Latest / Toadstool Sports / Saturday BEST BETS | Deja Vu | NHL Stanley Cup Finals & MLB & WNBA & Horses | 6/6/26

Transcript

Saturday BEST BETS | Deja Vu | NHL Stanley Cup Finals & MLB & WNBA & Horses | 6/6/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: Man, a hole in your chicks.
• 0:21
  Speaker 3: Black coffee on the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 4: Man, you look like a mess. Three teen poulette turned
• 0:27
  Speaker 4: the dust in your head. Now you stare at the
• 0:30
  Speaker 4: chips like they made you this man. But don't you
• 0:34
  Speaker 4: go quiet? Don't you fade from the floor. Your name
• 0:38
  Speaker 4: still mean something on somebody for show?
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby, look at me?
• 0:46
  Speaker 5: Now, hold on, hold on nothing night not now, hold.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: On, Hold on me that hot but it don't get
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: the crown. Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: Stay with me. Now, what's up? Everybody? It's towed back
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: with you with Toadstool Sports for Saturday, June sixth, We
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: went two and one on the show yesterday. Should I
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: say I'm hot? I don't know. We're on a one
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: to eight fifty four and six run the last sixty
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: three days now, which is good. Although the last week
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: has been meat you know, it hasn't been I don't
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: want to say mediocre. It's been bad. It's been a
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: losing last week or so, so that's not good. Uh.
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: Baseball went really well yesterday, a couple of easy wins.
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: We had the under with Cleveland and Texas. Easy. Yeah,
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: both starting pitchers did well enough. The bullpens came in
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: maybe earlier than you'd like if you have a full
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: game under there. But the bullpen's got the job done
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: in that game. So that worked out well. Three to two,
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: final Mets got on the board and then it never
• 2:17
  Speaker 3: gave up a run. Scott was good enough in that game,
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: their bullpen was good. Mett's with a shutout win, so
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: that worked out well. Unfortunately, the next one up, the
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: one that I didn't put on my card, Washington first five.
• 2:30
  Speaker 3: That was easier than both of those. So if you
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: played Washington money line first five, very easy win. I
• 2:37
  Speaker 3: think they were winning like eight nothing at that point
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: something like that. They put up a ton of runs.
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: There were three teams that put up a ton of
• 2:43
  Speaker 3: runs yesterday and we might be fading one of those
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: teams today because I'm not buying it. And yeah, and
• 2:51
  Speaker 3: we're gonna go back to the well with a total.
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: That's what I have today. I have two baseball plays.
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: That's it. Oh yeah. And then of course yesterday the
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: Spurs team total didn't get there. Looked really good. When
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: the Spurs were winning whatever it was thirty four to
• 3:05
  Speaker 3: twenty five at the end of the first quarter, They're like,
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: all right, this is gonna be a high scoring game,
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: Spurs playing. Well, Nope, that didn't happen. Then by the
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: fourth quarter, the Spurs had only scored like sixty points
• 3:18
  Speaker 3: since then, and they're down double digits in the fourth quarter.
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: Then they make the whole comeback, they actually take the lead,
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: and then they still lose the game. The Spurs are dead, dude,
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: I told you. I mean, I thought the Spurs would
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: win game one just based on the trends, but there
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: were a lot of things in conflict with each other there.
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: The trends obviously say that a team that loses at
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: home in game one is a favorite bounces back in
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: game two. I wasn't ready to lay those points though,
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: but yeah, I mean I thought the game would be
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: much higher scoring than it was. I don't know what
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: else you could say about it. I mean, they still
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: kind of made it somewhat close to that total at
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: the end. If it had gone into it was there
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: was a chance that was going into overtime, and obviously
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: you can't intentionally rely on overtime, but if if it
• 4:05
  Speaker 3: went into overtime, I think we would have gotten it
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: over and there was a decent chance of that. At
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: the end, I'm pissed. Fuck the Knicks, Fuck New York.
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: What else do I have to say? I don't want
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: to see this fucking happen. The series is over though.
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: The Spurs are too inexperience, They're too young, which is
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: why I said I want the Knicks out. So it's
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: gonna have to be Oklahoma City. Like I thought the
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: experience would play a huge role in the final and
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: I think that it is. You get these games. The
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: Spurs don't know how to deal with it, Like they
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: don't know how to hang on to a lead. They
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: don't know how to deal with these close game situations,
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: even though they beat Oklahoma City. Yeah, I'm I'm fucking pissed. Whatever, Charles,
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: what's up? Yes? The second quarter? Whatever? All right? Everybody
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: can go check out my Belmont Stakes video as well.
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: I did it in the afternoon yesterday. Nobody was watching.
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: It was a quick video. It's a small ray. Well,
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: it's a big race, but there aren't that many horses
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: in it, so I gave out my opinions on that.
• 5:09
  Speaker 3: You can go watch it. Let's go Chief Wallaby in
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: that race. And by the way, one thing I did
• 5:15
  Speaker 3: forget to mention because I have Emerging Market as like
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: my third favorite horse in that race, especially given the
• 5:20
  Speaker 3: odds that Emerging Market has. But one other thing I
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: forgot to mention. I put it in the comments in
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: that video. Part of the reason why Emerging Market came
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: in tenth in the Kentucky Derby. Emerging Market lost a
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: front shoe during the race, Like his shoe came off.
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: So I think that could that definitely can affect your
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: trip in a race, you know what I mean, because
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: that basically, like you know, I don't even I don't
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: know if like the hoof got damaged or anything when
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: the shoe came off, but yeah, the shoe came off,
• 5:50
  Speaker 3: and then you have to imagine that results in some
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: lopsided and this's with how the horse is running or whatever.
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: So do with that info what you want, all right,
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: But I think I don't know much about horse racing.
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: But I assume they use different shoes for racing than
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: they do for other events. But I don't even know.
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: Maybe they do horses have running shoes. I have no idea.
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: All right, let's go to baseball here. We have some
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: afternoon baseball. I have one afternoon baseball play here. I'm
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: being selective this first game up. I considered putting this
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: on my card, but I see like the market kind
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: of moving in bolt directions here. I kind of like
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: the under in this first game. Seattle and Detroit. Yesterday's
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: game was a higher scoring game, seven to three win
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: for Detroit. Detroit has won four games in a row.
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: Never thought you would have seen something like that. They
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: beat Brian Wu yesterday. And this website for the bullpen
• 6:44
  Speaker 3: use wage is not working, but I can tell it
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: for like half of these games. It's not working. But
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: I could tell you Detroit used more of their bullpen
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: yesterday than Seattle did, so Seattle does have a bullpen
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: advantage here. They're the better bullpen anyway. Their ranked fifth,
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: Detroit twenty first based on whip, so pretty sizable bullpend
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: dis verity here. Detroit's moved up a little bit offensively again,
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: they're at nineteenth. Seattle is still better at thirteenth. I
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: think Seattle has the more trustworthy starter on the mound too.
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: Bryce Miller is going here. He's only made I think
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: four starts this year so far as its coming back
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: from injury, but his career is pretty good. Miller's got
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: good numbers this year, one point seven to one ERA
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: point eighty six whip. Hasn't been as good on the road, though,
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: which makes sense because Seattle has a pitcher friendly ball park.
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: He's got a three point four to eight road ERA.
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: Still not bad though. One of his road starts was
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: at the A Stadium, which is the opposite of pitcher friendly,
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: and he still did fine. And that start was fine
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: at Houston, faced the White Sox and Arizona, so he's
• 7:48
  Speaker 3: faced all pretty capable offenses so far. One hit the
• 7:52
  Speaker 3: White Sox and Arizona while he was at home. He's
• 7:55
  Speaker 3: allowed fifteen hits in twenty innings so far twenty one innings,
• 7:58
  Speaker 3: excuse me, twenty strikeouts, the walks. He's got good numbers here,
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: and his numbers against Detroit are also good. In fifty
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: seven at bats, eleven strikeouts, one walk, UH two, twenty
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: eight batting average five to twenty two ops. So Miller
• 8:13
  Speaker 3: he's in good form right now, has good matchup numbers here.
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: I expect Miller to pitch well. Cater Montero is pitching
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: for the Tigers. He's had an unexpectedly good season. He
• 8:24
  Speaker 3: is still pretty young. Spent the early part of his
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: career as kind of a bullpen arm for the Tigers
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: and making some starts here and there. He's been basically
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: a full time starter this year three point six nine
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: e RA one whip. His ERA at home is not
• 8:41
  Speaker 3: quite as good three point eight nine still good, though.
• 8:44
  Speaker 3: He had a good outing last time out on the
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: road against the White Sox, two hit shutout in six innings,
• 8:49
  Speaker 3: but his team didn't score for him and they still lost.
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: He was struggling have been in the three starts prior
• 8:54
  Speaker 3: to that, though, so I think Montero is a little
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: bit more questionable in this game out of the two
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: pitchers if you look at his career. I mean that's
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: kind of the case as well. Even though his numbers
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: are pretty good here in May, I know he had
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: a good era. He allowed very few hits, but he
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: did allow too many walks, although the number went back
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: down over his last couple of starts. Strike out rate
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: was also really low, which kind of concerns me, Like,
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: I know, some of these pictures can kind of go
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: out there and throw junk and they just don't really
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: rely on strike outs. He's got a low strikeout rate though,
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: but his hit rate and is walk rate on the
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: season are all low, so overall he's still been pretty good.
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: He's got twenty nine at bats against Seattle, five to
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: two strikeout walk ratio two forty one average allowed, which
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: is pretty low, but a seven to seventy three oh
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: PS getting a little bit on the higher side there.
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: So when I was thinking about this game, like I said,
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: I was thinking under in this game, the money looks
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: like it's kind of agreeing with that. As we can
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: see some of these numbers finally come in. Eighty eight
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: percent of the tickets, seventy one percent of the cash
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: on the over totals at eight and a half, which
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: is a somewhat high total here, not quite on that
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: key number of nine. I think it under makes sense.
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: But I think if you first five under is what
• 10:08
  Speaker 3: makes the most sense if you go under here, because
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: I don't like Detroit's bullpen in they're a little bit
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: used here, So I would go first five under if
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: I was gonna play this, I have a slightly into
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: Seattle as well. I think Miller just sets up a
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: little bit better here. It's a bounce back spot for Seattle.
• 10:23
  Speaker 3: They're the better team here, as the oddsmakers are telling
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: you they're minus one thirty something here on the road.
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: Even though Detroit typically good at home, but this year,
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: since the schoolbl injury, they're just really kind of struggled.
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: So I don't know if I'm buying this recent run
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: that Detroit is on here, but I think first five
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: under is probably what I would prefer there. I don't know.
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: I have no idea how the shoe got got removed,
• 10:50
  Speaker 3: the shoe came, I don't know. You can go watch
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: the clip of it. I mean, Kentucky Derby is kind
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: of chaotic. Man. There are a lot of horses bumping
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: into each other, a lot of traffic. But that affected
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: the trip for emerging market a little bit, Kyle, what's up?
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: Even though I didn't really even say much about that. No,
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: you haven't really missed anything. I'm not happy about any
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: of that, though, I haven't given out a play yet.
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: If that so, this is the first game I talked about, actually,
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: But we gotta get I gotta get through this. Man.
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: A hide hoof can rip off, a front shoe that's weird.
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, a self flat tire, I don't know, man,
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: Kansas City at Minnesota. Just on the service, this looks
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: like a huge pitching mismatch to me, with Minnesota obviously
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: having the positive end of that. Here. Minnesota won the
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: game yesterday, Kansas City won the game before that, so
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: this is the third game of a four game series
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: here Minnesota. We actually get to see the bullpen usage
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: on these teams. Minnesota used two relief pitchers in the
• 11:58
  Speaker 3: game yesterday. Kansas City also to these are bullpens that
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: I want nothing to do with. Though Minnesota's ranked twenty seventh,
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: Kansas City is dead last, although Cincinnati, Anaheim, and Houston
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: all of worse bullpenny rays than that, but these are
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: still too bad bullpens. Kansas City also hasn't been good offensively.
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: They're twenty seventh, so this team is not performing well.
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: And then Minnesota somewhere in the middle of the pack,
• 12:26
  Speaker 3: I think, offensively, where are they at? Yeah, seventeenth? All right.
• 12:31
  Speaker 3: Luinder Avila is pitching for Kansas City. He's like a
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: converted reliever, Like I think they're missing some starters here,
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: so this is kind of a bullpen ish game here,
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: and he has not really pitched that effectively this year either,
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: which is mostly bullpen performances, and then he's made I
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: think two starts as well, four point four to four ERA,
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: one point seven to one whip. I know he's young,
• 12:54
  Speaker 3: but if they're not outright using him as a starter
• 12:57
  Speaker 3: until like guys get hurt, that means he's not really
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: like one of these higher touted prospects. I don't believe
• 13:03
  Speaker 3: he is. He's been good on the road though, one
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: point eight to eight roady, all right, So do with
• 13:08
  Speaker 3: that info what you want. He struggled quite a bit
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: in his first I think, which was his first start
• 13:14
  Speaker 3: I think against the Yankees, went three innings, he got
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: three runs, seven hits, two walks, one strikeout that wasn't
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: very good. Settled down and had got a win. In
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: his last outing, went five innings at Cincinnati, which is
• 13:26
  Speaker 3: a hitter friendly park. Held him to one run on
• 13:29
  Speaker 3: two hits, so that is good, but he did walk
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: four guys, which still does concern me quite a bit
• 13:35
  Speaker 3: and five strikeouts there. His walk rate is really really high,
• 13:38
  Speaker 3: and his hit rate is also high. On the season.
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: Strike out rate is decent, but yeah, I don't really
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: trust this guy. Minnesota does only have four batters who
• 13:47
  Speaker 3: have ever faced him. They're zero for four offen with
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: three strikeouts. I think all in relief appearances, of course,
• 13:54
  Speaker 3: but yeah, I would not trust whatever Kansas City is
• 13:56
  Speaker 3: doing here. I don't even know if a Villa is
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: going to get to five innings here. And Joe Ryan
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: is going from Minnesota. He is their ace. Three point
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: two ERA, point ninety seven whip is very good. He's
• 14:08
  Speaker 3: better at home as well, two point eight home ERA.
• 14:12
  Speaker 3: He's still pitching well. I mean, even though you give
• 14:14
  Speaker 3: up four runs to the White Sox last time out,
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: he gave up two on runs. He had no walks,
• 14:20
  Speaker 3: nine strikeouts. White Sox also good offense. Ryan was really
• 14:24
  Speaker 3: good throughout the entire month of May as well. So
• 14:27
  Speaker 3: he's pitching well here. He's got a high strikeout rate,
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: low hit rate, low walk rate, I mean, everything that
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: you expect from an ACE. And he has good numbers
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: against the Royals as well, which is expected. They have
• 14:38
  Speaker 3: a lot of at bats against him, one hundred and
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: thirty and they have not really succeeded. Twenty seven to
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: seven strikeout walk ratio two thirty one average, six sixty
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: two ops. I think the only way to play this
• 14:49
  Speaker 3: game is to play Minnesota. You maybe want to do
• 14:53
  Speaker 3: it first five, just because I think you have the
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: biggest advantage there, because both these bullpens are atrocious, so
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: there's no there's no telling which bullpen might totally blow
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: in this game, you know what I mean, Kansas City
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: likely to go to their bullpen first. Though money is
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: coming in on Minnesota seventy nine percent of tickets, ninety
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: two percent of the cash on them, the price looks
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: a little bit low. I mean maybe just because Minnesota
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: is that bad of a team. They're around minus one
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: fifty something here. It would be a split bet, I
• 15:24
  Speaker 3: would guess, or I would it would be a split bet.
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: I would say if you go full game on this,
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: partially on the run line, partially on the money line,
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: if you look at the first five, there might be
• 15:35
  Speaker 3: a reasonable price going Minnesota first five on the run line,
• 15:40
  Speaker 3: like laying a half run in the first five innings.
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: That would definitely be an option in this game as well.
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: Don't think you have to. I would say you probably
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: don't have to specify action with Kansas City there because
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: I don't think they're going to switch who's pitching there.
• 15:55
  Speaker 3: You never really know, but I don't think so in
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: that case, because a vella has made two straight starts,
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: so I think that they are going with them here.
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: But yeah, Minnesota seems like the right side to me there,
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: although it does seem too obvious, but I'm not gonna
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: make a play on that one, all right, But yeah,
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: first five, I think it is probably the biggest advantage
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: you get with Minnesota there. Okay. Oh and by the way,
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: what I didn't realize. Maybe I'm just too old school dude,
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: but apparently like a lot of books are transitioning to
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: having action being the default now, or maybe I have
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: like different settings or I don't even I don't know
• 16:31
  Speaker 3: what the deal is, but yeah, I guess some I
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: guess books are switching over to having action be the default.
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: So keep that in mind when you're doing baseball, because
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: usually when you make these bets, you want the list
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: of starters to start because that's usually a big part
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: of the handicap. So I tend to think that that
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: should be that used to be the default. I think
• 16:50
  Speaker 3: it's really it still should be. If it's not, I
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: don't know, but that's seemingly that's what books are transitioning to,
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: So keep that in mind. I don't know, dirty sock,
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. And like I said,
• 17:02
  Speaker 3: you can also specify one of the starters must start
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: but not the other for the bet to count. All right,
• 17:08
  Speaker 3: Cincinnati and Saint Louis only through two games here, man,
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: gotta start speeding this up. Saint Louis won ten to
• 17:15
  Speaker 3: three yesterday in the first game of the series, so
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: that means possibly a bounce back here for Cincinnati. Cincinnati
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: used a lot of their relief pitchers. They used four
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: guys out of the bullpen yesterday. Saint Louis only used
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: my man Hunter Dobbins Yankee hater. So Saint Louis's bullpen
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: is in better shape here, and the better bullpen Cincinnati's
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: twenty ninth in bullpen very bad. Saint Louis is not great,
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: but their twentieth and they do have a bullpen advantage here,
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: including the rest that they have here in the bullpen. Offensively,
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: these teams are both right in the middle. Cincinnati fifteen
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis sixteen. I don't really love the starting pitching
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: matchup here. Nico Lodolo is pitching for the Reds. He
• 17:58
  Speaker 3: had a decent season last year. He's not bouncing back
• 18:01
  Speaker 3: well from injury so far here though, five point two RA,
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: one point three to seven whip here in what's been
• 18:07
  Speaker 3: kind of a shortened season for him. So far. He's
• 18:10
  Speaker 3: been better on the road though, away from the hitter
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: friendly Cincinnati Ballpark three point zero nine Roady Ray, So
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: that's better. I mean, it looks like you can possibly
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: back him on the road. But his road starts against
• 18:23
  Speaker 3: Philly and the Mets, and we know both those teams
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: haven't really been hitting. He wasn't even good against Philly.
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: He walked five guys in that outing. He's really only
• 18:31
  Speaker 3: had one actually good outing. It was against the lowly
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: Mets offense. So Lodolo to me, looks very untrustworthy. His
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: walk number is ridiculous. Thirteen walks in twenty seven to
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: two thirds innings. That's not good. Twenty five hits is fine,
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: twenty two strikeouts is fine, but that walk number is bad.
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: Numbers against Saint Louis are not great, and seventeen at
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: bats so it's not a big sample. Four strikeouts, no walks,
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: two ninety four average, but only seven h six ops,
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: the only one extra base, which is a triple by
• 19:02
  Speaker 3: Nelson Velasquez. But I don't trust Lodolo here. I think
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: he might be still fatable here. Matthew Libertore is pitching
• 19:11
  Speaker 3: for the Cardinals. I don't think he's good either. Four
• 19:14
  Speaker 3: point three five eras all right, but a one point
• 19:16
  Speaker 3: five whip is pretty awful. Putting one and a half
• 19:19
  Speaker 3: guys on base not good per inning. That's not good.
• 19:24
  Speaker 3: His home road splits are basically not existent. He's not
• 19:28
  Speaker 3: really pitching that well, even though he's allowing few runs.
• 19:31
  Speaker 3: Like he had a decent ra in the month of May,
• 19:33
  Speaker 3: but he allowed more than one hit per inning. His
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: walk rate was kind of high, strike out rate was good,
• 19:38
  Speaker 3: and I don't even consider him to be a strike
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: up pitcher, so this is all kind of strange to me.
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: But he did okay last time out against the Cobs.
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: He didn't last that long in the game five and
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: a third, but he did shut them out for that
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: span at home. He picked up a win in that outing.
• 19:54
  Speaker 3: His overall numbers, yeah, Like I said, his strike out
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: rate is not that high, hit rate is over one
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: per inning, which is bad. Double digit home runs at
• 20:02
  Speaker 3: this point of the season not very good, and his
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: walk rate is too high and he doesn't have good
• 20:07
  Speaker 3: numbers against Cincinnati really either. Like the power numbers at
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: least are not good. They have forty at bats against him.
• 20:13
  Speaker 3: He has held them to a two twenty five average,
• 20:15
  Speaker 3: fourteen strikeouts, two walks, but they've hit him for power.
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: They have four home runs off and from four different
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: hitters seven eighty seven ops. I'm gonna lean over in
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: this game. The total is high. I think both bullpens
• 20:30
  Speaker 3: are pretty fatable here too. Both starters look like they
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: have some issues. To me, the total is pretty high
• 20:37
  Speaker 3: for a reason, especially given that this game is in
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis, not Cincinnati, so Saint Louis is a more
• 20:43
  Speaker 3: pitcher friendly at ballpark than Cincinnati. Is this total being
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: at nine kind of tells you something here? Yeah, I
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: think I would go over the nine here. A lot
• 20:53
  Speaker 3: of books have that nine available. Looks like you might
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: have to pay a little bit of juice for that.
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: But if I was gonna play that game, I don't
• 20:59
  Speaker 3: really want to though, because both starting pitchers do have
• 21:02
  Speaker 3: some good in their matchup numbers there. Lodolo is better
• 21:06
  Speaker 3: on the road, you know. I mean, Lodola looks like
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: he does have the better matchup numbers here. The money's
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: coming in on Saint Louis on the side, though eighty
• 21:14
  Speaker 3: one percent of the tickets ninety five percent of the cash.
• 21:17
  Speaker 3: I don't know if that's accurate. Saint Louis is a
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: small favorite here of around minus one thirty. I think
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: both these teams are not good and started the season
• 21:27
  Speaker 3: better than what they actually are. Well, what are we
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: talking about? A Stevie Wonder parody of what song? I
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: don't I don't even know. I'm blind to what you're
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: talking about. This next game up is going to be
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: one of my plays. It is my afternoon baseball play here.
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: I only have two plays that I am skipping the
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: WNBA Cup as well, and I don't have anything in
• 21:53
  Speaker 3: the hockey game either. I'm treading very lightly here. I
• 21:56
  Speaker 3: need to find good enough spots that I want to
• 21:58
  Speaker 3: actually make these plays. Man, But we are gonna have
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: a play on the Chicago Cubs on the money line
• 22:03
  Speaker 3: here as long as you can find it a below
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: one fifty. I saw it in the minus one forties
• 22:08
  Speaker 3: at multiple books out there. Minus one forty six I
• 22:12
  Speaker 3: found at I don't remember which it might have been FD,
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: I don't remember which book it was. Some of the
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: books have a decent number available. Of course, if it
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: is a little bit higher, you know the money line
• 22:24
  Speaker 3: you could still do or you could do like a
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: split bet run line money line, or find a minus
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: one run line on this. But I like the Cubs
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: in this game. They're facing San Francisco. I do not
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: think San Francisco is a good team. I think what
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: we're seeing out of them is a complete mirage. We've
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: seen San Francisco put up these ridiculous offensive numbers recently,
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: and this is not a good offensive team San Francisco.
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: Chicago lost the game yesterday eighteen to three. I mean,
• 22:52
  Speaker 3: come on, man, Edward Cabrera got torched in the game,
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: the bullpen wasn't good. Well, today's a new day, man,
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: You're still Chicago's the better team. They're at home, and
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: I think they have a significant starting pitching advantage here,
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: so we're taking Chicago. Chicago did use four relief pitchers yesterday,
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: but they didn't really use they're better relievers. I don't think.
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: I'm not too familiar with their personnel, but I think
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: they I'm assuming because it was a garbage game, right, Like,
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: why would you use your best pitchers when you're getting
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: smoked in the game right, Although yes San Francisco used
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: some lesser relievers as well, they only US two. But
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: Chicago has the better bullpen, so I'm still going with
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: this full game Chicago ninth and bullpen Giants. The Giants
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: are right now. I mean, they're not what I thought
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: they would be at all. Like Giants last year they
• 23:42
  Speaker 3: were good bullpen, pretty good pitching, bad hitting. This year,
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: like the opposite is happening right now. The Giants have
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: a they have the twenty sixth ranked bullpen, so well
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: fade that I suppose here, even though Chicago did use
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: a few guys, but they're better. Guys are availed. Like
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: I said, hitting wise, is bizarre that the Giants are
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: now eighth in hitting and the Cubs are ninth. I'm
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: not buying it at all. Before the Giants put up
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: nineteen runs in course field, the Giants were like the
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: twenty fifth ranked offense. And now they put up eighteen
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: nineteen runs and then eighteen runs in a couple of games,
• 24:21
  Speaker 3: and now they ranked eighth. I'm not buying it at all.
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: I think they're gonna fall back down. The Cubs are
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: the better offense here, but then we also look at
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: the starting pitching, and I know I like Landon relp.
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: I do. He's pitching for the Giants here, but his
• 24:36
  Speaker 3: numbers are getting a little bit worse here four point
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: two to two ERA, one point three to one Whip.
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: He's not quite as good on the road, a little
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: bit worse on the road four point three Roady Ira,
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: and he got lit up in his last outing against Milwaukee. Man.
• 24:50
  Speaker 3: This was bad. He gave up eight runs on eight
• 24:52
  Speaker 3: hits and five walks in four innings, so he put
• 24:56
  Speaker 3: a ton of guys on base through a ton of pitches.
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: I don't think he's pitching well right now. His starts
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: have been somewhat questionable over the last few starts. I
• 25:05
  Speaker 3: did face good offenses year Arizona twice, Dodgers, whatever, San
• 25:09
  Speaker 3: Francisco has lost six starts of his in a row.
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: By the way, he did face Pittsburgh and Tampa as
• 25:15
  Speaker 3: well in there. But the Cubs are also a good offense. Man,
• 25:18
  Speaker 3: so he's facing another good offense here. And by the way,
• 25:21
  Speaker 3: obviously you probably expected this. The Cubs have good numbers
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: against him. They only have twenty one at bats against him,
• 25:27
  Speaker 3: but they have definitely hit him well, three to eighty
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: one average against him, one thousand ops, three strikeouts, no walks.
• 25:33
  Speaker 3: So I think we could fade route Pier and we're
• 25:36
  Speaker 3: gonna go with the pitcher that's in better form right now,
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: Ben Brown, who I had a couple of leans on
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: Ben Brown. Ree. I think I did give out one
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: play on a Ben Brown game recently and it was
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: a winner, and then I did have some leans towards
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: him as well. He's pitching well, dude. He's been a
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: guy that the Cubs had in the bullpend for a
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: bit and I always was looking at his numbers like, yeah,
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: like his era is like misleadingly bad, you know, Like
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: I was looking at like his strikeout numbers, his walk numbers.
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: I'm like, this guy is actually good, I think, and
• 26:06
  Speaker 3: we're kind of seeing that now now that the Cubs
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: have all these injuries. They put him in the starting rotation.
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: He's continuing to pitch well. He's got a one point
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: nine to two ERA, point nine to three whip. He's
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: not as good at home, but still a two point
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: five to seven home ERA. That doesn't concern me that much.
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: And of course a lot of these games are win
• 26:24
  Speaker 3: blowing out games. In Chicago here and Wrigley. I don't
• 26:29
  Speaker 3: really care if it is or if it isn't this
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: time it's not. By the way, it's a low total
• 26:33
  Speaker 3: in this Cubs game today, so wind is probably blowing
• 26:36
  Speaker 3: in here and or it's just that the books respect
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: both these pitchers enough to have a low total. The
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: Cubs have won five of Brown's last seven appearance as
• 26:46
  Speaker 3: although some of those were bullpen appearances. He's pitched well
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: in his starts, though, Man, he got like virtually no
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: run support in the two starts that he lost or
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: that the Cubs lost behind him. In his three full
• 26:59
  Speaker 3: starts that he's He's gone at least five innings in
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: his last three outings, so I'm talking about those as
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: full starts. He's got nineteen strikeouts and only five walks
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: over that span, fourteen hits allowed in whatever that is,
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: eighteen innings, he's only allowed four earned runs. That's all
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: pretty good, and it was against Milwaukee and Pittsburgh. Those
• 27:19
  Speaker 3: are good offenses. He did well against Atlanta and a
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: shorter outing before that, and then he pitched well against
• 27:24
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis last time out as well. Not as good
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: of an offense, but he's facing some decent offenses. I
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: still don't think San Francisco is a good offense. They
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: only have sixteen at bats against Brown, only five of
• 27:36
  Speaker 3: their hitters have faced him. They have a two point
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: fifty average and six forty six ops against him. The
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: only extra base hit is a double from a Dames.
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: Six strikeouts, two walks, And yes, I know San Francisco
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: is a hot offense right now, but we're still gonna
• 27:51
  Speaker 3: fade it. And yes, they put up twelve against Milwaukee
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: in there to an eight also against Milwaukee. They got
• 27:57
  Speaker 3: shut down in one of these games against Milwaukee. One
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: of the games they just unloaded on Milwaukee's bullpen somehow
• 28:03
  Speaker 3: after Harrison shut them down. That was the loss we
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: had on the under and then they scored nothing against
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: I don't even remember who started this game from Milwaukee.
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: I might have it was a bullpen game. Actually it
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: was Gasser and Patrick in that game. Yeah, so I
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: still don't buy San Francisco's offense. I know, sometimes you
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: don't want to fade an offense that's tearing the cover
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: up the ball, like you want to wait for them
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: to fall out a form again. But I'm gonna do it. Anyway,
• 28:29
  Speaker 3: I think Brown can slow them down. I like Brown here.
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: What can Brown do for you? Cubs? Money line is
• 28:36
  Speaker 3: the play there? Garrett? What's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: I haven't been following the baseball whatever it is. Oh yeah,
• 28:46
  Speaker 3: just call to say I love you. Yeah, that's right.
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: I don't really remember how it starts. You're hot, all right?
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: Are you? Are you making like a ton of plays?
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: I'm way selective. Yeah, I mean I think Edward Cabrera
• 29:00
  Speaker 3: just I don't know if he's just not coming back
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: from injury. Well, I don't know what that was, Zach.
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: What's up the Royals? Yeah, they already talked about that game. Yeah,
• 29:10
  Speaker 3: they are not doing well and I don't think they're
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: gonna win this game either against Joe Rye and seems
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: like a huge mismatch Baltimore in Toronto. This is this
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: is an ugly game here, man. Now Toronto you would
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: think would be in a positive situation because they return
• 29:25
  Speaker 3: home from the road and they lost to Baltimore here
• 29:28
  Speaker 3: and it was a bit of a revenge spot. Well
• 29:31
  Speaker 3: not really, actually, it wasn't really a revenge spot. So
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: my mistake I was thinking Baltimore won that series but
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: it was a two to two series the last time
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: they played, but Toronto was in a return home spot.
• 29:41
  Speaker 3: Baltimore was another team that put up a ton of runs.
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: Yesterday they won thirteen to three against Toronto. And I
• 29:47
  Speaker 3: always talk about this when a team returns home from
• 29:49
  Speaker 3: the road, a lot of times they have that bad
• 29:53
  Speaker 3: game and then they'll do better in the next game
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: once they're settled at home and they get those distractions
• 29:57
  Speaker 3: out of the way. So Toronto's in a more positive
• 29:59
  Speaker 3: sp here could be embarrassed after yesterday bounce back spot.
• 30:03
  Speaker 3: Problem is they're going with a bullpen game here. So
• 30:06
  Speaker 3: is that really what you want with Toronto? I don't
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: really think so. This is a website, by the way,
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: is still not showing it. Oh they are now there
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: you go. Toronto used a few guys out of the
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: bullpen yesterday. They used more than Baltimore by a little bit.
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: Baltimore used a few as well. Baltimore has the lesser
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: bullpen though they're ranked nineteenth than bullpen. Toronto has been
• 30:26
  Speaker 3: okay at thirteenth, but the era is now four in
• 30:29
  Speaker 3: the bullpen. And like I said, Toronto's using a bullpen
• 30:32
  Speaker 3: game here, so their bullpen's gonna be in the game
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: basically for the whole game, so you have to take
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: that into account here, so that kind of negates the
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: bullpen edge they might have a little bit. Baltimore is
• 30:44
  Speaker 3: going with Kyle Bradish here though he's got a good
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: ERA three point four to four, but his whip is
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: indicating that there's something wrong here. One point four to
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: two whip is not good. He's been bad on the
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: road five point three to two road ERA, so you
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: might be able to Bradish here. He has had a
• 31:02
  Speaker 3: few good starts in a row here. Actually, most of
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: the month of May was pretty good for him here,
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: but his walk number wasn't really that good. He had
• 31:09
  Speaker 3: sixteen walks in thirty five and a third innings, only
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: allowed twenty five hits though, which is good, and had
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: thirty four strikeouts which is pretty good, and more ground
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: balls than fly balls, which was part of the reason
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: why you give up so few runs here. Two point
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: eight e RRA in May. But like I said, the
• 31:25
  Speaker 3: whip is telling you something. He's still walking a lot
• 31:28
  Speaker 3: of guys here. His strikeout rates good on the season,
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: his hit rate is pretty good as well. His walk
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: rate is a problem. It's too high. Does he do
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: well against Toronto though, the answer is he does mediocre
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: against them. In seventy five at bats, nine strikeouts, seven walks,
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: that's not very good two fifty three average seven to
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: seventeen ops. So I guess you can make the argument
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: he's a little bit on the better side of those numbers,
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: but he doesn't pitch well on the road. I think
• 31:56
  Speaker 3: he's not as good as his ra looks. I think
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: you could possibly fade him here, and then you got
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: Toronto with Braden Fisher making the opener here. They've use
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: him as an opener a lot already. He actually did
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: that two days ago, so you know you're probably getting
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: an inning out of him here. I would guess he's
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: been alright two point six two ERA point nine to
• 32:17
  Speaker 3: three whip, but you're only gonna get an inning out
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: of him, and then you're gonna get I'm pretty sure
• 32:21
  Speaker 3: Toronto's bullpen is just gonna pitch the whole game here.
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: So obviously I don't like that either. So I think
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: this game reads as an over to me that that
• 32:30
  Speaker 3: is the way that I would lean here. I don't
• 32:31
  Speaker 3: quite want to do that, but the totals at eight,
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: which is right there in no man's land. It's a
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: pretty reasonable total. Seems a little bit low to me really,
• 32:42
  Speaker 3: so over kind of makes sense to me. In that game,
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: I could see the pitching having some issues here. Baltimore
• 32:48
  Speaker 3: is getting the ticket. It's fifty eight fifty five percent
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: of the cash on Toronto though. Toronto's like almost a
• 32:55
  Speaker 3: small ish underdog here. It's like a pick them money
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: line here. Do you really want to back Toronto though?
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: With a bullpen game? And I know I said, the
• 33:03
  Speaker 3: situation does support it, like there's a situational advantage here
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: for Toronto bounce back a second game back home after
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: an ugly game one back home, But I still I
• 33:14
  Speaker 3: would not want to put my money on a bull
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: Like maybe I'm too old school. I can't put my
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: money on a bullpen game though, especially a Toronto team
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: that doesn't really do it as often as some other
• 33:24
  Speaker 3: teams do, like they're kind of being forced into it
• 33:26
  Speaker 3: because they have too many starting pitching injuries. One to
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: six a day, Yeah, I'm doing like usually like between
• 33:35
  Speaker 3: one and three a day this time of year. Yes,
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: thank you, yes. Like the video you're betting USC, Yeah,
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: UFC is not really on my radar, so I've been
• 33:48
  Speaker 3: saying maybe I should have like a guest on to
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: talk about UFC, but I don't know. It's a lot
• 33:53
  Speaker 3: to do, all right. White Sox and Philadelphia. Philadelphia won
• 33:57
  Speaker 3: the game yesterday eight to six, high scoring game, so
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: the White Sox that was kind of more their style
• 34:05
  Speaker 3: of game. The White Sox play high scoring games, Philadelphia
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: does not, so kind of surprising Philadelphia one, Like, if
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: you had told me that was gonna be a high
• 34:13
  Speaker 3: scoring game, I would have probably guessed that the White
• 34:16
  Speaker 3: Sox would have won. Philadelphia did use their closer deron.
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: They use three relief pitchers. They have the better bullpen,
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: though the White Sox did use five guys out of
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: the bullpen because they were kind of going with like
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: a pseudo bullpen game with Ca being their starter there.
• 34:32
  Speaker 3: The White Sox don't have a great bullpen middle of
• 34:35
  Speaker 3: the pack at sixteenth, but the ERA is not very good.
• 34:38
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia is a bit better at fourteenth, but the ERA
• 34:41
  Speaker 3: is almost half a run better, so Philadelphia better bullpen,
• 34:45
  Speaker 3: although they did use a couple of high leverage arms
• 34:48
  Speaker 3: yesterday to save the game. White Sox have the better offense.
• 34:51
  Speaker 3: Their rank sixth, Philadelphia twenty eighth, not doing well offensively.
• 34:56
  Speaker 3: This is this pitching matchup though, This is this is
• 35:00
  Speaker 3: not what you want. What you want unless you want
• 35:02
  Speaker 3: to see a lot of hitting. I think this might
• 35:04
  Speaker 3: be another high scoring game here. Man. The White Socks
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: are going with Brandon ice Serch I think as an
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: opener here. I don't know what the hell they're doing.
• 35:12
  Speaker 3: He's got a three point five to five yr one
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: point two six with but he's a relief pitcher and
• 35:17
  Speaker 3: he pitched literally yesterday, he pitched an inning, so you
• 35:21
  Speaker 3: know he's an opener. He's only going one inning here
• 35:23
  Speaker 3: and then I don't know what the White Sox are doing.
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: I don't know if they're going with a bullpen game here,
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: or if they're going with uh Sean Burke I think
• 35:32
  Speaker 3: would be the next guy up in their rotation here.
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: I don't know if it's gonna be him or not,
• 35:36
  Speaker 3: if they're putting an opener in front of him or not.
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: Burke is not injured, so they might be doing that.
• 35:41
  Speaker 3: I want to see if they did that. He pitched
• 35:43
  Speaker 3: on the thirty first of May. Let me see here
• 35:48
  Speaker 3: they did not put an opener in front of him.
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: Last time Ier did pitch in that game, but I
• 35:52
  Speaker 3: don't know if that really matters. So yeah, I don't
• 35:55
  Speaker 3: know what the White Sox are doing, dude. Like I'm
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: usually pretty good at figuring out like oh, they're putting
• 35:59
  Speaker 3: an o in front of this guy, or oh, this
• 36:01
  Speaker 3: is a bullpen game. I honestly don't know. I don't
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: really want to handicap Burke if it's not going to
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: be him here, so I'm kind of handicapping this is
• 36:10
  Speaker 3: a bullpen game, but it is kind of a mystery here.
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: I hate these openers, dude. I hate modern baseball because
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: a lot of times you have no idea what the
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: fuck this team is doing. And then Philadelphia is going
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: with Andrew Painter. He's young, he's a rookie, he is talented,
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: but he has not pitched well so far five point
• 36:26
  Speaker 3: seven to four ERA, one point five to two WHIP.
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: He's been a little bit better at home five point
• 36:32
  Speaker 3: oh four ERA, and he's not pitching well though his
• 36:35
  Speaker 3: last start was bad, but it was on the road
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: against the Dodgers, so you maybe give him a little
• 36:39
  Speaker 3: bit of a pass for that, but generally he is
• 36:41
  Speaker 3: not pitched well. Philadelphia has lost all but two of
• 36:44
  Speaker 3: his starts on the season. In however many starts this is,
• 36:48
  Speaker 3: I think it's ten starts. He's our average well over
• 36:52
  Speaker 3: one hit per inning allowed. His walk rate is okay,
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: and his strikeout rates a little bit low. So I
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: don't know. I don't love this. And Painter is unfamiliar
• 37:00
  Speaker 3: to the White Sox though, so he does have that
• 37:02
  Speaker 3: advantage where sometimes these pitchers will have the edge against
• 37:05
  Speaker 3: a team that hasn't faced them before. It's too bad
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: it's not Noah Schultz here, man, because you'd have two
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: really tall young pitchers going with Paynter is six seven
• 37:15
  Speaker 3: and Schultz is like six to ten, so having both
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: those guys pitching would be crazy. But Schultz is on
• 37:22
  Speaker 3: the DL so unfortunately, because I like him. But yeah,
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: I don't think Painter is gonna do well here, even
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: though you know, I know he's unfamiliar to the White Sox,
• 37:31
  Speaker 3: but he's struggled all year. He's been unfamiliar to these
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: offenses he's faced all year. It hasn't helped. This total
• 37:38
  Speaker 3: is really high for a Philly game. The totals at
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: ten here for a Philadelphia game, that is significantly high.
• 37:45
  Speaker 3: That's pretty significant man, the odds makers are kind of
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: telling you that they think this is gonna be a
• 37:50
  Speaker 3: slug fest, and I tend to agree. I think if
• 37:53
  Speaker 3: I was gonna play this game, i'd probably go over.
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: It's the numbers that high for a reason. That is
• 37:59
  Speaker 3: crazy high for a Philly game. But Philly's offense is capable,
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: even though they haven't been hitting well this year. Maybe
• 38:05
  Speaker 3: they'll get something going against probably a White Sox bullpend game.
• 38:09
  Speaker 3: The money is backing Painter in Philly here sixty four
• 38:13
  Speaker 3: percent of tickets on the White Sox. The White Sox
• 38:15
  Speaker 3: are still kind of a public camlodity here, sixty seven
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on Philly. Though. People might just
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: be looking at the eras of these listed starters and
• 38:26
  Speaker 3: whatever too, But at least Philly has like the actual
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: starter going from them, at the very least they're at
• 38:31
  Speaker 3: minus one thirty or so there if you do like Philly.
• 38:34
  Speaker 3: But I wouldn't want to try to pick a side
• 38:37
  Speaker 3: really in that game. I think it over makes the
• 38:38
  Speaker 3: most sense. In that game. You can help me out.
• 38:43
  Speaker 3: Maybe I don't know. I it's just a lot of
• 38:45
  Speaker 3: a lot more time that I have to add. If
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna do something with UFC, Bonfinn and Mohammed? Is
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: is that the is that the like the main event?
• 38:57
  Speaker 3: I have no idea. I don't I don't even really
• 38:59
  Speaker 3: know who these guys are. I'm gonna look it up
• 39:02
  Speaker 3: real quick, though, why not Bondfim and Mohammed? Me See,
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: the odds are close. Mohammed is a small favorite here.
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean sometimes I have a read on,
• 39:14
  Speaker 3: like who's public and who isn't, But yeah, I have
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: no real read on that. It's supposed to be a
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: close fight though according to the odds. All right. Uh.
• 39:23
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh and Atlanta interesting series. Atlanta got the win in
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: the first game yesterday, six to three, after Atlanta lost
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: with Chris Sale on the mound in the game before that,
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: which I think was a fluke though I don't think
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: there's anything wrong with Sale. Pittsburgh actually, and Pittsburgh is
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: a good offense, dude, believe it or not. Atlanta used
• 39:42
  Speaker 3: a lot of relief pitchers. Finally, this website fixed itself.
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: So Atlanta used five relief pitchers yesterday. They're a good bullpen,
• 39:49
  Speaker 3: but that's not great that they used a lot of
• 39:51
  Speaker 3: guys yesterday. Pittsburgh only used three. Atlanta does have the
• 39:55
  Speaker 3: better bullpen, though they're number one in bullpen whip, they're
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: not number one in er. They are number two behind
• 40:02
  Speaker 3: the Boston Red Sox. The one good thing about the
• 40:05
  Speaker 3: Red Sox the bullpen, and actually they're starting pitching pretty good.
• 40:12
  Speaker 3: Their hitting is just sucked anyway. Pittsburgh does not have
• 40:16
  Speaker 3: that good of a bullpen. They are eighteenth here, so
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: Atlanta Mays still have a bullpen edge even though they're
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: less rested, but that doesn't negate their bullpen edge a
• 40:24
  Speaker 3: little bit. Atlanta's number three in offense, Pittsburgh five, so
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: both offense is very capable. My first look at this,
• 40:32
  Speaker 3: I was thinking, this looks like an under To me,
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: this looks like a good starting pitching matchup, and a
• 40:37
  Speaker 3: lot of people have no idea who Braxton Ashcraft is.
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: So I think you get maybe a little bit more
• 40:42
  Speaker 3: value on him. People are gonna see his era is
• 40:45
  Speaker 3: good two point seven to seven. His whip is also
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: good one point oh three. But I think people don't
• 40:50
  Speaker 3: realize how good he actually is. He's like really starting
• 40:54
  Speaker 3: to perform well here, man, it's a twenty six year OWLD.
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: He's been really good on the road to one point
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: nine to seven, which might bode even better against Atlanta
• 41:04
  Speaker 3: because Atlanta has not hit that well at home this
• 41:06
  Speaker 3: year compared to what they do on the road. Ashcraft
• 41:09
  Speaker 3: was really good in the month of May, over one
• 41:12
  Speaker 3: strike up per inning, had a forty two to five
• 41:14
  Speaker 3: strikeout walk ratio. Pittsburgh won five of his six outings.
• 41:19
  Speaker 3: He had thirty three hits all out of forty to
• 41:20
  Speaker 3: two thirds innings and allowed more than two hourn runs
• 41:24
  Speaker 3: only once and allowed more than one ar and run
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: only twice during the month. Overall in the season, really high. Yeah,
• 41:31
  Speaker 3: pretty high strike out rate at least a pretty low
• 41:33
  Speaker 3: walk rate, low hit rate as well. He's excellent and
• 41:37
  Speaker 3: he's an excellent forum right now. Man. Ashcraft is really good.
• 41:40
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh has a pretty good starting rotation here all of
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: a sudden. Ashcraft also is pretty much unfamiliar to the Braves.
• 41:48
  Speaker 3: Only Dominic Smith has ever faced him off, and he's
• 41:50
  Speaker 3: won for two often with a single no walks, no strikeouts,
• 41:54
  Speaker 3: So do what you want with that, but I would
• 41:56
  Speaker 3: say he's another picture was unfamiliar to the opposing line
• 42:00
  Speaker 3: and that should help him even more because they haven't
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: faced him before. Atlanta's going with Spencer Strider. He's pitching
• 42:07
  Speaker 3: decent here three point seven to seventy ra one point
• 42:10
  Speaker 3: twenty six whip. You'd kind of like to see that
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: be a little bit better. Strider, I mean, he just
• 42:15
  Speaker 3: walks too many guys, Like he's really difficult to hit,
• 42:18
  Speaker 3: but he walks too many guys and he is. You know,
• 42:22
  Speaker 3: his career has been kind of injury plagued. If you
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: look at what he's done so far, He's made six
• 42:27
  Speaker 3: starts so far, Atlanta's won five of them. He's gone
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: thirty one innings so far, twenty two hits a lot,
• 42:33
  Speaker 3: that's good. Seventeen walks is not good, multiple walks in
• 42:37
  Speaker 3: every single start, and forty strikeouts is obviously really good.
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: But the good thing about that is that tells you
• 42:43
  Speaker 3: his strikeouts stuff is still there because his strikeout rate
• 42:46
  Speaker 3: is quite high. But he's wild man. He's walking too
• 42:49
  Speaker 3: many guys. That has kind of been the case throughout
• 42:51
  Speaker 3: his career. But he does kind of look like he's
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: somewhat back to his usual self. Against Pittsburgh, his numbers
• 42:58
  Speaker 3: are not amazing but not horrible. In thirty three at
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: bats to seventy three average allowed is a little bit high.
• 43:05
  Speaker 3: Seven thirty nine ops is just on that correct side
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: of the seven fifty, but he's kind of average against Pittsburgh.
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: Ten strikeouts, two walks. So I first looked at this,
• 43:16
  Speaker 3: I was thinking an over, or excuse me, I was
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: thinking an under, excuse me under. I do still kind
• 43:22
  Speaker 3: of like the under in this game. I would probably
• 43:25
  Speaker 3: leave the bullpens out, though, because Atlanta used so many
• 43:27
  Speaker 3: of the relief pitchers and I don't trust Pittsburgh's bullpen,
• 43:30
  Speaker 3: so a first five under makes some sense. The total
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: is at eight here. It looks like it's falling towards
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: seven and a half though, So money seems like it
• 43:39
  Speaker 3: has come in pretty strongly on the under in this game.
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: Ninety one percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: cash on the under first five. You might be able
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: to find a four out there. That's probably what I
• 43:50
  Speaker 3: would do, is first five under four. The money is
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: backing Atlanta here. They're a very small favorite around minus
• 43:57
  Speaker 3: one point fifteen seventy six percent of tickets. Some of
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: the cash on Atlanta, I actually don't agree. I would
• 44:03
  Speaker 3: lean towards Pittsburgh at least maybe just with the starting pitching,
• 44:08
  Speaker 3: although again the Bullpens I think are a little bit
• 44:10
  Speaker 3: closer just because of the usage. But I think Pittsburgh
• 44:13
  Speaker 3: first five makes some sense. Like the price just looks
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: way too easy to take Atlanta, dude, Like everybody knows
• 44:19
  Speaker 3: how good Atlanta is. The record's really good. People know
• 44:22
  Speaker 3: who Strider is. They don't know who Ashcraft is. But
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: I just showed you Ashcraft, dude. His numbers this season
• 44:28
  Speaker 3: are better than Stride or as Andy has better matchup
• 44:30
  Speaker 3: numbers here. So I think Pittsburgh, you could definitely make
• 44:33
  Speaker 3: the argument they have a starting pitching advantage here. Yeah,
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: I think Pittsburgh first five makes some sense to me.
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: In that game, I think Ashcraft is still under the radar,
• 44:42
  Speaker 3: so we will say, not gonna make that game of
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: play if I was gonna make that, But I was
• 44:47
  Speaker 3: considering an under for a play in that game. But
• 44:50
  Speaker 3: you know, I mean just I'm kind of kept off
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: of it just because Strider and his numbers just worrying
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: me a little bit. Also, we know these offenses can hit,
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: so that does worry me a bit too. But first
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: five under, I still think it is probably the best
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: way to play that. But yeah, I would slightly leant
• 45:05
  Speaker 3: to Pittsburgh first five money line as well. Tampa at Miami.
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: Miami returned home from the road and they had a
• 45:12
  Speaker 3: bad game. They got shut out yesterday six to nothing.
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: And you know, I talk about it, when a team
• 45:16
  Speaker 3: returns home from the road, it could be a bad spot.
• 45:19
  Speaker 3: They have to get back to home life. A lot
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: of times, if they have an ugly game, they'll bounce
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: back in the next game. So Miami is in a
• 45:25
  Speaker 3: bounce back spot here potentially, And when teams get shut
• 45:29
  Speaker 3: out at home, a lot of times they will bounce back.
• 45:31
  Speaker 3: Miami did lose a three game win streak though, so
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: sometimes losing a win streak will hang you over. But
• 45:36
  Speaker 3: a three game win streak, which was all in one series,
• 45:39
  Speaker 3: it's not a long win streak, so I'm not too
• 45:41
  Speaker 3: concerned about that. As far as how these teams set
• 45:45
  Speaker 3: up here, Miami has the better of the two bullpens.
• 45:48
  Speaker 3: The only these two guys out of their boltpen yesterday.
• 45:50
  Speaker 3: It looks like Tampa Bay also on the use two.
• 45:53
  Speaker 3: Miami's got a pretty good bullpen though their ranked fifth
• 45:56
  Speaker 3: year still, though the era is a little bit worse
• 45:58
  Speaker 3: than that, not as bad Tampa's. Though, Tampa's ray is
• 46:01
  Speaker 3: like a run higher and they're ranked seventeenth, So Miami
• 46:05
  Speaker 3: has the better bullpen here, Tampa has the better offense.
• 46:08
  Speaker 3: They're ranked nine, Miami is twenty three. But this is
• 46:12
  Speaker 3: a starting pitching mismatch in favor of Tampa. Dude, that's
• 46:15
  Speaker 3: the problem because you're looking at Miami. It's like, well,
• 46:18
  Speaker 3: if Miami had a decent starter on the mound here,
• 46:21
  Speaker 3: plus the fact that they're in a positive situation historically
• 46:24
  Speaker 3: and they have the better bullpen, it seems like you
• 46:27
  Speaker 3: might be able to make a play on Miami here.
• 46:28
  Speaker 3: But I can't do that with the fact they're going
• 46:30
  Speaker 3: with another bullpend game here and they're having to go
• 46:33
  Speaker 3: up against Shane McClanahan, who is a good starting pitcher
• 46:37
  Speaker 3: for the Rays here. Drew Rasmussen also bounced back well
• 46:41
  Speaker 3: for the Rays yesterday, so Rasmussen and McClanahan are their
• 46:45
  Speaker 3: two best starters here. Mcclanahan's got a two point four
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: to five ERA one point oh two whip. He's looking
• 46:51
  Speaker 3: good after missing like an over an entire season with
• 46:54
  Speaker 3: an injury. He looks like he's coming back to maybe
• 46:57
  Speaker 3: what he once was his ERA on the road is
• 46:59
  Speaker 3: a little bit worse two point nine to six, but
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: that's still good. Tampa has won most of his starts
• 47:05
  Speaker 3: this season. Let me see here, they've one whatever. This
• 47:10
  Speaker 3: is eight of his last ten starts, I think is
• 47:12
  Speaker 3: what that is. He's a lot more than twouring runs
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: only twice this season. He allowed more than one or
• 47:19
  Speaker 3: and run only once in the month of May, although
• 47:21
  Speaker 3: he faced some weak offenses in there too. But he
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: had a really good month of May. His numbers on
• 47:26
  Speaker 3: the season are really good. Low hit rate, pretty low
• 47:30
  Speaker 3: walk rate. His strikeout rates not really that high. But
• 47:33
  Speaker 3: you can't win them all. Man. He's a solid pitcher,
• 47:36
  Speaker 3: though Miami basically has never seen him before. Only Morell
• 47:40
  Speaker 3: or Moral, I don't know. I he pronounced his name, Immoral, No,
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: Christopher Morell whatever. He's zero for two against him of
• 47:46
  Speaker 3: a strikeout. Nobody else on Miami has ever faced him,
• 47:49
  Speaker 3: So McClanahan has an unfamiliarity edge here as well. So
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: I would have to lean towards McClanahan pitching well here
• 47:57
  Speaker 3: against a weak offense that hasn't seen him before. He
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: in good form right now, good numbers, and it's a
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: pitcher friendly ballpark Lake Bashah, ridiculous name pitching from Miami.
• 48:07
  Speaker 3: He's got solid hair though, man, that's one thing you
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: got to give him. But this is a bullpen game
• 48:12
  Speaker 3: from Miami. He made an opener appearance not too long ago.
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: He's got a three point four to five ERA point
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: nine to six whip. Those are good numbers, most of
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: it out of the bullpen one point eight to eight
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: Homie ra So he is good at home. But again,
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: I think the only start that he made was this
• 48:30
  Speaker 3: last time out against Washington four days ago, and he
• 48:33
  Speaker 3: went two and two thirds. He no hit them through
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: that span, so he did pitch well. But it's gonna
• 48:40
  Speaker 3: be him and then a Miami bullpen game, and Miami
• 48:43
  Speaker 3: is good in the bullpen. Bashar. By the way, he
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: has not done well against Tampa, for what that's worth.
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: They're five for ten off in lifetime with a couple
• 48:52
  Speaker 3: of doubles, two walks to two strikeouts. I can't I
• 48:56
  Speaker 3: just can't trust the Miami bullpen game, dude, because usually
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: when you have a bullpen game, some of your lesser
• 49:01
  Speaker 3: relievers come in, like you kind of have to go
• 49:02
  Speaker 3: with like a long relief type of pitcher coming in
• 49:07
  Speaker 3: there after you're an opener. So I don't like that
• 49:11
  Speaker 3: the money is coming in towards Miami, though Tampa Bay
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: is around minus one forty here as a favorite, eighty
• 49:16
  Speaker 3: three percent of the ticket's only seventy four percent of
• 49:19
  Speaker 3: the cash on Tampa Bay, so the money is actually
• 49:21
  Speaker 3: indicating on Miami here and playing the situation. Plus, I
• 49:26
  Speaker 3: think the professionals are kind of saying that, well, Tampa's
• 49:29
  Speaker 3: a little bit overrated here, like they're not as good
• 49:31
  Speaker 3: as the record looks. Maybe they just shouldn't be favored
• 49:34
  Speaker 3: like this on the road. But I don't know. Man
• 49:36
  Speaker 3: McClanahan seems to have a pretty big edge against the
• 49:38
  Speaker 3: Miami bullpen game. To me, I think I would slightly
• 49:42
  Speaker 3: lean towards Tampa Bay in that game. First five actually
• 49:46
  Speaker 3: no full game, I guess, because I don't know. Even
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: though Miami has a better bullpen, if they're bullpending for
• 49:51
  Speaker 3: the whole game, that kind of just negates that. So yeah,
• 49:54
  Speaker 3: I don't want to do anything with that game. Though
• 49:57
  Speaker 3: he looks like a hippie, his name is a geographic formation,
• 50:03
  Speaker 3: all right, A's in Houston in this divisional game here.
• 50:07
  Speaker 3: Houston won yesterday five to one, Houston got a good
• 50:10
  Speaker 3: pitching performance. What I think that was another correct lean
• 50:13
  Speaker 3: for me yesterday. Right, that was Peter Lambert going right.
• 50:16
  Speaker 3: I think I said Houston first five in that game.
• 50:18
  Speaker 3: I think I was correct in that game too. I
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: was they were right out of the gate, they were winning.
• 50:24
  Speaker 3: Lambert looks like he was good in the game. So
• 50:26
  Speaker 3: he walked too many guys though, But there you go.
• 50:28
  Speaker 3: I was correct about that game too. Leaving money on
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: the table, I guess. But I'm trying to be really selective.
• 50:35
  Speaker 3: This is a game that's gonna be a little bit
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: difficult to handicap, though not Atlanta hang on. The A's
• 50:41
  Speaker 3: used one guy out of the bullpen yesterday, So the
• 50:44
  Speaker 3: A's they don't have a good bullpen, but I think
• 50:46
  Speaker 3: they're better than Houston, and they're more rested here. Houston
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: used three guys out of the bullpen yesterday. Houston, there's
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: still one of the worst bullpens, even though they've improved
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: a little bit. They're tied for the worst RA with
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: am Him. Houston is twenty fifth and bullpen whip still
• 51:04
  Speaker 3: not good. The A's are a little bit better at
• 51:07
  Speaker 3: twenty second. Still not great, but they do have a
• 51:10
  Speaker 3: bullpen edge against Houston. Houston's number seven in offense. The
• 51:14
  Speaker 3: A's are number twelve right now, as have fallen off
• 51:17
  Speaker 3: a little bit. The A's are going with Cade Morris
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: making his major league debut here. So I was thinking, Oh,
• 51:24
  Speaker 3: that must mean he's like a he's good, right, Like
• 51:26
  Speaker 3: he's a highly touted prospect. I mean he he kind
• 51:31
  Speaker 3: of is. He's twenty three years old. I think he's
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: considered to be a pretty good prospect for the A's.
• 51:36
  Speaker 3: But I went and I looked at his numbers and
• 51:37
  Speaker 3: I was not impressed. He's pitching a Triple A this season,
• 51:42
  Speaker 3: for the whole season so far, and his numbers are
• 51:45
  Speaker 3: not good in Triple A, like is eras in the fours.
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: His whip is like one and a half. His strikeout
• 51:51
  Speaker 3: rate is low, his walk rate is high. So I'm like,
• 51:55
  Speaker 3: what is there to like here? Like, usually when you
• 51:56
  Speaker 3: see a highly touted prospect and oh, his whip is high, okay, whatever,
• 52:00
  Speaker 3: Usually that means his walk rate is really high, but
• 52:02
  Speaker 3: his strike cut rate is high. No, his strike cut
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: rate is also low. I don't know, I don't get it.
• 52:07
  Speaker 3: He seems like he might profile is kind of a
• 52:09
  Speaker 3: ground ball pitcher. He does throw mid to upper nineties fastball.
• 52:14
  Speaker 3: He does have a deep pitch mix. He throws a
• 52:17
  Speaker 3: sinker that gets a lot of ground balls. Apparently, he
• 52:20
  Speaker 3: has a sweeper and a slider, and he throws a
• 52:23
  Speaker 3: curve and a change. So he does have like a
• 52:25
  Speaker 3: major league arsenal. As far as like how deep his
• 52:28
  Speaker 3: pitch mix is, I don't think I could trust him,
• 52:31
  Speaker 3: though I know he's like a decent prospect in his
• 52:34
  Speaker 3: major league debut. Obviously, Houston has never faced him before
• 52:38
  Speaker 3: at the major league level, so that could give him
• 52:40
  Speaker 3: a little bit of an edge. But I'm gonna sit
• 52:42
  Speaker 3: on the sidelines for this one man because his numbers
• 52:45
  Speaker 3: at Triple A are unimpressive, and that's not a great
• 52:47
  Speaker 3: sign going up against a good offense here. So I
• 52:50
  Speaker 3: worry about that a lot of times. You know me,
• 52:51
  Speaker 3: I like to go I like to jump on these
• 52:55
  Speaker 3: pitchers making their major league debuts if they're good enough.
• 52:59
  Speaker 3: But yeah, in this case, I would be worried about it.
• 53:02
  Speaker 3: Houston is going with Tatsuya Emi, who has not had
• 53:06
  Speaker 3: a good season in his first season in the majors.
• 53:09
  Speaker 3: Five point five two ERA, one point three six whip
• 53:12
  Speaker 3: not good numbers. Like I said, he was pitching in
• 53:14
  Speaker 3: Japan until this year, and I guess he's considered to
• 53:17
  Speaker 3: be an extremely cocky pitcher who is overly confident. I
• 53:25
  Speaker 3: guess that's that's what the word on the street is.
• 53:29
  Speaker 3: He's been awful at home this year eight point five
• 53:31
  Speaker 3: to three home hee ra, so that's not good. He
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: did pitch well in his last two outings, though, he
• 53:36
  Speaker 3: no hit Texas through six innings and then followed it
• 53:39
  Speaker 3: up with a decent outing against Milwaukee. Milwaukee has a
• 53:43
  Speaker 3: decent offense, even though they don't hit for power. But overall,
• 53:46
  Speaker 3: I still don't trust this guy. His strikeout walk ratio
• 53:51
  Speaker 3: is ridiculously bad, twenty eight to twenty on the season,
• 53:54
  Speaker 3: way too many walks, almost one walk and inning. His
• 53:58
  Speaker 3: hit rate is pretty good, though he's not that hittable.
• 54:00
  Speaker 3: He's allowed well below one hit per inning and his
• 54:02
  Speaker 3: strike gout rate is fine. So really his problem is
• 54:05
  Speaker 3: the walks, as it is with a lot of pitchers here.
• 54:08
  Speaker 3: He's got to somehow get that under control. Emi, by
• 54:12
  Speaker 3: the way, has this like really he's kind of a
• 54:14
  Speaker 3: small guy and he has this really weird jerky motion
• 54:17
  Speaker 3: like Tim linsicam So the other worry about him is
• 54:20
  Speaker 3: that he's just gonna destroy his own back or whatever,
• 54:23
  Speaker 3: like Lynsicum did. So. I don't know, man. His numbers
• 54:26
  Speaker 3: against the A's are pretty good. They have thirteen at
• 54:29
  Speaker 3: bats against him, It's not a big sample. Six of
• 54:31
  Speaker 3: their hitters have faced him. They only have one hit
• 54:34
  Speaker 3: off him, a single from our our favorite guy, Nick Kurtz.
• 54:39
  Speaker 3: They also have nine strikeouts and three walks against him,
• 54:42
  Speaker 3: an seventy seven average three twenty seven ops. So Emi
• 54:46
  Speaker 3: might be able to pitch well, dude. It's possible both
• 54:49
  Speaker 3: pitchers pitch well here, but it's also possible they both
• 54:52
  Speaker 3: pitch poorly here. And we got two bad bullpens and
• 54:55
  Speaker 3: the totals high. The totals at nine and a half here,
• 54:58
  Speaker 3: So the oddsmakers are telling you that they do not
• 55:02
  Speaker 3: think this is going to be a particularly low scoring
• 55:03
  Speaker 3: game here, totals nine or nine and a half here.
• 55:08
  Speaker 3: I don't think I would want to go with the total.
• 55:10
  Speaker 3: I don't think I want to do anything with this game.
• 55:12
  Speaker 3: And this game is just so unpredictable. We don't see
• 55:15
  Speaker 3: the percentages on the total. On the money line, we
• 55:18
  Speaker 3: have eighty six percent of tickets, ninety two percent of
• 55:20
  Speaker 3: the cash on Houston. Houston's around minus one fifteen or
• 55:25
  Speaker 3: so here on the money line, so they're a small
• 55:27
  Speaker 3: favorite here. They're public, but they're getting a little bit
• 55:30
  Speaker 3: of the money as well. I have no idea what
• 55:33
  Speaker 3: to do with this game, dude. This is a game
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: that's just a complete pass for me. I think it's
• 55:37
  Speaker 3: extremely unpredictable. I could see both starting pitchers doing well.
• 55:41
  Speaker 3: I don't like either bullpen. I could see either or
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: both starting pitchers struggling too. So I think there's massive
• 55:47
  Speaker 3: variance in that game in my opinion. Big way, who's
• 55:52
  Speaker 3: big Amish is? That's a that's somebody's nickname, right, somebody
• 55:57
  Speaker 3: that has an amish beard. I don't I forget. I
• 55:59
  Speaker 3: don't remember any thing anymore. My memory used to be good,
• 56:02
  Speaker 3: but then I stroked out Washington at Arizona. I was
• 56:06
  Speaker 3: correct about that game. That was the first game that
• 56:08
  Speaker 3: I left off my card yesterday was Washington first five.
• 56:12
  Speaker 3: I thought it was a letdown spot for Arizona, but
• 56:14
  Speaker 3: I didn't like Washington traveling cross country. But Arizona got
• 56:18
  Speaker 3: caught in the let down after that win over the Dodgers,
• 56:21
  Speaker 3: Foster pitched. Foster Griffin, excuse me, pitched pretty well in
• 56:24
  Speaker 3: the game, outpitched whoever the hell Arizona had pitching yesterday.
• 56:28
  Speaker 3: I don't remember who it was, Oh Merril Kelly unfortunately
• 56:32
  Speaker 3: for him. Oh yeah, that's right. Yeah, Kurts is big
• 56:35
  Speaker 3: ah my shit, that's right. How did I forget his
• 56:37
  Speaker 3: I don't remember anybody's nickname anymore. Yeah, he needed to
• 56:42
  Speaker 3: have some nicknames so that broadcasters don't screw up when
• 56:46
  Speaker 3: they say his name. But yes, I was correct about
• 56:48
  Speaker 3: Washington first five yesterday. They won the game fourteen to
• 56:51
  Speaker 3: one as well, so another lopsided victory for a road team. Yesterday.
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: We had Washington, Baltimore, and San Francisco all put up
• 57:01
  Speaker 3: ridiculous lopsided road wins yesterday, so I'd be kind of
• 57:06
  Speaker 3: looking somewhat to fade all three of those teams. Although again,
• 57:10
  Speaker 3: like I said, I don't want Toronto's bullpen game the
• 57:14
  Speaker 3: other game, I did actually give out a play on
• 57:16
  Speaker 3: the cobs this game. I'm gonna sit it out. But
• 57:19
  Speaker 3: there's definitely an argument for Arizona here, and I think
• 57:22
  Speaker 3: they probably do have the better starting pitcher on the
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: mound here too, and the better bullpen. Arizona used two
• 57:28
  Speaker 3: guys out of the bullpen yesterday. Washington, we know their
• 57:31
  Speaker 3: bullpen's not that good. They used two guys out of
• 57:33
  Speaker 3: their bullpen as well. It was a blowout game, so
• 57:36
  Speaker 3: none of the better relievers got into that game yesterday,
• 57:39
  Speaker 3: so it's kind of a straight bullpen handicap. Washington's a
• 57:42
  Speaker 3: bad bullpen though, the ranked twenty third. Arizona is ranked eighth,
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: so Arizona does have the better bullpen. Hitting wise, Washington
• 57:50
  Speaker 3: has been good basically all season, the ranked fourth, and
• 57:52
  Speaker 3: they hit better on the road, so that is somebody
• 57:55
  Speaker 3: to keep in mind. As far as the hitting for Arizona,
• 57:59
  Speaker 3: they're twenty five right now, which is not great. This
• 58:02
  Speaker 3: is a hitter friendly ballpark though. In Arizona. Washington is
• 58:05
  Speaker 3: going with Zach Lttel not having a good season five
• 58:09
  Speaker 3: point zero one ERA, one point three to seven whip.
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: He's been a little bit better on the road, but
• 58:14
  Speaker 3: pretty insignificant. Four point seven to four I think is
• 58:17
  Speaker 3: what that was. Roady Ray, Yep, he did pitch better
• 58:21
  Speaker 3: in May, though he allowed two or fewer in runs
• 58:24
  Speaker 3: in every outing in May, and his team won all
• 58:27
  Speaker 3: but one of them. Believe it or not, but he
• 58:29
  Speaker 3: faced a lot of weak offenses in there, Miami, which
• 58:32
  Speaker 3: was the one game where he didn't do well, Mets Cleveland,
• 58:35
  Speaker 3: San Diego. So I'm not too impressed by this, And
• 58:39
  Speaker 3: I mean, he was okay during the month though, twenty
• 58:42
  Speaker 3: three hits allowed in thirty to two thirds innings, eight walks.
• 58:45
  Speaker 3: He was not putting a lot of guys on base.
• 58:47
  Speaker 3: His strikeout ray wasn't high nineteen, but he definitely improved
• 58:50
  Speaker 3: off of a horrible April. He was a lot better
• 58:54
  Speaker 3: in May, so you got to give him that. His
• 58:55
  Speaker 3: overall number is still bad more than one hit per inning,
• 58:58
  Speaker 3: a ton of home runs allowed fifteen home runs a lot,
• 59:01
  Speaker 3: but he knocked that number way down only a lot
• 59:04
  Speaker 3: two in the month of May. But this is a
• 59:06
  Speaker 3: home run conduce a ballpark, man. He's an extreme fly
• 59:09
  Speaker 3: ball pitcher, so that does not bode particularly well for
• 59:13
  Speaker 3: him here. A lot of the starts in May were
• 59:15
  Speaker 3: at home for him. One of the bad ones was
• 59:18
  Speaker 3: on the road at Miami, and that's not a pitch.
• 59:20
  Speaker 3: That's not a hit or friendly ballpark. So he may
• 59:23
  Speaker 3: not do well here in a home run conduce a
• 59:25
  Speaker 3: ballpark because he's a fly ball pitcher who allows way
• 59:28
  Speaker 3: too many homers. He also has a really low strikeout
• 59:31
  Speaker 3: rate this season, which is bad. His walk rate is
• 59:34
  Speaker 3: kind of mediocre against Arizona. He does not have good
• 59:37
  Speaker 3: numbers forty one at bats, three seventeen average allowed, nine
• 59:41
  Speaker 3: eighty eight OPS seven to four strikeout walk ratio. So
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: even though he's in good form right now, and I
• 59:48
  Speaker 3: don't necessarily want to jump in front of a team
• 59:50
  Speaker 3: who's in good jump in front of a pitcher who
• 59:52
  Speaker 3: was in good form, I think he's gonna do poorly here.
• 59:56
  Speaker 3: I mean, I just told you, and you know I'm
• 59:57
  Speaker 3: not sold on him because those starts are against bad offenses.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 3: This does not look like a good pitching environment or
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 3: matchup for him. So I think Lutel might give it
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 3: up in this game. At Eduardo Rodriguez is pitching for
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 3: the Diamondbacks. He's had a good season two point two
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 3: four ERA, one point one to nine whip, even though,
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 3: as I always point out, he's thirty three now, he's
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 3: multiple injuries into his career. His strikeout stuff is just gone,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 3: but he is learning to pitch with those limitations, and
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 3: he is pitching well this year He's been really good
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 3: at home too, one point three to four homey Ra
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 3: pitched well against the Dodgers last time out, even though
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 3: again not a lot of strikeouts, but he's been better
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 3: than Lattel over the last month. He had a good
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 3: May as well, with more walks than the Tel but
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 3: also more strikeouts, few hits as well, So he's pitching well.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 3: He's continuing to do so into June. Numbers on the
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 3: season good hit rate, it's low, walk rate's a little
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 3: bit high. Strikeout rate is a bit low, but that's
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 3: just what you're gonna get out of him. At this point.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 3: He is pitching pretty effectively though. Numbers against Washington are
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 3: pretty good. In fifteen at bats, two hundred batting average,
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 3: a loot five seventeen ops, five to one strikeout walk ratium.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 3: You know this is close to being a play for me,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 3: because you got Arizona probably in an embarrassed spot after yesterday,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 3: after getting crushed yesterday. They're probably the better team. They
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 3: have the better starting pitcher here, who's in the better form.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 3: I think, even though Hotel's in somewhat good form right now,
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 3: you know it's still not really buying it. You got
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 3: the better Home Roads split with e Rod here at
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 3: Home only fifteen at bats over Washington against him, but
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 3: again he's pitched well against him. They only have one
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 3: xtra race hit from James Wood, who I just saw
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 3: recently because I rewatched Casino. James Woods is the the
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 3: pimp in that casinoo. If you guys remember that he's
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 3: Sharon Stones pimp. He's that you know, scummy slimy dude
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 3: in the movie. He he's he's good at playing slimy characters. Man.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 3: And uh, he's definitely a I don't know if I
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 3: could say on this channel without getting it nuked, but
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 3: you know he's he's like a he's like a Neocon basically,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 3: which is not good, uh politically anyway, James Wood, who
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 3: is not James Woods one for two of the double.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 3: I know I'm rambling a little bit here, but yes,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 3: I like Arizona in this game. It's a bounce back
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 3: spot for them. There's a reason why they're favored like this.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 3: I think fading Lattel makes sense to me here. He's
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 3: not good. Uh. The money is all coming in on
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 3: Washington though. I'm gonna stay away from the game, I guess,
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 3: But that worries me. Arizona's got sixty two percent of
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 3: the tickets, sixty eight percent of the cash on Washington.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 3: Washington does hit well on the road, though, I'll give
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 3: them that. The total is pretty high here at nine
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 3: to nine and a half, which seems a little bit
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 3: high given that one of these two starring pitchers at
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 3: least is you know, I think decent, and both pictures
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 3: are in D form here, but I don't know. Oddsmakers
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 3: obviously know what they're doing. Arizona's around the minus one
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 3: sixty favorites. If you do go with Arizona, I would
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 3: make it a split bet run line, money line and
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 3: get the price down a little bit so it'll push
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 3: if they win by one. But I like Arizona in
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 3: that game. All right, I'm gonna be right back. Then
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 3: we'll do Red Sox Yankees, and then the rest of
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 3: these games here. I'll be right back. A neo con artists.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 3: They're all con artists. That's good. Actually, maybe I should
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 3: should I can I tweet that? Am I allowed to?
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I gotta find some way of me
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 3: of phrasing a tweet involving that joke. All Right, I'll
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 3: be right back and then finish this off, and then
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 3: we do have four w NBA games and the hockey game.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 3: I'll be right back, all right, Yes, get back on Twitter.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 3: You're missing out on what I'm doing on there, the
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 3: rambling and occasional lore. All right, Yeah, sometimes I throw
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 3: that in. It has to be. I don't know. If
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 3: my train of thought goes that way, that's what happens.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 3: I haven't done any of the drops recently, but I
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 3: don't know. I haven't really found a spot to do it.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 3: Red Sox Yankees. The Red Sox did get the win yesterday.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 3: I slightly leaned that way, so they did get it done,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 3: five to three, Red Sox one. I don't know if
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 3: this is a bounce back spot necessarily. I think both
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 3: teams are motivated here. I mean it's a rivalry game.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 3: You know. The Red Sox did get swept back in Fenway,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 3: so I think they're gonna try to do that to
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 3: the Yankees here on the road. Yankees. I used two
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 3: relief pitchers yesterday the Red Sox also Red Sox used three.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 3: Excuse me, they did use Chapman. But Chapman I had
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 3: him pitched for like probably a week and a half.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 3: I think something like that, so they might even use
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 3: them again here if they have a safe situation. I
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 3: don't know. Red Sox bullpen is the better of the two.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 3: That's the one advantage they have here is they're number
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 3: one in bullpen are right now. The era is below
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 3: three right now. Probably won't last, but they're a solid bullpen.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 3: They ranked three right now in Whip. Yankees not bad
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 3: eleventh in bullpen. They have an okay bullpen. Red Sox
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 3: a bit better though Yankees have a big offensive edge.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 3: They're number two. They're also the number one home offense
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 3: Red Sox number twenty two. They've been getting a little
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 3: bit better on that side though. The offense. Red Sox
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 3: are going with ron your Suarez in this game. He's
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 3: been alright, another decent offseason move when they got him
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 3: three point three eighty one point one six Whip. Those
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 3: are pretty good numbers, a little bit better on the
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 3: road to two point nine to three roadra but this
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 3: is gonna be a difficult task going to a hit
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 3: or friendly environment against one of the best offenses. Suarez.
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 3: I mean, he's not going deep into these outings though,
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 3: so that does concern me. He's allowing few runs for
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 3: the most part, He's not going deep in His last
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 3: couple of outings against Atlanta and Cleveland were not really
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 3: that good, although the Red Socks won the game. Against Cleveland.
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 3: He had ten strikeouts in that game. But he has
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 3: some issues here. He gave up nine runs across ten
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 3: innings in those two starts and fourteen hits, so there's
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 3: something not right here, and he had five walks to Overall,
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 3: those numbers are all right. He's almost at one strike
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 3: up er inning, not a huge strike up pitchers, walk
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 3: rates a little bit high. I would say hit rate
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 3: is good. Generally, he's pretty good, but I'm not sure
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 3: about his current form, and his numbers are not good
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 3: against the Yankees. In ninety five at bats too eighty
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 3: four batting averaged seven eighty three oh ps, twenty five
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 3: to five strike out walk ratio though, so that's good,
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 3: but I don't think I would trust him here. I
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 3: would lean more towards him not doing well in this
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 3: outing here based on all that. Will Warren is pitching
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 3: for the Yankees. He's been pretty good. Three point two
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 3: to two we ra one point two whips, so his
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 3: whip is getting a little bit worse here though. He's
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 3: been worse at home than on the road three point
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 3: nine to six home ERA, and last year was the opposite.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 3: Last year he was much better at home, but this
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 3: year the opposite is the case. Warren pretty much looks
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 3: like he did pitch well throughout the month of May.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 3: Yankees won his last four starts. He pitched decently in
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 3: the A's stadium last timemeer. But if you start looking
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 3: at this, his walk rate has gone up. He was
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 3: walking one guy every two winnings over his last two starts.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 3: That's not exactly good. So, like I said, his whip
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 3: has gone up a little bit, his walk rate's getting
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 3: a little bit worse. Numbers on the season are still
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 3: good though good strikeout rate well over one per inning,
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 3: hit rate is below one for any walk rate not
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 3: too bad either, So generally I think he is still good.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 3: He's his form currently is not as bad as as
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 3: Suarez it is, and Warren kind of got screwed by
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 3: some bad fielding in that last game against the A's.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 3: They wound up giving up eight runs, but he only
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 3: gave up three and they were all unearned. So do
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 3: with that information what you want. The bullpen got lit
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 3: up in that game, I guess, but the Yankees still won. Warren,
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 3: though he does not have good numbers against the Red
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 3: Sox when they have faced him, they have thirty one
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 3: at bats against him, three twenty three average, allowed one
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 3: ninety nine ohps six to four strike at walk ratim.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 3: So both starting pitchers have been decent this season, but
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 3: this does not look like a good matchup for either
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 3: of them. So I think this is an over. That's
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 3: the way I would look at this game. Probably a
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 3: I don't I don't even know, maybe a slight lean
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 3: to the Yankees. But over makes sense to me in
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 3: this game. I mean, I don't. The Yankees are getting
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 3: the money, sixty eight percent of ticket, seventy seven percent
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 3: of the cash. Kind of a cheap price on the
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 3: Yankees at about minus one thirty here. But I said
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 3: that yesterday that it looks too easy to take the
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 3: Yankees when the price is like that, you know what
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 3: I mean. So the odds makers are kind of giving
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 3: the Red Sox some respect here, and like you're gonna
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 3: look at these records and be like, oh, the Red
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 3: Sox are in last place in the division and the
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 3: Yankees are close to being the top of the division there.
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 3: I mean, they are indeed the best team in the
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 3: American League, so it looks pretty easy to play the
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 3: Yankees at a short price like that. So I don't
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 3: think I would do it, even though I would lean
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 3: towards them probably winning this game, though, But I think
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 3: the over makes the most sense in this game. I
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 3: think you might get some runs here hit a friendly ballpark.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 3: You got a total of eight and a half for
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 3: the most part here it's in no man's land. I
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 3: think it makes sense even though both bullpens are all right,
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 3: but if the starters don't do well, you're gonna like
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 3: I always say, if the starters don't do well, I
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 3: think it just kind of cascades into the bullpen. So
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 3: I never go first over. If I'm going over, I
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 3: just go full game with it because usually you get
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 3: some lesser bullpen arms in if the offenses are lighting
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 3: it up all right. Cleveland and Texas Fox Fox has
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 3: both these games, although every probably everybody's gonna watch Yankees
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 3: Red Sox though, and not Cleveland and Texas. But this
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 3: is my other best bet, and why this is deja voom.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 3: We're just gonna go right back to it again and
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 3: go under in this game again. You can find it
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 3: at eight out there. It looks like yesterday we had
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 3: seven and a half and it got there with a
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 3: three to two Texas win. And there were not a
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 3: lot of hits in that game yesterday. And you know,
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 3: I start out by pointing out Texas plays a ton
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 3: of low scoring games at home. They have the lowest
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 3: scoring home games out of any team in baseball. They're
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 3: one of the lowest scoring offenses at home in baseball,
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 3: and they allow some of the fewest runs at home
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 3: in baseball. So it got there Saday with a three
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 3: to two win. Both starters did fairly well. The bullpens
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 3: did well. Now, Texas they did use some of their
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 3: better bullpen arms yesterday because it was a save situation,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 3: but they're still a good bullpend and they're fairly rested,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 3: and they didn't play on Thursday, so I still think
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 3: their bullpen can kind of hold up here. Cleveland only
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 3: these two guys out of their bullpen, and they rested
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 3: some of their better relievers coming into this one. So
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 3: it's kind of similar to yesterday's bullpen's set up, but
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 3: it's flipped a little bit, but both bullpens are all right,
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 3: so I think we can keep them in this equation.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 3: Texas is seventh, Cleveland is tenth, so I think we're
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 3: okay with having these bullpens in. We got two offenses
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 3: that haven't been good Texas twenty fourth, Cleveland twenty six.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 3: So again, that looks like it lends itself to a
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 3: lower scoring game, and I think the starting pitching matchup
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 3: is conducive to this as well. We get Tanner Biby
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 3: for Cleveland. I know he hasn't been that good. He's
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 3: owned seven, but part of that is because Cleveland is
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 3: not scoring behind him at all, so he's been involved
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 3: in some low scoring games. His numbers aren't great. Four
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 3: point five to seven e R one point three whip
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 3: And I know you're not gonna like this. He's in
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 3: the bad of his home road split here, five point
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 3: nine to six road ra I know that's bad. I
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 3: get it, But this is Texas we're talking about. Man,
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 3: He's facing a weak offense here in a very pitcher
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 3: from the environment. So if he's gonna do well on
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 3: the road, you would imagine it's gonna be in a
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 3: game like this. I think he can do that. He
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 3: bounced back with a good start against the Red Sox
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 3: last time out. It was at home. They did lose
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 3: the game, but he pitched pretty well in that one.
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 3: So he had a bad outing against Washington the game
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 3: before that. But he was actually pitching pretty well throughout
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 3: all of May except for that start against Washington. I
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 3: guess the first start against Kansas City wasn't good, and yes,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 3: that Kansas City one was on the road, but his
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 3: most recent road start he was dominant, and his most
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 3: recent roads start against Detroit, So that's a decent sign
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 3: he is pitching better right now. Month of May, he
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 3: had a twenty eight to eight strikeout walk ratio in
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 3: thirty three and two thirds in he's thirty one hits.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 3: Those are not bad numbers, although most of those starts
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 3: were at home. Yes, over the course of the season
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 3: fewer than one hit a lot for inning, his walk
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 3: rate is a little bit high, his strikeout rates a
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 3: little bit low. What can you do? And then the
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 3: home runs are kind of a problem, but it might
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 3: not be as much of a problem in Texas because
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 3: again it's a it's one of the most pitcher friend
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 3: the environments, and those home runs he gave up five
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 3: in one game against Washington, so the fact that he's
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 3: given up thirteen on the season is a little bit misleading.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 3: He also gave up three in his first start against Seattle,
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 3: so I think it's a little bit misleading the number
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 3: of home runs that he's allowed, because he has said
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 3: so many games where he's allowed one or zero. And
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 3: his numbers, of course, you know they're gonna be good
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 3: against Texas. Yeah, they are thirty nine at bats two
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 3: five average allowed, six to seventy two oh ps, ten
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 3: to three strikeout walk ratio. So he's pitched well against
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 3: Texas when he has faced them. So I'm gonna roll
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 3: with that. But then on the other side, we're also
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 3: gonna roll with Jack Lighter, even though I know he
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 3: has numbers that are similar to buy he's in that
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 3: they're a little bit questionable here four point three four
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 3: ERA here for Texas one point three to three whip.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 3: But he's still a pretty young guy. He's still talented.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 3: He just tends to walk too many guys as well.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 3: But he's good at home, so he's in the good split.
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 3: In his home road split three point three four home
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 3: e RA, he pitched well on his last out, and
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 3: he had ten strikeouts and give up no runs against
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 3: Kansas City only last at five and two thirds, though
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 3: he did throw over one hundred pitches, but he's thrown
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 3: over one hundred pitches multiple times here, and yeah, he
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 3: was a little bit shaky and the couple starts following those,
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 3: but he's generally been alright, and he generally like doesn't
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 3: get completely lit up here and Lighter lit up, and
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 3: I think he kind of just starts, you know, losing
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 3: it as he gets like a little bit deeper into
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 3: the game. So hopefully we can get it done here.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 3: You know, we're going full game here, I know, so
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 3: hopefully the bullpen can help us out here too. Lighter
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 3: was decent in the month of May though. He had
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 3: a three point six three point six e RRAM May
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 3: twenty six hits a lot in thirty five innings, forty
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 3: one strikeouts. Those are all good numbers. The only problem
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 3: again was the walks, sixteen of them, so he's got
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 3: to get that under control. But he's got a good
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 3: strikeout rate way over one per inning, good hit rate
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 3: lower than one per inning. Twenty eight walks again is
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 3: the one concern with them. These pictures are fairly similar
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 3: to each other in a way, but I think they
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 3: both match up well in this particular game, and Lighter
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 3: actually dominates Cleveland in thirty seven at bats. They have
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 3: one extra base hit, which is a home run from Manzardo,
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 3: but they have seventeen strikeouts against him, no walks, and
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 3: eighty one average and two forty three ohps. That's domination.
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 3: And it's in a pretty decent sized sample too, So
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 3: Lighter does really well against Cleveland. He has not faced
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 3: them this year, so they haven't really recently seen him either,
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 3: and I don't believe Biby. I don't think these teams
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 3: have faced each other yet this year because I don't
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 3: think Biby has faced Texas this year either, now, so
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 3: I like it. The pitchers are not They're at least
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 3: not recently familiar with the offenses, so we're gonna go
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 3: under in this game. The total is fairly low. It's
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 3: around eight or seven and a half. It's that way
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 3: for a reason. It looks like there are still eights
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 3: at minus one fifteen out there. I would maybe even
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 3: go I don't know if I would go upwards of
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 3: like minus one twenty on the eight, you could go
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 3: under seven and a half. There's not much of a
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 3: difference between seven and a half and eight, so I
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 3: still agree with the under seven and a half there
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 3: like we did yesterday. But yes, I like the under.
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 3: I found it at eight at I don't remember which
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 3: book it was. One of the books had it though,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 3: that might have been FD as well, I don't know,
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 3: but yes under Rangers. Yes, the only team that doesn't
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 3: have a pride event. Yes, I forgot about that. Instead
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 3: they have a family night or something like that. Under
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 3: seven and a half at minus one oh five, Yeah,
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 3: I think that's I would probably do that too. That's
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 3: a decent price. And seven is the key number, Like
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 3: the difference between seven and a half and eight is
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 3: not as extreme as the difference between seven and a
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 3: half and seven, if that makes sense. Because teams when
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 3: they're tied three to three, they need that extra run
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 3: to for somebody to win the game. So the the
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 3: odd numbers are all key in baseball totals. Yes, you
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 3: need more books available, Yes, correct, I mean there's a
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 3: there's still a little bit of value in having that
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 3: extra run because obviously it's possible the game lands eight.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 3: It's just that more more games in baseball Land on
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 3: the odds than the evens. But yes, obviously it's possible.
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 3: A lands eight Milwaukee at Colorado in course field here.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 3: High scoring game yesterday, Milwaukee with a nine to seven
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 3: win yesterday not not unexpected obviously, but this game may
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 3: not be as high scoring. Milwaukee did his four relief
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 3: pitchers yesterday, including their and they got some bullpen injuries
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 3: they're dealing with right now, so that's not great for them.
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 3: Colorado used five relief pitchers. They're not a good bullpen.
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee is the better bullpen. Milwaukee's ranked twelfth and their
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 3: ERA is pretty strong, so they're probably better than twelve.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 3: Colorado ranked twenty fourth and their ERA is above five now,
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 3: so they're one of five teams that has a bullpen
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 3: era that bad. They're not good hitting wise. Colorado is
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 3: fourteenth against they've hit a little bit better, Milwaukee eighteenth,
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 3: so they're starting to come around a little bit. This
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 3: is a huge pitching mismatch, though Milwaukee is lined just
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 3: the line on this game is ridiculous. Milwaukee has Jacob
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 3: Mizierowski pitching. Everybody knows, you know, he's in the Cy
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 3: Young Inside Young contention here right now. By the way,
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 3: I forgot to mention Otani is in Si Young contention too.
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 3: The nl CY Young race is stacked, dude with Mizerowski schemes. Yeah,
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 3: Otani is in there. Christopher Sanchez, you know, I think
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 3: that Burns, Chase Burns should probably be in there. But yeah,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 3: I don't know. Missierowski has been pretty much untouchable. One
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 3: point six five ERA, zero point seventy nine whip. I
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 3: don't know how he can continue throwing one hundred three
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 3: miles an hour, six innings into every game, but whatever.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 3: He's been even better on the road one point two
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 3: to six roadyra. He's so good that I probably wouldn't
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 3: even really be that concern with him pitching in course field.
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 3: He's not even that extreme of a fly ball pitcher either,
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 3: and he strikes out a ton of guys. He has
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 3: easily the highest strikeout rate in baseball, just completely insane.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 3: He's got one hundred eight strikeouts in seventy one innings,
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 3: and I'm pretty sure that no other pitcher even has
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 3: one hundred strikeouts. Yet his hit rate is unbelievably low too,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 3: and his walk rate is ridiculously low. Miszierowski is probably
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 3: better than Schemes right now due Missierowski was completely dominant
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 3: in the month of May, allowing almost nothing. He allowed
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 3: one run, which I know Sanchez beat him allowing no runs,
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 3: but still, these are ridiculous numbers here, and against Colorado
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 3: they basically haven't seen him. They're zero for four with
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 3: two strikeouts off in between Willie Castro and Jake McCarthy. Obviously,
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 3: I think he'll pitch well here. I mean I think
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 3: you can assume he's gonna pitch well in every outing.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 3: Then the question becomes, like, how can you attack this
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 3: this game? Colorado has not announced the starter, so I
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 3: have no clue what they're doing. You can try to
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 3: go five games back, and that was that awful San
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 3: Francisco game where they got absolutely obliterated. They basically went
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 3: with a bullpen game in that game, so it's probably
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 3: gonna be a bullpen game for Colorado here. I don't
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 3: know what they're doing. Obviously, that makes us a gigantic
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 3: mismatch here, but you're paying for it. Obviously. This is crazy.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee is like a minus three hundred road favorite in
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 3: this game, or sorry, not quite that. They're minus two
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 3: sixty or so here. You can't lay that price, dude.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 3: I mean, if you want a money line, parlay it
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 3: or something whatever. I guess I don't think Milwaukee will lose,
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 3: but I mean that price is just totally outrageous. The
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 3: game total is ten and a half, which is right
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 3: in line with what you would expect in a course
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 3: field game, but with Misierowski on the mind, you'd expect
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 3: it to be a little bit lower than that. I
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 3: don't know, man, I mean, if you want to go,
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 3: you could go Colorado under their team total maybe and
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 3: go with Misierowski to just shred them. If that's really
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 3: what you want to do, you could do that because
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 3: it is a high total. So then if Colorado gets
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 3: held to like you're probably gonna even get held to
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 3: like three runs though. I mean, it is doable, but
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 3: it's kind of dangerous in course field, and we don't
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 3: really know what the uh what the Colorado bullpen situation? Well,
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 3: it's Colorado bullpend game here, so I don't know, or
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 3: excuse you, you don't know what Milwaukee's bullpen is gonna
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 3: look like because they're a little bit unrested here. No,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 3: I would not go under, uh, There's no way I
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 3: would back Colorado's pitching in that game. Colorado under their
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 3: team total might be right, but I don't know. That
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 3: seems a little bit sketchy as well, because they might
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 3: it might just be a garbage game and Colorado might
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 3: put up some runs against Milwaukee's bullpen or something. Yeah,
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 3: Otani is pitching well, uh, Anaheim at the Dodgers. Dodgers
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 3: won the game one to nothing yesterday, unfortunately on Pride Night,
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 3: which is why you gotta like the the the like
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 3: the Rangers. Excuse me over the Dodgers. Here. Sosaki pitch
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 3: really well in the game though, he's starting to pitch
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 3: really well. Dude. This Dodgers team, they have like all
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 3: these starting pitching injuries and it doesn't even matter. It's
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 3: like every one of their starters is good anyway. Uh,
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 3: this Dodgers team, if they don't win the World Series again,
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 3: i'd i'd be somewhat surprised. So I don't know, we'll see.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 3: I mean, baseball is close though, once it gets into
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 3: the playoffs and what ever. But Dodgers have a ton
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 3: of advantages here against Anaheim. They're the better team. They're
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 3: the better team in every phase of this game. Here,
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 3: the bullpen bullpen advantage is not even close. It's a
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 3: huge advantage to the Dodgers. They did use three guys
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 3: out of the bullpen yesterday, but whatever Tree and it
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 3: only made one pitch. Anaheim U's three guys. Anaheim's bullpen
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 3: is one of the worst. They're twenty eighth and they're
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 3: tied for the worst ERA with Houston. Dodgers are the
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 3: number two bullpen in WHIP, so huge advantage there. Dodgers
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 3: are the number one offense. Anaheim is number nineteen, so
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 3: a big advantage there too. Pretty big starting pitching that
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 3: year as well. Jack Kohanowitz is pitching for the Angels.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 3: He's not good. Five point two to three e ra
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 3: A one point four eight WHIP. I don't like any
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 3: of that obviously. He's been bad on the road. Six
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 3: point six six point six two six six would be
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 3: really bad. Six point six to two ROADIRA not good.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 3: He's not a good form right now, really rugg in
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 3: the month of May. Nothing to like about this at all.
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 3: His hit rate on the full season is actually low,
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 3: but it was way high in May, so that's getting
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 3: worse too. His walk rate is ridiculously high. His strikeout
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 3: rate is not good. It's low. He is a ground
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 3: ball pitcher, so you got to give him that. He
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 3: induces a lot of grounders, but he is not pitching
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 3: well at all. His numbers against the Dodgers are not
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 3: as bad as you would think, but they're not great.
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 3: In thirty eight at bats to thirty seven, average is
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 3: pretty good. Seven ninety nine ohps, not that good. They've
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 3: hit him for some power here, eight strikeouts, five walks here,
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 3: so yeah, not great numbers here. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is pitching
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 3: for the Dodgers. He's good, we know this. Two point
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 3: eight six ERA one whip. These are good numbers. He's
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 3: not quite as good at home though, three point two
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 3: to two homeye Ira. He's pitching well. He's had three
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 3: good starts in a row after he had a shaky
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 3: outing against San Francisco, but even in that outing he
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 3: got kind of unlucky and just out home runs there.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 3: So he's pretty much pitched well the entire season. That
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 3: was the only start where allowed more than three ear
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 3: in runs, so he's been good. Strike Out rate is
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 3: right around one per inning, pretty low walk rate, low
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 3: hit rate as well. However, he does not have good
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 3: numbers against Anaheim. It's a small sample though, thirteen at bats,
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 3: three zero eight batting average though oney fifty three oh bs.
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 3: That's not a great sign five strikeouts, three walks, So
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 3: maybe Yamamoto has kind of a negative matchup here the Dodgers.
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 3: I mean, you cannot lay a price like this with
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers, especially with Yamamoto not having solid matchup numbers here.
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 3: But you'd have to lay a minus three sixty basically
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 3: to get the Dodgers here. Ridiculous. You can't do that.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 3: You can't do that in any baseball game, even a
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 3: run line. You'd be looking at laying like two and
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 3: a half runs here. I'm not gonna be recommending anything
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 3: like that. If I was gonna play this game, I
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 3: would just go over the total. I think the total's
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 3: reasonable at eight and a half, and Yamamoto might give
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 3: up some runs, like his numbers are not good against Anaheim.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 3: But I know it's a small sampun. You gotta think
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 3: Kohanowitz is probably gonna pitch poorly as well. Generally that
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 3: is the case, so I think it over makes sense
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 3: in that game. But I don't really have a strong
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 3: opinion on it, all right, and then we have the
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 3: final game. Here is the game that we won on
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 3: yesterday with the Mets the Braves. I don't know. I'm
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 3: worried about the Yankees winning the World Series, obviously, because
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 3: I think they're They're gonna have a really easy path
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 3: through the awful American League, so they're probably gonna be
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 3: in the World Series. I don't know. Then, anything could
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 3: happen in the world. The Dodgers almost lost the World
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 3: Series last year to Toronto. San Diego has lost a
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 3: bunch of games in a row. They've lost six straight games. Now,
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 3: we had a winner on the show with the Mets yesterday.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 3: But I told you how bad that situation was for
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 3: San Diego when I when I looked at that game,
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 3: I loved that play. San Diego's were turning home from
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 3: the road, they had no days off, they were traveling
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 3: cross country. None of that applied to the Mets. The
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 3: Mets had had a day of rest. They were on
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 3: the Pacific Coast already, way better spot for the Mets.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 3: Christian Scott pitched well enough for us there. Michael King
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 3: wasn't awful in the game, but he did give up
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 3: four runs, so we did get it done. He didn't
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 3: have great matchup numbers there, so we were able to
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 3: get that win there this game. Just on the surface,
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 3: this looks like the Mets have a big advantage here
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 3: in this starting pitching matchup. You got to think so
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 3: I might like the Mets again here. The Mets used
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 3: three guys out of the bullpen. Yesterday. San Diego used
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 3: Mason Miller. I think maybe just to get him some
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 3: work because he hadn't pitched in a while. But maybe
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 3: that means he won't be available today though, which might
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 3: be a mistake if it's gonna be a close game
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 3: and they're ahead late. San Diego used three guys out
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 3: of the bullpen. San Diego's bullpen is one of the best.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 3: They're number four. But the Mets are a good bullpen too,
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 3: they're number six. They're right behind san Diego. Like I mentioned,
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 3: I liked the Mets bullpen set up yesterday too because
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 3: they were the rest at it bullpen. But I think
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 3: the bullpen situation is basically a toss up in this
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 3: game here. And of course, as I mentioned yesterday, these
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 3: are bad offenses and San Diego has actually dropped behind
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 3: the Mets in offense, their OPS is horrible. They're actually
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 3: point zher one basically worse than the Mets now in ops.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 3: That's crazy. San Diego's dead last. The Mets are second
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 3: to last still here, so we got some bad offenses.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 3: Nolan McLain is pitching for the Mets. He's got a
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 3: four point two to one r now, so his eray
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 3: has gone up. But you know, I think he's a
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 3: good pitcher. I think he's gonna come back into form
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 3: at some point. He's too good for that not to
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 3: be the case. It might happen here because you get
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 3: a pitcher friendly ballpark here and a really weak offense,
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 3: so I think he should pitch well here. He still
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 3: has a good whip one point one to two whip.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 3: He's better on the road as well, three point eight
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 3: six roadier, right, so that lines up pretty well. He
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 3: had two really bad outings at Washington and then at
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 3: home against Cincinnati. I don't know what happened there. His
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 3: strikeout walk ratio is still right there. But then he
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 3: followed it up with a better performance against Miami, but
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 3: he had five walks in that outing. So McClain, there's
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 3: something a little bit off about him right now. But
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 3: he's been really good on the season. He's still a
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 3: young guy. I think he's basically a rookie here right. Yeah.
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 3: He mid eight starts last year. His numbers were really
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 3: good last year too, so I think he is still
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 3: going to pitch well. He's gonna come back into form
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 3: at some point. It might be here. Like I said,
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 3: he's got a good strikeout rate, really high low hit rate.
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 3: His walk rate is the only concern that's a little
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 3: bit high. But he's been good and San Diego's never
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 3: faced him before, so he has an extra advantage going
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 3: up against a lineup that's never faced a before, so
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 3: that helps him. Griffin Canning is pitching for San Diego.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 3: I wonder which one of these pitchers is better. Canning
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 3: has really not been good since coming back from injury
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 3: or whatever it was. He's been awful for years now. Dude.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 3: Seven point one SIXTYRA, one point five to five whip,
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 3: that's some stuff. He does pitch better at home in
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 3: a pitcher friendly ballpark. Here at home still a five
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 3: point five to seven OMIRA. That's not good, especially with
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 3: how pitcher friendly this ballpark is. San Diego's lost his
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 3: last five starts. He hasn't been particularly good really in
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 3: any of them. He's allowed three or more and runs
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 3: in all of them. He's only had fewer of the
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 3: multiple walks once against the Dodgers. He's got twenty seven
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 3: strikeouts in twenty seven to two thirds innings, which is
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 3: pretty good. Twenty eight hits allowed is not great, but
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 3: fifteen walks huge problem. He's walking too many guys. Numbers
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 3: against the Mets are not good, but it's only forty
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 3: seven at bats and most of it is Marcus Semion,
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 3: and that was because Canning was on Anaheim for a
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 3: while and Semion was on Texas, so that's why they
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 3: matched up so much. But still in those forty seven
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 3: at bats, the Mets have a three to nineteen average
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 3: against him in nine eighty five ops. So there are
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 3: a couple other guys in there that have done some
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 3: damage against him. Melendez is Soto, but yes, most of
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 3: the damage is from Semian Seaman twelve strikeouts, two walks
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 3: for Canning against the Mets. I would lean to the
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 3: Mets again in this game. Like I said, I think
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 3: that's the way to look at it. I would back
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 3: on mcclaim. I think he has a pretty big pitching
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 3: edge over Canning. Again, I don't necessarily want to do
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 3: it because it is historically a positive spot that San
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 3: Diego is in, you know, like I always talk about
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 3: a return home spot and then you get shut out
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 3: at home a lot of times, that team has a
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 3: tendency to bounce back. But the matchup looks lopsided to
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 3: me in favor of the Mets, so it won't be
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 3: on my card, but the Mets around minus one twenty.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 3: I would just money line it with the Mets. You
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 3: could go first five if you want to do, because
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 3: they probably have the bigger advantage there and the bullpens
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 3: are kind of a toss up. But I don't really
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 3: see necessarily a reason to take the Mets bullpen out
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 3: of the equation. Either sixty percent of tickets seventy five
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on the Mets and probably get
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 3: a better price on it going full game because the
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 3: oddsmakers know San Diego's got a good bullpen. The Mets
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 3: have the bigger edge during the starting pitching here, so
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 3: first five you probably have to pay a little bit
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 3: more on it, but it still makes sense either way.
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 3: Mets money line either full game or first five. I
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 3: don't I'd probably need full game, I guess, but whatever,
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 3: just get the price down a little bit. Probably total
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 3: in the game is seven and a half though, so
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 3: it is indicating it's gonna be a lower scoring game,
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 3: which somewhat does help the case of the underdog. But
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 3: still I'm not really seeing it in that game, all right.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 3: WNBA Cup action continues first two games in the afternoon
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 3: on ABC Seattle. In Minnesota. This is a complete mismatch.
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 3: Even though Minnesota is still without their best player, Collier,
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 3: they still have the best record in the league as well.
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 3: Minnesota's won six games in a row. They've already won
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 3: two Cup games I think, which started in June, and
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 3: night still don't know how the Cup stuff is like structured,
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 3: So like I think the losing Cup teams are probably
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 3: gonna be a little bit more motivated. Minnesota is coming
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 3: off a pretty big win over Golden State after they
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 3: blew out Phoenix. You would think that maybe they would
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 3: have been they got maybe they would have gotten caught.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 3: I leaned Golden State in that game, and I think
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 3: you might have been able to find a plus three
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 3: on Golden State there, and they pushed that at least,
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 3: but Minnesota won that game against a good Golden State team.
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 3: Minnesota could maybe have a little bit of a let
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 3: down here. Maybe they won't take Seattle totally. Seriously, I
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 3: don't expect Minnesota to lose, but I think I would
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 3: probably lean towards Seattle just getting it town of points here.
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 3: Seattle's lost four in a row. I know they had
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 3: a close game. We should have had an easy win
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 3: with Phoenix and that one, to be honest, Phoenix just
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 3: couldn't hit anything and it looked like they were running
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 3: away with the game in the second quarter, and then
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 3: they just really started playing like shit. I don't know
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 3: what that was. But Seattle maybe, you know, reaching kind
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 3: of the bottom of their market, you know, like they
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 3: might be at the bottom of the market here. Minnesota
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 3: might be at the top of the market. But this
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 3: is like the best team in the league, Minnesota, although
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 3: even without their best player, against one of the worst
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 3: teams at Seattle. So but the line is huge for
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 3: that reason, Minnesota is a fourteen point favorite. Now, I'd
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 3: probably lean towards taking the points, but I don't really
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 3: have a good opinion on that game. Golden State in
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 3: Vegas is a much more competitive game. This is interesting.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 3: This is a Cup game as well. A Vegas I think,
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 3: is one to zero in the Cup right now winning
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 3: at LA. The game that they just played against Golden
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 3: State was not a Cup game. But we do have
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 3: some situations coming into play where Vegas is returning home
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 3: from a road trip, and you know, I always talk
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 3: about that they've been on the road for over a week,
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 3: and when that's the case, a lot of times the
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 3: team will get distracted and get back to home life,
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 3: you know what I mean. It could be a distraction
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 3: and it could definitely be so because during that road trip,
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 3: Vegas went to Golden State and beat them by ten.
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 3: So this is a quick revenge spot for Golden State
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 3: where Golden State might make some adjustments, and a return
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 3: home spot for Vegas. It looks like you might think
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 3: that I might have a play then on on Golden
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 3: State here, and I considered it as I started looking
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 3: at this, because I think this is the closest to
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 3: me having a play today would be to take Golden
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 3: State here as a small underdog. I think the price
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 3: is about accurate because if you look at what the
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 3: line was when Vegas was at Golden State. Vegas was
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 3: like a one and a half point favorite here, so
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 3: they should be about a three or so favorite here
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 3: at home. I don't think these teams getting a lot
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 3: of home court. I advantaged. Vegas in fact, has lost
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 3: both home games on the season, by the way, They've
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 3: only had two home games and they lost both of them.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 3: But remember the first game, and I played against them
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 3: in both. We had two of our wins in those
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 3: games Vegas. The first one was that huge revenge game
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 3: for Phoenix for the finals last year, and it was
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 3: Vegas's rings ceremony against them. So I was like, yeah,
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 3: we're gonna fade Vegas huge revenge spot and we got
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 3: an easy win with Phoenix there. Then the other time
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 3: I faded Vegas was when they return home from their
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 3: other road trip and they got caught and they'd beat
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 3: the Sparks previously, right after that blowout loss that they
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 3: had in the opener, which was another win for us
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 3: here on the show with Vegas in that second game.
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 3: But yeah, so it was a similar spot to this
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 3: for sure. That that Vegas return home spot was very similar. Now,
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 3: if you look at these numbers, Vegas shot a lot
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 3: better than Golden State did from the field forty eight percent.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 3: Golden State had five more field goal attempts but only
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 3: shot thirty four percent, So there were some indicators here
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 3: the Golden State. You know, this is a little bit
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 3: of a misleading final here, but Vegas was blowing them
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 3: out in this game though, Dude. Vegas had a really
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 3: good third quarter and then Golden State had a good
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 3: fourth quarter to make the line, make the to make
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 3: the final score more reasonable. Vegas was winning the game
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 3: by twenty four at one point, so this game was
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 3: pretty out of control. But yes, Vegas did out shoot
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 3: them quite a bit. Golden State should shoot better in
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 3: this game than thirty four percent, so there is a
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 3: positive regression angle here. But the thing I don't like
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 3: is that Vegas shot forty six percent from three point range.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 3: They had eight more threes and still lost the game
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 3: by ten. That really concerns me. So that's an indicator
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 3: the other way, like Golden State is not gonna shoot
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 3: forty six percent again from three, so that would worry
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 3: me a little bit. And the fact that Vegas dominated
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 3: the rebound battle and had a huge lead throughout a
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 3: lot of this game. They won the rebound battle by twelve,
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 3: and they might still show up just because this is
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 3: a Cup game, so that's gonna keep me off of
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 3: the game. But I will lean to Golden State here.
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 3: Even so, Golden State they also had a tough game, though.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 3: Golden State just played a really tough game, as I
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 3: already mentioned against Minnesota last time. I was so they
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 3: having to play two tough games in a row, both
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 3: on the road. That's not really that easy to do either,
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 3: although that was a Cup game as well. So Golden
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 3: State is you know, Golden State is going to be
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 3: maybe a little bit extra motivated here, So I would
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 3: lean towards ten taking the points with Golden State here
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 3: in this one. They're like a two and a half
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 3: point underdog. I thought it should be about three, which
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 3: I was close. You know, whatever, Clark got traded to
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 3: LA Are you serious? There's no way like she was
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 3: specifically on Indiana because she like lives there with her boyfriend.
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 3: Her boyfriend has some like job with I want to say,
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 3: with the Indiana Pacers maybe or something. Are you serious?
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 3: You're fucking with me? Right? Uh? I don't think so.
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 3: I don't see that in the news here at all.
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 3: I don't know what you're talking about. I think I
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 3: would have heard about that. I highly doubt that that's accurate.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 3: I see nothing about that at all. All the recent
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 3: news is about her puking during that last game. I
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 3: don't know what you're talking about. I have no idea.
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 3: I don't think that's the case. Washington at Atlanta. Atlanta
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 3: is returning home from playing Indiana. Indiana was coming off
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 3: an embarrassing effort against what was it Portland maybe, yeah, Indiana.
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 3: That was that game where everybody was talking about, oh,
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 3: Caitlan Clark sucks, and I was blaming the coach, Stephanie
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 3: White or whatever her name is, even though she's not white,
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 3: which I think might be part of what's going on there.
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 3: She benched Caitlin Clark, which made no sense, really really stupid.
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 3: But because of all that chaos and everybody like, oh,
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 3: Indiana is in turmoil, whatever, it seemed to make sense
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 3: that Indiana was gonna play better after that embarrassing game,
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 3: and they did. They beat a pretty good Atlanta team,
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 3: even though Atlanta has Angel Reese. But now Atlanta's coming
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 3: off that game. They are returning home. But it was
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 3: only a single game on the road at Indiana. That
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 3: was a Cup game. They're one to one in Cup
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 3: play so far. I don't know what that really means.
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 3: As far as this game. They're back at home, they're
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 3: playing Washington. I guess it's possible they overlook Washington here.
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 3: I don't know. But here's the thing, though, Atlanta has
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 3: Chicago next, and why is that big? Well, that's because
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 3: that's the first time they're gonna face Chicago with Angel
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 3: Reese facing her former team. So I think that is
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 3: kind of a look ahead spot to Chicago there, because
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 3: Angel Reese of course was on Chicago to start out
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 3: her career and now she's on Atlanta and playing against
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 3: Chicago for the first time. That's the ESPN game. So
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 3: Atlanta may actually overlook Washington here. This Washington team's not good.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 3: I think they're worse than their four and four record indicates,
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 3: though Washington did just beat Chicago, by the way, I mean,
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 3: I don't know if they're gonna be inn a letdown
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 3: off of that or not. I think they're one and
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 3: zero in Cup playing now after that, but I'm not
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 3: even sure Washington does have Indiana next. Maybe that's a
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 3: little bit of a look ahead. I don't know it's
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 3: a peacock. I mean you might look ahead because it's
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 3: a Kaitlyn Clark led Indiana team.
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 3: I don't have a great opinion on this one. Atlanta's
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 3: around a tent and a half point favorite here. I
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 3: might slightly lean towards Washington because I think the Atlanta
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 3: look ahead might be a little bit worse with the
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 3: Angel Reese thing, but I don't know, and they're returning
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 3: home at least. But yeah, I don't have a great
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 3: opinion on this. Atlanta could bounce back to from an
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 3: ugly performance against Indiana, and Washington did just at least
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 3: get a win against a mediocre team. So I don't know,
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 3: and I don't think Washington's even as good as the
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 3: record indicates, so a lot of things to consider in
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 3: that game. I might slightly lead towards taking the points
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 3: at ten and a half, but I don't want that
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 3: game at all. I still think the best play is
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 3: still Golden State plus the points, but I told you
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 3: the reasons I don't want that either. Indiana Caitlyn Clark
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 3: at New York. This is an interesting one. New York
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 3: has started to play better. They are one of the
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 3: better teams in the league. They've won three games in
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 3: a row now, all at home, but they're staying at
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 3: home for this game too. They've had five straight or no,
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 3: six straight home games now this is their seventh. Really
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 3: kind of ridiculous, but they have. They've faced a week
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 3: schedule though, dude, So I don't know about this Liberty team.
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 3: They've played Portland twice, no, sorry, Portland three times, Toronto once,
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 3: Washington once and it went into overtime, Connecticut once, and
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 3: then they have losses to Golden State Dallas and they
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 3: beat Phoenix twice. So yeah, they I don't know. Their
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 3: schedule has been pretty easy to me. So I don't
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 3: know about this Liberty team.
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 3: They should be one of the better teams, but their
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 3: record with that schedule should be better than it is.
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 3: But they're on a roll right now. They won three
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 3: games in a row. They've won one Cup game so far.
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 3: They'll show up for a game against Indiana. You gotta
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 3: think Indiana coming off a nice win over Atlanta, Like
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 3: I said, to bounce back, that was a Cup game.
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 3: I think they might be one and zero Cup playing
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 3: out too. I'm not even sure. I think all the
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 3: Cup games have been in June. So far, to me,
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 3: it looks like both teams are gonna show up here,
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 3: and then it's kind of a matter of which is
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 3: the better team here. The oddsmakers are telling you it's
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 3: New York. They've gone up from two and a half
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 3: to four and a half here. Maybe I will lean
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 3: that way. I think the Liberty probably are better than
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 3: maybe the record indicates. But I do worry because they're
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 3: not really battle tested. They haven't really faced too many
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 3: good teams here. Indiana's faced a more difficult schedule than that,
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 3: at least the face Golden State a couple of times.
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 3: Here Atlanta, both teams have face Dallas, although Indiana's had
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 3: somewhat of a weak schedule as well. But I think
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 3: Indiana they have more talent than what their record shows
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 3: as well. So I don't know, but nothing for me
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 3: in the WNBA, and then we have NHL. We have
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 3: a one to one game one one series here, I
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 3: mean going back to Vegas here. One thing that is
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 3: to be considered is Carolina has not left the Eastern
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 3: time zone for quite a while. They haven't been outside
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 3: of the Eastern times zone since sometime during the regular season,
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 3: so It's been a long time since Carolina has been
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 3: outside of the Eastern time zone, and this is gonna
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 3: be somewhat late. Although it's still eight Eastern. That's basically
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 3: when it is Eastern time anyway usually, so not too
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 3: bad there, but still it might be difficult for them
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 3: to go out on the road here after not being
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 3: anywhere outside of the Eastern time zough for a long time.
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 3: Vegas is better at home typically twenty twelve and nine,
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 3: so Vegas might have a little bit of an extra
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 3: home advantage here. We do have to consider that one
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 3: of Vegas's best defensemen is injured right now McNab because
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 3: he got hit in the face with a puck during
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 3: the last game, which I don't know if that means
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 3: concussion protocol, because usually, like if you get hit in
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 3: the face a lot of times, you'll come right back
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 3: like this is hockey, anyway, I got like, you'll just
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 3: have it like a smashed up face and we'll just
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 3: get back out there like whatever. Like guys will certainly
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 3: play in hockey with like a broken skull bone or
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 3: like a broken jaw bone, where guys will still just
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 3: go with a facial fracture. Guys will just still go
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 3: out there and play. So I don't know if it's
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 3: concussion protocol or what the deal is there. I mean,
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 3: guys in hockey, you'll play with broken limbs too, so
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 3: I don't know, but that's something to consider. McNabb might
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 3: not play here. I don't know how much that will
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 3: impact the game because a lot of guys get on
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 3: and off the ice during a hockey game, so I
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 3: don't know how much of an impact that really has.
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 3: I don't think it really affects the line or anything. Now.
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 3: The one thing to be aware of here, so Vegas
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 3: actually kind of dominated Game one in a way. They
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 3: had way more shots, way more shot opportunities, so I
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 3: think they were the better team in Game one. It
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 3: was a close game. They actually overcame a two to
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 3: OH deficit and then wound up winning the game. It
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 3: was a crazy game. Then Game two was also crazy,
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 3: and if you had the under you're probably very unhappy
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 3: because this was definitely it was an under man. It
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 3: was two oh Vegas going into the third period and
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 3: then they gave up two goals and then if you
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 3: saw what happened, Vegas looked like they had the go
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 3: ahead goal late in the third period and it got
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 3: called off for goaltender interference, which I kind of think
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 3: wasn't the correct call. Going back and looking at that highlight,
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 3: Tortorella challenged it, Uh, maybe the right move to do that.
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 3: Some guys, guys are giving him crap for a challenging that,
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 3: because if you lose the challenge, then you have a
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 3: guy go to the penalty box and it gives the
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 3: other team a power play. But Carolina's power play has
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 3: been awful, Like that's one of their weaknesses is the
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 3: power play. But yes, I know they wound up winning
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 3: with two power play goals in this game, but I
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 3: would not necessarily expect that to happen consistently because Carolina
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 3: has had one of the weakest power plays in the playoffs.
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 3: That's that's been their biggest problem. Like their deepfense and
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 3: goaltending has been good, whatever, but offensively they're a little
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 3: bit lacking. And Vegas has the better offense out of
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 3: these two teams, though they're not better on deepfense. I agree.
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 3: I think it was the right call. I thought it
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 3: was I thought the it was the right call by Tortorella.
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 3: I thought the reffing call was wrong, and then it
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 3: didn't even get overturned on review. It gave ca I
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 3: think it was some home cooking man, the refs, you know, uh,
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 3: the league is gonna make more money if the if
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 3: the series goes longer, although that NBA series is not
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 3: gonna go very long, so I'm fucking pissed. But anyway, yeah,
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 3: I it was kind of ridiculous, man. And then that
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 3: gave Carolina the go ahead goal with the power play,
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 3: although Vegas should have killed the power place, but whatever.
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 3: Then Vegas scored right near the end to tie it
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 3: send it into overtime. Then Vegas got called for tripping
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 3: shortly into overtime. I was watching it. Probably the right
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 3: call on the trip. You don't want to see a
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 3: game end on a power play, though, Like I don't
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 3: know if maybe the refs should just let something like
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 3: that go. I mean, it looks somewhat inadvertent, like whoever
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 3: got called for the trip there, he was trying to
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 3: make a move on the pocket, like he was going
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 3: for the puck with his stick and having to trip
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 3: the Carolina play. I don't know, man, whatever, and then
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 3: Carolina won the game, So Carolina had two power play goals,
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 3: which I wouldn't really expect that to happen again in
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 3: this game because their power play, like I said, is
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 3: fairly weak. We're going back to Vegas here. I'm probably
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 3: gonna lean to Vegas slightly in this game because they
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 3: think they have a bit of a home advantage here,
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 3: like I just said. But if you look at this game,
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 3: Carolina did actually dominate Game two in the physicality department.
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 3: They had twenty one more hits in the game and
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 3: won the faceoffs, so they were the way more physical
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 3: team here and the shots were even. Although Vegas could
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 3: have won the game, they had a two to nothing
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 3: lead halfway through the third period, so you know, it
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 3: was a weird game. I leaned Vegas slightly in this game,
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 3: but I don't have a great read on this game.
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 3: I know I have not given out a play on
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 3: this series. I know I'm trying to tread somewhat lightly,
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 3: and usually I'm good in NBA playoffs. That hasn't worked out,
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 3: but we have one in the the NHL playoffs have
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 3: been a winner for us. I think regards wardless of
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 3: what we do here on out, unless I'm gonna lose
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 3: like five plays from here, on out, which is not
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 3: gonna happen. That's that's Canadian football. What Yeah, Carolina Vegas.
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 3: Vegas is getting the money fifty eight percent of the tickets,
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 3: seventy percent of the cash on them minus one ten
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 3: is the price, So it's basically a pick the winner
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 3: price here. I'd probably slightly lean Vegas. I think the
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 3: undermakes sense in this game. And I know unders are
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 3: dangerous you get empty net goals, et cetera. But Carolina
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 3: plays a lot of low scoring games. Man, I don't
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 3: think they're gonna have two power play goals again. If
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 3: you saw that game, a lot of the goals were fluky,
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 3: like a couple of power play goals. Both teams that
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 3: they had multiple goals off of freak turnovers, which you know,
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 3: so the goalies are actually better in the game than
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 3: it looked like. So I don't think that shit is
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 3: gonna happen again. I think both teams might clean it
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 3: up a little bit. Traveling to another venue, you know,
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 3: might slow down the offenses a little bit. So an
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 3: under makes sense to me in this game, and you
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 3: know Carolina. Carolina is the team that plays more of
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 3: an understyle though, but it is weird that both of
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 3: the games so far have gone over the total, but whatever,
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 3: eighty one percent of tickets, only sixty eight percent of
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 3: the cash on the on the over, I would lean under,
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 3: even though I know that's more Carolina style and usually
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 3: the home team kind of dictates the style with him
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 3: at more but whatever, No, I'm I'm rooting for Vegas
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 3: for sure. Vegas rejected Pride, they went with them, they
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 3: completely rejected it, and it went with cancer awareness, cancer
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 3: Survive a month or whatever. Vegas also has the Me
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 3: Toube movement going after them on bullshit for our Carter Heart,
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 3: so no, fuck the Canes, fuck them. And also it
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 3: will help my bracket of Vegas wins because way fewer
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 3: people have them winning it, so I need everybody else's
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 3: bracket to just get annihilated and lose Carolina. There, no, there,
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 3: there are all the reasons, sorry, Garrett, there are all
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 3: the reasons to roofer Vegas in this one. And Tortorella,
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 3: I don't really love him, but he is from Boston
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 3: and an Italian. So you're from Carolina, all right, what
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 3: you don't have the panthers and the hornets? Oh man?
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 3: All right? Anyway, Yeah, that's gonna do it for the
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 3: show here the two players that they are both baseball players.
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 3: We have an afternoon play on the Cubs money line.
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 3: Hopefully you can find a reasonable price on that, and
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 3: then we're going right back to Cleveland and Texas under
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 3: in the night games. There being pretty selective here. That's
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 3: gonna do it. Learn a tone on Twitter. You can
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 3: help me out if you want to subscribe there. That
• 1:52:39
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• 1:52:42
  Speaker 3: in there, a couple other guys, Abrogate D's is in there.
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 3: It's not a very active group chat that I gotta do.
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 3: So maybe I gotta add a discord and maybe have
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 3: like a SEC I know I talked about it. Maybe
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 3: I have an extra section for supporters in different ways
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 3: and whatever. I gotta figure something out. Learn a tone
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 3: on Instagram, like subscribe to the channel here, you know,
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 3: push it. We're slowly growing here, so keep promoting it.
• 1:53:05
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• 1:53:08
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• 1:53:12
  Speaker 3: the Belmont Steaks video. I'm gonna put it up on
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 3: audio right after I'm done with this too. That's later.
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 3: This evening, I believe. So go check that out covered
• 1:53:22
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• 1:53:23
  Speaker 3: check that out Patreon dot com, slash and learn to
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 3: Toe for some more stuff that I'm not keeping up
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 3: with right now, I apologize. I'm going to a bunch
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 3: of shows recently too, though back to back. They might
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 3: be Giants shows last night and tonight. So dude, I've
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 3: been a fan of them for a long time, and
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 3: i know they garner, you know, that sort of typical
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 3: like you know, Brooklyn in the crowd if you know
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 3: what I mean. But you know, dude, I mean they
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 3: put on a good show still, so it's fun. And
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 3: they're they're going out there and playing like two and
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 3: a half hours each night here, doing two sets each night,
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 3: so and playing a huge variety like they're only gonna
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 3: be a few songs that are the same between both sets.
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 3: So that takes a lot to do. So got to
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 3: hand it to him, man. Uh So that's what I'm doing.
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 3: Uh Now, people are gonna hunt me down probably find
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 3: me whatever. What else do I have going on here?
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 3: Loser cast every Tuesday, and uh I think that's about
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 3: Oh Giants g Spot podcast? Ben is you know he's
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 3: a busy dude, so I don't know. We got to
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 3: get back to it. We'll figure it out. That's gonna
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 3: do it. I appreciate it. Peace, Yes, correct. They might
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 3: be giants. Does the Malcolm in the Middle theme. I've
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 3: seen them like five or six times live. I don't
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 3: even know if I've ever seen them play that song live.
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 3: Maybe I have at one point, I don't know. They
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 3: play so many different songs. You're actually rooting for Vegas,
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 3: you like Tortorella. I'm kind of coming around.
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 4: I don't know.
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 3: I mean Boston Italian guys. I mean, I don't know.
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 3: We gotta stick together, yes, all right, Yeah, Charles is
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 3: gonna come up and fight me on the streets. All right,
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 3: that's gonna do it. Peace, But don't you go quiet.
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 3: Don't you fade from the floor.
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 4: Your name still mean something to somebody to show.
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby, look at me. No, hold on,
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 2: hold on letting nice.
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 5: Now, hold on.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: Hold on me for that bites hard, but it don't
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: get the crown.
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on, play with me now,