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THURSDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/5/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached a
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my bruins hat Man.
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man's back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump praise,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up? Everybody's
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: towed back with you? Toadstool sports. It is Thursday, March fifth. Uh.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: I think I I basically foreshadowed what was gonna happen
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: last night on the show where I was like, we'll
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: have a winning day if Colorado State wins outright, and
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: that is what happened. So I gave you guys an
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: outright winner with Colorado State as the underdog, easy no
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: sweat winner there. On that one. They were winning out
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: wire a wire, I think, very easy win with that one.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: But Old Dominion could get focked pretty much. They just
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: put themselves out of the game. I mean it was
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: close throughout the first half. They were just losing by
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: a few points the whole time. They put themselves in
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: like a ten point hole. Later in the game, they
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: clawed out of it. They almost covered. They hit a
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: three like I think they hit a three in the
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: final minute or something to cut it to two. But
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: at that point you knew they were gonna intentionally foul,
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: so you knew that they weren't gonna cover that, and
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: they did. And the guy who they fouled apparently his
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: name Spud Web. That brings me back. He's not like
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: five to three and dunking over everybody though, or five
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: to four or whatever he was, and he's got an
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: extra D in his name. Oh, he missed the first
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: free throw too, so it's like, stop teasing me, Spud.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: But then obviously he made the second one, and then
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: it was a three point game. Old Dominion did attempt
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: a three. Uh, that was the only hope at that
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: point that missed. And then they actually fouled again with
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: like zero point one second left or something. Yeah, great,
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: and then one more free throw was made after that. Whatever,
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: it was a very slight winning day. I mean, fine,
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: we move on to today. Let's we'll talk about today.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm being really really selective here. I have
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: two college basketball players and that's all I have today,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: and neither of them are in the conference tournament. So
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: I have a couple of regular season situations that I
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: really like. They're both sandwich spots. So that's what we're doing.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: We're going sandwiches only today. Man, We're gonna talk about
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: the conference tournament games, because that's what I do. I'm
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: gonna try to make this not take that long, and
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna switch it up, and I'm gonna start with
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: the conference tournament talk because a lot of these games
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: started earlier. I could have done it yesterday, although of
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: course my show ended very much in time anyway, but
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: let's do it anyway, man. So four point thirty pm,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley kicks off with their opening round with
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: a couple of maybe I should bring up all the
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: conference tournament brackets so I talk about it. I don't know,
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: Drake and Southern Illinois is the first game up in
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: one of the opening round games. Their bottom You know, however,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: many teams that got into the tournament. I think all
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: the teams besides like the top five or so were
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: playing in the Missouri Valley opening round. Here. Now, I've
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: been talking about this matchup. I've been talking about how
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois is underrated. Drake kind of has the name
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: recognition right now because they made the tournament two of
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: the last three years. Or something like that, or maybe
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: two in a row, maybe three out of the last
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: four or something. But they're not the same team this
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: year because Ben McCollum, Well, they weren't. They weren't the
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: same team last year because they had the Devrees era,
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: which then they just completely reloaded with the McCollum era
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: last year. Now he's at Iowa, and we're gonna talk
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: about Iowa in a bit as well, because they're playing tonight.
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: But now Drake is a different team again entirely this year.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: They're nowhere near as good. Southern Illinois is one of
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: the better defenses in the Missouri Valley and they're I
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: think a very underrated team. So I look at this
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: game and I'm like, yeah, Southern Illinois should win the game.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: They are the better team. If you look at what
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: happened during the regular season. They did. I believe they
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: split the season series. Yeah, so the Interestingly, the road
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: team won each game during the regular season. Most recently,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois did win at Drake. So there might be
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit of like an adjustment angle here for Drake,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: Like maybe Drake could make the adjustments here. The other
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: thing I look at that I don't love is that
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois won four games in a row to finish
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: the season and then the conference tournament kind of becomes
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: like a reset, Like you don't want to have you
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: do not want to have days off when you're on
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: a roll like that. I think it could hurt your momentum.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: So I don't think that's great for Southern Illinois, but
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: I think they should get the win. Especially Southern Illinois.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: You know, they're more of a defensive team. I don't
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: believe they play fast, so that should translate a little
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: bit better to something like this. Actually I'm wrong. They do.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: They do play fast, so they are a very unlucky
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: team the bottom twenty and kem Boun's Luck Index. They're
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: a top thirty defense. But I worry more about the
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: teams that rely on like finesse, offense and stuff like
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: that to get the job done. I worry more that
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: having time off makes those teams rusty more so than
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: like defensive teams. So maybe there isn't as much of
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: a as much of a concern here. But Drake lost
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: a ton of games in a row to end the
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: regular season, so from that respect, like kind of nobody's
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: gonna want Drake, I don't think. Because of that, Southern
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Illinois is a heavily public side ninety two percent of
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: the tickets and only ninety percent of the cash. They
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: drop from five five and a half point favorite to
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: a five point favorite. I would probably take the points
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: with Drake in this one, but I think Southern Illinois,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: if they get their bearings and they get through this game,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: they win this game, they could be a little bit
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: dangerous in this tournament. But this is a tricky spot
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: man to have to come off of rest like that.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: That could disrupt your momentum. So from a momentum angle
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: and the fact that Drake most recently lost at home
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: to Southern Illinois, those angles kind of point to Drake
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: a little bit here. So that's what I'll say about that.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: The other Missouri Valley games, let me see, I wish
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: they structured this a little bit differently, although I think
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: I can oh I could change it to just Missouri Valley.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: There you go, Indiana State and Valpo were playing. This
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: is kind of an ugly game. These two teams, they're bad.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: Every team in the Missouri Valley makes the conference tournament here.
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: This is Yeah, there's only one like the two decent
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: teams or good teams that are playing today, or Northern
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Iowa and Southern Illinois. Other than I was actually very
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: legit very unfortunate for them that they have to play
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: in this opening round here and have to play an
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: extra game. I mean, Northern Iowa was so much better
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: than like Evansville, who they are playing against today. By
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: the way, it's just I don't know, it's a little
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: bit of a joke, but Valpo in Indiana State, these
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: two teams both suck. I believe Valpo. Yeah, Valpo won
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: both games, but both games are close. I dug into
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: the box score, and Valpo was kind of the better
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: team in both games. They barely won both games though,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: And remember all these games are neutral location. They're all
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: in Saint Louis, So take from that what you want.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: I guess maybe some of these Illinois schools might be
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: a little bit closer than some of these other schools
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: to Saint Louis, though I don't think it matters that
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: much Indiana State Valpo. I'm gonna lean to Valpo slightly.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: I do think they are the better team, and I
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: think they kind of consider themselves to be the little
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: brother in the state of Indiana, They're usually not good
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: at all, and after Indiana State was good for the
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: last few seasons, I think it might be time for
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: Valpo to, you know, kind of get something against them.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: Though I know it is double revenge for Indiana State here,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: but both games were close, and I just don't think
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: Indiana State's a better team, as the odds makers will
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: tell you. Because valpos is two and a half point favorite,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the tickets seventy two percent of
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: the cash on Valpo. I don't disagree with Valpo in
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: that game. And then we have Evansville in Northern Iowa.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: Like I said, Northern Iowa is easily the better team here,
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: like this game. They if they don't win this game,
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you. They don't have
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: any excuse for not winning this game. They beat Evansville
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: both times this year, but they did not cover this number.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: In one of the two. They won by fourteen on
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: the road and they won by sixteen at home. I
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: think is that what it was? So that would be
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: my concern because the line is like right in that range.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: It's like fifteen today, So the odds makers know what
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: they're doing. I don't think I would want to lay
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: the points with Northern Iowa because they notoriously play really
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: slow and they're extremely good on deepfense, but they're not
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: good on offense. So I think they should win the game.
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: They're the way, way better team here, but covering a
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: massive double digit spread is a different ask. Now, Northern
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: Iowa did finish the season with one win. I think
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: that's fine. Evansville the Purple Aces coming into this losing
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: a lot of games down the stretch. They lost five
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: of their last six, so yeah, maybe having some time
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: off will help them with their momentum whatever. But the
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: extra time off I think doesn't hurt a team like
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa hardly at all because they play slow. They
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: don't rely on offensive timing really, they just rely on
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: playing lockdown deepense and playing slow. So that team having
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: time off, I don't think it's going to affect them. Really.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: The money is coming into Northern Iowa. They're up to
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: a fifteen and a half point favor but the total
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: is one twenty five and a half, sixty seven percent
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: of tickets seventy three percent of the cash on Northern Iowa.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: I mean maybe it's a game where you go, like
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Evansville under their team total, maybe something like that. I mean,
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: even that might be kind of cutting it close, though.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know what their team total is posted in
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: this game. For those of you that have books that
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: even give you a team total option, some of the
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: books do, some don't. But I don't think I would
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: lay it though. I think Northern Iowa absolutely should win
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: this game, but I would probably lean against them covering
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: just because that number is so big. It wouldn't shock
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: me if they did, though. I mean, it is a
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: it's a complete mismatch in that game, so it would
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: shock me if Northern Iowa lost that game. Like, I
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: think they have a chance to make a run in
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: this tournament. I think this game they should use it
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: as like a tune up. Get through the game, you know,
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: don't go all out in this game, save something for
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: the next game in the tournament. And maybe that's how
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: they look at it too. So I would be pretty
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: wary of laying the points in that one. But yeah,
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: I think they should win obviously, all right, Garrett, what's up? Yeah?
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: Fuck you dude. The Hornets are not better than the Celtics.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: It's it's one fucking regular season game and the Celtics
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: did not have Jason Tatum. The Celtics are basically just
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: rolling out like random players every night, and they're still
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: the better team. I don't give a shit. The Hornets
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: are gonna make the playing tournament, probably get through it,
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: and then they're gonna like lose to the Detroit Pistons
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: in like five games. So have fun watching that. Kyle,
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out? All right? What are
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: we doing? Oh yeah, Sun Belt is next? All right? Yeah,
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: get to the Sun Belt here. We have two games
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: in the Sun Belt as usual because of the fucking
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: wide bracket that they have there, it's always two games.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: I'm still pissed because Georgia Southern got through that first game.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: Then I'm gonna make it through tonight, though I would
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: be shocked. James Madison and Southern miss is the first
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: game up for the Sun Belt, though at six pm.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: James Madison was involved in the earlier of the matchups
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: last night as well. James Madison got the win. It
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: was you know, I mean expected Louisiana Socks. Easy win
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: for James Madison. Now I think this setup is actually
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: good for James Madison because I actually think they're the
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: better team over Southern Miss. And they have momentum now.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: And you know, I talk about that when a team
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: has one game under their belt. They only had to
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: play one game so far. Oh but it's a back
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: to back. They don't have any rest. Yeah, I know,
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: but they had rest before that game. You know what
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: I'm saying. When a team's played like one, maybe two
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: games in the tournament, they got some momentum, and I
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: think it's an advantage against a team that has not
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: played yet in the tournament. James Madison has their bearings,
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: they played. I know, I think the Sun Belt always
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: plays here in Pensacola, and I know Pensacola is closer
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: to Southern Miss. I get that James Madison's coming in
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: from Virginia. But they have the momentum. They're the better team,
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: and they played last night, played an easy game, got
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: the win, They got used to the venue. So I
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: think there are definitely some advantages to James Madison here.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss. I don't think they're as good of a team.
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: These two teams wound up tied in the standings, but
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss had the tiebreaker. I guess, I guess because
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: they beat James Madison. Yes they did. I think they
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: only played one. Southern Miss beat James Madison by eight
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: at home. So there is a little bit of a
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: revenge aspect here for James Madison. Again, not really revenge
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: because obviously both teams. This is the tournament, man, so
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: these teams don't need any more motivation. They're trying to
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: win the conference tournament here. But there are still aspects
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: of that where it's like, well, James Madison is the
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: team that can make the adjustments, right, Like, if you're
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss, you already beat this team. You know what
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: you did, right, but you don't really have things that
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: you can fix necessarily that went because you won the game.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: So yeah, for all those reasons, I do like James
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: Madison in this game. The money seem like it was
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with me. Now it doesn't seem like it is.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: They did drop from two to one and a half,
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: but sixty seven percent of tickets ninety five percent of
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: the cash on James Madison, so the money does look
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: like it's agreeing with me on James Madison. I would
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: money line them in this game. I don't know how
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: close I would say that is to being a play
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: for me. I mean I tend to you know, I
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: tread pretty lightly with a lot of these conference tournaments
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: because I look for like really good setups. Here. This
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: is a pretty decent setup, though, I would say when
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: you have the better team with the advantage of having
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: played the previous night, which I thought we had that
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: with Georgia with a excuse me, Old Dominion last night,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: even though Old Dominion was actually an underdog. I thought
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: they were the better team. They were not the better
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: team last night though that was a close game statistically,
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: But anyway, Yes, I like James Madison and that game
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern and Arkansas State. Arkansas State absolutely screwed by
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: the Sun Belt setup as they wound up the bottom
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: team in the six way I for second place, which
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: made them the seven seed. So they have to play tonight,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. But they're the best team power rating
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: wise in the Sun Belt. Now. The setup here kind
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: of sucks for them because Georgia Southern has a game
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: under their belt in the tournament now, so they have
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: that edge that I talked about with James Madison. Although
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: their game is a little bit more close. James Madison
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: had like a cakewalk game last night, which is good
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: because you know, you like tune up, you get your bearings.
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern got into kind of an intense game last night.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: It was the later game, but this is the later
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: game tonight as well, because they do that intentionally. Of course,
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: the team that played later is gonna play later again
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: the next night. Now, Georgia Southern, I still think they're
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: an overrated team. I don't think they're that good. They
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: got by Old Dominion. I do not really think they're
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: gonna be in Arkansas State. They did lose to Arkansas
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: State by seventeen at home earlier this year. So yeah,
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: there is I guess the road reversal angle, whatever you
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: want to call it, where Georgia Southern might be able
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: to come up with something change some things that went
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: wrong in that game. Now, I think if you do
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: anything with Georgia Southern in this game, you'd want to
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: look towards playing them in like the first half or
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: something like that, because I think that's where the location
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: edge shows itself, you know what I mean, Like Arkansas
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: State could come into this a little bit rusty Georgia
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: Southern played last night. They're not going to be totally
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: tired out yet, you know what I mean, Because you
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: get that surge of energy at the beginning of the game.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern's already accustomed to the venue, so you might
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: see Georgia Southern look better earlier in this game. But
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: I do think Arkansas State will take over and win
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: the game. But again, you got to worry about Arkansas
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: State winning their last four games then having a break
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: coming into this. It could disrupt their momentum. Like I said,
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: so Georgia Southern might have a good like early part
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: of this game. I do think our Arkansas State will
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: wind up winning the game. Laying the points, though, is
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: kind of a different story. Here. They're seven and a
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, up from six and a half. The
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is kind of coming in in
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State eighty percent of the tickets, eighty eight percent
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Arkansas State. I would probably lean
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points. Unfortunately in this one, even though
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: I want to see Arkansas State get their due and
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: make a run here. They're kind of a fun team
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: to watch, but they play fast, so the problem is
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: like Arkansas State should be good, you know, for a
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: couple of games in the tournament, assuming they get through
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: this one and whatever. But you know, if they try
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: to make a run here and try to play five
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: games in five days or something, that's not good for
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: a team that goes real, real fast. They're gonna run
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: out of energy, you know what I mean. That's the
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: problem with a team like that. But yes, they are
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: the better team. Georgia Southern is not as good as
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: their record looks. The record doesn't even look that good.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: So that's probably all I have to say about that.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: All Right, I guess we're gonna go to the matt
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: Act Sacred Heart and Iona. I talked about this in
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: my video last night when I talked about the matt
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: AC tournament bracket. So their tournament starts tonight as well,
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: with two of their opening round games between the lesser
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: teams that made the tournament. The matt Act drops their
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: bottom three teams out of the tournament. So these are
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: the lower four teams that made the tournament. Now I said,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Iona is the better of these two teams. Indeed they are.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: They are the favorite here. These are neutral location games
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: in Atlantic City, New Jersey, which I guess maybe is
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: better for Iona slightly because they're New York team. I
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: think they are somewhere north of New York City. I
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: don't even know now. Iona did play Sacred Heart once
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: this year. I believe they won. Yes, they did. They
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: won by twelve on the road, so I guess you
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: could make the argument that there is that adjustment angle
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: there for Sacred Heart. They might be able to make
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: some adjustments and play better this time on a neutral
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: Iona did win their last two games, so maybe they
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of a momentum stopping here. But
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: I still kind of like Iona here. They are the
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: better team Sacred Heart coming into this. They did win
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: their final game as well. I don't really see much
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: of a momentum angle in this one. The money is
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: slightly coming in on Iona. They're a three and a
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, up from three, although they are a
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: public side kind of, I don't know how much of
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: the public is really coming in and playing this game though.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: In the Metro Atlantic Conference, seventy to take a seventy
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Iona. Yeah, I'll agree
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: with Iona slightly. I do think they get by that game,
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: and I think they should. I mean, I think Iona
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: is a somewhat dangerous team to make some noise in
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: this conference tournament. It seems like they a lot of
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: times they do. They are just typically one of the
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: better teams in this car Conford, So I don't know.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: We'll see. Man, they do have that history, but they
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: don't have Richard Patino. Was it? Wait? Was it Richard
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: or was it Rick? Who was the coach? It might
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: have been Rick Patino was coaching. I forget. I think
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: it might have been Rick Patino. I don't know. Some
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: Patino was their coach for a while. Yeah. Inside I
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: want to kill myself. I think it was Rick. Actually,
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: because Richard Patino, I get. I get through confused with
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: Minnesota because they have the same colors. Richard Patino was
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: the coach of Minnesota before he went to New Mexico.
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: I think. All right, And now he's at Xavier, I believe,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: all right. And then Manhattan and Fairfield is the other
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: matt Ack game later at night. This game, I don't know.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: There's not much that really interest me about this game.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: Fairfield is in Connecticut. Manhattan, of course is in Manhattan.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: I think they play in like Northern They might have
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: been actually playing the Bronx. I don't. I forget, No,
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: that would be stupid. I doubt that, but they probably.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: I think they're in like Northern Manhattan. Fairfield did lose
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: their last game pretty badly, but it didn't it ended
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: a three game losing streak, so that's not exactly great.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: Like that could still be a momentum stopper. Manhattan lost
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: three games in a row to end the season against
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: decent teams though Maris Saint Peter's Iona, so you know
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: they're having that momentum stop to might be good for Manhattan.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: And Manhattan did lose to Fairfield this year badly on
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: the road. They lost by thirty six, most recently at
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: a Fairfield, so Fairfield might take Manhattan a little bit lightly.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: Man that was a crazy outlier of a game. I
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: think Manhattan shot horribly in the game. They did play
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: twice actually this year, and Manhattan actually won the first
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: game at home. But you kind of remember what you
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: did last you know what I mean, That's what sticks
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: in everybody's mind, and that was just such an embarrassing blowout.
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I think you will see a good effort out of
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: Manhattan in this one. People are gonna look at the
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: records and want Fairfield here probably, and yes they are
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: the better team. Fairfield did have the way better record here.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: But I would probably lean towards taking the points of
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Manhattan in this one. Fairfield is a six point favorite,
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of the tickets and sixty nine percent of
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: the cash on Manhattan, So some of the money for
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: now is agreeing with me. But you gotta, you know,
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: kind of like take these early morning percentages of the
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: grain assault though. That's why I like the situational handicapping,
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: because a lot of times the market will just come
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: into line with me later, which did happen with Colorado
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: State last night. By the way, the market read on
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: that one finished very strongly, indicating on Colorado State. Not
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: so much with the other game, which happened to be
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: my loser, although Georgia Southern was kind of a public
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: side though, but they did still wind up with more
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash. Anyway, again, take it with a grain
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: of salt, but my read on this would be leaning
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points in Manhattan. It looks like something
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: absolutely nobody's gonna want to do, so I would lean
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: towards Manhattan, covering in that one. All right, we got
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: a lot of conference tournament games that were talking about early, ma'am.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: I know I skipped the MIAC game that's at five pm,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: which I will talk about, and I'm doing all the
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: conference tournament stuff first. All right, Summit League is up next,
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: which gets into action at seven pm Eastern. Now, we
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: did have that one game last night. You m Kansas
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: City or Kansas City. They're just horrible, dude. Oral Roberts
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: absolutely destroyed them last night. I expected a better performance
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: from Kansas City, but god are they awful. Oral Roberts
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: got the win. So Oral Roberts does have some momentum.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: They got a game under the belt. They're playing in
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: the same venue here, which is in Sioux Falls, South Dakota,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: so Oral Roberts does have that advantage. I guess the
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: fact that they played last night had an easy win.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: Now they got to face North Dakota State, who was
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: the one seed. North Dakota State beat them. Do they
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: only play one during the regular season. North Dakota State
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: absolutely manhandled them by twenty eight points. The one game
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: that I see that they played this year, I thought
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: mostly teams in this conference pretty much played everybody twice,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: but it looks like they only played once. So anyway,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State, they're coming into this potentially rusty, although
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: lucky for them, they lost to Saint Thomas towards the
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: end of the season. That was a game North Dakota State.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: They'd wrapped up the one seed pretty early, so they
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: really came into some of these games. It just didn't
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: put in a massive effort. I don't think mostly that
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: won against Saint Thomas. They did turn it around and
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: absolutely destroy North Dakota in the final game. North Dakota
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: is kind of a fraud three seed in this tournament.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State got the win to finish the season.
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: Now they do have extra time off that might not
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: be great for them because they did finish the season
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: pretty hot. They should win the game. They're obviously the
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: way way better team here, but I might lean towards
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: Oral Roberts. Plus the points, North Dakota State's an eleven
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: and a half point faise favorite, up from nine and
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: a half. I kind of expected them to be a
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: heavier favor than that, but total is low in the
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: one forties. I'm not expecting a ton of points to
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: be scored in this game, I'd probably lean towards taking
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: the points with oral Roberts. I mean, North Dakota State
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: had it way too easy against them the first time.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: But of course it wouldn't shock me if North Dakota
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: State wins this game easily. But and they should obviously win,
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: but I would probably lean towards taking the points if
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: you're gonna ask for you know, my side opinion on that,
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: but not a strong opinion at all. Soelth Dakota State
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: and Saint Thomas is the other game tonight, So the
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: one and two seeds for the Summit are both in
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: action tonight, and then I think the three and four
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: seeds are playing their games tomorrow because you know, I
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: mean the Summit, they only I think they only play
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: at night. They only come out at night, so I
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: think they don't play games in the afternoon, so they
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: only have two games at most every night instead of four.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: That's just how they do it. It's a small tournament though,
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: so they get the tournament done in a few days. Anyway.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Cel Dakota State, as I told you, they were a
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: pretty undervalue team, I think underrated team. The record looks awful,
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: but they're usually one of the better teams in the
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: Summit and they're the third best team according to like
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: ken BOM's rankings in this conference, even though there is
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: a huge gap between. You know, you have North Dakota
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: State and Saint Thomas both really good at the top,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: and then everybody else after that. But Cel Dakota State
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: is not as bad as people think they are. They
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: had a bad loss to end the season. They lost
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: to their most recent game by fifteen at home to
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Saint Thomas, so they might have a little bit of
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: a bounce back here after that too. I think that
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: was the only time they no They played them twice.
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: They actually only lost by five at Saint Thomas, so
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: cel Dakota State put in a good effort in the
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: game at Saint Thomas, and I believe if you combine
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: the two games, I think Celtdakota State was the better
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: rebounding team out of the two. I think they didn't
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: lose the rebounding battle in either game. Actually you can
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: check me if I'm wrong about that. Even in the
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: fifteen point loss, I think they won the rebound battle.
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: They did by six, So there are some things to
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: kind of like about South Dakota State here, Man, they're
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: under the radar. They're not as bad as people think
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: they are. But last time they played Saint Thomas, they
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: took a pretty bad loss that was a little bit
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: misleading at home. Now, Saint Thomas is definitely good. They
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: could definitely shoot the ball. They're decent on defense, they're good.
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: They're debatably the best team in the conference. But I
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: just don't like how this sets up for them in
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: this first game. They're coming into this possibly having their
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: end of season momentum killed a little bit as they
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: won their last two games. I would probably only towards
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: taking the points of South Dakota State. Saint Thomas is
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: a six point favorite. They should win. They are the
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: better team, but this is a more difficult game. They
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: have a more difficult opponent here the North Dakota State does.
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: There's like no question about that. So yeah, it's interesting,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: but yeah, lead to South Dakota State there plus the
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: points of course, all right, we do have the American
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: East continuing. Man, this is gonna take me a while
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: to talk about all these conference games. The top American
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: East teams get into action tonight. We do, I believe
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: have multiple or not American East. What am I saying?
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: Patriot League? My apologies. Patriot League has four games tonight,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: but the way they do it is all the games
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: get played at the same time, kind of like the
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: Northeast Conference last night, where we saw some crazy stuff.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: In the Northeast Conference last night, Long Island didn't look good,
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: but they did get the win. Central Connecticut went down
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: immediately against Wagner. But I told you Central Connecticut was
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: not actually the second best team. Mercy Hurst got their
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: first conference tournament win as a Division I school. Ever,
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: so some big celebration there. Lemoyne I think did not
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: They were not able to do the same thing. I
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: think they lost again to stone Hill. So some crazy
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: stuff going on in that cor tournament last night. But
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: I told you I kind of like Mercyhurst in that conference.
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: Some reasons to like them, so we'll see how far
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: they can go. Baby, And I was wrong about Oakland.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: I apologized Oakland close game last night and they lost
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: to Northern Kentucky. I did say Northern Kentucky that was
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: gonna be a difficult game that they had to get through.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: And then if they got through that, I liked them
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: to make a run in that tournament. But Northern Kentucky
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: not a bad team, and they got the win last
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: night in the Horizon. Interesting stuff going on there, man,
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: all right? But yes, so holy Cross and Lehigh are
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: playing each other. Lehigh, I think is kind of a
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: false two seed in this conference. I do not think
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: that they're very good. I think that they're in fact,
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: worse than Colgate, American and BU I think I think
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: ken Bum's rankings bear that out. So Lehigh not very good. Now,
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: teams having a game under their belt it does help,
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: Like holy Cross already won a game, Bucknell already won
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: a game. But the thing is, I don't know if
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: it's as good as like some of these other conferences.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: You're playing in the same venue, right, so you you
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: turn around and you just play in the same venue again.
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: You're used to the venue. This is not what's happening here.
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: Like holy Cross just pulled off an upset at Lafayette
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: and now they have to go to Lehigh, so I
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: think they're staying in Pennsylvania. But you know, it's you
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: do have to travel, so you have to get used
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: to another venue. So it's not quite as good. But yes,
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: holy Cross does have a game under their belt. Maybe
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: that will help them. But they did pull off kind
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: of an unexpected upset against Lafayette. I didn't think they
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: would win that game. They did. Now they're going to
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: Lee High. Holy Cross and Lee High split the season
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: series with the home team winning each game. You know,
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: nothing crazy about that, really, but maybe maybe holy Cross
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: will ride some of that momentum into this. I don't
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: think lee is very good, you know, as the two seed.
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: I think it's kind of ridiculous that they're the two seed.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: Having extra time could hurt their momentum because they won
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: three games in a row at the end of the season.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: Lei is a seven point favorite here. You know, total
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: is pretty low in the one forties. I would probably
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with holy Cross, but you're
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: gonna be asking them. I mean, they only need to
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: cover those they don't need to pull off two straight
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: up sets just to cover. And it is a tournament
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: environment sometimes you will see that team kind of ride
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: that momentum a little bit. And it was kind of
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: a mild upset at Lafayette. So yeah, I mean, I'll
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: lean with the momentum with holy Cross, but I don't
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: have much on that one A. Loyal and Maryland is
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: playing at Colgate. Colgate, I think is still the second
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: best team in this conference. I know they finished way
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: behind Navy. Navy is definitely the best team in this conference. Colgate,
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: after they lost that really close game to Navy, it
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: looks like they pretty much packed it in for the
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: rest of the season. They did not have any good
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: good games for the remainder of the season, but conference
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: tournament times like a reset. Man, you do bad at
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: the end of the season, all right, Well, now you
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: get some time off, you can forget about that end
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum. So I do think Colgate will come
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: into this with a better appearance. This time. They're playing
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: at home, and the last time they played at home
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: against Loyal and Maryland, which was only three games ago,
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: Colgate almost lost the game. It was a ridiculous overtime
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: game where they won barely, So I think they're gonna
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: remember that and probably take Loyal and Maryland more seriously
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: this time. And they actually played them kind of close
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: on the road the first game too, which I guess
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: you could argue that means well Loyal and Maryland matches
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: up Okay, against them. I would probably lean towards Colgate here,
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: though Loyal and Maryland did finish the season ending their
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: losing with a one win, which I think is a
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: good thing because that kind of ends your losing momentum.
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: Still there, Colgate is up from a six and a
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: halfway favorite to a seven point favorite. I do think
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: Colgate is like more legit than Lehigh is. I would
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: probably lay it with Colgate in this one, especially after
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: they got a scare in this exact same matchup a
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: few games ago. It would be Colgate for me in
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: that one. The most interesting of these games is American
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: at Boston University. These two teams are both really close
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: power ratings wise. I think American is actually the somewhat
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: better team though, and they're getting some points here because
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: they are on the road because they wound up the
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: five seed versus the four. And even more interesting, these
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: teams played in the final game of the regular season
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: and American loss at home, so there is a little
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: bit of a road revenge angle here because now they
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: go out on the road and play the team that
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: just beat them at home. So I think you might
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: see it like a zigzag type of thing here. You know,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: kind of like in the NBA playoffs or whatever. Although
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: both teams are gonna show up like, there's not gonna
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: be any lack of motivation here because this is a
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: one and done scenario, you know what I mean, it's
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: an elimination tournament. These teams did play close both games.
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: American did actually win at Boston University early in the
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: season by two, and in that reason game they lost
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: by three. So these two teams do seem closely matched
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: against each other. A BU end of the season on
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: a really hot streak. They were the hottest team in
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: the conference except for Navy. They won like seven of
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: their last eight games or something. That momentum could be
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: disrupted a little bit by not playing for a few days,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to American in this game. BU
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: is them from three to two. Now you're still getting
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: a couple of points with American here, you know, I
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: think they might make some adjustments after that loss. They
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: just took it home to end the season, so BU
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: spoiled their you know, senior Day or whatever I guess
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: is probably what that was. Now American has the chance
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: to eliminate them from the tournament. In their place, it's
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: spoil their season completely. So yeah, I kind of lean
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: towards American in that one, and then we do a
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: buck Nell and Navy. Navy is a huge favorite here.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: Buck Nell usually they're one of the better teams in
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: this conference, but they are not this year. Now they
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: do a momentum. They did just beat Army. You know,
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: it wasn't a game that took a lot of effort
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. But Nell does now have to
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: travel to Navy for this, but they do have some momentum,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: so they were able to play more recently get that win,
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: which I think does help you having that momentum. And
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: Navy could have their momentum a little bit stalled out
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: because they have not lost since they lost to American
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: way earlier in conference play, which was their only conference loss.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: So Navy, I mean, if you're Navy and you're rolling
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: like this, you do not want to have a break
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: like this, So that could hurt Navy a little bit.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: And Navy is more of a defensive team than an
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: offensive team. So I would actually probably lean towards taking
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: the points with buck Nell here. We have a really
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: low total in the one thirties. Navy should win the game.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: But they were sixteen point favorite. It already dropped from
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: seventeen and a half. Luckily, this isn't football, so it
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: did not go through a key number. I would probably
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points. Seventy five percent of tickets
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash on Navy, so the
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: money is indicating on buck Nell a little bit in
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: that one. All right, let's keep this going. Man, We're
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: gonna have another long video here. But we don't have
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: a ton of NHL and NBA today that I think
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: like eight or nine games each, and I'm gonna roll
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: through those quickly because I don't really have much of
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: an opinion on those games. Yeah, I'm fucking mad. It's
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: the fucking Celtics. What do you want You think I'm
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: not a hardcore Celtics fan, No, dude, normally, I'm yeah.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: I'm fine at the Hornets getting back to the playoffs.
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah whatever, that's kind of cool. I'm not fucking happy
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: about the Celtics at all. The Celtics are not gonna
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: do anything this year. They need to get Tatum back
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: and then I think they I mean, there's the chance
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: that can make some noise in the in the playoffs.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: But I'm getting fucking concerned because it's probably either gonna
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: be I think it might be Cleveland that wins the
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: East at this point, which pisses me off, although I
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: still think the thunder are going to win the whole thing. Again,
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: let me see here, what do we have next? We
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: got Ohio Valley. Yeah, let's talk about the Ohio Valley next.
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: A lot of conference tournament action today. Man. Eastern Illinois
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: pulled off the kind of ridiculous upset last night against
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: SIU Edwardsville. It went into overtime too. They were pretty
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: substantial underdogs here. They were well, actually only three and
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: a half. It dropped from five and a half to
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: three and a half. So some money did come in
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: on Eastern Illinois in that one. I'm pretty shocked because
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Eastern Illinois is a terrible team. Really, SIU Edwardsville is
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: definitely better than Eastern Illinois. Now, Eastern Illinois they do
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: have momentum here and they played in the same venue.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: So this whole tournament is in Tennessee somewhere. I think
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: it is in I know it's sorry, it's in Evansville, Indiana.
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: My mistake. If it was in Tennessee U team Martin
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: might have a little bit more of a location. Ed
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: it's in Evansville, which is actually better for this conference
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: because I don't think any of the teams are particularly
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: close to Evansville, not SIU Edwardsville, which is in Southern Illinois. Anyway,
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: Eastern Illinois they're coming into this game. Well, I guess
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: Southern Indiana is probably close, but they're so bad they
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: didn't even make the tournament. Eastern Illinois actually probably shouldn't
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: have even made the tournament. They somehow had the tiebreaker
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: against Tennessee Tech, who is actually better than Eastern Illinois
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: I think. And Eastern Illinois made it anyway, and they
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: proved the haters wrong I guess by beating Southern Illinois
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: Edwardsville last night. But that could have been kind of
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: a flash in the pan. Man, it was such a
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: big win, a big game for them, because this team
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: is usually such a dormat in this conference. The question
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: is how much are they gonna have left, Like, yes,
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: they do have momentum, Yes they're familiar with the venue,
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: but they played an overtime game last night. Now they're
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: gonna play a legit team in the conference. You Team Martin,
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: who is a little bit better than SIU Edwardsville and
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: one of the best couple of teams in the conference. Actually,
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: you Team Martin. I still think it's them in Tennessee
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: State at the top of the conference. I think U
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: Team Martin probably is gonna get the win here, like
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: that type of win that Easterner Andwis had last sight
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: could take a lot out of you. They're gonna try
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: to get up for this game, but you Team Martin
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: might come into this game with a lot of intensity
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: because they were pretty bad down the stretch and they
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: finished this season with a horrific final home game, losing
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: by twenty five to Tennessee State and only scored forty
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: two points. And when that happens, I know, U Team
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: Martin's not great on the offensive side of things, but
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: when you do that, I think you're gonna show up
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: with some more effort in that next game. So yeah,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: I kind of think you Tam Martin, does get the
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: job done in this game. They are up to an
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: eight point favorite now, though with a total absurdly low
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: at one twenty one and a half. I don't think
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: I would lay it, man. I'm I mean if you
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: force me to give you an opinion on it. I
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: guess I would say, lay the points with UT Martin.
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: But I can't lay eight points with a one twenty
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: one and a half total, No way. Uh. Seventy five
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: U Team Martin. So the money looks like it is
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: coming in on them for now lost little bit of value.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Six and a half a lot more appealing because now
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: it's through that key number seven. I just don't know
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: if Eastern Illinois has a whole lot left in the tangle. Though,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: a lot of times you'll see those teams like you know,
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: just make they get on a run and they just
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: have that momentum and they just keep riding that wave.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know if Eastern Illinois will be able to
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: do that though, we'll see, I guess, but yeah, I
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: think U Team Martin probably does at least get the
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: win in that game. So maybe you could use them
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: as like a money line parlay piece or something like that.
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: You know me, I don't love parlays. Eastern Illinois under
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: their team total is an option, but actually U Team
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: Martin over their team total might be the better option,
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: even though they don't score that well. They're coming off
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: a game where they score forty two scored forty two points, man,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: so you got to think their focus is gonna be
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: on scoring more in this one. And by the way,
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: I was correct about the over in the Stanford Notre
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: Dame game last night, so my read. You know, when
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: I have a stronger opinion on these totals, they're coming
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: through and I didn't do it. So I'm not happy
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: about that. I'm happy that I was right, but you know, anyway,
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: the second game is linden Wood and SEMO Southeast Missouri State.
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: These games all in the same venue. Like I said
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: in Evansville, I'm pretty sure linden would won last night
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: against Little Rock. I thought Little Rock might get the
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: job done, but Little Rock is they're one of the
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: teams in this conference that takes a ton of threes,
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: so they're really high variants and it was not working
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: out for them for the most part last night. Linden
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: Wood got the job done. Linden would pretty new to
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: Division one, so I think it's kind of a new
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: experience for them to get like tournament wins here. But
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: they're running into a pretty legit Simo team here. Now, Cimo,
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: of course, is the team without momentum here. Lindenwood does
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: have the momentum. They are used to the venue, so yes,
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: that is an advantage. Semo won four of their last five,
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: so they did finish the season hot, but they lost.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: Luckily for them, they lost their second to last game,
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: so maybe they won't quite have like a momentum disruptor here,
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: not having played the last couple of games, or not
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: a couple of last couple of days, I should say, Cimo.
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, it was a lot more tempting to just
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: play them on the money line when they were minus
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: one favorite here, but now they're already up to three
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: and a half, so I think the legit money is
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: coming in on CEMO in this game, and they are
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: the better teams, so I don't really disagree with this.
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: Uh seventy five percent tickets ninety seven percent of the
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: cash on CEMO. I mean, we'll see what happens here,
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I kind of need George Simo here. I
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: forgot to look at what the previous meetings looked like.
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: Semo beat linden Wood on the road. Team actually won
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: both games, interestingly, so they split the season series one
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: and one, and the road team won both, but the
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: more recent win was SEMO winning at Lindenwood, so maybe
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: Lindenwood does have some of the adjustments to make. I'm
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: not gonna put too much weight into that though. And
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: then U Tam Martin against the Eastern Illinois did beat
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: them I think at least once. Yeah, they beat them twice,
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: although UT Martin didn't do well against them at home,
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: they barely got by them. And then they did play
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: a bit better against them on the road and beat
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: them by more on the road. But Eastern Illinois was
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: pretty competitive against them in both games. So somebody keep
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: in mind in that one. You know, U Team Martin
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: was not able to beat them by eight in either games,
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: so that is something to keep in mind that that's
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: another reason to not really want to lay the points there,
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: even though I said on Lean that way, Yeah, I'm
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: definitely I'm not gonna do it. Oh yeah. And then
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: in the Patriot League, I forgot to call out, like,
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: what these teams did, you know in their other games
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: against Well Bucknell and Navy. I think was the only
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: one I forgot to call out what they did against
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: each other. But of course, Navy beat buck Now twice.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: I mean there's we obviously know that because their only
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: conference loss was to American, and Navy did play buck
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Now twice and they beat them twice. You know, nothing
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: to really see there, nothing unexpected, all right, rest of
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: the conference tournaments stuff, you know, most of this stuff
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: is not conference tournaments. So we have regular season action
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: still going on today in the Mediac, the Swack, the American.
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: These are all regular season games. Big Ten Conference USA
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: that's all regular season. Those teams start their conference tournaments later.
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: The Whack is still regular season as well, and the
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: Big West is a regular season as well. So all right,
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: I think I went through all the conference tournament stuff, right.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: You can let me know if I missed any, but
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: I think that was all the conference tournament stuff, and then, yeah,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: I think I got it all done, all right, regular season.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Both of my actual games are in the regular season matchups.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: We do have an espn U game between South Carolina
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: State and North Carolina Central. I don't know why this
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: gets a TV spot. I guess because it's at five
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: PM and there's not a whole lot else going on.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: But the Missouri Valley Conference action is going to be
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: the better thing to watch I have bought. I'm sorry
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: and the Sun Belt. Probably sorry to the MEAC, but
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: you know, I rarely have plays like in the MEAC
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: and the SWACK. It's just, you know, it's they're the
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: bottom tier conferences. They're just really difficult to handicap. South
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: Carolina State did just get a win against Delaware State,
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: but they're playing a third straight road game now, and
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: they did just beat North Carolina Central at home by thirteen.
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: Even though I believe North Carolina Central is the way
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: better team n C Central. They're coming back home finally,
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: and the last time they were at home they barely
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: got by Morgan State. Who's I know, they're near the
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: top of the conference, but they're actually not that good.
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean to NC Central here, man. I
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: think they are the better team and the last time
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: they played South Carolina State they got embarrassed. Final home
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: game for MCY Central. These teams are both they think
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: still kind of playing for seeding in the MEAC for whatever,
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: for whatever that's worth. In their conference tournament, NC Central's
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: an eight point favorite. I think they might have been
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: almost an eight point favorite on the road when they
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: lost so you might actually even be getting some line
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: value in this one. No, they're only two and a
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: half on the road, my mistake, but yeah, I would
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: probably lay it with NC Central in that one. But
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion at all for me in that one,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: all right. The other regular season games of interest Howard
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: and Norfolk State in the MEAC is interesting because these
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: two teams are two I think they're the two best
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference on the Morgan State being a
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: fraud is in there between the two and the conference standings.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: But this game does have implications on the conference standings here.
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State did just lose to Morgan State on the
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: road somehow, even though Morgan State, Yep, they're still fraudulent.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: Howard crushed Morgan State in the game before that, so
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: I think the setup probably wasn't that good for Norfolk
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: State and that one. I think Norfolk State, well, they'd
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: come up, you know, lackluster win against copp And State,
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: but they did have Howard on deck, so I don't know.
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: Maybe they overlooked Morgan State even though Morgan State's above
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: them in the standings. I don't know. I don't know
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: what happened in that game. They should enough, because Morgan
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: State beat them at home. So Norfolk State did not
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: do well against Morgan State for whatever reason. Howard had
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: crushed Morgan State in the game before that, though, so
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: I think Morgan State was looking for a bounce back
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: after an embarrassing loss, so they came out with some intensity.
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: Now people are gonna look at this and say, well,
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State lost to Morgan State and Howard annihilated Morgan State,
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: So of course Howard's gonna win this game by a ton, right,
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Howard beat Norfolk State already at Howard
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: by twenty eight points. Howard is the better team, There's
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: no question about that. Howard is the best team in
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: this conference by a significant margin. Actually, Howard is on
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: a huge win streak. They win five games in a row.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, Man, this is the last game
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: I think for both teams, and for Norfolk State it
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: is a home game for them, it's their final home game.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: So for what that's worth, you usually stepping up for
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: your final home game. I'm gonna lean towards Norfolk State. Man,
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: they have the chance to prevent Howard from wrapping up
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: the conference regular season title. If Howard loses. I think
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: it depends on what Morgan State is gonna do in
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: their final game. I think as far as who's gonna
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: win the conference, Howard is a five point favorite here.
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: Fifty percent of the tickets there, but ninety percent of
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: the cash on Norfolk States, the money coming into Norfolk State.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna disagree with Norfolk State there. Like I said,
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points with them, and
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: it's you know, not a very high total in the
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: one forties UH ESPN two at seven BMS Tulane and
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: Temple ESPN Tulane. This is a game between two teams
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: that I just don't think are that good, and they
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: have kind of both fallen off in the American standings here,
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: but they're still playing for like conference seeding. I don't
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: know if any of these teams get dropped from the
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: conference tournament. I think these teams will both get in,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: but they're you know, they're playing for seeding and whatever.
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: Tulane did beat Temple by eleven at home already, so
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: maybe there's a little bit of a vengjangle for Temple here.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: Tulane does finish the season with their final home game
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: against Memphis, so maybe a little bit of a look ahead,
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: even though Memphis is playing awful right now. Tulane did
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: lose their last games and blowouts though against Tulsa in
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: South Florida. Now, those are the best two teams in
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: this conference, but you don't want to lose in horrific
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: blowouts like that, so maybe they will still show up
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: for this game for Temple. Temple's on a horrible losing
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: streak themselves though, They've lost six straight, including losing at
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: home as a favorite to Rice, and they're staying at
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: home here, and while yes they do have Tulsa on deck,
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: this is a revenge game for Temple. This is their
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: final home game the team that started their long losing
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: streak was Chulane. So I think Temple is gonna show
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: up for all those reasons and probably not be looking
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: ahead to Tulsa here. So I would lean to Temple
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: in this one, I believe it or not. Their five
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Who's gonna want to lay five points with
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: the team that's lost six in a row and that
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: has the worst record, you know what I mean? But
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: the osmanagers are telling you Tulane is still overrated and
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna really disagree. Seventy three percent of tickets,
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on Temple. I agree. If
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play the game, I would lay it
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: with Temple. The other game in the American that does
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: get a TV spot on ESPN U, not ESPN Ulane
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: at seven pm is Tulsa in East Carolina. Oh boy,
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: so we have a legit team against a not legit team.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: Tulsa's on a three game win streak. Here possible that
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: they overlook East Carolina. I guess. I don't think they've
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: played them at all this year. But East Carolina not
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: a good team. A second straight road game. Tulsa's coming
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: off some pretty satisfying wins where they put up one
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: hundred points against Utsa and then they put up ninety
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: in two pretty much blowout wins, that one against Tulane.
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: So you know, maybe Tulsa comes into this a little
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: bit cocky. They got Temple on deck in their home finale,
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: a Temple team that I believe they also have not
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: played this year. So there's no revenge angle or anything
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: like that there. East Carolina. This is their final home game.
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: You gotta think they probably will get up for this
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: game because it's against one of the top teams in
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: the conference. But they did just beat Memphis at home,
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: which is a nice upset win. I believe for East
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: Carolina at home, so you know, you're asking them to
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: put in another big effort two games in a row.
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: I would probably still lean that way towards taking the
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: points with East Carolina. Tulsa dropped from ten and a
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: half to nine and a half. Here seventy seven percent
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: of the tickets in eighty percent of the cash on Tulsa,
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: but they're a public side, you know. I don't put
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: that much stock into a three percentage difference there between
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: the ticket count and cash count there. I would probably
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: take the points with East Carolina, but not a strong
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: opinion for me at all. Louisiana Tech at Liberty. I
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: considered playing Louisiana Tech in this one. Liberty, they've already
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: wrapped up the Conference USA one seed, so they really
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: don't have anything to play for except well, it's not
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: even their final home game, so they were coming off
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad performance against Jacksonville State. But they
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: did end their two game losing streaks, so Liberty did
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: at least end their losing streak. But you know how
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: Liberty rolls, man, they keep constantly playing these close games,
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: so I'm probably expecting this to be another close one.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: And they do have Sam Houston on deck in their
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: home finale, so Liberty might look ahead to that because
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: that's going to be their final home game. They might
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: want to test themselves against the team it's likely to
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: be the two seed in the CUSA. And really the
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: main threat to them in this conference is Sam Houston
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: and that is who they played to finish the season,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: although they did beat Sam Houston once by eight on
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: the road. But I don't see them paying a lot
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: of attention to a lot of Tech here man when
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: Liberty has really nothing to play for here. I think
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: that Sam Houston game is bigger. And Liberty already won
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: at Louisiana Tech by sixteen points, so they really might
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: not pay much attention to them here. La Tech I
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: think actually has the better defense here too, believe it
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: or not, Liberty is more of an offensive team. LA
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: Tech is coming off a lost at home in their
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: home finale, they lost to Florida International. Maybe they were
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to Liberty here. I think you will get
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: an effort out of lot Tech. The money's coming on Liberty.
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: But there's no way that I would lay the points
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: with Liberty and a team that plays all these close
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: games and they have already wrapped up the one seed
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: and this is not their final home game, Like, why
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: would you lay points with Liberty? I would not agree
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: with that at all. I would take the points with
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: LA Tech. This is close to making my card. Sixty
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: five percent of the tickets on LA Tech. I doubt
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: that that's accurate. Like, there's no way the public is
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: playing lat Tech in this game. Liberty ninety five percent
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: of the cash. Yeah, I don't know. We might see
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: those percentages shift around, man, because I don't buy it.
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports actually is televising Sam Houston's game at Delaware,
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: and this doesn't look like an interesting game, but it
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: could be Sam Houston. I believe they are still trying
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: to clinch the two seed in the the Conference USA.
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: I think they're still vulnerable to Western Kentucky. I believe
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: because they did lose once to Western Kentucky, so Western
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: Kentucky might have the tiebreaker. They split a season series,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: so Sam Houston is playing for clinching the two seed.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: The problem is they're on a nice five game run here,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: but they're going to Delaware, who sucks. They already beat
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: Delaware once at home by twelve. And look who Sam
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: Houston has on deck. I already told you who they
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: have on deck, Liberty. They got to go to Liberty.
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: And Sam Houston, by the way, is coming up winning
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: their conference, winning their home finale, I should say, against
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: Missouri State. So yeah, this could be a major look
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: ahead potentially Liberty. Man. I mean, everybody kind of knows
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston is playing for the two seed here and
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: they're laying points on the road. For that reason, I
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: would lean towards Delaware in this one, man. Sam Houston
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: might be looking ahead to that Liberty game. Sam Houston
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: will be a threat in this conference tournament, There's no
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: doubt about it. But in this spot I would take
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: the points of Delaware. Sam Houston is a seven and
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: a half point five. We don't really see the percentages yet,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: but I think they're gonna be a public side too,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: and the public might play it because it is a
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: TV game and they want some TV action, although this
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: might get overshadowed by the conference tournament action and stuff.
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: Bethune Cookman and Florida A and M and the Swack.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: Bethune Cookman already ran away with the one seed here,
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: so they really don't have anything to play for here.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: There are already four games ahead of their next four
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: nearest competitors in the Swack, so Bethune Cookman is already
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: the one seed in this conference tournament, so they don't
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: have anything to play for. They did just beat Southern,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: who is one of the main threats to them, I think,
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: even though Florida A and M, who they're playing tonight,
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: is actually tied with Southern in that second place spot there,
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: but Southern is the better of those teams, and Bethune
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: Cookman did just beat them on the road. Now they're
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: playing a third straight road game. They're playing a Florida
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: A and M team. They already beat it home, although
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: they only beat them by four, So I guess they
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: might take Florida A and M seriously for that reason.
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: But I would have to lead to Florida A and
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: M here Man Bethune Cookman to have anything left to
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: play for. Really, you know, they're already the one seed here.
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: Florida A and M is still playing in that four
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: way tie there, they have the chance at the two seed.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: They're gonna show up for a game against the top
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: seed in the conference. Man, and they're back at home
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: for this home finale. I would lean to Florida A
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: and M in that one. You know, somewhat close to
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: being a play for me. I considered it, even though
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: the swack is not something that I usually dabble in.
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: But theune Cook went up to two and a half
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: minus two and a half on the road. There's no
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: way that I would lay points with them in a
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: spot where they just might have no motivation. All right,
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: Next up is my first actual play. I actually love
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: this spot. And you're gonna think I'm dude. Nobody's gonna
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: like this play. You're gonna think I'm insane. But this
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: is what I do, Man, Grow a pair of balls, baby,
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: and this is what we're gonna do. We're gonna play
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: Iowa plus nine against Michigan. Oh yeah, this is what
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: we're doing, baby. I think this might be the best
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: play on the board. This is on Peacock at eight
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern Michigan number three in the country. I think
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: they might be the best team in the country. Still, dude,
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: people are kind of talking about Duke in Arizona now,
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: and I'm thinking Michigan might wind up being my champion
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: pick in Bractete. But we'll see Michigan. Look at what
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: they what they're coming off of. Man, they just went
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: on the road and beat Illinois handily. That is not
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: easy to do the man, that is a really nice
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: win for Michigan against a team that was a projected
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: two seed. Illinois is a very legit team. Man, They're
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: really good. It's just Illinois. They're not a good defensive team.
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: You know who is a good defensive team though, Yeah,
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: that'd be Iowa. I was more of a balanced team though,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean Illinois is just more imbalanced and
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: they're just good on offense, not good on defense. But
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: huge win for Michigan. And who does Michigan have to
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: finish the season at home even though they did already
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: beat them once? They have their rival Michigan State, who's
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: up to eighth in the country, man on deck. So yeah,
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: and that's their final home game. Yeah, this is a
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: major sandwich spot here. Man. They're playing Iowa. I don't
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: believe they played at Iowa this year at all. Iowa
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: is sneaky man. They're very well coached. They're Ben mccollin team.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: They slow the game way down, which is not what
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: Michigan wants. Even though Illinois is kind of a slow
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: based team, they're kind of I don't know, jackal and
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: Hyde where sometimes they will play fast. Now Iowa, I
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: know their defense is actually not as good as Illinois.
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: They're just not as good of a team. But Iowa
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: was just much more balanced, is what I meant. That
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: they're not focused on one or the other. They're a
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: very balanced team. Ken Bom has them twenty third in
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: the country, by the way, so he has Iowa as
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: being very overlooked right now. They're a top twenty five
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: team according to him. They're unlucky according to Kenbam at
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: two seventy in Locke, whereas Michigan's one fourteen. So Michigan's
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: overperformed a bit. According to Kenbom, Iowa's underperformed fairly significantly.
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: And like I said, Iowa is one of the slowest
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: ten teams in the country, and that is not what
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: Michigan wants. And you know, actually I'm gonna I hesitate
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: to want Michigan as a champion because they play too fast.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: They're fifteenth in the country in tempo. That worries me. Man.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: I don't want to have to take Duke. I don't
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: want to have to do it. I don't know. We'll
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: see what happens with the brackets look like Michigan. You know,
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: I just think these fast tempo teams just lose steam
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: by the end of a long tournament like that, although
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: you do get breaks in between, you know, like the
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: toughest games are the second of those back to back
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: where you have to play like a game two days
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: after you just played, you know what I mean. Anyway,
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: I'm rambling Michigan likes somebody really really fast in Iowa.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna let them now. I know
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: Michigan will try to speed it up. Michigan is the
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: better team here, but it's easier to slow the game down,
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: and it's easier to do something about the pace when
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: you're at home. I think Iowa might be able to
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: do that might frustrate Michigan. But this gets even better
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: because you know you're gonna get an all out effort
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: from Iowa because not only is this against Michigan, which
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: is a huge deal, but it's a TV game, it's
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: Iowa's final home game of the seas, and so you
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: know the crowd is going to be rowdy, and I
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: would just lost to Penn State. Nobody is gonna want Iowa.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: That was a horrific loss against Penn State. Penn State
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: is god awful. That was a horrible loss for Iowa
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: over the weekend, and that's what I was coming off of.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: You know, you're gonna get a massive effort out of
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: a team that just lost a game like that, and
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: they were coming off of a nice home win against
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: Ohio State, and they had Michigan and Nebraska on deck.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: So that was a horrible spot for Iowa and that one.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know why I didn't give up Penn State
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: as a player. I think maybe Penn State had something
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: going on with their spot. Yeah, Penn stated, I don't know.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: I should have given it out. Actually, I don't know
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: why I didn't. Maybe I just didn't consider the win
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: over Ohio State to be that big I guess, But yeah,
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: Iowa was in a massive look ahead spot there. And
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: look at what Iowa's done at home. Man, They've beaten
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: Nebraska at home. That's pretty good. They played Illinois to
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: within six points at home, beat Ucla at home. They're
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: gonna be a tournament team. They've won most of their
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: conference home games. Let me see what is their conference
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: home record? I know they beat a lot of bad teams, though.
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: They beat Maryland, so that's two and o two and
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: one with that lost in Illinois three and one, but
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: Rutgers sucks four and one, usc whatever five and one,
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: beating Northwestern six and one, six and two, sorry because
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: they lost in Purdue six and two, seven and two
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: in conference play, Iowa is seven and two straight up
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: at home. Although yes, obviously Michigan is the best team
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: they'll face at home. But they did play both Nebraska
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: and Illinois to within this margin at home. Lost in Purdue.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: But Purdue is a slow based team that's just better
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: than Iowa. So I think that's kind of what happened there.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: I believe Nebraska plays faster. No, actually, Nebraska play is
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: pretty slow. I don't know, man, I'm used to Nebraska
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: and Illinois both being faster based teams, just because they've
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: kind of changed their identity, which is weird. Anyway, I'm
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: rand we're taking Iowa. I think it's a great spot
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: to do it. The money is agreeing with me on this.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: Seventy percent of the tickets on Michigan fifty to fifty.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: On the cash loose League, the line is eight and
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: a half. Now, I mean not a huge difference between
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: eight and a half and nine. Find the best number
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: that you can on it. I mean, Michigan they should
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: be a public side, so this number should really not
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: drop that much. I wouldn't expect, but yeah, that's where
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: we're going with that. We're going to Iowa Fox Sports
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: one at eight pm. We have Rutgers at Michigan State.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: I think I forgot to handicap this game. Actually, when
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: I was looking at the games this morning, I don't
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: think I see a whole lot here though. Rut Well,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: here's the thing. Rutgers just ended a losing streak. You know,
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: they'll get up for a game against Michigan State, but
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: they did. You know, Rutgers just won on the road
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: against Maryland. But now you're gonna be asking him to
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: put in a huge effort as a road underdog twice
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: in a row. They're playing a fourth road game in
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: five games. And the problem is Michigan State might take
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: Rutgers seriously, because they almost lost to Rutgers on the road.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: Man Rutgers took them into overtime when they played at Rutgers,
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: although part of the reason why that happened was because
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: Michigan State had Michigan on deck and they were probably
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that. And who does Michigan have Michigan
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: State have on deck this time? Oh yeah, they have
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: Michigan on deck again, So they play Rutgers again in
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: the game before they have to play Michigan. So yeah,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: that might not be great for Michigan State. Michigan State's
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: coming off some pretty nice wins, rolling against UCLA, barely
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: getting by Ohio State, beating Purdue though, nice win there
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: on the road, and then a nice road went over
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: Indiana and what I thought was gonna be a spot
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: I gave out Indiana as a play. I thought Indiana
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: was gonna put in a big effort in that one,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: and they didn't. So, you know, even though Michigan State
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: almost lost to Rutgers before, I still think the movie
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: would be to take the points of the Rutgers. Michigan
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: State's a twenty point favorite here, that's kind of ridiculous.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: I think they were like probably about twelve and a
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: half in the road game against ruts Let me see
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: what were they on the road, Like, I think this
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: line has moved kind of too much towards Michigan State.
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: Let me see the line at Rutgers was Actually it
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: was fourteen and a half, So I guess this line
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: isn't that crazy. But still, Michigan State is seventy three
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty six percent of the cash on them,
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: so they are taking some of the money right now.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: But we know Michigan State plays slow. You know, they're
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: not gonna want to really put in a whole, you know,
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: a full game where of effort when they have Michigan
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: on decks. So Michigan State might want to just get
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: in get out of this game. Even though Rutgers did
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: almost beat them before, it's a low total in the
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: one forties. I still think I would lean towards taking
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: the points with the Rutgers there, but I don't really
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: want it all right, Let's see here, what else we
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: got going on here? I already talked about the conference
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: tournament games, so we got all that done. Uh, let's
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: see here. Oh no, I forgot I forgot a couple
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: of the tournament games, and my mistake, there are some
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: late night tournament games, or at least there are two
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: in the West Coast Conference. My mistake, Good thing I
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: caught it. Let's look at the West Coast Man, so
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: you get a little bit of extra tournament action here
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: in the late night slate. The West Coast Conference has
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: that long bracket as well, though at least it's not
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: as long as the Sun Belt. But the lesser teams
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: are going to be playing in this one. Pepperdine and Portland,
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: and San Diego and Loyal mary Mount are playing now.
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: Pepperdine very strangely, actually beat Portland both times this year,
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: and I think Portland is actually the better team. Pepperdine
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: actually beat them twice by four at home and on
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: the road by eight, but that was pretty recent and
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: maybe Portland will finally make some adjustments here. Man, Portland
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: is still the better team, although I kind of think
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: the public might actually kind of like Portland here because oh,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: that's the team that beat Gonzaga, like they must be
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: the better team. But in fact I think they are
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: the better team. They only finished the season by busting
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: their four game losing string of the win, so I
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: think that actually might be a good thing for Portland.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Pepperdine finish the season with one win as well, so
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: that's you know, that's all right as well. But I
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: think I would lean to Portland to finally get over
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: the hump and beat Pepperdine. The money's coming in on Pepperdine,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: though Portland down for three and a half to three.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: Here tickets sixty six percent of the cash on Pepperdine.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I think Portland might be able
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: to make the adjustments and finally get it done. They
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: are the better team, which the oddsmakers are telling you.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: I think the money coming in on Pepperdine maybe kind
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: of fading that oh Portland beat Gonzaga sentiment. I don't know.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with the game, but
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: I think the better team might finally get the job
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: done there. And then San Diego is at Loyal and
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: Marymount or sorry not at Loyal and Merrima. These games
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: are all in Vegas at the Orleans so these are
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: all neutral site locations here location wise, I guess Pepperdine
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: is closer to Vegas now, the tournament being in Vegas
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: might have more of an impact on the teams that
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: are newer to this conference because they're not you to
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: it as much. But that doesn't apply to any of
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: these teams today. These teams are all in. They've all
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: been in this conference for a long time. San Diego
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: and Loyal and Marrymount both California teams. Whatever, San Diego
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: lost four games to end the season, including losing to
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: Loyal and Marrymount. They lost both games to Loyal and
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: Marrymount on the season, on the road by twenty and
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: at home by twelve. Now, Loyal and mary Mount is
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: the better team, but maybe they take San Diego a
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: little bit lightly for that reason. Loyal and mary Moount
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: finished the season with a tougher game against Seattle. Yeah,
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: this is a tough calling me and I know Loyal
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: and mary Mount is the better team. I would probably
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points, though Loyal and Marymount down
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: from six and a half to five and a half here.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, we have seen some somewhat weird upsets in
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: the early rounds of this West Coast Conference where it's
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: just teams that are all kind of not that great
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: that are all playing against each other. I guess I'd
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: probably lean with the market movement there towards taking the points,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: but I don't have much of a feel for that
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: game at all. So that's that game there, all right,
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: at ESPN two at nine pm. This game, I think
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: is actually kind of interesting. South Florida at Memphis. Will
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: Memphis finally look like what they're supposed to be? I
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: don't know, man. I think Penny Hardaway is getting fired.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: He's obviously not a good coach, which I've been saying
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: for quite a while. But this is just a really,
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: really bad season for Memphis. Six losses in a row.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, this could be the final straw. The fact
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: they just lost to a horrible East Carolina team. I mean,
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: at least their other losses were to reasonably decent teams.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: But I mean, come on, man, this is gonna be
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: their final home game, it's a TV game, it's against
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: the top team in the conference. They already lost by
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: twenty one on the road to South Florida. So if
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Memphis is gonna give you an effort to do anything
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: at this point, it's got to be in this game, man.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: South Florida. They're close to wrapping up the one seed
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: in the American they haven't quite done it yet. Wichita
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: State is actually closest to them, and then Tulsa even
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: though they Tolsa is the second best team. South Florida
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: is on a roll right now. They do have a
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: lot of momentum seven wins in a row, but they
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: just absolutely obliterated tou Lane and because they already killed
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: Memphis once, I just don't know if they're really gonna
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: put that much stock into this Memphis game at this point,
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: even though it is a TV game. Memphis does have
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: that name recognition. I would take the points with Memphis, man,
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna give you an effort at all for
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: the remainder of the season, it's gotta be in a
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: game like this. South Florida is a six and a
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: half point road favorite here. Seventy eight percent of the
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: tickets are on them public on South Florida. Here. It'll
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: be a TV game where the public might get involved because,
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: oh South Florida. They're in the bracketologies man, and everybody's
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: talking about how they might be like potentially an upset team.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: You know, a team that might pull off an upset
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: in the tournament. Well, they're gonna make the tournament. First,
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: we don't know if they're gonna win the American but yeah,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: I mean they seem to be kind of a hyped
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: team right now. They are the best team in this
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: conference for sure. But Memphis is not Like talent wise,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: Memphis is not as bad as the record looks. Seventy
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming back into Memphis. Memphis has
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: had some injury issues this year too, but I think, yeah,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: Memphis is gonna give you anything. It's going to be
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: in that game. So that's the way I would lean.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: And then we have CBS Sports at nine pm. We
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: got Kennesau stayed at UTEP. I don't know why this
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: game is on TV either. This game is pretty bad.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: I think UTEP is trying to avoid missing the conference
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: tournament probably, I don't even know, man, I don't think
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: these teams have played each other at all this year.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: For a team like Kennislaw, who's in Georgia, it's gonna
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: be really weird to go on the road to El Paso.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: I think Kennislaw hasn't been in this conference for that
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: long either, so it's kind of a weird travel spot
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: for them. They won four games in a row they
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: beat Liberty and then didn't suffer a letdown. They won
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: against Delaware in their final home game. Maybe the letdown
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: comes here against a bad UTEP team. New Mexico stayed
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: on deck for them. Who is I think still better
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: than people think they are UTEP. This is not their
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: final home game though, because they do play Jacksonville State.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: But they've lost four games in a row, three of
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: them are on the road. Last time they were at home,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: they did play really well against Liberty and lost the game.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: And they actually they've had some good games in here, man,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: they actually won the previous two home games. They played
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: well on the road against Sam Houston there. So this
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: UTEP team is not like a total dormat here. I mean,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: most of the teams in this conferences aren't that great,
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: and I think it's a big deal for UTEP to
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: have a big CBS sports game like this. So I
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: would lean UTEP in this one. Kennesaw down from three
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: and a half to two. It looks really really easy
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: to lay points with kennisaw Man not laying that many points.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: Basically just picked the winner. That looks way too easy.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: Eighty six percent of the tickets are on Kennesaw seventy
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on utep I would lean
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: to utep in that one. All right, keeping it going, Man,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: what else we got. Jacksonville State just played really close
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: against Liberty, so I think they're probably in a hangover
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: spot after that Liberty game. That was their conference That
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: was their final home game too, so that was a
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: big deal for Jacksonville State. They fell just short of Liberty.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing New Mexico State. But New Mexico State
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: one of the games they did manage to win was
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: at Jacksonville State, so Jacksonville State does have a little
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: bit of a road revenge angle here, so they might
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: still show up for this. And that's one of the
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: reasons why I don't want New Mexico State here. Although
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State is the better team, they're laying points
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: and it looks like they shouldn't be because their record
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: is way worse. So the public is not gonna want
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State. And I keep telling you how underrated
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State is. It's just that every single game
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: it seems to be that they're on the wrong side
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: of the free throw to severity, which is ridiculous. But
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State, they're coming back home. They did win
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: the last home game against UTEP and almost beat Liberty
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: at home before that, so it's like they're a horrible
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: home team, but you're asking them to win by margin. Here.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: We'll see if they can do it coming back home.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: This is not their final home game, and they did
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: already win this matchup on the road. Like I said,
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Mexico State, but I don't think
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: I can get there with it, and it's already up
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: from four and a half to six seventy eight percent
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: of tickets ninety six percent of the cash on them.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: I would lay it if I was gonna play it
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: because Jacksonville State just had that close game against Liberty,
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: but I don't think I could do it all right,
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: And then my final game, which I think will be
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: the last game we'll talk about here for the day.
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: In in the college basketball segment here, which has been
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: a long segment, We're gonna go another sandwich here. We're
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: gonna take our old pals at Long Beach Stage, who
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: I think have traded me all right this year and
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: I played them. We're going to the Walter Pyramid, baby.
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: They literally play in a pyramid that only seats like
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: five thousand people. But it's a weird venue. Although obviously
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: the teams in this conference are used to it because
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: they play there every year. But we're gonna fade. You
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: see Davis in this one. Man. Now, looking at the
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: conference standings, you see David. But you see Davis has
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: something to play for him. Man, they're playing for seeding. Yeah,
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: I know, but I think that's part of the reason
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: why you see Davis is gonna be over valued in
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: this game. Long Beach. I don't think they can make
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: the tournament. I think the Big West drops their bottom
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: three and it's already guaranteed that that's Long Beach, Riverside,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: and Bakersfield. They're all out of the tournament already. So
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: but you might say, well, that means Long Beach has
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: nothing to play for. I disagree, because this is their
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: final home game and they know they only have one
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: game left and they have to go to a fucking
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: Hawaii to play that game. I think they're gonna show
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: up for their final home game. Man. Last time they
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: were home, they played pretty well against north Ridge, although
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: they lost the game, but they've been decently competitive at
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: home man, I think I gave you Long Beach against Hawaii,
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: and they covered against Hawaii at home. So this team
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: has been all right at home and that's what we're
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: gonna hear. And they have momentum because Long Beach just
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: broke a long losing streak. Man. They've lost countless games
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: in a row. I don't even know how many that is.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: I can't even count. They finally won against a bad
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: bakers Field team. That's good, man. I think it's good
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: when you break you're losing momentum like that. If it
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: was an upset, I know it was. I was a
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: mile three and a ha, No it wasn't. They were
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: a three and a half way favorite. Holy shit, that's crazy, dude,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: that Bakersfield is that much worse. Yeah, they are really
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: the worst team in this conference. Wow. But anyway, Yeah,
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: that's good for Long Beach because they broke their momentum.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: It's not a game, it's gonna you know, make them
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: over confident. They broke their losing momentum. This is their
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: final home game where I think they're gonna go all
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: out for this. I think this is their senior night
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: because their last home game was three games ago and
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: they get a chance to play spoiler ish and they
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: get to play a revenge role in avenging role because
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: you see Davis beat them already at you see Davis
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: by seventeen. So I like how the sets up for
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: Long Beach quite a bit. Man. Meanwhile, you see Davis.
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: First of all, it looks really easy to play. You
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: see Davis here, doesn't it basically have picked the winner here. Yeah,
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: with the team with the way better record. Look at
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: what you see Davis is coming off of. They just
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: almost beat Hawaii at home. That was a close game
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: against Hawaii. I'm pretty sure they're within like a couple
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: of scores late in the game here. Hawaii was winning
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: the whole game, but you see Davis got to within
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: one basket late in the game. Took them right to
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: the wire pretty much. And they have you see Irvine
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: on decks. So this game is sandwiched in between the
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: top two teams in the Big West. Who are that?
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: You know they're the top two teams standings wise and
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: in power ratings. Yeah, this is a major sandwich spot,
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: I think, man. And that was their final home game
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: against Hawaii or they went all out, man, You see,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: Davis will be in the conference tournament. I don't think
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: they care that much about which one of these seeds
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: they get. Man pretty unlikely still at this point that
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get one of the you know, top four seeds,
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: which would mean they would get an extra buy or whatever.
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: But yeah, we're going with Long Beach in this one.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: You see, Davis is up to a two point favorite,
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: like I said, at fifty seven percent of tickets and
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash on Long Beach, So
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it is coming in on Long
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: Beach this one. I don't think the public is getting
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: involved in. So this one you might need to play sooner.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: Grab the points with Long Beach there, all right, and
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: then I guess Cal Paul and you see Irvine is
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: a little bit interesting because you see Irvine actually lost
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: at cal Poly earlier this year, believe it or not,
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: but they were coming up a big game against Santa Barbara.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: So you see Irvine actually might take cal Poly seriously
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: for that reason. But they are coming up three huge
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: games in a row against you see San Diego, who's
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: really moved up again, north Ridge and Santa Barbara getting
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: wins against both of those teams. So I guess there
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: is an argument they're in kind of a letdown spot here,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: but I think they should show up against a team
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: that they know beat them earlier this year. Cal Paly
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: just lost a four game win streak against you see,
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: San Diego. They probably will still show up for a
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: game against Irvine, though, I don't know. I just thought
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: it was an interesting handicap. It's a difficult handicap Irvine
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: at nine and a half here eighty nine percent of
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: ticket's only seventy percent of the cash on Irvine, so
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: the money is leaning towards cal Poly again there. I
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I could see Irvine getting that thing
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: and winning that. But Irvine does play slow style game,
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: not slow as in cal Poly slow, which stands for
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: San Luis Obispo, which is where cal Poly is located.
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: Pretty stupid that that's in there, Naily, I guess there's
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: another cal Poly somewhere. I don't know, not in Division
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: one there isn't. But anyway, yeah, Irvine, because they're gonna
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: probably try to slow the game down a bit. Cal
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: Poly tries to go way fast. I don't know which
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: tembo is gonna win out, Probably the Irvine slowness will
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: win out. So I don't quite want to deal with
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: that game. But you know the money the market read
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: is saying to take the points for what that's worth.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: All right, let's go to NHL. Here, we have Toronto
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: at the Rangers. I don't have anything in the NHL
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: worth the NBA today, so I'm gonna try to get
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: this done. Though. Toronto is coming off. I mean, they
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: haven't once since before the Olympic break. Man, They've lost
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: every game since then. They're coming off two straight overtime games,
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: and they're on a back to back. They're playing a
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: third game in four a's now, with both of the
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: first two games going to shootouts. They are they're at
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: least staying in the New York New Jersey Ara here
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: because they just lost that New Jersey. But I don't know, man,
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: I don't love playing on teams that are in back
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: to backs and just don't have any rest. But you
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: might still get an effort out of them. And of
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: course they're playing at Madison Square Guard and when we
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: know the Rangers are terrible. The Rangers lost here again
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: on Monday out of Columbus, another overtime game. But the
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: Rangers have way more rest although that we'll be factored
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: into the line. But I think I would have to
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: lean to the Rangers here, man. I mean, both teams
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: are coming up kind of bad losses. Rangers are up
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: for minus one ten to minus one thirty. Although I
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: know the Rangers, I basically never want to play them
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: when they're at home at this point because they're so horrendous.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: There seventy percent of the tickets, seventy four percent of
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Rangers. I think the actual money
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Rangers side, and I would
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: agree with it, but you're having to pay a little
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: bit of an extra price, I think because of the
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: rest edge that they have there. So there's no way
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna touch that game Utah at Philadelphia. Utah just
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: meat Washington, UH to start their road trip. Now they're
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: coming into Philadelphia here. You know, I don't see it
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: as being a spot that I could really gather anything from,
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: Like looking at that situational spot there for Philadelphia. They
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: just want at Toronto in a shootout. They have multiple
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: days off, so they're the more rested team, although they
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: are coming back home, but it was only from a
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: one game road trip. To Toronto. So I don't think
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: it's one of those return home spots where you're gonna
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: be totally distracted or anything like that. This is one
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: where I would look to the market because I don't
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: have any situation we'll read on this at all. What's
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: interesting is that the market is telling you Utah is
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: a significantly better team. They're up from minus one twenty
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: to minus one twenty seven despite being on the road.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: Seventy seven percent of tickets ninety two percent of the
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: cash on Utah, So the money is saying Utah there.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: I guess I'll agree with it. I'll agree with the
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: market in that one, but I don't really have a
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: strong reason to besides the market. But you know, I
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: incorporate market reading into my handicapping, but mostly go with
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: situational stuff, and you know I do. You gotta factor
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: in everything, factor in numbers a little bit too. There's
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: an ESPN hockey doubleheader here. The first game is Buffalo
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: and Pittsburgh. It's an interesting game, although I think both
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: teams are not as good as their records look. Buffalo
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: I think probably is the more legit team than Pittsburgh,
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: though Buffalo, look at this run of games though. They
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: just won at Florida. One at Tampa Bay blew them out.
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: In fact, they came back home and they still won
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: again against Vegas. Now that you gotta go back out
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: on the road to Pittsburgh, it looks like a pretty
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Buffalo and at some point they're gonna
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: have a letdown. But maybe it's not gonna be here
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: because they did just lose to Pittsburgh the last game
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: before the Olympic break. Pittsburgh embarrassed them in Buffalo five
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: to two. And it's a short trip at least from
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: Buffalo to Pittsburgh, So I don't know. Maybe I don't know.
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: Maybe you'll still get an effort there. But Pittsburgh's coming
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: off a loss at Boston. They had smashed Vegas the
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: game before that. I liked Boston in that game against Pittsburgh.
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: My Bruins did get the job done. Pittsburgh now back
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: at home hosting an ESPN game. I would lean to
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh here probably, but the money's coming in a Buffalo,
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: And like I said, the oddsbeakers are telling you Buffalo
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: is the better team, as they're a favorite on the
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: road here. They're up for minus one or down for
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen to minus one twelve. They're a bit
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: of a public side, seventy seven percent of tickets eighty
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on them. But in this one,
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: I do think the situation is a little bit worse
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: for Buffalo. I think I would look Pittsburgh in that
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: one as the home dog, but not a strong opinion.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: Florida at Columbus. Florida is on a bad stretch right now. Man.
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: They're actually they have more losses than wins at this point.
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: They've lost three straight. Horrible lost to New Jersey on
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: Tuesday five to one. Florida was a road favorite there.
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: I expected a lot better out of them in that game.
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get a focused team from Florida
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: on this one, man. I mean there's still the back
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: to back defending champs and they've lost a bunch of
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: games in a row, including just getting upset on the road.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's not something we're used to seeing out
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: of this Florida team, even though they're not as good
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: this year. Columbus is staying at home, but they aren't
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days. I mean, sure
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: they'll get up for a game against Florida. But I
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: think if you're gonna look at a game like this
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna get a focused effort out of the
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: better team, I don't know. I kind of like Florida
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: on this one, but the money's not agreeing with me.
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: Florida is a public side, which is not good. Eighty
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: three percent of the tickets, seventy eight percent of the
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: cash on them. Columbus down for minus one to fifteen
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: to minus one oh nine here, So the Margaret Reed
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: is saying Columbus, I slightly disagree with it in that one,
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: but you know that one's not gonna be anything I
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: want to do anything with Boston at Nashville. The Bruins
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: are coming up that win over Pittsburgh. That was a
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: nice win for the Bruins. Now they gonna go down
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: to Nashville. I don't know how much attention they're gonna
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: pay to Nashville. They did beat them at home in
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: late January, but it went into overtime. Nashville seems like
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: they do tend to play well, specifically against the Bruins recently.
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: For whatever reason, Nashville is playing a third game in
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: four and as fourth game in six days, by the way,
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: with travel between all of them, but they've lost three
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: games in a row. The travel from Columbus isn't really
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: that bad. I would lean Nashville in this game back
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: at home. Not a strong opinion, but the money seems
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: like it's agreeing. Unfortunately, as a Bruins fan, down for
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: minus one to fifteen to minus one eleven at nashvilleists.
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: So the oddsbegers are telling you the Bruins are just
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: the slightly better team here. Sixty two percent of the tickets,
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash on Nashville. It seems
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: like the market always gives respect to Nashville, though, and
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: they're I don't think they're as good as the market
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: keeps telling it, as the market wants them to be
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: as the market keeps telling you they are. The Bruins
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: are not a good road team, though, so keep that
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: in mind. Nashville is okay at home. The Bruins are
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: much much better at home. Tampa Bay at Winnipeg, Tampa
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: Bay just took another lossyit. I expected a much better effort.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: This Tampa Bay team is really good. I'm shocked that
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: they got absolutely demolished by Minnesota five to one. I
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: think they're the better team over Minnesota, and they were
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: a favorite on the road there. I expected a lot
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: better of an effort there. Now we're looking at Tampa
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: Bay losing the last two games by a combined score
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: of eleven to three, with Vasilevsky and Net in both games.
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: That's insane. I think they're such a good team. You
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: gotta expect they're gonna bounce back after being embarrassed like that.
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: But Winnipeg is starting to play a little bit better
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: with Hello Book back there. I don't know if he's
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: gonna be a Net tonight or not. They do have
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: a day off, they're staying at home. They just barely
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: got by Chicago at home. You know they're gonna show
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Tampa though, And they did
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: just lose at Tampa in late January four to one.
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: So I do think Winnipeg will show up in this
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: game too. So this might not be the game where
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: Tampa turns it around. Man ninety five percent of the
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: tickets in ninety eight percent of the cash on the lightning,
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: they're a very public side up for minus one seventy
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: to minus one to eighty five. I like Winnipeg in
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: that one slightly, although I don't know, man, because Tampa
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: did the better team in a spot where you gotta
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: be in an embarrassed, angry mood. So I mean, if
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: you're gonna play Winnipeg, I think it would be like
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: a puck line situation there, just to stay within the
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: number and get you know, good goaltending because Winnipeg does
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: at least play close games a lot of the time.
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: All Right, Ottawa at Calgary, this was probably the closest
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: one to making my card. Ottawa blew it for us
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: here on the show the other night against Edmonton. Bad look.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: I mean it was a big effort, man, So I
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot for them coming off of that.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: They had Edmonton completely on the ropes, up four to
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: two in the third period, up four to three of
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: the minute and a half to go, and then they
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: lose in an overtime against a good team as a
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: road dog, that is brutal. Now they're coming off of
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: that game and they're playing Calgary, I would have to
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: lean to Calgary and this one Calgary just got outsolutely embarrassed.
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: But they were in a return home spot from kind
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: of a quick ish road trip that took him to
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: the Pacific coast, though that road trip returns Spot a
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: lot of times. Is tough, man. Even though you gotta
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: think they should get up for a game against Dallas,
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: they got absolutely crushed by Dallas, losing six to one.
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: So I think Calgary will give you a much better
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: effort here staying at home of an embarrassing loss like that.
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: This has to be Calgary or Pass. You're getting a
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: really nice price on it too. Ottawa is all the
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: way up from minus one forty five to minus one
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: seventy one, and all the money's coming in on Ottawa.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: And I have no idea why fifty percent of the
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety two percent of the cash on Ottawa. There's
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: no way I would. Yeah, Calgary I think is the
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: best hockey lead of the day, which I don't think
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: it's strong enough to be on my card, but yeah,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: that's the way I would look. You're gonna get a
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: nice line on Calgary there. I would split it, probably,
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: put part of it on the puck line and part
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: of it on the money line. Probably there, or if
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: you really want to be ballsy, you just go money
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: line on that thing. Pay attention to who the goalie
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: is gonna be there, It will probably be oh Mark,
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: I would I would think that if Ollmark wasn't in
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: net Ottawa would not be that big of a favorite
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: because he is their better goalie obviously. So and then
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: we have the Islanders at the Kings. The Islanders played
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: last night and they got absolutely obliterated. That should have
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: been in my card. I gave you Anaheim as a
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: lean on the show yesterday and Anaheim absolutely destroyed the
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: Islanders five to one. Anaheim's really good at home. Now
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: the Islanders use Ridditch again because they think they were
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: preparing on using Soak and in this game, for whatever reason,
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: they're gonna use their better goalie in the second of
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: the back to backs. That's one thing to consider that
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: the Islanders will have their better goalie in net Here.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: Now the back to back is somewhat mitigated by the
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: fact that they're only going like thirty minutes up the
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: street from Anaheim to La Here. But they did just
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: lose a long wind streak and they hadn't lost. It's
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: before the break. So a lot of times when you're
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: not used to losing and you take a loss, it
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: will hang you over into the next geame, so the
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: Islanders might be in a hangover spot. The Kings, it's
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: tough to say whether they've been playing better or not
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: with the you know, their fired coach. I think they
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: only played one game actually since they fired their coach,
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: and they lost four to two at home to Colorado,
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: So how can you really tell. I mean, they actually
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: played pretty well in that game. Actually, believe it or not,
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: that Colorado put in an empty netter at the end
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: of that game, so that the Kings were within one
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: goal late in that game of Colorado against Colorado, so
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: they did actually play pretty well. I think. So the
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: fired coach phenomenon might be helping LA here in this one.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: But they're coming up a big game against Colorado, so
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: I don't love the spot. But this is the second
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: of the ESPN doubleheader here, so they are hosting a
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: TV game. The money is like the market is strongly
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: indicating on the Kings. They dropped for minus one fifty
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: five to minus one thirty one. Eighty percent of the
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: tickets are on the Islanders. I think nobody's gonna want
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: the Kings here. Like from the recreational better standpoint, seventy
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on the Kings. The money
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Kings. I can't do it
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: after they play close against Colorado, but it looks like
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: they might have a spark with their new interim coach there.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: The Kings are also really not a good home team though,
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: so that worries me as well about playing the Kings
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: as a home team. I will not do it very often.
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: They're in fact really bad at home nine to fourteen
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: and seven. Islanders are actually pretty good on the road
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: eighteen twelve and three, So things to keep in mind there.
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: And then we have NBA to finish it off here.
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: I think we have about nine NBA games here with
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: an Amazon Prime doubleheader with a couple of the better
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: games of the night. Dallas is at Orlando to start
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: off the slate here, not one of the Prime games.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: Dallas has lost four games in a row. Now, we
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: got to keep an eye on whether Cooper Flag is
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: coming back or not. He hasn't been back yet. So
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: if Cooper Flag comes back in this game, you know,
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: I talk about that the reverse injured player spot where
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get some value probably playing against Dallas if
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: Flag comes back, because the line will have to move
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: towards Dallas, and Dallas might take a little while to
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: get the chemistry back with him and whatever. So if
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: that happens, maybe Orlando's worth a look in this one.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: Orlando did just beat Washington easily, but whatever, they're staying
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: at home. But I think you will get an effort
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: out of Dallas though, because they keep losing and they
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: just got blown out by that Charlotte team. So yeah,
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: it's a game that I probably wouldn't want anything to
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: do with either side anyway. Magic run for eight and
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: to have to nine, which is kind of indicating that
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: I don't think Flag is playing here, but I don't know.
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: Sixty three percent of the tickets and only fifty three
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Magic. So right now
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: the margerit is saying to take the points with Dallas,
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: and I guess if you do it now, you have
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: the chance the Flag comes back, and then if he does,
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: you will have line value on it at least because
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: the line will drop. But not a game I want
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: to touch. We got to get really, really, we got
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: to be selective in these late season NBA games, man,
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: because so many teams that are out of it, like
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: start kind of resting their players, and it becomes and
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: you don't know how to handicap the games anymore. Utah
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: at Washington might be one of those games. Utah just
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: played two really close games against Denver, almost beating them,
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: and then they went to Philadelphia and played really well again,
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: although I think it was a game where Paul George
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: not the George. It's there for Utah, Keante George. He
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: had a good game for Utah. Paul George and I
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: think Embiid we're both not playing in that game for Philly. Still,
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: Utah almost pulled off another upset. So they're coming off
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: two games where they almost pulled off upsets and now
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: they're on a back to back, so it is a
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Utah. Here Man and they're kind of
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: rolling with a thin rotation. They got a lot of injuries.
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: So the Washington does two Washington's coming back home from
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: one road game against Orlando, they have a day off,
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third game in four d's, but with
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: one trip to Orlando in between. I would have to
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: look towards Washington in this one. But you're laying three
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: and a half points with them now, either up from
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: a pick them to three and a half. If it
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: was still to pick them, I'd probably put that on
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: my card. If you want to do like, you know,
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: put it in a money line parlay, parlay them on
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: the money line with who was the other team I
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: recommended doing that with. I forget it was some college
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: basketball team in one of the tournaments. I can't remember
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: which though, But yeah, I mean, I think the Wizards
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: will get the win here, but I don't think I
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: want to lay three and a half with a team
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: that also has basically nobody playing, and it's really questionable
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: people are I mean, the public's not gonna want to
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: do it either though. But there's a reason why the
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: Wizards are laying three and a half. I think some
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: of it is because the Jazz are on a back
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: to back though, so I think that's influencing the line
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Fifty percent of tickets eighty five percent
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Wizards. I'd still lay it
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: with the Wizards if I was gonna play the game,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: but I think at that price it's a little bit
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: too much. I wish, you know, I'd seen it earlier
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: and jump on it at a Pickham price, but we'll
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: pass on it Brooklyn at Miami. This game could be
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: a zigzag Brooklyn. These teams just played on Tuesday in
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: the same game. The line was about the same. It
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: was like Miami twelve and a half, and Miami won
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: easily one twenty four to ninety eight, winning by close
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: to thirty points in that game. So it could be
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: a zigzag where maybe now Miami they won't really have
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: focus in this next game because they just beat Brooklyn
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: and everything worked. Nothing worked for Brooklyn, So maybe Brooklyn,
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: we'll give you something here and we'll make the adjustments.
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: Miami does have Charlotte and then Detroit it up next.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: Those are bigger games Charlotte tomorrow, so I would zigzag
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: this and I would lean to the nets. But it's
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: not that strong in an opinion for me. The Heat
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: are actually getting some of the money right now then,
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: down from thirteen and a half to twelve and a half,
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: So line value wise, I think it's probably there because
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: they're laying about the same amount that they were in
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: the other game two days ago. Sixty nine percent of
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: tickets seventy nine percent of the cash on the Heat,
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: so the money is coming in on the Heat. But
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: I would disagree. That game would be Brooklyn plus the
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: points or pass for me. Of course, you don't have
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: to worry about the effort that Brooklyn's gonna give you.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: But I think you're getting smashed by that same team.
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: I think that will motivate them at least a little bit.
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: Golden State at Houston still don't know what's going on
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: with Steph Curry. He's not back and he's not even
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: on the injury report anymore, so I don't know if
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: that means he's shut down for the season. You know,
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: Golden State, they might not even make the playoffs because
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: the West is so good. Playoffs. What playoffs? Don't talk
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: about it? Playoffs? You kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: we can win a game another game. So yeah, Golden State,
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: they are coming off losing both games at home against
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: the LA's the Lakers and the Clippers. Starting a road
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: trip on TV. Maybe they'll give you an effort here, man.
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: I mean a lot of times teams will give you
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: a good effort to start the road trip. They're playing
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: at Houston. Houston's a good team. Houston is returning home
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: from a road trip as well, So the situational spot
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: is not great. They've been on the road for a week.
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: Houston went to Orlando, Miami, Washington, so at least it
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: wasn't a West coast trip for them, but still a
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: road trip or turn. You know, I talk about that
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: a lot of times. The team won't be focused when
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: they return on from a road trip. They got stuff
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: to do at home. They've had two days off. But
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: still a lot of times having those days off will
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: put you in a situation where you're getting used to
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: being at home again and whatever. They might still get
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: up for it because it is a prime game. It
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: is against Golden State, but it is Golden State without
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: Curry and without Butler. So I don't know. The Rockets
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: are laying eight and a half here ticket seventy four
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, I'd probably still lean
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points of the Warriors. We have a
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: pretty low total in the two like the two teams
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: here two fourteen, which you know in the NBA a
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: lot of points get scored anyway, But that is a
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: low NBA total at the very least. But based on
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: the situation where you have a team starting a road
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: trip against a team returning from one, I usually always
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: am going to lean to the team starting the road trip,
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: so slightly to the Warriors for me. In that one
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: Toronto at Minnesota. Toronto's of that tough game. Man, it
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: looks like they got blown out by the Knicks, but
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: they didn't. I'm pissed Toronto was hanging around in that
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: game for most of the game and there was still
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: down four with four minutes left. I'm pissed about that
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: because that was a play I gave on on the show.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: And yes, I have been betting these games over the
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: last few days, so I'm trying to win some money. Man,
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: it's been up and down over the last few days.
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: I need some more income. Baby. Toronto's now going on
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: the road for one game to Minnesota. You know they
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: should get up for a game against the Wolves, because
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: the Wolves are good. But you know, coming off that
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: close call against the Knicks that was a lot closer
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: than the final makes it look. Well. First of all,
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: that does mean Toronto played better than it looks, but
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: it also doesn't mean they're coming off a really tough
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: effort there. But Toronto is better on the road, so
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: that is something to consider in this game. Minnesota just
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: barely got by Memphis, So I do think Minnesota is
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: staying at home. I think they will show up for
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: this one. They were coming off a nice win against
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: Denver and returning over from a road trip. So I
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: think I gave you guys lean on Memphis in that
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: game and bad spot for Minnesota. Memphis was able to
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: show up there. Memphis has actually been putting in some
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: effort recently, let's see here. So in this game I
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: would probably lay it with the Timberwolves. Here the money
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: is completely disagreeing with me though they're down from six
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: and a half to six. But I think based on
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: the spot that I just showed you, I think I
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: would lay it. But I don't want to go against
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: a market read like this really either. Seventy percent of
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: the tickets and fifty three percent of the cash on Minnesota,
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: so they're a public side with less than the money
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: on them. But based on the spot, I would lean
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: to the tea Wolves. Detroit at San Antonio is actually
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: probably the best game of the night, and it's not
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: on Amazon Prime. You know these are. I think these
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: might be the one seeds right now in their respective conferences.
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: Maybe the Thunders still are in the West Detroit's coming
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: off a tough game though against Cleveland, a big Eastern
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: Conference matchup, Man, and now they're gonna go to san Antonio.
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: Not the easiest spot for Detroit here, Man, coming off
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: a big Eastern Conference game where Cleveland got rev against them.
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: San Antonio just absolutely housed Philadelphia by forty So they
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: might be feeling pretty good about themselves though. But they're
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: returning home from a long road trip and they started
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: that road trip by winning at Detroit. So there is
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a road revenge angle here for
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: Detroit where san Antonio might not fully focus against Detroit
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: after they beat them on the road to start the
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: road trip. It was a successful road trip for them,
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: and it was a long one over a week. And
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: you know, I talked about that when a team returns
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip, a lot of times they
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: will not show up with enough focus in that game,
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: even though it is against a good Detroit team. I
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: would have to fade san Antonio in this one. Man.
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: I can't quite get there with Detroit coming up that
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: all the really big game the game prior to this,
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think I would have to play Detroit here.
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: It's a little bit of a road revenge angle in
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: quick succession, so Detroit might be the team to make
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: the adjustments. The money's coming in on the Spurs, I
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: don't really agree with that. Obviously, they're up to three
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: and a half sixty four percent of tickets, eighty four
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: percent the cash on the Spurs, but I would lean
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: Pistons in that game plus the points. Chicago at Phoenix.
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know we should be looking at who's playing
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: for each team here, but I think for the most part,
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: the lines aren't really like the Lions don't like look
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: like they're out of whack or anything like that. So
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: I'm like, Okay, you're probably getting pretty much the team's
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: like full roster or whatever. There Maybe not in this
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: game though, the Bulls at Phoenix. The Bulls just played
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: pretty decently against Oklahoma City. Man, now they are starting
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: a road trip. The Bulls have at least given you
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: some effort in the last few games. Though it wasn't
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: enough to cover for me against Portland. But the Bulls,
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: you know, they have been putting in some effort. They
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: are starting a road trip. Sometimes you will be focused
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: to start a road trip, but it's gonna be tough.
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: For them coming up that game against Okay, see, dude,
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: that was a big game and it was fairly close
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: with like four minutes to go in that game. So
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what kind of effort they're gonna be
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: able to give you here in this one. Phoenix. I
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: think they do have Devin Booker back play well in
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: the last game, so I think Phoenix is actually in
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: a decent spot. They just went on the road to Sacramento.
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: It wasn't the greatest spot because they'd just beaten the
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: Lakers the game before that. Phoenix they still probably covered
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: though well I don't know if they did. They won
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: by eleven. Let me say, yeah, they covered. They were
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: nine and a half way favorites, so they did still
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: cover at Sacramento. Now, Devin Booker came back in that game,
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: so the star player came back. And you know, I
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: like to look at a team the second game the
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: star players back because a lot of times the star
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: player when he comes back after a long layoff, you know,
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: uh like he won't be up to speed right away.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: The team has to reassume there are other roles. And
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: you could see Booker didn't make any of the the
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: stat leaders you know, he didn't make the stat leader sheet.
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: I looked at the box score he played, but he
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: didn't have that great of a game. But now that
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: he has a game under his belt, I think you're
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: gonna you're gonna get a better effort out of Booker here.
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: And yes, I know Brooks is still out for Phoenix,
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: but they've been playing pretty well, man, even with their
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: injuries in play there, they've been playing pretty well. So
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: I actually like Phoenix in this game. I think it's
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: gonna be tough for the Bulls to come off that
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: other game. The money is saying the Bulls here, but
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: I think I would lean towards laying it with Phoenix.
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: This Phoenix team is they're pretty good, man, and I
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: think people still don't really respect them. The market is
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: respecting them. They're minus ten and a half, sixty three
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty four percent of the cash
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: on the Bulls. Money kind of coming into the Bulls here,
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: Like I said, but with the Bulls having to play
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: the Thunder pretty they played the Thunder fairly well. And
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: now turn around go to Phoenix plus Phoenix second game
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: with Booker back, I think Phoenix is the side on
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: that one Lakers at Denver is the late prime game
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: at a ten PM on Amazon Prime. The Lakers are
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: coming off not playing particularly well against the Pelicans. They
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: did get the win. Now they're going on the road,
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: although it's only a single road game, and the Lakers
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: historically have not done particularly well at Denver in recent years,
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: so they just seem to not match up well. I guess,
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: you know, a coastal team, like a C level team
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: going into elevation doesn't really jive too well with them.
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: Denver is the better team as well the Lakers. I
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: know they're the Lakers, I know they have star power,
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: but they're just not a good defense man. But they
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: will be focused in this spot. I think, coming off
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: of lackluster game against the Pelicans with momentum coming into this.
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 1: Denver is coming off a bad game too, though they
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: went to Utah barely won the game, and now they're
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: back home, they've had a few days off. I think
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: they're gonna give you an effort here against the Lakers,
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: So I think both teams should give you an effort here.
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: The money's all coming in on the Lakers, but I
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: actually kind of disagree with that. If you're gonna get
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: an effort out of the Nuggets. I think they're probably
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: the way to look. They're up from four and a
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: half to five here. Sixty five percent of the tickets
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: are on the Nuggets, but eighty four percent of the
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: cash on the Lakers. So the money is saying the
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: Lakers in this game. Again, I don't really think I
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: agree with that though. As far as who's in and
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: who's out here, Aaron Gordon looks like he's still out.
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: Still time for Denver here, So Denver does have a
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: few more injuries to deal with here in this uh
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: game here, But there's still Denver. They still got Jokich,
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: they still got most of their team there, They're still
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: playing pretty well. Yeah, I mean I probably lean Denver,
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: but not a strong opinion for me. And then we
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: have New Orleans and Sacramento. Now, New Orleans did play
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: pretty well against the Lakers. They were actually close in
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: this game down the stretch man. In fact, they were
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: winning the game late in the game. They're winning the
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: game with a few minutes to go. With seven something
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: minutes to go, New Orleans had a six point lead
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: in that game, and then they were still within one
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: possession with two thirty one to go, so you know
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: what I mean. The Lakers did have a scare, although
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: well Lakers in Denver both had huge scares. But New
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: Orleans just almost upset the Lakers. Man And you know,
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: I talk about this, there were seven and a half
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: point dogs. You know, when a team does that and
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: they play really well as a big dog like that,
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: a lot of times you're gonna see a flat effort
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: out of them in the next game. So I do
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: like the Kings in this game. The King's just lost
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 1: again at home, but it was in a return home spot.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: And you know I talk about when teams were turned
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: on from road trips and they don't do well in
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: that first game back, A lot of times they get
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: settled in, they get whatever they need to do done
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: at home, and they play a lot better in the
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: next game. It is also kind of quick revenge because
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: early in February, Sacramento got embarrassed at New Orleans by
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: almost thirty points. But you don't have to worry like
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: how much of an effort is Sacramento gonna give you.
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: But the fact that they played really well against the Lakers,
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: I think does kind of tell you that the effort is,
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: you know, probably gonna be there. Pelicans are up to
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: a five and a half point road favorite here. Which
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: should the Pelicans be that much of a road favorite
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: against anybody? Maybe not seventy one percent of the tickets
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: on them, fifty five percent of the cash on the Pelicans.
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: The public wants nothing to do with the Kings. But
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: as you can tell from what I'm saying, I would
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: take the Kings in this one if I was gonna
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: play it. I think it's actually one of the better
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: leans in the NBA today. I don't love the NBA board,
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: but I think Kings plus the points would be the
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: lean in that one. And who does New Orleans play next?
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: I guess that is the other question. Let me see
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: it's it's Phoenix. I mean that's tomorrow too. You know,
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: I kind of want to add this to my card.
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: Let me see Phoenix. I mean, they're pretty good team.
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: They're probably gonna be a playoff team, playoffs. M you know,
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: it's getting towards the end of a road trip where
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: teams do start getting a little bit tired. Sometimes towards
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: the end of the road trip. Hmmm. Uh, it's a
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: close calm and I worry about the effort. They're gonna
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: get out of Sacramento here though, and New Orleans is
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: the team that gave you the effort against the Lakers.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: So did Sacramento give us an effort in this game
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: against Phoenix? Let's see, I mean kind of. I mean
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: they were in that game in the second half. They're
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: actually winning the game in the third quarter, So I yes, yeah,
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: you could say, yeah, I guess Sacramento did give you
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: kind of an effort in that one, even though it
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: was a return home spot. I'll leave it off, but
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: this is really close to being a play man, I'm
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: considering it. I like Sacramento there, but that's gonna do it, Man,
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: Long Show. Today. The plays that I have are Iowa
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: plus the points at college basketball. We're focused on college
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: right now, Man in Long Beach, I'll plus the points
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: at college basketball. Keeping it a bit selective today. That's
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Man, learn a toad on Twitter. You
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: subscribe to me there, that helps me out, of course,
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Jeffrey. I've seen Jeffrey on Twitter a
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: little bit, but he hasn't been coming, you know, into
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: these lives anymore. He probably can't because I don't know.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming he works or whatever. But shout out to Jeffrey,
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: shout out to everybody. I apologize for being a dick.
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: Well not really, but yes, Garrett Kyle, thanks for hanging
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: out man. Garrett, you brought other people to my show too.
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: I can't be mad at you, man. I'm mad about
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: the Celtics fucking loops, so I get into a rage
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: over it. You're poking the bear baby, poking the leper con.
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: But yes, subscribe to me on Twitter, Learn to toad,
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: Learn to toad on Instagram. You can get the short
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: betting content there. Like subscribe, you know, give me the
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: good replies on the channel here. That helps me out
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: boost this channel. Baby. If you missed my show that
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: I did last night, I talked about more of the
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: conference tournaments, some of which are starting today. It was
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: a shorter video, it's like a half hours. You can
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: go check that one out. I'll be doing another one
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: of those in a few days, probably to finish off
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: like the small conference tournament ones, and then I'll do
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: one for like the big conferences, depending on how they
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: line up. I don't know. Some of them might start
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: earlier than others. So we'll see how I want to
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: do that. But yeah, it probably gonna be two more
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: episodes like that, so be on the lookout. Listen on
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: audio as well. That helps me out. You can review
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: on audio here. This show is on audio Spotify, Apple.
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: Gotta put last night's show still up there before I
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: put this one up. Then we got covered in you
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: because my U channel on YouTube. Boost that thing up,
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: like subscribe over there, and then you know, I've been
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: thinking about adding another YouTube channel that that I have
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: to build from nothing where I talk about pop pop
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: culture gets a lot of views. Man, So like people
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: like to hear people's opinions on things. I like it
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: as well, So I might start doing that Toad's takes
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: or I'm just gonna talk about I don't even know
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: what movies, music, who knows TV. We'll see. I might
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: start doing something like that too. I'm gonna have a
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: million channels and if one takes off, then then good.
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: Before I get banned from everything, No, hopefully that doesn't happen.
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: And then oh, Patreon, Patreon, dot com, slash learn to Toad,
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: throw me some support there. That helps me out as well.
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: You can find my links. They're all on Twitter. Go
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: to my link tree. It's it's on my Twitter bio.
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: All the links are there also, including Loser Cast, the
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: comedy show that I'm on, So check that out too.
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. JW. Texas? Is that what that is?
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: What's of course? It's Texas. You got the long words?
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 1: What's up? Brother? I'm about to get out of here, man, So,
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: but thanks for checking out the show. I appreciate it.
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 1: You have no money? Oh man? Oh, thank you sir,
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: Thank you guys. CA. I hope I didn't offend Garrett
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: too much. I think he'll be back, though. I'm gonna
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: ask sometimes, man, especially if you're poking you know, my
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: my Celtics there. Man, I get dude, I'm a Boston fan.
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: What do you want from me? I get enraged, you
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. That's how we are, That's how
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: we fucking ah here a kid, we get fucking pissed.
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: If you badmount the Seas, you're not gonna bad amount
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: the seas here in this stream. Get out of here, kid,
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: All right, that's gonna do it. Let's get some wins today.
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: Peace for now, guys. Let's get these wins. Man on
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: whatever I have Iowa plus the points in Long Beach
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: plus the points for JW. There. Those are my playces today.
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 1: I know if you don't watch my show off and
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: you're gonna think I'm an insane person, but yes, I'm
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: actually are gonna put money on those. Let's let's get
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: some wands at peace. Mm hm