Latest / Pod Save America / The Wilderness Chapter 3: Disconnected Democrats in Pittsburgh
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: Photos put Senator Doug Mastriano in D.C. on January 6th.
- 0:08Speaker 2: In fact, he organized a bus trip to go down there.
- 0:10Speaker 3: He's been asked to hand over documents and information about
- 0:13Speaker 3: efforts to undo.
- 0:14Speaker 4: The certification of the 2020 election in Pennsylvania, which he
- 0:17Speaker 4: called compromised and corrupt.
- 0:20Speaker 2: I pray that we'll seize the power that we have
- 0:22Speaker 2: given to us by the Constitution and as well by you, providentially.
- 0:26Speaker 2: I pray for the leaders in the federal government, God,
- 0:28Speaker 2: on the 6th of January, that they will rise up
- 0:30Speaker 2: with boldness. You'll bless these.
- 0:33Speaker 5: Meet Doug Mastriano, the Republican nominee for governor in Pennsylvania,
- 0:37Speaker 5: the birthplace of American democracy. Mastriano is a state senator
- 0:42Speaker 5: who tried to help Donald Trump overturn the results of
- 0:45Speaker 5: the last election, and he was at the U.S. Capitol
- 0:47Speaker 5: on January 6th. As governor, he'd have a lot of
- 0:51Speaker 5: power over Pennsylvania's elections, including what happens to the swing
- 0:55Speaker 5: state's 20 electoral votes, electoral votes that could easily determine
- 0:59Speaker 5: the next president.
- 1:01Speaker 6: I'm Doug Mastriano, and I get to appoint the Secretary
- 1:04Speaker 6: of State, who's delegated from me the power to make
- 1:07Speaker 6: the corrections to elections, the voting logs, and everything. And
- 1:12Speaker 6: we're going to clean it up. I might even have
- 1:14Speaker 6: to reset voter registration and start all over again across
- 1:16Speaker 6: the state. That's a stroke of a pen. I can
- 1:18Speaker 6: decertify every single machine in the state.
- 1:21Speaker 5: Doesn't seem great. Also, Mastriano has ties to extremist Christian
- 1:26Speaker 5: nationalist groups, opposes same-sex marriage, and says he'd sign a
- 1:30Speaker 5: law to ban abortion with no exceptions. But wait, there's more.
- 1:40Speaker 5: In 2014, Mastriano posed for a faculty photo at the
- 1:43Speaker 5: Army War College, where he taught for a few years.
- 1:46Speaker 5: For some weird reason, everyone in the picture was given
- 1:48Speaker 5: the choice to dress up as a historical figure. Guess
- 1:51Speaker 5: who was the only faculty member to choose Confederate soldier?
- 1:57Speaker 5: That's right, Doug Mastriano. the state senator who represents Gettysburg.
- 2:05Speaker 5: So yeah, that's the guy running for governor of Pennsylvania.
- 2:08Speaker 5: And even though the polls currently show him down by
- 2:10Speaker 5: a few points, he could absolutely win. In 2020, Joe
- 2:15Speaker 5: Biden won Pennsylvania by a little more than 80,000 votes,
- 2:19Speaker 5: even though he turned out more Democratic voters than any
- 2:21Speaker 5: presidential candidate in history. That's because Trump's MAGA base broke
- 2:26Speaker 5: turnout records too. Not sure if you've noticed, but they
- 2:29Speaker 5: still seem pretty fired up. So once again, Pennsylvania will
- 2:44Speaker 5: be one of the country's biggest battlegrounds in this election.
- 2:48Speaker 5: The campaign between Mastriano and Democratic Attorney General Josh Shapiro
- 2:52Speaker 5: is one of the most consequential races in the country. Meanwhile,
- 2:56Speaker 5: Control of the Senate could come down to the contest
- 2:58Speaker 5: between Republican nominee Mehmet Oz, a quack TV doctor from
- 3:02Speaker 5: New Jersey, and Democratic nominee John Fetterman, Pennsylvania's 6'8 lieutenant governor,
- 3:08Speaker 5: a hoodie-wearing, goatee-sporting progressive who was described in The Atlantic
- 3:12Speaker 5: as hacked together from spare parts in an oil-streaked Pittsburgh
- 3:16Speaker 5: chopper garage. So far, it seems to be working for him.
- 3:20Speaker 7: He has been leading in the most recent polls, and
- 3:22Speaker 7: some of them by quite a bit.
- 3:24Speaker 8: One Fox News poll.
- 3:25Speaker 5: The stakes in Pennsylvania and for democracy are huge. The
- 3:29Speaker 5: question is, do enough people know that? Are enough people
- 3:33Speaker 5: paying attention? Can John Fetterman, Josh Shapiro and other Democratic
- 3:36Speaker 5: candidates motivate enough of the voters who came out to
- 3:39Speaker 5: defeat Trump in 2020? Especially when a lot of those
- 3:42Speaker 5: voters are feeling disconnected from politics and disappointed with the
- 3:46Speaker 5: direction of the country.
- 3:47Speaker 3: Our organization started because we are working class people and
- 3:51Speaker 3: we come out of real life. And we saw that
- 3:54Speaker 3: nobody in Western Pennsylvania, from the Democratic Party to the
- 3:57Speaker 3: Republican Party to whatever political party you're coming from, right,
- 4:02Speaker 3: was actually talking to people in a day-to-day way about
- 4:05Speaker 3: what their life was like.
- 4:07Speaker 5: That's Alex Wallach-Hanson, the field director for Pennsylvania United, a
- 4:11Speaker 5: group of nonprofit organizations who helped flip Pennsylvania to Biden
- 4:14Speaker 5: in 2020. Elections are.
- 4:17Speaker 3: A choice on one Tuesday in November where you got
- 4:20Speaker 3: to wake up and you go pick between two people, right?
- 4:23Speaker 3: Or you pick to not vote. The vast majority of
- 4:25Speaker 3: people in our community are not waking up with a
- 4:28Speaker 3: preformed and prefigured analysis of politics and connecting it to
- 4:33Speaker 3: their lives and how they see the world because they're
- 4:34Speaker 3: not in organizations. They're not connected to the political establishment.
- 4:38Speaker 3: They're not connected to any way where they touch power
- 4:42Speaker 3: and see it show up in their lives.
- 4:46Speaker 6: So when.
- 4:47Speaker 3: political establishment people, the media, when they tell this story of, oh,
- 4:51Speaker 3: voters in Pennsylvania have been persuaded by the Republican Party
- 4:56Speaker 3: message or have been persuaded by the politics of fear
- 5:00Speaker 3: and hate and division. That may be true for some people,
- 5:03Speaker 3: but the vast majority of people who are voting are
- 5:05Speaker 3: just showing up and picking between two people on that
- 5:08Speaker 3: given day. And there's so much complexity that goes into that.
- 5:13Speaker 5: I went to Pittsburgh earlier this summer to talk to
- 5:14Speaker 5: some of the voters that Wallach was talking about. They're
- 5:17Speaker 5: people who aren't that connected to politics and aren't following
- 5:20Speaker 5: the news that closely, but people who still usually show
- 5:22Speaker 5: up on election day to pick between two candidates. They're
- 5:26Speaker 5: the kind of people that political scientist Diana Krupnikov was
- 5:28Speaker 5: telling us about in the first episode.
- 5:31Speaker 10: In order to understand the divide between the parties, Democrats
- 5:34Speaker 10: and Republicans, we have to understand this divide between those
- 5:38Speaker 10: who pay a tremendous amount of attention, really focus on politics,
- 5:42Speaker 10: and those who pay much less of attention politically.
- 5:46Speaker 5: In this focus group, I spoke with nine disengaged Democrats.
- 5:49Speaker 5: All were from the Pittsburgh area. None were daily news consumers.
- 5:52Speaker 5: And while all of them were leaning towards voting in
- 5:54Speaker 5: the midterms, only three said they'll definitely cast a ballot.
- 5:58Speaker 5: All of them voted for Biden in 2020, but two
- 6:00Speaker 5: of them voted for Trump in 2016. For context, I
- 6:04Speaker 5: talked to these voters a few days before the start
- 6:06Speaker 5: of the January 6th hearings. We spoke about the hearings, democracy, abortion,
- 6:10Speaker 5: the economy, inflation, guns, and of course, politics. including Pennsylvania's
- 6:15Speaker 5: big midterm races. A few weeks later, I sat down
- 6:18Speaker 5: with a group of experts in Pennsylvania politics to help
- 6:21Speaker 5: break down what the voters said.
- 6:23Speaker 9: So I'm Malcolm Kenyatta.
- 6:25Speaker 11: I'm a state representative here in Pennsylvania. And just not
- 6:28Speaker 11: too long ago, I finished my bid for the U.S.
- 6:32Speaker 11: Senate in the Democratic primary, where I was the first
- 6:34Speaker 11: openly LGBTQ person of color to run for U.S.
- 6:36Speaker 9: Senate in American history.
- 6:38Speaker 8: My name is Rebecca Katz.
- 6:39Speaker 7: I am the founder of New Deal Strategies and chief
- 6:42Speaker 7: advisor to Senate candidate John Fetterman.
- 6:46Speaker 12: Nice to meet you all. My name is Dan Wagner.
- 6:47Speaker 12: I'm the chief executive officer of Civis Analytics.
- 6:50Speaker 13: We're a multipurpose data science technology and analytics firm, and
- 6:54Speaker 13: we do a lot of work supporting political campaigns, advocacy groups,
- 6:58Speaker 13: et cetera, with their analytics challenges. Before this, I was
- 7:02Speaker 13: the chief analytics officer for the 2012 Obama campaign, and
- 7:05Speaker 13: that's it.
- 7:07Speaker 5: After the break, we hear from Malcolm, Rebecca, Dan, and
- 7:09Speaker 5: nine Pennsylvania voters.
- 7:22Speaker 11: Rebecca, I can't believe this is our first time meeting
- 7:23Speaker 11: with all these guys. We didn't even have our own
- 7:26Speaker 11: coffee a moment. We were doing it with the pod safe.
- 7:32Speaker 5: You brought the whole crew together.
- 7:33Speaker 8: I don't think I've seen you in like 15 years.
- 7:35Speaker 7: I mean, maybe more, but I don't want to say
- 7:36Speaker 7: how old we are, so I'm going to stop it.
- 7:38Speaker 5: I literally just had this conversation with Tommy in the office.
- 7:41Speaker 5: I went to Pittsburgh to talk with voters who Democrats
- 7:43Speaker 5: absolutely need if we want to win in November. People
- 7:46Speaker 5: who cast their ballot for Joe Biden in 2020, but
- 7:48Speaker 5: aren't totally sure what they'll do in the 2022 midterms.
- 7:52Speaker 5: As you'll hear, they feel pretty down about politics and
- 7:54Speaker 5: the state of the country, and they're not following the
- 7:56Speaker 5: news as closely as you probably are. Afterwards, I get
- 7:59Speaker 5: together with Dan, Malcolm, and Rebecca to talk about what
- 8:02Speaker 5: we heard. Thank you all for doing this. Dan, I
- 8:05Speaker 5: will go out on a limb and say that most
- 8:07Speaker 5: wilderness listeners are very politically engaged voters who follow political
- 8:11Speaker 5: news quite closely. How do you think they compare with
- 8:13Speaker 5: the broader electorate?
- 8:15Speaker 13: They look nothing like them. I mean, part of our job, unfortunately,
- 8:19Speaker 13: is to be analytical, and part of it is to stereotype.
- 8:21Speaker 13: The average Pod Save America listener is probably late 30s,
- 8:27Speaker 13: probably 80% are likely white, probably 50-50 male-female, is probably
- 8:32Speaker 13: concentrated 50% plus in urban areas, is probably entirely college-educated,
- 8:38Speaker 13: fill in the gaps. They probably share a similar cultural standard,
- 8:43Speaker 13: same standard of living standard, same feelings of anxiety about recent.
- 8:47Speaker 12: Policy, etc.
- 8:49Speaker 13: And the average non-Pod Save America person probably has not
- 8:53Speaker 13: gone to college or has gone to part of college
- 8:55Speaker 13: and is living through debt right now. They consume their
- 8:58Speaker 13: news through some combination of cable news, but more likely
- 9:02Speaker 13: through Facebook. They are looking at the political process right
- 9:06Speaker 13: now through deep anxiety because they're going through a historical
- 9:09Speaker 13: collapse in their standard of living as a result of
- 9:12Speaker 13: inflation and rising home prices. And they are thinking about
- 9:15Speaker 13: how their families are going to get by and politics
- 9:18Speaker 13: is last, not first.
- 9:21Speaker 5: Yeah, I think that's about right.
- 9:22Speaker 9: This guy's good.
- 9:25Speaker 5: You pretty much nailed our audience. Malcolm, you just ran
- 9:28Speaker 5: in a statewide campaign in Pennsylvania. How important is it
- 9:32Speaker 5: to reach voters who aren't frequent Twitter users or cable
- 9:36Speaker 5: news viewers, in your opinion? What was that like?
- 9:40Speaker 11: Our challenge was that there were a lot of voters
- 9:43Speaker 11: who did not know who we were, who in a
- 9:47Speaker 11: huge state like Pennsylvania, if you are not able to
- 9:52Speaker 11: engage folks who fall into those buckets, which Dan's just
- 9:55Speaker 11: so accurately described, where politics is last, not first, and
- 9:59Speaker 11: that the type of family I come from. You know,
- 10:02Speaker 11: I lived six different places by the time I graduated
- 10:04Speaker 11: high school. My mom worked all of the time. And so,
- 10:08Speaker 11: you know, she was a good Democrat, but she was
- 10:10Speaker 11: like not paying attention to to all the twists and
- 10:14Speaker 11: turns of politics, except for the real quality of life
- 10:17Speaker 11: concerns that were front and center. You know, the levels
- 10:21Speaker 11: of gun violence in our communities. And frankly, if you
- 10:25Speaker 11: know folks from North Philly, gun violence was a crisis
- 10:28Speaker 11: before it became something that national folks wanted to cover.
- 10:31Speaker 11: We're dealing with mass shootings multiple times in the year.
- 10:35Speaker 11: I think we benefited from me being able to just
- 10:38Speaker 11: talk honestly and openly about my experience. In some cases
- 10:42Speaker 11: to the chagrin of my staff. I'm not like a
- 10:44Speaker 11: fucking talking points person. I just kind of say what
- 10:47Speaker 11: I think and it'll work or not work. And what
- 10:49Speaker 11: I think is that we are not delivering on a
- 10:53Speaker 11: government that actually works for those working families.
- 10:56Speaker 9: You know, all they got is me.
- 10:58Speaker 11: And so that's why I have a big mouth about
- 11:00Speaker 11: the needs of working people.
- 11:02Speaker 5: Rebecca, how important is it to reach voters who aren't
- 11:05Speaker 5: frequent Twitter users or cable news viewers? How does that
- 11:08Speaker 5: factor into your campaign strategy?
- 11:11Speaker 8: It's very important.
- 11:12Speaker 7: You know, we always say campaigns are not won or
- 11:14Speaker 7: lost on Twitter. You have to actually go out and
- 11:16Speaker 7: talk to the people. They consume news differently, and you
- 11:20Speaker 7: actually have to talk about things that they care about,
- 11:22Speaker 7: and you have to make them believe that you will do.
- 11:25Speaker 8: Something for them.
- 11:26Speaker 7: Right now, the biggest problem we have is no one
- 11:28Speaker 7: thinks anyone's going to do anything for them.
- 11:31Speaker 5: All right, let's get to the first clip. I asked
- 11:33Speaker 5: voters how they feel about politics, media, and the way
- 11:35Speaker 5: things are going in America. Here's some of what they said.
- 11:37Speaker 4: On a scale of one to ten, how important are
- 11:41Speaker 4: politics in your life?
- 11:43Speaker 8: I want to say zero, but I'm going to say two.
- 11:47Speaker 4: Okay, that's okay.
- 11:48Speaker 7: Six.
- 11:49Speaker 4: I just, I can't watch the news. I stay out
- 11:54Speaker 4: of it, but I have to just not have it
- 11:55Speaker 4: as an influence in my life. It's just very important
- 11:58Speaker 4: to me. Since this whole pandemic started, my whole theme
- 12:02Speaker 4: was just stay in your lane. Be the best you
- 12:04Speaker 4: can be. You're not going to fix this political shit show.
- 12:07Speaker 14: My husband and I, we hardly ever watch the news
- 12:10Speaker 14: anymore because it's so negative.
- 12:12Speaker 4: A lot of it's kind of drawn along the party lines,
- 12:15Speaker 4: whether it's abortion, guns, COVID. It just feels like everything's
- 12:20Speaker 4: kind of split these days. You're afraid to talk up
- 12:23Speaker 4: to your neighbors not knowing what side of the fence
- 12:26Speaker 4: they're on. Is anyone else afraid to talk politics with
- 12:31Speaker 4: people that you know and your neighbors, friends, family? I
- 12:33Speaker 4: would agree with that.
- 12:34Speaker 1: It seems like a lot of people have pretty hard stances,
- 12:37Speaker 1: but you never know.
- 12:38Speaker 4: I feel like it's uncomfortable now.
- 12:39Speaker 1: No matter what way you think, it.
- 12:42Speaker 4: Used to be, I think, a lot easier to talk
- 12:43Speaker 4: about stuff like that.
- 12:45Speaker 15: I always just say that politics divides people, so that's
- 12:48Speaker 15: why with family and stuff like that, I don't even
- 12:52Speaker 15: get into it because there are certain people, man, you
- 12:55Speaker 15: could just give two words and.
- 12:58Speaker 4: Let's take off.
- 12:59Speaker 8: I agree with that. It's exhausting. I tend to go
- 13:04Speaker 8: down the middle a lot.
- 13:05Speaker 4: You would think that that would make it easier to
- 13:08Speaker 4: find common.
- 13:09Speaker 7: Ground, but it seems more and more that if you
- 13:10Speaker 7: are not 100% in agreement with someone, they are just
- 13:14Speaker 7: completely irate and everybody's always.
- 13:16Speaker 8: So worked up and angry.
- 13:19Speaker 5: So knowing that these are all registered Democrats who voted
- 13:22Speaker 5: for Joe Biden in 2020, did these comments surprise anybody?
- 13:25Speaker 9: Nope.
- 13:27Speaker 7: They're not surprising. They're just depressing, right? I mean, I
- 13:32Speaker 7: think we all know that this is going to be
- 13:34Speaker 7: a tough year. Those voters are confirming it. I mean, John,
- 13:37Speaker 7: you know better than anybody how important it is for
- 13:39Speaker 7: voters to have hope and to look into the future.
- 13:42Speaker 7: And they don't have trust in government. They don't believe
- 13:45Speaker 7: anyone's fighting for them.
- 13:46Speaker 8: It's bleak.
- 13:48Speaker 5: Malcolm, you've been an elected official, but you've also been
- 13:51Speaker 5: an organizer for most of your life. Like, what strategies
- 13:54Speaker 5: have you found helpful in reaching voters? disengage voters like these?
- 13:59Speaker 9: I always think it's a one-two step, right?
- 14:01Speaker 11: First, we should acknowledge the fact that people have every
- 14:04Speaker 11: right to be frustrated. And listening to that, the thing
- 14:08Speaker 11: that stuck with me was the woman who said, I'm
- 14:10Speaker 11: just exhausted. And I think people are exhausted in terms
- 14:14Speaker 11: of like just things in their daily life that government
- 14:18Speaker 11: is not helping with. And they're exhausted by this constant
- 14:22Speaker 11: political conversation that's about what's the next news clip on,
- 14:27Speaker 11: you know, whatever your favorite nighttime talk news show is.
- 14:32Speaker 11: And so the first thing is to really acknowledge that pain.
- 14:35Speaker 11: But then you have to talk to people about the possibilities.
- 14:38Speaker 11: when you have a government that is more reflective, when
- 14:41Speaker 11: you have candidates who are going to do something and
- 14:44Speaker 11: they're going to do something because they understand what you're
- 14:46Speaker 11: going through. They're talking to you from a real place.
- 14:49Speaker 11: And I always feel like voters can feel that.
- 14:51Speaker 5: Dan, why do you think that most Democratic messaging fails
- 14:56Speaker 5: to reach or move these voters?
- 14:58Speaker 13: I'll answer it a little bit backward. But the most
- 15:00Speaker 13: interesting statistic that came out of the 2020 election is
- 15:04Speaker 13: was that when you looked at Democrats' vote for issues
- 15:08Speaker 13: in ballot elections relative to support for Biden, in many
- 15:13Speaker 13: cases you saw support for Democratic ballots positions up by
- 15:17Speaker 13: 15% versus Democratic candidates. Medicaid, minimum wage, credit rates on
- 15:24Speaker 13: things like payday loans in Nebraska, and this happened all
- 15:27Speaker 13: over the country. Alignment in terms of voting behavior with
- 15:31Speaker 13: Democrats but not supporting presidential candidates or Democratic candidates. And
- 15:38Speaker 13: so the question you have to ask yourself is, why
- 15:40Speaker 13: is it that voters are so misaligned between support for
- 15:44Speaker 13: an issue, which is the product, and then the candidate,
- 15:49Speaker 13: which is functionally the brand? And I'd probably be interested
- 15:51Speaker 13: more in hearing Rebecca's feelings about this. But in terms
- 15:54Speaker 13: of like the core diagnosis of 10% of these people
- 15:57Speaker 13: probably highly represented in that room. They're aligned with Democratic
- 16:00Speaker 13: positions but aren't aligned with Democrats because what has become
- 16:03Speaker 13: really a broken brand over the last 20 years.
- 16:06Speaker 5: Yeah, Rebecca, what do you think about that? Because one
- 16:09Speaker 5: thing that struck me, and we'll listen to some of
- 16:11Speaker 5: this in a bit, is they'll say that they don't
- 16:13Speaker 5: like both sides, that both sides are extreme. But then
- 16:15Speaker 5: when you get into the issues, they seem a little
- 16:19Speaker 5: more solidly Democratic than you'd think from how they describe themselves.
- 16:23Speaker 15: Right.
- 16:23Speaker 7: I mean, I think they don't like a lot of
- 16:25Speaker 7: the leadership in Washington, and they don't think those people
- 16:29Speaker 7: are relatable. It's almost like they think everyone in Washington
- 16:32Speaker 7: is like a let them eat cake to the masses.
- 16:35Speaker 7: Democrats should be the party of working people, and we
- 16:38Speaker 7: cannot connect the way that we used to. I think
- 16:41Speaker 7: it's because, honestly, that a lot of the folks have
- 16:44Speaker 7: been in Washington have been in Washington for many, many,
- 16:48Speaker 7: many decades. And it's like, Roe will get overturned and
- 16:52Speaker 7: a Democratic leader will say, what? We expected that to happen.
- 16:55Speaker 7: There's no passion. There's no sense of urgency. They're just
- 16:59Speaker 7: watching everything kind.
- 17:00Speaker 8: Of fall apart.
- 17:02Speaker 7: And normal people are watching it too. And they're losing
- 17:06Speaker 7: their minds and like screaming into the void. And we
- 17:09Speaker 7: have to find candidates who give a damn and who
- 17:12Speaker 7: can show them that they give a damn.
- 17:14Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 17:14Speaker 5: So like we said, you know, it was clear from
- 17:17Speaker 5: this group that even though they felt disengaged from politics itself,
- 17:20Speaker 5: They had very strong feelings about a lot of political issues.
- 17:23Speaker 5: That started with the economy and inflation, which was on
- 17:26Speaker 5: just about everyone's mind. Let's take a listen.
- 17:30Speaker 4: A lot of food items seem not only in short supply,
- 17:33Speaker 4: but you just watch them weekly go up and up
- 17:36Speaker 4: and up. Yeah, my chicken wings anymore. It's like filet mignon. Yeah,
- 17:41Speaker 4: I would say feeding my family and two boys has
- 17:44Speaker 4: definitely impacted us over the past month or so with
- 17:47Speaker 4: the grocery store. Do you want my rentals? going up significantly.
- 17:51Speaker 2: The uncertainty of empty store shelves and gas prices to
- 17:57Speaker 2: go get the things.
- 17:58Speaker 8: So yeah, it's sad for especially those who don't have
- 18:02Speaker 8: the means. And I mean, I'm being a lot more
- 18:05Speaker 8: frugal than I was before.
- 18:06Speaker 4: That's for sure.
- 18:08Speaker 1: Especially with the cost of gas, it's very expensive now.
- 18:11Speaker 1: It would cost over $ 100 to fill up my Jeep.
- 18:14Speaker 1: So it's gone up quite a bit.
- 18:17Speaker 5: So gas prices and inflation have come up in Every
- 18:20Speaker 5: single focus group, usually unprompted, usually early on in the discussion,
- 18:25Speaker 5: heard a lot about health care, housing, rent, the baby
- 18:29Speaker 5: formula shortage. Malcolm, when you were on the campaign trail,
- 18:33Speaker 5: what did you tell voters who were annoyed, to say
- 18:37Speaker 5: the least, that these economic problems haven't been fixed with
- 18:40Speaker 5: Democrats in charge of Washington?
- 18:42Speaker 9: The truth.
- 18:43Speaker 11: The fact that big oil companies are raking in more
- 18:47Speaker 11: money than they've ever made, that all of these meat
- 18:51Speaker 11: processors are making so much money. Forget which union it was,
- 18:56Speaker 11: but they tweeted out, record profits are stolen wages from workers.
- 19:00Speaker 9: And I think that's exactly right.
- 19:02Speaker 11: I do think that people, they want somebody to blame
- 19:05Speaker 11: when there's a big problem. And I don't think we've
- 19:07Speaker 11: done enough to tell people the truth about where the
- 19:12Speaker 11: blame lies. should lie in corporate greed that is out
- 19:16Speaker 11: of control and that gets to run unabated. And here's
- 19:19Speaker 11: the challenge for President Biden. Everybody knows President Biden. Everybody
- 19:23Speaker 11: doesn't know the CEO of ExxonMobil, right?
- 19:26Speaker 7: No Democrat should be out there talking about inflation without
- 19:30Speaker 7: talking about corporate greed, right? We have villains out there
- 19:35Speaker 7: and people need to know who they are. And we
- 19:37Speaker 7: need to be crystal clear about like it didn't have
- 19:39Speaker 7: to be this way. These executives are making money on
- 19:42Speaker 7: the backs of working people and nothing is changing. And
- 19:46Speaker 7: until we have real messaging coming out of D.C., people
- 19:48Speaker 7: are going to blame Democrats because Democrats are the ones
- 19:52Speaker 7: in control, even though Republicans are the ones making things worse.
- 19:55Speaker 5: Here's my question, though. I feel like we get to
- 19:57Speaker 5: this point every cycle. Like, why don't Democratic politicians focus
- 20:02Speaker 5: enough on economic issues? Because even if you are someone
- 20:06Speaker 5: who just wants to win, and you're just looking at
- 20:08Speaker 5: the polls, and you're just listening to focus groups, and
- 20:11Speaker 5: you're listening to your advisors, they're going to tell you
- 20:14Speaker 5: that economic issues are top priority for most voters, and
- 20:18Speaker 5: yet we always have this problem where it seems like
- 20:21Speaker 5: Democratic politicians do not focus enough on economic issues.
- 20:24Speaker 7: That's because they're not real people. They're so programmed and poll-tested,
- 20:29Speaker 7: and they talk like robots, right? I mean, John Fetterman,
- 20:33Speaker 7: the reason that people like him right now is because
- 20:35Speaker 7: he's talking like a normal person. And that seems to
- 20:38Speaker 7: be this like crazy, like head exploding thing among folks. Like,
- 20:43Speaker 7: look that he's at Costco too. You know, we have
- 20:46Speaker 7: programmed so many politicians that you have to have this
- 20:49Speaker 7: like rich donor network and come from a law firm
- 20:52Speaker 7: and do all these things that they've lost touch with
- 20:55Speaker 7: regular people. That is the problem. I think if we
- 20:58Speaker 7: get more candidates out there who understand what folks are
- 21:01Speaker 7: going through, I think we're going to win more elections.
- 21:03Speaker 7: I just hope democracy is still here at the end
- 21:06Speaker 7: when that finally happens.
- 21:08Speaker 11: I would just underline that. I said this every day
- 21:10Speaker 11: on the campaign trail. If we want to change the Senate,
- 21:12Speaker 11: we have to change the senators. And I think that
- 21:13Speaker 11: that's true for all of these positions. Like, what the
- 21:17Speaker 11: hell are we doing? I mean, our candidates should be
- 21:20Speaker 11: like working mom. It should be the actual people who
- 21:23Speaker 11: we are trying to reach because there is a fluency
- 21:26Speaker 11: there that you cannot learn. You have to know that
- 21:30Speaker 11: stuff and communicate with people, as Rebecca was saying, and
- 21:33Speaker 11: just as a person.
- 21:35Speaker 9: I don't know why that's so hard. I don't know
- 21:37Speaker 9: why that's hard.
- 21:37Speaker 5: Well, so there's definitely the normal person problem that Democratic
- 21:41Speaker 5: politicians have. I think another problem is Democratic politicians can
- 21:45Speaker 5: sometimes talk about economic issues, but those issues don't always
- 21:49Speaker 5: break through the media filter. The media doesn't love to
- 21:53Speaker 5: cover economic issues, economic debates, at least anymore. But how
- 21:58Speaker 5: should campaigns handle that? that sort of media reluctance to
- 22:02Speaker 5: actually cover economic issues.
- 22:04Speaker 8: They should make it part of their message and hammer
- 22:06Speaker 8: it every damn day.
- 22:07Speaker 7: I mean, this is the problem. Like, we don't have
- 22:10Speaker 7: a message right now. If it's the only thing they
- 22:12Speaker 7: were to be talking about, that would get covered, right?
- 22:15Speaker 7: And the problem is that everyone's just trying to do,
- 22:18Speaker 7: you know, whatever Sunday press conference to just get in
- 22:21Speaker 7: the news and get a hook and be exciting. And
- 22:23Speaker 7: at the end of the day, you got to connect
- 22:25Speaker 7: with people and you got to make it in a
- 22:27Speaker 7: way that reporters will care about. And it's just about
- 22:30Speaker 7: it's packaging, honestly.
- 22:32Speaker 5: Dan, what do you think?
- 22:33Speaker 12: There's a few problems.
- 22:34Speaker 13: One is I'll disagree with the premise that Democrats don't
- 22:37Speaker 13: talk about economic issues. I think they do. I think
- 22:41Speaker 13: that the delivery is poor, routinely poor. Second, they are
- 22:45Speaker 13: often caught in the cultural debate promoted by the media.
- 22:49Speaker 13: So they'll say, like, I believe that minimum wage should
- 22:51Speaker 13: go up. Well, what do you think about trans people
- 22:53Speaker 13: in bathrooms? What do you think about whatever? Because that's
- 22:55Speaker 13: the thing that's going to raise the ratings of those
- 22:57Speaker 13: different media channels, because there's revenue attached to a cultural battle.
- 23:03Speaker 13: And you have people on both sides that will engage
- 23:05Speaker 13: in that and they'll raise advertising revenue for their different channels.
- 23:08Speaker 13: And so unfortunately, like the media capitalist track prevents a
- 23:13Speaker 13: lot of the solid delivery from Democratic candidates because these
- 23:16Speaker 13: cultural things, they have incentives to run against those.
- 23:18Speaker 8: Just to interrupt for a second, but Democrats always take
- 23:20Speaker 8: the bait though. That's the problem. It's not just that
- 23:22Speaker 8: we're having cultural issues.
- 23:24Speaker 7: Thrown at us, is that they are weak about it
- 23:27Speaker 7: and they don't like address the bully head on.
- 23:29Speaker 13: But the majority of news consumption is not done through
- 23:32Speaker 13: the news media.
- 23:33Speaker 12: It's done online. And they've done a very good job.
- 23:36Speaker 13: Creating simple messages that elevate cultural differences between Americans with consistent,
- 23:44Speaker 13: overwhelming delivery through their parties, through their PACs, et cetera,
- 23:48Speaker 13: that do a really good job of reinforcing a brand
- 23:51Speaker 13: of super out of touch, fancy elites that even though
- 23:55Speaker 13: they're promoting the delivery of their economic argument, get smoked
- 24:00Speaker 13: out by the amount of content that they're putting on
- 24:02Speaker 13: the internet that is really, really effective and how it
- 24:05Speaker 13: brand sets the Democratic Party.
- 24:07Speaker 5: So here's a real world issue that sort of comes
- 24:11Speaker 5: into play here. Like one issue that's received a lot
- 24:13Speaker 5: of coverage in the media recently is gun violence, unfortunately,
- 24:17Speaker 5: because we've had so much of it in 2022.
- 24:21Speaker 13: A deadly shooting at a 4th of July parade in
- 24:23Speaker 13: Highland Park, Illinois.
- 24:24Speaker 12: Investigators called the shooter a white supremacist who targeted black people.
- 24:29Speaker 5: In the last 30 minutes, police.
- 24:30Speaker 8: What is the deadliest school shooting in state history?
- 24:32Speaker 16: The 19 children who were killed, the Uvalde community also
- 24:35Speaker 16: mourning two teachers.
- 24:37Speaker 5: It also came up in this group. Here's a clip.
- 24:40Speaker 1: I'm Jewish and I had friends who passed in the
- 24:43Speaker 1: Tree of Life massacre.
- 24:45Speaker 8: And anytime anything's on the news... just as triggers, just, yeah.
- 24:53Speaker 6: Yeah, sorry.
- 24:54Speaker 4: Do you think in general we should have more gun laws,
- 24:58Speaker 4: fewer gun laws, or the same as we have? Smarter
- 25:04Speaker 4: gun laws.
- 25:05Speaker 10: I mean, I believe in people having the right to
- 25:07Speaker 10: bear arms, but when you have a weapon that is
- 25:11Speaker 10: made to mass kill people, nobody needs that.
- 25:16Speaker 1: I'd say more strict and statewide government-wide ones with more
- 25:23Speaker 1: strict background checks, waiting periods, application fees or something. I
- 25:28Speaker 1: think people should still be able to keep their guns
- 25:30Speaker 1: or get them, but it should be a lot more complicated.
- 25:35Speaker 4: In your opinion, why do you think we don't have
- 25:38Speaker 4: new gun laws? The gun lobby.
- 25:40Speaker 9: The gun lobby.
- 25:41Speaker 4: They're very, very powerful. A lot of money being thrown around.
- 25:47Speaker 4: I think it's a voting issue, too, for people.
- 25:49Speaker 16: I have a lot of friends that are very passionate
- 25:51Speaker 16: about no more gun laws or no change in gun laws.
- 25:54Speaker 16: And so I think it's a platform that they would
- 25:56Speaker 16: vote on for representatives that would either refuse or block
- 26:01Speaker 16: legislation that would increase regulations around sale of guns.
- 26:05Speaker 8: I have a lot of friends and family members that
- 26:08Speaker 8: fall into that category as well. But if I ask
- 26:10Speaker 8: them directly, do you think that there should be universal
- 26:12Speaker 8: background checks?
- 26:14Speaker 4: They would probably all say yes.
- 26:15Speaker 10: So I think that it gets lumped in with like
- 26:17Speaker 10: these more extreme things and people get afraid then that
- 26:20Speaker 10: it's going to kind of tumble and.
- 26:21Speaker 3: Spiral from there instead of taking it piece by piece
- 26:24Speaker 3: and really looking at what might be effective without actually
- 26:27Speaker 3: like infringing on people's rights.
- 26:29Speaker 1: I don't think they should ban AR-15s, but I think
- 26:31Speaker 1: it should be a lot more difficult to get one.
- 26:35Speaker 5: Dan, how do you think this group of disengaged Democratic
- 26:37Speaker 5: voters matches up to the broader electorate on gun control?
- 26:41Speaker 6: Hi.
- 26:41Speaker 13: Yeah, I would say that their opinions match up with
- 26:43Speaker 13: around 60 percent of American voters.
- 26:46Speaker 5: I was actually surprised, maybe in a good direction, that
- 26:50Speaker 5: most of these voters, and that last guy that was
- 26:53Speaker 5: talking about don't ban AR-15s, it would make them tougher,
- 26:55Speaker 5: that was the Trump voter, were actually a little bit
- 26:58Speaker 5: more forward on gun control than I thought there might be.
- 27:02Speaker 8: The voters who are there, the Senate is not, right?
- 27:04Speaker 7: The people are out front of where the politicians are here.
- 27:09Speaker 5: Malcolm, how central should gun violence be to Democrats' midterm message,
- 27:12Speaker 5: and how far can candidates go in a state like Pennsylvania?
- 27:15Speaker 11: I think the same was true when you're having the
- 27:17Speaker 11: conversation about quote unquote culture wars.
- 27:20Speaker 9: I think we have to believe in something and we
- 27:22Speaker 9: have to fight for it.
- 27:23Speaker 11: You know, I remember a conversation you and I, John,
- 27:26Speaker 11: had a long time ago, and it sits with me
- 27:28Speaker 11: forever when you're talking about another voter who said, you know,
- 27:31Speaker 11: Trump's a liar, but he's the most honest liar I know.
- 27:33Speaker 11: I think there is something to be said about people
- 27:38Speaker 11: believing that you believe something. And so I think whether
- 27:42Speaker 11: it's guns, whether it's standing up for trans folks, our
- 27:45Speaker 11: response to that can't be, well, like, let's just not
- 27:47Speaker 11: talk about it.
- 27:48Speaker 9: Of course, Republicans have won on that issue.
- 27:51Speaker 11: I don't think that they have, but I think that
- 27:53Speaker 11: we're really, you know, clunky in terms of how we
- 27:57Speaker 11: engage on those issues sometimes. I do think that sometimes
- 28:00Speaker 11: we are afraid of championing ideas and things that are A,
- 28:04Speaker 11: common sense, and that are B, supported by broad majorities
- 28:08Speaker 11: of the American people.
- 28:09Speaker 9: Like, why are we afraid?
- 28:11Speaker 7: Just to echo those points, I think voters are dying
- 28:13Speaker 7: for Democrats to go on office.
- 28:15Speaker 8: Right. We're just we're so scared.
- 28:17Speaker 7: And if you give voters a choice, they will pick
- 28:19Speaker 7: strong and wrong over weak and right every single day
- 28:22Speaker 7: of the week.
- 28:23Speaker 6: Right.
- 28:24Speaker 8: And what we have to do is is have strong
- 28:27Speaker 8: and right.
- 28:28Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 28:28Speaker 5: I guess my question is from like a message prioritization standpoint,
- 28:31Speaker 5: like you guys have a message calendar and we just
- 28:33Speaker 5: talked about how important it is to have the candidate
- 28:36Speaker 5: talking about economic issues like every single day.
- 28:38Speaker 9: And then.
- 28:39Speaker 5: The Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, and then there's
- 28:42Speaker 5: another mass shooting somewhere. And obviously, you don't want to
- 28:44Speaker 5: be afraid of that. You don't want to shirk from that.
- 28:46Speaker 5: You want to say what you believe, and you want
- 28:47Speaker 5: to be strong about that. But how do you navigate
- 28:50Speaker 5: an environment where all these different issues pop up, even
- 28:54Speaker 5: as you know people keep talking about the economy you
- 28:56Speaker 5: need to talk about all the time? How do you
- 28:57Speaker 5: balance that?
- 28:58Speaker 7: Listen, the Republican candidate for governor in Pennsylvania wants to
- 29:03Speaker 7: go after doctors who are helping women get abortions in
- 29:07Speaker 7: other states. You know, like it is a different kind
- 29:10Speaker 7: of landscape out there. And I think Democrats need to
- 29:14Speaker 7: show exactly what the Republican candidates are for and what
- 29:17Speaker 7: they're for.
- 29:18Speaker 9: These are economic issues.
- 29:19Speaker 11: If you are forced to have a child that you
- 29:24Speaker 11: cannot have right now because of the situation in your
- 29:26Speaker 11: life or because it's going to put at risk the
- 29:29Speaker 11: life of your partner, right, who's birthing that child in
- 29:31Speaker 11: the first place. These are economic issues. When people in
- 29:34Speaker 11: communities like mine, there is a shooting and folks are
- 29:37Speaker 11: traumatized and it's like tough to get to work. or
- 29:40Speaker 11: you can't get to work because your block is freaking
- 29:42Speaker 11: blocked off from yet more police tape.
- 29:45Speaker 9: I don't think these things are like separate things.
- 29:48Speaker 5: Dan, what do you think?
- 29:49Speaker 13: I think there's a few troubling patterns when you see
- 29:52Speaker 13: it in the data. One is that communication and process
- 29:57Speaker 13: is as opposed to consequences never works. And number two
- 30:02Speaker 13: is a lot of the language and by language, I
- 30:04Speaker 13: mean the actual words that we use to talk about
- 30:07Speaker 13: things have calcified in people's minds so much that they're
- 30:12Speaker 13: no longer effective in how you talk about them. In
- 30:15Speaker 13: the case of Roe or guns, et cetera, a lot
- 30:19Speaker 13: of what we found is that talking with words like
- 30:23Speaker 13: Supreme Court or judges or whatever, either people They ignore
- 30:28Speaker 13: it or rather in a testing environment has no effect.
- 30:32Speaker 12: What does have an effect?
- 30:34Speaker 13: What always has an effect is speaking to the consequences
- 30:39Speaker 13: of a policy or the consequences of a candidate. So
- 30:44Speaker 13: what does that mean in the case of Roe? What
- 30:47Speaker 13: that means in the case of Roe is that a
- 30:49Speaker 13: woman who is sexually assaulted has a very real possibility
- 30:53Speaker 13: of being incarcerated for up to two years in the
- 30:56Speaker 13: state of South Carolina. But making it very real that
- 30:59Speaker 13: it's not about SCOTUS, it's not about this, it's not
- 31:01Speaker 13: about that. What is very real is that women are
- 31:04Speaker 13: no longer free. And freedom is a very powerful word
- 31:09Speaker 13: in the United States. And this is no longer about choice.
- 31:12Speaker 13: Roe is about freedom. In the case of guns, guns
- 31:16Speaker 13: are no longer about guns. Guns are about the safety
- 31:19Speaker 13: of our children. And unfortunately, a lot of Democrats are
- 31:22Speaker 13: of the age where they no longer have to experience
- 31:24Speaker 13: the anxiety of being a parent today, which is kind
- 31:26Speaker 13: of a sad thing, right? the people on this call,
- 31:29Speaker 13: like we know the anxiety of that situation given our age.
- 31:34Speaker 13: The challenge of that session is it seems like it's
- 31:38Speaker 13: a lot of process and they're not talking about the
- 31:41Speaker 13: consequences on what these decisions mean for American freedom, using
- 31:46Speaker 13: that word explicitly, and American safety and the safety of
- 31:51Speaker 13: our children to grow up in a society where they
- 31:53Speaker 13: are safe and free. And there's a different sort of
- 31:57Speaker 13: words that we should start using in a world where
- 31:59Speaker 13: a woman can be incarcerated for treating her own body
- 32:02Speaker 13: and a world where a kid going to Highland Park
- 32:05Speaker 13: can be murdered in front of their parents.
- 32:08Speaker 12: Freedom, safety.
- 32:10Speaker 13: These are words that Karl Rove would have used in
- 32:12Speaker 13: the 1990s. These are now words that Democrats should be
- 32:16Speaker 13: owning because they are core to our own culture and
- 32:19Speaker 13: they are core to what Americans are thinking about every day,
- 32:22Speaker 13: especially parents who are very, very scared.
- 32:28Speaker 5: After the break, a reality check on the impact of
- 32:31Speaker 5: the January 6th hearings. And our panelists dig into what
- 32:34Speaker 5: rights are on the ballot for Pennsylvanians this fall. Welcome back.
- 32:47Speaker 5: So we left off from our panel talking about what
- 32:49Speaker 5: to make of voters' fears. And jumping right back in,
- 32:52Speaker 5: I asked Malcolm, Rebecca, and Dan to dig into what's
- 32:54Speaker 5: really at stake for folks in Pennsylvania this upcoming midterms.
- 32:58Speaker 5: So I think we'll definitely have a language issue, like
- 33:01Speaker 5: you mentioned, in this next issue. I asked which issues
- 33:04Speaker 5: don't get enough media attention. And people said things like
- 33:08Speaker 5: the economy and health care and education. Then I asked
- 33:10Speaker 5: which issues are getting too much media attention. And here's
- 33:13Speaker 5: what I heard.
- 33:13Speaker 9: I was going to say like old stuff.
- 33:16Speaker 1: Like I saw the news tonight when I was eating
- 33:19Speaker 1: dinner before I came here. They were talking about the
- 33:21Speaker 1: Capitol riot last year.
- 33:23Speaker 4: I feel like it's time to.
- 33:24Speaker 1: Move on and like There's a lot of issues right now,
- 33:27Speaker 1: like inflation, gas prices, and everything else. I wish the
- 33:31Speaker 1: politicians would focus on things now instead of stuff that
- 33:34Speaker 1: happened almost two years ago.
- 33:36Speaker 4: Andrew mentioned the January 6th attacks, the investigation into January 6th.
- 33:42Speaker 4: How much are all of you paying attention to the
- 33:44Speaker 4: investigation into the January 6th attacks?
- 33:47Speaker 8: Not at all.
- 33:48Speaker 2: Not at all?
- 33:48Speaker 1: Not at all.
- 33:49Speaker 2: No, not currently.
- 33:51Speaker 4: So do any of you plan to watch the primetime
- 33:53Speaker 4: hearings this week? I didn't watch Johnny Depp and Amber Heard.
- 33:57Speaker 4: I didn't know there were hearings.
- 34:02Speaker 16: My biggest concern with it is more about the background
- 34:06Speaker 16: of why it happened or why seemingly normal people.
- 34:09Speaker 4: Can get caught up in.
- 34:11Speaker 5: Now, a few stipulations. This was, of course, right before
- 34:13Speaker 5: the hearing started. Most of the groups said they were
- 34:15Speaker 5: concerned something like January 6th could happen again. And just
- 34:18Speaker 5: about everyone also later said that Trump is at least
- 34:21Speaker 5: partially to blame. Most people said fully to blame. But
- 34:23Speaker 5: clearly it's not the top issue on voters' minds. So
- 34:27Speaker 5: my question to all of you is, how do Democrats
- 34:31Speaker 5: get voters to care about the ongoing existential threat to
- 34:35Speaker 5: democracy without talking about it a lot? Dan, what do
- 34:39Speaker 5: you think?
- 34:40Speaker 13: I think it's another time when we Democrats, whoever you
- 34:44Speaker 13: want to call it, mistakenly believe that people care about
- 34:47Speaker 13: process over consequences. Hearings, that, sausage making, all that stuff, etc.,
- 34:54Speaker 13: The reality is that these people murdered police officers. That's
- 34:58Speaker 13: all that matters. They murdered cops. You don't need all
- 35:02Speaker 13: this other kind of things around it. And I don't
- 35:04Speaker 13: think January 6th is the point, but you want to
- 35:07Speaker 13: use it as an element of the brand narrative that
- 35:10Speaker 13: you're trying to build. And we have this incredible moment
- 35:13Speaker 13: now because we both have.
- 35:14Speaker 12: A SCOTUS decision.
- 35:16Speaker 13: I think the exercise that everybody should be doing right now,
- 35:20Speaker 13: every campaign, party committee, whatever, is to look at the
- 35:24Speaker 13: electorate and say 45% of the electorate is Republican. 60%
- 35:30Speaker 13: of Americans find this decision deeply unpopular. But more importantly,
- 35:36Speaker 13: among that 45% of Republicans, nearly 20 to 25% of
- 35:42Speaker 13: them actually disagree with the policy. But you really need
- 35:46Speaker 13: to fixate on this part of the electorate, these Republicans,
- 35:50Speaker 13: 20% of their electorate is now sitting in a position
- 35:53Speaker 13: being like, What the fuck just happened, dude?
- 35:56Speaker 12: This is messed up.
- 35:57Speaker 13: And how do we think about capturing that 20% of
- 36:01Speaker 13: their population, which when you add it up, you're talking
- 36:03Speaker 13: about 20 million Americans who are in the Republican camp,
- 36:07Speaker 13: have always voted Republican, and now deeply disagree with this decision.
- 36:11Speaker 13: 20 million Americans. This is a huge critical mass. And
- 36:16Speaker 13: exactly digging into who those 20 million people are is
- 36:19Speaker 13: going to be the difference between whether we win and
- 36:22Speaker 13: whether we lose. And it's an opportunity, but the framing
- 36:25Speaker 13: and how we do it is really, really important because
- 36:28Speaker 13: it's a lot of folks and they could go either way.
- 36:31Speaker 5: So I thought democracy was a particularly important issue to
- 36:33Speaker 5: raise in Pennsylvania because of the governor's race, where a
- 36:36Speaker 5: victory by Republican Doug Mastriano would put a supporter of
- 36:39Speaker 5: Trump's attempted coup in charge of one of the most
- 36:41Speaker 5: important swing states in 2024. But in this group, which
- 36:45Speaker 5: had plenty to say about both Senate candidates that we'll
- 36:47Speaker 5: hear in a bit, there were only two people who
- 36:49Speaker 5: had opinions about Mastriano. even though those two people said
- 36:53Speaker 5: he was, one said he was dangerous, one said he
- 36:54Speaker 5: was radical. And only one person had an opinion on
- 36:57Speaker 5: Josh Shapiro, though that woman said she loved him. Do
- 37:01Speaker 5: you guys think that Shapiro can make Mastriano's extremism and
- 37:06Speaker 5: democracy a central issue in this campaign? Should he?
- 37:09Speaker 7: I mean, I think Shapiro will probably go in on democracy,
- 37:13Speaker 7: but even harder, I would say, on abortion, because that is,
- 37:16Speaker 7: I think, where the voters are. Because if Doug Mastriano
- 37:19Speaker 7: is elected governor, abortion is done in Pennsylvania. There's no exceptions.
- 37:25Speaker 7: I think that Mastriano has just a terrible record that
- 37:30Speaker 7: Shapiro can just kind of poke at and expose him
- 37:32Speaker 7: a little bit.
- 37:34Speaker 5: Malcolm, what do you think?
- 37:35Speaker 11: You know, I think on the out of their damn minds.
- 37:42Speaker 11: And so I think that those things are going to
- 37:45Speaker 11: really matter. And I hope that, I almost called him
- 37:47Speaker 11: Governor Shapiro, a good Freudian slip there. But I hope
- 37:50Speaker 11: that the team plays every day when he said that
- 37:54Speaker 11: his number one issue, if he were governor, back to
- 37:56Speaker 11: what Rebecca said, and Doug Mascherano said this, his number
- 37:59Speaker 11: one issue is banning all of abortion. I mean, you
- 38:02Speaker 11: don't have to get creative with this. You don't need
- 38:04Speaker 11: to do anything. You just play that.
- 38:08Speaker 5: So I want to get to the subject near and
- 38:10Speaker 5: dear to Malcolm and Rebecca's heart, the Pennsylvania Senate race.
- 38:13Speaker 5: Towards the end of the session, I asked the group
- 38:15Speaker 5: if they were planning to vote in the midterms and
- 38:17Speaker 5: if they had settled on a specific Senate candidate. Here's
- 38:20Speaker 5: what they said.
- 38:21Speaker 4: For those of you who are planning to vote, how
- 38:24Speaker 4: many of you have made up your minds about who.
- 38:26Speaker 8: You voted for?
- 38:27Speaker 6: I didn't. You haven't? I didn't.
- 38:29Speaker 4: I voted in the primary for Federer. Have you made
- 38:31Speaker 4: up your mind about November?
- 38:32Speaker 6: Yes. Yes.
- 38:34Speaker 15: I've read.
- 38:34Speaker 4: I've researched.
- 38:35Speaker 8: He might look strange, but.
- 38:38Speaker 1: I think he has some things that I thought might
- 38:41Speaker 1: be good for the country.
- 38:43Speaker 8: Maybe he seems down to earth more.
- 38:47Speaker 1: Maybe crazy.
- 38:48Speaker 15: I don't know.
- 38:50Speaker 8: But I just thought that he might be something new
- 38:53Speaker 8: that we need.
- 38:54Speaker 1: I don't particularly like him, but I respect the fact
- 38:57Speaker 1: that he didn't go to the lieutenant governor's mansion or
- 39:01Speaker 1: he turns down a lot of that. He's not impressed
- 39:03Speaker 1: by people's money.
- 39:05Speaker 8: He's not going to.
- 39:05Speaker 4: Be bought off.
- 39:06Speaker 1: I don't like him, but I respect that about him
- 39:09Speaker 1: and think that's a nice stance. He stands up for
- 39:12Speaker 1: what he believes in.
- 39:14Speaker 4: He took a town like Clareton and really put a
- 39:16Speaker 4: lot of work into it.
- 39:18Speaker 14: 100% for him because he's one of the people, when
- 39:19Speaker 14: you ask him a question, he will answer.
- 39:23Speaker 4: And if he doesn't know, he's going to search for it.
- 39:26Speaker 8: And does he.
- 39:27Speaker 1: Have some flaws?
- 39:28Speaker 4: Heck yeah, but at least he's authentic.
- 39:30Speaker 1: About his flaws compared to the other ones trying to
- 39:32Speaker 1: sweep him underneath the carpet.
- 39:34Speaker 4: He seems like he's very aggressive at what he does
- 39:37Speaker 4: in a good way, and he's not like your typical
- 39:39Speaker 4: politician in that respect. What do y'all think about the
- 39:43Speaker 4: Republican nominee for.
- 39:43Speaker 2: Senate, Dr.
- 39:44Speaker 6: House? Scary.
- 39:45Speaker 11: Yes. Yeah, scary.
- 39:47Speaker 4: He's not a Pennsylvania candidate.
- 39:49Speaker 8: Not in Pennsylvania.
- 39:51Speaker 4: What's he doing here?
- 39:53Speaker 14: How is that even allowed?
- 39:56Speaker 1: Someone who's not from the state able to run.
- 39:58Speaker 8: For one of our Senate seats, which is so important.
- 40:01Speaker 8: And then win.
- 40:03Speaker 11: That's what's really scary.
- 40:05Speaker 8: What does he really care about Pennsylvania?
- 40:08Speaker 14: If you can't even live here, then you have no idea.
- 40:11Speaker 4: I think it's a little bit of a fraud.
- 40:14Speaker 8: He's a doctor, right?
- 40:15Speaker 16: He has a show that has a lot of influence,
- 40:17Speaker 16: and then he There's been episodes where he's pushed alternative
- 40:20Speaker 16: medicine that might be dangerous for people. So that just
- 40:23Speaker 16: shows a compromise of integrity.
- 40:25Speaker 4: Whether or not he actually believes what he's saying. I mean,
- 40:27Speaker 4: that definitely puts him in a bad way in that sense.
- 40:31Speaker 5: So, Rebecca, the only somewhat negative comment about Fetterman was
- 40:35Speaker 5: from that guy who said he didn't like him but
- 40:37Speaker 5: still respected him. That happens to be the only person
- 40:39Speaker 5: in the entire group who said he'd consider voting for
- 40:42Speaker 5: Trump in 2024 again. It's maybe the best focus group
- 40:46Speaker 5: review I've heard of any candidate in three years of
- 40:48Speaker 5: doing the wilderness. So as someone who's working with him,
- 40:51Speaker 5: my question is, how much of the appeal do you
- 40:54Speaker 5: think is unique to your guy and how much can
- 40:58Speaker 5: be replicated by other Democratic candidates? I mean.
- 41:03Speaker 8: You don't want to get to a situation where like,
- 41:04Speaker 8: hopefully we win.
- 41:06Speaker 7: And then everybody's going around wearing like Dickies and card hearts,
- 41:08Speaker 7: you know, like trying to be like it works because
- 41:11Speaker 7: it's not fake.
- 41:13Speaker 6: Right.
- 41:13Speaker 8: Like he is. This is who he is. And I
- 41:16Speaker 8: think people respect that.
- 41:17Speaker 7: What I will say is, yes, John will say he
- 41:19Speaker 7: doesn't look like a typical politician because he doesn't even
- 41:22Speaker 7: look like a typical person.
- 41:24Speaker 6: Right.
- 41:24Speaker 7: They think they know that he understands what they're going through.
- 41:28Speaker 7: And that personal connection, it doesn't have to have the
- 41:31Speaker 7: look of John Fetterman for a candidate to connect with
- 41:35Speaker 7: a voter. And I think we've spent way too long
- 41:39Speaker 7: with cookie cutter candidates that get the whole machine behind them.
- 41:43Speaker 7: I think voters are hungry for somebody different who can
- 41:46Speaker 7: speak to what they're going through.
- 41:48Speaker 8: And to the point we were saying earlier, it's not
- 41:50Speaker 8: just about process.
- 41:51Speaker 7: It's about speaking to these consequences of people's lives.
- 41:55Speaker 5: Malcolm, you were in against Fetterman in the primary.
- 41:57Speaker 9: I remember that.
- 42:00Speaker 5: Just to catch people up. Obviously, he had name recognition
- 42:04Speaker 5: and money, but what qualities do you think helped him win?
- 42:07Speaker 5: And what do you think he has to watch out
- 42:09Speaker 5: for in the general?
- 42:11Speaker 11: So I think to Rebecca's point, it's not about somebody
- 42:15Speaker 11: being John, because John is John.
- 42:18Speaker 4: I suspect I'm the only mayor in America that can
- 42:21Speaker 4: say that he lives... directly across the street of a
- 42:24Speaker 4: steel mill.
- 42:25Speaker 9: My family and I live in.
- 42:27Speaker 11: An old car dealership And so we're not going to
- 42:29Speaker 11: be able to have a candidate who can replicate him.
- 42:33Speaker 11: We're not going to have a candidate who can be
- 42:35Speaker 11: a Black gay kid from North Philly. You're not going
- 42:37Speaker 11: to be able to replicate that exactly. And I think
- 42:40Speaker 11: that that really matters, that you can have candidates who
- 42:44Speaker 11: are themselves. And I think that that is something that
- 42:47Speaker 11: John absolutely has.
- 42:49Speaker 7: You never get candidates like this who can get through
- 42:51Speaker 7: a primary. There must be other candidates like this, but
- 42:55Speaker 7: usually there's an establishment candidate who— who Washington likes and
- 42:58Speaker 7: they think is more electable. And that person can just
- 43:02Speaker 7: go in and win the primaries. And then that becomes
- 43:04Speaker 7: the candidate.
- 43:05Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 43:06Speaker 5: Dan, is Oz the perfect foil for Fetterman? And do
- 43:09Speaker 5: you think that there are lessons for other Democratic candidates,
- 43:13Speaker 5: either from how Fetterman campaigns for himself or how he
- 43:17Speaker 5: campaigns against Oz? Because I know as I'm following this
- 43:20Speaker 5: whole thing on Twitter, Every time I see Rebecca having
- 43:23Speaker 5: a good time with Oz and the houses, I'm like,
- 43:26Speaker 5: I keep saying to everyone, I'm like, God, Democrats used
- 43:28Speaker 5: to run campaigns like this all the time. This is
- 43:30Speaker 5: a fun campaign. Why don't Democrats do that anymore?
- 43:34Speaker 9: That's $ 20 for Crouton. That's outrageous. We got Joe Biden
- 43:37Speaker 9: to thank for this.
- 43:38Speaker 13: I guess I'll disagree with the premise that candidates who
- 43:42Speaker 13: are themselves do better.
- 43:44Speaker 12: Because Dr. Oz, I think, is being himself, but.
- 43:50Speaker 13: He's just a sociopath. So by virtue of him showing
- 43:54Speaker 13: that he's a sociopath, I'm not sure that's going to
- 43:57Speaker 13: help him win. But I think from a campaign tactical
- 44:02Speaker 13: point of view, what I think they're doing successfully is
- 44:05Speaker 13: framing the brand of their opponent very early on. It's
- 44:07Speaker 13: something that we did in 2012, and we committed resources
- 44:11Speaker 13: around it. And so I think A lot of these
- 44:14Speaker 13: Democratic candidates, the challenge with like a conventional messaging schedule is, okay,
- 44:18Speaker 13: I do this and I make my dumb contrast ads
- 44:20Speaker 13: and I do this, is it takes away from the
- 44:23Speaker 13: creativity of like really solid campaigning is I need to
- 44:28Speaker 13: create a narrative about my opponent to make people believe
- 44:33Speaker 13: XYZ about them. In this case, that he's a rich sociopath.
- 44:38Speaker 13: And do that very early and often. So you're kind
- 44:40Speaker 13: of like setting the bio of your opponent. And that
- 44:42Speaker 13: takes a lot of creativity. It requires a really solid
- 44:45Speaker 13: digital team, which a lot of people don't have, and
- 44:48Speaker 13: it's not entirely formulaic. So just watching the race from
- 44:50Speaker 13: the outside, it seems like it mimics a lot of
- 44:52Speaker 13: the successful campaigns, especially the creativity.
- 44:56Speaker 11: And John, I didn't get to answer your other point
- 44:58Speaker 11: about not that they need my advice.
- 44:59Speaker 9: They beat me, but still, I'm going to give my
- 45:01Speaker 9: advice in that. Nevertheless.
- 45:02Speaker 5: Yeah, please.
- 45:03Speaker 9: Two words. Well, three words. Philadelphia. and Black voters.
- 45:09Speaker 11: And obviously, I'm going to work my tail off to
- 45:11Speaker 11: help in that regard. But I think, you know, the
- 45:14Speaker 11: more time that John can be in Philly, and I
- 45:17Speaker 11: know Rebecca's listening to me, the better. Because these are
- 45:20Speaker 11: voters who are not voting for Dr.
- 45:22Speaker 5: Oz.
- 45:22Speaker 9: Let me be very clear. They're not fucking voting for Dr. Oz.
- 45:25Speaker 11: But the question is, are they going to stay home
- 45:28Speaker 11: just because they're frustrated? And I hear that frustration every
- 45:32Speaker 11: single day and cracking that nut of getting that turnout
- 45:35Speaker 11: in Philadelphia, you know, as high as we possibly can.
- 45:38Speaker 11: That's going to be a big part of making sure
- 45:39Speaker 11: John wins, Josh wins, and everybody else wins. So I'm
- 45:43Speaker 11: always pro having statewide candidates come to Philadelphia.
- 45:48Speaker 5: On that note, you've all been very generous with your time.
- 45:51Speaker 5: Malcolm Kenyatta, Rebecca Katz, Dan Wagner, thank you so much
- 45:54Speaker 5: for joining The Wilderness.
- 45:56Speaker 8: Thank you. Good to see you.
- 45:56Speaker 9: Happy to do it.
- 45:57Speaker 5: Thanks so much, John. We started this episode talking about
- 46:01Speaker 5: the threat to democracy from MAGA candidates like Doug Mastriano.
- 46:06Speaker 5: It's a threat that all of us who follow politics
- 46:07Speaker 5: closely understand well, since it's rightly received a lot of
- 46:10Speaker 5: media coverage. We're all familiar with the headlines from the
- 46:13Speaker 5: January 6th hearings, the investigations into Donald Trump, and the
- 46:17Speaker 5: assault on voting rights and democratic norms that's coming from
- 46:19Speaker 5: right-wing courts and state legislatures. We feel a sense of
- 46:23Speaker 5: urgency around these issues because we consume news about them
- 46:25Speaker 5: every day. The voters I talked to in Pittsburgh were
- 46:29Speaker 5: either too busy to follow politics, too confused by all
- 46:32Speaker 5: the details, or too disgusted by the spectacle. They felt
- 46:36Speaker 5: a sense of urgency around a set of issues that
- 46:38Speaker 5: have also received lots of coverage, but tend to have
- 46:41Speaker 5: more personal and immediate impacts. The cost of food and
- 46:44Speaker 5: gas and rent, mass shootings and abortion bans. And they
- 46:48Speaker 5: don't have much confidence that politicians can fix those problems.
- 46:52Speaker 5: At least not the same kind of politicians that haven't
- 46:54Speaker 5: fixed them in the past. which helps explain why they
- 46:58Speaker 5: seem to like John Fetterman. It's not like he's new
- 47:01Speaker 5: to politics. The guy's been in elected office since 2006,
- 47:05Speaker 5: first as a mayor, now as lieutenant governor. But he
- 47:08Speaker 5: doesn't look like a typical politician, and he doesn't talk
- 47:10Speaker 5: like a typical politician. He talks like a normal human
- 47:13Speaker 5: being would talk to their friends. He's not scared of
- 47:16Speaker 5: saying something a little weird or off. He generally says
- 47:18Speaker 5: what he thinks, a quality that even a former Trump
- 47:21Speaker 5: supporter in our focus group appreciated.
- 47:23Speaker 1: He's not impressed by people's money. He's not going to
- 47:26Speaker 1: be bought off. I don't like him, but I respect
- 47:30Speaker 1: that about him and think that that's a nice stance.
- 47:32Speaker 1: He stands up for.
- 47:33Speaker 4: What he believes in.
- 47:36Speaker 5: For the vast majority of voters who think that the
- 47:38Speaker 5: country is headed in the wrong direction, a candidate who
- 47:40Speaker 5: doesn't seem like a typical politician can be appealing. It's
- 47:44Speaker 5: a sentiment we also heard from the swing voters I
- 47:46Speaker 5: spoke to in Virginia.
- 47:47Speaker 1: I just, you know, it comes down to why can't
- 47:49Speaker 1: we bring a better candidate forward?
- 47:52Speaker 8: I think we need new energy.
- 47:54Speaker 16: New blood.
- 47:56Speaker 5: In a normal midterm year, you might listen to these
- 47:58Speaker 5: voters and think that while an outsider like Fetterman has
- 48:00Speaker 5: a decent chance, most longtime Democratic incumbents don't. If people
- 48:05Speaker 5: think that Washington is broken, they tend to punish the
- 48:07Speaker 5: party that's running the place. And it's possible that happens
- 48:10Speaker 5: in a lot of these toss-up races, especially in the House.
- 48:13Speaker 5: But it's also possible that 2022 is different. And that's
- 48:18Speaker 5: because the alternative to voting for Democratic governance, however imperfect
- 48:21Speaker 5: it may seem, is voting for candidates like Doug Mastriano
- 48:25Speaker 5: and Dr. Oz, MAGA loyalists who are out-of-touch wackos at
- 48:29Speaker 5: best and dangerous threats to democracy at worst. The key
- 48:33Speaker 5: for Democrats, though, is to make that case to voters
- 48:36Speaker 5: in a way that connects with the fears and anxieties
- 48:38Speaker 5: that are on the minds of people who don't pay
- 48:41Speaker 5: that much attention to politics. If Democrats want disengaged voters
- 48:45Speaker 5: to care about saving democracy, they have to campaign like
- 48:49Speaker 5: democracy is worth saving, A true grassroots democracy where you
- 48:54Speaker 5: listen and learn from the people you want to represent.
- 48:57Speaker 5: Where you show that you actually give a shit about
- 48:59Speaker 5: their problems and are willing to fight like hell to
- 49:01Speaker 5: fix them.
- 49:02Speaker 3: When people choose to not vote, it is because they
- 49:05Speaker 3: don't see something to fight for and somebody who wants
- 49:07Speaker 3: to fight for them. And so we can't settle for
- 49:10Speaker 3: somebody who's going to do the bare minimum. At this
- 49:12Speaker 3: moment in our country, we have to be putting people
- 49:14Speaker 3: forward who are fighting for what real people actually need.
- 49:17Speaker 5: This is Alex from Pennsylvania United, the organization we heard
- 49:20Speaker 5: from at the beginning of this episode. The ones who
- 49:23Speaker 5: are trying to reach disconnected voters one door at a time.
- 49:26Speaker 5: That's how we can start to rebuild people's faith in democracy.
- 49:29Speaker 5: And as PA United organizer LaShawn McBride tells us, that's
- 49:33Speaker 5: how we can start to enlist the next generation in
- 49:36Speaker 5: the fight to save it.
- 49:37Speaker 14: I'm a mother of eight children. 30 grandchildren. And when
- 49:42Speaker 14: I go canvas, it meant the world to have my
- 49:47Speaker 14: 18-year-old granddaughter and her saying, okay, now what do I do?
- 49:52Speaker 14: And I'm showing her on her phone. So I have
- 49:56Speaker 14: now just put something in her that I know I'm
- 50:00Speaker 14: going to see her fight again for something that's important
- 50:04Speaker 14: to her. And I'm not scared of a conversation that
- 50:07Speaker 14: might not be so positive. That's okay because that's real.
- 50:12Speaker 14: We are real people talking to real people on the
- 50:16Speaker 14: other side of the door. So expect anything. Don't settle
- 50:22Speaker 14: for nothing. And just keep knocking, keep talking, and keep rocking.
- 50:30Speaker 5: Keep knocking, keep talking, and keep rocking. I like it.
- 50:35Speaker 5: And speaking of getting future generations involved, next week we're
- 50:38Speaker 5: headed to Orange County, California, a former Republican stronghold where
- 50:42Speaker 5: I'll talk to a group of 20-somethings who helped turn
- 50:45Speaker 5: the area blue by casting their very first ballot for
- 50:48Speaker 5: Joe Biden. The question is, will they show up again?
- 50:53Speaker 4: How many of you plan on voting in the midterm
- 50:55Speaker 4: elections this November?
- 50:57Speaker 9: What is that?
- 51:00Speaker 5: Yeah, so we got some work to do. See you
- 51:03Speaker 5: next time on The Wilderness. The Wilderness is an original
- 51:24Speaker 5: podcast from Crooked Media. Season 3 is produced by Dust
- 51:27Speaker 5: Light Productions. I'm your host, Jon Favreau. From Crooked Media,
- 51:31Speaker 5: our executive producers are Sarah Geismar, Katie Long, and me.
- 51:35Speaker 5: Special thanks to Allison Falsetta and Andy Taft for production support.
- 51:39Speaker 5: and to Mike Kulishek from Benenson Strategy Group, who helped
- 51:42Speaker 5: us with our focus groups. From Dustlight, our executive producer
- 51:45Speaker 5: is Misha Youssef. Arwen Nix is our executive editor. Stephanie
- 51:49Speaker 5: Cohn is the senior producer. Tamika Adams is the producer,
- 51:52Speaker 5: and Francesca Diaz is the assistant producer. This episode was
- 51:56Speaker 5: sound designed by Tamika Adams. Valentino Rivera is our senior engineer.
- 52:01Speaker 5: Martin Fowler is the composer. Thanks to our development and
- 52:04Speaker 5: operations coordinator at Dustlight, Rachel Garcia, and to Chrissy Marin
- 52:07Speaker 5: for archival legal review. If you want to learn more
- 52:11Speaker 5: about how you can take action in the fight for
- 52:13Speaker 5: our democracy, head over to votesaveamerica.com slash midterms.