Latest / Foul Territory / Ken Rosenthal’s trade deadline updates: Kwan market, Teams STILL on the fence, Suárez prediction
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: In such scoop time.
- 0:06Speaker 2: It's trade deadline week. It's FT senior insider Ken Rosenthal,
- 0:09Speaker 2: who just put out an article on buy sell on
- 0:12Speaker 2: the fence teams. Ken, So I haven't read it.
- 0:14Speaker 1: You know, I read all your articles.
- 0:15Speaker 2: Haven't read this one because it just came out fresh
- 0:17Speaker 2: hot off the press. What do you have for us
- 0:19Speaker 2: in there?
- 0:20Speaker 3: Well, it's four teams that really are still not entirely
- 0:24Speaker 3: sure of their direction. It's the Rays, the Giants, the Angels,
- 0:28Speaker 3: and the Rangers. The Rangers have the best playoff odds
- 0:31Speaker 3: of that group. But if they lose these next two
- 0:34Speaker 3: to the Angels after losing last night, who knows if
- 0:37Speaker 3: they'll push.
- 0:37Speaker 1: As hard as they might have otherwise. I believe they will.
- 0:40Speaker 3: This could be Bruce Bochie's final year. This is a
- 0:42Speaker 3: very competitive front office, a team that has played much
- 0:46Speaker 3: better in the last six weeks or so, so I
- 0:49Speaker 3: would expect that they still proceed on a by course.
- 0:53Speaker 3: The Rays we saw yesterday, did kind of a buy
- 0:56Speaker 3: sell maneuver with the Catchers bringing in Nick Fordy from
- 1:00Speaker 3: the Marlins and trading Danny Jansen.
- 1:02Speaker 1: To the Brewers.
- 1:03Speaker 3: The Giants, like the Rays, have not played well of
- 1:06Speaker 3: late they're two and ten in their last twelve I
- 1:09Speaker 3: think thirteen and twenty two since the Devor's trade and
- 1:12Speaker 3: the Angels.
- 1:13Speaker 1: You never know what the Angels because you never know
- 1:15Speaker 1: what owner Ardi Moreno might be thinking.
- 1:17Speaker 3: So those are the four teams I focused on, and
- 1:20Speaker 3: it's really interesting to me, guys. It's almost like the
- 1:23Speaker 3: playoffs right now for some of these teams and their positions,
- 1:27Speaker 3: their feelings about what they want to do literally changed
- 1:32Speaker 3: day by day. It sounds crazy, it is a little crazy,
- 1:36Speaker 3: but that's where we are.
- 1:38Speaker 1: Ken.
- 1:38Speaker 4: There's no way that the Rangers don't go in and
- 1:41Speaker 4: buy somebody. Now the other Angels, like you said, is
- 1:44Speaker 4: the wildcard? We don't know, because I just don't think
- 1:46Speaker 4: the Angels. They're four and a half out. They got
- 1:48Speaker 4: like five teams in front of them to get to
- 1:49Speaker 4: the third wildcard. I don't see that one happening. But
- 1:52Speaker 4: the Rangers are right there for a wildcard. They're half
- 1:56Speaker 4: came out. They're gonna push in, and I bet you
- 1:59Speaker 4: the Rangers think that they could probably catch the Astros,
- 2:01Speaker 4: much like the Mariners think the same thing. Now the
- 2:03Speaker 4: other two teams, the Rays always try to buy and
- 2:05Speaker 4: sell and maneuver like whatever, and the Giants we just
- 2:09Speaker 4: don't know because this is Buster Posey's first trade deadline.
- 2:11Speaker 4: So but the one thing I do know, Chris Young
- 2:13Speaker 4: and Bruce Boccie they're gonna make a run out.
- 2:16Speaker 3: No, aj, I agree with you, And there are some
- 2:18Speaker 3: extenuating factors there. The luxury tax threshold might be one,
- 2:22Speaker 3: so that might restrain them some. The other thing is
- 2:26Speaker 3: they played so poorly in the first two months it
- 2:29Speaker 3: kind of haunts them a little bit, and they were
- 2:31Speaker 3: that they're going to regress again. Now I totally agree
- 2:34Speaker 3: with you. This is, as I said, a very competitive group.
- 2:37Speaker 3: And yes, all front offices are competitive, but we're talking
- 2:40Speaker 3: about Bruce Bochie and we're talking about Chris Young. Those
- 2:43Speaker 3: are two of the more competitive people you'll ever meet.
- 2:46Speaker 3: So yes, I expect them to buy. But again, the
- 2:49Speaker 3: point of including them was.
- 2:52Speaker 1: They're kind of in a.
- 2:53Speaker 3: Position still where the next two days could influence them.
- 2:57Speaker 3: If it goes really badly, I don't expect it. I
- 3:00Speaker 3: don't expect them to change. They've got the best era
- 3:02Speaker 3: in the major leagues. My goodness, you can win with that,
- 3:06Speaker 3: but they're still not entirely there. Ken.
- 3:10Speaker 2: I want to get to potentially the best position player
- 3:13Speaker 2: available on the market, and it's not Aohennio Suarez. You
- 3:17Speaker 2: put out an article last night about Stephen Kwan of
- 3:21Speaker 2: the Guardians. Do you think he'll get del and where
- 3:23Speaker 2: could he end up?
- 3:26Speaker 3: Scott, I'm not sure he'll get DELT.
- 3:28Speaker 1: I can't predict that.
- 3:29Speaker 3: And obviously the Guardians are a team that generally set
- 3:33Speaker 3: their prices at a high level and do not waiver
- 3:36Speaker 3: for them and that frustrates other.
- 3:38Speaker 1: Clubs at times, but that's their right to do that.
- 3:41Speaker 3: They're every right to do that, and the way they
- 3:44Speaker 3: see it, because they're operating in such difficult circumstances with
- 3:48Speaker 3: low revenues, they have to be very disciplined about what
- 3:51Speaker 3: they do. Now, Stephen Kuan is a guy that has
- 3:56Speaker 3: two more years of control after this. They don't have
- 3:58Speaker 3: to trade him. They probably lee shouldn't trade him from
- 4:02Speaker 3: a competitive standpoint, But with what has happened losing Luis
- 4:06Speaker 3: Ortiz and now Emmanuel Class to non disciplinary paid leave
- 4:11Speaker 3: because of the gambling investigation, let's face it, their chances
- 4:15Speaker 3: for twenty twenty five are pretty much shot, so they
- 4:19Speaker 3: may be at least more open to the conversation than
- 4:21Speaker 3: they would be with Kwan. And yes, they will entertain offers,
- 4:25Speaker 3: as all teams entertained offers for pretty much all of
- 4:28Speaker 3: their players. As far as we know, there have been
- 4:31Speaker 3: no progress or has been no progress at any extension
- 4:34Speaker 3: talks with Kwan, so this is something they will consider.
- 4:37Speaker 3: I would expect the Padres would be in their deep
- 4:40Speaker 3: on Kwan, the Dodgers, the Blue Jays, pretty much every
- 4:43Speaker 3: team that would want a bat would be in on him.
- 4:46Speaker 3: The question is will the Guardians move when they have
- 4:49Speaker 3: all these other opportunities to trade him in the offseason.
- 4:52Speaker 3: You could even expand the list of teams because it
- 4:54Speaker 3: wouldn't necessarily include only contenders. They don't have to do
- 4:58Speaker 3: this now, but maybe some team will push them to
- 5:01Speaker 3: do it now.
- 5:02Speaker 4: Ken, stay on the Guardians here for a second. How
- 5:04Speaker 4: big of a deal was the Emmanuel Colasse news yesterday
- 5:07Speaker 4: and how much Jim Bogen came on so to change
- 5:09Speaker 4: their whole trade deadline. Is that true that basically they
- 5:13Speaker 4: were gonna move him and now since he's off the
- 5:16Speaker 4: table and he's on the restricted list, to change their
- 5:18Speaker 4: complete deadline plans.
- 5:20Speaker 3: Well, certainly they were talking about moving him and it
- 5:24Speaker 3: was something that again they were going to consider and
- 5:27Speaker 3: they would have to have their price met. Whether it
- 5:30Speaker 3: was a certainty that they were going to move him,
- 5:32Speaker 3: I don't know that anyone can say that, But what
- 5:35Speaker 3: it did do, in my opinion, is really end any
- 5:38Speaker 3: chance of them buying, because at this point you're down
- 5:41Speaker 3: two significant pitchers.
- 5:42Speaker 1: They were kind of right in.
- 5:43Speaker 3: That never never land zone where they weren't quite sure
- 5:47Speaker 3: what to do, not playing particularly poorly, not playing particularly well.
- 5:51Speaker 3: But now, come on, they know that they're not going
- 5:54Speaker 3: to be a playoff team. They know that this season
- 5:58Speaker 3: is pretty much shot. So that does change their direction,
- 6:02Speaker 3: no question, because there was still some chance that they
- 6:05Speaker 3: were going to buy, and it seems now that that
- 6:08Speaker 3: chance has been diminished almost to zero.
- 6:12Speaker 2: Do you have the best VPN in the game? Are
- 6:14Speaker 2: you saving enough on your VPN? You gotta check out
- 6:17Speaker 2: surf shark dot com slash fowl or use the code
- 6:20Speaker 2: foul at checkout on the site to get four extra
- 6:23Speaker 2: months of surf Shark VPN. There's a risk free thirty
- 6:27Speaker 2: day money back guarantee at surf shark dot com slash fowl.
- 6:31Speaker 1: Kratz.
- 6:32Speaker 2: If you're on the go a lot you gotta check
- 6:35Speaker 2: out surf Shark.
- 6:37Speaker 5: It's a no brainer. I'm at the beach, so I
- 6:39Speaker 5: should know something about a surf shark. Just saying get
- 6:43Speaker 5: it done thirty days.
- 6:47Speaker 1: That's right.
- 6:48Speaker 2: Secure your digital life with surf Shark VPN. You can
- 6:51Speaker 2: hit the link below for four extra months of surf Shark,
- 6:54Speaker 2: either on the podcast page or on the YouTube channel.
- 6:57Speaker 2: Don't let online threats catch you off guard. This has
- 7:00Speaker 2: been your tech update. You want to keep your data
- 7:02Speaker 2: safe and make sure you check out surf Shark today.
- 7:06Speaker 2: It's a thirty day money back guarantee. You can secure
- 7:09Speaker 2: your digital world right now.
- 7:12Speaker 5: Trade deadline is compelling theater. Even more compelling is the
- 7:16Speaker 5: Brewers and the Cubs are playing each other going into
- 7:20Speaker 5: this trade deadline. How much are they going to be
- 7:23Speaker 5: battling against each other. It's like David Versuk Goliath large markets,
- 7:27Speaker 5: small market. We don't have any money, We don't spend
- 7:30Speaker 5: any money. How is this battle going to play out
- 7:33Speaker 5: or strategically with the organizations? How do you think they'll
- 7:38Speaker 5: play it out against each other?
- 7:41Speaker 3: Eric, I don't think that they're looking at the same
- 7:44Speaker 3: kinds of players.
- 7:45Speaker 1: That's one thing.
- 7:46Speaker 3: So yes, the Cubs we know are really hungry to
- 7:52Speaker 3: put a finishing cap on what they have on their roster.
- 7:56Speaker 3: They want to top this team off, They want to
- 7:58Speaker 3: get a starting pitcher, help anything they can. Third base
- 8:02Speaker 3: has also been an area where they've looked at. Matt
- 8:04Speaker 3: Shaw has played a little bit better lately.
- 8:06Speaker 1: I don't know that you make your decision on that.
- 8:08Speaker 3: So we know the Cubs are hungry to act.
- 8:11Speaker 1: The Brewers are the Brewers.
- 8:13Speaker 3: And I've written about this at length, and they do
- 8:16Speaker 3: things in their own way.
- 8:18Speaker 1: Yes, they acquired Danny Jansen yesterday.
- 8:21Speaker 3: They also have shown interest in Ryan O'Hearn and other hitters.
- 8:24Speaker 1: Do I expect them.
- 8:25Speaker 3: To necessarily do something big. I actually would be surprised
- 8:29Speaker 3: if they did something big. It's just not their style.
- 8:31Speaker 1: But this is a team that we've seen. We saw
- 8:34Speaker 1: it again last night.
- 8:35Speaker 3: They compete no matter who they have, no matter how
- 8:39Speaker 3: many pieces you take away. And they've got an extremely
- 8:42Speaker 3: talented pitching staff right now that in some respects might
- 8:47Speaker 3: be reshaped because you could trade a starting pitcher Nestra Cortes,
- 8:51Speaker 3: Jose Cantana to get something else you need. There are
- 8:54Speaker 3: all kinds of things that they can do. They would
- 8:57Speaker 3: like to reinforce their bullpen as well, because as good
- 9:00Speaker 3: as it's been, kind of getting to the point now
- 9:03Speaker 3: where you might be running on fumes.
- 9:06Speaker 4: Wow, all right, I got out speaking of a team
- 9:08Speaker 4: that nobody knows. What are they gonna do?
- 9:10Speaker 5: The Padres?
- 9:11Speaker 6: Why would they sell?
- 9:12Speaker 4: People were like, they're gonna trade Seas and they're gonna
- 9:14Speaker 4: you said, they might trade Suarez.
- 9:16Speaker 6: Why they're in the wildcard. They have a two game
- 9:17Speaker 6: lead in a wildcard. Why would they sell? Why wouldn't
- 9:20Speaker 6: they try? Listen, Preler is the master of trading guys
- 9:23Speaker 6: and getting guys and you know, making moves here and there.
- 9:26Speaker 6: Why would they sell.
- 9:27Speaker 4: I don't understand why people are saying, oh, the Padres
- 9:29Speaker 4: are gonna sell all these guys.
- 9:30Speaker 3: Why aj they would only sell if it enabled them
- 9:34Speaker 3: to get other pieces that would help them maybe even
- 9:37Speaker 3: better compete this season. That's the whole point. They're not
- 9:41Speaker 3: pure sellers, and they shouldn't be. As you just mentioned,
- 9:44Speaker 3: they're a really good team. They're in good wildcard position
- 9:47Speaker 3: as you mentioned, and there's no reason for them to sell.
- 9:50Speaker 3: But when you have a farm system that is not
- 9:54Speaker 3: as deep as it once was, at least in the
- 9:56Speaker 3: eyes of many in the industry. When you have payroll
- 10:00Speaker 3: restrictions of some kind, we don't know exactly what they are.
- 10:04Speaker 3: At that point, you have to be creative and that
- 10:07Speaker 3: is why you think about or talk about moving a
- 10:09Speaker 3: Dylan Cease if it can bring you something else of
- 10:12Speaker 3: great value to your team. We know what they need.
- 10:15Speaker 3: They need a left fielder. They'd like to improve their
- 10:17Speaker 3: catching as well, and if you trade Cease, you've got
- 10:20Speaker 3: to backfill.
- 10:21Speaker 1: With another starting pitcher.
- 10:22Speaker 3: So to describe them as pure sellers would be a misconception.
- 10:28Speaker 1: That's not right.
- 10:29Speaker 3: What they are is a team that is looking at
- 10:32Speaker 3: all possibilities trying to improve themselves for twenty six. I
- 10:36Speaker 3: sound like a GM with the GM speak now, but
- 10:38Speaker 3: that's what they're doing.
- 10:39Speaker 5: You should be a GM. Ken you.
- 10:43Speaker 4: You don't wear quarter zips, you wear bow ties, so
- 10:45Speaker 4: right you and I guess mo Alok did that for
- 10:47Speaker 4: a while too.
- 10:48Speaker 1: That sure.
- 10:48Speaker 6: But here's my question. We just we talked about Danny
- 10:51Speaker 6: Jansen getting traded to the Brewers.
- 10:52Speaker 4: Why wouldn't the Padres being on a Danny Jansen That
- 10:55Speaker 4: seems like the perfect fit for the Padres and the
- 10:58Speaker 4: and the Brewers gave up an a one year old
- 11:01Speaker 4: kid in a ball.
- 11:01Speaker 6: He's having a good year.
- 11:02Speaker 4: But you don't think the Patterreys could have thrown in
- 11:04Speaker 4: one of them for Danny Jansen type.
- 11:07Speaker 3: I don't know the answer to that, and the Padres
- 11:09Speaker 3: have a zillion balls in the air, and I just
- 11:12Speaker 3: can't tell you exactly, but you're right, Danny Jansen would
- 11:14Speaker 3: have been a good fit. What they're looking for out
- 11:16Speaker 3: of that position is more offense, and Danny Jansen would
- 11:19Speaker 3: give you more offense than Elios Ds who did have
- 11:21Speaker 3: the walk off last.
- 11:22Speaker 1: Night, and Martin Maldonado.
- 11:25Speaker 5: All right, back to the Rays. We hit on the
- 11:27Speaker 5: Rays a little bit, but you had mentioned about possibly
- 11:30Speaker 5: if the next few games don't go the Ray's way,
- 11:33Speaker 5: Brandon Lal and a Yandi Diaz? Is there is their
- 11:38Speaker 5: market more of like a well, there's not a lot
- 11:41Speaker 5: position player wise, because you said Steven Kwan might be
- 11:44Speaker 5: interesting but it may not happen. Is that just the
- 11:47Speaker 5: Rays testing the market or is that a at the
- 11:50Speaker 5: point in their contracts or at the point in their
- 11:52Speaker 5: careers it's time to move on from those guys.
- 11:56Speaker 1: Eric, It's not something they want to do. What they
- 11:58Speaker 1: would want.
- 11:59Speaker 3: To do is win the next couple of games and
- 12:01Speaker 3: keep going forward and be the team that they were
- 12:04Speaker 3: for about six weeks there when they were maybe the
- 12:06Speaker 3: best team in baseball.
- 12:08Speaker 1: They have not been that since.
- 12:09Speaker 3: They're kind of like the Giants in that way that
- 12:11Speaker 3: they were in a good spot at one point and
- 12:13Speaker 3: then suddenly they've entered this funk and they haven't really
- 12:17Speaker 3: gotten out.
- 12:17Speaker 1: Of it yet.
- 12:18Speaker 3: So any idea of trading those guys would only stem
- 12:22Speaker 3: from a reality that the playoffs aren't happening and that
- 12:27Speaker 3: maybe that would be best given the state of the market,
- 12:30Speaker 3: if they are pushed hard enough to move those guys
- 12:32Speaker 3: for the returns that they might get. Kind of depends
- 12:35Speaker 3: on the next couple of games in New York. And
- 12:37Speaker 3: actually their game Thursday is an early start, one o'clock
- 12:41Speaker 3: start with the six o'clock deadline, so that game theoretically
- 12:45Speaker 3: could figure into this as well. I don't know what
- 12:48Speaker 3: they're going to do. We saw yesterday again the buy
- 12:51Speaker 3: sell maneuver. That is generally what they like to do,
- 12:54Speaker 3: but they could go in any direction based on kind
- 12:58Speaker 3: of where they are and where.
- 12:59Speaker 1: They feel they are. One thing about the Rays that's.
- 13:01Speaker 3: Interesting, they're Rundal and this isn't everything, but it's something
- 13:06Speaker 3: is even better than the team leading the Al East,
- 13:08Speaker 3: and that's the Toronto Blue Jays the Razord plus fifty
- 13:11Speaker 3: six the Jay's word plus thirty five. So the Rays
- 13:14Speaker 3: see themselves as a team that still can be rather competitive,
- 13:18Speaker 3: but just has kind of gone bad at the wrong time.
- 13:22Speaker 2: Ken, I want to ask you quick about the Pirates
- 13:25Speaker 2: holding out for the right prospect package, especially for a
- 13:28Speaker 2: guy who have under multiple years of team control. Makes
- 13:31Speaker 2: total sense, But is there any truth to them still
- 13:34Speaker 2: deciding if they want to trade Mitch Keller in general?
- 13:38Speaker 2: If so, why because it's not like they've been trying
- 13:41Speaker 2: to figure out if they're going to be competitive this year.
- 13:44Speaker 2: This is something they should have decided for the last
- 13:46Speaker 2: couple of months.
- 13:48Speaker 1: They have been torn about it.
- 13:50Speaker 3: And the reason they've been torn about it, and even
- 13:52Speaker 3: Bednar to an extent, though I do believe he'll be traded,
- 13:55Speaker 3: is these guys are kind of central to who they.
- 13:58Speaker 1: Are right now. And you might say, well, Ken, they
- 14:00Speaker 1: stink right now.
- 14:01Speaker 3: Very true, but both are perceived as leaders, both are
- 14:06Speaker 3: outstanding performers, and Keller, in the eyes of some, is
- 14:09Speaker 3: only getting better. So you might look at this and say, wait,
- 14:12Speaker 3: we want them to be part of our future and
- 14:14Speaker 3: not guys who were trading off for impact offensive players
- 14:18Speaker 3: if they're even available. The problem with keeping them is
- 14:23Speaker 3: you're not going to spend money. We know they're not
- 14:25Speaker 3: going to spend money because they're the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- 14:28Speaker 1: So if you have.
- 14:28Speaker 3: Any chance to get impact offensive talent back in return
- 14:32Speaker 3: for these guys, Keller in particular, with the years of
- 14:36Speaker 3: control he has, in my mind, you have to do it.
- 14:40Speaker 3: But they know the value of those players to their
- 14:43Speaker 3: own organization. You can envision a world if you were
- 14:47Speaker 3: spending money perhaps where you were building around those guys.
- 14:50Speaker 3: I just don't see that world existing for the Pirates.
- 14:52Speaker 3: It seems to me that they have to move Keller
- 14:55Speaker 3: and Bednar, and I understand where they are, and I
- 14:58Speaker 3: understand the difficulty of bench Sherrington's position. He's under fire,
- 15:02Speaker 3: he has his job in question for next year. But
- 15:08Speaker 3: in this situation, gms generally do what is best for
- 15:10Speaker 3: the organization. What is best for the organization right now
- 15:14Speaker 3: is to trade those guys, both of them, Bednor and Keller,
- 15:17Speaker 3: and get.
- 15:17Speaker 1: As much as you can offensively back.
- 15:21Speaker 5: Okay, last one, it's quick.
- 15:22Speaker 6: It's a one team answer. Where does Gino Suarez go?
- 15:27Speaker 1: Oh, well, let's assume he's healthy, because he didn't get
- 15:30Speaker 1: hit in the hand last night. My guess would be Mariners.
- 15:35Speaker 6: Wow, Reunion.
- 15:38Speaker 2: I think they'll pay the highest price for him.
- 15:40Speaker 3: Guys, that's a guess. And again, when we look at
- 15:44Speaker 3: all these trades that go down, we pick up our
- 15:46Speaker 3: heads on July thirty first, even August first, and.
- 15:49Speaker 1: Look at everything. Think about how many of those deals
- 15:52Speaker 1: we thought.
- 15:52Speaker 3: Were coming, and how many we had no idea about.
- 15:55Speaker 1: Come, Well, we're coming.
- 15:56Speaker 3: It's going to be very much tilted toward we had
- 15:59Speaker 3: no idea.
- 16:00Speaker 1: We love that.
- 16:01Speaker 2: We want all of the shocking moves. Ken, thank you,
- 16:04Speaker 2: appreciate it. We'll catch us soon, Okay. Thanks guys at
- 16:08Speaker 2: the senior insider, Ken Rosenthal fair territories back on Thursday
- 16:11Speaker 2: after the trade deadline, so they can do all kinds
- 16:14Speaker 2: of recapping. Ken can tell you everything that went down,
- 16:17Speaker 2: will give you the exact time when we get closer
- 16:19Speaker 2: to Thursday,