Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 523 - 6/2/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 523 of the all systems go sports betting
- 0:20podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:29What's going on, everyone? Happy Tuesday, another day here
- 0:32in the arena, guys, as we continue through the first week
- 0:36in the month of June and June. You know what that means?
- 0:39It's Major League Baseball. But actually, yes, we'll be
- 0:41talking baseball today. I do have a three pack of MLB
- 0:44sweats that I'm excited to share with you.
- 0:46But you know what, June, you know, I get some great memories
- 0:49of when my my Boston Bruins would make deep NHL Stanley Cup
- 0:54finals runs did in 2019. I'll never forget 2011.
- 0:58Did in 2013 too. And I don't know if you know
- 1:00this about me, but I used to be a huge hockey butter.
- 1:03I know some of the some of you out there listening, you know,
- 1:05we've had some pretty good hockey years along the years.
- 1:08And you know what guys like my edge last couple years
- 1:11evaporated. I really kind of laid off hockey
- 1:13quite a bit. But as I'm looking toward game
- 1:16one of the NHL Stanley Cup final tonight, we got the Golden
- 1:20Knights and the Carolina Hurricanes, I'm looking at a
- 1:23couple things. And I'm saying to myself, I
- 1:26should get back into hockey. I feel like I have an edge
- 1:29tonight for game one of the Stanley Cup finals.
- 1:31So there's two main reasons here, a system match and also an
- 1:36odds boost because again, hockey obviously is wrapping up here
- 1:39with the finals. Hockey may not be the most
- 1:41popular sports, not even close to of course, NFL or even even
- 1:45like Major League Baseball overall.
- 1:47But the sports books want you to bet on this and I'm I'm looking
- 1:51at this great system that I have for game one and we'll talk
- 1:54about it here in a second. And I'm also seeing when I log
- 1:58into my sports betting apps, which again, you always want to
- 2:00have multiple apps. Shop around, take advantage.
- 2:03We're always talking about shopping for the best line using
- 2:05the odds logic live odds page, find the book, you know, giving
- 2:08you a -, 130 instead of -135 because every little cent you
- 2:13can change, you can save on a favorite or add to a plus money
- 2:16dog. It really can benefit you long
- 2:18term. But I'm saying to myself, man,
- 2:20they must really want us to that hockey because I found a 25%
- 2:24profit boost at one sports book so I can get a better number on
- 2:27this team and I have a great system match on this team
- 2:30tonight. So why not take a shot and dip
- 2:32our toe back into the frozen water of the NHL.
- 2:36So I do have a play for you on Golden Knights Hurricanes game
- 2:40one of the Stanley Cup finals and then right back to doing.
- 2:43We love a three pack of MLB sweats overall, guys, a four
- 2:46pack tonight. Again, haven't had a four pack
- 2:48in a while. We're going to see if we can at
- 2:50least get 2. If we can get three, that'll be
- 2:52even better. Now before we dive in our place
- 2:55here for tonight, MLB and NHL, just a reminder as always, guys,
- 2:59I'm going to keep pounding you until we start here and the the
- 3:02opportunity closes. But the Applebaum World Cup
- 3:06survivor contest, it's available.
- 3:08Come right in. I think we're now up to 13 sign
- 3:11up. So thank you if you've signed up
- 3:12and if anyone is looking to get down.
- 3:14And I think as the as we get closer here, I think you're
- 3:17going to feel the momentum, the buzz, the World Cup is now I
- 3:20think what, 9 days away? I think it starts on the 11th.
- 3:23So if you want to get on the action, you want to put down 25
- 3:26bucks, you could win up to 20,000 or actually 22,500.
- 3:31And again, the one caveat because it's not like NHL or
- 3:34sorry, actually I already have hockey on the mind because I got
- 3:36a hockey play tonight. But it's not like the NFL
- 3:39Survivor, which to me is the absolute best just because it's
- 3:41one week one team. It's pretty straightforward.
- 3:44This you can still only use one team.
- 3:46But the one caveat, because people have asked me about it,
- 3:49you got to pick four teams to get out of the group round.
- 3:51So there's all these different groups, just got to pick one to
- 3:54advance to the knockout round. And then you go one team per
- 3:58knockout round. So you got to pick four to start
- 3:59and then it's one each round. But again, this is going to take
- 4:03over the world literally, literally.
- 4:06So why not see we can maybe get down, make some money, turn 25
- 4:10bucks into 20 K. That'll be pretty nice.
- 4:12So you can always sign up for the survivor contest, the World
- 4:15Cup Survivor. The deadline again is the 11th
- 4:18of June. So you got a little bit more
- 4:19than a week, but get in now and again, you know, tell, tell a
- 4:22friend, tell a colleague, someone you know who's into
- 4:24soccer or football as they like to call it.
- 4:26Can can definitely join. It's welcome to everybody.
- 4:29So you can sign up via the tweet that's linked up and pinned to
- 4:34my profile page on Twitter at Josh under score Insights.
- 4:37You can always DM me on Twitter if you have any questions at
- 4:39Josh under score Insights or we can always use that link that is
- 4:42located in the bio description of the podcast.
- 4:46Now before we dive in again here to our plays.
- 4:48Real quick recap of last night. Kind of frustrating. 1 and 2 -.
- 4:521.3 units had a great hit with the Brewers.
- 4:55Brew Crew absolutely went absolutely nuts with their bats.
- 4:58116 to two against the San Francisco Giants.
- 5:01That's almost a football score with a safety, but it's nice to
- 5:04see the Brew Crew come through. Didn't have to sweat that at
- 5:06all. But then both the Nationals and
- 5:08the Dodgers let us down. Nats lost seven and three to
- 5:11Miami. Annoying one there was that the
- 5:13Nats were up 3 to one in the 6th inning and then their bullpen
- 5:16completely implodes and they can't do anything offensively.
- 5:19And then the Dodgers there, they lost 4 to 1 to Arizona.
- 5:22They were up 1 nothing in the 6th inning.
- 5:24Again, one thing, one nothing isn't the biggest lead in the
- 5:26world, but both these games were going into the 6th inning with
- 5:30a, with a, with a lead. So you would think we can at
- 5:33least get one of them. But unfortunately Dodgers gnats
- 5:35both let us down. Got the Brewers, but still a 1
- 5:39and 2 - 1.3 unit at night. So as always, we're going to get
- 5:42right back to it tonight, see if we can post a winning record and
- 5:45get back into the green. So with a hockey play, a rare
- 5:49hockey play here, I'm going to save that one for the end of the
- 5:52podcast. I'm going to make you sweat it
- 5:54out and wait for it, but let's start doing what we always love
- 5:57doing, betting Major League Baseball.
- 5:59Even when you go one and two and teams let you down.
- 6:01I I tell you what, guys, it really kind of depends on the
- 6:05sport, the time of year, But there are times in certain
- 6:07sports where like you go 1:00 and 2:00 and you're like, man,
- 6:10like I really got to do it again tomorrow and you know, you just
- 6:12don't have an edge and you're kind of not looking forward to
- 6:15another day of betting. Even in baseball, I go one and
- 6:18two. Heck, I go O and three.
- 6:19I'm still excited to get down the next day because it's a long
- 6:22season and we had a lot of system matches each day.
- 6:25So try to remain positive and optimistic and but also
- 6:28realistic about it. Without further ado, 3 plays.
- 6:32I got a 640 game, a 740 game and a 940 game.
- 6:35So let's space them out and try to get 2 out of 3.
- 6:38So first one on the board, let's go to Philadelphia 6:40 PM
- 6:42Eastern Time, where the Phillies are hosting the San Diego
- 6:45Padres. Now setting the stage for this
- 6:47one. The pods come in 32 and 26 on
- 6:49the year. They just dropped two or three
- 6:51though against the Nats. They lost that series finale 4
- 6:54to 2 as a -115 road favorite. Meanwhile, the Phills, 30 and 29
- 6:59on the year, they just lost two or three against the Dodgers,
- 7:02got rolled 9 to one as a + 200 Rd. dog in that series finale.
- 7:07So pitching match up here for tonight in the opener, Padres
- 7:10are going with the ready Randy Vasquez.
- 7:12He's five and three with a 3.28 ERA.
- 7:15Meanwhile, Phil's, they're going to go with the fellow ready
- 7:17Aaron Nola. He's three and four with a 5.72
- 7:20ERA. So obviously across the market
- 7:22here. Well, man, spoiler alert,
- 7:25sharps, they are like in Philly and so am I like the Phil's
- 7:28tonight guys. I'll tell you why.
- 7:29One, this line movement has been very consistent steaming in
- 7:33favor of the Phil's. Philly's opened around -125
- 7:37favorite at home, San Diego around a + 105 road dog.
- 7:40And we've seen Philly get steamed up -125 up to -145 some
- 7:45shops even -150 so that is a big, you know, 2025 cent steam
- 7:50move in favor of the Phills tells me a lot of big money came
- 7:54down on Philadelphia. You look at Circa again, caters
- 7:57to wise guys. Sharp betters 29% of money line
- 8:00bets, but 95% of money line dollars going with Philadelphia.
- 8:04So a big low bets, high dollar split which corresponds with
- 8:07that line move toward Philly. I got a good system match on
- 8:10Philly when both teams are coming off a day off, which is
- 8:13the case here. They played Sunday, but they're
- 8:15both off yesterday. In that situation, just take the
- 8:19home favorite. That system is 40 and 21.
- 8:22That's a 66% win rate, 11% ROI this year.
- 8:26Philly would also have value as a non division favorite as well
- 8:30as correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game,
- 8:33which is a total of 8 here. So lack of familiarity typically
- 8:37benefits the better team. Fewer amount of expected run
- 8:39scored again typically favors or is more expected or more likely
- 8:43I should say to come from the better team as well.
- 8:46Phillies are four and one in Nola's last five starts.
- 8:50Meanwhile Philly is also three and O against San Diego this
- 8:52year. So NOLA.
- 8:55Even those numbers aren't great overall.
- 8:57What is he? He's got an ERA of like 5.72.
- 9:00Again, not great guy was a good pitcher historically, but he did
- 9:04pitch very well. Philly.
- 9:06Philly was at San Diego. I remember this series and I
- 9:09think I had the pods at one game that series and they lost.
- 9:12But NOLA pitch really well. So maybe this is more of a match
- 9:14up, a head to So I'm going to follow the steam.
- 9:21I'm going to go with this system.
- 9:22I I really like here. Both have the day off, take the
- 9:25home favorite and I'm going to back NOLA in the Phills at home.
- 9:27So shop around. I got Philly -141 at Bally bet,
- 9:33but again, some books as high as -145 -, 150.
- 9:37Oh, by the way, forgot to mention we have a rhythm.
- 9:40Smart signal. Green Star recommended play on
- 9:43the Phills. So the AI model with rhythm also
- 9:46likes Philly here. So again, first bet for me.
- 9:48If you want to ride, let's go Philly -141 Valley bet.
- 9:53Second game, let's go to Minnesota where the Twins are
- 9:56hosting the Chicago White Sox 7:40 PM Eastern Time.
- 10:00First pitch, the Twins who are 28 and 33.
- 10:03They won the series opener last night, beating the White Sox
- 10:06nine to six. Came through as a -, 140 home
- 10:08favorite pitching match up tonight, the Chai Sox who are 32
- 10:11and 28. They're going to go with the
- 10:13righty Davis Martin. Guys been awesome this year.
- 10:16Knock on wood, 8 and 1. ERA of two.
- 10:19Twins meanwhile, are going to send out the lefty Connor Pry
- 10:21Lip. He is 1 and three with a 5.13
- 10:24ERA. So.
- 10:25What are you seeing across the market?
- 10:27List game open Chicago Chicago listed as a very short -115 road
- 10:32favorite Minnesota around a -. 1 O 5 home dog and what do you
- 10:35think you know is this is a, you know, divisional dog at home.
- 10:39Let's hit Minnesota. Sharps are saying bring this
- 10:41closer to a pick em. Nope, it's gone the other way.
- 10:44We've seen this line move up in favor of the White Sox.
- 10:46White Sox have gone from -115 up to -125 You look at DK Chicago's
- 10:53getting 72% of money line bets, but 91% of money line dollars.
- 10:58So a really good low bets, higher dollar split from the
- 11:00pros at DK pushing that number in favor of the South Siders.
- 11:04I have a good system match on Chicago Rd. favorites who are
- 11:07-130 or less with a winning record who are also receiving
- 11:11line movement in their favor and they're playing a sub 500 team
- 11:16White Sox match in that spot. Those teams are 63 and 48.
- 11:20That is a 57% win rate with a 5% ROI since 2024 White Sox.
- 11:26Meanwhile they are the third most profitable bounce back team
- 11:30in baseball. When they lose, they come back
- 11:32the next day and go 15 and 1256% win rate, 22% ROI.
- 11:38Also talking about Martin, who's got some great numbers here.
- 11:41I knocked on Wood because I'm on the White Sox, but we have
- 11:45Martin in his 11 starts this year, Chicago's gone 10 and one.
- 11:49Let's try to make that 11 and 1 and 12 starts.
- 11:51He's also giving up one earn run or less in eight of his eleven
- 11:55starts. Meanwhile, pry lip, he posted a
- 11:575.55 ERA and five May starts. Give up 14 or sorry, 15 earn
- 12:02runs and 24.1 innings pitched. Minnesota is 1 and four in his
- 12:07last five starts overall. Add in the fact that we have a
- 12:11nothing crazy but a 3% sharp mush edge in favor of Chicago on
- 12:16the Juice Reel app, and we also have one rhythm recommendation
- 12:19also lighting up on Chicago. So Martin's been great all year.
- 12:23Let's, let's pray to the baseball gods he's good for us
- 12:26tonight. Let's see if the White Sox can
- 12:27get a win here. I got the White Sox -120 at Bet
- 12:31MGM, but certainly shop around because most books now are
- 12:34closer to -125. Now, last bed of the night,
- 12:38let's go to the West Coast where the Seattle Mariners are hosting
- 12:42the New York Mets. Now this game opened or sorry,
- 12:46let's give some background here. Mariners who are 32 and 29, they
- 12:49took last night's interleague series opener 3 to 2 and extra
- 12:52innings came through as a -, 130 home favorite rematch here for
- 12:56tonight, we have the Mets who are 26 and 34.
- 12:59Going with the ready Jonah Tong. I believe it's Tong.
- 13:03Also, some shops showed it was going to be Brazoban.
- 13:07It could be one guy opening, the other guy being the bulk roll.
- 13:10So I'm not totally sure if we have confirmation on that.
- 13:12But we do know the Mariners, they're going to go with the
- 13:14righty Logan Gilbert, three and four, 3.69 ERA.
- 13:17What? Have you seen across the market
- 13:19here? Well, this game opened with
- 13:21Seattle listed around a -, 140 home favorite, New York around a
- 13:26+ 120 road dog, and we've seen this line move further towards
- 13:29Seattle. The Mariners have gotten steamed
- 13:31up -140 up to -145 lot of shops now -150 so movement further
- 13:38towards Seattle at home. I really like the splits on
- 13:40Seattle at Circa. The Mariners are getting over
- 13:4490% of money line bets and dollars.
- 13:46So that tells me out in Vegas, we got a lot of big money going
- 13:49with Seattle here, which corresponds with that 5 or $0.10
- 13:52team move in favor of the Mariners.
- 13:54Couple system matches here. If you're a home favorite off a
- 13:57win with a winning record and you made the playoffs the
- 13:59previous year. So you're a good team and you're
- 14:01a good team. Last year Mariners would match
- 14:04that and those teams are 62 and 3465% with a 6% ROI this this
- 14:10season. Also, if you're an above 500
- 14:12home favorite off a win priced -155 or less so you're not super
- 14:16expensive. Those teams are 62 and 3763%
- 14:21with an 11% ROI this season. Seattle has both correlative
- 14:25betting and betting system value as a interleague favorite in a
- 14:29correlative betting favorite, low total.
- 14:31So lack of familiarity typically benefiting quote UN quote the
- 14:34better team. And we have Seattle favorite in
- 14:36a low total game of seven and a half.
- 14:38And it could be a low scoring game because the under is juiced
- 14:41like -115 Seattle has the better bats.
- 14:43They're hitting 233 with a 317 on base, 396 slug, 258 runs
- 14:49scored. New York, meanwhile, hitting
- 14:51220-6292 on base. 357 slug, 241 runs scored.
- 14:58Mariners in Gilbert's last nine starts have gone six and three,
- 15:02and he's given up two earned runs or less in seven of his
- 15:05last 10 starts. Also, home Rd. hopefully will
- 15:07benefit us. Seattle is 18 and 11 at home.
- 15:11New York is 11 and 19 on the road.
- 15:14So I'm going to take a shot here on the Mariners.
- 15:16We got a late game with further movement towards Seattle.
- 15:19We got good bet split system matches.
- 15:21We got a favorite low total. Hopefully the Mariners can can
- 15:24post another win here in the Pacific Northwest.
- 15:27So shop around. I got Mariners -145 and
- 15:30Caesar's, but again, some books here closer to -150 so the
- 15:35Phillies, the White Sox, the Mariners, all relatively
- 15:38moderate to short favorites. So let's see if we can get 2 out
- 15:41of 3 and eke out a winning night on the diamond.
- 15:44Now to what you've all been waiting for.
- 15:46Little drum roll. We're going to dip our toe, get
- 15:49back into the NHL because I found a couple reasons to get
- 15:53down. And I think, again, you know, we
- 15:55all want to be great sports bettors and stack units at every
- 15:58sport. But sometimes you realize, OK,
- 15:59I'm better at this sport than that.
- 16:01So why would I do well at one sport and then bleed units in
- 16:04the other just because I want the action?
- 16:06No, you don't want the action just for the action.
- 16:08You want the action because you feel like you did your homework
- 16:11and you identified an edge, otherwise known as an advantage
- 16:14over the sports book. So with that being said, I'm
- 16:17going to get down on this hockey game tonight, game one of the
- 16:19Stanley Cup finals VGK at the Carolina Hurricanes.
- 16:23Now a little background here we have the Golden Knights who just
- 16:27finished off Colorado swept them for nothing.
- 16:30Remember they fired Bruce Cassidy and brought in the crazy
- 16:34man Tortorella Torts and sounds like obviously that's that was a
- 16:38good move because they're not in the Stanley Cup final.
- 16:40Similarly, we have the Carolina Hurricanes who just took care Of
- 16:44Montreal 4 to 1. So now we get to the final and
- 16:47what are what are what are the reasons why I want to get down
- 16:50on this game? Well, first reason, it's not
- 16:53really a line move play because if you look at the line, it's
- 16:57kind of stayed the same. It's, I guess it's move a little
- 16:59bit toward Carolina. Carolina's gone from like -150
- 17:04some books now like -155. But the reason that I'm, I want
- 17:07to get down on this game. The first reason is that there's
- 17:10a really good system match on this game.
- 17:13Did you know since 2005, if you look at going with the chalk in
- 17:18the Stanley Cup Final, so you get to the finals and you just
- 17:21take the chalk, which is the better team, the favorite,
- 17:23whoever who's ever favored in that spot, you just take the
- 17:27Stanley Cup chalk Final favorite since 2005, that's now a 20 plus
- 17:32year sample. Those teams have gone 85 and 35.
- 17:36That is a 71% win rate. That is a 21% ROI.
- 17:41So again, laying the chalk, taking the favorite and gain in
- 17:44Stanley Cup Final has been a really, really good profitable
- 17:47play. Secondly, if you just isolate
- 17:50game ones of the Stanley Cup final, the opener of the final,
- 17:54we have favorites going 18 and 2, so 18 and two in game 171
- 17:59percent, 21% ROI overall. So you probably know where I'm
- 18:03going here. I'm going Carolina because Chalk
- 18:05has done well. Carolina matches the other
- 18:08angle. So let's let's I'll save the
- 18:10last kind of sweetener at the end.
- 18:12But the other angle for me would be that we do have a good bet
- 18:15split on the money line at Circa over at Circa, which again is
- 18:18Vegas VGK territory. So you'd think, oh, tons of VGK
- 18:22money. No, over at Circa the sharp bet
- 18:24split is on Carolina. Carolina is only getting 28% of
- 18:28money line bets, but 59% of money line dollars.
- 18:32So that tells me how that we have a good sharp split from the
- 18:36pros in Vegas in favor of Carolina.
- 18:38Next we got the home Rd. record. Carolina went 2910 and two at
- 18:44home this year. That was the number one best
- 18:48home record in all of hockey. And again, I'm a Bruins fan.
- 18:51Bruins actually were second best home wrecker.
- 18:53They're bad on the road. But the times the Bruins have
- 18:55played Carolina in the playoffs, that barn goes nuts.
- 18:58So Carolina plays well at home generally speaking.
- 19:01And you know they're going to be going nuts here tonight.
- 19:03So hopefully that's an advantage to Carolina.
- 19:05VGK wasn't terrible on the road. They went 1914 and 8.
- 19:09But really the edge there is Carolina at home.
- 19:11Number one home record in in hockey next, I'm thinking, is
- 19:15there an advantage to having a a smaller layoff?
- 19:19Because if you remember, Carolina had a ridiculously long
- 19:22layoff. I think they're off for like 12
- 19:23days and then end up losing that first game against Montreal
- 19:26because they hadn't played in a while.
- 19:28Well, Carolina last played on May 29th.
- 19:32Golden Knights last played on May 26th.
- 19:35So Golden Knights have been off for quite a while here.
- 19:38They've been off for a full week, whereas Carolina has only
- 19:41been off for what, 1234 days? So again, rest verse rust.
- 19:47Do you want the rest or if you have too much rest, are you
- 19:49rusty? There's always that conundrum.
- 19:52Well, you know, you look at that long rest for Carolina, that was
- 19:54a negative. So Carolina doesn't have the
- 19:56long rest. That spot, the rust spot would
- 19:59be in VGK, which would be a fade play.
- 20:02So really the big angle for me is this chalk system.
- 20:05Carolina's great at home. We got a really good bet split.
- 20:08Maybe I'm I'm pushing too hard with the rail, the layoff and
- 20:11the rust thing. But then here's the last angle
- 20:13for me when I popped open my sports books and I was looking
- 20:17at this game, trying to shop for the best number.
- 20:19Best number is basically Carolina -150 but FanDuel,
- 20:24FanDuel, I am AI have an account at FanDuel in Massachusetts.
- 20:28They want us to bet hockey at FanDuel and they are offering a
- 20:3225% profit boost to bet the NHL Stanley Cup Finals.
- 20:37So I took advantage of that and with that 25% profit boost, I
- 20:42got the Carolina Hurricanes down to -122.
- 20:46So if you're going to give me a really good number and you're
- 20:49going to give me a good number on a team that matches a really
- 20:52good historical betting system, who's great at home with a good
- 20:55bet split, that's enough for me. Guys, I'm taking a shot on
- 20:58Carolina tonight. I highly recommend if you want
- 21:01to ride, go to go better to FanDuel.
- 21:04Again, I don't work for FanDuel. I'm not telling you I'm not
- 21:07getting any anything in return for promoting this.
- 21:09I'm just telling you as a sports better, you have a really good
- 21:12opportunity here with a profit boost to get this number down
- 21:15even lower. So add it all up here guys.
- 21:18I'm getting back in the Stanley Cup finals.
- 21:20I'm taking the Carolina Hurricanes to win tonight at
- 21:23-122 with a 25% profit boost at Vandal.
- 21:28So that about does it for episode 523 of the All Systems
- 21:32Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 21:34This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 21:37And I always start first by saying thank you.
- 21:39Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for
- 21:42grinding in the arena with me every single day through the
- 21:45good and the bad, the UPS and the downs, the wins and the
- 21:47losses. Whatever the case may be,
- 21:49whether we are riding high or struggling or grinding, we just
- 21:53stick to the model, stick to the blueprint.
- 21:56So thank you for listening. And now as I butter you up, now
- 21:58I'm going to ask you a favor because don't you think you're
- 22:00more inclined to do something nice if someone's nice to you?
- 22:02I don't know, is that just human nature?
- 22:05But anyway, please help me grow this podcast if you haven't done
- 22:07it yet, just give the pod a five star review on Spotify or iTunes
- 22:12rate and review, leave a comment, click the follow
- 22:14button, recommend the pod to a friend, retweet the pod when I
- 22:17put it out on Twitter at Josh under score insights.
- 22:19Any or all of those things would be awesome.
- 22:22Next, if you enjoy the style of sports betting, breakdown,
- 22:25data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting, focusing on line
- 22:28movement, bet split system matches, focusing on what the
- 22:31market is telling us, not what our biases are telling us to do.
- 22:34If this style of betting has appealed to you, you want to
- 22:36learn more about data-driven betting or again, Father's Day
- 22:40is coming up. Hey, maybe you got to get a gift
- 22:42for dad or your son or your cousin or whoever, and you don't
- 22:45know what to get them. Maybe they're into sports, they
- 22:48want to get into sports betting. You should go to Amazon.com, get
- 22:51it over with now and go buy the everything Guide to Sports
- 22:55betting or the NFL sharp Betting playbook.
- 22:58Those are the two books that I've written.
- 23:00Very proud of both, but you'll be you'll make my day.
- 23:03Whoever receives those books, I think they'll find them pretty
- 23:05interesting. And when you bring them to the
- 23:07sports book, I'll sign them for you and I'll buy you a beer or
- 23:10some ginger ale and we'll sweat the the MLB and we'll really go
- 23:14nuts for the Carolina Hurricanes tonight.
- 23:16Next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
- 23:18Juice Reel yet? My two favorite sports betting
- 23:20apps. They help me win.
- 23:21They're going to help you win. Rhythm is fantastic for their AI
- 23:24backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 23:27We also have Juice Reel. So many great features.
- 23:29You can sync up your sports books.
- 23:31Got a running report card of your action with Juice Reel you
- 23:34can also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks.
- 23:36The sharp mush indicator is the arbitrage plays the shop for the
- 23:39best sign features and if you really want to be a hero, you
- 23:42can sign up to get the juice Reel or should I say the all
- 23:45systems go best bet picks officially on the Juice Reel
- 23:49app. You can do a 7 day free trial
- 23:51and then you can do $9.99 a week to get every best bet pick that
- 23:55I make. All you got to do is go to the
- 23:57Juice Reel buy sell tab on the bottom right corner search box.
- 24:01Just type in ASG and you can do for 999.
- 24:05Again, that's not $999, that's $9.99 a week.
- 24:09Again, the pot is free so I consider this a tip jar.
- 24:12That is the equivalent of $1.42 a day.
- 24:16You can get a full month of ASG best bets for $24.99 a month.
- 24:21That equates to $0.83 a day. Or you could be a hero and get a
- 24:25full year of bets for $199.99. That is the equivalent of $0.55
- 24:30a day. But thank you all out there
- 24:32listening who sign up and pay for the best bets.
- 24:35I appreciate it. You helped me to to save up
- 24:37money for my impending daughter's childcare, which is
- 24:41going to burn a hole through my wallet.
- 24:43But thank you all. And if you're considering it,
- 24:44hey, if you enjoy the pod, hopefully you value the
- 24:46insights. Go get a week or so or just let
- 24:49it renew. If you really want to make me
- 24:50happy, those ASG best bet picks on Juice Reel.
- 24:54So download rhythm, download Juice Reel.
- 24:55Give them both a five star review in the App Store.
- 24:58Next you have a live odds page. If you don't have one, you need
- 25:02one. It's such a critical tool.
- 25:03I would argue it is maybe the most important tool when you're
- 25:06betting sports because you got to be able to track the betting
- 25:09market. What did what did the line open
- 25:11at? How has it moved?
- 25:12Has it gone up or down? Pull up the line history.
- 25:14Find points of buybacks. See where the juice is leaning.
- 25:18Identify sharp money. Late steam coming in.
- 25:20The odds get lit up in red. Find a book that hasn't adjusted
- 25:23yet. Also shopping for the best
- 25:25number, finding the book offering you the best price,
- 25:28along with live in game wagering odds.
- 25:30You can do it all with odds logic.
- 25:32You ever want to give it a shot? All you got to do is go to
- 25:34oddslogic.com/josh 123. That's going to give you a 7 day
- 25:40free trial and 50% off your first month of service.
- 25:44Next I mentioned before, but come on down, you got about a
- 25:48week left, nine days, I guess to be exact to join the Apple bomb
- 25:53World Cup Survivor. 25 bucks gets you an entry.
- 25:55You can do up to 10 if you want and then just be the last man or
- 25:59woman standing. You can win $22,000.
- 26:02And again, you can sign up for the World Cup ASG Survivor
- 26:05contest with splashboards for my homepage on Twitter at Josh
- 26:09under score insights. So that about does it for
- 26:11episode 523 of the ASG Pod on a big Tuesday.
- 26:16As always, guys, two final thoughts.
- 26:17One, whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin
- 26:20River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
- 26:22Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
- 26:26Boston, Plain Ridge Park Casino, MGM Springfield or the Nash, my
- 26:29local sports book on the border of Massachusetts in New
- 26:31Hampshire. We're out in the desert where
- 26:34the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his
- 26:36number runners, where the lowest use possible is found at the
- 26:38South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
- 26:42stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 26:44Circa, you can walk up to me. Show me Milwaukee Brew Crew
- 26:48ticket 16 and two. Nice winter there, whatever you
- 26:50do. Nats, Dodgers.
- 26:51Both with leads in the 6th inning, both blew it.
- 26:53Annoying. First one's on me, next one's on
- 26:56you. We'll post about the book.
- 26:57So that's some sharp contrarian plays all night long.
- 27:00So as always, guys coming off a one and two or a two and one, A3
- 27:03and O or an O and three. A winning night, a losing night,
- 27:05a hot streak, a cold streak, whether we're just scratching
- 27:08and clawing, whether things are going our way or nothing's going
- 27:11our way, we just got to stay even keeled.
- 27:13Can't get too high when things are good or too low when things
- 27:16are bad. We're always grinding, we're
- 27:18always realistic expectations. Just trying to grind out a
- 27:21profit each day, knowing that this ain't easy.
- 27:24Again, we got to overcome the juice, beat the sharp lines,
- 27:27overcome bad beats. The whole point of sports
- 27:29betting is you're betting on an unknown outcome, but you're
- 27:32trying to find that edge. And that's the challenge that we
- 27:34embrace every day. So reminder, as always, we're
- 27:38looking for those games that fit our model against the public,
- 27:41with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get
- 27:44that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 27:46to be successful sports bettors. So I hope everyone has a great
- 27:49Tuesday night. Be right back at it tomorrow for
- 27:52a big Wednesday hump day edition.
- 27:53That'll be episode 524 of the All Systems Go sports Betting
- 27:58podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 28:01great Wednesday night.