Latest / Political Capital with Rob Shaw / October 16, 2026 - When Municipal and Provincial Elections Collide | Political Capital
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Check podcasts.
- 0:11Speaker 2: Hey, everyone, and welcome to Political Capital, your source for
- 0:14Speaker 2: all the latest in B.C.
- 0:15Speaker 3: Politics.
- 0:16Speaker 2: And boy, is there a lot of latest news to
- 0:19Speaker 2: get into here. We are down to the final kind
- 0:21Speaker 2: of stretch. The last week of the B.C. election is
- 0:25Speaker 2: on the horizon. We've got lots to talk about, many
- 0:29Speaker 2: topics to get into this week. We're going to bring
- 0:31Speaker 2: in the pod squad to do it. Jeff Ferrier, Jillian Oliver,
- 0:35Speaker 2: and Allie Blades are here, our political capital prime crew.
- 0:38Speaker 3: Thanks so much for being here. Let us begin. Let
- 0:43Speaker 3: us dive in. We've had a busy week.
- 0:45Speaker 2: We are now one week away from the provincial election.
- 0:50Speaker 2: Advanced voting has opened as we record this on Friday.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Where are we at? What's happening in this final week
- 0:59Speaker 2: that's important for people to know and what do parties
- 1:02Speaker 2: need to do in this final stretch to kind of
- 1:04Speaker 2: bring everything home? Ali, why don't we start with you
- 1:06Speaker 2: on that?
- 1:08Speaker 4: Well, for all of the get out the vote nerds
- 1:12Speaker 4: that are on campaigns, tomorrow's going to be a little
- 1:14Speaker 4: bit different, I think. So typically you would have a
- 1:17Speaker 4: post debate. Then you think about momentum events. You think
- 1:20Speaker 4: about the target writings that you need to reach and
- 1:23Speaker 4: potentially larger audiences now. And tomorrow, Saturday, is going to
- 1:29Speaker 4: be a bit of a weird day because you're getting
- 1:31Speaker 4: out the vote for the provincial campaign, but as well
- 1:34Speaker 4: as the municipal campaign. And so what I'm understanding in
- 1:36Speaker 4: for multiple campaigns, not just the Conservative, that there's an
- 1:40Speaker 4: interesting strategy of get out the vote plus voter ID
- 1:43Speaker 4: because of the nature of the snap election. And so
- 1:46Speaker 4: no matter where you are in this province, I think
- 1:48Speaker 4: you're going to be busy tomorrow.
- 1:49Speaker 2: Do you think, Ali, we're going to get lower voter
- 1:52Speaker 2: turnout municipally and provincially because of all this or... What's
- 1:57Speaker 2: your best guess there.
- 1:58Speaker 3: Do you think?
- 1:58Speaker 4: Who knows? I'm hoping for better voter turnout because you
- 2:02Speaker 4: would have the option to do both, not in the
- 2:04Speaker 4: same location from what I understand, but maybe in hopefully
- 2:08Speaker 4: nearby locations. So if you're already going out to vote,
- 2:10Speaker 4: you might as well just do the other one too.
- 2:14Speaker 4: Who knows? I mean, we haven't been able to find
- 2:18Speaker 4: other cases like this anywhere in North America, really. Yeah.
- 2:22Speaker 3: Well, hope springs eternal. Let's hope for.
- 2:24Speaker 2: For a better voter turnout, it's good for democracy. Jillian,
- 2:28Speaker 2: where are we at here in the campaign and what
- 2:32Speaker 2: are you looking for as we kind of get into
- 2:34Speaker 2: this final week in terms of what parties need to
- 2:35Speaker 2: be doing and what voters might see?
- 2:38Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it is definitely turning towards the voter motivation,
- 2:43Speaker 1: which I think is going to be a bit of.
- 2:45Speaker 4: A slog for everybody.
- 2:47Speaker 1: I heard from a lot of people following the debate
- 2:48Speaker 1: that they just found it really hard to watch, especially
- 2:51Speaker 1: that first section where you kind of had the like
- 2:53Speaker 1: worst tweet Olympics with Dirksen and EB just going after
- 2:57Speaker 1: each other for like whose social media posts suck the
- 3:00Speaker 1: most and who's got the most internal problems and utterly
- 3:03Speaker 1: failing to address the problems that are top of mind
- 3:06Speaker 1: for voters. I wonder, I'd be so interested to know
- 3:08Speaker 1: if just a lot of people turned off their TVs
- 3:10Speaker 1: at that point. And so, and then I think, you know,
- 3:13Speaker 1: if they kept watching, they saw like EB really kind
- 3:16Speaker 1: of looking like the most premier-like, but still so much
- 3:19Speaker 1: disenchantment with him. So yeah, I think a really tough
- 3:22Speaker 1: slog to try to motivate voters in those key ridings.
- 3:26Speaker 1: The NDP and the Conservatives spending a lot of time
- 3:29Speaker 1: in the Fraser Valley where it seems like it's really
- 3:31Speaker 1: going to come down to for them and the Greens
- 3:33Speaker 1: spending most of their time on their island where their
- 3:35Speaker 1: top ridings are and really just trying to motivate people
- 3:37Speaker 1: and convince people to get out there and make the
- 3:40Speaker 1: effort and show up and cast their vote.
- 3:42Speaker 3: The worst tweet Olympics. I like that.
- 3:44Speaker 2: I kind of wish in the debate format that maybe
- 3:46Speaker 2: Those questions have been at the end, once everyone was
- 3:49Speaker 2: kind of, you know, like there was a lot of
- 3:51Speaker 2: nervousness off the top, and suddenly we're talking about some
- 3:53Speaker 2: of the most controversial issues right off the go, and
- 3:58Speaker 2: it didn't go well for anyone involved. Jeff, how are
- 4:01Speaker 2: you feeling about this last week, and what should we
- 4:03Speaker 2: be looking for?
- 4:05Speaker 5: My perspective is that there's no question that the Conservatives
- 4:09Speaker 5: have momentum at this part of the campaign. They're ahead
- 4:11Speaker 5: by two to five points, depending on what opinion poll
- 4:15Speaker 5: you're looking at. They'd much rather be where they're at
- 4:18Speaker 5: than the NDP is at right now. But there's still
- 4:20Speaker 5: lots in play. If you believe the public opinion polls,
- 4:24Speaker 5: there's a significant green vote where folks have indicated they
- 4:29Speaker 5: are ready to move, especially in close ridings. And once
- 4:34Speaker 5: folks go into the privacy of their ballot box areas,
- 4:38Speaker 5: the reality is that wanting a change in government in
- 4:41Speaker 5: this province is one thing and being comfortable with the
- 4:44Speaker 5: alternative is another. I think that's the tension at the
- 4:46Speaker 5: heart of the election and the results that will play
- 4:49Speaker 5: out on the 24th.
- 4:52Speaker 2: It is a good point that that brief moment in
- 4:54Speaker 2: the in the ballot box, you get that little stubby
- 4:56Speaker 2: little pencil in your hand and you have to kind
- 4:59Speaker 2: of seize up on what you're actually doing and think
- 5:01Speaker 2: about it can actually change right up into the last minute.
- 5:04Speaker 2: The old line about the 60 second Socrates, the people
- 5:07Speaker 2: who just could not articulate publicly why they would do something,
- 5:10Speaker 2: but then for 60 seconds in the ballot box would
- 5:12Speaker 2: be able.
- 5:12Speaker 3: To get their mind around. voting for social credit is
- 5:16Speaker 3: a good point.
- 5:17Speaker 2: So we've got polling that shows, as Jeff pointed out, Ali,
- 5:20Speaker 2: a really, really tight race here. If you aggregate all
- 5:23Speaker 2: the polling, you're kind of in around four or five
- 5:27Speaker 2: point lead for the Conservatives, but it's sometimes within the
- 5:30Speaker 2: margin of error. Sometimes it's even closer than that. What
- 5:33Speaker 2: does that mean in your mind at this point in
- 5:36Speaker 2: the campaign? And does it Are there other things that
- 5:39Speaker 2: are coming out of the polling numbers on leadership and
- 5:42Speaker 2: voter intention and geography and issues that you think may
- 5:46Speaker 2: be kind of interesting and critical in these final few days?
- 5:50Speaker 4: The reason for polling is so that campaigns and the
- 5:54Speaker 4: public can really decide whether or not where to put resources,
- 5:59Speaker 4: specifically for a campaign, right? If the polling is good,
- 6:03Speaker 4: then we can shift resources into other areas where it
- 6:06Speaker 4: would be more of a long shot for a campaign. So,
- 6:10Speaker 4: That is important to understand because the other part of
- 6:13Speaker 4: this is that because it's so close, I hate to
- 6:16Speaker 4: continue to talk about get out the vote, but that's
- 6:18Speaker 4: just the time that we're in. It means that that
- 6:20Speaker 4: is going to be oh so important. And then there
- 6:23Speaker 4: are some factors that I forgot to mention. The fact
- 6:26Speaker 4: that there's voter confusion because we have conservative municipal groups
- 6:30Speaker 4: that are not connected to the provincial group. There are
- 6:34Speaker 4: a lot of NDP supporters that are both involved municipally
- 6:39Speaker 4: and provincially. And on Sunday, all of those NDP supporters
- 6:43Speaker 4: now get to go on to provincial campaigns because they've
- 6:45Speaker 4: been so focused on municipal campaigns. And so because it's
- 6:49Speaker 4: so close, here's the point. Because it's so close, it's
- 6:52Speaker 4: really going to be interesting to see where that momentum
- 6:55Speaker 4: goes post the results of the municipal campaign. Because if
- 6:59Speaker 4: more left-leaning folks win on the municipal, then the NDP
- 7:03Speaker 4: get that momentum. If it goes our way on the
- 7:06Speaker 4: conservative side, then sure, they would be motivated to wake
- 7:09Speaker 4: up on a Sunday morning and hit the doors for
- 7:12Speaker 4: a conservative campaign.
- 7:15Speaker 3: It's possible.
- 7:17Speaker 2: The polling indicates maybe, Gillian, we might even be into
- 7:20Speaker 2: a situation where there's some type of minority government again.
- 7:23Speaker 2: I don't know if the prospect of that influences people
- 7:29Speaker 2: in the final week. It certainly might buoy the Greens,
- 7:32Speaker 2: but might scare some of the other parties. The tightness
- 7:36Speaker 2: of the polls and that idea that maybe someone doesn't
- 7:39Speaker 2: quite have it in the bag. How do you think
- 7:41Speaker 2: that all plays out in this last week?
- 7:44Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think it's definitely the most motivating
- 7:47Speaker 1: for green voters. And I think to Jeff's point could
- 7:51Speaker 1: be a factor in those sort of like tight NDP
- 7:54Speaker 1: green ridings for people who are really feel let down
- 7:57Speaker 1: by the NDP and David Eby decide this time that
- 8:01Speaker 1: have voted strategically in the past decide to take or
- 8:04Speaker 1: take a bit of a risk and see if they
- 8:06Speaker 1: can elect more greens and have a better chance of
- 8:09Speaker 1: getting that minority outcome in order to have some more accountability.
- 8:13Speaker 1: I think that, you know, people look favorably on the first,
- 8:16Speaker 1: you know, three and a half years of the Horgan government,
- 8:18Speaker 1: which is a minority. And that's, you know, maybe is
- 8:21Speaker 1: something like a good goal to shoot for to the
- 8:23Speaker 1: extent that you can. For the others, I mean, maybe
- 8:27Speaker 1: it kind of motivates their volunteers. I'm not sure how
- 8:29Speaker 1: much it motivates, maybe it motivates conservative voters a little
- 8:32Speaker 1: bit more, but I don't know if it would be
- 8:34Speaker 1: much more than they already are. They're really wanting a change.
- 8:37Speaker 2: Jeff, what does the NDP need to do here to
- 8:41Speaker 2: turn this thing around and and win what Premier David
- 8:44Speaker 2: Eby said at the beginning of the campaign was his goal,
- 8:47Speaker 2: is a stronger majority. The polls don't indicate he's there,
- 8:50Speaker 2: but he's got a week left to do it. What
- 8:51Speaker 2: does he need to do to achieve what he set
- 8:53Speaker 2: out to on the snap election for, do you think?
- 8:57Speaker 5: Yeah, the polls are a mixed bag for the NDP.
- 8:59Speaker 5: There's enough bad news to keep them awake at night,
- 9:02Speaker 5: but enough good news to get them up in the morning.
- 9:04Speaker 5: So they're going to push hard right through to election day.
- 9:07Speaker 5: They need to do two things, drive message home and
- 9:11Speaker 5: get the vote out. So they need to flood the
- 9:14Speaker 5: airwaves and social media with messages about affordability, keep raising
- 9:18Speaker 5: doubts about conservative policies, candidates and readiness to govern, more
- 9:23Speaker 5: campaign events, more advertising is going to be really important.
- 9:28Speaker 5: Take out the intermediary and get direct messages in front
- 9:30Speaker 5: of people and hope that You get some aligned advertising
- 9:35Speaker 5: from third party groups as well that amplify your message.
- 9:39Speaker 5: And we've been talking about the ground war, volunteers organized,
- 9:42Speaker 5: get your voter list ready, phone banks running, digital tools working,
- 9:47Speaker 5: supporters get into the polls. The air war that we've
- 9:51Speaker 5: been focused on all throughout this campaign gets the headlines,
- 9:54Speaker 5: but the ground war gets the votes into the ballot boxes.
- 9:56Speaker 5: So I think that's what the NDP needs to do
- 9:59Speaker 5: in a close election. they can't afford to leave a
- 10:01Speaker 5: single vote on the table, especially with the Conservatives with
- 10:04Speaker 5: the momentum right now.
- 10:05Speaker 2: I forgot to ask Gillian and Jeff, but I did
- 10:07Speaker 2: ask Ali. Do you think voter turnout, up or down, Jeff?
- 10:12Speaker 5: Consistent.
- 10:14Speaker 2: Okay.
- 10:15Speaker 3: Gillian, do you think up or down?
- 10:16Speaker 1: I think down.
- 10:18Speaker 5: Okay.
- 10:19Speaker 3: Yeah, I kind of think down too. But again, hope, hope.
- 10:23Speaker 3: Get out there and vote, everybody. You can do it.
- 10:25Speaker 2: There's six days of advanced voting. You can vote anywhere
- 10:27Speaker 2: for advanced voting too. So get out there and do that. Okay,
- 10:31Speaker 2: we're going to take a quick break. Lots more coming
- 10:32Speaker 2: up after this.
- 10:34Speaker 3: Well, welcome back.
- 10:36Speaker 2: Key ridings are going to decide the fate of this election.
- 10:40Speaker 2: It looks like given how close it is, every party
- 10:43Speaker 2: focusing in different areas, different zones that they need to
- 10:47Speaker 2: really kind of win or hold or avoid collapsing in
- 10:51Speaker 2: to form the next government or to win the seats
- 10:54Speaker 2: they need to win. Jillian, why don't we start with you?
- 10:57Speaker 2: When we're looking at the Greens, where are they most hopeful,
- 11:02Speaker 2: do you think? And what are the sort of key
- 11:03Speaker 2: areas that they might be watching for on election night?
- 11:06Speaker 1: Yeah, well, of course, the first tier and priority will
- 11:10Speaker 1: be to hold on to those two seats in West Vancouver,
- 11:12Speaker 1: Sea to Sky and Saanich North in the Islands where
- 11:14Speaker 1: Emily Lowen is running. And then beyond that, I think
- 11:17Speaker 1: all of their target ridings are going to be sort
- 11:19Speaker 1: of in the capital regional district near Victoria, Victoria Swan Lake,
- 11:23Speaker 1: where they've got the chair of the Victoria School Board.
- 11:26Speaker 1: or sorry, Teachers Association, who's running and has got a
- 11:29Speaker 1: strong campaign there. In Oak Bay, Gordon Head, where they've
- 11:32Speaker 1: got a local councillor and an interesting vote split with
- 11:35Speaker 1: Andrew Weaver running for Centre BC. That's going to be
- 11:37Speaker 1: such a fascinating riding to watch. And that's a riding
- 11:39Speaker 1: that's gone Conservative, NDP and Green in the past. And
- 11:43Speaker 1: then also in Lankford, Juan de Fuca, where they've got
- 11:46Speaker 1: a strong candidate in David Evans, who ran last time
- 11:49Speaker 1: and is well-known locally and well-liked. So I think that's
- 11:52Speaker 1: where they're going to be looking on election night.
- 11:54Speaker 2: Jeff, for the NDP, I know we get to the
- 11:58Speaker 2: lower mainland and there's kind of battleground ridings. They have
- 12:01Speaker 2: traditional areas of strength as well. What are you looking
- 12:04Speaker 2: at to sort of figure out the fortunes of the
- 12:07Speaker 2: governing party based on how they win or lose?
- 12:10Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, we've talked a lot about kind of
- 12:14Speaker 5: horse race numbers. Ali touched on this too. There's some
- 12:18Speaker 5: races that could be decided by the number of people
- 12:20Speaker 5: in a reasonably busy coffee shop on election day. So
- 12:25Speaker 5: on Vancouver Island, I'll be looking at Courtney Comox, where
- 12:28Speaker 5: the Conservatives won by just 93 votes in 2024. They
- 12:31Speaker 5: have a strong candidate, but we'll see what happens. And
- 12:35Speaker 5: there was a strong green vote in that ride in
- 12:37Speaker 5: the last election. We'll see where that goes. Juan de
- 12:40Speaker 5: Fuca Malahat, the NDP won that by just 141 votes.
- 12:43Speaker 5: If they hold on to that, it's a sign that
- 12:48Speaker 5: maybe they're going to be able to hold on to government.
- 12:51Speaker 5: If you're looking at the lower mainland... Sir Guildford, Gary
- 12:55Speaker 5: Begg won that by 22 votes last time. Who wins
- 12:59Speaker 5: that will be, I think, a barometer of who's got momentum.
- 13:03Speaker 5: And in the interior, one riding I'm looking at that
- 13:06Speaker 5: I think is really interesting is Kelowna Center. The Conservatives
- 13:09Speaker 5: won there by just 40 votes. Loyal Woodridge, the NDP candidate,
- 13:14Speaker 5: is running again. And it might be an opportunity for
- 13:17Speaker 5: the NDP to make a rare breakthrough into the interior.
- 13:21Speaker 3: Gillian, sorry, Allie.
- 13:24Speaker 2: Areas that stand out for you? There's probably some overlap
- 13:26Speaker 2: with what Jeff just said as well. But on the
- 13:28Speaker 2: conservative side, where do you think they might be focusing?
- 13:32Speaker 4: Well, just going further to what Jeff was saying, I've
- 13:35Speaker 4: always known that Kelowna was going to be a place
- 13:37Speaker 4: of interest for the NDP, just considering the amount of
- 13:41Speaker 4: time that the NDP government and particularly David Eby spent
- 13:45Speaker 4: in Kelowna over the last two years. I also saw
- 13:49Speaker 4: him in Vernon quite a bit for government announcements. And
- 13:52Speaker 4: so I always thought, sure, I think they might think
- 13:54Speaker 4: that they could flip a Kelowna Center again because it
- 13:57Speaker 4: was so close. At the beginning of the campaign, I
- 13:59Speaker 4: wasn't entirely sure where the NDP would be able to
- 14:03Speaker 4: pick up votes just because on any given day they
- 14:06Speaker 4: could make an announcement that more appeals to the right
- 14:08Speaker 4: or to the left. But I think my guess is
- 14:12Speaker 4: that David Eby is going to be spending more time
- 14:15Speaker 4: in areas where there is a green candidate so that
- 14:18Speaker 4: he can take away those votes from the green candidate
- 14:21Speaker 4: to the NDP, because this is really going to be
- 14:24Speaker 4: that close.
- 14:26Speaker 2: I mean, the NDP have tried that as long as
- 14:27Speaker 2: I've been covering politics, you know, trying to squish the
- 14:32Speaker 2: greens at the very last minute.
- 14:34Speaker 3: And it never really works.
- 14:34Speaker 2: Because I think people, especially after Emily Lowen's debate performance,
- 14:39Speaker 2: kind of like the greens and Um, but it is a.
- 14:43Speaker 3: Real threat in some writings.
- 14:45Speaker 2: Uh, and, uh, what about, um, we could spend an
- 14:48Speaker 2: entire show just on Surrey because it's fascinating and it
- 14:51Speaker 2: has so many writings more than the entire Northern half
- 14:53Speaker 2: of the province. That's, uh, the suburbs, the tri-cities, I mean, even, uh,
- 14:57Speaker 2: you know, Richmond and areas that are in play this time. Um,
- 15:02Speaker 2: there is a lot, I think we'll, you'll want to
- 15:04Speaker 2: tune in on election night because all four of us
- 15:07Speaker 2: will be breaking down those writings in real time as
- 15:09Speaker 2: the results, um, Come in.
- 15:11Speaker 3: Let's take a quick break. We have time left. We've
- 15:14Speaker 3: got other topics we're going to get to right after this.
- 15:17Speaker 3: Welcome back.
- 15:17Speaker 2: A couple of issues we want to get into. Let's
- 15:19Speaker 2: start with the Massey Bridge, a promise from the conservatives
- 15:23Speaker 2: in the final days of the campaign. Stop the tunnel
- 15:26Speaker 2: project of the NDP. Build a bridge. That was the
- 15:29Speaker 2: original plan prior to 2017. The NDP are proceeding with
- 15:31Speaker 2: a tunnel project. I'm not sure it can be stopped
- 15:34Speaker 2: or if it should be stopped or if a bridge
- 15:36Speaker 2: is better or a tunnel is better at this point,
- 15:38Speaker 2: but everyone's talking about it. Let's go around quickly on that. Jeff,
- 15:41Speaker 2: what do you think of the bridge versus tunnel?
- 15:44Speaker 5: I understand the politics has taken a long time to
- 15:46Speaker 5: get the new crossing in place, but it should be
- 15:51Speaker 5: a tunnel. We have $ 3 billion from the government of
- 15:54Speaker 5: Canada that will go away if we go to a bridge.
- 15:56Speaker 5: It'll be delayed by a number of years. operating engineers
- 16:01Speaker 5: and teamsters are out saying this would take thousands of
- 16:04Speaker 5: workers off a project, maybe hundreds, not thousands. So I
- 16:13Speaker 5: think for those reasons, the NDP is on solid policy
- 16:16Speaker 5: ground for keeping the tunnel going.
- 16:19Speaker 3: Ali, is this a vote getter to go back to
- 16:21Speaker 3: the idea of a bridge?
- 16:22Speaker 4: I don't think it's necessarily solid policy ground. It The
- 16:27Speaker 4: question here is the believability of who's actually going to
- 16:29Speaker 4: build whatever's going to fix the problem the most. And
- 16:34Speaker 4: the NDP have received a ton of criticism of the
- 16:37Speaker 4: fact that every project goes over budget, never on time.
- 16:41Speaker 4: And so it's less about tunnel bridge, rather, which party's
- 16:45Speaker 4: actually going to be able to deliver this because we
- 16:47Speaker 4: have no more time to give to this. The port
- 16:51Speaker 4: there is going to expand big time over the next
- 16:54Speaker 4: little while, and we have to be able to move things.
- 16:58Speaker 2: The tunnel is not environmentally approved yet, and it's a
- 17:01Speaker 2: salmon-bearing Fraser River, and there may be issues with that.
- 17:04Speaker 2: The bridge hasn't even begun. I mean, it is the
- 17:10Speaker 2: biggest traffic bottleneck in the province. People are frustrated daily
- 17:14Speaker 2: by it. It used to be a massive issue. Do
- 17:15Speaker 2: you think it's resonating the same way this time?
- 17:17Speaker 1: I mean, I think people that are affected by this
- 17:19Speaker 1: are just fed up with it being a political football
- 17:22Speaker 1: and 10 years of waiting in their cars while these
- 17:24Speaker 1: parties kick it back and forth and nothing gets done.
- 17:26Speaker 1: I think that people are going to be more inclined
- 17:29Speaker 1: to want to stick to the current plan because that
- 17:31Speaker 1: probably seems like it's the most likely to be faster
- 17:34Speaker 1: rather than going back to the drawing board on this.
- 17:37Speaker 1: But I mean, what better issue than to exemplify the
- 17:39Speaker 1: problem with the sort of like polarized hyperpolitical two party
- 17:42Speaker 1: system that we have?
- 17:43Speaker 3: Yeah, bridge and tunnel, two parties.
- 17:45Speaker 5: Super quick, super quick. I drive by that through the
- 17:48Speaker 5: tunnel frequently during the week because where I live, there's
- 17:51Speaker 5: lots of work going on right now. You see all
- 17:55Speaker 5: kinds of prep work being done, but Jillian's right. People
- 17:58Speaker 5: just want this solved and this project to move forward
- 18:01Speaker 5: in some way that gets them to work or wherever faster.
- 18:06Speaker 4: Okay.
- 18:07Speaker 2: Let's talk briefly about the B.C. Green leader, Emily Lohan,
- 18:10Speaker 2: coming out during and after the leaders debate, saying if
- 18:13Speaker 2: she holds a balance of power in a minority government,
- 18:15Speaker 2: her number one issue to die on is implementing proportional representation,
- 18:20Speaker 2: changing our voting system three times. Voters have rejected that
- 18:24Speaker 2: in referenda. Ali, what did you think of the Greens
- 18:27Speaker 2: making that the big issue?
- 18:29Speaker 4: I just think this is so comical because at the
- 18:32Speaker 4: beginning of the campaign, the whole part of David Eby
- 18:36Speaker 4: asking for this election was a strong mandate. And now
- 18:39Speaker 4: he's in a position where this very well could be
- 18:41Speaker 4: Emily Lohan giving him that strong mandate or not. I
- 18:45Speaker 4: just think it's funny.
- 18:48Speaker 2: Jillian, PR, is it even possible to do it without
- 18:51Speaker 2: going back to voters? I feel like that might tick
- 18:54Speaker 2: people off. But it's certainly what the leader of the
- 18:57Speaker 2: Green Party says she wants done.
- 18:59Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it'll be interesting to see if that
- 19:01Speaker 1: plays out. I mean, I think that this election in
- 19:03Speaker 1: particular represents like the reason why it might be time
- 19:06Speaker 1: to change the voting system when there are the two
- 19:09Speaker 1: big parties. There's so many people who don't think either
- 19:10Speaker 1: of them are a great option. It's so hard for
- 19:12Speaker 1: the other parties to break through. At the same time,
- 19:16Speaker 1: of course, there will be lots of pushback from that.
- 19:18Speaker 1: But in some ways, I think 2017 with a functioning,
- 19:21Speaker 1: healthy minority government under first past the post almost like
- 19:24Speaker 1: undermined its own argument for changing the system. Whereas now
- 19:27Speaker 1: we're in a position where, you know, the system failed
- 19:30Speaker 1: to keep extremism out. We still have extreme candidates in
- 19:33Speaker 1: the House. We still have extreme parties like 1BC in
- 19:35Speaker 1: the House. And I think there might be some appetite
- 19:38Speaker 1: for change.
- 19:39Speaker 4: So we'll see.
- 19:40Speaker 1: I think that, though, they would be wise to put
- 19:41Speaker 1: some other things on the table that more address people's
- 19:43Speaker 1: immediate top of mind concerns as well.
- 19:45Speaker 3: Yeah, I kind of feel like they may have to
- 19:47Speaker 3: do that.
- 19:48Speaker 4: Sure.
- 19:50Speaker 5: Words here. Priority for the Greens, not for voters.
- 19:55Speaker 3: It would benefit the Greens.
- 19:56Speaker 2: I mean, that is obviously the issue, that they gain
- 19:58Speaker 2: more popular vote than they do seats.
- 20:02Speaker 3: And therefore, if they switched it around.
- 20:03Speaker 2: But you remember how complicated the last PR referendum was,
- 20:05Speaker 2: the mathematical equation? where your vote was going looked like
- 20:09Speaker 2: the Oppenheimer equation, you know, it's like divisions and pie
- 20:12Speaker 2: and charts. And it's like your votes divided vision reaction.
- 20:15Speaker 2: It was so difficult to explain. I don't know how, um, that,
- 20:19Speaker 2: and David Eby has said, no, he's been asked this before.
- 20:23Speaker 2: He said, no, I'm not going back to that. So, uh,
- 20:25Speaker 2: just briefly, Jeff, just on you, do you think Eby
- 20:28Speaker 2: would put it back on the table if it meant
- 20:30Speaker 2: staying in, uh, getting the green support to stay in power?
- 20:33Speaker 3: Just briefly.
- 20:35Speaker 5: Uh, I, I suppose it's something, uh, he'd consider, but
- 20:38Speaker 5: I think, uh, the real focus that, uh, he would
- 20:41Speaker 5: want to get some deals on our healthcare and affordability
- 20:44Speaker 5: and that's where I think he'd focus.
- 20:46Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 20:46Speaker 2: And there is some overlap with the greens, certainly in
- 20:48Speaker 2: healthcare and community health centers and, uh, on some affordability
- 20:52Speaker 2: issues too.
- 20:52Speaker 4: Okay. All right.
- 20:53Speaker 3: Well, so much going on.
- 20:55Speaker 2: You want to make sure you subscribe to political capital daily,
- 20:57Speaker 2: where we're breaking this down each and every day next week.
- 21:01Speaker 2: We do have a show as well right on the
- 21:04Speaker 2: eve of the election and on election night. The panel
- 21:06Speaker 2: will be live with their analysis of what's happening in
- 21:10Speaker 2: real time. So thank you so much for joining us.
- 21:12Speaker 2: Thanks to the panel for being here. And we'll be
- 21:14Speaker 2: back next week with all the latest in BC politics
- 21:17Speaker 2: here on Political Capital.