Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 01/06/26
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: All systems going clear the left on.
- 0:36Speaker 2: What's going on? Don't collect Little Neck Jason Gange Green
- 0:40Speaker 2: coach wins a lot. Luis my man, Hebrew Cheetah excited
- 0:44Speaker 2: to talk through this five game slate, five games on
- 0:46Speaker 2: FanDuel and DraftKings, and then it's three hours later. I
- 0:51Speaker 2: want to say, I think it's eleven Eastern. Is the
- 0:54Speaker 2: nightcap game again? Fandal DraftKings don't have it on the
- 0:57Speaker 2: main slate. Showdown contests are solid though, NBA Showdown Slate
- 1:01Speaker 2: plan shout out to our man Little Neck choir and
- 1:03Speaker 2: he said, hi to Monday through Friday does a great
- 1:06Speaker 2: job there. So if you can't be around your computer
- 1:08Speaker 2: from seven to eight Eastern today, you should not be
- 1:11Speaker 2: playing the main slate. But hey, it's only two games
- 1:15Speaker 2: at seven, three games at eight and then you're good.
- 1:18Speaker 2: So you have that hour window in between to really
- 1:20Speaker 2: do what you want. But Showdown contests good if that
- 1:22Speaker 2: fits you better. Rio not too much on the injury report.
- 1:26Speaker 2: Haven't talked to you a little while too.
- 1:27Speaker 3: How's life going, Yeah, it's going good. It's been I
- 1:30Speaker 3: don't even know how long, probably two or three weeks
- 1:31Speaker 3: since we've done a show together.
- 1:32Speaker 1: So good to see you again.
- 1:33Speaker 3: Who did talk a little bit yesterday with it being
- 1:35Speaker 3: your birthday, So kick it back to you. How is
- 1:38Speaker 3: your day yesterday?
- 1:39Speaker 2: And my day was good? I appreciate it. Yeah. The
- 1:42Speaker 2: wife made some good food, had some lasagna soup. I
- 1:45Speaker 2: love lasagna, so she makes this really good lasagna soup,
- 1:48Speaker 2: and I know what you got excited. Some banana bread
- 1:50Speaker 2: cake that was absolutely phenomenal. So some homemade cream cheese frosting. Yeah. Otherwise,
- 1:56Speaker 2: I played poker till like two thirty in the morning,
- 1:58Speaker 2: so I slept in a little bit, hit the walk
- 2:00Speaker 2: the boys, walk the dogs. Normal day over here, getting old,
- 2:04Speaker 2: but yeah, I had it, had a great day. And yeah,
- 2:07Speaker 2: pretty much the same thing going on today. Already walked
- 2:09Speaker 2: the dogs, playing some basketball, go to play some poker,
- 2:12Speaker 2: living the dream over here. So nothing nothing after that.
- 2:16Speaker 2: We got Cody in here, we got afc we got Brock, William,
- 2:19Speaker 2: Scooter mcgab and Mike. Appreciate everyone hanging out again. All
- 2:22Speaker 2: we ask is like button and subscribe. Button helps us
- 2:25Speaker 2: out a ton. Yeah, any Broadslide overview besides, like the
- 2:29Speaker 2: injury report, I mean Wemby Aunt both questionable at midday
- 2:34Speaker 2: down grade that game's at six. Wemby questionable game time decision.
- 2:38Speaker 2: You said pre show we were talking a little that
- 2:40Speaker 2: you do expect him to play. The thing is, though,
- 2:43Speaker 2: I do think, at least in terms of ownership, but
- 2:45Speaker 2: the first two games have more appealing fantasy options I think.
- 2:48Speaker 2: So obviously, if you play a lot of lineups, you
- 2:51Speaker 2: can mix around your portfolio, but I think more ownership
- 2:54Speaker 2: will kind of go to the first two games. Not
- 2:56Speaker 2: sure how many spots I'll have in the last three.
- 2:59Speaker 2: So you do think Wemby or ants out, you might
- 3:02Speaker 2: have to adjust a little bit, just like Harden non
- 3:04Speaker 2: Fanbuel yesterday on Q tags like that that are late,
- 3:07Speaker 2: you can adjust projections a little bit, drop him like
- 3:10Speaker 2: if you don't think ant plays, you can drop him
- 3:12Speaker 2: a zero and you can bump Randall and those guys
- 3:15Speaker 2: like that. Are you gonna be doing anything like that?
- 3:18Speaker 2: And then any broad slate before we go game by game.
- 3:21Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll definitely be building with the idea that Ann
- 3:26Speaker 3: is gonna miss because it's gonna be really tough to
- 3:28Speaker 3: get to a lot of Julius Randall tonight. I think
- 3:31Speaker 3: I was gonna kind of loop this into the broad
- 3:33Speaker 3: slate overview. But power forward position is really really strong tonight,
- 3:37Speaker 3: and a lot of the ownership is gonna go to
- 3:39Speaker 3: some of the guys in the first two games, with
- 3:41Speaker 3: Paulo and Mobile getting a good amount of ownership already,
- 3:44Speaker 3: and then you got guys like Zion a little bit later,
- 3:46Speaker 3: Lebron's getting a little bit see Akham is another guy
- 3:49Speaker 3: that's looking like he's gonna be somewhat choky. So I
- 3:51Speaker 3: think it'd be smart to at least dedicate some of
- 3:55Speaker 3: your portfolio to the situation that Ant is out tonight
- 3:58Speaker 3: and you could get some really really good owners on Randall.
- 4:00Speaker 3: He would project as one of the better values at
- 4:03Speaker 3: the power forward position for me. And I also think
- 4:06Speaker 3: some of when we get to that game, we'll talk
- 4:08Speaker 3: about some other guys that I like. But yeah, I
- 4:10Speaker 3: do kind of think that is closer to being doubtful
- 4:14Speaker 3: than he is questionable. Mid day downgrade with the questionable
- 4:16Speaker 3: tag usually not a good sign. And then yeah, like
- 4:19Speaker 3: you alluded to, I do think Wenby is back tonight.
- 4:22Speaker 3: Sounds like he's going to be coming off the bench,
- 4:23Speaker 3: So a similar situation to what we had when he
- 4:26Speaker 3: returned from injury a few weeks ago, which kind of sucks.
- 4:30Speaker 3: I was hoping that he was getting closer to full
- 4:32Speaker 3: pretty soon, but it seems like he's gonna be captain
- 4:34Speaker 3: like the mid to like low low upper twenties is
- 4:39Speaker 3: what I would expect from him tonight.
- 4:41Speaker 2: Good breakdown. Yeah, but what you do with the and
- 4:43Speaker 2: stuff is important. Again, just two games at seven, then
- 4:46Speaker 2: all three games at eight Eastern, so you at least
- 4:50Speaker 2: just have two lock times. But we'll go first game
- 4:52Speaker 2: of the night through the last game. The first game
- 4:55Speaker 2: Cleveland Cavaliers and the Indiana Pacers. We are looking at
- 4:59Speaker 2: two thirty six have total six and a half point
- 5:01Speaker 2: favorites are the Cavs. Injuries for this one. The Cavs
- 5:04Speaker 2: will be without Donovan Mitchell and then Jalen Tyson is questionable,
- 5:08Speaker 2: which I guess I should have mentioned that he's not
- 5:10Speaker 2: nearly as important as ant and Wenby. But without Donovan Mitchell,
- 5:14Speaker 2: no Tyson would open up even more minutes for guys
- 5:17Speaker 2: like Sam Merrill, DeAndre Hunter going to the other side
- 5:20Speaker 2: for the Pacers, no Benedict Mathern, that is it for
- 5:25Speaker 2: that side. Yeah, I think a decent amount of ownership. Again,
- 5:27Speaker 2: we're Sharon Sabersim. Shout out to our partner Sabersim over
- 5:30Speaker 2: here gonna Indiana and Cleveland. I'm gonna filter them and
- 5:35Speaker 2: you can see that's some of the highest owned players
- 5:36Speaker 2: we're seeing right here. Mobile looks too cheap, power forward, center,
- 5:39Speaker 2: center eligibility without d Mitch, Ye have Darland solid price
- 5:43Speaker 2: Egg as well, getting over twenty percent. Then yeah, these
- 5:46Speaker 2: pacers McConnell, Nei Smith's Yakham, Michael Potter. I don't know
- 5:51Speaker 2: if he's even gonna be nice, but yeah, this game
- 5:53Speaker 2: looks pretty tough to ignore to start it off. How
- 5:56Speaker 2: do you see it going now? Uh?
- 5:58Speaker 3: If I want to check your microphone, I think it
- 6:00Speaker 3: might have switched over to your headphones and started to
- 6:02Speaker 3: get a little muddy at the end there.
- 6:04Speaker 1: But yeah, you broke it down great.
- 6:07Speaker 3: The Donovin Mitchell News is definitely the biggest one on
- 6:09Speaker 3: the slate as far as injury goes.
- 6:11Speaker 1: We already have it.
- 6:12Speaker 3: So we know what to expect from them. I think
- 6:15Speaker 3: it's a pretty good spot for Cleveland. Offensively, they were
- 6:18Speaker 3: struggling a little bit on defense. I think a lot
- 6:20Speaker 3: of it was just due to them kind of having
- 6:21Speaker 3: guys in and out of the lineup and not being
- 6:23Speaker 3: super healthy with Jared Allen and Mobley missing games. But
- 6:26Speaker 3: they're back to playing good defense. Top two defense overall
- 6:30Speaker 3: over the last two weeks. Still okay, kind of below
- 6:33Speaker 3: average offensively eighteenth over that span, but it is a
- 6:36Speaker 3: pretty good bounce back spot for them offensively. INDI's bottom
- 6:39Speaker 3: five in defense over the last two weeks and they're
- 6:41Speaker 3: also bottom two in offense. I kind of think that
- 6:45Speaker 3: there's a chance that Cleveland could run away with this game.
- 6:48Speaker 3: Kind of leaves me a little bit less interested in
- 6:50Speaker 3: the indie guys ball talk about it when we get
- 6:52Speaker 3: to that side. But yeah, I think Mobiley is one
- 6:54Speaker 3: of the best plays on the slate. It's between him
- 6:56Speaker 3: and Pollow just overall, I think those are two of
- 6:59Speaker 3: the best plays on a slate night, even mid tier
- 7:02Speaker 3: or power forward only. I think that both those guys
- 7:04Speaker 3: are just really really good, really affordable price for Mobile
- 7:07Speaker 3: down to seven point six K, really good matchup, good
- 7:10Speaker 3: position eligibilities. So you could even jam in like three
- 7:12Speaker 3: to four power forward tonight if you wanted to, if
- 7:15Speaker 3: you could.
- 7:15Speaker 1: Make that work. But we have like a pretty large.
- 7:18Speaker 3: Sample over the last two years with the situation with
- 7:20Speaker 3: Mitchell off the court, and he has a really really
- 7:23Speaker 3: strong fantasy point for men to production one point four
- 7:26Speaker 3: or five over that over the last two seasons.
- 7:29Speaker 1: So yeah, really good match up for MOBI.
- 7:31Speaker 3: He's kind of one of the first guys I'm looking
- 7:33Speaker 3: to tonight, generally a guy that I'm looking to get
- 7:35Speaker 3: away from, but the price is really enticing. I do
- 7:37Speaker 3: think that he's got a really good point per dollar
- 7:40Speaker 3: upside at this price tag. After that, I think it's
- 7:43Speaker 3: kind of clear that Garland is the next guy you're
- 7:45Speaker 3: looking to. He sees a plus six percent usage boot
- 7:48Speaker 3: boost with Donovan off the court. He's had one point
- 7:51Speaker 3: two fantasy point fints with him off the court of
- 7:53Speaker 3: the season, but over the last two seasons one point three.
- 7:56Speaker 3: So even if it lands somewhere in the middle right there,
- 7:58Speaker 3: that's a really good point for minute production for somebody
- 8:01Speaker 3: price at seven point two K. The only downside for him,
- 8:03Speaker 3: which is really not that much of a downside, is
- 8:06Speaker 3: that he will see a lot of Andrew Nemhart tonight.
- 8:08Speaker 3: We all know that Nemhar is a pretty solid defender,
- 8:10Speaker 3: but the way that the Pacers kind of don't really
- 8:13Speaker 3: help off a lot defensively they're one of the best
- 8:15Speaker 3: teams at limiting three point shooting, but they do give
- 8:18Speaker 3: up a good amount of pick and roll volume, so
- 8:20Speaker 3: kind of a neutral to above average matchup for Garland here,
- 8:25Speaker 3: So he'd be the next guy that I look to.
- 8:27Speaker 3: No rules that I'm setting Between those two guys, I
- 8:29Speaker 3: think you can get to two of them when you
- 8:31Speaker 3: bring in Jared Allen, though, is kind of where I
- 8:32Speaker 3: would start to bring in the rules. I don't know
- 8:34Speaker 3: if I would want more than two of Mobiley Garland Allen.
- 8:37Speaker 3: If you wanted to play a little bit more aggressively,
- 8:38Speaker 3: you could say just max one Mobile and Allen because
- 8:41Speaker 3: they kind of can't eat into each other's upside at
- 8:44Speaker 3: times with the rebounding stuff. I do think that Moby's
- 8:47Speaker 3: going to have enough usage and assist upside to kind
- 8:50Speaker 3: of there could be a situation where I could see
- 8:52Speaker 3: both of them getting there. But he's definitely my least favorite,
- 8:56Speaker 3: maybe of all the guys that I'm considering on Cleveland tonight.
- 9:00Speaker 3: He's getting healthier, but did come into the game with
- 9:02Speaker 3: a question at Tech, so there's a chance that he's
- 9:04Speaker 3: limited to like twenty seven to twenty eight minutes. I
- 9:07Speaker 3: think the matchup is obviously really good. There's not been
- 9:09Speaker 3: a lot of rimp protection for India on the other side,
- 9:11Speaker 3: and they are one of the worst rebounding teams in
- 9:13Speaker 3: the league. So there's definitely upside for Allen, but I
- 9:15Speaker 3: just prefer the upside for Mobley and Garland much much
- 9:18Speaker 3: more after that.
- 9:20Speaker 1: Some of these bench.
- 9:21Speaker 3: Guys and secondary guys the ones I'm looking to. I
- 9:24Speaker 3: think Craig Bardon Junior is really good at three point
- 9:26Speaker 3: six K with Mitchell out. There's only been two games
- 9:29Speaker 3: that Donova has missed this season, and his range has.
- 9:32Speaker 1: Been kind of wide.
- 9:32Speaker 3: He had one game where he went for like fifty
- 9:34Speaker 3: something Fantasy points and broke the sleigh and you really
- 9:37Speaker 3: needed him, and the other one he only played I
- 9:39Speaker 3: think twenty one minutes and had like seventeen Fantasy points.
- 9:43Speaker 3: But there's kind of a lot trending up for CPJ
- 9:47Speaker 3: right now with how bad Lonto has been. I don't
- 9:49Speaker 3: know if you guys have seen, but he's like having
- 9:52Speaker 3: historically one of the worst offensive seasons ever and the
- 9:55Speaker 3: minutes are coming down for him and going up for CPJ.
- 9:59Speaker 3: Craig Port Junior has been pretty solid defender, has a
- 10:02Speaker 3: pretty good offensive games. I think it makes sense just
- 10:04Speaker 3: get him more minutes here and take away from a Lonzo,
- 10:06Speaker 3: So I like him a good bit as a value
- 10:08Speaker 3: point guard tonight. After that, I don't really have a
- 10:12Speaker 3: lot of interest in Sam Merrill, but like I said,
- 10:14Speaker 3: the Pacers do a good job taking away threes. All
- 10:17Speaker 3: he does is really launch three pointers, so I'm not
- 10:19Speaker 3: really too excited about that. But I do like DeAndre
- 10:21Speaker 3: Hunter a little bit, especially I Jaaln Tyson were to miss,
- 10:24Speaker 3: just with the way that India has been given up
- 10:26Speaker 3: pretty big games to opposing wings and big wings like
- 10:30Speaker 3: DeAndre Hunter, like Evan Mobley, I think that he could
- 10:32Speaker 3: post a pretty solid score at a value price tag
- 10:35Speaker 3: at four point nine K, I think that would cover
- 10:37Speaker 3: it for all of Cleveland. Not really considering Dean Wade.
- 10:40Speaker 3: I don't think i'd really consider Jalen Tyson if you
- 10:42Speaker 3: were to be in either. Probably maybe Nakon Tomlin as
- 10:45Speaker 3: a sneaky guy if he does get more minutes, but
- 10:47Speaker 3: I'm not super confident in that. And then on the
- 10:50Speaker 3: Indie side, I'll be underweight Seeakham tonight. I just think
- 10:54Speaker 3: that there's much better power forward options for cheaper and
- 10:57Speaker 3: a little bit more expensive, so I'm kind of underweight him.
- 11:01Speaker 3: The power forwards have done pretty well against Cleveland over
- 11:06Speaker 3: the course of the season. They're one of the worst
- 11:07Speaker 3: teams at allowing like one of the most fantasy points
- 11:10Speaker 3: to power forwards, and he does have a pretty solid
- 11:13Speaker 3: track record against Cleveland this season, but I don't know
- 11:16Speaker 3: if he really has the upside that's going to break
- 11:18Speaker 3: the slate tonight. And I just think that you're gonna
- 11:20Speaker 3: need really really big scores at power forward, and just
- 11:23Speaker 3: with the way that Cleveland's been playing pretty well defensively,
- 11:25Speaker 3: kind of has me off of him. I see Andrew
- 11:28Speaker 3: Nemhardt as well, getting a good amount of ownership.
- 11:30Speaker 1: Good matchup.
- 11:31Speaker 3: They don't really have a lot of guards, just like
- 11:34Speaker 3: their on ball defense for Cleveland has not been good
- 11:36Speaker 3: against opposing guards. I think that he might be guarded
- 11:39Speaker 3: by Daris Garland as well, so pretty good matchup there.
- 11:41Speaker 1: But I don't know.
- 11:42Speaker 3: I'm not never really super excited about nem Hard. It's
- 11:46Speaker 3: close to seven K as well. I think that there's
- 11:47Speaker 3: better options. I do like Nei Smith and Teacher McConnell, though,
- 11:50Speaker 3: I think those are two guys that kind of stand
- 11:51Speaker 3: out I think that the performance we saw from neiswith
- 11:55Speaker 3: last game was a little bit outlirish. He had eight assists.
- 11:59Speaker 3: Never really gets high, and the numbers suggest that he
- 12:03Speaker 3: shouldn't be a guy that we're expecting to get at
- 12:04Speaker 3: assists from. But he does have a really solid usage
- 12:07Speaker 3: rate with mathering off the court the season twenty five percent,
- 12:09Speaker 3: and he's around one Fantasy points for minutes. I think
- 12:12Speaker 3: he's in a pretty good spot here, And the same
- 12:13Speaker 3: thing for TJ. He's at one point four Fantasy points
- 12:15Speaker 3: per minute. Never going to play a ton of minutes,
- 12:17Speaker 3: but you don't really need that, Like twenty to twenty
- 12:19Speaker 3: two is plenty from him. And then lastly, Michael Potter
- 12:24Speaker 3: and Jay Huff both in play max. One of those
- 12:25Speaker 3: two guys, they're gonna be splitting the center minutes.
- 12:28Speaker 2: Yeah, Man, that Nie Smith ownership really jumped without matherin,
- 12:33Speaker 2: Like he looks like the biggest beneficiary by far, and
- 12:36Speaker 2: that's why a lot of these guys are projecting pretty
- 12:38Speaker 2: good like him off the court math, and that's a
- 12:41Speaker 2: ton of usage to go around, and these guys aren't
- 12:43Speaker 2: really priced up accordingly. So Yeah, I think Nie Smith,
- 12:46Speaker 2: McConnell Memhard, you'r Siakam shout being underweight on him. He's
- 12:51Speaker 2: gonna be popular on both by sites, especially Fanda where
- 12:54Speaker 2: you're forced to play two Power forwards eighty two hundred
- 12:57Speaker 2: Mobley's eighty one hundred. I think it's clearly will be
- 13:00Speaker 2: the ones that are played at Power Forward. So if
- 13:03Speaker 2: you do think ants out playing Julius Randall over there,
- 13:06Speaker 2: you'll definitely get an ownership discount. And if you do
- 13:09Speaker 2: get the news going right, I think that could be
- 13:11Speaker 2: a pretty big leverage spot. Again, a lot of people
- 13:14Speaker 2: go in Siakam and Mobley three calves viable people are asking.
- 13:19Speaker 2: I definitely think so. I think you could go Mobilely, Garland,
- 13:23Speaker 2: Craig Porter, maybe even Jared Allen. I think Craig Porter,
- 13:27Speaker 2: Garland Mobley sound pretty good though. You'd be good with
- 13:30Speaker 2: three calves.
- 13:31Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, three is good.
- 13:33Speaker 2: And then any Max for the pacers stuff.
- 13:37Speaker 3: Definitely Max one, Potter and Huff. I probably would be
- 13:42Speaker 3: Max one of Nemhard and TJ and I think that's it.
- 13:47Speaker 3: Like Siakam can kind of float around. I think Nie
- 13:50Speaker 3: Smith too. Those guys aren't really gonna be I think
- 13:52Speaker 3: that their minutes are pretty secured. Like maybe it'd be
- 13:55Speaker 3: just Walker getting minutes over Nie Smith.
- 13:58Speaker 1: I doubt it, though.
- 13:59Speaker 3: I think that lineup is pretty straightforward.
- 14:02Speaker 2: Are you gonna force I know you play a lot
- 14:05Speaker 2: of teams, so maybe not in your one fifty, but
- 14:06Speaker 2: if you were playing five and you can answer for
- 14:08Speaker 2: your one fifty, are you gonna force leaving like X
- 14:10Speaker 2: amount of spots, leaving three spots for the late two
- 14:13Speaker 2: games or four, whatever it may be. Are you gonna
- 14:16Speaker 2: do any rules there? I know the more teams you build,
- 14:19Speaker 2: the harder it is to do. So if you're playing
- 14:21Speaker 2: like one to three, like people are anything with that,
- 14:24Speaker 2: because Ant's projected in. If he's out, it does change
- 14:27Speaker 2: a lot of numbers that way. Like Bone Thailand would
- 14:29Speaker 2: be a complete smash, Randall would be strong, Conley would
- 14:32Speaker 2: be interesting for some value point guard stuff like looking
- 14:35Speaker 2: at head that way. Is there any rule you're gonna make?
- 14:39Speaker 3: No, but I don't think that it'd be a terrible
- 14:41Speaker 3: idea to do that.
- 14:43Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 14:43Speaker 2: I usually hard to fit on the teams.
- 14:45Speaker 3: Yeah, I usually don't force it in these two. The
- 14:47Speaker 3: first two games are kind of the most appealing ones.
- 14:50Speaker 3: I could see myself having four to five roster spots
- 14:53Speaker 3: locked up early. But I would definitely be kicking myself
- 14:56Speaker 3: if I knew for sure that ANT were to be out. See,
- 15:00Speaker 3: I don't know, maybe it's a mess round with that afterwards.
- 15:02Speaker 1: Yeah, it's kind of.
- 15:02Speaker 3: It definitely is tough to do that in one to fifty,
- 15:04Speaker 3: but for your handbuild and anything, maybe even like twenty Marcs,
- 15:07Speaker 3: it'd be a lot easier to do so.
- 15:09Speaker 2: For sure, and like, yeah, that's what makes us late
- 15:11Speaker 2: pretty tough. Is the best two games in my opinion
- 15:13Speaker 2: fantasy wise are these two seven Eastern games. But if
- 15:17Speaker 2: Webby were to miss, if I mean Aunt more so,
- 15:21Speaker 2: like there's definitely value opens up that people will be
- 15:24Speaker 2: locked into stuff and they just naturally can't like they
- 15:26Speaker 2: bones Julius Randall, these guys won't be able to be
- 15:29Speaker 2: as high owned as they would be if we got
- 15:31Speaker 2: the news before lock Is my Mica sound good?
- 15:34Speaker 1: Now? Yeah?
- 15:34Speaker 3: Yeah, it's perfect.
- 15:35Speaker 2: I just changed this setting. I've never had it on
- 15:38Speaker 2: this never look I looked online for like the best
- 15:40Speaker 2: like whatever, and I was on like this different pattern,
- 15:44Speaker 2: so I moved it to something else. So it sounds good. Yeah,
- 15:46Speaker 2: it sounds great all right, Probably better than it's ever
- 15:49Speaker 2: ever been because of that, So just had to do
- 15:51Speaker 2: a little Google take a take twenty seconds out of
- 15:54Speaker 2: my day, and I think it's better. All right, We'll
- 15:56Speaker 2: keep it rolling again. Appreciate everyone hanging out. It's like
- 15:58Speaker 2: Bud subscribe button. All we have for it is free
- 16:01Speaker 2: to do so and it helps us out a ton
- 16:03Speaker 2: bringing you NBA shows on this channel live Monday through
- 16:06Speaker 2: Friday and then a Saturday quick kit. We are full,
- 16:09Speaker 2: fully in force. NBA is in full force for us
- 16:13Speaker 2: at Ship in Nation, NFL in the playoffs, so we
- 16:15Speaker 2: will have a show. I think we're gonna do Friday.
- 16:18Speaker 2: Nothing is concrete yet, but we'll still obviously have NFL
- 16:22Speaker 2: shows to close out the year for the playoffs. NBA
- 16:24Speaker 2: is going on, NHL is going on, College football is
- 16:27Speaker 2: still going on. I might hit the Fiesta bal on
- 16:30Speaker 2: Thursday right in my backyard, so pretty excited for that
- 16:33Speaker 2: that big game Saturday. So a lot of sports going on,
- 16:35Speaker 2: a lot of money to be made. We'd love to
- 16:37Speaker 2: have you at the Nation and again five days for
- 16:39Speaker 2: nineteen dollars using the coach ship nineteenth is the best deal,
- 16:43Speaker 2: thank you, little neck. The playoff best play YEP, there's
- 16:46Speaker 2: definitely playoff. Best ball out there on underdog and DraftKings.
- 16:49Speaker 2: If you are interested, all right, we'll keep it rolling.
- 16:52Speaker 2: Next game the Orlando Magic and the Washington Wizards again.
- 16:55Speaker 2: This game is also at seven eastern and then it
- 16:58Speaker 2: jumps after that seven a half point favorites of the
- 17:00Speaker 2: Magic two thirty four and a half total in this one.
- 17:03Speaker 2: Injuries for the Magic. No, Jalen Suggs. He is out
- 17:06Speaker 2: and definitely after getting dunked on by Bizulis. No, I'm kidding,
- 17:10Speaker 2: but that was absolutely insane by mates for that. Hey,
- 17:14Speaker 2: shout out to Suggs. I always respect anyone going up
- 17:17Speaker 2: to challenge a dunk like that that that's part of
- 17:19Speaker 2: the game. Yanna talks about it or has multiple times
- 17:22Speaker 2: he's got dunked on. It's part of the game. You
- 17:24Speaker 2: try to block it. That can happen. Keishaan George is
- 17:28Speaker 2: out for the Wizards as well as Corey Kissberts. Another game.
- 17:32Speaker 2: If we sort by ownership, yeah, there's multiple guys projected
- 17:35Speaker 2: over twenty percent the Magic in terms of ownership projections, though,
- 17:40Speaker 2: do have the four highest owned guys. Paulo power forward
- 17:45Speaker 2: another power forward position. You mentioned, there's mobile there could
- 17:48Speaker 2: be Randall later, it does seem like people do want
- 17:51Speaker 2: to spend up when they are playing power forwards. You
- 17:54Speaker 2: can obviously play two I think, and Mobili and Siakam
- 17:58Speaker 2: two of the three will be very popular. And the
- 18:00Speaker 2: more I say that, the more Julius Randall is interesting
- 18:03Speaker 2: because you have to make a case like adjust things
- 18:06Speaker 2: to get him if we do not get news prior
- 18:08Speaker 2: to Locke. So yeah, take this game away Wizards and
- 18:11Speaker 2: the Magic.
- 18:13Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 18:13Speaker 3: Washington has been playing a little bit better defense as
- 18:15Speaker 3: of late, still bottom two defensive rating on the year,
- 18:18Speaker 3: but and then they're pretty much like towards the bottom
- 18:21Speaker 3: of basically every category. I think the one category that
- 18:24Speaker 3: matters the most is their rim defense. They're not dead last,
- 18:27Speaker 3: but like bottom five, bottom six this year at defending
- 18:30Speaker 3: the rim. Orlando is a team that is top four
- 18:33Speaker 3: and rim scoring on the year, so definitely a good
- 18:35Speaker 3: spot for Orlanto gets some points up. They're also giving
- 18:39Speaker 3: up a lot of transition points. They're dead last in
- 18:41Speaker 3: points possession in transition score defense Orlando's seventeenth, so not
- 18:45Speaker 3: really anything to talk about there. But they are also
- 18:48Speaker 3: dead last and rebounding Orlando's fourteenth, and reboundings a little
- 18:51Speaker 3: bit of upside for guys like Goga and Wendell. Carter
- 18:55Speaker 3: Junior will talk about a little bit, and then the
- 18:56Speaker 3: main area that you really want to attack Orlando with
- 19:00Speaker 3: pick and roll scoring. They're always kind of a team
- 19:02Speaker 3: that gives up a good amount of pick and roll volume,
- 19:04Speaker 3: and with Sugs out, they're gonna be a little bit
- 19:06Speaker 3: thinner with their on ball defense.
- 19:07Speaker 1: So the guards are in a decent spot. It's mainly
- 19:10Speaker 1: c J. McCollum.
- 19:11Speaker 3: They only have a lot of really high pick and
- 19:13Speaker 3: roll guys with Keishawn George out. Yeah, the Orlando side,
- 19:16Speaker 3: it's Paulo is gonna be my favorite play. Him and
- 19:19Speaker 3: Evan Mobile are like one A, one B tonight on
- 19:21Speaker 3: the slate. Just think it's a really really good spot
- 19:23Speaker 3: for him with Sugs out and expect a little bit
- 19:25Speaker 3: more ball handling for him. He did flash trip double
- 19:28Speaker 3: upside a few times over the last month or so.
- 19:30Speaker 3: We have a four hundred and fifty minute sample of
- 19:32Speaker 3: the season with Fronz and Suggs off the court. He's
- 19:35Speaker 3: just under thirty percent usage rate, fourteen percent rebounding rate,
- 19:38Speaker 3: fourteen percent assist percentage.
- 19:40Speaker 1: I actually think that's wrong.
- 19:41Speaker 3: I think the assist a little bit higher, but one
- 19:43Speaker 3: point twenty five fancy points for a.
- 19:45Speaker 1: Minute is not great.
- 19:45Speaker 3: But I don't really know like why it's so low,
- 19:49Speaker 3: but we've seen him be a pretty solid permanent producer
- 19:51Speaker 3: at times, so that's not really great for somebody that's
- 19:55Speaker 3: nine point two k one point two five fancy points
- 19:57Speaker 3: for a minute. But I do think he gets a
- 19:58Speaker 3: really really big boost with the matchup versus Washington played
- 20:02Speaker 3: them earlier this season, only played twenty six minutes, but
- 20:04Speaker 3: put up fifty three DK points, and then last season
- 20:07Speaker 3: the average fifty one and a half DK points.
- 20:10Speaker 1: One of those games he was in like.
- 20:11Speaker 3: The low thirties, other one upper forties, I think maybe
- 20:14Speaker 3: even fifty, and then he had seventy and a half
- 20:15Speaker 3: against them last year as well, fully unleased right now,
- 20:19Speaker 3: playing a ton of minutes. I really really like Paulo tonight.
- 20:22Speaker 3: Then I would group together Desmond Baine and Anthony Black. Obviously,
- 20:25Speaker 3: Anthony Black is kind of one of the main talking
- 20:27Speaker 3: points because he's having a breakout season, definitely in the
- 20:30Speaker 3: running for most improved player, but probably behind my guy
- 20:33Speaker 3: Kyant George. But he has a couple really big games
- 20:37Speaker 3: as well, fifty eight and sixty DK points in the
- 20:39Speaker 3: last week or so, one of those game against Denver.
- 20:43Speaker 1: I do slightly lean Bain here.
- 20:44Speaker 3: I think that the matchup could be a little bit
- 20:47Speaker 3: better for him, with the transition defense for Washington being
- 20:51Speaker 3: really bad. Bain's always been one of the better transition scores.
- 20:54Speaker 3: Is also a catch and shoot heavy guy. Washington has
- 20:57Speaker 3: bottom two and catch and shoot scoring the season, so
- 20:59Speaker 3: I think the matchup does lean Bain's way a little bit.
- 21:02Speaker 3: But we do have a basically an identical minute sample
- 21:06Speaker 3: for Fronz and sugs off the court for these two guards,
- 21:09Speaker 3: and it is Anti Black that leads basically in every category,
- 21:13Speaker 3: so you could definitely make the case that Black is
- 21:14Speaker 3: the better play. I think people might be a little
- 21:17Speaker 3: scared off because the price tag at seven point five K.
- 21:19Speaker 3: We're kind of used to him in like the five
- 21:20Speaker 3: K range, even like upper four K. But he's playing
- 21:23Speaker 3: really really well right now, something you could definitely just
- 21:26Speaker 3: kind of ride the hot hand. But I do I
- 21:28Speaker 3: do kind of lean Bain a little bit here. I
- 21:31Speaker 3: would be fine playing those two together, but I don't
- 21:32Speaker 3: know if I would want Paulo in those lineups, So
- 21:35Speaker 3: probably Max two of Paulo, Bain and Black, and then
- 21:39Speaker 3: there are some other guards that will be getting a
- 21:40Speaker 3: little bit of ownership, mainly Jace Richardson.
- 21:44Speaker 1: I would probably be Max two of Baine.
- 21:45Speaker 3: Black and Richardson as well, and I think that would
- 21:47Speaker 3: cover all the rules outside of Max one of the
- 21:49Speaker 3: bigs for Orlando. You want to get a chime in.
- 21:54Speaker 2: I like black Man, like that price tag definitely is scary,
- 21:59Speaker 2: but I look at that stuff is like when we
- 22:02Speaker 2: saw Jalen Johnson keep creeping up really high, like hankin
- 22:05Speaker 2: Nipple like went from the four K all that Like,
- 22:07Speaker 2: I look at that as good for tournaments because there's
- 22:10Speaker 2: a reason they keep moving up in price. I mean
- 22:12Speaker 2: the usage just for everything is phenomenal. Like he's he's
- 22:15Speaker 2: the ball handler. I wouldn't play too like Paulo, Bain
- 22:19Speaker 2: and Black. I just think that's too much salary to
- 22:22Speaker 2: play all three and one team on a slate that's
- 22:24Speaker 2: pretty strong like this. But I actually lean you're the experts,
- 22:27Speaker 2: so I mean I would take this with a grain
- 22:28Speaker 2: of salt, but at an ownership discount and a little cheaper.
- 22:31Speaker 2: I like blackmore. I think I think he's in for
- 22:34Speaker 2: a lot of big games. Yeah, I'd also don't believe
- 22:38Speaker 2: the like I Jase Richardson projected like ownership, I'm taking
- 22:42Speaker 2: average a ship nation in sabers and they had thirty
- 22:44Speaker 2: four percent. There's just like no chance it's even close
- 22:47Speaker 2: to that. I do think Paulo's higher than the twenty
- 22:50Speaker 2: six at show. So I was bumping a little moving
- 22:52Speaker 2: around a little stuff. But I think Black and Paulo
- 22:55Speaker 2: are very very strong.
- 22:57Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you. I mean there's there's nothing
- 23:00Speaker 3: really like negatives say about Black. He's been the better
- 23:03Speaker 3: producer just from like a permanent standpoint. So I don't know,
- 23:07Speaker 3: Like I'm if do.
- 23:08Speaker 2: You think the usage goes, like if it's the same
- 23:10Speaker 2: these same guys for the next like two weeks and stuff,
- 23:13Speaker 2: like how how do you see it playing out? Like
- 23:15Speaker 2: I'm from what I'm seeing right here, Like I think
- 23:17Speaker 2: Black might have I think it'll be really close. But
- 23:19Speaker 2: I think like Black might even have a little higher
- 23:21Speaker 2: usage percentage. I think he handles the ball more. I
- 23:25Speaker 2: just think he has sewn me out, like the assists
- 23:27Speaker 2: are so nice and he's not a terrible rebounding guard.
- 23:30Speaker 2: But yeah, what do you think on the like the
- 23:32Speaker 2: usage numbers.
- 23:33Speaker 1: No, I agree with that.
- 23:34Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be pretty clearly Paulo number one.
- 23:37Speaker 3: I would expect Black to take the number two spot
- 23:40Speaker 3: and then like probably Bane, like he's obviously the clear
- 23:43Speaker 3: number three option, but there's there's been times where he
- 23:45Speaker 3: can disappear.
- 23:46Speaker 2: For sure, he's Yeah, I love desmon Bane as a
- 23:49Speaker 2: real player, but always want on my team. But for DFS,
- 23:52Speaker 2: I have struggled clicking the name for years. I mean,
- 23:55Speaker 2: he was next to John's, like his ceilings high, but man,
- 23:58Speaker 2: that floor, and it just feels like he won't get
- 24:00Speaker 2: you a snowflake or flame. He'll he'll just be fine
- 24:04Speaker 2: in tournaments you don't necessarily want, just fine.
- 24:06Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 24:08Speaker 3: See, I think it's honestly a decision that people themselves
- 24:11Speaker 3: are gonna have to make. It kind of laid it
- 24:13Speaker 3: out for you, but it is it is Black that
- 24:15Speaker 3: kind of that leads in all the meaningful categories. I mean,
- 24:19Speaker 3: it's it's identical, like it's pretty very similar. He just
- 24:23Speaker 3: has a better point per minute production very very slightly.
- 24:27Speaker 2: Yeah, and when it's really similar, cheaper ownership discount if
- 24:30Speaker 2: you do believe in those, but whatever fits. I mean,
- 24:33Speaker 2: it's it's one of those spots where if you're using
- 24:35Speaker 2: Saber sim and stuff and you like a team and
- 24:38Speaker 2: it has Baine roll with it, maybe it's meant to
- 24:40Speaker 2: be that way, and you can say the same with Black.
- 24:42Speaker 2: But yeah, Paul is really strong.
- 24:44Speaker 3: Mm hm, you continue with the Orlando stuff though, I
- 24:48Speaker 3: really like the Biggs here. I think Wendel Carr Junior
- 24:50Speaker 3: is an exceptional play at five point five K, the
- 24:53Speaker 3: matchup that kind of always look to attack. I think
- 24:56Speaker 3: he's really really strong. He's actually great. I was like
- 25:00Speaker 3: one of the better overall value plays if you take
- 25:04Speaker 3: away the Minnesota stuff, Like if if Anthony Edwards were
- 25:07Speaker 3: to be out, then it's like Bones would look really good.
- 25:10Speaker 3: Mike Conley even projects decently there. But if and is in,
- 25:14Speaker 3: then I think wendelcard Junior is a probably the best
- 25:17Speaker 3: just point per dollar option on the slate in my opinion.
- 25:20Speaker 3: But that being said, I also really like Goga too.
- 25:23Speaker 3: I'm gonna be playing a lot of him as well
- 25:25Speaker 3: at three point five K. He had a huge game
- 25:27Speaker 3: against Washington earlier this season, in like twenty minutes, I
- 25:30Speaker 3: think he put up thirty one DK points. Really good
- 25:32Speaker 3: shop blocker, really good rebounder. Yeah, and he's gonna be
- 25:35Speaker 3: going up against a lot of the backups like Marvin Bagley.
- 25:37Speaker 3: I wouldn't even mind him going up against Alex Sar.
- 25:39Speaker 3: I think it's a really really good spot for the
- 25:41Speaker 3: bigs here. And then I'm not I think the Jace
- 25:44Speaker 3: Richardson ownership is a little bit too.
- 25:46Speaker 1: I don't I agree with you.
- 25:46Speaker 3: I don't think it's gonna be whatever Saber has it
- 25:50Speaker 3: as I see, like thirty ish percent. I don't think
- 25:52Speaker 3: it's gonna be that high. Probably is like mid teens,
- 25:55Speaker 3: upper teams. But I think people are kind of excited
- 25:57Speaker 3: about playing him with Jim sugs out. He was the
- 26:01Speaker 3: guy that had the big game last time. So if
- 26:04Speaker 3: you really need somebody that cheap, then I guess it's fine.
- 26:07Speaker 3: But I really prefer Craig Port Junior. If you're going
- 26:10Speaker 3: down that.
- 26:10Speaker 2: Low, you also have again, if you do think ants
- 26:15Speaker 2: out like Bones is just it's such a better play
- 26:18Speaker 2: if you have him at the shooting guard. I think
- 26:20Speaker 2: Conley's probably a better play at point guard, and like
- 26:22Speaker 2: people won't really be able to have like it depends
- 26:26Speaker 2: if people aren't building like that pre flop, they're naturally
- 26:28Speaker 2: going to get a bunch of these first two guy
- 26:30Speaker 2: or first guys in the first two games, and they
- 26:33Speaker 2: just won't have flexibility. So I struggle with Jace Richardson.
- 26:37Speaker 2: Just at that price, I would find like, try and
- 26:39Speaker 2: leave a hundred with Bones or you can't leave it
- 26:42Speaker 2: because the game's already locked. I would just try and
- 26:43Speaker 2: build more. So for like a fuck man, it is
- 26:48Speaker 2: tough because I'm trying to look at some of these
- 26:49Speaker 2: guards in the late games, like a KCP. I think
- 26:52Speaker 2: I just I like KCP just because I have easy
- 26:56Speaker 2: Like he's fine if he plays, and then I have
- 26:59Speaker 2: pivots in that minutes if I need whereas you Jase
- 27:02Speaker 2: Richardson locks right away, you have no pivots there, So
- 27:04Speaker 2: any thoughts on.
- 27:06Speaker 3: That, Yeah, that'd probably be the way to do it.
- 27:09Speaker 3: Lock in KCP at guard. I don't think you want
- 27:11Speaker 3: him at shooting guard or small forward, like play him
- 27:13Speaker 3: at Definitely play him at guard because that would give
- 27:16Speaker 3: you a little bit more outs to you.
- 27:17Speaker 2: Can go if shooting guard, you can go right to
- 27:19Speaker 2: Bones though, or just play him.
- 27:20Speaker 3: But oh yeah, I didn't know that. I thought Bones
- 27:22Speaker 3: was just point guard.
- 27:23Speaker 2: No, he's just shooting guard. If I oh wow, right,
- 27:27Speaker 2: no point guard and shooting guard. Okay, but he does
- 27:29Speaker 2: have the shooting guard eligibility.
- 27:31Speaker 3: Yeah, you could play KCP at at shooting guard or guard.
- 27:34Speaker 3: I would imagine you probably have a guard spot locked
- 27:37Speaker 3: up early if you're playing one of Black or Bane. Yeah,
- 27:41Speaker 3: but yeah, I like the way you broke it down.
- 27:43Speaker 3: You play KCP and then it gives you some room
- 27:44Speaker 3: because KCP is going to be a guy that people
- 27:46Speaker 3: are going to regardless. He's projecting like an okay value
- 27:49Speaker 3: right now.
- 27:50Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just I mean, if you like Jay's fine,
- 27:53Speaker 2: but I think that play becomes a lot worse and
- 27:55Speaker 2: in hindsight, you'd be kicking yourself if ant is ruled
- 27:58Speaker 2: out with when you see the value guards open up.
- 28:00Speaker 2: I do like your goga shout, though, Wendell Carter is
- 28:03Speaker 2: going to be like I moved his ownership up and
- 28:06Speaker 2: maybe I'm even light there. Center's week today, Like when
- 28:09Speaker 2: people play at Center, it's Wendell or I think it's
- 28:11Speaker 2: pretty much Mobili or Allen. And you can play Mobile
- 28:14Speaker 2: at Power Forward, So you're getting so much direct leverage
- 28:18Speaker 2: like two guys that don't share the court. If Carter
- 28:20Speaker 2: Boston gets under his projection Goga probably has a good
- 28:24Speaker 2: or a big reason why. So yeah, I think that's
- 28:27Speaker 2: a really sharp play on somewhat of a small slate.
- 28:30Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't like Tristan de Silva. I'll kind of
- 28:34Speaker 3: let other people chase that. I just don't think he's
- 28:36Speaker 3: a very good fantasy option. He can spike at times,
- 28:39Speaker 3: was pretty good earlier in the season, but I feel
- 28:41Speaker 3: like a lot that came when Paula was out, So
- 28:44Speaker 3: I don't really think that I want to go to
- 28:46Speaker 3: Tristan to Silva tonight. The Wizard side, I definitely think
- 28:50Speaker 3: these guys are in play. I think that we might
- 28:52Speaker 3: start to see guys like Sar and cool Bali play
- 28:55Speaker 3: a little bit more than usual right now. They were
- 28:57Speaker 3: kind of limited returning from injury over the last few weeks,
- 29:02Speaker 3: but their head coach said that Star is not on
- 29:04Speaker 3: a minute restriction. He's just kind of playing like upper
- 29:07Speaker 3: twenties to like low thirties at times. So I think
- 29:09Speaker 3: we could see more minutes from him moving forward. And yeah,
- 29:13Speaker 3: he's a really good produce, like just really good fantasy
- 29:16Speaker 3: producer when he gets them in and so he can
- 29:17Speaker 3: flash some pretty big upside at times. I'm never too
- 29:20Speaker 3: afraid about attacking Wendell Carter Junior. More so I would
- 29:23Speaker 3: worry about the the Goga matchup. I don't think Wendell
- 29:25Speaker 3: is a great defender, but I do kind of like
- 29:28Speaker 3: Sarrow a good bit here. I think he's really good
- 29:31Speaker 3: on FanDuel because he does have power forward eligibility over there,
- 29:35Speaker 3: and that gets you off of the chalky Pascal Siakam. Like,
- 29:39Speaker 3: if you play Sar with any like Sar and Paolo,
- 29:43Speaker 3: Sar and Randall or Sorrow and Mobile, I would much
- 29:46Speaker 3: prefer than any combo with the scam personally, I kind
- 29:52Speaker 3: of that's kind of it. Like I think CJ has
- 29:53Speaker 3: the good matchup with the pick and roll stuff, but
- 29:56Speaker 3: I'm never too excited about playing CJ with a team
- 29:58Speaker 3: that's generally pretty healthy. I think you need a lot
- 30:01Speaker 3: more guys to be out because he's not going to
- 30:03Speaker 3: play thirty six minutes maybe ever again. While he's playing
- 30:06Speaker 3: for the Wizards, and then Trey Johnson at some ownership,
- 30:10Speaker 3: I'm definitely fine getting away from that. He's being managed.
- 30:13Speaker 3: His minutes are definitely being managed. More of a perimeter
- 30:15Speaker 3: scoring guy as well. Magic do not help off, So
- 30:18Speaker 3: there's not a ton of scoring upside for him here,
- 30:21Speaker 3: I would say, but I do like Coolibally at five K.
- 30:25Speaker 3: I think you project him around like thirty minutes, it
- 30:27Speaker 3: should go up in a pretty big way because he's
- 30:30Speaker 3: a little bit better than I think Saber has him
- 30:33Speaker 3: like point nine to one fantasy points for a minute,
- 30:35Speaker 3: but he's closer to one fantasy point per minute.
- 30:38Speaker 1: I think maybe they're.
- 30:39Speaker 3: Give him a little bit of a downgrade do the matchup,
- 30:42Speaker 3: but I still like below Coolibally a good bit here.
- 30:46Speaker 3: And then the rest of the guys like Bub, CHAMPAGNEE
- 30:49Speaker 3: Middleton are all fine and keeping your playpool. I would
- 30:52Speaker 3: definitely max one of Bub and CJ. I would max
- 30:55Speaker 3: one Middleton and Champagne, and then definitely max one of
- 30:59Speaker 3: any of the bench guys overall.
- 31:02Speaker 2: Yeah, the I like Sar if you think his minutes
- 31:05Speaker 2: are a little underprojected, He's always a fun click for me.
- 31:08Speaker 2: And again they're talking about a pretty weak center position.
- 31:10Speaker 2: You're getting different. You're spending a little more than the
- 31:14Speaker 2: Wendell Carter stuff, and I do think most people probably
- 31:17Speaker 2: clicking mobile, I mean no place on at center as well.
- 31:20Speaker 2: But I think Sar is a good option on DK
- 31:24Speaker 2: on FanDuel. It's the magic stuffs. I think the biggest
- 31:27Speaker 2: difference on the slate in the sense of Paul's ten
- 31:29Speaker 2: to four like he is the let's see secon. Yeah,
- 31:34Speaker 2: second highest price obviously, Luca is the highest priced player,
- 31:37Speaker 2: but second highest player on the slate at ten to
- 31:39Speaker 2: four power ford and small Ford eligibility, which is nice.
- 31:43Speaker 2: But guys like Baine seven to six guard Ford eligibility,
- 31:47Speaker 2: Anthony Black point guard shooting guard eligibility, Wendell Carter will
- 31:50Speaker 2: be popular over there. I think you get like a
- 31:53Speaker 2: it's not direct leverage obviously, like Bain and Paulo can
- 31:56Speaker 2: still get there and stuff, but you'll see a big
- 31:58Speaker 2: ownership discount DK with Paula or on FAND with Paulo
- 32:02Speaker 2: compared to DK and you could even I think you'll
- 32:04Speaker 2: see Bain and Black higher owned on FANDEL. So that's interesting.
- 32:10Speaker 2: That's really all I got. The Wizard sides definitely my
- 32:13Speaker 2: least favorite of the four teams that we've talked about.
- 32:16Speaker 2: To start it off, all right, we'll keep it rolling
- 32:20Speaker 2: Los Angeles Lakers and the New Orleans Pelicans tipping off
- 32:23Speaker 2: at eight eastern. We're looking at a two forty four
- 32:26Speaker 2: and a half total. The biggest on the slate five
- 32:28Speaker 2: and that point favorites are the Lakers. As far as
- 32:30Speaker 2: injuries on the Lakers side, no Ruey Hachimura, no Austin Reeves.
- 32:34Speaker 2: As far as the Pelican side, no Sadiq Bay Herbert
- 32:39Speaker 2: Jones is questionable. I also should have mentioned Gabe Vincent
- 32:42Speaker 2: is doubtful for the Lakers. Yeah, this game is pretty
- 32:47Speaker 2: tough for me in the sense of you can always
- 32:49Speaker 2: play Luca, but he has a big boy price and
- 32:52Speaker 2: it would be a lot easier to play him if
- 32:55Speaker 2: we did know that Ant was out, because there'd be
- 32:57Speaker 2: more value that way. Outside of that, Smarts fine at
- 33:01Speaker 2: his price, La Rabia's fine at his price. I think
- 33:04Speaker 2: they get worse if Ant is out, though, and some
- 33:07Speaker 2: of the cheaper like bone stuff comes into play. I
- 33:09Speaker 2: think Sartain Scrubs would be maybe a little more appealing,
- 33:12Speaker 2: and then the Pelicans side, it's really just showing at
- 33:14Speaker 2: least looking at Saber sim Trey Murphy. Otherwise, Yeah, Queen
- 33:19Speaker 2: Zion Pool, this game doesn't really excite me too much,
- 33:22Speaker 2: but it is a big total. It should be pretty close.
- 33:25Speaker 2: Maybe you see it differently.
- 33:27Speaker 1: Now for the most part. I do agree.
- 33:29Speaker 3: I think that this game has some sneaky stack appeal
- 33:33Speaker 3: because it's the most the highest over under the slate
- 33:36Speaker 3: close spread five and a half points. I think the
- 33:38Speaker 3: Lakers are and there's I think like most of the
- 33:41Speaker 3: appeal is coming from the Lakers side. Definitely a lot
- 33:44Speaker 3: to like about the matchup for them, though New Orleans.
- 33:47Speaker 3: I mean, the Lakers have been really bad defensively as well,
- 33:49Speaker 3: but over the last two weeks, I think the Pelicans
- 33:52Speaker 3: are bottom six and the Lakers are bottom three. Yeah,
- 33:56Speaker 3: I definitely think that both teams are in pretty good
- 33:58Speaker 3: spots here. I think the Pelican side is a little
- 34:01Speaker 3: bit easier to break down because there's not I don't know,
- 34:05Speaker 3: nothing really stands out. I think that Zion, in comparison
- 34:08Speaker 3: to all the other power forwards ever mentioned, is pretty
- 34:11Speaker 3: far down the list. But that being said, he is
- 34:13Speaker 3: playing more minutes, he's still fairly cheap for his upside,
- 34:17Speaker 3: and if you do run into a game where he
- 34:20Speaker 3: just has a spikes for crazy high usage, he definitely
- 34:22Speaker 3: has tournament winning upside in a game that has a
- 34:25Speaker 3: lot of just a lot of overall points upside in
- 34:29Speaker 3: the game. So I think Zion is pretty okay, not
- 34:33Speaker 3: great compared to those other guys, but he's fine. I
- 34:36Speaker 3: think with Zion in the lineup that does help.
- 34:38Speaker 1: Murphy a little bit.
- 34:39Speaker 3: It's always really smart to get some floor spacing with
- 34:42Speaker 3: Zion on the court because he doesn't take any threes,
- 34:44Speaker 3: and Trey Murphy has seen a pretty big uptick in
- 34:47Speaker 3: his volume from beyond the arc over the last few
- 34:49Speaker 3: or like three or four games. The Lakers are historically
- 34:53Speaker 3: a team this season that has given up a lot
- 34:54Speaker 3: of three point volume as well. So if you hit
- 34:57Speaker 3: right and Murphy is knocking down his threes, and I
- 34:59Speaker 3: think he's pretty solid. Also another plus for Zion is
- 35:03Speaker 3: the rim defense for the Lakers have been really bad
- 35:05Speaker 3: over the last seven games or so, so decent matchup
- 35:08Speaker 3: for him. I think that you might be asking for
- 35:10Speaker 3: a little bit too much to go to like Derek
- 35:12Speaker 3: Queen and Jordan Poole and Jeremiah Fears. I think all
- 35:16Speaker 3: those guys will remain in my playpool. Maybe in maybe
- 35:19Speaker 3: correlated with some of these Laker guys, but I don't
- 35:24Speaker 3: Nothing about those guys really stands out in particular. It's
- 35:26Speaker 3: nice that Derek Queen does have power forward center eligibility.
- 35:29Speaker 3: We've seen him have really big games at times, but
- 35:31Speaker 3: I do think that sharing the court with Zion is
- 35:34Speaker 3: a net negative for him. And then Jordan Poole, like,
- 35:37Speaker 3: I don't know, he's just he's just not very good.
- 35:38Speaker 3: I don't really want to go.
- 35:40Speaker 2: There, so I would sorry to interrupt. Like the correlation stuff,
- 35:45Speaker 2: I don't know if you ever were ever able to
- 35:47Speaker 2: ask Jordan or them there, but like it's showing Queen
- 35:49Speaker 2: and Zion have like the second best correlation in point
- 35:53Speaker 2: one six is actually relatively strong an NBA like you,
- 35:57Speaker 2: you're not look into that stuff at all, like it
- 35:58Speaker 2: that just doesn't make sense or.
- 36:01Speaker 3: I don't know if it's like a long term, like
- 36:04Speaker 3: season long thing that they're correlated positively more so like
- 36:08Speaker 3: the because they do like their game by game or
- 36:10Speaker 3: like play by place simulations. I would imagine it's more
- 36:13Speaker 3: so to do with that, like when Zion hits, it's
- 36:16Speaker 3: probably in like a closer game and the whole team
- 36:19Speaker 3: performs better.
- 36:20Speaker 2: I would imagine that makes sense.
- 36:22Speaker 3: But that's just I'm just completely guessing. I just kind
- 36:25Speaker 3: of feel like, as somebody that watches basketball, that those
- 36:28Speaker 3: two types of players negatively correlate where they both need
- 36:31Speaker 3: the ball in their hands and don't really stretch the
- 36:33Speaker 3: floor as much.
- 36:34Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure. The Zion stuff, like you said, it's
- 36:37Speaker 2: interesting because Randall's one hundred less, Seacom's two hundred less,
- 36:41Speaker 2: and then MOBILEI is what eight hundred less, seven hundred less,
- 36:46Speaker 2: Like all of them project better than Zion. With that
- 36:49Speaker 2: being said, yeah, if you if you eat a bunch
- 36:51Speaker 2: of chalk and Zion's the way to get different. And
- 36:53Speaker 2: I wouldn't hate that at all. But he's just like
- 36:56Speaker 2: you're happy if you get thirty minutes from him. Thirty
- 36:58Speaker 2: minutes could be enough in this spot, there's no doubt
- 37:00Speaker 2: about that. You mentioned a bad rim defense for the
- 37:03Speaker 2: Lakers and stuff too big total, but you just aren't
- 37:06Speaker 2: getting those extended minutes like I would like.
- 37:11Speaker 3: Yeah, So I was looking at some of the numbers
- 37:14Speaker 3: for Queen and Zion sharing the courts together just to
- 37:17Speaker 3: kind of back up what I'm saying about them being
- 37:20Speaker 3: negatively correlated. But while that's loading the Laker side, I think, yeah,
- 37:25Speaker 3: clear that Luca is one of the better spens on
- 37:27Speaker 3: the slate if you can kind of be fine with
- 37:30Speaker 3: the value that you have to play to play him.
- 37:32Speaker 3: He has twelve point two k hasn't really hit his
- 37:35Speaker 3: ceiling in quite some time that we need probably closer
- 37:37Speaker 3: to like seventy from him to really pay off. I
- 37:40Speaker 3: think what I'm my approach with Luca tonight, and I
- 37:43Speaker 3: don't know if a lot of people are thinking the
- 37:44Speaker 3: same way, but if if Herb Jones is in, I'll
- 37:47Speaker 3: probably be off of Luca. If he's out, then I'll
- 37:49Speaker 3: definitely play a lot of Luca. He's had a pretty
- 37:53Speaker 3: wide range of outcomes versus Herb in his career. He's
- 37:55Speaker 3: topped out at eighty four DK points, but was held
- 37:57Speaker 3: below fifty DraftKings points in four of those games, went
- 38:01Speaker 3: for fifty eight against him earlier this season. That's fine,
- 38:03Speaker 3: it's not great for his price tag. I do think
- 38:06Speaker 3: he has a lot more upside if Herb were to
- 38:08Speaker 3: be out, because then you're adding guys like it'd probably
- 38:10Speaker 3: be like Micah pev And and Bryce McGowan's guarding him,
- 38:15Speaker 3: which I think are much much worse defenders than Herb Jones.
- 38:18Speaker 1: So that I think that's.
- 38:18Speaker 3: One that you got to keep an eye on. I'll
- 38:20Speaker 3: boost him up a decent bit if Herb is out, though,
- 38:24Speaker 3: how are you.
- 38:24Speaker 2: Gonna do that though, with it an hour after the
- 38:26Speaker 2: first two games.
- 38:30Speaker 3: That's a good question. I don't really know if it
- 38:33Speaker 3: have to be. Yeah, I don't even know if it'd
- 38:36Speaker 3: be really possible to get a lot of Luca after
- 38:38Speaker 3: that too, because I'm gonna have a lot of those
- 38:41Speaker 3: spind ups in the first two games. So I don't
- 38:42Speaker 3: really know how that's how that would work out. You'd
- 38:45Speaker 3: have to do it beforehand, and then I guess that
- 38:48Speaker 3: would kind of give you some flexibility to move around
- 38:50Speaker 3: to the Minnesota stuff, because you'd have to play some
- 38:53Speaker 3: pretty cheap value.
- 38:56Speaker 2: That's tough to do. I was just I was wondering
- 38:58Speaker 2: if you got a plan because the mobilis that's like,
- 39:01Speaker 2: there's a lot of the Paulo's, the Banes, but those
- 39:04Speaker 2: first two games are great, Like, it's hard to build
- 39:08Speaker 2: around if this guy's out. I think you just would
- 39:10Speaker 2: have to go in and maybe building sets. If you're
- 39:12Speaker 2: playing one hundred teams, maybe you'll build eighty straight and
- 39:15Speaker 2: then you build ten with no herb Jones that jams
- 39:18Speaker 2: Luca and ten without or however you want to split
- 39:22Speaker 2: it up. Ten that's projecting and to be out and
- 39:24Speaker 2: then Randall bones all that. That's really all I can
- 39:27Speaker 2: think of right now is building in sets is the
- 39:29Speaker 2: way to do that most sufficiently.
- 39:31Speaker 3: Yeah, and did we just get the no, that's not
- 39:36Speaker 3: that's not true.
- 39:37Speaker 1: Yeah, I didn't see.
- 39:38Speaker 2: I didn't see that. He's still questioned, but Brian.
- 39:40Speaker 3: Yeah, the rest of the Lakers stuff, though, I'm I'm
- 39:45Speaker 3: okay with Lebron Again, you're comparing to some of these
- 39:47Speaker 3: other power forwards on the slag, which why I alluded
- 39:49Speaker 3: to power forward being extremely strong tonight, because Lebron is
- 39:52Speaker 3: another guy to add to that list, coming off of
- 39:54Speaker 3: a few really good games as well, thirty six and
- 39:56Speaker 3: thirty seven minutes in his last two games. I don't
- 39:58Speaker 3: only have anything to add on Lebron. I think that
- 40:01Speaker 3: he's good when he's playing upper thirties minutes, but you're
- 40:04Speaker 3: also sharing the court in usage with Luca. Definitely would
- 40:07Speaker 3: be Max one of those two guys. I don't really
- 40:09Speaker 3: think it's even possible or smart to get both them
- 40:12Speaker 3: in the same lineup.
- 40:14Speaker 1: See.
- 40:15Speaker 3: I think Lebron is also probably like fourth or fifth
- 40:18Speaker 3: on the list of power forwards for me tonight, I
- 40:22Speaker 3: really like Deondre Aiden, though I don't think that he's
- 40:24Speaker 3: gonna get a lot of ownership. I've seen around ten
- 40:27Speaker 3: percent on Saber. It could be a little bit lower
- 40:29Speaker 3: as we get closer to Locke. But I think that
- 40:31Speaker 3: he's really good tonight. The minutes have been fined, there's
- 40:34Speaker 3: been some positive coach speak about getting him involved offensively
- 40:37Speaker 3: earlier in the games. Pelicans have been given a big
- 40:40Speaker 3: stat line to opposing centers all year long. And not
- 40:43Speaker 3: to be like a game log watcher, but the matchup
- 40:45Speaker 3: is really good for him. He's put up forty eight
- 40:47Speaker 3: DraftKings points in both times he's faced the Pelicans this season.
- 40:51Speaker 3: I think that he's an excellent GPP option tonight with
- 40:53Speaker 3: a good amount of upside.
- 40:54Speaker 1: So I like him a little bit more.
- 40:57Speaker 3: I like DeAndre aiden little bit more than Lebron, maybe
- 41:00Speaker 3: just overall better than Luca as a point per dollar option.
- 41:03Speaker 3: Two other guys I'm looking to are l Ravian Marcus Smart.
- 41:07Speaker 3: They've been really good in the starting lineup, feeling in
- 41:09Speaker 3: for Ruey and Austin Reeves, both playing a ton of minutes.
- 41:13Speaker 3: Like I said the last time we did the show,
- 41:14Speaker 3: you Gotta Live and Die by Marcus Smart, So if
- 41:16Speaker 3: you're playing him he's there's a very good chance he
- 41:20Speaker 3: gets you like fifteen to eighteen DraftKings points. But he
- 41:24Speaker 3: has a ton of upside as well because he can
- 41:25Speaker 3: fill up the stat sheet, gonna be left open a lot,
- 41:29Speaker 3: and if he's knocked down the shots, he can really
- 41:30Speaker 3: go for seven eight x at his price tag. I
- 41:33Speaker 3: just think that the role overall, and it's easier for
- 41:36Speaker 3: Larravi to get Fantasy points with the rebounding and assists numbers,
- 41:40Speaker 3: but he's been scoring the ball really well as as
- 41:42Speaker 3: well lately. And the five point five k good price
- 41:45Speaker 3: tag for somebody that's probably playing thirty six to thirty
- 41:47Speaker 3: eight minutes. I'll take Larravio over Smart tonight, but definitely
- 41:50Speaker 3: going to get a good amount of both.
- 41:53Speaker 1: I think that's it.
- 41:53Speaker 3: I don't really think you need to mess with like
- 41:55Speaker 3: Vanderbilt Hayes or any of these. And Gabe Benson does
- 41:58Speaker 3: nothing if he's in or out.
- 42:00Speaker 2: Yeah, for this t you know, I mean you could
- 42:03Speaker 2: ask this question every single you could for years, like
- 42:06Speaker 2: why do they midday down grade fran if he isn't sitting?
- 42:09Speaker 2: Teams do random stuff. They don't want to get fined,
- 42:11Speaker 2: like they don't want to just randomly put oh ants
- 42:14Speaker 2: out or something like that. So they do it in
- 42:15Speaker 2: the beginning. The NBA is happy that they actually report something.
- 42:19Speaker 2: Then if he sits, it doesn't surprise anyone. Yeah, I
- 42:22Speaker 2: real leans like mid day down grade. Usually it's a
- 42:24Speaker 2: lean that he's out, but by no means is it
- 42:27Speaker 2: close to one hundred percent. We've seen it a ton.
- 42:29Speaker 2: I don't have too much really to add on the
- 42:31Speaker 2: Lakers stuff. I think Lebron's probably my least favorite power
- 42:33Speaker 2: forwards of all of them we mentioned. It's just even
- 42:36Speaker 2: in the solid games where he's played these upper thirties
- 42:39Speaker 2: minutes like it's Luca's team. There's no doubt. And I
- 42:41Speaker 2: don't know how many like sixty pieces Lebron has in them.
- 42:44Speaker 2: I think if he's truly doing that today, then I
- 42:46Speaker 2: just think this game fully's nuke and and Zion himself
- 42:49Speaker 2: has like sixty five or something. I'd much rather play
- 42:52Speaker 2: Zion to be contrariing in two hundred more is Paulo.
- 42:55Speaker 2: I do like your eight and shout quite a bit.
- 42:56Speaker 2: Though again, Center's week since Mobley is power forward. If
- 42:59Speaker 2: you play and there Wendell Carter I think will be
- 43:01Speaker 2: the highest own that's like just center eligible only five
- 43:05Speaker 2: hundred dollars more so, kind of a direct pivot right
- 43:08Speaker 2: in that range you mentioned the game logs, He's like,
- 43:11Speaker 2: I mean, talk about floor ceiling, but the minute spike
- 43:14Speaker 2: and go down a lot depending on the matchups. So
- 43:16Speaker 2: if he's getting thirty minutes, like Sabersim has projected here
- 43:21Speaker 2: at twelve percent. I remember last time you touted him,
- 43:24Speaker 2: I think he was one percent owned and nuke. So yeah,
- 43:28Speaker 2: I definitely like DeAndre and I think that's a good call.
- 43:31Speaker 2: I don't know how much like Luca and stuff I'll
- 43:34Speaker 2: be able to get though, because you really have to
- 43:36Speaker 2: play it. A you want herb to be out for
- 43:39Speaker 2: him to be there, but also the value on this
- 43:40Speaker 2: late stuff. Even if herbs out but then ants in,
- 43:43Speaker 2: it's still kind of tough. You're giving up a decent
- 43:45Speaker 2: amount of projection. The pallos, the mobilis, the early games.
- 43:48Speaker 2: The mid tier build looks stronger there, so I think
- 43:52Speaker 2: the best way to do it is building sets. If
- 43:54Speaker 2: you do want to get more Luca, all right, keep
- 43:57Speaker 2: it rolling. The next game on the slate, San Antonio
- 43:59Speaker 2: Spurs and the Memphis Grizzlies two thirty eight and a
- 44:02Speaker 2: half total. Six and a half point favorites are the Spurs.
- 44:06Speaker 2: On the Spur side for the injury report, Devin Vessel
- 44:09Speaker 2: is out, Victor wemen Yamba is questionable. On the Memphis side,
- 44:13Speaker 2: joh doubtful, Cedric Howard outs, and that is all we
- 44:17Speaker 2: got there. Yeah, this is a game where if Wemby
- 44:22Speaker 2: was out, I wonder even how much it would change stuff,
- 44:25Speaker 2: because A I'm not sure how much of the value
- 44:28Speaker 2: or like how much roster flexibility and stuff we'd have.
- 44:30Speaker 2: But I mean, Wemby's not being played at all himself obviously,
- 44:34Speaker 2: just center eligible. The minutes aren't there is not or
- 44:37Speaker 2: there as much, but these guys are projected or there
- 44:39Speaker 2: their salaries kind of like Wemby has been out or
- 44:42Speaker 2: he's playing his efficient role, is how I see it.
- 44:44Speaker 2: So I don't really know if Wemby news does much
- 44:47Speaker 2: at all. I think Darren Fox would then be my
- 44:49Speaker 2: favorite play seventy nine hundred. But yeah, this game looks
- 44:53Speaker 2: I mean it's the lowest owned in terms of ownership
- 44:55Speaker 2: game on the slates, and yeah, probably my least appealing
- 44:58Speaker 2: game as well.
- 45:00Speaker 1: Yeah, I totally agree.
- 45:01Speaker 3: I think the Spurs are going to be pretty tough
- 45:03Speaker 3: to get to in single entry. I do think that
- 45:05Speaker 3: they all deserve to be in a player pool for
- 45:08Speaker 3: MM tonight for sure, But yeah, like the Wemby stuff,
- 45:12Speaker 3: it doesn't really change. Like I don't think you're gonna
- 45:14Speaker 3: see like a massive spike in projection for most of
- 45:17Speaker 3: these guys. Cornett would be the one guy that probably
- 45:20Speaker 3: has the greatest opportunity to spike for projection. But I
- 45:23Speaker 3: feel like Fox and Castle price appropriately projected fairly appropriately.
- 45:28Speaker 1: Maybe they get like two or three more points.
- 45:30Speaker 3: Even then that's not enough when you're comparing them to
- 45:33Speaker 3: Garlands and some of these like Bane and Black, I
- 45:35Speaker 3: still think those guys are much much better. But I
- 45:38Speaker 3: do think that Memphis does struggle with lead guards, so
- 45:42Speaker 3: there is some upside for both Fox and safon Castle,
- 45:48Speaker 3: I just think that Castle has more overall upside with
- 45:51Speaker 3: the peripheral stats, so I would lean him. But yeah,
- 45:56Speaker 3: I'm I think that the like matchup wise, it's a
- 45:59Speaker 3: little bit better for any on the Spurs that is
- 46:01Speaker 3: a catch and shoot guys that would mainly be like
- 46:04Speaker 3: champagnee Kelden Johnson, Harrison Barnes. I would be Max one
- 46:07Speaker 3: of that grouping I think they all belong in a
- 46:09Speaker 3: playpool as well. Memphis one of the worst teams against
- 46:12Speaker 3: catch and shoot scoring. I feel like that's kind of
- 46:15Speaker 3: Harrison Barnes music, but he's never the sexiest play so
- 46:19Speaker 3: I don't know. These guys are all fine. I would
- 46:21Speaker 3: be Max two. There's a couple of ways you could
- 46:24Speaker 3: do with the Spurs, so I think it's definitely Max
- 46:26Speaker 3: two of Castle, Fox and Harper, Max one of the
- 46:29Speaker 3: Wings like champagnee Kelden and Barnes. I think you could
- 46:33Speaker 3: if you're gonna be Max two overall, which I think
- 46:36Speaker 3: is definitely reasonable tonight, you could just be strict and
- 46:38Speaker 3: say Max one of Castle and Fox, and then I
- 46:41Speaker 3: think that would pretty much cover it all. But I
- 46:42Speaker 3: don't I don't think I'll get to Wemby tonight, expecting
- 46:45Speaker 3: him to come off the bench and not really play
- 46:46Speaker 3: a ton of minutes. The Memphis side a little bit
- 46:49Speaker 3: more appealing. I do think that it becomes a pretty
- 46:52Speaker 3: sneaky good spot for Memphis if Wemby is out, because
- 46:55Speaker 3: I was looking at the on off numbers with Wemby
- 46:58Speaker 3: on versus off, and obviously he makes a huge difference defensively,
- 47:02Speaker 3: but their defensive rating drops ten points with him off
- 47:05Speaker 3: the court the season, and Biggs have been sneakily done
- 47:09Speaker 3: very well against Luke Cornett. He's a good shot blocker,
- 47:11Speaker 3: but not a great overall defender. We've seen some Bigs
- 47:14Speaker 3: have some really big games against the Spurs with Wenby out,
- 47:17Speaker 3: So I would have a good amount of interest in
- 47:19Speaker 3: Jaron Jackson and Jock Landelle if Wenby. If I knew
- 47:23Speaker 3: that he was going to be out, you also have
- 47:25Speaker 3: the ad benefit with Ja out, there's a little bit
- 47:27Speaker 3: more usage going. Jared's ways flush a little bit of
- 47:29Speaker 3: upside lately. I think he's pretty expensive but very likely
- 47:33Speaker 3: to go under own kind of similar to to Zion,
- 47:35Speaker 3: where you kind of need a lot to go right.
- 47:37Speaker 3: In comparison to Mobiley, Paolo and some of the other
- 47:41Speaker 3: guys that we mentioned, and then Santy as well, same thing.
- 47:44Speaker 1: He's power forward only.
- 47:47Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't I don't really have any much. I
- 47:48Speaker 3: don't have much add that, I think he's expected to start,
- 47:50Speaker 3: so I at least Basketball Monster has him in there
- 47:52Speaker 3: over Gigi Jackson. I'm not certain if that's gonna hold
- 47:56Speaker 3: or not, but we'll have to see. And then Cam
- 47:59Speaker 3: Spencer should get the start, but it's worth noting that
- 48:02Speaker 3: Vince Williams is back tonight. They have been going with
- 48:04Speaker 3: Vince as their point guard at times that Jaws missed
- 48:07Speaker 3: earlier this season, so I have to kind of wait
- 48:10Speaker 3: and see what happens there. But yeah, CAM looks like
- 48:12Speaker 3: a pretty solid option at six point one case seeing
- 48:14Speaker 3: them post some.
- 48:15Speaker 1: Really big games.
- 48:16Speaker 3: Kind of a little bit passive at times though it
- 48:18Speaker 3: doesn't really take a ton of shots, but really good
- 48:20Speaker 3: passer and projecting pretty well. So I think he's fine,
- 48:25Speaker 3: he's in play. I'm not going overboard with my exposure
- 48:27Speaker 3: on him, and then we should. Gg is probably the
- 48:31Speaker 3: guy that's been gig and KCP are the guys that
- 48:33Speaker 3: are probably benefiting the most from such a coward being out.
- 48:37Speaker 2: Yeah, I like, like I said, I like KCP for
- 48:40Speaker 2: the sense of you can go KCP to Bones Hyland
- 48:44Speaker 2: really easily who I want on my team if Bones
- 48:47Speaker 2: if Ant was out more times than not, And then
- 48:49Speaker 2: if you can play Gg Jackson in the flex or something,
- 48:52Speaker 2: and then you don't play KCP or in the utail,
- 48:54Speaker 2: excuse me, you don't play KCP. You can also do
- 48:57Speaker 2: that as well. LEA four hundred Bones would project better
- 48:59Speaker 2: than both of them for sure. If ants out before
- 49:03Speaker 2: any of the slate locks, Bones will be one of
- 49:05Speaker 2: the highest zone plays, if not the highest owned on
- 49:08Speaker 2: the slate. So yeah, just looking at where I could
- 49:11Speaker 2: possibly make just one v one pivots and be fine
- 49:13Speaker 2: with I think Pope is someone that I am interesting
- 49:17Speaker 2: because if the news doesn't break that way, you're pretty
- 49:20Speaker 2: much playing Jace Richardson like it's the same thing. He's
- 49:23Speaker 2: getting like eighteen nineteen projection for cheap, but Alasi gets
- 49:26Speaker 2: spend ups twenty one might be enough, But having the
- 49:29Speaker 2: same time, the flexibility to maybe get a Bones is
- 49:32Speaker 2: really appealing to me. It's really all I got I
- 49:35Speaker 2: think this game. Yeah, Max, you said Max two on
- 49:38Speaker 2: the Spurs. I mean, if I even get one guy
- 49:41Speaker 2: on the Spurs, I'm not even sure how much I
- 49:43Speaker 2: love the team. Two guys feels a little much, but
- 49:45Speaker 2: it is six games or five games, random stuff can happen.
- 49:48Speaker 2: Memphis side. Yeah, that's a good point on the Wemby stuff.
- 49:51Speaker 2: I mean, we always look at it on the offensive side,
- 49:53Speaker 2: but man, he is such a freaking on defense. To
- 49:56Speaker 2: hear the ten point different is wild in the defensive
- 49:59Speaker 2: rate but it makes sense his paint presence is out
- 50:04Speaker 2: of this world just with how long he is, how
- 50:05Speaker 2: much of he affects normal layups. So yeah, that's interesting.
- 50:08Speaker 2: Memphis gets a boost if Wemby's out, But you did
- 50:11Speaker 2: think he's in if you had, if you had to
- 50:13Speaker 2: pick right now, all right, anything else in that one, Nope,
- 50:19Speaker 2: last game of the Nights. Again, appreciate all three point
- 50:21Speaker 2: fifty watching with us. If you're hanging out after two
- 50:24Speaker 2: watch on replay, we appreciate you. Guys. Well, all we
- 50:27Speaker 2: ask for is the like button, and the subscribe button
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- 51:13Speaker 2: days for nineteen dollar trial. Last game of the night
- 51:17Speaker 2: Miami Heat and the Minnesota Timberwolves. We are looking at
- 51:21Speaker 2: two thirty seven and a half total. Three and a
- 51:24Speaker 2: half point favorites are the Timberwolves Miami side. No Haimi
- 51:27Speaker 2: Hotkez on the Minnesota side again ant a mid day
- 51:31Speaker 2: down grade with a foot injury. I'll just sort it
- 51:34Speaker 2: right to you on that. If you want to start
- 51:35Speaker 2: Minnesota side. Midday down grade usually not great. But with
- 51:40Speaker 2: the first two games, i mean, we keep hammering this
- 51:42Speaker 2: point home, but it's the most important. These two games
- 51:44Speaker 2: will take up a lot of your roster spots by
- 51:47Speaker 2: default if you are not messing with things. So if
- 51:50Speaker 2: you do think ants out, you should probably move ants projection.
- 51:53Speaker 2: I'm gonna move it to one or something. You should
- 51:55Speaker 2: probably go like forty five point five, thirty two me bones,
- 52:00Speaker 2: we get a massive upgrade twenty four point seven. Again,
- 52:04Speaker 2: I'm just ballparking this stuff. But I think all of
- 52:07Speaker 2: these guys need a boost and they would look like
- 52:10Speaker 2: pretty strong plays. But if you do this and you
- 52:12Speaker 2: get it wrong, yeah, you're uh. You should probably have
- 52:15Speaker 2: a pivot if ant does play where you're not just
- 52:17Speaker 2: drawing dead that way. So it's definitely tough game theory
- 52:20Speaker 2: slate again, building in sets, I think the best way
- 52:22Speaker 2: to go about it, or it's goal collect I think
- 52:24Speaker 2: said he's building three teams. Two of them will be normal,
- 52:27Speaker 2: one of them will be like ants out something like that.
- 52:29Speaker 2: So yeah, take it away the Heats and the Timberwolves.
- 52:34Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this game is kind of tough. I'm
- 52:37Speaker 3: kind of surprised how high the game total is because
- 52:40Speaker 3: I kind of a picture both these teams as being
- 52:43Speaker 3: pretty good defensively. And I also don't really know like
- 52:48Speaker 3: where Miami is going to get their points from because
- 52:51Speaker 3: they obviously are running a very unique style of offense. Now,
- 52:55Speaker 3: I would love the spot for some of the guards
- 52:57Speaker 3: for Miami, but they don't run pick and roll anymore.
- 53:00Speaker 3: Are the Wolves are one of the worst teams against
- 53:02Speaker 3: pick and roll this season. Miami literally does not run
- 53:05Speaker 3: pick and roll anymore. There's been some comments from Tyler
- 53:07Speaker 3: Hero a few weeks ago when he came back from injury,
- 53:09Speaker 3: saying that they're going to have to run it, but
- 53:11Speaker 3: they just don't. So I don't really know where the
- 53:13Speaker 3: points are coming from here. Minnesota does a good job
- 53:16Speaker 3: with Rudy Gobert out there taking away rim scoring. They're
- 53:18Speaker 3: a pretty good rebounding team, also pretty solid at defending
- 53:23Speaker 3: the three point line. So I don't there's nothing matchup
- 53:26Speaker 3: wise that really sticks out for me on the Miami side,
- 53:29Speaker 3: and getting Hero back definitely makes things a little bit more.
- 53:34Speaker 3: It's just a healthier team with a higher usage guy
- 53:36Speaker 3: in there. That kind of complicates things a little bit.
- 53:40Speaker 3: So I would say that Norm is solid at seven
- 53:45Speaker 3: point one K. I think he can get going and
- 53:47Speaker 3: basically any matchup been scoring the ball really well. Probably
- 53:50Speaker 3: a good bet to make the All Star team this
- 53:52Speaker 3: year as well. I think BAM is fine. I actually
- 53:56Speaker 3: do kind of like BAM a little bit, and I
- 53:58Speaker 3: think a lot of that is due to the fact
- 53:59Speaker 3: that I think there's a chance that Minnesota could go
- 54:03Speaker 3: smaller here. I think that Rudy Gobert his minutes could
- 54:05Speaker 3: be a little bit at risk here, and I'll talk
- 54:07Speaker 3: about that when we get to Minnesota. But I think
- 54:09Speaker 3: that would definitely benefit BAM going against Randall and nas
- 54:13Speaker 3: read more than Rudy Gobert because sich wan about Gobert,
- 54:16Speaker 3: he has been one of the best defenders in the
- 54:18Speaker 3: league this season and playing some of his best basketball
- 54:21Speaker 3: as of late, so that would definitely benefit him. Outside that,
- 54:24Speaker 3: I don't really see myself getting too much. Like I
- 54:26Speaker 3: think djovic Is is in play He's projecting like a
- 54:31Speaker 3: decent value for me play Larson same thing. He's four K,
- 54:35Speaker 3: but he's also returning from the ankle injury, so he's
- 54:38Speaker 3: not one hundred percent not playing a ton of minutes.
- 54:40Speaker 1: And I just don't really.
- 54:41Speaker 3: See how you can get to like Daveon and Wiggins
- 54:44Speaker 3: and definitely not playing Chloe where any of those guys
- 54:46Speaker 3: over anybody mentioned before them. So it's kind of I
- 54:50Speaker 3: think it's a max one of Miami honestly, maybe just
- 54:54Speaker 3: using them as pivots. If you do build in a
- 54:57Speaker 3: certain way and things kind of go wrong, then you're
- 55:00Speaker 3: kind of pivoting off to some of these Miami guys.
- 55:02Speaker 3: But yeah, I don't I really do not like the
- 55:04Speaker 3: Miami side very much tonight. The Minnesota side obviously a
- 55:08Speaker 3: lot is riding on Anthony Edwards availability if he's in.
- 55:14Speaker 3: I don't really like him, honestly. He's struggled against Davion
- 55:17Speaker 3: Mitchell in his career and I don't know if anybody's
- 55:20Speaker 3: seen the I'm sure Little Neck has seen it because
- 55:22Speaker 3: he's a Wolves guy. But he even said like he's
- 55:25Speaker 3: he has to prepare mentally a lot the night before
- 55:28Speaker 3: playing Davion Mitchell because he's just unlimited gas.
- 55:31Speaker 1: Thing is going to chase him around.
- 55:32Speaker 3: And you look at the numbers over the last three
- 55:34Speaker 3: to four seasons, he has not scored more than forty
- 55:38Speaker 3: two Draftings points in a game against davey On over
- 55:40Speaker 3: the last three seasons, kind of dating back to when
- 55:43Speaker 3: he's with the Raptors. So really not a great matchup
- 55:45Speaker 3: for Ant. It is a good matchup for the three
- 55:47Speaker 3: point shooters. We talked about Miami, the way that they
- 55:50Speaker 3: played defense. We've bet and hit on a lot of
- 55:52Speaker 3: guys making a lot of threes against them. But Ant
- 55:55Speaker 3: is definitely more of like an on ball score than
- 55:57Speaker 3: he is a catch shoot guy, so I think gets
- 56:01Speaker 3: the matchup is kind of more negative for him, if anything,
- 56:04Speaker 3: but really good for guys like Dante and Nas Reed.
- 56:07Speaker 3: Obviously Dancee is gonna be launching from deep. He was
- 56:09Speaker 3: fine in the game against Miami earlier this season, but
- 56:12Speaker 3: he only shot one for eight from three, so the
- 56:14Speaker 3: volume was good.
- 56:15Speaker 1: I'm very encouraging, just needed to get hot. I really
- 56:18Speaker 1: like Nas though.
- 56:19Speaker 3: I feel like the last couple of years that we've
- 56:21Speaker 3: done shows talking about Miami, it's always like whenever these
- 56:24Speaker 3: two teams face off, it always kind of leans towards
- 56:27Speaker 3: it being a Nas game. And last year or this season,
- 56:31Speaker 3: he didn't really see a huge spike in minutes against them,
- 56:33Speaker 3: but was really really efficient. I think he went for
- 56:36Speaker 3: like forty three draftings points against him earlier this season.
- 56:38Speaker 3: I just think that he matches up much better in
- 56:41Speaker 3: the spot than Rudy Gobert does because he provides a
- 56:44Speaker 3: lot more floor spacing and that's kind of what you
- 56:45Speaker 3: want against Miami. So Nas is a guy that I'm
- 56:48Speaker 3: pretty excited about playing tonight at very low ownership. And
- 56:52Speaker 3: then I've already talked about the Randall stuff. I think
- 56:54Speaker 3: he's fine if An is in, but really good. If
- 56:57Speaker 3: Ant were to be out, I'd have him projected around
- 56:59Speaker 3: like forty eight draftings points. If Ant were to be out,
- 57:02Speaker 3: He's averaging like forty seven and a half in games
- 57:05Speaker 3: that Ant has missed the season. And I'm kind of
- 57:08Speaker 3: off of Gobert. I think that he's kind of pretty
- 57:11Speaker 3: far down the list compared to the Wendell Carters and
- 57:13Speaker 3: DeAndre Aiden, and even like Goga, I would probably be
- 57:15Speaker 3: playing over him. And then you got to write on
- 57:18Speaker 3: Bones and Mike Conne. I think those guys would be
- 57:21Speaker 3: very like two of the better value plays in the
- 57:23Speaker 3: slate if we knew right now that Ant was going
- 57:24Speaker 3: to be.
- 57:25Speaker 2: Out, Yeah, they for sure would. I'm I'm definitely gonna
- 57:30Speaker 2: try and get more bones than the field, and then
- 57:34Speaker 2: you do have to have pivots, and obviously that's what
- 57:36Speaker 2: makes it tough because the Pelicans stuff in general, we
- 57:39Speaker 2: didn't really like the heat. We didn't really like Yeah,
- 57:42Speaker 2: I mean Memphis. That's why I keep saying KCP, at
- 57:45Speaker 2: least you get a cheap guard that's on the floor.
- 57:47Speaker 2: And I just would rather leave the three hundred or
- 57:49Speaker 2: leave the six hundred if you got to make guard
- 57:51Speaker 2: and you got to go Conley, I play Bones over that,
- 57:54Speaker 2: But I'm more inclined to leave three hundred six hundred
- 57:57Speaker 2: or whatever and play drop down to KCP and do that,
- 58:00Speaker 2: but at least have KCP as my filler, so I'm
- 58:02Speaker 2: not what feels like drawn dead. If gg Jackson you
- 58:06Speaker 2: have him in the util spot obviously because Conley and
- 58:10Speaker 2: Bones our guard, but you could put them there. Really,
- 58:13Speaker 2: just think about it. Good points there. Yeah, if hand building,
- 58:17Speaker 2: just know your pivots in advance. If this, then that
- 58:19Speaker 2: one hundred percent scooter very a lot easier to do
- 58:22Speaker 2: when building a few teams than mm me portfolio. And
- 58:26Speaker 2: then shout out to Little Neck, look at that fifty
- 58:28Speaker 2: K to first tonight for Showdown. That is Yeah, it's
- 58:30Speaker 2: big Boy prizes for the Showdown streets. So again Little
- 58:33Speaker 2: Neck will have that up. It is an on an
- 58:36Speaker 2: island to have his towers up on the site NBA
- 58:39Speaker 2: Showdown slate plan. I don't really have too much. Tell
- 58:43Speaker 2: me minutes you think hero is gonna play? You think
- 58:45Speaker 2: this twenty six is is about right?
- 58:48Speaker 3: Yeah, BBM has it for thirty. I think that's really high.
- 58:55Speaker 3: I would not expect. He's been been dealing with this
- 58:58Speaker 3: thing for a while and he was a weird injury
- 59:00Speaker 3: designation over the weekend. He was available to play, but
- 59:04Speaker 3: dressed up and didn't play, So I don't I don't
- 59:07Speaker 3: think that he's like magically getting thirty minutes. I feel
- 59:10Speaker 3: like twenty six. Actually it's worth looking at what like
- 59:14Speaker 3: his first game back the season was, because I feel
- 59:16Speaker 3: like that might be a good indicator of what it
- 59:18Speaker 3: would look like for him.
- 59:20Speaker 2: Let me try. And the only reason I asked that
- 59:23Speaker 2: is like, if the twenty six, if it was actually
- 59:26Speaker 2: twenty two, then I think Norm, Powell and Bam become
- 59:29Speaker 2: a little better plays. If it's thirty, I think they
- 59:31Speaker 2: just become I guess maybe not Bam as much. I
- 59:33Speaker 2: think Norm becomes a lot worse of a play. And
- 59:35Speaker 2: to be honest, thirty minutes, if I were to get
- 59:37Speaker 2: that from Tyler Hero, I'd probably have interest at one
- 59:41Speaker 2: percent ownership.
- 59:42Speaker 3: But his first game back he played twenty nine minutes.
- 59:46Speaker 2: Twenty nine, twenty nine, thirty two, thirty two, twenty nine,
- 59:49Speaker 2: thirty three, thirty four.
- 59:51Speaker 3: Yeah, twenty six might feel a little bit low. Maybe
- 59:54Speaker 3: maybe twenty eight is a good range for him.
- 59:58Speaker 2: Yeah. Again, the reason I say that, the more minutes
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: that Norm's sharing the court with Hero and stuff, the
- 1:00:02Speaker 2: less usage he has, the lessest projection is obviously they're
- 1:00:05Speaker 2: not They're thin plays anyway. But yeah, I think it's
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: really clear. Just to wrap up the whole slate, these
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: first three teams are good. I don't think Washington's that great,
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: but I do think Washington's better than San Antonio. I
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: think Washington's better than Miami. This game, you can make
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: a case or with the highest total and stuff of
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: pretty efficient pricing, and then you have the ant news
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: is very big. That's how I got it again. Five games,
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: two at seven eastern, three at eight eastern. Have to
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: play for that ant news at least one way or another,
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: be prepared for it at least any any final thoughts
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: for you.
- 1:00:42Speaker 3: No, I'm actually I was looking at the time surprised
- 1:00:44Speaker 3: that we did an hour on a small slate, but
- 1:00:46Speaker 3: there was kind of a lot to talk through.
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: Yeah, we always I don't even look at the clock
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: when I do. If it takes an hour fifteen, it
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: takes an hour fifteen. If it takes forty, it takes forty.
- 1:00:56Speaker 2: We're not here trying to waste your time. Time is
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: valuable in this world. Yeah, we do our best to
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: break this down. Nobody better in the business than our
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: man Reo you can't find his NBA slate plan up
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: even when he's not on the SHOWBA slate plan right here,
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: his core report him Matt Ham cash report right here,
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: the stone the best in the business again, showdowns, projections
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: and slate plan from Little Neck Normal projections and ownership
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: for a fan duel and DraftKings to go along with
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: more education NBA two hour NBA education video if you
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: want to check that out as well. Again, you can
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: get as you can get in as low as nine
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: dollars if you just want it for the day, or
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: you can spend an extra ten dollars, get an extra
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: four days, get some NFL content, maybe dabble in the
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: NHL streets as well. We'd love to have you. Yeah,
- 1:01:42Speaker 2: go ahead, real you cann victory lap right now?
- 1:01:45Speaker 3: The regular season, yes, sir, easiest bet of the year.
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: They're win total, but about eight and a half or
- 1:01:53Speaker 3: something beginning of the season, Well.
- 1:01:55Speaker 2: How do you feel round one though that some of
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: these lines like what three, I don't know if it's
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: three and a half right now? Packers a coin flip,
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: like you see some big seeds coming coming on the road,
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: and books are getting a lot a lot of credit
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: to them, So, yeah, what are you? Are you nervous
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: at all?
- 1:02:10Speaker 3: Definitely, because I think that you could definitely make the
- 1:02:13Speaker 3: case of our schedule is easy and we struggled against
- 1:02:16Speaker 3: good teams. I don't know how good the Chargers actually are.
- 1:02:19Speaker 3: I feel like they crumble under pressure a lot. But
- 1:02:22Speaker 3: you gotta travel to Foxborough. It's gonna be cold out there.
- 1:02:24Speaker 3: Defense is getting healthier, so I think that would kind
- 1:02:27Speaker 3: of a way with the dub But I am worried
- 1:02:29Speaker 3: about who we would play in the second round for sure.
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: I'm nervous for you. I really am the biggest I
- 1:02:34Speaker 2: think Herbert's a stud, I think, and the biggest concern
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: with the pay with the Chargers is I mean, they're
- 1:02:40Speaker 2: all lying. They can't block for shit, the Patriots, that's
- 1:02:43Speaker 2: one of their like If Chargers you hate when they
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: play the Broncos. You hate when they play Houston when
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: they pin their ears back. If Herbert has time, I
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: think he's as good as pretty much anybody, So I
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: think that will be the deciding factor in that game.
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: But I'm expecting a good one. Packers bears a coin
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: flip seven too. You don't see that every day. To
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: four or five pretty much. The Rams get a bye
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: at minus ten, but they were about that in week whatever,
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: it was twelve eleven, and yeah, the Panthers upset them.
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: So I'm really pumped to watch some football all week
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: and long. I'm also pumped to watch them hoops tonight though.
- 1:03:15Speaker 2: Big prize out there on FanDuel and DraftKings.
- 1:03:18Speaker 3: A lot of contests this time.
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: There you go, there you go. It might have y'all
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: have good football teams. Oh Man Reels is better than mine.
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: He's got the Raiders.
- 1:03:28Speaker 3: Yeah that hey, I think there's some some positives about
- 1:03:32Speaker 3: the Raiders coming up though, get.
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: You had Carol's gone.
- 1:03:35Speaker 3: It could be talking about it being uh, Brian Flores
- 1:03:39Speaker 3: and Brian Dable as their head coach and OC. So
- 1:03:42Speaker 3: that's kind of that's kind of excited to get the
- 1:03:44Speaker 3: numb one overall pick, probably getting that Mendoza kid. So
- 1:03:47Speaker 3: I think there's some stuff to be positive about as
- 1:03:50Speaker 3: a Raiders fan.
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, Pete Carroll out and a new quarterback
- 1:03:53Speaker 2: is really all you need. With Brock Bauers and Genty,
- 1:03:55Speaker 2: you at least have a little more hope than it
- 1:03:57Speaker 2: feels like some of these teams. That's all I got
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: got go. Paco's right. Appreciate everyone hanging out and good
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: to see you Terry. That's gonna do it for us.
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: Have a great night's good luck in your NBA contest.
- 1:04:09Speaker 2: Uh Matt and Rio will be back tomorrow talking some
- 1:04:12Speaker 2: hoops for Rio untitled town Peace Safe. Good luck Pe