Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 569 - 8/31/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome. To episode 560.
- 0:17Nine of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast.
- 0:21Powered. By Rhythm, I'm your host Josh
- 0:25Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:32Happy Monday. Another day here in the arena.
- 0:35Guys, but it's a special one because of the final day and the
- 0:38month of August. Tomorrow we turn the page, or
- 0:40tonight at midnight we turn the page.
- 0:42And then fly into steam into the month of.
- 0:44September. That's when you know football.
- 0:46Is pretty much here. We've already had some early
- 0:49college football games and of course, NFL is, you know, again,
- 0:53not far away that opener. They're looking at here between
- 0:55the Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks.
- 0:58That rematch of the Super Bowl? That's coming up on what is it a
- 1:01week from Wednesday. So again, it's.
- 1:04It's right upon us, guys, all the madness, all the mayhem, but
- 1:07I'm excited to just. Get back into.
- 1:09To doing pods because we had a week off here I had a fantastic
- 1:13time going on my. Annual family vacation.
- 1:16The Applebaum. Cape Cod extravaganza and it was
- 1:20extra special this year we. Always spend a week.
- 1:23At the end of August and on the Cape, it's just, you know, my
- 1:26favorite, my family. Family's favorite place in the
- 1:28world. We were able to bring my my
- 1:30daughter for the very first time, so she is five months old.
- 1:34She, you know, dipped her feet in the.
- 1:36Water. We actually took her out to swim
- 1:37a little bit. And she was a champ.
- 1:39She loved it. I got to hang out with my mom
- 1:41and dad and my sister and her family.
- 1:44I had aunts and uncles visit but best of.
- 1:47All me, the wife. My baby girl, we had our first
- 1:49ever Cape. Family vacation it was.
- 1:51Awesome, So we spent. A week in.
- 1:53Harwich never been. Highly recommend Harwich.
- 1:56We used to be in Chatham. I love Harwich just because it's
- 1:59just kind of a cool vibe. I love the downtown's.
- 2:01A lot of great beaches, a lot of great spots there on the main
- 2:05strip. Great, great lobster rolls.
- 2:08We went. Up to Moby Dick's Which?
- 2:09Is my favorite place to get a lobster roll and then went to
- 2:12Dennis, went all around. So it was a fantastic time.
- 2:16I still wrote sharp reports, still posted the best bets.
- 2:19To the Jews. Trail app but just.
- 2:21You know a week from, you know a.
- 2:22Week away. From, you know, daily.
- 2:23Pods and just really trying to hang out with the.
- 2:26Family soak it all in. I got a good tan.
- 2:29I cashed over what, over 4 1/2 lobster rolls and just.
- 2:33Being able to hang out with the. Family with my daughter and my
- 2:36wife and watch Red Sox games with my dad.
- 2:38Just just like old times. It was just fantastic.
- 2:41So that's it for me guys. I.
- 2:43I have my week on the Cape and then boom.
- 2:45Once I get back, I know. It is full swing here, steaming
- 2:49into the. Football season, so excited to
- 2:51get back to do. What we love to.
- 2:52Do I do have a three pack? Of MLB.
- 2:54Best bets for today? Couple bigger favorites as well
- 2:57as an underdog. So we're going to try to go 2
- 2:59and one get back. Into the swing.
- 3:01Of things and produce a winning night.
- 3:03But I also have a little bit of an announcement here, and it has
- 3:06to do with the Applebaum second annual Splash Sports Survivor
- 3:10contest. Now you've heard me talk about
- 3:12it, talked about it on the pod. You might have seen me tweet.
- 3:15About it at Josh under Score Insights on X.
- 3:18But we are now up to 112. Signups so.
- 3:21Man, you guys have. Been signing up like crazy this
- 3:23week off when I was on the Cape. Had a ton of signup so I want to
- 3:26thank everybody for signing up. Reminder.
- 3:29It is a $50 entry fee and the winner could take home up to 40.
- 3:33$5000 so it's great to see get us into the hundreds I'm hoping
- 3:38we get up to. 250, maybe 300. Signups overall so let's.
- 3:41Keep going. Let's keep signing up.
- 3:43Keep. Spreading that link if you've
- 3:44already signed up or if you haven't done it yet, do.
- 3:46It now, but if. You haven't done it yet.
- 3:48You know, send that link to a friend, a buddy, maybe someone
- 3:50who you know, maybe could be interested in.
- 3:51Survivor. Because the more people that
- 3:53sign up, the. Bigger the pot is for that
- 3:55winning Survivor, but I do want to mention a little bit of a
- 3:58promo, a little bit of an incentive.
- 4:00I was talking to the great people at Splash, my buddy Sam
- 4:04as well as my guy James Santor. And there's a little sweetener
- 4:07here, so if you sign up for the second annual.
- 4:10Applebaum NFL Survivor contest again, same entry.
- 4:13Fee 50. Bucks, but if you.
- 4:14Do it between now. And tomorrow at midnight.
- 4:18So between. Now and September 1st at
- 4:22midnight. You'll be entered into a.
- 4:23Free. Basically a free drawing.
- 4:26To get and if you win, like put it, you'll think of it this way.
- 4:29You do, you know the you go to a game, you do the 50. 5050 raffle
- 4:33you. Get the old school ticket you
- 4:34keep. One that you drop one in the
- 4:36bucket, everyone who's already signed up, you're already you're
- 4:38already into this contest. But if you sign.
- 4:40Up between now and tomorrow. At midnight.
- 4:43You will then be. Entered into a raffle.
- 4:45To win a free entry into the $3,000,000.
- 4:48Splash Sports Survivor contest, so usually that's $100 entry
- 4:52fee. Again, if you've already signed
- 4:53up, you're already in the raffle.
- 4:55But if you sign up and you haven't done it yet, if you sign
- 4:57up between now and tomorrow. Night at midnight you will then
- 5:01get in this raffle where you might get a free entry into the
- 5:03$3,000,000 Survivor so. Theoretically, you could win.
- 5:0745,000 and the Applebaum Survivor contest.
- 5:10Then if you sign up you could be raffled and get a free ticket.
- 5:14Free entry into the $3,000,000 contest.
- 5:17Wouldn't that be nice if someone listening here could take?
- 5:19Home 3 million. And 45,000.
- 5:22Dollars, but again, if you haven't done it yet, sign up.
- 5:25Thank you all for signing up already.
- 5:27But we're getting closer and closer to.
- 5:29The NFL so. Let's see if we can get as many.
- 5:31Sign ups as we can and again do it by tomorrow.
- 5:33Night you'll get into. A raffle to win.
- 5:35A free entry. Into the $3,000,000 Survivor
- 5:38contest. So that being said, guys, I want
- 5:41to get right back into doing what you love to do.
- 5:43I've missed you. It's.
- 5:44Been a been a week. Year off and looking forward.
- 5:46To breaking down some MLB games. So we're going to continue to
- 5:49hammer. Major League Baseball again, I
- 5:51got a three pack for you tonight, but I just want to, you
- 5:54know, kind of mention that, you know, we're going to start to
- 5:56talk about college football and NFL.
- 5:58Earlier in the week. So the next round of college
- 6:00games looks like it's coming up here on Thursday and then Friday
- 6:04the 4th we have some games and then you have a huge schedule.
- 6:07The first really big Saturday here coming up on September 5th
- 6:12so I'm. Going to really be focusing on
- 6:14these games and we're going to be starting, you know, we've
- 6:16been in the groove of. Talking about 3 MLB games every
- 6:19day, you know, for quite a while.
- 6:21Now at this point. But we're going to start talking
- 6:23about NFL bets, college football bets.
- 6:25We're going to try to bet some games.
- 6:26Earlier in the week. So I'm already looking at, you
- 6:29know, the games upcoming here for Thursday, Friday, Saturday.
- 6:32So just just remember that when, now, now when you tune into the
- 6:35pod. Hopefully we're.
- 6:37We're going to pick off some good numbers.
- 6:39Earlier in the week. You know, there's a sharp dog
- 6:41that's +7, let's grab the seven before it gets down to 6 1/2 or
- 6:456. You know there's a favorite
- 6:47here. We like it -2 1/2.
- 6:48Let's grab it now before it gets to 3 or 3 1/2.
- 6:51So just be prepared that moving forward, we're going to be
- 6:54talking college and NFL, obviously.
- 6:56Of course, we're going to have our final best bet cards on
- 6:59Fridays as. We steam into the weekend.
- 7:02But all the plays, of course, will be posted on the Juice Reel
- 7:04app if you want a tail and support the pod.
- 7:07But just exciting that now we can incorporate some NFL and
- 7:10college talk. Throughout the week and trying
- 7:13to pick off good numbers. Because that's what sharps.
- 7:15Do There's definitely an advantage to waiting late.
- 7:18On a lot of games, because you can let the bets build up, you
- 7:20get basically a clearer picture of the market.
- 7:23But then also we're trying to pick off good numbers earlier.
- 7:25In the week so. Just exciting to to be able to
- 7:28talk about. These things throughout the the
- 7:30week here. With that being said, one of our
- 7:32last remaining. Just solely MLB days before we
- 7:35steam into the the. Football season.
- 7:37But with that being said, let's try to make the most of it.
- 7:39So a three pack overall? Let's waste no more time.
- 7:42And get into our sweats here for tonight.
- 7:45So first bet on the board, let's look at a very brief.
- 7:47One game series This is a. Makeup game from middle of June
- 7:51and it is a six O 5:00 PM Eastern Time first pitch.
- 7:54Between the San Francisco Giants and the Atlanta.
- 7:57Braves, let's talk line moves, bet split system matches.
- 8:00I'll give you my play for this one.
- 8:02So the G men 56 and 81 on the year they just split A4 game
- 8:06set. Against the Diamondbacks, they
- 8:08had a doubleheader. They won that final series
- 8:10finale game, the nightcap of the doubleheader 7.
- 8:13To two as a + 115 home dog. Meanwhile, the Braves. 82 and 55
- 8:17on the year. Just swept the Rockies.
- 8:20They won that series. Finale 3 to 2 and Extras has a
- 8:23big -235. Home favorite.
- 8:25So tonight's pitching matchup. Originally, the Giants were
- 8:29expected to go with. Logan Webb, the righty who's 8
- 8:31and eight 3.72 ERA. But San Francisco?
- 8:35Elected to push him back a day. Looks like he's going to start
- 8:37tomorrow. Against Paul Skeens and
- 8:39Pittsburgh. So as a result.
- 8:41Anthony Molina. The righty is expected to go
- 8:43tonight. For the Giants, he's one and O
- 8:45of the 2.89 ERA, kind of a. Young journeyman player.
- 8:49Braves mean all going. With the righty Bryce.
- 8:51Elder. He's 8:00 and 7:00.
- 8:53With a 3.95 ERA so. What have you seen across the
- 8:56market? This game opened.
- 8:58With Atlanta when it was. Expected to be elder.
- 9:00Versus Webb as a. Modest -140.
- 9:03Five home. Favorite San Fran around A +
- 9:04120. Five row dog.
- 9:06But once we saw. Molina replace Webb.
- 9:09Saw a big, big adjustment. Massive steam.
- 9:11Hit the Braves and just hammer the Braves all the way up from
- 9:14-145 up to around. -190 I'm seeing some shops even inch.
- 9:19Closer to -2. 100 now, DK and Circa both showing good splits.
- 9:25On the Braves. At DK, 86% bets 89%.
- 9:29Dollars at Circa. 78% bets. 99% dollars.
- 9:34So. Low bets, higher dollar splits
- 9:36from both books as well as that. Big Steam.
- 9:38Adjustment toward the Braves. Now here's a system.
- 9:40Match again, it's it's a bigger number here.
- 9:43I jumped on the Braves. Little bit earlier today. -180.
- 9:466 at Bally Bet Yeah, it looks like around -190 is your best
- 9:50number, but again, some Oaks are closing in on -200 so you know,
- 9:53if you're going to tail this one with me and go Braves, of course
- 9:56it's bet to risk not. Bet to win, but which means hey.
- 9:59If you're like -190. You're just risking your one
- 10:02unit trying to get a little. Bit more than 1/2 unit back
- 10:05that'll be betting to risk, which which is what I would
- 10:07suggest you don't. Want to bet to win?
- 10:09Because you'd have to risk 1.9 units to win one.
- 10:12And therefore, if the Braves lose this one.
- 10:15You lose almost 2 units versus just losing one.
- 10:17That's the whole point when you're.
- 10:18Especially when you're going favorites or dogs and getting
- 10:21plus money payouts. Risking less and receiving.
- 10:24More in the payout. That's the whole point of bet to
- 10:26risk first bet to win. But anyway.
- 10:29Got a system here before you if you are a Monday favorite?
- 10:32That's kind of expensive, like the Braves. -170. 5 or higher.
- 10:36Those teams are 28 and 1074 percent, 8%.
- 10:40ROI This year Braves have the better offense.
- 10:43They scored 66. 136 runs this year, 560 for San Fran.
- 10:48Braves are four and one in elders last five starts and at
- 10:51home. He's been pretty good six and
- 10:5333. .49 ERA. On the road 2 and 44. .93 ERA
- 10:59Braves have the better bullpen. 3.39 ERA.
- 11:02That's the 4th best in baseball. San Fran is. 20th in the ERA.
- 11:064.27 ERA. Also doesn't hurt Braves have
- 11:10been really good at home. Knock on wood, they have the
- 11:12best home record in baseball. 48 and 23.
- 11:15That's a 68% win rate. Giants, meanwhile, 23 and 40. 5
- 11:19on the road. That is the worst in baseball.
- 11:2134% win rate. So I know it's a big steam move.
- 11:24You would have. Loved to you know.
- 11:25Hopped on Atlanta a little bit earlier here, but I did risk. -1
- 11:29Sixth. Sorry -180. 6 on the Braves
- 11:34Bally Bet Definitely want to have multiple outs if you have
- 11:36an odds boost. Knocking down the Braves not a
- 11:38bad idea either. We'll call it a minus. 190 here.
- 11:42Because again, some books. Are are even inching toward
- 11:44-200. So it's a bigger number, but I
- 11:46want to. Be with this big steam on the
- 11:47Braves. So let's see if the Braves can
- 11:49start our night off. With a win.
- 11:51I got Atlanta again minus. 186 -, 190.
- 11:54Next one for you, let's go down to the Trop. 6:40 PM Eastern
- 11:58Time. We got an interleague matchup.
- 12:00Between the New York Mets and the Tampa.
- 12:02Bay Rays, now the Mets. Come in 61 and 76 on the.
- 12:06Year just lost 2. Or three against the.
- 12:08Astros drop that series. Finale.
- 12:10Six to three as. A -, 120.
- 12:12Five home favorite. Meanwhile, the Rays, they keep
- 12:15on chugging along. 82 and 54 on the year.
- 12:18Just swept the Padres. They won that.
- 12:20Series finale 5 to. 4IN extras as a minus. 155 home favorite.
- 12:25So tonight's. Interleague series opener.
- 12:27Mets are going with the ready Robert Stock.
- 12:30He's O and three with A7. .4 O ERA.
- 12:33Meanwhile, Rays are going with the lefty Ian Seymour.
- 12:36He's 9:00 and 5:00. With a four. .21 ERA so.
- 12:39What have you seen across the market?
- 12:40This came open Braves around or sorry the Rays, I should say
- 12:44around a. -165 Home favorite New York around A + 145.
- 12:49Road Dog and. We've seen nothing but movement.
- 12:52Up further toward Tampa. Tampa.
- 12:54'S gone from -160. 5 up to around. -170. 5 S About a $0.10
- 12:59adjustment in their favor now at Circa.
- 13:02Heavy, heavy support on the Rays.
- 13:04They're getting over 90. Percent of money line bets in
- 13:07dollars. You know, normally DK, you know,
- 13:09heavy splits and again, we're transitioning to football like.
- 13:12If a team. Is getting 90%.
- 13:13Of bets in dollars in an NFL game, that's an auto, you know,
- 13:17fade. You know, go against the public
- 13:18lot of public bias to fade. You know, if you look at circa
- 13:22baseball, I look at it differently.
- 13:23I look at it as a lower bet sport where the pros out in
- 13:26Vegas are clearly siding in One Direction, which I.
- 13:28Want to be with them? If that makes sense.
- 13:31Also you got money line versus spread, that's another
- 13:33difference there. But anyway.
- 13:35Big money at Circa. Over 90% bets in dollars on the
- 13:38Rays. $0.10. Move toward the rays.
- 13:40Rays have that interleague favorite value as well as a
- 13:43correlative betting favorite value.
- 13:46So it's a total of 8. For your amount of expected.
- 13:48Runs scored more likely to come from.
- 13:50Quote UN quote that better. Team The Rays have done very
- 13:53well against bad teams when they face a team with a losing
- 13:56record. A below. 500 opponent.
- 13:58They've gone 55 and 3462. Percent, 12% ROI, that's the
- 14:03best in baseball when they're favored and the line is moving
- 14:07in their direction. Tampa is 42 and 23.
- 14:10That's a 65% win rate. 11% ROI that's.
- 14:13Also best in baseball. Rays have the better bats.
- 14:17Hitting 26329 on base. 616 runs scored.
- 14:21Mets hitting 2:30. 6 Three O 6 on base 5. 160 Two runs scored
- 14:27Seymour. Done.
- 14:28Very. Well, at night in.
- 14:29Particular six and one 3.77 ERA and the Mets.
- 14:33Facing Seymour, a lefty only hitting two. 34 against.
- 14:36Lefties. That's 24th in baseball.
- 14:38Not very good. Let's hope that continues
- 14:40tonight. Rays, meanwhile. 46 and 23 at
- 14:43home, 67% win rate second best home team in baseball behind who
- 14:48we just. Talked about Atlanta and also.
- 14:50The Mets, a losing team on the road, 29 and 37.
- 14:54So 10 cent. Move toward the Tampa.
- 14:56Bay Rays heavy splits at Circa. Good system, matches in the
- 14:59spot, good at home. Again, Seymour, hopefully
- 15:02greater than. Stock I laid.
- 15:04It here with the Tampa Bay. Rays.
- 15:05I got rays. -168 at FanDuel. Definitely shop around, a lot of
- 15:10books closer to. Now -175 at this point.
- 15:14Let's go raise now. Last bit of the night, let's
- 15:18look toward. The late night.
- 15:20Game here last game. 9:40 PM Eastern Time.
- 15:22Let's go. Out to the desert where the
- 15:24Philadelphia Phillies. Are visiting.
- 15:26The Arizona Diamondbacks, now Phil.
- 15:29'S come in 77 and 60 on the year they just swept the Angels.
- 15:33They won that series finale 5 to 2 as a -160.
- 15:36Five Rd. Favorite.
- 15:38You know all the snakes, 73 and 65 on the year they just split
- 15:42A4 game set, as we just mentioned against the G.
- 15:44Men lost that. Series finale 7 to 2 as a -. 125
- 15:48Rd. Favorite.
- 15:49So tonight's pitching matchup, we have the fills going with the
- 15:52righty Aaron Nola. He's 5 and 10.
- 15:55With a 5 point O3 ERA Diamondbacks meanwhile going
- 15:58with the righty. Brandon.
- 15:59Fought. He is 7 and one with a three.
- 16:01.51 ERA. What have you seen across the
- 16:04market? Well, this game open Philly a
- 16:06very short roughly -1. 15 road favorite Arizona.
- 16:10Around a + 100 home. Dog.
- 16:12And the public says? Philly's the better team.
- 16:14It's a very. Short number hammer the fills
- 16:17so. 70% of money line bets at DK are going with Philly.
- 16:22But here's the interesting. Part here, even though Philly's
- 16:24getting. 70% of tickets. Big, big majority.
- 16:27In this again is your is your final game of the night, so it's
- 16:29it's. Kind of a.
- 16:30Not your like last game in. Hawaii Chase situation but.
- 16:34Public play just to whether whether public has a good day
- 16:37and this is a double down game where public's getting crushed
- 16:40and they try to chase it. It's a clear late night Philly's
- 16:42play 70% of tickets, but even though.
- 16:45Nearly 3. Out of four tickets.
- 16:46Are on Philly. Normally, you'd expect Philly to
- 16:49go. -115 to -120. -130 but that hasn't happened.
- 16:54Philly stayed, pretty much. Exactly where they opened at.
- 16:57Around -115 so that tells me we have a bit of a line freeze here
- 17:01even though. Publix all over Philly lines
- 17:03pretty much staying where it's at.
- 17:05That tells me again that basically oddsmakers don't want
- 17:08to move the line up back toward. Philly.
- 17:10Because they don't. Want to give out a better plus
- 17:12money price to Contrarian Arizona backers now?
- 17:16Line Freeze, Arizona Contrarian Last most heavily bet game of
- 17:20the night. Then you look at the splits.
- 17:22Really good at DK only. 30%. Of money line bets but 82%.
- 17:27Of money line dollars over at Circa. 57.
- 17:30Percent of money line. Bets 70% of money line dollars.
- 17:35So good low bets, higher dollar split.
- 17:36At both DK and circa with that line freeze.
- 17:40Diamondbacks have some correlative betting value.
- 17:42This is an 8 1/2 total. So technically a higher total on
- 17:45a dog benefits, with a more expected run scored, more upset
- 17:49opportunities. You also.
- 17:51Look at a rest. Advantage and we always.
- 17:54Assume. Or you shouldn't assume.
- 17:55That everyone played on Sunday because you actually had Arizona
- 18:00not play yesterday. So Arizona was off?
- 18:02Yeah, because they played a double header on Saturday.
- 18:05Whereas the Phillies. Played in Los Angeles, so it's
- 18:08not that. You know, LA to Arizona is this
- 18:10huge? Distance, but it's the fact.
- 18:12That Arizona was completely. Off yesterday and Philly played.
- 18:16That creates A1 day advantage here toward Arizona
- 18:19Diamondbacks. Meanwhile, 10 and one and
- 18:21Brandon Fodd's last 11 starts, he's been really good.
- 18:24In August 5 starts, he's only giving up nine earned runs and
- 18:2733 innings. Pitch.
- 18:28That's a 2.4. 5 ERA and lastly, it's been a.
- 18:32Weird situation with. Catelle Marte he was.
- 18:35Hurt, then he was AWOL. Well, I was reading that.
- 18:38He's expected to be. Activated off the injured list
- 18:41and come back and play. Tonight, so if you can get.
- 18:43One of your best players back into this lineup.
- 18:46Hey, I'll take Katel Marte. I don't know what's going on
- 18:48with him, but he should play tonight.
- 18:50And that's a big bat that's added to Arizona's lineup.
- 18:54So line freeze everybody on. Philly, but line.
- 18:56Stayed where it's at. Really good.
- 18:58Splits on Arizona rest Advantage and then I popped open Juice
- 19:02Reel. Noticed a 26.
- 19:03Percent. Sharp mush edge on Arizona and
- 19:06then I opened up rhythm. And saw two recommendations.
- 19:09From the AI models on Arizona. One of which was a green.
- 19:13Star recommendation, so shop around, try to get as much plus
- 19:16money as it can if you want to ride.
- 19:18The snakes with me. I found Arizona plus.
- 19:21One O 7. At the score looking at a lot of
- 19:24books now, plus one O 5 even +100 let's see if.
- 19:27Arizona can win a late night game for us.
- 19:29That would be nice. So Atlanta and Tampa.
- 19:31Bay as favorites. Arizona as a dog.
- 19:34Let's try to get two of these to come through and.
- 19:37Give us a winning night. So that about does.
- 19:39It for episode 5. 69 of the all. Systems Go Sports betting
- 19:43podcast powered by Rhythm This is the part of the pod where we
- 19:46wrap things up and I always start first by saying thank you.
- 19:50Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for
- 19:52grinding in the arena with. Me every day and especially a
- 19:56week off. You guys are back here, so I
- 19:57love that. Tells me we got a sharp betting
- 20:00community that's excited about the challenge of trying to
- 20:03produce, winning nights, making bets with our head and not our
- 20:06heart. But if you enjoy this pod, maybe
- 20:08you missed it just a little. Bit this past week.
- 20:11Then I would love for you to give this pod a five star review
- 20:13on Spotify or iTunes. Rate and review.
- 20:16Recommend the pod to a friend. Click the Follow button.
- 20:18Retweet or like the tweet? That that puts the pod out on
- 20:23Twitter every afternoon. Any or all of those things we
- 20:25very. Much appreciated.
- 20:27Next if you. Enjoy this style of.
- 20:29Sports betting data-driven. Sharp contrarian betting
- 20:32focusing on line movement bets, but.
- 20:34System matches. Taking a contrarian approach if
- 20:37this style of betting. Has appealed to you.
- 20:38It's provided you a blueprint. To attack the market, you want
- 20:41to learn more about data-driven betting or maybe.
- 20:44You have someone in your life. Who could really benefit from a
- 20:46data-driven? Perspective then I would love
- 20:49for you make my day. Go to Amazon.com, Type in the
- 20:52NFL Sharp betting playbook. Or the.
- 20:55Everything Guide to sports. Betting those are the two books.
- 20:57That I've written. Very proud of both.
- 20:59But if you want to pick up one or both of my books, you'll make
- 21:02my day. And then you'll bring them the
- 21:03sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 21:04I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
- 21:06We'll get some nachos. We'll sweat some baseball.
- 21:08Games together tonight. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
- 21:11and Juice Reel yet? My two favorite.
- 21:13Sports betting apps to help me win.
- 21:14They're going to help you win. They're just another great box
- 21:17to check off when you're deciding whether or not you can
- 21:19find an edge to bet a game rhythm for their AI backed
- 21:23models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 21:25They're live for NFL and college right now, which is great.
- 21:28And of course, we've got baseball and then Juice Reel.
- 21:31So many great features at Juice Reel you can.
- 21:33Sync up your sports books. Got a running report card of
- 21:36your action? Get the Robo Jackson best bet
- 21:38picks the. Sharp mush indicators the.
- 21:40Arbitrage plays the shop for the best line futures.
- 21:43Then of course, if you'd like to support the pod now they were,
- 21:46you know, getting into. Football season I'm posting.
- 21:48Every best bet, as I always do. Directly to the Juice Reel app
- 21:51and you can get. Those best bets as soon as I
- 21:54play some at my book, they're synced up they.
- 21:56Go to the. All systems go.
- 21:58Best bet page on Juice Reel? And you can get.
- 22:01Those plays as soon as I make them for $9.99.
- 22:05A week or 20? $4.99 a month.
- 22:08So again, I want to thank everyone who does pay for those
- 22:11picks and if you'd like to sport the pod and get the plays
- 22:13earlier, I can certainly sign up through Juice Reel.
- 22:17So download Rhythm, download Juice Reel, give them both a
- 22:19five star review in the app. Store next.
- 22:23Do you have live? Odds page.
- 22:25Well, if you don't have one, you need one especially.
- 22:27Going into a big. Football season.
- 22:29We got to be tracking all the games, all the odds we got to
- 22:31find the games giving us or the books giving us a hook or a key
- 22:35number and best live odds page around.
- 22:37It's odds logic. So if you ever want to give it a
- 22:39shot, it's got all the books updates in real time.
- 22:43You can pull up the line history, you can shop for the
- 22:45best number you get live in game wagering odds.
- 22:47It is a must have for serious sports better.
- 22:50So if you ever want to try it out, I have a special link for
- 22:52you odslogic.com/josh. 123 that's going to give you a. 7
- 22:58day free trial and 50% off your first month of service.
- 23:02So that about does. It for episode 5. 69 of the asg
- 23:05pod feels good to. Get back into the swing of
- 23:07things, guys. I missed you so.
- 23:10Let's see if we. Can again start this long, you
- 23:13know, long hike up Mount Kilimanjaro, which I visited in
- 23:16Africa a couple years ago, which is the football season again.
- 23:20It's like our first step here, getting back into it.
- 23:23We got a big football season ahead.
- 23:25So as always, two final thoughts.
- 23:26One, whether I see you at the Borgata.
- 23:28In Atlantic City Twin. River in Rhode Island, the
- 23:30Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods.
- 23:32Or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the.
- 23:34Encore in Boston. Plain Ridge park casino MGM
- 23:37Springfield or the. Nash in my neck of the woods on
- 23:39the border of. Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
- 23:42Out in the desert where the true grinders get down or.
- 23:44Billy Walters sends his. Number runners with lowest juice
- 23:47possible is found the South. Point or sweat?
- 23:49And sharp contrarian plays. Jumping in the stadium,
- 23:52swimming. Pool.
- 23:52When you cash a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
- 23:55to me, hopefully. You're going to show me a
- 23:57winning ticket or two in MLB tonight?
- 24:00So as always guys, whether we're coming off a a week of.
- 24:03Vacation a week of. You know, great wins and and
- 24:06posted winning days or we're grinding or we're struggling.
- 24:10The thing about sports betting, just like in life, you're going
- 24:12to have good days and bad days, but we're approaching sports
- 24:16betting. With the attitude of.
- 24:17Embracing the challenge and trying to make sharp bets with
- 24:20our head and not our heart. Based on what the?
- 24:22Numbers and the data are telling us.
- 24:24So if we can do that, if we can find the.
- 24:26Games that fit our model against the public with the house with
- 24:29the pros Flat bet. Avoid parlays and get some CLV.
- 24:32If we can do that, we're. Going to have a big football.
- 24:35Season this year. So it's great to be back.
- 24:37Thank you for listening guys. Missed you last week, but here
- 24:39we go. It all starts now pretty much.
- 24:43So I'm looking forward to to having a.
- 24:45Big football season with you. Reminder of course as I start
- 24:48off the pod. Join the Applebaum.
- 24:50NFL Survivor contest again $50 entry.
- 24:53You can. Win up to 45,000.
- 24:54You might have already gotten a direct message for me on
- 24:56Twitter. I'll be.
- 24:57Tweeting up a storm about it, but definitely sign up now
- 25:00because. If you do it.
- 25:01Before tomorrow at midnight. You'll get entered.
- 25:03Into the free raffle to get that free entry into.
- 25:06The 3 million. Dollar splash contest, but great
- 25:09to be back everybody and I'll see if we.
- 25:11Can get a couple. Wins here tonight and MLB.
- 25:14So I'll see you tomorrow for episode. 570 that'll be.
- 25:18The first episode in the month of September and hopefully we'll
- 25:22have a good, good start to the NFL.
- 25:23Season. Good luck everybody, have a
- 25:25great night and I'll see you tomorrow.