Latest / Simply Bitcoin / NEW DATA: FORGET The CRASH The Bitcoin Supply SHOCK is ACCELERATING | EP 1321
Transcript
- 0:00While everyone's distracted with Bitcoin's crash to 108 K, the
- 0:05mother of all supply shocks is silently accelerating.
- 0:08The ETF led by Larry Fink's BlackRock bought 1600 plus coins
- 0:13yesterday alone. That's four times a daily
- 0:16supply. Institutional demand is 7X the
- 0:19new supply this last year. And two.
- 0:23And then we even have JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon himself saying the
- 0:27price should be higher. What's going on here?
- 0:31What is going on with the price? Today we're going to be diving
- 0:33into all the new data. I got a lot of charts explaining
- 0:36what's going on. Essentially all these charts are
- 0:38showing institutions are eating our lunch, guys.
- 0:41Institutions are scooping up so much Bitcoin and retail, though,
- 0:45I am going to wrap up today's show with some, you know, a
- 0:48little bit of a troll on, on where we are in the market.
- 0:51Retail is nowhere to be found, which is very interesting
- 0:55because of course Bitcoin is a grassroots movement, but the
- 0:59institution are buying in in huge in bulk right now and
- 1:03retail is nowhere to be found. It it's getting crazy out there.
- 1:07Of course, I'm not alone. I got Chris here, the slightly
- 1:11higher IQ version of Opti here. So we got a good balance show.
- 1:15Let's just start with the price. You guys probably saw it here or
- 1:18maybe you didn't. Maybe you're like me and you
- 1:19didn't even know the price was dipping until you saw it on
- 1:22Twitter. But as we tweeted by the dip
- 1:25guys, Bitcoin price dumped to 108K.
- 1:29What's going on is the real question here and you guys can
- 1:32see it here Look at this big old candle here don't don't mind my
- 1:35chart bowling here, but it looks like we're on resistance.
- 1:37Who knows these these lines move.
- 1:39I'm not I'm not here saying that the Bitcoin price cares about my
- 1:42lines. I'm just saying it went right
- 1:43back to my line here OK, all right, but we got a pretty big
- 1:47pretty good candle here. I'll, I'll do a little chart
- 1:49bowling for you guys. Who cares?
- 1:50It's Friday, right? It's.
- 1:51Friday price is not seen since three months ago.
- 1:54Yeah. So you know, just a little 4%
- 1:56dip price that we haven't seen since July, right, less less
- 2:00than four months ago, though it is interesting.
- 2:03We are back to the same price that we had in December.
- 2:06So literally all of our games this year just completely
- 2:09erased. Dude, what a fun time.
- 2:12What a, what a fun year. You know what it's going to be
- 2:14really fun though, Chris, if we do get the RIP that we think is
- 2:19coming Q3Q4, you know, end of Q3Q4, we're going to look back
- 2:24at this price right now and be like, man, what a crazy year.
- 2:27It really look, I know you weren't around 2017, but it
- 2:31really does remind me of 2017 vibes really slow beginning of
- 2:35the year and then a huge RIP at the end of the year.
- 2:38And of course everyone's speculating right now on this
- 2:41idea that these institutions buying Bitcoin and I and I'm
- 2:45going to cover that in a minute. The institutions buying Bitcoin
- 2:48right now are really fundamentally changing what's
- 2:50going on in the market structure and that could mean continuously
- 2:54grinding up into 2027. So who knows what's going on,
- 2:58man? But Chris, let's get a vibe
- 3:01check. How are you feeling today?
- 3:03We're poorer this morning. You know, like we're what we're
- 3:06down. I don't know, 10% or so since
- 3:09the all time high. Let's get a general vibe check
- 3:12and then I I will show you the charts, guys.
- 3:14I got a lot of a lot of charts here kind of explaining
- 3:17institutions eating our lunch right now.
- 3:19So Chris Floor is all yours. Vibes are high.
- 3:22I mean it was very funny, Opia. I know we talked off air like
- 3:25probably two or three weeks ago and you're like, yeah, I feel
- 3:28richer when we're above the 120 mark.
- 3:30I'm like, dude, it's only been in the 120 range for like 10
- 3:32days in bitcoins history. And then we proceeded to only go
- 3:35down since we talked about two to three weeks ago.
- 3:39So I guess, you know, that's a little bad, like not that I
- 3:42called the top there, but I guess I did.
- 3:45But that just means there's an opportunity to buy.
- 3:47And you know, I think your future self is going to thank
- 3:50you. Maybe not a year or two years,
- 3:52but definitely 4 or 510 years from now, yourself and your
- 3:55family and your generations of your hopefully your legacy will
- 3:59thank you for like whoa, grandpa or grandma bought at like you
- 4:03know, they bought at 108 K. Now we're sitting over a
- 4:06$2,000,000 a coin or whatever it is in the future.
- 4:09So I definitely think this is an opportunity to buy the dip.
- 4:13Think like institutions, I know they're kicking our ass right
- 4:15now. It's stacking, but institutions
- 4:17love when price dips. Especially, you know, we've
- 4:19talked about this in the past, years ago that like MSNBC or
- 4:23like Fast Money or any of these shows, the Jim Cramer's of the
- 4:26world are saying goodbye when they're secretly selling onto
- 4:29retail and then they're saying to sell when they're secretly
- 4:32buying into retail. So like they're always trying to
- 4:35manipulate markets. I honestly don't know.
- 4:37I mean, we have all these government agencies and they're
- 4:38supposed to protect retail investors.
- 4:40I know Opti is a big Gary Gensler stand and you know,
- 4:44maybe. He was.
- 4:45He's a maxi bro. He was he.
- 4:46Pretended he was from the. Dumps.
- 4:48Maybe he was protecting us from the dumps.
- 4:50But I guess the one thing that I will say is like, you know,
- 4:54they're allowed to get away with this in this day and age.
- 4:55And so I guess it's buyer beware.
- 4:57But in the times when Bitcoin dumps, we know what it's going
- 4:59to do in the future. I just showed my wife that video
- 5:02because she had, she didn't know what I was talking about.
- 5:03I know I've showed it to her at least twice.
- 5:05But in the video, it's like, don't buy Bitcoin.
- 5:07It's only in a crash. He's like, yeah, one time I
- 5:09bought Bitcoin, it was at $0.30 and it went to $2.70 and then it
- 5:14crashed to a dollar. Then it went from $1.00 and went
- 5:17all the way up to $100, and then it crashed down to $30.
- 5:21And so, you know, and then he get does this whole thing and
- 5:23basically just showing that Bitcoin's only going up over
- 5:25time. But then he ends a video, of
- 5:27course, with tongue in cheek being like, don't buy Bitcoin
- 5:29because you know, it's going to crash as it just showed the
- 5:31progression that over time it ends up at higher highs and, you
- 5:35know, higher lows. So I just think that's the best
- 5:37way to go forward. Yeah, I'm getting trolled 'cause
- 5:40my hat's linty. Guys, I don't know why this hat
- 5:42it's. Not good.
- 5:43I try to keep it clean. No, but you got the trucker hat
- 5:46one. This is different fabric, guys.
- 5:48This one, I don't know, it just attracts lint.
- 5:50All right, guys, quit trolling me.
- 5:52Dude, it's Friday. I can't take this much heat
- 5:54already, OK, Too much heat already.
- 5:56All right, Anyways, everyone's saying show me the charts.
- 5:57OK, it's not really charged. I'm not really showing you
- 6:00charge, but we have a lot of data.
- 6:01River's been dropping a lot of really good data here to kind of
- 6:05keep us, I don't know, keep us focused on what's going on.
- 6:08And like I keep saying, I've been saying this for weeks,
- 6:10guys, institutions are eating our lunch right now.
- 6:14And maybe you're in the chat, you're stacking.
- 6:16But as a whole, as a collective, the amount of Bitcoin that
- 6:19institutions are scooping up right now is is insane.
- 6:23And retail, like I keep saying to sleep at the wheel, even
- 6:26though it does seem like we are entering the mainstream
- 6:29conversation and we're going to chat about this at the end of
- 6:31the show. Again, I'm going to kind of
- 6:32troll a little bit, but there's no retail bulk buying right now.
- 6:37This is not a market that is being moved by retail like it
- 6:41once was. We are no longer in the same
- 6:43world we used to be, guys. And the data is showing this.
- 6:46So first chart here by river is showing the average daily
- 6:50Bitcoin flows in 2025. And as you can see the tweet,
- 6:54businesses are absorbing Bitcoin at four times the rate it is
- 6:57mine again, four times, guys. So, you know, I know there's a
- 7:01lot of speculation on whether the supply shock meme is real,
- 7:05but what we're seeing right now, these price levels are not
- 7:08sustainable when it comes to how much Bitcoin is being bought
- 7:11versus how much Bitcoin is coming into this new supply.
- 7:15Now, I know there is another factor in here because there is
- 7:18a lot of whales taking Bitcoin onto the exchanges and that's
- 7:22probably what we're dealing with.
- 7:24But you can see guys like the the Bitcoin treasury companies,
- 7:27the businesses scooping up Bitcoin four times the the rate
- 7:31of the daily mine. And remember, it's about 450
- 7:34Bitcoin that's being mined a day or rather released into the
- 7:38network a day. The new supply hitting and
- 7:40they're buying up four times that now.
- 7:42That's crazy. And again, just going further
- 7:45into this data, 1.3 million Bitcoin or $150 billion at
- 7:49current prices are being held by businesses.
- 7:52Companies are starting to catch on.
- 7:54Whether you think the Bitcoin treasury companies are a paper
- 7:57mining Ponzi scheme or however you want to frame it, the point
- 8:01remains the same. They want Bitcoin.
- 8:04The corporations are catching on to this idea that they need to
- 8:08add Bitcoin to their balance sheet.
- 8:10Now, that doesn't mean every company's going to become a
- 8:12micro strategy and you know, do ATMs and and basically take out
- 8:17loans and issue Bitcoin per shares for their shareholders.
- 8:21But every company it seems is going to be become a corporate
- 8:25Bitcoin treasury company. Now that really just means every
- 8:29company will be holding Bitcoin on their balance sheet.
- 8:31And the data is continuously showing us that that is the
- 8:35case. Now here is where it gets really
- 8:38crazy because I have another, hopefully I brought it up.
- 8:41I've been, I've been looking for this chart and I I think I
- 8:43finally found it again. Yeah, I did OK.
- 8:48This is head of research at at Bitwise and he goes.
- 8:51Funny how some analysts still think Bitcoin will top out in
- 8:532025 quote because of the post having pattern.
- 8:56Although institutional demand has already been almost 7 times
- 9:00larger than new supply. So you have corporate treasuries
- 9:05four times the daily supply buying that much Bitcoin, you
- 9:09have the institutional demand seven times the supply.
- 9:12So I don't know if there's some overlap there, but if it's not,
- 9:16you know, 10X the supply right now, I think we could, we could
- 9:19kind of lean towards there is some overlap here, but you can
- 9:22see year to date institutional demand 690,710 Bitcoin and new
- 9:29supply is 100 and 9072 bitcoins. So there is a market dynamic
- 9:34here that is unbalanced. Essentially the buy pressure
- 9:37coming on from a a whole new capital, whole new pool of
- 9:42capital coming into Bitcoin. At a certain point this will
- 9:46break to the upside. Now this is also what we're
- 9:49seeing from the ETFs. the US Bitcoin ETFs yesterday alone
- 9:54bought 16120 Bitcoin again, compare that to the 450 Bitcoin
- 9:59that is mined a day 3.6 X the new supply.
- 10:04This is four straight 8 days of inflows.
- 10:06Like there is a lot of demand in the market right now and it
- 10:10really is starting to kind of get back to what I've been
- 10:14saying about it does seem like the OG whales basically, you
- 10:18know, you could say the OG manipulators of the market, It
- 10:21looks like they might be on their last breath here.
- 10:24This might be the last time they're going to fundamentally
- 10:27be able to move the markets like they are, especially if we see
- 10:31this floor of institutional demand coming into Bitcoin.
- 10:34If we see this continuous unlimited bid of buying
- 10:39pressure. There is no amount of Bitcoin.
- 10:42Well, there is, it's obviously hundreds of maybe million coins
- 10:46hitting the exchanges. But at the the rate that we're
- 10:49seeing Bitcoin hit the exchanges right now, or rather being moved
- 10:53and being sold, at a certain point, there will be an influx
- 10:57and these institutional demands are going to take us to the
- 11:00moon. So here's another one.
- 11:02You know, Bit Bitwise reports 28 new Bitcoin treasury companies
- 11:05bought 140,000 Bitcoin in July and August alone, equivalent to
- 11:11a whole year's of supply. All I'm hearing is guys, yeah, I
- 11:15I hate this meme, but there's not that much Bitcoin to go
- 11:18around. If these institutional demands,
- 11:21corporate treasuries, Bitcoin treasury companies continue this
- 11:25basically unlimited buy pressure.
- 11:28If they have this unlimited buy bid right now, it's getting
- 11:31crazy. And I think this is just the
- 11:33beginning of the waterfall. This is probably the first or
- 11:36second domino to fall. The amount of interest coming
- 11:40into Bitcoin silently right now is incredible.
- 11:43We've never seen anything like this ever in the past.
- 11:47When I got into Bitcoin in 20/20/2017, 20/18/2020 era, we
- 11:52were always saying institutional is coming.
- 11:54You know the institutions coming, the capitals coming,
- 11:57guys are going to save the bear market.
- 11:59Well, now we're here and it does seem like they're doing, as I
- 12:03like to call it, the billionaire Fudd playbook.
- 12:05They want the price lower. So maybe these whales aren't
- 12:08working alone. Maybe they're working in tandem
- 12:10here. Let's move the price down, make
- 12:12sure that whoever the people behind them get their position
- 12:16in Bitcoin, fully pack their bags, and then they can finally
- 12:21send it. Because the amount of buying
- 12:23right now, the amount of coin being scooped up is incredible.
- 12:26Yes, we've seen, I think it's been around roughly 150,000
- 12:30coins hit the exchange changes, but we're seeing what 600,700
- 12:35thousand coins being bought up. Now that does lead us into the
- 12:39argument of paper Bitcoin. We, we have been speculating or
- 12:42rather not speculating, but we have been a bit harsh on the
- 12:45idea that most of these companies are buying through
- 12:47Coinbase or Coinbase Premium. So maybe they aren't actually
- 12:52quote UN quote buying new Bitcoin and it's just kind of
- 12:54moving from one hand to the other behind the scenes OTC.
- 12:58But here is where it gets crazy. And this was the chart I've been
- 13:01mentioning the last couple of days.
- 13:03This this was in March. So I'm sure we we have an
- 13:05updated version. But as our boy Robin said,
- 13:08retail is sleeping while institutions are stacking up
- 13:11Bitcoin. There's further confirmation
- 13:13that the term buy Bitcoin is only at 9% of the Google trends,
- 13:17which was in 2017, while the market cap is now almost 10
- 13:20times as high as 2017. That's why we will be at $1
- 13:23million Bitcoin and 90% of people won't even bother looking
- 13:26at Bitcoin. And what do we look looking at
- 13:28here? 2024, changing Bitcoin
- 13:30ownership. This is just 2024.
- 13:32And I think this data has fundamentally probably been, you
- 13:36know, leverage here. It's changed probably for the
- 13:39worst of institutions, funds, ETF businesses, governments and
- 13:43other people buying Bitcoin and then individuals and retail
- 13:48selling Bitcoin. So these numbers are skewed
- 13:52probably worse than they are now, but the institutions is
- 13:56what I keep saying are eating our lunch right now, guys.
- 13:58Now I know like personally, I, I have, I have no more Fiat left.
- 14:03I, you know, I'm, I'm basically paycheck to paycheck right now
- 14:06just trying to survive. But man, if you are sitting on
- 14:10the sidelines with dollars or whatever your local currency is
- 14:13and now is the time to be buying, now is the time to be
- 14:16deploying your capital. Yes, you have a dip.
- 14:18As we know this is by the dip season and again, I've been
- 14:22bringing up this report as well, but JP Morgan here like the big
- 14:26boogeyman here, Jamie Dimon, one of the biggest critics of
- 14:29Bitcoin is now having his analysts drop reports saying
- 14:32like this Bitcoin price is too low.
- 14:35You know, they're not even that bullish.
- 14:36They're like seeing upside to 126.
- 14:38So what 2K above all time high like all right, cool story bro.
- 14:43But we are seeing an incredible amount, amount of wow, Niko's in
- 14:51the chat. Wow Nico doesn't show up, but he
- 14:53hangs out in the chat. That's incredible.
- 14:55The amount of buy pressure we're seeing from institutions right
- 14:58now is dwarfing what individuals in retail are selling.
- 15:02So there will be a point here. There will be hopefully.
- 15:07I think it's soon. I think we're going to see it
- 15:08soon. Now we are entering into
- 15:10September, which is historically a bad month for Bitcoin.
- 15:13And as we're seeing it could probably be something similar.
- 15:17So like if you have money right now, if you have Fiat on the
- 15:21sideline, if you have just cash flow coming in, I think the
- 15:25month of September is going to be a great stacking opportunity.
- 15:29And I'm, I've been telling my friend personally like you
- 15:32better be stacked up. You better have the position you
- 15:34want by October because if it plays out how we seen play out
- 15:38historically, October, AKA October is probably going to be
- 15:42when things start ripping. So I would say you have, you
- 15:45have about a month, you have a month now to deploy as much
- 15:48capital as you can. Right now is not the time to get
- 15:51shaken out, not the time to get disheartened about what's going
- 15:54on with the price. Now is the time to think of it
- 15:57like Bitcoin is on discount before it starts ripping.
- 16:00Because I don't think that this this dynamic that we're seeing
- 16:04right now from institutions versus retail or individuals can
- 16:07last that much longer. They're buying way too much
- 16:09Bitcoin and it's got a RIP. It's it's totally has to RIP.
- 16:14OK, I've been meeting for a minute.
- 16:16Chris, I don't know if you've seen all this, all this data
- 16:21here, but I'm leaving. Nico's out.
- 16:25OK, Nico's out. I'm working, dude.
- 16:27I'm working. Anyways, Chris, what's your
- 16:30thoughts on this dude? Is the mother of all supply
- 16:32shocks a real meme or are we just seeing a change in the new
- 16:38quote UN quote Bitcoin buyer? I definitely think, you know, it
- 16:43does seem that the OG whales are want to live a better lifestyle
- 16:47or a bigger lifestyle. So they've been selling
- 16:49obviously into the rise of Bitcoin.
- 16:51Obviously we're seeing institutions scoop up Bitcoin.
- 16:54There is a lot of talk with all of this demand from
- 16:56institutions. The money is here.
- 16:58Why is price not ripping harder and faster than we have seen in
- 17:01the past? One with OG selling definitely.
- 17:03But then I mean, I can't discount claims that there's
- 17:06potentially paper paper games being played.
- 17:08I'm not going to lie, Opie, one of my guilty pledgers, and I
- 17:10know you do this too. We watch the rec bot on Twitter
- 17:14when people like leverage long 40X on Binance and then they
- 17:17like, you know, it Wicks down even though, because they were
- 17:19leveraged long and then all of a sudden someone levers up again
- 17:21and then they continue to dip down and then it's like, all
- 17:24right, now we're going to keep shorting and then the shorts get
- 17:26blown out. So you know, you get blown up on
- 17:27both ends when you're using leverage.
- 17:29So use what the the strategy that Opti and I use.
- 17:32This is not financial advice, but buy Bitcoin, take it into
- 17:34self custody. This is the best and buy shore
- 17:37the safest way to use Bitcoin. Much better than paper Bitcoin
- 17:41summer, much better than using 40X100X leverage on finance.
- 17:45But yeah, I do think a lot of it is institutions are buying where
- 17:49a lot of the O GS are selling. And then like I said, we can't
- 17:52discount paper games that are potentially being played.
- 17:54I think a lot of these paper games can happen because we have
- 17:56ETS, we have Bitcoin treasury companies.
- 17:58It's like if they're promising this Bitcoin to the ETS as well
- 18:02as a Bitcoin treasury companies, well, that's half the demand cut
- 18:04in half right there. And obviously, you know, time
- 18:06will be the the ultimate test of everything in there, basically
- 18:10liquidity. What's the the old saying?
- 18:12You the market can remain irrational longer than you can
- 18:15remain solvent. So yeah, I just think that
- 18:17that's, yeah, a big thing. Well, we could stat we could
- 18:21stay highly regarded longer than they can keep the price down.
- 18:25Hopefully, hopefully that was the old meme back in the day,
- 18:28but it seems like we are all out of cash.
- 18:30Like remember the the the headlines?
- 18:33We've been saying this for months now, like the Bitcoin
- 18:36tourists have gone home. So essentially everyone in the
- 18:40market right now are just bit corners that have been around
- 18:42for longer, like we're the only ones left right now because it's
- 18:45it's basically US versus like Larry Fink and Michael Saylor.
- 18:48Now, we don't have their capital here, but we should still be
- 18:53trying to buy as much Bitcoin as we can currently because we're
- 18:57the only people here like the corporate treasuries coming in.
- 19:01Larry Finks of the world, you know, the Trump's of the world,
- 19:04the sailors of the world. They are our new competitors in
- 19:08this game of Hungry Hippo, in this game of Pac-Man.
- 19:11Those are the people that we're competing with right now.
- 19:13Now, obviously we don't have the deep pockets like they do, but
- 19:17hey, we can still get our little portion of the pie right now.
- 19:20But man, the institutions, the amount of buying we're seeing,
- 19:23it's just it's it's really unprecedented.
- 19:25We haven't seen anything like it.
- 19:27And there's no retail here like the the the buying volume right
- 19:33now on if you're looking at any chart like it's basically non
- 19:36existent. It's it's it's dead like it.
- 19:39It's basically a desert out here.
- 19:41I don't think. I think it's basically here.
- 19:43Actually. Let me hear Chris, you go and
- 19:45I'm I'm going to double check the volume with with some dates
- 19:48here. Yeah.
- 19:49And I guess one of the thing that I could add, aside from the
- 19:51O GS selling Bitcoin to fund their lifestyle, I think things
- 19:55that's kind of under highlighted or not highlighted enough.
- 19:57A lot of the Ogs, maybe I, I hate to say, getting selfish,
- 20:00but like if you've had all these gains in Bitcoin and then you're
- 20:03not that you're worried, but you want to lock in gains.
- 20:05There's also the idea that they could be selling their Bitcoin
- 20:08to some of the Bitcoin treasury companies and exchange getting
- 20:11IOU's, you know, well, and I don't have to call it anyone
- 20:14company in particular, but it's just, hey, if you were going to
- 20:17give, if you're going to pledge some of your Bitcoin to us, it
- 20:19goes on our treasury and we'll give you the stock certificates
- 20:22or basically the private equity. Or whatever it is, you know,
- 20:25they're getting ownership of these companies.
- 20:27You know, obviously I view that as a riskier play.
- 20:30So that may not be the best move to do.
- 20:32But obviously it's their Bitcoin.
- 20:34They can do with it what they want.
- 20:35And they think that these treasury companies are going to
- 20:38have a NAV premium above what they can earn with Bitcoin.
- 20:41So they're risking some of their Bitcoin to try and beat
- 20:43Bitcoin's game. That's the only reason that you
- 20:46may be selling your Bitcoin at a higher risk.
- 20:48And obviously that comes with much more risk, Third party
- 20:50risk, it comes with custody risk.
- 20:52It comes with, you know, business operation risks.
- 20:55So there's all these risks where it's much safer and in my
- 20:57opinion, much easier to to just buy Bitcoin, take it into self
- 21:01custody. I know American Huddle was on a
- 21:02podcast recently, and he does a lot of private equity
- 21:05investments. So he's a perfect example of a
- 21:07whale that's been in space a long time.
- 21:08And he's like, yeah, with all the work and all the stuff that
- 21:11I know about Bitcoin, I've only outperformed Bitcoin by 15% with
- 21:15my private equity investments. And it comes with way more risk.
- 21:17I've wasted way more time spending it with his his wife
- 21:20and his daughters. And like, he's like, it wasn't
- 21:22worth it. I'd rather have the time and
- 21:23freedom back and just buy Bitcoin and do that.
- 21:26But you know, that's a risk that a risk that everyone needs to
- 21:29evaluate themselves. Yeah, 100%.
- 21:32That's look as much as I'm kind of not on the side because if
- 21:40you're pointing, if you're doing the paper Bitcoin summer meme,
- 21:43there's really only one place you're pointing to and that's
- 21:46Coinbase. Now, do I think they're above
- 21:49doing some shenanigans? Like, no, but I don't think
- 21:53they're that dumb. I don't think they're, they're
- 21:55going to, you know, slay the golden goose here.
- 21:58And what I'm getting at is I don't think that Coinbase is, is
- 22:02fractional reserving their Bitcoin holdings 'cause as we
- 22:05all know, like Bitcoin will call your bluff eventually.
- 22:08And we've seen this happen with FTX and we all know how big of a
- 22:11debacle that was. And like they're a publicly
- 22:13traded company. They just got into the S&P 500.
- 22:16Now, I'm not saying there isn't historical precedent of a big
- 22:19company committing fraud a la Enron.
- 22:22You know, we've seen this stuff happen in the past.
- 22:25But I still think it's very early in just the the history
- 22:29and the market of Bitcoin with I think they know better than
- 22:32that. And so I don't think the paper
- 22:34Bitcoin summer meme is necessarily like a fractional
- 22:37reserve, you know, exchange at least one of the top ones.
- 22:41Yes, there could be a small fractional reserve exchange that
- 22:44you probably have never heard about, but after the FTA, you
- 22:47know, Celsius block by debacles, I don't think these, you know,
- 22:52publicly traded exchanges are going to make that dumb of a
- 22:56move again. I, I think that kind of risk has
- 22:59been, I don't know for for better or worse, diluted in the
- 23:03current market that we're in now.
- 23:05Will that happen in the future? Probably there's a non real
- 23:08chance, but there is credence to the idea of paper Bitcoin summer
- 23:12in regards to futures, ETFs, derivatives, etcetera.
- 23:17Like that is traditionally where the quote paper paper, you know,
- 23:21trading comes from. And so we do know that this is a
- 23:24part of the Bitcoin market. So like, yes, there's probably,
- 23:27you know, a lot of paper in the market, but I think it is very
- 23:32smart to kind of differentiate what kind of paper we're talking
- 23:35about here. When most people talk about
- 23:37paper Bitcoin, we're talking about fractional reserve banking
- 23:40here. And you know the meme, like one
- 23:42day we're going to find out that there's 23 million Bitcoin
- 23:44instead of 21 million Bitcoin and that'll explain why the
- 23:47price was was being suppressed so much.
- 23:51But we do know, you know, futures, ETFs, different kind of
- 23:54derivatives, options, etcetera. Like those are pretty recent in
- 23:59innovations like options coming out of the Chicago Mercantile
- 24:03Exchange. Like these are relatively new
- 24:05products that are being unleashed.
- 24:07And in other markets, this has basically been proven that this
- 24:10is paper Bitcoin. This is how they try to control
- 24:12the market. So I do believe in paper Bitcoin
- 24:15in that sense. Do I believe that like Coinbase
- 24:17is fractional reserve banking? No, like I, I don't think they'd
- 24:20be that dumb though. You know what do I know they
- 24:23they are one of the big shit coin casinos out here.
- 24:25So, so they could be playing some dumb games out there, but I
- 24:28think after the FTX debacle, no big exchange is doing that.
- 24:32Like maybe a small one you've never heard in some jurisdiction
- 24:36that you know, has like 1000 coins or something like that.
- 24:39I think that's a possibility. But I don't think Coinbase is
- 24:42the one that is doing fractional reserve banking, though.
- 24:45They could be just kind of moving around some holdings from
- 24:49somewhere and giving it to these exchanges like we've seen for
- 24:52some of these Bitcoin treasury companies, which could explain
- 24:55this, which I wanted to bring up.
- 24:57Like I, I, I don't know if you guys look at the volumes on the
- 25:00markets here and I am over here. This one's Bitstamp.
- 25:03So I'll use, you know, every chart I have here, but you can
- 25:07see look at this look at this volume here guys like it's dead
- 25:11since 2021. It's been basically non existent
- 25:14like it it's nothing. It's we're basically back to
- 25:172012 levels of Bitcoin buying. And I'll go over to Binance
- 25:21because it's basically, you know, it has the most most
- 25:23liquidity out here and again, like we haven't seen volumes
- 25:28like this since 2 years. It's it's the same volume that
- 25:32was in 2020. Like the volume is dead guys,
- 25:35there is no one buying Bitcoin like it used to be.
- 25:39Now, does this mean that these corporations, these bitcoins,
- 25:42treasury companies aren't acquiring Bitcoin?
- 25:45No, I would probably say that they're the only ones that are
- 25:47buying Bitcoin and making any move on these volume charts here
- 25:51because it's not retail. Retail's been gone for a few
- 25:53years. It's been just us here.
- 25:55So once we see a new tidal wave of retail interest, retail FOMO
- 26:02and I and I, I think we're might be in the beginning of it
- 26:04because I, I do have, you know, some stories here that that is
- 26:07kind of making me feel like some top signals here to wrap up the
- 26:10show, we're going to troll a little bit.
- 26:12There's no volume. The the retail's not here.
- 26:15Institutions are the only ones really buying this Bitcoin in
- 26:17bulk. All retail on Main Street is
- 26:21broke and retail from bitcoiners is broke because we have no more
- 26:25cash to buy Bitcoin. So I think now is a great time
- 26:28to be acquiring a position. I think September is probably
- 26:32going to be a a red month here, but I'm a if.
- 26:36If I was a betting man it would be October is when we RIP.
- 26:41And, and I'll add one more caveat.
- 26:43Normally I think even for the stock market, historically I'd,
- 26:46I'd have to double check this, but I'm pretty sure July and
- 26:48August are slow months because you think of it, a lot of times
- 26:50people are taking family vacations, school is, you know,
- 26:53not in session. With that being said.
- 26:55So a lot of times like, you know, markets are flat to down
- 26:58because basically people are just living their lives once
- 27:01school starts back up and we kind of see September and then
- 27:03we see October for, for the foreseeable future.
- 27:06So I I think that is in the cards.
- 27:09Yeah, and also once everyone kind of goes home for the
- 27:13holidays is really when everyone's like terminally
- 27:17online. So again, you know, everyone
- 27:19goes for the cone for the holidays.
- 27:21Finances do become more of the conversation.
- 27:24Yes, they got to buy gifts, etcetera, but then they're
- 27:27online and they're like, yeah, I just spent AI just spent a bag
- 27:31on my family Christmas presents. How can I make some more money?
- 27:35Then we bombard them with the Bitcoin propaganda.
- 27:38So end of year boys, end of year boys and girls, we are in it to
- 27:42win it. OK guys, let's keep it moving.
- 27:45I do have some good stuff for you.
- 27:47But before I move on, of course smash the like button.
- 27:50Comment on this video on Rumble and YouTube.
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- 28:16note, I do want to give a huge shout out to our boys over at
- 28:20Bitcoin. Well, the best place to buy
- 28:22Bitcoin and yes guys, I, I see you in the chat.
- 28:27We'll, we'll make sure Adam reaches out to you guys.
- 28:29On that note though, go to bitcoinwell.com/simply use the
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- 29:11their OTC desk. This is the best way to get some
- 29:14bulk buys going through right now.
- 29:17Anyways, on that note guys, let's get into the rest of the
- 29:21show. I want to give a shout out to
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- 30:41Yeah, this comment is so good because Opti you scammed us into
- 30:47a stable coin. I know, I know dude.
- 30:50I I scammed myself into a stable coin bro.
- 30:53I don't know what's going on right now.
- 30:55Anyways, we're over here on Clark Moody's dashboard.
- 30:57The current Bitcoin price is 108,540.
- 31:02Wow, it's on a 12% discount right now, guys. 12% discount on
- 31:07Bitcoin. If you like it at all time high,
- 31:09you should love it at a 12% discount.
- 31:11And we are currently at block height of 912,275 and the market
- 31:15cap. Wow dude, we're barely holding
- 31:17on to the $2 trillion market cap.
- 31:18That's crazy. 2.16 trillion incredible, absolutely
- 31:23incredible. What a dip.
- 31:25It's a what a 5% dip, 4% dip and it's like wow, man, we really do
- 31:29feel poor. Remember we're what what we were
- 31:31saying Chris, we've been at 120 K plus for like 4 days.
- 31:37We've been above 100 for hundreds of days and we're like
- 31:40man, we're back at 100. We feel so poor.
- 31:42What's going on back? In the poor house dude.
- 31:44Need to buy. Need to sell the chairs again?
- 31:48Yeah, yeah, Mexico. Thanks for the $20 super jet.
- 31:52I can't read that. I can't read that, but I
- 31:56appreciate it, brother. Okay, All right, so there was a
- 32:01Bitcoin conference in Hong Kong right now.
- 32:04Shouts out the Bitcoin mag. They did another Bitcoin
- 32:06conference and Eric Trump is getting stupidly bullish now.
- 32:12There is an interesting kind of Side Story here.
- 32:15I saw a news report, I'm going to play the clip for you guys
- 32:17right now, but I saw a news, I forget where it was, where it
- 32:22was coming from, but it was like legacy.
- 32:24It was like Yahoo Finance or something.
- 32:27And it basically said that a few Hong Kong legislators,
- 32:31regulators, they were advised or rather told not to go to this
- 32:37Hong Kong Bitcoin conference because Eric Trump was there.
- 32:41And it really got me thinking about, remember when we were
- 32:44speculating what the countries were that is secretly buying
- 32:47200K Bitcoin? And a few people in the chat,
- 32:49it's like it's China. And I was telling you guys, it's
- 32:51like there's no possible way that the Trump family is
- 32:55conversating with China or Hong Kong about their Bitcoin
- 32:59holdings. Well, now we got some
- 33:01information here that they're literally avoiding Trump here.
- 33:04So they're as I said when we broke that, that news of 200 K,
- 33:08there's like a megalodon out there just swimming in the
- 33:11darkness scooping up thousands of coins right now that we are
- 33:14completely unaware of. So that was an interesting
- 33:17little side quest to kind of read this week.
- 33:21But on that note, let Let's just hear Eric Trump basically say we
- 33:24are going to the moon. You've got nation states that
- 33:28are buying the hell out of Bitcoin.
- 33:30You've got Fortune 500 companies that are buying the hell out of
- 33:32Bitcoin. I mean, you've got the biggest
- 33:34families. You've got the biggest companies
- 33:37on earth. That.
- 33:38Believe in this digital store of value.
- 33:41Everybody wants Bitcoin. Everybody is buying Bitcoin and
- 33:46that's, that's an incredible thing.
- 33:48And that's why I've always said that I really believe in the
- 33:50next several years, Bitcoin hits $1,000,000.
- 33:52There's no question. Bitcoin hits $1,000,000.
- 33:54And when you're in the room with certain people and, and I had
- 33:57breakfast this morning with, you know, a couple of the most
- 34:00powerful people in the region in the hospitality space, and
- 34:03you're literally sitting there trying to explain to them what
- 34:06digital currency is. You realize how early we all are
- 34:10to this race and, and how big of a benefit that is, right?
- 34:13I hear from people all the time, you know, should I get into
- 34:16cryptocurrency? Did I miss it?
- 34:18Am I too late and I literally start laughing at them.
- 34:20I go we we haven't even scratched the surface of what
- 34:25Bitcoin is going to be. We haven't even scratched the
- 34:28surface of what digital assets are going to be.
- 34:31This is the time to buy volatility.
- 34:33As your friend to buy right now, shut your eyes.
- 34:36Hold it for the next five years. Let's go shut your eyes and
- 34:41smash by. Hey, look, man, shouts out to
- 34:44Eric Trump. He did recently just say he's a
- 34:46full blown Bitcoin maxi and he got super trolled on Twitter
- 34:49about it. But dude, he sounds like he's
- 34:53should be on simply Bitcoin here that we we literally said the
- 34:56same exact thing. Now the interesting aspect of
- 34:58what Eric Trump says, you know, the the first son here is that
- 35:02what do you call him a first son?
- 35:03I, I don't know, that's what you.
- 35:05Call him the eldest son, the oldest.
- 35:07Son. Well, I meant like the
- 35:08president's son. Is that like, you know, like the
- 35:10first lady? No prime minister's son, I
- 35:13think. Prime Wait, he's he's talking
- 35:17about the US president. Oh.
- 35:18Oh, yeah, I thought you were talking about Hong Kong for a
- 35:22second. I thought, never mind.
- 35:23No, OK, we we had a brain fart live.
- 35:27The interesting aspect of this is, look, from our perspective,
- 35:32we cover the news every single day.
- 35:34So we aren't Privy to these private conversations.
- 35:37But what we do see privately is confirming exactly what Eric
- 35:41Trump is saying. The institutions are buying.
- 35:43I just laid out all the numbers for you.
- 35:44You know, seven times the total, the mine daily supply they've
- 35:49been buying, you know, basically like 2 years worth of supply.
- 35:52Currently we have the US at least rhetorically embracing
- 35:57Bitcoin. We're seeing Middle East country
- 36:01stack Bitcoin, potentially some countries that we don't even
- 36:04know about stacking really huge positions in Bitcoin, The ETFs
- 36:10taking a lot of Bitcoin into their products.
- 36:13It's like, I agree with him, it does feel like we are still
- 36:18early. Now, I know it's hard to say
- 36:19that like you're at 100K Bitcoin, how could you be early?
- 36:22But I always fall back on my very left side of the bell curve
- 36:26heuristic here. It's like go outside and talk to
- 36:28normies, Go, go or just talk to your family.
- 36:31How many of them understand what is going on?
- 36:33I would argue very few, if not no one.
- 36:36So I also agree, we're very early and I think we're even
- 36:39early this year. Like I think the end of the
- 36:41year, it's where we get the fireworks.
- 36:44Maybe we're going to get some New Year's fireworks here, and
- 36:47not just the ones at Times Square, but the green ones on
- 36:51the chart. Well, I'll add to that Opti,
- 36:54like, I mean, what people in, in the investing world are like in,
- 36:58in Tradfi, like they always talk about their 10X bags or 10
- 37:01baggers. Or I know that's more like, you
- 37:03know, like like the GameStop memes of it all.
- 37:07Oh, like this is my 10 bagger and stuff like that.
- 37:09But the to your point being early, like we can almost
- 37:13guarantee that bitcoins going to 10X because right now the market
- 37:16cap of bitcoins about 2.1 gold's market cap is $23.2 trillion.
- 37:22So I mean, that's a 10X alone just going to gold.
- 37:25And we know bitcoins a better version of gold.
- 37:28It's more, it's easy, more easily divisible, it's easier to
- 37:31pour, it's faster, it's all like all these different things,
- 37:35faster and cheaper to transact and all these different things.
- 37:38And that doesn't even include the negative yielding debt that
- 37:41is US bonds or even just bonds for any of these countries in
- 37:45the world. So I just think that like it's
- 37:47still, it's still OK to say we're early.
- 37:50Like I, I can almost guarantee with certainty that we are going
- 37:52to 10X from here. And that's just the beginning
- 37:55because that doesn't even account for the literally 10s if
- 37:58not hundreds of trillions of negative yielding bonds in the
- 38:00world like. Why would I have?
- 38:02Gold when I can add Bitcoin, which is, you know, is is a
- 38:06better form of money. Why would I hold bonds over
- 38:09Bitcoin, which is way better than than bonds?
- 38:12So I don't know, that's just my opinion on it.
- 38:14No, I mean, you reminded me. So I had literally out of all of
- 38:18my friends, I probably have, I don't know, maybe 3 or 4 friends
- 38:23that ever actually listened to me about buying Bitcoin and they
- 38:27are extremely happy about that. But I, I had a conversation with
- 38:31my buddy and I'm, I'm super happy for him.
- 38:34You know, he's got a new job. He seems to be doing really well
- 38:37and he was telling me how like he has a four O 1K for the first
- 38:41time and you know, I'm like, Congrats, man.
- 38:43Like that. That's awesome having a safety
- 38:45net. Good for you.
- 38:47In my head, I, I didn't really want to have like an argument
- 38:49and tell him what to do with his life.
- 38:50He's one of my really good friends.
- 38:53My head, I'm like, you should be buying Bitcoin.
- 38:54But the conversation eventually ended to Bitcoin and I was
- 38:59telling him it's like, look, and that was before the dump.
- 39:01I basically told him what I told you guys on the show.
- 39:03It's like, look, if you have some capital right now and you
- 39:06kind of you think you might get a little lower price, maybe
- 39:09deploy a little capital in the next week or so.
- 39:12And then if you get a good price point, you know, deploy all of
- 39:16the capital you have. But by October, you should
- 39:19probably get a position in this. And I was kind of explaining to
- 39:23him all the different dynamics that we're seeing right now
- 39:26because he he really just like trusted me, bought a little bit,
- 39:29you know, go lives his life, doesn't pay attention to the
- 39:31news. And then I'll talk to him every
- 39:32once in a while. And I was telling him, like,
- 39:35dude, it's like the news is crazy around Bitcoin.
- 39:37You know, like, Larry Finks, the Jamie Diamonds, the Trump's of
- 39:41the world are embracing Bitcoin. He's like, damn, OK.
- 39:43Like things have really fundamentally changed in the
- 39:46last year or two. And I was telling him like,
- 39:49yeah, like the market's been kind of down.
- 39:50It's only been like a 30% increase year to date.
- 39:54And he like stopped me. He's like, dude, that's still
- 39:56better than what like my Roth IRA are doing 01 K are doing
- 40:00like that's incredible. And I'm like, yeah, you know,
- 40:03but like 30% is really nothing. He's like, yeah, whatever.
- 40:06Like that's better than anything else.
- 40:08He's like the little amount of bit money I put into Bitcoin
- 40:11when you told me to do it. He's like, it's outperformed
- 40:14everything else in my other portfolios.
- 40:16And he's like, I really wish. My dad didn't talk me out of not
- 40:19going all in on Bitcoin. I'm like dude, don't listen to
- 40:22the boomers about this. They don't know where this is
- 40:24going. So I hit two things.
- 40:26Confirm what you said and also the little boomer hate.
- 40:28Shouts out to the Bitcoin boomers in the chat.
- 40:30Though although I'll, I'll do some boomer optimism here.
- 40:33The best is when boomers that you orange peel and they get it,
- 40:36you know, and they're like, and they're not in the Bitcoin
- 40:38space. So like boomers that are just
- 40:40like like your friend, they're just kind of like bought a
- 40:42little Bitcoin and they're like, wait, this got me like 88% over
- 40:46the last year or this only got me 30%.
- 40:48They're like, that's way better than my bonds, my stocks, my
- 40:51real estate. Like all these other things are
- 40:52like more of this like the boomers that are like really
- 40:55orange filled and they're like more normie esque or, you know,
- 40:57don't really follow the Bitcoin news at all.
- 40:59They're like, you're telling me this is a bad year?
- 41:01I'd like to see a great year. They're just going to be like.
- 41:04Making it rain. Their their Fiat and and the
- 41:07bonds that they do. Own.
- 41:09Yeah, No, I mean, honestly we're we're so jaded here.
- 41:13You know what like a 10X cents 2017 or something or Depend 2018
- 41:21something like that. It might even be higher.
- 41:23What like 3K to 120K? That's the you, you don't get
- 41:26those type of return to anywhere else.
- 41:28Now, if you go back to the beginning of 2017, it's even
- 41:31higher. In the last five years, it's
- 41:34been pretty like what, like a 5X or so like that.
- 41:37And here we are, 2025, we're just expecting the bull run,
- 41:41parabolic run of the bull run. And we're like, dude, 30% gains
- 41:44like this is horrible. Even though if, if it does do
- 41:47that, we're on track still for a third.
- 41:49Well, we well hold on. Before today we were on track
- 41:53for that 30% kegger. But yeah, I don't know, we just
- 41:58erased all of that. So let's, let's see, even even
- 42:04if it's even if we just get 30% back for the whole year, it's
- 42:07still better than anything else. Now for us, it means nothing.
- 42:11You're like 30% like whatever dude.
- 42:13I, I didn't get in this to just barely out beat the S&P 500.
- 42:17I want to completely demolish everyone on Wall Street and show
- 42:20them that left side of the bell curve wins.
- 42:22We don't need these, you know, quote UN quote money geniuses to
- 42:26control my finances. We are cutting out the middle
- 42:28man. So anyways.
- 42:32You're saying barely beat the S and PS and PS only had 15% over
- 42:35the last year, 30% double that. But I I know these are these are
- 42:39little gains. These are kind of gains like
- 42:40what, dude? A measly 15% that's barely
- 42:43beating the S&P 500. I want to beat it by like 200
- 42:47plus percent. OK, then we can talk about
- 42:50really, really taking Wall Street here.
- 42:53But 30% every year is fine. Yeah, except for we just erased
- 42:57our 30% increase for the year. Boys, it's over.
- 43:01No, no, it's not. It's not.
- 43:03All right, guys, let's get into the news.
- 43:04There is some interesting news here.
- 43:06I don't know, it's it's definitely bullish, but maybe
- 43:10not for the right reasons. Anyways, let's cover the news.
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- 45:08check here Jake Thomas Bitcoin flashback one year ago we were
- 45:12at 59 K man, remember 58 K? That was fine.
- 45:16Are we going back? Maybe, maybe that's the poll.
- 45:18Are we ever going back to 58 K anyway?
- 45:21Yeah, I know, we, I know we were only talking on year to date
- 45:23only being up 30%, but like yeah, the one year chart we're
- 45:27up 82%. So I mean that just gives you
- 45:30some. Context.
- 45:31Well, in that case, you know, I guess what is it, 67% increase
- 45:37over S&P 500? Yeah, that feels a little
- 45:39better, but. S&P is only up 10% year to date,
- 45:42but it's up 15% over the year. So yeah, we're.
- 45:45Crushing, Well, well, you know, we'll, we'll take, I will say
- 45:47we're crushing them and in boomer eyes we are crushing
- 45:50them. In traditional financial eyes we
- 45:51are crushing them. So we'll take that.
- 45:53Anyways, as I was saying, we did get some interesting news coming
- 45:57out of the CFTC Commodities Futures and Training Commission.
- 46:01Now, I really, I, this might be a little niche kind of nerdy
- 46:04stuff and and maybe no one really cares, but it is
- 46:07interesting news. Again, this all kind of leads to
- 46:10this idea that the US is embracing Bitcoin heavily, every
- 46:14institution, not just a Trump administration, not just ACS,
- 46:18the SEC, but also the CFTC. And there is a lot of debate and
- 46:22we really don't know yet like who, which institution and you
- 46:27know, hold your tomatoes here, but which institution has
- 46:31jurisdiction or overview over Bitcoin right now?
- 46:34The SECS claims, the CFTCS claims, they both claim they do
- 46:38and they probably both do in certain scenarios because there
- 46:42hasn't been any clear kind of guidelines.
- 46:45But we did get this press release yesterday.
- 46:48So the acting Chairman Pham announces F bot advisory to
- 46:52provide regulatory clarity for non-us exchanges.
- 46:57So the CFTC today issue an advisory regarding the Foreign
- 47:01Board of Trade registration framework for non-us entities
- 47:04legally organized and operating outside the United States that
- 47:08seek to provide persons physically located in the United
- 47:10States with direct market access to their trading platforms.
- 47:14The CFTCS F bot registration framework applies to all markets
- 47:18regardless of asset class and and includes both traditional
- 47:22and digital asset markets. Today, the F Bots advisory
- 47:26provides the regulatory clarity needed to legally onshore
- 47:29trading activity that was driven out of the United States due to
- 47:32the unprecedented regulation by enforcement approach of the past
- 47:36several years. That's the big kahuna here.
- 47:39Because remember what Gary Genzer was saying?
- 47:41You know, we're we're doing regulation, regulation by
- 47:45enforcement, basically. Like you don't know what's going
- 47:48on until you basically, you know, get a slap on the wrist
- 47:51here and you do something that you think is legal and then they
- 47:56tell you it's illegal after the fact.
- 47:58And you're like, I was following these rules.
- 48:00And they're like, yeah, well, you know, this is regulation by
- 48:02enforcement. So we can basically make up
- 48:04whatever we want here. And you're in trouble now and
- 48:07you're fined or you're a criminal.
- 48:09So it does look like there is some new, you know, favorable
- 48:13laws here going on. Now, am I hopeful that whatever
- 48:16they do propose as the law is going to be necessarily
- 48:19beneficial? Probably not.
- 48:21But it does seem to be a 180 on the precedent that we've seen
- 48:25before. Now, what's this mean for you
- 48:28Jokingly, basically. Now you can finally, you know,
- 48:32100 X long on, on Binance. But while I was saying that, it
- 48:37really reminds me of, you know, the fact that Arthur Hayes of
- 48:41Bitmex was a criminal for so long.
- 48:43You know, they came after him. He did get pardoned by Trump.
- 48:47And now it seems like Bitmex is seemingly going to be a legal
- 48:51exchange now, even though they've been on the Seychelles.
- 48:54Is that Seychelles? The Seychelles, Yeah.
- 48:58You know, so they haven't been in the US You, you historically
- 49:01needed to have AVPN. Well, you couldn't use the
- 49:04platform first and foremost illegally.
- 49:07You don't, don't use the platform.
- 49:09But metaphorically, hypothetically, if you use the
- 49:14VPN, they weren't really checking and that's why they got
- 49:18a fine and Arthur Hayes had to step down.
- 49:20Well, now it looks like these offshore exchanges will be able
- 49:24to service US customers. So I mean, I think that's a good
- 49:29thing. Now, do I think you should go on
- 49:32these platforms and you know, 100 X long, 500X long.
- 49:36You're you're $100 in Bitcoin, maybe for fun, but don't do it
- 49:41with your whole bag, You know, now, hey, 100X long coming back
- 49:44to the US, you got to love it. Full D Gen. status as we go into
- 49:48the bull run. What could go wrong, Chris?
- 49:51What could go wrong? Yeah, I guess I'll, I'll add to
- 49:55that. Yeah, I, I do think it is like
- 49:58we've talked about this before, it's a little bit like the
- 50:00carrot in the stick, like the US is welcoming them into to
- 50:03service US customers, but it's going to come with a bunch of
- 50:06stipulations like, hey, we want you to KYC people, we want you
- 50:09to do all these different things that are already in place.
- 50:11You know, AM LKYC regulations from basically the Patriot Act
- 50:16in the early 2000s. With that being said though, I
- 50:20know CK for CK Christian Corollas now at Oh my God the
- 50:28human. Rights Foundation.
- 50:31Rights Foundation, thank you. And my old boss at Bitcoin
- 50:33magazine, he brought this up back in 2022 bit Max was
- 50:36basically the first company that was ever sanctioned by the US
- 50:39government and the regulatory bodies that was able to operate
- 50:42under full sanctions from the US government.
- 50:45And then even look at it in terms of like dissonance of like
- 50:49the Russian government, there was, you know, the Human Rights
- 50:51Foundation or a bunch of non profits there that basically
- 50:53were working against Putin because they were calling him a
- 50:55dictator, which he is. And basically they were able to
- 50:58operate even though he sanctioned their bank accounts,
- 51:00you know, tried to imprison a lot of them, take their bank
- 51:04accounts down, but they were operating on a Bitcoin standard.
- 51:06So even the the strongest government in the world, some of
- 51:09the strongest dictators in the world aren't able to stop the
- 51:11power of Bitcoin. So even though Bitmex, they
- 51:13fully sanctioned them, there was no money to get because Bitmex
- 51:16operates on basically pairing Bitcoin with any of the other
- 51:19cryptocurrencies that they use. So obviously Opti and I are not
- 51:22like advocating for using other cryptocurrencies, but basically,
- 51:25instead of having AUS dollar to a cryptocurrency peg, it was a
- 51:29Bitcoin Bitcoin peg, which when you think of it is pretty
- 51:33ingenious. So obviously they're showing
- 51:35you, they're displaying in Fiat currency, what the value of it
- 51:38is in U.S. dollars or any other currency.
- 51:41But since they're pegging everything to Bitcoin, nothing
- 51:43can be seized like their, their bank account didn't get seized.
- 51:46And I know part of that is like, you know, the, the, the
- 51:49cleverness of that or basically, you know, obviously they, they
- 51:52eventually modified to use stablecoins as well.
- 51:55So obviously there's risks there where if a stablecoin provider
- 51:58says, Hey, you need to freeze these transactions or even other
- 52:00cryptocurrency where Bitcoin can't be stopped.
- 52:02But they were keeping the vast the majority of their treasury
- 52:04and Bitcoin which can't be stopped.
- 52:05So I just think that's pretty ingenious.
- 52:07Like they were the first company to get full sanctions from the
- 52:10US government and they were able to keep operating through all of
- 52:13that. Obviously Arthur Hayes and a lot
- 52:16of his other Co founders, a few of them saw jail time, fines
- 52:21like probation, stuff like that. But the exchange itself was able
- 52:24to keep operating even with their board of directors and
- 52:27executives being under the gun from the US government.
- 52:30And they're still operating today.
- 52:31So which is really crazy when you think about it, the path
- 52:33like the wrap around the power of Bitcoin and what that did for
- 52:36the company. Yeah, totally.
- 52:38Like Bitmex, Arthur Hay, I love Arthur Hayes writing.
- 52:40He's one of the best writers in the space, period.
- 52:43And I guess now that he's technically not at Bitmex, he
- 52:46can actually. But it would say a lot of.
- 52:50Yeah, let it, let it fly. Exactly.
- 52:52But there is 2 points there. One like you said, you know,
- 52:54Bitmex was able to skirt sanctions.
- 52:56Well, actually, sorry, I don't, I don't think I can say that.
- 53:00But it was fully sanctioned and they couldn't shut him down.
- 53:04It was also one of the first exchanges to basically use
- 53:07Bitcoin as like the unit of account, which is like goaded
- 53:11here. You know, Bitmex is, is one of
- 53:13the legendary companies here. Whether you 100100X longed on
- 53:17Bitmex or not, they, they definitely deserve their flowers
- 53:21here. And now it's looking like all
- 53:24that whole saga that we all kind of lived through in the early
- 53:27days, it's being flipped 100% on its head.
- 53:30So interesting. And I, I am actually, you know,
- 53:34I was, I had some other stuff here, but we went a little long.
- 53:37Guys, it's Friday. I want to do a little trolling
- 53:40here. So I, I, I have a thought
- 53:42experiment for you guys and you guys can tell me in the chats
- 53:46here it is around mainstream adoption.
- 53:49And are we topping? Because I'm starting to get the
- 53:52signals here guys when they're starting to repeat themselves.
- 53:56We've seen this happen before and it's terrifying.
- 54:01I, I really, I really don't want to see us top out right now.
- 54:04OK, this is all I'm saying. So let me, let me go through
- 54:08some, some, some, some cultural memes in the moment.
- 54:12And yeah, they're, they historically these are top
- 54:16signals. So I don't think we're there,
- 54:18but not feeling good. Anyways, let's get into the
- 54:20culture. I want to give a shout out to
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- 56:24OK, so pulse check, vibe check in the chat vibe check is that
- 56:30everyone is saying that that we are not topping yet.
- 56:35All right, that's what they're saying.
- 56:36And then first rate cut in September will cause Bitcoin to
- 56:39look. I agree with this, though.
- 56:43I'm starting my my gut is telling me we're starting to see
- 56:47top, top of the market vibes here.
- 56:49Now, what am I talking about? Well, we saw this and we've seen
- 56:53this play out before. Vogue business this morning.
- 56:58Yes, yes, Vogue Business. Let's just say Vogue business is
- 57:02tweeting about crypto or Bitcoin here.
- 57:04It's really crypto, but Bitcoin's a part of it and we've
- 57:08seen this play out. So Gucci now again is tapping
- 57:11into the fashion crypto crowd. Apparently now end of month
- 57:15certain stores you will be allowed to use crypto, Bitcoin
- 57:18and some shit coins to buy your Gucci clothes.
- 57:22OK, that's that's my first, you know, conspiracy theories.
- 57:26My data point here. My my tinfoil hat moment going
- 57:29on. We have a huge luxury fashion
- 57:32band brand again starting to accept payments.
- 57:37We've seen this play out in the past.
- 57:39I, I don't, I don't know if I need to lay it all out for you.
- 57:43Next we have Pete Davidson and Casey Affleck team up with Dong
- 57:48Lyman on a Bitcoin thriller film called Killing Satoshi.
- 57:52Satoshi. No one knows who he is.
- 57:54They are creating a movie, a conspiracy thriller that looks
- 57:58to unravel one of the most enduring mysteries of the 21st
- 58:00century, the secret identity of Nakamoto.
- 58:02So we have a luxury brands accepting Bitcoin for payments
- 58:07to buy their designer clothes. Now we have a Hollywood movie
- 58:12about trying to find the identity of the creator of
- 58:16Bitcoin. I I I feel like we've seen all
- 58:19these things happen before and then this one is literally
- 58:24hilarious. This is like the funniest thing
- 58:26ever. We have E girls from a spicy
- 58:31site that are talking about becoming millionaires A
- 58:35billionaires set up if they invest in shit coins.
- 58:38And here let me know if you guys can hear this because this is
- 58:41this is hilarious. And as you can see the tweet
- 58:44help. Hopefully you hear this.
- 58:45Can you hear this? Chris need help OK investment
- 58:48investing don't know what to do what it is but I need help.
- 58:52I need help. OK so I would recommend.
- 58:54So me personally I have 1.3 million in XRP.
- 58:57So right now it's about $2.00 and something cents.
- 59:01But the community knows that when I know it will bump up to
- 59:04$10 I'm going to be basically set for life.
- 59:06So I would highly recommend buying XRP.
- 59:10Are you crying? What the did you just say XRP
- 59:14It's a it's I couldn't even understand what X could even
- 59:17stand for. It doesn't stand for anything.
- 59:18It's just like it doesn't XRP doesn't stand for anything like
- 59:20explicitly. It's just like a I'm screwed.
- 59:23Crypto men come this way. Help me.
- 59:26Just put money into XRP and then you're set for life.
- 59:28Put my money in it. Or just spend it all.
- 59:30Whatever you want to do. Well, will the IRS come after me
- 59:32if I like? Will they?
- 59:33They won't come after me if I do that.
- 59:35You haven't paid taxes in two years, so they're gonna come
- 59:37after you anyway. Not if I had my money in this
- 59:39XPR stuff, right? Yeah, you're right.
- 59:43Just do that. Need help OK.
- 59:45OK. I I gotta add, I saw a clip from
- 59:48this podcast the other day or like probably months ago where
- 59:52the one girl owed, she owed like hundreds of thousands, if not
- 59:56millions in taxes. And she's like, I didn't pay
- 59:58them. I'm like, and the other girl was
- 59:59like, what do you mean you didn't pay them?
- 1:00:01She's like, I haven't paid taxes.
- 1:00:02Like, how does that work? So that that girl's cooked?
- 1:00:05And it's not just for buying shit coins.
- 1:00:07It's, yeah, she's going to have a lot bigger problems.
- 1:00:10You don't want to fuck around with the IRS, that's for sure.
- 1:00:13Well guys, I've three data points here, 3 cultural data
- 1:00:17points here. That historically is top
- 1:00:21signals, though if you look at really like the Bitcoin
- 1:00:24indicators right now and none of the real indicators are topping
- 1:00:28out yet. So we have the new inverse
- 1:00:31inverse opti here. We have E girls shilling shit
- 1:00:35coins. We have luxury brands accepting
- 1:00:39Bitcoin and shit coins for payments and we have Hollywood
- 1:00:44trying to find the identity of Bitcoin currently, guys.
- 1:00:47So the conversation is, are we have we entered into the
- 1:00:52mainstream conversation now and we're just going to be dealing
- 1:00:55with this eternal September problem forever where we just,
- 1:00:59it's like Groundhog's Day forever.
- 1:01:01We just rehash the same things every other couple of years
- 1:01:04because new people come in. Or is this us, you know,
- 1:01:09entering the cultural zeitgeist? Or are these top signals boys?
- 1:01:13But if you've been around these are these are these are
- 1:01:18historically some very good top signals.
- 1:01:20OK. Opti, you know like that that
- 1:01:23myth that like celebrities die in threes.
- 1:01:25I think this is like, you know, the the bull market dies in
- 1:01:28threes, you know, E girls shilling crypto, you know movie
- 1:01:32Hollywood movies about it, you know, random fashion brand
- 1:01:36incorporating Bitcoin and crypto into it.
- 1:01:38I I I think you're on to something here.
- 1:01:40Not a good sign, but hey. Look, I said we're going to
- 1:01:44troll a little bit today. It's Friday.
- 1:01:46We're going to end this with some laughs.
- 1:01:48We got to check the Google Trends because I remember you
- 1:01:51guys, you guys looked at that like 2 weeks ago and I think we
- 1:01:53haven't reached the peak. No, we haven't.
- 1:01:55Since 20/21 was the last time it was like really your euphoric.
- 1:01:59I think it's been at least four years.
- 1:02:01And remember, yeah, last time, last cycle, what was it, 2021?
- 1:02:05Yeah, 2021 we had like Tom Brady being sponsored by crypto.com.
- 1:02:10We had Matt Damon doing the crypto.com, I forget what.
- 1:02:14Yeah, FTX commercial. It's like we had celebrities
- 1:02:18creating their own shit coins and like we, we're, we're
- 1:02:22getting back to a very similar time.
- 1:02:25And I like, I'm not saying this is actually a top signal like I
- 1:02:30like I am trolling here, but these are top signals if I've
- 1:02:35ever seen them. So guys, please help if you hear
- 1:02:39me, if you can hear me whales, can we really start sending this
- 1:02:43and it's only going to get crazier.
- 1:02:45All right, so here's Google trends.
- 1:02:48I I'm actually going to do 2. We're going to do buy Bitcoin.
- 1:02:53You can see it is pretty dead. So 18, that's what maybe
- 1:03:00November 2020 vibes or you know, October 2017 vibes.
- 1:03:08So you know, based on the Google trends here, Chris, I'm feeling
- 1:03:13a lot more bullish. I'm not going to lie.
- 1:03:16Those numbers are right before we get some parabolic retail
- 1:03:20pump. So let's go Google Trends is is
- 1:03:24on our side, you know? Forget the E girls, what's the
- 1:03:27most recent peak? Not this the third highest peak,
- 1:03:30So not the 1 from 2021, but with that one that's probably right.
- 1:03:33Trump's winning the election. I think that's probably what
- 1:03:36that is. That one.
- 1:03:37No, no, no, no. The N1N he when he won the
- 1:03:40election in. 2020, OK, that was 33 Bitcoin 33 post.
- 1:03:45I think that's what it is. And we're currently at 18.
- 1:03:49So we're not even, you know, we got a, we got a full double
- 1:03:53until we get back to the election.
- 1:03:56Remove the Bitcoin term. I want to see well, just what
- 1:03:59the buy Bitcoin is, not that one.
- 1:04:00Remove the other one because buy bitcoins being Hanford by Yeah,
- 1:04:05there we go. So November top where?
- 1:04:09Where we at? Why is dude it's not working?
- 1:04:13That doesn't work. For me, that's OK.
- 1:04:14Yeah, that's like 100%. Just go where we are.
- 1:04:16We'll just go where we are. So currently at 12 November, it
- 1:04:21was at 19/20/21 the last kind of bull run up and we were at 44
- 1:04:27and I I don't know this isn't working for me so.
- 1:04:30It's a. It's a.
- 1:04:31More than four, yeah, 100 a hundred.
- 1:04:33So 2020 or 2017 vibes, what we have 4/12/14.
- 1:04:38So look man, that's making me feel even more bullish.
- 1:04:41You see this we're we're at the bear trap before the parabolic
- 1:04:45run and we were like maybe mid cycle of the 2021 pump.
- 1:04:53So we may be getting top signal indicators from the culture, but
- 1:05:00Google Trends is our friend and we are still going to pump guys.
- 1:05:04We are, we are mid pump here. So yes, don't get shaken out,
- 1:05:09guys. Do not get shaken out.
- 1:05:12Yeah, All right. Well, we made it to Friday and I
- 1:05:16know, I know I'm, I'm doing it, Chris, just I know you guys have
- 1:05:20been yelling at me. We've we've been forgetting,
- 1:05:22we've been rug pulling you guys. And I didn't even tell you guys
- 1:05:26in the beginning of the show. So pull out your Lightning
- 1:05:29wallets. We are giving out free Sats from
- 1:05:31our boys over. At.
- 1:05:33Bitcoin. Well, let me see I'm I'm logging
- 1:05:37in. Let me let me get this up.
- 1:05:40Hopefully the sats work. OK here we go get your lightning
- 1:05:46wallets out first come first serve and real life hack.
- 1:05:51If you go and watch on Rumble I am pretty sure you most likely
- 1:05:56get the sats one second earlier. So here we go Rumble.
- 1:06:00You go into your Bitcoin rewards, you hit the wishing
- 1:06:04well, and you have a chance to win a million sats.
- 1:06:08Let's see. Let's see what is our lucky
- 1:06:10prize? 434 sats, Generational wealth by
- 1:06:13100. Let's go.
- 1:06:17All right, actually, we'll do we'll do.
- 1:06:19Let's see if there's some unclaimed sats here guys.
- 1:06:22You guys can claim them. If not, you know you're shit out
- 1:06:26of luck for today. But while we're waiting, I do
- 1:06:30want to give everyone a shout out on Orange Pill app.
- 1:06:32I've been getting a lot of love on it.
- 1:06:34Everyone loved my my fitness. Oh, we have no sats here.
- 1:06:37You guys claimed it. OK, so hey, shouts out to you
- 1:06:41guys claiming this. But like I was saying, I I do
- 1:06:45want to give a shout out to everyone that messaged me on
- 1:06:47orange pill app Shouts out to everyone over there.
- 1:06:51You guys are giving me some love, you know, giving me some
- 1:06:53love with the journey I've had with my boy Sal and being his E
- 1:06:57girl. I had a lot of people like man,
- 1:07:00dude, you're getting bulky. You know, you're getting swole.
- 1:07:02Dude, you think I you think I just speak about memes here,
- 1:07:06guys, I'm living the memes. You know, I, I sold everything
- 1:07:11for Bitcoin. I quit all my work to go work in
- 1:07:16Bitcoin. I lived at my mom's basement to
- 1:07:19stack more Bitcoin. I drive a shitty old truck to
- 1:07:24stack more Bitcoin. And now that I have Bitcoin,
- 1:07:28actually I don't have Bitcoin. Now that I don't have Bitcoin, I
- 1:07:32want to usher in the 0 stats with style and longevity.
- 1:07:36If we do have the best money in the world, you got to be fit,
- 1:07:40you got to be around for a long time.
- 1:07:41So guys really take your health seriously.
- 1:07:44You know, we, we do the carnivore diet.
- 1:07:46I actually, I can't stick to the carnivore diet.
- 1:07:48I like bread and pasta. Sorry guys, you know.
- 1:07:51I. Mean, I like carbs.
- 1:07:53Carbs are delicious, you know? But I mainly eat steak and eggs
- 1:07:57and ground beef. That's like the bulk of my diet.
- 1:08:00But I live the memes, man. You know, stack sats.
- 1:08:04Stay solvent, stay humble, eat good.
- 1:08:08You're in these sats for generational wealth.
- 1:08:09If we have generational wealth, guys, you got to be around for
- 1:08:12generations. So take it very seriously.
- 1:08:15I I want it. I want everyone in the chat.
- 1:08:19I want every. There's the running meme.
- 1:08:20Chris of Opti scams us into profits every single day because
- 1:08:25Nikka freaks. Nikka freaks out every time I
- 1:08:28say that he's like, we're not scamming.
- 1:08:29I'm like, dude, like you're too autistic.
- 1:08:31That's that's the point. Like we click bait you into
- 1:08:34profits. We're worse.
- 1:08:36We scanned a new into a stable coin, so yeah.
- 1:08:39That is worse that is totally worse, but I really I really and
- 1:08:44and Ron P said it the other day. He's like Opti actually cares
- 1:08:47about everyone in the chat look you guys give me a lot of shit
- 1:08:51you know I love you guys in the chat.
- 1:08:52I appreciate it. I'll take all the feedback, but
- 1:08:56I think what would be super cool is if like 10 years from now,
- 1:08:59everyone that has ever listened to Simply Bitcoin is just super
- 1:09:03fit and super rich and we're just like the best we've ever
- 1:09:07been. And it's literally because you
- 1:09:09guys sat around and trolled me on Simply Bitcoin.
- 1:09:11Like I want the best for everyone that watches our show,
- 1:09:14which means I want you guys to save in Bitcoin and I want you
- 1:09:17guys to be healthy. So again, shouts out to everyone
- 1:09:19for giving me love on Orange Pill app.
- 1:09:21It means a lot. Anyways, Chris, it's the show,
- 1:09:24it's Friday, it's Labor Day weekend.
- 1:09:27You know, guys, don't, don't poison yourself too much this
- 1:09:30weekend, but you know, enjoy life a little bit, cook a steak,
- 1:09:33get outside, get some sun, maybe hang out by the pool, you know,
- 1:09:37like life's good, man. Even though, even though the dip
- 1:09:41is dipping, buy the dip if you got money like it, It's a, it's
- 1:09:45a holiday weekend here in the US and if you're not in the US, you
- 1:09:48know, do the same thing. Get a workout in, get a walk in,
- 1:09:51eat some good food, call your mom, call your dad, you know,
- 1:09:54call your brother, sister, whoever you have in your family.
- 1:09:57Call your loved ones. Man feels good.
- 1:10:00Anyways, I feel better now. You know, I, I'm feeling really
- 1:10:03bad about the E girls, but now I'm like, we're winning.
- 1:10:08The only thing more scarce than Bitcoin is time.
- 1:10:10So using off these, enjoy it, touch some grass.
- 1:10:14Go tell your loved ones you love them.
- 1:10:17Yeah, I just say stay humble, stack sats.
- 1:10:19Spend your time wisely. Spend your sats wisely or don't
- 1:10:23spend them at all. That's something better.
- 1:10:25You know, someone said take creatine.
- 1:10:26I have some. I just never take it, dude.
- 1:10:28I'm all natural, OK? I'm all natural.
- 1:10:31I eat steak. All right?
- 1:10:32OK. Yeah, totally agree, Chris, you
- 1:10:36know, actually you got homework. Go watch In time.
- 1:10:39Go watch IN Time this weekend. And remember, it is a it is a
- 1:10:43Bitcoin movie. All right, all right, That's
- 1:10:45your homework for the weekend, boys and girls.
- 1:10:47Anyways, on that note, I love you guys.
- 1:10:49I will see you on Monday. Have a good weekend.
- 1:10:52Have a good Labor Day. If you're in the US, we will be
- 1:10:55back on Monday for another show. Peace out, guys.
- 1:10:59Peace. Out guys.
- 1:11:01Wrong one. Today's episode was brought to
- 1:11:04you by bitcoinwell.com, a Bitcoin only platform on a
- 1:11:07mission to enable financial independence.