Latest / Journey to the Fringe / Fringey Mini: New Orleans is sinking, man, and I don't want to swim
Transcript
- 0:00Okay, Chelsea, this one is fairly recent, and
- 0:04it somewhat has to do with our rich person's
- 0:07emotions. Okay. Strand of things, but it's not
- 0:10the rich people, unfortunately. It's the rest
- 0:12of us who have to deal with the emotional stuff.
- 0:14Okay. Intriguing. Remember, again, whenever we're
- 0:17talking about these kind of emotions, they're
- 0:19spelled E -M -O -C -E -A -N. Of course. Because
- 0:23we like a pun that it doesn't sound great when
- 0:26said. This article comes from... The Guardian,
- 0:30written May 4th, 2026 by Oliver Millman. Article
- 0:35title, Point of No Return. New Orleans relocation
- 0:38must start now due to sea level study fines.
- 0:41Do you think it has started now? Maybe that's
- 0:44the article. It might be. You just read it. You
- 0:47might as well. The process of relocating people
- 0:50from New Orleans should start immediately as
- 0:53the city has reached a point of no return that
- 0:55will see it surrounded by the ocean within decades
- 0:57due to the climate crisis, a stark new study
- 0:59has concluded. Ongoing sea level rise and the
- 1:02rampant erosion of wetlands in southern Louisiana
- 1:05will swallow up New Orleans' area within a few
- 1:07generations. But the new paper estimating the
- 1:10city may well be surrounded by the Gulf of Mexico
- 1:13before the end of this century. low -lying southern
- 1:16louisiana faces multiple threats with rising
- 1:18sea levels driven by global heating compounded
- 1:21by strengthening hurricanes also a feature of
- 1:23the climate crisis and the gradual subsidence
- 1:26of a coastline that has been carved apart by
- 1:29the oil and gas industry Southern Louisiana is
- 1:32facing three to seven meters of sea level rise
- 1:35and the loss of three quarters of its remaining
- 1:37coastal wetlands, which will cause the shoreline
- 1:39to migrate as much as 100 kilometers inland.
- 1:43Wow. Thereby stranding New Orleans and Baton
- 1:45Rouge, according to the study, which compared
- 1:47today's rising global temperatures with a period
- 1:49of similar heat 125 ,000 years ago that caused
- 1:53a rise in sea levels. The scenario makes the
- 1:56region the, quote, most physically vulnerable
- 1:58coast zone in the world, end quote. The researchers
- 2:01state it requires immediate action to prepare
- 2:04a smooth transition for people away from New
- 2:06Orleans, which has a population of about 360
- 2:09,000 people, two safer ground. Louisiana has
- 2:12also experienced population loss in recent years,
- 2:14and this trend will accelerate in a disordered
- 2:16way, the paper warns. should no action be taken
- 2:19to confront the perils faced by its largest city
- 2:22and surrounding communities. While climate mitigation
- 2:24should remain the first step to prevent the worst
- 2:27outcomes, coastal Louisiana has evidently already
- 2:30crossed the point of no return. Add the perspective
- 2:33paper published in the Nature Sustainability
- 2:35Journal. A perspective paper is a scholarly article
- 2:38that provides an assessment rather than new data.
- 2:49Quote. Quote. In paleo -climate terms, New Orleans
- 3:03is gone. The question is how long it has, end
- 3:07quote, said Jesse Keenan, an expert in climate
- 3:09adaptation at Tulane University and one of the
- 3:11paper's five co -authors. Keenan said the time
- 3:14frame available to plan a retreat isn't certain,
- 3:17but, quote, it's more likely decades rather than
- 3:20centuries. Isn't that what Venice is? Not quite.
- 3:37I think it's above sea level. It's just like,
- 3:40it's a marsh. Yes. City, state, and federal leaders
- 3:44should begin to work to help support people moving
- 3:46away from New Orleans region in a coordinated
- 3:48way, starting with the most vulnerable communities,
- 3:50such as those in Plaque Mines Parish, who live
- 3:54outside the levy system, Keenan said. Quote,
- 3:56New Orleans is in terminal condition and we need
- 3:58to be clear with the patient that it is terminal.
- 4:00There is an opportunity for palliative care.
- 4:03We can transition people and the economy. We
- 4:06can get ahead of this. But he added, quote, no
- 4:09politicians want to first give this terminal
- 4:12diagnosis. They will speak about it behind closed
- 4:15doors, but never in public. New Orleans faces
- 4:18obvious challenge. Situated in a bowl -shaped
- 4:20basin below sea level, the city already has 99
- 4:23% of its population at major risk of severe flooding.
- 4:26The worst exposure of any city, according to
- 4:29a separate study released last week. Quote, even
- 4:32compared to all other U .S. cities, New Orleans
- 4:34really stands out, which is alarming. End quote,
- 4:36said Wen -Yin Hsiao, co -author of the study
- 4:38and geographer at the University of Alabama.
- 4:41Quote, there's no specific timeline to how long
- 4:44New Orleans has left, but we know it's in big
- 4:46trouble. They're facing one of the highest sea
- 4:48level rises in the world, and I don't know how
- 4:50long human efforts can fight against the tides.
- 4:53It's like a time bomb. End quote. There is quite
- 4:56a bit more of the article. I think we have enough
- 4:59of it to at least get a picture. Yeah. And we'll
- 5:00post the article in the article description.
- 5:03Sorry, in the description. Do you guys read those,
- 5:06I wonder? That should be our question on Spotify
- 5:08this week. Yeah. Do you guys read the articles
- 5:11that we post up to at least starting from the
- 5:13point that we stopped reading? I have some thoughts
- 5:16on this. It's interesting that, like, nobody's
- 5:20talking about it unless it's behind closed doors,
- 5:23and I think it's something that a lot of politicians
- 5:26do, and I don't know why. We were actually talking
- 5:29about something similar just the other day about,
- 5:33you know, nothing is, like, preventative or fixing
- 5:37anything. It's just kind of... Not anymore. No,
- 5:39you're right. They seem to want to not do anything
- 5:41at all, and it just seems to all go down on fire,
- 5:44really. It's just basically rely on everything
- 5:47we have in place and don't even try to fix those
- 5:49things or make sure they're actually prepared
- 5:50for anything. It's super concerning. I do get
- 5:53fully, though, just the worry of being the first
- 5:56person to say, by the way, the city's kind of
- 5:58screwed. We need to evacuate it. And the other
- 6:02politician in a two party system. Saying, I can't
- 6:05believe you're just saying that to this city.
- 6:08It's kind of fucked up though, if you think about
- 6:10it. But that's how it works. And like people
- 6:12will just attach to the emotions of the person
- 6:14who says, why are you saying that? It's uncomfortable.
- 6:17It's uncomfortable. People don't want to be uncomfortable.
- 6:19And therefore that's where, you know, another
- 6:22politician would win. And then in the end, they're
- 6:25going to be super fucked over. And can I just
- 6:27say as a side note to this, which I don't think
- 6:29has much to do with the story, but I had no idea
- 6:32New Orleans was only 360 ,000 people. I thought
- 6:34it was way bigger. Really? Yeah. I thought it
- 6:37was like one of the major cities of the US. I
- 6:39shouldn't say major. I didn't think that, but
- 6:41I would have thought it was bigger. Yeah. Next
- 6:44thing I wanted to mention is, should I be adopting
- 6:47the outlook that New Orleans is gone when people
- 6:51want to talk about it? Should I just say, why
- 6:52are we talking about that is gone? It depends
- 6:55on what you mean by talk about it. Like, should
- 6:58I move there? No, it's gone. should i go on vacation
- 7:01there i mean you could for the next few years
- 7:04might as well while it's still there there's
- 7:06a sense of urgency The next thing I wanted to
- 7:09add quickly, because this is getting long for
- 7:12a mini, what does, like, what would it look like?
- 7:15And maybe that's why it's only talked about behind
- 7:17doors. What would it look like to actually move
- 7:20a city? New New Orleans. You know what the crazy
- 7:24thing, too, is, like, they're saying, like, it's
- 7:27three to seven meters of sea level rise. And
- 7:29I don't know how far below sea level New Orleans
- 7:31is. Yeah. But, like, there's tall enough buildings
- 7:33that, like, they'll still stick above water.
- 7:36yeah that wouldn't that be so creepy but like
- 7:40how does that look like new orleans like essentially
- 7:44starting from scratch a city that has so much
- 7:47history and ghosts you're making like a whole
- 7:51new first of all A whole new more concerning
- 7:54thing for ghosts because, you know, the city
- 7:57is going to be gone. So there's going to be a
- 7:58lot more concerning ghosts, but might not be
- 8:01reachable totally except for scuba divers. Secondly,
- 8:05to like rebuild all of this infrastructure, where
- 8:09does it go? It's not going to be New Orleans,
- 8:12you know, it's going to be new New Orleans and
- 8:14it's going to suck probably compared to... Well,
- 8:16I don't... Old Orleans. I would assume they're
- 8:19not just going to build a new city for people.
- 8:21I assume they would, like, disperse them to all
- 8:23of the cities that already exist and just, like,
- 8:26expand the infrastructure from there. See, and
- 8:28that's... That seems a lot easier. That's where
- 8:30I would have trouble leaving, I think, if my
- 8:33city wasn't going. Yeah, the billionaires out
- 8:35there kind of have... There's some people that
- 8:36kind of want, like, libertarian cities out there,
- 8:38too, like Peter Thiel and Elon Musk, where they
- 8:41just get to basically do all whatever they want,
- 8:44which maybe it's... them will be taking these
- 8:47people which sounds awful yeah that does sound
- 8:50awful i think those are all my points and a terrible
- 8:53point to leave it on yeah and hey you guys got
- 8:5648 hours go visit new orleans unless you're listening
- 8:58to this like a decade in the future in which
- 9:00case please do not go visit new orleans anyhow
- 9:04bye