Latest / UK Column Radio / $40 Trillion Later: Is the U.S. Dollar Empire Finally Breaking? | Silk and Steel
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Your brother and your friend Rashid.
- 0:02Speaker 2: And I'd like to thank you for joining me on
- 0:03Speaker 2: another episode of this platform with my co-host and friend,
- 0:08Speaker 2: Carl Zah.
- 0:09Speaker 1: How's it going today, Carl?
- 0:10Speaker 3: Hey, how are you, Rashid?
- 0:12Speaker 2: I'm doing pretty good, Carl. I'm working on a lot
- 0:14Speaker 2: of things, trying to get some stuff done.
- 0:16Speaker 1: In the background.
- 0:18Speaker 2: We're experiencing, right now, we're experiencing some really bad weather over,
- 0:23Speaker 2: that's There's a bad thunder and lightning storm front that's
- 0:27Speaker 2: coming through the area. So I want to just inform
- 0:30Speaker 2: you of that right now. And if the power glitches out,
- 0:33Speaker 2: if I go out, it may not be the powers
- 0:36Speaker 2: that be at this time. It may just be the
- 0:38Speaker 2: grand power that.
- 0:39Speaker 1: Takes us off the air. So, Carl, I want to
- 0:41Speaker 1: bring your attention to something real quick. Lately, the United
- 0:44Speaker 1: States has just passed $ 40 trillion. I did research. I
- 0:49Speaker 1: put it in the Google search engine. I've done it all.
- 0:51Speaker 2: $ 40 trillion is catamount to land money from Earth all
- 0:58Speaker 2: the way to Pluto, which is 3 billion miles away
- 1:02Speaker 2: from Earth.
- 1:03Speaker 1: How in the world can the U.S.
- 1:06Speaker 2: Sustain this and at the same time sustain her chaos, disorder,
- 1:10Speaker 2: and war?
- 1:13Speaker 3: Well, traditionally this was done because U.S. dollar is a
- 1:18Speaker 3: world reserve currency. So what happened is when U.S. government
- 1:22Speaker 3: prints money. It's not just Americans who will take that
- 1:26Speaker 3: money to make purchase. It's also everybody around the world
- 1:30Speaker 3: because there was a great demand for the dollar in
- 1:33Speaker 3: the world market because back in the 70s, Kissinger and Nixon,
- 1:38Speaker 3: they went to Saudi Arabia. They work out the deal
- 1:41Speaker 3: called the petrol dollar, which makes the oil get priced
- 1:45Speaker 3: in the US dollars. Now, everybody needs oil. So everybody
- 1:50Speaker 3: needs U.S. dollar to make purchase of oil. And he
- 1:53Speaker 3: also made it very convenient just for everyone to have
- 1:58Speaker 3: their saving in U.S. dollars because everybody except U.S. dollars. Now,
- 2:03Speaker 3: that made sure, ensured the U.S. dollar hegemony. What happened
- 2:08Speaker 3: is the U.S. government realized, hey, we have a weapon.
- 2:12Speaker 3: We have a very powerful weapon. when everybody needs our dollars.
- 2:18Speaker 3: So not only we can continue to print money to
- 2:22Speaker 3: pay off our debt, that everybody will just take our money,
- 2:26Speaker 3: but now we can decide to kick off people off
- 2:29Speaker 3: the dollar system, the people that we don't like. They
- 2:35Speaker 3: first perfected their financial weapon on North Korea, actually, this
- 2:41Speaker 3: back in early 2008. The United States decided to put
- 2:46Speaker 3: financial sanctions on Korea. Specifically, they targeted a Chinese bank
- 2:50Speaker 3: in Macau that was doing business with North Korea. Now,
- 2:54Speaker 3: with that, they expanded that to other countries that the
- 2:59Speaker 3: State Department doesn't like, which is Iran. And now with
- 3:04Speaker 3: the Ukraine war, Russia, that was a real big one.
- 3:06Speaker 3: They kicked Russia off the SWIFT system. What happened when U.S.
- 3:11Speaker 3: started weaponizing its dollar hegemony is, whereas before, everybody except
- 3:18Speaker 3: dollar because ease of use, because everyone else except dollars,
- 3:23Speaker 3: and there was an existing system for settling, for trade
- 3:28Speaker 3: payment settlement. Now, people realize, oh, wait a minute. Using
- 3:34Speaker 3: dollar is actually not an asset. It's a liability. The
- 3:38Speaker 3: liability is a part where Treasury Department says, we're going
- 3:42Speaker 3: to freeze your bank account. You know, we'll make sure
- 3:45Speaker 3: you cannot no longer access a dollar system. And, you know,
- 3:49Speaker 3: of course, that's engineered to cause economic collapse. But that
- 3:53Speaker 3: didn't happen because North Korea is still standing. Iran is
- 3:57Speaker 3: still standing. Russia is still standing. What happened is these
- 4:02Speaker 3: countries start to find alternatives. China have offered their SIP systems.
- 4:08Speaker 3: to settle trade settlement in RMB. It became an alternative
- 4:13Speaker 3: to the SWIFT system. That's what Russia has switched to.
- 4:17Speaker 3: So it turns out the weaponization of dollar didn't play
- 4:22Speaker 3: out the way the US intended. What it actually did
- 4:27Speaker 3: is accelerate the trend of de-dollarization all around the world.
- 4:31Speaker 3: People realized they have to make plan B. you know,
- 4:35Speaker 3: you can't always count on using US dollars. So that
- 4:39Speaker 3: caused a problem because, you know, if your money is
- 4:43Speaker 3: no longer the world reserve currency, then you're going to
- 4:48Speaker 3: face the same problem with every other country who print money.
- 4:54Speaker 3: You're going to run into inflation. You will devaluate your currency.
- 4:59Speaker 3: And now Scott Besson, our treasury secretary, he knows all
- 5:05Speaker 3: about this because he made his career as a currency manipulator.
- 5:10Speaker 3: And when he was working for George Soros, they attacked
- 5:14Speaker 3: the British pound because they saw opportunity to make money.
- 5:18Speaker 3: And then later during the Asian 1997, 1998 Asian currency financial,
- 5:25Speaker 3: during the Asian currency crisis, Scott Besson saw opportunity again
- 5:31Speaker 3: to short the Hong Kong dollar. But what he didn't
- 5:35Speaker 3: count on was in 1997, Hong Kong had a new landlord,
- 5:39Speaker 3: the People's Republic of China. And the Chinese government told
- 5:44Speaker 3: the Bank of Hong Kong, defend the Hong Kong dollar
- 5:47Speaker 3: at all costs, and we got your back. And because
- 5:51Speaker 3: of that, Scott Besson lost his shirt on that bet.
- 5:54Speaker 3: So he always had a private grudge against China because
- 5:58Speaker 3: of that. And And now he's trying to manipulate the
- 6:02Speaker 3: currency again because he thought there was a because of
- 6:05Speaker 3: the U.S. debt issue and because the trend of the dollarization,
- 6:10Speaker 3: there's great pressure put on U.S. dollar to devaluate. So
- 6:14Speaker 3: what now what they're doing is U.S. is just lighting
- 6:18Speaker 3: fire all around the world by starting all these regional crises.
- 6:23Speaker 3: to make it seem that USA is the only land
- 6:27Speaker 3: of calm in this world lit on fire. So whether
- 6:32Speaker 3: you are like Gulf Arab states or some oligarchs in
- 6:36Speaker 3: South America, you have no choice but to park your
- 6:40Speaker 3: savings in U.S. bonds, U.S. dollar denominated asset in the U.S.
- 6:46Speaker 3: stock market, real estate market, et cetera. This is working
- 6:51Speaker 3: for a while because, you know, as we saw with
- 6:54Speaker 3: the Strait of Hormuz close, there's a lot of Asian
- 6:59Speaker 3: currencies specifically now have devaluated versus the dollar. You know,
- 7:04Speaker 3: this is happening in Indonesia, where I live, in the Philippines, India,
- 7:11Speaker 3: but also Japan and Korea. Now, all these countries have
- 7:14Speaker 3: one thing in common. They depended on their energy from
- 7:19Speaker 3: the Persian Gulf, which the US is trying to blow up.
- 7:23Speaker 3: And so what that does is now all the people
- 7:29Speaker 3: with money in these countries, now they try to stem
- 7:35Speaker 3: off this devaluation of their own currency by putting their
- 7:39Speaker 3: money into the U.S. stock market, which again, just goes
- 7:43Speaker 3: on to fuel that giant AI bubble that we all
- 7:46Speaker 3: know about. So Scott Besson said, I know this game,
- 7:53Speaker 3: I know how it's played and everything is hunky-dory, but
- 7:57Speaker 3: this game is not sustainable. This is not any kind
- 8:00Speaker 3: of these currency manipulation scheme. It might work for a while,
- 8:05Speaker 3: a short while, but it's never sustainable in the long term.
- 8:08Speaker 3: You know, I remember the last time I was on
- 8:10Speaker 3: the show, I was saying, oh, well, US debt is what,
- 8:13Speaker 3: like 37 trillion? And you correct me like, no, 39 trillion. Well,
- 8:18Speaker 3: now it's 40 trillion because it just seems yesterday it
- 8:21Speaker 3: was only 37 trillion. You know, it only took like
- 8:26Speaker 3: 90 days or so for US to cross the 40
- 8:29Speaker 3: trillion mark. And so this is wild. And there's all
- 8:34Speaker 3: kinds of irregularities in the world financial market right now.
- 8:39Speaker 3: First was the Japanese bond market is breaking. You know, Japan,
- 8:44Speaker 3: you know, this is an example U.S. could learn from Japan.
- 8:49Speaker 3: was printing money ever since its own asset bubble bursted
- 8:53Speaker 3: in the early 90s. First, that's also precipitated by the
- 8:57Speaker 3: United States, by the way, because Japan's economy was doing
- 9:00Speaker 3: very well. It was on the pace. Everybody expected the
- 9:03Speaker 3: Japanese economy to surpass that of the United States. In fact,
- 9:07Speaker 3: they did reach 75% of the US total GDP, and
- 9:12Speaker 3: everybody was talking about the Japan threat. mongering Hollywood movie,
- 9:19Speaker 3: like the rising sun, you know, it's really about, Oh,
- 9:23Speaker 3: the Japanese are coming over, buying our, our buildings, our,
- 9:27Speaker 3: our women, you know, they're taking over everything. And, and,
- 9:32Speaker 3: and then, you know, then what, what United States did
- 9:35Speaker 3: is they went to impose this Plaza Accord on Japan says,
- 9:39Speaker 3: you know, you, you, you are, you're, They accused Japan
- 9:43Speaker 3: of manipulating the currency, saying, OK, you've got to let
- 9:46Speaker 3: your currency appreciate. And so Japan has no choice but
- 9:52Speaker 3: to comply because Japan was a militarily occupied country since
- 9:56Speaker 3: World War II with tens of thousands of U.S.
- 9:59Speaker 1: Marines.
- 10:00Speaker 3: Stationed on its soil. So the U.S. agreed to the
- 10:03Speaker 3: Plaza Accord. That led to a very sharp appreciation of
- 10:08Speaker 3: the Japanese currency versus the dollar. And the speed surprised everyone. Now,
- 10:14Speaker 3: at first, it seems to work out because all the
- 10:16Speaker 3: Japanese people feel like suddenly they just doubled their wealth, right?
- 10:21Speaker 3: I mean, like before, it's like $ 1, one US dollar
- 10:27Speaker 3: was like 250 yen. And suddenly $ 1 is worth only
- 10:31Speaker 3: 120 yen. And all the Japanese people feel like, oh,
- 10:35Speaker 3: we just double our household savings. And so at that time,
- 10:40Speaker 3: the Japanese company did go on a shopping spree. But
- 10:44Speaker 3: what also happened is, It made the Japanese export less competitive.
- 10:50Speaker 3: So what the Japanese government tried to do, we're going
- 10:54Speaker 3: to try to help our manufacturing sector by lowering the
- 10:58Speaker 3: interest rate or just keep the interest rate low. The
- 11:00Speaker 3: hope is that lower interest rate is essentially printing money.
- 11:05Speaker 3: We're going to print money. Hopefully, those manufacturing giants will
- 11:09Speaker 3: take those money and put it into production. But instead,
- 11:13Speaker 3: what happened is because the Japanese currency started rising sharply
- 11:16Speaker 3: in value, that made the Japanese real estate gain a
- 11:20Speaker 3: lot of value too. So all these Japanese companies did
- 11:23Speaker 3: the math. Like, look, rather than investing in production, we
- 11:28Speaker 3: could just make more money if we invest in the
- 11:30Speaker 3: real estate. So they take all those cheap money the
- 11:33Speaker 3: Japanese government was printing out and then put into the
- 11:37Speaker 3: real estate. And they figure this market will never go
- 11:41Speaker 3: down because there's only one Tokyo. Everybody wants to live
- 11:46Speaker 3: in Tokyo. So the Tokyo stock, the land price went
- 11:51Speaker 3: through the roof. And, and, you know, next, everybody thought
- 11:57Speaker 3: the good times will last forever. Well, then until 1990,
- 12:01Speaker 3: early 1990s, that bubble burst and then to. compensate to
- 12:06Speaker 3: to help the situation the japanese government decide we're just
- 12:09Speaker 3: going to print more money they keep the interest rate
- 12:13Speaker 3: artificially low almost like negative interest rate if you're accounting
- 12:17Speaker 3: for inflation um and just try to sustain the japanese
- 12:22Speaker 3: economy you know keep it on the light uh keep
- 12:25Speaker 3: it on the on the lifeline but What happened is
- 12:28Speaker 3: Japanese economy became essentially a zombie economy for the last
- 12:32Speaker 3: 30 years. These are the last decades in Japan. And
- 12:37Speaker 3: now the Wall Street traders, they saw arbitrage opportunity because
- 12:42Speaker 3: they said, oh, you can borrow Japanese yen at almost
- 12:46Speaker 3: no cost, at very low interest rate. We'll just borrow
- 12:50Speaker 3: shit tons of Japanese yen, and then we'll invest in
- 12:53Speaker 3: the U.S. stock market and U.S. treasuries, and U.S. real
- 12:58Speaker 3: estate market, what will eat up all this, the difference
- 13:03Speaker 3: in the interest rate, right? Like, this is easy money.
- 13:06Speaker 3: So this is called the Japanese yen carrying trade, which
- 13:09Speaker 3: has been going on for decades. Well, again, like, these
- 13:13Speaker 3: things will work for a while, but it's never sustainable
- 13:17Speaker 3: in the long term. So now, the Japanese economy is
- 13:21Speaker 3: under great pressure. They had to raise interest rate in,
- 13:25Speaker 3: hope to keep investors interested, to keep their savings, keep
- 13:32Speaker 3: their investment in yen denominated assets. So Japanese bond rate
- 13:38Speaker 3: yield has been rising. And suddenly all these Wall Street
- 13:42Speaker 3: traders who have been borrowing shit tons of Japanese yen,
- 13:46Speaker 3: a lot of them on margins, are getting a margin call.
- 13:50Speaker 3: They're like, oh crap. So they're going to have to
- 13:52Speaker 3: sell the U.S. Treasury, the U.S. stocks to answer the
- 13:58Speaker 3: margin calls. So that's when Scott Besson realized, oh, crap. Oh, no, no, no.
- 14:02Speaker 3: This is no good. I've seen this before. So he
- 14:05Speaker 3: stepped in. This was like only like a week ago
- 14:10Speaker 3: or a month ago. He stepped in. He physically stepped in, again,
- 14:14Speaker 3: trying to manipulate the market. They're trying to prop up
- 14:19Speaker 3: the Japanese yen and the Japanese bond. guess what? It
- 14:24Speaker 3: didn't work. That worked for a month and then it
- 14:27Speaker 3: stopped working. And now everybody noticed. And this is because
- 14:32Speaker 3: this is because like US is facing its own problems. Again,
- 14:38Speaker 3: you can print money as long as everybody accept your money.
- 14:45Speaker 3: You can print money as long as you maintain a
- 14:49Speaker 3: hegemony around the world. So Like the U.S. dollar hegemony
- 14:53Speaker 3: basically rests on the U.S. hard power, the U.S., the
- 14:58Speaker 3: real U.S. hegemony, which is the power of U.S. military. Well,
- 15:03Speaker 3: guess what?
- 15:04Speaker 1: U.S.
- 15:04Speaker 3: Military is not doing too hot at the moment. We
- 15:07Speaker 3: have sailors literally jumping ship in the Persian Gulf because,
- 15:12Speaker 3: you know, Lincoln, the U.S. aircraft carrier that was sent
- 15:16Speaker 3: out there was in a literal mess. mess right because
- 15:20Speaker 3: uh this is again this is because donald trump's strategy
- 15:24Speaker 3: donald trump's strategy comes to iran was first let's do
- 15:28Speaker 3: the aerial campaign let's bomb them back to stone ages
- 15:32Speaker 3: okay that didn't work and then he tried to blockade
- 15:35Speaker 3: on blockade we're gonna strangle you economically well that also
- 15:39Speaker 3: did not work and then then this is why he
- 15:42Speaker 3: was desperate he signed the the the memorandum of misunderstanding,
- 15:48Speaker 3: you know, MOU. The misunderstanding is on U.S. part. Iran
- 15:53Speaker 3: was very clear on what they want. They want the U.S.
- 15:56Speaker 3: to get the F out of West Asia. They want U.S.
- 16:00Speaker 3: to pay the compensation. They want the right to regulate
- 16:04Speaker 3: the straight or home moves. And Trump being Trump is like,
- 16:08Speaker 3: A few weeks after he signed that surrender document at Versailles,
- 16:12Speaker 3: he felt like, you know what, I'm going to do
- 16:16Speaker 3: my part of the deal. I'm going to put pressure
- 16:19Speaker 3: on Iran by reneging on part of the deal. What
- 16:23Speaker 3: he did was trying to encourage ships to sail out
- 16:27Speaker 3: of Persian Gulf through the southern channels, through the Omani side.
- 16:32Speaker 3: and which goes against a letter of MOU. Iran said, no,
- 16:36Speaker 3: we control the Strait of Hormuz. You have to go
- 16:39Speaker 3: through the Persian Gulf Authority. That's us. And so Iran
- 16:44Speaker 3: started attacking the ship that was pressured by U.S. to
- 16:47Speaker 3: travel through the southern channel of the Persian Gulf. And
- 16:51Speaker 3: then U.S. did a tit for tat campaign by bombing
- 16:55Speaker 3: Iranian installation on Iranian soil. And Iran responded to further
- 16:59Speaker 3: demolishing U.S. bases all around the Gulf countries. And so
- 17:05Speaker 3: now the MOU has officially expired and we're back on
- 17:09Speaker 3: blockade on blockade. But the problem with naval blockade is
- 17:15Speaker 3: even if it were to work, it takes time. But
- 17:19Speaker 3: the times is what United States don't have. The longer
- 17:23Speaker 3: they maintain those, first of all, US is now at
- 17:26Speaker 3: a weaker position vis-a-vis Iran since the start of the
- 17:31Speaker 3: war because they have depleted their ammunition stockpiles. US only
- 17:36Speaker 3: makes 50 Tomahawk missiles one year. One year to make
- 17:40Speaker 3: 50 Tomahawk missiles. their missiles and their missile interceptors are
- 17:47Speaker 3: getting depleted while Iran still have tens of thousands of
- 17:50Speaker 3: missiles in stock. So, and on the other hand, it's
- 17:55Speaker 3: a readiness of the U.S. Navy, as we saw, because officially,
- 18:00Speaker 3: you know, on the books, U.S. have 11 aircraft carrier
- 18:04Speaker 3: attack group. But that's not true because U.S. can, out
- 18:09Speaker 3: of the 11 aircraft carriers deployed, Most of them are
- 18:13Speaker 3: in docks for maintenance. So at any time, U.S. could
- 18:17Speaker 3: deploy about four aircraft carrier attack group at any given moment.
- 18:23Speaker 3: So this is why when they stretch out the deployment
- 18:26Speaker 3: of Lincoln, you know, I don't know what the number is,
- 18:30Speaker 3: like 265, almost 300 days. People are.
- 18:36Speaker 3: Are breaking. People are literally breaking under psychological pressure because you're,
- 18:40Speaker 3: you're essentially living on a prison on water, you know, and, and, and, and, and,
- 18:46Speaker 3: you know, at suboptimal conditions because what Iran did is
- 18:51Speaker 3: they destroy all the U.S. logistic bases in the region.
- 18:55Speaker 3: They destroyed the main U.S. logistic base in Bahrain with
- 19:00Speaker 3: their missile and drone attack. So, so all the U.S. Navy,
- 19:04Speaker 3: you know, people will, A lot of people on the
- 19:08Speaker 3: social media, they keep on posting all this U.S. military
- 19:11Speaker 3: porn of all these powerful aircraft carrier attack groups and planes. Now,
- 19:16Speaker 3: all these things, they need to be sustained. They need
- 19:21Speaker 3: to be maintained and they need to be supplied. And
- 19:24Speaker 3: this is why U.S. maintains bases all around the world
- 19:29Speaker 3: in order to supply its military. And traditionally for the U.S.,
- 19:34Speaker 3: Maybe operation in West Asia. They're being supplied by their
- 19:39Speaker 3: bases in the region. So this is where Iran hit
- 19:43Speaker 3: them where it hurts. Iran was systematically dismantling those U.S. bases.
- 19:50Speaker 3: So those ships can no longer be reliably supplied. To
- 19:55Speaker 3: give you an example, in U.S. Navy, a lot of the,
- 20:01Speaker 3: for example, the milk, the meat, the vegetables are they
- 20:05Speaker 3: didn't ship them directly from mainland USA. That's just too
- 20:10Speaker 3: expensive and too far. They're usually being subcontracted out to
- 20:14Speaker 3: the local suppliers and they get stored in the US
- 20:18Speaker 3: bases in the region and then those subcontractors then supply
- 20:23Speaker 3: these US ships. Well, that system is breaking down because
- 20:27Speaker 3: the US military bases are gone in the region. And
- 20:32Speaker 3: now this is why we have the problem of sailors
- 20:35Speaker 3: not getting enough food or they're getting bad food. And
- 20:38Speaker 3: then the U S Navy response was printing out AI
- 20:42Speaker 3: generated images of sailors eating good. And it was so
- 20:49Speaker 3: obviously fake when they have like the sailors face going
- 20:52Speaker 3: through like aluminum wall.
- 20:54Speaker 1: Right.
- 20:54Speaker 3: And like, nobody believed that crap. This is why people
- 20:58Speaker 3: are bailing ships. And so this is why they are
- 21:01Speaker 3: now sending the USS George Washington to aircraft carrier attack
- 21:06Speaker 3: group from East Asia to the Persian Gulf to replace
- 21:10Speaker 3: the Lincoln. Now, USS George Washington is the last aircraft
- 21:15Speaker 3: carrier group that's stationed in Asia. So now U.S. has
- 21:18Speaker 3: no aircraft carrier group in East Asia. You know, it
- 21:23Speaker 3: turns out the whole pivot to Asia that was pioneered
- 21:27Speaker 3: by Hillary Clinton under Obama administration, it turns out to
- 21:30Speaker 3: be a pivot to West Asia rather than East Asia
- 21:34Speaker 3: because Guess what, Rashid? Our golden boy, Israel, takes the priority.
- 21:41Speaker 3: All this talk about US will protect its Asian allies,
- 21:48Speaker 3: that's all bogus. Japan, the world's third or fourth largest economy. Korea,
- 21:56Speaker 3: one of the top 10 world economy. you guys all
- 22:00Speaker 3: have to take a backseat to Israel because Israel is
- 22:03Speaker 3: a golden boy that will always get the milk. And
- 22:08Speaker 3: so this is why they ripped the THAAD missile defense
- 22:13Speaker 3: system from South Korea, ship it to Persian Gulf. And
- 22:18Speaker 3: this is also why they're sending George Washington attack group
- 22:22Speaker 3: to West Asia. But there's now an interesting interlude of this.
- 22:28Speaker 3: while they're sending the George Washington aircraft carrier attack group
- 22:33Speaker 3: through South China Sea on their way to Pershing Gulf,
- 22:38Speaker 3: one of the U.S. Arleigh Burke-class missile destroyer, I think
- 22:44Speaker 3: it's called USS Bennifold, broke down, lost power, and was
- 22:48Speaker 3: sent adrift out of the South China Sea for five
- 22:52Speaker 3: days without power. That means no A.C., toilet not working,
- 22:58Speaker 3: and you are stuck in a boat in the tropical
- 23:01Speaker 3: heat of South China Sea. I mean, that's literally hell
- 23:06Speaker 3: on earth. I mean, imagine the smell on that ship. So,
- 23:10Speaker 3: I mean, China must be really scared, right? China is
- 23:15Speaker 3: looking at this raw display of pure American power sit
- 23:21Speaker 3: adrift on the South China Sea. So, you know, the whole...
- 23:26Speaker 3: Strait of Hormuz crisis is really a Swiss canal moment
- 23:31Speaker 3: for the U.S. empire. Now, Swiss canal crisis was back
- 23:35Speaker 3: in the 1950, I think, 54, 55, when the British
- 23:39Speaker 3: and the French sent expeditionary force to Egypt because they
- 23:43Speaker 3: did not agree with the Egyptian government's plan to nationalize
- 23:47Speaker 3: a Swiss canal. And then the Soviet Union and the
- 23:52Speaker 3: United States are like, what are you doing? you're not
- 23:55Speaker 3: the world power anymore. What do you think you're doing?
- 23:58Speaker 3: And the United States is like, sorry, we cannot continue
- 24:02Speaker 3: to provide you with military aid and economic aid if
- 24:05Speaker 3: you're going to use that money to wage war. And
- 24:08Speaker 3: then France and Britain had to call it quits because
- 24:13Speaker 3: by that point, they are completely dependent on the US
- 24:16Speaker 3: to supply them. And that marked the beginning of an
- 24:19Speaker 3: end of the British and the French colonial empires. Vietnam, Algeria,
- 24:27Speaker 3: all that followed. And now we're at that moment for
- 24:32Speaker 3: United States. This is a straighter Hormuz crisis, really made
- 24:37Speaker 3: it clear to everybody, U.S. is a paper tiger. Well,
- 24:41Speaker 3: guess what? You know, like the people on social media
- 24:45Speaker 3: used to post, again, all these military report of U.S.
- 24:48Speaker 3: aircraft carrier and say, this is what's backing the U.S. dollar. Well,
- 24:52Speaker 3: guess what? That is also itself backed by the US dollar.
- 24:59Speaker 3: This is the circular logic. What if your dollar dominance break?
- 25:04Speaker 3: What if your military dominance breaks? And the whole system
- 25:08Speaker 3: of cards will just fall down. And that's what we're
- 25:11Speaker 3: happening right now. This is why before US running the
- 25:15Speaker 3: tap on the debt wasn't even that big of issue
- 25:19Speaker 3: because the world just keep on accepting US dollars. And now...
- 25:24Speaker 3: Because the world is all seeking to de-dollarize. And Brazil,
- 25:30Speaker 3: by the way, Brazil just started to borrowing money in
- 25:33Speaker 3: Chinese yuan because it made sense for them because RMB
- 25:39Speaker 3: borrowing rate now is much cheaper than borrowing US dollars. Again,
- 25:43Speaker 3: because Scott Besson, he had to defend the value of
- 25:47Speaker 3: the dollar from devaluating because their money printing So he's
- 25:51Speaker 3: doing all these things like keep the interest rate steady
- 25:55Speaker 3: and all that. But what happened is when you have
- 26:00Speaker 3: to keep the interest rate at a certain level to
- 26:02Speaker 3: make the U.S. dollar denominated asset attractive for overseas investors,
- 26:09Speaker 3: it means it's also more expensive to borrow U.S. dollars.
- 26:14Speaker 3: And this is why Brazil, look at this. We're just
- 26:18Speaker 3: going to borrow U.S. R & B. I mean, it's
- 26:21Speaker 3: an easy, easy, easy win for us because Lula has
- 26:24Speaker 3: repeatedly said we need to move away from the dollar.
- 26:28Speaker 3: If the world does not move away from the dollar,
- 26:30Speaker 3: we'll end up in the early 21st century where the
- 26:33Speaker 3: early 20th century was. That's a very stark warning because
- 26:38Speaker 3: early 20th century there were two world wars. And Brazil
- 26:42Speaker 3: is one of the largest economy in Latin America and
- 26:46Speaker 3: a member of the BRICS. And And this is why
- 26:50Speaker 3: this is a problem for the United States because on
- 26:54Speaker 3: one hand, they're printing money. On the other hand, they
- 27:00Speaker 3: have to keep the interest rate at their certain level
- 27:03Speaker 3: to make it still attractive for people to put their
- 27:07Speaker 3: money in U.S. dollars. So what happened now is because
- 27:11Speaker 3: the interest rate level, they cannot lower the interest rate
- 27:15Speaker 3: level too much. That means the U.S. government which borrows U.S. dollars,
- 27:22Speaker 3: now have to spend a lot more in interest payment.
- 27:26Speaker 3: And this is why the whole U.S. government debt went
- 27:32Speaker 3: from $ 37 trillion to $ 40 trillion in a jiffy because
- 27:37Speaker 3: the interest payment now is snowballing because of the rising
- 27:41Speaker 3: interest rate. And it's like a catch-22. I mean, if
- 27:44Speaker 3: they lower the interest rate, And then, you know, the
- 27:50Speaker 3: dollar would devalue and then the other investor might not
- 27:54Speaker 3: be wanting to put their money in the U.S. stock
- 27:57Speaker 3: market to fill the AI bubble, which is very important
- 28:02Speaker 3: for the Washington elite because the AI bubble is the
- 28:04Speaker 3: only thing that's sustaining the whole U.S. economy right now.
- 28:08Speaker 3: If you take away all the AI investment, all the
- 28:11Speaker 3: data center investment, the U.S. economic growth is zero. And
- 28:18Speaker 3: it's almost negative. So basically, if you take away all
- 28:21Speaker 3: the AI stuff, US economy will be in recession. So
- 28:25Speaker 3: they have to keep the AI bubble going. And in
- 28:29Speaker 3: order to do that, they need money. Because they don't
- 28:32Speaker 3: have money. The US don't have money. They need to
- 28:35Speaker 3: borrow money externally. And a lot of the money previously
- 28:39Speaker 3: they were expecting to come from is from the persian
- 28:43Speaker 3: gulf countries so we're expecting the gulf monarchies to put
- 28:47Speaker 3: up their dollar surpluses and recycle them into the u.s
- 28:50Speaker 3: stock market you know to fund their 500 billion dollar
- 28:55Speaker 3: stargate bundago and all the gulf countries are now running
- 29:00Speaker 3: out of money too because they're like you know countries
- 29:04Speaker 3: like uh kuwait they haven't sold oil for like I
- 29:08Speaker 3: don't know how long now, like half a year. And
- 29:12Speaker 3: all of them are under extreme pressure. You know, this
- 29:15Speaker 3: is why the U.S. was doing some crazy currency swap. Again,
- 29:20Speaker 3: currency manipulation scheme with UAE because UAE, they're not getting
- 29:26Speaker 3: their oil out. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed.
- 29:29Speaker 3: And Yemeni just closed the Bab al-Mandeb, the Strait on
- 29:34Speaker 3: the Red Sea. So no oil is getting out. And
- 29:39Speaker 3: all these countries not only do they depend on the
- 29:43Speaker 3: revenue from the oil and gas sales, but they also
- 29:46Speaker 3: need to import food. Traditionally, they make money selling oil
- 29:55Speaker 3: and gas, but they import everything else. And now nothing
- 29:58Speaker 3: is going out, nothing is coming in. So they're in
- 30:03Speaker 3: a very dire strait. The last thing now they need
- 30:06Speaker 3: to think about is putting trillions of dollars in the
- 30:10Speaker 3: US AI bubble, right? I mean, so this is why
- 30:14Speaker 3: the whole dollar system is under increasing pressure. at the moment.
- 30:20Speaker 3: And Scott Besson is trying to put out fire. But
- 30:23Speaker 3: on top of that, they still want to force Iran
- 30:28Speaker 3: to comply with their demands. This is what Trump called
- 30:32Speaker 3: economic D-Day. He's going, I'm going to put the pain,
- 30:36Speaker 3: I'm going to put the economic pain on them they
- 30:39Speaker 3: have never seen before. Well, guess what? You have been
- 30:41Speaker 3: putting on economic pains on Iran since forever. I mean, like,
- 30:45Speaker 3: United States have been embargling and sanctioning Iran for almost
- 30:49Speaker 3: as long as I have been alive. I mean, I
- 30:51Speaker 3: was born in 1976 and US start sanctioning Iran in
- 30:56Speaker 3: 1979 after the Islamic revolution. And yeah, so, so you're
- 31:01Speaker 3: wrong there. They are prepared. They already found work around.
- 31:05Speaker 3: They're working with other fellow BRICS countries. They're, they're selling
- 31:09Speaker 3: oil to China. You know, China buys 90% of the
- 31:12Speaker 3: Iranian oil and, and, Then Scott Besson, first they threatened
- 31:17Speaker 3: to go after the other country that do business with Iran.
- 31:20Speaker 3: They threatened to put secondary sanction on anyone who do
- 31:24Speaker 3: business with Iran, which would include China. Because China is
- 31:28Speaker 3: the largest purchaser of Iranian oil. And Scott Besson was
- 31:32Speaker 3: threatening to sanction major Chinese banks for financing the Iranian
- 31:37Speaker 3: oil purchase. Well, that will be an economic D-Day, not
- 31:41Speaker 3: for Iran. but for the whole world economy. That D
- 31:48Speaker 3: no longer stands for the Normandy landing. That D stands
- 31:53Speaker 3: for world depression if the U.S. were to sanction a
- 31:57Speaker 3: major Chinese bank. Because the Chinese made clear they're not
- 32:01Speaker 3: going to stand down. They did that the first time around.
- 32:05Speaker 3: They said, you know, you're going to put tariffs on us,
- 32:06Speaker 3: we're going to put tariffs right back at you. And
- 32:10Speaker 3: And if you do A, we'll do B. We'll do
- 32:13Speaker 3: tit for tat. We're not scared of you. And if
- 32:16Speaker 3: you dare to put secondary sanctions on major Chinese banks, man,
- 32:22Speaker 3: that's like the game over for the world financial system.
- 32:27Speaker 3: That's an economic nuke. So I don't think they're going
- 32:31Speaker 3: to go through with that because that's just nonsense. But
- 32:35Speaker 3: what they're doing is they're bluffing. They're really flailing right
- 32:39Speaker 3: now because nothing is working. So they're throwing feces on
- 32:42Speaker 3: the wall to see which one sticks. And here we are.
- 32:49Speaker 3: Here we are. Here we are, Rashid. This is why,
- 32:54Speaker 3: you know, Donald Trump. is actually the best U.S. president
- 32:59Speaker 3: for dismantling the U.S. empire. He's doing it unintentionally. Unintentionally.
- 33:10Speaker 2: Carl, you know, I wanted to talk to you about
- 33:13Speaker 2: China and Iran because the Chinese said that they would
- 33:16Speaker 2: not allow for Iran to be beaten or broken down
- 33:20Speaker 2: by the U.S. But before I do that, I want
- 33:22Speaker 2: to go to something that is rarely addressed And it's
- 33:26Speaker 2: concerning Iran, it's concerning Palestine, it's concerning West Asia, China,
- 33:32Speaker 2: and India. We know that India has a basing agreement
- 33:36Speaker 2: with the United States. We know that they can resupply
- 33:41Speaker 2: food and arms from Indian facilities. We also know that
- 33:45Speaker 2: it was in that region where the U.S. submarines sunk
- 33:49Speaker 2: an unarmed Iranian warship. Now, we have been getting more
- 33:55Speaker 2: information that we already knew that India was a large
- 34:00Speaker 2: buyer of weapons from Israel. But lately, Israel has been
- 34:06Speaker 2: buying those weapons back and India has been selling the
- 34:12Speaker 2: stuff back to punish the Palestinians, to punish Iran.
- 34:16Speaker 1: How does India see itself in this double game?
- 34:20Speaker 2: Because I think it is being blinded by its jealousy
- 34:25Speaker 2: over the rise of China and trying to prevent China
- 34:29Speaker 2: from becoming the number one power, and the United States
- 34:33Speaker 2: is feeding into that. How do you think the other
- 34:38Speaker 2: BRIC nations perceive India playing this double-edged game? And I'd
- 34:44Speaker 2: like to shout out M. Sparks for the 200-jewel super
- 34:48Speaker 2: chat also.
- 34:48Speaker 1: Thank you. Go ahead, Carl.
- 34:51Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I remember one time I was interviewed
- 34:54Speaker 3: by an Iranian television channel and they asked me a question.
- 35:01Speaker 3: They said, do you think Iran is the weakest link
- 35:04Speaker 3: in the BRICS? I almost started laughing. I'm like, nobody
- 35:08Speaker 3: thinks Iran is the weakest link in the BRICS.
- 35:10Speaker 4: I mean, everybody that, no, that is India. You know,
- 35:14Speaker 4: the I in the BRICS, that should have been Iran
- 35:17Speaker 4: rather than India. Iran is definitely not the weakest link
- 35:22Speaker 4: in the BRICS. India is the weakest link in the
- 35:26Speaker 4: BRICS because, you know, India, I mean, I don't blame them.
- 35:30Speaker 4: They're trying to just get the maximum advantage. Well, India,
- 35:33Speaker 4: they thought by playing this double-sided game, by currying favor
- 35:38Speaker 4: with both United States and Israel, but also participating in
- 35:42Speaker 4: the BRICS forum, they will get the goodies from both sides.
- 35:46Speaker 4: And I think one of the chief reasons that India
- 35:50Speaker 4: cozy up to Israel is because they think by going
- 35:55Speaker 4: through that channel, because they understand the Israeli influence in
- 35:58Speaker 4: the United States, they thought by getting close with Israel,
- 36:01Speaker 4: they will be getting closer with United States or even
- 36:04Speaker 4: getting better treatment from the United States. But that did
- 36:08Speaker 4: not happen.
- 36:09Speaker 3: You know, like also ideologically, because, you know, India's ruling party,
- 36:15Speaker 3: BJP is like really anti-Muslim and they see Israel as
- 36:19Speaker 3: their ally, you know, anti-Muslim ally. And so that's also
- 36:25Speaker 3: like a domestic politics angle of whether they're getting closer
- 36:28Speaker 3: to Israel. But geopolitically, they thought that by getting close
- 36:32Speaker 3: to Israel, they will get better treatment from the United States.
- 36:35Speaker 3: But that did not happen because, again, because of Donald Trump.
- 36:40Speaker 3: Donald Trump is the type of person, he's a bully, right?
- 36:43Speaker 3: Bully do not respect weaknesses. Bullies only respect strength and
- 36:49Speaker 3: they despise weakness. They will prey on weakness. What happened
- 36:54Speaker 3: as a result of the Indian-Pakistan air war that happened
- 37:00Speaker 3: recently is Donald Trump certainly warming up to Pakistan and
- 37:07Speaker 3: putting distance between India because the whole point of some
- 37:11Speaker 3: sort of alliance between India and United States through organization
- 37:16Speaker 3: like the Quad is U.S. want to use India as
- 37:21Speaker 3: a palm in the game to contain China, right? And
- 37:25Speaker 3: that's a game that's from the U.S.
- 37:27Speaker 1: Angle.
- 37:28Speaker 3: But now that India is getting defeated by Pakistan using
- 37:32Speaker 3: Chinese jets, that means India provide no value. India provide
- 37:38Speaker 3: no value in containing China as far as Trump is concerned.
- 37:43Speaker 3: This is why, you know, Trump is actually trying to
- 37:47Speaker 3: warm up the ties with Pakistan because he likes winners.
- 37:50Speaker 3: Trump likes winners. He does not like losers. And in
- 37:53Speaker 3: his eyes, Indian government is a loser. And this is
- 37:57Speaker 3: why India is getting no respect right now from the West,
- 38:02Speaker 3: despite how much Modi government tried to kiss up to
- 38:05Speaker 3: Washington or kiss up to Tel Aviv. And they're realizing
- 38:11Speaker 3: that belatedly. during the Persian Gulf crisis, because their complicity,
- 38:19Speaker 3: as you mentioned, their spacing agreement with US Navy, their
- 38:25Speaker 3: complicity in letting the Iranian frigate, which was invited by
- 38:30Speaker 3: government of India to participate a naval parade in India
- 38:34Speaker 3: to be sunk by American submarines near the coast of India.
- 38:39Speaker 3: And now they're finally... realizing the consequences are not so
- 38:48Speaker 3: great for India because it turns out India is heavily
- 38:52Speaker 3: dependent on the oil and gas from the Persian Gulf.
- 38:57Speaker 3: And which means the Indian farmers right now, they're cutting
- 39:00Speaker 3: cut off from fertilizers, you know, like, because a lot
- 39:04Speaker 3: of the fertilizers like urea they're made from natural gas and,
- 39:08Speaker 3: you know, Qatar hasn't been able to get their natural
- 39:12Speaker 3: gas out. And when, Iran drones and missile attack took
- 39:15Speaker 3: out one of the refineries in Qatar. It took out
- 39:22Speaker 3: 10% of world's urea supply. And suddenly, India has to
- 39:28Speaker 3: go crawl back to China. China because China is making
- 39:33Speaker 3: their fertilizer from coal. China makes urea from coal, and
- 39:37Speaker 3: China has a lot of coal. And because China has
- 39:40Speaker 3: the world's best coal liquefaction technology, coal to oil technology,
- 39:46Speaker 3: And so they're making a lot of the important chemicals,
- 39:49Speaker 3: including plastic that were previously made from oil and gas
- 39:55Speaker 3: to switch to use coal. So Chinese farmers have plenty
- 39:59Speaker 3: of urea and other fertilizers. And they have enough to
- 40:06Speaker 3: supply their BRICS allies, like Brazil. And now India is like,
- 40:11Speaker 3: Please help us. We need Urea. And this is why
- 40:16Speaker 3: now India is trying to repair the damage to their
- 40:20Speaker 3: relationship with China. Now they're trying to play nice. And
- 40:24Speaker 3: now they're trying to invite the Chinese investment back to
- 40:27Speaker 3: India after banning them for a few years. India was
- 40:30Speaker 3: the first country to ban TikTok, by the way. That's
- 40:33Speaker 3: where the United States got the idea. So now they're
- 40:38Speaker 3: trying to.
- 40:40Speaker 3: Beg for the Chinese company to come back to India
- 40:44Speaker 3: to invest because the Indian economy is under severe pressure
- 40:48Speaker 3: right now because of what's happening in the Strait of Hormuz.
- 40:51Speaker 3: The Indian economy heavily depends on the energy from that region.
- 40:56Speaker 3: This could all be avoided if India has stuck to
- 41:00Speaker 3: its traditional non-alignment policy you know during the cold war
- 41:09Speaker 3: india was one of the founding member of the non-alignment
- 41:12Speaker 3: movement which by the way was started in 1955 in
- 41:16Speaker 3: the bandung conference also called afro asiatic conference that in
- 41:22Speaker 3: in bandung indonesia and and at that time india was
- 41:27Speaker 3: one thing was a leader of the movement which says
- 41:29Speaker 3: okay there's a cold war there's a Soviet camp, there's
- 41:32Speaker 3: a U.S. camp, but we, global South country, just got
- 41:36Speaker 3: to stick together. We got to focus our own development.
- 41:40Speaker 3: We're not interested in taking a side in this ideological struggle. Now,
- 41:45Speaker 3: that was a perfect, sensible approach. In fact, up to
- 41:50Speaker 3: very recently, India maintained a friendly relationship with Iran. They
- 41:57Speaker 3: had a traditional friendship with Iran, with Russia, but they
- 42:02Speaker 3: just decide to, you know, we gotta, we gotta kiss
- 42:06Speaker 3: up to United States, you know, because there's also domestic
- 42:12Speaker 3: reason for that because there's a large Indian diaspora in
- 42:16Speaker 3: United States that, that also wish India and United States
- 42:20Speaker 3: could work closer together. And, and, and for Modi, they,
- 42:23Speaker 3: you know, he also part of his constituents are also
- 42:27Speaker 3: these like Indian diasporas in United States who, you know,
- 42:32Speaker 3: have a lot of money to, to, to throw around. And,
- 42:35Speaker 3: and so, so, so Modi government was trying to basically
- 42:39Speaker 3: have its cake and eat it too. And, uh, but,
- 42:43Speaker 3: but now they're finding out the limit of their, their
- 42:46Speaker 3: approach because the U S side is in shambles, uh,
- 42:51Speaker 3: and they're not able to give India what it wants,
- 42:54Speaker 3: which is investment, technological transfer, um, And even a steady
- 43:01Speaker 3: energy supply. India had to resort to buy expensive natural
- 43:06Speaker 3: gas from the United States, which is a lot more
- 43:09Speaker 3: expensive than what they traditionally got from Russia and the
- 43:16Speaker 3: Persian Gulf. So it's a lose-lose for India. But again,
- 43:23Speaker 3: this is the Modi government reaping what they have. what
- 43:26Speaker 3: they have sold. Now they're trying to make amends. Let's see.
- 43:29Speaker 3: Let's see if they're sincere about that. You know, I
- 43:32Speaker 3: have my doubts, but let's see.
- 43:36Speaker 2: But don't you think that there's a lot of damage
- 43:40Speaker 2: that they've done in the trust in the neighborhood where
- 43:42Speaker 2: all of Bangladesh and the other nations no longer trust them?
- 43:45Speaker 2: And think about the the pushing off development of the
- 43:50Speaker 2: Chabahar port and backstabbing Iran and supplying Israel with weapons
- 43:56Speaker 2: and intelligence in the midst of the Iranian-US-Israeli conflict. And
- 44:04Speaker 2: then also, a lot of people don't know this, so
- 44:08Speaker 2: we'll see it right here. A lot of the weapons
- 44:10Speaker 2: that were used after Israel started lacking and becoming more
- 44:16Speaker 2: depleted in weapons, India transferred those weapons back to Israel
- 44:22Speaker 2: to pound the Palestinians.
- 44:24Speaker 1: Don't you think that.
- 44:25Speaker 2: Now they've done too much to be trusted by Russia
- 44:30Speaker 2: fully because they also allowed the United States to inspect
- 44:35Speaker 2: one of Russia's submarines that Russia leased to them and
- 44:40Speaker 2: They backstabbed China. They backstabbed Iran. They backstabbed South Africa.
- 44:45Speaker 2: They backstabbed Brazil. And not just that, but they have
- 44:49Speaker 2: backstabbed the global South, believing in this pat on the
- 44:52Speaker 2: back and this pipe dream that America and the West
- 44:55Speaker 2: will set.
- 44:59Speaker 3: Yeah, they thought that would be accepted to the. to
- 45:02Speaker 3: the white club. They thought they would be accepted to
- 45:06Speaker 3: the big boys club of the international community, which is
- 45:10Speaker 3: really just the United States and its vassal states. But
- 45:14Speaker 3: it turns out that, you know, U.S. saw them as
- 45:17Speaker 3: too wrong, right? I mean, you're too wrong for our
- 45:20Speaker 3: white club. And so India now has to do a
- 45:25Speaker 3: lot more to win back the trust from the fellow
- 45:28Speaker 3: BRICS country. Now they have to repair the damage, right?
- 45:33Speaker 3: It's going to take time. It's going to take a
- 45:36Speaker 3: lot of effort because they have to show why should
- 45:40Speaker 3: we trust you again? A lot of the Chinese companies
- 45:44Speaker 3: who got burned investing in India, they will hesitate to
- 45:47Speaker 3: rush back to India right now because they remember what
- 45:51Speaker 3: happened a few years ago when the government just started
- 45:56Speaker 3: to ban their investment and make them lose their shirt.
- 46:02Speaker 3: Why would they put themselves up for that risk again?
- 46:06Speaker 3: India has to do more to show that it's serious
- 46:10Speaker 3: try to win the good graces of its fellow BRICS members.
- 46:15Speaker 3: You know, that's up to India ultimately to decide, you know,
- 46:21Speaker 3: whether that's something they want to pursue because the world's changing,
- 46:26Speaker 3: world's changing fast. You know, if they had only just
- 46:30Speaker 3: stick to their traditional, you know, non-alignment approach, just like
- 46:35Speaker 3: be friends with, with, everybody and don't take a side,
- 46:40Speaker 3: they would not be in the problem they're in right
- 46:42Speaker 3: now because all the problem is because they were leaning.
- 46:47Speaker 3: They decide to lean in with America. They decide to,
- 46:51Speaker 3: to go all in with, with, with Washington and Tel Aviv.
- 46:55Speaker 3: And that didn't look good. That not only didn't look good,
- 46:58Speaker 3: you actually didn't gain anything for India. All right. I mean, like,
- 47:03Speaker 3: in fact, in the West, there's a, rising anti-Indian sentiment
- 47:08Speaker 3: in a lot of the developed countries. They reap what
- 47:16Speaker 3: they sow. Now they have to do damage control. Now
- 47:19Speaker 3: they have to show their sincerity. They have to do
- 47:24Speaker 3: more to win back the trust. But then again, that's
- 47:27Speaker 3: their problem. That's Modi government's problem.
- 47:33Speaker 2: Before I bring in the question from Dave in the
- 47:35Speaker 2: audience in the chat, I remember the United States was
- 47:39Speaker 2: flexing its muscle in the Black Sea and they had
- 47:42Speaker 2: one of these early class destroyers there and Russia shut
- 47:46Speaker 2: down the warship with some kind of device with its planes.
- 47:52Speaker 2: What is the odds that maybe China has done something
- 47:56Speaker 2: like that also?
- 47:59Speaker 3: China, there was a recent, I forgot, FT, Wall Street Journal,
- 48:04Speaker 3: or New York Times, they recently had an article on
- 48:09Speaker 3: China and Russia working closely by China sending observers to
- 48:15Speaker 3: the Ukraine battlefield to observe how the combat is unfolding.
- 48:23Speaker 3: Of course, they pose it in such an ominous way,
- 48:26Speaker 3: but that's just normal. Traditionally, that's what countries have done,
- 48:30Speaker 3: send observer into existing conflicts so they could learn. China
- 48:36Speaker 3: is definitely learning a lot from Russia on how to
- 48:40Speaker 3: conduct a 21st century modern combat with drones and whatnot.
- 48:48Speaker 3: For Black Sea, okay, so United States have been empowering
- 48:55Speaker 3: Ukraine basically to challenge the Russian control of the Red Sea,
- 49:02Speaker 3: particularly in the area of Crimea and Sea of Azov.
- 49:08Speaker 3: There is a lot of quote-unquote Ukrainian drone attack, but
- 49:13Speaker 3: everybody knows Ukraine is just a proxy. These technology plans,
- 49:20Speaker 3: intelligence was all supplied by the United States. This is
- 49:25Speaker 3: US carrying out on Russia. So Russia has responded and
- 49:30Speaker 3: they responded by shutting down the port of Odessa. And
- 49:35Speaker 3: now Ukraine is essentially a landlocked country. It can no
- 49:40Speaker 3: longer use the port of Odessa to access the Black
- 49:44Speaker 3: Sea and beyond. And that is going to be a
- 49:49Speaker 3: problem both for the United States and more for Ukraine.
- 49:55Speaker 3: Because first of all, the U.S. will not have any
- 49:59Speaker 3: bases there. in the Black Sea to supply. You will
- 50:04Speaker 3: have to either fall back on Turkey or maybe Romania, Bulgaria,
- 50:10Speaker 3: those countries, but they will lose a foothold in the
- 50:16Speaker 3: northern rim of the Black Sea because Russia just shut
- 50:21Speaker 3: down Odessa. And I would not be surprised if Russia
- 50:26Speaker 3: make a push If the war were to go on,
- 50:29Speaker 3: Russia make a push to actually capture Odessa and then
- 50:34Speaker 3: physically block Ukraine from the access to the sea. And
- 50:39Speaker 3: then Ukraine is just a little rump country. They will
- 50:43Speaker 3: lose a major supply line from the sea. They will
- 50:47Speaker 3: now have to rely on overland route. Yeah, this is
- 50:52Speaker 3: not a... The whole Ukraine war... who are getting fed
- 50:57Speaker 3: with a lot of propaganda in the media about how
- 51:00Speaker 3: Ukraine is turning the table, right? They're attacking the Russian refineries.
- 51:05Speaker 3: You know, the Russians are running out of fuel. Now,
- 51:08Speaker 3: these are minor nuisance for Russia. Like, yeah, yeah, it's
- 51:14Speaker 3: a pain in the butt. Those refineries are going to
- 51:19Speaker 3: be offline for a few months. But this is not existential, right?
- 51:24Speaker 3: For Russia, this is like a mosquito bite for an elephant.
- 51:32Speaker 3: They will swat it off and then move on. But
- 51:37Speaker 3: right now, the war is turning existential for Ukraine. We're
- 51:42Speaker 3: talking about whether Ukraine will survive as a state, as
- 51:47Speaker 3: a viable political entity after the war. Increasingly, the answer
- 51:52Speaker 3: is probably no. and I because right now one reason
- 52:00Speaker 3: Russia has kind of been relatively light handed you know
- 52:05Speaker 3: wearing a velvet glove when it comes to handling Ukraine
- 52:09Speaker 3: is because Russia didn't want to make this like a
- 52:12Speaker 3: full blown war this is why they call it a
- 52:15Speaker 3: military operation because they don't want to put the strain
- 52:18Speaker 3: on the Russian economy so they're going like they're going
- 52:25Speaker 3: at like a very small fraction of their true strength.
- 52:30Speaker 3: But what all these pinprick attack against Russia does is
- 52:35Speaker 3: piss off the Russian public. And they will demand Putin
- 52:40Speaker 3: to do something more drastic to put more hurt on Ukraine.
- 52:44Speaker 3: And And that's probably what's going to happen. What's going
- 52:48Speaker 3: to happen is Ukraine will be destroyed as a coherent
- 52:55Speaker 3: political entity in Europe.
- 53:00Speaker 1: Dave in the chat says, question for Carl.
- 53:04Speaker 2: Why do you expect, I think he meant, what do
- 53:07Speaker 2: you expect from Brixton in India next month?
- 53:10Speaker 1: Any surprises?
- 53:16Speaker 3: I don't think BRICS has a lot of expectation for
- 53:20Speaker 3: India in the first place. I don't think the BRICS
- 53:27Speaker 3: is based on their hope for the future riding on India.
- 53:33Speaker 3: Right now, I think the whole BRICS strategy for India
- 53:36Speaker 3: is just to keep India on its side. There's a saying,
- 53:42Speaker 3: keep your friends closer, but keep your enemies keep your
- 53:46Speaker 3: friends close, but keep your enemy closer. Well, India is
- 53:49Speaker 3: like that guy kind of like, you know, you just
- 53:52Speaker 3: want to keep a watch on him. Make sure he
- 53:54Speaker 3: doesn't cause more problems. So you got to, at least
- 53:58Speaker 3: by keeping India in the BRICS alliance, you kind of
- 54:01Speaker 3: have to, you know, it's a way to keep an
- 54:04Speaker 3: eye on them so they don't cause more mischief and
- 54:08Speaker 3: make sure they don't gung over like 100% to the
- 54:12Speaker 3: other side. which is not good either. So I think
- 54:18Speaker 3: that's a whole added to a bricks tour India at
- 54:21Speaker 3: the moment.
- 54:24Speaker 2: You know, now let's go back to something about the
- 54:28Speaker 2: grain and the food that the West Asian nations need
- 54:34Speaker 2: and what is going on, the embargo and the war,
- 54:37Speaker 2: how it's draining the coffers. and how the sanctions on
- 54:41Speaker 2: Russia's import and grains and all of that stuff is
- 54:44Speaker 2: going on. The United States, Israel purposely setting aflame Palestinian farmland.
- 54:53Speaker 2: We see that Ukrainian forces are infiltrating North Africa, setting
- 54:58Speaker 2: farmland on fire with U.S.
- 55:01Speaker 1: Western help. And then we see... India's heart, what it's
- 55:06Speaker 1: supposed to be.
- 55:07Speaker 2: Now, I say that as a preface to this.
- 55:11Speaker 1: The United States.
- 55:13Speaker 2: Breadbasket area is suffering massive bankruptcies, and it's also suffering
- 55:21Speaker 2: mass crop failures. How is this going to play in
- 55:25Speaker 2: the empire when food becomes more scarce, more expensive, along
- 55:30Speaker 2: with what's going on.
- 55:31Speaker 1: With the expensive wars, the rise in interest rates, the.
- 55:37Speaker 2: Expanding debt crisis, the expansion of war, how can the
- 55:41Speaker 2: US maintain this, and how will this food shortage affect
- 55:47Speaker 2: everybody globally?
- 55:49Speaker 3: Well, actually, what's more likely is the world will be
- 55:54Speaker 3: increasingly more chaotic, unfortunately. You know, nobody said that the
- 56:01Speaker 3: road to multi-polarity is going to be a smooth one.
- 56:04Speaker 3: And U.S. will probably act more erratic. They will probably
- 56:11Speaker 3: latch out even more to try to preserve its hegemony.
- 56:15Speaker 3: The food issue is a serious one because, you know,
- 56:22Speaker 3: the world do derive a huge portion of its fertilizer
- 56:26Speaker 3: supplies from the hydrocarbons resources in the Persian Gulf. You know,
- 56:31Speaker 3: like the traditionally natural gas is used to make a
- 56:36Speaker 3: lot of the chemical fertilizers. And the Persian Gulf, particularly Qatar,
- 56:43Speaker 3: was exporting like 20% of the world's natural gas. Now
- 56:47Speaker 3: that's been cut off. China is helping because, you know,
- 56:52Speaker 3: China have switched to using coal. there will also be
- 56:56Speaker 3: some relief from Russia because Russia has plenty of natural gas.
- 57:02Speaker 3: Of course, United States will also try to cash in
- 57:05Speaker 3: because US also has plenty of natural gas. But what
- 57:09Speaker 3: happened in a world short of fertilizer is that the
- 57:14Speaker 3: poor country will be disproportionately more affected Because we've got price,
- 57:21Speaker 3: these oil, gas, fertilizers, they're all commodities. They're all like
- 57:26Speaker 3: globally traded commodities. And in a bidding war, it's a
- 57:31Speaker 3: rich countries with a lot more resources. They're going to
- 57:35Speaker 3: win out. They'll just pay more money for these resources.
- 57:39Speaker 3: You'll be the poorer countries. You know, I'm looking at
- 57:43Speaker 3: countries like Philippines, Indonesia, India. they, they will get hurt
- 57:49Speaker 3: the most because they will not be able to win
- 57:53Speaker 3: the bidding war against rich countries for these now precious commodities.
- 57:58Speaker 3: And you will be their farmers that will suffer. And, uh, because,
- 58:03Speaker 3: because they will not be able to pay the high prices.
- 58:07Speaker 3: You know, their, their, their economy is already on the brink. Um,
- 58:11Speaker 3: it just needs a little shove to push them off
- 58:14Speaker 3: the cliff. And, uh, Let's be real. The straight-up Hormuz
- 58:20Speaker 3: crisis is likely to last a long while, and that
- 58:26Speaker 3: is enough to push the world off the cliff, off
- 58:31Speaker 3: the economic precipitous, into a world depression. Trump repeatedly said,
- 58:39Speaker 3: I don't want to be Herbert Hoover to lead the
- 58:41Speaker 3: world into a depression. Well, he's a Herbert Hoover right now.
- 58:44Speaker 3: He's doing a whole fall on Herbert Hoover. And things
- 58:50Speaker 3: are not looking good. I mean, things are not looking good.
- 58:55Speaker 3: But despite what I said about US will be able
- 58:59Speaker 3: to afford higher prices, it will still hurt Americans. I mean,
- 59:04Speaker 3: somebody still has to pay the higher price at the pump.
- 59:08Speaker 3: Because even though the US big oil companies are making
- 59:12Speaker 3: a killing exporting, let's remember those oil gas are globally
- 59:19Speaker 3: traded commodities. If the US oil majors they will find
- 59:23Speaker 3: it more profitable to export them. They will. That means
- 59:27Speaker 3: there will still be shortage and higher prices domestically. Because
- 59:32Speaker 3: what happened is this is how USA is set up.
- 59:36Speaker 3: This is a feature, not a bug. The oligarchs running
- 59:40Speaker 3: the big oil companies, they will be even richer. And
- 59:45Speaker 3: everybody else is paying the price for it. This is
- 59:48Speaker 3: called the privatizing the profits. socializing the cost, right? And
- 59:55Speaker 3: that has been the game forever in the United States.
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: All the big oil majors that has funded Trump's political campaign,
- 1:00:05Speaker 3: they're making out like a band-aid right now. Everybody else,
- 1:00:09Speaker 3: including average Americans, are paying the price for that.
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:00:18Speaker 3: Okay.
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: Let me pose something to you for a second, just
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: something just out of.
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: What normal people or what the average person would think.
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: OK, say, for instance, the food prices go up and
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: what you refer to as the rich nations, we see
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: them in financial constraints right now. And the British pound
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: is tied to the US dollar. The Euro is tied
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: to the US dollar. You and I were just talking
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: about the debt situation and how nations are moving out
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: of the US dollar. So if the US dollar is
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: no longer the single world's reserve currency or the exclusive
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: reserve currency and other nations can use China's system or
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: use another system, Wouldn't that level the playing field with
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: the U.S. and the so-called Western nations to bid on
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: it because these other nations, the so-called poor nations, are
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: actually rich nations that are being exploited and they have resources,
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: they have minerals that could be used as a basis
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: for buying or trading or bartering for food? Could we
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: look at it like that also, that the West could
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: lose out because they've relied so much on military power
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: and they've relied so much on the dollar being the
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: reserve currency, and when it's no longer that exclusively, the
- 1:01:45Speaker 2: nations that have been condemned use their exploited goods, which
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: are their resources, to bag their currency to outbid the
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: so-called Western nations to get the necessary food that we
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: just assume.
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: Would go to the so-called rich, quote-unquote rich nations?
- 1:02:08Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a great question. As you mentioned, the so-called
- 1:02:14Speaker 3: rich countries, particularly the United States, everything is so financialized, right?
- 1:02:20Speaker 3: Everything is based on debt, on U.S. dollar debts. But
- 1:02:26Speaker 3: there's a real world out there. There's a real world
- 1:02:29Speaker 3: based on real resources. And BRICS countries, as we know,
- 1:02:33Speaker 3: in aggregate, they control more resources than the so-called international
- 1:02:40Speaker 3: community that consists of United States and its facile states.
- 1:02:44Speaker 3: And in this scenario, I think everything is in flux, right?
- 1:02:52Speaker 3: Like the old game, the old financial game doesn't apply anymore.
- 1:02:58Speaker 3: The game that Scott Besson has been raised in no
- 1:03:03Speaker 3: longer applies anymore.
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: It will be a.
- 1:03:10Speaker 3: Grab for resources. But I want to put a caveat
- 1:03:15Speaker 3: is in such a situation, United States is more likely
- 1:03:19Speaker 3: to use this military power to make for a resource grab,
- 1:03:24Speaker 3: like what they did in Venezuela, right? You know, For example,
- 1:03:30Speaker 3: this is because U.S. oil refiners have been set up
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: to refine heavy crude, whereas the type of oil that U.S.
- 1:03:43Speaker 3: has been digging out from the ground, the shale oil
- 1:03:47Speaker 3: from the fracking, that's a different type of crude, this light,
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: sweet crude. Now, the light, sweet crude is actually easier
- 1:03:55Speaker 3: to refine, but... for profit reasons, the U S traditionally
- 1:04:02Speaker 3: U S oil majors, I invest a lot to build
- 1:04:05Speaker 3: these refinery along the Southern Gulf regions that takes heavy
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: crude because the heavy crude, they, they, they cost less
- 1:04:17Speaker 3: to purchase. So they take the heavy crude and crack
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: it to make gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, et cetera. And,
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: That way, the oil majors can make a bigger profit
- 1:04:29Speaker 3: because they're taking the cheap, heavy crude, refine it, and
- 1:04:33Speaker 3: sell it at a higher price as a refined product
- 1:04:36Speaker 3: of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel rather than purchasing light,
- 1:04:43Speaker 3: sweet crude, which would fetch a higher price. But the
- 1:04:48Speaker 3: problem is that means the United States cannot effectively make
- 1:04:52Speaker 3: good use of all the light crude oil that it
- 1:04:56Speaker 3: digs up from fracking. That's why U.S. is exporting those
- 1:05:01Speaker 3: light crude and importing heavy crude to be refined in
- 1:05:05Speaker 3: the U.S. refineries. Now, this is a reason that went
- 1:05:09Speaker 3: after Venezuela, because they needed the Venezuelan heavy crude to
- 1:05:14Speaker 3: maintain their profit-making schemes. And in the scenario that you outlined,
- 1:05:22Speaker 3: United States is likely to throw its weight around militarily
- 1:05:30Speaker 3: to make a resource grab. And it will lead to
- 1:05:36Speaker 3: an increasingly more unstable world, you know, particularly in areas
- 1:05:42Speaker 3: like Latin America, because, you know, that's now baked into
- 1:05:46Speaker 3: the new Pentagon doctrine. The U.S. wants to have the
- 1:05:50Speaker 3: down-road doctrine, right? They want to dominate the West Hemisphere. And,
- 1:05:55Speaker 3: you know, something to watch for is upcoming Brazilian election
- 1:06:02Speaker 3: because Brazil has always been the prize. You know, Venezuela
- 1:06:06Speaker 3: is just a stepping stone for United States. The real
- 1:06:10Speaker 3: prize in Latin America is Brazil because it's the largest
- 1:06:13Speaker 3: economy in Latin America. And Brazil itself is also an
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: oil producer. And, you know, this is why people before
- 1:06:24Speaker 3: the United States had so much riding on Bolsonaro. The
- 1:06:29Speaker 3: way they got Bolsonaro in the presidency is because they
- 1:06:35Speaker 3: had Lula jailed. They put Lula in jail, right? And
- 1:06:39Speaker 3: so something to watch out for is the upcoming Brazilian election,
- 1:06:45Speaker 3: because Brazil is also politically... divided countries the same way
- 1:06:50Speaker 3: that United States is. There's a lot of influence of
- 1:06:53Speaker 3: Christian evangelicals in Brazil. So if you look at the
- 1:06:58Speaker 3: Brazil political invites, it's almost like 50-50. And one thing
- 1:07:05Speaker 3: that United States is still very good is at propaganda,
- 1:07:10Speaker 3: at regime change, color revolution, all that CIA dirty war stuff.
- 1:07:16Speaker 3: They will likely... continue to lean more on their strength,
- 1:07:21Speaker 3: so to speak, because now the U.S. military power is cracking.
- 1:07:26Speaker 3: Now they're going to have to fall back on their
- 1:07:30Speaker 3: forte in sabotage, in regime change, color revolution, all the
- 1:07:37Speaker 3: CIA tactics all around the world. You'll probably see a
- 1:07:43Speaker 3: lot of another place to watch is other global South
- 1:07:49Speaker 3: countries that also fellow BRICS member, like Indonesia, right? Like recently,
- 1:07:55Speaker 3: if you have been on social media, on YouTube, you
- 1:07:58Speaker 3: will see a lot of YouTube videos, a lot of
- 1:08:02Speaker 3: explainer on why Indonesia is in trouble, blah, blah, blah.
- 1:08:06Speaker 3: So in all these countries, US still retain outsized influence
- 1:08:12Speaker 3: and US is likely to activate their their own fifth column,
- 1:08:19Speaker 3: their own resources to try to flip, to do regime
- 1:08:25Speaker 3: change in those countries and to exert influence that way.
- 1:08:30Speaker 3: So unfortunately, you're right. I mean, if the global South
- 1:08:35Speaker 3: countries just get together and form a resource cartel like
- 1:08:43Speaker 3: the way the OPEC was, You know, they could have
- 1:08:46Speaker 3: a lot of more bargaining power, but I'm afraid that
- 1:08:49Speaker 3: United States would do everything to prevent that from happening.
- 1:08:54Speaker 3: You know, there will be a lot more color revolution,
- 1:08:58Speaker 3: regime change, political change. assassinations going all around the global
- 1:09:05Speaker 3: South countries as U.S. trying to desperately trying to cling
- 1:09:09Speaker 3: on to its global hegemon status.
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: You know, I won't keep you much longer, but I.
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: I do believe exactly what you're saying, but I also
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: believe that America is not the America she was 20
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: years ago.
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: She doesn't have the time.
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: She doesn't have the political capital, the geopolitical capital, and
- 1:09:29Speaker 2: she does not have the financial capital to continue all
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: of these things because, as you said, a resource grab.
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: What if that resource grab affects China's national security? China
- 1:09:42Speaker 2: is not the China of 30 years ago. China will
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: defend its national interest. Look what happened in Ukraine. Russia
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: is defending its national interest. Look what happened in West Asia.
- 1:09:53Speaker 2: Iran is defending its national interest. And look what's happening
- 1:09:56Speaker 2: across Africa that does not get any view. We see
- 1:10:01Speaker 2: Chinese advisors and Chinese weapons coming to nations that are
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: trying to free themselves from colonial rule. We see Russian
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: private corporations coming in to help train and give... or
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: sell weapons to nations that are trying to be independent
- 1:10:21Speaker 2: and trying to recapture their sovereignty and their resources and
- 1:10:25Speaker 2: their funding against these color revolutions and these terrorist attacks
- 1:10:29Speaker 2: and all of this. So America is, she's still trying
- 1:10:33Speaker 2: to do that, but now we see Russia, we see China,
- 1:10:37Speaker 2: we see Iran, we see other nations now fighting reaching
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: out and stretching their hands, tying it with African nations,
- 1:10:45Speaker 2: which are tying their hands with Latin American nations, which
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: are now trying to beat back America because the clock
- 1:10:52Speaker 2: is ticking with the American empire. So she doesn't have
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: the freedom financially. She doesn't have what she once had.
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: As a matter of fact, while you was talking, I
- 1:11:02Speaker 2: put this into the Google search engine. Farm policies from.
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: from 20, I.
- 1:11:09Speaker 2: Mean, in 2026 in the US, across the US. And
- 1:11:13Speaker 2: this is what it says right here. Is there a
- 1:11:15Speaker 2: farm crisis expected to occur in 2026? The AI overview says, yes,
- 1:11:22Speaker 2: the agriculture sector is experiencing a significant economic downturn and
- 1:11:27Speaker 2: financial stress in 2026. Now, before I go further with this,
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: remember that this is domestic and America might have plans
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: internationally But when things go wrong domestically, she's going to
- 1:11:42Speaker 2: have to defend her homeland. There's an old African proverb
- 1:11:47Speaker 2: says that, and it talks about, and I don't want
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: to misquote it because I often say it a lot.
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: It says, he who defends everything defends nothing. And if
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: there's no enemy within, the enemy without can do you
- 1:12:06Speaker 2: no harm. America has not had that enemy within. And
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: now with the influx of inflation, the disagreements, the cultural disagreements,
- 1:12:17Speaker 2: the political disagreements, she now has a monster that is
- 1:12:22Speaker 2: metastasizing within her own borders. She's dealing with a cancer
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: that is eating away at the American empire and the
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: American republic.
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: And let me go a little further, Carl, and I'll
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: have you to address it. But it says, Yes, the
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: agricultural sector is.
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: Experiencing a significant economic downturn and financial stress in 2026,
- 1:12:42Speaker 2: driven by multi-year low commodity prices, high production costs, and
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: rising debt. While some experts debate whether it is a
- 1:12:50Speaker 2: full-scale systemic crisis or an intense contraction, Chapter 12 farm
- 1:12:56Speaker 2: bankruptcies jumped 46% in 2025 and 2026, and net farm
- 1:13:04Speaker 2: incomes continue to compress. Now, that is on top of
- 1:13:08Speaker 2: Russia's being sanctioned. America thought that she would get that good,
- 1:13:15Speaker 2: valuable land, and Ukraine, now Russia has it. All of
- 1:13:19Speaker 2: this is going on, and we see the Baba Mandel
- 1:13:22Speaker 2: straight closed, the Red Sea is practically closed, we see
- 1:13:25Speaker 2: the Black Sea closed, we see the Persian Gulf literally closed,
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: and we see The Strait of Hormuz closed. So again,
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: the time is not on America's side. She may attempt
- 1:13:37Speaker 2: these things, but you have an equal power, China, that
- 1:13:42Speaker 2: is not going to let them trample on their interests.
- 1:13:45Speaker 2: You have Russia that is showing that they're not going
- 1:13:47Speaker 2: to let them do it. And now you have other
- 1:13:49Speaker 2: nations that are forming union states like Mali, Niger, and
- 1:13:57Speaker 2: Burkina Faso to push back imperialism. How can America maintain
- 1:14:03Speaker 2: when this is a new world, a new paradigm where
- 1:14:07Speaker 2: she no longer exercises unlimited power?
- 1:14:12Speaker 3: The unipolar moment is already over. We are in a
- 1:14:16Speaker 3: multipolar world right now as we speak. This is why
- 1:14:21Speaker 3: we see America scrambling, trying to put out fire, trying
- 1:14:25Speaker 3: to assert it's still the top dog in the world,
- 1:14:29Speaker 3: but Everyone could see that it's increasingly constrained, increasingly resource constrained.
- 1:14:37Speaker 3: And the seam is coming apart. And as you say,
- 1:14:42Speaker 3: there is a lot of pressure on U.S. internally as well.
- 1:14:48Speaker 3: The U.S. economy is right now, they went all in
- 1:14:52Speaker 3: on A.I. they're like, screw the farm, screw actual manufacturing.
- 1:14:59Speaker 3: Let's just put all our hope on the AI that
- 1:15:03Speaker 3: the AI will save us. I doubt that's going to work.
- 1:15:09Speaker 3: The whole premise of their AI dominance is that, you know,
- 1:15:14Speaker 3: this AI will replace all the white-collar workers. Oh, well,
- 1:15:17Speaker 3: that would do great for unemployment. I mean, it just
- 1:15:22Speaker 3: does not compute for me. And the fact that all
- 1:15:26Speaker 3: the hundreds of billions of dollars that plow into the
- 1:15:30Speaker 3: AI infrastructure will be obsolete in a few years because,
- 1:15:34Speaker 3: you know, all this money are going to purchase stuff
- 1:15:36Speaker 3: like NVIDIA GPU chips. Those little things, those computer equipment,
- 1:15:42Speaker 3: they get outdated in a couple years very fast. And
- 1:15:48Speaker 3: that means, what do they do? They have to keep
- 1:15:49Speaker 3: on buying more? Well, that's NVIDIA's game. They wanted people
- 1:15:52Speaker 3: to buy more. But it's... They're not making money out
- 1:16:00Speaker 3: of it. They're just throwing more and more money into
- 1:16:02Speaker 3: this single. So eventually, that's going to break too. And
- 1:16:07Speaker 3: You know, you're correct to point out that U.S. system
- 1:16:10Speaker 3: is already under a different kind of strain. And this
- 1:16:15Speaker 3: is not sustainable. This is the theme of our talk
- 1:16:18Speaker 3: from forever. I think it's just a matter of time
- 1:16:24Speaker 3: for the whole house of cards to crash down. And
- 1:16:27Speaker 3: you're right. China, Russia and the BRIC countries are already
- 1:16:32Speaker 3: have a roadmap. for alternative world order. This is the
- 1:16:37Speaker 3: whole reason for the Belt and Road Initiative. China is
- 1:16:41Speaker 3: investing in infrastructure all around the world, particularly in the
- 1:16:45Speaker 3: global south. So the world is oriented away from a
- 1:16:50Speaker 3: US dominated, a financialized world, but more geared toward real things,
- 1:16:58Speaker 3: real things being made. And the real things are being
- 1:17:02Speaker 3: made in China. that's where the future is being manufactured
- 1:17:07Speaker 3: right now. So, yes, we can either look at this
- 1:17:11Speaker 3: as a glass half full or glass half empty situation.
- 1:17:15Speaker 3: So the glass half full view is, yes, the alternative
- 1:17:19Speaker 3: to the US-dominated world order is being put in place
- 1:17:24Speaker 3: right now, brick by brick, Pong intended. But the glass
- 1:17:31Speaker 3: half empty point of view is, there will be increasing
- 1:17:36Speaker 3: bump on the road as US increasingly lash out its
- 1:17:41Speaker 3: last ditch effort to defend its hegemony by creating chaos
- 1:17:46Speaker 3: all around the world. Now, both views are true. Both
- 1:17:49Speaker 3: views can be true at the same time. So this
- 1:17:53Speaker 3: is what makes our world interesting at this moment. We're
- 1:17:56Speaker 3: in a period of great transition, a transition out of
- 1:18:01Speaker 3: a a U.S. dominated, you know, the Western dominance that's coming,
- 1:18:13Speaker 3: finally coming to an end. Let's be real. You know,
- 1:18:17Speaker 3: what U.S. is often represent, the U.S. hegemony often represent
- 1:18:22Speaker 3: is the Western dominance over the globe. the last couple
- 1:18:27Speaker 3: hundred years and that is coming to an end more
- 1:18:30Speaker 3: and more people is now coming to the realization even
- 1:18:34Speaker 3: the gardener himself joseph borrell has said that you know
- 1:18:38Speaker 3: the world dominance the west dominance is coming to an
- 1:18:42Speaker 3: end and uh and i i tell you man there's
- 1:18:45Speaker 3: no way his garden will win against the jungle because
- 1:18:49Speaker 3: island in the midst of a jungle oh the jungle
- 1:18:53Speaker 3: always win because jungle actually has life and vitality you
- 1:18:56Speaker 3: know garden you have to like keep on cultivating it
- 1:19:00Speaker 3: like meticulously taking care of it and and and you
- 1:19:03Speaker 3: know if you neglect it for the too long your
- 1:19:06Speaker 3: garden will you know will get run over but jungle
- 1:19:10Speaker 3: all the jungle need is the sun and water and
- 1:19:14Speaker 3: you will outgrow everything so the time for the garden
- 1:19:18Speaker 3: is over the jungle will will will dominate so that's
- 1:19:23Speaker 3: my last words.
- 1:19:25Speaker 2: Thank you so much carl for joining me man i'll
- 1:19:28Speaker 2: send you the video a be safe be blessed and
- 1:19:30Speaker 2: have a wonderful weekend and and nurture that arm also.
- 1:19:35Speaker 3: Thank you. Thank you, Rasheed. Anytime.
- 1:19:37Speaker 1: Bye-bye now.
- 1:19:38Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:19:38Speaker 1: All right.
- 1:19:39Speaker 3: Bye-bye.
- 1:19:40Speaker 1: Everybody listen. Hit the like button. Subscribe. Share this.
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: Also, channel members, Patreon members, we have new video, new
- 1:19:50Speaker 2: articles coming out.