Latest / Toadstool Sports / Fever/Aces WNBA Playoffs + MLB Best Bets Tuesday 9/23/25

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Fever/Aces WNBA Playoffs + MLB Best Bets Tuesday 9/23/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man, with Wickens
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: hack Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I'm not I
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back with
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: you after the worst day that I can possibly have
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: with you, as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump yesterdays,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: sewed back with you. This is better off dead for Tuesday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: September twenty third. I always have to check what day
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: it is, man, because I never know what day it is.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: As you can see in the intro, we skipped yesterday.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: Skip it yesterday was the handicappy equivalent of a pussy
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: We skipped it. Oh my god, very little action yesterday.
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: I'm gambling action on the board in general. That plus
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: nobody's banging on a Monday night. Three baseball games yesterday
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: and one football game which I gave out the correct
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: lien on the side. But that was And I did
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: say that under made sense early on in the game,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: and I kind of thought the game would would unravel
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit and that you see more offense in
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: the second half, and it did. It was crazy how
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: much offense happened in that game. I scaped in Fantasy
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: improve it to two and one. In my main league,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: despite not even having a good team, despite losing James Connor.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: I dodged Lamar Jackson last night. He almost caught up
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: to me, but not quite, and I fended him off
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: with Sam Laporta. So you guys aren't here for fantasy though,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: you're here for plays. I have one playing WNBA and
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: one play in Major League Baseball today. Let's get into it, man,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: no time to waste. Let's do it. Break the WNBA
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: play will be early on because we're gonna talk about
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: the WNBA first year. Let's do it. We're in the playoffs.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: We're in the semifinals. The two teams that I picked
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: in my bracket to make the finals, Vegas and Minnesota,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: are both hosting these series. They're both still in it.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: They are the top two seeds. First game up is
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: Phoenix at Minnesota, Game two, Minnesota one, game one, then one.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: On the scoreboard, it looks like they won fairly easily
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: by thirteen. I did lean to them in the game
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: on Minnesota extremely good at home, so very very difficult
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: team to fade at home. They're twenty and two at home,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: which I forget if that was just the regular season,
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: or if then includes playoff. I think that might have
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: just been the regular season. Phoenix still a decent team
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: above five hundred on the road, obviously not as good
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: as Minnesota, who is the best team in the league.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: The way this game played out, I think it's helpful
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: to sometimes look at the like just look at the stats,
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: the box, or when you're trying to like look for
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: potential like zig zag spots in playoffs, which is basically
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: you look at what happened in the previous game, determined
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: that in some way this was like an outlier, and
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: be like, oh, okay, I want to go the other
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: way with this now. In this game, Phoenix was actually
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: winning the game almost by double digits. They're winning by
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: nine points getting close to halftime. They maintained the lead
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: into the third quarter. Game was still really closer to
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, and then Phoenix with five minutes left,
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: they were only down one point, and then they just
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: basically didn't even score again. So I don't know why
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: that happens in the WNBA. So often you'll see teams
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: just completely stop scoring for the final five minutes. I
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: don't know what the deal is with that, But Phoenix
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: played pretty well in this game. So in a way,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: you could say, well, they're gonna have to put in
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: that effort against the superior team two days in a row,
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be difficult, or two games in a row.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: They had yesterday off, and yeah, I agree, it's gonna
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: be difficult for them to put in that amount of
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: effort two straight games. Minnesota did outplay them. The one
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: outlier that I here is that Phoenix only shot thirteen
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: percent from three point range, So that is definitely extremely low.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: That is an outlier percentage there. You got to expect
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: that that will take a step up in this game.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: They won't shoot that poorly from three again. Will it
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: be enough to keep them close enough with Minnesota? Though?
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, uh, because if you look at
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: this Minnesota, I mean, there wasn't a lot of free
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: throw Like this is a very clean game as far
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: as the refing, Like Minnesota had six free throw attempts
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: and Phoenix only had four. I mean, I don't think
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: you ever see free throw attempts being that low in
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: a game. So I don't know what the deal was
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: with the refie. But the refing was just kind of
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: letting everybody play and if the reffing is not the
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: same this time. That could potentially maybe even be a
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: little bit of a drawback to Minnesota, just because I
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be the more physical of the two
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: teams here. I would lean to Phoenix slightly. Here. Minnesota's
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: down from eight and have to seven. I believe the
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: line in the first game was somewhere around that. I
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: think it was about seven. Let me just make sure
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: about that. Actually it was nine and a half. I
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: was run it went up from seven and a half
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: to nine and a half, So you're not really getting
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: any line value on Phoenix here. It's interesting that the
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: line has dropped to that degree because you think that
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: with Minnesota winning by double digits in the first game,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: by whatever it was, thirteen, fifteen, whatever it was, you'd
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: see the line maybe even shift a little bit more
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: towards Minnesota. That has not happened. It did open around
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: the same at eight and a half, came down to
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. I think immediately some of the
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: actual professional betters took Phoenix in this one. Sixty two
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Phoenix, sixty percent of the
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: tickets on Minnesota. I'll agree with the Phoenix side this
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: isn't gonna be my play. I think it does still
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: set up as kind of a zigzag spot where Phoenix
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: does still have the team with the adjustments to make.
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: They lost. If you're Minnesota, you don't really have too
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: many adjustments to make, although they didn't play well in
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: the first half. Really, the one thing that I see
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: again is that Phoenix had a really outlier low percentage
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: in three point range, so I could see that progressing
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: back to some sort of mean. But the game I'm
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: actually going to give out is the Vegas Ace is
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: minus eight and a half. I think this is just
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: getting a little bit ridiculous. I think the public might
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: even be on Indiana, even though everybody has to know
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: at this point, there's no Katelyn Clark here, there's no
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: Silvia Cunningham here. They are there for the game. I
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: mean they're not playing, obviously, but they're there on the bench.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: They're helping out with the team, you know, helping motivate
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: the team, could probably helping coach the team, you know whatever.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: But fifty six percent tickets are on Indiana. They're a
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: public side here, especially if people see what they did
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: in Game one. They won the game out right, and
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: people are gonna say, how am I getting nine and
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: a half points here? If Indiana won the game out right,
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: they don't even need to do that this time. Well, yeah,
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: I think that there were things in that game that
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: make it look like an outlier. And Vegas, yeah, only
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: up a little bit from nine to nine and a half. Here.
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: It looks like it's nine is the prevalent number out there,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: But I did see eight and a half at FanDuel
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: this morning in Massachusetts. Most of the numbers are at nine.
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: If you want to lay nine, I think that's also fine.
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: Seven is really the key number in basketball because that's
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: the three possession thresholder teams not intentionally following. There's not
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: much of a difference between eight and a half and nine,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: So I would be fine with lank either one of those.
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: I think Vegas comes in and they take it man. Vegas.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: They're still really good at home, seventeen and five at home,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Indiana only eleven and eleven on the road at eleven eleven,
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: Oh boy, might be making a wish or something there.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: You're probably gonna have to make a wish if you
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: want Indiana to somehow win two games in a row.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: At Vegas. I don't think it's gonna happen. Indiana did
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: beat Vegas both games on the at home this season,
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: which I think might have both at least one of
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: them was without Clark. I think Cunningham was there for
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: all three matchups that they had. Vegas won the matchup
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: at home by eight. I know they have to win
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: by a little bit more than that here, but I
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: still think that previous game in this series is a
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: bit of an outlier, man. So we're looking at that
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: game now. The number did go up from eight and
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: a half to nine and a half here, So at
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: eight and a half or nine, you're actually getting a
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: little bit of value in this game based on what
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: it was in the previous game. And why, well, or
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: excuse me my mistake, I'm still looking at today's game.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: What am I doing? Man? I wanted to look at
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: the last game. This game went down actually from nine
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: and a half to eight and a half, but still
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: at eight and a half or nine, it's basically the
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: same number. And you know that Vegas is gonna be
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: the team that has all the adjustments to make here. Man. Also,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: you're looking at an Indiana team that we know has
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: a thin roster because they're missing so many of the
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: best players. I mean, on the the game flow here,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: it basically looks like Indiana once they separated themselves late
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: in the first half, they basically never looked back. Although
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: the game was pretty close late in the third quarter,
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: Indiana just ran away with it in the end. But
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: if you look at what happened in this game, Vegas
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: really did not shoot that well forty point eight percent
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: from the field, which is pretty low for them, considering
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: Asia Wilson attacking the inside. She's usually pretty dominant in
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: the inside and is not gonna have that loa of
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: field goal percentage. Three point percentage was pretty low for
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Vegas as well at twenty nine point four percent. Really
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: the main outliers that Indiana shot fifty percent from the
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: field as well, which I don't think that's gonna happen again.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: I know Vegas is at the struggles defensively at times,
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: so that just seems a little bit crazy. Vegas lost
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: the turnover battle and they lost the rebounding battle. I
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: don't really see either of those things happening again. Highly
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: unlikely They're gonna lose the turnover battle at home again.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Usually the home team wins the turnover battle, I think
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: it's pretty unlikely they're going to lose the rebound battle again.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, Asia Wilson again, dominant presence on the inside.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: I don't really see Indiana really matching up well against them,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: so it makes it pretty crazy that they won the
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: rebound battle this one. So I think a lot of
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: outliers here that could sort of regress back to some
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: mean here. And again, if you're Indiana, you played basically
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: a perfect game in that game, like what do you do?
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: Like you have no adjustments to make, and that's why
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: the zig zag works. Whereas you have Vegas, who legitimately
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: is the better of these two teams here was extremely
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: hot coming into the playoffs. I thought it was a
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: good thing that Vegas lost one of the games in
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: the first round, because that makes them used to losing again.
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: Like you don't want to be this team that hasn't
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: lost in two months or whatever, and maybe it's not
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: quite two months, but you know, and you're just not
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: even used to dealing with that mentally anymore. So I
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: think it's okay that Vegas has lost a couple of
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: these games here. They gotta get this one obviously, and
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: then once they do, I think they could still win
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: the series. They are gonna have to win one game
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: on the road at Indiana, but I think they could
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: do that, even though I know they didn't during the
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: regular season. It's gonna be a bit difficult now. But
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: obviously massive pressure on them. If they lose both games
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: at home, they're gonna be done. So they pretty much
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: know they have to come out extra focus here. This
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: is an angle that we also use in the NBA
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: a lot the home favorite if they lose game one outright,
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: especially a big favorite, that's clearly the better team, they're
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: really really solid play in game two. So we're gonna
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: use the same handicapping format here in the WNBA for this,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: we will go with the Vegas Aces year and again,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: if we look at what happened in this game, Wilson
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: was six for twenty two from the field. Man, I mean,
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: that's not gonna happen again. She did have a lot
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: of rebounds as usual. Maybe she was a little bit
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: distracted because I don't know if the MVP announcement came
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: up before this game or not, but she is the
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: winner of the MVP Award. I don't know why they
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: announced it during the playoffs, but she won the MVP.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: It was between her and Collier on Minnesota. Wilson won,
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: and I think the league actually wants They probably want
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: that match up in the in the finals, to be honest,
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: they want Wilson against Callier in the finals now that
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Caitlin Clark isn't there and whatever. She's not gonna shoot
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: this pearly again. I mean, she takes a lot of
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: high percentage shots. She plays on the inside, so I
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: don't see that happening again again. I thought that field
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: goud percentage was a bit of an outlier. We did
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: also see Indiana go to the line more in this
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: game seventeen free throw attempts only twelve from Vegas. That's
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: probably not gonna happen again either. I think you're usually
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: gonna get a little bit of home cooking from the
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: refs here, or they're gonna call some of the fouls.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: It's more likely that some of the files get called
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: in your direction. I think that might happen here. And again,
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know what again happened in this first game
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: with Asia Wilson, because she usually draws a lot of
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: fouls gets to the line, so I expect that to
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: be happening again as well. So I don't think you're
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: gonna see Indiana have more free throw attempts again either.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: So a lot of things make it look like they're
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: just kind of things that wouldn't normally happen, and they
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: all just kind of coincided. In the first game. We're
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: gonna go with Vegas minus the points. I don't really
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: want to be labor that anymore because we've got to
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: get to baseball. But that is the WNBA play there.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: We have a full slate of baseball, and I we're
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: looking at the standings here, I mean, basically, just the
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: wildcard really matters at this point of the Toronto is
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: still in a battle to try to win the division.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: Toronto also excuse Detroit, also in a battle to try
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: to still win the division. Seattle and Houston still kind
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: of locked in that battle. The NL is more like
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: pretty much almost determined. It's just crazy what's going on
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: in the American League right now. And in the American League.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: You got Yankees, Red Sox, Cleveland, Houston all in the
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: wildcard race. Seattle, Detroit, Toronto. None of them have big
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: have huge leads in their divisions, so they could all
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: potentially fall back into wildcard spots. So in Houston as well.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: So you have essentially you have seven teams that are
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: fighting for you have seven basically seven teams are fighting
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: for six playoff spots. I think. So one of these
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: teams is gonna wind up being left out, and then
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: the question is which team is gonna be, and it's
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be the Red Sox Cleveland or Houston. As
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: a Red Sox fan, I'm concerned they only have a
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: one game leader for both Cleveland and Houston. The Red
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: Sox do have the tiebreaker where they don't have an
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: easy remaining schedule. They have probably the most difficult out
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: of all of them. So we'll talk about that in
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: a minute, but let's jump into this. Man. We got
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: all evening games. A lot of these games don't matter,
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: like this first series up as Tampa at Baltimore AL
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: East matchup where neither of these teams are going anywhere.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: Baltimore just came off a series against the Yankees. Both
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: teams are off yesterday. Almost every team was off yesterday,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: so a lot of rest of bullpens here. Tampa has
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen. I would still probably give Tampa an
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: offensive edge in this game as well. I don't know
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: where they sit offensively, and it's I don't think it's
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: a huge edge bet right here. This is I'm looking
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: at OPS. They're fourteenth in OPS. Baltimore not too far
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: down from there, but twenty first in OPS. So Tampa
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: does have a bullpen edge and an offensive edge here
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: Baltimore coming up that big series against the Yankees. But
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: this is still a divisional matchup. I mean, I think
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: this is the type of game that will draw both
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: teams focuses, just foci just because it is a divisional
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: matchup to finish the season. Tampa, as I keep saying,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: is not as bad as the record looks there. I
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: think they actually have a positive run differential, so they're
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be They're the only team with the positive
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: run differential that I think will miss the playoffs as
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: it stands right now, I think, actually, wait, that might
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: be wrong. Actually, let me say, hold on, I might
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: be wrong about that. I don't want to really talk
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: about it too much. But no, it'll be them and
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: the Rangers. I was close, so them and the Rangers
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: pretty much are gonna be the two, which is ridiculous
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: because again Cleveland has a negative run differential and they
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: might make the playoffs. But in this matchup, I'm not
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: sure that I love Tampa here, even though I do
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: like Ryan Pepio. Typically they're starting pitcher here. He's had
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: a pretty good season man three point seven to seven ERA,
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: one point one to six whip, coming over from the Dodgers.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: He was on the Dodgers, I think up until last year.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: He isn't as good on the road though, surprisingly he
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: actually pitches a lot better at home, even though they
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: playing Steinberner Field the Yankee Spring Training Stadium, which is
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: a difficult stadium to pitch, and he's got a four
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: point two road ERA, so he's not as good on
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: the road. This month, it's been a tale of two starts, basically,
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: like he put up a third straight five inning shutout
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: against Cleveland to open the month, and then last time
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: out he really didn't do well. Didn't even make it
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: make it out of the second inning against Toronto, had
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: three strikeouts, three walks, four and runs allowed. Not a
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: good performance. So this month, because of that bad start,
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: he's got a five point four ERA nine to five
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: strike a walker ratio. It's too many walks. But is
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: that like an outlier or are we gonna say that
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: he's all of a sudden in bad form? Hard to say.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: So then I have to look at, well, what are
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: his matchup numbers against Baltimore, And they're not good. In
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: sixty three at bats, twenty two to five strike a
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is good, three two average allowed though nine
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: to eight oh ps, so Pepio isn't as good on
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: the road, doesn't do well against Baltimore matchup wise against
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: their current lineup. So it's looking like maybe you do
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: want to look to maybe fade Pepio here. He's going
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: up against Dean Kreamer for the Warriors, who is generally
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: not the better pitcher, and generally I'm not a fan.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: His numbers are okay this year, four point three to
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: nine ERA, one point two six WHIP. He's actually way
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: better at home though, three point one to three ERA,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: so he has a way better home road split. And
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: he's actually been the better of the two pitchers this month.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: At least. He had a three inning shoutout against the Dodgers.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the deal was with that. I
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: don't know if they were limiting him for some reason.
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: They took him out of the game. He had a
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: no hit performance, or maybe he came in in relief,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: I don't really know what that was. And then he
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: did have a normal start against the White Sox last
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: time out walked three guys, which is a bit alarming,
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: but he held them to tour in runs. I know
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: the White Sox are terrible offensively, but Creamer does have
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: a two point eightyra this month. His appearances event spread
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: out a little bit, so he's not really on a
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: normal schedule, which might throw him off because starting pitchers
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: like to be on schedule, man, but it does mean
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: he has a little bit more rest going on. As
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: far as what he's done this month, eight to four
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio this month not great, but he's
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: pitching a little bit better than Pepio right now, just
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: because Pepio's last start wasn't good. Creamer against the Rays
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: does have pretty good numbers. In eighty two at bats.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: Strike at walk ratio is bad, so Pepio does have
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: the advantage of the strike at walk ratio against the
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: opposing lineup. Sixteen to eleven strike a walk ratio. That's
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: not good for Creamer. All the seven of the walks
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: are between the two lows, Brandon and Josh. As Nathaniel
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Lowe is on my boss in Red Sox, maybe they
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: maybe all three of them should be on the same team.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: Two thirty two batting average allowed from Creamer against the
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: Rays six to sixty four. Ohps, I'm gonna have a
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: slight lean to Baltimore in the first five innings here, man,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to go full game on it. I
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: think Tampa has a bullpen edg year, but I think
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Baltimore does have a starting pitching at here. I know
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a big series against the Yankees, but
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: they were ugly in the last couple of games. Tampa
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: coming up a big series as well, they played the
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: Red Sox, and they're traveling up to Baltimore. I know
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip tends to be a focused spot,
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: but they did just beat the Red Sox, which was
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: a bigger series as well than this is. So yeah,
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: I think Baltimore first five might be where the look
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: Tampa did go up for one oh three to minus
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: one thirteen. I know I keep saying Tampa is better
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: than the record looks, but does it justify them being
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: a favorite on the road in this matchup? I'm not
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: so sure. Seventy three sending tickets on them, so they
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: are public, but eighty six percent of the cash cash
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: percentage coming in on them. Not quite sure about that, man. Yeah,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: first five Baltimore is kind of my lean in that one. Jordan,
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Thanks? Thanks hanging out? You're calling me love?
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: That's gay, bro, Yes, you get to catch me live.
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Sorry you go, you're catching my ass. It's getting even
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: more gay. What's going on? Man? You're my only person
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: in the chat right now? I think because I start
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: out the show with WNBA, everybody's like fuck this and
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: then they're like, oh now baseball, fuck this. Detroit Cleveland
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: huge series right here, man. I mean some of these
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: series are very very big. This is an insane series.
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is basically the series it's gonna decide
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: the NL Central. As I showed you, Cleveland is. I
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: believe they're right behind Detroit now, Detroit barely hanging on
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: here is. Cleveland's been hot in Detroit has lost six
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: games in a row, including getting swept at home by Cleveland.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: But that does mean this is a road revenge spot
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: for Detroit. They get to start a road trip here.
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: And I use that angle a lot where when a
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: team just got swept at home, they go out on
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: the road and face the same team a lot of times.
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: For whatever reason, it happens two series later. It's usually
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: a divisional series. That road team is usually a good
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: look in that one. Man, I think this might be
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: a spot where Detroit is pissed off. Enough is enough.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be focus here. I think they're gonna win
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: this game. Cleveland is actually returning over from a road
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: trip as well. They went to Detroit, as you saw
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: in Minnesota, and they'd won a bunch of games in
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: a row. I think they'd won eleven twelve games in
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: a row, but they lost their last game at Minnesota.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: And I talk about this too. When a team has
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: a long win streak like that and they lose a
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: lot of times, that hangs them over into the next
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: game because that can like just halt that momentum they're
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: not used to losing. It can have an effect where
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: they essentially lose the same game twice. That plus Cleveland
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip, and I talk about
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip, you have to get
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: back to family life. That return home distract comes into play,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: although I think it's less so here because obviously they're
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: not gonna be distracted when they're facing Detroit. I mean,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: this is a huge serious I think that aspect of
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: it is gonna be mitigated a bit, but I still
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot for Cleveland generally. I think it
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: is the better spot for Detroit. I think the revenge
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: spot does matter. Cleveland does have the better bullpen. Their
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: bullpen has been surprisingly good, even without Closse, their closer
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: who will never come back because he was betting on
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: his own games. Detroit kind of a mediocre bullpen, man,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: They've kind of fallen off bullpen wise. Detroit does have
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: a significantly better offense, though Cleveland is like a bottom
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: offense in all baseball, which makes it even more ridiculous
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: that they're doing this because they're pitching hasn't even really
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: been that good, Like they're starting pitching. Their offense sucks,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: so it's ridiculous that they're here. But they're gonna have
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: to go up against school ball this time, man, So
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, Detroit has the starting pitching edge in this game.
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: They're gonna win this game. This is the guy to
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: help them. I mean he's probably gonna win the cy
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: Young in the AL two point two to three ERA
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: point eight eight whip. Great season for him, we know
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: how good he is. He did have some issue a
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: couple starts to go with, like his side or something.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: He had side soreness. But he came back in the
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: next start and I think he did well, which I'll
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: show you in a minute. He's only slightly worse on
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: the road two point three five ERA, and obviously I
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: don't think that's a problem this month two point seven
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: to six ERA. Like I said, he had that start
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: where he had that side issue, had to exit the
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: game against Miami, didn't do well there. That was his
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: only road start of the month. Allowed four and runs,
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts, no walks in three and a third. But
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: he bounced back nicely against Cleveland in six innings. Gave
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: up one on run, nine strikeouts, two walks, seven hits.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: He was right back and for him, Man, yes, I
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: know Cleveland just saw him, but that's gonna be the case.
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: I think both of these offenses just saw these opposing pitchers.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: So that gets negated because sometimes when an offense just
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: saw an opposing pitcher, the le have a little bit
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: of an extra advantage because they just saw so they're
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: used to hitting him. But we're talking about a guy
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: that they face all the time school ball, so I
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: don't even think having just faced him is that much
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: of an advantage for Cleveland. Their offense is not good anyway,
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: and they don't do well against school Ball in their history.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: They have a lot of experience against him, and it
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: doesn't really matter. At one hundred and thirty eight at bats,
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: he has a dominant forty six to six strike a
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: walk ratio against them, two seventeen batting average allowed, five
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: sixty two ops, so school Ball does really well against them.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: He is going up against Gavin Williams, who's been pretty
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: good as of late. He's he's turned into a pretty
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: solid pitcher for Cleveland man actually one of their probably
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: their best starter. Uh sorry to Tanner Biby, who hasn't
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: had that good of a season. Gavin Williams kind of ridiculously,
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: he's been the guy. He's got a three point zero
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: six ERA one point two eight whip is still too
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: high though, putting too many guys on base, generally he
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: is a little bit better at home, a three ERA
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: at home, So I mean Cleveland, they basically have their
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: best starter going up against Detroit's best starter here, so
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a man I mean, it's a little
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: bit difficult to actually want to lay a price like
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: this with Detroit on the road when both starting pitchers
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: could do well here. Williams his team has won his
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: last four outings. He's allowed two or fewer ear runs
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: in all four. He's got at least five innings in
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: all four this month as a one point five ERA
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: in three starts, eighteen to eight strike a walk ratio.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: It's too many walks, but he hasn't allowed much else.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: And yes, he faced Detroit last time out. He also
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: did well. He went five innings, nine strikeouts, two walks,
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: three hits allowed. This might have been this was this
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: a school ball game? I think it might have been. No,
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: it was against Flaherty my mistake because I think Cleveland.
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Excuse Detroit actually lost the schoolbul game too because they
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: got swept by Cleveland. But again, overall, I do think
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: this is probably a game where you do want to
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: look towards Detroit. Although Williams he is actually good against
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Detroit too. Surprisingly, in seventy seven at bests thirty to
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: seven strike a walk ratio has held him to a
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: very low one forty three average four point thirty five ops.
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: Williams does well against them. To Detroit, they're down a
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: little bit on the money line for minus one fifty
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: eight to minus one fifty five, fifty eight percent of
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty five percent of the cash on them, so
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: the cash is coming in a Detroit. I do lean
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: to Detroit. It's a bit higher of a price than
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: I'd want to pay. You're always paying a bit of
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: a tax for school I don't really want to lay
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: a money line of this price, especially on the road,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: even though I like the spot. School Ball obviously is good.
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: You could maybe look to a run line with Detroit,
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: but that's pushing it a little bit. So I think
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: the best way to look at this is the under.
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: But the problem is I was gonna give this out
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: as an under. Both bullpens arrested teams didn't play yesterday.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Both starters look good. They really could hold up in
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: this out in their in their respective outings. Here. The
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: problem is this total open at seven heavily juice to
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: the under and immediately went down to six and a half.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: And you know me, I always want to get the
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: seven on the under man at least seven, because that's
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: the key number in baseball is seven, because that's what
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: breaks the three to three high. I just can't go
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: under six and a half. I never do it. I
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: still think that's probably the way to look in this game.
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: If you want to go first five innings, you could
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: do that. You're probably gonna be looking at going under
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: three though, in the first five innings, which is a
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: very low number as well. But the money is coming
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: in on the under fifty eight percent of tickets on
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: the over seventy two percent of cash on the under.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: I think it's the right way to look. I just
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: I don't love not getting that key number. Man. Oh
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: it was a TYPEO Okay, I knew that. Oh thank you, sir.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: You love me. Even though dude, people hate me on
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: Twitter man, because like I have this persona on Twitter.
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, this guy's you know, horrible, he's a
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: bigot whatever, all this stuff, you know, because of my
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: political cultural leanings. Butever, like dude, I don't know, I'm
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: just like I'm a shit poster. I'm a goofball. I
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: don't know, like, listen to my show Meet Me in
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: real life. Whatever. You're here for football? Hell yeah, Well,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: unfortunately for you, there is no football today though, so
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: that'll come later in the week. Thursday, we have college
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: football starting in NFL starting again NFL. We actually get
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: a decent thirdday night game, and we have a terrible
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: Monday night game coming up this week. So isn't that awesome?
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Thursday night's Arizona Seattle, I think at Arizona, and then
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: Monday night is Jets Dolphins. Man the battle for bottom
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: place in the in the AFC East Pittsburgh Cincinnati. I'm
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: gonna skip right now because that's gonna be my one
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: baseball play I'm going to give out, and I hope
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: it's a winner. Man, Miami at Philadelphia. On the surface,
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, Philadelphia is obviously the better team here,
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: but Philadelphia has a twelve game leader in their division
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: and I don't think they're gonna catch Milwaukee. Philadelphia is
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: basically locked into the two seed at this point, like
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: if you look at the standings, so I don't know
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: how much they really have to play for here. I
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: mean they could potentially catch Milwaukee, but they are I think, yeah,
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: they're three games back in Milwaukee, I think right now,
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: is that right? Two and a half, So I guess
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: it is possible they catch Milwaukee. They are needing to
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: stay ahead of the Dodgers. I guess with their four
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: games ahead the Dodgers, and they're way ahead in the
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: NL East. So Philadelphia actually doesn't have that much motivation.
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: They're somewhat locked into their playoff seating at this point.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: Miami might show up, man, because Miami's playing with some
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: purpose right now. They just won every game on this
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: road trip so far, sweep in Colorado and Texas, and
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: Texas was a team that had something to play for.
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: Texas was trying to grab one of the wildcard spots,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: maybe even potentially win the division, and Miami basically like
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: like put the nail in their coffin. I mean, it's
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: insane Miami, and this is a divisional matchup against a
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: team that is atop the division. So even though Miami
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: doesn't really have anything to play for, I think they
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: will show up in this game. I mean, it's it'll
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: be a big series for them. Philadelphia may even arguably
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: have less motivation just because the spot that they're in,
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: they really don't have a whole lot to play for.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they're returning from the West Coast. They
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: went to the Dodgers and Arizona, so they're in one
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: of those dreaded return home spots here. They did lose
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: the serious to the d Backs coming off a big
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: series against the Dodgers. D Backs are playing with the
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: energy right now because they actually are in the wild
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: card race still. So yeah, I mean, they had more
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: motivation against Philly, and it showed Philly returning home from
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: a road trip might not totally focus on Miami. Man,
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: so they might be getting back to home life, they
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: don't really need to focus on this game necessarily. So
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: it is kind of a tricky spot for Philadelphia where
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: they might not have enough motivation Miami, I believe. Actually,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I was gonna say. They have
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: the better of the two bullpens, and I'm actually not
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: sure about that. Philly's bullpen is not very good though. Yeah,
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: it's actually really close. Miami's twenty first Philadelphia twenty second
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: in bullpen Y Ray Miami's only point oh one better
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: in era. So we have two pretty bad bullpens here.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia obviously has the better offense. Starting pitching is an
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: interesting matchup. I do think Philly does still have the
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: better starter here, but I kind of like both starters.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: Marlin's going with Edward ERA. Pretty good season for him,
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: three point five seven ERA, one point two to one whip.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: He isn't as good on the road though, four point
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: four to seven ERA. On the road. He's been really
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: a mixed bag this month. He has a really nice
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: forty four to nine strike a walk raight show, a
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: ton of strikeouts this month, a decent four point one
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: five ERA, that's all right. His team has won four
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: of his six starts this month, including the last two,
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: but he's had three good starts at three bad starts
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: this month basically, so it's kind of like which one
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: are you gonna get? We don't really know, because he
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: had his bad starts against Cleveland, Saint Louis, and the Mets,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: and out of those only the Mets are a good offense,
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: and his good starts are against the Yankees and then
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: Atlanta twice, and the Yankees are good offense. So what
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: are we gonna get out of him here? It's a mystery.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: He gave up one or fewer runs in those three
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: good starts. He gave up four or more on runs
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: in the three bad starts, which included his last time
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: out against the Mets. So they did allow three home
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: runs to kind of just screw it him, which he
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: had allow. He'd only allowed two on runs this month. Excuseually,
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: that was that was in August. Excuseually What am I saying?
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: So he hasn't actually pitched in September, so I think
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: he's actually been injured. So my mistake. This is all
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: in August, so he's having to work his way back,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what it's gonna be like. So
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: that means his schedule is thrown off too, maybe even
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that means he was injured and
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: he had like a rehab stint. I actually neglected to
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: look at that, So my apology is there. But I mean,
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: at this point, he's a veteran, so I think he
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: will be able to come back pretty easily. Here. I
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: think he will be focused. It is a big game
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: against Philadelphia. His numbers against Philadelphia are not bad. In
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: ninety one of bats twenty three to sixteen strike a walk,
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: ratio is bad though again way too many walks, which
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: usually is the problem with Cabrera is that he's too wild.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: He gets a lot of strikeouts, throws hard, but he
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: walks guys. He's wild to twenty batting average allowed, six
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: ninety nine ops. So his numbers are pretty good against Philadelphia,
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: but he's going up against Christopher Sanchez, who's having a
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: really good season. Really should probably be in this young conversation.
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: To be honest, Paul Skeens is probably gonna get it,
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: even though the old school guys are like, nah, he
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Skeans can't get it because his team doesn't win. It's like, yeah,
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: well that's not his fault. But Sanchez is one of
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: the better pitchers in the entire National League. Two point
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: six to sixty RA, one point one WHIP, really good
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: stuff this year. He's good at home two point two
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: to two ERA at home this month, two point seventy
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: RRA and seventeen to two strike a walk ratio in
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: three starts, all of them wins for Philadelphia four straight games.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia's one behind him. His numbers are also good against Miami.
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're not a particularly threatening offense. He's pretty
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: much dominated them in forty seven at bats eight to one,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio one to seventy average for twenty
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: two ops allowed. So I don't love the spot for Philly,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: but I'm not really jumping out of my seat to
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: try to fade Sanchez man because I expect him to
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: do well again here. Philly is a huge favorite. From
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: minus two to five to minus two twenty three probably
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: not just a nine take is ninety eight percent of
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: cash on them. They're really public, They're in not a
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: particularly good spot. I mean, I could see a little
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: bit of an argument for just trying to fade them
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: here on like the run line, just based on the spot,
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: like playing Miami, to just hang within the run line,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: because again both both bullpens, they are rested here. Both
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: bullpens are not that good. Philly does have the better offense,
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: but I like pitching over offense. The pitching can kind
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: of counter it. I think the way that I would
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: really lean in this game is probably a first five under,
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: though again taking the bullpens out of it, because I
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: don't like the bullpens. I do worry about Cabrera though,
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: with the fact that his last starting against the Mets
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: wasn't good. I think he got hurt and now he's
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: coming back, so he's a bit more questionable here. Sanchez,
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: I think will do well. Sixty four percent of the
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: tickets are on the over, fifty four percent of the
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: cash on the under, so the money is seemingly coming
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: in on the under. After the total did slightly tick
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: up from seven and a half to eight on the
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: full game, So first five innings you could probably find
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: like a four out there or something like that. That
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: is probably the way I would lean in that game.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: I think it could wind up being a pitching duel
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: to some extent early on in the game. Oh you
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: found me from Tower Gang. Oh hell yeah. Oh that's
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: good to hear. Like, I don't know, I don't know
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: where people come from. And I'm like, oh man, look,
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: if people don't know about Tower Gang, they don't know
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: who I am. Oh man, thanks for me and a
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: fan of Tower game matter. I wish the show still
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: existed xx BLG h x X. I don't know if
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: I remember that or not. I'm sorry. Sorry If I
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: don't remember that, I should remember that because that's kind
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: of a crazy user name. I apologize or not remembering
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: that though oh oh yeah, like my you know, loss
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: of job you mean and stuff. Well, thanks, man, thanks,
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Man. I appreciate any support that people give,
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: just people you know, watching the shows that I do
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: and whatever. I appreciate it. Yeah, thanks for hanging out. Man.
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: I do need like a comedy outlet though, Like that's
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: like missing in my life. I need that. I need
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: a job. Maybe I gotta get back to gambling semi
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: professionally again or something, because I've been not actually putting
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: my money on these bets that I've been giving on
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: on the show recently. This weekend was a hell of
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: a weekend to not actually be putting my money on it.
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: When I went ten and two on Saturday and Sunday combined,
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: Oh man, it was a really good weekend. White Sox
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: at the Yankees, which, of course, this already pisses me off.
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: The Yankees in the wildcard race with the Red Sox.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: Of course, the Yankees are gonna make the playoffs. It's
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: just a matter of are they actually gonna catch up
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: to Toronto or are they gonna wind up in one
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: of the wildcard spots. I think they're pretty likely to
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: be in the first wildcard spot. They might overtake Toronto still,
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: but of course I'm pissed because the Yankees get a
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: really weak opponent yere. I'm like, what the fuck the
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: Red Sox have to play at Toronto and the Yankees
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: get the fucking White Sox at home? I mean, what
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: the fuck is this shit? The one thing that is
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: okay about this, though, is that the Yankees are turning
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: on from a road trip that was a long one.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: They went to Boston, Minnesota, Baltimore, so they were away
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: from home for a while. So again, a team returning
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip might be a little bit distracted.
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: I know, you can't really afford to be distracted when
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: you're fighting for a playoff position, but they're almost at
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: least close to being guaranteed a wildcard spot at this one.
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: I know they'd like to win the division. I know.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: I said I thought they would overtake Toronto, and that
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: is still possible. But it is still kind of a
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: spot where maybe they won't fully focus. I mean, it
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: is the White Sox, So how do you really get
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: totally up for a game against the White Sox? I
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: mean it seems difficult to do. So neither of these
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: teams played yesterday, both bullpens arrested. The White Sox actually
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: have a slightly better bullpen than the Yankees, I'm pretty sure,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. Both these bullpens are not good, though,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: you see where the actually the White Socks, Yeah, they're
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: in the middle of the pack. Now they are better
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: than the Yankees. Yankees twenty third in bullpenny ra White
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: Sox sixteenth. We know the Yankees obviously have the way
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: better offense. That's not even close. The White Socks have
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: lost a lot of games recently. They've lost eight of
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: their last nine games, so they're not playing well. But
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: they are starting a road trip the Yankees, so if
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get up for a game, it could be
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: this one. And their starting pitcher might actually be a
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: guy who hates the Yankees because he's from Danvers, mass
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: My boy, Shane Smith probably is a Red Sox fan
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: at heart. He probably is gonna get up for this
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: against the Yankees. Man, he's had a decent season. He's
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: a rookie this year. Four point zero six ERA one
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: point two to two whip solid. Not as good on
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: the road though, four point five to ninety RA. He
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: started off the season pitching well. Then he had a
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: bit of a lull, wasn't good in the middle of
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: the season, maybe a little bit distracted getting named to
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: the All Star team. I think they moved him to
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: the miners or they like give him some rest or something,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: and he's come back and he's been pretty good again since,
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: like the beginning of August, had a two point six
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: to seventy RA in August. This month he's been a
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: little bit worse though, six e RM and yeah, more
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: than a little bit worse, but still is seventeen to
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: four strike a walk ratio, so his command numbers was
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: still on. So really his one bad start this month
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: was the last one against Baltimore, six earned runs and
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: four and a third. He got hit around a little bit,
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: but he still had a lot of strikeouts seven uh
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: and one walk, so his command was still on in
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: that game, So possible that we could consider that to
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of an outlier. The question with
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: Smith is like, is he gonna be wearing down because
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: it's his rookie season. He's up to one hundred and
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: thirty five and a third innings pitch, which is a
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: decent amount, so it is possible he's wearing down a
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: little bit. He's been good against the Yankees. I think
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: it was basically one start that he made against him,
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: but twenty four at bats he only had three hits
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: off him, though two of them are home runs from
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: Judge and Wells, seven strikeouts, three walks. He had him
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: in a one to twenty five average. It's still a
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: fairly low six thirty nine ops. So Smith does too
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: well against them. The one drawback besides the fact that
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: he didn't look good in his last start, is that
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: he mighted him better against the Yankees last time I
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: which was recent by the way. It was August thirtieth
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: at home against the Yankees. He pitched well when six
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: and a third gave up two earned runs, both on
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: those solo home runs, seven to two strike out w
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: a show only those three hits allowed. But part of
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: the reason why he did really well on that start,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: I think it was because the Yankees had never faced
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: him before. So I talk about this. When you have
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: a good rookie pitcher, that first outing the offense is
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: sometimes can't really figure him out right away, so they
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: don't do well against in the first couple times out.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: So the Yankees should probably do better against him this
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: time out because they did see him, and they saw
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: him recently, so that's a little bit of a disadvantage
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: now to Smith. But if he's good enough, he might
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: do well again. And that is a question like is
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: he good enough that that recent familiarity for the Yankees
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: doesn't matter. I don't know. He's going up against Louis Heel,
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: who I actually think he might not be as good
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: as Smith. I mean, he's got a pretty solid three
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: point three to three ERA. He started the season pretty
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: late because he was injured for most of the season.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: I think he was a rookie within the last couple
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: of years. But his problem has always been walks. He
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: comes in, he throws hard, he strikes guys up, but
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: he walks an enormous amount of guys and he basically
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: gets away with it because he's so unhittable. But I
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: don't like guys that walk that many guys. He's got
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: a one point five ERA, which that's not good. He
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: is good at home though, two point one to one
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: ERA this year this month two point seven ERA. You're like,
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: all right, yeah, that looks really good. His team won
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: all three of his starts, but his last starting against Minnesota,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: he didn't even make it five innings. He gave it
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: four and runs. They still got to win two to
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: two strike up walk raceio. But the really alarming thing
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: is that over those three starts this month, ten walks
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: and seven strikeouts, So his strike out rate is way
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: down for what you would normally expect from him. His
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: walk rate is way too high. So there's definitely something
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: wrong with him, man. I mean, these walks, these walk
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: numbers are crazy. He's had multiple walks in every start
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: going all the way back into early August. I mean, again,
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: you can't really do that and continue to succeed, So
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: that is an issue. Although I know the White Sox
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: offense isn't good, heel is not great against some in
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: thirty five at bats eleven to three strike at walk ratios,
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: all right, two fifty seven batting average a lot is
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: a two bad. But he has a lot of eighty
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: seven ops to them. They actually have two on runs
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: against him from Lee and Montgomery. So all that being said,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think if I gave out a lean
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: in this game, it would actually be a lean to
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: taking the White Sox on the run. Line, probably just
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings. I mean it is a
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: tough spot for the Yankees to come back from from
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: the road. I mean that distraction could kind of seep
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: in earlier in the game. I think were the White
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: Socks actually you know what, because I said the White
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: Sox have the better bullpend to which I think they
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: do full game run line, that would be. That would
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: be my lean in this game, White Sox, full game
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: run line. The money is actually agreeing with that. The
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: Yankees are down for minus two to fifty five to
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: minus two fifteen. Again, some of it is the price,
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: like you're always paying too much of a price for
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: the New York Yankees. Ninety six percent of tickets, only
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash on them, So the
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: cash percentage is siding a bit with the White Sox there.
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: I would, yeah, if I was gonna play the game,
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the White Sox, play the one
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: and a half runs or whatever, just to try to
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: keep the game close. Yes, sir Jordan, Yeah, I thought
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: I saw you recently in the chat here, man, Am
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: I wrong about that? Video games? I used to Scott
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: n dsco Fortnite. I don't do any of anything like
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: Fortnite or anything like that. Fortnite to me, it like
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: it just seems like it's another like Minecraft or something like.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: Isn't it like a game where there were all these
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: like kids in there and it's like an open world
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: game and probably like a bunch of pedals are all
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: in there. Is that what goes on at Fortnite? I
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: don't want to deal with that. I used to. I
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: did used to play a lot of video games. I
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: was really into the Blizzard games, like when I was
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: in high school college, huge into the original StarCraft with
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: the brood warks manch I was. I got really good
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: at StarCraft the original. I was never that good at
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: StarCraft too, but I like StarCraft the rts. I loved
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Diablo too, especially like huge fan of the of Diablo specifically.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: I like some of those RPGs. In college, I played
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: a lot of counter Strike, Counterstrike Source. I'm dating myself
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: now and uh, I think counter Strike it was actually
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: one point five early on in college and then Source
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: and I actually ran a counter Strike Source server for
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: myself in my roommates that we ran a server like
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: out of our dorm room and we had a bunch
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: of like local college kids that all came to our server.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: That was a lot of fun. So I played a
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: lot of counter Strike just because it's a first person
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: shooter with no storylines. Basically, you just like you just
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: keep playing it over and over again. I got pretty
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: good at that too, and then especially It's Source, and
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: then never got that good at Global Offensive though. I
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: guess I'm just I can't play in the new games anymore, man.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: And then you have sports games. I haven't played any
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: in a while, but which two K twenty six you played?
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: I used to. I used to play all the sports games, dude.
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: So I played like RTS first person shooters on PC.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: But I have a console. I still have a PS
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: five over here. I've always had PlayStations. I've had every
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: generation in a PlayStation, and I use the consoles for
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: rock band. Obviously, I do a lot of vocals with
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: rock band, uh charting I was, I was in the
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: leader boards man in a lot of the rock band
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: stuff for the vocals. And then yeah, the sports games
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: I play on console as well, all of them basically
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: like I was, I was definitely a guy that would
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: buy Madden every year, basically all of them. Madden Baseball,
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: which I think went over to like the show. I
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: think was the main the main line of games there
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: that I would play the MLB the show, Uh, because
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: EA stopped making this. M VP Baseball was really fun
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: on PC back in the day because I had it
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: like heavily moded to update it for each season so
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: you got all you had it moded for all the
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: new rosters and stuff. That was a fun time back
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: in like college. And then n B A two K,
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: A whatever. I used to play the E A version
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: of their their at NBA back in the day to
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: NBA Live or whatever, and then NHL whatever, the E
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: A version of the NHL as well. I don't know
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: if they still even make that. I haven't played a
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: hockey game in a while though, but I used to
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: basically have all of them. NBA two K, yeah, don't
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: have the new I haven't played NBA two K in
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: a while too. I don't even know what the I think.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: I probably haven't had it for like two or three
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: years now. I kind of just stopped playing games, so
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Man, going on a tangent here. It's
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be a long video this morning, but that's okay
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: because I think all the games are at night. Yeah,
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I mean I used to. I don't play
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: any of it as much though Madam was the one
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: that I played the most. And then but they keep
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: changing like every year. It was like, let's fix something
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: that isn't broken. Let's change the kicking interface every year,
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: let's change this change that. I'm like, no, like, the
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: game's already good, Like just leave it alone. Update the shit,
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: like maybe you know, get to make the graphics increasingly
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: good whatever, Like you don't have to change like part
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: of the gameplay interface that already works. Like I'm I
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: don't know. Man pisses me off. But I did play
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: the college football games as well, and then college basketball
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: was really fun, which I think college basketball. I think
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: they are coming back with a college basketball game. I
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: think with the NI. I haven't played any of it
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: since the NIL started because that would be crazy to
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: actually have the players' names actually in the game, because
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: back in the day you play like the college football game,
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: you wouldn't have any of the actual players' names. I
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: remember they had like the actual like rivalries and stuff
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: like that, but all the players are like fake names
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: and whatever. Yeah, that is my experience. Yeah, I mean
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: I played a bunch of more games than that too,
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: Like I used to play a decent amount of games
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: NCAA football. No mascot match, What was the mascot matchup
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: to the mascots fight that? That sounds fun? How could
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: they get rid of that? That sounds fun? It still
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: might be worth getting though with the nil stuff in there.
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: And they finally added our man, Noah Kanigga. He's They
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: didn't have him in the game at first, just because
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: of his name. I'm like, dude, that's his name, which,
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: by the way, you don't have to go back to
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago. I have his hat in
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: jersey and I was wearing those for my college football show,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: I think for week one or week two. All right,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: Boston at Toronto again. I'm complaining it because the Red
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: Sox have a pretty difficult series here against Toronto. Toronto's
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: a team with something to play for and a good team.
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: They're leading the Al East. Red Sox obviously trying to
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: maintain a wildcard spot. This is a huge series for
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: both teams. The Red Sox coming off that series against
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. They won the first two of that lost
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: the last one. Now they're traveling up to Toronto. Toronto
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: is returning over from a road trip, so at least
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: there is that. I guess they went down to Tampa
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: and then they went to Kansas City. Didn't really play
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: well in Kansas City. Now they're coming home. As I say,
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: it tends to be a distracted spot. Generally when you
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: return home from a road trip, you got to get
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: back to family life, especially flying all the way back
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: up to Toronto. But they're not going to be distracted.
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: And a series against the Red Sox, I mean, yeah,
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: it might be a little bit of a factor, but
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: I think they'll overcome that in a series against the
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: Red Sox, so I would fade Toronto just based on that.
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: In fact, I don't think Toronto is even gonna lose
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: this game. The Red Sox have the better bullpen, Toronto
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: has the better offense. Both these teams have good offense.
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: So the Red Sox offense has been noticeably worse without
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: Roman Anthony, which is really bad. Red Sox. Dude, they
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: have so many injuries. Man, all these young guys, they
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: are all gone. Roman Anthony Cosas is never healthy. Meyer.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: The two guys they brought up this year, Meyer and
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: Anthony both done for the season. They did just get
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: williaer Abreu backs. At least there is that. But yeah,
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: I mean Red Sox offense is still fine, but it
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: was way better with Anthony. He was kicking ass. Toronto's
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: a really good offense. They're also really good at home,
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: so they do have an offensive edge. Red Sox do
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen here. Both bullpen's arrested because the
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: teams didn't play yesterday. Lucas Gilido pitching for the Red Sox.
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: He's not as good as his numbers look, man. Unfortunately,
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: I keep telling people, don't like, keep your hopes up
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: for this guy. Not that good. A three point four
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: to six era that does look good, one point two
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: eight whip is respectable at least, but I'm telling you, uh,
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: at some point he's gonna unravel, like his advanced analytics
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: tell you that. And even if you just look at
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: the amount of walks versus the amount of strike cuts,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: you can tell he's not that good. He is better
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: on the road this year three point twenty five era,
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: maybe that'll hold him a little bit here. But this month,
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, look at this four point two era he
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: faced good offenses Arizona Yankees, as this is gonna be
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: another good offense he has to face. But he really
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: wasn't that good. He had a thirteen to nine strike
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio this month. I mean that is a
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: horrible strike up walk ratio. So, like I said, I
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: really don't think you could trust him. Man, he's just
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: putting way too many guys on base via the walk,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: three or more walks and three of his last four starts.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: That's not gonna get the job done. Going up against Toronto.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: He does have okay numbers against Toronto and one hundred
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: and twenty seven at bats, twenty seven to eight strike
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: up walk ratio, any batting average allowed, six point eighty
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: four oh ps. So he has held him down. Uh,
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: he's actually been pretty well against some of their best hitters.
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: The one guy that's really done Damages Kirk, who's six
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: for seventeen with not Charlie Kirk Alejandro Kirk six for
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: seventeen with four home runs off him. So maybe if
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: Giulido's able to pitch around him, he can do well here.
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: But he's going up against Kevin Gussman, who's been pretty good.
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: There's a Gossman I heard some guys saying it's Gossman.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know Gaussman. That just sounds better to me.
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: It sounds like a gun. I don't know he's gonna
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: it sounds German. He's got a three point three eighty
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: R one point zero one WEB good season for him.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: He's only slightly worse at home three point four to
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: four e RA. He's been really good recently. He's all
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: one or fewer in runs in his last four starts
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: this month. He's got six or more innings and three
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: starts against decent offenses in all three at least Yankees,
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: Houston and Tampa Bay twenty to four strike a walk
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: ratio of that span zero point seven to eighty R,
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: including a comple games shut out of Houston. Yeah, he's
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: in really good form right now. So we have things
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: stacking up against the Red Sox here. He's also good
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: against the Red Sox and one hundred and forty four
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: at bats forty eight to eleven strikeout walk ratio, two
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: point fifteen batting average allowed at six eleven OPS. I mean, unfortunately,
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: I gotta lean to Toronto in this game, at least
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings because the Red Sox do
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen. Toronto is returning over from a
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: road trip, so you gotta keep that in mind. But
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: I do think Goussman over Giolito. I think that's a
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: fairly substantial edge for Toronto, so that I would lean
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: to Toronto first five innings and hopefully the Red Sox
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: can somehow escape with their bullpen out pitching Toronto's. I'm
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: not gonna hold my breath though, because Toronto's bullpen is
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: still at least getting a little bit better again after
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: that rough patcher kind of mediocre. Red Sox have like
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: the second best bullpen ara in all baseball, so they
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: do have the edge or third. Now my apologies are
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: behind the Giants again barely, but the Red Sox. I
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: always get really worried when the Red Sox bullpen comes out,
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: and I don't know why, like it just seems like
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: they're not that good because that's been the case over
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: so many years here. But yeah, I would lean to
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: Toronto first five. The money is coming in on Toronto.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: They run for minus one thirty three to minus one
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: fifty four sixty tickets, ninety one percent of the cash
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: on them. I would say lay the half run in
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: the first five innings is probably the right way to
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: the right way to look in that one. Uh NCAA,
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: every character is ninety nine overall. Oh, this is what
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: the the mascot matchup was. Oh, I get it, I
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: get it. Yeah. So it's like you're just playing football again.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: But every team, every player is ninety nine overall and yeah,
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: and they're all dressed up as the mascot. Yeah, I
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: get you. Stanford a bunch of trees, Yeah, Sanford. I
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what the significance is of that. It probably
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: has something to do with like the redwoods in the area.
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: I assume the Stanford Cardinal. I don't know if car
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Cardinal red has something to do with red woods or
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: is it a sequoia. I don't even I don't know
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: what the fucking difference is. Man, These huge trees that
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: are out there in northern California, and I'm sure it
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: has something to do with that kind of a stupid
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: mascot though, to be honest, a fucking tree. You could
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: just chop that thing down in a battle of mascos. Jeffrey,
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. When is a
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: sod pitching again, Hobby or a sod. I don't know.
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: He should get at least one more start, I think
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: before the end of the season if he's still in
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: the rotation. Oh you knew it wasn't Charlie. Oh how'd
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: you know that? I don't know, man, Maybe everything's a
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: sigh off. Washington and Atlanta and these two teams actually
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: played yesterday. Atlanta won again, eleven to five. Chrissale pitched.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know how well he did in the game,
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: but they did win again in a very high score
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: and eleven to five matchup. Atlanta, they've won a ton
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: of games in a row. I don't know how many
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: of this is ten, eleven games or nine. It says
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: it right here. Nine. I can't count either. Chrissale apparently
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: never had a win against Washington before, and he got
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: the win yesterday. Congratulations. I guess I don't know how
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: he didn't have a win against Washington because they suck.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: But I guess Sale has been in the American League
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: for a lot of his career, so that's probably why.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: I guess you would think that being in the division
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: for over a year, it would have happened at some point.
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: But whatever, we're talking about this game now, Washington Atlanta.
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: Washington is the worst bullpen. Their bullpen is not good.
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: They used a lot of the relief men yesterday too,
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: Atlanta only used two. So Atlanta definitely has a bullpen
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: edge here, somewhat significantly. Atlanta has the better offense too,
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: I believe, although that's less of a significant edge there.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: Where are they offensive? They're actually, yeah, they're not bad.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: Thirteenth and overall ops Washington twenty fifth, so fairly substantial
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: there too. I think Atlanta has the edge in every
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: aspect of this game. Actually, Brad Lord is pitching for Washington.
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, I keep getting caught though, trying to fade
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: him like he always beats me, even though he's not
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: even good. He's an abusive spouse. Four point one ad
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: ra for him, one point three whip that's nothing special. Obviously,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: he's actually better on the road three point two pey
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: r in the road. He was the guy who was
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: in the bullpen for a lot of the early part
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: of the season. They moved him into the starting rotation.
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: He's had stretches where he wasn't good at all. This
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: month he's been a fairly good again. Three point one
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: eighty RA fifteen to five strike at walker ratio pretty solid.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: He did just face Atlanta in his last start and
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: held him to tour in runs at five and a
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: third innings. Maybe he won't do as well this time though,
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: and his team still lost the game because their bullpen
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: is terrible. So I don't know, man, I don't know
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: if Lord will be able to hold up in this one.
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: His numbers are mediocre against Atlanta. They get a lot
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: of contact against him, but not a lot of power.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: Thirty seven at bats, eleven to two strike out walk
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: ratio is good. Two ninety seven batting average six fifty
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: eight OPS. So the batting average is really high for
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: Atlanta against Lord, but he's held to a low OPS.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: But you gotta say that Hurston Wall drew up the
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: rookie for Atlanta. You got to say he's the better
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: of these two pitchers. He's been pretty impressive. Three point
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: zero four ERA, one point one to five whip. He
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: isn't as good at home though, so little bit of
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: a worry there. Four point three seven ERA at home.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: He had one really bad start at home that was
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: really his only bad start was two starts to go
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: against Houston. He got lit up for eight roned runs
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: and four to two thirds innings, And besides that, he
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: hasn't allowed more than three earn runs in any start,
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: but he hadn't allowed any more than one coming into
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: this month, and he's allowed two or more in all
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: three starts this month. So maybe a little bit of
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: cost for concern as a seventeen to seven strike out
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: walk right year this month and seven point nine to
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: eighty ra too many walks got bombed by. Houston did
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: face Washington last time out, but he did fairly well.
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: Five innings, three on runs, allowed eight strikeouts, no walk,
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: so he did bounce back in that start. Now, one
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: problem is Washington did just see him. So when you
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: have a rookie like this, as I was saying with
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: Shane Smith, they get their first start against an opposing
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: offense that offense hasn't seen him before, the pitcher can
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: have a bit of an advantage. But then if they
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: face them again right away, the offense just saw him,
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: so they know what to expect, So the offense could
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: do a little bit better the next time out. But
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: then you still have to ask the question, is Waldrope
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: good enough that he can just overcome that and pitch
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: well again in this game. Maybe because generally he has
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: been quite good. I know a lot of it is
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: because these offenses that he's facing. I haven't seen him
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: before though, twenty five at bats against Washington eight to
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: one stringle walk race show basically was all that game
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: that I just showed you two forty batting average, allowed
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: six nine ops, so he has done well. I would
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: go with Atlanta in this game. I mean baseball streaking.
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: Both of these teams are playing out the stretch, but
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: Atlanta is still better than the record looks. At least.
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: I know Washington will probably try to show up as
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: well because it is a divisional matchup against an opponent
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: that is usually one of the better teams in the division.
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: But I think Atlanta has the matchup edge in every
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: part of this game. You're paying a price for it.
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: They're down for minus one eighty six to minus one
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: eighty four, still really high. I would lean to Atlanta
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: on the right line of this game, though. I think
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: that's basically the way that I would play it. I'm yeah,
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't really see another way to play this.
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: Maybe Atlanta over their team total because I guess Waldrop
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit of a concern. I guess
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: I could see going over Atlanta's team total in this
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: game too. The overall totals at nine, so you're gonna
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: needna score a lot of runs. But against Lord plus
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: Washington's bullpen, they might be able to do that. Ninety
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets ninety six percent of cash on
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: the over. I don't think these percentages are accurate yet.
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: Total flip from nine juice to the over to nine
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: juice to the under, I don't know. Ninety six percent
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: tickets one hundred percent of the cash on Atlanta, I
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: don't think that's accurate, but I would lean yeah to
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: Atlanta basically in some capacity in that game. Nate, what's
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: up man, Thanks for hanging out. Yeah to Tootas Mussolini,
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: that is actually my name. I don't know how you
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: found that out. Mets at Cubs, This on the service
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: looks like a big series for both teams, but it
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: matters way more to the Mets. The Mets are in
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: the thick of it for the Wildcard. They have been
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: imploding recently, and they gave up their entire Wildcard lead
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: to the point where I think They're now tied in
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: the wildcard, the last wildcard spot with the Reds, so
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: this is a huge game for the Cubs. I've been
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: talking about this firm like almost a week now. I
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: went against the Cubs twice in that Red Series, and
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: I told you the Cubs they just don't really have
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: that much motivation at this point because they're already basically
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: locked into the four seed. They can't catch up to Milwaukee.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: It's fairly unlikely that San Diego is gonna be able
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: to overtake them. So the Cubs locked into that wildcard
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: spot for the most where they actually don't have a
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: whole lot to play for. They were turning over from
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: a road trip, although they only went to Pittsburgh and
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: the Reds, so not a long road trip. They swept
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh clinched the division, and then they haven't won since then,
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: which is why I went against them in Game one
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: against Cincinnati, and then I went against them again in
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: Game four against Cincinnati, mostly because of the motivation, and
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: they were both one nothing wins for Cincinnati. How about that?
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: We like escaping with one nothing wins, man, But the
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: Cubs are turning over from a road trip and you know,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: I talk about that again, returning over a road trip,
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: even though it was a bit of a shorter one,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: they've been away for a while. They got home stuffed
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: to get back to them. Maybe they won't be totally
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: focused even though it is the Mets. Cubs again just
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: don't have as much motivation as the Mets do. Mets
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: are starting a road trip after an ugly series against Washington.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: They just lost two more games. I mean, the Mets
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: should be like motivated heavily year and they've still been
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: playing really bad. So I don't know what the deals
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: with the Mets. They're definitely better than their record looks.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: Starting a road trip off a couple ugly losses to
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: a bad team like Washington, you gotta think this is
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: a focused spot for the Mets here. Man. As far
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: as the bullpens are concerned, neither of these teams way yesterdays,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: the bullpen's arrested. The Cubs have the better of the
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: two bullpens. They're twelfth in bullpenny are and Met's not
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: that much worse though at fourteenth, So it's a bit
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: of a wash with the bullpens. The Mets have the
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: better offense. They're sixth in ops, the Cubs have dropped
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: to ninth. The Cubs offense hasn't been as good recently,
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: so the Mets have a slow light edge there. They
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: do have the motivational edge, but I'm looking at the
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: starting pitching and I just I don't see it for
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: the Mets. I know the motivation is there for the Mets,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: I just can't do it with this starting pitching matchup.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: And that's David Peterson for the Mets. Decent ERA three
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: point nine eight. But I always talk about how his
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: whip is too high. Now he's gonna regress at some point.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: He's got to, even though he keeps getting away with
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: putting guys on base because he is an extreme ground
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: ball pitcher and he's one of the guys that throws
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: off all the advanced analytics guys because they're like, there's
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: no way this guy could keep pitching this well because
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: his advanced analytics are not good. He's got a one
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: point three four ERA, or excuse he whip E would
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: be good. The whip not that good. He's actually better
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: on the road though, three point seven to six ERA
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: on the road this month. He hasn't been good in
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: three starts seven point six three ERA, thirteen to five
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio. He was awful in his last
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: start in August two, so he is regressing a bit.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: As we can see right now, He's not doing well
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: this uh past month plus, getting bombed by Miami in
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: his last starting in August for eight aroned runs in
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: two innings. Not good. Thirteen to five strike a walk
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: ratio this month again, that's not good. Peterson up against
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. They hit him pretty well in thirty seven
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: at bats, thirteen to eleven strike a walk ratio is
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: terrible and the walks are spread out across the entire
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: lineup two seventy batting average allowed, eight forty three oh ps.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: So I don't really trust Peterson here, man, I do not.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Cad Horton, who is like the
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: big surprise of the season for the Cubs that this
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: might be his rookie season. He's been really good. Two
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: point six six ERA, one point one whip Cad Horton.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: He is as good as Scott Horton is at foreign policy.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: Cad Horton is at starting pitching. Horton is a one
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: point five to five RA at home he's really good
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: at home. He's allowed two or fewer earned runs at
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: every Star going all the way back into early July,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: and he's allowed more than one only once and that
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: was at cours Field, So he's pretty much done dominating.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: It's crazy this month, one point two starts, fourteen to
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: two strike out walk ratio. I mean, it's just obvious
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: that he's better than Peterson Man. One question is he
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: wearing down a little bit? Maybe not. I mean it's
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: his rookie season. He's one hundred and fifteen innings pitch.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: That's not too bad yet, so I expect him to
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: continue pitching well. I mean, he's showing really no signs
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: of that not being the case right now. I know
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: he's going up against a good line up the Mets.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: He's been okay against them, very small sample size fifteen
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: at bass so they have seen him before. So again
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: I talk about that like he had an advantage of
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: the first time against the Mets because they hadn't seen him,
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: but now they have, so they might have a little
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: bit of an extra edge against him this time. He
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: doesn't four strikeouts, no walks against him. The only extra
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: base hit he allowed to them as a home run
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: from Baddie. If that's body, how do you pronounce it? Baddie.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: That's a great name for a hitter, by the way,
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: to sixty seven batting average allowed seven to thirty three
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: ops allowed from Horton to the Mets, which isn't terrible, man.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, based on the matchup, I would want to
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: actually come in on the Cubs in this one based
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: on that, but I don't think we could do it
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: because the Mets just have way too much motivation against
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: what the Cubs have. So I think we got to
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: just stay away. And the Cubs still in the return
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: home spot too. The money's coming in against the Cubs.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: They're down for minus one twelve to minus one oh five,
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of tickets, only sixty four percent of
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, so money coming in against the
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: money's coming in in the under as well. It's a
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: low total down from seven and a half to seven
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: and a half juice to the under, seventy five percent
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the over, sixty four percent of cash
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: on the under. I mean, I could see some arguments
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: to the under. I mean, on the surface, you got
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: two good starting pitchers and the Bullpens are all right,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: but I still think Peterson's a bit of a risk man,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: so I just that worries me about that whole thing.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: So even though the market read is saying that he
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: should do actually pretty well here Minnesota at Texas, these
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: teams are out of at Texas. I don't think they're
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: mathematically eliminated, but they're we know they're done, I mean
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: seven games in a row. They might be pissed about that,
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: and maybe they want to show up. They're staying at
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: home after getting swept. Maybe they'll have some motivation just
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: because they don't want to continue being embarrassed. Texas doesn't
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: score a lot, though their offense is terrible. I think
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: it's so bad that Minnesota's is better than theirs is.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: Texas is, yeah right here, fifth worst in OPS. Minnesota
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: is actually in the middle of the pack at seventeenth.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: Minnesota did win to break a lost streak. They lost
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: five games in a row, unfortunately three in a row
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: to Cleveland, including two shutouts. But I think they got
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: embarrassed enough that they were like fuck that, and they
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: finally won a game to end that series. So they're
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip having broken they're losing momentum, so
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: that actually is a positive spot for Minnesota. They might
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: actually show up focus for this one, just because they
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: broke the last streak. They're playing a team that still
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: might you know. I mean it's still is I think
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: technically not eliminated yet. So maybe a little bit of
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: motivation on the Minnesota side. Here. Texas has the way
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: better bullpend. Minnesota's bullpen's bad. Both bullpen's rested. Uh ZEBI
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Matthews pitching from Minnesota. As far as like the ceiling
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: that these two starting pitchers have, I think Matthews is
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: way higher than Corvin. He is the much younger of
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: the two pitchers. He just hasn't gotten right, man. I mean,
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: he struggled in the majors and maybe they rushed him
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit. He's been dealing with injuries. I think
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: he's better than his numbers. Look, but I keep saying
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: that it doesn't really pan out, but maybe it will
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: at some point because he's shown good strikeout stuff this year.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: Five point nine to seventy RA, one point five to
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: eight whip obviously that's not good. Six point two to
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: three road e RA obviously again not good. But he's
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: facing a weak offense here and a pitcher friendly ballpark,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: so maybe he will do better in this one. Texas
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: only as two hitters I've ever seen him before. They
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: only have one hit, a double from Higashioka, and between
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: him and tay As they're just one for five, often
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: with a strikeouts. So it is pretty possible that Matthews
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: does well here. I mean, Texas week offense, they basically
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: haven't seen Matthews before. Maybe he will show up in
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: this game and do well. He is essentially pitching on
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: normal rest here, but he's been bad this month nine
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: point eight eighty RA twelve six strike a walker race year.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: Definitely got to worry about that. He got pounded by
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: the Yankees last time out, and then the Yankees almost
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: blew other huge lead. That was the game when the
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: almost blew a ten to one lead. I'm pretty sure.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: So Matthews, I mean, you got you gotta worry about
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: the fact that he's not in good form either, so
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: that is worries. So he's going up against Patrick Corbin,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: who's starting to regress as I said he would. I mean,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: he's been really awful over the last few years. I
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: don't think he's very good. He had a good start
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: to the season with Texas, but not recently. Four point
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: three three ERA one point three to five whip on
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: the season, so that was numbers on the season aren't
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: that good. He is better in this stadium though, at
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: home three point two eighty RA this month not terrific.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: Four point three two ERA, fifteen to four strike a
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: walker ratio is not too bad though, So he hasn't
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: been horrific, but he's been pretty mediocre. He was pitching
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: really poorly in the previous month, so I don't know
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: if I would say, oh, all of a sudden, he's
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: back and forth and it doesn't really seem like it.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: His last allan, you only went one inning against Miami
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: and allowed twour on runs, had no strikeouts. That's not
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: really a good sign. Allowed three hits going up against Minnesota.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: Minnesota very small sample size sixteen at Bass Minnesota's hit
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: him pretty well. It's only four hitters who have faced
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: him before, but they do have a three to twelve average,
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: one thousand and forty eight oh ps off of four
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: to one strike a walk ratio. Two home runs from Buxton. Yeah,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: I mean it's tough. I mean I think I would
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: slightly lean to Minnesota in the first five here and
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: just kind of roll with Matt. He was just having
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: the higher potential but high potential. Also an ABC crime
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: drama with Caitlin Olson from d from Sunny in Philadelphia
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: that's on to new episode tonight ABC. Oh yeah, I
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: actually watched the show. I mean, I don't know. I
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: got into it and I have to see what happens
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: with like the main plot lines. I don't know. I
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: sort of watch it just because I like Caitlin Olsen
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: and she plays this like autistic chick that starts like
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: helping solve crimes. I don't think they'd play it up enough.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: Like the dynamic though, she's supposed to be really annoying,
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: Like she's supposed to be annoying the main cop do there,
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: and they're supposed to have that dynamic where it's like
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: neutral respect, but he's constantly annoyed by her. They could
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: do better with that dynamic because it's like a typical
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: like buddy cop dynamic type of thing. But they could
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: do better with it. Eighty five percent of tickets, nine
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on Texas here, they're down
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirty to one thirty three to minus
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: one thirty here, Uh they are public. Texas is still public.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: I mean the public just doesn't want anything to do
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: with Minnesota. But I think, I mean, at least if
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: you look at like the momentum of both team both
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: teams have, I think Minnesota might be worth a look there.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: But I would do it first five because I hate
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: their bullpend don't want to deal with it at all.
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's the way I lean in that game. Pete,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Which town is the same as cal Raleigh?
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: Not you're from the same town? What town is it? Not?
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: Not Ralling, North Carolina? That would be insane if that's
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: where he's from. If his name is the same Kansas
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: City at Anaheim. Kansas City is technically not eliminated yet,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: but they're probably starting to feel like it. But I
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: don't hate Kansas City. In this matchup, Anems are turning
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: home from a long road trip. We know the Anaheims
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: based on their run. Differentially, they're actually the worst team
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: in the American League. It's just that they hit a
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: lot of home runs, so that kind of keeps them
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: like it keeps their record a little bit better. But
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: they're returning home from a road trip and they went
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: to Seattle, Milwaukee, Colorado. Returning home from that as a
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: team with nothing to play for seems like a bad
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: spot to me, Man, I mean they're gonna return home
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: from that, it's gonna be a distracted spot. They want
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: to get back, they want to get back to family life.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: I think it's bad Kansas City. They probably kind of
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: know that they're out of it, but they're still trying.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just beat Toronto. You could argue maybe
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a letdown spot here off
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: the Toronto series. So they did just lose to Toronto.
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: They're starting a road trip. Usually that is a focused
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: spot when you start a road trip. They had a
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: day off to do it. Both teams have days off,
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: and I think the day off actually hurts the when
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: it's a bad team returning home from a road trip.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: I've seen the stats on this. I forget exactly what
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: they are, but the the day off actually really it
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: hurts them even more. And when they're an underdog, they
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: actually do really poorly. So that's the spot that Anaheim
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: is in. So it looks like a fade of Anaheim
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: here Man. Kansas City sitting right at five hundred, which
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: is a little bit an extra motivator as well, just
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: because you want to be above five hundred to end
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: the season. Kansas City has the better pitching all around here.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: I would say they have the better bullpen. Anaheim does
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: have the better offense. Kansas City's offense stinks, but I
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: would trust Kansas City more. Cole Reagan's is pitching for them,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: and I think he's been a little bit forgotten about. Man.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: He was their ace. He was supposed to be their
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: ace coming into this season. He got hurt, and looking
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: at his numbers, they're not good five point one to
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: sixty RA this season, but it's in a small sample size.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: He just never really got going the season because he
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: got hurt. One point two six whip isn't quite as bad.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: He isn't as good on the road right now, five
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: point four ninety ram And I know his home stadium
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: is pitcher friendly. He was out for three months, Man,
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: since July, and he came back and I actually I
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: was on Kansas City in this game against Seattle and
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: they got the win. He kept us in the game.
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: He didn't pitch that long into the game, and then
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: the bullpens helped us out there in that when the
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: bullpen for the Royals pretty solid bullpen, Reagan's only went
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: three and two thirds. He gave up two eur in runs.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: Seattle is a good offense though, four strikeouts, two walks,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: so decent. Started. Reagan's pitched well. I think in like
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: three rehabs starts in Triple A he was good. So
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: he had a ton of strikeouts. He had like two
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: strikeouts an inning down there, so I think he is
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: ready to be back. Man. I think he's gonna keep
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: getting better again. So I do like him in this matchup,
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: even though he didn't look that great the last match
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: up against Anaheim. Forty six at bats thirteen to four,
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio to seventeen batting average, allowed six
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: ninety three ops. So he's been pretty good against Anaheim.
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: He's going up against sam Al Dejeri. Is that how
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: you pronounce it? Mister Italian? Here, I'm Italian, so I
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: should know I'll do Jeddy. He's pitching. He's in his
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: second season in the majors. He only made three starts
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: last year and he's made two relief appearances this year.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: None of it has been good. Last year he had
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: a four point eight five VRA one point nine to
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: two whip was really bad. Small sample size though, so
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: maybe eventually he'll be good. But this year, small sample
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: size ten point three eighty RA two point five for
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: a whip. He's made two starts, one in June and
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: one in July against the Red Sox and then against Texas.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: I mean that's a red flag. He didn't allow anyone
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: runs against the Red Sox. That was a relief appearance,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: and then he came in to relief against Texas and
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: allowed five earn runs in two winnings, four walks against
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: a weak lineup like that. That's not a good sign.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: Kansas City's never seen him before, so sometimes with these
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: young pitchers, they have a little bit of an edge
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: when you know when the offense hasn't seen them before.
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: But he hasn't really shown any signs of being able
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: to fool major league hitters yet. I haven't looked at
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: what he's done in the miners, because I assume he's
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: been in the minors. But Kansas City is the right
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: side in this game. They from miners one thirty two
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: to minus one fifty seven, ninety two percent of tickets
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash coming into them. You
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: gotta lay a price with it, though, So the question
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: is you really want to lay like a run line
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: with the Kansas City team that can't really score. They're
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: really public. But it looks like the public and the
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: professionals are all on the same side in this one.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: It doesn't mean the books are probably gonna need Anaheim
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: to win to make money on this game. I still
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: think Kansas City is the right side, though it's close
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: to a play for me, and the play that I
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: am on I think is going to be a very
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: public side as well, So I am a little bit
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: worried about that. But I'm gonna stay off of this
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: one just because it's this Kansas City offense on the road.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: I just I mean, well, they actually hit better on
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: the road, though, I think because their home stadium is
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: very Pitcher unfriendly. But I still worry about this Kansas
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: City offense in general. But that is the way that
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: I would lean. I mean, I think huge starting pitching
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: edge in my opinion, and it's kind of under the radar,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: under the Reagan's radar. I'm tempted, actually, fuck, I'm actually tempted.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: To do this? Should I do it? I mean, it's
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: such a bad spot for Anaheim, that long road trip
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: return angle. You know what, I'm gonna do it. Fuck it,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: let's have some fun. I know a lot of times
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: I add this last play. This is my weakest, but
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: I add this last play, and sometimes I don't do
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: as well. Let me see what the what the line
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: is on this? Kansas City, Kansas City. I don't want
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: to lay the I don't want to lay the money
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: line on this at minus one sixties, so you can
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: get uh, it looks like you can get the run
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: line plus one oh five. So you're gonna get at
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: basically like playing a spread, but you're not even have
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: to lay eleven to ten to do it. Fuck it,
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: let's do it. We're gonna do but we're gonna add
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: at Kansas City. So you get one on the fly
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: from me. Kansas City minus one and a half at
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: plus one oh five. There it is. Let's do it, man. Uh.
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: Cole Reagan's well, hopefully he pitches more, uh, pitches deeper
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: into this game and helps us out here. I mean,
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: he is a solid pitcher man, so and people probably
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: don't remember the good doctor. Yeah, he's definitely an autist.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: I've seen some clips of that. I'm like, man, that
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: show looks looks weird in a yeah, high Potential doesn't
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: really go down that route. High potential. She's she's like
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: a single mother, and there's this backstory where she's looking
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: for the father of her older child who went missing inexplicably,
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: who I think is probably black or hispanic because her
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: older daughter is mixed race. I'm like, yeah, man. And
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: then her two younger kids, her actually her younger her
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: son is like a is a total autist in the show.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: They're like more than she is. He's this fat like nerd.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: And then the father of those kids is like this
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: fat dude. I hate his character. I think he's a
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: terrible actor. He's basically like a lame cock. I'm like, man, like,
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: what are we doing here? Man? But I like I
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: just like the main duo, like Caitlin Olsen's character, and
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: then the main like cop dude that's there, the black
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: dude or whatever he is. I've seen him in some
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: other shows too. He's pretty solid. Kolowe is Khloe. How
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: do you pronounce it? North Carolina? Right? Yeah, North Carolina.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: I've heard of that. I don't know how to pronounce
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: it though. So Raleigh is actually from North Carolina. I
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: like it. Not from Raleigh, though, Zebbi and Cal both
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: they're both from a town of three thousand people. All right, yeah,
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: they're both from Dude. Those are like kind of baseball
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: that's like baseball Mecca, though, isn't it like the Southeast
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: United States? Small towns, small town white boys. They're all pictures,
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: well they're mostly pictures. Cal is not a picture obviously,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: but you get a lot of pictures from that area.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure, man, this is a long video. Today.
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: Colorado at Seattle. Oh god, Houston is probably not happy
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: about this. I mean Seattle they're ahead in the division
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: right now. I think they're actually three games ahead. They
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: just swept Houston, man, which I said that needed to
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: happen as far as the wildcard potential here, we needed
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: one of the teams to drop down the wildcard race.
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: I would be crazy if Houston missed the playoffs after
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: leading the Al West this whole time. Even crazier though,
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: Detroit misses after they had a huge lead in their division.
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: But Seattle's ahead in their division, they could maybe this
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: spot might be a letdown spot, dude. I mean, it's
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: possible they take their foot off the gas just a
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: little bit here. Now that they just swept Houston. That
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: was a huge series for them, and they were returning
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: home to the Pacific Coast from Kansas City and Houston.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: They're playing some really strong baseball right now that they've
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: won ten games in a row and they've won fourteen
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: to the last fifteen. Oh and, by the way, the
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: one time I actually know I've faded Seattle twice, my mistake.
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: I've only faded them twice this entire time. One of
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: them was the game that they actually lost with Cole
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: Reagan's pitching for Kansas City. So I got that one right,
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: and then I missed on the Hunter Brown one here.
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: Brian wu by the way, got hurt in that game
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: for Houston. He left after five innings. He was good
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: in the game, got hurt. So Seattle's gonna need him
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: to be back. He is their best pitcher, but he
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: got hurt in the game. We still didn't win on Houston. Crazy,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: but Seattle's returning home from a road trip difficult spot
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: might not be totally focused facing Colorado, who's like a
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: historically bad team here with stuff to do back at home,
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: coming off a massive sweep against Houston. I know Seattle
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: does still have to maintain the division lead, but I
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: think they have a little bit of room to maybe
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: rest a little bit here. So I don't think it's
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: a good spot for Seattle. Do you really want to
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: put money on Colorado? I don't know, even though that's
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: probably the way I lean in this one. Seattle does
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: have a way better offense, although it's mitigated a bit
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: at home because this is a hitter friendly park. Seattle's
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: really good offensively on the road, not as much at home,
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: but they're pitching is way better at home. I mean,
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: it's that picture friendly of a ballpark. Colorado's coming in
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: having won two of the last three against Anaheim, starting
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: a road trip better spot for them. Starting a road
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: trip with focus might focus on a team like Seattle.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: Seattle has a way better bullpend though, so obviously somebody
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind here. It's pretty difficult to actually
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: want to fade Seattle here. But Seattle doesn't have a
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: very good starting pitcher this time, though neither does Colorado.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: Colorado has mckaid brown pitching. I believe he's a rookie,
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: or maybe he pitched last year's or now just this
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: year he's made five starts. Hasn't gone well for him.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: Maybe these Colorado pitchers, they just all get wrecked basically
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: when they come into the league. Nine point one seventy
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: r RA, two point zero nine whip. That's bad. He
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: hasn't made it five innings in any of his five outings,
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: Colorado has lost all five. There's nothing I really like
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: about this. He has more walks than strikeouts thirteen walks,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: eleven strikeouts, almost one walk per inning, getting close to that,
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: and more than one hit per inning. Yeah, I mean,
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: he's gotta have some There's gotta be something about him
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: where he's gonna He has some talent here men, but
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: it's just Colorado, just Rex pitchers. It's a very difficult
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: stadium to pitch in. Maybe he'll do a little bit
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: better in Seattle, though, because he must have some talent
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: of eas here. By the way, he's from normal Illinois,
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: not Effington. If you know the ben Folds, if you
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: know ben Folds catalog there, I love that song Effington.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: It's hill dude, ben Folds. I've seen him a bunch
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: of times live too, he's he's a lot of fun live. Really.
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: I like him a lot man, really talented pianist, songwriter,
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: can still sing, you know. I mean some of his
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: songs are hilarious, and that's probably the most hilarious. Effington
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: isn't even the name of the actual town. Like I
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: think he was driving by Effingham. Effingham Effingham sounds even
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: more ridiculous. Effingham, Illinois, normal is actually a place. But
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: he makes fun of Effington being the name of the town,
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: and just you know, obviously plays on plays into that pun, like, yeah,
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: they're all effing in their cars, effing in their yards whatever,
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: and he I mean, he's making fun of like small
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: town America in that song though, which I don't like
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: because small town of America rules. But yeah, he talks
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: about like the mindset of the people that want to
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: live there and live their entire life and die there
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: in a town called Effington. But it's a fun song.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: It's hilarious song. Man. I still laugh every time I
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: hear it. But that's what that made me think of.
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: Side to Side No there with mccaid brown. He's from Normal, Illinois.
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Bryce Miller here, who he's been
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: a good pitcher in the past, but he's trying to
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: come back from injury this year, and he's really had
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: a bad season for Seattle. Five point five EIGHTYRA, one
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: point four to one whip not good. He's actually worse
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: at home slightly five point sixty RA. I doubt that
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: that really continues throughout his career. He's been better at home,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: I mean basically every Seattle pitcher is, because it's a
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: way better pitching ballpark. He hasn't pitched that much this year.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: It's been rough. It's been rough guy, although he is
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: actually pitching a little bit better recently this month. Five
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: point zero sixty ray doesn't look very good, but he's
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: a lot four fewer runs in the three outings, just
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: not going too deep into the outings right now, and
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: he has an eighteen to four strike a walk ratio,
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: so his command it looks like it is coming back.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: So I kind of hesitate to fade Miller a little
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: bit here too, and Colorado may not be able to
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: hit him that well. The only three hitters have seen
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: him before seventeen at bats. The only extra base hit
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: is a double from Maniac, who also has six strikeouts
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: against him, and tenant bats. They have eight strikeouts, no
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: walks against him, one seventy six average four to twelve ops.
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: So it's a bad spot for Seattle. I think they
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: might not totally be focused. Miller does look like he's
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: fadable this year, but in this matchup, I just don't
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: know if we could do it. Man. Oh shit, Okay,
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know if this is accurate or not, but
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: it looks like on the board now both starting pitchers
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: in this game are actually undecided. So I just handicapped it,
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: and now we don't even know. Uh isn't that great? Well,
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: if those pictures are starting, he get some extra information there,
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: but we can't really handicap it. Otherwise, Seattle's Denver mint
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: is two eighty to minus two seventy five totals only eight.
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, it isn't Seattle. I mean, if you really
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: want to try to take the shot with Colorado, just
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: because it's the situational play, maybe go first five innings
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: plus half a run whatever it might be, plus even
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: maybe a run. Try to go with Colorado hanging in
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: there early in the game may be worth a look.
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: But me Ben Folds five. Ben Folds from North Carolina
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: I didn't realize that he was because I just know
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: him as like kind of this like I don't know,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: I'm New York musician. Like he has like kind of
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: almost a hipster nerd vibe to him, although I mean
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: I'm a nerd. I mean in my own writing, I
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: kind of draw from ben Folds a little bit, even
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: though I know you guys see me play ukulele. I
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: put out some of my original songs on ukulele as well.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: I've written some recently, Jordan, thanks for hanging out, man.
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: I have one more best bet, by the way, which
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: is Cincinnati Red's half run Line half Money Lone. I'll
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: give it to you right now, but you could come
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: back and watch the analysis later. Oh, he went to
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: unc interesting, ben Folds, you're going to NDS. Oh, you're
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: ditching me for NDSU Trader. Now, that's fine. I should
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: have gone. I shouldn't have gone this long on the video. Man,
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: I'm interacting with you guys. I like it. So thanks
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: for hanging out man. I have a good day as well. Pete. Oh,
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: yeah from Greensboro Winson incident Salem. Interesting. Yeah, I didn't
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: realize that at all, but yeah, in my old like songwriting. So,
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, I've put on a couple of my old
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: songs on ukulele too. I know you guys saw me
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: do that new album all that stuff I wrote. That
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: was the first stuff I actually wrote on yukulele. But
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: I have the old I put out like three of
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: my old songs. I translated them to ukulele. But my
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: old music is like nerd rock, and I lay down
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: all the tracks in Midi and whatever. I have one
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: song that is like heavily inspired by by Ben Folds.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm ever gonna release it. I
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: don't know if I could do it on yuki either,
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: I'd have to kind of remember the chord structure or whatever.
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: It's not a complex song, but the way that I
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: wrote it, like in Midia Whatever, has a lot of
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: piano and it so it's a pretty ben Folds ish song.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: It's called Rise Overrun. It's another bad nerd love song
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: that I wrote in college about a chick in college.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I think it's probably somewhere online.
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: I don't with my I don't know if I want
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: to give out the name of my old my one
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: man band and Docks myself, although I've already been pretty docks,
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what was I Oh, yeah, I'm
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: talking about this, Yeah, the Seattle game. Yeah. I mean,
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if there's anything else
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: to anything else to say about that. Songs about my
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: baddest beats. I wrote one rap song that was inspired
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: by the fact that I kept going to movie theaters
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: and everybody just assumed that I was a nerd and
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: a computer guy just based on my look. So one
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: this like when I went to see Drive. You remember
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: the Ryan Gosling movie, We're gonna have a lot of
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: toad lore here, man. I went to see Drive when
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: it was out in the theaters. Didn't love the movie,
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: by the way, I know a lot of people like it.
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it's it's a bit art house. I
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: wasn't a huge fan of it, but I went to
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: see that with one of my friends and the chick
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: at the register, who I think was probably way too
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: young for me. Women's Drive out, so Drive was out.
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: I was probably I was early twenties. I think I
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: had just probably just graduated from college not that long
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: before that. This chick wasably still in high school. I
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: look young whatever. She starts hitting on me, and she
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: was writing graphic novels, and she wanted me to review
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: her graphic novels. Like me, like, I don't know, man,
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think I could do it, being you know,
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: a man in the workforce now and you're potentially still
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: in high school. I'm like, yeah, I can't do that,
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: even though it was probably only about a four year
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: age gap, five year age gap between us, but still
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: I'm like, nah, but I thought that was Yeah, I
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: mean it was. It was funny though, like she wanted
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: me to review, Like, what makes me qualified to review
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: your graphic novel? Her art was solid though, I actually
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: liked it. It was good. I looked at some of it
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: and then and then what was I talking about? Oh? Yeah,
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: then the song that really inspired this rap song. The
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: rap song is is called no I Will Not Fix
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: Your compute or this chick. I was going to another
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: movie with my same friend. I don't remember which movie
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: this was. This is a couple of years later, we
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: went to a movie, different movie theater, this time anymore black.
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: That's actually kind of closer to where I am now,
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: although where I live is not is not that type
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: of demographic. But we went to this movie theater. This
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: black chick in the lobby of the theater wanted me
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: to go out to her car in the parking lot
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: and fix like the Wi Fi on her laptop. I'm like,
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do that, Like she's probably gonna like
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: try to rob me or something. And this was back
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: before everything got really bad. I'm like, I'm like, nah,
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: I'm about to go into this movie with my friend here. No,
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: but I wrote a rap song entirely based on that
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: interaction pretty much, that plus the graphic novel thing. Yeah,
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: so that's that's the only song I have that really
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: has a beat. Like my songs are all like nerd rock,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: basically garage rock. Destiny Arc, it wouldn't. It would not
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: have been anywhere near as bad as Destiny man. Like,
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: my guess is that I think I was like twenty two,
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: twenty three at the time, and that chick was probably
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: like eighteen, So I don't know if that's not really
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: a Destiny arc. He might have been older too, I
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, I was just guessing completely, and
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: I don't I'm not good at guessing agents to be honest,
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: she was working at that movie theater. That's all I know,
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: and write and writing, drawing some pretty solid uh Art
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: for graphic novels. I will say, wonder where she is now?
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: No clue. Maybe I'll go find her now maybe probably
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: no way, don't remember her name at all. Uh Kate
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: a girl who met at UNC. Yeah, I know Kate.
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: He usually plays that when you see him live because
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: the crowd gets into it, Kate. Everybody shouts Kate. Yeah.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: It's one of one of the more upbeat songs. Yeah,
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: hell yeah. Man, all right, let's finish this off here.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: Dodgers at Arizona. This is an interesting woe, man. I
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: think both teams are gonna be motivated here in Arizona,
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: probably even more motivated because they're in the wildcard race
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: even though they sold off of the trade deadline, and
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: it's against the Dodgers and at home, so that's enough
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: for a lot of motivation. I think from Arizona they
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: could sneak into the playoffs, which is insane playoffs and
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: they're hosting the Dodgers. I mean, you're gonna have motivation there.
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: Maybe they'll be I don't know, they're gonna be tired
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: after putting in a lot of effort against Philadelphia to
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: get here. They just won two straight against Philadelphia. Yeah,
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: but I don't think you can really have a letdown
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: spot when it's the Dodgers coming in. Man. Dodgers, maybe
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: their spots a little bit bad because they did win
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: four games in a row and then they lost the
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: last game to San Francisco. So they're coming into this game.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: I know it's the start of a road trip. You
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: do get focused for the start of a road trip.
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers still need to win to hang onto the
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: division because they still could potentially lose it to San Diego.
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, Man, when you lose a wind
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: streak like that, like I say, sometimes it does hang
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: you over a little bit. So I think Arizona sets
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better situationally here. The Dodgers actually
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen. That's how bad Arizona's bullpen is.
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: It's bad. I mean, these bullpens are both rested. Same
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: goes for Kansas City, and I'm all these games I
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: was talking about. The only games where both bullpens are
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: not rested are Washington Atlanta and then two of the
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: last three games I'm about to talk about all the
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: other games involved two rested bullpens, and just those three
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: games have have bullpens that had to pitch yesterday. In
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: this Dodgers Arizona him Dodgers obviously have the better actually
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: not obviously, but they do have the better offense, but
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: it's not by a lot. Dodgers. I think they're number one,
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: other number two now behind the Yankees in ops. Yankee
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: is actually a pretty significant number one, but the d
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: Backs are sitting here at number five. Even though they
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: traded off a couple of their bats, there's still a
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: good offense. Shoe Otani pitching for the Dodgers in this one.
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: He hasn't gone more than five innings yet. He's been
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: okay as a starting pitcher though I mean throughout his career.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: But remember he hadn't pitched for like two years and
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: now he is pitching this year. Whis hanging on twenty
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: twenty five. I want to switch this to pitching. Stupid ESPN.
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: So he hasn't allowed to run in his two outings
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: this month. I think he got hurt or something against Baltimore,
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: got pulled early, but he does have a zero ERA
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: in eight and two thirds innings this's a month ten
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: to two strike a walk ratio, so he's in decent form.
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: Hasn't got more than five innings in any of his outing,
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: so I don't expect him to go more than five here.
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: He may go exactly five. He hasn't been as good
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: on the road though, four point nine to five road ERA.
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: And I can't really see his pitching numbers against Arizona
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: because ESPN doesn't let you do that. He's listed as
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: the DH now, so you can't see the better versus
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: pitching stats from the pitching side, so you have to
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: kind of guess or find it on another website, which
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: I hate. He's going up against Brandon Fott, who has
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: not had a great season. He's been better than this
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: in some of his past seasons. Five point h two ERA,
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: one point three to four whip not good. Obviously, he
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: is better at home three point one to five home ERA,
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: so significantly better at home because his RA on the
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: road is over seven, so his ERA is four runs
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: better at home, even though at home it's a hit
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: or friendly ballpark, so figure that out. I don't know, man,
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: and he's pitched well this month, though he's pitched well
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: for you actually basically just for this past month, three
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: three outings in a row, he's been well. He's been
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: good in two of the three. He actually got bombed
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: in his one road start this month at Minnesota. That's
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: not a good sign. They're not a good offense. Fiven
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: runs in four and two thirds, but he allowed one
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: and run against the Red Sox, and then he had
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: a complete game, one hit shutout last time out against
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: the Giants. Two point seven to five yrra this month overall,
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: sixteen to two strike a walk raightio. That's obviously good.
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: His command is on right now. But will he be
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: in any sort of letdown spot. Whenever you come off
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: a great game like that, sometimes you will be hung
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: over a little bit. He didn't throw too many pitches though.
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: He threw ninety seven, which is like right in line
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: with what he usually throws. So I don't think he's
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be like over extended or anything like that. He
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: is facing the Dodgers. They have hit him fairly well
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: in the past one hundred and thirty at bats thirty
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: three to seven, strike a walk ratio two ninety six
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: average allowed seven ninety one. Ohps, Yeah, I mean, don't
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: I certainly want to jump in on the fought side
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: here either. With the bullpen's not being that good of it,
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: I could see this game going over, to be honest,
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, Otani might not last that long here. Fought
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: is better at home for sure, but the Dodgers could
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: probably hit him around enough to get this thing into
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: the bullpens. Uh. The totals sitting at nine eighty three
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, nine four percent of cash on the over,
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: That's probably the way I would look in this game.
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: Dodgers down for minus one fifty five to minus one
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: fifty four, eighty one percent tickets, eighty six percent of cash.
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: So money coming in on the Dodgers is a road
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: favorite here. I'm not sure I agree with that, though.
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: I think you might be able to maybe take a
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: stab with Arizona here. Maybe you don't want to do
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: it with the full game though, because the bullpen sucks.
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: Could go maybe just with fot to pitch well, because
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: he does pitch well at home. Otani don't know if
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: he's gonna be out before the fifth inning or not,
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: although he's gonna have to face him for most of
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: the fifth inning, so it does seem a little bit dangerous,
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: but getting an underdog price at home, maybe run not
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: run line on money line first five innings. Maybe worth
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: a look there. Milwaukee at San Diego. Here is the
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: next one up? Fire from DC or Marvel celebrating political assassination?
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: Who were we talking about? I don't know what we're
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: talking about? Now? What did I talk about? I don't
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: even know. San Diego has won three in a row.
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: I mean they're still fighting to try to win the NLS.
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: They're pretty secure in their wildcard spot though. San Diego
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: is pretty locked into the second wildcard spot right now.
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: They're only two and a half back of the Cubs,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: so I guess they could potentially overtake the Cubs. The
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: Reds and the Mets are not catching them or the Diamondbacks,
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: so San Diego fairly locked into that spot. So motivation
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit questionable. But they did win three
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: games in a row. They won last night against my
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee in a comeback. It was an extra innings game.
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: I think it was a close game, low scoring. Earlier
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: in the game, Milwaukee had a small lead in the game,
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: and then San Diego won walk off in the eleventh
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: and apparently that was a playoff clinching win. And you
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: know I talk about this. When a team clinches a
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: playoff spot, sometimes they don't do as well in the
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: next game out. So that would give me pause and
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: looking towards San Diego here man, because they probably celebrated
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: last night. I know it's Milwaukee, and you want to
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: show up for Milwaukee. You still would want to win
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: the division potentially, but again, if you celebrate from making
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, it's a little bit hard to get back
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: up after that. Like I talked about that with the Cobs.
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: Although the Cubs were not facing a good team coming well,
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: they were facing the Reds. I mean, the Reds are
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: inferior to them at least. Milwaukee's still might drive your focus.
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee might be a little bit mad that they lost yesterday,
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: but Milwaukee, they just seem to be kind of coasting
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: at this point. They're getting prepared for the playoffs. I mean,
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: they're not guaranteed the one seed though, like I said,
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: they're still there right now. Philadelphia is two and a
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: half games back, so not a whole lot of games left.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee probably will still get it, but they got to
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: win some games. It may not be this game, though,
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: San Diego has the better bullpen, but they did use
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: a lot of it yesterday. How they used a bunch
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: of relievers yesterday, six relief pitchers. Milwaukee did use five
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: as well, So you gotta still give San Diego the
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge. Here. Milwaukee the better offense, and they're good
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: on the road. Oh, this is a pitcher friendly park here.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: I don't trust Milwaukee's starting pitcher though, man Bruce Zimmerman, Like,
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: who is this guy? He hasn't pitched in the major
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: since twenty twenty three, He's thirty years old. He pitched
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: from twenty twenty through twenty twenty three, all with Baltimore.
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: Had a five point five seven e RA one point
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: four to six whip. Mostly is a starter, yeah, I
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: mean his strikeout walk ratio is good three point five,
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: so he didn't walk a lot of guys. But he's
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: not a big strikeout guy. He's innings pitched total was
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: way higher than a strike got him out, So really
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: the only good thing about him is he doesn't walk
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: a lot of guys. But it looks like he gives
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: up a lot of hits. Yeah, he give up way
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: more than one hit per inning, so he gets hit
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: pretty hard. I don't think we could trust Zimmerman. Man.
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know what he's doing in this rotation. Maybe
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: it's they need somebody to just fill a role here.
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on. But if the fact
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: that he hasn't pitched in the majors for a couple
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: of years, on the one end, maybe he'll be excited
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: to get back out there. But on the other hand,
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: what are you gonna get out of him? Who knows
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: his career numbers are bad. He's listed as a relief pitcher,
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: so he might just be an opener or something. He
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: might go out there and throw like a couple innings.
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: Last time he was in the majors, he was only
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: doing that. He was pitching like two three innings every
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: outing back in twenty twenty three for Baltimore, So that's
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: probably what you're gonna what you're gonna get out of
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: him here. I don't like it at all though, to
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: be honest, man, I really don't. San Diego does have
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: two hitters who faced him before. Loreano has the only hit,
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: which is a single. They're one for four of the
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: strikeout off him. Not a whole lot to see there,
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: But I don't trust him. I don't trust Randy Vasquez
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: either though for San Diego. Even though three point nine
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: to four e RA is good, one point three to
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: six whips still too high. I keep talking about how
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: he walks too many guys, but he's I don't know.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: He remains a serviceable pitcher. He is better at home
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: three point four to one ERA at home this month
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: three point seven to seventy RA. And hey, his walk
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: numbers are way down fifteen to one strike a walk
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: raceire this month, so his command is actually kind of
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: there right now, which is shocking because he usually walks
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: a ton of guys. Didn't I have a good start
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: last time out at the Mats, only lasted two and
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: a third, had four earned runs allowed there, So maybe
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: he's not great yet. We got to hold our horses
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: here because both of his good starts are against Colorado.
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: I know one of them is in course field, but
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: it's Colorado. Their offense is terrible, so I still don't
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: really trust Vazcaz here. He is good against Milwaukee somehow,
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: They're only four for thirty off in lifetime, no extra
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: base hits, but seven walks of five strikeouts, so still
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: more walks to strikeouts, a one to thirty three batting
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: average allowed four to thirty one. Oh ps, yeah, I
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: mean I still don't trust Vascauz. The money is saying
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: San Diego though Milwaukee's public, because of course the public
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: will take the better of the two teams seventy six
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets only sixty percent of the cash on them,
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: though San Diego down for minus one sixteen to minus
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: one oh eight. I mean, if you wanted to take
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: the shot with San Diego, I would probably lean that way.
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: The money is seemingly going that way just because it's
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: basically you have a totally untrustworthy pitcher that Milwaukee is
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: going with it. It's basically gonna wind up being a
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: bullpen when they're already used up bullpen against a guy
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: who at least is a starter. Almost So San Diego
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: does have the edge in the pitching here, I suppose,
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: and the money is agreeing with that. Public doesn't really
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: like it because they like the team with the better
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: record Milwaukee. Milwaukee is still good on the road, they're
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: the best road team in baseball. But San Diego is
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: one of the better home teams in baseball. Really good
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: record at home, So take from all that what you will.
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: As I always say, Saint Louis at San Francisco, these
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: teams are just playing out the stretch. San Francisco lost
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: to start the series yesterday. They were returning home from
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: a road trip and returning home for playing the Dodgers,
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: so it wasn't the greatest spot for them. They lost
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: six to five. Both of these bullpens are pretty good,
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: although the offenses are not. So we have two good
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: bullpens and two week offenses. Saint Louis used five relief
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: pitchers yesterday. San Francisco only use two, so San Francisco
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: does have a bullpen edge in this one as well,
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: and at this point they probably actually have the better
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: offense too. San Francisco is a twenty third in ops,
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is at twenty fourth, so it's not significant
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: two week offenses. Like I said, as far as the
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: starting pitching, on the surface, looks like San Francisco is
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: a big starting pitching edge. Saint Louis has Andre Payante pitching,
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: if that's how you pronounce his name, hasn't had a
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: good season. Five point two to ninety RA one point
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: four to four Whip he's better on the road. Four
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: point eight three ERA hasn't been good though the last
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: couple of months. I mean just it hasn't really been
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: there for him. The three starts this month, four point
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: five ERA is okay, but six to eight strike a
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is not. That's way too many walks. He's
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: walked three or more guys in five of his last
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: seven starts. That's not a good sign. And Saint Louis
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: has lost a bunch of them. They've lost all of
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: those starts that he walked more than that. They lost
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: all of those, including one of the ones where he didn't.
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: So he's not doing well. He's not very good against
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: San Francisco either. In fifty six at bats nine to
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: three strike a walk ratio fine, but three fifty seven
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: batting average one thousand and seven oh p. That's not
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: good against this offense. And he did just face them
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: back on September sixth. He did well in that start.
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: He gave him two earned runs, six innings, three strikeouts,
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: one walk, But San Francisco typically hits him well, and
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: their numbers that I just gave include that outing too,
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: So I think he will regress here because they did
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: just see him. They normally do hit him well, so
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: I don't like Pionte in this one. He's going up
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: against Logan Webb, who is basically the ace for San Francisco.
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: Those whip is too high. He's a guy that comes
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: out there and gets you a lot of innings. Usually
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: three point two seven ERA and one point two to
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: four whip is a little bit high, but generally I
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: do like him. Three point one eight RA at home,
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: that's good. This month, four point zero nine ERA is
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: at terrific. Twenty four to seven strike a walk race
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: is pretty solid. He's been okay. He basically had one
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: bad outing against the Dodgers at home, which I think
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: is pretty forgivable, followed it up his last start doing
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: well against the Dodgers, and I just usually hit him well.
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: But he went seven innings in that one allowed one
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: ear and run. He's in pretty good form right now.
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: That bad start against the Dodgers was the only art
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: in the last seven where you give up more than
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: the three ear and runs, So he's doing all right.
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: And you give up two earn runs in all the
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: other ones against Saint Louis, those numbers are not terrific
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: and fifty one at bats sixteen to one strike a
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: walk issue is really good though three fourteen batting average allowed.
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: They do hit him for contact, but they don't hit
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: him for that much power seven nineteen ops, and they
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: don't walk a lot against him. So I still think
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 1: Web has the upper hand here. San Francisco is all
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: the way up for minus one to seventy mins one
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: ninety three though ninety three percent of tickets ninety eight
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: percent of cash coming into them. I agree with San
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: Francisco in this game. I think they have the pitching
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: edge throughout the game here, but you gotta lay like
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: a run line with them if you want to do that.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: Seems a little bit questionable, so I worry about that
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Yeah, I mean, if you want to
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: go serviences over their team total, maybe worth the look,
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: but it's a low total seven and a half. It's
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: a pitcher front the ballpark, money coming into the under
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent takets, fifty eight percent of cash in
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: the under. Probably, I think my the way of playing it,
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: I would still say same Francisco on the on the
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: run line, but it seems a little bit difficult to do.
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: And then Houston is going to the A's Houston off
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: of that sweep at home at the hands of Seattle
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: after they swept Texas the series before that. Houston's fighting,
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're trying to maintain this last wildcard spot.
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: They could potentially still win the division fairly unlikely now
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: coming up a big series, but one of the good
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: things about it is they're starting a road trips. They
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: just get to get the hell out of there, go
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: on the road. I know it's this bad Triple A
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: Ballpark that the A's playing in Sacramento, but getting out
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: of home going on the road could be a focused
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: spot for Houston. You're probably gonna get focused there. The
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: A's have the chance to spoil their season, though, so
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: the A's might get up for this game too. They've
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: been playing some pretty uh motivated baseball. I mean, they've
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: won seven of their last ten games. That's pretty good,
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: although they've lost three of their last five, but they're
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: on a nice little run right now. They're probably a
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: little bit angry because they did just lose twice to
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh on the road and shutouts, even though Pittsburgh is
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: better at home. That's not good for the A's. They're
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: coming back over a road trip though. They went to
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: Boston and Pitts personally across the country and now they're
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: having to travel back to the Pacific coast. That's not
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: great for the A's. Again, it's it's a spot where
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: sometimes they lack focus. They'll be a little bit, a
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: little bit distracted by that. But it is Houston as
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: their opponents, so maybe they will still get up for this.
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: Houston has the better bullpend here, A's have the better offense,
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: So do with all that information what you want to.
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 1: The A's have a really bad bullpen. The offenses are
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: not as significantly different, but the A's still have a
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: good offense. They haven't really done great offensively at home,
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: though They've been pretty bad at home, so looking at that,
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: the A's have actually been better on the road, which
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: is crazy. Houston is one game above five hundred on
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: the road. A's are well below five hundred at home.
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: So take from all that what you will, but the
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: A's don't really have a huge home advantage at all.
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: They kind of have a home disadvantage. Christian Hobber is
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: gonna pitch for Houston here. He just walk too many guys.
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: He came back not that long ago from injury, and
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: he's been okay four point four to five ERA, one
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: point two to four whip a little bit high. He's
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: not as good on the road though. This ballpark might
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: be bad for him because I think he does. He
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: does give up too many fly balls a lot of
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: the time. That's not good in this ballpark. Seven point
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: eighty eight. Roady Ray not good this month, mediocre five
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: point five one e RRA in three strips, but he
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: did face the Yankees and Toronto in there difficult offenses.
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: Did better against Texas last time out. Allowed two hour
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: runs in six innings, four strikeouts, one walk, has fourteen
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: to five fourteen to five strong a walk race here
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: this month. I mean overall, he's just been very mediocre
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: this month at best. He does have good numbers against
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: the A's, though they only have five hitters with seeing
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: him nineteen at bats. They only have one hit off him.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: Shuman Max Schuhman, not Rex Humorman, the Long Island serial killer.
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: Max Schuman is the only guy that has any hits
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: off him, and it's a single. He has a seven
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: to five strike a walk ratio against and though so
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: that's not great, but he's telling them to an fifty
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: three batting average and three zero three oh ps. So
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: maybe Hoavier will be able to come in and pitch
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: okay here going up against Jeffrey Springs for the as
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: four point one seventy r A one point two to
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: two pretty decent numbers for him this year. He's not
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: a good not as good at home, and this is
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: a difficult part to pitch in. Like I said, a
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: lot of home runs fly out of this park five
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: era at home, so he's not as good here this month.
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: Mediocre in three starts, four point two e R thirteen
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: to four strike a walk ratio wasn't great against the
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. Really either out, even though he didn't allow
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: any runs last time out, I'll earn runs, I should say,
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: Red Sox Red Sox. That was a bullshit game, man.
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox lost that game two to one. Uh.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: Springs had five hits allowed in three walks. He put
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: two guys on base per inning in four innings, and
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox only got one unearned run out of it.
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: Just pathetic, h So he should have been worse in
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: that game as far as the amount of runs that
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: he allowed. He'd allowed five in this state him the
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: outing before that against the Red Sox. He doesn't have
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: good numbers against Houston though, twenty at bats not a
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: big sample size, but it's spread out across basically all
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: their hitters. They have no extra MASE hits against them,
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: six strikeouts, two walks on average, three seventy seven oh
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: ps allowed. Springs has done well against them. I can
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: see some somewhat of an argument for an under in
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: this game. I know it's crazy at the A's statum.
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: You don't really want to deal with the A's bullpen.
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: These bullpens arrested at least coming into this one. Maybe
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: a first five under. I mean, it seems pretty risky. Though.
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: The total in the full game's gone up a little
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: bit from ten juice to the under, ten juice to
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: the over. Now sixty four percent tickets, ninety four percent
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over, money coming in the over.
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: Houston's public on the side sixty per tickets, seventy four
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Houston. So the cash percentage
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: is on Houston and the over. The A is sitting
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: at minus one of six down to minus one of five. Actually,
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: they look like a bit of an anti public home
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 1: team here the but Houston, you know, they have the
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: motivational edgen Heim MA because they're really just trying to
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: fight to stay in this thing. And Houston is still
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: the better team. Mostly. Their biggest edge here is the
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: bullpen though, well that in the motivation, but we'll see.
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: I don't want to have anything to do with that game.
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: Let's go to the best bets. I'll reiterate my other
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: two best bets, and I have one more which I
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: did already tell you what it is, to give it
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: to our man there, Jordan before he left. Once again,
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: I do have a WNBA play. It's the Vegas Ace
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: is minus eight and a half or minus nine. It's
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: mostly minus nine out there right now. Either way, we
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: do have Kansas City on the run line the Royals
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: in baseball minus one and a half. I know, difficult
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: to do that with a team that doesn't score a
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: lot of runs, but we're gonna do it. And then
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: I do have a half run line half money line
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: play with the Cincinnati Reds. I think this is a
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: huge motivational edge of the Reds, and I do think
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: they have the pitching edge of this game too, at
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: least with the starting pitching, but the price is such
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: a I think we want to go full game on this.
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: If you want to go first five inning minus half
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: run and see what that is priced at, you could
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: do that as well. That price might be a little
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: bit too high too. I'm gonna go full game on this.
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 1: I know they're at home, so they might not bat
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: in the ninth inning. It's a little bit of a drawback,
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: but we're splitting it half. Bet on the run line
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: at a plus money at plus one thirty five on
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: the minus one and a half half money line at
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty. So the way I do it is
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: bet the same to win the same amount on both
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: sides of it, and then what happens is if they
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: win by one, you'll win the money line portion of it.
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: You'll lose the run line portion of it, but it'll
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: be a slight win. It's just kind of a less
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: risky way of doing it, and you actually get better
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: prices this way because you can look if you have
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: multiple books available, you can get the best price on
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: each number, potentially at different books. The market read doesn't
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: look good on this. I know we have ninety six
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets only ninety two percent of the cash,
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: and Cincinnati, they're very public. The money line keeps moving
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: on them though, off for minus one fifty to minus
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: one sixty three. So even though the money the cash
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: percentage looks like it's going against them, the money's coming
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: in on the under as well. Total down from eight
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: eight and a half juice to the over to eight
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: and a half sixty two percent of tickets on the
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: over seven two percent of the cash on the under
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: warders me a little bit in what is a hitter
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: friendly ballpark here that if it's a lower scoring game,
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be more difficult to cover the number here.
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: But I just think this is a big motivational edgrand Cincinnati.
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: They're on a roll right now, so they are streaking.
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: They did just sweep the Cubs, so in a way,
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: you could say it's a letdown spot. They've now won
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 1: five games in a row after they were not playing well.
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: But baseball is a streaky sport. A lot of times
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: streaks continue. They're staying at home. I know they were
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: off yesterday. Both of these teams are off yesterday, rested
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: bullpens here. But they're gonna be motivated, man, I mean
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: they're still they're right there, tied in the last wildcard
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: spot right now with the Mets. That's why they've been
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: playing this motivated baseball here. I think it continues here.
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna show up on focus. I
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: don't think they can have a letdown spot, even though
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: they are playing a bad Pittsburgh team. Pittsburgh might show
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: up as well, might be motivated because they want to
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: try to spoil Cincinnati season, and that's really all they
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: can do now. And they're a close geographic rival, divisional rival,
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: but Cincinnati, I mean, they're to make the playoffs here, man,
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: so their goal is certainly to win. I don't think
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be in a letdown spot off of sweeping
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: the Cubs, just because of the fact that this is
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: playoff race time. En they're trying to win every single game.
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: I know it's hard to keep that effort up every game,
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: but at least they rested yesterday, so did Pittsburgh. But
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh coming in they did just beat the A's twice
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: in a row in shutouts. I don't think it's really
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be a letdown spot. They are flying flying out
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: to Cincinnati to start a road trip here, so I
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: do say, and when you start a road trip with momentum,
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: momentum does carry a lot of time. And it is
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: a decent focused spot. So it looks like a focus
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: spot for both teams, and I think the motivation is
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: gonna get it there. For Cincinnati, they are the better
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: team overall. They have the way better offense. Obviously, Pittsburgh
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 1: very bad offensively. Johanovieto is pitching for Pittsburgh. He's been
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: pretty good for them this year, surprisingly, three point five
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: two ERA, one point two four whip. But I think
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: this might be a spot to fade him, man. I'll
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: look into his career numbers. He's gotta think he's gonna regress.
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: He's been in the major since twenty twenty. He has
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: a career four point two to five ERA one point
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: three to eight whip, which is definitely too high. He is.
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: He is actually better on the road, three point seventy
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: R on the road. But this is a hitter friendly ballpark, man,
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: so I know he did pitching basically one hitter friendly
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: ballpark at Fenway Park. Did okay in that start? What
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: five innings, give up twour and runs gott a win?
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: Because he got a ton of run support in that
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: one against the Red Sox. I mean, I'm a fan
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: of the Red Sox, and I'm saying, oh, because the
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: Red Sox lost that game. They shouldn't have. He did
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: walk three guys in that outing. His team has lost
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: all three of his outings this month, and his strikeout
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: walk ratio has become really a concern. I know he
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: has a three point four to five ERA this month,
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: but a twelve to nine strike out walk ratio that's
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: not gonna cut it. He's walked three guys a piece
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 1: and four straight starts, including that one at Fenway. That's
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: not good man. So he's walking way too many guys.
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think he can possibly keep up what he's doing.
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: And like he's gonna allow runs. So you put that
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: guys that many guys base, you're skating on thin ice
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna allow runs at some point. He's not
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 1: good against Cincinnati. I know it's a limited sample and
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: I don't think they've faced him this year, but twenty
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: four at bats, three to five strike a walk ratio terrible,
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: more walks than strikeouts. They have a three seventy five
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: batting average off him in one thousand and sixty six ops,
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: so he does not do well against them. He's going
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: up against the Reds. As we said, Brady Singer pitching
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: for the Reds. He is one of the better pitchers
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: they got here. He's been good recently. He's had a
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: decent season overall. He's made it into a pretty good season,
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: pitching well for quite a while and now recently three
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 1: point eight sixty r a for him one point two
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: to whip solid. He is better at home, so we
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 1: the home road splits are actually a favorite bolt starters year,
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: but I prefer Singer. Obviously, three point oh seventy R
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 1: at homes significantly better than on the road. Weird given
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: the fact that it's a hitter front of the ballpark,
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: but he just pitches better at home for whatever reason.
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: He's allowed three or four earned runs at every start
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: going all the way back to early August. And I
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 1: know that was a start at Pittsburgh. I know that
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: was his one bad start recently. He went three to
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: two thirds in He's given up four and runs, four walks.
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 1: It was a bad start for him. Six hits, two strikeouts.
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: I know, bad start for him, but he did allow
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: three or fewer earned runs at every start besides that one,
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: Going all the way back through his last start in July,
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 1: he's allowed two or fewer earned runs in every start
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: except two of the starts going back through that stretch.
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: And recently he gets a lot of wins from his team. Recently, Man,
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: he's had dial let me see what is this, Eight
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 1: of his last ten starts I think have been wins,
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: or eight of his last eleven, whatever it is. Cincinnati
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: has won them up against Pittsburgh. Despite that rough start
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 1: last time out, he is good against them generally, and
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: fifty eight at bats fourteen to nine strike at walk
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: ratio is not good. But four of those walks basically
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: came in that one bad start, or at least mostly
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: it was either four, it was probably all four. It
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: depends on who was in the lineup then versus what
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: it is now, but it was probably at least three.
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: Maybe all four of those walks are factored into that
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: number there. Overall, he's a lot of two forty one
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: average six to seventy one ops against Pittsburgh, So I
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: think you will do better here. That's the play. I
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 1: took it off the screen. Sorry, that's gonna do it, man.
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 1: So the best bets one more time are the Vegas
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: Aces in WNBA minus eight and a half. Major League Baseball,
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati Red's half run line, half money line, and Kansas
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 1: City Royals run line the one I added late. That's
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Hopefully we get there with these. Have
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: a good day, everybody. Thanks for hanging out man, I
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: appreciate it for everybody was in the chat this morning.
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, Learn to tone on Instagram.
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: Better off dead like subscribe to the channel helps us
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 1: out here, ma'am. It helps me out getting close to
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: be potentially monetized. Well not that close. We got to
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: get to five hundred subscribers. Hopefully we can get there,
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: get the word out. We're also on the audio platforms.
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 1: You can review me on Spotify, A Spotify and Apple.
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: That helps out as well. Covered in UCU is my
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: UK lately channel on YouTube you can check out as
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 1: well where the Yuke covers go, and then patroon dot
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: comp slation learn it toe can help me out there.
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: I'd throw me a little bit of support if you
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: want to. You get some bonus Yuke content there. I
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: want to start doing the Uke streams man. Maybe tonight
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 1: we'll think about it. Might start doing live UK request
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: streams maybe maybe tonight. I'm thinking about doing them on two.
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: I can't do it tonight actually, but maybe I'll do
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: it on Tuesday. But I am gonna be seeing Jonathan
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 1: Colton tonight. It was an ex software developer and nerd musician.
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: Huge fan of him. You guys might know him may
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 1: He does most famously, probably does the Portal. Some of
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: the songs for the game Portal he wrote. Still live
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 1: in those songs, isn't isn't the vocalist. I'm still live
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: in the video game. But he has a version of
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 1: it that he sings as well, And he did a
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: Code Monkey is a big song for him as well
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: about how frustrated it is to be a software developer,
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: which definitely resonates with me obviously. That's one of his
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: bigger songs as well. It was also the theme song
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: for the animated comedy series Code Monkeys, which flew under
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: the radar. That was a fun show as well. Anyway,
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: I'm ranting for too long here. Peace out, everybody have
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 1: a good Tuesday. That's gonna do it for now. Peace