Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Favorites - NFL Best Bets Week 18

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The Favorites - NFL Best Bets Week 18 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume Podcast Network.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I'm Chad Millman of the Action Network. I'm alive from
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: my Tell Me John Holmes Studio, and I'm joined as
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: always by my co host, my companion, my compadre, my BFF,
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: professional Better Signmon Hunter and U.
• 0:28
  Speaker 2: So I'm in Chad. Is it a new year, new Chad?
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Or is it same old Chad?
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: I love myself. Why would I want to change? I
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: feel great, I feel optimistic. I feel like my New
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: Year's resolution. Every year I have won New Year's resolution.
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: Live up to my potential. That's all I'm going to
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: try to do every day, try to do something to
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: make sure I'm living to the fullest of my potential.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: And if you do that every day day, then at
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: the end of the year, you can look back and
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: say you've achieved great things. Could be as a parent,
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: as a spouse, as a career journey, as a health journey,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: whatever it is. So I don't want to change a thing.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: I'm fucking doing great. How about you?
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: It's good man, I'm literally the total opposite of you.
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: I've learned in life. If you don't try it all.
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: That's the only way to succeed. So yeah, God bless you, Chad.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: It's so funny how different we are. If you listed
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: sort of your traits, how you approach life, how you
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: see people, how you view the world, and the same
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: things for me, people would think you're the old guy
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: and I'm the young guy, and that you've seen it all,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: your world weary, that you have a perspective that comes
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: from years and years and decades of hard fought experiences,
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: and I'm just like the irrational optimist who hasn't been
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: beaten down by the world yet.
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: So hour perfect for one another. Brother.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: Today is our NFL Week eighteen Best Bets, episode's last
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: best bets during the regular season final time, Simon and
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: I will narrow down our five picks for the favorites
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: one hundred thousand dollars Pro Football pick'em contest presented by
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: bet three sixty five. We will get into the foxhil
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: we will give out our Tommy John Big Balls bet
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: of the week. We're going to discuss Simon's biggest bets
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: are boosted moneyline, Underdog Harlay, the Underdog Round Robin, and
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: so much more. Bets are rolling in lines are moving
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: decisions that need to be made. As a volume podcast,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: Boss Colin Coward likes to say there's a sea of
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: money out there. As a reminder, the favorite podcast is
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: presented by Bet three sixty five and now new Bet
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: three sixty five. Customers get one hundred and fifty dollars
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: in bonus bets when you bet five dollars, sign up
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: using promo code Favorites, deposit ten dollars. Place a bet
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: for five dollars to get one hundred and fifty dollars
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on spreads, totals,
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: player props, futures, and more. Whatever the moment. It's never ordinary.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: A bet three six y five must be twenty one
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: or older presenton Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia or eighteen year older in Kentucky.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or one eight
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions restrictions apply. Okay,
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: it's my favorite segment. I saw someone the other day
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: last week. Someone said to me, you know what. My
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: favorite segment on the show is sharp Calls. So as
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: always on Thursday during the season, we like to hear
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: how the wise guys are responding to our Tuesday conversation.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: We are influential lines move off of these conversations, pros
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: feel compelled to weigh in on our opinions. Simon, let's
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: do sharp calls.
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: Hello, who's there? I'm talking Rain.
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: Rain telephone range.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: Somebody said, baby, want you do man?
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely a fun week with all the I feel
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: like it's a week of just opinions, right, people making
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: opinions and then kind of making moves based off of
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: the coach's opinions. Right. That's that's the other thing too.
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: It's like this week you're really locked in on all
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: the stupid coaches press conferences and you're trying to read
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: through the lines of what they're saying here, and let's
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: start on what sides the pros on the opposite side
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: of us. So Chad likes the Chargers. I like the Chargers.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: They love the Raiders, Like every Prod've talked to you
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: loves the Raiders on the spot, and I'm not. I
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: don't get it chat. So that's the game. We have
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: to break down because I really don't understand what they're
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: getting from this Raiders side and that they see the
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: Chargers having a letdown here, not trying or maybe resting starters.
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: This harball strike you as that guy at all. I
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: just do not get what they're reading here in this one.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: We've got intel on this and this sounds like it's
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: going to be a foxil.
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, just one that really popped out to me. Just
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: how many guys I talked to that were on the
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: other side of that one for another game that I
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: think that I talked about it on Tuesday, that I
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: really liked Minnesota and that I was gonna probably most
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: likely bet heavily on Minnesota plus three. I talked to
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: a lot of pros that love Detroit. So that's a
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: really fun split game. There's some really smart money on
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: Detroit and for good reason. Right it's a proven team
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: that's been there before, and what's going to feel like
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: a playoff game against Sam Darnold. Like I get their
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: perspective that they think he's gonna choke and they trust
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: Golf and they want to put their money behind a
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: guy like Golf like can't argue against it right. So
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: that was another one that really jumped out for two
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: games that I'm on the other side of for games
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: they like that, we like Chad Bengals. I know a
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: game we're gonna break down. You know, most guys I
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: talked here on the same side of us with the Bengals,
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: Sam goes for this Jaguars game, we love it. Got
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: up to plus five and a couple of books. Now it's
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: down to plus four and a half plus four a
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: couple of books. So it makes sense the smart money's
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: come in. And obviously Darling, I should have taken I
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: should have listened to chat, should have made Simon says
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: the Giants. I don't know a single pro right now
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: that's on this Eagles team. It just feels like the
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: exact type of game where Eagles not that they want
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: to lose, but the coach has already come out and
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: basically said that they're sitting in a bunch of key
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: starters and it's most likely going to be the third
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: string quarterback playing in this game. So yeah, very very
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: interesting how much money's coming to the Giants. They were
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: plus three and a half before Syriana came out and
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: said he's sitting Saquan and a bunch of starters. So
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: that number now Chad is down to two two and
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: a half. Like I said, I wish I had made it.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: Simon says for the last one again, me and you love.
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: I don't know how much. Actually I don't know how
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: much Tad love is. I just love it. I love Tennessee.
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: Every probably talk you loves Tennessee in this exact spot.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: So that's going to be Joe Public on Houston. Only
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: professionals are going to bet Tennessee, who are two and
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: fourteen against the spread. So makes sense when I'm talking
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: to these guys why no one loves this Tennessee side.
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: I freaking love it. A couple of games you pinpointed
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: here that I'm very excited to talk about. Definitely the Chargers.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: Definitely Tennessee. And there's a couple others too that I
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: want to get to. But it feels like there is
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: a Foxhtle bet there that sometimes it's harder to figure
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: these out, but I think we know which one it's
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: going to be. We'll also do our Big Balls Buffalo
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: at New England. So this one has moved from three
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: to two and a half. The drama, and you talked
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: about it the other day about the Patriots and fans
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: hating the Patriots. It's so interesting because there is a
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: lot of speculation here in the Northeast and in New
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: England about Drodmeo. Will the Patriots walk away from Gerard
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: Mayo after one year? The Crafts personally anointed him as
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: the Bill Belichick successor while Bill Belichick was still the coach.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Mike Vrabel is now available. Rabel has beloved. Rabel is
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: a proven head coach who has had great results. We
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: love Rabel as a coach, especially when he's an underdog.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: That to me is always the sign of a good coach,
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: as you can cover and you can win. So as
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: an underdog, would they bounce Mayo for Rabel? Rael Mayo
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: this week has said Drake may is starting, They're going
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: to play to win. They have the number one pick
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: if they lose. Line has moved to two and a half.
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I could get why Patrisons be so pissed off.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: It's like, don't you see what we're trying to do here.
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: I get why they're so mad about it, But that
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: conversation about them not picking up Rabel just because relationships
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: and what they believe in. You know, Mayo might be
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: a good guy all that. You know, you know when
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: you know, right, like you know when a guy is
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: a legit coach and when they're not, and you know,
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: you can just tell why the plage react him. And
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: I remember earlier in the year he was just talking
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: about them being soft and not playing hard and different
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: things like that, which again wouldn't be a big deal,
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: but he's saying it to the media like that was
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: one of the more bizarre interviews. And you know, anyone
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: that loves football like we do, they know Vrabel's a
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: better coach. Come on, now, the guy took a Ryan
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: Tannehill corpse to be the one seat. Like that really
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: happened in the AFC, which is just mind blowing you
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: look back on it. I was able to get that
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: team to be a one seat. So yeah, the question is, Chad,
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: do we want to bet on Mitchrubisky here in our
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: final five? That's that's gonna end up end questioning because
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: we know even with their backups and non starters in there.
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: I just trust the Bills coaching staff, their scheme, what
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: they can do, more so than I trust New England
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: and this line warrants that, right, that makes sense that
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: they're still a minus two and a half minus two
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: and a half minus three favorite of most books. But yeah,
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: like this is another game where me and you obviously
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: don't like betting favorites. This is not the line. Like
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: there's a lot of dogs. I just like this week,
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: so I'll be on Buffalo, But it's not a game
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: I'm forcunate in there. I just think they're the better team,
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: and I really wish someone would just explain it. You know,
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: Mayo that if you win this game, you could get fired,
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: Like I do think the noise would be turned up
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: by the fan base. I don't know if Kraft could
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: avoid that, because it's it's inexcusable to start may here
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: in my opinion, especially the ship, the hits he's been taking,
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: Like he got his bell rung last week and he
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: came right back in. I think the first play he
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: was in he ran down the field, which is awesome,
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: like shows he's got art and he's a tough kid.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: But at the same time, what's what are we doing here?
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: Like are we really gonna waste this kid in this
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: type of game where I just I'm just so against it.
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: So yeah, from from the betting side Chat two and
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: a half, I'll bet the Bills, but with very small confidence.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: We're betting in misrubisky.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, the Crafts have just lost a lot of credibility
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: with fans over the last twenty four months between the
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: documentary in which it seemed like Bob Kraft was throwing
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Belichick under the boss. Sticking with Mayo in this spot
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: just could be another blow to the confidence of fans
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: and the ownership group. Nothing's going to change, It's not
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: like they're going to get rid of the team, but
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: this is a real chance for them to make a
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: substantial move to improve their organization, especially if the Patriots
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: win this game and lose the first pick. Oh my gosh,
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: Houston and Tennessee. For seventeen weeks, Simon, we have avoided
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: the Titans. It might be our greatest success. They have
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: shown value against power ranking power rankings in nearly every
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: game they've played. In fourteen of those games you alluded
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: to this, they did not cover this spread. No matter
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: what happens in this game, they will go down as
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: the worst against the spread team since we've been tracking this.
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: Maybe in NFL history. Evan can confirm that later in
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: the show, they're currently two and fourteen in week eighteen. Simon,
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: they are our Simon says, and now we got word
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: that the wise guys are all over the Titans. Give
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: it to me, weigh it on me.
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: Yeah, And it is interesting when you're reading about what
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: the Texans are going to do in this spot and
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: who they are arresting. Obviously CJ is not playing this
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: a couple of key starters, Nico Collins isn't playing a
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: bunch of guys winners, says, not playing on the defense.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: When you go on the flip side for Tennessee Titans,
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: everybody's playing like the coach. Not that he scoffed at
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: any but he kind of laughed. It's like, no, they're
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: about to get whatever you said, six month vacation after this,
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: not direct quote from him, but basically gave us a slanted,
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: like a little look to the reporter being like what
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: we yeah, exactly what kind of stupid question is that?
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: So we know the stats, right, Will Levis two and
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: nine against the spread, Mason Rudolph zero to five against
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: the spread this season, So it doesn't matter what quarterback
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: is playing This team is just all around bad. But
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: like we talked about, they're in this unique position of
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: people don't understand how desperate teams get for a win,
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: Like it's it's it's a different type of high, but
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: it's a high that they crave, right, It's it's something
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: that you just need it. Every week you lose, the
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: world looks a little darker, everything feels a little shittier.
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: Everything sucks, and you just know, especially they talk to
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: guys in the locker room, why they've been trying so
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: hard these last couple of weeks, because again they have
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: not been playing for anything Tennessee. But every week, even
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: though they've been losing, they still play really hard. I
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: really think that is something that like you turn on
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: the tape you can see it. I mean their defense,
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: like you've been talking all season. I know I laughed
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: at it, but their defense is like second or third
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: and giving up yards this season at least amount of yards,
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: like they've been really good at not teams not moving
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: the ball against them. The USUS have been right just
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: giving up touchdowns, like they can't stop teams, it seems
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: like in the red zone. So yeah, this is to
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: me is all about the number. There is one really
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: public book out that there still had Tennessee at plus
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: one and a half last night. Now even them have
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: moved to minus one. So even even at this point,
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: they've followed the professional money because I'm looking the action
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: app right now. All the tickets, all the tickets are
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: on Houston. But the money is basically split right, It's
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: it's it's slanted towards this Tennessee team. So yeah, would
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: have we would have liked it if they were a dog. Yes,
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: we definitely mean Chad hate lines that flip. It just
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: has never worked out for us for the most part.
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: But and this one, I feel confident that the smart
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: money is coming on the right side. The money is
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: moving the way it should. And there's another team Tennessee
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: that you know, if the Patriots win, they lose, they
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: could get the one seed. These guys don't care, like
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: they're like, like we just talked about the same thing
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: in New England, Like they're they're kind of going the
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: idea of we just want to win, and I get it.
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: That's that's part of football, right. No one cares about
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: the draft picks. They don't know if we be on
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: the team next year. So this Tennessee team, I just
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: I could see them trying really hard. On the flip
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: side with Houston, I just I'm happy to bet against
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: their second team. There's just a team that to me
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: was already back going to this game. The whole vibe
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: of Houston was bad. Now we're getting in their scrubs
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: for the second team. So I like Tennessee in this matchup.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: Simon goes back to what I said at the beginning
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: of the show. People just want to live up to
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: their potential. They just want to try if they want
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: to feel satisfied with the effort. They want to go
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: to bed at night know that they gave it their
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: all and feel good that what they exercised during a
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: week paid off in some capacity. And the Titans have
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: just not felt that. And the Titans, from everything I've read,
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: I've been digging in, you know, reading all that I
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: can about coaching moves, GM moves, trying to get anything
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: about some incentive for this week, seems very likely that
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: the title they're going to bring back their GM, they're
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: going to bring back their coach, and they're going to
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: try to find the quarterback that the three of them
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: together can build this franchise as they they're really thinking about.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: They got a new stadium opening in two years, how
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: can they get better. They're going to give that team
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: the opportunity and that executive team the opportunity to turn
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: this thing around and get the right player. They don't
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: have to worry about sort of tanking or not playing
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: up to the best of their ability. Agree, I'm with you.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: I'm with you. Another one, Jacksonville at Indy. Still the
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: word on Anthony Richardson. So when you see the reports
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: about him that he couldn't walk last week, yeah you
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: couldn't Yeah a week and well yeah, like so. But
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: they're still saying if he is healthy, he'll playing. But
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: like we we lean Jags, I think we feel strongly
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: about it, more strongly about it this week or now
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: than we did on Tuesday. To me, it's more of
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: a vibe than anything on the field, right. Jags have
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: been trying hard, they've been keeping games close. Mac Jones
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: has been outperforming bad quarterbacks. They won, and the Colts
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: culturally just feel like they're a little bit lost. And
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: I think that game took the wind out of them
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: and is raising a lot of questions about will Shane
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Steiken still be there. What is their future at quarterback?
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: What is happening with their GM who you mentioned the
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: other day, Chris Ballard has a reputation as a great
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: GM has not won the division in eight years, a
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: division that has terrible teams year in and year out.
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: This is not the NFC north of twenty twenty four.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: So they are locked into Trevor Lawrence as their quarterback.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: Draft position is not going to mean as much for them.
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: Normal based on last week's performance, we'd fade the Jags
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: and want to bit the Colts. But I don't feel
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: that way this week.
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: No, And honestly it's because it is the Colts that
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: the Jags they historically have matched up really well them.
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: It was just like we talked about last week with
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: the Egos and Cowboys. There's just certain teams that teams
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: can match up really well against. And that same goes
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: here for this Jacks team that they've always even when
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: there's you know, ups and downs with the quarterbacks of
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: their quarterbacks hurt, they've always played really well against this
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: Colts team and kept games close and usually their games
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: end up being shootouts, like especially when it's in Indianapolis.
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: So this to me is all about the number, Like
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: its number is way too big, way too much. Respective
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: even if it is Anthony Richardson, I could see it
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: dropping because I just think the books give more respect
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: to Joe Flacco. But you know, four and a half
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: for way too many points for us to pass them.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: Like I love this number. I love this Jacks team
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: and what we just talked about, Like I just the
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: vibes for this Jacks team just feels so much better.
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: We're like that I'm going in and winning this game.
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: That makes more sense to me, so much more than
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: the Colts winning this game. Colts to me, like they're
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: they're done. Like half their team feels like they're already
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: half foot out the door and they're ready to go
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: on vacation. They're just disgusted with the front office, they're
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: disgusted with the coaching. And you know, that was one
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: of the least prepared teams I've seen all season last
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: week against that Giants team, Like even going back watching
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: the tape, just defensively, Gus Bradley was just awful. Like, again,
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: that's a man that's guaranteed to be let go and
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: on a different team. Next year. So yeah, we're just
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: simply playing the number year Chad like the match for
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: this Jags team and just the way they've been down
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: the stretcher, it's just a team that has not quit.
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: Surprisingly they've improved in some ways. And I know the
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: dirty secrets kind of is out right now that Doug
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: Peterson's basically gone and they're gonna have the guy I
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: know you want, Ben Johnston from Lions and they're apparently
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: gonna give him just whatever he wants, which is really
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: interesting to know. Will he leave the division NFC North
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: and go down there where it's like I don't know. Again,
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: he's all line up perfectly for the Bears, where it's like,
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: you guys are getting the guy who knows the Detroit
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: offense and how to take down the big bad wolf
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: for your division. Him going to him and going to
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: the Jags would be buried the Bears. The Bears just
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: don't spend enough money or give him enough to do
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: whatever he wants. And he leaves to go to Jacksonville
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: just because if they're gonna let him make decisions on
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: the draft, that's a big deal. Like first time at coach.
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: Now he gets to make decision on the draft as well.
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: So yeah, for Jacksonville. We all know that these players,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: they seem like they like Doug Pearson. One more, one
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: more game for Dougie give them. Give me plus four
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: and a half on this Jaguars team.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: Simon, I one hund believe that Ben Johnson is going
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: to the Jags. I don't think. I don't think the
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Bears have a shot right now. You know, I don't
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: have any insight, but just knowing the Bears history, knowing
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: how the Bears manage the coaching interview process, knowing that
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: they have not been able to overcome, knowing the coaches
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: have not been able to come overcome over ownership issues
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: in multiple generations. Other than Mike Dicka.
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: John Fox, he's the last one.
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Now. Lovey Smith took him to the Super Bowl.
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: Yes, you're right, love was great now and he got
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: fired in the worst way. Right. They have bad Karmer
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: from that fire, and of Lovey.
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: The Bears fired a coach. You took him to the
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl and was ten and six the year he
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: was fired. Yeah, so they've got they've I think they've
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: got executive staff dysfunction, right, because we don't really know
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: how involved. Kevin Warren is going to be the new president.
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: The president in any of these decisions, they've always been cheap.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: You can go to the AFC South if you like
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. That's the one critical factor. Ben Johnson has
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: to like what he has in Trevor Lawrence. Right, the
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Jags are invested in him. We don't think he's been
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: that great. He has underperformed. But if you like him
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: and think he can run your offense, you got a
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: better chance in winning than you do in the NFC
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: North over the next three to four years. And that's
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: your horizon as a coach. So would not be surprised
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: at all if he blew off the Bears and went
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: to Florida where it's warm and you don't pay taxes,
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: and you know you got a better shot.
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: Though, what's that I keep going, I don't hear you.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: Said before we get to Washington at Dallas. These are
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: the final days of our favorite pick'em contest. Saturday games
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: are not in the contest this week, but we've got
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: d Winsenburg in first place with sixty one points and
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: nine entries at fifty six points or more. A dog
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: fight to the finish First place is forty grand, second
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: is ten grand, Third place is five grand. Cash prizes
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: for the whole top ten. Excited to crown a winner.
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: It's not going to be us. Hopefully we get the
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: winner on the podcast, whoever it is. The invite is
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: open Washington at Dallas. We lean Dallas on Tuesday. The
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: line has moved in that direction. It's four and a half.
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: Did you see the clip of Eagles fans cheering Jerry
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: Jones in Philly last week?
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, ultimate troll job, so.
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: Good and Jerry's just smiling, laughing, you know, just so funny.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: Just great to see Jerry owning it all. I think
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: it's better than fifty to fifty. Mike McCarthy stays. If
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: it's Jerry Jones's choice, he might leave because his contract
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: is up and he can go look anywhere he wants
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: to look. But fascinating subplot here. I do think there's
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: been a sea change and sort of people believing McCarthy
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: will stay if he has the option and Jerry Jones
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: wants him to and he decides that's the best option
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: for him. If he leaves, it might be because he
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: wants to leave. I don't think that has an impact
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: on this game. I just thought it was interesting.
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I saw a chef. He talked about how basically
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: all of his assistants US assistance as well or deals
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: are done, so he'd basically need to re sign all
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: the guys on his coaching staff. So yeah, it's as
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: an Eagles fan, I kind of want them to bring
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: McCarthy back, just because I fear the unknown that if
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: they do get a guy like Vrabel, that would be
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: disastrous for us. But yeah, it's Jerry's in a weird
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: spot and this Cowboys team is in a weird spot
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: where it's like me and you both love it because
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: of the number and the letdown we expect from Washington
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: in this exact game. But this is another game I'm
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: betting with very little confidence just because my fear is this,
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: this Cowboys team is basically just on their last leg.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: Like they have guys who've had big injuries, they've come back,
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: they've played through it at this point, but you can
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: just tell that, like even that Eagles game, they just
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: were not They were not into that game at all.
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: So this is gonna be another game where the public
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: is going through hammer the Commanders. We'll see if they
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: get lucky again, Chad, because this is again another good
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: number against a team that's overvalued in the Commanders. And
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: you know, we've seen it all season, like the fourth
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: down variants for the Commanders has just been absolutely insane.
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: I think in that game we bet, I don't know
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: if they went three for three or two for two,
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: but it felt like every time they needed a big
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: play on fourth down, it happened for him. And you
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: know it's historical, the the sex sex rate they've had
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: on fourth downs. It's just insane this season. So we
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: know what this BET's gonna come down to. It's gonna
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: come down to fourth downs again. It's just it's just
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: how it's been betting against this Washington team. If they capitalize,
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: me and Chatter most likely gonna burn. But this is
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: just a number that's way too big, Like I think
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: i'd probably if this was a fully healthy with Ceedee Lamb.
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: You know again, obviously this is different if Dak's playing,
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: but if it's ce d Lamb with Cooper Rush, Okay,
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: we make this what three three and a half? Yeah,
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: the point the point bump makes sense, right, there should
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: be four four and a half at this point, but
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: it's just a spot where it's you know, we've seen
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: the storical data, the teams that are playing for playoff
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: positions going against a team that you know, way below
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: five hundred, that have not been good this year, they
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: tend to cover in this week. That's why we love
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: betting these type of dogs in the final week of
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: the season. Just historically we've seen it, right, teams kind
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: of play up to the moment, try to be the spoiler. Obviously,
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: they're not going to knock Washington out of the playoffs here,
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: but if they do beat them, you know, Washington now
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: is go face Philly. That's that's a big deal. So
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: pretty pretty interesting what the Cowboys might do. Hear everything
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: I've read, it seems like, you know, Michael Parson is playing,
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: all their starters are playing. The only guy really missing
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: is going to be CD. Obviously.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and this Commander's defense is terrible. And I'm not
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: afraid of betting Cooper Rush as a four and a
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: half point dog in this spot. Even without CD. He's
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: just been an effective backup quarterback and the Eagles have
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: been the one team that he really can't right unlock right,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: And you look at the other games and I think
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: that the problem for this year is that his first
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: game was against the Eagles and it was so bad
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: that it depressed the market and the Cowboys, and I
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: think a lot of people have missed the value because
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: they're only thinking about that first Eagles game. And then
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: he started to play a little bit better and they
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: had to run, and then this past week he hit
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: the Eagles again, And now I think the Commanders are
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: overvalued because of what they did against the Falcons, but
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: also what the Cowboys did against the Eagles. I still
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: think you're getting pretty nice price. And the Cowboys here,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's going to be in our
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: final five, but I'm not as afraid of the Cowboys
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: in this spot as you are, or the Commanders for
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: that matter. I think their defense is pretty bad.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: And I just went not to cut you off. On Tennessee,
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: that line's running now, so basically everywhere that had them
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: as a dog basically has them up to minus one
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: and a half now. So oh wow, Yeah, the money,
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: the money started to come in now here on Tennessee.
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: All right, Carolina at Atlanta.
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: One more time.
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: It's time to celebrate. Look, Carolina plus eight, we both
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: love the Panthers. On Tuesday, I would imagine we still
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: love the Panthers. The lines move from eight and a
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: half to eight. We cannot quit the Panthers right now, Simon.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: To remind people of the stakes. If the Bucks win,
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: they're in. The Bucks lose then and the Falcons win,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: they're in. The games are at one o'clock, there will
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: be some scoreboard watching if it's at any point. Bucks
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: are blowing out the Saints and there's no chance the
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: Falcons are going to get in. The tide in this
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: game could change, we could find the back door, but
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: generally we just like Bryce Young, We're going to continue
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: to back Bryce Young. Give us the Falcon, give us
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: the Panthers.
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, we can't quit them. And honestly, and my confidence
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: in this one has been coming from the breakdown of Pennix.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: And I know, again it's only two games, it's a
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: very small sample. I get that, but it's actually pretty
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: interesting statistically, how you know, I might have overrated them
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: a little bit through his first game, and that he
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: actually isn't that great of a passer right now, and
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: he's still kind of working three things which we expect,
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: right It's it's his second now this will be his
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: third start. So that's that's a lot of the confidence
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: to me is that you know, this is a huge
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: spread for a guy like him. And we saw in
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: that Giants game, right that they were kind of losing
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: that fighting, they couldn't find themselves and all of a sudden,
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: you know, drew through a pick six and that kind
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: of reset that whole game where Okay, once they got
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: the lead again, they can lean back onto the running.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: So that would be the key for me. It's like,
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: can they stop Robinson, which no one has done in
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: the last ten weeks, right, Like, Robinson has barbably been
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: a top three running back now this season and he's
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: been dominant and we know me and Chad no, because
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: we've been betting them all season. Panthers cannot stop the run,
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: like their best.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: One hundred yards rushing aloud in five straight weeks.
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: Right. So again, it's because when their best d lineman
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: got knocked out either week one or Week two, and
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: it was like okay for the season. Yeah, yeah, that's
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: the end of their defense right there, Like that's that's
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: the guy for them, and that's the fear here. That's
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: the reason mean and Chad are getting eight points here
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: just because of that. It's uh we hope bryceh Ian
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: canna keep this in this but this is really gonna
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: come down to stop in the run and putting this
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: on in panics, like you need to stack the box.
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: Make this kid beach with his arm, just because, like
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: I said, he's high variance in his throats, like he
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: throws uncatchable balls and you know it. I don't know
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: if it looks weird to you, but seeing him throw
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: left it is different. Like we talked all the time,
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: that is a difference for these receivers catching a left
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: your throat then already thrown, it just looks different coming
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: out of his hand to the receivers. So this to
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: me just feels like an inflated line, especially because Carolina
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: just got rolled absolutely blown out the week before and
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: they've been good to us. Bouncing back then Bernie me
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: and Chad one last time would not be shocking to
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: the least. But I just can't help myself. I believe
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: in Bryce shawng believe in their offense, and I really
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: do think will be ey there have a chance to
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: when this game out right or easily have a chance
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: to back throw the summer. It just feels way too big,
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: way too much respect to this Atlanta team.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: I also don't worry about effort in this game. This
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: is a team where they know the coach is going
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: to be back. They're starting to get a pretty good
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: sensuve of who their quarterback is. They've built momentum in
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: the latter half of the year. They don't want to
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: end the year on a shitty game with a bad
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: taste in their mouth. They want I think it matters
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: to win the last game of the year if you're
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: a bad team and be able to see positivity and
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: have confidence and feel like you have some kind of momentum.
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: So I don't have a problem back in the Panthers
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: here at all. It's gonna suck, We're gonna do it.
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: Chicago plus tennant Green Bay. This line has moved up.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: You like the Bears on Tuesday at nine, it's gone
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: up to ten. The Packers need to win and they
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: need the Commanders to lose to move up from the
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: seventh seed to the sixth seeds. So there will be
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: some scoreboard watching and there are some trends that back
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: the Bears here. This was one of the saddest things
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: of all the things about the Bears that make me sad.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: ESPN this week did a survey of one hundred and
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: eleven NFL players of the hardest places to play in
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: the NFL. One two and three were Kansas City, Seattle,
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: and Minnesota. Actually four was Philly, by the way, and
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. Five was Buffalo. But the Bears Soldier Field
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: tied for thirty first after the Oakland Colosseum. I know
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: the games in Green Bay this week, but I'm thinking
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: about the Bears. How pathetic is that tie for thirty
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: first after Oakland Colisseum. I'll remind you they don't play
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: NFL games in Oakland anymore.
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, honestly, it's pretty shocking, just because I always
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: thought Chicago is just the toughest place to play, because
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: not only the weather's brutal, but you guys, even when
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: you're terrible, you sell out and the fans are loud.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: So that's that's interesting. Maybe they're not as loud as
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: we perceive on TV.
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: They ruined the stadium when they built the new Alien
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: spaceship inside a silver field. It ruined the acoustics. It's
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: not as loud as it used to be. And also
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: like the team's just bad. It's been bad for so long.
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: People leave games early, and if it's really really cold,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: then people who have season tickets are selling their tickets
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: at the end of the year. So you're getting you know,
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: randoms who sometimes are super fans. Sometimes it's a holiday gift.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: They're just taking their kids. Like I know it because
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: like I have so many friends who have season tickets
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: or have had season tickets over the past of forty years.
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: So it's not as loud as you would think.
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: It is.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: Not like eighty five when I was sitting in the
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: twenty yard line against the Giants and the Rams during
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: the playoffs.
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: Those are the days. Take me back to eighty five, baby,
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: damn it.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Eighty five, duge on Gail, Oh my god, it was
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: just amazing.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: People were smoking cigarettes in the stadium still damn. Those
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: were the days.
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: They were like they were passing me drinks and I was,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: you know, fifteen years old.
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: Put a little hair in your chest. You're right, I
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: don't want to bet this one. I don't know what
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: was wrong with you. On Tuesday. I did bet this
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: Chicago team. But no pros are on this game. I
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: feel like most guys are avoiding this game for different games.
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: And after reading the Emage article gave me littlegit zero
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: confidence in this Bears team. I think they're one and
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: ten straight up in their last eleven against this Green
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: Bay team. And it's just, you know, like you said
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: on Tuesday, that just it's not even a rival anymore, right,
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: It's just so one sided. It's it's brutal. So I
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: might be eating these words come Sunday and the Bear
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: shock the world and do finally pulling up set off
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: And I'm an idiot because I didn't hammer this and
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: stick my chest out in this one. But there's just
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: other dogs I like better. And you're right, like the
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: fear for me is that locker room for Chicago. It's
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: just totally out, like they're just totally gone, totally giving
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: up on this team in this front office, and they
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: do know that this is not the coaching staff for
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: next year, So you're right, there's really no incentive other
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: than personal incentives to play for this one. So yeah,
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: hate it all.
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: All.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: Everything coming out of Chicago right now was just so negative.
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: I don't want to be putting money on this one.
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: Reminder, Bears have not won a road game on a
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: Sunday since our friend Nick Foles did it for them
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: in December of twenty one. All Right, the game that
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: we talked about earlier, Sharp Calls New York Giants plus
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: two at Philly Philly was fourth toughest to play a
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: Buffalo fifth Saquon will not be playing. How do you
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: feel about that?
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: A wise man? One set of best chad records can
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: be broken. Banners hang forever. So yeah, what do I
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: want him to break the record so I can shove
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: it down Giants' faces?
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: Like?
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's been a great day if you're
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: just an ultimate hater of your division and talking shit
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: to one another. It's been a fun week, especially on Reddit,
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: where you know, Giants fan's trying to make its like, well,
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: Eric Dickerson did it in sixteen games, so it's not
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: real record. Well I guess OJ did it in fourteen games.
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Is that the real record? Or Jim Brown who did
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: it in ten games? Is that the real record? I mean,
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: what are we doing here? So it's been a fun
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: week of just trying to act like they're not pissed
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: off for you. I don't know, Giants fans they got
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: to be down the worst out of any fan base
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: right now in football, especially after losing the number one
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: pick last week. It was just it's just been too good.
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: So yeah, Saquon, I could see it in his eyes
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: and the way he talked about it. He's bummed, right.
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: He wants that legacy, like he said, that's that's something
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: amazing to have attached to his last name. But as
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: someone that knows that Saquan has never had any playoff success,
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: I think once he gets his first playoff win, that
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: feeling will go away. He'll realize, like, dude, the ultimate
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: goal here is to hang that banner. And yeah, Eagles
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: right now, I mean, so we'll talk about next week,
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: Like hurts is still not either a concussion protocol like
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: it's it's it's it's bad if he's if he's got
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: a really back concussion like that, because that's just those
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: are the symptoms that just don't go away. Now he's
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: two weeks in, so yeah, between that, Sequan, you know,
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: this Eagles team using this as a bye a week.
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: That's great. Giants just popped back up to plus three
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: at a couple of really public books, So some smart
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: money now has coming in on the Eagles here this morning,
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: which is pretty surprising, but nothing changing my position. I
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: think the Giants they're going to play hard, and the Eagles,
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: you know, they're gonna play the rookies, I guess and
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: a couple other guys. But for the most part, they're
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: gonna be sitting almost all their starters, especially across the
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: offensive line. And we expect to be Tamer McKee at
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: quarterback again, guy making his first start his career. I
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: know he came in and did well against the Cowboys.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: I feel like at that point the Cowboys kind of
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: had to quit on that game. So yeah, we expect
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: the Giants to keep shooting themselves in the foot, win
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: this game, give themselves worst draft capo. But and again,
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: Evan had an amazing thing in his article about Brian Dable,
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: Like the guy has been money in these final weeks
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: of the season. I believe he's five to zero against
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: the spread in the final two weeks of the season, right, Evan,
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: So his teams play hard for him. He doesn't really
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: care about draft position. He's he's got one thing on
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: mind that's to win. So yeah, this this matchup for
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: the Eagles, I was really worried about they were going
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: to play Saequon. But after Ceri in his conversation yesterday,
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: you know for a fact he's not playing guys like
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: Lane Johnson's not playing. That's gonna be a big deal, right,
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be wrestling so many key starters. So yeah,
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: just take the points here. I just think I get
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: where the publics come from. They're like, there's no way
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: Giants went back to back weeks. I get it, but
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: we always see these final weeks are just weird, right,
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: These these teams like the Eagles, the best SISCO team
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: of football, that is not gonna be the same team
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: on Sunday, right, They're they're not gonna show They're not
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: gonna show anything defensively, and they're not gonna show anything offensively. Right,
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: They're just gonna start preparing for the following week. So
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: I love this spot for this Giants team.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: I saw a clip of.
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: A J.
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: Brown of Tanner McKee realizing A J. Brown had thrown yeah,
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: the first touchdown pass end of the stands and he
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: was handling a great He's like, oh, that's too bad.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: And then AJ Brown, who felt so bad about it,
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: ran over told him that he got it back said
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: he was so sorry, Like it was just it was
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: so genuine and authentic, like how badly aj Brown felt
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: about it. I thought it was a great scene because
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: like you get to see real connection and like how
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: these players recognize what a big deal it is to
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: throw a touchdown pass in the NFL, and it doesn't
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: matter if you're the first string, second string, third string,
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: or the high profile, one hundred million dollar temperamental receiver.
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: He recognized he screwed up and felt terrible for a
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: guy who has a special moment and fixed it and
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: then went over and apologize. I thought it was just adorable.
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it was hilarious. The guy who called the ball
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: was like a very classic South Philly looking guy.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: Like yes, like I got you, I got you.
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: Flex into him being like you guys are the heart
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: and sold this team. And then of course Big Don
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: was the one that came over and got the ball.
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: It just had all so yeah, very funny.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: That dom thing is is like so easy to explain
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: as a Philly phenomenon and hard to explain for anyone
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: who doesn't follow sports or understand Philly sports culture, Like yeah,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: there's nobody in the stands. Who if Big Don came
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: over and said, give me the ball, wasn't going to
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: give Big Dom the ball, you know what I mean.
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: I just always think it's funny where you think about
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: all the stuff we don't know about what Big Dom does.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: You know, he's the guy showing up at three am
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: at the police station to get the guy and drive
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: him home. Like he just he's a do it all guy,
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: And I just love that he's become such a personality
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: in Philly.
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: I think he's the first guy the cops call. I
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: think he's the first guy the agents call. I think
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: he's the first guy anyone calls if there's anything going
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: down and they need to fix something right away. La
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: Chargers at the Las Vegas Raiders. So this line's come
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: down a little bit. You said, the wise guys are
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: liking the Raiders. I get it. I get it, dude,
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: Jim Well, I get like, you know, thinking, what are
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: the Chargers playing for here? They do have some seeding
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: to play for. They get the five seed if they
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: win and the Steelers lose, so they will know like
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: what they're playing for by the time this game kicks off.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: It's one of the few games where seating will be,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: where the stakes will be determined, and they won't have
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: to scoreboard watch. But Harbaugh went on the Let's Go
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Show with with you know Jim Gray, and Belichick said
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: he was playing to win the game. That's what I
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: would fully expect from Jim Harbaugh. I would take that
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: to me. And he's not resting his starters, and if
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: there are still stakes to be had, I don't mind
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: betting the Chargers here. It's like the reason why road
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: favorites have been winning this year is usually because of
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: good coaching and limited mistakes from their quarterback. That's what
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: the Chargers have. It's why we liked him against the
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: Patriots last week. I think you're getting a lot of
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: love for the Raiders right now because they're on a
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: two game win streak. That doesn't fade if the Chargers
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: have something to play for, and we'll know by the
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: time we put our picks in.
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: I like the Chargers the Raiders, not that they just
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: beat Jacksonville, but they feel like they kind of got
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: away with one there right there was like a last
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: fourth quarter drive and they stole that game and then
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: they beat the Saints. Other than that, we've seen when
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: they've played any team that's semi well coached or outside
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs, right, the Chiefs. Their games are always weird
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: against the Chiefs. We knew that we took them against
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs in that exact matchup, but anyone else you
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: go through their schedule, they just get dominated. Like well
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: coached teams that are smart, they have a good quarterback
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: just dominate this Raiders team. That's exactly what we have here.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: Like we talk coming to the season, I had doubts
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: about Herbert being consistent for good reason. Even if he's
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: been a little inconsistent the second half, he's been great.
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: Like since he's come back kind of healed from that injury,
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: that ankle injury, especially the last couple of weeks, you've
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: really seen him be so confident, pushing the wall downfield,
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: be totally in tune with this offense at this point,
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: Like he looked so comfortable in this game. And I'm
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: happy to know the Chargers hopefully will not be sitting
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: there because to me, they should just keep their rhythm going. Like, yeah,
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: they're a team that basically no one's gonna believe for
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: them in the playoffs. Right, they're a year early at
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: this point, that makes sense why people don't believe in them,
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: especially when we're talking about Lamar, Josh Allen and the Chiefs.
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: It's like, Okay, if it's Mahomes versus him in this
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: exact scenario, we just think Mahome is gonna get the
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: best of them at the end of that game. But
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: in these type of scenarios when he's playing bad teams,
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: I just feel like Herbert shines, and same with Harball.
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: So maybe this line movements because what you just said,
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: maybe the the pros where have been in Pittsburgh being
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: in Cincy, maybe that's the thought here where it's just
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: like they're combining these two because they're like, well, the
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: Chargers will sit their starters because they have nothing to
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: play for. But you know that's that's a decision, meaning
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: like you just said, we can make Sunday morning if
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: we need to. But I'm happy to lock this line
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: in now because say they do get blown out Pittsburgh,
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: couldn't this line go up to six? I don't know.
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: I just I find it very interesting that it has
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: moved so much. And yeah, I just I love this
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: charge of team, especially they're playing a bad a bad team.
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: Their coach is horrible. He's a psychopath. He's not going
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: to take his foot off the gas. I just feel
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: like they're gonna go out there and try to whoopball
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: in this division. Foe.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh is my New Year's resolution spirit animal. I
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: want to live up to the full, to my full potential.
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh says they're attacking Week eighteen with an enthusiasm
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: unknown to mankind.
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: Don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers. Avoid it like the plague.
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: That's how I'm attacking this show. We didn't come into
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: the show thinking, all right, it's Week eighteen, can't really
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: make any predictions. We digested it.
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, we did the work.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: We watched the press conferences, looked at the trends. We're
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: coming in here. We're playing to win the week. We
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: want to go five and out. We want to live
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: up to our fullest potential. Every single we are the
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: Jim Harball led Los Angeles Charters of the Favorites Pickham Contest,
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Podcasting World.
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: You know me, regardless of what's going on, I'm a
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: foxhole guy. I commit to a team, I commit to
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: a city. I'm a foxhole guy.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: I want to talk about the rams in the Seattle.
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: I did like him. I liked Seattle at three on Tuesday,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: I did make it my executive decision. It's not been
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: a great category for me this year, but I would
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: like the full credit at three. It moved to foward
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: during the show because I'm sharp and people hear what
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: I'm saying and then they immediately start following me. It's
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: now six and a half, Like, I'm not sure why
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: the move happened so late. McVeigh had telegraphed he was
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: going to rest his starters. He had said it in
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: his podcast earlier in the week. I talked about it
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday. He said he was looking forward to seeing
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo and Blake Korum play, so like now he's
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: confirmed it. I also mentioned Gino has four million in
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: incentives that he's going for that are relatively easy to get,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: so we know he'll be playing. We like the Seahawks
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: and playing for a new coach. They want to put
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: good stuff on tape, they want to build momentum. It's
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: up to six and a half now. We're not going
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: to bet it put in the contest, but it's amazing
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: to me that it took so long for it to
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: get that far, but I.
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: Think you just know why it did because he basically
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: confirmed it, and that's when you really saw the line
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: shoot up to six six and a half, Like when
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: he came out and basically said, everyone's sitting and I'm
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: excited to see Jimmy be playing in this game. It's
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: like that was to me, that was when the line
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: really moved, like literally right when he had that press conference.
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: So yeah, but it isn't this about finding the edge, right,
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: Like we had intel and we had information and McVeigh
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: had sort of telegraphed this when it was at three.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: Why are people waiting so long? That's when you want
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: to bet, when you feel like you can get a
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: sort of get a jump on competition.
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what I mean, though maybe they were just
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: waiting for him to really confirm it before they wanted
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: to pay powers. I say powers, Yeah, I mean it
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: depends on when you're been a certain amount of money, though,
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: you want to be sure what you're betting on. So yeah,
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: this is a game where I'm happy we can avoid
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: it now because it's moved too much. I honestly didn't
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: want to have too much invested in this one just
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: because you know, Gino has not looked right since that
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: knee injury, and that's the god honest truth, Like he
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: didn't look right the week before. And you know at three,
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: like you said that to me was an amazing value
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: and that was like a good number because it is
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: him with starters going up against a backup of the
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: Rams team. And we know how top heavy the Rams
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: are as well, like they're just like Houston, there are
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: stars in the scrub team. They're just a team of
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: really good players and the bottom of it's really bad, right,
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: they're really thin once you start going through the layers.
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: So the the Rams here though there are they are
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: a young team, so I wouldn't be shocked if they
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: do play a lot of the young starters on defense.
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: But offensively, what I read that it's basically going to
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: be the rookie running back and then you know backup
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: quarterback and no Cooper Cup, no Puoka the coup, and
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: it's like you go down the line, it's like, Okay,
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: can Jimmy keep them in this game competitively? Sure, he
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: can maybe keep this close, but do I see him
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: winnning this out right now? So yeah, I agree with
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: your play at three at six and a half, that
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: just feels way too rich to back the Seahawks team.
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: By the way, I forgot to mention that the Los
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: Angeles Chargers will be our foxhole bet we are clearly
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: on the opposite side. Otherwise, guys more in that one
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: than any other game this week. Los Angeles Chargers are
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: the foxhult. Meanwhile, our Big Balls better the week presented
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: by Tommy John. If you've got the balls, Tommy John
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: has the support, great game, start, great underwear, and Tommy
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: John makes the greatest. That was me giving my Big
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: Balls announcement to the fullest of my potential. Kansas City
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: plus ten and a half at Denver it got up
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: to eleven on Wednesday, there was a little bit of buyback.
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: We're on the Chiefs here. I don't understand the Chiefs
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: at sixteen and one. I know who's playing and who's not,
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: but they still have the best strategic offensive mind in football.
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: A quarterback who is not a fourteen point difference from
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes in Carson Wentz. This is just too big
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: of a number. It makes It makes no sense to
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: me whatsoever.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: No, and it's gonna be the most public dog of
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: the week, right because I think everyone's in agreement with
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: us of this line's way too big. And I think
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: they originally moved it this high because there were whispers
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: that Carson Wentz was gonna sit in this game too,
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: that they didn't want to risk injuring him either, and
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: they were gonna play their third string, and the ady
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: k my Es change said no, it's it's it's Carson.
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: The weirdest thing is that it hasn't moved, like it
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: went down from a couple of books out at eleven. Yeah,
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: I went to ten and a half, but I thought
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: this would be eight and a half. Eight after the
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: announcement it was Carson, You're right. It's like, is he
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: really fourteen to fifteen points worse than Mahomes. It's it
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: feels like it's a bit dramatic, especially when you know
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: we've come to realize, especially as Mahomes is, you know,
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: especially you can't duplicate how he's so confident, great in
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: the pocket, everything like that. But we talk it's injurying.
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: The scheme is something that's very very very very important
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: to this team, and you know, obviously Mahomes now have
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: the numbers this year because they basically just run the
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: ball the whole second half and just ball control team.
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: So I don't think he made I don't have to look,
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: but I'm pretty sure he missed the Pro Bowl, right,
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: makes the problem right, And it's like, you know, guy
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: comes off two Super Bowls, goes fifteen to one, but
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: he doesn't have the stats because their team is just
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: so smart. He knows they don't need to force balls downfield.
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: They can just run the second half. You'll never have
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: the stats to make the pro bowning know, that's just
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: part of it. It's a team sport. That's why we
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: love football, right, It's the ultimate team sport. So yeah,
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: this is a line that me and Chad love, gonna
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: have the money line around Robin. This is just the
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: best part of the final week of the season. Like
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: a team like this that no one's gonna believe it
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: can kind of shock the world here. But unfortunately people
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: do believe this one. Like I said, this is gonna
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: be the most public dog most likely the week because
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: I think everyone's just like me and Chad, they're all
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: just like best team in football over ten points. Take
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: that best team, Like I'm with them, like it's very caveman,
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: very simple. Don't overthink this one. Just take the points
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: with this and I be shocked, shocked if this doesn't
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: go below ten before kickoff. I just can't see what
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: professional is putting in real money on the standard team
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: at this big of a favorite with a rookie quarterback,
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: which essentially is another playoff game. Like this is a
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: legit playoff game. It might not be to the Chiefs.
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: And yeah, they're playing backups here, but you know, andy joke,
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: it's fun playing spoiler. If they can play spoiler here,
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: he's gonna try to do it. So I love this
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: number for this Chiefs team.
• 51:58
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• 53:20
  Speaker 1: Last one on the board Minnesota plus three now at
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: bet three six five at Detroit. You liked Minnesota on Tuesday,
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: you had good reasons for doing it. I don't want
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: to bet this game just because I want Detroit to
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: win so badly. I'd rather just pass miss the edge
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: on Minnesota than bet against the Lions. You mentioned sharp
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: calls wise guys like Detroit.
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: My feeling here is just this is a team that
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: is impossible not to love. You get so few windows
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: in the NFL to live up to your potential and
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: I think the Lions have that shot right now. Very
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: good chance. Aaron Glenn has gone next year, He's done
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: it as well as he can with third and four
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: stringers and guys off the street. Likely Ben Jhonson is gone.
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Not that they're not replaceable, but this transformation. The entire
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: country has been behind this team turning it around, and
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: I just look, I'm a sentimental guy. I'm rooting for
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: these three coaches and this team to win the Super
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: Bowl together, reach the height. Everyone can go off to
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: their own separate ways, graduate into something else, but I
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: want them to achieve it together. I want them to
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: win the number one seed. I want them to rest,
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: I want them to get their defensive players back. I
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: don't want to bet this game because if the right
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: side is Minnesota, I don't want to be right.
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: And you're very nice to say that. Them losing their
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: assistant you know coaches won't matter, but it will. Like
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: it's we've seen it time and time again. I mean
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: I lived it as an Egles fan, Like we went
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: and won the Super Bowl, Yeah right, We lost our
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: OC in our DC and we basically just went into hell.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: And well, I don't know what you're you're talking about
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: you won the Super Bowl with Nick Foles and Doug Peterson.
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: You lost the Super Bowl and then lost your coordinators.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: I can't remember who the coordinators were when Doug Peterson
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: was the coach.
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: No, your your favorite guy is uh coaching the Colts well.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: But that's when that's when they lost with Sirianni you
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: lost and Steichen.
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: And you know this The silver line and hope is
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: the Eagles were the first team in NFL history to
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: have a different whole, different coaching staff and make a
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: Super Bowl between five years. So like it can happen.
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: You can lose your coaching staff and get back there
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: within five years. I mean it's happened before, but our
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: circle data shows us. It's like it's it's a big
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: deal losing these key pieces as coaches. And you know,
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: not that the lines are gonna be desperate, but they
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: have to know this, Like it's now that I'm thinking
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: about though they've drafted so well that maybe they can't
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: combat it, but it's like this is the year it's
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: all lined up. You have a really great defensive mind
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: that you know you have no you should have no defense,
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: Like it's it's incredible what they have done even winning
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: all these games down the stretch here because you know
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: they they have lost so many pieces here and you
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: know this is you're right, Chad, It's like I get
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: your emotion in this bet. You know, who doesn't want
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: to see Detroit win? This be the one seed that's
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: their best pass. But I just think at this point,
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: to me, Minnesota is the better team. You can get
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: three right now at bet three sixty five. And we
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: already talked about like if you have, like, guy, do
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: I have a bunch of futures tied to this Detroit
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: team winning this division? You have to hedge, Like this
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: is such a unique, great opportunity to hedge on a
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: Vikings team that to me is the better team right now,
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: and they're the dog. And you know, as much as
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: you want to respect home field advantage we talked about
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: this year, there is no real home field advantage right,
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: Like that's kind of gone out the door, especially when
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: there's two teams like this that can move the ball,
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: Like the offense here is gonna be the difference and
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: we've seen that. Right The total is the biggest total,
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: like EVM saying since was a twenty twenty one it's
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: it's insane how high this total is. So you not
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: want it take it? It makes I get it, like if
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: you want to take a step back. Anyone out there
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: doesn't want to take this. But to me, you fine,
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: a game that's going to be a shootout, you almost
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: always take the points, Like unless you know you're really
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: committed to this Detroit team, go money line then, like,
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: don't don't mess around the two and a half because
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: I talk all the time how I found important. I
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: think two and a half is. And you even go
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: back and look at the first time they played. Me
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: and Chad survived that Detroit bet right, we did handicap
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: it right, but it was madness. There was like a
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: strip sacked touchdown at the end of the game. All
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: of a sudden Detroy had to drive the field again
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: and get another touchdown. Then it was just pure madness.
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: And that's why I think this game is gonna be
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: like you're never gonna feel comfortable. I don't. I can't see
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: this being a blow out on either side. I would
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: be shocked Detroit blow out the Vikings or the Vikings
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: blow out Detroit. It would honestly be shocking. But I
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: just think the fact that you have a team on
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: short rest already banged up. I mean, they've just had
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: a grueling long season here, but against a Minnesota team
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: that you know, not that they're going to be fresh
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: in this game, but like you know, they dominated their
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: last game against Green Bay. They basically took the foot
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: off the guests in the fourth quarter and a little
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: sweat there. But I just I just think it. The
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: line is up perfectly this Minnesota team. So yeah, I'm
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: clearly unpoc committed. I love them at plus three Minnesota,
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: and you know at two and a half, if Chattas
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: won't put him in a contest, I get it. Like
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: I'm more confident at three three and a half with
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: this Minnesota team i am at two and a half.
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: But yeah, this is the dream scenario for the NFL
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: two fourteen and two teams fight for the one seed.
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: It doesn't get much better than this.
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: I'm so excited to watch this game. It's like I
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: love football. I can't. It's gonna be a great It's
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: gonna be a great game. All right, we'll we'll review,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: we'll put in our picks. After the show. We're gonna
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: want to get some numbers before they move. Even more
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: people will be able to track that. We'll finalize them
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: on Sunday morning. Each week we give out a two
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: team money line underdog Parla. Bet three sis five boosts
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: the odds and highlights it on their site all week
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: and long under both game pages. Both games are eligible
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: for bet three six five's early payout promo, where your
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: moneyline pick gets Marcus win if that team takes a
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: seventeen point lead, even if they lose. So if you
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: want to bet this, better to bet three six five.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: This week's boost did parlay Jags and Giants. That's right,
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: that's what we're asking. Can't imagine? Can't imagine what the
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: trading analyst at boot three six five will boost that one?
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: To find the boost under the Jags or Giants game
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: pages on bet three six five, simon our money line
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: underdog round Robin, come up hey.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: Day, hallau yo waa pay day. There will come up
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: pay day some day.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 3: Some day there will come up pay day, hallau yoa payday.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: I will come up pay.
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 3: Day some day.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: I would say, we want to do the Chiefs, Panthers, Giants, Jags.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: I remember you liked Cowboys, right and if you want
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: to take the Cowboys out and go with Minnesota, I support.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: It, all right. I can do that because I know
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: how much you love Minnesota. I hate like when you're
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: so locked in and I'm clearly being emotional about it.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: I'm locked in, but I'm scared. I think anyone's scared
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: betting against this Detroit team. I mean, man Campbell just
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: dominates in this exact scenario. What is he having? Is
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: he seven to zero in night games with golf against
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: the spread?
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 3: I think it's something like that where it's against the
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 3: Vikings too. GoF hasn't lost against the spread against in Viking.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: It's not good chatter. It's every trend I read from Evan.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: I was like, God, damn it, but I can't help myself.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: All right, forget it. Then let's go with the underlaw.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: The underdog round robin is going to be Kansas City, Jags, Giants, Cowboys, Oh, Carolina,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: Carolina Jags, Cowboys, Giants, Carolina Jags, Cowboys, Giants, Kansas City.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: All right, Jesus, that was Scoot for Let Scoot, Well,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: we gotta do your biggest bets. Then I want to
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: do scooter.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: Lt biggest bets. So far. I mean, I hit the
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati in one early. I've not bet in much since.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: That definitely one of my bigger bets. Jaguars Giants, probably
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: gonna end up with Minnesota's one of my bigger bets
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: if especially if it stays at three. So yeah, I
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: would say those three really jump out for Sunday.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Wow, that's truly disgusting. That's gonna be it. You're gonna
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: be terrible.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: I even mentioned Tennessee because I just know no one's
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: gonna follow that one. But yeah, I'm heavy on Tennessee
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, you're gonna have such an excruciating Sunday.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: If you were drinking last Sunday, I forget about this Sunday.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: When all whole is lost, all this left is relief.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: Let's play scoots Roulette.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: Scoot Roulette. Last week you were on Minnesota. I was
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: on Green Bay, our first head to head of the year.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: Very upsetting for me. Who would you like to pick
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: in scoot Roulette?
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you want to double down and take
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: Detroy and I take in Minnesota, or you just scare
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: it off.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: Now, No, I'll do it.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: You will?
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah? Why not?
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: You're sick dog? Yeah, give me Minnesota. Then whatever you
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: get it, you get two and a half, I get
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: plus three.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: Sure, all right, I like that. I like that one.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: Now it gives me like a reason to be invested
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: without actually having to be invested as a contest pick.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: Before we get to Evan Abrams, if you are participating,
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: uh no, this is not accurate. This should have come out.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: We're all good, everything's good. Let's get to Evan Abrams
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: before we get out of here, our director of research.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: You can get the final word, Nigas feel good about something.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: The last word with Evan A.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: Brams. We're finished talking.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 3: Well, yeah, I mean, if we're betting the Giants, Titans
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 3: and Jaguars, I'm not sure how much I can help there,
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 3: but I will give you a few pieces of fun
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 3: information here. The one thing you guys did say about
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 3: Carson Wentz which I looked up, so ten and a
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 3: half would actually be his largest spread in any game
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 3: played ninety three starts. He did it against Lamar in
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 3: twenty two, So yeah, even a big number for him
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 3: in his heyday and his post days. And the interesting
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 3: thing on Sunday Night football, so Vikings fourteen wins win total.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: Was six and a half.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 3: If they get one more win at fifteen, this would
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 3: be the most over expectations any team has ever finished
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 3: in the since re alignment in two thousand and two.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 3: So Vikings had a six and a half win total
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 3: in the WOW, which is insane. But I'll give you
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 3: two trends. Since it is Week eighteen, we kind of
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 3: have a lot of this information on teams to bet
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 3: and fade at the end of the year. So historically
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 3: it's been profitable to fade teams who need to win
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 3: at the end of the regular season. It's a great
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 3: note from Stuckey that we've been updating the year, So
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 3: since nineteen ninety eliminated teams playing teams that need to
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 3: win over the final two weeks of the regular season
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 3: sixty percent against the spread. Now for Week eighteen, that
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 3: is the Saints getting about fourteen in the Bucks, the
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 3: Panthers getting eight or nine in Atlanta, and the Jets
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 3: at about one one and a half or two against
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 3: the Dolphins. All three of those other teams.
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: Need to win.
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 3: And then here's an even broader one which I found
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 3: in bet Labs, which I found was interesting. So in addition,
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 3: teams with a win percentage between forty percent and sixty
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 3: percent Week sixteen or later twenty seven and seventy two
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 3: against the spread twenty seven percent when they are against
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 3: opponents with an eight to twenty five percent worst win percentage.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 3: So basically, in those last two to three weeks of
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 3: the regular season, you want to be betting these bad
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 3: teams against good teams. They're failing to cover the spread
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 3: by three point eight points per game this week. That
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 3: is the Colts against the Jaguars, the Dolphins against those Jets,
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 3: the Falcons against those Panthers, and the Bucks against the
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 3: same type of games, same type of system. But this
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 3: is just year in and year out, these teams, like
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 3: who are the Colts last week against the Giants, kind
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 3: of find themselves not coming through when people expect them to.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 3: And then I'll end here. We talked a lot about
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 3: the Titans, So yes, Chad, to answer your question from
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 3: earlier two and fourteen ats, they're just the only team
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 3: ever to lose fourteen games against the spreading the season,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 3: so that will continue no matter what. But the funny
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 3: thing is this, so they were favorite. Actually last week
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 3: they closed it minus one with some late action, so
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 3: they're about to close its favorites in back to back weeks,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 3: and I found this one so ending the year bad.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 3: Only a few teams have had a four plus game
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 3: ATS losing streak and an ATS one percentage of twenty
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 3: five percent or worse in Week seventeen or later, which
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 3: is exactly what you're getting with the Titans. The only
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 3: two teams before that were the Bucks in twenty two,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 3: who actually beat the Panthers, and famously in twenty twenty one,
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 3: the Jaguars, who upset the Colts and kept them out
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 3: of the playoffs. The other funny thing is it's actually
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 3: also the Browns this week. The Browns are I don't
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 3: know if I didn't even realize this until I look
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 3: it up. The Browns are four and twelve against the
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 3: spread this year. They failed to spread in four or
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 3: five straight games entering this one, so they're pretty much
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 3: on in the same course as Tennessee. They've been really bad,
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 3: kind of unexpectedly starting dt are these last few weeks.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 3: And then I'll leave you with this. So Simon mentioned
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 3: it with Dable, but I found this interesting. Best Coaches
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 3: against the Spread Week seventeen and eighteen in our bet
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 3: Labs database. In two thousand and three, Tomlin fourteen and
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 3: seven again, ats Dan Campbell seven and one, and again
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 3: Brian Dable at five and oero. The other good ones
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 3: were McDermott and Peterson. Who I know you guys are
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 3: on a few of those coaches and teams this week,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 3: so maybe that'll turn out on the positive side.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: Feel great, you know what I feel like, Simon, Feel
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: like we're going to live up to our potential in
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: the week. Do you feel that way too?
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: Always good?
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: I'm glad of that. We are like minds. As a
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: reminder of the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three
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• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: recap NFL week eighteen and look ahead to the playoffs.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: Got some wild card lines that'll be out by then.
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