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CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT FUTURES (Part 4 - Power Conferences) | College Basketball Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season. Man
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my bruins hat man. I
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: epe is.
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: That what it is? I don't even know it's March ninth,
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: I think who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. But I
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have with you, as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two.
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years. Doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. Slump praise, the slump discontinents,
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point other
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: Well, it's up, everybody. It's towed back with you with
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: toadstool Sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: This is going to be the final and the fourth
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: and final of the conference tournament breakdowns where I just
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: give out, you know, some opinions on the futures. I
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: don't really do the futures in these and as I
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: pointed out in my last video, which I should have
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: pointed out earlier, I think that it is actually a
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: better idea to do a rollover approach instead if you
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: like a certain team, which would be to bet them
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: on the money line for like a smaller them out
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: at first, and then if you win that one like,
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: bet them on the money line in one game the
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: first game that they play, and then if they do win,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: take those winnings, bet all of that on the on
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: them again in the next game, and then doing it
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: that way, you can choose to stop if they get
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: like a bad matchup or something like that and you
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: win more money that way if they do make it
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: the whole way typically, So you know those have me
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: in my recommendations here, but here I'm just trying to identify,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: you know, like where I think there might be some
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: value in some of these tournaments. Yeah, I mean, let's
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: just let's get into it, man. Uh So I did
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: have a couple that I didn't hit. Uh, So we're
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: gonna do the Power conferences primarily here.
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: The Power five.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: Is that what they are? Are they five? Yeah? They're
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: five I think. But I'm also gonna do the two
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: that I haven't talked about yet, which is the American
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: because that finished yesterday while I was doing the previous video,
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: and I have not hit the IVY yet. Uh the
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: IVY has finished up, so we'll talk about the IVY
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: now as well. Although I believe the IVY structured didn't change,
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: we might actually have the odds for the IVY now
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: we do. So we'll do the IVY first because I've
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: already talked about it, and as I mentioned, unfortunately, so
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: this is the bracket. The IVY just does a four
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: team bracket. The top four teams make it. Unsurprisingly, Yale
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: got the one seed, Harvard the two, penn kind of
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: a surprise getting the three, and then Cornell, who I
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: think might actually be the third best team in the
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: conference behind Yale and Harvard, they got the four seed.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: But what I pointed out is I believe these games
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: are being played in Ithaca. So that's kind of bullshit
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: as far as let me make sure that that's actually
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: true though, because as if that's true, that is bullshit
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: because that would mean that Cornell basically gets a home game,
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: which makes them more likely to bounce the one seed.
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: Let me see if that's actually true though, and this
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: is gonna be on ESPN U, ESPN News, and then
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: the final on ESPN two. I guess I could sell
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: Wikipedia on this just to make sure that that's true.
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: It is indeed true.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: So Cornell basically gets a home game for as long
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: as they're in this tournament, they get home games, which
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: is some real bullshit. Yeah. I don't know what else
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: to say about that. I guess Cornell is hoasting it, dude.
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know why these tournaments do this, like put
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: it on a neutral site, man, Like why do you
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: let one of the teams that could potentially be one
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: of the lower seeds in your tournament, be the fucking
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: host and get that advantage.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: Bullshit.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: But at least what's good for Yale is that Yale
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: just played here and lost, so they're gonna know what
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: they did wrong and probably come out with a better
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: effort this time. So at least Yale has that in
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: their back pocket. Because Yale is clearly the best team
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: in this conference, but because of the setup of this tournament,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: they're not that much of a favorite to win this thing.
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: They are the favorite, and rightfully so.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: They're minus one fifteen Cornell because they're playing at fucking
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: home though even though they play Yale in the first game,
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: they're plus two way Harvard plus four sixty Penn plus
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: six hundred. I'm not gonna show the ken bum ratings
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: visually here because what I didn't realize is his conference
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: pages are actually behind the paywall too, So I will
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: recommend buying ken Bum if you're you know, at all
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: serious about this or.
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: Really just so that you could see the stuff yourselves.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's like, like I said, it's like twenty
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: five bucks a year, so like why not Ken, good
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: old Ken Pomeroy. But you know, you can look at
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: his stuff. I look at a combination of him, Bart
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: Torvik and then Evan Miya. I guess Mia cow was
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: his name. I guess not. I thought it was Evan Maya,
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: but it's Mia.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: They are like the three top.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: College basketball analytics guys analytics sites. But anyway, looking at
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: the IVY, ken Bum has Yale is the seventy eighth
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: best team in the country. They're the best team in
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: the IVY H forty fifth on offense in the country,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: but they're not the best defensive team in the conference.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: And in fact, Harvard is the best defense in the conference,
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: and then Penn actually behind them, which is interesting. So
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: these are actually the top four teams in the conference.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: So just Yale is actually number one. According to kem
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: Bombs rankings, Yale is far and away number one, Harvard
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: is number two, and then Cornell is not that far
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: behind his three, pen is four. Penn more of a
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: defensive team, kind of balanced, though Harvard is much more
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: of a defensive team at one thirteenth in defense, which
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: is the best in the IVY. Yale is more of
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: an offensive team, and then Cornell is extremely lopsided towards offense.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: They're not as good on offense as Yale, but they're
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: also way worse on defense.
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: So Yale is the better team. They will be a
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: favorite here.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: But again it's a road game, So you know, is
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: there actually value playing Cornell here? I don't know, you know,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, the value might actually be on the other
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: side here. It might actually be with one of the
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: defensive teams. Harvard, you know, is probably gonna be the
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: favorite here. The value might actually be with Harvard, to
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: be honest, at plus four sixty, because then you'd be
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: grabbing one of the better defenses here, and in fact,
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: the best defense in the conference being Harvard, even though
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: penn Is I guess a little bit more balanced. Harvard
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: is just slightly worse on offense. But yeah, that might
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: be the way that I would look if you think
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: there's any value here in this conference at all. I
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: still think Yale should win it. But it's not the
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: greatest setup for Yale here, man. I mean, is there
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: value on Cornell because they're the home team? I guess maybe.
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: Because they'll play both.
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: Games on their home floor, so you know, that's that's
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: why they have the second best odds here. Like I said,
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: dirty sock, what's up starlink eel on. I guess is
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: good for one thing. Flight to Seattle. Well, at least
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: I think Washington you should probably be able to. You
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: could probably bet in Washington.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: I assume.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong about that. I don't know. Shington is
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: a kind of a weird state, so I don't know.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: But that's the IVY. Don't have a whole lot else
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: to say about the IVY, but yeah, I mean it's
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: a short conference, a short tournament obviously, with just four
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: teams in it, so the winner has to win two games.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to the American Conference, which is
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: gonna be a larger conference bracket here, this tournament starts
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: in two days. I think some of the tournaments start tomorrow,
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: so I will talk about those two. So in the
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: American Oh, isn't that great? The bracket that we have
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: here on their site is not full yet, so we
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: were gonna consult Wikipedia again for us.
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: It is American Conference, all right. So South Florida did
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: get the one seed. They are the best team in
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: this conference according to Kenbomb. Tulsa is very close second
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: in the conference, but the teams are different styles. And
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: then Wichita is probably third in ken bomb, I would guess,
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: but they did get the two seed. Let me take
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: a look here looking at ken BOM's rankings. Yeah, South
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: Florida is fifty first in the country overall, Tulsa fifty eight,
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: so they're really close. They're both quite good on offense,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: just South Florida is way better on deepense than Tulsa is.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: South Florida is probably the most balanced team in this conference.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: They interestingly, they played really fast though, but I think
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: they yeah, they do that, and they try to crash
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: the glass like really hard. This South Florida team could
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: pose a very difficult matchup for certain teams in the
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: NCAA tournament if they get in, depending on who they
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: match up against. Tulsa not really as good on deepfense.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: Wichita is actually pretty balanced. They're not as good on
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: offense as those two teams, but they're better on deepfense
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: than Tulsa is. And they are the third team in
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: the conference, agreeing to Kenbomb at eighty eighth. UAB is
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: fourth at one to twenty two, Florida Atlantic one twenty five,
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: and then North Texas actually sorry, Memphis believe it or
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: not is next at one thirty, and then North Texas
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: at one forty. I don't think any of the other
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: teams are really gonna do any anything in this tournament.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: Memphis has just been losing constantly. Man, even though they're
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: Memphis is really not that bad as they keep saying.
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: It's just that I think they're really really horribly coached.
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: Penny Penny hardaways like, dude, he's gonna get fired.
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: He's just a horrible, horrible coach.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: But as you can see here the bracket structure, Charlotte
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: is like clearly a vastly overseeded team at five here.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: I also think Chulane has been pretty overrated all season.
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: Temple maybe slightly overrated. The thing about Florida Atlantic, they're
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: very underseated as well. And the thing about Florida Atlantic
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: is they think they were injured for a large portion
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: of the season, but they're more of a complete team
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: right now, I believe, so they could be maybe a
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: way to look in this tournament as well. But it
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: is one of those you know, wide bracket structures here
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: where if Florida Atlantic was gonna make a run, they
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: would have to win a bunch of games in quick
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: sequence here you know which is not that easy to do.
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: In Washington.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: You can only bet them at the casinos. Those Native Americans, Man,
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: they got a stranglehold on everything.
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: So you bet my two plays.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: Then I guess I hope they win, man, because my
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: conference tournament stuff hasn't been good, and I don't usually
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: do the thing like the Robert Morris one, which is
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: almost strictly in numbers play and just fading a team
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: that I think is overvalue or yeah, fading a team.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: And I think got way overseeded in Detroit. Mercy.
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: Looking at this, you know, I hope South Florida is
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: able to win this thing, and it does set up
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: okay for them on their side of the bracket. Their
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: side of the bracket is not too dangerous although UAB
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: is an okay team. I think UAB did beat South
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: Florida once this year, possibly at South Florida. Am I
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: right about that? Maybe I'm not right about that. I
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: don't know. Actually I think I.
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: Gave out UAB at Tulsa. I think they did win that,
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: but I don't know.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: Tulsa. They have a more dangerous side of the bracket.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: Wichita is actually pretty good. You know, North Texas they
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: will slow you down and really frustrate you, and fau
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: very underseedd as well. You know, even though I think
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: Memphis is underseated, I just don't really trust them. I
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: expect that they will get at least a win here,
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: beat Tulane, and then they really should beat Charlotte as well.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Charlotte again is not very good, so you know. In fact,
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: let me look at the rankings here. Yeah, Charlotte's one
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: ninety one overall in the country, so they're worse than Temple.
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: According to Kembaum, they're above the rest of the teams
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: in the conference beside the ones, you know, all the
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: other ones. I didn't mention though, that's how overrated Tulane is.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: And then the rest of the teams didn't even make
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: the tournament because the bottom teams don't make the conference
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: tournament at all, which didn't leave out any real competitive teams.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: Let's look at the odds here for this tournament. Where
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: are they AAC South Florida actually favored over the whole
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: field minus one twenty five. You know, I think they
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: are gonna win it because their side of the bracket
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: just sets up a lot better. They only have to
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: win two games, and they will, even though they'll come
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: into this cold and that's not good for a team that.
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: Likes to play fast coming in cold.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: They might struggle a little bit in the first game,
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: but they will be a pretty decent favorite in that one.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: As long as they get through that, I think they
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: should be good to win it. But it will be
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: a difficult matchup for them, I think in the final though,
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: whether it's Wichita State or it could be Tulsa there,
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: I'm guessing it'll be one of those two. You know,
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be that easy, but I still.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: Think South Florida their favored for a reason. Here.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: Tulsa has better odds than Wichita, by the way, even
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: though they have to play an extra game, so that's interesting.
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: They're at plus three twenty, Wichita plus three seventy, and
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: then Uab's next all the way down at plus seventeen hundred,
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: and Memphis has the next best odds at plus thirty
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: five hundred, North Texas plus fifty five hundred, FAU plus
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: eight thousand, and Charlotte is also plus eight thousand, and
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: you know, if you want a real long shot FAU,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: I guess that they would really have to get through
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: a lot of competitive games to try to get through it,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: so I don't see that happening. I think they will
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: beat Temple. They definitely have a shot to beat North
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Texas there, especially coming in with momentum. But I think
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: they might make a little bit of a run and
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: then it might end against Tulsa or something like that.
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: Memphis again, I see them maybe even making a run
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: to this UAB game and at some point they're gonna
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: fizzle out and they're coaching is just not good.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: But yeah, selth Florida.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: I don't want to say there's value with self Florida
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty five, but I just don't think I
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: would bet any of these other teams to really get
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: it done. The other side of the bracket is just
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: too cluttered up with competitive teams, so I just I
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: wouldn't do it. Oh God, I don't know about Hofstra.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: That one is pretty weak. Northern Colorado I do like
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: a bit more than that except for the Zigzag. I
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: don't have a good gauge on that game, and they
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: seem to always lose in that tournament. All right, what
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: order do we want to go in for the Power
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: Conferences here?
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: I want to start with the Big East.
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: I guess. Even though the Big East starts a day
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: later the most because it's a smaller conference, the Big
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: East is you know, the least interesting though, So let's
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: start with the Big East. Oh actually who I did
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: not want to close Wikipedia though, in case we need
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: it for something. The American Conference, by the way, ESPN
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: News ESPN plus the ESPN family has all the games,
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: and then second round is ESPNU and then ESPN two
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: for the next rounds Championship on ESPN. And the whole
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: thing is being played in Birmingham, Alabama. So UAB actually
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: is playing in their home city, so just keep that
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: in mind.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: I should have mentioned that earlier.
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: So UAB has like a home advantage here to some extent,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: which you know, I think it will only get them
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: so far, but maybe they'll get you know, a win
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: it I guess it could be a little bit dangerous
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: for South Florida having to play them in Birmingham, which
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: it does suck.
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: I hate, you know, I hate when conferences do.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: That, but that's the way that it is, so you know, yeah,
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: I think they should be more neutral about it, all right.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: For the Big East, we have I think the Big
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: East does.
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: Drop, Actually, do they drop anybody?
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: Maybe they didn't because I see Georgetown in here, DePaul
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: Is in here, Butler, Providence Xavier.
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: No.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: I think every team is in the tournament, so every
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: team gets a shot, even the last place team gets
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: a shot to win this whole thing. Although really we
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: know the Big East is very top heavy, like pretty
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: much it's Yukon and Saint John's at the top, very
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: very good, and then Villanova is decent and will be
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: a tournament team, and then everybody else is behind that,
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: and no other team is projected to make the tournament.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall is kind of a bubble team, which, by
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: the way, when you get into these big conferences, we
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: got to start talking about that a motivating factor when
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: you have a bubble team like that. Now, if they're
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: a favorite, you might not want to play them or
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: anything like that because they're gonna be overvalued a little bit,
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: but you pretty much know you're gonna get motivation out
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: of them, and in like a future's market, it might
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: make sense, you know, to maybe look towards Seaton Hall here,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: so they're on the side of the bracket they would
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: have to get.
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: Through Saint John's.
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: Probably these games are gonna be on Peacock in the
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: early rounds. The later rounds are on Fox and Fox
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Sports One. Uh. The whole thing is being played in
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: Madison Square Garden though, and remember that is one of
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Saint John's home marinas. So that does help Saint John's
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: and it helps Yukon as well because Yukon draws a
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: huge crowd at Madison Square usually, so they do have
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: kind of an advantage in the location as well. Now
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: Yukon pretty much has lost their chance at a one seed.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: I guess if they win this whole thing, they do
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: kind of have an argument. So I guess you might
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: still see being motivated here because you have to gauge
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: motivation in these big conferences, you know what I mean,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: Like Saint John's might make an early exit in this
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: thing if they want to just you know, gear up
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: for the tournament. Now, you know what I mean?
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: Like do you care?
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Like how much do you care about winning the Big
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: East tournament is a question like do you want to
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: put in a huge effort here just to win this
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: thing then have to turn around and play, you know,
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: in the tournament or do you care more about winning
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: the tournament? I think maybe Saint John's does care more
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: about that because they had an early exit in the
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: big tournament last year, the NCAA Tournament. Yukon might have
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: more motivation here though. I think they're a little bit
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: of an overrated team, but they might have an argument
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: for a one seed if they get through.
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: Here, so they might want that.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: I also just don't really see them losing early on
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: like they I know, they literally just lost to Marquette
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: and they might have to play Marquette in the first
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: game because they will play the winner of Xavier and Marquette.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: But I don't think they would lose to them again, man,
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: I just don't. I think Yukon would beat them in
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: that game. Villanova would have to play the winner of
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: Georgetown at Depalm. Villanova plays slow, so they could be
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: vulnerable right out of the gate, man, Like a lot
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: of times, you see wild things happen in these tournaments.
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: And Villanova again, because there are so many close games,
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: there is the potential of them losing. Yukon does also
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: play slow, but I just think Yukon is enough better
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: than whoever their opponent will be here that I don't
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: really see them losing there.
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: The winner of Providence of Butler.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, Providence did give Saint John's some problems in
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: their games, so I think Saint John's probably doesn't want
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: to see Providence again here. But I also again, I
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: don't know what the motivation is gonna be for Saint
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: John's here. Seton Hall will have to get by Creighton.
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: That's not an easy matchup right out of the gate. Man.
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: Creighton is not that bad, you know. I mean they're
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: down for Creighton's program.
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: This year, but they're not a horrible team. Ken Bomb
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: has some seventy fifth in the country. I'm looking at
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: what ken Bomb has. He's got Connecticut eleventh in the country,
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: Saint John's twenty first, Villanova thirty second, Seaton Hall fifty second,
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: Creighton seventy fifth. He actually has Providence seventy thirds, so
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: he has them better than Creton, believe it or not.
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: And then Butler is.
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: Next to eighty second, Marquette eighty sixth, Georgetown eighty seventh,
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Xavier ninety seventh, and De Paul one oh two. So
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: the entire conference is actually basically in the top one hundred,
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: so you know, it's still a power conference. It's not
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: a horrible conference, but based on that. You know, Providence
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit of an undervalue team here,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: but they're on the safe side of the bracket. A
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall.
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: The bracket.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: You know, it looks kind of easy for Yukon on
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: their side of the bracket, to be honest, Like, I
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: just I don't see Villanova being that much of a threat.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: Let's see what the odds are here for the Big East.
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: Uh whereas it here?
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: It is, Yeah, Yukon's favored over the whole field at
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen. I do think they have the side
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: of the bracket. I would not play Saint John's at
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: plus one ninety. I mean, they're already in the NCAA tournament.
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: I just do you really think Saint John's is gonna
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: be like that, like intense about, oh we're gonna be
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: a five seed versus a sixth seed or whatever in
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: the turnament? Probably not. I don't think Villanova. I don't know, man, Villanova,
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: they just play so many close games. I don't know, man.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: I mean they're an alright team.
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: I guess I think they're They're pretty good on defense,
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: though Yukon does struggle offensively or excuse me, yeah, offensively
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: as well at times, but they're actually pretty good offensively
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: overall at twenty eight. Yukon, believe it or not, is
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: actually the best offense in this conference still, even though
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: I think they kind of struggle at times versus like
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: the real upper rational on teams, they're not as good
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: as those offenses. They're also the best defense in this conference,
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: with Seaton Hall being second and then Saint John's third.
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: Villanova is a more balanced team.
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: They're top forty in both.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: DePaul is actually a very good defense and extremely lopsided
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: towards defense. Creighton's a decent offense and more lopsided towards
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: the offense, Butler pretty balanced. Marquette, believe it or not,
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: is heavily defensive oriented. Georgetown is just not that good,
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: but they are balanced. Yeah, and then Xavier really just
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: nothing to ride home about here. So I don't know.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is a difficult conference to figure out,
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: but I do the Yukon probably is gonna win it,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: to be honest, I just don't think they have that
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: much of it. They don't face really much of a
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: threat until they get to the final. Villanova's at plus
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: seven hundred seeing all plus seventeen hundred, Creighton plus five thousand,
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Providence plus sixty five hundred, Marquette also at plus sixty
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: five hundred.
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: That's yeah, that just seems weird to me.
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: You know. I think if you really want, you know,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: kind of the long shot or whatever, maybe Seatonhall's defense
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: carries them through, and the fact that they're motivated because
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: they're on the bubble. You know, I probably do like
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: them against Creighton just because you have a defense versus
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: an offense here Seton Hall. You know, I'd prefer the
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: defense probably, you know, I mean, Seedon Hall. If you
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: really want that kind of long shot, maybe they're worth
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: a look here. I don't really see much else. I mean,
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Providence is like a real real long shot. Maybe. I
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: do think they're a little bit undervalued. They're a pretty
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: unlucky team this year, to be honest, So I think
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: Saint John's might run into them, and Providence has played
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: them competitively both times this year, really, so you know,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: I think Saint John's is up against it here, but
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: I think Yukon is probably gonna win the conference. You know,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: I think they could win it without even like putting
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: in their best effort, to be honest, So Yeah, that's
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: how I feel about that.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: You know, I think Yukon will probably win.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: It is their value at a small favorite price on
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: them maybe. Like I also, you know, I would avoid
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: Saint John's though for sure they're they're in kind of
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: a cluster on their side, but like I said, and
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: the motivation is kind of questionable. But yeah, like I said,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: I think.
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: The rollover approach we would be better.
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: Although if you're doing that with Yukon, you're gonna be
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: playing those as a big favorite in a bunch of games,
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: so it's a little bit less enticing to do that.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: I know. All Right, that's the Big East. Let's do
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: uh what other conferences big? I'm gonna say Big twelve.
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: We'll do a CC next, which I'll do it in
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: order of how good I think the conferences are. Dude,
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: what are they even called now? And they're still called
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: the Atlantic Coast Cups? Like, are they gonna be American
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: Coast Conference now? No, there's still the Atlantic Coast Conference,
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: even though half of the conference is not even in
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: the Atlantic. Uh So the ACC actually does drop their
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: bottom three teams, so they dropped unfortunately Boston College, uh,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech, and uh pitt I think we're the team
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: no pitt got in.
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: Who the fuck miss Notre Dame.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Miss?
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: Now that is such bullshit man, Notre Dame.
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame is clearly a more competitive team than pitt Man.
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I hate that. I think Notre Dame should
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: have gotten in instead of pit. Let me see here,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: I mean ken bum only is Notre Dame seven spots higher,
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: but still Notre Dame almost pulled off some big wins
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: this year.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: Anyway.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: You know, this is a pretty top heavy conference as well. Obviously,
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: Duke is the one seed here, so they get a
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: double bye. They would have to win three games to
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: win the tournament. The top four seeds get the double bye,
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: so that's Duke, Virginia, Miami, and North Carolina. I think
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: there's a big drop off from Duke to everybody else,
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: and then even from Virginia down to the next grouping,
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: I think there's somewhat of a drop off there. Clemson
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: fell to the five seed, and then yeah, in order,
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: we got Louisville, NC State, Florida State actually kind of
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: dangerous as an eight seed there. California has been discussed
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: as kind of a bubble team. Then we got Stanford.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: SMU is really falling off. SMU. I mean, they're considered
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: to be a tournament team still sort of right now,
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: but kind of.
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: A bubble team.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: They don't need to win this tournament here, but you know,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: if they they should beat Syracuse and then if they
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: beat Louisville, I think maybe that solidifies their case. I
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: don't know, though, man, I just don't I don't like
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: s I don't think they're that good, to be honest,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: even though they're an efficient offense, I think I just
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: don't think they're that good. And then Virginia Tech Wake
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Forest down here and Virginia Tech they're actually somewhat competitive
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: teams there in Stanford, by the way, as the ten
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: I forgot about them there. And Pit, the last team
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: that got in Stanford is all of a sudden, they've
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: arrived on the bubble as well. NC State's been falling down,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: so they kind of need to get a win two
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna have probably if Stanford, well, Stanford I
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: think should be Pitt and then if they do that,
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: they'll be up against NC State right away, and that's
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: gonna be kind of a bubble sort of determining matchup.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: But I think Stanford kind of needs it more.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: I think NC State might still get in even if
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: they don't, but I don't know.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: Their resumes questionable.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: And then on the other side of the bracket here,
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: you know, Florida State, like they're way under the radar.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: I think CAL.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: I don't really trust Cal.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: I know, Cal considered to be a bubble team, might
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: have the motivation there, but I think Florida State might
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: get that one. We'll see what the odds are when
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: these games start. I think this tournament starts tomorrow, but
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: with the opening round games. And then you know, Virginia
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: Tech was a bubble team for a while, kind of
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: isn't anymore. But teams could make a run and put
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: themselves on the bubble too, you know what I mean.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: And they kind of have winnable games here. It's just
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: they're all kind of competitive against wake Forest, Clemson, North Carolina,
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: who is now gonna be without Caleb Wilson for the
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: rest of the season, so that is a draw. North
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Carolina is definitely you know, they've faced a drop off
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: without him, but the drop off hasn't been as steep
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: as you might think. But I don't know, man, I
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: would still be kind of surprised if Duke doesn't win
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: this thing. Duke is.
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: Just kind of far and above the best team in
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: this conference.
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: But you know, they're already gonna get a one seed,
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: so the motivation could come into question a little bit.
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: But their minus three to end to win this conference,
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: Duke is that's just how much better they are than
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: everybody else in this conference. And they only have to
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: win a few games, Like I highly doubt they lose
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: to the winner of FSU and CAL, and then they
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: might wind up in another rematch with UNC, even if
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: it's not you and see whoever it is.
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: I don't think Duke loses that either.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: And then in the championship, you know, I don't even
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: know if Virginia is gonna get through.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: Their side of the bracket. Yeah, I mean, it's very,
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: very tough to.
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: See Duke losing. You even if they don't even bring
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: their best effort, it's tough to see them losing. Virginia
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: is at plus seven hundred as the second best odds
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: Louisville plus thirteen hundred, Miami plus seventeen hundred, North Carolina
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: plus twenty five hundred, Clemson plus thirty five hundred. Then
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: you get into the real long shots, well, North Carolina State,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: NC State plus five thousand, FSU plus ten thousand, and
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: then every other team is lower odds than that. So
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: as far as, like, you know, if you want like
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: a long shot to win the whole thing, I don't
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: even see it, Like I just I would avoid it completely.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: I don't really see Duke losing. I don't think there's
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: really that much value in Virginia Louisville. They just have
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: not proven that they can beat teams that are better
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: than they are. They're extreme high various three point shooting,
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: so if they get hot, I guess they could make
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: a run here, But I just don't even see it.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: And I don't think Miami is really as good as
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: people think they are. And they have a first year
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: coach too, so this, you know, experience starts to matter
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: in games like this. So I wouldn't really want anything
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: to do with Miami either. North Carolina I don't, you know.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: I just think they're overrated too.
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: I don't know how trustworthy they are.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: If you want like the real real long shot, I
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: mean Clemson, I mean they've kind of been here, done
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: it before. They play deepfense, they play slow, they're more
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: kind of equipped to sort of play in a tournament environment.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: So the real long shot there for them maybe maybe
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: NC State, you know NC State, I mean, they've had
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: really good performances like where they destroyed North Carolina and
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: stuff like that, but they've also lost games they shouldn't lose.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: They're just a very, very unpredictable team. But they have
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: Will Wade. I mean, he's an experienced coach, just not
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: with this specific team. And then you know, Florida State,
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: like you know, somewhat dangerous, I would say, but I
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: don't know, I'm rambling here. I don't see much value
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: in the futures market in this conference. Like I said,
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you I mean, if you want, you know,
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: if you think there's value on some teams like maybe
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: NC State or louis or something like that, it might
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: make more sense to just focus on their individual games,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: which I said anyway, like the rollover approach, you know
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: you could use that or even don't even do that,
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: just focus on the individual games and play them that way.
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: But you know, SMU gonna be a pretty motivated team here.
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: Louisville is already gonna be in the tournament, so Louisville,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: you know, their motivation might get called into question a
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: little bit here. I think the teams that are gonna
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: like give more motivation in this one are gonna be
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: some of these like lesser teams that are kind of
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: considered to be on the bubble, maybe even Clemson because
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: they've fallen off so much, maybe they don't consider themselves
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: to be totally safe, you know. But cal you know,
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: with them, I just don't think they have a great
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: match up here, and they're in an unfamiliar environment, you know,
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: So I don't know how much I trust these newer
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: ACC teams that are the Pacific Coast teams, you know
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: what I mean? This whole thing is being played in
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: where the hell is of being played Charlotte h So
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: you know that's also kind of bs because that obviously
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: that helps Duke in North Carolina in NC state, I
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: guess wake maybe you know, I mean being played in
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: North Carolina. It's kind of I think this tournament's always
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: somewhere in North Carolina though. It's just kind of ridiculous.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: But you know, Duke and U n C. They're gonna
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: have massive crowds showing up here, So that does help
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: those two teams. So that's something to take into consideration
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: as well. The whole tournament's gonna be on the ESPN
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Family ACC Network, then ESPN, ESPN U, ESPN two all
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: the way up to you know, the ESPN and ESPN
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: two in the championship and semi finals. There not a
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: whole lot else to say about this, but you know,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: probably talking about it too much, but yeah, I mean,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: I think again, the teams that are kind of you know,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: that might give you extra motivation here. The teams that
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: are really kind of just smack on the bubble right now,
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: like Stanford, SMU, NC State maybe, and they're all kind
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: of on the same side of the bracket too, you know,
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: cal I would say the same thing, but I just,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: you know, I just think they draw a bad matchup
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: right away and then yeah, I don't know, and that's
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: Stanford again. We don't know how these teams are gonna
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: be the Pacific Coast teams playing in this tournament, you know,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: even SMU, because they haven't been in the ACC that long.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: It's kind of a weird location and tournament for them
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: to be in either, you know. So yeah, as far
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: as like the absolute lowest seeds in the tournament. Maybe
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. Well, let me look at ken bum real
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: quick to see what the ratings actually saying. Ken Bumb's
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: got Duke number one in the entire country, of course,
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: just really really good on both sides of the ball,
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: obviously elite. Virginia actually quite balanced, a little better on
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: deepfense than offense. Second best team twentieth overall in the country,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: sixteenth on deepfense. He's got actually he is Louisville as
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: the second best team in the entire conference, believe it
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: or not, Den Virginia Louisville much better on offense, not
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: quite as good a defense. It's just again, I don't know, man,
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: they just haven't shown that they could beat good teams.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: But Virginia has faced, you know, not the strongest schedule either,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. And then there's like a whole
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: grouping after that with Miami twenty ninth, North Carolina thirty,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: Clemson thirty eight, NC State actually at thirty six. Then
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: there's a little bit of a drop up after that
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: to SMU forty third of Virginia Tech fifty six, Stanford
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: fifty ninth, Florida State sixty fifth.
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: So I mean, none of these teams are really bad.
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: We're talking about a power conference again here, the worst
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: two teams ken bomb rating wise, actually the worst three
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: all got left out, so that according to Kenbum, the
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: right three teams actually missed. But BC and Georgia Tech
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: were way worse than the rest of the teams. You know,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: it's a larger conference. I don't really want to, you know,
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: go through all of it. But Cal is actually much
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: more defense oriented, SMU much more offense or like I said,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: so those are kind of the more imbalanced teams in
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: the conference, if you want to call it that. NC
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: State also much more offense offense oriented. Excuse me.
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: Clemson, like I said, is more of a defensive team, but.
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: They're pretty solid, and I prefer defense overall offense, as
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: you know. But yeah, Virginia Tech has a lot of
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: balance and they're not a bad team. So out of
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: any of those teams, you know, I could see maybe
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: them being able to make some sort of run in
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: this thing, maybe, you know, And they've shown competitiveness against
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: some of the better teams. So yeah, all right, that's
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: the ACC.
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: What else we got here, Let's.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: Go to we gotta do the you know, the elite
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: three conferences, now if you want to call them that,
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: Let's start with the SEC.
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: Southeastern Conference.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: Here we go. This one doesn't start tomorrow. This is
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: one of the ones that starts Wednesday, I guess. All right,
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: So this one's entirely being played in Nashville, so you
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: might have a little bit of a location edge for
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: Tennessee and especially Vandy, who is a national school. So
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: of those are the five and four seeds here respectively.
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: This whole thing is on the ESPN family as well,
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: SEC Network ESPN for pretty much all the games. I
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: believe the entire conference gets into this tournament. So it's
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: a structure where it's four games get played in every
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: round instead of two. So it's like, you know, not
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: one of those stupid wide brackets, which I think is better,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: but they give basically the top teams get a double
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: by into the into the quarterfinals.
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: So that would be Florida number one obviously.
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: Then Alabama got the two seed at Arkansas three and
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: Vandy four. Although I think Tennessee is a legit team, man,
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: I will tell you that. And again you gotta look
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: at motivation here. Now, what does Florida have to do
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: to get a one seed. That's one thing to keep
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: in mind here, Like if they don't win this entire thing,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: or they gonna get dropped from the one seed. I
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: don't know obviously if they if they do win this,
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: I think they will almost definitively get a one seed
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: if they win the SEC. If they don't, I think
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: it's more in question. So maybe Florida will have motivation
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: for that reason. I believe they did win it last year,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: so I guess their coach Golding kind of as a
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: history of, yeah, let's win this thing because although I
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: guess they were fighting for a one seed last year too,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: but kind of the same thing here. So Florida might
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: have enough motivation in this thing. Alabama, Arkansas teams like
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: that might not have motivation as much here. Plus, you know,
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: I don't like teams that are too heavily focused on
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: offense and not on deepfense.
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: But they know they're gonna be in the tournament, you.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: Know, as.
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: Probably four or five seeds, they're gonna be.
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: Vandy. I'm not so sure they pretty much know they're
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: gonna be in the tournament, But you know, I don't
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna be an unmotivated team here, especially
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: playing in their home city, Tennessee. They're gonna be in
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: the tournament too, but you know, we'll see it looks
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: like we're almost almost definitely headed for a Tennessee Vandy matchup.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: But it would be interesting if that doesn't.
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: Happen, because Auburn would need to get through Tennessee if
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: they're gonna make a run. And we know Auburn is
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: that bubble team that everybody hates, and they got the
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: twelve seed here, so there is a potential of the
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: SEC getting like eleven teams into the tournament, which should
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: be absolutely insane. But Auburn, they're gonna be a motivated
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: team man to try to get into the tournament. So
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: I think you know you're gonna see motivation out of them.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma kind of considered to be on the bubble too
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: as an eleven seed, Like just recently they kind of
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: started appearing on the bubble. Texas is not totally solidified
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: in being in the tournament either. Really, Texas A and
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: M isn't either, and they're the sixth seed. Texas is
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: the ten I think Texas is dangerous though Texas is
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: a pretty undervalued team. Bringing up what Ken Bom has.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: I know he has Texas is a very good offense
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: and not so much on deepfense. Actually, in fact, outside
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: of the top one hundred on deeppense. Let me see him.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: He's got Texas thirty third overall in the country. So
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: in the conference standings, he has Florida number one, Alabama two,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: Vandy or excuse me, Vandy two, believe it or not.
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Vandy actually pretty balanced between offensive depense, believe it or not,
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: their top twenty seven in both and ahead of Arkansas
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: and Alabama because those teams just aren't very good on
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: defense even though they're pretty elite on offense. He's got
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: Alabama third, Arkansas or excuse you know, he has Tennessee third.
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: They're actually more balanced as well, very good on defense,
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: not horrible on offense. Yeah, so, believe it or not,
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: his rankings, Ken Bomb goes Florida, Vandy, Tennessee, then Alabama,
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: then Arkansas, then Kentucky in dress very addressing, then Georgia, Texas, Texas,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: A and m then Auburn, then Oklahoma then Missouri. So yeah,
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: I think I got that right. So those are he
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: doesn't let you sort it looking at just a conference view.
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: So that's pretty interesting, man.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: So somebody keep in mind there, and then every team
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: is inside the top one hundred, including Mississippi State is
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: exactly one hundred. But you know, there is definitely a
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: steep drop off to the bottom three, which are Mississippi State,
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: Ole miss and South Carolina not in that order. But
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: the rest of the conference is actually better than that,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. Last seed LSU was actually considerably
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: better than those teams power rating wise. But will they
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: get through Kentucky Probably not. I mean, Kentucky probably has
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: motivation here as well because they're not totally secure in
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: their tournament setting either. You know, Missouri, like I said,
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: is a little bit overvalued. I think, so I could
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: see Kentucky probably beats LSU, and then you know, I
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: think Kentucky gets through Missouri. Missouri kind of an over
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: seeded team. They're you know, they're seated higher than Kentucky,
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: but Kentucky's actually the considerably better team there. And then
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: you know, Florida, I don't know, we'll look at the
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: odds in a minute, we'll see what happens. And then
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: Tennessee and Vandy both undervalue teams here man, So one
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: of them could potentially get here. One of them could
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: potentially actually even beat Florida. You know, it wouldn't shock
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: me if that happened. Again. I think Alabama and Arkansas
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: might be vulnerable because they know they're in the tournament.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much they care about seeding really.
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: Georgia is more of a bubble team. A and M
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: is more of a bubble team. Texas as well, So
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: one of those teams could get through this thing and
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: makes some sort of run here. You know. Georgia problem
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: with them is they play super fast as well well,
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: so Georgia, Alabama, Arkansas kind of all do that. Texas
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: doesn't really play as fast, but they're actually pretty bad
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: on depense, even worse than these teams. But they're really
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: good on offense, which is bizarre. But yeah, I think Texas,
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: you know, could potentially go on a run here.
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't be shocked if they.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: Of course, I wouldn't be shocked if they beat all
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: miss they should, but wouldn't be shocked if they beat
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: Georgia as well and get to this game. I wouldn't
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: totally be shocked if Texas really makes you know, a
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: multiple game run here, a few games here. You know,
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: it wouldn't really shock me if A and M does
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: it as well. They're more of a fast faced team too.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: It's just kind of crazy. And then Oklahoma should probably
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: at least beat South Carolina here, and it would be
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: a pretty competitive matchup between them and A and M.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: We could have a lot of chaos in some of
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: the early rounds of this tournament. Man in Auburn, Like
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: I said, they're also a really undervalued team and they
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: really need to win. Let's see what the odds.
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: Say in this tournament here? Where are we looking here?
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: Sec? I know I'm not watching the twelve or so
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: the swack game it's on right now. Florida's minus one
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: to eighty to win the tournament, so they're actually favored
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: with the whole field. Arkansas plus six hundred, I don't
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: really see much value there. Alabama plus seven fifty, don't
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: really see that either, Vandy plus twelve hundred, Tennessee plus
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: seventeen hundred. You know, there might even be more value
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: in a couple of these long shots, like those teams
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: that are undervalued, I think just generally underseeded Georgia plus
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: thirty five hundred, Kentucky plus forty five hundred A and
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: M plus five thousand, Texas is plus one plus ten thousand,
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: ten to one, and Missouri is also plus ten thousand.
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: Auburn all the way at fift plus fifteen thousand man
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: in Oklahoma's plus twelve thousand, five hundred, Auburn is a
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: serious long shot. But you know, I mean, maybe Auburn
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: in one of these individual games, maybe it makes sense
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: to try to grab them because they're gonna be motivated,
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: you know, them going up against a team like Tennessee.
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: They play slow, so they get involved in some close games.
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: Auburn is one of those fast paced teams, though, so
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: they might get frustrated playing a slow team.
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: I don't know, it's a really interesting tournament.
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: I just don't know that there's a whole lot of
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: value really in most of these teams here. That these
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: teams are all on the other side of the bracket
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: from Florida though, so Florida is actually on the side
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: of the bracket where a lot of the undervalue teams are.
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: Really Tennessee Vandy, like some of the better underseeded teams,
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: UH Kentucky as well, even Auburn. So you know, I
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: could potentially see Florida going down here. I don't know, man,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: something about Tennessee, you know, maybe worth like a long
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: shot type of thing on Tennessee because deepfense can kind
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: of carry you.
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: Through some of these tournaments.
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: But of course you're dealing with Rick Barnes, who I
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: don't know how how many times has Rick Barnes won.
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: The conference tournament.
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I know he has a thing where
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: he never makes the final four in the Big Dance,
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: but I don't know about the conference tournaments, but I
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: don't know. We'll see what happens here, man. And then
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: the other side of this bracket, I could see some
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: you know, weird team coming out of the second side
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: of the bracket for sure. Something, you know, something almost
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: tells me Texas could be the team that kind of
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: gets through this thing. I don't know, some crazy run there.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be an insane tournament. Man. We'll see. But
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: you know, maybe Florida, because they are motivated to get
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: the one seed, maybe they do win. Maybe they do
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: still win it. And they are a very very good team,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: like they're pretty much elite. So yeah, all right, then
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: we got we'll go to the Big Ten here, which
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: does start tomorrow.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: Big Ten they start tomorrow.
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: They have eighteen teams.
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: In their tournament, which is absolutely outrageous.
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: Every team makes the tournament, and then I think every
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: team makes the tournament, and then yeah, and then they're
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: the last tournament to finish. Their last game is on Sunday,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: and it ends like right before the brackets come out,
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: which is insane.
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: So the brackets basically have to be done pretty much.
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: Before they even know who's gonna win the conference pretty much,
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: so you know, that could get a little weird. You know,
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: there were a few conferences that finish on Sunday. I
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: think the Atlantic ten is one of those teams. Uh,
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: I think the uh.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: The Big and I think the Big twelve in the
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: SEC both finished a day earlier. I want to say,
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I forget. I know the Big Ten
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: is always like a last one that finishes. Though maybe
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: the Big twelve does finish on Sunday as well. I think, yeah,
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: a couple of the other teams, like some of the
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: other conferences, finished earlier in the day on that day.
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: I think I think maybe even the American does. I
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: don't know.
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: Uh, and I think I think the IVY actually might
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: as well. I think the IVY might have kind of
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: a Sunday morning type of deal there too. I think
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: they do Saturday Sunday on the final weekend. All right,
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: let's uh, what was I gonna say? Oh, I think
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: the American East does something weird like that too, where
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: they like play their final like a week after the
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: rest of the tournament or something. I don't know. Anyway, Okay,
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: this bracket doesn't is not filled, So okay, that's just great. Uh.
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: The whole thing is gonna be on Peacock beat Big
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: ten network CBS. That's kind of the family that Big
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: ten has. Well that they actually have Fox Sports as well,
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: so I don't know or Fox Sports has the Big Ten.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: All right, let's see what the tournament structure is here.
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: You know, Michigan's the one seed. Let me see they
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: wrapping up the one seed quite a while ago. Yeah,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: Michigan's the one seed. Nebraska actually got the two, Michigan
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: State three, Illinois got the four, Wisconsin got the five
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: u c l A of the six produced seven, Ohio
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: State eight. Iowa fell all the way to the nine seed,
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: and then Indiana the ten and then you know, all
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: the rest of the teams that probably aren't gonna really
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: make a run here. We'll see, though, I mean, you know,
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: as far as the rest of these teams are concerned,
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: I think Oregon is not as bad as people think
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: they are. At the very least. Northwestern also is not.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: Those are two I think kind of undervalue teams. Washington
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: kind of is as well. The rest of these teams,
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: I just don't really see it. And then of course
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: you have Indiana being squarely on the bubble right now,
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: so they do need wins. Ohio State probably would be
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: you know, Ohio State probably needs to get one win
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: at least to.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: Not be in danger here.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: But Iowa, you know, they're I think Iowa is pretty
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: safe to get into the tournament, but they're gonna have
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: to at least not lose, you know, to one of
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: these worst teams here. That would really hurt them, Iowa
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: if they wind up playing Ohio State. We'll see what.
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: I think. Ohio State's pretty securely in the tournament. Iowa
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: should be as well. I don't know there's gonna if
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be a huge amount of motivation there one
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: way or the other, I don't know. And then I
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: think I think Illinois and Purdue I think are actually
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: kind of undervalue teams in this tournament. And then UCLA
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: they've shown a very very severe home road dichotomy where
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: it seems like U see LA only is able to
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: win at home and in Pacific Coast games, and whenever
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: they leave the Pacific Coast they don't do well. And
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: of course this game is not on the Pacific Coast.
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: It's in fact in Chicago this year, so that is
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: gonna help Illinois probably. That means Illinois is gonna have
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: kind of a home home crowd here probably in you know,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: in vast amounts for this tournament in Northwestern as well. Uh,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: So we might see some bigger crowds for those two
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: teams that kind of get a little bit of a
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: home advantage here in this tournament. As far as you
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: know what ken Bomb has to say about the Big Ten,
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: uh of course, he has Michigan as the best team
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: in the conference. They're they're just elite man second overall,
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: and they're top four in both offense and deep mense.
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: He's got, believe it or not, Illinois as the second
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: best team in the conference and number one overall on
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: offense and not horrible on deepfense. Really at twenty six
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: third best team in the conference. He has as Purdue,
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: very efficient on offense, second in the country, but not
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: so good on deepfense. So that's kind of the knock
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: on Purdue. But I think Purdue is not as bad
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: as people think they are, so they could be a
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: little bit dangerous here. They're of course very experienced, very
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: experienced coach, you know that whole thing. Then Michigan State
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: is next at ninth in the country. Then Nebraska twelve,
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: so Nebraska probably a little bit overseeded there, Michigan State.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: Actually both of those teams are top ten defense. Michigan
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: State is okay on offense, Nebraska really not that good
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: on offense, believe it or not. And then after those
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: teams there is a bit of a drop off down
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: to Wisconsin, who would be next, and in overall rating
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin much better on offense than defense. They actually play
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: fast now where I know we're used to Wisconsin, meaning
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: the old Wisconsin playing slow. Then, believe it or not,
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: he has Ohio State twenty sixth in the country, actually
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: has Iowa twenty fourth and very balanced. Then Ohio State
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: also well, Ohio State's more of an offensive team, but
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: he's got Ohio State twenty sixth in the country, so
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: they should absolutely be in the tournament. And then Ucla
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: twenty eighth, so you know, those teams a little bit
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: underrated maybe as well. Ucla believe it or not, better
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: on offensive defense this year, fairly significantly, which I'm not
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: used to. Indiana at forty first in the country, not
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: horrible either, and fairly balanced Indiana team then, believe it
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: or not. The next team ratings wise after that is Washington,
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: then Northwestern at fifty four and sixty six respectively. Then
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: he's got Minnesota after that. They're a slow team, you know,
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: nothing special really, but could frustrate teams that want to
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: go fast. USC at seventy seventh in the country. I
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I think USC is just they look
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: like they're kind of a dead team after they lost Baker,
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: Mazaar and whatever.
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: They seem to be.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: In turmoil in USC. So I don't love them here.
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: You know, Washington could bounce them right away. I think
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: Washington is an undervalue team here, man, So we could
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: see some crazy things happen here. Northwestern probably is gonna
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: beat Penn State and have to play Indiana right away,
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: and you know, that could be an interesting game. I
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: think Indiana did just have a close call against them,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: or maybe even lost to them not that long ago. See,
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: Indiana might be equipped enough to beat them this time.
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: Both those teams are undervalued, I think, but you could
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: see Indiana maybe get that game, and then you know,
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: I think Purdue probably makes a run here, man, as
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: long as they can win their first game, even if
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: it is against Indiana, who is very familiar with them.
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: But you know, Purdue, Purdue is actually probably gonna be
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: the favorite over Nebraska. And remember they actually won at
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: Nebraska this year. Al though again that might mean Nebraska
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: might be able to make some adjustments there. But I
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: think Purdue is actually better than Nebraska. So I could
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: see Purdue definitely getting to the semi finals here, and
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: then you know, maybe Purdue worth a look here and
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: maybe making a run, and maybe Illinois is worth taking
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: a look at here. You know, those would probably be
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: the two teams that I would look at in this tournament.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: Maybe Ohio State actually, to be honest, they're a severely
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: undervalued eight seed. I think it's gonna be a difficult
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: matchup between them and Iowa, though, But I don't know.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: Can Ohio State really beat Michigan. I don't know, man, Michigan.
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think even as long as Michigan, like
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't know, man, can Michigan lose right
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: away and still get a one seed. Probably they can,
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: to be honest. So I mean, at some point you
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: got to start questioning the motivation a little bit with
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: some of these teams that have like wrapped up a
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: one seed here and Michigan, by the way, I haven't
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: mentioned it at all, but Michigan has lost one of
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: their best bench players. They lost him a few games
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: ago case on. I think is his name? I ever
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: get his name, like I want to say, it's like LJ.
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: Cason or something like that, whatever his name is. So
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: he was one of their better bench players and he's gone,
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: which is very unfortunate from Michigan. It's not, you know,
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: one of their top level players. But still that does
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: hurt Michigan's depth. So that is somebody to keep in mind.
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: He's not gonna be back, so somebody to keep in mind.
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: There we go some teams with injuries, which of course
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: we're gonna have. Some of the most serious ones are
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: in the Big Twelve, which will be the last conference
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about. Michigan has minus won twenty five
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: to win this whole thing, Illinois at plus four forty,
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: Michigan State plus seven hundred, per Due plus nine hundred,
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: Nebraska plus twelve hundred, Wisconsint plus two thousand, Ucla plus
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: four thousand.
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't trust.
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: UCLA in a non Pacific ironment. Here Iowa plus sixty
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: five hundred, Ohio State all the way down at plus
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: ten thousand, probably because they have to get by Michigan.
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: Indiana plus seventeen thousand, five hundred. Then there's a real
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: drop off. Northwestern is at plus thirty thousand, and so
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: is Washington, and actually all the rest of the teams
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: are basically the extreme long shots. You know, I would
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: say maybe Purdue at nine to one, because they avoid
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: Michigan for as long as possible. Maybe one of these
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: teams can bounce Michigan, and then maybe it sets up
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: all right for Purdue. You know, that might be it.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: You know, I don't know about Illinois for you know,
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: at plus four forty, Illinois is very very good though,
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: you know, like I said, according to Kenbaum, the analytics
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: love Illinois. Kenbomb as them as the fifth best team
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: in the country, and they've a lot of their losses
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: have been very close losses and overtime losses. So Illinois
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: is probably better than their record would tell you they are.
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: And again Purdue, I don't know why Purdue keeps losing
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: at home.
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: That's kind of the problem.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: They've lost at home to like the Upper rachel On
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: teams that they played, like, They've lost to Michigan at home,
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: they lost to They did just lose to Wisconsin as well,
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: they lost to at home as well. I believe they
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: lost to Michigan State at home and they lost to
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: Who else did they lose to at homeis Illinois Michigan, Yeah,
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: Michigan State in Wisconsin.
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: So like the other top teams of this conference.
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: All beat Purdue at Purdue. But maybe Purdue would, you know,
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: make some adjustments that actually beat them. Purdue is not
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: gonna have to play more than half of those teams,
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: right The only one of those teams that are actually
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: gonna run into in this tournament potentially probably would be
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: Michigan State if Purdue gets there, so they avoid everybody
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: else besides Michigan State. So yeah, you know, I think
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: Purdue at nine to one might be the way that
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: I would look as maybe like a value play here
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: or you know, doing the role over the thing again,
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: rolling them over game to games.
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: That might be the way I would look in this tournament.
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: All right, and then we have the final one is
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: the Big Twelve, and then I'll get out of here.
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: Going a little bit over an hour for these So
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: this is you know, these are these are the big conferences.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: Big Twelve does start tomorrow. As far as this tournament
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: is concerned. They did fill theirs out, so there you go.
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: This whole tournament is ESPN Family, ESPN Plus for some
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: of the earlier games, ESPN U and two, and then
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: ESPN for the rest of the games. So in the
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: Big Twelve, of course, Arizona got the one seed wherever
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: the hell they are they get. So the one through
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: four get the double by in this conference tournament, by
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: the way, Yeah, the same thing in the Big Ten.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: By the way, there's a triple by for the top
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: four teams. Just you know, as I showed you there,
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: it's one of those like I'll call it like a
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: double wide bracket, which I think is maybe a little
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: bit better than just the wide bracket. The Big twelve
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: does it a little bit differently with the top four
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: seeds get a double by the next four seeds get
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: the single buy, and then the rest of the teams
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: all have to play in the opening round, which kind
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: of makes sense as well. So the double bye go
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: to the double buys go to Arizona. Houston, Kansas got
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: the three seed and then Texas Tech got the four.
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: And of course one thing to be aware of a
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech is JT Top and is not coming back.
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: He's missed four games now and I believe Texas Tech
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: has now lost two games in a row, so that
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: injury seems to be catching up to them a bit.
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: They were playing well without in the first couple of
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: games they blew out, you know, some inferior teams, but
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: since then it hasn't been as good for Texas Tech.
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: So you know that injury does matter, so that downgrade.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech have been.
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: And then of course BYU, who fell all the way
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: to the ten seed in this conference, BYU is without
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: Richie Saunders for the rest of the season. He's been
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: out for a bit longer, so I think top and
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: has missed four games for Texas Tech.
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: I think Saunders is just about the same for BYU.
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: By b Yu, he went down a little bit before
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: Topping did, and that has hurt BYU. He's like their
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: second best player after de Bonsa, so that has hurt BYU.
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: I think b Yu has seen the worst drop off,
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: even though he's not even their top player. B Yu
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: has seen a big time drop off since then. Man,
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: although I know they do just beat Texas Tech in
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: their final game, but yeah, BYU, it's very very hard
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: to gauge how good or not so good BYU was
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: at this point. BYU is still gonna make the tournament.
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're projected to be like a six seed
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: or a seven seeds, so not really in danger here.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: They draw Kansas State right away. Kansas State has been
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: a mess. They fired their coach. You know, I B YU.
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: Should get through that game.
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: Let me see. This whole tournament, by the way, is
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: in Kansas City, so you know, I guess I don't
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: know if that really helps you know Kansas or Kansas
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: State at all.
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: Wherever Kansas State's playing BYU.
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: Like I said, you know, I don't know, maybe a
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: little bit more of an edge for Kansas than anybody
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: else there, but I don't know. So yeah, keep that
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: in mind, the whole thing that is in Kansas City.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I expect BUYU to get that game. But
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: then they're gonna run into a team that's gonna slow
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: them down in West Virginia, who drew the seventh seed
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: here as you know, West Virginia. Yeah, I mean West
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Virginia is slowing a fast paced team like BYU down.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: West Virginia could be kind of dangerous. They play extra
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: extra slow with the North Texas coach who came over there,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: that's you know, his regime now there, and they're kind
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: of a bubble team sort of West Virginia. So if
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: they're able to make some sort of little run here,
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: they could be dangerous. Man. They definitely could beat BYU.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: Uh don't know if they would really be able to
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: get through Houston. Houston with Kelvin Samson, does seem like
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: they do try to win this tournament most of these years,
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: and so does Iowa State. I haven't mentioned Iowa State yet.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: They fell all the way to the five seed. I
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: think they're a pretty undervalued five seed, man, Like I think,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: I think they do probably win their opening game against
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: the winner of Baylor and Arizona State. Of course they
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: should win that, and then I think they probably beat
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: that under man Texas Tech team too. To be honest,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: even though Texas Tech has been good, we don't really
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: know how much to downgrade them, you know. So. I
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: think Iowa State could definitely make a run, and they've
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: shown that they want to win this tournament in the
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: past as well. Under Ottstenberger whatever their coach's name is,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: TCU could be super dangerous. They've beaten some really good
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: teams this year, played really well against some really good
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: teams too. I think they either have wins or close games.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: I know they have a really close game against Michigan
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: earlier this season. I think they actually beat Florida. I
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: want to say so, TCUs all over the place. TCU
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: sixth seed in.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: The tournament here.
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: They you know, they're a bubble team right now, so
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: they're gonna want to win some games here. Man, they
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: should beat the winner of Oklahoma State and Colorado. The
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: fourteen and eleven shouldn't be a proble for TCU there,
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: the Oklahoma State probably wins that. I would imagine they
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: are a better than Colorado. TCU did have a close
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: game against Oklahoma State the last time, but I think
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: they get through that, maybe they even make a run.
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much I trust three seed Kansas
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: year because of you know, it just seems this turmoil
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: there with like Peterson, you know, sometimes not playing.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: It seems like he is playing now and wanting to play.
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: But Kansas is actually has actually had some of their
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: best games with him not even playing, like the game
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: where they gave Arizona their first loss, which I gave
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: out on the show as a play. Peterson wasn't even
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: playing in that game. So I don't know, man, that
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: Kansas team. They're pretty unpredictable, to be honest. And then
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: we have Cincinnati got the nine seed. They're a very
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: interesting case, and they wind up they get an easy
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: matchup out of the gate against Utah, which they should
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: win against the sixteen seed. Sixteen teams make the tournament,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: I think the whole conference does. And then they get
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: an overseeded UCF, who I don't think is that good.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: UCF is pretty likely in the tournament, but since we
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: know they've kind of put themselves on the bubble a
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: little bit here. I think they could definitely beat UCF.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati is a slow down team, a very actually no Cincinnati,
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: excuse me, they play fast, but they play really good defense.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, so you see everything also plays fast ish.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: Let me look real quick. But yeah, I think Cincinnati
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: could give them some problems. Man. Cincinnati would actually probably
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: be favored in that game. I think they're rated above
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: UCF here. Yeah. UCF is a fast paced team, like
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: I said, and not good on defense. Cincinnati is the
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: much better defense, but the significantly worse offense. At Cincinnati
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: actually does play kind of a mid temp post, so
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: I think they would probably slow it down.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: As far as ken Bum's ratings are concerned, here, he's
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: got Arizona third in the country, top seven in both
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: offense and defense. They're the best team in this conference obviously.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: Houston at sixth in the country is second in the conference.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: No surprise there.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: Very very good on deepfense, a little bit worse on offense.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: Iowa State, seventh in the country, is the third best
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: team in the conference. Like I said, they're a little
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: bit underseedd as.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: A five seed.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: And very good top ten deepfense and a little bit
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: worse on offense. Texas Tech is a top ten offense,
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: but not great on deepense, seventeenth in the country. They
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: are still rated fourth in the conference acording to Kent Bomb,
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: but again you got a factor in that injury, so
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: they're probably a little bit worse than that.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: Then Kansas is next next.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: At nineteenth in the country, top ten deepfense, but outside
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: the top fifty on offense. Then he's got BYU next twenty,
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: fifth in the country, but again you got a factor
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: in the injury there too, And like I said, they're
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: very lopsided towards offense.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: What else we got here.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: Then the next team after that is.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not, so Cincinnati Kenbom has them as
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: like the seventh best team in this common or something
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: like that.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, or seventh or eighth whatever.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: It is very good on deepense, like I said, almost
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: the top ten deepfense, is not good on offense. And
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: then after that he actually has TCU as the next
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: best team. They're really good on defense, to top twenty
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: on deepfense, just not as good on offense, fairly bad
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: on offense, to be honest, not as bad as Cincinnati,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: but are those defenses. You know that translates to tournament environments,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: So somebody keep in mind there with those two teams.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: Then I know I still haven't even mentioned UCF. I
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: think UCF is next after that. Then West Virginia just
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit behind that, fifty third and fifty seventh
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: in the country respectively. Then actually I forgot Baylor's actually
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: forty eighth in the country, believe it or not. So
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: actually he has Baylor ranked ahead of UCF, my mistake.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: So it's Baylor then UCF, then West Virginia, then Arizona State,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: then Colorado, then Oklahoma State. Then there's a big drop
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: off Kansas State and Utah both outside the top one.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: So all that to keep in mind there. So yeah, Baylor,
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: you know, Baylor, Arizona State, those are both okay teams.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: Baylor probably does get that win, but I don't think
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: they're gonna beat our Iowa State man. And I think
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: they did give Iowa State a close game the last
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: time they played, so I think Iowa State gets through that.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: I think there is gonna be some value with Iowa
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: State here, to be honest, They're a very dangerous team.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: They would run into Arizona before the championship though, And
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: then on the other side, you know, this other side
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: of the bracket really looks like it's Houston's to lose.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: To be honest, you know, I like Cincinnati to make
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a run. Probably would not be
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: able to get through Arizona. Although how secure is Arizona
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: and getting a one seed in the tournament, I don't
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: really know, Like, could Arizona afford to lose to Cincinnati
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: still get the one seed. Probably not, but you might
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: have a super motivated Cincinnati team there. And then again
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: on the other side, TCU Kansas could be an interesting one.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: Houston.
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: You know, Houston probably gets through the side of the bracket,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: so maybe there is some value in Houston. Let's take
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: a look here. They have the softer side of the bracket,
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: the feminine side of the bracket. Arizona is actually an
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: underdog against the field. They have the best odds to
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: win at plus one fifteen Houston plus two en Iowa
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: State plus six fifty Kansas plus eight fifty Texas Tech
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: plus seventeen hundred. So the four seed has significantly worse
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: odds than the five seed, Like I told you, BYU
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: plus five thousands, there's a big drop off there. TCU
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: and Cincinnati both plus eight thousand. West Virginia believe it
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: or not, has the same odds as UCF at plus
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: twenty five thousand. Then, you know, I don't really see
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: the rest of these teams making much of a much
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: of a run there or much of an impact there
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: let me see here, especially because those teams have to
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: play extra games. So yeah, I think I stand by
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: what I said there. I think probably the you know,
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: if there's any value to be had here, I think
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: it would be Houston at plus two ten or Iowa
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: stayed at plus six fifty. Those would be what I
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: would look at here. Iowa State is definitely capable of
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: beating Arizona. I mean, we've seen Arizona lose to some
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: of the real like upper rationalon teams here, Like they've
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: lost to some of the better teams here, so you know,
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: they could lose. Iowa State would have to get through them, though,
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: which is dangerous. Houston, you know, looks like it's pretty
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: likely they at least get to the championship game. So
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: you know, Houston, maybe the way I would look at
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: this conference, and like I said, they've under Samson, they've
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: shown like some motivation to try to get through the
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: conference tournament here.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: Last year, I think they got bounced.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: A little bit early in the tournament too, so maybe
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: they have a little bit of motivation to to.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: Redeem themselves from that.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: They also play a super slow style and they play deepense,
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: and that's good in a tournament environment. It's helpful when
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: you're playing multiple games in a row. Like the fast
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: paced teams are the teams that usually run out of
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: steam more so than the slow team teams. So that's
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: something to be aware of there as well. Iowa State
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: also happens to be a fairly slow team as well,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: so somebody keep in mind there, so is Texas Tech.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: Arizona is not.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: So yeah, something to keep in mind as far as
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: that is concerned. You know, Kansas Place somewhat slow as well,
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: so does tc U. B y U is one of
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: the faster teams, so as U see f Yeah and
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: all right, yeah, I think I've gone through it all.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: So yeah, that's that's the way that I see it.
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: I think Arizona won't win this conference tournament to be honest. Yeah,
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: I think it will actually be either Houston or Iowa State.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: So you know, that's that's how I look at it,
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: and that's uh, that's gonna do it man. Yeah, all right.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: So that's that's it for the conference tournament. Videos for
• 1:09:52
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• 1:09:55
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• 1:09:58
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• 1:10:03
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• 1:10:06
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• 1:10:08
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• 1:10:11
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• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: will be back tomorrow night with a new episode as well.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. I appreciate it, guys. Peace