Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Season Wrap-Up and 2021 Futures

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NFL Season Wrap-Up and 2021 Futures · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:09
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
0:13
Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman. I am going to be joined
0:17
Speaker 1: by my BFF, professional better Simon Hunter. Somehow, some way,
0:24
Speaker 1: NFL is in the books. Despite its strangeness, it ended
0:31
Speaker 1: the same way so many others have ended. Simon tom
0:37
Speaker 1: Brady winning the Super Bowl. We're gonna talk about how
0:42
Speaker 1: we liked the bus money line. We're gonna talk about
0:44
Speaker 1: how you had a Buck's future. Because the bigger question
0:50
Speaker 1: then tom Brady winning, is did you the listeners win?
0:56
Speaker 1: Did Simon and I win? Me think we did? Me
1:01
Speaker 1: thinks we did. Simon. More importantly, it's time to turn
1:05
Speaker 1: the page. We got to move on. We cannot rest
1:08
Speaker 1: on our laurels. We cannot count our cash for umpteen
1:13
Speaker 1: hours after the game. What can we win on next year?
1:21
Speaker 1: Never too early to talk NFL futures, NFL m v P.
1:25
Speaker 1: We are going to do that today. We will get
1:28
Speaker 1: to a lot of your questions for me and Simon.
1:31
Speaker 1: We will announce the winner of our Super Bowl. Phrase
1:35
Speaker 1: that pays contest, That person and their charity are getting
1:38
Speaker 1: some cash. First, let's welcome Simon. Hello Simon, Hello Simon.
1:44
Speaker 1: Anyone if you do that to you remember that that
1:46
Speaker 1: Mike Myers skid from SNL. Simon, I'm Simon. I like drawing. Hello, motive,
1:55
Speaker 1: It's Simon. I'd like to do drawers. Yeah, Man, Simon's
2:03
Speaker 1: not an easy name to grow up with. Man Simon says,
2:06
Speaker 1: is like the ultimate uh. Anything you say from the
2:09
Speaker 1: age about four to ten, they go, oh, does Simon say? So?
2:13
Speaker 1: That was definitely a fun experience here in America. Well
2:17
Speaker 1: also also, eventually you end up co hosting a podcast
2:22
Speaker 1: and the idiot host creates an entire uh phrase that
2:28
Speaker 1: pays experienced out of the name because he's not clever
2:33
Speaker 1: enough to think of anything else. I was gonna say,
2:35
Speaker 1: simple minds think of simple things. So it's no fault
2:38
Speaker 1: to you, my friend. So chat before we start. I
2:43
Speaker 1: have to uh, people need you to make a public apology.
2:46
Speaker 1: You asked if Andy Reid is even close to be
2:49
Speaker 1: on the same level as Bill Belichick, Do you want
2:52
Speaker 1: to apologize everyone for even bringing that up? Well, look,
2:55
Speaker 1: I honestly that was one of the questions that was
2:58
Speaker 1: asked when Mitchell producer Extraordinaire tweeted out from the favorite
3:03
Speaker 1: handle on Twitter that what questions do you have for
3:08
Speaker 1: us today, and someone asked me to address that. I
3:11
Speaker 1: was gonna wait, Um, but I will address it. Look,
3:17
Speaker 1: I I I don't know what to say. I'm not
3:20
Speaker 1: going to apologize for it. I felt. I felt in
3:24
Speaker 1: advance of the game that I like Andy read a lot.
3:30
Speaker 1: I like in as a human being. I like what
3:33
Speaker 1: he's brought to the game. I like the coaching tree
3:36
Speaker 1: he's developed. I like how he's been so innovative. I
3:40
Speaker 1: like the way he handles himself. Um. So my hope
3:45
Speaker 1: was that he would win super Bowls and eventually be
3:49
Speaker 1: considered a better coach than Bill Belichick. By the way,
3:54
Speaker 1: it's Belichick is so great without Tom Brady. Belichick is
3:57
Speaker 1: a guy who got fired, Oh my god, I got
4:01
Speaker 1: fired in Cleveland, has not been able to draft talent,
4:05
Speaker 1: and decided to put his first post Tom Brady season
4:09
Speaker 1: in the hands of a wounded, UH debilitated UH Cam Newton.
4:15
Speaker 1: So I'm not Bill Belichick great coach. I'd still make that,
4:20
Speaker 1: you know what, I'd still make the case than Andy
4:23
Speaker 1: Reid could end up being a better coach than Bill Belichick. Also,
4:29
Speaker 1: his quarterback was playing on one ft and his quarterback
4:33
Speaker 1: didn't have a left tackle or a right tackle, like,
4:36
Speaker 1: these things happen. These things happen. I'm not going to
4:40
Speaker 1: apologize for it. So that was a very nice apology chat.
4:45
Speaker 1: I appreciate you doing that. The fans appreciate that apology.
4:49
Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, Bill Belichick. If you watch
4:53
Speaker 1: those early Super bowls, Tom Brady, he's, no doubt the goat.
4:57
Speaker 1: But I mean, dude, those defenses for the Patriots, like
5:00
Speaker 1: they shut down the greatest show on turf, like Belichick is,
5:04
Speaker 1: he's the goat. But yeah, by the way, isn't that
5:08
Speaker 1: the one where they were videotaping in the stands all
5:11
Speaker 1: the place? So if you're not if you're not cheating,
5:13
Speaker 1: you're not trying yet. How hard is it to stop
5:17
Speaker 1: a team when you know every single play that's coming.
5:21
Speaker 1: I don't want to hear about how great he was
5:25
Speaker 1: Marshall falk and how he decided they were gonna chip
5:29
Speaker 1: Marshall Falcon that was gonna be the way that they
5:32
Speaker 1: won the game. They won the game because he knew
5:36
Speaker 1: the place. Okay, boy, genius McVeigh three points in the
5:40
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Yeah, I have some medicine. Why am I
5:44
Speaker 1: defending the Patriots? I hate the Patriots. No, it's not
5:47
Speaker 1: making me defend the Patriots. What is happening right now
5:50
Speaker 1: at all? You know what we should do. We should
5:52
Speaker 1: all be praising Bruce Arians, because here's a guy who
5:57
Speaker 1: like is a gun slinger to the end, and during
6:00
Speaker 1: this season, you can remember earlier in the year, like
6:03
Speaker 1: he very easily could have been catering to tom Brady's
6:07
Speaker 1: every win and handling him with kid gloves. And early
6:11
Speaker 1: in the year, like he came out and he was
6:13
Speaker 1: critical of tom Brady, and everyone's like, oh my god,
6:16
Speaker 1: how could do that tom Brady? Tom Brady didn't care.
6:19
Speaker 1: It seemed like they had a very adult, respectful relationship
6:24
Speaker 1: in a way that maybe tom Brady was never able
6:25
Speaker 1: to have with Bill Belichick in terms of having input,
6:29
Speaker 1: in terms of having his say in terms of guiding
6:33
Speaker 1: the team, like Arians clearly treats his players significantly differently
6:38
Speaker 1: than anybody else does, and was able to find a
6:42
Speaker 1: way to get buy in into his offense from the
6:47
Speaker 1: best quarterback ever who had been playing it one way
6:49
Speaker 1: for twenty years, and together they won a super Bowl
6:53
Speaker 1: and we won the Bucks money line bet. And I
6:56
Speaker 1: don't know that there is a single bit of difference
7:00
Speaker 1: between the importance of those two things. There's amazing There's
7:04
Speaker 1: a ton of stats from this game that are just
7:05
Speaker 1: amazing just about how epic Brady is. But the most
7:09
Speaker 1: my favorite has to be the fact that all every
7:12
Speaker 1: person that scored a touchdown in that game for the
7:14
Speaker 1: Buccaneers wasn't on the team the year before. But Gronkowski
7:19
Speaker 1: came in free agency when I were traded to them
7:23
Speaker 1: for NET, came there when they they picked them up,
7:25
Speaker 1: and a b came there when they picked them up.
7:27
Speaker 1: So it's just Brady man. Like, I know, it's different
7:30
Speaker 1: because we're living in the moment and it's it's weird
7:32
Speaker 1: when you're living in the moment of history. And I
7:35
Speaker 1: know that the ratings were down, like Darren tweeted that
7:37
Speaker 1: everything like that, But I think enough people not that
7:41
Speaker 1: they were disappointing that game, but they wanted a good
7:43
Speaker 1: game where someone that bet on the Buccaneers. That was
7:46
Speaker 1: one of the most fun games I've ever experienced in
7:48
Speaker 1: my life. It's like, as soon as he drove that
7:51
Speaker 1: field and scored a touchdown that first quarter, even though
7:54
Speaker 1: it's brutal because I was a push on the first
7:55
Speaker 1: quarter under oh my god, did he look good? And
7:59
Speaker 1: you were just everyone was just like, the Chiefs are
8:01
Speaker 1: not gonna stop this Buck in your offense, like you
8:04
Speaker 1: saw that in that drive, that that the running and
8:07
Speaker 1: passing attack with the Buccaneers. Who knows how many times
8:10
Speaker 1: if they play that game a thousand times the exact
8:13
Speaker 1: same situation, you honestly look at numbers and you would
8:17
Speaker 1: say what the Chiefs might win of the time. They
8:20
Speaker 1: just looked totally outmatched, just a offensively and defensively. So
8:24
Speaker 1: we can break it down even more because that game, Man,
8:27
Speaker 1: there was a lot to unpack from that game. All right,
8:29
Speaker 1: well let's do that because we had five bets that
8:33
Speaker 1: we ended up giving out on Sunday from the ten
8:36
Speaker 1: or so that we talked about in the podcast last week.
8:39
Speaker 1: One of them was Bucks money line, and you also,
8:43
Speaker 1: by the way, had a pretty big Bucks future. So
8:45
Speaker 1: before we unpack the four other props, I do want
8:49
Speaker 1: to talk about why did we feel so good about
8:53
Speaker 1: the Bucks money line? I have my opinions, I'm happy
8:56
Speaker 1: to share them. Why did you feel so good about
8:58
Speaker 1: the Bucks money line? And how good do you feel
9:01
Speaker 1: about that Bucks future? I was a coward honestly about
9:05
Speaker 1: the books future I the whole entire year. In the
9:08
Speaker 1: back of my mind, I was like, in no way,
9:10
Speaker 1: it cashes, Just no way, Simon Hunter, professional coward, first
9:16
Speaker 1: year on the offense, all these guys brand new to
9:18
Speaker 1: each other, the fact that no team had ever played
9:22
Speaker 1: at home like hosted the Super Bowl, and I just
9:25
Speaker 1: thought all these different little things, I just kept saying,
9:28
Speaker 1: no way. So, like I told you, I hedged out
9:31
Speaker 1: pretty much the whole way because I just did not
9:35
Speaker 1: believe it. And and by the time I got to
9:38
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, I had the date on the numbers saying, no,
9:41
Speaker 1: You're getting crazy good value here in the Buccaneers. Like
9:44
Speaker 1: we talked about it. Did I see that scenario playing
9:46
Speaker 1: out of thirty one to nine win? No? I mean
9:50
Speaker 1: that The fact that my homes has never not had
9:52
Speaker 1: a touchdown in the game was the main reason I
9:56
Speaker 1: just did not see this being a blow. I just
9:58
Speaker 1: I couldn't. I cannot. I could not see him not
10:00
Speaker 1: getting the end zone. And I've watched already three times
10:04
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, Like I just I couldn't get over
10:06
Speaker 1: that what Todd Bowls did. Because you watched the Buffalo
10:09
Speaker 1: game just two weeks ago, I said, it two weeks ago.
10:14
Speaker 1: It's one of the best offensive performances I've ever seen
10:17
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. Everything they did was just genius. All the illusion,
10:21
Speaker 1: the movement, everything top bowls just outsmore to them to
10:25
Speaker 1: the highest degree. He just triple team Tyreek, put two guys,
10:30
Speaker 1: two linebackers in the middle against Kelsey, and just kept
10:33
Speaker 1: everything in front of the where he knew the offensive
10:36
Speaker 1: line was not gonna be able to stop these dns.
10:38
Speaker 1: Just like we talked, we loved shack the shacks over
10:41
Speaker 1: a half a sack that was a no sweat. He
10:44
Speaker 1: had two sacks. He easily should have five sacks. I mean,
10:47
Speaker 1: my homes is unbelievable. Like him him not getting those sacks. Man,
10:52
Speaker 1: I couldn't get over watching it. I was just I
10:54
Speaker 1: was fearful of his life because I've got to a
10:56
Speaker 1: point where it's like, what is this guy still doing here?
10:59
Speaker 1: But in that fact that we didn't get that four
11:02
Speaker 1: and a half sack cover on our prop that that
11:05
Speaker 1: was just sickening because they had him three or four
11:08
Speaker 1: times dead their rights and he got out of it.
11:10
Speaker 1: Because it's Patrick Mahomes that m Let's talk about that
11:16
Speaker 1: prop for a second. Uh, the four and a half sacks.
11:19
Speaker 1: Prop that was my biggest liability of the day. Oh no,
11:24
Speaker 1: And I was so sure of it. I kept talking
11:28
Speaker 1: about it. Every time I talked about it, I convinced myself.
11:33
Speaker 1: I found some more outs. Uh. The fact that that
11:39
Speaker 1: he wasn't sacked five times on his own was astonishing
11:43
Speaker 1: and gut wretching, and I couldn't believe it. Up to
11:47
Speaker 1: h I convinced the buddy of mine UH in Illinois
11:51
Speaker 1: to be betting it. And we were texting each other
11:54
Speaker 1: at the end of the game, and I'm thinking, we
11:57
Speaker 1: just need him to get the ball one more time,
11:59
Speaker 1: like the box, just have to punt the ball, get
12:03
Speaker 1: the Chiefs one more desperate attempt, and like every time
12:06
Speaker 1: he dropped back it just in that last series, it
12:09
Speaker 1: wasn't even close. What I don't what I don't get
12:12
Speaker 1: is why wasn't that that botched snap that went over
12:18
Speaker 1: Brady's head that he then had to fall on then
12:21
Speaker 1: he was tagged down. Why wasn't that considered a sack?
12:25
Speaker 1: And I still don't get that. I don't understand why
12:28
Speaker 1: it's not considered a sack. Um. Maybe they considered like
12:32
Speaker 1: a kneel down play or something but he's not dead
12:35
Speaker 1: until they touched him. So that's why I didn't really
12:37
Speaker 1: understand the play. He got touched down in the backfield.
12:40
Speaker 1: That's technically a sack. The same thing happened to my
12:42
Speaker 1: homes they counted as a sack. But that that prop
12:47
Speaker 1: is weird. The worst part is I had a bunch
12:49
Speaker 1: of four, so like I never thought I was gonna
12:52
Speaker 1: push on that, Like seriously, when that game got into
12:54
Speaker 1: the second half, I go, man, he is just gonna
12:57
Speaker 1: get dominated by these guys. But that's how it goes
13:01
Speaker 1: bad luck. Like we'll talk about the fat man prop man,
13:04
Speaker 1: Oh my god, Chad, alright, remind people what that was
13:08
Speaker 1: because we talked about that in the podcast last week.
13:11
Speaker 1: So it's kind of better where if I better grand
13:13
Speaker 1: on it, I'm getting twenty K back. And it's one
13:15
Speaker 1: of these that I joked about. It's you're hoping for
13:19
Speaker 1: them to bring in the sixth man, a big offensive lineman,
13:22
Speaker 1: and they just do a little trick play where they
13:25
Speaker 1: squeak out, they'll be wide open and the ball is
13:27
Speaker 1: gonna be thrown to him every time. And had a
13:30
Speaker 1: little bit of info um right from both teams, like
13:34
Speaker 1: different be writers talking about they do have trick plays
13:38
Speaker 1: that they could pull out that had offensive lineman involved
13:41
Speaker 1: in it. And man, as soon as the telecast said,
13:45
Speaker 1: oh they got the sixth linemen in here, Brady does
13:48
Speaker 1: the play. He runs back everyone. I see the linebackers
13:51
Speaker 1: step step up. I see the guy scooting to the
13:53
Speaker 1: back of the end zone. Brady puts it right into
13:57
Speaker 1: his hands and the guy literally had to go right
13:59
Speaker 1: there his hands into his face, mess and drops it.
14:01
Speaker 1: So that's why it's twenty to one. These guys aren't
14:04
Speaker 1: paid to catch the ball, their their offensive lignment, but man,
14:08
Speaker 1: that would have that would have helped the day. So basically,
14:11
Speaker 1: my my two biggest prop bets were the over one
14:15
Speaker 1: and a half field goals and the most points second half.
14:19
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go through my tickets. I probably want
14:23
Speaker 1: a decent amount on the props, Like the over one
14:27
Speaker 1: and a half interceptions came through like that was a
14:29
Speaker 1: real nice one, and that that second half one hurt.
14:33
Speaker 1: But you'll hear me next year the same thing. I'll
14:36
Speaker 1: stay on the show. That's a bet you just always make.
14:38
Speaker 1: We saw the opportunities the Chiefs guy in the red
14:40
Speaker 1: zone two different times. They just couldn't score, and the
14:43
Speaker 1: Buccaneers did the same thing. They had no reason to
14:45
Speaker 1: really push the ball downfield. They were up twenty points,
14:48
Speaker 1: so it was just a bad, bad luck situation with
14:51
Speaker 1: that one. But overall, yeah, man, the the Buccaneers money line,
14:56
Speaker 1: I don't know what your reasons for taking up, but
14:58
Speaker 1: I I said that simple. If you believe in a
15:01
Speaker 1: side in the Super Bowl, the only time you take
15:04
Speaker 1: the money line is when it's the dog, because that's
15:06
Speaker 1: how the bookmakers win. If you took the plus they
15:08
Speaker 1: were the Buccaneers, you just took it at minus one
15:12
Speaker 1: tent So if you're being a hundred, you're only getting
15:14
Speaker 1: ninety back where we took the money line, which is
15:18
Speaker 1: a percentage wise is a smarter bet because over time,
15:21
Speaker 1: like we always talk about, that's how people need to
15:24
Speaker 1: start thinking about this game. And the Super Bowl is
15:28
Speaker 1: so unique. I'm I'm trying to drill into people's head
15:31
Speaker 1: here that the spread, of course it matters, but you're
15:34
Speaker 1: hurting yourself in the Super Bowl. You're not taking the
15:36
Speaker 1: value that's there. And I I I just didn't see
15:41
Speaker 1: a situation where if the if the Buccaneers won, how
15:44
Speaker 1: do they not win by a field goal. So I
15:46
Speaker 1: gave up the alternative line of minus two and a
15:48
Speaker 1: half just because there's a ton of value there that
15:51
Speaker 1: even if I don't hit that bet this year, next year,
15:53
Speaker 1: if I take an alternative line again, I hit it.
15:55
Speaker 1: Now I'm up on two years and and even on
15:58
Speaker 1: one on one. So that's all I'm trying to stillip
15:59
Speaker 1: you cool the fact that I'm on a crazy run
16:02
Speaker 1: here where these keep hitting like the Chiefs minus six
16:04
Speaker 1: and a half last year. I did not deserve that
16:07
Speaker 1: to hit. They got a flute touch on the right
16:09
Speaker 1: end of the game, and that's the only reason I
16:10
Speaker 1: covered the alternative line. But that's why you're playing it.
16:13
Speaker 1: I'm talking. That's why I'm trying to install people. Weird
16:15
Speaker 1: things happen in these Super Bowls like we saw on Sunday,
16:17
Speaker 1: Like that's what I'm betting on because the values there.
16:20
Speaker 1: The bookmaker wants you to play the street because even
16:23
Speaker 1: if they lose, they're still not losing as bad because
16:25
Speaker 1: so many people took the three or three and a
16:27
Speaker 1: half because they thought they were getting good value when
16:29
Speaker 1: they weren't. The You had a really interesting staff that
16:33
Speaker 1: you talked about on the podcast last week where you
16:35
Speaker 1: pointed out that if you like the underdog, take the
16:38
Speaker 1: money line because the spread does not come into play. So,
16:42
Speaker 1: being the diligent reporter that i'm that I am, I
16:45
Speaker 1: looked it up and I went back. It's the last
16:47
Speaker 1: time an underdog covered but did not win was two
16:54
Speaker 1: thousand nine Super Bowl Steelers Cardinals, Steelers on that last
17:02
Speaker 1: second play to Santonio Holmes. And every time there has
17:08
Speaker 1: been an underdog that covered since then, they've won the
17:14
Speaker 1: game outright. And then the flip side is the favorites
17:18
Speaker 1: if they won the game, they covered out right. So
17:21
Speaker 1: the point spread from an underdog point of view has
17:24
Speaker 1: never come into play since that two thousand nine season.
17:27
Speaker 1: And you could argue that two thousand nine Super Bowl
17:30
Speaker 1: that was a fluke because of what happened in the
17:33
Speaker 1: last second because the Carlo's winning that game in the
17:37
Speaker 1: end of the first half. Do you remember Harris picking
17:40
Speaker 1: up the ball running all the way times. So again,
17:43
Speaker 1: that's what I'm trying to still people, is that think
17:45
Speaker 1: about that. So we have eleven years now where you've
17:48
Speaker 1: wasted value on taking these numbers, And that's what I'm
17:51
Speaker 1: trying to still people say, underdog, I don't even know
17:54
Speaker 1: what the numbers are. Say they're just sixteen and thirty two,
17:56
Speaker 1: whatever the number is straight up against the spread. Look
17:59
Speaker 1: at those number because there's huge underdogs in that whole
18:02
Speaker 1: sequence where if you've just been taking that money line
18:04
Speaker 1: on the dog, it's been paying out like you're in
18:08
Speaker 1: the positive. And if you're sixteen and thirty two, you're
18:10
Speaker 1: gonna be above that midway point. Because just off my head,
18:13
Speaker 1: the Rams when they got upset by the Patriots, there
18:16
Speaker 1: were fourteen point underdog the Patriots. When the Giants upset
18:19
Speaker 1: the Patriots, I know they're at least eleven or thirteen
18:22
Speaker 1: point underdog or something like that. So that's one of
18:24
Speaker 1: those what I'm saying, Yeah, that's great, you had a
18:27
Speaker 1: thirteen point cover, so you had a zero sweat in
18:29
Speaker 1: that game, but you're not making the money. Everything is
18:32
Speaker 1: gonna be a sweat regardless. So just take that money
18:34
Speaker 1: line on these dogs when you really do believe in
18:36
Speaker 1: the dogs. That's what I'm trying to instill with people.
18:38
Speaker 1: Because last year I had the Chiefs. They were the
18:39
Speaker 1: favorite last year, so I didn't take the dogs. So
18:42
Speaker 1: when I took the Chiefs last year, I took the
18:44
Speaker 1: alternative line, and I took the minus two. Neither of
18:46
Speaker 1: two came into play the one by eleven. So that's
18:49
Speaker 1: what I'm trying to say is over the years, if
18:51
Speaker 1: you do what I'm talking about, even when you lose,
18:54
Speaker 1: you're gonna win long term because you're getting a good
18:56
Speaker 1: plus value on these numbers. The key is is you're
19:01
Speaker 1: playing for the long haul. You're not just playing for
19:03
Speaker 1: the one game like this is what you do. You're
19:06
Speaker 1: doing it for a while. Uh, And people need to
19:09
Speaker 1: sort of think about think about that horizon when they're betting.
19:13
Speaker 1: It's not just betting this one game and what you
19:16
Speaker 1: win in this one game. It's what you're winning over
19:19
Speaker 1: the course of a very long period of time. As
19:24
Speaker 1: they talked about talked about over one and a half
19:27
Speaker 1: field goals, almost you had one taken off the board. Uh,
19:31
Speaker 1: you came back and got one in the last few minutes.
19:34
Speaker 1: Over four and a half sacks. We did not get
19:37
Speaker 1: Buck's money line. We got, uh, specially second half higher scoring.
19:42
Speaker 1: We talked about that, we did not get a two
19:44
Speaker 1: point conversion. Just weren't a lot of it, wasn't a need,
19:47
Speaker 1: weren't any opportunities. Now the Chiefs side, they were the
19:50
Speaker 1: only ones are in the spot we need the Chiefs
19:52
Speaker 1: to score, and I really honestly thought they're gonna have
19:55
Speaker 1: at least two touch ones in that second half. I
19:57
Speaker 1: was really stunned. They finished the second half of just
20:00
Speaker 1: three points. So we just never had the opportunity to
20:02
Speaker 1: have a team, either team go for two great season.
20:11
Speaker 1: It was a good season. It's one of those two
20:13
Speaker 1: where people, I'm sorry man about the playoffs, but at
20:17
Speaker 1: the same time, it was what is the eleven games
20:20
Speaker 1: we had in the playoffs during the season, we have
20:23
Speaker 1: sixteen a week So that's what I try to break
20:25
Speaker 1: down to people. You're just going off such a small sample.
20:29
Speaker 1: That's why I know people like the bet more in
20:31
Speaker 1: the playoffs, but you're doing more damage because you're lessening
20:34
Speaker 1: your value and you're going from sixteen games on a
20:36
Speaker 1: Sunday to a really small sample each weekend. The bet
20:41
Speaker 1: off of so on that happy we get in the
20:43
Speaker 1: super Bowl and a good note because I know that's
20:45
Speaker 1: what people really care about, and especially like my clients,
20:49
Speaker 1: that's that's all they want to do. They want to
20:51
Speaker 1: be at the party being the smartest guy there because
20:53
Speaker 1: they had a big bet on what every team was
20:55
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. So we've had a nice run now
20:56
Speaker 1: two years in a row. Buddy had the chief last year,
20:59
Speaker 1: had the books this year. Can't. Can't complain winning back
21:01
Speaker 1: to back Super Bowls. Well, guess what it's time to
21:05
Speaker 1: talk about next year. Let this be the first moment
21:11
Speaker 1: that we are already turning the calendar over too. Super Bowl.
21:18
Speaker 1: Oh my god, it's like three dred and sixty two
21:22
Speaker 1: days away. Time to start planning. Uh. I want to
21:26
Speaker 1: start with this one because look, this was the question
21:30
Speaker 1: that most of you asked. And we're gonna get to
21:32
Speaker 1: to a few questions, but the universal question was Super
21:38
Speaker 1: Bowl future Rookie of the Year. When listener sent in
21:42
Speaker 1: and I think you'll like this, Jalen hurts to one
21:46
Speaker 1: to win m VP. Let's start with Super Bowl futures.
21:51
Speaker 1: Let me read off the top ten where we will
21:54
Speaker 1: find no value, because then we will dip into the
21:57
Speaker 1: second ten, which is where we find the value. If
22:01
Speaker 1: not more Chiefs. They are five and a half to one,
22:07
Speaker 1: the Packers nine to one, the Bucks nine to one,
22:13
Speaker 1: the Ravens Interesting, Interesting twelve to one, the Bills twelve
22:19
Speaker 1: to one, Rams twelve to one, and then the final
22:24
Speaker 1: two and the teams forty nine or fourteen to one,
22:27
Speaker 1: st seventeen to one, any of those appealing to you, No,
22:32
Speaker 1: stay and stay away from that. Ravens one. We need
22:34
Speaker 1: to see what the deals with their offensive line next
22:36
Speaker 1: year because if a marketing or protection I don't see
22:40
Speaker 1: him one in these playoff games. We saw it happen
22:42
Speaker 1: against the Bills, So we gotta wait and see what
22:45
Speaker 1: the deals with the line of the Ravens before I
22:46
Speaker 1: touch that. But with these ones, we can break it down.
22:49
Speaker 1: I don't do anything unless it's above plus two thousand.
22:52
Speaker 1: At this point, I'm I'm just looking for a long,
22:55
Speaker 1: long odds because if you're gonna tie your money up
22:58
Speaker 1: right now, you want to do it on something that's
23:01
Speaker 1: not paying you back at a crazy amount, like of
23:04
Speaker 1: course the pack the Packers and the Buccaneers. That's good value.
23:07
Speaker 1: These are two teams we know they're gonna probably be
23:09
Speaker 1: back in the exact spot there in last year, but
23:12
Speaker 1: the value is not there where you want to take.
23:14
Speaker 1: Like the Buccaneers. They were doing kind of bad in
23:16
Speaker 1: the middle of the season. I think they lost two
23:18
Speaker 1: in a row. That's when you take a buck's futures,
23:21
Speaker 1: you don't take it right now when there is no
23:23
Speaker 1: value after they just want to Super Bowl. So exactly
23:25
Speaker 1: we can dive in the next column because there's no
23:28
Speaker 1: value in that one. Uh, you're right. The Bucks were
23:31
Speaker 1: at seven and five and then they want on a tear. Uh.
23:34
Speaker 1: The next round, Browns one, Seahawks Miami to one, Indeed
23:48
Speaker 1: to one, Chargers one, Titans one, Cowboys, Patriots and Steelers
23:57
Speaker 1: each at thirty one. Now we're getting interesting. Yeah, I'm
24:02
Speaker 1: so enticed by the Browns, but I know that's gonna
24:05
Speaker 1: be a trendy pick. And this is the fact they
24:08
Speaker 1: have such a die hard fan base. I just don't
24:11
Speaker 1: think there's gonna be value in the Browns futures because
24:14
Speaker 1: they're just it's just gonna be bent down too much.
24:17
Speaker 1: For if this was maybe plus three thousand, I'd be
24:21
Speaker 1: a little more intrigued, because you just have to remember
24:23
Speaker 1: they still have the Ravens and there's in their division.
24:26
Speaker 1: It's gonna be hard for them win that division at
24:28
Speaker 1: that number. I don't see a lot of value in
24:30
Speaker 1: betting on them, but win the division. But the mid
24:33
Speaker 1: tier one. I like the fact that the Colts and
24:36
Speaker 1: the Dolphins are both two teams that they have their
24:39
Speaker 1: pieces in place to go get a quarterback like a
24:41
Speaker 1: DeShawn Watson. Well, we've senior with the Dolphins is the
24:44
Speaker 1: Dolphins have cap space. Who knows to a the first
24:48
Speaker 1: round pick that Houston gave to them and another first
24:51
Speaker 1: round pick for Deshaun Watson, and then they pick up
24:53
Speaker 1: Allen Robinson in free agency. That's a pretty good offense
24:56
Speaker 1: with already a great defense. So that Dolphins wins a
24:59
Speaker 1: little and icing and the Colts same situation. Frank reich
25:05
Speaker 1: Ton of money, great defense, great offensive line, good good
25:09
Speaker 1: players at all the different skill positions and talks. Now
25:13
Speaker 1: the Eagles get Carson Wentz. And I know you don't
25:16
Speaker 1: like Carson. You think he's bad. But I've seen enough
25:20
Speaker 1: tape on this guy that I know he has it
25:22
Speaker 1: in him to be a good quarterback that can win games.
25:24
Speaker 1: And if he has a great offensive line he's protecting
25:26
Speaker 1: and can stay healthy, he does well. But I'm scared
25:31
Speaker 1: of his whole mental makeup. That the Eagles brought in
25:36
Speaker 1: a quarterback this year and he melted, He fell apart.
25:39
Speaker 1: Where we saw Aaron Rodgers, his team drafted a quarterback.
25:42
Speaker 1: He went to the NFC Championship game. That's the kind
25:45
Speaker 1: of quarterback mental I want. I want so much, pretty
25:47
Speaker 1: tough and other than the only reason I'm playing this
25:52
Speaker 1: Colts when it's just the main fact of that team, Carson.
25:56
Speaker 1: If he can get right, that's crazy good value and
25:59
Speaker 1: the division. They're the only team we're really scared over
26:01
Speaker 1: the Titans. And we know what the Titans are. They
26:05
Speaker 1: got Tannehill, they got Derrick Kennedy, they have a great offense,
26:08
Speaker 1: but they got a bad defense. So at this value
26:12
Speaker 1: them and the Titans that they're the same exact value
26:14
Speaker 1: right now, I just have a hard time seeing the
26:17
Speaker 1: Titans repeating that division. So I do like the Colts
26:20
Speaker 1: at this value of plus two thousand, eight hundred deep.
26:24
Speaker 1: But do you really think Carson Wentz is going to
26:27
Speaker 1: be the quarterback? If Carson Wentz isn't the quarterback, what
26:31
Speaker 1: what is this team? Kobe Brissett. I I still think
26:37
Speaker 1: there's other moves to be made that even if it's
26:40
Speaker 1: not him, I still think they could they could do
26:43
Speaker 1: something to get a quarterback in there. I'm I'm not
26:47
Speaker 1: on down, I'm not all in on just the fact
26:49
Speaker 1: that they're gonna get Wentz. But it honestly does feel
26:53
Speaker 1: like it makes more sense where the Bears that trade everything,
26:56
Speaker 1: they're thrown out there, it doesn't make sense. I don't
26:59
Speaker 1: know why they would bring Nick Foles back here. We
27:01
Speaker 1: just had a QB controversy. You think it's healthy to
27:04
Speaker 1: bring back defending to the guy who wanted Super Bowl
27:07
Speaker 1: for us to a city that we're not sure about her.
27:09
Speaker 1: It's I think he's got the tools and he could
27:11
Speaker 1: be a great quarterback. But if we're seven weeks in
27:14
Speaker 1: and this kid is not producing, people are gonna be
27:16
Speaker 1: calling for Nick Foles. How's that healthy to a second
27:18
Speaker 1: year quarterback? So I I just don't see the Bears
27:22
Speaker 1: rumors really being true. And I think the Colt rumors
27:24
Speaker 1: that just makes more sense on paper, and for both
27:27
Speaker 1: teams that the Eagles No, Frank right, And I think
27:31
Speaker 1: that we both of us have a need. We need
27:32
Speaker 1: to get rid of Carson once they need a quarterback.
27:35
Speaker 1: It just feels like that matches up more likely than
27:37
Speaker 1: any other team for Carson. So it's interesting to me.
27:41
Speaker 1: The Dolphins to me, are the team that you're playing
27:44
Speaker 1: like you played the Bucks last year, where you think
27:47
Speaker 1: there's a good opportunity for them to upgrade significantly in
27:51
Speaker 1: the one area that can make a real difference for them,
27:54
Speaker 1: which is quarterback. I totally get it. Uh, we're not
27:58
Speaker 1: talking about the Seahaw because that division is going to
28:01
Speaker 1: be so hard it's gonna be hard for them to
28:02
Speaker 1: get out of it. Um. We talked about the Colts
28:07
Speaker 1: Chargers to meet Chargers and Cowboys are two of them?
28:12
Speaker 1: More Chargers Cowboys and Patriots Charger one Cowboys thirty two one,
28:19
Speaker 1: Patriots thirty two one. Cowboys will have Dak Patriots. I'm
28:23
Speaker 1: banking or if they make a trade for Jimmy g
28:26
Speaker 1: uh And and UM Chargers new coach Derwin James back
28:34
Speaker 1: uh bossa playing healthy like we've seen what happened with
28:39
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, Like that is a team that can turn
28:43
Speaker 1: it up with a lot of weapons if they get
28:45
Speaker 1: just the people they already have, healthy on defense and
28:49
Speaker 1: a better coach. No value in the Chargers That numbers
28:52
Speaker 1: should be better. I don't know why it's this low.
28:55
Speaker 1: May because the public art thinking exactly what you're thinking.
28:58
Speaker 1: That all like Herbert looked incredib last year. New coach,
29:02
Speaker 1: new offense that will work to his benefit. It could,
29:06
Speaker 1: but we'll keep going on the list. Year. I got
29:09
Speaker 1: other teams that like better, but the Cowboys was the
29:12
Speaker 1: same exact thing the NFC East. I don't see this
29:15
Speaker 1: team being that much better than any other team the
29:17
Speaker 1: NFC eats. We saw the Cowboys last year before Dad
29:20
Speaker 1: got hurt. They weren't good. They were not a good
29:22
Speaker 1: team they had. If they didn't have that flute comeback
29:24
Speaker 1: win against Atlanta, they would have started the year one
29:26
Speaker 1: in five. So I'm not buying the Cowboys. Their price
29:30
Speaker 1: is not there either. The public has already bet that down.
29:34
Speaker 1: And the Patriots I love. I love that they have
29:39
Speaker 1: all this stuff for annim where they have a bunch
29:41
Speaker 1: of money. In a year the teams are gonna be
29:43
Speaker 1: strapped for cash because the cap has come down, and
29:46
Speaker 1: the Patriots actually have money, and they have a bunch
29:48
Speaker 1: of guys coming back from COVID. But like we talked about,
29:52
Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know the avenue is with
29:54
Speaker 1: them with a quarterback. I can't see Belichick shipping off
29:57
Speaker 1: a bunch of first round picks for a quarterback. He's
29:59
Speaker 1: never really been that kind of guy. Maybe they do
30:01
Speaker 1: something to draft, but that's one of those. I'd wait
30:04
Speaker 1: on that because it's not that great value anyway for
30:06
Speaker 1: that team, just because already talked about I like the Dolphins,
30:10
Speaker 1: we all obviously both like the Bills. That's just a
30:12
Speaker 1: tough division. At that number, I don't I just don't
30:14
Speaker 1: see the value there. The Patriots vikings forty to one.
30:18
Speaker 1: Here's what I know you're gonna like, oh my god,
30:21
Speaker 1: I still you know, like I know you like this.
30:23
Speaker 1: Panthers forty five to one, Cardinals fifty one, Falcons fifty
30:31
Speaker 1: to one, Bears fifty one, Raiders one, Eagles one. So
30:42
Speaker 1: I love the Panthers, but they were at eighty to
30:44
Speaker 1: one before the Watson news kind of leaked that they
30:47
Speaker 1: were trying to go after Stafford and Watson. I think
30:49
Speaker 1: the bookmakers go, Okay, this team might be a player,
30:52
Speaker 1: we might build a liable eighty one. So they dropped
30:54
Speaker 1: it down to forty to one. Now it's back up
30:56
Speaker 1: to one. It's it's all right, but I feel like
30:59
Speaker 1: we're kind of missed the value one because they're no
31:02
Speaker 1: sure thing to get Watson. They have moves that can
31:05
Speaker 1: make to get them, but a team I really feel
31:08
Speaker 1: like he's gonna have a real chance here again Watson
31:11
Speaker 1: that people aren't talking about enough for the Raiders. So
31:15
Speaker 1: the Raiders have a couple of first round picks they
31:18
Speaker 1: can give up and Derek Derek Carr to Houston. We
31:21
Speaker 1: saw the Raiders go tote toe last year the Chiefs.
31:25
Speaker 1: I like. I like that upside at five thousand uh
31:29
Speaker 1: one because I don't know, man, that Raiders team. They're
31:33
Speaker 1: gonna have a pack stadium next year if if they're
31:36
Speaker 1: allowed to, and that's a big home field advantage. And
31:40
Speaker 1: I know Gruden's wilted here the last two years. At
31:43
Speaker 1: the end of the season, his teams have just fallen apart.
31:47
Speaker 1: But I've seen it on offense. They have the weapons,
31:49
Speaker 1: they have all these weapons around their car. That team
31:51
Speaker 1: can put up points. And if you're getting Watson in there, man,
31:55
Speaker 1: that that could be a really special team. So had
32:00
Speaker 1: that whole little bunch there, I would say they're my favorite.
32:03
Speaker 1: I like the Raiders idea, the Raiders at fifty one
32:05
Speaker 1: fields bucks esque. So let's get down to that last
32:08
Speaker 1: bracket here. Broncos one, No, they already fooled me last year.
32:13
Speaker 1: Thanks Simon the football team one. I also noticed you
32:18
Speaker 1: passed over the Cardinals at fifty one when we liked
32:20
Speaker 1: them last year at um any comment there by the way, yeah, man,
32:26
Speaker 1: Mitchell knows why. Cliff Kinsbury, Man, I'm not I'm not
32:28
Speaker 1: putting any more futures on Cliff Kinsbury. I'm done with
32:31
Speaker 1: that Guy's good point. Cliff Kingsbury. Washington football team six one.
32:38
Speaker 1: The Bengals look like the Giants sixty five, the Jets
32:45
Speaker 1: sixty six to one. Actually those are all six. The
32:49
Speaker 1: Jags are at eighty, the Lions and Texans at a hundred.
32:55
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Washington Let's talk about it. We
33:00
Speaker 1: love them, we love him, and I feel like when
33:02
Speaker 1: I go through the playoffs there, of all the teams,
33:06
Speaker 1: they really gave the most problems to the Buccaneers. That
33:08
Speaker 1: front four. Really they really got to Tom. I know
33:12
Speaker 1: that he had a good, pretty good game against them,
33:14
Speaker 1: but that's a playoff Tom. I mean, we know we
33:17
Speaker 1: just saw what he did in this playoffs. But this
33:20
Speaker 1: team feels like that's all they're missing as a quarterback,
33:22
Speaker 1: and it doesn't have to be Watson for them. I
33:25
Speaker 1: feel like if they can just get a guy just
33:26
Speaker 1: like Alex Smith that can control the clock, protect the ball,
33:32
Speaker 1: and just not put the team in bad positions. That's
33:34
Speaker 1: a real, real sleeper team with that defense. So at
33:39
Speaker 1: plus six thousand, no real clear cut team in that division.
33:42
Speaker 1: That's great. I do I like. I like that team.
33:46
Speaker 1: Second year of the Washington football team. I know a
33:48
Speaker 1: lot of people like the Giants, but I just I
33:51
Speaker 1: don't believe in Daniel Jones, so I'm just not gonna
33:54
Speaker 1: bank on them. Then the next year were for that
33:56
Speaker 1: division for the best value, I think the Washington football
33:59
Speaker 1: teams to pull future, that's really good value. I totally
34:02
Speaker 1: agree with you, and I'm so glad you said, because
34:05
Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, I never would have thought of
34:07
Speaker 1: it unless you did. Never, I never would have thought
34:10
Speaker 1: of it. That's what I'm here for. But I just
34:14
Speaker 1: that's the same thing where we talked about the same
34:16
Speaker 1: exact spot we were telling about the Buccaneers, is that
34:19
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers are a team that they were nine and
34:21
Speaker 1: seven last year, and even though Winson through thirty interceptions,
34:24
Speaker 1: and I thought at fifty one, at fifty five to one,
34:27
Speaker 1: just to make the playoffs, if they can get in,
34:30
Speaker 1: that's great odds to have for super futures. That was
34:33
Speaker 1: only my logic last year. Taking it where it's same
34:35
Speaker 1: thing this year. I'm looking at teams, where can we
34:37
Speaker 1: see an avenue of these teams making the playoffs and
34:40
Speaker 1: that that odds is it worth betting right now? Because
34:42
Speaker 1: this is a long time to have your money locked
34:44
Speaker 1: up and on these teams giving it out. I'm giving out.
34:48
Speaker 1: I feel comfortable putting the investment in them right now
34:50
Speaker 1: because I could see either of these teams making the playoffs. Like,
34:53
Speaker 1: there's all avenues for these teams to make the playoffs
34:56
Speaker 1: next year, alright, So so that's where we're gonna sort
35:00
Speaker 1: of think about it. We like the Raiders in the
35:03
Speaker 1: fifty to one range, We like the Washington Football team
35:08
Speaker 1: uh in about sixty to one range, and there are
35:11
Speaker 1: a couple of other teams that we liked, specifically the
35:14
Speaker 1: Browns and the Panthers, but we think the value has
35:17
Speaker 1: been wrung out of those teams. Well, update obviously, because
35:23
Speaker 1: we're gonna keep doing shows and everything. We're gonna keep
35:26
Speaker 1: updating that because it's the free agency This year is
35:30
Speaker 1: going to be absolutely crazy. I mean, the QB movement
35:34
Speaker 1: we're gonna see, especially ify they're going on the drafts.
35:36
Speaker 1: We have five teams taking quarterbacks in the first round.
35:39
Speaker 1: So it's definitely gonna be a lot going on this offseason. Yeah,
35:44
Speaker 1: it's gonna be crazy, and we'll keep talking about it.
35:46
Speaker 1: We got free agency, we got drafted, like a whole
35:48
Speaker 1: bunch of things. Simon honey Bucket Hero at honey Bucket Hero,
35:57
Speaker 1: I would like to know how do you learn to
36:00
Speaker 1: old the models like the ones you Stucky Raybon and
36:03
Speaker 1: the pros use. Um. I don't know what they use.
36:09
Speaker 1: I'll be honest. Um, what I can say for myself
36:14
Speaker 1: is I kind of got lucky. I basically went on Reddit.
36:17
Speaker 1: Guys are on there and they're posting their own algorithm
36:21
Speaker 1: and things they used to use for betting. So when
36:23
Speaker 1: I started out, I pretty much just use an Excel spreadsheet. Um,
36:28
Speaker 1: if you have the money, you really want to do
36:30
Speaker 1: it right, you can pay. You can pay for people's
36:32
Speaker 1: models and then just build it yourself a tweak it
36:35
Speaker 1: as you go along with it. There's websites out there,
36:38
Speaker 1: and if you're lazy, you can just use you guys.
36:41
Speaker 1: You guys have bet labs. You have plenty of stuff
36:43
Speaker 1: that's giving out data and numbers that it's pretty much
36:45
Speaker 1: the in thing I'm doing. They have their own models,
36:47
Speaker 1: and you can go up their models. And it's not
36:51
Speaker 1: saying that, um, you should trust it, but you should
36:56
Speaker 1: try to use their model for when it lines up
36:58
Speaker 1: with you. Like if you're on the same side as them,
37:00
Speaker 1: and the numbers you're using our match up with, there's
37:03
Speaker 1: you can kind of use that for free. Well, I
37:06
Speaker 1: know it costs money, but these other sites, they're gonna
37:09
Speaker 1: cost you a little bit. They're gonna cost a decent
37:11
Speaker 1: amount of money to use. UM. People put a lot
37:14
Speaker 1: of time and like myself, I mean every week, it
37:18
Speaker 1: might be forty hours during the season that I'm literally
37:21
Speaker 1: just plugging in numbers off other websites because it's not
37:24
Speaker 1: like I can just copy and paste everything, like you
37:26
Speaker 1: have to do all this stuff manually. So I would say,
37:29
Speaker 1: if you're really into it, there's plenty of things you
37:31
Speaker 1: can go about finding to build your own model. But
37:33
Speaker 1: I would say unless you're really committed, it's it's time consuming.
37:39
Speaker 1: Like I put in a lot of time into it, UM,
37:44
Speaker 1: so it's hard to say. I would say start with Excel.
37:49
Speaker 1: Start with Excel, because that's gonna be the easiest thing
37:50
Speaker 1: to do with breaking down the numbers you're pulling out.
37:55
Speaker 1: I appreciate you being a professional and plugging the labs
38:01
Speaker 1: products at Action Network. That is good of you. Uh.
38:07
Speaker 1: Is Simon really on a side for every single spread
38:12
Speaker 1: and total for all two hundred and fifty six games
38:16
Speaker 1: in a regular season Coyote Peterson, Oh yeah, yeah, I
38:23
Speaker 1: mean it's uh, that's that's I told you. Like I,
38:28
Speaker 1: I only have a fine, fine amount of time to
38:30
Speaker 1: make money, And the biggest thing for me is if
38:35
Speaker 1: if I have a game, I simply don't like it.
38:37
Speaker 1: Like I remember, we hit a point where I hated
38:39
Speaker 1: the Jets. It might have been Week five or six.
38:42
Speaker 1: I just hated them. And even if my system liked them, man,
38:46
Speaker 1: I was putting maybe just two hundred tops on whatever
38:50
Speaker 1: the spread was off the Jets if I had to
38:52
Speaker 1: bet it. But I would say normally I have action
38:56
Speaker 1: on every single game, every single total. Um, it's probably
39:02
Speaker 1: two to three games a week that I'm like betting
39:04
Speaker 1: heavy on, and then certain weeks there will be one
39:06
Speaker 1: game where I'm like really really betting heavy on. But yeah,
39:10
Speaker 1: I'll have action on every game just because if you
39:13
Speaker 1: look at the numbers, there's always value. People Like I know,
39:16
Speaker 1: I saw people not picking the super Bowl because they
39:18
Speaker 1: didn't think there's value. There's always value, Like, don't be fooled,
39:21
Speaker 1: there's always value in the game. It's more about just
39:24
Speaker 1: committing to what you think. So I wouldn't advise it.
39:28
Speaker 1: I would say for the people starting, how do what
39:31
Speaker 1: means we're doing? Pick your five best every week. That's
39:33
Speaker 1: just easier to track and it's easier to be profit
39:36
Speaker 1: from that. When you're bett in every game, it's harder
39:38
Speaker 1: to make a profit. And by the way, you can
39:42
Speaker 1: track those in the action that we're at boom all right,
39:46
Speaker 1: Uh that was our questions for this week. I had
39:49
Speaker 1: a question to you, Are you a top? Are you
39:51
Speaker 1: a top bunk or you a bottom bunk in a
39:53
Speaker 1: bunk bed? I I would say I would go top bunk. Wow,
40:07
Speaker 1: Chad's a power top everyone. Let that. Let the record
40:10
Speaker 1: show chat is a power top. That's funny because I'm
40:13
Speaker 1: a power bottom. So that's why we work well together.
40:16
Speaker 1: Somehow I feel like you're finding a way to make
40:20
Speaker 1: fun of me with this, and I don't know what
40:23
Speaker 1: it is. That's why I love you, man. I loved
40:25
Speaker 1: how long it took you to think too, like that
40:27
Speaker 1: was that really broke your brain there for a second.
40:30
Speaker 1: It did it did? Okay. The winner of last week's
40:36
Speaker 1: Phrase that Pays contest is Elvero Ibanyes. Elvero, please reach
40:42
Speaker 1: out to Matt dot Mitchell at Action at work dot
40:44
Speaker 1: com for your four hundred and forty dollar prize. Remember,
40:48
Speaker 1: I was awarding ten dollars for every game, every bet
40:53
Speaker 1: that we wanted, while we only went two and three
40:57
Speaker 1: in the props that we're talking about today in the
41:00
Speaker 1: app because I couldn't put in all the props that
41:02
Speaker 1: we liked in the app. I went with Leonard four
41:06
Speaker 1: Net over three and a half receptions and over forty
41:09
Speaker 1: and a half yards the Bucks money line, and I
41:13
Speaker 1: went with Patrick Mahomes over forty one and a half
41:17
Speaker 1: past attempts those all one. I also went with Patrick
41:21
Speaker 1: Mahomes under nineteen and a half rushing yards that lost
41:24
Speaker 1: in the first quarter. So Alvero Ebanyes, who said Simon
41:28
Speaker 1: says it bet the big game because it's the last
41:32
Speaker 1: time we'll be able to make a bank off at
41:36
Speaker 1: the Favorite Pods Advice for six months, and you just
41:41
Speaker 1: made some bank buddy, four hundred and forty dollars. Alvera
41:46
Speaker 1: ebony Is and don't worry, my friend. We will have
41:50
Speaker 1: draft props so the NFL it never stops. We'll make
41:53
Speaker 1: you money in the off season. We will make you
41:56
Speaker 1: money in the meantime, wrapping up the NFL Season twenty
42:03
Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter at Simon Hunter Tan I am Chad Millman.
42:07
Speaker 1: This has been the Favorites from the Action Network. Follow
42:10
Speaker 1: us at the Favorites pod. Download the free Action Network Gap.
42:15
Speaker 1: Listen to the podcast from Apple, from Spotify, wherever you
42:18
Speaker 1: get your podcasts. Until next time, Love you