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Wednesday MLB Bets + Big Beautiful Bill Breakdown 7/2/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside I want to kill myself. We are on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends slump that I'm on.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: And the slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: going to burn my browins.
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: Hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: the bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least ohe and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you. This is better. I'm dead
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: July second. I shouldn't be laughing, but I am that
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: new intros.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: It's a dude.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: Thanks to Laney for compiling those videos. Nancy, what's up?
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: Oh man, I don't even know I'm I'm dude. I'm
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: just I'm basking in the awesomeness of that intro.
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: Man. I love that intro all right.
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: Yesterday on the show Want to er As, I gave
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: out a play on the Milwaukee Brewers, and we had
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: a bunch of rain of postponements yesterday.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: So I will get into that today.
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: So that's gonna be the same matchup, by the way,
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: Brewers and Mets in the game won today. So I
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: may just give out that same play again in that
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: game because there seems to not be a reason not to.
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: So basically, we're gonna wait on that one. But that
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: one didn't happen yesterday. The one game that did happen
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: was an easy win on the under in the Minnesota
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: Miami game Twins Marlins. That was an easy under two
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: to nothing.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: I think was the.
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: Final in that game, if I remember correctly. Both starting
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: pitchers did well in that one, especially Edward Cabrera, so
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: nailed that. Let's get into today. Man, it's July second, Wednesday.
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: We're gonna have a lot of baseball and nothing else
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: as we have no WNBA today, which, by the way,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: I forgot to mention. The WNBA game yesterday was actually
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: the Commissioner Cup final, the nd season tournament final.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: I forgot about that because it's so pointless.
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: But that didn't mean that Indiana had a little bit
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: more reason to show up in that game. Even if
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: even if Caitlyn Clark did come back in that game,
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: I didn't even look.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: I don't watch any of it. I didn't pay attention
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: at all.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: Maybe Clark did come back, but I know that Indiana
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: won the Commissioner Cup, so congratulations to them. Big win
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: over the Minnesota Links for them. So Indiana might be
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: a fade in their next game, and I don't know
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: if they're playing tomorrow or not, but we'll look into that.
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: It might be a good spot to fade them. All right,
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: Baseball here, this is gonna this is gonna take a while.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: Maybe got a lot of games today, some in the
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: afternoon because it is getaway days. A lot of these
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: teams are gonna have to travel after Today. A's at
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: Rays is the first game up at twelve to ten
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: pm Eastern. Rays are on the verge of getting swept here,
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: I believe because I think this is the last game
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: of the series.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think they played tomorrow. Let me see that
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: is correct.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: So last yesterday's game went went ten innings, so that's
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: something to keep in mind.
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: Here's both bullpens saw a.
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: Little bit extra useage yesterday, but especially on the A's side,
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: and the A's bullpen somehow saved the game yesterday and
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is not good.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: So definitely somebody to keep in mind here.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: If you want anything to do with the A's here,
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: I would probably be excluding their bullpen from the equation here.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: Mitch Spence is pitching for the A's today. Three point
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: eight two ERA one point three whip. He's been way
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: better on the road away from that bad Sacramento Triple
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: A Stadium there two point three to one ERA on
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: the road, so more pitcher friendly environments on the road.
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: I guess he's done fairly well over the last month.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: In June, he did have a twenty to seven strike
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: out walk RATIONO on two point seven e RA, which
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: is pretty good, although his walk number increased quite a
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: bit in his last start, walking four guys, but it
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: was against the Yankees. I mean, that is a good offense,
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: and he still limited them to two earned runs, so
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: he didn't even pitch that bad in that game, went
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: five innings. He's been fairly consistent at least and not terrible.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: The Rays have not done well against him in the past,
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: and thirty two at bats eleven strikeouts, one walk, win
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: eighty eight average for sixty two oh ps. So I
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: don't mind looking at Spence to maybe do okay in
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: this game. But the one issue you got to keep
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: in mind is this Tampa Bay stadium here. Steinbrenner Field
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: is a spring training stadium that is somewhat home run
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: conducive as well, so it's similar to the the Bronx,
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: which is where Spence just played. I believe right Yeah,
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: that's where he didn't do as well against the Yankees.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: So Spence, on the one hand, he's used to pitching
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: in home run friendly parks like this at the A's
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: and at the Yankees, But on the other hand, he
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: didn't do He does not do as well in those stadiums,
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: so that is definitely something to keep in mind.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: So even though he's used to it, he doesn't do
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: He's up against Ryan Pepio, who's having a good season
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: three point three sixty RA, one point one five whip.
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: Pepio's actually a little bit better in this stadium three
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: point one four EER. He's coming off a really bad
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: outing at Baltimore, though, which kind of surprised me because
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: he was in really good form up until that point.
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: I still had a thirty six to ten strike a
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: walk ratio in June at three point seven to six ERA,
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: but that start kind of derailed him. So I'm a
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: little bit concerned that maybe he's coming out of form
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: a little bit here because that was a bad start
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: against fairly mediocre at best I would say Baltimore offense. Pepio, though,
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: might bounce back here because the A's have not done
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: well against him in the past and twenty at bats
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: of one point fifty average for twenty seven ops, seven strikeouts,
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: two walks, So I think we we're looking at this
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: game Pepio. I think I'm gonna consider his last game
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: to be a little bit of a blip, and same
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: was Spence. So I think the way to look at
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: this is probably to go under in the first five innings,
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: because again, I don't want anything to do with bullpens
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: that are a little bit taxed, and I don't want
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: anything to do with the A's bullpen almost ever, So
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: the total we see eighty six percent of tickets on
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: the over, seventy three percent of cash on the over,
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: totals kind of just sitting at nine with juice on
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: the under, and oddsmakers kind of have to throw it
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: up at a high number like that because of the
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: stadium here, because it is during the day, it's gonna
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: be hot there, so it is a little bit of
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: an overconducive environment. But with these two starting pitchers, I
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: think they might be able to hold the opposing lineups
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: and check a little bit. So I'd be looking at
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: first five innings under the total in that game. But
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: that is not gonna reach the level of a play
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: for me. J C. What's up, JC, You're everywhere? I
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: still think there are about one thousand jc's out there,
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: all right. Saint Louis, Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh another win yesterday, A man,
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: Finally they got a win with Paul Skeen's I had
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: mentioned yesterday. They won four straight games and their last
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: loss was the game Paul Skeens started against Milwaukee. Skeens
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: pitched yesterday, and they gotta win behind him, even though
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: he only lasted five innings. He shut Saint Louis out,
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: and I believe Saint Louis has not scored a run
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: in this entire series, which is pretty embarrassing. I mean,
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: I think at some point Saint Louis is probably gonna
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: have to They're probably gonna turn it around a little
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: bit because their offense isn't this bad and the Pirates
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: pitching is not really this good. So maybe it happens
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: in this game today, where I think the Cardinals do
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of a starting pitching edge. In
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: this game, we did not see a whole lot of
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: bullpen you sage yesterday, so I think Saint Louis does
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: get the bullpen edge pirates, bullpend not very good. Saint Louis,
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: coming off two straight shutout losses, probably is gonna come
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: into this game with a little bit of fire, a
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: little bit pissed off. They got Sonny Gray pitching, and
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: he is their best starter three point or well, you
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: could argue it's Libra torre, but I think Gray has
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: just kind of proven himself over a longer career three
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: point three to sixty ra one point zero nine whip
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: good numbers this year. The problem is he has been
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: worse on the road four point three seventy r in
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: the road.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: He's coming off.
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: A complete game shutout on the road though against even
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: when they're not a good hitting team, but he one
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: hit them and gave up.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: No walks and struck out eleven.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: So Gray pitched really well, and Saint Louis has been
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: really good behind Gray, winning eight of his last nine starts,
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: three of those being on the road, and they did
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: lose his second last start in the road against Milwaukee,
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: but Pittsburgh is a much easier offense to face, and
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: last time he faced Pittsburgh was at home, but he
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: shut them out for seven innings, eight strikeouts, one walk,
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: two hits allowed. So Gray, I believe he does match
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: up pretty well against Pittsburgh one hundred and nineteen at
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: bats against them, so even though they have a lot
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: of familiarity with him as a thirty seven to five
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio against them, very dominant, two twenty seven
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: average allowed in six forty five ohps. So I am
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: thinking Gray probably is in line for a good one here,
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: even though I worry that after that, after such a
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: great performance last time out, he might regress a little bit.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: But he did not have a high pitch count.
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: He did that whole thing with eighty nine pitches, so
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: that's a good sign if you do like Gray. He
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: did not over extend himself in that in that game.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: He threw about the normal amount of pitches that he throws,
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: so that's a good sign. Mitch Keller is gonna be
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: pitching for Pittsburgh. He's not bad three point ninety RA
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: one point two to whip. He's a little bit worse
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: at home though, with a four point three to three
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: home ERA over the past month. In June he was
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: pretty good twenty one to six strike a walk ratio,
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: four point three ERA kind of mediocre, but he had
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: one bad start against Houston, and then since then he
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: hasn't allowed more than three on runs in any of
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: the fourth starts since then, including facing the Cubs and
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: the Mets, So he has been pretty good recently Against
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis's numbers are kind of mediocre, and they do
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: have a lot of familiarity with him. One hundred and
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: seventy nine at bats, thirty seven to fourteen strike a
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, so that is too many walks two sixty
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: eight average seven to ninety one ohps. So I think,
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: looking at this game, it probably makes sense to lean
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: to Saint Louis here man. I do think they have
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: a boat been edge as well, and starting pitching edge.
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: You're having a little bit of a price on the road.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: But I do think they're gonna be a little bit angry.
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: I want to bounce back from two straight shutouts, Saint
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: Louis laying minus one twenty up to now minus one
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: twenty one on the road.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: Public is all over them.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: The public still is not buying this recent Pittsburgh run.
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: Eighty six percent of tickets and cash on Saint Louis.
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: But I still think Saint Louis is really the only
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: way that you can look in this game possibly an under.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you think Keller is gonna like do
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: okay in this game. The total is low for reason,
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: it's sitting at seven and a half, but some of
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: the juice has actually gone towards the under as well.
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: Here the juice was originally on the over, and it's
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: kind of moving towards the midpoint there towards the under. There,
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: although we see sixty four percent of tickets on the under,
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: but eighty seven percent of the cash on the.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Under, money looks like it's also on the under.
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I'd want to do anything with
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh's bullpend though, even though they're not really unrested here.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: So maybe a first five inning under in this game,
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: but if you do that, you have to probably go
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: under like three and a half, so you're really kind
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: of pushing a little bit there. I still make Saint
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: Louis is probably the best way to look at this
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: game money line.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis probably full game because I think they have the.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: Better bullpen in the least in the more rested of
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: the two bullpens, is what I mean. J C is
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: in twelve other chats right now, that makes sense. I
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: don't know how many shows are on early in the morning.
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: Probably Timeline Cleansed with David is probably on right now. Scott,
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: what's up, Scoot? Yeah, that's right. I don't think I
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: can get through all these comments. Man, you guys are crazy.
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: What's going on? I don't even know what these references
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: are here? But all right, you guys are playing some
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: game or something going for a top score. I don't
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: know what's going on here. The crown means a king though. No,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: I do not bet Nascar at all. I don't pay
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: attention to it whatsoever. That yeah, that is absolutely not
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: something I'm gonna get involved. And I already have way
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: too much that I pay attention to. There's no way
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna do it. I don't think you can bet
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: on a specific driver to crash, but I don't really
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: know you you could bet against a specific driver to
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: do well.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: Nate, what's up?
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: Man?
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out? Everybody? Hi, everybody? All right? Next
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: up is a doubleheader, which is San Diego and Philadelphia. Now,
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: I handicapped yesterday.
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: I was gonna be Nick Pavetta against Christopher Sanchez, and
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: I said I kind of leaned to Philadelphia yesterday, but
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: I think it's gonna set up a nice starting pitching
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: matchup for us to attack in game two now, where
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: Christopher Sanchez is gonna be pitching. He's not pitching in
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: game one. Now, this is gonna be a double header.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna do both games with the doubleheader. Right now,
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia did lose or excuse me, they won the first
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: game of this year's excuse me, four to nothing. So
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: now we're in a situation where San Diego might be
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: a little bit pissed because they're gonna want to bounce
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: back from getting shut out. A lot of times, it
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: doesn't make sense to look to a team that did
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: get shut out the game before that, which gave me
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: a little bit of hesitation on giving out Philadelphia as
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: a play yesterday. Even though I liked the pitching matchup,
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: I kind of like Sanchez's matchup more though, which I'll
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: get to in a second, because he's not facing Paveta.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know what else I was gonna say about this,
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: but this is a double header because the game got
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: rained out yesterday, so this is the afternoon game.
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: Game one.
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: Here both bullpens are now a little bit more rested
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: because they did not pitched yesterday. San Diego has the
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: better of the two bullpens, so Philadelphia's has been kind
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: of coming along a little bit.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: As we're looking at this now.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia still bad four point five to one, but they
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: were in this like kind of almost upper rational lot
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: of like the worst bullpens. They're still bad, but they're
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: not as bad now. But San Diego is almost an
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: elite bullpen territory still as their top five bullpen right
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: now over the course of the season, but Philadelphia has
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: been a little bit better recently than their season has been.
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: In San Diego has been a little bit worse recently
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: than the season has been. Nick Pavetta three point three
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: six ERA, one point zero three whip on the season.
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: He's been worse away from uh San Diego, though, which
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: is a nice pitcher friendly park on the road. He
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: has a four point five ERA, which is certainly not
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: as good. He's in decent form right now, at least.
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: Just his last start was go with ten strikeouts. He's
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: kind of alternated good and bad starts over the last month,
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: with the every other start basically not even going five innings.
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: One of them was against the Dodgers, he might give
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: him a pass for that. The other was against Kansas City,
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: which is a lot more I mean, that's a lot
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: more unforgivable.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Kansas City not a good offense.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: He bounce back and dominated Washington seven shutdown innings, ten strikeouts,
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: three hits, no walks, but overall June four point seven
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: to one ERA. But he did have a thirty to
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: six strikeout walk ratio, so his peripherals were still pretty
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: good even though THERA was high. But against Philadelphia, they're
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: a good offense, and they do have good numbers against
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: Pavetta and sixty nine at bats two seventy five average,
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: nine eighty four ops, nineteen strikeouts, thirteen walks.
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: That is too many walks.
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: So Paveta has struggled against Philadelphia, and he's going up
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: against Mick Abel who you have to be able to
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: figure out what's gonna what's gonna go on with Mick Ableman,
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: And hopefully.
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: At least he's not facing Matt Cain.
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: That would be insane, right If you guys remember Matt
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: Cain long ago on the San Francisco Giants.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: He was good for a while that would be crazy.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: If it was Kane against able Man, you'd always have
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: to go with Caine.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: But Mick abel is a very young pitcher.
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: He has been able to do pretty well three point
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: four to seven e R, one point one to six
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: WHIP on the season. He's been worse at home though,
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: four point eight five ERA at home, but it's a
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: small sample size.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: He's not really a good forum though.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: Over his last few starts, he didn't do well against
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: the Cubs or the Mets. Those are good offenses, so
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: he actually just kind of stepping down a class to
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: face San Diego here, who's a good offense, but not
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: as good as the Mets or the Cubs, even though
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: the Mets haven't been in great form recently, so Able
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: very tough to gauge that we're gonna get Man. In June,
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: he had a nine to four strike a walk ratio
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: four point six seventy RA. Not that great, and his
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: last time he was scheduled to start was on his
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: regular schedule there and he didn't actually make the start
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: against Atlanta. I don't know what happened in that start,
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: but it looks like he took the mound because he
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: was listed in the box score, and then he never
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: actually threw a pitch, so I don't know exactly what
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: happened with Abel there. So now he's not pitching on
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: regular schedule, So you might worry about that a little bit, man,
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: because pictures are creatures of habits, so they like to
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: pitch on schedule. But then on the other hand, maybe
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: he had some issue and maybe that will give him
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: a little bit of rest, and maybe that's the rest
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: that he needs because he is a really young pitcher,
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: so maybe the extra rest will help him.
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: So I could see both arguments here. So it's a
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: little bit tough to gauge what we're gonna get out
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: of Able looking at.
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: And so we are getting a little bit of an
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: extra edge there because I was facing a lineup that
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: has never seen him before. So if you do, like
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh here, excuse me, Philadelphia here, that's one thing to
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: consider that Able at least has the advantage of the
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: hitters not having seen him before. That is an advantage
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: to a young pitcher when hitters have to kind of
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: adjust and figure out what's going on with with that
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: opposing picture they haven't seen before. Sorry, I'm distrafted, you guys,
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: are talking way too much.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: Of the chat here.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: I won't be able to get to everything in the chat,
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: but I don't know what you guys are talking about
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: with the crown. Somebody's gonna be king though, baby, all right,
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: Detroit at Washington or no, what?
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: Let me talk about Game two of the double header.
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, even though it's later in the day, Philadelphia
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: and San Diego.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Now, Christopher Sanchez is pitching in this game.
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: He's gonna be up against Dylan Cease now, and I'm
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: actually gonna fade Dylan Cees here. Man, I'm gonna give
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: you Philidelphia in Game two, first five inning, money line
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty. So I'm gonna say exclude the bullpens
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: because Philadelphia has the worst of the two bullpens.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: We don't know what the bullpen.
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: Usage is gonna be in Game one, so let's forget
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: about that. Let's just look at the starting pitching matchup
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: and we'll go with Philadelphia to have the better of
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup here. Dylan Cees not a guy
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: that I wanted to fade a lot last year, but
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: this year he has not been that good.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: Four point five three ERA and one point three to
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: two whip. He is definitely struggling. On the road, he's
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: been awful six point three to one ERA. He has
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: significant home road splits.
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: He has a two point seven to six home ERA
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: in that pitcher friendly ballpark there, and on the road
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: he's been awful, and he's been pretty bad recently too.
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: In the month of June, thirty nine to fifteen straggle
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: walk rate, so he had a really high strikeout rate
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: but a very high walk rate. He's walked at least
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: three guys and four of the five outings over the
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: month of June and a four point two to three
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: ERA in June.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: Not very good.
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: Over the last couple of starts, he allowed six and
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: three earned runs in two of the three and the
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: only one he did somewhat well in was against Kansas City,
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: a very weak offense, and he still walked three guys.
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: So even when he's not allowing runs, he's actually putting
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: a ton of guys on base. So there were a
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: lot of concerns here with Dylan cease right now. And
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: in his last outing it was at a pitcher friendly
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: park or excuse, he had a hitter friendly park in Cincinnati,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: not a great offense in Cincinnati, and he had a
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: lot of strikeouts eight but he allowed five hits, two
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: home runs, three walks, three earned runs and four innings.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: He did not do well. So Cease not in good
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: form right now.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Man. He has ceased to pitch.
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: Uh, he has ceased to pitch well, let's say, especially
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: on the road, and the Phillies do some damage against him.
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: In sixty three at bats, two point fifty four average
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: doesn't look that bad, but a nine to three OPS
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: is not good. Sixteen to nine strail walk ratio is
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: not good. Again, he's walked too many of them. He's
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: given up six home runs to these hitters. Of the
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: three of them are Max Kepler, who is only six
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: for twenty five often but three home runs three walks
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: against him. In Schwarber three for seven with two home
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: runs three walks. If you want a player prop hits
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: plus runs plus RBIs could look to Schwarber there because
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: he does hit Cease well. And on the other hand,
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: Christopher Sanchez is actually pitching quite well two point seven
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: to nine ERA, one point one six whip. He is
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse at home, but still three point
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: two four ERA is not bad and he is in
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: good for him. Unlike Cease, he had a one point
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: eight five ERA and five June starts with a thirty
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: three to six strikeout walk ratio, walking nobody in three
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: straight starts, going at least six innings in every one
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: of those, and he allowed no more than two runs
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: in any start over the month of June. It hasn't
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: a lot of home run in four straight starts, so
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: Sanchez has been quite good. He faced some weak offenses.
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: Miami Houston is.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: Mediocre, Pittsburgh very week, Toronto twice over. That'span. Toronto's okay.
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: So but I still think we gotta say Sanchez is
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: pitching well right now and against San Diego.
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: As I pointed out yesterday.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: He has good numbers and forty three at bats, thirteen
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: to one strikeout walk ratio excusey two point nine average,
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: and five ninety nine to ops. So I like what
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: we're seeing with Sanchez's numbers here, man, So I'm gonna
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: recommend first five innings Philadelphia in Game two.
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: I like Sanchez to outpitch Dylan sees here.
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: The money has agreed with me and come in on
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: the Philadelphia side up for minus one forty. You minus
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: one fifty two, seventy percent of tickets, ninety eight percent
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: of the cash coming in on Philadelphia in that game.
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: So I like it.
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: I like it more than Game one, where Game one
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: looks like the money's actually coming in on San Diego
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: as they flipped from plus one hundred dogs to a
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: minus one o nine road favorite just because Abel gets
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: no respect in the market.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: But San Diego is very public.
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: There seventy percent of tickets, seventy seven percent of the cash.
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: Uh so they do have the cash coming in on them,
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: but they are public. So again, I'm not recommending a
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: playing Game one of the series Game two. I'm recommending
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: a play on what I think is actually an anti
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: public home favorite in Philadelphia in Game two, again taking
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: the bullpens out of the equation. I mean, we don't
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: really have to worry about what happens in Game one
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: as far as the bullpen usage. And the other thing
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: I like about this is that San Diego is a
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: pretty bad road team.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: They're twenty and twenty five on the road, as I
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: pointed out yesterday, and Philly's good at home twenty seven
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: and fourteen, So I think we're getting some edges there
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: first five innings, Game two in the Philadelphia game there
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: against San Diego.
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: I can't.
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: I can't even keep up with what's going on in
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: the chat man on notable Jews and sports. I mean, yes,
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: there are probably a lot. They're all in ownership, though
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: most of them are in ownership, except Hall of Fame
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: or Rod Caru if you want to sing the Ahonicas
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: on there, he's the one that I remember. And Kevin
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: Yuculus right another Red Sox even though he's the Greek
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: god of walks or whatever.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: Will what's up? Man?
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out everybody trying to at least hit
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: everybody that appears in the chat. At least a lot
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: a lot going on in the chat. Chat is bumping
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: here all right?
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: Next up?
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: Where did I leave off? Detroit Washington? This is also
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: a doubleheader. Yesterday ran everywhere yesterday, man, so yesterday was
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: postponed Yesterday. We're gonna have Trevor Williams against Jack Flaherty.
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: I almost said John Jack Flaherty. Today, the pitching matchups
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: have shifted, have split across the games now, just like
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia and San Diego are doing. So we don't get
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: the same starting pitching matchup now with two games here,
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: game one in the afternoon, Detroit and Washington. Detroit is
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: going with a bullpen game with Tyler Holton listed as
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: a starter here four point three four ERA, one point
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: two six WHIP. Not a whole lot to really dig
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: into with Holton because you know, he's only gonna probably
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: be in the game for about one to two innings,
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: probably less than two innings. So we're gonna get a
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: bullpen game from Detroit here now. Detroit, of they're the
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: team that does that the most right now with aj
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: Hinch knowing how to manage bullpen games. Detroit has a
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: good bullpen and they rested yesterday, so it might not
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: be the worst situation for Detroit going with a bullpen game.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: They're up against Trevor Williams, who I don't like him,
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: as I pointed out yesterday. I mean, his numbers are terrible.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: Five point six five VRA, one point four to seven WHIP.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: He's been bad both home in a way it doesn't
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: even really matter. I had an eighteen to five strike
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio in June across five starts, which wasn't
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: that bad. But Washington lost four of the five starts,
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: and he gave a bunch of runs five point five
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: to five VRA, so he was not keeping opposing offenses
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: in check, even though the peripherals actually looked okay for Williams.
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: But I'm not ready to say that Williams is like
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: a betable pitcher right now. I don't really think he
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: is beta ball, not betable, betable. I don't know, man,
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: he's got that nice beard. You might want to, you know,
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: take that guy to bed with you.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know. But he does have good numbers.
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: Against Detroit and only three of their hitters have ever
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: seen it before, which I pointed out yesterday one ninety
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: four average against a five eighty ops, with Hoavier by
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: As having almost all the track record against Detroit.
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: Some of this is Jack.
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: Flaherty, so we can kind of just throw him out.
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: So really for Detroit, it's mostly just buy As who
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: has faced him before. So Williams is at least unfamiliar
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: to Detroit. And if you look at what's going on
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: in the market, Detroit's very public, ninety tickets and only
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: eighty seven percent of the cash, and they've already dropped
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: for minus one sixty five to minus one forty nine,
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: So the professional money is coming in on. Washington is
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: the home underdog in that game, basically saying, well, Williams
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit better than he looks right now.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: He's unfamiliar to Detroit, and Detroit is going with a
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: bullpen game, so it looks like Washington is taking some
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: of the professional money. So take from that what you will.
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: I guess, thank you, Scott, Yeah, chat for the win. Correct.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what you I still have no idea
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: what's going on? What game?
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: Are you guys talking about your disgrace. That's not true, Scott,
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: unless you're I don't know, you're losing a game to
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: a woman. Then if that's the case, then yes, you're
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: a disgrace. Milwaukee at New York Mets. Let's go with it, man,
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: I gave this play out yesterday, and out's at a
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: little bit of a better price, and we're gonna go
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: with it. This is Game one, same pitching matchup as yesterday,
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: Freddy Peralta against Clay Holmes. I'm gonna go with Milwaukee here, man, Mets.
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: I still I don't like what's going on with the Mets. Man,
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: even though yeah, they have an extra day to kind
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: of think about this and bounce back from losing a
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: bunch of games here. But again, as I pointed out yesterday,
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: they have not been good since their Pride celebration basically,
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: which I think God is kind of smacking them down
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: a little bit for being like sodom mites and whatever.
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: They had the worst of the Pride celebrations that we
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: saw at least footage of, and they have been horrible
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: pretty much since.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Then, losing all but three games over.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: That entire span. The Mets have completely fallen apart. Yet
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: there's still only two games behind Philadelphia. There are two
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: games out of first place, although they were in first
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: place prior to that. I'm not ready to say the
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: Mets are going to bounce back in this game, though. Man,
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: I don't love this this game for the Mets. Here,
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: if we look at the market read here, I think
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: that we're looking at I think the market is at
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: least sort of indicating that it kind of agrees with us. Here.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Let me see where are we looking here?
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: Let me see, I'm looking at the other game here,
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: hold on Milwaukee, and yeah, here it is so we
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: have seventy percent of tickets and only sixty six percent
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Mets here line has dropped
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: from just one thirty one twenty two, so the money
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: is moving against the Mets here towards Milwaukee, and I
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: agree with that. The Mets are public, they're a home
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: favorite here, and I think we get the advantage of
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: the pitching matchup here. We're gonna go full game on
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: this because even though I know the Mets have the
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: better bullpen here, which we're looking at here, the Mets
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: have kind of tailed off though they're kind of down
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: in the middle of the pack now bullpen wise, and
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's bullpen isn't that much worse anymore, even though they're
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: is above four, which isn't good. But there's kind of
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: been this convergence here where these bullpens are not looking
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: like they're that different at this point.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: So we'll go full game. Bullpen's arrested here.
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: Just like I said yesterday, we're looking a lot at
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup here, Freddy Parolta pitching. By the way,
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee also is a better offense on the road, so
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: we at least get that as well, But we get
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's best pitcher or maybe second best pitcher now as
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: Mizzierowski is probably their best, and he's pitching Game two here.
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: Freddy Paralta two point ninety RA one point one to
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: three whip. He's been really good this year.
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: He is worse on the road, so that is something
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: to worry about a little bit with a four point
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: h two road era, and mostly because he's allowed way
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: more home runs on the road for whatever reason.
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: But I'm not as concerned about it here. He is
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: in good form. I'm Milwaukee won his last three starts
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: thirty two to eight strike a walk ratio in June,
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: had six or more strikeouts and four of the five
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: starts three point two to one over that span. He's
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: pitching well and he has good numbers against the Mets.
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: His sixty three at bats too many walks sixteen to
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: ten stray a walk ratio, and with Peralta, you do
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: get a little bit of wildness out of him, but
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: you get decent strikeout numbers and he doesn't give up
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: that many hits. And to the Mets, he's held into
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: a one forty three average and a six four OPS,
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: which is higher than you'd think with a one forty
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: three average a lot but still not very high, So
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: I like Paralta coming into this one against Clay Holmes,
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: who has a two point nine to seven ERA, but
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: his one point two four whip is kind of telling
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: you there's something not quite right about homes Isiray is
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: a little bit higher at home three point one three
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: ERA at home June. If you start looking at his
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: June numbers, two point nine three ERA was good in
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: five starts, but nineteen to twelve strike a walk ratio
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: is kind of telling you there's something going on here
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: man and his walk numbers.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: Have gone up over the last few starts.
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: Granted, both of those worst starts are against Atlanta, so
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: maybe Atlanta just has some sort of advantage against him,
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: but still, he walked ten guys over those last two outings.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: Over the last three outings, only went five innings at
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: most in each of them, walked at least two in
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: each of the three, so he has not been in
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: good form over the last few starts. So I don't
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: trust homes here as much as I trust Peralta. He
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: doesn't have a lot of history against Milwaukee twelve at bats,
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: but they do have two walks to two strikeouts, a
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: two fifty average not that high. Seven to seventy four,
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: oh ps, a little bit higher, mostly because Yelich has
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: hit him pretty well three for five with two doubles.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: So I am gonna recommend exactly what I recommended yesterday,
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: just a little bit of a better price here at
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: plus one twelve on the money line. And I think
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: this is gonna be the last play I'm gonna give
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: out today, Milwaukee in game one plus the money line
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: price there as an underdog, I think we're getting, dude,
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: You're getting Peralta as an underdog. That is something I
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: think you got to look towards. I like it against
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: a team that is just not playing well as well.
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: So Milwaukee in the first game of the doubleheader as
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: the underdog. Game two's of those double headers either way,
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: let's just hit those right now.
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: Way too many comments, guys, JR. What's up man? Thanks
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: for hanging out, Andrew, what's up man? Yet? I'm gonna
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: talk about that at the end of the show.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: Actually, if you want me to the Big Beautiful Bill
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: or whatever the hell the BBB, I'll talk about it
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: because it is a travesty, man. It is disgusting. So
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: I will talk about that at the end of the show.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: At Game two Detroit Washington, Jack Flaherty was gonna pitch yesterday.
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: He is now pitching in Game two today against Mackenzie Gore,
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: so he gets he has to face a much better
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: pitcher in this game. So that sucks for flarity. Flaherty
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: has not been pitching well recently. Man this season not
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: great either, four point eight ERA, one point two to
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: three whip. He's been really bound on the road six
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: point one to seven roady IRA, and he's been bad
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: over his last few starts for the most part. A
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: six point eight forty array in June twenty eight to
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: sixteen strike a walk ratio, So he was not good
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: in June, walking way too many guys walking at least
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: three over his last four starts a piece.
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: He had two starts in a row where he gave
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: up fifteen.
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: Runs and didn't even make it past four and two
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: thirds innings, and either of them bounced back a little
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: bit against the A's and home, but Detroit's better at home.
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: He struck out seven, which was good, but he still
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: walked four guys in that start, so that's still a
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: little bit of a cause for alarm. I don't think
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: Flaherty is totally back here. He's in bad form. He
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: does have good numbers against Washington in his history though,
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: sixty eight at bats, eighteen to five strail walker ratio,
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: two PHO six average, six forty three ops. So Flowerty
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: has done well against Washington in the past, but you
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: have to kind of line that up with him being
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: in bad form, and I think him being in bad form,
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: I think that kind of trumps his matchup numbers against Washington.
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: It just becomes a situation where I don't quite want
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: to get involved in the game. And then McKenzie Gore
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: on the other side has been pretty good. Three point
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: zero nine ERA, is slightly high, one point two WHIP.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: He's been really good at home point two to seven
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: home THERA pretty good in June as well over five starts,
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: a two point nine to three ERA and a twenty
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: eight to nine strail walk ratio, but his walk numbers
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: increased as well. He walked seven over the last two outings.
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: It was against the Dodgers and San Diego on the
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: road though, so a couple of pretty good offenses. But
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: maybe he's not a great form either right now. Gore
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: and Washington has lost his last four starts. But he
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: also barely got any run support in most of those games.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of a problem when you're a good
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: pitcher and you don't have a good offense backing you.
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: Detroit really has very little experience against Gore, so I
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: think Gore does have the edge over Flowerty in this game.
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: Detroit only his two hitters we've ever seen it before,
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: and they're two for six off him lifetime with the
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: no extra base hits, one walk, one strikeout.
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: So not a whole lot to read into there.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: When I looked at the money earlier, though, the money
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: was actually coming in against Gore. As you see, Detroit
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: has actually flipped from plus one o four to minus
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: one to eight. Here they a public in both games,
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: seventy four percent tickets, eighty seven percent of the cash
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: on Detroit.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: You're in game two.
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: I think part of the feeling is probably that, well,
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: Detroit has a bullpen game going in game one, right,
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: so that means Detroit's gonna use a lot of their
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: bullpen in game one. But then again, Washington has a
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: really bad bullpen, so I think it kind of becomes
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: a wash though, So if I was looking at this game,
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: you're getting Washington as an underdog here as an anti
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: public underdog with what I think is the better starter
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: or who I think is the better starter and Gore,
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: I would probably look to Washington moneyline in the first
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: five innings and just don't deal with the bullpens, but
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: just go with the starting pitching matchup there. I would
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: probably lean that way, Washington moneyline first five innings in
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: game two, and then in game one, like I said,
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: the money was looking like it was indicating on Washington
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: in the first game there wherever the hell that is
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: this board is all over the place, man, this is
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: the interleague, and then the other ones are listed is
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: right in games for whatever reason, the extra games that
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: are kind of all the first games in the afternoon. Yeah,
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: so the money in game one is coming in on
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Washington for whatever reason, even though Trevor Williams pretty bad.
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: So I would probably be looking at an over in
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: game one, to be honest, but it's very public. Ninety
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: three percent take as ninety six percent of the cash
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: on the over totals dropped a little from nine and
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: a half to nine. Osmakers threw it out at a
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: nine for a reason, though man total a lot lower
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: in Game two, because the starting pitchers are obviously better
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: at eight in Game two.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: So I probably would say over in.
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: Game one and Washington moneyline first five innings Game two
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: is probably the way I'm looking at those two games.
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: And Game two of Milwaukee and the Mets. Is Mizierowski, who.
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: I just mentioned.
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: He's dude, he's maybe one of the best young pitchers
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: in baseball already.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: But the thing is, the secret is already is already out, man,
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: Like you know what I mean, Like he's no longer
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: a secret to the point where now Milwaukee's favored with him.
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: And by the way, it says undecided from the Mets here,
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: but they have decided. It looks like on Blade Tidwell starting.
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: So I talked about Slade Chaconi the other day. Oh,
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: Slade sounds like Blade the vampire hunter. Blade Tidwell actually
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: is named Blade. I mean, if that's really his legal name,
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: like his parents named him that. I mean, that is crazy, dude.
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: It's like our son is born, let's we're gonna name him,
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: like we're setting him up to be a vampire hunter.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: But now he's a pitcher in Major League Baseball. Maybe
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: he's going for the next of major league hitters. Man,
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Uh, But again Missierowski, I mean, he's
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: gotten so hyped up, especially because he just went up
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: against Paul Skeens and beat Paul Skeins, and I think
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: maybe you're not getting that much value on Missierowski anymore.
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: I would still lean his way though, in this second
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: game between Milwaukee and the Mets, because I think he's
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: a lot better than Tidwell. Like Tidwell is a young guy,
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: but we know Missierowski has amazing stuff and tid Well
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: has not been very good so far. So I think
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: you still have to look to Milwaukee in this game,
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: probably in the first five innings. Probably don't want to
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: deal with Milwaukee's bullpen, and we don't know what's gonna
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: happen with the bullpen usage in Game one. So I
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: would still lean first five innings Milwaukee in this one.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: But you having a lay of price and the money
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: is coming in against Milwaukee in this game. Down for
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty minus one, fifteen to eighty percent of
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: the tickets on Milwaukee, So Missierowski drawing a lot of
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: the public action, eighty four percent of the cash coming
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: in on the Mets though, So the Mets look like
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: they're getting the money in that game. I'm kind of
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: surprised by that though, to be honest, I mean, Miszierowski.
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: He's been really really good obviously, one point one to
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: three ERA point six y three whip. His ERA is
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse on the road at three, but
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: like very small sample size whatever. His team has won
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: all three of his starts so far. He walked a
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: lot in the first game. He had four walks in
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: his first game, but he settled down nicely overall nineteen
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: to seven, strike a walk ratio fourteen to three over
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: his last two starts.
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: Who of his three starts have been five innings shutouts.
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: He's only allowed three hits in sixteen innings, which is
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: really the insane part of all this. So that he
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: faced somewhat weak offenses Pittsburgh, Minnesota, and then he did
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: face Saint Louis in his major league debut, who's a
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: little bit of a better offense than the other two.
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: So he is stepping up in class. This is gonna
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: be the best offense that he's faced so far. But
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: he is a really good young picture with great stuff.
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: I mean He's a power pitcher. He throws over one
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: hundred miles an hour very consistently, has like a really
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: nasty hard slider as well, and I think he does
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: fairly well with a curve and maybe a change up
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: as well. So Missierowski, he's got all the stuff, man,
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: it's just a matter of stepping up in class.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: Are the Mets gonna be able to get to him
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: a little bit? I don't know, because again, a guy
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: with stuff like he has against a lineup that's never
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: seen him before tends to me an advantage to the
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: pitcher and then the Mets with Tidwell starting. If we
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: look at his numbers here, he has not been good
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: three starts, although he is still a young guy as well,
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: but he has not been effective in the majors ten
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: point one three ERA two point four to four whip.
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: He hasn't made a four innings in any of his
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: three starts. He also faced Saint Louis and Pittsburg, so
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: he has two common opponents with Mizzierowski, and he did
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: way worse and he also lost against Philadelphia.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: He has not pitched at.
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: Home yet though, so this will be his home major
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: league debut. He did go on the road for all
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: three starts so far, but still he was not good.
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: Gave up twelve and runs and ten and two thirds
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: eighteen hits, two of them runs.
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: Actually crazy.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: He's pitched like eight fewer innings than Mizzierowski has, but
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: he's allowed fifteen more hits than Mizzierowski has.
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: That's insane. He's allowed almost six.
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: Times as many hits in almost half the innings that
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: mis Zierowski has pitched.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: That is just insane.
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: And he has a seven to eight strike a walk ratio,
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: which is not good. So it doesn't look good for
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: Tidwell here, even though of course Milwaukee has never seen before.
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: But even though the money is not agree with Missy Eerrawskin.
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: I think maybe it's just because the professional better is
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: are probably feeling well. You probably shouldn't like maybe Missy
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: Rowski because he's such a young guy. Maybe we're jumping
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: the gun here and he shouldn't be favored on the road.
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man. I mean, he is the.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: Better that two starters, so I would be looking again
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee first five innings in that game. I won't elevate
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: it to being a play. Although I was considering it
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: big beautiful balls. That is correct. You do not want
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: to bet on me, man, I don't know upcoming podcasts.
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: I was on Leighton's podcast the other night, Outlawed Thoughts.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: That was the most recent appearance that I did. Go
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: to Boston. Yeah, that's right.
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: Actually, you can bet at the Encore and then run
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: down and throw the tickets into the Boston Harbor. The
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: problem is the teep already actually happened in like the
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: south part of the Boston Harbor, and the Encore is
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: up on the north part of the Harbor. Running for
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: president and winning, I think he might run in twenty
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: twenty eight or whatever. I there's no way he'll win.
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, he'll be stopped like Ron Paul does. The
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: media will go We'll go on an all out blitz
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: campaign against him.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: Live commentary on games. No, I have not done that.
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: There's just too much for me to do, Man. I
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: do this in the morning. It takes a lot to
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: do the show, so I have to do all this research.
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: Like I'm spending hours on this, and it made sense
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: when I was actually trying to win money, even though
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: now I'm actually, as I point out, I'm not actually
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: putting money on these games right now? Yeah, very zesty, Missierowski. Yeah,
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: start gambling, dude. You can take my tips for what
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: they're worth here. All right, let me get to the
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: rest of these games here, man, this is gonna be
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: way too long a video, though.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: I'm through a lot of the games. I got through
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: all the doubleheaders. All right.
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: What games have I not talked about yet? Minnesota Miami?
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: This game was an undergame yesterday. It was a game
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: that I gave out on the show. That was the
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: only game that actually took place yesterday. I gave out
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: on the show, and it was an easy underwinner that
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: I gave out for you. Both starting pitchers did well.
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: Bullpens did not see a lot of usage yesterday. Although
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: Minnesota's bullpend, I mean, they really fell off pretty recently.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: So where's Miami's is bad? Though?
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: If you look at the bullpen U said year Miami
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: bad bullpen. Minnesota has actually fallen behind Miami's though, so
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: that is crazy. So we are looking at two bullpens
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: and aren't very good here, but they are rested.
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: At least Simeon Woods.
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: Richardson is pitching from Minnesota, because I think Lopez must
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: be hurt, so Woods Richardson has to come back into
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: the rotation. He was decent last year, but I think
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: now that the league is figuring him out. He's not
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: a pitcher that has really good stuff, so he has
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: not been pitching that well here four point six three
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: ERA one point three to nine whip, not very good.
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: Worris on the Road five point five to three road
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: ERA decent in June over four starts, three point nine
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: two ERA, seventeen to eight strike out walk ratio.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: So too many walks.
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: But his last three starts he actually had two shutouts
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: over the three starts, although his team lost three two
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: of those three and three out of the four in
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: the month of June.
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: But he's been pitching a little bit better as of.
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: Late at least, and he's going up against Jansen Junk,
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: who I keep making the joke he's a junk pitcher man.
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: His numbers are actually good this year though, three point
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: seven to three ERA, one point one to five whip,
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: but he spent a lot of it coming well. Actually, no,
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: I thought he was pitching out of the bullpen earlier
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: this year, but I guess I'm wrong. He's not made
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: that many appearances I think he did come out of
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: the bullpen for some of these appearances earlier in the season,
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: but he was a long relief man and he's joined
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: the starting rotation. He was doing okay until his last start,
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: where he did not do well at San Francisco, who's
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: not a very intimidating offense, and he gave up five runs,
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: eight hits, three and two thirds innings, one strikeout, no walks.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: He didn't pitch well in that game, man, So I
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: think Junk is starting to show that he's Junk again.
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: The Minnesota has never seen him before, except Correa is
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: zero for two off him, So we'll Junk have a
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: little bit of an edge here because they haven't seen
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: him before.
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: And Woods Richardson, by the way, against Miami, they haven't
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: seen that much of him either. They only have five
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: hitters have seen him before. They're three for five off in,
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: one walk, one strikeout, six hundred average one two hundred
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: and sixty seven ops. So they have done well against
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: him in a very small sample size. But both pictures
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: are fairly unfamiliar to the opposing hitters. So what do
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: we want to do with this?
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in against Minnesota though, so the market read,
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: the most strong market read is saying Miami as a
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: home underdog here, even though they won yesterday sixty six
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: percent to take it sixty two percent of the cash
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: on Minnesota, so they're a public road favorite here and
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: they've dropped for minus one thirty to minus one sixteen.
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: So the money is saying to take the shot on
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: Miami here again, and Miami has been kind of hot
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: recently surprisingly excuse me, so I don't necessarily have much
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: of a reason to disagree with that. I mean, as
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: we saw, small sample size, but Woods Richardson hasn't done
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: well when he's faced Miami in those few at bats.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: Junk at least is less familiar to Minnesota and has
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: done okay in those at bats, So we'll see what happens.
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: Yankees are at Toronto. Toronto blasted the Yankees yesterday. That
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: was an afternoon game yesterday, Toronto with a twelve to
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: five win.
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: Toronto has won both games of the series so far.
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: So on the one hand, you think, well, the Yankees
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: are probably gonna bounce back here, and the Yankees did
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: use less of their bullpen yesterday.
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: Even I think Toronto has the better bullpen.
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: As you can see here, they are basically a top
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: third bullpen. The Yankees are kind of middle of the pack,
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: but I think it kind of evens out because Toronto
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: used a lot of their bullpen yesterday. Will Warren is
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Yankees here. He's been okay, four point
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: three seven e RA, one point three to two whip.
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: He's been worse on the road though, five point five
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: to four ROADYRA. He's been a strikeout pitcher, but he's
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: been worse on the road, and he's been walking too
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: many guys as you can see here. A two point
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: eight to sixty r in June over five starts was good.
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: The Yankees won four of those starts, but he faced
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: Kansas City Anahid Baltimore as the only really good offense
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: or decent offense he faced was the Red Sox over
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: that span. He didn't do well in that game. A
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: thirty four to eleven strike out walk race. You had
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: a really high strikeout rate but a really high walk rate,
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: So I am concerned. I mean, walking six guys over
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: his last two starts is not good despite having thirteen strikeouts.
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: So again, Warren he's got good strikeout stuff, but he's wild.
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: He's facing Toronto here, and against Toronto, Toronto's actually never
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: seen him before, So maybe that will be a little
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: bit of an advantage to Will. Maybe Will Will Warren here,
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: maybe this will warrant leaning towards the Yankees here.
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know MICUs.
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: At least he has the advantage of not having been
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: seen before by Toronto's hitters. But if you look at
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: the market, Yankees very public, seventy nine percent of tickets,
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: only seventy two percent of the cash. So the money
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: is coming in against the Yankees here. They're up for
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty. He might have won twenty three, but
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: the market, Reid is saying, you can't lay a price
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: like that with the Yankees, with Will Warren pitching on
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: the road against a divisional foe who's not that bad.
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: So I think that's basically why the money seems to
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: be coming in against the Yankees here. Barrios is pitching
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: for the Blue Jays here, he's been pretty good three
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: point two sixty ra one point two to one. Whip
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: home road splits are basically insignificant. He's been good lately,
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: with a one point nine to seventy ra in five
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: starts in June. His team has won five of his
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: last six starts at one bad start at Philadelphia in
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: June and they were a good hitting team, and his
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: other four starts were all pretty good twenty four to
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: nine strike out walk ratio over that span, coming off
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: a nice seven inning shutout with eight strikeouts against the
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: Red Sox. But he does historically do well against the
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: Red Sox, and he does not do as well.
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: Against the Yankees.
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: And one hundred and forty four career at bats, he's
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: given up nine home runs, although five of them are
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: to Judge, so by the way, if you want player
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: props hits plus runs pass RBIs, Judge is fourteen for
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: thirty seven with five home runs, two doubles, six walks,
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: eleven RBIs and seven strikeouts, so he really does thrash
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: Barrios there. And when May he was nine for twenty
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: seven with three doubles against him but nine strikeouts to
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: one walk. Overall, forty five to seventeen strike a walk
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: ratio is not good for Barrios against the Yankees two
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: eighty five average eight to seventy four ops, so to me,
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: this does seem like the Yankees have the starting pitching edge,
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: even THEO Warren overall, who has been a worse pitcher
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: than Barrios. I think the matchup numbers kind of even
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: that out, so I would probably be slightly lean into
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: the Yankees in this game, but the market read is
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: completely against it, so I don't want to do that. Monetize, well,
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: I know I have to monetize. This show is on Spreaker,
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: by the way, so you can go find you can
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: go find the Yeah, go find me on audio, and
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: if you just listen to me on audio, you will
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: be making me some money at least because I've put
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: everything out through Spreaker, justin What's up Man, No, we
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: should not be freeing R.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: Kelly. He should. He belongs with P Diddy Man.
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: Everybody that has the and like a single initial like
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: that and then a weird like second name like that. Well,
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: thank you the junk joke. I make that joke every
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: time though, joke, junk, junk jokes whatever. To get monetized
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: on this channel, I think I have to have five
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: hundred subscribers, and I've met like three hundred right now,
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: So let's get everybody to subscribe. Man and then we
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: can get some more money through that. I don't know
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: what that means, but you mean to go on. I
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: could go on rumble as well, but I don't know.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: All right, Red Sox Cincinnati here. Now this is actually
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: somewhat of a double as well, because actually yesterday's game
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: got suspended, so if you did bet yesterday's game, it
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: will complete today and that bet will count. So the
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: Red Sox had a two to one lead into the
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: fourth inning yesterday and they're gonna finish this game in
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: the afternoon today. So that's something to consider here because
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: that means there's gonna be bullpen usage. The bullpens are
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: gonna have to come into that game, right because the
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: starters will pitch yesterday will not come out again here,
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: So you got to take that into account. That game
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: is gonna be resumed and then they're gonna play a
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: night game after that, so with probably used bullpens coming
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: into the second game. So that is definitely something you
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: have to keep in mind here. I would not want
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: to deal with the bullpens. Probably part of the reason
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: why the total is kind of high in this game.
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: Red's Red Sox here. The return of Frank onna a
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: Fenway Park again. Nick Martinez is pitching this game for
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: the Reds. Here the night game four point one two
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: ERA one point one to six whip is pretty good,
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: indicating his er maybe should be lower, but he hasn't
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: been as good on the road four point eight to
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: two road ERA. Is pitching well recently, as far as
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: having a twenty four to eight strike a walk ratio
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: in June.
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: He actually made a bunch of appearances in June.
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: Because he came out of the bullpen after he had
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: a really bad starting against Minnesota. They brought him out
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: of the bullpen for a couple of outings, it looks like,
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: and then they put him back in the starting rotation.
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what they're doing with Martinez, but
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: it does look like he is back getting a starter's
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: workload again. But the thing you really have to worry
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: about here, well, he did have a five point five
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: two ERA in the month of June, which isn't good,
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: even though his strike out walk ratio is good. He's
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: coming out of a great eight inning, one hit performance
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: against the Podrays. Gave up one run, six strikeouts, two walks.
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: The problem is he threw one hundred and twelve pitches, man,
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: And when you're going from the bullpend back into the
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: starting rotation and you throw one hundred and twelve pitches,
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: which is the most he's thrown maybe in his entire career.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: I think that's a little bit worrisome.
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: I think he might do a bit worse in this game. Man.
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: And again that was at home, where he does pitch
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: better as well, So I think coming off with that,
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: I think he might have overextended Martinez. So I would
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: worry about that a little bit. Against the Red Sox
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: does not have much history. They have six at bats
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: against him, only a one sixty seven average four point
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: fifty two oh ps, so not a whole lot to
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: see their two strikeouts one walk. But Martinez, I definitely
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: worry about him being, you know, having just way over
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: extended himself in the last game. He's up against Brian Bayo, though,
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: who is also a concern. Three point four to one
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: ERA is pretty good, but a one point four to
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: four whip is not good. He's been worse at home
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: as well. Three point six era, al though that's not
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: that bad. Has Helray has been good all year. I
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: honestly don't understand how Bao keeps getting away with this
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: other than the fact that he is a ground ball pitcher.
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: So again, he's one of those guys where he gets
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: out of these jams where he puts way too many
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: guys on base because he induces a lot of ground balls, so.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: That's been saving him. Basically.
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: In the month of June, he had a two point
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: eight seven ERA, but he had a bad twenty three
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: to ten strikeout walk ratio that is way too many
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: yet again, even though he didn't allow more than the
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: three on runs. And then he started and he actually
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: started going deeper into games, finally going at least six
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: innings in all five of those starts, but the Red
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: Sox lost four out of the five starts. BeO actually
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: stopped getting a lot of run support. He was getting
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: a lot of run support and that kind of just
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: completely stopped, which is kind of crazy. So BeO has
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: actually been pitching a little bit better, but I still
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: don't trust him. He's thrown way too many pitches out
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: of the zone. He's walking too many guys against the Reds.
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: They have thirty at bats against him and they have
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: a three hundred average against him. In a nine to
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: twenty three oh ps, so that is not good. Even
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: though the eight to one straight a walk ratio is
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: pretty good, Bao has not done that well against the Reds,
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: So this game.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: I'm leaning over in the full game.
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: Here that the Red Sox have against the Reds and
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: if the bullpens get used a lot in that suspended
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: game the resumed.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: Game, it's gonna be even worse.
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: Total is sitting at nine and a half of though it
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: looks like some of the juice on the over has
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: gone away. Red Sox a run for at his oney
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: team MutS won thirty. It looks like the Red Sox
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: might not have Bao pitching here as well, because now
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: they're listed as having an undecided pitcher. So I don't
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: know what's happening with the Red Sox here. But if
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: it's somebody other than Bao who's also bad, I mean,
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: which is likely the case. If it's anybody pretty much,
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: then you might want to be looking towards the over
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: still in this game. But if it's gonna be somebody
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: like Kyle Harrison or something, you might have to like
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: rehandicap this man because he's been in the National League.
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: Gotta look at what his numbers are against Cincinnati, but
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: I don't really know what's gonna happen here. Man, Red
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: Sox got those guys in that trade. Harrison's been pitching
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: in Triple A. Jordan Hicks actually finally pitched yesterday in
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: a relief role, and he actually looked pretty good. So
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: hopefully he becomes good for the Red Sox.
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: It looks like they're using him as a.
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: Late inning reliever. Yeah, I said, ground ball pitcher. But yes,
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: all right, and let's go too. We gotta finish this off. Man.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: A lot of people in the chat, which I do appreciate.
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: Anaheim at Atlanta, man Uh, Atlanta los yesterday four to nothing,
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: So again, Atlanta might be a little bit pissed and
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: might want to bounce back from that and play a
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: little bit better after getting shut out yesterday. Of course,
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: Anaheim is a terrible bullpen. Neither bullpen is that good,
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: and Anaheim used a little bit more of theirs yesterday's. Shockingly,
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: Tyler Anderson shut out Atlanta yesterday.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: That is not something I expected. So probably both bullpens.
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: You don't really want to put any stock into the
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: bullpens coming into this one. We do have Kakuchi pitching
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: for the Angels here, and he's been okay. Two point
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: seven to ninety RA very good. One point three to
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: seven whip is not that good. He's walking too many
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: guys worse on the road four point four to seven
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: roady Ray, So he's been a lot worse on the road.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: But he's been in good form recently.
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: Over the month of June, he had a two point
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: two five ERA and a forty one to nine strike
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio. So since he walked five guys against
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox, he actually settled way down. He's walked
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: one to zero and one over the last four hours.
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: Over the last three he's struck out ten, nine and twelve,
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: So all of a sudden, Kakuchi is striking out a
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: lot of guys and not walking as many guys, so
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: he has kind of found his groove again. Man, he
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: is in really good form right now. And he bounced
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: back and pitched well against the Red Sox even though
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: they had just seen him, so he is looking really
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: good right now. Against the Braves, they have good numbers
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: against him though, in sixty eight at bats of two
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: ninety four average eight sixty three ohps, seventeen to four
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: string a walk ratio is pretty good for Kakuchi, but
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: the Braves have hit him well historically. But again, he's
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: in really good form right now. He's up against Fuentes,
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: who is a young twenty year old pitcher for the Braves.
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: He does have good stuff, but it is not translated
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: to the majors.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: In his two starts so far. I mentioned him yesterday
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: because he was almost slated to pitch yesterday. He's got a.
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: Ten point EIGHTYRA and one point eight whip, which is
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: not good. Both of his starts so far have been
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: on the road, so this is gonna be his first
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: home start and we'll see how he does. Obviously, he
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: at least has the one advantage of Anaheim not having
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: seen him before. But even so, he just hasn't really
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: pitched very effectively. He's given up three home runs already
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: in fourteen hits, tenor and runs in eight and to
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: third innings. Four to one strike a walk ratio is fine,
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: but the rest of those numbers are not good.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: He's getting hit hard. I don't think we.
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: Could trust Fuente as even though Anaheim is due to regress.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, the thing about this is that Atlanta is
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: not as bad as their record looks, and Anaheim is
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: worse than their record looks. Man Anaheim has a really
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: bad run differential, Atlanta's run differential is not that bad
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: this year, so their records are very misleading so far. Atlanta, though,
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: in this game, they're down for mist one forty to one,
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: twenty seventy percent of tickets, fifty nine percent of the cash.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: So Atlanta's public and the money is saying to fade
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: Atlanta here.
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: And I don't really disagree with him.
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, Kakuchi is in way better for him right now,
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: so maybe first five inning Anaheim makes sense just to
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: go with Kakuchi and avoid that horrible Anaheim bullpen. Uh
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: well yeah, cock Couchie, that's right, just Coochie in general. Yeah,
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: sounds ridiculous. Cleveland at the Chicago Cubs is gonna be
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: the ESPN game in the night here. Cubs just beat
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: Cleveland yesterday five to two. I gave that out as
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: a lien on the show.
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: I wish I'd given it as a play because I
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: liked Boyd yesterday.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: Facing his former team. Uh, neither bullpen saw a ton
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: of usage yesterday. A Cubs bullpen probably a little bit better.
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: Cubs did use a couple of their better relief pitchers yesterday,
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: though this game is gonna have Tanner Baby pitching for Cleveland.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: Here he's starting to pitch really well again though he's
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: definitely Cleveland's best starter or three point ninety RA at
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: one point one eight whip. He's been worse on the
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: road though, four point nine to six e ras. That
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: has definitely something to watch out for. In June, he
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: was quite good with a thirty two to five strike
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio, had really good command in June three
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: point nine to eighty RA. But he gets no run
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: support and his team is lost.
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: What is this?
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: Seven of his last nine games, he's getting absolutely no
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: run support, even though he's been pitching pretty well, so
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: that is obviously a concern. The Cleveland just can't hit
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: at all Man against the Cubs, even though they were
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: really good offense. Biby has actually done really well against him.
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: In seventeen at bats, one eighteen average, allowed three eighty
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: seven ops, so.
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: He has done really well.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: Only allowed one extra base hit a double from Kyle Tucker.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Biby does look like he matches up well
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: against the Cubs. He's going up against show to emon Naga,
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: who is really good two point five for ERA one
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: point zero three whip.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: He's been worse at home though, at Wrigley.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: So far, he's giving up six of the seven home
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: runs he's allowed this year at home four point five
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: eighty ra at homes, So the long ball has been
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: a problem for iman Naga at home.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: But he was so good last.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: Year man that I think he's gonna continue to be
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: good this year. I think it's just kind of a
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: matter of time. I mean, he's not allowed a whole
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: lot of hits at all. He did just come back
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: from injury and he had a five inning shutout, pretty
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: efficient seventy bitch has only allowed one hit to Saint Louis,
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: three strikeouts, one walks.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: That was a nice return start for Imanaga.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: So I think he is coming back and he is
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: probably in decent form right now, and he's gonna basically
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: be back to where he was quite quickly against Cleveland,
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: though his numbers actually aren't that good in eighteen at
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: bats a two seventy eight to average allowed in seven
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: ninety four ohps. Very small sample size though, so my
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: gauge on. This is probably still that we're gonna want
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: to be looking towards unders in this game, but the
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: money is coming in towards an over up from seven
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: and a half to eight, basically with juice on the
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: over seventy three percent of tickets ninety six percent of
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: The fact that the total came.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: Out at seven and a half kind of tells me
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: the wind shouldn't really be that much of a concern
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: today at Wrigley, Like it wouldn't be blowing out, I
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: guess or anything like that. And it is a night game,
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: so it'll be a little bit less hot in Chicago.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: So I'm still thinking this looks like an under matchup
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: to me, man, but the market seems to be.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: Disagreeing with it.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: I think both bullpends are indecent shape coming into this one,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: and they're not horrible bullpens, so that would kind of
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: be the way that I would be leaning in this game.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: But looks like the money is disagreeing with me, and
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on the Cubs, even though
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: to me looks like they're kind of favored by too much.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: They're down for might just one sixty. You might have
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: won fifty seven sixty five percent of tickets. Public is
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: obviously going to be on the Cubs. Cleveland is just
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: playing awful eighty nine percent of the cash on the Cubs.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: But again, I think it's a little bit of a
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: tax man because the Cubs have a better record. Everybody
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: knows I Monaga's pretty good, and looking at those matchup
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: numbers I just showed you, I think maybe that line's
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: a little bit too high, man, and maybe there is
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: some value in maybe looking to fade the Cubs here
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: as well. I'm not gonna do it. I'm not gonna
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: give out a play on this, but that's the way
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: that I look at that game. Rall, what's up? Man?
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: All right? Well, dude, do I have to prove it
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: to you? Like, what are we doing here? Fifty bucks
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: per push up? Seems like it is worth it.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: But by the way, Rale, I have him blocked on
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: Twitter because he is a fucking asshole. All he does
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: is just harassed pretty much everybody. He's a schitzo fucking idiot,
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: and all he does is just reply with bullshit on
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: every post like just yeah, with nothing productive at all.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: So rab fuck you man, all right, Baltimore Texas. Texas
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: won yesterday to end to two after losing to end
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: to six in the first game, So some very disparate
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: results in the first two. I gave out Texas as
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: a lean on the show yesterday and to Grom didn't
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: let us down. He didn't let anybody down. To Grom
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: was really good in the game yesterday. Orioles used a
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: lot of their bullpend yesterday too, so we have a
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: more rested bullpend on the side of the Rangers and
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: they other way better bullpen.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: So Texas debinitely has a bullpen edge here.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: So Gano was pitching for Baltimore here and he's starting
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: to not pitch that well. He was pitching well earlier
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: in the season, I think when you know, hitters had
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: not really figured him out yet. Now they're starting to
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: figure out out a little bit, and he's not doing
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: as well. Four point zero six ERA, one point two
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: to five whip not that great. He's been better on
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: the road though, three point two two ERA, and he
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: is facing a weak Texas offense here. Toronto's won four
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: of his last five starts, even though he had a
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: six point two ERA in June. Really started pitching poorly
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: seventeen to eight string a walk ratio wasn't good either.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: Give up way too many hits, which is really the
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: problem because the reason why he was doing so well earlier.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: Earlier in the season, he wasn't giving up that many hits,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: but now he is, and he's given up way too
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: many home runs seventeen home runs, including six in June.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: So the long ball has been a huge problem for him.
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: So that is definitely an issue, even though he was
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: getting a ton of run support in June helping him
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: out there. I don't know if what Sugano was doing
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: is sustainable, but Texas has never seen him before and
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: they are a week offense, so Sugano might actually do
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: okay in this game, just have the upper hand just
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: because he's facing an offense that hasn't seen him before.
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: He's up against ev He was having a really good
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: season one point eight seven e Ra point eight to
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: seven whip. He had a bad start last time out
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: against Seattle, but maybe we give him a little bit
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: of a pass for that because he was coming back
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: from a month off due to injury, so he was
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: kind of working his way back, so I expect I mean,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: he's a veteran pitcher, so I'm expecting he's gonna be
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: back in form at some point. I mean, he was
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: too good early in the season. I'm not sure that
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: he's gonna do that for the rest of the season.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: But I think he's gonna be better than this three inning,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: three run performance we saw against Seattle. Two walks, two strikeouts,
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: So I think he evolved. He will start pitching better
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: against Baltimore. He has decent numbers. In ninety four at bats,
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: he has a really crazy twenty nine to zero strike
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio against him. Say he Evaldi definitely very
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: good at commanding his pitches. Two fifty five average and
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: six seventy ops against for Baltimore there, So e Evaldi
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: does look like I think he's gonna do well here.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: So to me, this game looks like it's an early under.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: I would not anything to do with Baltimore's bullpen here man,
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of the way that I look at
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: I kind of think both starting pitchers will do okay here.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: Although again we see sixty seven percent tickets, eighty six
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over. Money kind of
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: coming in on the over at over eight. Again, I
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: don't really agree with that, and again I would look
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: under early in the game, first five minutes and don't
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: do anything with Baltimore's bullpen.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: Texas full game I.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Think makes sense as well, because I think Evaldi should
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: do better than he did in his last start. He's
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: got good matchup numbers, He's really really good. He's the
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: more trustworthy of the two pitchers in my opinion, and
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: Texas does have the better bullpend in in way better shape.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: They're down, for my just one forty one thirty five
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: fifty tickets fifty seven percent of the cash, so the
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: cash looks like it is kind of on the side
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: of Texas. Houston at Colorado. Colorado lost six to five yesterday,
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: so it was a close game. Houston was able to
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: hold on after they had a big early lead six
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: to nothing. They almost blew the game, but they were
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: able to still finish it off. At Houston used a
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: lot of their bullpen, but so did Colorado. So Houston
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: does have the better bullpend, but both bullpends in pretty
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: bad shape coming into this game, so that's something to
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: keep in mind. But maybe Houston doesn't have to use
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: that much of theirs because Hunter Brown is pitching, and
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: he's been really good one point seven to four ERA
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: point eight nine whip. He's been a little bit worse
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: on the road two point three six, and you gotta
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: worry about how is he going to react to pitching
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: in course field, which of course is a very difficult
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: part to pitch in. But Colorado's offense does suck, and
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: Brown is not like an extreme fly ball pitcher. Houston
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: has won six starts in a row behind him. He
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: allowed no more than touring runs in any of those
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: and allowed one or fewer and five of the six
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: one point one to ninety ara in June thirty nine
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: to twelve straight out walk right.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: He had a lot of walks in his first two.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: Starts in June nine walks in those two starts, but
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: since then he's settled down, only walked three over the
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: last three starts, meanwhile posting twenty five strikeouts over those three.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: So Brown obviously is back and form pitching really well
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: right now. Colorado actually has mediocre numbers against him. In
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: twenty eight at bats seven to four strike a walker
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: right yere two fifty average eight awaight ops. The problem
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: with looking at the matchup stats is that that was when.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: Brown was not as good as he is now.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, Brown's a young pitcher man, he struggled to
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: adapt to the majors and whatever. But he is an
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: ace pitcher now though, Man, I think all these stats
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: were back when Brown was not as good as he
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: is now. Something in Brown should do well. Here he's
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: up against Austin Gomber. Goober pitching for the Rockies. Not
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: good six point one four ERA, one point four to
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: three whip. I mean, the Rockies don't have a starter
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: that's good. So Gomber actually has a zero road erra,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: which is hilarious. His ERA at home is nine point
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: three one, so he's been bad in course field. He's
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: only made three starts of Varne. He's only made one
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: on the road, but his home starts one was actually
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: not that bad, giving up one run against the Dodgers,
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: but he only put up one strikeout, so he is
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: really not striking out a lot of guys at all.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: So Gomber, I mean, I don't think he's very good.
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: I think it might be a somber day for the
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: Rockies here is he's bad against Houston, doing a big
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: seventy at bat sample size. They have a huge four
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: hundred average against him and one thousand and sixty two
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: lbs ten to eight strikeout walk ratio, and they have
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: five home runs off him. So I think this is
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: clearly a spot where Houston has the upper hand with
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup. I think the way that you
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: should look at this game, because there's no way you
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: can lay a price with Houston is laying here, right,
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: I mean Houston's laying where are they at up for
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: minus two forty to minus two to fifty five? They're
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: very public, ninety five percent of tickets, ninety eight percent.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: Of the cash.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: What do you want to do in this game, in
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: my opinion, is go Houston over their team total. Even
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: though you're gonna have to probably get them to score
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: five and a half runs or maybe six runs. I
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: think they can do it. The numbers that they have
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: against Gomber are insane. You usually do not see offensive
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: numbers that are that extreme in a big sample size
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: like that. So I think Houston to score a lot
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: of runs here and then Colorado having to go to
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: their bullpen, which has already used up. I think that's
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: probably the way to look at that game would be
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: Houston to score a lot in that game. Uh yes,
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know what else is going on in the
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: chat here? Yeah, what's up guys, You guys should purge Rale.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: In my opinion, Rale is a terrible person. I'm not
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: even being ironic about that. He's absolutely just a flaming
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: more on on Twitter. Nothing that he says is productive.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: All he does is reply to all of our posts
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: like an absolute dipshit. He's a fucking idiot.
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: He should be purged from the ranks.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: He's not dangerous, all right, Kansas City at Seattle and
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: I don't I mean he's not dangerous, dangerous meaning a
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: good thing in that case.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: Seattle won the first game of this series, lost the
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: second game, so, oh my god. The Kansas City Royals
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: one another game. Kansas City is won a couple of
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: games recently.
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: Go figure.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: Kansas City was a lot of their bullpen in that
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: game yesterday, though, so Kansas City. They have a good bullpen,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: but their bullpen has seen a lot of usage. Noah
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: Cameron's pitching for them today. He's a good young pitcher.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: Two point seven to ninety ra one point zero one whip.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: He's been good on the road too, with a one
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: point one to one road e RA and he's pitching
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: in a very pitcher friendly park.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: Problem is, Kansas City's given him no run support and
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: he's they've lost his last five starts. But he actually
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: hasn't been good. Over his last two starts. He started
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: to regress with six walks to six strikeouts, going five
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: and a third and four innings a piece, and he's
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: giving up two warn runs and five earned runs. Although
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: maybe we give him a little bit of a pass
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: for that last game because it was against the Dodgers,
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: they are a really good offense, and his other really
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: bad start was against the Yankees, also a really good offense.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: So against the weaker offenses, he has been good. So
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: maybe he will do okay against Seattle, though Seattle's offense
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: has been fairly good recently. But Cameron, I'd have an
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: edge against him because he's never been seen before by Seattle,
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: So maybe you look towards Cameron to do okay here.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: But he's been a lot worse than his last couple
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: of starts. Man, so he is not in great form
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: right now, so I do worry about that. He's facing
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: Logan Gilbert, who has a three point five to five
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: ERA point nine to two whip for Seattle. He's obviously
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: been way better at home because that's his thing. That's
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: the thing with a lot of Seattle's pitchers two point
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: three to five home ERA. Since he came back from injury,
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: he's made three starts and he's been pretty good.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: Well, I don't know.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: Twenty three to two strike out walk rat show is
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: really good. So that's what I was looking at, like, Oh,
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: he's definitely back. His command is really good. But he
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: did allow four earned runs in each of his last
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: two starts. But he allowed four home runs over that span,
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: so of the long ball really kind of did him
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: in and I'm gonna consider that to be more of
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: a fluke.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: Those games were both on the road.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's gonna happen in Seattle, where it's
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: a much more pitcher friendly park. And his strikeout walk
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: numbers do tell you his command is there. Even though
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: his ERA it was five point eight to seventy RA
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: in the in the month of June. I think he
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: is pitching well based on his peripherals. Kansas City hits
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: him well, though, so that is a concern. And sixty
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: four at bats sixteen to eight strike a walk ratio
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: to eighty one average ninety eight ohps. So this is
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: a game that's hard to get a read on.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: To be honest, I kind of like know a cameeron
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: in the starting pitching matchup, just because he's less familiar
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: and Gilbert's matchup numbers.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: Aren't that good.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: We do see seventy nine percent of tickets, only seventy
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on Seattle. They're up for
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: minus one sixty five to minus one seventy five, So
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: I think at least you're getting know a camera who
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: is a pretty capable starting pitcher at a big underdog
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: price there. But again it's also factoring in the fact
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: that Kansas City can't hit. I'd probably be looking maybe
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: first five innings taking a shot on Kansas City in
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: a money line underdog price, and that might be the
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: way to look. And the oddsmakers are telling you low
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: scoring as they threw the total out at seven, and
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: it's flipped from juice to.
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: The over to juice on the under.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: Fifty nine percent of tickets in fifty six percent of
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over. But again I worry about
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: the the under in this game with a really tight
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: number there at seven, because again, Cameron not in good
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: form right now.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could argue that.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: Gilbert is in a great forum right now, Gilbert's matchup
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: numbers aren't that good, and Kansas City's bullpen is a
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: little bit tired, so I would worry about that. I
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: think probably Kansas City huge underdog prices early on in
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: the game might make sense as a way to look
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: San Francisco at Arizona. Arizona won the first two games
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: of the series. As Arizona has bounced back and San
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: Francisco continues to really struggle. They've actually been really bad
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: since the Devs trade, and Devers is not hitting, which
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: makes me feel pretty good as a Red Sox fan.
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: Neither team used a lot of their bullpen if today.
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: Zach Gallon actually finally had a really good game for once.
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: But both bullpens are in good shape here, but Arizona's
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: bullpen obviously is the worst of the two. San Francisco
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: has a really good bullpen, Arizona has a not good bullpen,
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: but I think Arizona has the better starting pitcher here.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: Is I don't really trust Land and Roupe.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: His three point four to three ERA looks pretty good
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: here for the Giants, but a one point four to
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: four whip is not good. He's him way worse on
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: the road to four point five six road ERA and
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: all seven home runs that he's given up and been
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: on the road, and he's in a hitter friendly park
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: here in Chase Field, so he might not do well
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: in this start. He had a three point two ERA
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: in June, which looks good in five starts, but he
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: had a really bad eighteen to fourteen stray a walk
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: ratio that is a terrible ratio, walking at least two
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: in every outing. So Roupi has these crazy breaking pitches,
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: but he is not commanding them well. And his numbers
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: against Arizona a small sample size, but they're not good
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: in nine at bats three thirty three average, seven thirty
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: three ops. So I do think Arizona should be able
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: to hit Roupe here. Merril Kelly, on the other hand,
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: is pitching well and with Corbyn Burns hurt for the
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: rest of the season, Kelly has actually been the most
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: consistent starter for the Diamondbacks. Three point four nine ERA,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: one point oh seven whip a little bit better at
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: home as well, three point three one home y Ra
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: good in the month of June as well, thirty six
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: to eight strag a walk ratio with seven strikeouts and
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: four straight starts in eight in the game before that,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: so he's actually been really pretty consistent as well. Two
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: point seven to ninety at Ray June. Merril Kelly has
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: been pretty good man up against the Giants. They do
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: have a large sample size of one hundred and forty
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: six at bats off him.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: Some kind of conflicting numbers here.
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: Thirty four to nine stragle walk ratio is really good,
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: two forty average is good, but a seven fifty six
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: ops is a little bit high. But I still kind
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: of air towards Merril. Kelly is pretty good against Sarrancisco.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: He's just allowed too many home runs eight home runs
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: and nine walks, but three of the home runs and
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 2: five walks are all Yeazz doing that damage to him,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: and Yeaz still hasn't even hit him that well, nine
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: for forty three, So I do think Meryl Kelly should
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: do well in this game. I think Kelly as the
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: upper hand in the starting pitching matchup, but I do
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: not want anything to do with Arizona's bulp, and so
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: I think I would probably lean to Arizona first five innings.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: Would probably be the way to look at this.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: They're up for mist one thirty three to miss one
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: forty two, fifty five percent ticket, sixty three percent of
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: the cash coming in in Arizona, so the money agreeing
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: with Arizona there. And then to finish it off White
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: Sox and Dodgers. I mean, Dodgers got the win yesterday
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: with Yama Moto on the mound, not surprisingly Yamamoto.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: Nice bounce backs start, really nice start.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: Shane Smith unfortunately, because I like him and he's a
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: Boston guy there, he has struggled recently, so that's not
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: great to see. Dodgers really good offense though, and in
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: this game, you're getting a bulp end game from the
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: White Sox. As Brandon Isiert is listed as the starter,
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: his numbers aren't even good four point three to three ERA,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: one point three to three WHIP, but looking at what
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: he's been doing, he's been pitching basically one inning consistently
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: for the most part when he's been out there, so
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: you're probably gonna get one to two innings from probably
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: fewer than two innings. So it's gonna be a White
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: Sox bulp end game here, which looks really ugly because
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: their bullpen's not good and they're going up against Kershaw,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: who is starting to pitch well again.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: He's returning to form.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: Man a three point zero three ERA, one point one
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: to nine whip two point two eighty R ran five
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: starts in June. The Dodgers won all five of those starts,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: and he had a twenty three to seven strike a
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, and his first start wasn't even very good
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: against the Mets. And since then he's gone five innings
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 2: or more in all four of the remaining four starts
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: there and allowed two or fewer and runs and all
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: of them walked two or fewer in all of them.
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: So he is returning to form quite nicely, facing a
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: bad White Sox offense, although they've actually been good against Kershaw,
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: even though only five of them have seen him before
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: in seventy at bats, they've actually had a two to
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: eighty six average eight ten ops offense, so they've actually
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: hit him pretty well.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: Slater has three home runs.
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: Off of Kershaw there, but overall, I mean, sixteen to
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: four straggle walk ratio is not that bad. Overall, I
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: still expect Kershaw to do fairly well in this game,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: but there's no way that you can lay minus three
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: twenty Dodgers up for minus three hundred and minus three
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: twenty ninety five to think it's ninety nine percent of
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: the cash. I'd probably be looking maybe Dodgers over their
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: team Dotle again in this one, just to blast the
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: White Sox pitching here. Although it looks like Sean Burke
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: is now listed as the starter for the White Sox,
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: so probably it looks like maybe Isert was gonna be
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: the opener, but now actually, let's take a look, it's
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: gonna be Sean Burke. But I assume the Dodgers have
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: never seen Burke before because he's also a hometown guy
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: from Boston or from the Boston area.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: He's a young guy. Where's Burke at? Here? He is?
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: But he hasn't been pitching well. Four point two two
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: ERA one point four to two whip five point eight
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: two e RA on the road that is bad, hasn't
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: been that great recently. Well, twenty three to six strike
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: a walk right here in June is not that bad.
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: Four point two to ninety RA mediocre, But I still
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: think he's probably gonna get lit up by a pretty
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: good Dodgers offense. Even though the Dodgers haven't seen him before,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: I still probably would say, if you have to play
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: this game, Dodgers over the team dot is probably still
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: the way to look in that game.
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: And that's gonna do it.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: Two plays.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: I gave out a Milwaukee Brewers underdog pricing Game one,
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: which is a carryover from yesterday. I gave it out
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: as a play yesterday and it's still the same pitching matchup.
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: And Philadelphia Phillies in Game two in the first five
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: innings at minus one thirty, and those are gonna be
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: the two plays I'm gonna give out there, Robin, what's up?
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. More teams named the Socks. There
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: are some in like minor leagues and stuff, no idea,
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: Thank you, Scott. All right, now, I want to get
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: this done and get this video up, especially because we
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: do have afternoon games here. Well, the video is gonna
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: be up so people can see it live, but I
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: gotta get it out on audio as well. Yeah, I'm
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: gonna talk about the BBB really quick here. The Big
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: Beautiful Bill, so the Senate version of The Big Beautiful Bill.
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: So as we saw gambling. Twitter was going crazy. I'm
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: gonna try to explain this. Yesterday, the Senate slipped this
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: portion into the bill, which is like, people are gonna
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: look at this and people that don't know what they're
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: talking about and don't know any thing about the betting
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: industry are gonna think that it is just kind of
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: a meaningless thing.
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: But it is not at all.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 2: It is a horrific addition to this bill. And you
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: can find gamblers that have explained this on Twitter as
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: well if you want to look at those guys.
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: Because I'm a little bit.
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: More retired than they are, so I might not explain
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: it as well as they do.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: But and hopefully this thing doesn't pass.
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: But I don't know me because if it gets to
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: Trump's desk, he is gonna pass it because it's that big,
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: beautiful bill. It's the biggest, it's the most beautiful. Everything
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: in here is beautiful, but it's all beautiful. We're gonna
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: pass this bill.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: No, the bill is horrible, and this is one of
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: the worst parts of this bill. So this is what
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: the Senate added.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: Okay, so I'm gonna try to use numbers that kind
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: of make this easier to explain. It kind of makes
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: sense here now the way that gambling has worked since
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: it's been legal, which really has only been the case
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: for the last couple of years, and it's not in
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: every state. It's a state by state, which it should
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: still just be state by statement. States should just be like, no,
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: fuck you, we're gonna reject this. So the way gambling
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: has worked is you kind of report it in a
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: couple of different ways where you get taxed on your
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: winnings as if it's income. Okay, that makes sense, So okay, cool.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: So there are still guys who are gonna want to
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: not get tax and they're gonna still go.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: There're offshore books.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: Which is, you know, illegal technically, but guys that are
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: not like in Vegas and whatever, not in a place
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: where you could legally gamble before a couple of years ago,
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 2: we're doing that anyway, betting at the offshore books. I'm
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: not saying anything about what I was doing myself, although
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: maybe but the offshore books were a thing. But now
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: the government has kind of cracked down on the offshore
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: books to like five dimes. You can't even use it
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: anymore in the US and whatever, and they won't cater
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: to any US customers anymore. So even if you VPN
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: into their website, you can't even you're not even allowed
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: to bet with them anymore. Okay, So anyway, if this
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: bill passes, the gambling industry is maybe gonna be come
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: that again.
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: For sports betting, it's gonna be offshore books again.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: For poker, it's gonna be way worse because poker, the
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: online poker industry got crippled in around like two thousand
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: and nine or so, because I remember I used to
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: play poker online during the heyday of it when I
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: was in college, like six oh seven around there, and
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: then the government did this very similar thing and they
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: completely cracked down on it. They did a similar thing
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: and they just wiped out, uh, basically the online poker
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: industry where they cracked down on the poker sites and
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: they basically just they made it basically completely untenable. I
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: forget exactly what they did to the poker sites, but
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: at that point, that's when I switched over to sports
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: benning because you couldn't play poker anymore from money, which
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: is completely ridiculous. You ken at casinos obviously, But anyway,
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: the online poker industry got destroyed. And this is gonna
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: destroy the online sports benning industry, and it's probably gonna
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: destroy in person poker as well. Now because what's happening
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: now is okay, the way that you get tacked, So
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: say you bet legally. The way you get tax right
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: now is you get taxed on your your income on
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: your winnings. Okay, that makes sense, right, You get taxed
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: a certain percentage on your winnings. Okay, and let's say
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: for my purposes, let's say it's you get tax fifty percent.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: I know it's not fifty percent, but let's say that
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: it is. Okay, So say you win. Say you have
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 2: a year where you're a high volume player, right, So
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: say you're in sports betting, you are betting like tons
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: and tons of money, right, which when I was doing it,
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: I was probably putting up you know, I probably had
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: about three hundred thousand like in play over the course
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: of like an entire year. It adds up, right, So
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: say you do something like that, your high volume, So
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: you just want to win like fifty three to fifty
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: five percent of your bets in sports betting and then
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: you can profit on it. Right, So you have a
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: very thin razor thin margin in order to win at
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: doing this. Okay, So say you win one million, one
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: hundred thousand, Say say that's the amount that you've won
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: over the course of the year on your winning but
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: you've also lost a million.
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: Okay, so that gets split into two different numbers.
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: Right, So overall you put two hundred ten or you
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: know whatever, you had millions, hundreds of millions or wait
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: a minute, how do I want to just no, let's okay.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: So let's say you won a million, one million, one
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: hundred thousand. Yeah, let's do it that way, and you
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: lost one million on your losing bets. Okay, So you
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: actually you won on the year, right, you were up
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: one hundred thousand. And the way that would get taxed,
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: say right now, say that your income gets taxed fifty percent.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: That means that fifty percent comes out of that one
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: hundred thousand that you actually won, So you still you
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: would have to pay fifty thousand on that, but you
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: still won fifty thousands, so you still profit. And I
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: know I'm using an extreme example here, but that makes
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: sense to you. Right, So you still profited, and the
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: reason for that is that on your losses you're losing
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: bets that you had, they're completely tax deductible. There are
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: one hundred percent tax deductible. So that one million of
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: losing bets that you had, you don't have to declare
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: any taxes on it, zero percent, right, you don't have
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: to pay taxes on that. Now, what this is going
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: to do in the Big Beautiful Bill is that you
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: can only deduct ninety percent of the losses instead of
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: one hundred percent. So think about what that means. So
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: if in that situation, if those are the other numbers,
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: that completely eliminates your profit, because what that would mean
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: is that you can only deduct the nine hundred thousand
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: out of the million that you lost. So what that
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: essentially means is that you're getting taxed as if you
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: won two hundred thousand, or as if you you know,
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: had two hundred thousand more that you won then you lost,
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: if that makes sense, right, instead of the one hundred
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: thousand that you actually were up.
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: Because the because this is the way the taxes.
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: Are going to work, they're going to tax you as
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: if you profited two hundred thousand instead of one hundred thousand,
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: and if you pay fifty percent taxes on that, then
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: you're paying one hundred thousdacts instead of fifty thousand, which
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: means that the one hundred thousand that you won that
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: gets completely.
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: Wiped out, so you actually will profit zero.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 2: And there are certain situations with like really high volume
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: players where say you're like betting in the millions just
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: to profit you know, hundreds of thousands or whatever, So
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: it is your income. You're making like a couple hundred
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: thousand a year on this, that's the way that you
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: make income. The way that the numbers could work out,
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: it could not only just wipe out your entire profit,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: but it could make you actually have to pay the government,
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: so you actually only not profit, but it could work
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: out so that you actually lose money on it even
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: though you won money betting. So this would actually set
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: up situations where a lot of professional betters that do
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: it that way, it's completely untenable. They would not be
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: able to even do it anymore. So if that makes sense,
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: that's why this is so bad. Hopefully that makes sense.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: I've retweeted some videos where people talk about it as well,
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: and some tweets where people have explained it, so you
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: can go check that out. If I'm not a very
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: good explainer so yet I'm explaining betting here as well.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: Hopefully that makes sense to everybody. Thanks for hanging out everybody,
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: Learn to toad on Twitter, and good to see you
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: as well. Trying to shout out at least everybody that's
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: been in the chat here. Thanks for everybody for hanging out.
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: Learn to toad on Twitter, Give send go dot Com,
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: slash tower, ging, tot of s love if you want
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: to support me, but I probably prefer tips through venmok
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: and cash app, which are through You can do that
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: through Twitter as well. Better off Debt is now on Instagram,
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: so you can check that out as well. That is correct,
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: or it very well could eliminate all of your winnings. Yeah,
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: and more than that, yes, depending on how the numbers
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: work out.
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: Yes.
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: So and again, when you're trying to profit by sports gambling,
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: it's razor thin man, razor thin margins. So that would
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: really it would make it basically so that you wouldn't
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: be able to win at doing it anymore. Yeah, that's
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: right man. So anyway, better off Dead is on Instagram
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: as well at off dead better, which is what I'm
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: using for the tag everywhere because I fucked it up
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: when I first did it on YouTube, and I am
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: on the audio platforms now as well. So you can
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: listen to this on audio, and please do because I
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: have that portion of it monetized, and I'm gonna be
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: doing something with Covered in yuke Man. Covered in yuke
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: is my yuke channel that is on YouTube. I'm starting
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: to post every yuk cover that I'm gonna post on Twitter.
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna post there as well. I'm gonna have a
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: Patreon that's learned it owed and Patreon supporters. I'm probably
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: gonna give you guys like a Spotify feed with all
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: the yuke covers that I do and probably the highest
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: Patreon level. I'm gonna prioritize yuke covers that are requested
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: from people.
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: So that's what I'm gonna do.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: If you want to make a living, do a poker,
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: you have to do it in person, and if this big,
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: beautiful built passes, it's basically gonna make it impossible to
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: do it. So I don't want to blackpill or anything,
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: but that's the way that it is now. You can
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: you can't do it online anymore as of like fifteen
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: years ago. At this point and that is not every
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: have been fixed like that's just been the case since then.
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: They completely wiped out the online poker industry for professionals,
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 2: and professionals will do it in person right now, but
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: if this BBB passes, they won't be able to do
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: that either, which is why you see the poker communities
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: up in arms right now. They're really flipping out about this.
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: All right, that's gonna do it for me. Have a
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: good day, everybody. Uh yeah, you'll have to play all
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: underground poker games man, all under the table.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: That's true.
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: I kind of want to play poker more than I do.
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, I used to play it quite a bit.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: I'm good at recognizing betting patterns, man, I'm a noticer.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: Peace out everybody, Thanks for hanging out today, long video today.
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it.