Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

Transcript

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
Speaker 1: All systems going clear the lift? What's going on? Everybody?
0:37
Speaker 1: Happy Thursday, Friday, Saturday. I gotta find a better intro
0:40
Speaker 1: for this, Mima Sho. I always say happy Thursday, but
0:43
Speaker 1: probably ninety five percent of people aren't watching this on
0:45
Speaker 1: Thursday regardless, Happy fight Week, UFC Fight Night in Mexico,
0:50
Speaker 1: Little Mexico Action. I mean, man, it could not be
0:53
Speaker 1: any more different of a card from last week to
0:55
Speaker 1: this week. I mean, just looking at all these all
0:59
Speaker 1: these money line insane minus one eighty two is the
1:02
Speaker 1: closest line fight eighty five hundred and seventy seven hundred.
1:05
Speaker 1: That's the only mid tier fight on the card. After that,
1:07
Speaker 1: it keeps getting bigger and bigger. Ninety seven hundred, ninety six,
1:11
Speaker 1: ninety four, ninety five. I mean monster monster favorites, which
1:14
Speaker 1: means big underdogs, which means completely opposite a last week.
1:18
Speaker 1: Last week, I was hunting ceiling even with the underdogs,
1:22
Speaker 1: which turned out to be wrong. So someone commented like,
1:25
Speaker 1: oh could have been more wrong with Fluffy. We're gonna
1:27
Speaker 1: be wrong all the time. I mean we break down
1:30
Speaker 1: the fights we uh we put in the work, and yeah,
1:33
Speaker 1: I mean it doesn't go your way always these dudes
1:34
Speaker 1: are in underwear, throwing fists. If you can't wrestle, so
1:38
Speaker 1: on trickling beat them up, And what a performance that was.
1:40
Speaker 1: Throw it too big, Marley. Great to see how we're
1:42
Speaker 1: doing today.
1:44
Speaker 2: Yeah, too soon, Too soon, man, I was all in
1:46
Speaker 2: on Fluffy. That was just not what I saw happening.
1:50
Speaker 2: But uh yeah, not my favorite car to come back to.
1:54
Speaker 2: I mean, I think it's gonna be tough to find
1:56
Speaker 2: underdogs that you like, and then it's gonna be tough
1:58
Speaker 2: to find underdogs that even win period. So you kind
2:01
Speaker 2: of have to think about building nine ups where if
2:03
Speaker 2: underdogs don't win, and then there's also a couple of
2:06
Speaker 2: underdogs on this card where it's like if they do win,
2:09
Speaker 2: then they can break the card, whereas other underdogs could
2:11
Speaker 2: win and score fifty to seventy points. So looking forward
2:15
Speaker 2: to talking talking to this card with you. But I
2:17
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a tough one DFS wise, I.
2:20
Speaker 1: Think it's gonna be really tough. I totally agree. So
2:23
Speaker 1: no favorites less than minus one eighty and eight of
2:25
Speaker 1: the thirteen favorites over minus three fifty. Again, that's super
2:29
Speaker 1: super tough on this card. We did have one late
2:31
Speaker 1: notice replacement Terren stepped in on four days notice, which
2:36
Speaker 1: is why you can see ninety one hundred and seventy
2:37
Speaker 1: six hundred. We'll talk about that when we get there.
2:39
Speaker 1: Mcaskates it was a bigger favorites before her short notice
2:42
Speaker 1: replacement in Tarran. But yeah, I mean, I don't really
2:47
Speaker 1: think there's too much more to be said about this card.
2:49
Speaker 1: We go fight by fight, Like leaving money is really difficult.
2:51
Speaker 1: If you told me any underdog win, I would want
2:53
Speaker 1: to be overweight. Oh. Actually, I mean one of the
2:56
Speaker 1: more unique cards of I mean that I can remember
3:00
Speaker 1: right now our projected ownership. Our highest own fighter is
3:04
Speaker 1: an underdog, and that is Lonnie cav and I Kevin
3:06
Speaker 1: A in the main events never happens. I mean, a
3:09
Speaker 1: plus one eighty underdog is projected highest owned on the slate,
3:13
Speaker 1: and that keeps coming back to It is really hard
3:16
Speaker 1: to make comfortable clicks down low, so people will gravitate
3:19
Speaker 1: to him with the solid money relative to the money
3:22
Speaker 1: line compared to the slate with five rounds to work.
3:26
Speaker 1: So yeah, just want to keep that a note. Very clearly,
3:29
Speaker 1: Cavine will be very popular and after that it'll be
3:32
Speaker 1: relatively spread out in the lower tier. Marquis hart Y,
3:37
Speaker 1: sn Bradley appreciate everyone hanging out. All we ask is
3:40
Speaker 1: the life bunt and subscribe button helps us out a
3:42
Speaker 1: ton And before we get into it, I tweeted about it,
3:45
Speaker 1: but I need to make a live shout out the
3:47
Speaker 1: legendary Ian McGill, my brother's friend. I met him in
3:51
Speaker 1: real life. Super super nice guy, actually a teacher special
3:54
Speaker 1: ed at a high school nearby and works the second
3:58
Speaker 1: job at Quick Trip, just grinds cuts. My brother's Harry
4:01
Speaker 1: does it all. This dude made one lineup. He said,
4:05
Speaker 1: you watch the show, but he's in a couple other discords.
4:07
Speaker 1: And what he took away from the show is when
4:09
Speaker 1: you win, how much do you win? He wanted to
4:11
Speaker 1: be different and leave money, so he left twelve hundred dollars,
4:14
Speaker 1: played one team in the hundred single entry, the same
4:17
Speaker 1: team three times in the Flagship and solo ships, but
4:22
Speaker 1: dukes himself three times for a cool one hundred and
4:25
Speaker 1: forty thousand dollars. I mean, you won't get more legendary
4:28
Speaker 1: than that. Ian. He went from Poonahelli Soriano down to
4:31
Speaker 1: Jordan Levin in that team, which was the difference. I
4:34
Speaker 1: was on the phone with my brother watching the fights
4:37
Speaker 1: and two left he and text him as it goes, man,
4:40
Speaker 1: I got a pretty good team, and I'm like, all right,
4:42
Speaker 1: people say that all the time. I'm like, let's hear it.
4:44
Speaker 1: And he's like Jordan Levitt, Jacoby Smith, mel Costa. I
4:49
Speaker 1: don't know if it was Lee All. I want to
4:50
Speaker 1: say it might have been, but like, oh my gosh,
4:52
Speaker 1: he's got the stones. If medic and Strickland win, now,
4:55
Speaker 1: of course two underdogs. Madicch gets the job done right away,
4:59
Speaker 1: strict Daddy puts on him, and Ian is a legend
5:02
Speaker 1: that everyone is talking about on the MMA Twitter. So yeah,
5:05
Speaker 1: I want to shout out that. I mean, forty five
5:07
Speaker 1: bucks in the one hundred and thirty one thousand. It's
5:10
Speaker 1: hard enough to win the MMA with less than ten
5:13
Speaker 1: dupes to solo and then dupe yourself three times. That's
5:16
Speaker 1: next level. So big congrats to you, Ian. Yeah, that's awesome.
5:19
Speaker 2: Congrats.
5:20
Speaker 1: All right, no time to waste, We're gonna get into it.
5:23
Speaker 1: Thirteen fights to talk about. First fight of the night,
5:26
Speaker 1: in my opinion, the best fight to target on both sides,
5:29
Speaker 1: Damian Penis, and that is how you pronounce his name,
5:32
Speaker 1: so don't be chirping. Minus two sixty taking on Wesley
5:34
Speaker 1: Schultz plus two twenty minus six hundred for this fight
5:37
Speaker 1: to finish Penis minus two hundred inside the distance Schultz
5:41
Speaker 1: plus two to eighty five Penis round one plus one
5:44
Speaker 1: fifty Schultz plus four hundred. I mean, this is the fight,
5:48
Speaker 1: if any fight on this card, If I had to
5:50
Speaker 1: be one hundred percent on one, this is the fight
5:52
Speaker 1: I'm going with. I love how Penis at eighty eight hundred,
5:55
Speaker 1: I mean that's like cheap on this card. With eighty
5:57
Speaker 1: five hundred the lowest price favorite, this fight's most likely
6:01
Speaker 1: to finish minus six hundred. West Schultz on the other side,
6:04
Speaker 1: best inside the distance, propped by a wide margin in
6:07
Speaker 1: the lower tier at plus two to eighty five. And yeah,
6:11
Speaker 1: he's gonna be the second most popular underdog. I don't
6:13
Speaker 1: think there's any doubt about that. Probably mid twenties. But
6:16
Speaker 1: when compare him to Kevin I, he's probably gonna be
6:19
Speaker 1: one point eight times less owned or something like that.
6:22
Speaker 1: And I do prefer him winner. This fight should score
6:24
Speaker 1: really well. If it doesn't, I don't know. I mean,
6:27
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna turn off the card. I just love UFC, period,
6:30
Speaker 1: but my lineups will probably be pretty thin. I'm gonna
6:32
Speaker 1: have close to one hundred percent of this fight more
6:35
Speaker 1: than likely, and I don't even have a preferred side.
6:37
Speaker 1: I just want a lot of it. How do you
6:39
Speaker 1: see it?
6:40
Speaker 2: Yeah? I agree, I just want a lot of this fight.
6:44
Speaker 2: I want to start out with a whole bunch of
6:46
Speaker 2: live lineups and a whole bunch of dead lineups after
6:48
Speaker 2: this first one. But I think those live lineups are
6:51
Speaker 2: gonna be the ones competing for the optimal lineup. It's
6:54
Speaker 2: just I think it's one way traffic on the feet
6:56
Speaker 2: and it's one way traffic on the ground. Day means
6:59
Speaker 2: got to keep this sting, and he's a big, powerful dude.
7:02
Speaker 2: He's gonna be trying to knock off Schultz's head. Schultz
7:05
Speaker 2: is gonna be diving for doubles, and if he can
7:08
Speaker 2: get the bites of the ground, I feel like he
7:11
Speaker 2: might be able to just run through this guy and
7:13
Speaker 2: like get a submission in the first minute, in the
7:15
Speaker 2: first two minutes something like that, and just be an
7:18
Speaker 2: absolute lock for the optimal right out of the gates.
7:21
Speaker 2: But he's got to get the fight to the ground
7:23
Speaker 2: for that to happen, because if he doesn't, he's just
7:25
Speaker 2: gonna be eating some big punches. And there's only so
7:27
Speaker 2: many punches you can eat from this guy before you're
7:30
Speaker 2: gonna fall. So I think we get to finish one
7:32
Speaker 2: way or another. I'll start building my lineups by hand
7:36
Speaker 2: with Damien. See what happens, and if I need to
7:39
Speaker 2: drop down to Schultz, I drop down to Schultz. But
7:41
Speaker 2: I am going to try and force this fight into
7:44
Speaker 2: the majority of my lineup. So I say I want
7:46
Speaker 2: it in at least eighty percent of my lineups.
7:48
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you. If I was playing ten teams,
7:50
Speaker 1: maybe I'm just all in on this fight fifty to
7:52
Speaker 1: fifty or sixty forty, And like, if I had to
7:55
Speaker 1: make one stand on this card, it really is that
7:58
Speaker 1: when we get to the upper tier and keep talking
8:00
Speaker 1: about it, I'm gonna be mixing and matching these guys
8:02
Speaker 1: up top, Like one oh three might not be enough.
8:04
Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of variants in like who
8:06
Speaker 1: gets the first round finished versus the second, or who
8:09
Speaker 1: gets a quick win bonus, Like I mean, a lot
8:12
Speaker 1: of these dudes with favor to finish the fight with
8:15
Speaker 1: the fight's favor to finish, and with big favorites like
8:18
Speaker 1: they're gonna project well, they're gonna look good, So I
8:21
Speaker 1: don't have a strong lean on who it is up top.
8:23
Speaker 1: And then yeah, with so many big underdogs, I don't
8:25
Speaker 1: feel too confident down below. So if I could just
8:28
Speaker 1: start my lineup with one of these two in almost
8:30
Speaker 1: every spot, if it busts, yeah, gig, I'm mean fluffy bused.
8:34
Speaker 1: I was pretty much dead last week. Now reverse, this
8:37
Speaker 1: is the first fight of the nights. But again, each
8:39
Speaker 1: fight it's independent to each other. It should not mean
8:42
Speaker 1: if it's the first fight of the last fight or
8:43
Speaker 1: the middle fight. It doesn't mean anything. In DFS. It's
8:47
Speaker 1: a mental thing that Okay, now I'm dead, now I'm
8:50
Speaker 1: on bored or whatever it may be. But I think
8:52
Speaker 1: you're playing the game wrong if you do it that way.
8:54
Speaker 1: So yeah, we kicked it off with my favorite fight
8:56
Speaker 1: for sure, and I won a lot of both sides.
8:59
Speaker 1: All right, start getting into some of the big favorites,
9:03
Speaker 1: actually big favorite, and then they're two closely lined fights.
9:05
Speaker 1: But the tied for the highest or the biggest favorite
9:09
Speaker 1: on the card is Francis Marshall at minus seven twenty
9:12
Speaker 1: five taken on Eric Silva plus five to twenty five
9:14
Speaker 1: minus three twenty five for this fight to finish. Marshall
9:17
Speaker 1: the best inside the distance prop on the late minus
9:19
Speaker 1: three twenty five Silva plus one thousand Francis Marshall plus
9:24
Speaker 1: one fifty in round one and he is plus one
9:27
Speaker 1: fifteen by sub and plus two hundred by KO. I'm
9:30
Speaker 1: gonna throw it to you. But one thing I want
9:31
Speaker 1: to mention is a lot of these big favorites are
9:33
Speaker 1: primary strikers on this card, or at least don't have
9:36
Speaker 1: the same takedown upside as. I think someone like a
9:39
Speaker 1: Francis Marshall does have so second highest price on the card,
9:42
Speaker 1: No doubt it's big, But I mean, yeah, minus three
9:46
Speaker 1: twenty five plus one fifty in round one is pretty strong.
9:49
Speaker 1: So what are you seeing?
9:51
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean Silva is like thirty nine years old
9:55
Speaker 2: at this point. We haven't seen him in two years,
9:58
Speaker 2: and he hasn't really shown in anything great when he
10:01
Speaker 2: was younger, So I don't expect anything from Silva. I
10:04
Speaker 2: think we'll get maybe a hot two minutes out of
10:07
Speaker 2: him where he's throwing some powerful shots on the feet.
10:09
Speaker 2: He could maybe shoot for a shot or too if
10:11
Speaker 2: he wants to. But that's not gonna be smart because
10:13
Speaker 2: he's not gonna be playing a fifteen minute game in
10:15
Speaker 2: this one. He should be going for a knockout. If
10:18
Speaker 2: he gets it, he's on the optimal lineup. If he
10:20
Speaker 2: doesn't get it, I think he gets beat. However, Marshall
10:23
Speaker 2: wants to beat him. The issue with Marshall is ninety
10:26
Speaker 2: six hundred dollars is a lot to pay, and he's
10:28
Speaker 2: not a high work rate type of guy. I think
10:30
Speaker 2: he is gonna have all the edges here, especially after
10:33
Speaker 2: the first minute of this fight. He might not have
10:36
Speaker 2: the explosive edge, but he is going to be the
10:38
Speaker 2: better striker, the better wrestler, and he's gonna have the
10:41
Speaker 2: cardio edge. I just think he's gonna dominate the Fight's
10:44
Speaker 2: just how many points is he going to score in
10:46
Speaker 2: the process. I'm not sure. I would rather take my
10:48
Speaker 2: chances underwear under his price, especially because we are starving
10:54
Speaker 2: for underdogs on this card. I think it's gonna be
10:56
Speaker 2: tough for me to pay ninety six hundred dollars first
10:58
Speaker 2: of all, but I would rather go to guy I mean,
11:01
Speaker 2: just one hundred dollars less, and Gandra will talk about,
11:03
Speaker 2: and then there's tons of other people that we can
11:05
Speaker 2: go to instead. So I have a feeling I'm not
11:08
Speaker 2: going to be forcing this one into my life, so
11:09
Speaker 2: I have it as a four. I'm not sure why.
11:11
Speaker 2: I think it's more closer to like a two or
11:14
Speaker 2: three for me.
11:15
Speaker 1: I mean, I can't say anything against that. The price
11:18
Speaker 1: tag is what will keep me away. And like Santiago
11:22
Speaker 1: Luna for example, it's the first one I saw at
11:24
Speaker 1: ninety three hundred. I'm totally fine plugging in Marshall, dropping
11:27
Speaker 1: down in Luna, leaving three hundred going about your day.
11:30
Speaker 1: And again, hundred dogs are tough though, so I'm not
11:33
Speaker 1: sure how much Marshall I will get, but I will
11:35
Speaker 1: say I kind of will skip ahead Cononas at ninety
11:38
Speaker 1: seven hundred. I do prefer Marshall in a vacuum myself.
11:41
Speaker 1: I think he has more wrestling upside, so I can't
11:44
Speaker 1: leave one hundred there. But yeah, Cononas Marshall. Not sure
11:48
Speaker 1: how much I'll be able to get of them, but
11:49
Speaker 1: they should roll for me. Marquis pretty much nothing I
11:53
Speaker 1: can't really remember. I guess, like, I mean, you're at
11:56
Speaker 1: that point you're almost like trying to be a psychology major.
11:59
Speaker 1: Reading into both guys is aura and their confidence and
12:02
Speaker 1: all that. If you're good at that, maybe more so
12:05
Speaker 1: I look at it just like if it's like a
12:07
Speaker 1: guy making their debut, or it feels like a couple
12:08
Speaker 1: of people lie about their height, like seeing a height
12:10
Speaker 1: difference between someone, or this and that. But I mean,
12:13
Speaker 1: last time I can when I say that, Like Jack
12:15
Speaker 1: Della islam. Everyone kept talking about how big Jack Della
12:18
Speaker 1: is this and that, and we saw how that works.
12:20
Speaker 1: So do you have any take on this?
12:23
Speaker 2: I wouldn't say it determines my player pool, but I
12:25
Speaker 2: do watch face off sometimes to get a better read
12:28
Speaker 2: on a fight, especially if I don't really have a
12:30
Speaker 2: lean one way or another. Sometimes a face off can
12:33
Speaker 2: can't sway me one way or another.
12:35
Speaker 1: Day. There you go. Yeah, me and Big Marley. If
12:37
Speaker 1: you watch your education video, you got to be a
12:39
Speaker 1: member at chip Nation to do so more. Education have
12:42
Speaker 1: it for multiple sports MMA, Big Marley and I play
12:45
Speaker 1: and I Big Marley and I play MMA definitely different
12:48
Speaker 1: to an extent, a lot of the same things, but
12:50
Speaker 1: he's more. I know fights. I'm trying to be more
12:53
Speaker 1: process oriented. Numbers when I win, how much I win,
12:56
Speaker 1: not that Big Marley doesn't do that, but he's also
12:58
Speaker 1: more aggressive with his playerpool than as well, so so
13:01
Speaker 1: I love talking fights with him. It's always a good time.
13:03
Speaker 1: Can help me dictate. Shout out to you. Last week
13:06
Speaker 1: with the Poonahlli Soriano ended up helping me out getting
13:10
Speaker 1: off brahimage quite a bit. That in the line.
13:12
Speaker 2: Movement probably helped me not have a bad night.
13:16
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was a close fight too. It was a
13:18
Speaker 1: close fight. It was minus one twenty.
13:20
Speaker 2: Yeah, decision. I didn't even I don't even listen to him,
13:23
Speaker 2: so I'm just waiting to see the get raised.
13:26
Speaker 1: I definitely listened to him. I don't know how you
13:28
Speaker 1: how you don't listen to him. You're a different beast
13:30
Speaker 1: sometimes sometimes. All right, keep it rolling. Next fight on
13:33
Speaker 1: the card again, this is the short notice replacement. Uh,
13:37
Speaker 1: what is Regina Terran taking on Ernesta karriskate A. The
13:40
Speaker 1: line opened minus one fifty and then seven hours later
13:45
Speaker 1: got as low as minus two twenty. Some money has
13:48
Speaker 1: came back on the Terran side. Now it's minus one
13:50
Speaker 1: eighty five plus one sixty, one of the most likely
13:53
Speaker 1: fights to go the distance on the card at plus
13:54
Speaker 1: two to twenty five. Kris kate A and Terran are
13:57
Speaker 1: both plus four to twenty five. Inside the distance. You
14:01
Speaker 1: can see Terran making her UFC debut at twenty one
14:04
Speaker 1: years old, seven and zero, but she did lose an
14:07
Speaker 1: amateur fight. She was one and one in the amateurs,
14:09
Speaker 1: which I almost like to see. I like when a
14:12
Speaker 1: fighter deals with some sort of adversity. I saw this
14:15
Speaker 1: as Terren wants to get the fight to the mat,
14:17
Speaker 1: Kris Katesy wants to keep it on the feet. Fight
14:19
Speaker 1: heavily favor go the distance, and I see one girl
14:21
Speaker 1: ninety one hundred, one girl seventy six hundred with the
14:24
Speaker 1: same inside the distance prop. It is definitely Terran or
14:27
Speaker 1: pass for me. How do you see it?
14:31
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean if I was making one hundred and fifty,
14:33
Speaker 2: I don't think I would pass on Karakaty, But I
14:37
Speaker 2: am more so on the Terran or pass that with
14:40
Speaker 2: my limited handbuilt lineups, I just don't think I'm gonna
14:42
Speaker 2: want to pay ninety one hundred for Karakaty on this card.
14:45
Speaker 2: But she should have a massive striking edge. I think
14:49
Speaker 2: in this fight she should be the one if it's
14:51
Speaker 2: on the feet, pushing forward Land in nice, technical, crisp
14:55
Speaker 2: straight shots that will eventually add up and she could
14:58
Speaker 2: put Terran away and she you can also put up
15:00
Speaker 2: decent volume along the way. So I think at no
15:02
Speaker 2: ownership she makes some sense and she could be somebody
15:06
Speaker 2: who lets you ship at solo. But Terran is an
15:10
Speaker 2: underdog who if they win, you're gonna need her because
15:13
Speaker 2: she is gonna have to get the fight to the ground,
15:15
Speaker 2: and if she does, she could finish the fight with
15:19
Speaker 2: a ground of pound stoppage or a submission or even
15:23
Speaker 2: grind out. Two rounds at her price would be enough
15:26
Speaker 2: because it's gonna have to be with wrestling. But the
15:28
Speaker 2: issue is she's not a good wrestler and she will
15:31
Speaker 2: clinch up against the cage for like two three minutes
15:35
Speaker 2: at a time, and that could just kill this fight completely.
15:38
Speaker 2: So that keeps it closer to a two star than
15:41
Speaker 2: a four star. But I have it as a three
15:43
Speaker 2: right now because I have interest in the underdog, and
15:45
Speaker 2: I think that the favorite could be a sneaky favorite
15:49
Speaker 2: that nobody's gonna be on. And if it is a
15:51
Speaker 2: one way traffic type of fight, if the takedowns aren't
15:54
Speaker 2: there for Terran, maybe she gets finished late the first round,
15:57
Speaker 2: after Kara Katy already put up forty five significant strikes
16:01
Speaker 2: and you're starting out the gates with like a nine
16:04
Speaker 2: percent on favorite. I feel like that'd be a good feeling.
16:07
Speaker 1: Yeah. Actually so I said it might have been le
16:09
Speaker 1: All on his team. It was actually Jocelyn Edwards. And
16:12
Speaker 1: that's kind of a similar play. We're I mean, one
16:14
Speaker 1: thing we got right last week, definitely got plenty wrong.
16:17
Speaker 1: It didn't mean anything but the Jocelyn. And again it
16:20
Speaker 1: didn't look good in round one, and then a freak
16:23
Speaker 1: nice slam in round two, and next thing, you know,
16:25
Speaker 1: she's optimal. Shows the variants in dfs in mmadfs, you
16:29
Speaker 1: think it's so bad and you're kicking yourself. Next thing,
16:31
Speaker 1: you know she's optimal. But yeah, I mean very low
16:34
Speaker 1: owned a way to get different karas Kate throws volume,
16:37
Speaker 1: but man like plus four to twenty five to finish
16:40
Speaker 1: on a card with the upper tier this loaded, it's
16:43
Speaker 1: tough for me, There's no doubt about that. So I
16:45
Speaker 1: won't have much, if any, and I definitely are gonna
16:47
Speaker 1: play some terran I mean plus one sixty five that's
16:50
Speaker 1: almost like the closest line fight on the card. She
16:53
Speaker 1: has taken some money and she's a wrestler. I mean, yeah,
16:56
Speaker 1: if she wins, like I would definitely want probably like
16:59
Speaker 1: fifth five sixty percent if I knew she would win
17:02
Speaker 1: on this card. Just with how little dogs I like,
17:05
Speaker 1: so yeah, at least yeah. So tarn is one of
17:09
Speaker 1: my favorite underdogs on the slag. Kraskates one of my
17:12
Speaker 1: least favorite favorites, probably my least favorite. Let's go to
17:15
Speaker 1: another underdog I think is live, and that is Douglas
17:18
Speaker 1: Silva Day and Rage plus one eighty five taken on
17:21
Speaker 1: Hoavier Rays minus two fifteen minus one forty five for
17:25
Speaker 1: this fight to finish, Rayes plus one twenty inside the distance,
17:28
Speaker 1: Douglas Silva Day and Rage plus three eighty Reyes a
17:32
Speaker 1: primary grappler, plus two sixty to win by sub plus
17:35
Speaker 1: three fifty to win by KO. Douglas Silva Day Androge
17:38
Speaker 1: plus four hundred by KO. I mean, if you guys
17:41
Speaker 1: haven't seen Douglas Silva Day and Drage, just google. The man,
17:44
Speaker 1: probably the most rit forty year old you will ever see,
17:46
Speaker 1: throws absolute bombs on the feet. Twenty of his twenty
17:49
Speaker 1: nine wins have ended by knockout. He is going up
17:52
Speaker 1: a division in this fight as well, which I almost
17:54
Speaker 1: like for him. I mean, he cuts so much weight.
17:57
Speaker 1: This is just another fight for me where I need
17:59
Speaker 1: under the line somewhat close, his takedown, defensive solid, he
18:04
Speaker 1: hits really hard. I need underdog. So Douglas selvadandrog is
18:08
Speaker 1: live for me. So I'm gonna play some more curiously
18:11
Speaker 1: here on your take on how this fight goes. Like
18:14
Speaker 1: Rays is gonna be really low owned and he wants
18:16
Speaker 1: to fight on the mat but or not really low owned,
18:19
Speaker 1: but relatively in this slate with moreno one hundred more.
18:22
Speaker 1: But I don't know. I'll let you talk about the
18:24
Speaker 1: Ray aside. For me, I'm definitely playing in drage.
18:27
Speaker 2: Yeah. I didn't really dig into Rays too much. I'm
18:29
Speaker 2: gonna have to watch more with him. I watched his
18:32
Speaker 2: Contender series fight I believe or whatever his last couple
18:35
Speaker 2: of fights were, and really this fight is just more
18:39
Speaker 2: on the andrage side. I mean, this guy's about to
18:40
Speaker 2: be forty one years old. We haven't seen him in
18:43
Speaker 2: a year and a half. He was already looking like
18:46
Speaker 2: he's on the decline. He's never been a high volume fighter.
18:49
Speaker 2: All he really is is a powerful striker, and I
18:53
Speaker 2: mean he could be like a powerful rappler as well,
18:56
Speaker 2: but he's he doesn't wrestle much. He's landed I think
18:59
Speaker 2: six takedowns in the last decade, so not somebody that
19:04
Speaker 2: is gonna be looking for takedowns, especially in this matchup.
19:07
Speaker 2: So I think with the Androge side, you're really hoping
19:10
Speaker 2: for a knockout in the first half of the fight,
19:13
Speaker 2: because I think it's just all downhill for them. For
19:15
Speaker 2: him at that point, he's gonna start slowing down. And
19:18
Speaker 2: at forty one years old, man, you're you're not trying
19:21
Speaker 2: to get paid by the minute. Man, You're you're trying
19:23
Speaker 2: to get in or out of there. I think so
19:25
Speaker 2: if it's not going his way, I think he's gonna
19:26
Speaker 2: end up giving up at some point. And Reyes is
19:29
Speaker 2: a finisher. I think he could finish Androge on the
19:32
Speaker 2: feet late in the fight or on the ground at
19:34
Speaker 2: any point in the fight. So I do prefer the
19:37
Speaker 2: Rays side, but it's just because of Drige. I don't
19:41
Speaker 2: I didn't really I wasn't impressed with Reyes. I just
19:45
Speaker 2: think he's getting Androge at the perfect time, making his debut.
19:49
Speaker 2: He's gonna be all pumped up. I think the UFC
19:52
Speaker 2: wants him to win at this point, so he is
19:54
Speaker 2: my pick to win. If he's gonna be loaned, I
19:57
Speaker 2: like him. If he's gonna be high owed, then I'll
20:00
Speaker 2: I'll find other people makes a.
20:02
Speaker 1: Lot of sense. I don't think you will be high owned.
20:04
Speaker 1: I think Rays will definitely be low owned. I think
20:06
Speaker 1: Andrag will be relatively low in the same price as Terror,
20:10
Speaker 1: and I do think more people do go to the
20:12
Speaker 1: Tearan side, probably more people go Macy. But I mean,
20:16
Speaker 1: at the end of the day, like if I if
20:18
Speaker 1: I knew a seventy six hundred isn't like completely low tier,
20:21
Speaker 1: but if he scored sixty five, like I would take
20:24
Speaker 1: it on this card, I wouldn't want seventy percent. But man,
20:27
Speaker 1: we're gonna be talking about so many Monster Monster favorites
20:30
Speaker 1: where I'm not picking almost any of these guys where
20:32
Speaker 1: I'm signing up for sixty five, I'm signing up for
20:35
Speaker 1: fifty five and a loss at seventy two hundred this week.
20:38
Speaker 1: It's just it's a whole there's eighty five hundred and
20:41
Speaker 1: seventy seven hundred, and no fights between eighty four hundred
20:43
Speaker 1: and seventy eight hundred, So you're forced into a stars
20:46
Speaker 1: and scrubs build on a card with so many big
20:49
Speaker 1: favorites there very well might be a loser on the
20:51
Speaker 1: auto Big Marley one of his biggest wins. What was
20:54
Speaker 1: that nine points from? Was it Marnick Mann or something crazy? Yes?
20:58
Speaker 2: Whatever she had? Yeah, it was like nothing and I
21:00
Speaker 2: had another loser in there too, or.
21:03
Speaker 1: Was it like Dulgarian or something that sport, Yeah, like
21:06
Speaker 1: Dulgarian or something that had like sixty Like it was.
21:09
Speaker 2: Someone like chefchenko Grosso. It was like a draw or
21:15
Speaker 2: something happened. Oh okay, maybe, but I was, oh yeah.
21:19
Speaker 2: So another thing about this fight. I also hate when
21:22
Speaker 2: there are two people priced the same. So if I
21:26
Speaker 2: do like an Androge lineup, you kind of have to
21:30
Speaker 2: duplicate that and they's the same lineup and put Terran
21:33
Speaker 2: in there too. So I think I would just personally
21:36
Speaker 2: with limited lineups. I'm taking a stand at seventy six
21:39
Speaker 2: hundred dollars. I'm going to terror If I could use
21:42
Speaker 2: a boat, that's great, but uh I that Fomo would
21:46
Speaker 2: kill me. Man if I if I had Tearran in
21:48
Speaker 2: my lineup with the same exact lineup, would have won
21:50
Speaker 2: if I had andrage man, that would kill me.
21:53
Speaker 1: So you handbuild, like when you say that, you handbuild
21:55
Speaker 1: more so right like is when you're saying that, because
21:57
Speaker 1: for me, like if Sabersim does that, I'm not gonna care.
22:00
Speaker 1: I'm not going through all one hundreds.
22:02
Speaker 2: Of Yeah, I wouldn't do that either, But I usually
22:05
Speaker 2: have twenty or less lineup, So I'm trying to hand
22:07
Speaker 2: build if I if I have trouble making lineups, and
22:11
Speaker 2: I will just go over to Sabersim and I'll put
22:13
Speaker 2: in as many kind of rules, all X outs of people,
22:17
Speaker 2: and then I'll try to get it to where it
22:19
Speaker 2: gives me, like less than fifty lineups total with that
22:22
Speaker 2: fit with what I'm giving it, and then I'll just
22:24
Speaker 2: run run that. But I try to get a small pool,
22:27
Speaker 2: like as if I was handbuilding myself.
22:29
Speaker 1: You know.
22:30
Speaker 2: Yeah, but yeah, yeah, I haven't had I haven't done
22:34
Speaker 2: that in a while. It's been it's been a it's
22:36
Speaker 2: been a while, but this car's gonna be weird. I
22:38
Speaker 2: might win to fifty in the in the three entry max.
22:40
Speaker 2: I have no idea what my plan is this weekend.
22:44
Speaker 2: I made one lineup to already just to kind of
22:46
Speaker 2: get a feel for it. And I don't. I don't
22:49
Speaker 2: love it, So we'll see what happens.
22:50
Speaker 1: I could imagine. I mean, I almost hand build never anymore.
22:54
Speaker 1: I'm definitely an mm me find the portfolio of fine fights.
22:56
Speaker 1: I like try and limit dupes. But I could even
22:59
Speaker 1: if I was a single unry guy like this would
23:01
Speaker 1: be one of the hardest single entry fights in my opinion,
23:03
Speaker 1: because you could get three of the favorites right and
23:05
Speaker 1: they all score ninety two and you couldn't even be
23:07
Speaker 1: You might not even be close to the winner because
23:10
Speaker 1: these other guys are scoring one to fifteen and one
23:12
Speaker 1: oh eight and one twelve and whatever it may be.
23:15
Speaker 1: This is a really, really hard DFS card, but ownership
23:19
Speaker 1: will be relatively spread out. We have thirteen fights, and yeah,
23:22
Speaker 1: in that case, it's it's pretty good. Find the right underdogs.
23:26
Speaker 1: I hope you pair him with the right favorites. Yeah,
23:27
Speaker 1: easy game. When you say it like that, we'll keep
23:30
Speaker 1: it rolling. The next fight on the card. Tied for
23:32
Speaker 1: the biggest favorites with Francis Marshall is actually no now
23:36
Speaker 1: he's the third biggest favorite at minus seven hundred. Christian
23:38
Speaker 1: cononas plus five hundred Chris Mattino minus two sixty for
23:42
Speaker 1: this fight to finish, Cononas minus one ninety five inside
23:45
Speaker 1: the distance, Matinio plus seven hundred Condona's round one plus
23:50
Speaker 1: two plus one eighty. I already tipped my hand, like
23:53
Speaker 1: Conona should beat this guy up. But he's ninety seven hundred.
23:56
Speaker 1: He's one hundred more than Marshall. Yeah, that's a lot
23:58
Speaker 1: of that's a lot of salary when I don't like
24:02
Speaker 1: many dogs, and I think ninety three hundred, ninety two
24:05
Speaker 1: hundred nine K. I think there's other people below that
24:07
Speaker 1: have just as much upside. So no, Matino probably underway.
24:11
Speaker 1: Canonas for me, what about you?
24:16
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would say it's similar to the Marshall fight.
24:18
Speaker 2: For me, I'll probably move it down to a three
24:19
Speaker 2: star as well. Not gonna use any Motino. I don't
24:23
Speaker 2: even know why he's getting another chance here in the UFC,
24:25
Speaker 2: but I don't see him every winning a UFC fight.
24:28
Speaker 2: He's one of a couple people on this card I
24:30
Speaker 2: feel that way about. But I think Quinona is gonna
24:34
Speaker 2: be better than him everywhere. I don't see a single
24:36
Speaker 2: edge in this fight for Matino other than like maybe toughness,
24:39
Speaker 2: but he is coming off a brutal knockout, and I
24:42
Speaker 2: think Quinonas is more live for a first minute win
24:47
Speaker 2: than Marshall, So maybe I'd be okay having Quinones over
24:52
Speaker 2: Marshall for that reason. But I'm really gonna try to
24:54
Speaker 2: avoid ninety six and ninety seven if I can, because
24:57
Speaker 2: I don't love the underdogs on this card. See what
25:00
Speaker 2: happens when I start building, But I don't just imagine.
25:02
Speaker 2: I don't get to too much. Cononas. I think he
25:04
Speaker 2: wins by knockout.
25:05
Speaker 1: Though Mark Books disagree a little bit. Marshall plus one
25:09
Speaker 1: fifty inside of distance, Cononas plus one eighty. With that
25:12
Speaker 1: being said, Canonas did open plus two to twenty five
25:14
Speaker 1: in round one now plus one eighty, so good amount
25:17
Speaker 1: of money has come in on his one round one prop.
25:20
Speaker 1: Both are obviously solid. I mean, both can get a
25:23
Speaker 1: round one knockout and still not even be sniffing the
25:25
Speaker 1: optimal at the end of the day, just because of
25:28
Speaker 1: again a tight salary, and other big favorites also have
25:32
Speaker 1: similar upside as well. Next fight on the card closest
25:37
Speaker 1: line fight, closest price fights Eileen Perez minus one seventy
25:40
Speaker 1: five Mason chas on plus one fifty plus two to
25:43
Speaker 1: ten or plus two to fifteen for this fight to
25:45
Speaker 1: finish both Macy and i Leen plus four to ten
25:49
Speaker 1: inside the distance. I am so torn on this fight.
25:52
Speaker 1: I am all ears. Yeah, I mean the stone right there.
25:55
Speaker 1: Four point six to eight takedowns per fifteen for Perez,
25:58
Speaker 1: two point zero seven for me. Aileen has definitely put
26:01
Speaker 1: up big scores even in decisions. Do you see her
26:05
Speaker 1: having that same type of upside in this matchup?
26:07
Speaker 2: Yeah? I think that is her biggest edge in this
26:11
Speaker 2: matchup would be the wrestling, and if Chiason can get
26:15
Speaker 2: back up, good for her, try and get another takedown
26:17
Speaker 2: for Perez. I have the four star Perez for that reason,
26:21
Speaker 2: and since I've moved Quindonez fight down to a three
26:25
Speaker 2: star in the Marshall fight down to a three star,
26:27
Speaker 2: I moved this from three star up to a four
26:30
Speaker 2: star because I do think this is a pretty good
26:32
Speaker 2: fight to target. Perez just always a solid DFS target
26:36
Speaker 2: because of her wrestling upside. If she wins a striking match,
26:39
Speaker 2: it's gonna suck for DFS. But if it's a striking
26:42
Speaker 2: match that puts Chiason in play, I think Chason would
26:45
Speaker 2: actually win the striking match if it stays on the
26:47
Speaker 2: feet and Chason I would give the cardio edge two.
26:52
Speaker 2: If Perez is laying in takedown after takedown after takedown
26:55
Speaker 2: early in the fight, but Chason keeps getting up, I
26:58
Speaker 2: think the second half of the fight could be a
27:00
Speaker 2: Chias fight, And if she gets on top of Perez,
27:03
Speaker 2: I think she could finish Perez in that position as well.
27:06
Speaker 2: So I'm cool with either side of this one. I
27:08
Speaker 2: prefer Perez, but it's another one similar to that first
27:11
Speaker 2: fight where I might start with Damien and move down
27:14
Speaker 2: to Wes. I moreso want to force that fight into
27:17
Speaker 2: my lineup, but this one would be okay with me
27:19
Speaker 2: if I am handbuilding, I have Perez not really loving it.
27:23
Speaker 2: What can I do? Let's drop down to chase it. Now,
27:25
Speaker 2: Let's see what I can do.
27:27
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I've leaned Chiason literally for that last
27:29
Speaker 1: thing you said, and I think I'm gonna be forced
27:32
Speaker 1: to I don't love clicking on these underdogs. I'll actually
27:35
Speaker 1: I keep saying the same thing, but most of the
27:38
Speaker 1: underdogs that I do have interest in I've already kind
27:40
Speaker 1: of talked about and Macy like this fight should be
27:44
Speaker 1: relatively high paced. The striking I think will be close.
27:47
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if I Lean wins the striking.
27:49
Speaker 1: Exchanges like I Lean's actually improve decent bit in the striking.
27:53
Speaker 1: But Macy does have better cardio. Maybe she can get
27:57
Speaker 1: a takedown of her own. Clinch control, top control, control time.
28:01
Speaker 1: It really just comes back to sixty five. Might be
28:04
Speaker 1: enough at seventy seven hundred this week, and I need
28:07
Speaker 1: salary relief, So a live dog, closest line fight or
28:10
Speaker 1: close the most likely underdog to win on the card.
28:15
Speaker 1: Seventy seven hundred. Yeah, I think she's live. I'll take
28:19
Speaker 1: a win at any seven k price tag. Definitely playing
28:22
Speaker 1: her and Aileen Perez. She's someone I said I want
28:24
Speaker 1: to be around the field with like her upside. She's
28:27
Speaker 1: scored one hundred plus multiple times. If she is just
28:29
Speaker 1: a way better wrestler, she can easily put up one
28:32
Speaker 1: six one oh seven something like that, and that'd be
28:35
Speaker 1: great at eighty five hundred. But I don't think this
28:38
Speaker 1: is the fight she does it because if Macy's taken down,
28:40
Speaker 1: she's not great at getting back up, which is almost
28:43
Speaker 1: what you want. Soileen can keep changing the takedowns. I
28:46
Speaker 1: can see like a three takedowns for eight minutes of
28:49
Speaker 1: control time or whatever eighty eight ninety points, and I
28:52
Speaker 1: don't think you take it. But I'm not sure that's
28:55
Speaker 1: enough on this card at eighty five hundred, just with
28:57
Speaker 1: how loaded everything is. So this is fight. I don't
29:00
Speaker 1: want really to burn me in either way. So I'll
29:03
Speaker 1: be probably pretty close to the field on Perez, probably
29:05
Speaker 1: overweight Gason as a very live dog. What's up, Mike Spencer,
29:10
Speaker 1: Good evening to you. Appreciate all of everyone hanging out
29:13
Speaker 1: watching live, watching on playback. Hope you're having a great day.
29:16
Speaker 1: Hope you're ready for a great weekend. All we ask
29:19
Speaker 1: is like button, subscribe, button and a lot of If
29:21
Speaker 1: you do want to join us at the Nation, let
29:23
Speaker 1: me show you real quick shipitenation dot com. I think
29:25
Speaker 1: the best deal join the Nation is the five days
29:28
Speaker 1: for nineteen dollars because it gets you NBA, gets your
29:32
Speaker 1: PGA Showdown, gets your MMA, and gets you NASCAR on
29:35
Speaker 1: Sundays in addition to NHL one, two, three, four, five Sports.
29:41
Speaker 1: You're getting nineteen dollars for five days, and you're getting
29:44
Speaker 1: Saber sim to help build your teams. And you are
29:46
Speaker 1: getting access to the discord. Definitely the best steal around.
29:49
Speaker 1: If you're just watching MMA and you just play MMA
29:52
Speaker 1: single sports, MMA right here, twenty nine dollars for the month,
29:57
Speaker 1: you can get everything. If you do want to add
29:59
Speaker 1: Saber sim you can get that as well. I mean,
30:01
Speaker 1: if you know you're gonna be with us ever UFC
30:03
Speaker 1: card I would definitely just do the annual twenty five
30:06
Speaker 1: dollars a month. You get all of our content and
30:08
Speaker 1: you get sabers him multiple options, you play multiple sports.
30:11
Speaker 1: I think the five day nineteen dollars the best trial.
30:14
Speaker 1: If you just want the day on Saturday, you can
30:16
Speaker 1: try us out for nine bucks. Projections, ownership, fight ranking,
30:20
Speaker 1: slate plan, our MMA education tutorial, Core report, tier rankings,
30:25
Speaker 1: you name it, we got it, and a great great
30:27
Speaker 1: discord around. All right, let's get back to the stone
30:33
Speaker 1: and we'll keep it rolling to the next fight on
30:34
Speaker 1: the card, Ryan Gondra taking on Jose Medina. Gondra tied
30:39
Speaker 1: for the biggest favor with Marshall at minus seven to
30:41
Speaker 1: twenty five Madina plus five to twenty five minus three
30:44
Speaker 1: fifty for this fight to finish, Gondra of minus two
30:46
Speaker 1: to fifty inside the distance Medina plus six hundred Gondra
30:50
Speaker 1: Round one plus one fifty five. You already tipped your
30:54
Speaker 1: hand a little bit earlier saying you prefer Gondra over
30:59
Speaker 1: Francis Marshall. Why do you do so? And is he
31:01
Speaker 1: your favorite spend in the upper tier?
31:04
Speaker 2: Because Medina is another one of those guys I just
31:06
Speaker 2: don't see ever getting a UFC win. Is that this
31:09
Speaker 2: is like fourth or fifth chance?
31:11
Speaker 1: I think I just don't go for series. He lost something,
31:16
Speaker 1: got out struck like seventy five to twenty seven, taking
31:18
Speaker 1: down six times, get gets the contract? Oh and three
31:21
Speaker 1: in the UFC. None of them have been close.
31:25
Speaker 2: Dude made Jack Reese look like GSP. So I'm just
31:30
Speaker 2: not I'd pick almost anybody over Medina. But Gandra I
31:35
Speaker 2: was at least like I watched him. I was like, Okay,
31:37
Speaker 2: this guy pushes forward, he looks dangerous, he's aggressive, he
31:42
Speaker 2: can hit hard. That those are good things.
31:44
Speaker 1: At least.
31:45
Speaker 2: There was nothing good to say really about Medina other
31:48
Speaker 2: than he's tough, he can take it. You can take
31:50
Speaker 2: a punch. That's pretty good, but that's not gonna win
31:53
Speaker 2: your UFC fights. So give me Gandra or passing this one.
31:57
Speaker 2: I think it'll be easier to afford Gandre at ninety
31:59
Speaker 2: five than it is, and I always prefer to get
32:03
Speaker 2: away from ninety six and up just in general. So
32:07
Speaker 2: I love this ninety five hundred dollars price on Gandra.
32:10
Speaker 2: I think he gets a first round knockout. I think
32:12
Speaker 2: it'll be the last time we see Medinah, and it'll
32:15
Speaker 2: probably be the last time we see Gandra as a
32:17
Speaker 2: minus seven twenty five favorite as well.
32:20
Speaker 1: Yeah, I echo everything you said. No, Medina, Gandra probably
32:24
Speaker 1: scores well, but again, he's ninety five hundred. I'd like
32:26
Speaker 1: I think Luna, who we're just going to talk about,
32:29
Speaker 1: is just the same amount offside as all those guys ahead,
32:32
Speaker 1: and he's ninety three hundred dollars. So if I end
32:35
Speaker 1: up underweight on ninety five hundred, ninety six hundred and
32:37
Speaker 1: ninety seven hundred, honestly, I'm fine with that. Even though
32:40
Speaker 1: they're all favored to finish, we're talking about some other
32:42
Speaker 1: cheapies or other cheaper fighters in the upper tier. They're
32:46
Speaker 1: also expected to finish, and allows you to either leave
32:50
Speaker 1: money to get different or spend up for some more
32:52
Speaker 1: likely dogs to win. So yeah, I like anddra but
32:56
Speaker 1: who knows how much I'll have with him. I'm not
32:58
Speaker 1: going to make hard stands in the upper tier, Like
33:00
Speaker 1: I said, I prefer to narrow my underdog pool. Medina
33:03
Speaker 1: is one that I do not want to click. Next
33:06
Speaker 1: fight another big favorite, Santiago Luna minus six twenty five,
33:11
Speaker 1: Angelcheco plus four to fifty minus three twenty five for
33:14
Speaker 1: this fight to finish, Luna minus two to fifteen inside
33:17
Speaker 1: the distance, but Checko plus five point fifty. I mean, man,
33:21
Speaker 1: Luna looks good seven to zero, only twenty one years old.
33:24
Speaker 1: He's definitely not afraid to fight, like he'll get hit,
33:28
Speaker 1: which is a little scary. So I'm wondering about your
33:30
Speaker 1: Pacheco thoughts because it's hard with twenty teams or less.
33:34
Speaker 1: But he's plus four to fifty money line, he's plus
33:36
Speaker 1: five to fifty inside the distance. Like if he wins,
33:39
Speaker 1: books are saying he's probably winning by finish. Any underdog
33:42
Speaker 1: that's wins by finish this week is optimal. So I've
33:45
Speaker 1: gone back and forth. I just think Luna is way
33:48
Speaker 1: better everywhere, so I probably need more than twenty teams.
33:51
Speaker 1: But I mean, he's definitely a low owned dog. That
33:54
Speaker 1: if he wins, is almost surely optimal. In my opinion,
33:58
Speaker 1: I'm gonna ax him out. Luna is my favorite play
34:01
Speaker 1: on the card. I'm a big Luna fan. I think
34:03
Speaker 1: this kid's.
34:03
Speaker 2: Gonna be good. A little bit of Jacoby Smith in
34:08
Speaker 2: this guy. I think big hands and powerful wrestling, and
34:11
Speaker 2: he comes to fight early. I like everything about him.
34:14
Speaker 2: I think he dominates this fight. I think Pachecko is
34:18
Speaker 2: in the cage with Luna this weekend to lose and
34:22
Speaker 2: to set up Luna for a highlight reel. Twenty what
34:25
Speaker 2: is twenty one years old?
34:27
Speaker 1: Man?
34:27
Speaker 2: Yeah, this kid is gonna have a bright future. I'm
34:30
Speaker 2: gonna if I was making five lineups, I'm just gonna
34:33
Speaker 2: throw Luna in all five of them. Ten I'm thinking
34:36
Speaker 2: about doing the same thing. Luna is my favorite play
34:38
Speaker 2: on the card. I think he could win with the
34:40
Speaker 2: first round knockout or just mop the floor with them.
34:47
Speaker 2: Checko let Pacheco let law Fern get one hundred and
34:50
Speaker 2: forty significant strikes and three takedowns as well. Like, Luna's
34:55
Speaker 2: just gonna dominate this guy. I think I like Luna.
34:58
Speaker 2: Luna alt I threw him in a parlay and he
35:01
Speaker 2: was like minus four hundred Grange. I was like, min shit,
35:03
Speaker 2: I just play this straight right now. I think it
35:04
Speaker 2: is pretty solid odds, but I did.
35:07
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, that's very good value. Minus four twenty
35:10
Speaker 1: five now a lot of line movement on this card.
35:13
Speaker 1: Always recommend going to fight odds IO. You can click
35:16
Speaker 1: the number you open minus four hundred. Now he's minus
35:19
Speaker 1: six twenty five. Yeah. I probably won't play Pacheco in
35:22
Speaker 1: twenty or less, but I'm not going to x him
35:24
Speaker 1: if I'm playing twenty or more, which I do most weeks,
35:27
Speaker 1: some of the flagship, some in the three dollars, occasionally
35:31
Speaker 1: in the qualifier, depending on what the number is. But yeah,
35:34
Speaker 1: Luna is a great play. But man, you really went
35:37
Speaker 1: on it on a whim or like went out there
35:39
Speaker 1: ten lineups all ten maybe for sure five?
35:42
Speaker 2: Like I like this a lot.
35:43
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah. I mean if he's optimal and you have
35:47
Speaker 1: the penis and should fight like one hundred percent and
35:49
Speaker 1: you get Luna optimal in one of those two, I
35:52
Speaker 1: mean that's kind of that's like the best way if
35:55
Speaker 1: you have the penis to go on. I mean, that's
35:59
Speaker 1: the dude's last name, So I don't want to crack
36:00
Speaker 1: too many.
36:01
Speaker 2: Yeah, I forgot about that guy.
36:02
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, but like that fight. You know what I'm saying.
36:05
Speaker 1: I love that fight, you love Luna. If it's one
36:08
Speaker 1: of those two on the optimal, you only need to
36:09
Speaker 1: find four other spots.
36:11
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good way. I mean, that's I probably
36:14
Speaker 2: it's I want to start my nd building.
36:16
Speaker 1: I would think, Yeah, I'm a handbillying. I'm definitely if
36:18
Speaker 1: I were to Penis Shoultz one of them in there.
36:21
Speaker 1: And Luna is my favorite upper tier fighter as well,
36:24
Speaker 1: because he has wrestling upside, because he has a good
36:26
Speaker 1: first round prop, and he's ninety three hundred versus the
36:29
Speaker 1: other plenty of guys that are more expensive. Let's go
36:32
Speaker 1: one hundred cheaper too. A mono Rodriguez minus four to
36:35
Speaker 1: fifty taking on Kevin Borjas plus three fifty minus two
36:39
Speaker 1: hundred for this fight to finish, Rodriguez minus won thirty
36:42
Speaker 1: five inside the distance Borhaus plus five hundred. I think
36:45
Speaker 1: this could be like low key fight of the night.
36:47
Speaker 1: I mean, I Borhas can stand and bang, Rodriguez can
36:50
Speaker 1: stand and bang a little bit. Rodriguez only twenty six
36:54
Speaker 1: years old, six and oh yeah, I'm really excited to
36:57
Speaker 1: hear your take on this Rodriguez guy, and for us,
37:00
Speaker 1: I mean, he's a live dog in my opinion, that's
37:03
Speaker 1: going to get the fight he wants. So I'm definitely
37:05
Speaker 1: gonna play some Yeah.
37:07
Speaker 2: True, I really haven't thought too much about this fight,
37:09
Speaker 2: but it could be a good one to target because Borjas,
37:12
Speaker 2: I think, does fight at a decently high rate, especially
37:16
Speaker 2: at seven K. If Borhas wins, I think he would
37:19
Speaker 2: put up a pretty solid score. But he he'll strike
37:24
Speaker 2: a lize just that there's not a lot of power
37:26
Speaker 2: behind his punches, and I don't think he's going to
37:28
Speaker 2: be looking to wrestle much. I think Rodriguez is going
37:31
Speaker 2: to be the better, more powerful wrestler, and his shots
37:34
Speaker 2: are gonna be hurting Borjas, and I think the longer
37:37
Speaker 2: this fight goes, those shots are gonna start hurting more
37:39
Speaker 2: and more. We're see Borhas start turtling up a little
37:42
Speaker 2: bit more and more. And I like Rodriguez to get
37:44
Speaker 2: a knockout at some point, but he is still young,
37:47
Speaker 2: he's still green. I don't trust him that much. I
37:50
Speaker 2: just like the overall talent from him, and I think
37:53
Speaker 2: he's a decent prospect, but maybe Boras is catching him
37:57
Speaker 2: at the right time. I'm okay with some BHAs lineups,
38:00
Speaker 2: but personally, I would say it's probably closer to a
38:04
Speaker 2: three star than it is a five star, but I
38:06
Speaker 2: like it where it is.
38:07
Speaker 1: Roun four I agree, I would have to go three
38:09
Speaker 1: over five as well, but I think four is fine.
38:11
Speaker 1: I think Rodrigaz will be relatively low owned in the
38:14
Speaker 1: upper tier, still favored to finish. And yeah, I mean
38:18
Speaker 1: Borjas wins. Sign me up all day at seven K.
38:20
Speaker 1: I do like Borjas, like more than Pacheco, who's one
38:23
Speaker 1: hundred less. I like him more than Silva. I like
38:25
Speaker 1: him more than Mentino, I like him more than Medina.
38:28
Speaker 1: So just naturally, I think I'm gonna play more Borhas
38:31
Speaker 1: than I'm comfortable with. But yeah, I'm trying to limit
38:34
Speaker 1: dogs on this card that I think are drawing very thin.
38:37
Speaker 1: Borjas is one I do think is somewhat live. What's up, Choke,
38:42
Speaker 1: Good to see you Broncos. The Broncos All right, Next
38:45
Speaker 1: fight on the card. Four fights left. Edgar Charez minus
38:50
Speaker 1: three fifty five taking off Felipe Buonez plus two ninety
38:53
Speaker 1: minus two a five for this fight to finish. Chiras
38:56
Speaker 1: minus one sixty inside the distance Bonez plus six fifty,
39:00
Speaker 1: the tyros in round one plus two seventy five, Charas
39:03
Speaker 1: by sub plus two ten, Chyras by Ko plus two ten. Yeah,
39:09
Speaker 1: I mean a nine K fighter that's minus one sixty
39:11
Speaker 1: to finish isn't too bad. I see you have a
39:13
Speaker 1: two star him four star Bonez though, so are you
39:16
Speaker 1: picking the underdog?
39:19
Speaker 2: Yeah? I tried to force in one underdog pick on
39:22
Speaker 2: this card, and this is the guy I picked, but
39:26
Speaker 2: it's it was the line that tops me into it.
39:28
Speaker 2: Just chyrasby and minus three fifty. I still't really agree
39:31
Speaker 2: with that. He is dangerous on the fee, he's dangerous
39:34
Speaker 2: on the ground. He could finish Bonez anywhere. But if
39:37
Speaker 2: he doesn't get a finishman, I think minutes a minute,
39:40
Speaker 2: this is gonna be a pretty close fight. So I
39:42
Speaker 2: leaned Buonez for that reason. I have him as the
39:45
Speaker 2: four star because he's an underdog that I picked to win,
39:49
Speaker 2: but he could definitely get finished on the feet or
39:51
Speaker 2: the ground. He's gonna want to get the fight to
39:53
Speaker 2: the ground, but I could definitely see him getting a
39:55
Speaker 2: takedown and still getting choked at himself, So I wouldn't
39:58
Speaker 2: feel good about it. But I don't feel good about
40:00
Speaker 2: the underdog on this card, so he's the one I'm
40:02
Speaker 2: kind of taking a little stand on.
40:03
Speaker 1: I will be overweight to him.
40:05
Speaker 2: I'll go underweight to Chyres, but I would still want
40:08
Speaker 2: some Chyres exposure because of that first round expanded first
40:12
Speaker 2: round finish equity.
40:14
Speaker 1: Do you think Bunez wrestles quite a bit.
40:17
Speaker 2: I think he's gonna I wouldn't say like quite a bit.
40:19
Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna be a wrestler, but I
40:21
Speaker 2: think he's gonna attempt some wrestling early and if he
40:24
Speaker 2: can do it, I think he's looking to grapple here yet. Yeah,
40:27
Speaker 2: but I also think he would be a guy that
40:29
Speaker 2: if his first two or three takedowns don't work out
40:32
Speaker 2: for him, then all right, we're striking now.
40:35
Speaker 1: How much like would you be willing to go Luna
40:37
Speaker 1: down to Tyres and leave three hundred? Personally, No, because
40:41
Speaker 1: I'm so high on Luna.
40:44
Speaker 2: No, Rodriguez down to'd be okay.
40:48
Speaker 1: With He's favored to finish the fight more minus one
40:51
Speaker 1: sixty versus minus one thirty five, so that makes a
40:53
Speaker 1: lot of sense. Yeah. The thing with Chyras is like man,
40:56
Speaker 1: he gets finishes because he's like, he's not the highest volume,
40:59
Speaker 1: he doesn't get taken down. He relies on the other
41:01
Speaker 1: guys to take him down, which is why his takedown
41:04
Speaker 1: defense is bad. And then he's good off of his
41:05
Speaker 1: back light kicks are nice. But plus two seventy five
41:10
Speaker 1: in round one versus a lot of these other guys
41:11
Speaker 1: isn't the best. I'm definitely gonna play some Boona is
41:14
Speaker 1: a very live dog at seventy two hundred, almost good
41:17
Speaker 1: money line value for his price when we're talking this card,
41:20
Speaker 1: So yeah, boone is probably my preferred play of having
41:23
Speaker 1: to choose three fights left. Daniel zell Huber taking on
41:28
Speaker 1: Bobby King Green. I don't think it's Bobby anymore. I
41:31
Speaker 1: think it's just King Green. Minus five hundred zell Huber
41:35
Speaker 1: plus three seventy five is King minus one forty five
41:38
Speaker 1: for this fight to finish. Minus one forty five inside
41:41
Speaker 1: the distance is zell Huber plus thirteen hundred is kingzel
41:46
Speaker 1: Hubert round one plus two point fifty. I mean a
41:49
Speaker 1: lot of moneys came in on zeal Huber inside the distance,
41:51
Speaker 1: and I'm in agreement. Plus one oh five at open
41:53
Speaker 1: now it's minus one forty five at the end of
41:56
Speaker 1: the day. I mean, this is just not the same
41:58
Speaker 1: King Green as it was year and years ago when
42:01
Speaker 1: it was Bobby. I mean the dude, he fights with
42:03
Speaker 1: his hands down, he likes to jaw. Everything's comes from
42:06
Speaker 1: the hip. It's fun. But zell Huber big, He's long.
42:11
Speaker 1: I'll never forget the Trey Agon fight like that. That
42:14
Speaker 1: will always be a concern, Like maybe I'll just play
42:16
Speaker 1: a little King Green just because you never know if
42:19
Speaker 1: zal Huber's gonna lay an egg like that again. But
42:21
Speaker 1: that was UFC debut in front of fans, a very
42:24
Speaker 1: young kid. I think he's definitely got much better. He's
42:27
Speaker 1: way more technical, he's way more powerful. I'm worried about
42:30
Speaker 1: King Green's chin. He's thirty nine years old. I mean, yeah,
42:34
Speaker 1: it's Xelhuber all day for me. But I don't know
42:37
Speaker 1: if that translates to big DFS score if it doesn't
42:39
Speaker 1: get a first round finished due to no wrestling upside.
42:42
Speaker 1: So yeah, what do you see between these two?
42:46
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the line is a little too wide. Definitely,
42:50
Speaker 2: Green thirty nine years old, almost on his way out here,
42:54
Speaker 2: but nothing. I mean zell Hubert has all the technical
42:58
Speaker 2: ledges like he is taller, longer, should be faster and stronger.
43:02
Speaker 2: At this point, he's younger, he has a higher ceiling.
43:06
Speaker 2: But Green's been around longer. I mean, if you look
43:09
Speaker 2: at their stats here, he lands more significant strikes per minute,
43:14
Speaker 2: he has better accuracy, he eats less strikes, he has
43:17
Speaker 2: better striking defense, he wrestles better. I mean, all the
43:21
Speaker 2: stats point to the Bobby greenside. I'm not calling this
43:24
Speaker 2: guy king, especially if I can plus three seventy five
43:26
Speaker 2: hundred dollars, you can't get out here. Yeah, I think
43:30
Speaker 2: he's gonna get a striking match that he wants, and
43:33
Speaker 2: if there is wrestling, I think he could be the
43:34
Speaker 2: one that's looking to land a couple of takedowns here.
43:37
Speaker 2: I don't feel good about him winning at all, but
43:39
Speaker 2: at sixty eight hundred dollars, I think he could take
43:41
Speaker 2: it to a decision, make it close. I'm interested, probably
43:46
Speaker 2: more so in the Green side than I am the
43:48
Speaker 2: xel Huber side, just because of these price tags. I
43:52
Speaker 2: like other big time favorites more than I like zell Hubert,
43:55
Speaker 2: and I really hate the six K range, but I'm
43:58
Speaker 2: willing to throw Bobby Green into a couple of lineups,
44:01
Speaker 2: So I'll be rooting for the old man Bobby to
44:03
Speaker 2: get it done.
44:04
Speaker 1: You said he cost you thirty five hundred.
44:06
Speaker 2: No, he's plus three seventy five. Saw somebody king You're fucking.
44:13
Speaker 1: That's funny. Yes, I so I did write up if
44:16
Speaker 1: if no underdog's won and King Green goes a decision,
44:20
Speaker 1: that could be like one ten, one hundred and twenty
44:22
Speaker 1: significant strikes and it's forty five or whatever could be enough.
44:27
Speaker 1: Like obviously, if you parlay every favorite on the card,
44:29
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a good amount of plus money. It
44:31
Speaker 1: is favored.
44:33
Speaker 2: Awesome, And say you mentioned the Trey Ogden thing, u
44:36
Speaker 2: Zell Huber can definitely like fight down to his opponent's
44:39
Speaker 2: level as well. Trey Ogden. He's coming off a lost
44:42
Speaker 2: to Michael Johnson. I'm similar situations here, but that was
44:46
Speaker 2: he was not supposed to He was like minus five
44:48
Speaker 2: hundred in that fight. I think he was a big favorite. Yeah,
44:51
Speaker 2: I could definitely see him just ship the bed. But
44:54
Speaker 2: this is in Mexico. He's supposed to be the one
44:57
Speaker 2: that's gonna that. You would assume that you wants to win,
45:01
Speaker 2: but there's no way I would lay minus five hundred
45:04
Speaker 2: on zell Huber when I mean not a single statistical
45:09
Speaker 2: edge in the fight other than age really, so I
45:13
Speaker 2: think he wins, but I think he probably cruises to
45:17
Speaker 2: a decision or gets a TKO that doesn't score enough points.
45:21
Speaker 1: I'm trying to see if that uh that first fight
45:26
Speaker 1: versus fight night where I thought it was in Mexico. No,
45:30
Speaker 1: it was at the Apex. I don't know why I
45:32
Speaker 1: thought it was in in Mexico. I know one of
45:35
Speaker 1: his fights were I don't know exactly which one, but
45:38
Speaker 1: it was a win. Oh it was the Francisco Prado fight.
45:41
Speaker 1: He uh, yeah, he beat the brakes off and but
45:44
Speaker 1: did score enough for DFS for sure. Yeah, I three
45:48
Speaker 1: three star I think is where it should be. I mean,
45:50
Speaker 1: zal Huber will be way lower on than Gondra, He'll
45:52
Speaker 1: be lower on than Francis Marshall. He'll be a lower
45:55
Speaker 1: owned than Luna. Like that's a pivot in the upper
45:58
Speaker 1: tier if you want to go there. I'm more willing
45:59
Speaker 1: to click that Hubert than I am Karaskatee, but he
46:02
Speaker 1: still falls on the list when I am picking favorites
46:06
Speaker 1: up top. All right, two fights left, David Martinez taken
46:10
Speaker 1: on Marlin Cheeto Vera minus three ten Martinez plus two
46:14
Speaker 1: to sixty is Cheeto plus two seventy five for this
46:18
Speaker 1: fight to finish the underdog and Cheeto better inside this
46:20
Speaker 1: is prop at plus four fifteen versus plus five point
46:24
Speaker 1: fifty four David Martinez, I am not playing any favorites
46:27
Speaker 1: or eighty nine hundred fighter that's plus five to fifty
46:30
Speaker 1: to finish. I know it sounds like danygay what I
46:33
Speaker 1: said last week, and the dude gets finished in round one,
46:36
Speaker 1: but Geto one of the best chans out there. All
46:38
Speaker 1: eleven losses have come by decision. I almost never played
46:42
Speaker 1: Cheto in DFS because the dude does nothing, no volume,
46:45
Speaker 1: doesn't wrestle, drops round one, relies on his power too much.
46:49
Speaker 1: But on the card like this, if he wins the
46:52
Speaker 1: fight and scores forty nine points, that might be enough.
46:55
Speaker 1: It might not be, but I promise, I don't promise.
46:58
Speaker 1: If eight six hundred dollars would you'd be mad about
47:02
Speaker 1: the Vera score, But more than likely you're not gonna
47:04
Speaker 1: be mad about forty nine points, even at seventy three
47:06
Speaker 1: hundred this week, and I think he's very live. I mean,
47:10
Speaker 1: the dude, I think it's a striking match. He gets
47:13
Speaker 1: what he wants. He's powerful, he just has to throw it. Yeah,
47:17
Speaker 1: he probably doesn't do, but I mean I like him
47:19
Speaker 1: way more than I like David Martinez for the sixteen
47:22
Speaker 1: hundred savings. So cheeto or pass for me? What about you?
47:26
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll probably flip my stars on this one or
47:30
Speaker 2: make it a three to three. But I really like
47:32
Speaker 2: Martinez a striking I think he is the real deal.
47:36
Speaker 2: I think we are going to have a striking match here,
47:38
Speaker 2: and he is gonna win and just not score enough points.
47:41
Speaker 2: That's how I see the fight going. So I got
47:43
Speaker 2: it as a two star for that reason. I won't
47:45
Speaker 2: be playing much of it. But if Vera does win,
47:48
Speaker 2: he's much more experienced but much more better competition. And
47:53
Speaker 2: if there is grappling, Vera should be the one looking
47:55
Speaker 2: to take it to the ground. That would be smart
47:57
Speaker 2: of him to do. I don't know that he will,
47:59
Speaker 2: but if if he does, he could have some success there.
48:02
Speaker 2: He could get really a submission in any round. So
48:06
Speaker 2: the longer the fight goes, I always like Vera. This
48:08
Speaker 2: is only a three round fight, so doesn't play well
48:11
Speaker 2: for him. I think he's gonna lose at least two
48:14
Speaker 2: of those rounds, but seventy three hundred dollars. I'm a
48:17
Speaker 2: little bit interested. If I need to find an underdog,
48:20
Speaker 2: I'm okay clicking on Vera, but overall, this is one
48:23
Speaker 2: of my least favorite fights to target because I feel
48:26
Speaker 2: good about Martinez winning the fight and just not scoring
48:30
Speaker 2: too many points.
48:32
Speaker 1: Yeah that makes sense. I Vera doesn't have the upside.
48:35
Speaker 1: I just want to win. He has some inequity in
48:37
Speaker 1: my opinion, even though the line is going against him
48:40
Speaker 1: on Tuesday was minus two to seventy Martinez not minus
48:43
Speaker 1: three ten the hometown guy, but Vera more likely to
48:46
Speaker 1: finish the fight as the underdog, so I'm gonna play
48:49
Speaker 1: some hope he lands a big shot, even though yeah,
48:52
Speaker 1: I mean he lost to Amin's a hobby. That's kind
48:54
Speaker 1: of scary when you're trying to back him, But at
48:57
Speaker 1: least you get a lot better number this time around.
49:00
Speaker 1: Main event time, Brandon Moreno was supposed to be Brandon
49:04
Speaker 1: Moreno Assu Almabaya out was Almabia in Islanni Cabine. Eighty
49:09
Speaker 1: seven hundred is Moreno, seventy five hundred is Lana. We
49:13
Speaker 1: got minus two ten Brandon plus one eighty is Cabinet
49:17
Speaker 1: minus one oh five for this fight to finish, Moreno
49:20
Speaker 1: plus one sixty five inside the distance Lnni plus four
49:24
Speaker 1: twenty five. Like I said earlier at the top, the
49:27
Speaker 1: most the highest projected owned fighter we have right now
49:30
Speaker 1: is Lonnie Cabinet at plus one eighty to finish. That
49:34
Speaker 1: is so rare. I cannot remember the last time we've
49:36
Speaker 1: had an underdog be the most popular fighter on the card,
49:40
Speaker 1: especially a plus one eighty underdog. It shows that we
49:42
Speaker 1: play a salary base game. You have to click an underdog.
49:45
Speaker 1: A lot of them are not fun to click. Lonnie
49:48
Speaker 1: will be the first one people click, West Schultz will
49:51
Speaker 1: be the second one people click. Anyone after that is
49:53
Speaker 1: pretty different. But man, like, I know I'm gonna be
49:57
Speaker 1: underweight on Lonnie if he's forty seven percent or whatever
49:59
Speaker 1: is the most popular underdog, Like, no chance, Brandon Moreno
50:02
Speaker 1: should be the minute winner. He should have the cardio advantage.
50:05
Speaker 1: He's been there and done that. I mean what Charles
50:08
Speaker 1: Johnson just starts Lonnie Like, I mean, the dude's good,
50:11
Speaker 1: but forty seven percent, no chance. I want to be
50:14
Speaker 1: around the field on that. I'm struggling with Moreno though,
50:17
Speaker 1: because I mean his last two five round fight wins
50:21
Speaker 1: have been let me get this right, it scored terrible
50:24
Speaker 1: seventy four point four and eighty two point eight, and
50:27
Speaker 1: that could happen here like eighty seven hundred. He's around
50:31
Speaker 1: a lot of people with better inside the distance props.
50:33
Speaker 1: So I'm leaning a fight fade is my favorite approach.
50:36
Speaker 1: After that, I'm leaning Brandon Moreno, and then yeah, I'm
50:39
Speaker 1: not gonna x out Lonnie. But at ownership, I don't
50:43
Speaker 1: like it one bit really, So yeah, I'm curious, really
50:45
Speaker 1: curious hear your take on this main event.
50:48
Speaker 2: Yeah. I almost always have main advances a five star.
50:51
Speaker 2: I just lowered this one to a three star because
50:53
Speaker 2: I think the fade does make a lot of sense.
50:55
Speaker 2: People are gonna click Kavanaugh because it's five rounds, it's
51:00
Speaker 2: a somewhat close money line, and they need to afford
51:05
Speaker 2: these big favorites like Luna, Gandra, Marshall, quanonas whoever it
51:11
Speaker 2: is that they want to get into their lineups, and
51:13
Speaker 2: the best way to do that is gonna be clicking Kavanaugh.
51:16
Speaker 2: So I think that's why the ownership is gonna keep
51:17
Speaker 2: going up on him. But I could definitely see this
51:21
Speaker 2: being just an all around mm A fight where both
51:25
Speaker 2: guys land a takedown or two and they don't strike
51:29
Speaker 2: at a high pace, but it's a fun technical fight
51:32
Speaker 2: and it scores eighty five points at the end of
51:34
Speaker 2: the night. And I don't think eighty five points is
51:36
Speaker 2: gonna cut it for Moreno. Eighty five points for Kavanaugh
51:40
Speaker 2: give that to me all day long. So I'm more
51:42
Speaker 2: willing to play Kavanaugh. But at the ownership I do
51:46
Speaker 2: think we should try to find ways to get different
51:48
Speaker 2: because you might just be making the same lineup everybody
51:51
Speaker 2: else is when you're clicking on him and those favorites
51:53
Speaker 2: that I already named. So yeah, I think fight fade
51:57
Speaker 2: is maybe the best way to go about it, because
51:59
Speaker 2: it's still gonna be seventy percent or more owned by
52:03
Speaker 2: the field in general. So yeah, maybe get away from
52:06
Speaker 2: it and hope that Moreno wins.
52:08
Speaker 1: Yeah, you hope Raino wins too. Is Moreno.
52:12
Speaker 2: Uh, But I put it as a three and three
52:13
Speaker 2: because I really don't feel good about Reno win. I
52:16
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a pretty close fight, but I
52:18
Speaker 2: just think he's just more well rounded, a little bit
52:20
Speaker 2: more skilled. If it does go to the ground. I
52:22
Speaker 2: think he's the better scrambler, better grappler. Like him to
52:25
Speaker 2: get the win, but don't like him to put up
52:27
Speaker 2: one hundred and ten points or something like that.
52:30
Speaker 1: Yeah, which brings back to the fight. Fight. I think
52:32
Speaker 1: it comes in over Ownino by decision Reino third or fourth,
52:35
Speaker 1: thrown knockout or whatever. It may be very well might
52:38
Speaker 1: not be enough. So that's my favorite way to go
52:41
Speaker 1: about it. Yeah, just to recap main event fade or
52:44
Speaker 1: may Yeah, main event fade or underweights and load up
52:47
Speaker 1: on the first fight of the night Penis and Schultz.
52:50
Speaker 1: H you love Luna a lot, right, there is kind
52:53
Speaker 1: of and after that just mixing maps the's favorites and
52:55
Speaker 1: I have like six fades or something, and then a
52:58
Speaker 1: slate plan which you can find tomorrow. Big Marley's a
53:02
Speaker 1: fight rankings are up, all his breakdowns for each fight,
53:04
Speaker 1: the slate plan, all this will be up tomorrow, including projections, ownership.
53:09
Speaker 1: I'll load it into sabersim our partner optimizer over here. Again.
53:13
Speaker 1: You can get in as low as nine dollars for
53:15
Speaker 1: the day, ten more days, or ten more dollars gets
53:18
Speaker 1: you four more days gets you discord against Sabersims still included,
53:22
Speaker 1: and NASCAR Sunday's MMA on Saturday, NHL and MBA every day,
53:27
Speaker 1: and PGA Showdown. A lot of money to be made
53:30
Speaker 1: in the DFS streets. We would love to have you
53:33
Speaker 1: at the Nation. If you just know you're playing MMA
53:36
Speaker 1: and you want our content for the year, it's a
53:39
Speaker 1: lot cheaper than if you just go monthly. You know
53:41
Speaker 1: you'll be with us for all of the cards. Definitely
53:43
Speaker 1: recommend that. I think it's a great bang for your buck.
53:47
Speaker 1: Appreciate that Marquee, Appreciate every single one hanging out with us.
53:51
Speaker 1: I want Big Marlee's final thoughts for the people, and
53:53
Speaker 1: then I want Big Marley to send us out of
53:55
Speaker 1: here and I will click the outro.
53:58
Speaker 2: Yeah, final thought says Luna is gonna impress all of
54:01
Speaker 2: you guys. He's on my core place sheet. Give you
54:04
Speaker 2: that one for free right now. Uh Yeah. I think
54:07
Speaker 2: this is gonna be not the greatest card to watch
54:10
Speaker 2: unless you're alive to make some money. So hopefully that's
54:13
Speaker 2: what's gonna happen. Good luck to you, title, good luck
54:15
Speaker 2: to everybody listening. Let's ship it.
54:17
Speaker 1: Let's ship it.