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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Divisional Playoffs Best Bets Sunday 1/18/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible.
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five. I don't even know.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: What to tell you about that. I just don't want
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: to do this anymore. I have never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four that.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: Have not had a good season. Man with wickends slump
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's it's March ninth.
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: I think who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what day it is anymore. Man, back with
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: How am I mut? How was I mute? And I
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: don't even get it?
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's Toad back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: It is Sunday, January eighteenth, five, four and five on
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: the show yesterday, I think is what it was. Not
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: a good day, obviously, I'm not happy about that. Started
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: out with a loss on S and MEW that definitely
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: could have been a win. It was trending in the
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: right direction. It was a close game. They wound up
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: losing by four and not covering not even the better
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: number of two and a half, which is what it
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: was when the game actually went off. I'm pretty sure
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: easy outright win with Butler. So I recommend putting a
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: little bit on the money line on these, so we
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: do get a little bit extra when we do that.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: So Butler came through for us. You would see Asheville
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: wound up being a winner. They did not win out right.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: They had chances too. They looked like they were dead
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: in the game, and they came back and came close
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: to winning the game. They did cover, so we did
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: get that one. Indiana was a total bust. They had
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: no chance, just absolutely brutal. I gotta look at the
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: box score of that because I don't know what happened.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: Delaware was even worse. Those two were just horrendous. On
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa. I'm kind of pissed about they probably I
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: don't want to say that they should have won the game,
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: but they obviously had chances to win it. They're winning,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: like right out of the gate, they were winning the game.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: They fell behind and they came back, they're winning again
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: later in the game, and then I don't know what happened.
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: Their offense just completely stalled out and they wound up
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: losing I think by ten. It makes no sense, Like
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: I think Northern io would definitely have the chances to
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: win that one.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: Long Beach got the outright win late night.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: To finish off the college basketball slate. Probably how many
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: plays that I have in college of basketball yesterday, I
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: don't know, because we went one on one in hockey
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: and then I didn't have any Wait did I not
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: have any NBA?
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: I guess I didn't. I don't even do.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I did not, so yeah, so college
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: basketball must have been whatever it was three and four
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: and yeah, so long Beach State did get the win outright,
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: the Devils did not even come close. And then obviously
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: you know why I'm doing this. Got my man Keel here,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: who I believe he's from Massachusetts as well, baby, all
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: the Massachusetts guys. Jack Eichel getting it done for the
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: Vegas Knights here for us. He's some chelmsfed mass kid.
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: There you go. So we got we got it done
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: with the Vegas Knights on that one. Even though they
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: were losing one to nothing almost an entire period into
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: the game, they won seven to two. So okay, I
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: think they've scored seven goals in a row in the
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: game and won, So no sweat. Move on to today, Kyle,
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out? Yeah? I had seven yeah,
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: seven college basketball, right and yeah and two hockey. Yeah,
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: that's what I did yesterday. Kind of want to forget
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: about it. And then you know, the NFL games were well,
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: one of them was interesting Denver. I was correct about Denver,
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: but it was not what I thought it would be.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: Buffalo really lost that game on turnovers. Man, Buffalo definitely
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: outgained Denver in that game. They lost on turnovers and
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: that was, uh yeah, that was why they lost the game.
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: People are gonna question the people are questioning the call
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: in the on the interception in overtime because Buffalo had
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: the ball first and overtime Josh Allen threw an interception.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: Looked like his receiver sort of caught the pass, but
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: then he got like in a war with the defender
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: as he was catching it, and the defender came away
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: with the ball. But yeah, by rule, that is actually
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: an interception. So like the and I think the the
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: receiver like came down like in the process of catching
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: the ball as well, if I remember how it played out,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: but you you need to complete the process of making
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: the catch. So I think it was actually an interception
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: because yeah, both it was like both players kind of
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: caught it at the same time. The receiver needs to
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: finish the catch, but the defender came away with the ball.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: So I think it was a correct call even though
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: it looked really weird.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: And then people are obviously complaining about the pass interference cause,
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: but they're complaining about the wrong one. If you watched
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: the end of that game, there were two pass interference
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: calls in overtime on Buffalo. The first one was the
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: questionable one, which I think both of them might have
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: been on third down plays too, The first one which
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: extended the drive, although of course Denver would have probably
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: run another play after that anyway, But that first one
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: was a little bit more questionable. There wasn't that much
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: contact there. The one that everybody's complaining about, the defender
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: like mauled the receiver, Like that was clearly interference. I
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: don't know what people are complaining about on that one.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: The one that set up Denver really close to the
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: goal line, So that was a correct call. Yeah, And
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: then crazy enough. Yeah, so Denver wins the game. Everybody's
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: going crazy. Then like twenty minutes later the reports start
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: coming up Bonix broke his ankle and is done for
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: the season.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: What are you talking about? Like, we just saw him
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: win the game.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: I guess he broke his ankle on a run play,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: but then he ran two more plays after that he
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: ran like he ran a I think I think he
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: ran three more plays actually, because I think that was
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: before the pass with the pass interference call, and then
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: he had a kneel down after that as well, although
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: of course, yeah, I mean you can kneel down, I
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: guess if you have a broken ankle, but he had
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: like a I think he had a completed pass on
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: the broken ankle as well, if I'm not mistaken, because
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: it happened on that run play where he's I think
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: it was his right ankle, his right ankle kind of plant.
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: Did weird?
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I watched a video about it. There's
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: some I forget the guy's name. There's some sports doctor
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: who as a YouTube video and he breaks down all
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: the sports injuries. So he was breaking that one down
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: and trying to figure out what happened, like where it happened, Tyson,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man?
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out.
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: So bone Nicks is out, which is insane, and now
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: Denver is going to be an underdog at home in
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: the AFC Championship to either the Patriots or the Texans.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: If you guys want to go after Mike here, feel free.
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: Mike You're you're a bald fuck like dude, Like, do
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: you have you have any right, like making fun of
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: anybody when you look the way that you do. You're dude,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: you're coming on to my stream and talking this way.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: I'm giving out gold over here, baby, not just the
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: Golden Knights. I'm gonna give out some gold today too.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: We're gonna win some fucking money here today. Sept them
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: piercing is just the It's the indicator of a leftist pig.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: That woman is a dried up hag. She's fucking ugly.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: She's obviously coping with the fact that she's like in
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: her forties, childless, lives a sad life. She's basically Chelsea Handler, Like,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know why anybody would praise these people. It's
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: all fucking cope. Oh look at how great my life is.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: I live alone and I could be a whore. Yeah, okay, great.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: Uh it's because, yeah, these people are clearly.
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: Unhappy with their lives. It's ridiculous. All right.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: We're getting into college basketball here. I do have one
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: college basketball playing. It is the worst game on the
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: board that I actually am interested in. The rest of
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: these games are whatever. We have a lot of American
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: action today on ESPN U.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: Well, it starts out on ESPN you.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: Actually the first game is actually pretty good at noon,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: FAU at Temple. Both these teams are near the top
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: of the conference right now. FAU was on a nice
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: little run here. They just beat UAB Memphis Wichita, and
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: now they're on a three game win streak, although they
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: have to go on the road here, but I expect
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: both teams are gonna show up in this game, so
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: it kind of becomes a more numbers base handicap. Really,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: Temple did just lose a long win streak though, so
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: I guess there is that situation coming into play where
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: when you have a team that had it lost for
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: a long time and they hadn't even lost in conference yet,
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: although look at who they played in conference so far
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: right Charlotte, UTSA and ECU East Carolina. They had a
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: really easy conference schedule, so Temple might not be as
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: as good as their record looks right now. And then
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: they did just lose to Memphis on the road, a
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: close game, a tough game, and Memphis is still They're
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: still Memphis, Like their record doesn't look that good. They
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: had a tough out of conference schedule. They'll be in
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: the mix in the American Conference though, So all that
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: being said, I think I would probably lean towards Florida
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: Atlantic in this game. They did already go up from
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: one and a half favorite to a three point favorite
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: on the road, which just looking at the team's records,
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: it looks a little crazy to see them as a
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: favorite on the road like this, but the odds makers
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: are pretty much telling you what you need to know.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: Although fifty six percent of the tickets ninety one percent
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming back on the Temple side on.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: The owls, but I would agree with the.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Initial move on that one, even though it looks like
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: there's a lot of money take back on Temple there.
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: I think Temple, we just don't really know who they are.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Man. They just haven't played a difficult schedule since conference
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: play has start, and I think they might be hung
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: over from that first conference loss. So I would prefer
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: FAU in that game. All right, Big ten Network. Penn
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: State and Maryland. Here's your great Big ten matchup of
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: the day. Penn State and Maryland. Oh God, Big ten
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: Network at noon. Both these teams near the bottom of
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: the conference. They both have no conference wins so far.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Penn State, I mean, has been more competitive, like I
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: think there's no argument about that. Really. They played two
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: within four of Michigan State, They played to within two
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: of Michigan, within eight of Illinois, within eight of Purdue
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: on the road, so they've been playing pretty well. They
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: had a bad game after that Purdue game, but what
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: can you expect when you played Purdue almost to the
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: y or you're gonna come up flat in the next game.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: They kind of did. They lost like double digits at
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: home to UCLA. Could be maybe a better spot for
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: Penn State. Now just get through all that, you had
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: your flat spot. Now go out on the road, try
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: to win a game here. Maybe a little bit more
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: difficult of a spot from Maryland because they're actually traveling
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: back from the Pacific Coast. Although they didn't exactly do
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: well out there, but they did well they did. I
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: was gonna say they played better against UCLA pretty much
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: just because they played on the road against them, and
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: then they lost again to USC. This Maryland team, they
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: might legitimately be the worst team in the entire conference.
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: I think Penn State is probably better than they are.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: I probably prefer Penn State in this game. Both teams
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: are gonna be hungry for a win, but Maryland having
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: to travel back cross country. Penn State coming off an
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: explainable flat spot. Penn State, they've been better in the
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: Big in Big Ten play than Maryland has, just based
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: on what their losses look like. But the osmakers are
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: telling you that Penn State is a slightly better team.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: They're lining Maryland two and a half here, but the
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's coming in on Maryland.
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: I don't really agree with it.
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: Sixty five percent of the tickets on Penn State, seventy
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Maryland. Not really a market
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: read that I really want to fade. But those are
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: just my thoughts on it. I don't want anything to
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: do with the game though. Next up is the best bet.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: I told you this is the ugliest game that we have.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: But if there's an angle, there's an angle, baby, and
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: we're gonna take the points with Army in this horrific
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: Patriot League match up here between American and Army. I
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: think this is a bad spot for American. Dude. American, Yeah,
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: they're one of the better teams in the conference, but
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: look at way they just did. Man, they just beat
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Navy by double digits. Pretty satisfying win. Navy was looking
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: for revenge for last year's conference final, I believe, in
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: which American beat them. American just beat them again, and
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Navy was atop the conference and they still are. So
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: that's a big win for American. Now they go on
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: the road to play Army, who's at the bottom of
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: the conference really probably not attracting a lot of attention
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: from anybody. And yeah, who does American play next?
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: Oh?
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they play Colgate, who is the only other team
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: above them in the standings in the conference, the other
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: top team in the conference, one of the teams that
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: seems to win this conference.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: The most often Colgate.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: And America also lost at Colgate by two the last
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: time they played them. So I think this is a
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: major sandwich spot here between the two best teams in
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: the conference. It's a Patriot sandwich here. Man.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna go with Army in this. So we're
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: gonna grab the points. I know.
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: Army is terrible. Army has not won Oh no, They've
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: won one conference game, excusually against le High. Since then,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: they haven't won ending, although they were decently competitive in
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: the rest of these games. Like they this Army team
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: hasn't lost by more than eight xers more than nine
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: against anybody else in the conference, and at home, they
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: have not lost by more than eight to any of
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: their conference opponents, So they've been within the distance and
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: pretty much all their conference opponents. So getting them to
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: come within six and a half seems.
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: Pretty reasonable here.
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: And if you look at what American has done on
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: the road in conference so far, yeah, they played really
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: well against Colgate, but then their other win was only
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: a other game was only a two point win on
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: the road at BU So American has not been playing
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: games where they're winning by margin here on the road
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: at least. So that's what we're looking at here. We're
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: gonna take the points with Army.
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: This is one of these.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a separate part of the board here.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: The money's all coming in an American, though I don't
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: understand it.
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: Maybe you can get a seven on this too.
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: American's up from five to seven and a fifty one
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. These percentages completely flipped,
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: by the way, because I saw the cash percentage on
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: an Army a little while ago. Sixty seven percent of
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on Army. I don't buy that there's
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: public that there are a lot of public tickets on Army.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: I just don't buy that, although I think probably there's
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: just not a lot of action on this game in total,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: Like the public is not gonna be playing this game.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be looking at the couple of big conference
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: games and whatever. But I think this is a sandwich spot.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: I think Army is the play here. Ken Bum has
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: this game being at about a five point spread. I
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: think so it looks like there is some value numbers
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: wise here. Neither of these teams are good, and Army
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna try to ugly it up and slow
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: it down. They slow the pace down a bit. I
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: know Army is a horrible defense. I understand that, but
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: we're also looking at an American team. It's really not
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: that good either. So it's two bad teams going up
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: against each other. American's a little bit more lucky in
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: Kim Bump's luck index. They try to play a little
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: bit faster, so hopefully Army can just muddy the game
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: up and cover this number here. Man, I have for
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: four plays today, we got one college basketball, which was
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: that one t NBA. Hopefully we're gonna hit on the
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: NBA here today. I'm skipping hockey. Very small hockey board.
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: NBA is small too, so I kind of surprised, I
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: like two of the games, but that's just the way
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: that it is, and I'm gonna give you an NFL play,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're doing today. Espn U at two
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: has Wichita in South Florida. Another pretty interesting game in
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: the American really, like as a whole, this is not
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: a very good conference, but you can get some pretty
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: competitive games within the conference. Here Wichita coming off that
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: double digit loss at FAU. They're staying in Florida for
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: this game, so they're adjusted to the time zone whatever,
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: and maybe looking to bounce back have a better game
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: this time. South Florida has been pretty good in the conference.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: They're on a nice run, three wins in a row.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: They played well in the conference so far. They just
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: had their easiest game though, against East Carolina. I mean,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: at least that does mean for them that they're not
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: coming into this game off of anything big. This game
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: I really don't have I don't have an angle on
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: this game at all. Really. South Florida is up from
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: seven to eight here. I guess if you look at
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: the team's records, you might think that the line looks
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: a little crazy because South Florida's record isn't that much
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: better than Wichitas, so like laying that many points seems
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: a little insane, but maybe it makes sense. Although they
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: do play UA B next and UAB is the only
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: team in the conference to beat them so far, which
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: was at South Florida.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: And it was a crazy, I think, multiple overtime.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: Game maybe, so it is probably, yeah, double overtime, and
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: it is possible that South Florida is looking ahead to
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: that game looking for revenge. So from that, from that perspective,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: it kind of looks like maybe you'd want to take
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: the points with Whichita there, But I don't have a good.
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: Read on that game at all.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: Oakland and green Bay actually could be somewhat interesting in
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: the horizon here because green Bay has actually started.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: To play well in conference play.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: These two teams are actually tied basically second in the
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: horizon right now, with Oakland slightly behind green Bay based
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: on the tie breakers or whatever, because they have the
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: same conference record. Oakland coming off a win over Milwaukee
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: and easy win. I mean, I think both teams are
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: going to show up for this game. The Oakland is
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: already out in the state of Wisconsin to play both
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin teams. Here. Green Bay just beat Cleveland State, which
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: was a much easier win. Cleveland State's awful. I thought
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: Cleveland State would cover that number. I was wrong. They
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: were awful Green Bay. I don't know, man, Maybe maybe
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: Doug Gottlieb isn't that bad as a coach. I have
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: no idea, although everybody just gives him shit everywhere that
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: he goes, and maybe rightfully so, because I thought he
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: was a terrible analyst Green Bay. You know, I just
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to think about this game. To
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: be honest, both teams are probably gonna show up for it.
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: Then it comes down to, well, which team is the
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: better team?
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: That is Oakland, but they dropped from a four and
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite or two and a half point
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: favorite green Bay. Seventy percent of the tickets is seventy
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash, so it looks like the
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: money is indicating on Oakland. Here, excuse me on green Bay. Here,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: excuse me on Green Bay. I still don't know if
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: I quite buy it, man, I think Oakland is still
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: the better team.
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: Oakland has the.
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: Worst record, so I think people might be kind of
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: thrown off, like why is Oakland laying points on the road.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: I kind of like Oakland in this one. Oakland played
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: a much more difficult out of conference schedule. They faced
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: a gauntlet out of conference, you know, Michigan, Purdue, Houston.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: They actually played fairly close against Purdue. They played in
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: Michigan State as well, fairly close. And then in conference
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: play they've already played Right State twice, so that's two
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: of their conference losses. Both of their conference losses are
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: to the top team in the conference, Right State, and
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: they have a win against Robert Morrison there, who won
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: the conference last year. So I don't know, I think
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: Oakland is the better team here man, which the os
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: Bakers are telling you that. That's kind of the way
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: that I lean in that one. We have Tulsa and
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: UAB in the American Conference here. Tulsa just beat Charlotte Charlotte,
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: I think was kind of a false like three to
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: one conference record. Charlotte just hadn't faced anybody that good.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: I don't think Tulsa hasn't done well since they start
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: a conference play, though, losing to the better teams in
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: the conference. So I think they're gonna be up against
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: it against UAB to be honest here, and Man, Tulsa
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: hot start to the season, but they had a week
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: out of conference schedule. I just don't really think they're
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: that good. And conference play is kind of proving that
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: UAB did just be too lane though, and they have
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: South Florida next, so it is possible that Tulsa's falling
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: off enough that maybe they even get overlooked a little bit.
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: And UAB did beat tu Lane, who was near the
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: top of the conference. So South Florida who they play next. Overall, yeah,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: UAB is the better team I think, but they're actually
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: only laying two points here, so you know, I don't know.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: Will, what's up Man? Thanks for hanging out.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: I'm rooting for the Patriots today.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: I have mixed feelings on that.
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: I'm not wearing any of my Patriots jerseys right now,
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: though I'm still I'm not like a full blown Patriots
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: fan again at this one of them. I like Drake may,
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: I like Variabel. I was a Belichick Brady hater, hated
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: the Patriots throughout that era, but I loved the Patriots
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: before that with Parcels Bledsoe, Curtis Martin, Martin I liked
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: those guys. As the osbeakers are actually telling you Tulsa
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: is still the better team. I really am not sure
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: about that. Ken Bum has ua Be almost cracking the
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: top one hundred. He does have Tulsa in the top
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: one hundred, so I guess he does concur with that.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: Although I've been more impressed with what UAB has done
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: in the conference place so far, they face some more
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: difficult conference schedule, so I.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: Don't know man UAB is a two point favorite here.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: They are getting the money fifty five percent of the
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: cash on them, fifty seven percent of tickets on Tulsa.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: I kind of like UAB in the game, but they
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: are also, like I said there, you could almost argue
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: they're kind of in a sandwich spot though. So it's
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: kind of one of those games where it's like numbers
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: versus situation. How strong is the situation. It's a tough read,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: really tough read. ESPN two has North Texas and Tulane
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: another pretty interesting one in the American and although North
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Texas is not done well in conference place so far,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: they face difficult conference opponents though, And I don't know
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: if I'm totally sold on Tulane, even though they're up
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: near the top of the conference, maybe they're not that good.
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: North Texas is gonna be really looking for a win here.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: It is a second straight road game, but they're coming
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: off a double digit loss at which Aita I believe
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: or what was it Witchitime? Let me see, Yes, so
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: I believe I liked Wichiton that game and they did cover.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: I believe Tulane coming off a loss to UAB that
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: was their first conference loss. Though, Tulane lost a five
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: game win streak, so sometimes when you lose a win
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: streak like that, it will hang you over into the
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: next game a little bit.
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: So what do we do with this game? I don't know.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: I kind of prefer to read the market. Tulane down
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: from two to one and a half, North Texas fifty
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: five percent ticket, seventy percent of the cash on North Texas,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: And you know, I agree with North Texas in this one.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: I think Tulane may be in a little bit of
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot after losing that wind streak.
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: I think Tulane not.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: As good as the record looks. The oddsmakers are telling
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: you North Texas is actually the better team. I'll agree
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: with that. One with North Texas. Sob what's up man?
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: You think Josh Allen? Yeah, you think everything is rigged? Yeah,
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: you think it's it's all scripted. I don't know, man,
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: that that one turnover was ridiculous. Where the one where
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: Allen was running it and then it looked like he
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: almost like through the fumble, you know what I'm talking about, Like,
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that was. Man, He's running with
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: the football and then he just like throws it.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: I have no idea.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: You're from Acting Mass. Have I actually been to Act?
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: I've been to most well, I don't want to say
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: most towns. I haven't been to a lot of the
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: western Mass towns. But have I been to Acting? Maybe
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: if I have, I was just you know, passing through
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: on the way somewhere else that's up in there, lowell. Right,
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: let me see. Have I been to Acting? Oh yeah,
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: I know where it is. Yeah, yeah, it's out all right? Yeah,
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: if you take what is that?
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: You know?
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: If if I've been there, I haven't. I haven't stayed
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: very long. It would only have been passing through there.
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: It's not not a place that I've been too often,
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: let's say, at the very least, so yeah, that's Actings. Yeah,
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: what do they even considered to be They're like, they're
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: northwest of Boston, so I don't even know what they're
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: considered to be there. They're not north Shore. I think
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: the whole shore thing is stupid. Oh yeah, I'm from
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: the north Shore. I'm from the South Shore. Oh yeah,
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: but you're like thirty miles inland. Man, what are you
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: talking about? Like, I'm actually from the south Shore. I'm
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: from the coast man. Uh, possibly un route too.
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: I I mean, I haven't been that. I've been like, yeah,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: like I don't know, like that area of the state.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: I'm not there very often, let's just say that. And yeah,
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: if I was, it was going somewhere else. I knew
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: some guys that lived like kind of around that area
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: that you know, like friends from college and whatever. And
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: I was kind of going into that area not that
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: far from where I went to college either, so in Wooster.
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: So you know, all right, ESPNU has I don't know
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: why they have this game any ESPNU man, I'm just
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: talking about the TV games Utsa and Memphis. Why is this.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: Game on ESPNU?
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: This is one of the worst games of the day.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: I have no clue Whites one of the TV games.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: UTSA is awful. They're one of the remaining winless teams
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: in conference in the American Yeah, sure, they're gonna try
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: to get up for this game against Memphis.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: They're not gonna win.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Will Memphis cover is really the question?
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: Maybe not.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, Memphis did just beat Temple. That was a
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: nice win from Memphis. They got Tulsa on deck, which
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: is a bigger game. So yeah, I'd probably make the
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: argument to fade Memphis.
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: On the line here.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: They're a twenty one point favorite down for twenty one
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: and a half, so they're a massive favorite. Obviously.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna lose the game.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of the tickets sixty three percent of
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, so it looks like the money
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the UTSA side. I mean, i'd
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: agree with it, but I would say play that at
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: your own peril the ESPN game or potential peril the
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: ESPN game. Other than the money seems to agree with it,
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: So there you going. The ESPN game at six thirty
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: PM is Arizona State at Houston, who is number seven
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: in the country. The only ranked team in action today. Now,
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: I said I wanted to fade Arizona State here, I
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: kind of want to.
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, this isn't on my card, but.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna add another play, I would lay
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: it with Houston. I just you know me and not
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: wanting to lay points with Houston just because of their style,
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: although they do dominate a lot of these teams. Arizona
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: State just had a huge game against Arizona, man. I
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: mean this is their big rivalry game. You know that
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: they step it up for a game against Arizona, and
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: they really did. They had chances to maybe even win
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: the game. Arizona was holding on to basically a slim
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: lead for most of the game. It was actually back
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: and forth for a while. Arizona did have a double
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: digital le late and Arizona State still came back from that,
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: pulled back to within one possession late in the game,
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: and they maybe had some chances meant to do something
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: in that game and felt just short as twenty something
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: point underdogs. And you know when a team has a
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: massive game like that, especially when it's your biggest rival,
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: your in state big brother, and you take them to
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: the limit like that as a huge underdog, you're gonna
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: be flat in the next game.
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: More often than not, they're playing a third road game
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: in four days. Two. This is a horrible spot for
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: Arizona State Houston coming in off of just destroying West Virginia.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: Although maybe you have to worry that Houston does have
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a look ahead to Texas Tech,
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: who is the team that gave them the most problems
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: so far in conference. Texas Tech played them really close,
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: and Texas Tech, I believe, was one of the only
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: teams in conference to beat Houston last year. So that
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: is a big game for Houston coming up on decks.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: That's one of my hesitations I have with this. Also,
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: I still just even though Usta just they just wrecked
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: West Virginia, I just still I worry about laying seventeen
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: and a half with Houston here, man, But that is
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: the number forced me to give you a lean on this.
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Houston, but seventeen and a
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: half little a little bit high for my liking. In Houston.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: We know they play slow, they focus on deepfense, they
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: play ugly. It might be a game where it's just
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: get in, get out for Houston. I would like it
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: better if Houston was coming off like a close call.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: But they're not.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a massive blowout, so I'm staying off
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: of it. Totals down to one forty four, so it's
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: expected to be a low scoring game, as is the
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: case usually with Houston. So but I would lean to Houston.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: You go to Worcester State right now, WHOA. I'm familiar
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: with Worcester State because we had, as I mentioned on
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: the show before, when I was an intramural basketball player
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: slash coach, we had three players on our team from
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: Worcester State, even though that was not my school and
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: we were not allowed to have players not from my
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: school playing in the league, and we got penalized by
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: the league for it eventually only because somebody on one
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: of our opponents ratted because we had this big game
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: where some tempers were flaring against this other team where
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: basically that team hated us because this one guy on
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: our team whose name was actually Jimmy by the way, Jimmy,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure it was Jimmy.
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: Jimmy's girlfriend, I'm pretty sure was.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: The X of Oh no, it wasn't Jimmy. My mistake,
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: It was not Jimmy. We had a guy Jimmy on
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: our team. It was not him, it was one of
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: the Worcester State guys. Yeah, this is why it happened.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: One of our Worcester State guys. His girlfriend was the
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: ex of one of the dudes on the other team.
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: And we beat them and they decided to go to
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: the league and rat us out basically, so then the
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: league they penalized us by telling us that we had
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: to replay that team so that result didn't count. I
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: think we won it by like six or something, and
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: that we hate we could not use the Worcester State
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: players anymore. So I went out and I was like,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: we gotta find some new players. And I went out
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: and I found like the best possible players that we
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: could find. I had this guy who was like a
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: seven footer who was on my floor freshman year. Who
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: freshman year, he was the starting center for the actual
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: basketball team at my school were a D three. It
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: was w p I where D three school, but like
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: they're a good D three program, like always in the
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: tournament and stuff. So the guy who was the starting
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: center his freshman year, he had a falling out with
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: the coach and had quit the team, so that meant
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: he was eligible to play intramural. So I just found
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: him like at the gym one day and he was
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: like showing off like a scar like, dude, I just
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: got stabbed on the street. I'm like, dude, you want
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: to you want to? You want to play on our
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: intramural team. Okay, cool, So.
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: He's on our team.
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: And then this one other guy on my team just
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: randomly was like he'd never mentioned it before. He was like, oh,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: by the way, my roommate used to play for like
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: some Turkish national basketball team. I'm like, what what are
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: you talking about? Like, yeah, okay, so this dude on
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: our team, who yeah, his roommate just happens to me. Yet,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: like a I'm not a professional player. He was on
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: some like Turkish national team for like guys who were
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: like under seventeen or under eighteen or whatever it was.
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: At the time.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Right now he's in college. I'm like, you gotta be
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: kidding me. This guy's a basketball and I'm like, ask
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: him if he wants to play. All right, So he
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: played for US. The only caveat with him was he
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: played way better when they were women in the audience
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: and there were no women at my school, Like he
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: was a way better shooter when there were women that
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: he wanted to impress in the audience.
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: In the stands.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: But whatever, So we got those couple of guys, so
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: we have the ringers on our team. We replayed that
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: same team and we beat them by like twenty five
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: for something. The next time with those guys, like, you know,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: it's the way it is. You told us to just
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: use the like you know, you know guys from our school.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: So we did. There you go, there's the result. And
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: then we wound up losing in the semi finals of
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: the playoffs that year to the eventual champion, who were
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: too physical for us. We because the majority of my
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: team was kind of on the small side, and we
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: were like most of us were good shooters and small,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: including me. By the way. Well then I didn't play
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: that much, but I ran like a Princeton offense basically
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: with it, because I was like, we gotta play to
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: our skill, right, which is have people around the perimeter,
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: move the ball around, find somebody who's open for a shot,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: hit the shot, and that's what we're gonna do. And
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: then we were winning that semi final game at halftime
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: in that game. But that team that we played out
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: physical us and we just couldn't handle them in the
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: second half and we lost. So that's that is what
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: it is. But yeah, all right, where are we going here? Now?
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: All right? Yeah, I mean, all right, fine, we'll go
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: to NHL here. I don't know anything in the NHL.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: There are only three games in the NHL here. It'll
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: be it'll be quick. I guess the first game up
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: on an NHL network two in the afternoon. This is
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: not a bad game, Tampa Bay at Dallas. Dallas has
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: really been struggling though, and it's to the point where
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: Tampa is actually a road favored against him in this game.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: Now, Tampa, they just lost a long wind streak.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: Dude. They hadn't lost its late December, back in twenty five.
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: They had won whatever this is, eleven games in a row,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: and they finally lost an ugly loss kind of just
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: just because it was to Saint Louis. It was in
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: a shootout. But now that Tampa lost, that could hang
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: them over. Man. I talk about this. When a team
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: loses a wind streak like this, sometimes it will hang
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: them over into the next game. Although I don't think
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Dallas, really, but that does worry me.
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: Tampa just lost a really long win streak.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: Now for Dallas, I think the spot might be worse,
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: even though I don't think either team should overlook their opponent.
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: In this game, Dallas is returning home from a long
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: road trip. They've been on the road since January sixth.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: That's pretty ugly too. Man.
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: They went out to the East coast. They actually went
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: to the East coast and then to.
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: The West coast, so they had a cross country trip
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: in the middle of their road trip. Then they had
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: to play in Elevation in Utah, and now they're back home.
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: That is a brutal run of games, man, brutal stretch.
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: Although Dallas had actually started losing prior to that road trip,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: they were they were in a pretty bad rut prior
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: to that, But the road trip I don't think really helped.
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: Now they're returning from the road.
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they got a couple of days off, But I
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: always talk about this when a team returns on from
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: a road trip, they could be distracted. They have to
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: get back to home life whatever. It can be a
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: distraction with a couple of days off. Sometimes it doesn't
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: help you either. Sometimes it just has you more settled
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: in at home and it becomes more of a problem.
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: Although the one good thing I guess is that the
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: couple of days off should help them break that losing
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: momentum that they had going into those couple of days off.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: But the money is coming in on Tampa. For what
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: it's worth here, Tampa up for minus one of four
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: to minus won twenty six on the money line, sixty
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets, eighty nine percent of the
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: cash on them.
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: I'm not really gonna.
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: Disagree with it, because you know me, these return home
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: spots are really really like the most negative situation that
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: you can find, which is why I love fading teams
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: in those spots. So I'll probably agree.
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: With Tampa and that one.
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: It also seems pretty wild to see them as a
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: road favorite against a good team like Dallas. But yeah,
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: I mean maybe it's recency biased though, because Tampa's been
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: way hotter than Dallas. I don't want anything to do
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: with the game, really, but I'll agree with the market
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: on that one. We have Ottawa at Detroit. Ottawa, I believe,
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: just beating Montreal, so they're coming up. I know they
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: lost to Montreal. I wanted to say, actually, Ottawa should
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: have won this game debatably. They lost in overtime yesterday
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: to Montreal. That was a tough loss to in Montreal.
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: All decent team Auto One Montreal don't really like each
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: other because they're close proximity wise. I believe Ottawa was
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: winning that game like five to three with less than
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: ten minutes to go in the game. They wound up
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: losing the game. That's pretty brutal, man. They give up
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: a time goal in the final couple minutes of the game,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: loss in overtime. Now they have to go to Detroit
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: with no time off, and yeah, they're starting a road trip.
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: And starting a road trip.
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: Can be a positive because you want to get the
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: road trip off on the right foot. But when you're
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: on a back to back after a brutal loss like
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: that and having to travel, that's difficult. Detroit is staying
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: at home, and Detroit just beat San Jose two days
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: ago at home, so they're they're definitely in a better
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: rest spot because they had two days of rest prior
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: to that too, so they're in the better rest spot
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: for sure. The money is coming in on Auto one
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree. Detroit's minus one thirty five favorites,
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of the tickets are on them, which
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: kind of makes sense that Detroit would be public as
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: a team with the better record, but fifty percent of
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: the cash on auto.
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: What doesn't make any sense to me?
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: Man, I would kind of prefer Detroit in that game,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: but I'm not doing anything with it. SOB Yes, MLK Day, Yeah,
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: the Hawks, I guess always have to play because it's
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: MLK Atlanta. You have. The Celtics destroyed the Hawks yesterday.
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: Oh, yes, that's right.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: The Hawks were in the return home That's right. They're
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: in a return home spot yesterday. Were correct. Terrible spot
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: for the Hawks yesterday, I was. I just wasn't sure
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: about the spot for the Celtics yesterday either, so I
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: stayed off of it. Correct, So the Hawks should be
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: in a more positive spot after that. You're correct about that.
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: Have to see who they're playing, though, But Mlkday, there's
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of yeah, college basketball and NBA
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: all throughout the day, so I gotta I gotta look
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: and see how many games there are. I'll probably still
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: do just a morning show for it. But I don't know, Man,
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: it might be a lot and I can go. I'll
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: go into Boston and celebrate at the MLK statue that's
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: his arms and his wife's arms. Although it looks like
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: a boner or not a boner, more of a floppy penis.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: It's one of the worst statues ever man or sculptures. Whatever.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is at Edmonton, Man, Saint Louis just beat
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, which I just pointed out, so they maybe
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: could be in a letdown spot here.
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: They just beat Caroline of the game before that too
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: in a shutout, and then beat Tampa Bay in a shootout,
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: So Saint Louis is not exactly in a great spottle.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: Though they are starting a road trip. They are playing Edmonton,
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: so it should still be a focused spot for them.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: But Saint Louis coming off two huge wins, Man, it's like,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: can they really keep that effort again three games in
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: a row. I'm not so sure about that. Edmonton coming
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: into this game, they just beat Vancouver yesterday six to nothing.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: Now it was an easy wins. They probably didn't have
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: to put in that much effort, but they are playing
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days, and they did travel
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: to Vancouver for that game, and now they're traveling back
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: for Saint Louis team that really might not gain much
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: of your attention, and then they do play the Devils next,
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. To me, I think the spot
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: is a little bit worse for Saint Louis though. Edmonton's
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: minus won sixty five here, but they're public, of course,
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the tickets are on them, ninety
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash.
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: I don't know which way I would want to go with.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: This one man slightly for me to Edmonton, but I
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: really don't like it. I don't like these hockey games today, man.
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: I prefer the NBA board today, nine to ten NBA games,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: eight NHL games. There is, of course, the College Football
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: Championship tomorrow, and this college basketball is what I'm worried about,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: Like how much college basketball is there tomorrow? All right? NBA,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: we have a few games here. Orlando and Memphis are
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: playing again. And my mistake because I thought they were
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: playing two games in Berlin, but they're not. They played
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: in Berlin and now they're playing in London. There's a
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: lot of weird stuff going on here, man, Orlando won
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: the game in Berlin by seven. Now, one of you guys,
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: I think Saab pointed out that Orlando probably was gonna
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: have a crowd in Germany because they have multiple German players.
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: So that was a good point. That's true, and Orlando
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: won the game. But if you look at this box score, man,
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Memphis had a big lead in this game. Repeatedly, Memphis
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: had the biggest lead in the game. They were winning
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: by twenty points at one point in the game. Somehow
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: lost the game. Memphis was winning the game late in
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: the game to outright and they somehow didn't even cover Magic.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: Were like a five and a half point favorite in
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: I think the result was a little bit misleading, to
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: be honest. Although Memphis did shoot really well from three
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: point range, but Orlando took more threes, so the teams
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: wound up hitting a similar amount of threes.
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: So that really wasn't the disparity in the game.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: Really. I don't know, man, I mean, I don't know
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: how well. Really, what the game came down to is
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: the Magic dominated the rebounding battle. That's really what happened
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: in the games. That is an indicator that, Yeah, I mean,
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: the team that wins the rebounding battle is gonna win
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: the game more often than not. And so the Magic
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: were the more predictably better team in that respect. So
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: that that would make me maybe like Orlando in this
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: game today because Orlando was actually the better team in
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: that respect. Now, it's really interesting that Orlando's only a
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: four point favorite here in this one in London today,
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: whereas they were like a five point favorite in Berlin
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: five and a half. Maybe maybe they got extra on
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: the line just because they have German players. Seems a
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: little bit crazy. But has the line adjusted too much?
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: I think maybe it has a there's still two neutral
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: site games, really, so why would you go from a
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite to.
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: A four point favorite.
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: So, and because the Magic dominated the rebounding battle, and
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean I kind of want to lean
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: to the Magic in this game. It's not a play
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: for me, but fifty two percent of the tickets, it's
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on the Magic. I
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: kind of lean that way because the Grizzlies really played
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: the better game over the Magic as far well. The
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: Grizzlies had the lead for more of the game, and yeah,
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: that worries me as far as being on the Magic
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: in this game today. But again, I think the most
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: predictable stat was that the Magic dominated the rebound in battle,
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: So if they could do that again, they should be
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: able to win this game. I think the Magic have
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: more opportunity to fix things that went wrong right, because
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: rebounding is not something you could fix as much because
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: it comes more like it comes down to like just
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess it does somewhat come down to effort,
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: but it also comes down to like size, like how
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: just how good is your team in the paint basically,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: so I think that probably won't see a huge correction here.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: So it's just weird, Like looking at that box score,
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: you can't really figure out how the Grizzlies.
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: Had a big lead in that game, you know what
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: I mean.
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: So it seems like the Grizzlies, even though they probably
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: maybe even should have won the game based on the
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: fact that they were winning the game by a ton,
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: it seems like their lead was kind of a mirage
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: in the game, if that makes sense. So I would
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: probably lead to the Magic. I think you're getting a
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: little bit of extra line value that just doesn't make
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: a whole lot of sense here. So that's what I
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: would do in that game. Yeah you had Memphis, I
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: agreed with. It was not on my card, but yeah,
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: that's that is a brutal way to lose that game,
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: even though yeah, Orlando did outplay them in the rebound department,
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: but there's no way that Memphis shouldn't have covered once
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: they had a lead like that. Next game up is
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: going to be one of my plays. Let's go to
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: the best bets. We were gonna be on the New
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Orleans Pelicans, and we did have them against Houston in
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: New Orleans not that long ago, and we got an
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: outright win on it with the Pelicans. So yeah, you
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: might argue, well, that means the Rockets should be focused now,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: right because the know they went to New Orleans and lost. Okay,
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: but I'm gonna show you the spot that the Rockets
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: are in, and I'm gonna I'm gonna say that I
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: don't think that's gonna be the case. The Rockets are
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: up to a thirteen a half point favorite, They're gonna
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: be the public side, seventy six percent of the tickets,
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash for now but I think
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: they're definitely fadable in this spot. Oh I skip Brooklyn Chicago,
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: but I'll go back to it. New Orleans is coming
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: into this game off losing to Indiana on Friday, so
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be focused on Houston.
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: Man, I mean, why wouldn't you they.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, New Orleans has lost so many games they
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: can't really afford to not be focused against anybody. I
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: think New Orleans is still not really as bad as
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: the record makes them look. I mean they've been dealing
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: with some injuries. Zi on his back, he's playing all right.
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: I mean they've had some okay play this year from
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: some of their best players. Houston. I think they're catching
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: Houston in another good spot.
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: The last time Houston lost at New Orleans, we faded them.
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: Houston was in a Denver sandwich. So that's when I
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: said we should fade them, and we did it with
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: success because they had that New Orleans game sandwiched in
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: between two road games in Denver, so that was the
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: worse spot than this one. But this is still a
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: bad spot, dude, Denver, excuse Houston. I was playing a
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: third game in four days. They played Oklahoma City.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: On Thursday.
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: Then on Friday back to back, they played Minnesota and
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: they got the win against a good Minnesota team. Now
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: they host New Orleans. Even though New Orleans beat them,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: I still think Houston might look right past New Orleans
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: because look who Houston plays on Tuesday on NBC National
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: TV game. They're playing one of their Texas rivals, man,
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: their main at Texas rival right now, the San Antonio Spurs.
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be a huge game. So this is a
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. It's as simple as that. So I think
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: it's really gonna be easy for Houston to just look
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: past New Orleans. Here.
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: You're getting a lot of points with New Orleans.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: Let's do it. Let's take the points. New Orleans is
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: the first play, all right. We have the nets at Chicago,
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: sob that might have more insight just because it's the
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: Nets here. I don't have an opinion on this game really,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: although it is kind of a zigzag spot. Brooklyn just
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: beat Chicago on Friday in Brooklyn, so you could make
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: the argument that, well, Chicago's going to fix what went
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: wrong in that game and play better, right, So that
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: is definitely an argument.
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: Look at this game.
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: It's interesting because Brooklyn was a one and a half
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: point favorite at home. Now the Bulls are a six
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Why, Like the Bulls open
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: three and a half. That made more sense because you
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: don't really get a lot of home court in the NBA,
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: so if the Nets were one and a half at home,
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: it makes sense the Bulls would be about three and
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: a half at home. Six and a half is insane,
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: So I'm thinking that must mean that Josh Giddy is
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: coming back or something, right, Like, why would the Bulls
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: be a six and a half point favorite here but
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: he's not. Josh Giddy is still out. It looks like
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: he's on the verge of coming back, but he's not
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: playing tonight. So I don't understand what happened with this line.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: Like I looked at the injury report, I don't really
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: know the Nets personnel, but I just don't really see
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: why this line has moved up this much. So I
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: don't really see much line value being on the Bulls
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: side here. Then that's actually won the rebounding battle, by
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: the way, in the game against the Bulls when they
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: won the Nets out rebounded them and the Nets one
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: despite losing.
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: The turnover battle at home.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: So there are some indicators that the Nets outplayed the
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: Bulls in this game legitimately, except there was one outlier,
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: which was the Nets shooting forty seven percent from three,
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: So that was the one outlier in the game that
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: might regress a bit, and the Bulls shot terribly from
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: three at thirty one percent. But what's not an outlier
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: is the Bulls allow a lot of three pointers. They
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: don't defend the three well, So not that the Nets
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: are gonna shoot forty seven percent again from three, but
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: then Nets still might hit a lot of three pointers
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: again because the Bulls allow a lot, and then Nets
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: did have more possessions in the game. So I just
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: don't know if I could see it with the Bulls here, man,
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: up to a six and a half point vaire, they
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: have eighty two percent of the tickets, ninety percent of
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. I don't know, man, I'd probably
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: le need towards taking the points with the Nets, to
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: be honest, I just don't understand why the line is
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: that high, and a lot of it does have to
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: have to You've got to play the number, uh Like
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: I play the situation first and foremost, and then the number.
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: Although First, you can't completely ignore the number, although I
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: kind of rely on the books, assuming that the books
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: are not gonna have a number that's way off.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: But in this case, I don't.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say it's way off, but I just
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: don't understand why the line is as high as it is.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: So I think there's no value in the line on
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: the bulls there. Jeff, what's up man? You like Brooklyn
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: in this game as well? I mean, I don't have
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion on it. Well, the Nets wouldn't be
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: bouncing back. The Nets won the first game, so I'm saying, actually,
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: fade the zigzag in this game.
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: I'm saying the Nets.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: You don't even need the Nets to win this time though,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: But the Nets won the first game. You have a
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: lean on Brooklyn, JC, what's up man? Look for them
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: to cover again? Yes? Correct?
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: All right?
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: We have Charlotte at Denver. Very very crazy seeing Denver
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: being only a one and a half point favorite at Charlotte.
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, excuse he hosting Charlotte. I mean, I know
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: Jokic is out, but really you're gonna tell me that
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: Denver even without Jokic, You're telling me that team is
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: actually worse than the Charlotte Hornets.
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: I don't.
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: I just don't see it, man, I don't think so,
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: although you gotta think the public is gonna be on
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: Denver because of it. Charlotte did just get wiped out
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: by Golden State, but that was very expected because Charlotte
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: had upset the Lakers on Thursday on the road, big win,
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: even though the Lakers are injury decimated right now. Charlotte
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: got smoked by Golden State after that yesterday, and now
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: they have to go to Elevation now. They're still on
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: a back to back though, so pretty difficult. Three games
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities. That's not easy
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: to do. They ideally they'll show up right for a
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: game against Denver, but the spot to me doesn't look
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: that great. Denver played yesterday too, but they had a
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: lackluster game where they barely got by Washington at home yesterday. Denver,
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: staying at home, had multiple days off prior to that game.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: They do have the Lakers next on NBC on Tuesday,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: so it's a look ahead spot potentially for Denver here.
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: But other than that, I think the spot sets up
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: better for Denver in this game. I just don't understand it.
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on the Hornets Denver down
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: from three to one. Fifty nine percent of tickets are
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: on Denver, fifty four percent of the cash on the Hornets.
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: I just can't see taking the Hornets of this game, Matt,
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: I really can't.
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: It's one of those lines that looks really misleading, looks
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: really easy to play the Nuggets, but I probably would
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: have to lean to THEU gets here man. Both teams
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: played yesterday, the Nuggets. I still think the Nuggets are
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: the better team even without Jokish. I just don't get it.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: And they're staying at home and they had a debatably
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: a worse game yesterday because they just didn't play that well.
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: And staying at home, so.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Well, why are they pricing Charlotte that way. I'm staying
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away, but I don't I don't want to
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: be on Charlotte in that game. I do not bounce
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: back spots in college on the bigger name teams that
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: own three yesterday.
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: No, no, no.
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: I disagreed with Iowa State strongly in that one because
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: Iowa State was in one of the It's one of
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: the spots that I had that. I love fading a
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: team in a spot where they're undefeated deep into the
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: season and then they.
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: Lose a game.
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: I think they absolutely tend to lose that game twice.
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: So that's what I said with Iowa State. That's what
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: I said with Vanderbilt and they. I'm pretty sure they
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: both lost yesterday, didn't they. So I was correct about
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: both of those. That was not like the obvious bounce
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: back spot is a is a public myth. Like when
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: a really good team is on this massive wind streak
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: and they lose a game, they actually tend to lose
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: again in the next game. So I always look to
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: fade that team. Oh yeah, yeah, fade it. Yeah for sure, Yes, correct, Yes,
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: the North Carolina one I was I don't know, I
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: had less of an opinion on the North Carolina one.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: And then actually I kind of leaned towards North Carolina,
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: I think if when I talked about that, because Cal
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: had played Duke the previous game, so I didn't know
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: how much energy Cal was gonna have left there.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: And then.
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: Seton Hall I went against seen Hall. That was one
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: of my plays yesterday, I with Butler, but it was
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: because Seton Hall was in a sandwich spot like Seton
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: Hall had played a really good game against Yukon the
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: game before that, so that was not like gonna be
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: a bounced back spot for Seaton Hall. They had played
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: a really really difficult game against Yukon and they have
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: Saint John's next, so that was like a really classic.
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: Sandwich spot that I love. So I took Butler in
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: that one that was on my card.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: Correct. Yeah, the Hornets were plus four and a half
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: at the Lakers. Yeah, mm yeah, I don't know if that.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that line was fishing necessarily. That
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: line was because the Lakers have all these injuries. Correct, Okay,
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: how many games we got left here? Next game up
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: is my last game. Here's what I'm gonna do, man,
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: Because we have New Orleans and the Kings. I have
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: a jersey for both of those teams. If either one
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: of them covers, hopefully at least one of them does,
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: we're gonna try. We want to get both obviously, because
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: we go one and one, we're gonna lose money, so
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: we gotta get both. But whichever team comes through for
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: us in a bigger way, I'm gonna wear their jersey tomorrow.
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Sacramento Kings minus two and
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: a half here.
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: People are gonna look at this.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: The public might look at this and want nothing to
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: do with it because the Kings are twelve and thirty
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: Portland almost at five hundred, Like, why would you want
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: to late points with Sacramento. Well, obviously, first of all,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: Sabonas is now back and it's gonna be his second
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: game back, so obviously that's being factored into the line.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: He's the King's best player. The Kings are at more
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: full strength now than they have been in a long
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: time because they have Levigne he's been back for a
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: bit now, and Sibonis back after a two month absence.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: So I think we're getting a different Kings team here
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: than what you see in the record man. And also
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: Portland's not that good on the road and nine to twelve,
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: so that's not much worse than the Kings nine and
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: thirteen at home. So I'm fine with all that, but
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: this is also not a good spot for Portland in
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: my opinion. Portland, they just beat the Lakers man yesterday,
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: and now they're having to travel for one game up
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: to Sacramento, then they come home.
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: Well, it's on the way home, I guess, so on.
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: The way home, they're stopping off in Sacramento. Then they
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: come home and they play Miami, who I think might
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: be a team that might gather more of their attention.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, Miami's at least above five hundred, and Sacramento
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: is an easy team to overlook, probably even easier for
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: Portland because Portland just beat Sacramento in a home and
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: home series back on December eighteenth to twentieth. Both games
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: were close, though, and Sabonas did not play in either
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: one of those games. But Portland did win both games,
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: so they might overlook Sacramento for that reason too. It
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: does set up double revenge, if you want to call
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: it that, for Sacramento. But again, I think the revenge
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: aspect is really more that the team that won those
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: games might overlook that opponent. The team that lost those
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: games has adjustments to make, and again, I think we're
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: looking at a sandwich spot for Portland here for Sacramento.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: I think we're looking at a positive momentum spot here
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: as Sacramento.
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: I know we faded them the other day and.
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: Lost, because look, Sacramento had beaten Houston the Lakers and
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: the Knicks all in a row.
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: Man I had to fade them on.
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: Friday, and it was the reverse injured player spot with
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: Simonas coming back, so the line had to adjust for
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: Samonas coming back. Sacramento was seven and a half. Sabonis
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: actually didn't start. He actually came off the bench. He
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: didn't do a whole lot. He didn't play like his
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: full amount of minutes either. He played like twenty something
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: minutes off the bench. So again I think it was
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: the right move again because the line had to basically
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: account for it, like Simonas was gonna play his full
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: compliment of minutes and he didn't. So I thought that
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: it was absolutely a good play on Washington and it
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: just didn't pan out. But now that this is gonna
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: be Sibonis's second game back, and yeah, he might be
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: back in the starting lineup now, I don't know, so
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: there might still have to be like a chemistry shift.
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: But usually that second game back a team does do
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: better than they did the first game with that player back.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: Is now things have adjusted, you know, the market has
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: already adjusted. In that previous game, we're getting a reasonably
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: cheap price, to be honest, on the Kings where he
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: basically pretty much just needed them to win the.
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: Game for the most part.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: So I like it, and I think they're gonna show
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: up again because they lost the last two times against Portland,
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: so I just don't think they're gonna overlook.
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: Them in this spot.
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: And they're staying at home so the travel spots better
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: and have momentum coming into this game on a win
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: streak of an easy win in the last game, So
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: I like it. We're gonna be on the Kings in
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: that one. Kings are rolling. I don't know how they
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: did that up. They won those three games in huge
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: upsets without some bonus. I don't know how they did that. Yeah,
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: screw everyone in the scenario. What do you mean they're
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: gonna screw their backers? I don't know, man. I mean,
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it is coming in on the
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: King's side. The numbers gone up from two to basically
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: it's teetering on three, and I just don't see the
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: percentages yet, So I don't know about that. I like
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: the Kings. I'm dude, I just do this based on
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: the situation. I like it for the Kings. Toronto is
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: at the Lakers, Toronto just lost at home to the
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: other LA team. Very strange. They're playing Clippers and then
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: Lakers within a span of three days, but one of
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: the two games is in Toronto and the other ones
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: in LA. Very strange. Usually you're gonna play both LA
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: teams back to back like this when you're in LA
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: for both of them, or when LAS or when both
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: LA teams are coming through your place. I guess, I
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: don't know. But Toronto played the Clippers into overtime, they lost.
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: Now they get to go out on the road. Usually
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be focused to start a road trip, though,
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: so I do think it's a focused spot for Toronto
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: to start the road trip. Now for the Lakers, they
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: should be focused as well, man. I mean, they're playing
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: some bad basketball. They've lost five of their last six games.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: They got blown out by Portland, but that was yesterday,
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: and they're having to travel back home from Portland, and
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: they have that NBC game against Denver on Tuesday. So
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is still worse for the Lakers.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: It looks a little bit questionable here.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: Of course, we're still looking at an injured Laker team,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: although obviously that's factoring into the line here, we got
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: to see what the status of Luca is. For the
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: most part, he didn't play yesterday, so he has groin soreness.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, So Luca did not play in
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: the last game, but if he does play in this game,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: it's another one of those situations where maybe it's a
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: reverse injured player theory spot where maybe the Lakers kind
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: of feel a little bit, you know, overconfidence, sort of that, oh,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: Luca's back, we can win this game more easily. But
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: then again, they've been playing such bad basketball they can't
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: really afford to feel that way in any game.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, man.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: The initial move flipped the Raptors from one and that
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: point dogs and one and a point favorite. To me,
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: that seems to indicate that Luca might not be playing, though,
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: like you would think that if he was playing, the
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: Lakers would be a favorite at least in this game.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: Seems very strange to me. Fifty six percent of the
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: tickets is seventy.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: Three percent of the cash on the Lakers. You know,
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: I have a hard hard time reading this game, so
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: obviously I'm staying away from that game. The market read
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: is staying the Lakers based on the situation, I don't
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: love it, to be honest.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: So it's a stay away.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: From me and let's go to the NFL where I
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: am gonna have a play and hopefully we can get
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: it done this time. Man. With the NFL. Oh, we
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: have two NFL games today, obviously we're the divisional playoffs
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: ESPN and ABC as. The first game up at three pm,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: which is the AFC Divisional game Houston at New England.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: A lot going on in this game, and it makes
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: this game. This game is hard for me to read.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: This is not my play. Patriots have gone up from
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: a two point favorite to a three and a half
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: way favorite. It loose like the money is coming in
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: on the Patriots side, but I don't really agree with it.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: Fifty four percent of the ticket, sixty seven percent of
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Patriots. We're still looking at a
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: Patriot team that, including last week's game, has only now
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: beaten two teams with winning records. And the Patriots defense
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: looked good against an offensive line of the Chargers that
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: was completely in shambles. You know, Joe Alt is hurt,
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: they have other offensive line injuries. The Chargers couldn't get
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: anything going and still New England. You remember New England
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: was only winning that game nine to three in the
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter, So it's not like New England ran away
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: with that game. Really. They got one touchdown late that
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: put it away, and I think there might have been
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: some mistakes on the Chargers that whatever. Sure, New England
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: out played them like statistically as well, but Houston has
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: a way better offensive line than the Chargers do. Okay,
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: I know Houston's offense isn't terrific. Houston is gonna be
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: without Nicocollins, so that is a bit of a concern,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: although they played without him a little bit this year,
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: although I know when he was out there were worse though,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: like early in the season. I think he missed some
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: games and they were definitely not as good. So yeah,
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: that is a concern. They're one of the the biggest
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: playmakers is out on offense, and I'm not really I'm
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: not sold on Stroud, Like I'm not a huge Stroud guy.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: He looked awful in the game against Pittsburgh, although it
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: was mostly just because he was turning the ball over
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: all the time, Like I think he himself might have
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: had like four or five turnovers in the game against Pittsburgh,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. Yet Houston still won the game, so
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: that should tell you something. Man, if you have five
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: turnovers in a road playoff game, there's no way you're
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: supposed to win that game.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: And Houston won the game.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: In a complete blowoul. Although granted Houston's game was really
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: that score was misleading though for sure, like Houston was
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: only winning the game seven to six in the fourth
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: quarter of that game. However, if you look at the stats,
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: Houston dominated the stats against Pittsburgh.
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: Houston had way.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: More yard so really Houston, based on the stats, Houston
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: probably should have won that game by about fourteen points
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: or so, I would say. So there are things that
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: were misleading in both directions that game, right, But Houston,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: they're a good team in there, and they're absolutely the
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: better defense here as well.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: So that's the other thing.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: You know, me better defense getting points, that would have
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: me looking towards Houston as well. Of course, Houston is
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: the better defense here, so that is something to consider.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: On New England. Their offense really was not good good
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: last week against the Chargers, and Houston is a step
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: up defensively from the Chargers too, So New England's offense
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: might struggle.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: A little bit here in this game.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: Houston's defense is really really held opponents in check man.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: So yeah, they're an elite defense there. A lot of
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: metrics have Houston is the number one defense in the NFL.
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: So that's what you're looking at here in this game.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: Even though Houston's offense is not that good, the Patriots
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: do have the better offense. I'll give them that, But again,
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: Patriots also did that against the weakest schedule in the NFL.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: I'm still not sold on the Patriots. Man, that's just
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: the whole thing. The money is coming in on them,
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe some of the professional betters believe,
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: but I don't know, man, I prefer Houston. Houston also
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: has an experience edge here because CJ. Stroud has played
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: a bunch of playoff games now and he finally got
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: over the hump because what was the knock on Stroud
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: last week? The knock was and even I said it.
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: Stroud has not won a road playoff game yet in
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: his career.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: Well now he has.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: So now Stroud has two playoff wins, one at home,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: one on the road. So and Stroud is, yeah, he's
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: the more experienced QB here man, So Houston does have
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: an experience edge in this game, in a game of
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: this magnitude. Houston was in this spot last year, if
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: you remember, they were in the divisional playoffs last year,
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: and they played pretty tough at Kansas City, Man, and
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: that Kansas City team, of course, made the Super Bowl.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: They were really good. They're probably better than this New
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: England team, especially defensively. And Houston put up a fight
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: in that game. They weren't bad in that game against
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs, and that was how Houston got knocked out
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: last year. So Houston has been here before. It might
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: be the they're time to advance a little bit further
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: this time. Man. Now, of course, one of the concerns
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: is gonna be that Houston is one of those indoor
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: teams playing outdoors, and those teams don't do well. They're
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: one in fifteen now in their last sixteen playoff games now,
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: including the Chargers last week. So these indoor playoff teams
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: don't do as well outdoors. But the thing about Houston
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: is they at least they're the style of team that
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: can handle it a little bit better. Even though I'm
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: not sold on Stroud and cold weather. But Houston is
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: a defensive team, man, a physical team, and that lends
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: itself better to cold weather here. And yes, it's going
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: to be cold. It's thirty six and it looks like
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: it might be a little bit snowy, but the snow's
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: not really gonna be sticking if it's above freezing. But
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: there might be some like slight flowries here, let's say.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: But I don't think it's gonna impact the game really.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: So the weather a lot of times can be overstated, man.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: So yeah, it'll be cold, that's typical.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: I'm not that cold though.
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: It's not gonna be like you know, these negative temperatures
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: or whatever it will be, you know, for a January
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: game like this in Foxborough. It's fairly mild really, So
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's that much of a problem honestly
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: for Houston. And as far as the total is concerned,
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: I think the reason why the total dropped from forty
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: two to fourty eight and a half was actually because
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: of the weather report. Whenever you hear snow, the total
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: just starts dropping.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: But if it's just light snow and there's nothing else
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: going on, again, it gets really really overstayed and really
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: light snow like that, it doesn't really affect the offense
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: very much, and really it might affect the defense a
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: little bit more because if the if the service is slippery,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: the defense has to react to what the offense is doing.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: The offense knows what route they're running, the defense doesn't necessarily,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: so the defense has to react to it. So it
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: actually kind of impacts the defense more so. I actually
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: think it's an overreaction. I actually think the over in
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: this game, believe it or not, makes sense. It looks
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: like the under its public sixty percent of the tickets
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: on the under fifty nine percent of the cash on
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: the over. I would agree with the over with the
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: total being below forty one. I think it might just
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: creep over a little bit in this game, but you know,
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: I don't want to deal with it though, And of
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: course it's it is one of those games that does
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: seem a little bit correlated. Though, So even though I
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: like the over and I leaned towards the Texans plus
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: the points, those things are kind of in conflict with
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: each other, right because of the Texans, better deffense is
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be covering. Probably that's easier to do if it's
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: a lower scoring game for them. So it's an interesting game.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: I can't get involved in it. But yeah, Stroud still
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: hasn't been good and cold weather games, which I've pointed out.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: He finally he I mean he's won two of them now,
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: actually both this year. He won in Kansas City in December,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: and then he won last week in Pittsburgh.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: So you know he's he's at least kind of used
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: to it now.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: At least so Stroud actually is only now I think
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: like two and four now in outdoor weather games in
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: December jan That's not too bad. So yeah, all things
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: to consider in that game. However, you know what my
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: play is gonna be. Man, We're gonna lay it with
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: the La Rams in the NFC game in the in
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: the night game here, I'm sick of the fucking Bears.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: I'm sick of this fraud team and people you know,
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: they think it's bias. Oh you must hate the Bears. No, Like,
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Bears have been pissing me off completely.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: But what I'm saying is, and like all the professional
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: betters are gonna agree with this sentiment that the Bears
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: are the most overrated team that we have ever seen
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: in in.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: In the NFL.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: They're the most fraudulent team in the NFL. Looking at
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: the analytics, it's ridiculous. They're like slightly outside of the
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: top ten offensively still, and defensively they're in the bottom ten.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: So like, what the fuck are the Bears doing here?
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: Obviously they're an underdog at home here for a reason,
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: the Rams are the better team. If you look at
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: the power ratings, the guys that do power rating, the
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: Rams are the best team in football. The Rams actually
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: have the number one offense and they are a top
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: ten defense as well, so they're a pretty balanced team.
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: Although they're a little bit worse defense than but there's
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: still a better defense than the Bears. In fact, the
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: Rams are a better offense and a better defense than
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: the Bears. Rams are the better team on both sides
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: of the ball. The Rams have an experience as they
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: have a super Bowl winning coach, they have a super
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: Bowl winning quarterback. They just have They have a lot
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: of advantages in this game. Man, and I haven't even
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: talked about the spot yet, which is really why I
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: like this. Look at what happened last week, Man, The
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: Rams almost lost at Carolino. So everybody's gonna knock the
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: Rams for that, like, oh, how could the Rams barely
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: get by Carolina, and now you expect them to lay
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: four against the Bears. So the public sentiment, you would
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: think would kind of be on the Bears here, although
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: I know we see fifty two percent of the tickets
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the cash on the Rams. I know,
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: but I like it when a team has an escape
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: in the first round of the playoffs. Man, a good
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: team like the Rams again, the power ratings wise, actually
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: the best team in the NFL. When they have a
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: scare like that, is a huge favorite in the first
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: round of the playoffs, just because for whatever reason, they're
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: not totally paying attention, they don't have their best game.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: They usually work on things and fix things. Man, it
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: come out with a lot of fire in the next game.
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: So I like that for the Rams. Meanwhile, the Bears,
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: they looked like they just won the Super Bowl after
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: their win. Man, and remember that game. I'm still pissed
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: off about it. I gave you guys, green Bay. Green
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: Bay had that game in hand, and Green Bay did
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: everything they could to throw that game away for a
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: second time at Chicago. That one even worse because Green
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: Bay was winning twenty one to three at halftime should
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: have been twenty four to three really, to be honest,
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: because they didn't clock manage correctly. They were still up
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: twenty one to nine in the fourth quarter. The Bears
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: didn't even have a touchdown yet at that point, So
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: the Bears should have lost to Green Bay and they
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: were losing by margin the whole game against Green Bay.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: The Rams are better than green Bay, So it's ridiculous, man.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: So there's just so much stuff about that game where
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: everybody's just looking at what happened in the fourth quarter
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: of that game. And yeah, I know, the Bears are
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: really good in the second half. So if you want
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: to play the Rams first half, I think that's fine
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: as well, because the Bears have been really they've been
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: way better in the second half than in the first half.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: So Rams, you can lay like two and a half
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: in the first half. I don't hate that either. That's
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: fine as well. Maybe it's actually better, but I'm more
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: of a full game guy, man, and I'm just i
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: gotta go with it, because again, the Bears, they were
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: losing by margin for that entire game. Pretty much against
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: Green Bay. I think the final score was fairly misleading.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: I think it was pretty much bullshit. I still don't
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: think the Bears are like this. And you look at
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: what the Bears did when they won that game. They
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: were celebrating like the did already.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: Won the super Bowl.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: It was, you know, Williams gets a playoff win whatever.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: They beat their hated rival Green Bay. They were acting
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: like they'd won the championship at that point, man, And
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: that is not what you want to see from a
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: team that has more playoff games to play, you know
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: what I mean.
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: They're acting like that was their.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl, whereas you didn't see the Rams doing that
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: after they beat Carolina. I think the Rams were probably
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: Sean McVay was probably furious after that performance against Carolina,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: to be honest. So I think the Rams are gonna
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: show up with a lot more focus here. I think
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: the Bears could be maybe even like just feeling too
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: high on themselves after that win. I like the Rams here, man.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: And of course people are gonna be saying everybody's talking
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: about the cold Oh there's this thing going around. Matthew
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: Stafford is one and nine a cold weather. I don't
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: even know where they're getting that stat from, or one
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: in nine in snow games maybe is what it is.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: First of all, whatever stat that is, it of course
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: includes Stafford being on Detroit, but think about what that means.
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: First of all, when he was playing on Detroit, that
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: means that he was playing in the stadiums, so he's
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: familiar with these stadiums, Green Bay, Chicago, whatever, so he's
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: done it before. But Detroit was a terrible team when
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford was there, so that's part of the reason
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: why they were losing those games. Like Stafford's yeah, he's
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: a fine quarterback, he's good, but the team was pretty
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: bad if you remember that for a lot of that
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: stretch that he was on Detroit, that team was awful.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: So it was before Dan Campbell in those days and whatever,
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: so you got to take that into account. But I
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: saw other stats that were saying completely different things, like
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: I saw him, well, Stafford actually in his last six
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: games in forty degree or less temperature, Stafford is actually
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: like three and three and he actually has like a
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: sixteen to four touchdown interception ratio in those games. So
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: he's actually been fine in games like this, and one
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: of them if you remember, was last year the Rams
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: had to go play in a snow game in the
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: playoffs at the Eagles, and I believe I gave out
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: the Eagles as a play in that game, and I
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: think it might have pushed or it might have barely
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: gotten through, but it was that was really dicey. The
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: Rams played well in that game, dude, And that was
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: against the Super Bowl chance be in Eagles last year.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: The Bears right now are not that Eagles team from
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: last year. Man, that Eagles team was really really good defensively,
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: and Stafford and the Rams played pretty well in that
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: game then, So I'm not that concerned here. They're facing
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: an extremely weak Bears deepense here, the Rams should be
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: able to put up points here, even though, yes, I
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: know it's gonna be cold weather here and it's a
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: night game, So fuck the schedule makers for that, dude,
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: To be honest. Although I know I'm one that I
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: like the winter games, I like the night games, I
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: think everybody's becoming pussified getting.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: Away from it.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: Oh and by the way, one other thing I should
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: say is guess who has fewer games worth of experience
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: in cold weather games? Yeah, that would be Caleb Williams.
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford has way more games under his belt that
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: are in situations like this that Caleb Williams has, so
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: I think that should kind of negate that too. All
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: everybody's talking about is Stafford, he can't do it. Whatever.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: And yeah, of course the Rams do fall into that
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: dome team playing outside in the play. I know they haven't,
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: They've only won one game in the last fifteen, but
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: this is I think this game is a massive outlier. Man.
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: Usually those teams are not a road favorite in these games, okay.
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: Usually the home team is not the most fraudulent team
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: ever in NFL history, Okay, and they're usually not a
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: team with a rookie quarterback that now has one game
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: in cold weather basically under his well a couple, I
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: guess this year. But whatever, and then what else is
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: it gonna I forget what? Oh yeah, I'm looking at
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: the weather here. Yet it's gonna be nineteen. People were
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: saying it was gonna be snowing, but it looks like
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: it isn't. So it looks like it's really just gonna
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: be cold. And yes, it is gonna be very cold,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I still think the Rams are gonna get
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: it done. Men. I think that the Rams are actually
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: more equipped to be able to handle something like that
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: because the Rams have a they have a better defense,
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: So there is that. Yeah, Chicago can run the football,
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: I get it, So that helps them in a cold
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: weather environment. They're gonna try to run it. They're gonna
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: try to just like I said with Denver yesterday, they
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: will try to take the load off of Caleb Williams.
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: But Chicago does have a lot of offensive plays that
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: kind of rely on Caleb Williams. Like, I think it's
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be a situation where the Rams are gonna force
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: Caleb Williams to.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: Have to beat them. That's what the Rams want to do.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: Like, the Rams are gonna try to shut down the
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: run here, force Chicago to have to throw it because Williams.
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: Is really not that good.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: He only had a fifty completion percentage in that game
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: against Green Bay. His stats were ugly, and they've been
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: like that like all year. He's not that good and
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: he's up against MVP candidate Matthew Stafford here. So yeah,
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: we're going with all that, man, So we're going with
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: the Rams. I don't know if I had anything else
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: to say about it. Oh yeah, and I do talk
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: about props as well. I gave you guys. I don't
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: really have a prop that I'm thinking of in the
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: Houston New England game. But well, actually, Houston, New England,
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: you could look towards like maybe because Nico Collins is out,
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: you could look to like Dalton Altz an over of
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: his in some way, because Houston is definitely gonna be
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: using him quite a bit in that game, probably, although
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: he is one of their top receivers anyway, so maybe
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: you're not getting a lot of value there.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: He's their tight end.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: But if you can find like a decent number on
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: his receptions, or maybe actually you might get more value
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: going with his yardage prop over something like that might
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: make sense. In this Rams Chicago game, I might look
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: towards like Korum on the Rams, the Rams running back,
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: I might look for him to go over his yard
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: just drop. But I know I got the RJ. Harvey
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: one wrong yesterday. I'm pretty sure. But and I didn't
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: see what happened with you sick. But I forgot to
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: talk about that game at all. But Seattle just blew
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: out San Francisco. It was just a man it was
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: a bad game. It was just a massacre of a game.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: But I think that's gonna make Seattle overvalued in the
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: NFC Championship. Man, So I think if the Rams win
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: this game, I think they're gonna beat Seattle. That would
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: be my feeling about that. I think Seattle is a
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: very fatable team in the next game. I wouldn't really
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: want to.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: Do it if it's Chicago.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: If it's Chicago, I think Seattle will handle their business.
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: But we'll see, We'll see when it when it gets
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: to that.
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: But yes, I think quorum on La over his rushing
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: total might make sense here. Because cold weather game, the
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: Rams are probably gonna try to establish the run. And
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: if you think the Rams are gonna be winning the game,
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: which I do, I think they're gonna be running the
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: football and Sean McVay is not. I don't think he's
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: gonna do what Matt Lafleur did. Man, if the Rams
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: have a lead like the Packers did, McVeigh is not
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: gonna blow the entire lead. Okay, don't make me eat
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: my words on this, but McVeigh is more trustworthy coach
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: than Matt Lafleur. Okay, if the Rams have a big
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: lead like that, they're they're gonna go for it. They're gonna,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: you know, they're gonna step on their opponent's throat and
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: finish the game off. And they should be able to
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: They should be able to run the ball against this defense,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: whereas Green Bay, I mean, I don't know they have Jacobs,
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: but Jacobs had been kind of injured coming into that game. Whatever,
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: they're making some stupid play calls there. The Rams, they
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: should be able to get it done. Man, and the
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: Rams of course have a probably a more trustworthy quarterback
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: than Jordan Love, so I don't see the Rams making
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: those same mistakes here.
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: I like the Rams for.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: All those reasons, like I said, And as far as
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: the total, it's gone down from fifty one to forty
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: eight and a half, fifty eight percent of the tickets
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: on the over, fifty five percent of.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: The cash on the over.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: But again, the reason the total dropped is basically because
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: of the weather. And yeah, there's probably gonna be a
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: little bit of wind, yeah whatever, it's the windy city.
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: Wind is the biggest factor. It's the biggest detriment to offenses.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: But you have to see how strong is the win
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: because if it's not that powerful a win, there probably
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: shouldn't be that much of a factor here, so that
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: might have been be an overreaction, overreaction, you know. I
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: would be almost tempted to fade that market move as
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: well there, like thinking that might be an overreaction due
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: to the weather. And maybe you will actually see some
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: points in this game and see it go over, especially
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: with just the Bay putting up points late the way
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: that they do and whatever. I wouldn't really disagree with
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: an over at that lower total in this game, But
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: no strong read on that one. And I was wrong
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: about both totals yesterday, So what do I know that's
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: gonna do it? Man?
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: Once again?
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: The plays today college basketball Army plus six and a half.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: I was trying to see if there was a seven
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: out there.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: I didn't see it. Maybe we'll get one.
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: NBA, we're gonna be on the Pelicans plus the points,
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: Sacramento Kings minus the points, or if you want to
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: go money line, you could do that too, and then
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: Rams minus the points. My only football play of the weekend.
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: Let's get it done, man. Then I don't know what
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: I'm to have for football for the remainder but we
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: will do props for the super Bowl, so I'll I'll
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: probably have a super Bowl special separately for that. I
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: guess I'll probably do that. That's gonna do it for now.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: I appreciate everybody. Let's have a good one today. Let's
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: bounce back, let's win. Yes, at least wasn't a huge
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: losing day. It was looking worse and then these guys
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: helped us out quite a bit with that with that
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: win and cover last night.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: So that's gonna do it for now.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: Peace guys.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: Oh right, and learned a tone on Twitter.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: I still had the RAMS banner up, so I wasn't
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: remembered that I have to plug. Learned a tone on Twitter,
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: learn it tone on Instagram, like subscribe, reply here on
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: the channel, listen on audio, Spotify, Apple. That all helps
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: me out as well. Covered in you because my yuke
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: channel on YouTube, so you can check that out as well,
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: Patreon dot com sas learn to toe for some bonus
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: yuke stuff.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: And then what else is there?
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: Oh? Loser Cast will be back on Tuesday with the
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: new episode. I gotta figure out another loser to nominate.
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: Charles has given me some suggestions. One of them I
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: might actually use this week.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: We'll see. That'll do it for now, and I'll be back,
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: I guess tomorrow morning, even though I'm worried that there
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: might be a huge college basketball board for the holiday,
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: but we'll see.
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it for now.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: Peace,