Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 532 - 6/16/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and. Welcome to episode 532 of the
- 0:18All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast.
- 0:21Powered by Rhythm, I Am Your host Josh Applebaum.
- 0:29What's going on, everyone? Happy Tuesday, another day.
- 0:32Here in the arena, guys, as we roll through the middle portion
- 0:36of June and we're going to get right back to do what?
- 0:38We love to do because. It is now.
- 0:40Wall to wall MLB betting again, we got the.
- 0:44Knicks as the Champs? We got the Hurricanes as the
- 0:46Champs. NBANHL is.
- 0:48Over actually. Thinking about some NFL win
- 0:51totals, I was. Looking at a win total last
- 0:53night, guys that I want to give you guys a little bit of insight
- 0:56too because I was, I was writing about it.
- 0:59For the VS and betting guide. Which is coming out, I think in
- 1:01about a week. Or so.
- 1:03And I'm actually looking. At a team.
- 1:04That I've been riding a little. Bit last couple years and I'm.
- 1:07Expecting them to. Do pretty well.
- 1:08Once again, so before I give you that team, just again reminding
- 1:12you today that we're getting right back to.
- 1:13Major League Baseball. So I got 3 bets overall, all
- 1:17three. Money line favorites.
- 1:18Couple short ones, a modest one, a little bit more expensive
- 1:21here, but all three. Of them have good.
- 1:24Sharp rhythm recommendations with line moves, with splits,
- 1:26with system matches. So we're going to see.
- 1:28If we can go 2 and 1 and eke out a winning.
- 1:30Night and Speaking of. Eking out a winning.
- 1:32Night. And that's why I think it's.
- 1:33Important to have realistic expectations on your betting on
- 1:36sports because again, we know. How hard it is and how?
- 1:38Difficult it is to consistently win.
- 1:41At sports betting. Again, you think it's easy when
- 1:43you get into sports. Betting for the first time Oh,
- 1:45I'm a. Fan.
- 1:46So that means I know the, I know the sports, I know.
- 1:48The players, therefore. That's going to translate to me
- 1:50being a really good. Sports better?
- 1:52Well, no, not so much. Betting is a lot different than
- 1:54being. A fan you obviously want.
- 1:56To get rid of all your fandom and bet.
- 1:58Based on what? The analytics and what?
- 2:00The numbers are telling you what the betting market is saying,
- 2:02which is the whole point of this podcast.
- 2:04Not to bet as a fan, but to bet as a sharp.
- 2:06A data-driven Sharp. But the key here is with
- 2:09realistic expectations, you know you got to overcome the juice,
- 2:13overcome bad beats. You know we're betting baseball
- 2:15every day, so bullpens blowing it or?
- 2:18You know, teams not showing up. Whatever the case may be, we got
- 2:21to. Make sure that we grind out as
- 2:23many 2IN ones as we can knowing that it's difficult.
- 2:26To win long term, but then when you have that.
- 2:29Realistic expectation. The benefit is that.
- 2:31If you go one and two or go and three.
- 2:33You know you're in a tough market so you're not going to
- 2:35get 2 down on yourself as much as it hurts, but then.
- 2:39When you when you are when you are fighting for a two and one
- 2:42and you produce a three and O sweep and makes it that much
- 2:45sweeter. And that's exactly.
- 2:47What we did last night, 3 and O. Plus 2.16 units, a great start
- 2:51to the week. And I would hope.
- 2:53Maybe if I'm not looking too much into it, but a good omen.
- 2:56For the fact. That, you know, NBA, NHL.
- 2:58Is over when we're focusing on baseball on the 1st?
- 3:00True only baseball night we go 3 and O.
- 3:03Hopefully that sends a good signal for the rest of the way
- 3:05here, but had a great hit early with the Nationals 7 to.
- 3:09Three over Kansas. City, they're up.
- 3:11They coughed up the lead and then their offense just went off
- 3:14late. Cruz, that second overall pick
- 3:16from LSU, hit a Homer. So the Nats got a good, good win
- 3:19for US. Seven to three against the
- 3:20Royals. It was funny, I was watching the
- 3:23Nats game and as soon as it ended I just flipped over and
- 3:26saw the Reds are up 9 to nothing.
- 3:28And then up winning. 12 to nothing so.
- 3:30Shout out to Pete. Rose and the red legs again
- 3:32gives. Me a an easy opportunity to tell
- 3:35you the best and shortest. Joke of all time.
- 3:38Pete. Rose sat on attack.
- 3:40Pete Rose So the ghost of Pete Rose 12.
- 3:43Nothing winner with the Reds. Love seeing that.
- 3:45And then the Cardinals 3 to nothing winner against San
- 3:48Diego. Dustin May pitch to Gem.
- 3:51Obviously that's painful for me. Because.
- 3:53He was a Red Sox player. And he was terrible.
- 3:55And then he goes. To, you know, high in bloom and
- 3:58in the cards and pitches of gem. So that's just the way it goes.
- 4:01Every Red Sox guy that we added except for Contreras is stunk.
- 4:05And then every guy we give away is awesome.
- 4:06So, you know, go figure there. But at least we got to win there
- 4:10with the Cardinals. By the way, my guy, I want to
- 4:13make sure I give him credit. Here on Twitter.
- 4:15Because he is. A sharp who always supports the
- 4:17pod and it is derm shit at derm. Shit 80.
- 4:21Four, my guy. He said nice sweep including.
- 4:24The run line plays last night Josh stay hot so.
- 4:27I always mentioned you want to be a little bit more bold.
- 4:29Opportunity to stack more, but all three winners there.
- 4:32Were by at least two runs or more.
- 4:34So shout out to anyone like our guy Durmshit 84 who went run
- 4:38line, but I'll take a 3 and O + 2 point. 16 unit night any day
- 4:42of the week. Now I wanted to mention.
- 4:46A win total. So before we get to our MLB.
- 4:49Best bets for today? I got three of them here lined
- 4:51up for you. I just wanted to, you know, wet
- 4:53your whistle. You know we could.
- 4:55Tease you a little bit. With some NFL.
- 4:57Win total. So I wrote this for the upcoming
- 4:59V sin NFL. Betting guide and figured, hey,
- 5:02I just played it. I did my research.
- 5:03I had to pick one. I have an article about how to
- 5:05use bet splits to your advantage.
- 5:06That's going to be in the betting guide as well.
- 5:08But I had one. Future that I wanted to
- 5:10contribute and it was the future that made the most.
- 5:13Sense to me. From a data-driven perspective,
- 5:15and that future is? The Houston Texans over. 9 1/2
- 5:20wins and you can get that at -125 at DraftKings.
- 5:24I believe it's -120 maybe a bet, MGM.
- 5:27Might be able to save $0.05 or so, but here's my write up on
- 5:30why I'm going with the Texans over 9 1/2 wins.
- 5:34So quote. Houston's win total.
- 5:36Has remained stagnant at 9 and a.
- 5:38Half this offseason, but a closer look at the.
- 5:40Juice shows. Liability on the over.
- 5:43As the prices increased. From.
- 5:44Over 9.5. Wins -115 juice to over. 9.5
- 5:49wins -125 Juice this signal smart.
- 5:52Money leaning. Toward ten wins or more as
- 5:54DraftKings is forcing betters to pay a more expensive.
- 5:57Price than what it. Opened at The Texans have gone,
- 6:00have won. At least 10 games in all three
- 6:02seasons under head coach Damico Ryan.
- 6:04'S going 10 and 7. In 2023.
- 6:07Ten and seven in 2020. 4IN. 12:00 and 5:00 last year and
- 6:10I'll add, I think they started O and three last year they started
- 6:12rough and really turned it on. Houston plays in a weak
- 6:15division. Ian enjoys the 7th.
- 6:18Easiest. Strength of schedule based on
- 6:20their opponents win. Percentage from last season a
- 6:22474. Combined win percentage Texans.
- 6:25Boast A ferocious defense. Second in the NFL.
- 6:27Allowing only 17.3 points per. Game last year.
- 6:30And they returned nearly. Every starter from that
- 6:32ferocious. Defense.
- 6:33And they also added. Safety Reed Blankenship and free
- 6:36agency to shore up the. Defensive backfield.
- 6:39Houston. Houston's.
- 6:40Offense should also. Improve with the return of
- 6:42injured. Wide receiver Tank Dell.
- 6:44Remember he missed I believe all last year in the addition of
- 6:47running. Back David Montgomery.
- 6:49As bad as CJ Stroud looked in the playoffs, throwing 4
- 6:52interceptions in the divisional round lost to the Patriots.
- 6:55He's an experienced. Starter entering his fourth.
- 6:57Season and will surely be extra motivated to secure.
- 7:00A lucrative contract extension. So you have Stroud in a in a
- 7:03contract year. So that's my play.
- 7:06Submission to the Beast and. Betting Guide Texans over 9 1/2
- 7:09wins Again, you're banking on one the betting.
- 7:12Market making you pay. A higher price, the juice is
- 7:15rising, so it's like a. Juiced up over 2, they've won at
- 7:18least 10 games. Every year under D'amico Ryan's
- 7:213. Easy division 7th easiest.
- 7:24Strength to schedule 4. Great defense.
- 7:27Added to a Blankenship. Adding Tank, Dell and Montgomery
- 7:30and also their. Two young wide receivers are
- 7:32now. Going to their second year as
- 7:33well and I think it's kind of a buy low.
- 7:35Spot on, CJ Stroud. We're all thinking how terrible
- 7:37he was in that Patriots game. As a Pats fan, I was happy, but
- 7:41Stroud looked awful. So you're kind of buying low on
- 7:43a guy who's probably got something to prove and entering
- 7:45a contract. Year because he I believe they
- 7:47picked up his 5th. Year option, but after that?
- 7:50He's technically a free. Agent and again.
- 7:52If you're a good QB, you want that huge extension, so.
- 7:55That is a little football just to get you excited.
- 7:57I did. Put in Texans over. 9 1/2 wins.
- 8:00You can get it -125 at DraftKings.
- 8:03So a little bit of NFL. Which was a probably a surprise.
- 8:06I don't know if you expect an NFL.
- 8:07Win told Today but. I just want to think about.
- 8:10I'll be rooting and getting excited every time the Texans
- 8:12win a game this year. Let's get.
- 8:14At least ten wins. So that being said, let's get
- 8:17right back. To do what we love to do, which
- 8:18is betting on Major League Baseball.
- 8:20We're the grinders who love. Baseball.
- 8:22The crazy people. Who, who?
- 8:24Who? Who?
- 8:25Betted every day. From start to finish.
- 8:27So first, but on the board, 6:45 PM Eastern Time, let's go right
- 8:30back to the nation's capital where the Washington Nationals
- 8:33are hosting. The Kansas City Royals.
- 8:35Let's talk line moves, bet split system matches, pitching match
- 8:38up. I'll give you my play for this
- 8:40one. So the Nats come in 38 and 35 on
- 8:42the. Year They won last night's
- 8:44interleague series opener for US.
- 8:45Seven to three came through as a - 135 home favorite rematch for
- 8:49tonight the Royals who are. 29 and 44 they're.
- 8:52Going to go with. The righty Michael.
- 8:53Waka four and five 3.58 uh a Nats, meanwhile, going with the
- 8:58lefty Foster Griffin. Foster Griffin.
- 9:01He is 7 and two with a 3.46. Uh, a?
- 9:04So what we seen across the market?
- 9:05Will this game open? Nats listed around a. -125 home
- 9:08favorite Kansas City around a plus one O 5 road dog and
- 9:12sharps. Seem to be thinking.
- 9:13If it ain't broke. Don't fix it.
- 9:15Because wise guy money has gotten down once again.
- 9:18On the Nationals, who seen the Nationals get steamed up?
- 9:21-125 up to now -140. So about a 15 cent steam.
- 9:25Move in their favor. You'll get the splits that look
- 9:27really good on the Nats at both DK.
- 9:29And Circa and DraftKings Nats are getting. 77% of money line
- 9:33bets, but 90. 8% of money line dollars, you look over at Circa,
- 9:3771% of money line bets, 88% of money line dollars.
- 9:42So you have a line move toward the Nats.
- 9:44We got low bets, higher dollars at DK and Circa.
- 9:46That's really. The meat.
- 9:47Of this market movement. Now we get to our.
- 9:50System matches if you're an above 500 home favorite off a
- 9:54win and you're priced -155 or less like the Nats here.
- 9:58Those teams are 70 and 4362% with A10.
- 10:02Percent ROI this year. If you're an.
- 10:04Interleague home favorite off a win priced -1. 50 or.
- 10:07Less and you're receiving line movement in your favor.
- 10:10Those teams are 77 and 38 this year, 60. 7%.
- 10:14With a 19. Percent ROI actually.
- 10:16That's since since 2025. South the last.
- 10:18Two years combined I'm. Going to make on the Nats
- 10:21offense. Hopefully.
- 10:22Getting to waka Washington. Has an edge of the plate for 22
- 10:26slug. 399 runs scored. KC377 slug only 291 runs scored.
- 10:33Now Waka definitely struggled as of.
- 10:35Late. Let's hope that continues.
- 10:37Hoping the bats of the Washington.
- 10:39Can get to Waka because he has posted a 7.33 ERA.
- 10:43In his last three starts. Kansas City is O and six.
- 10:46In his last six starts, and they're two and nine in his last
- 10:48eleven starts. He's also posted a 4.43.
- 10:52ERA on the road. Versus 2 point. 85 at home, you
- 10:55know Griffin. Posted a 1.64 ERA and two June.
- 10:59Starts and I think. The Nats owe us a win because I
- 11:02believe. Griffin started that game where
- 11:03they were up 9 to 1 and blew it and lost 11 to 10.
- 11:07So maybe. The betting gods will give us
- 11:08this one just for that simple fact alone.
- 11:10But Washington is also 10 and 4. And is 14 starts.
- 11:13Overall, so Washington came through for us last night.
- 11:18Look sharp today once again, line move, bet split system
- 11:20matches better offense, hopefully the better pitcher.
- 11:23And oh, by the way, we have one rhythm recommendation AI model
- 11:27lighting up on Washington, telling us to take Washington.
- 11:30So I like that the AI model also is on is on the Nats here.
- 11:33So first, but on the board guys, I got Nats minus. 134 FanDuel.
- 11:38Shop around, most books closer now to around -140 Let's go
- 11:42Nationals next one for you. 7:15 PM.
- 11:45Eastern Time, first pitch, we got the San Francisco Giants
- 11:48visiting. The Atlanta Braves, now the G
- 11:51men, 29 and 43 on the year. They just just dropped two or
- 11:54three. Against the Cubbies, but did
- 11:55avoid the sweep. They won that series.
- 11:57Finale 5 to 1 as a -135 home favorite.
- 12:01You know, all the Braves 46 and 25, but they also just lost two
- 12:04or three against the Mets. Lost that series.
- 12:07Finale 8 to 1. As a + 110 road dog.
- 12:10So pitching match up for tonight's series opener.
- 12:13The Giants are going. With the righty Adrian.
- 12:15Houser. He's 2:00 and 6:00.
- 12:16With a 5.5 for ERA, meanwhile, the Braves are going to go with
- 12:20the righty Grant Holmes. He's four and two with a four
- 12:23point O 5 ERA. What?
- 12:24Have we seen across the market? Will this game open Atlanta
- 12:28around a minus? 150 home.
- 12:29Favorite San Francisco around a + 130 road dog and sharps.
- 12:34They ain't afraid of this, you know.
- 12:35I would call it moderately expensive chalk they've laid.
- 12:38They've gotten down hard on Atlanta.
- 12:40And they've. Steamed the Braves up -1. 50 now
- 12:43up to -165. -170. Splits look good on.
- 12:47Atlanta. At DK over 90.
- 12:50Percent of money line bets and dollars are on the Braves at
- 12:52circa 80% bets. Over 90% dollars on the Braves.
- 12:56So big low bets, higher dollars, you know?
- 12:58Heavy one way split in favor of. Atlanta Which?
- 13:00Coincides with that steam. Move in their favor.
- 13:03Got a couple good system matches on the Braves if you're a rested
- 13:05home favorite coming off a day off and you missed the playoffs
- 13:08the previous year so the Braves would match.
- 13:10Those teams are 19 and 8. 70 percent, 20% ROI this year.
- 13:15If you just look at when both. Teams are coming off a day off.
- 13:18Take the home favorite that system is. 48 and 27 this year,
- 13:2164. Percent with a 9% ROI.
- 13:24The Braves in particular, 18 and 6. 75% Twenty 3% ROI off a loss
- 13:31this year. That makes them the.
- 13:32Third most profitable. Bounce back team in baseball.
- 13:35Atlanta, by the way, nine and three in Holmes's last twelve
- 13:38starts. And he's posted.
- 13:40A 3.75 era at home versus 4. Point. 4 O on the road, so he's
- 13:43been better at home. Hopefully he's good here at home
- 13:46tonight. You know.
- 13:47Hauser 6.69 ERA in his last three starts and at in looking
- 13:53at day games actually he's got a 3.93 RA not that bad, but at
- 13:56night 7.62 Braves. Meanwhile, 22 and. 11 at home.
- 14:01Good home team Giants. Struggling on the road?
- 14:0415 and 23 so again -150 opener for Atlanta.
- 14:08They're up to close to -170 now. So we got Steam.
- 14:11On the Braves. We got good.
- 14:12System matches good splits. We got the rested favorite and
- 14:16the both off a day off take the favorite and hopefully we we
- 14:19have Holmes greater than Hauser here with the Braves playing
- 14:22well at home. Also one rhythm recommendation
- 14:26lighting up on the Braves. So we'll take that, put it in
- 14:28our back pocket. So second bed of the night for
- 14:30me guys took the Atlanta Braves. I got a. -165.
- 14:34At the score, certainly shop around.
- 14:36A lot of books closer now to minus. 170 Even I see one book
- 14:39now -175. But let's go.
- 14:42Braves Last bite of the night, 7:45 PM Eastern Time, first
- 14:46pitch. Let's go.
- 14:47Right back to Saint Louis. Where the Cardinals are hosting.
- 14:50The San Diego Padres. Now cards come in. 30. 9 and 31
- 14:54on the year. Had a huge win for us last
- 14:55night. 3 to nothing came through as a -, 160 home favorite.
- 14:59And tonight's rematch, the Padres, who are 37 and 43 or 37
- 15:04and that can't be right. That's a typo by me. 37 and 43.
- 15:08Hold on one second here. 37 and 30. 4 The Padres, a new one.
- 15:12I know they've struggled here, but I knew they were still above
- 15:14500, but they're going to go with the.
- 15:15Ready, Michael King. He's four and five with a 3.46
- 15:19era. Meanwhile, the cards are going
- 15:20to go with. The fellow ready.
- 15:21Andre Palante. He is 7 and four with a 3.88
- 15:25era. What?
- 15:26Are we seeing across the board? Here this game open at.
- 15:28Basically a pick em. Roughly -110 odds on both sides
- 15:32and what we always talk about, again on the pod, we're trying
- 15:34to just, I look at situations and kind of I look at angles
- 15:38and, and kind of pick up little clues that when this applies,
- 15:41hey, what does this mean? Well, I always.
- 15:43Mention that when a game. Opens as a pick em.
- 15:46The odds makers are telling you, hey.
- 15:47It's basically dead even. However, you got to remember the
- 15:50wise guys, the sharps, they may not always agree with the sports
- 15:52book, so a sharp sets their own numbers and maybe they have
- 15:56based on their power ratings and their own numbers.
- 15:58OK, I got this team -120 and they're pick them.
- 16:00Therefore I'm going to hit them because that's an edge.
- 16:03If we have if the sharp has it right at a pick em and the the
- 16:06line is a pick em in Vegas, they're not going to bet it
- 16:08because there's no there's no edge there.
- 16:10So in this spot looks like sharps had the Cardinals
- 16:13favorite because the Cardinals after opening at a pick em -110
- 16:17at home, we've now seen the Cards get bet up to -120 So it
- 16:20tells us smart money is once again.
- 16:22Going on Saint Louis. So I'm going with Saint Louis
- 16:25here. Let's so let's.
- 16:25Do a keg. Stand get some Bush light but at
- 16:28DK Cardinals 57%. Money line bets. 69% money line
- 16:32dollars, circa 73% bets, 98% dollars.
- 16:37So both DK and circa. Are showing a very sharp low
- 16:40bets higher dollar split on the Cardinals to get another win
- 16:43here at Busch Stadium System matches.
- 16:45When both. Teams are above 500, which is
- 16:47the. Case here, just take the team
- 16:49receiving line. Movement in their favor.
- 16:51That system is 90. 2 and 5762. Percent 12% ROI this year if
- 16:57you're an above 500 home favorite off a win price -155 or
- 17:00less. Cardinals match once again.
- 17:02Those teams are 70 and 43 this year 62%.
- 17:06Win rate, 10% ROI and then just generically.
- 17:09Speaking home favorites minus. 140 or less.
- 17:12They are 200. And 1:46. 58 percent, 4% ROI
- 17:15this year going to bank on Saint Louis's bats, hopefully once
- 17:19again putting up enough runs to score.
- 17:20Here 3246 as a team 323. On base. 322 runs.
- 17:25Scored San Diego only. Hitting two 17291 on base, 272
- 17:31runs scored. Palante, knock on wood.
- 17:34Hope this continues but. He's pitched very well in the
- 17:36month of June and two starts. He has an ERA of 2.31.
- 17:39Saint Louis, meanwhile, is. Five and one in his last six
- 17:42starts and during the day Palante is not that good.
- 17:45One and three 4.94 ERA, but at night 6 and one 3.33 ERA.
- 17:52Meanwhile, Michael King. He has posted A6. .5 to ERA in
- 17:55his last four. Starts San Diego's.
- 17:57Three and six, and his last nine starts overall, so game open at
- 18:01a pick. But sharps move.
- 18:03This number up toward the Cardinals.
- 18:05We have some really good bet split system matches, hopefully
- 18:08plant a greater than King, hopefully better bats here with
- 18:10the Cardinals. And oh by the way, popped open
- 18:12rhythm, had one rhythm recommendation on the Cardinals.
- 18:16But it was also. A green star smart signal.
- 18:19Lightning bolt. Recommendation So AI model
- 18:22really likes the. Cardinals here tonight.
- 18:24So add it all up here guys. I'm going right back to all with
- 18:27Saint Louis. I got a. -115 at.
- 18:29Bally bet definitely shop around because most books now are up to
- 18:33around -120 so the Nats, the Braves, the Cards happens to be
- 18:38what? All three National League teams,
- 18:40so let's see if we can. Get 2 out of three and.
- 18:43Post a winning night, which is always the goal.
- 18:45So that about does it for episode 5. 32 of the all systems
- 18:49go sports betting. Podcast powered by rhythm This
- 18:52is the part of the power we wrap things up we always start first
- 18:55by. Saying thank you, thank you for
- 18:57listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you.
- 18:58For grinding in the arena. With me every single day,
- 19:01through the good and the bad. The UPS.
- 19:03And the downs the. Sweeps the tough losses hey,
- 19:06that's life, that's sports betting.
- 19:08Not every day is going to be great.
- 19:09Not every day is going to be perfect, but we always strive
- 19:12just to grind out winning days. We're realistic about a very
- 19:15difficult market. We're always trying to make
- 19:17smart bets with our head and not our heart.
- 19:19So if you enjoy this podcast, hopefully you enjoy the
- 19:21insights. Please could.
- 19:23You help me grow. This pod just do a couple.
- 19:25Very easy things they're going to.
- 19:26Cost you nothing. It'll take you literally a
- 19:28second or two. Just give this podcast a five
- 19:31star review on Spotify or iTunes.
- 19:33Recommend the pod to a friend. Retweet the power.
- 19:35I put it out on Twitter. Click the Follow button.
- 19:37Any or all those? Things would be awesome of you.
- 19:40And I'd very much. Appreciate it Next, if you enjoy
- 19:42the style of sports betting. Data-driven, sharp contrarian
- 19:45betting focusing on line movement, Bet split system
- 19:49matches, focusing on what the betting market is telling us,
- 19:52picking up on the context. Clues Taking a contrarian.
- 19:54Approach leaning on data and AI models, not our not our gut
- 19:57instinct and bias, which usually is wrong if any of that is the
- 20:01case. And you want to learn more?
- 20:03About data-driven betting or you got to get a Father's Day gift.
- 20:06Father's Day is Father's Day is coming up this Sunday.
- 20:09You know what Dad wants? He wants you to go to
- 20:11Amazon.com. And type in the.
- 20:13NFL sharp betting playbook. Or the.
- 20:15Everything Guide to sports. Betting.
- 20:17Pick up one or both my books for Father's Day.
- 20:19They'll make a great Father's Day gift and you'll bring him
- 20:22the sports book. I'll sign him for you and I'll
- 20:24buy you and dad a beer or ginger ale.
- 20:26Sweat some games together. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
- 20:29and Juice? Reel yet my 2.
- 20:30Favorite sports betting apps? They help me win.
- 20:32They're going to help you win. Rhythm is great for their AI
- 20:35backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 20:38Juice Reel. So many great features you can
- 20:40sync. Up your sports books got a
- 20:41running report card of your action, You can get the robo
- 20:43Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators.
- 20:46The arbitrage plays the shop for the best line futures.
- 20:49You can also also support the pod.
- 20:51By signing up to get the all systems go best.
- 20:53Bet picks. Directly from Juice Reel.
- 20:56You download juice reel, you click buy sell bottom right
- 20:58corner in the search box you type in.
- 21:00ASG. You'll find me right there, the
- 21:03ASG podcast profile. If you'd like to support the
- 21:06pod, you can get every best bet pick as soon as I make them much
- 21:09earlier than what I mentioned on the pod.
- 21:11So we'll beat some closing lines.
- 21:13You can get them for $9.90. Nine cents a week.
- 21:16Or $24.99 for a full month. Or if you really want to be
- 21:20here, $199.99. Cents for a full.
- 21:22Year so again this pod is free I consider if you sign up to get
- 21:27the best bet picks on juice real I consider you dropping a $10.00
- 21:30bill 25 bucks into a tip jar and and supporting the pot and.
- 21:34For. Those of you who already have or
- 21:35thinking about it seriously, I appreciate you.
- 21:38Thank you so much. Next and almost next to last
- 21:43have. You.
- 21:44Given a shot to Odds Logic, Odds Logic is the best live odds page
- 21:47around if you're a serious. Sports better you need.
- 21:49A live odds page got to be able to track the betting market,
- 21:53identify smart money by looking at line movement, of course,
- 21:56looking and shopping around for the best number and live line in
- 21:59game wagering odds. It's all there along with all
- 22:02the major sports books that the odds light up in red when they
- 22:05move. It's such a critical.
- 22:07Tool you got to try out the. Odds logic live odds page and I
- 22:10got a special link for you. The special link is.
- 22:12Going to give you a 7 day. Free trial and 50% off your
- 22:16first month and that link is oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 22:23Make sure again it's Odds logic.com/josh 12.
- 22:25Three, that's going. To give you the seven day free
- 22:27trial and 50% off your first month.
- 22:30So that about does it for episode 5. 32 on a big Tuesday
- 22:33of the ASG pod. As always guys, two final
- 22:36thoughts one. Whether I see you at the Borgata
- 22:38in Atlantic City. Twin River in Rhode Island, the
- 22:40Brooklyn, New Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan?
- 22:42Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston.
- 22:45Plain Ridge Park. Casino, MGM Springfield, or in
- 22:48my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts in New
- 22:50Hampshire at the Nash Casino. We're out in the desert where
- 22:53the true grinders get down, or Billy Walter sends his number
- 22:56runners where the lowest use possible is found at the South.
- 22:58Point or sweat? And sharp contrarian plays.
- 23:00Jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
- 23:02When you cash a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
- 23:05to me. We're actually going to see each
- 23:06other from across the sports book floor, both going to knock
- 23:10on the janitor's closet. Say, hey, you mind if I borrow a
- 23:12broom for? You from a second.
- 23:13For one second here, we're going to grab the broom, do a little
- 23:16fret of stared ants on the sports book floor, because
- 23:19that's what you do when you. Get a nice.
- 23:20Little sweep, you're going to show me a Cardinals ticket or
- 23:22Reds ticket, A Nationals ticket first.
- 23:25One's on me. Next one's on you.
- 23:27We're going to post about the book Sweat Sharp Contrarian
- 23:29Place. All night long.
- 23:31So as always, guys coming off of three and O.
- 23:33Or an O and three, a two and one, or A1.
- 23:35And two a great night, a terrible night, a hot streak, a
- 23:38cold streak. We just can't get.
- 23:39Too high when? Things are good or too low when.
- 23:41Things are bad. We always got to have that
- 23:43mindset of just grinding, flat bedding, grinding.
- 23:46One unit. Per play 3% of your bankroll per
- 23:49play. Playing the long game Marathon,
- 23:51not a Sprint. And if we?
- 23:52Can do that. Find the.
- 23:53Games that fit our model against the public with the house, with
- 23:56the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that.
- 23:59CLV, If we can do that, we're going to be.
- 24:01Successful sports betters. So I hope everyone has a great
- 24:04Tuesday night. Me and the wife actually going
- 24:06out to one of our favorite Mexican restaurants tonight.
- 24:08Because it is Taco Tuesday night and you can get.
- 24:11Two delicious tacos. With rice and beans.
- 24:14And chips and salsa for $11.00. So very much looking forward to
- 24:18that and hopefully we'll be back in time for me to to sweat the
- 24:21Nats. Game at six. 45 but wishing.
- 24:23Everybody a great Tuesday we'll be.
- 24:25Right back at it tomorrow for a big Wednesday edition.
- 24:27That'll be episode 533. Of the all systems go sports
- 24:31betting. Podcast powered by rhythm.
- 24:33Good luck everybody and have a great.
- 24:35Tuesday night.