Latest / China Considered / China’s Pandemic Legacy: Politics, Power, and Public Health with Yanzhong Huang | China Considered | Hoover Institution
Transcript
- 0:07- Welcome to China
- 0:08Considered a podcast that brings fresh insight
- 0:11and informed discussion to one
- 0:12of the most consequential issues of our time,
- 0:14how China's changing and changing the world.
- 0:16I'm Liz, Economy, Hargrove Senior Fellow
- 0:18and co-director of the Program on the US, China,
- 0:20and the World at the Hoover Institution at
- 0:22Stanford University.
- 0:24Today we're gonna talk about China and public health.
- 0:27It may seem like a niche issue,
- 0:29but from everything that the world has seen with regards
- 0:31to SARS and then with COVID, we know that
- 0:34what China does at home has enormous implications
- 0:36for the rest of the world.
- 0:38And to guide us on our discussion, we're very fortunate
- 0:41to have Yanzhong Huang.
- 0:43He is a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations
- 0:46and a professor at Seton Hall University.
- 0:48He's also the author most recently
- 0:50of toxic politics in in-depth exploration into
- 0:53how China's environmental problems contribute
- 0:56to its health problems.
- 0:57Welcome, Yanzhong. It's great to have you with us.
- 1:01- Well, thank you, Liz, for having me.
- 1:03- So let's start with what's going on inside China.
- 1:07You have, I think, followed China's public health system
- 1:11for probably longer than almost anybody else in the field.
- 1:16What kind of changes have you seen over time since you first
- 1:19began studying, you know, China's public health system?
- 1:23What has, what has really struck you most about the changes
- 1:26and what hasn't changed?
- 1:29- Well, I think if you just look at the,
- 1:33the, the public health system in China, right,
- 1:36that you've seen, right?
- 1:37The, you know, they are making significant strides, right?
- 1:42With average life expectancy rising to 78.5 years.
- 1:46That up, that was up from 77 2020.
- 1:51They've made so much progress in biotech, you know,
- 1:55that there is now becoming a global leader.
- 1:59You know, quickly catching up with the United States.
- 2:02If you look at the data, you know, 20, 25, 30 7%
- 2:06of molecules licensed
- 2:08by major pharma firms originated from China, right?
- 2:12The, you know, they, you know, also, you know,
- 2:16major changes in,
- 2:20I would say challenges, you know,
- 2:22that are happening in the population by population.
- 2:26Aging certainly is acute.
- 2:28Now, 20% of the population,
- 2:31we are talking about nearly 300 million aged over 60.
- 2:36They have non-communicable diseases we call NCDs.
- 2:40And they cause more than 80% of the death in China. That is
- 2:44- Exactly, what are those like, that's like what?
- 2:47Cancer, obesity, diabetes. These are ncd,
- 2:50- Yeah.
- 2:51We call the, the cancer, diabetes, you know,
- 2:54cardiovascular disease, disease.
- 2:56But all, all those issues, you know,
- 2:58like respiratory conditions, you know, so,
- 3:02and their risk factors you consider like obesity, right?
- 3:06Approximately 50% of Chinese adults are overweight
- 3:10or obese according to a 2020 report.
- 3:13Smoking continue to be a challenge, right?
- 3:16Over 50% of the adult men in Shriners smoke.
- 3:21And there's, you know, infectious diseases continue
- 3:24to be a challenge, right?
- 3:25That is exemplified by the, this year,
- 3:29by the, in the summer, right?
- 3:30The, the chi gonia outbreak in Guangdong, right?
- 3:34That started for Shang, you know, driven
- 3:38by mosquito boom transmission, you know, raising concerns
- 3:42for open spread.
- 3:43You know, there are all these challenges of problems.
- 3:45But in the meantime, if you look at the,
- 3:48the public health infrastructure, right?
- 3:51Continue to be centrally coordinated
- 3:53by the National Health Commission, you know,
- 3:56that oversees a vast network
- 3:58of over 1 million healthcare facilities,
- 4:01including state owned tertiary hospitals,
- 4:05community health centers, specialized in centers
- 4:09for disease control and prevention.
- 4:11They call it also CDC, right?
- 4:13But, you know, they have CDCs at national prevention
- 4:16and local levels, right?
- 4:19Universal bail,
- 4:21basic medical insurance now covers over 95%
- 4:25of the population.
- 4:26You know, but you know, the, you know, the benefits varies,
- 4:30depends on what schemes you are subscribed.
- 4:34The, and, you know,
- 4:38the local government now are facing in the post COVID year,
- 4:41all this fiscal challenges in providing, right.
- 4:44The, the public services, right?
- 4:48And the, they're trying to fix the loopholes, you know, left
- 4:53by, in the post COVID era, right?
- 4:56The, the public health system, you know, with this, the,
- 5:00this newly revised infectious disease law, you know,
- 5:04now encouraged for, which I found this is very interesting.
- 5:08Now, finally, by this law effective, you know,
- 5:11this last month encouraged the individual sharing
- 5:16and reporting disease related information by, you know,
- 5:20mentioning that entities
- 5:23and individuals will report in good faith eligible
- 5:26for rewards and exempt from liability if the event is
- 5:31later rolled out.
- 5:33So, so yeah, we're seeing both challenges, you know, changes
- 5:38and also stability in the system, essentially.
- 5:42- I mean, it used to be the case that, you know,
- 5:45doctors were not paid well.
- 5:46So the medical profession, it was hard
- 5:49to attract people sometimes.
- 5:51Is that, has that changed?
- 5:53Has investment, has government investment
- 5:56in the practice medicine, for example, improved so
- 5:59that now you're getting more and better doctors
- 6:03and they're getting paid more?
- 6:05- Well, well, in, in the United States,
- 6:08but typical that you have, you know, the, the, the, some
- 6:10of the best brightest people, right?
- 6:13When go to a medical school, you know, that
- 6:18is not the case in China.
- 6:22The, although, you know, we are seeing over the past year,
- 6:24this seems to be improving.
- 6:27You have more people get interested, you know,
- 6:29studying at the medical schools in top universities.
- 6:34But I think for those doctors
- 6:38who work at the, you know, the grassroots level, you know,
- 6:42even township health centers still, right?
- 6:46They, they, there are few people who trained,
- 6:51you know, receive formal training, right?
- 6:53To walk by in at that level, you know,
- 6:55even though we were assigned to those institutions,
- 6:58you know, still, right?
- 6:59That you would try your best
- 7:00to get into like a county hospital urban hospital
- 7:05because the pay is, you know, not good, is you have to,
- 7:10you know, rely on, you know, basic salary,
- 7:12which is really small, not attractive at all.
- 7:16But in those institutions, you know, you,
- 7:19if you rely on bonus, but the, you have to count on demand,
- 7:23but the demand for their service is really still small.
- 7:26People would still prefer to bypass institutions
- 7:29for urban health centers.
- 7:31- Oh, interesting. And that of course,
- 7:33also prompted another challenge in, in sort
- 7:36of the public health system, which was corruption, right?
- 7:39Because you had a system
- 7:40where the doctors weren't making any money,
- 7:43and so people would pay them extra to get seen,
- 7:46or they would overcharge for medicines.
- 7:49How, you know, effectively has, you know,
- 7:52Xi Jinping's ongoing campaign against corruption.
- 7:55Now, I think it must be in its 13th year.
- 7:58How effective has that been in the medical field?
- 8:01- Well, actually launched a, a,
- 8:03a anti-corruption campaign in the medical sector in
- 8:062023, right after
- 8:08- Oh, late. Oh, late, okay.
- 8:10- I, yeah, the end of the, the COVID pandemic, you know, so
- 8:14this campaign so far has punished,
- 8:18I believe over 40,000 people,
- 8:21including like hospital managers, you know,
- 8:23the health officials by who are involved in procurement
- 8:28and bribes, you know, the,
- 8:31although that enforcement gaps remain the, you know,
- 8:36and that campaign continued that there is,
- 8:39the government has not indicate when this is going to end.
- 8:43I assume that if that all systematic, you know,
- 8:48problems, you know, sustained, there's no way to get rid
- 8:52of all this corruptions in this sector,
- 8:57- Right?
- 8:58I mean, I think we've seen that in many other sectors like
- 9:00the military where it seems to be a never ending
- 9:03- Candidate exactly.
- 9:04- Against corruption.
- 9:05So perhaps the same will unfortunately be true in
- 9:09the, in the medical sector.
- 9:12So let's talk a little bit about COVID
- 9:16and what you've seen post COVID in terms
- 9:19of the government's response.
- 9:21I have to say, I was speaking
- 9:23at a media round table the other day to a bunch
- 9:26of journalists, and one of them asked me whether I thought
- 9:29that China had been sufficiently punished
- 9:32or had sufficiently taken responsibility for COVID.
- 9:37I wonder how you would answer that question.
- 9:40I mean, do you think
- 9:42that China has been held sufficiently accountable
- 9:46for its role in COVI and its spread?
- 9:51- Well, this is the, well,
- 9:55interesting question, right?
- 9:57I, I think in a way, like in February, like early February
- 10:02after Lee Leon died, you know, the, by the way,
- 10:06what Leon was the whistle blower, right?
- 10:08That, you know, right? The share the information about the
- 10:12upcoming, you know, pandemic.
- 10:14And he was then punished, right?
- 10:17And then he died from the, the, the, the,
- 10:21the COVID himself, right?
- 10:23So at that time where you, you have seen, right,
- 10:26this is sort of like a China's by noble moment, you know,
- 10:30people really, you know,
- 10:33like demanding accountability, you know, the, you know,
- 10:37the flooded the internet, right?
- 10:39Showing their dysplasia and frustration.
- 10:43But I think, you know,
- 10:46and many people I thought that what leads
- 10:49to transformative political change, right?
- 10:52But, you know, instead was followed by,
- 10:56by the information, you know, cracked down by more
- 11:01tightened political control.
- 11:04And so, you know, this, the, one
- 11:09of the lessons we've learned that there all this major,
- 11:12you know, crisis not always followed by, you know,
- 11:16liberalization or transformative political change.
- 11:22China, it might be the opposite
- 11:26is true, you know, the, but,
- 11:29but I think, you know, it's really, I,
- 11:31I found it really fascinating when I was studying, right?
- 11:34That there's the, the, the state response, you know,
- 11:39to the, the, the pandemic.
- 11:42You know, it's just that kind of resilience.
- 11:46I found very, you could say
- 11:52impressive, you know, the, you know, if,
- 11:56if you consider right this, this, this swing
- 12:00between different political modes, right?
- 12:04This, I think this is the most striking thing, right?
- 12:07The, it's capacity for sudden
- 12:10dramatic pivotals without apparent
- 12:14legitimacy cost, right?
- 12:16If you think about the shifts we witnessed,
- 12:19right from initial inaction by December, 2019
- 12:24and early January, 2020 to the decisive lockdown of Wuhan
- 12:29in late January, 2020, you know, then the swing
- 12:33to overreaction with draconian zero COVID for three years,
- 12:37but then almost overnight by, in early December, 2022,
- 12:42there's a complete, there was a complete reversal, right?
- 12:45Sudden reopening with minimal preparation,
- 12:48and then COVID just disappeared from public
- 12:52discourse entirely.
- 12:53Like, you know, nothing had ever happened, right?
- 12:57So nobody mentioned it anymore, you know, so, you know, I,
- 13:01I find, you know, this, this, that kind
- 13:05of adaptability, or maybe resilience is the better word.
- 13:09It tells us something profound about how the system operates
- 13:13and maintains control.
- 13:15- So I think that's really interesting.
- 13:18Let me ask two follow-up questions on that.
- 13:20So first, what's your explanation for that?
- 13:25I think it was a December decision to just lift the controls
- 13:30and, you know, overnight, as you said, without thought
- 13:34to some kind of ensuring that people would be protected
- 13:37or even the elderly somehow, that, that, what,
- 13:40what do you think was behind the decision at
- 13:43that very moment?
- 13:46And then do you think
- 13:47that COVID is still an issue in people's heads?
- 13:51I mean, despite the fact that it's not talked about,
- 13:54is it still in the minds of, you know,
- 13:57people in Chinese society?
- 13:58I mean, presumably many people lost loved ones, you know,
- 14:03to COVID as they did here in the United States, of course,
- 14:07you know, is it something that's not talked about, but
- 14:09nonetheless still has lessons, you know,
- 14:13that people have taken away?
- 14:15And what would those lessons be?
- 14:18- Well, well, first of all, when we talk about the forces
- 14:22or factors that led to by the reopening, right?
- 14:26You know, certainly you could have, you know, the confluence
- 14:29of factors, but the influences by the,
- 14:32but you know, I think, you know, we still need, right,
- 14:35the more information, right?
- 14:37And what exactly happened, right?
- 14:39In Hai, you know, that made, you know, the,
- 14:42the government leader to make that decision
- 14:45to completely right, ditch the zero COVID.
- 14:50And we could just, you know, list some of the, you know,
- 14:55the factors we know, right?
- 14:56That, that, for example, by that time, by, you know,
- 14:59November, December, 2022, it was clear by
- 15:04that approach no longer sustainable right?
- 15:07Diminishing returns problems, very clear, right?
- 15:11And there was also by, according to
- 15:15the media reports by those reporters,
- 15:18was based in Beijing, you know, they also, you know,
- 15:22you know, talk about, found the information suggesting
- 15:26that government was seriously considering, right?
- 15:29The having a, you know, a new strategy, right.
- 15:33To replace by the zero COVID, you know?
- 15:37But you know, that still, I did not explain why,
- 15:41but the change come, came so sudden, right?
- 15:45With so minimal preparation.
- 15:47And it seems to be irrational, right?
- 15:49That the, so, you know, I, I,
- 15:53I think certainly why in that sense, the November, you know,
- 15:572022, all this protest, right?
- 15:59In Beijing, Shanghai
- 16:01and Elsewell played a sort of like,
- 16:07you know, you know, sort of a transformative role here.
- 16:11You know, that when the leaders, you know,
- 16:14actually might solve, you know, from the, you know, the,
- 16:19the, the, the footage rest the, of this pro that, you know,
- 16:22the, the, the people were so frustrated, right?
- 16:26That even, right, that there's this sort of like the,
- 16:30the largest protest, you know, since 1989 in a way, right?
- 16:35And then there also, right, there's clear, right,
- 16:38the regime legitimacy implications there from the slogans.
- 16:42They were enchanting. The, I think, you know,
- 16:46they were really shocked in my understanding.
- 16:51And then I think the,
- 16:56maybe what this, again,
- 16:57we don't know the exact details there.
- 17:00Some talk about this like sort
- 17:03of revenge reopening, you know, that is that, well, this,
- 17:07this is what you want, right?
- 17:08You want reopening, you want ditch the zero COVID,
- 17:11you got it, right.
- 17:12You know? Wow. So it's that kind of,
- 17:19but we still, again, we don't have enough information
- 17:23to make sort of
- 17:26affirmative conclusion, you know, on the, the forces
- 17:30that lead to the change.
- 17:32- Yeah. And what about whether COVID still sits in the
- 17:36back of people's minds?
- 17:38I mean, you continue to go back
- 17:39and forth to China, you do your research, you, you know,
- 17:43have friends and, and family there.
- 17:45I mean, is this something that people still talk about?
- 17:48Is it raised is, you know, do people say, you know,
- 17:51should we be concerned about another pandemic of some sort?
- 17:55How does, how does it play out do you think,
- 17:57broadly within society?
- 18:00- Well, again, officially, right, both state media,
- 18:03social media, right, that you seldom heard, right?
- 18:08This term COVID, right?
- 18:09They have those, you know, other terms, you know, replacing
- 18:12that we call it like during the special times, during the,
- 18:17the mask era, right?
- 18:19This, the, you know, so clearly
- 18:23what this still like politically sensitive issue, taboo,
- 18:28aerial, you know, that discourage public discussion, right?
- 18:33The, the pandemic, you know,
- 18:37the state re the government response to it, you know?
- 18:40But, but you know, again, the problem is that you have
- 18:42that many people, right?
- 18:44Who died by the, during the COVID, especially by the, during
- 18:48that maybe 35 days
- 18:49after the December seven, December 7th,
- 18:54by 2022.
- 18:56You know, we, we, we have met people
- 18:59who lost their loved ones by the, during
- 19:02that period of time.
- 19:04You know, they were, you know,
- 19:06certainly not happy with that.
- 19:09You know, the, I I, I can tell, right?
- 19:13That that kind of emotion, right,
- 19:16that was suppressed, right?
- 19:18The, there, the one person just said, you know,
- 19:22I feel I need to do something,
- 19:23but in the meantime, I also feel like I'm numb.
- 19:26You know, this kind of numb, you know that
- 19:29in Chinese, right?
- 19:30It's so you don't get a clear sense
- 19:35what exactly people are thinking about.
- 19:37It's kind of very feeling that was difficult to describe.
- 19:43Maybe it will disappear over time, you know,
- 19:46but, you know, who knows if that become part
- 19:49of the collective memory of the society, you know, when
- 19:55the, you know, social political conditions change, you know,
- 19:59they might, you know, like become
- 20:04- Part of the process, - Right?
- 20:06It is just like, you know, they great leap forward, right?
- 20:09That, you know, they become important imp, impacters,
- 20:13you know, for the post more rural reform
- 20:17- Yeah.
- 20:18Reform. So that's really interesting.
- 20:20So you, you mentioned, you know,
- 20:22one change in Chinese policy in terms of reporting
- 20:28when you know you are sick
- 20:30or reporting on a potential disease
- 20:34that people will be rewarded in some way
- 20:38and not punished
- 20:40and not punished if it turns out not to be true.
- 20:43Are there other important changes that you think have come
- 20:47as a result of like, lessons learned from COVID
- 20:51by the Chinese government issues
- 20:53around greater transparency, public transparency,
- 20:57or, you know, different ways that health, you know,
- 21:00is being monitored in society?
- 21:03I assume those bracelets are no longer part of, you know,
- 21:07everyday life in China, is that right?
- 21:09The ones that we're tracking people's, you know, exposure
- 21:13to COVID, ostensibly,
- 21:16- Well, COVID is still there, right?
- 21:17And it's still spreading in, in, in the country, right?
- 21:21And across the globe, right?
- 21:24It's just that, you know,
- 21:26now it's no longer considered a public health
- 21:31threat, you know, a major public health threat, right?
- 21:34The, if you consider all this, the,
- 21:37the government actions on chicken Goya
- 21:39outbreak in Guangdong, right?
- 21:41That the sort of, that was remini reminiscent
- 21:46of the zero COVID approaches, right?
- 21:49To a localized outbreak,
- 21:53which is certainly much, you know, much less federal,
- 21:57you know, than COVID-19 in 2020.
- 22:04So we have seen by this, you know,
- 22:08this revised infectious disease law, you know,
- 22:12that seems to like the, well
- 22:15after, you know, finally by the, I thought that there was,
- 22:20you know, basically little public discussion, right?
- 22:24Right. What we did, right?
- 22:28What we did wrong, you know, during, you know, COVID-19,
- 22:31you know, how do we get, are we going to fix, right?
- 22:34That this loopholes might expose during the system, right?
- 22:38That, that, you know, the, it seems to be
- 22:42by, you don't see
- 22:46that kind of, right.
- 22:48The scale of,
- 22:51with this public health investments we saw
- 22:54after, you know, sas, right?
- 22:56In 2003, right
- 22:58after sars, there was, you know, you don't,
- 23:01there was not just a, like a, you know, transparency,
- 23:06you know, the sort of this
- 23:11investment in public health.
- 23:13In fact, if you visit any of the provincial by the CDC,
- 23:16by those state of art buildings, labs,
- 23:20they were almost all build, you know, in the wake
- 23:24of sars, you know, outbreak.
- 23:26But you don't see that kind of similar level
- 23:29of investment, right?
- 23:31In the post COVID era. That is my impression.
- 23:35And certainly what that has something to do with the local
- 23:39financial capacity,
- 23:41because right, we know the local government, right?
- 23:43The debt reading, you know, the
- 23:46and era economic slow down, right?
- 23:49That they really didn't have that much in interest, right?
- 23:55Incentive right. To invest in public health, you know.
- 24:00But at the central level, we have seen like this, some
- 24:05of the, like the anti graphic campaigns, you know, launch
- 24:09of the healthy China, you know, 20,
- 24:1230 more state intervention, you know,
- 24:15like managing people's weight.
- 24:17But that, that does seems, doesn't seem to have anything
- 24:21with like a future pandemic preparedness, you know,
- 24:25and response.
- 24:27- So what, what do you, when you say
- 24:28that the government is managing people's weight,
- 24:31they're not, they're not going in there like the family
- 24:33planning offices, are they?
- 24:35And actually weighing people and, and checking on them.
- 24:38- No, no, it's not like that.
- 24:40Well, that's the, but,
- 24:42but it, it sort of still reminds me this sort
- 24:45of like a recurring, right?
- 24:47This the, is the, the, this biopower, right?
- 24:51The, you have this sort of more,
- 24:55it's like a form, you know, as a fail approach, right?
- 25:00In dealing with sort of individual lifestyle diseases,
- 25:04you know, like, you know, overweight, right?
- 25:08The not diseases risk factors, right?
- 25:12Or this is like obesity.
- 25:15The, you now you see the government is taking action, right?
- 25:19In those areas, you know, that clearly show, you know,
- 25:23that the government, you know, wants to do more, right?
- 25:29In this field.
- 25:30But it also represents sort of like a subtle, right, the
- 25:35state penetration right to people's lives,
- 25:40but in order to achieve
- 25:42by this macro health objectives. Right?
- 25:46- I see. So, so more information campaigns and sort of
- 25:51- Yeah, health, wellness, education, you know, the,
- 25:57the campaigns, you know, maybe also provide some
- 26:01incentives for people to sort of,
- 26:06you know, exercise constrained, right?
- 26:09In the, their diet habits, you know, that we are seeing
- 26:13that there's people validating in China more concerned
- 26:16by their weight, this how, you know, this, like this,
- 26:20you know, the weight reduction by those, the camps become
- 26:25so, and drugs become so popular now in China.
- 26:28- Interesting. Interesting. Okay.
- 26:30But not, but not in terms
- 26:31of the government actually taking individuals and,
- 26:36and subjecting them to sort of pressure, right?
- 26:40It's not at that level. It's a
- 26:41- Broader, not that kind of, - Yeah.
- 26:45- The, the, the, - It hasn't
- 26:47- Gone that zero COVID type of campaign.
- 26:49- Okay. It hasn't, it hasn't gone, it hasn't gone that far.
- 26:51That's, that's a relief, I have to say.
- 26:54So let me, let me ask you, I wanna,
- 26:56I wanna talk more about China's role on the global stage,
- 26:59but let me just take a beat
- 27:00and ask you how you decided to study this field
- 27:04of public health.
- 27:05I mean, I think you are, you know, certainly one of few
- 27:09in the United States and in the world.
- 27:10You are one of the top, you know,
- 27:14experts in this space.
- 27:16I mean, how did you decide
- 27:18that this was something you wanted to pursue?
- 27:21- Well, thank you, Liz. I'll take this the a, a compliment,
- 27:26well, why I got hooked on global health and China.
- 27:34Let me, well, certainly because I'm a Chinese, right?
- 27:38That, that naturally, when you came to this country,
- 27:41you wanted to study your country, there's certain right
- 27:45comparative advantages like language or cultural, right?
- 27:49But, but let me take you through this journey, right?
- 27:52I started as a China specialist, right?
- 27:56Diving deep into its policies
- 27:59and institutions, you know, during my graduate study at
- 28:05the U of Chicago.
- 28:07So my dissertation focused on Chinese health politics in the
- 28:12post more era, right?
- 28:14Essentially look at, you know, how the state, you know,
- 28:17tackled health issues
- 28:20after those massive, you know,
- 28:22liberal reforms kicked off, right?
- 28:24So that was my first love really, you know, understanding
- 28:28how China's political institutions shaped
- 28:31its health policies by, in the mal era.
- 28:35But when I graduated in 2000,
- 28:38global health was just starting to bubble up
- 28:41as a field, right?
- 28:42That it was not a huge field.
- 28:44It was like almost like everybody knows everybody community,
- 28:50but it was this passionate community
- 28:54by talking about health as a global issue,
- 28:57not just the local one.
- 28:59And also they talk about it
- 29:01as a national international security challenge,
- 29:04not just a pure public health concern.
- 29:07So I was intrigued, right?
- 29:09It feel like, you know, the perfect bridge, right,
- 29:12between my China expertise and the bigger, right.
- 29:15The award problems, right?
- 29:18You know, then, you know, we have sars, right?
- 29:20That hit in 2003,
- 29:22and that was a wake up call in highlight, right?
- 29:25The health as a high politics issue, right?
- 29:29So the outbreak showed
- 29:30how faster my health crisis could spew across borders,
- 29:35and it sort of, you know,
- 29:37cemented my interesting global health governance
- 29:41and global health security, you know,
- 29:42and, you know, that is Wayne, you know, sitting hall
- 29:46by the University School of Diplomacy came calling, right?
- 29:49That they hired me as a global health person, right?
- 29:53To build their global health program.
- 29:55You know, that was actually one of the first to tie health
- 29:59to security and foreign policy in the professional school
- 30:02of international affairs.
- 30:04And that to me was a dream gig, right?
- 30:06To shape something new and later, right?
- 30:10I'm fortunate, I was fortunate to become affiliated
- 30:13with the Council on Foreign Relations, you know,
- 30:16as a senior fellow for global health.
- 30:19That gave me a bigger platform to blend my China knowledge
- 30:23with global health challenges.
- 30:25And also I was really, you know, lucky,
- 30:29but I was able to work with great minds,
- 30:32great colleagues like you, right?
- 30:34On the China side and, you know, Laurie Garrett
- 30:38and letter tomboy, you on the global health side, you know,
- 30:42from there, by this is being a wide ride, you know,
- 30:46writing books right?
- 30:48On Chinese health politics test testifying to Congress
- 30:51and diving into everything from China's environmental health
- 30:54crisis to its COVID response by, so it's,
- 30:58it's all about connecting the dots, you know,
- 31:01between Chinese politics, Chinese policies,
- 31:04and the world, the, I mean, the global health issues.
- 31:09- Yeah. I mean, I, I think, you know,
- 31:11it's also just you become such a, such an incredible blend
- 31:14of both, you know, scholarship, right?
- 31:16As you said, the, the research that you do on the issues,
- 31:20which is, you know, rigorous research,
- 31:23but at the same time, there's an ability for you
- 31:25to contribute to the debates
- 31:28and sort of policies that affect, you know, millions, tens
- 31:32of millions of people globally by sharing your knowledge
- 31:35and your ideas.
- 31:36So it's, it's both, it's like a, a half academic
- 31:39and not activist exactly,
- 31:41but an element, right, of activism, of being able
- 31:43to take your knowledge and really make it worth something.
- 31:47I think on the, on the larger global stage, it's,
- 31:51I think it's terrific.
- 31:53So, okay, so a great, a great career trajectory
- 31:57that's led you to, I think, an important place.
- 32:01So let's revert now.
- 32:02Let me just touch on a couple of of final issues.
- 32:06You know, China, despite, you know, the role
- 32:10that it played in COVID as the originator,
- 32:13despite the fact that it was not as transparent
- 32:17as should have been, despite the fact
- 32:19that it used its control over personal protective equipment
- 32:23in sometimes coercive ways to try to get countries,
- 32:27you know, not to say anything bad about it
- 32:29or, you know, use it for, for other
- 32:32reasons has become an important player in the global public
- 32:37health diplomacy space, I think through
- 32:42its health, silk Road, for example.
- 32:44Talk a little bit about, and,
- 32:46and I will say, you know, one
- 32:47of the things I've found interesting just in some
- 32:49of my own reading, is that it does seem
- 32:51as though many countries emerging
- 32:54and middle income economies don't look at China
- 32:59as bearing the same kind of responsibility
- 33:01that many European and advanced economies do.
- 33:04They have a different perception of the role
- 33:07that China played in COVID often
- 33:08because China was providing these countries with vaccines
- 33:13when they couldn't get them,
- 33:15for example, from the United States.
- 33:16And notwithstanding the fact that those vaccines were not
- 33:19as good as, you know, the uss
- 33:23or, or other countries.
- 33:24Nonetheless, they were very appreciative of the fact
- 33:28that China was selling them.
- 33:29So talk a little bit about how the role
- 33:32that China's playing on the global stage in terms of health
- 33:37and health diplomacy, what its ambitions are, do you think,
- 33:41and then I wanna finish
- 33:42and talk a little bit about the US China sort of
- 33:47cooperation or competition or how you see that emerging.
- 33:50But first, let's talk about
- 33:52how you see China playing on the global stage.
- 33:55- Well, if you look at this, it's the response
- 33:59by toward the, the, the global, the,
- 34:02the COVID-19 pandemic, right?
- 34:04The, the people
- 34:09often, you know, mentioned, right, this,
- 34:12the vaccine diplomacy, right?
- 34:13When I was visiting southeast Asian countries, you know,
- 34:18the meeting with the, the, the scholars,
- 34:22the government officials there,
- 34:24but they all mentioned, right, that, that, you know, in the,
- 34:30at the time in the way,
- 34:32but the western countries, including United States,
- 34:35were practicing the, their vaccine nationalism, right?
- 34:39Stockpiling the vaccines for their own population, right?
- 34:43It was China, right? Who that
- 34:45provided the battery needed the vaccines, right?
- 34:50Even though by, you might say in terms of the efficacy
- 34:53by the, maybe safety not
- 34:58as good by as like the MI vaccines,
- 35:02although that's debatable to some people, the,
- 35:06you know, still, right?
- 35:07The China was the first right
- 35:09to provide those desperate needed the medical supplies by
- 35:14not just the vaccines, by talking about the masks,
- 35:17ventilators, you know, so this is, you know, sort
- 35:20of broadly defined, the vaccine diplomacy,
- 35:23you might also call it, you know,
- 35:25the health diplomacy, right?
- 35:26The President Xi pledged the Chinese vaccine would be a
- 35:30global public good, you know, that position China
- 35:33as a leader, right?
- 35:35In the global response.
- 35:37And the countries did appreciate, you know, what
- 35:41China was doing, right?
- 35:46You know, survey data showed
- 35:47that those initial gains, right?
- 35:49That those 56% of the surveyed countries, the,
- 35:53the journalists, right, the, the
- 35:56observed more positive media coverage
- 35:58of China following the outbreak.
- 36:00You, and in Southeast Asia, you know, China was perceived
- 36:05as the most generous provider of the COVID
- 36:10assistance, you know,
- 36:11but those gains, you know, proved fragile
- 36:15and fleeting, right?
- 36:16The, especially with the rapid spread
- 36:20of this highly transmissible, you know,
- 36:22delta having omicron variants, you know,
- 36:25we saw actually a steep drop in the global delivery
- 36:28of the Chinese vaccines.
- 36:30You know, they since four, 2021, right?
- 36:33Then the zero COVID policy initially was marketed as a proof
- 36:38of the, the, the effectiveness of the China's solution by
- 36:42to the global pandemic, essentially, you know,
- 36:45become a TROs, you know, when,
- 36:48you know China was locking down Shanghai when spring 2022,
- 36:52while the world moved on, I
- 36:57this only projected the Brutalness not strength, you know?
- 37:00And then, so by 20 22, 20 23, much
- 37:05of that good will had evaporated, right?
- 37:08The, the pure global attitude survey clearly showed by
- 37:12that even after all this efforts, by only 28%
- 37:16of the respondents across 24 countries
- 37:19say they had the favorable view
- 37:21of China in spring 23, right?
- 37:24Compared to 59% for the United States.
- 37:28You know, but if you look at the, the,
- 37:29the post COVID era, right?
- 37:31China's health diplomacy, you know, the,
- 37:34they have pivoted from emergency response
- 37:37to institutionalized health engagement,
- 37:41and they are playing the long games strategically.
- 37:44They've pledged 500 million to the WHO,
- 37:48the World Health Organization
- 37:49after, you know, Trump,
- 37:51president Trump announced the withdrawal from the
- 37:54International Health Organization.
- 37:56They have increased health related development assistance
- 37:59to lower and middle income countries.
- 38:01And where we, of course, the Be
- 38:03and Road Health Sea Road was a key framework, right?
- 38:07Which allowed China continue to invest in hospitals,
- 38:11pharmaceutical production facilities,
- 38:14public health capacity building across Africa,
- 38:17Southeast Asia, Latin America.
- 38:20Well, these are tangible, visible projects,
- 38:22but that creates soft power, right?
- 38:25Dependency in a way simultaneously.
- 38:29So I think, you know, the, you know,
- 38:34president Trump's second term is absolutely critical, right?
- 38:38To the strategist effectiveness, right?
- 38:41Because it essentially might allow China
- 38:46to sort of portray itself
- 38:51as a defend of multilateralism, you know,
- 38:54global health governance, you know,
- 38:56China becomes the go-to partner
- 38:58for countries dependent on foreign aid programs, you know,
- 39:02and that essentially, right,
- 39:06the changes the competitive dynamic fundamentally, right?
- 39:10So, you know, China doesn't have to significantly,
- 39:14dramatically increase this health related development
- 39:17systems to fill the void, you know, left
- 39:20by the United States, right?
- 39:22There just needs to be present
- 39:24and why America is absent, right?
- 39:26That's a much lower bar, right?
- 39:29In this competition for global health leadership.
- 39:33And so, you know,
- 39:38you know, I think the, the, the,
- 39:42you could say
- 39:43by the current administration isn't just an opportunity
- 39:46for China, it's policy, not just a present opportunity
- 39:49for trying, it becomes a force multiply, right?
- 39:53Because Beijing doesn't have
- 39:54to be particularly good at right health diplomacy
- 39:58or significantly
- 40:00or dramatically increase health related
- 40:02development assistance.
- 40:04They just have to be there, you know, when we are not,
- 40:07you know, I think that should worry the United States
- 40:10because leadership in global health governance isn't just
- 40:13about altruism,
- 40:15it's about influence the standard setting, right?
- 40:19Agenda setting and shaping, right.
- 40:22The rules of games for the next health crisis.
- 40:25So if we see that space,
- 40:28we are gonna find it very difficult to reclaim,
- 40:31- Right?
- 40:32Yeah, no, I, you're making a point. I completely agree.
- 40:34And, and I, I think about this more broadly in terms
- 40:37of the development assistance
- 40:39and the shuttering of U-S-A-I-D that, you know, people say,
- 40:43well, China's gonna fill the vacuum.
- 40:44I said, it's not gonna fill the vacuum,
- 40:46it's gonna do just enough.
- 40:48You know? Exactly. To, because we're gone.
- 40:50So it doesn't need, exactly as you said,
- 40:52it doesn't need to do much.
- 40:53It can go and, and support the rural reading program in
- 40:57Cambodia for a million dollars,
- 40:59and it's going to receive all sorts of, you know, accolades.
- 41:03Just Exactly. Exactly. So I, I think we're,
- 41:06we're very much on, on the same page there.
- 41:09And I think the other aspect,
- 41:11and I'm, I'm curious whether you think this is, is accurate,
- 41:14is that it also gives China all
- 41:16of this health diplomacy gives China the opportunity
- 41:18to promote its traditional Chinese medicine,
- 41:21Chinese made medical devices.
- 41:23It becomes a, an economic play as well,
- 41:25an export mechanism, right?
- 41:28As you're saying a force multiplier,
- 41:29but it, it also multiplies oppor other kinds
- 41:32of opportunities for China.
- 41:34When we pull out, I think it really enables them
- 41:38to gain ground in other areas where the United States,
- 41:41you know, may have also had advantages
- 41:44because of our aid, you know, linking to, you know,
- 41:47US made medical devices or Western made medical devices.
- 41:50I think it's another Entry point for China.
- 41:55Do you, do you agree with that or, or
- 41:57- Oh yeah, absolutely, right.
- 41:58That it is they, because if you look at by this,
- 42:01the COVID diplomacy where when we are, they are
- 42:05actually exporting, right?
- 42:06Their vaccines masks ventilators, right?
- 42:09It's officially claim it's as a global public good,
- 42:13but it is not right if with the,
- 42:17we believe that global public good means it's not excludable
- 42:21by, if it's like, you know, joining is
- 42:25of supply, right?
- 42:27That they, you know, anything but global public good, right?
- 42:30Is actually, look, the vaccines China shift overseas by
- 42:3685% of them actually for commercial
- 42:39or sale, you know, the, right.
- 42:41So it's, you know, but by,
- 42:43but by doing so, they're not just, you know, you know,
- 42:46expanding its geopolitical influence
- 42:49and not just projecting soft power,
- 42:51but also expand it by the commercial, right.
- 42:55The influence, right,
- 42:57- Right.
- 42:58Commercial influence and,
- 42:59and opportunities for Chinese companies. Right?
- 43:01- Right. - So, so one last question.
- 43:03I think, you know, the health, health space,
- 43:05like the environment, which you know, I've worked on
- 43:08for many years, is always sort of promoted as an area
- 43:12for good US China cooperation, right?
- 43:15Everybody says, well, we can cooperate
- 43:16and health and the environment.
- 43:18So in the current context, what do you see there?
- 43:22Do you see any possibility
- 43:24for cooperation in particular given what's going on in the
- 43:27health space here in the United States?
- 43:30I would imagine that opportunities are much,
- 43:33much diminished, but,
- 43:34but maybe things are going on that, that I don't know about.
- 43:38- Well, well, Susan, well,
- 43:40I think this is a great question, right?
- 43:42That they are, you know, many people when we talk about,
- 43:45you know, US China corporation, you know, they,
- 43:50this is just naive, right? Given the
- 43:53- Throwaway a throwaway sort of health environment, right?
- 43:57- Yeah. Given the geopolitical tensions, given the lack
- 44:00of trust, you know, and,
- 44:02and well, this, one of the specific, right?
- 44:06The, the hurdles is with that COVID-19 origins, right?
- 44:09This, this controversy, right?
- 44:12Basically, many lawmakers heal, right?
- 44:15That they say, well, you know
- 44:17that if you want the corporate US to cooperate
- 44:20with China health first, let's fix this problem first.
- 44:25If we, we can't even fix this,
- 44:26they forget about any corporation, right?
- 44:29So that is becoming one of the biggest hurdles, you know,
- 44:33for US China Health Corporation. But, but
- 44:37- I still just so I'm so yen, just so I'm clear by the,
- 44:40the hurdle is the fact that China won't
- 44:44acknowledge the actual origin of the virus,
- 44:48or what's the hurdle exactly?
- 44:50- Well, the hurdle is basically, this is all
- 44:52what the WHO has been demanding.
- 44:54I mean, the way this also has solid, the w o's relationship
- 44:57with China and the Dr.
- 45:00Teros, you know, since
- 45:02July, 2021, you know,
- 45:05WHO has been requesting China to be trans,
- 45:09to be cooperative, right?
- 45:11In the second stage of the,
- 45:14the investigation among the COVID nine, the origins
- 45:18of COVID-19,
- 45:19but the first, right, the stage was sort
- 45:22of like a WHO China joint study conducted in the spring
- 45:25of 2021.
- 45:27You know, that they launched a, a, a sort of a, a,
- 45:31a report in, in end of March, you know, basically accepted,
- 45:35you know, all the explanations provided by the Chinese side.
- 45:40So, you know, that, you know, sort of actually damaged to
- 45:43by the reputation, the credibility in a way of the WHO
- 45:48and the us right?
- 45:50And then the, under the Trump 1.0, right?
- 45:54They essentially also, I believe
- 45:56that's basically a whitewashed report, right?
- 46:00The, the want to China to be more forthcoming,
- 46:05to be more transparent, right?
- 46:07To be more cooperative, right?
- 46:11In the, the, the original survey,
- 46:14but, you know, China, sort of the,
- 46:18the narrative here is that, you know, a right,
- 46:22that the, the pandemic
- 46:25or the outbreak started in Wuhan
- 46:28doesn't necessarily mean China is the origin point,
- 46:31was the origin point of the pandemic.
- 46:34And second, right, that if, you know, you,
- 46:38you believe that the lab leaks the problem
- 46:42that caused the pandemic.
- 46:43Let's also investigate for Dietrich, you know,
- 46:46your military labs here in the us you know, the,
- 46:50so, you know, indicating that US could be a, a,
- 46:53a origin point of the, the pandemic, right?
- 46:57So you have that kind
- 46:59of finger pointing right over the origin of the pandemic.
- 47:02That is becoming a, one of the biggest hurdles, you know,
- 47:05for US China Health Corporation.
- 47:08- Yeah. So no, no real prospect,
- 47:11I think in the immediate future
- 47:13for some breakthrough on health
- 47:15cooperation. Is that fair to say?
- 47:17- Right. Well, you feel, you know, actually it's,
- 47:20in a way it's even worse by the,
- 47:22so beginning 2020, right?
- 47:25The since the,
- 47:31the early spring that year, right?
- 47:33And until
- 47:362023 last year,
- 47:4024 last year, there was no high level
- 47:46dialogue, you know, public health issues.
- 47:50There was no, of course,
- 47:52there was no serious discussion on corporation, right?
- 47:55During the pandemic, but even
- 47:56after the pandemic was over, right?
- 47:59That we have, you know, that that accepted
- 48:02for last year, right?
- 48:03That there was a Chinese vice health minister visiting
- 48:06Washington, you know, meeting his counterpart.
- 48:10At HHS,
- 48:11we have essentially no high level health dialogue, you know,
- 48:16and even the, the, at the working level, you know, now
- 48:20with under the new administration, our diplomats,
- 48:24our health attach, well,
- 48:26actually there's no formal health attach.
- 48:29They are now is acting, they were very,
- 48:33they're very cautious in terms
- 48:35of reaching out their counterparts in China.
- 48:37That is very unusual, I would say,
- 48:41I would say abnormal, right?
- 48:43And this shouldn't be the case, you know, as the,
- 48:46when I was in Beijing,
- 48:47a Chinese diplomacy professor at the leading top university
- 48:52in China said, if there is no cooperation of health,
- 48:56how could you expect the effective corporation
- 48:58in other areas?
- 48:59It just to shows that dire state of
- 49:03US China relations, unfortunately.
- 49:06- Yeah, no, i, I, I tend to agree with you,
- 49:08and I will say, I think even it was up
- 49:10until like health diplomacy was up until the, you know,
- 49:13second to last year, last year of the Biden administration,
- 49:16before we had real talks on commercial negotiations,
- 49:20on military negotiations, the only thing
- 49:22that was going on was really the climate change discussions.
- 49:26And that was very much a sort of a, a personal, you know,
- 49:31kind of love affair for, you know,
- 49:34former Secretary Kerry who was so committed
- 49:37to climate change and had the personal
- 49:39relationship with Shia Genis.
- 49:41So yeah.
- 49:42- And unfortunately, but even that right there,
- 49:44this walking group now as the, i I think it is that the
- 49:49corporation has also stalled, right? Under the numerous,
- 49:52- Yeah, well, I'm, I'm sure since we've pulled out
- 49:54of the Paris Climate accord,
- 49:56that there's not gonna be much cooperation at the national
- 49:59level on, on climate change.
- 50:01Okay, last quick, three questions, just boom, boom, boom.
- 50:04So first question, what book would you recommend
- 50:09to our viewers book
- 50:11or article on China
- 50:13that you think is really just excellent and people should read?
- 50:17- Well, I would recommend, you know, a, a book by won ds,
- 50:22the title, the Breakneck, you know, that's
- 50:24to have this interesting comparison, you know, between the,
- 50:28the governance in the US and China, right?
- 50:30The, the, well, the, well China, according to the authors,
- 50:34sort of managed by the engineers, the US governed
- 50:39by lawyers, and they, they believe, you know, that sort
- 50:42of shaped the different governance model
- 50:44that explain why right now, you know,
- 50:47China is quickly catching up in this key, right,
- 50:50the high tech areas by the AI biotech, right?
- 50:54The robotics, you name it, of course for the author want
- 50:59to claim it's not the chairman leader. No, no,
- 51:02- No, no.
- 51:03And his name is, it's his English name.
- 51:04Just to be clear, is Dan Wong. So you can Dan Wong.
- 51:08So it's a little different, but Right.
- 51:09So Dan Wong, yes, I agree.
- 51:11It's a great book and I think it made it's New York Times
- 51:14bestseller and I reviewed it for foreign affairs,
- 51:17I think in the upcoming issue.
- 51:18And it's really, I agree with you.
- 51:19It's a great, it's a terrific, terrific read. Okay.
- 51:23What issue in China, let's put aside public health though.
- 51:26What issue about China
- 51:28or in China do you think Americans don't really understand
- 51:31or need to know more about?
- 51:32What, what do you know
- 51:34that other people don't know that they should?
- 51:37- Well, I think what set aside public health,
- 51:41I think it was, I, I'm still sort of puzzled, you know,
- 51:46by these, you know, sort of almost like over the past,
- 51:50just a couple of years you've seen, right,
- 51:53the China quickly catching up, right?
- 51:56In the high tech area, right?
- 51:59The, well, biotech is a very good example, right?
- 52:02Just years ago, we are still,
- 52:04when we talk about China's innovation capability,
- 52:07which says, well, they're making good progress,
- 52:09but it's going to be a long way before they can catch up.
- 52:12But now guess what? Why?
- 52:14They're not just catching up,
- 52:15but in some areas they become,
- 52:18they're becoming a leader, right?
- 52:20And in a way, this is creating sort of the, another kind
- 52:25of dependence, you know, in addition to the APIs,
- 52:28active pharmaceutical ingredients, key starting materials,
- 52:32but this innovative drugs and,
- 52:34and biosimilar molecules, you know, they are, you know, like
- 52:39we are becoming increasingly dependent upon them.
- 52:43If you look at by the, this, the number of deals by the o of
- 52:48the, of the licensing, right?
- 52:50The, the, with the sign with the Chinese companies,
- 52:56you know, this is, I found it very, you know, interesting,
- 53:00especially if you think about this, you know, this era
- 53:04of economic slow down, right?
- 53:07Well, you know, unemployment rate of the use is
- 53:09so high, right?
- 53:10That the consumption level is low.
- 53:13You know, the real industry is like all probably seems the
- 53:20almost, you know, all like a is
- 53:24in such a bad shape, you know, how could that happen, right?
- 53:28- Yeah. No, I think that's, that's great.
- 53:29And actually I'll do a little plug for our, our, our next
- 53:34podcast, which is gonna be with Dr.
- 53:37Ch Lee, who is a well-known geneticist
- 53:43and works on biotech issues and, and on cancer drugs
- 53:48and goes between China and the United States.
- 53:50And he's gonna talk to us exactly about innovation
- 53:54and science and technology,
- 53:55particularly in the biotech field.
- 53:57So thank you, thank you for that leading Yanzhong.
- 53:59But one last question for you.
- 54:01If you had a recommendation
- 54:03for the Trump administration right now,
- 54:06either thinking in terms of US China competition
- 54:09or cooperation, what, what would it be?
- 54:12- Well, I, I would say princip support engagement.
- 54:16I was, you know,
- 54:18it is interesting when you ask this question, just
- 54:21finish this, the part of the, at tribute to our
- 54:25old colleague Jerry Cohen, right?
- 54:28He was the person, right?
- 54:30That I think, you know,
- 54:32if there's something I remember the most, in the most,
- 54:35it was this, I, right?
- 54:37He's the commitment to, you know, rule of law
- 54:41and human rights.
- 54:43So he is the principled person,
- 54:45but I also had this flexibility, right?
- 54:48That in dealing with people with opposed views, right?
- 54:52So that is how he was admired, respected in both sides
- 54:56of the Taiwan Street, you know, so, you know, I think,
- 55:00you know, he, as I I I said in the tribute, you know, that
- 55:05this principled engagement just to show, you know,
- 55:09that when we are dealing with, well sort of
- 55:12give a example, right?
- 55:13This, the suggesting that when we are dealing
- 55:15with like a geopolitical right rival like China, even,
- 55:20we disagreed upon many things.
- 55:23I think engagement
- 55:25and even cooperation remains
- 55:29possible and vital.
- 55:33- And that is a great note to end on.
- 55:36And, and thank you for the reminder
- 55:38of our truly wonderful colleague Jerry Cohen,
- 55:41who passed away just recently, you know,
- 55:44towering figure in the field of China, legal studies,
- 55:49someone who spanned both, you know, the corporate work,
- 55:52government work, and of course was renowned
- 55:54for his work on Chinese human rights issues as well.
- 55:58So Yan Jang, thank you so much for a really rich discussion.
- 56:02I expect no less from you from one of the best
- 56:06and top figures in the field,
- 56:09so I appreciate your taking the time to speak with us.
- 56:12- Thank you, Liz. - If you enjoyed today's podcast
- 56:15and would like to hear more informed discussion about China,
- 56:19please subscribe to the Hoover YouTube channel
- 56:21or your favorite podcast platform.