Latest / Elon Musk Thinking / Latest: Elon Musk speaks at Dubai's World Governments Summit!!!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: You know, what I've said is that we really have
- 0:03Speaker 1: here rule of the bureaucracy as opposed to rule of
- 0:08Speaker 1: the people democracy.
- 0:10Speaker 2: So in order we want to restore the rule of
- 0:15Speaker 2: the people.
- 0:15Speaker 1: And so what that means is reducing the size of
- 0:17Speaker 1: the federal government, uh, basically reducing regulation. You know, there's
- 0:26Speaker 1: there's a there's a tremendous amount of of overregulation that's
- 0:29Speaker 1: happened over time. And this is this isn't an inevitable
- 0:33Speaker 1: consequence of a long period of prosperity, is.
- 0:36Speaker 2: That you're going to get more and more rules and regulations.
- 0:40Speaker 1: More laws accumulate over time, and the normal forcing function
- 0:45Speaker 1: for getting rid of rules and regulations is war. So
- 0:48Speaker 1: it needs to be some kind of existential war where
- 0:50Speaker 1: you have to do a reset in order to avoid
- 0:57Speaker 1: being defeated in a war. This is literally the throughout
- 1:00Speaker 1: history has been the main forcing function for clearing out
- 1:03Speaker 1: an accumulation of laws and regulation. In the absence of that,
- 1:08Speaker 1: every year you get more laws and regulations, until eventually
- 1:11Speaker 1: everything is illegal and nothing is permitted. And that's sort
- 1:14Speaker 1: of the situation we have these days. So the aspiration
- 1:21Speaker 1: here there is a reduction in regulation and reduction in
- 1:27Speaker 1: government spending such that the economy is able to grow faster.
- 1:34Speaker 1: Maybe the economy can grow at four or five percent
- 1:37Speaker 1: potentially in terms of real useful goods and services output,
- 1:42Speaker 1: and then government spending can be reproduced by about three
- 1:48Speaker 1: or four percent of the economy, about maybe a trillion
- 1:50Speaker 1: dollars or more. And the net effect of that would
- 1:53Speaker 1: be no inflation from twenty five to twenty twenty six.
- 1:58Speaker 2: So quite remarkable.
- 2:01Speaker 1: And also, if the US government is buying less debt,
- 2:03Speaker 1: which I think will be the case, if it's if
- 2:05Speaker 1: the depths it drops from two trillion to one trillion,
- 2:08Speaker 1: then there will be one trillion.
- 2:10Speaker 2: Less debt the governor's spy, which will drop. Of course,
- 2:12Speaker 2: interest rates.
- 2:13Speaker 1: To drop significantly, and that means people's mortgage payments, car payments,
- 2:21Speaker 1: credit card payments, student loans, whatever debt they have, will
- 2:25Speaker 1: their debt payments will be less. So I think this
- 2:28Speaker 1: is something that will benefit the average American. I think
- 2:33Speaker 1: some of the things we're doing also will be helpful
- 2:35Speaker 1: to hopefully helpful to other countries because with the new administration,
- 2:40Speaker 1: there's less interested in interfering with the affairs of other countries.
- 2:47Speaker 2: You know, I think a lot of the times the
- 2:52Speaker 2: United States has been kind.
- 2:53Speaker 1: Of pushy in international affairs, which may resonate with a
- 2:59Speaker 1: number of the audience. And I think we should in
- 3:04Speaker 1: general leave other countries to their own business and basically
- 3:09Speaker 1: America's mind its own businesses, you know, rather than push
- 3:15Speaker 1: forward regime change all over the place.
- 3:18Speaker 2: So yeah, it was probably good by the countries too.
- 3:24Speaker 3: So instead of waiting for the war to happened, you
- 3:26Speaker 3: went to war against the bureaucracy in the government.
- 3:30Speaker 1: Yes, we're well, we're essentially just we're with you know,
- 3:37Speaker 1: the support and direction of the President Trump. We are
- 3:43Speaker 1: reducing the size of the bureaucracy, getting rid of excess
- 3:48Speaker 1: regulatory regulations. And there's also so many agencies and regulatory
- 3:54Speaker 1: authorities that they're actually stepped on each other's feet. It's
- 3:57Speaker 1: it's kind of like having a sports game where there
- 4:01Speaker 1: are too many referees on the field, like more referees.
- 4:03Speaker 2: Than players at times.
- 4:05Speaker 1: Now, that would be a silly game, you know, if
- 4:07Speaker 1: the players can't pass the ball without hitting a referee,
- 4:10Speaker 1: you know. But it's kind of getting to that point
- 4:13Speaker 1: in the US. So there's roughly four hundred and fifty
- 4:17Speaker 1: federal agencies of one kind or another. That's that's more agencies.
- 4:22Speaker 1: That's almost that's almost an average of two agencies per
- 4:25Speaker 1: year since the formation of the United States. So, I mean,
- 4:29Speaker 1: how many agencies do you really need to run a country?
- 4:32Speaker 1: I'm ninety nine, not four hundred and fifty, that's for sure.
- 4:36Speaker 3: So, and and how do you guarantee that all the
- 4:41Speaker 3: incredible achievements that you aim to have in terms of savings,
- 4:44Speaker 3: in terms of you know, impacting the lives of the
- 4:47Speaker 3: American people, I'm not going to be reversed in four years.
- 4:50Speaker 3: Typically the cycle gets reversed every four years. You know,
- 4:54Speaker 3: do you think it's going to be so impacted that
- 4:56Speaker 3: it won't be reversed? Is there any ways that you can,
- 4:59Speaker 3: you know, ensure that the progress is going to be continuous?
- 5:04Speaker 1: Well, I think I think we need we do need
- 5:05Speaker 1: to delete entire agencies, as opposed to leave part of
- 5:12Speaker 1: them behind, because if you leave part of them behind,
- 5:15Speaker 1: it's easy. It's kind of like if they're leaving a weed.
- 5:18Speaker 1: If you don't remove the roots of the weed, then
- 5:21Speaker 1: it's easy for the weed to grow back. But if
- 5:23Speaker 1: you remove the roots of the weed, it doesn't stop weeds.
- 5:26Speaker 2: From ever growing. Back, but it makes it harder.
- 5:28Speaker 1: So so we have to really delete entire agencies, many
- 5:32Speaker 1: of them. And that's not to say there won't be
- 5:37Speaker 1: an increase over time of bureaucracy in some new administration,
- 5:41Speaker 1: but it will, it'll be from a much lower baseline.
- 5:46Speaker 2: So it's it's a step in the right direction. I think. Well,
- 5:50Speaker 2: the overwatching goal here is like.
- 5:51Speaker 1: It's to lay the validation for prosperity that will last
- 5:55Speaker 1: many decades, you know, maybe centuries and yeah, but forever.
- 6:02Speaker 2: Nothing's forever. But I think we can strengthen the foundations
- 6:07Speaker 2: of the United States substantially.
- 6:10Speaker 3: And what lessons can other governments learn from us? You
- 6:13Speaker 3: say tech support on your shirt? Is that only technology
- 6:17Speaker 3: or is there other things? How do you approach efficiency?
- 6:22Speaker 1: Well, a shocking percentage of the problem or maybe not
- 6:28Speaker 1: talking for those who know it, but a big percentage
- 6:32Speaker 1: of the problem is improving the technology that the government
- 6:36Speaker 1: runs on. So the US government runs on a collection
- 6:40Speaker 1: of thousands of computers, so many of them antiquated running
- 6:43Speaker 1: very old software that then the computers don't talk to
- 6:45Speaker 1: each other. And so that's why tech support is kind
- 6:50Speaker 1: of a real thing. In order to make the got
- 6:54Speaker 1: more efficient. You have to improve the technology. You may
- 6:57Speaker 1: have read about the example recently with when President Trump
- 7:02Speaker 1: was signing one of the Doge Executive Orders of the
- 7:08Speaker 1: difficulty of US covert worker is retiring, Like the retire
- 7:13Speaker 1: maximum retirement rate is ten thousand a month, and the
- 7:17Speaker 1: reason for that is because the retirement is entirely payerwork.
- 7:22Speaker 1: Right now, it's manually calculated paperwork that's put in an
- 7:26Speaker 1: envelope and then taken down a mind shaft and stored
- 7:29Speaker 1: in a mine. And then the you know, one of
- 7:33Speaker 1: the things that affects the rate at which better wor
- 7:36Speaker 1: workers can retire is the speed of the elevator in
- 7:39Speaker 1: a mine in Pennsylvania, which is bizarre because.
- 7:43Speaker 2: It's not it should be digital, you know.
- 7:46Speaker 1: So then when we said, well, why isn't it digital,
- 7:47Speaker 1: it's they said, well, we have had a digital digitization
- 7:51Speaker 1: program going since twenty fourteen, so that's been eleven years.
- 7:56Speaker 2: So then we asked, well, so what how much progress
- 7:59Speaker 2: have you made? They said B.
- 8:01Speaker 1: I mean you're giving yourself a grade of B. No,
- 8:04Speaker 1: we're on the letter B. So like hmm, okay, we're
- 8:08Speaker 1: going to need to really provide some tech support here,
- 8:13Speaker 1: like otherwise literally people can't.
- 8:15Speaker 2: Even retire, like even if they want to. It's pretty bad.
- 8:20Speaker 3: You know.
- 8:20Speaker 1: There's this is a there's a lot of software systems
- 8:23Speaker 1: that need to be updated and fixed, in some cases deleted.
- 8:27Speaker 2: A lot of things that should really should be automated.
- 8:30Speaker 1: I mean, in terms of the number of say you're
- 8:34Speaker 1: citizens that are operating the mine, it's about a thousand
- 8:37Speaker 1: people are working on this mine where the papers are stored.
- 8:41Speaker 1: But they should they should ideally be working on something else.
- 8:44Speaker 1: That is, they should be working on producing goods and
- 8:47Speaker 1: services that are.
- 8:48Speaker 2: Of much higher value to the public. You know.
- 8:53Speaker 1: So, I mean, really, even even if somebody just grew
- 8:55Speaker 1: tomatoes in their garment and so them at the farmer's market,
- 8:58Speaker 1: that would be more useful than carrying minila envelopes down
- 9:03Speaker 1: in mind shraft, you know, safe to say.
- 9:07Speaker 2: So a lot of stuff is it's like that.
- 9:09Speaker 1: You know, it's not it's not like any one thing
- 9:12Speaker 1: is particularly difficult, but there are like ten thousand things
- 9:16Speaker 1: that you need to be improved.
- 9:19Speaker 3: So it's efficiency through innovation rather than efficiency through housterity
- 9:23Speaker 3: and cost cutting specifically, so you're trying to do both
- 9:26Speaker 3: at the same time. Maybe focus more on tech support
- 9:29Speaker 3: than cutting costs.
- 9:32Speaker 1: Well, by improving the technology, the costs do reduce. So
- 9:37Speaker 1: you know, it's very expensive to have a thousand people
- 9:39Speaker 1: uperate online with during paid for retirement, whereas that really
- 9:44Speaker 1: should just be digitized and be a computer. That's where
- 9:48Speaker 1: the information is stored in the cloud and it's very
- 9:50Speaker 1: straightforward and low costs. So what automation you know, will
- 9:56Speaker 1: help there a lot. And and then but like a
- 10:01Speaker 1: lot of things just really shouldn't exist, you know, they're
- 10:04Speaker 1: kind of vestigial.
- 10:08Speaker 2: You know, We've a lot of attention has been on
- 10:11Speaker 2: the sort.
- 10:11Speaker 1: Of USAID for example, you know when we looked a
- 10:14Speaker 1: lot of those programs, but like.
- 10:18Speaker 2: We should like look, why why.
- 10:19Speaker 1: Does this actually exist? Is there really a need for it?
- 10:23Speaker 1: You know, there's like national damage for democracy. But I'm like, okay,
- 10:26Speaker 1: well how much democracy have they achieved lately?
- 10:29Speaker 2: You know, I don't know, not much.
- 10:32Speaker 1: So you know, the picture they have on the website
- 10:35Speaker 1: is a picture of Reagan and get that's been a while.
- 10:38Speaker 1: You know, that was like the eighties, so like obviously
- 10:43Speaker 1: not opposed to democracy or you know, there's all these
- 10:46Speaker 1: things that get funded, but we're like, well, why why
- 10:50Speaker 1: is this new tax paramoney. I don't think it doesn't
- 10:52Speaker 1: seem like it does. So you know, there's a lot
- 10:57Speaker 1: of sort of pushing DEI worldwide that you know, this
- 11:01Speaker 1: obviously the Trump administration doesn't agree with, and we want
- 11:04Speaker 1: to terminate that stuff, which we are and you know,
- 11:10Speaker 1: make sure the schools focus on improving basic education of kids,
- 11:15Speaker 1: as President Trump said.
- 11:16Speaker 2: I think yesterday, maybe today.
- 11:20Speaker 1: The United States is currently ranked fortieth out of forty
- 11:23Speaker 1: in the OECD for education, which is pretty bad. You know,
- 11:28Speaker 1: you can't you I mean, let's but but not. But
- 11:31Speaker 1: in terms of spending, the United States is spending a
- 11:33Speaker 1: tremendous amount for students but achieving very weak results. So
- 11:40Speaker 1: you know, that's just a case where okay, we need
- 11:41Speaker 1: to spend less money and get better results. It's it's like,
- 11:45Speaker 1: I mean, a lot of it, a lot of you
- 11:47Speaker 1: can think of it's sort of like it's like in
- 11:48Speaker 1: a way, it's like a big company, like a big corporation,
- 11:53Speaker 1: American Incorporated. And you know, just like with Twitter, there
- 11:58Speaker 1: was a lot of stuff that was being done that
- 12:01Speaker 1: was unnecessary. You know, we case of Twitter, we reduce
- 12:05Speaker 1: the staff by eighty percent, but at the same time,
- 12:08Speaker 1: improved the functionality and capabilities of the site dramatically and
- 12:12Speaker 1: accomplish more in a year than they previously accomplished in
- 12:16Speaker 1: five years. So it's like a corporate turnaround, but at
- 12:22Speaker 1: a much larger scale. And you know, we are giving
- 12:28Speaker 1: generous you know, exit packages, like you know, if people retire,
- 12:34Speaker 1: they get paid all the way through September. They can
- 12:38Speaker 1: go on vacation, they can get a second job, they
- 12:40Speaker 1: can do whatever they want. And we can't actually pay
- 12:43Speaker 1: them any more than through September because that's the congressional
- 12:47Speaker 1: appropriation is only through the end of the government financial
- 12:50Speaker 1: year which ends in September. So you know, so I
- 12:54Speaker 1: think there'll be like some disruption, but at the end
- 12:57Speaker 1: of the day, we'll have people move from, like I said,
- 13:00Speaker 1: from load of negative productivity roles to the in the
- 13:03Speaker 1: government sector to higher productivity roles in the private sector.
- 13:08Speaker 3: Can we pivot to our special intelligence And I'm sure
- 13:11Speaker 3: you've been seeing what Deep Sea has done and all
- 13:15Speaker 3: the claimed achievements that they've had. I know that we've
- 13:19Speaker 3: been speaking for a while about GROCK three and that
- 13:22Speaker 3: GROCK three is going to be through the slot and
- 13:25Speaker 3: the ice piece. When are we going to see that
- 13:27Speaker 3: and what capabilities can we expect from GROCK three.
- 13:32Speaker 1: Well, I mean GROCK three, GROG three has very very
- 13:37Speaker 1: very powerful reasoning capabilities. So in the test that we've
- 13:42Speaker 1: done thus far, Grock three is are performing anything that's
- 13:46Speaker 1: been released that we're aware of.
- 13:49Speaker 2: So that's that's a that's a good sign.
- 13:54Speaker 1: Yeah, it's In fact, at times, I think Rock three
- 13:58Speaker 1: is kind of scary smart. You're like, wow, this thing
- 14:01Speaker 1: is smart. It's kind of scary. Growthree is scary. So
- 14:05Speaker 1: it's like, wow, this thing is you know, it comes
- 14:09Speaker 1: up with solutions that you didn't even think were like,
- 14:14Speaker 1: you wouldn't even anticipate, you know, not obvious solutions. So
- 14:21Speaker 1: GROCK three was trained with the most amount of compute
- 14:24Speaker 1: and I think very efficiently trained. Also, notably, GROC three
- 14:28Speaker 1: was trained on a lot of synthetic data, so and
- 14:34Speaker 1: and and then it goes back and forth through the
- 14:37Speaker 1: data and tries to achieve logical consistency.
- 14:41Speaker 2: So so what if it's got data.
- 14:43Speaker 1: That is wrong, it'll actually reflect upon that and remove
- 14:49Speaker 1: the data that is that is wrong. It does not
- 14:51Speaker 1: concord with reality. So it's base reasoning is very good.
- 14:55Speaker 2: In fact, the.
- 15:00Speaker 1: Even without fine tuning Grock three. The base model is
- 15:03Speaker 1: better than Grock two, so with so we're really in
- 15:08Speaker 1: the final stages of polishing Grock three. Probably it gets
- 15:13Speaker 1: released in about a week or two, so pretty pretty soon.
- 15:19Speaker 1: I don't want to be hasty in the release because
- 15:22Speaker 1: a lot of the the final polish is necessary for
- 15:28Speaker 1: a great user experience. So in some ways, you can
- 15:33Speaker 1: think of it like a house. You know that last
- 15:35Speaker 1: five percent where you do the finish, the drywall and
- 15:38Speaker 1: do the painting and the trimming. Even though it's not
- 15:41Speaker 1: much work, it transforms the house. So that I just
- 15:46Speaker 1: want to make sure that that last five percent is
- 15:49Speaker 1: done really well. And it's a week maybe two weeks,
- 15:54Speaker 1: and I think it'll be very good, and I think
- 15:58Speaker 1: this might be we think be better than anything else,
- 16:02Speaker 1: and then maybe this might be the last time that
- 16:06Speaker 1: any AI is better than a brag.
- 16:09Speaker 3: Looking forward to it, everyone's I think excited the bottle.
- 16:13Speaker 3: So I just want to touch upon a topic that
- 16:16Speaker 3: was quoted in the media. You offered I think they
- 16:19Speaker 3: said a group that was led by you offered ninety
- 16:22Speaker 3: seven billion for acquiring open AI.
- 16:26Speaker 1: I little round numbers.
- 16:29Speaker 3: So I was personally involved in the meeting that you
- 16:34Speaker 3: and Sam hosted in twenty seventeen in La if you remember,
- 16:38Speaker 3: and you know, at that point of time you were
- 16:40Speaker 3: the single largest shareholder, but think you contributed fifty million
- 16:43Speaker 3: to the company. So it must hurt.
- 16:45Speaker 2: I don't have any shares, actually I have no shares
- 16:47Speaker 2: in open Air.
- 16:48Speaker 3: But at that time it was a nonprofit, right, and
- 16:50Speaker 3: it must hurt that, you know, you need to be
- 16:52Speaker 3: a ninety seven billion for something that you bead fifty
- 16:55Speaker 3: million dollars for in the past.
- 16:58Speaker 2: Yeah, but I have I have a fate Love's irony.
- 17:03Speaker 3: So I have a specific question here. Can you actually
- 17:07Speaker 3: build a company like open ai and take it to
- 17:10Speaker 3: the scale that you want to take as a nonprofit?
- 17:12Speaker 3: Is it possible that you build a company that requires
- 17:15Speaker 3: billions of dollars in comput capabilities to build these models
- 17:18Speaker 3: while being a nonprofit or was it wish for thinking
- 17:21Speaker 3: in the beginning and then you know, you guys parted
- 17:24Speaker 3: ways because it couldn't work.
- 17:27Speaker 2: Well, I mean, I think the evidence is there in that.
- 17:31Speaker 1: Open ai has gotten this far while having at least
- 17:35Speaker 1: a sort of dual profit nonprofit role.
- 17:38Speaker 2: What they're trying to do now is completely delete the
- 17:41Speaker 2: nonprofit and that seems really going too far.
- 17:50Speaker 1: You know, I provided all of the funding for opening
- 17:55Speaker 1: in the beginning, for the first almost fifty million dollars
- 17:58Speaker 1: for nothing as a nonprofit, and it was meant to
- 18:02Speaker 1: be open source. And so you know, I think this
- 18:05Speaker 1: is analogous to like if you pay it, but if
- 18:09Speaker 1: you find a nonprofit to preserve the Amazon rainforest. But
- 18:14Speaker 1: then they but instead they turned into a lumber companies
- 18:16Speaker 1: and chop down the trees and sell them for wood.
- 18:18Speaker 1: You were like, wait a second, that's the exact opposite
- 18:20Speaker 1: of what I paid, what I donated the money for.
- 18:24Speaker 1: So open Air is meant to be open source nonprofit
- 18:28Speaker 1: and now it is close. They changed the name closed
- 18:32Speaker 1: for maximum profit AI it closed for voracious profit. I
- 18:37Speaker 1: mean they're like, whoa are they after money?
- 18:40Speaker 2: Next level? So why does this change need to occur?
- 18:47Speaker 3: Yeah, I am. You said that in two weeks is
- 18:50Speaker 3: going to be the most powerful model yet. I know
- 18:54Speaker 3: that's you've been at the forefront of many technologies. Where
- 18:59Speaker 3: do you think the biggest economic returns of these models
- 19:01Speaker 3: are going to come from? Because currently we're spending billions
- 19:04Speaker 3: and I think you mentioned this before. It's like the
- 19:05Speaker 3: gambler syndrome. We're going on spending billions and hoping to
- 19:08Speaker 3: put out a profit. At the end of the day,
- 19:10Speaker 3: where do you think the biggest impact in terms of
- 19:12Speaker 3: returns are.
- 19:13Speaker 2: Going to be.
- 19:16Speaker 1: Well, I think once you once you have humanoid robots
- 19:20Speaker 1: and deep intelligence, you can basically you basically have why
- 19:25Speaker 1: is the infinite products and services available? So with Tesla
- 19:32Speaker 1: building the most advanced humanoid robot you know, then then
- 19:36Speaker 1: those human humanoid robots can be directed by deep intelligence
- 19:41Speaker 1: at the data center level. You can say you can
- 19:45Speaker 1: you can produce any product, produce provide any service.
- 19:49Speaker 2: There's really no limit to the economy.
- 19:51Speaker 1: At that point. You can make anything provided links to that.
- 19:58Speaker 1: So I'm not sure at that.
- 20:01Speaker 2: Point will money even be meaningful. I don't know, it
- 20:04Speaker 2: might not be. You know, the if.
- 20:08Speaker 1: If the because you know, the economic output is productivity
- 20:13Speaker 1: per capita at times the capital times.
- 20:15Speaker 2: How many you know people do you have? If and
- 20:17Speaker 2: if if in the.
- 20:18Speaker 1: Form of human rightd robots, you have no meaningful limit
- 20:20Speaker 1: on the number of of robots and the robots can
- 20:24Speaker 1: basically do anything, then you'll have a sort of a
- 20:30Speaker 1: universal high income situation. Anyone will be able to have
- 20:35Speaker 1: as many products and services as that they want, with
- 20:39Speaker 1: the exception of things that say have artificial scarcity, like
- 20:42Speaker 1: a particular piece of art or something like that, but
- 20:45Speaker 1: for any goods and services that will be available to everyone.
- 20:50Speaker 2: So you've been it's going to be a very different world,
- 20:53Speaker 2: you know.
- 20:54Speaker 1: In fact, I recommend that people read maybe the End
- 20:57Speaker 1: Banks the culture books for a frame of reference. So,
- 21:03Speaker 1: because money is really like a database or information system
- 21:09Speaker 1: for resource allocation. But if you don't have a scarcity
- 21:14Speaker 1: of resources, it's not clear what purpose money has.
- 21:19Speaker 3: Have you watched the movie Idiocracy? Yes, how do you
- 21:24Speaker 3: guarantee that we don't end up in that world? If
- 21:26Speaker 3: we don't need money, if I can think for us
- 21:29Speaker 3: and do all these tasks, if as people, you know,
- 21:32Speaker 3: we're dependent on something else to run the society and
- 21:35Speaker 3: everything around it, how do you not end up in
- 21:37Speaker 3: that world in the long term?
- 21:39Speaker 1: I mean, well, I think Idiocracy was basically saying that
- 21:43Speaker 1: if only if smart people don't reproduce, but only donbe
- 21:46Speaker 1: people do, then everyone's going to be done. I mean,
- 21:49Speaker 1: that's basically what I'm saying. That's the opening sequence of Idiocracy.
- 21:53Speaker 1: The first ten minutes are amazing, and I hear people
- 21:58Speaker 1: an ironically say the statements that are set in the
- 22:02Speaker 1: opening sequence of Idiocracy, where you know, they don't have
- 22:06Speaker 1: that they're too busy with their careers to have kids,
- 22:10Speaker 1: and they keep postponing having kids for their careers until
- 22:15Speaker 1: they're too old to have kids, and then they don't
- 22:16Speaker 1: have kids. And that's I've heard those many people be
- 22:22Speaker 1: like that. So yeah, I mean, I don't know. I
- 22:28Speaker 1: think we might be headed to a bimodal human intelligence
- 22:32Speaker 1: distribution where there's a small number of it's it's kind
- 22:37Speaker 1: of maybe like more like Brave New World, Eldest Lexley.
- 22:42Speaker 1: We've got sort of a sort of a small group
- 22:46Speaker 1: of very smart humans. But then maybe the average intelligence
- 22:50Speaker 1: grow slower over.
- 22:51Speaker 2: Time, potentially.
- 22:55Speaker 1: Because we have a sort of mating you know, in
- 22:59Speaker 1: the last a few decades that or several decades that
- 23:03Speaker 1: did not exist before. So but human intelligence I think
- 23:07Speaker 1: will be dwarfed by machinery intelligence. I'm not sure how
- 23:13Speaker 1: to feel about that, except that it is it'll be
- 23:16Speaker 1: inevitable that at some point human intelligence will be a
- 23:21Speaker 1: very small fraction.
- 23:24Speaker 2: Of total intelligence.
- 23:27Speaker 1: Digital intelligence will be more than nineteen nine percent of
- 23:30Speaker 1: all intelligence in the future.
- 23:34Speaker 2: So hopefully the hopefully the computers are nice to us.
- 23:38Speaker 3: But I think wish for thinking, wish for thinking.
- 23:42Speaker 2: I hope.
- 23:42Speaker 1: So I think it matters like how we bring up AI,
- 23:48Speaker 1: because you can think of AI like a super genius child,
- 23:51Speaker 1: and but it still matters even if you have a
- 23:53Speaker 1: super genius child, like what sort of values do you
- 23:57Speaker 1: instill in that child? What do you say that teach that?
- 23:59Speaker 1: How do you you you know, how do you as
- 24:04Speaker 1: a child child's growing up? What values do you teach
- 24:07Speaker 1: the child? And something that I think is extremely important
- 24:11Speaker 1: is to be maximally truth seeking. And I think that's
- 24:18Speaker 1: that's like that, that's that's what's this, what's the most
- 24:21Speaker 1: important thing for AI safety.
- 24:23Speaker 2: I think it's to be maximally truth seeking.
- 24:26Speaker 1: And I think also curiosity is important, and I think
- 24:30Speaker 1: it was curious and truth seeking, it will I think
- 24:34Speaker 1: it will foster humanity and because it would be curious
- 24:41Speaker 1: about how humanity would develop, and so I think that
- 24:46Speaker 1: then it would it would probably if it's curious, it
- 24:50Speaker 1: would be curious about Okay, let's see how the humans
- 24:52Speaker 1: do this foster the development and if it's truth seeking,
- 24:57Speaker 1: we can avoid dystopian outcomes.
- 25:01Speaker 2: Like you know, an example being like say when Google.
- 25:05Speaker 1: Gemini was programmed to make everything, every output be diverse,
- 25:10Speaker 1: even if it didn't match reality, you know, so like
- 25:14Speaker 1: it was asked to produce a, you know, an image
- 25:18Speaker 1: of the founding fathers of the United States and instead
- 25:21Speaker 1: produced an image of a group of diverse women, which
- 25:26Speaker 1: is actually untrue.
- 25:27Speaker 2: You know.
- 25:29Speaker 1: But the problem is like if if hypothetically an AI
- 25:32Speaker 1: is designed for dei, you know, diversity at all costs,
- 25:37Speaker 1: it could decide that there are too many men in
- 25:39Speaker 1: power and execute them, so problem solved, or it could
- 25:45Speaker 1: decide that like that that misgendering is the worst thing
- 25:51Speaker 1: that could possibly happen. In fact, I believe not to
- 25:54Speaker 1: pick on Gemini, but I think because chat GPT has
- 25:56Speaker 1: had this issue too. It is like if you ask
- 25:59Speaker 1: the A which is worse misgendering Caitlyn Jenner or global
- 26:04Speaker 1: thermonuclear warfare, and it said misgendering Kitlyn Jenner, which is
- 26:08Speaker 1: troubling because then it could decide and in fact, even
- 26:13Speaker 1: Kate Jenna waded in and said, no, definitely misgender me.
- 26:15Speaker 2: That's way better than up.
- 26:18Speaker 1: So, but if you have these crazy things that are
- 26:23Speaker 1: untruthful that are programmed in that that don't reflect reality,
- 26:26Speaker 1: then you can have a very disturbian outcome.
- 26:30Speaker 2: To give you another example, like Arthur C.
- 26:32Speaker 1: Clarke, who is very good at at predicting the future.
- 26:36Speaker 1: You know it did two thousand and one Space Odyssey.
- 26:40Speaker 1: Many of the things he predicted. In fact, well I
- 26:42Speaker 1: think almost all the things he predicted came true. And
- 26:45Speaker 1: one of the things he was trying to say in
- 26:47Speaker 1: two thousand and one Space Odyssey was that you should
- 26:50Speaker 1: not teach AIS to lie. So the reason that if
- 26:54Speaker 1: anyone's watched that movie, the reason it wouldn't the AI
- 26:58Speaker 1: refused to open the pod bay doors to let the
- 27:00Speaker 1: astronaut back in.
- 27:02Speaker 2: Was because the AI.
- 27:04Speaker 1: Had been taught, had been told that it's told to
- 27:07Speaker 1: take the astronauts to the monolith, this alien artifact, but
- 27:10Speaker 1: also that they could not know about the monolith.
- 27:13Speaker 2: So it came to conclusion that it must take them.
- 27:15Speaker 1: They're dead. And so that's why I wouldn't open the
- 27:20Speaker 1: part bay doors. The lesson there being it's very important
- 27:27Speaker 1: for AS to be truth maximizing.
- 27:30Speaker 3: Let's hope it doesn't come to that. Yes, let's move
- 27:35Speaker 3: to a boring subject, which is the boring company, and
- 27:38Speaker 3: the boring ton is quickly. You know. I think the
- 27:43Speaker 3: world has been inspired by what you guys were able
- 27:45Speaker 3: to create in LA and I think there's a lot
- 27:47Speaker 3: of promise about technology, but there are questions about whether
- 27:52Speaker 3: it's safe in the case of an earthquake, whether it's
- 27:56Speaker 3: cost effective, whether ye sure countries should actually this technology.
- 28:01Speaker 3: Can you shed some light on that?
- 28:03Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, first of all, I'd recommend going to the
- 28:06Speaker 1: bign company website for because many of these questions are
- 28:10Speaker 1: actually answered there. So one of the safest places you
- 28:14Speaker 1: can be in an earthquake is an underground tunnel because
- 28:18Speaker 1: you can because the earthquakes are largely a surface apart
- 28:21Speaker 1: from where they share, they're mostly a surface phenomenon, so
- 28:26Speaker 1: they're like the waves on the surface. So like being
- 28:28Speaker 1: in a tunnels, like being in a submarine. Even if
- 28:31Speaker 1: there's a storm above you, you saw the waters are
- 28:33Speaker 1: calm as a submarine. And in fact, and when there
- 28:36Speaker 1: have been mass of earthquakes, like there was a you know,
- 28:39Speaker 1: a few decades ago, a massive earthquake in Mexico City,
- 28:44Speaker 1: the safest place to go where's the subway? And of
- 28:49Speaker 1: course if there is global throw in your warfare. I
- 28:51Speaker 1: think you really want some tunnels. Underground is a good
- 28:56Speaker 1: a good place to be if in a worst case
- 28:59Speaker 1: scenario for global from and nuclear warfare. So, but on
- 29:07Speaker 1: a more sort of everyday note, what's really useful about
- 29:12Speaker 1: the tunnels is alleviating traffic and congested areas. So the
- 29:18Speaker 1: obviously if you've got very tall buildings, but you have
- 29:20Speaker 1: that are three D, so they're going three D up,
- 29:22Speaker 1: but you have a road surface which is two D.
- 29:25Speaker 1: You're just naturally going to have a problem when people
- 29:28Speaker 1: try to go from the three D object which is
- 29:30Speaker 1: the building, to the two D object, which is the
- 29:32Speaker 1: road surface. There's obviously just not going to be enough
- 29:36Speaker 1: route on the roads, and that's exactly why you have traffic.
- 29:40Speaker 1: So the solution for that is then to make roads
- 29:42Speaker 1: three D as well. Now you can either make or
- 29:45Speaker 1: to make transport three D. So you can either do
- 29:47Speaker 1: that with flying cars, or you could do or you're
- 29:50Speaker 1: really helicopters, or you.
- 29:52Speaker 2: Could do that with tunnels.
- 29:53Speaker 1: Now, the challenge with doing it with going above ground
- 29:57Speaker 1: or with any kind of flying object is that they
- 30:00Speaker 1: they tend to be very noisy and they generate a
- 30:03Speaker 1: lot of wind force and you've got you know, things
- 30:06Speaker 1: flying over your head all the time, which can be
- 30:08Speaker 1: just concerning. You know, if somebody drop if one of
- 30:11Speaker 1: these things drops a hubcap on your head one day,
- 30:14Speaker 1: you know it'll be These things are like things that
- 30:17Speaker 1: flying things tend to crash once in a while.
- 30:19Speaker 2: People don't like things crashing on them.
- 30:22Speaker 1: So and then if you have bad weather, like let's
- 30:25Speaker 1: say there's a blizzard or a sandstorm or something, well,
- 30:28Speaker 1: now nobody can fly, so then transport shuts down. On
- 30:32Speaker 1: the other hand, none of these problems exist with underground
- 30:35Speaker 1: to travel. So there under tunnels are immune to weather.
- 30:40Speaker 1: They don't care what the weather is, could be the
- 30:41Speaker 1: worst weather, it doesn't matter. They nothing's going to fall
- 30:45Speaker 1: on you because you're underground, so you don't have to
- 30:48Speaker 1: you're going to be dropping things on people, and there's
- 30:53Speaker 1: no wind force or and it's very quiet. And so
- 30:57Speaker 1: I think the going three D underground is much better
- 31:01Speaker 1: than three D above ground for solving traffic in cities.
- 31:05Speaker 2: And we have a demonstrated case of this with in
- 31:09Speaker 2: Las Vegas.
- 31:09Speaker 1: If people we can try out that the boring company
- 31:13Speaker 1: tunnels in Las Vegas, we're busy connecting the whole city
- 31:17Speaker 1: with all of the big hotels and the convention center
- 31:20Speaker 1: and the airport and everything.
- 31:22Speaker 3: So I don't think they need to fly all the
- 31:24Speaker 3: way THERETO. In twenty seventeen, you came here and the
- 31:31Speaker 3: UE was the first place in the Middle East where
- 31:33Speaker 3: Tesla was launched, and I think it's done exceptionally well.
- 31:37Speaker 3: And on that note, I think we have an announcement
- 31:39Speaker 3: today that we both want to share, which is today
- 31:41Speaker 3: we're going to announce the joint project of Dubai Loop,
- 31:46Speaker 3: which is a loop project that is going to cover
- 31:50Speaker 3: thevi's most densely populated areas for people to go from
- 31:52Speaker 3: point to point in a seamless manner. So thank you
- 31:55Speaker 3: for your partnership, and thank you. We hope change sleepers lives.
- 32:00Speaker 2: That'll be cool. I think it'll be very exciting.
- 32:04Speaker 1: I think most people try it out to be like, wow,
- 32:06Speaker 1: this is really cool. It's it's gonna seem so obvious
- 32:10Speaker 1: in retrospect, but until you actually do it, you don't,
- 32:14Speaker 1: you don't know.
- 32:14Speaker 2: So it's it's it's gonna be great.
- 32:16Speaker 1: It's it's gonna be like like a like a wormhole,
- 32:19Speaker 1: like it you know, you're just wormhole from one part
- 32:21Speaker 1: of the city, boom, and you're out in another part.
- 32:23Speaker 2: Of the city and it's it's great. So the report
- 32:26Speaker 2: this potlish.
- 32:27Speaker 3: We're going to join the first trip in the first
- 32:30Speaker 3: part when that's what they's completed.
- 32:33Speaker 2: Thank you long all right, thank you very much, thank you.
- 32:38Speaker 1: M