speaker 2: play was clearly Tait that was the side of the ball.
- 39:29Speaker 2: And then he actually checked down and threw to the
- 39:32Speaker 2: tight end. He had a drag route where Jeremih Smith
- 39:36Speaker 2: is running across the field and he spends twenty yards
- 39:41Speaker 2: wide ass open. And that is the problem that they
- 39:46Speaker 2: completed a pass to somebody else and you got him
- 39:51Speaker 2: wide up. They missed another opportunity when they caught Michigan
- 39:54Speaker 2: and Manda Man and on the loco was on your screen.
- 39:56Speaker 2: He was on the bottom of the field. You had
- 39:59Speaker 2: Jeremih Smith one and saying it's missed it. They just
- 40:02Speaker 2: pounded Michigan. And I'm naming two plays that were gigantic
- 40:06Speaker 2: plays that they ended up punting both of those drives,
- 40:10Speaker 2: and they Jeremih.
- 40:12Speaker 4: Smith probably scores.
- 40:14Speaker 2: If they throw him down the field one on one
- 40:17Speaker 2: against a quarterback, he probably scores. And they missed those plays.
- 40:22Speaker 2: And yet they're still as good as they are because
- 40:24Speaker 2: he's still a young quarterback. But man, he's good. He's
- 40:27Speaker 2: accurate with the football, he's got some swagger. There's a
- 40:31Speaker 2: lot of things to like about saying but he's still
- 40:33Speaker 2: growing as a player, but they have such high end
- 40:36Speaker 2: talent that I just think it's gonna be it's gonna
- 40:39Speaker 2: be hard for anybody to beat them. You're gonna have
- 40:41Speaker 2: to be a team with super high end talent to
- 40:44Speaker 2: do it.
- 40:46Speaker 1: Looking at that scut So that's that's what we got
- 40:48Speaker 1: for the board, I would agree with you. And if
- 40:51Speaker 1: you're looking at kind of trying to build a some
- 40:54Speaker 1: positions going in the National Championship, that's pull it up
- 40:57Speaker 1: real quick.
- 40:59Speaker 3: Okay.
- 41:01Speaker 1: Current odds are running right around Ohio state plus one
- 41:04Speaker 1: seventy five.
- 41:05Speaker 3: UGGA can still get it eight to one eight. I
- 41:10Speaker 3: think it's a good ticket like Oregon.
- 41:12Speaker 1: Ten to one, Notre Dame ten to one, Bama fourteen
- 41:16Speaker 1: to one, Old Miss thirty five to one, wow.
- 41:23Speaker 3: A, and m twelve to one. Indiana's four to one
- 41:26Speaker 3: text right around eleven to one.
- 41:28Speaker 1: So I would tell you if you're trying to build
- 41:30Speaker 1: a portfolio that you're trying to position yourself in based
- 41:33Speaker 1: on what they showed us the other night, I think Georgia.
- 41:36Speaker 3: Is the best value in that space at eight to one.
- 41:40Speaker 1: I've got some bigger tickets than that, but I think
- 41:43Speaker 1: George is probably the best value in that space when
- 41:46Speaker 1: you look at how they've got it lined up, where
- 41:48Speaker 1: you're probably gonna get Oregon. We'll get one of the
- 41:50Speaker 1: G five teams to come up to Eugene to play
- 41:52Speaker 1: Week one, and then they'll turn around and most likely
- 41:55Speaker 1: play if everything holds, we'll play Texas Tech in that
- 41:58Speaker 1: semifinal round. I mean, you could easily have two tickets
- 42:01Speaker 1: there that are both over ten to one if you've
- 42:04Speaker 1: got Oregon in Tech and so you're kind of in
- 42:06Speaker 1: a good position coming through that side of the bracket.
- 42:09Speaker 1: But Ohio State, I mean you could do a rolling
- 42:12Speaker 1: moneyline parlay on those guys and you're gonna get better
- 42:15Speaker 1: odds than one seventy five.
- 42:17Speaker 3: And so I don't know, there's no value in that
- 42:19Speaker 3: to me.
- 42:19Speaker 4: No, no, yeah, there's none.
- 42:22Speaker 1: So I would get you an uggly ticket. If you
- 42:24Speaker 1: don't have an uggly ticket, gets you anuggly ticket. I
- 42:26Speaker 1: think that's there. They're quiet. This is no one's talking
- 42:29Speaker 1: about us.
- 42:29Speaker 4: All year long. Man.
- 42:30Speaker 2: This has played right into kirbys Mark's hands all year
- 42:34Speaker 2: long that he has not been talked about. Nobody says
- 42:36Speaker 2: anything about them. I mean, I mean the way they
- 42:39Speaker 2: dismantled Texas just a couple of weeks ago. That was
- 42:43Speaker 2: an ass kicking. If you didn't watch that game. And
- 42:46Speaker 2: then he goes out and just says, you know, screw it,
- 42:48Speaker 2: we're gonna onside kick. I mean, just just playing with reckless,
- 42:53Speaker 2: abandoned coaching to win and just that they put it
- 42:57Speaker 2: on the Longhorns, And to me, yeah, there was a
- 43:01Speaker 2: playoff team in that game, and they weren't wearing burn orange.
- 43:05Speaker 3: Well, and I.
- 43:06Speaker 1: Don't necessarily and I'm not saying it because they lost
- 43:09Speaker 1: one game, but I don't see any value in having
- 43:12Speaker 1: I mean, you get the Aggies and this thing matches up.
- 43:14Speaker 1: Now they're gonna play Notre Dame again and Kyle Field
- 43:18Speaker 1: most likely, and that's gonna be a great game. I mean,
- 43:23Speaker 1: I like what Notre Dame.
- 43:24Speaker 3: I like what Texas a.
- 43:25Speaker 2: And Notre Dame didn't have their best cornerback in that
- 43:28Speaker 2: ball game when they when they gashed them up throwing
- 43:30Speaker 2: the football, and that's back and that guy's doing I mean,
- 43:34Speaker 2: du Son, that's why that move of football and Barcel
- 43:38Speaker 2: Reid doesn't pay any better than he did against Texas.
- 43:40Speaker 4: They're gonna get their ass kicked.
- 43:42Speaker 3: No, I totally agree with you.
- 43:43Speaker 1: But that's why I'm saying if you're looking at building
- 43:45Speaker 1: up a portfolio, going because we're here to make.
- 43:47Speaker 3: Money, not just talk about football, but like, if.
- 43:49Speaker 1: You look at how this bracket shapes out, you've got
- 43:51Speaker 1: Old Miss is gonna catch either Virginia or a G
- 43:54Speaker 1: five team. Most likely they're gonna catch that game in Oxford.
- 43:57Speaker 1: What are you gonna get out of Old Miss? Charlie
- 43:59Speaker 1: Wise Junior his a call, But you've lost your wide
- 44:02Speaker 1: receivers coach, You've lost your.
- 44:03Speaker 3: Running back coach. I mean you're gonna have GA's. Well.
- 44:06Speaker 4: I think the bulk of them have come back.
- 44:08Speaker 2: I think Kiffin softened on the uh you can't go
- 44:11Speaker 2: back that it was so much money. Ole Miss doubled
- 44:14Speaker 2: every one of them's pay to come back and finish
- 44:17Speaker 2: this deal.
- 44:18Speaker 4: So uh so, you know.
- 44:21Speaker 2: So good for good for the Rebels. I think they
- 44:23Speaker 2: ought to be able to coach them. Candidly. I've said this.
- 44:26Speaker 2: Everybody says I'm crazy. This is just bitter. This is
- 44:29Speaker 2: bitter people. They should let Kiffin coach this team out.
- 44:32Speaker 2: This is a different day in time than it was.
- 44:35Speaker 2: His ass is still gone, he's still gonna take anybody
- 44:39Speaker 2: he wants. For the most part, I know some of
- 44:41Speaker 2: the players are bitter, they're pissed off, but I'm very
- 44:46Speaker 2: happy that the assistants are coming back to finish out
- 44:48Speaker 2: the coaching job.
- 44:49Speaker 4: And I hate old miss you know, but it's what's right.
- 44:53Speaker 4: It's what's right, you know, to these kids.
- 44:56Speaker 2: Most of these kids are signed contracts, so I mean,
- 44:58Speaker 2: this isn't what it used to. Nobody's grinding that there
- 45:01Speaker 2: because they love Oxford. They're getting paid, so I mean,
- 45:05Speaker 2: but they still ought to be able to finish the job.
- 45:07Speaker 2: They're a good enough team and somebody ought to have
- 45:10Speaker 2: to beat them and put them out.
- 45:12Speaker 1: Now, I agree with you, but but how are you
- 45:14Speaker 1: gonna That's my point though, If you're trying to build
- 45:16Speaker 1: a portfolio going into the championship, you got ugga on
- 45:20Speaker 1: that side of the bracket, old missus. I mean, that
- 45:23Speaker 1: quarterback's done great, Yeah, but he's not He's not gonna
- 45:26Speaker 1: have lane for weeks.
- 45:27Speaker 3: He's not gonna have lane.
- 45:28Speaker 1: And you can't convince me that that guy is not
- 45:31Speaker 1: one of the better head coaches to work with a quarterback.
- 45:33Speaker 3: After what we've seen him do with back row. Jackson
- 45:36Speaker 3: dark and and this kid coming from a D two school.
- 45:39Speaker 1: Yeah, no, no, so and so like getting Georgia at
- 45:43Speaker 1: an eight to one price and you can still get
- 45:46Speaker 1: Notre Dame at attend to one price.
- 45:47Speaker 3: But I mean, I think you're sitting in a good spot.
- 45:50Speaker 1: And that's the only reason I would say you that's
- 45:51Speaker 1: that's probably the best value ticket. I'm gonna say all
- 45:54Speaker 1: this an Old Miss will somehow fucking beat them, but
- 45:56Speaker 1: I think that's the best value ticket on the board.
- 45:58Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 45:59Speaker 2: I do think that first game, Ole Miss is gonna
- 46:01Speaker 2: play really well at home. There'll be there'll be some anger.
- 46:07Speaker 2: I think they'll play really well. Then it starts getting
- 46:09Speaker 2: into second game where you got to prep, you gotta
- 46:11Speaker 2: you gotta play.
- 46:12Speaker 4: A high end team again, you know.
- 46:14Speaker 2: Then then I think we may That's where I think
- 46:17Speaker 2: Old Miss probably ends up losing. But again, they're they're
- 46:22Speaker 2: they're a talented team, but when you look at their
- 46:26Speaker 2: resumes on face, they're one of the worst team's resume wise. Yeah,
- 46:32Speaker 2: it just don't have very many quality wins. I mean
- 46:34Speaker 2: that Oklahoma win is there is there swansong, and I
- 46:39Speaker 2: would say that offense is so bad that that surprised
- 46:42Speaker 2: me and all that kit them can beat them.
- 46:43Speaker 3: So and Ole Miss has the worst defense of any
- 46:47Speaker 3: of these teams. Any of their defense is not in
- 46:49Speaker 3: the top fifty.
- 46:50Speaker 1: And so that's where you're going to see, Like it'll
- 46:53Speaker 1: be fun to watch when you get there.
- 46:55Speaker 3: But again, like I said, trying to build it.
- 46:57Speaker 1: So you've got them, and then you've got the other
- 46:59Speaker 1: side with Alabama and Oklahoma.
- 47:02Speaker 3: I can't see Alabama losing that gaming again. But again, that's.
- 47:08Speaker 1: Why we gotta play the games, baby, because oh you
- 47:11Speaker 1: and their defense is nasty and and I don't you know,
- 47:15Speaker 1: and you're getting to play them in Norman. It's gonna
- 47:17Speaker 1: be gross, cold, it's gonna be it'll be tough.
- 47:19Speaker 3: It's gonna be tough.
- 47:20Speaker 1: Anyway, got a good show, love it, everybody, have a
- 47:23Speaker 1: great week. Enjoy Championship weekend. Hit us up on Twitter.
- 47:27Speaker 1: I try to respond, I'm not always the best. Folks
- 47:29Speaker 1: who've made some money this season, but it's not over yet.
- 47:32Speaker 1: Let's take a few more bucks and carry them in
- 47:33Speaker 1: that pocket so we can buy some nice Christmas presents.
- 47:35Speaker 3: We'll talk to you next week.