Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Silver Just BROKE the System! Why Bitcoin’s Revenge Starts in 2026 | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00Bitcoin just did something absolutely insane on Sunday
- 0:04night Bitcoin pumped $3000, ripped through 90K and
- 0:08liquidated 103 million in shorts.
- 0:11And then Monday morning Bitcoin dumped 2700 and wiped out 40
- 0:16million in longs and erased the entire move.
- 0:20Same price, different victims. Total chaos.
- 0:24Good morning, say it back GFY, and I hope you all had a Merry
- 0:29Christmas because yeah, 2025 sucked.
- 0:32But what if I told you? What if gold and silver ripping
- 0:35right now isn't bad news for Bitcoin at all?
- 0:38What if it's the exact signal we've seen before every historic
- 0:43Bitcoin run? Because every time gold
- 0:47outperforms Bitcoin for a year, the same crowd crawls back out
- 0:51of the woodwork. Bitcoins dead.
- 0:53Digital gold failed. This time's different.
- 0:56All right, so let's look at the receipts.
- 0:58Trailing returns One year, gold plus 70%, Bitcoin down 12%.
- 1:03Go ahead and cue the victory lap.
- 1:06But now zoom out three years. Gold up 146%, Bitcoin up 418%.
- 1:13Read them and weep. And yes, Peter Schiff, this is
- 1:17for you. The question isn't why gold is
- 1:20winning now. The question is why Bitcoin is
- 1:22down 30% from its peak while gold and silver are going
- 1:26parabolic. And the answer?
- 1:28Because this is how it starts. Gold and silver move first,
- 1:33Bitcoin moves last, and when it moves, it doesn't ask for
- 1:37permission. After the March 2020 crash, the
- 1:40Fed injected massive liquidity. Gold ran from 1450 to 2000.
- 1:44Silver went from $12.00 to nearly 30.
- 1:47Bitcoin did nothing for five months.
- 1:51Bitcoin went sideways, then gold topped, silver stalled,
- 1:55liquidity rotated and Bitcoin went from 12,000 to 64,800.
- 2:00Cut bucks. Iron Mite said it best.
- 2:03Everybody has a plan till they get punched in the mouth.
- 2:07Now look at today. Gold near 4550, silver near 80
- 2:11bucks, Bitcoin chopping sideways again.
- 2:14Same movie, new cast, more fuel, and this time something broke.
- 2:19A systemically important bank blew up in the silver futures
- 2:23market. They failed a margin call.
- 2:25The exchange liquidated them and the Fed rushed in with 34
- 2:29billion overnight on top of 17 billion just days earlier just
- 2:34to stop the system from snapping.
- 2:36Translation for the normies. They bet silver wouldn't rise.
- 2:39Silver ripped. They couldn't pay the house.
- 2:42Forest liquidations. the Fed hit the panic button.
- 2:45Silver doesn't move like this unless something breaks and
- 2:49something just did. Bitcoins revenge is imminent and
- 2:53$9 million Bitcoin is on the table.
- 2:56We have a massive show today. Is officially over.
- 3:04For years we have sat here and speculated.
- 3:06We have looked at the charts, we have looked at the open interest
- 3:08and we have guessed. We have said one day the banks
- 3:11will break. We have said one day the naked
- 3:13shorts will get caught off side so badly that the entire
- 3:16financial system will have to bend the knee.
- 3:19We have hypothesized that the bullion banks are leveraged to
- 3:21the hilt, playing a dangerous game of fractional reserve paper
- 3:24trading against a physical asset that is running out.
- 3:27But up until this morning, that was just a theory.
- 3:29It was mathematical probability, sure, but we didn't have the
- 3:32smoking gun. We didn't have the body.
- 3:34Well, stop guessing. Stop speculating, because that
- 3:38day is today. The body has been found.
- 3:41Ladies and gentlemen, Asian guy here.
- 3:43While you were glued to your screens watching the spot price
- 3:45of silver hit $77.16, while you were celebrating the breakout
- 3:50and calculating your net worth, something much more important,
- 3:53much darker and much more terrifying was happening in the
- 3:56plumbing of the global financial system.
- 3:57Something that the mainstream media is terrified to report
- 4:00because it proves without a shadow of a doubt that the
- 4:03banking system is insolvent. We just received the official
- 4:06data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York regarding their
- 4:09overnight reverse repurchase agreements.
- 4:11The repo facility for this morning, Friday, December 26th,
- 4:15and the number that just flashed across the terminal is not a
- 4:18typo. It is not an error, it is a
- 4:21confession, $17,251,000,000 in a single morning.
- 4:26In the quiet hours just after the Christmas holiday, the two
- 4:29big to fail banks tap the Federal Reserve's emergency
- 4:32liquidity window for over $17 billion in cash.
- 4:36Now you need to understand what this means.
- 4:38You need to understand what the repo market actually is.
- 4:41This is not the window where healthy banks go to get a loan
- 4:43to expand their business. This is not where you go to get
- 4:46capital for a new project. The repo facility is the pawn
- 4:49shop of the last resort. It is the emergency room for a
- 4:52heart attack. If you are a healthy bank with a
- 4:54balanced book, you do not touch the repo facility.
- 4:57You trade in the interbank market.
- 4:58You borrow from your peers. It is a badge of honor to avoid
- 5:01the Feds window because going there is a signal of weakness.
- 5:05It is the walk of shame of the banking world.
- 5:07So why would the Masters of the Universe, the entities that
- 5:10supposedly control the global economy, need $17 billion in
- 5:14cash at 8:00 AM on the day after Christmas?
- 5:17Is it for payroll? No.
- 5:18Is it for operational expenses? No.
- 5:21They need it because they are bleeding to death.
- 5:23They need it because they just received the biggest margin call
- 5:26in the history of the commodities markets.
- 5:28Connect the dots. Look at the timing.
- 5:30It is impeccable. Yesterday, silver gapped up.
- 5:33Overnight it teleported to $77. The banks are sitting on short
- 5:37positions that number in the hundreds of millions of Oz.
- 5:40They sold those contracts at $30.
- 5:43They sold them at $50. They sold them at $70 thinking
- 5:46they could tamp it down like they always do.
- 5:49They thought they could spook the retail investors, trigger
- 5:51the stops, and buy it back cheaper.
- 5:54But the retail investors didn't sell.
- 5:56The Chinese industrial buyers didn't sell.
- 5:58The vaults were empty. The price didn't go down.
- 6:00It went vertical. And right now, silver is trading
- 6:03at $77.16. Do the math.
- 6:06Every single dollar that silver rises creates billions of
- 6:09dollars in losses on their books.
- 6:11But there is a difference between unrealized losses and a
- 6:14margin call. For months, the banks have been
- 6:16hiding these losses. They marked them as unrealized.
- 6:19They pretend that the price will come back down so they don't
- 6:21have to acknowledge the hole in their balance sheet.
- 6:23They kick the can down the road. But the comics clearing house
- 6:27doesn't care about your accounting tricks.
- 6:29The exchange doesn't care if you think the price will go down
- 6:32next week. The exchange cares about
- 6:33solvency. Right now, when the price moves
- 6:36$5 against you in 24 hours, the clearinghouse computer spits out
- 6:39a number. It says you're underwater.
- 6:42Post the cash to cover the risk or we liquidate your position.
- 6:45This morning, the computer spat out a number, and that number
- 6:48was evidently $17 billion. The clearinghouse called the
- 6:51banks and said pay up. And the banks looked at their
- 6:54ledgers, looked at their liquid cash reserves and realized the
- 6:57terrifying truth. They didn't have it.
- 6:59They are illiquid, insolvent on a mark to market basis.
- 7:03While everyone was watching, silver ripped to 79 bucks.
- 7:06The real story hit the plumbing. Banks quietly tapped 17 billion
- 7:10from the New York Fed repo window right after Christmas
- 7:13holiday week. Overnight money, full allotment.
- 7:16And here's the key detail no one is talking about. 85% of the
- 7:20collateral was mortgage-backed securities, not treasuries, not
- 7:23gold standard collateral. The junk drawer.
- 7:26So let me explain this like a pawn shop.
- 7:29Imagine a guy who owns is a mansion, but instead of
- 7:32borrowing against the house, he walks into a pawn shop with a
- 7:36busted TV and old jewelry asking for overnight cash.
- 7:40That's the banking system right now.
- 7:42They didn't want to pawn the good stuff, they pawned the
- 7:45scraps. And This is why the the signal
- 7:47isn't price anymore, it's availability.
- 7:50When paper starts shaking, banks run to the Fed, exchanges change
- 7:54the rules, physical disconnects from paper and price discovery
- 7:58moves E rapidly. That's why silver ripped, that's
- 8:01why gold ripped, and that's why everything is moving at once.
- 8:05Gold, silver, copper, platinum, Palladium, oil.
- 8:08This doesn't happen in healthy systems.
- 8:09At normal expansions, commodities move independently.
- 8:13When they all move together, that's capital fleeing paper.
- 8:16We've seen this movie before. 2000 before the.com collapse,
- 8:202007 before the financial crisis, and 2019 during repo
- 8:25stress. Every time commodities sniff out
- 8:28the problem first, the stress signal is already here.
- 8:30And most people are just aren't looking in the right place.
- 8:33Now here is where it gets a little uncomfortable for the
- 8:37bears. A new research paper says
- 8:39Bitcoin could surge 500% following gold's new highs.
- 8:43And before all the fact checkers foam at the mouth.
- 8:46Yes, correlations change, but history still matters.
- 8:50In 2020, gold topped. In August, Bitcoin went from
- 8:5311,000 to 69 K nearly 500%. And this time, we have more
- 8:59catalysts than ever. Liquidity injections already
- 9:02restarted. Rate cuts are coming, SLR
- 9:04exemptions may return, crypto regulation is clearing, more
- 9:08ETFs are coming, asset managers have full access and we have a
- 9:12pro crypto fed chair knock knock knocking on Satoshi's door and
- 9:16the markets like to front run policy.
- 9:19Last cycle was liquidity only. This cycle is liquidity plus
- 9:25structure. Same setup, more fuel.
- 9:28But before we go deeper and yes, there's an even more bullish
- 9:32historical precedent and we also have to discuss how we got here
- 9:38in the 1st place. But before we do, look at our
- 9:40likes 3 or 4 times maybe. I'll pump those numbers up.
- 9:43Those are. Rookie numbers in this racket.
- 9:45Let's take a quick second for our sponsors who keep this show
- 9:48on the air over at the Bitcoin way.
- 9:49If your wealth lives in their system, it's not yours, it's
- 9:52theirs. That's why we scream Bitcoin.
- 9:54That's why you self custody and that's why you call our friends
- 9:58over at the Bitcoin way They'll walk you through multi sig self
- 10:01custody privacy, how to run a node and the tools that keep you
- 10:04sovereign when the Fiat system pulls the plug.
- 10:06Don't wait till it's too late. Book a free 30 minute console
- 10:09today using that link in the show notes need cash but don't
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- 10:29slash simply to learn more and get 25 basis points off your
- 10:33first loan. I want to go to our favorite
- 10:35subject. You are my favorite subject,
- 10:37which is which is crypto, OK? And I want to ask you the
- 10:41following question about Bitcoin and I'm going to channel our
- 10:45buddies, OK? We have some other big crypto
- 10:48whales, Bitcoin whales. I, I feel like Bitcoin, every
- 10:52time it gets a bid, Michael, it gets slammed to the mat.
- 10:55OK, you're a wrestler, right? Every time, every time you feel
- 10:58like you're going to win a point in a wrestling match, the
- 11:01opponent to Bitcoin flips it to the ground and starts the
- 11:04pinning process. What do you what do you say to
- 11:07that? So there's a great book that
- 11:10you're speculative, you know, listeners, you know, the traders
- 11:14out there should read called The Hour Between the Dog and the
- 11:17Wolf. And he talked about the
- 11:20psychology of a bull market, which is all testosterone fed
- 11:23and the psychology of a bear market where it's, it's
- 11:26cortisol. And he's in a bull market.
- 11:28You see guys sitting around the trading floor talking about
- 11:31women talking about cars all pumped up.
- 11:34What about their, their lift and a bear market.
- 11:36What happens is the market falls and starts coming back.
- 11:40You're like, oh, thank goodness, thank goodness.
- 11:43And even though you had promised yourself you were going to cut
- 11:45some of your risk if it came back, you now are have
- 11:49endorphins pumping in your body and you're like, it's good.
- 11:51I can do it tomorrow. You go on a walk and it rolls
- 11:54right back over and you go back into fight or flight.
- 11:57And so he says in a bear market, traders get these little look
- 12:01like beer bellies, right, cortisol bellies and their hands
- 12:04are on their hips and all the guys start slunching their whole
- 12:07their shoulders a little bit. You know, that's the market
- 12:10we've been in in crypto for the last, you know, three months.
- 12:15Every time it feels like it's going up, yeah, You breathe a
- 12:18sigh of relief and then you get punched.
- 12:20So. But what is it, Michael?
- 12:21Is it whale selling? Is it is it I think we under we
- 12:25underestimated the damage of Black Friday the the flash crash
- 12:30October 9th. It was a psychologically
- 12:34damaging and liquidity damaging thing for retail and crypto at
- 12:38its prime. You know, the primary user of of
- 12:42crypto has always been retail. Certainly we've got a lot of
- 12:45institutions in Bitcoin and more Ethereum and it's a lot of some,
- 12:49but that process really beat up RIP retail and all investors are
- 12:56momentum based, right, like growth stocks and crypto or
- 13:00momentum based instruments. And so we haven't had enough
- 13:06juice to get the narrative going again.
- 13:09And I think you're going to go in this kind of choppy sideways,
- 13:13less liquid range until we take out 100.
- 13:18And it's not going to be easy to take out.
- 13:20You're going to need new money coming in.
- 13:23A lot of the guys have burned their sellers of calls above.
- 13:27So a lot of the big holders say, well, so calls to make some
- 13:29income. That works until it doesn't.
- 13:33It works until ball gets so low and then there's a catalytic
- 13:37event. Asset becomes the Fed governor
- 13:39and pushes up much faster, Pays a rate, cuts the budget, keeps
- 13:44blowing out right. Our our old.
- 13:47Boss Lloyd Blankfein, you said be careful picking pennies up in
- 13:50front of a steamroller. Remember that.
- 13:52Expression. I just read Lloyd's biography on
- 13:56the flight over, so shout out Lloyd Blankfein.
- 13:58It read like it's the first book I've read in a while in one
- 14:01sitting. Let's talk psychology.
- 14:03People who own Bitcoin are watching Silver outperform them
- 14:06by 160% this year. That messes with your head.
- 14:09And that's why Bitcoin can't hold the bounce.
- 14:12Every rally gets sold. Every breakout gets faded.
- 14:15Mooch nailed it in bare phases. Bounces feel like relief, not
- 14:19opportunity. Retail got smoked in October.
- 14:22Liquidity dried up. Confidence cracked.
- 14:24Big holders sell calls. Volatility compresses.
- 14:27Markets coil. Until they don't.
- 14:30This isn't a broken market, it's an exhausted one.
- 14:33And exhausted markets don't move slowly forever.
- 14:36They snap. Now let's get to how we got
- 14:38here, The real history that tells us where we're headed.
- 14:41December 23rd, 1913, the Federal Reserve Act is signed.
- 14:45Since then, the dollar lost 97% of its purchasing power.
- 14:50Because here's the truth no one wants to say out loud.
- 14:53Crises don't 'cause the intervention, they justify it.
- 14:57The system cracks. Then comes the cover story.
- 15:01World War One broke the gold standard.
- 15:04World War 2 fused fiscal and monetary power.
- 15:07Vietnam broke Bretton Woods 911 justified 0 rates and asset
- 15:12bubbles covet unleashed unlimited QE every time the same
- 15:16sequence fragility event liquidity flood.
- 15:20And now, like FDR, just take a look around.
- 15:23Consumers are tapped credit. The delinquencies are exploding.
- 15:26Student loan garnishments have resumed.
- 15:29Housing is frozen. Commercial real estate is
- 15:32collapsing. Banks are stressed, Treasury
- 15:34refinancing loans. The system is already breaking.
- 15:37It just hasn't found its excuse yet.
- 15:40And history says when the excuse arrives, the money printer
- 15:44doesn't whisper, It roars. And here's the part Peter Schiff
- 15:48doesn't want you to see. Coming out of the global
- 15:50financial crisis, gold rose 200% from 2008 to 2011.
- 15:56Then gold fell nearly 50% and Bitcoin Bitcoin went up 60,000%.
- 16:02Read that again, 60,000%. By that move to bitcoins 15K
- 16:08bottom, you get $9 million Bitcoin.
- 16:12Those are numbers that tell a very uncomfortable truth.
- 16:15They can argue narratives, they can argue timing, They can argue
- 16:18correlations. But they can't argue history.
- 16:21Gold and silver move first isn't bearish, it's the warning shot.
- 16:24The storm always comes after the calm, and this calm feels
- 16:29awfully familiar. Hey, let us know what you think
- 16:31below and batten down the hatches. 2026 is going to be
- 16:34nuts. Hope you guys enjoyed this one.
- 16:36Don't forget to like, subscribe and give us a pan.
- 16:39Share the sound money gospel and I'll catch you all next time.
- 16:41Love you guys.