Latest / The David Rubenstein Show / Mark Carney
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: One of the most admired, respected, and busiest global leaders
- 0:06Speaker 1: in the world is Mark Carney. He served for a
- 0:09Speaker 1: number of years as the Governor of the Bank of
- 0:11Speaker 1: Canada for a number of additional years as the Governor
- 0:14Speaker 1: of the Bank of England. He currently serves as a
- 0:16Speaker 1: Special UN Envoy for Climate Action Finance, and he also
- 0:20Speaker 1: chairs Brookfield Asset Management. I had a chance to sit
- 0:24Speaker 1: down with Mark recently to talk about how he does
- 0:26Speaker 1: all these things so well, Mark has been the Bank
- 0:30Speaker 1: of Canada governor, been the governor of the Bank of England.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Has anybody ever been the governor of two different central
- 0:38Speaker 1: banks in two different countries.
- 0:41Speaker 2: No, I don't think so.
- 0:43Speaker 1: And so in addition to that, in addition to that,
- 0:47Speaker 1: you are also the chairman of Brookfield Asset Management, and
- 0:53Speaker 1: you are the new chairman of Bloomberg. So you obviously
- 0:59Speaker 1: like b Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bloomberg and Brookfield.
- 1:05Speaker 1: But there's a story in the latest edition of a
- 1:09Speaker 1: Canadian newspaper like two days ago that's saying that you
- 1:11Speaker 1: might also be the next Prime Minister of Canada.
- 1:15Speaker 2: So any interest in that in the story, not in
- 1:19Speaker 2: the story per se. The you know, It's interesting you
- 1:23Speaker 2: you say the same thing over and over, but it
- 1:26Speaker 2: gets heard differently in different contexts. And I think that
- 1:30Speaker 2: story is probably more indication of the current environment in Canada.
- 1:34Speaker 3: In other words, you wouldn't be uninterested in that.
- 1:37Speaker 2: I'm interested that we have an effective prime minister in Kenada. Okay,
- 1:41Speaker 2: so Prime Minister Trudeau, and you know him. I know
- 1:44Speaker 2: him well, yes, and he's done very so.
- 1:46Speaker 1: But we'll take that as maybe all right, so I
- 1:50Speaker 1: won't pursue that anymore. All right, let me ask you,
- 1:54Speaker 1: as the Bank of England governor and as the Bank
- 1:58Speaker 1: of Canada governor, do you think the other the central
- 2:01Speaker 1: banks recently figured out that inflation was more serious than
- 2:07Speaker 1: it was too late? Or do you think they recognized
- 2:09Speaker 1: early when it was going to be serious they just
- 2:11Speaker 1: didn't do enough about it.
- 2:13Speaker 3: No.
- 2:13Speaker 2: I think in hindsight they realized it too late. They
- 2:18Speaker 2: were operating under the old paradigm, if you will. It
- 2:22Speaker 2: was an issue of not enough demand, and that is
- 2:25Speaker 2: something that works well generally until you have a bunch
- 2:28Speaker 2: of supply shocks. And we had a COVID supply shock,
- 2:31Speaker 2: we had an energy supply shock. We had supply shoks
- 2:34Speaker 2: with supply chains, geopolitics, all of which meant that there
- 2:38Speaker 2: was more than transitory inflation, and it took a while
- 2:41Speaker 2: for some of the central banks to fully recognize that
- 2:45Speaker 2: and start to respond.
- 2:46Speaker 1: Now that they have did recognize it, do you think
- 2:48Speaker 1: they've done enough? And do you see any more rate
- 2:50Speaker 1: increases likely to come about? There are many people in
- 2:53Speaker 1: the market who think that maybe another rate increase in
- 2:55Speaker 1: the United States is likely.
- 2:56Speaker 3: What do you think about that?
- 2:58Speaker 2: Yeah, well, first first part of the question, and I
- 3:00Speaker 2: think that once they started to move, and particularly when
- 3:03Speaker 2: the FED started to move, it did respond in a
- 3:06Speaker 2: very effective manner. It's consistently surprised people with it how
- 3:11Speaker 2: resolute it was and what it was prepared to do.
- 3:14Speaker 2: It recognized that the bigger risk was that inflation stayed
- 3:18Speaker 2: high or worsened, and it has put us in a position,
- 3:23Speaker 2: put the US in a position where inflation is increasingly
- 3:27Speaker 2: under control, not totally under control. And that gets to
- 3:30Speaker 2: the second part of your question, which is, I know,
- 3:34Speaker 2: if I have to choose a camp, I be in
- 3:35Speaker 2: the camp of I expect that there will be a
- 3:38Speaker 2: bit more tightening by the Fed, so probably an additional
- 3:43Speaker 2: rate increase this year, But.
- 3:45Speaker 3: What's as important.
- 3:47Speaker 2: In fact, what's more important is the path of policy
- 3:51Speaker 2: over the course of the next twelve to eighteen months.
- 3:54Speaker 2: And I think it's finally beginning to be recognized. It's
- 3:57Speaker 2: been a painful few weeks for some of the market
- 3:59Speaker 2: in getting recognition that it's not just about where the
- 4:02Speaker 2: rate is today, it's not just about the peak, but
- 4:04Speaker 2: it's the path, and the path of rates is very
- 4:07Speaker 2: much and I've been in this view for a while,
- 4:10Speaker 2: higher for longer, in order to ensure that policy is
- 4:16Speaker 2: adequately tight to bring inflation fully back to that two percent.
- 4:19Speaker 1: When I was in the White House as a young man,
- 4:23Speaker 1: we were running for reelection under Jimmy Carter, and the
- 4:26Speaker 1: head of the inflation Effort fighting inflation effort was a
- 4:29Speaker 1: man named Fred Kahn, former Cornell professor, and he went
- 4:32Speaker 1: out into the White House briefing room one day and said,
- 4:35Speaker 1: I think we're going to have a recession. Well, Carter
- 4:37Speaker 1: hauled him into the oval. Officer said Fred, I'm running
- 4:41Speaker 1: for reelection. Do not use the R word. It scares people.
- 4:45Speaker 1: And fred Kahn said, well, what am I supposed to do?
- 4:46Speaker 1: I have to be honest, be honest, but don't use
- 4:48Speaker 1: the R word. So the next time Fred Kahn went
- 4:51Speaker 1: out and he said, I think we're heading into a banana.
- 4:53Speaker 3: He used the word banana.
- 4:54Speaker 1: As a substitute of recession for figuring reporters wouldn't put
- 4:57Speaker 1: that in the headline. So are we heading into a banana?
- 5:00Speaker 1: Do you think or you think we're not going into
- 5:03Speaker 1: a banana?
- 5:03Speaker 3: Well, I think the.
- 5:06Speaker 2: Likelihood of banana has gone down. Actually, to be clear,
- 5:10Speaker 2: the FED has done quite a masterful job. Other things
- 5:13Speaker 2: have helped. But if you look at and you asked
- 5:17Speaker 2: me a moment ago rightly about unemployment and getting back
- 5:20Speaker 2: to the two percent, what's happened in the US, almost
- 5:23Speaker 2: uniquely in the US is there hasn't been a sharp
- 5:26Speaker 2: rise in unemployment. There's been a fall in vacancies, something
- 5:30Speaker 2: that hasn't happened in the past. But of course this
- 5:32Speaker 2: cycle is quite different than any previous cycles. So the
- 5:36Speaker 2: Fed's been able to thus far ease some of the
- 5:39Speaker 2: pressure in the labor market by reducing vacancies as opposed
- 5:42Speaker 2: to increasing unemployment. That, plus the other aspects of the
- 5:47Speaker 2: resilience that we've seen in the US economy makes recession
- 5:50Speaker 2: less likely because the reality is, you know, if you
- 5:53Speaker 2: get half a percent or certainly a full percent. Historically,
- 5:57Speaker 2: anytime the unemployment rate in the US had risen by
- 6:00Speaker 2: at least half of percent, there's been a recession. It's
- 6:03Speaker 2: just you get the compounding effect that hasn't happened, So
- 6:07Speaker 2: the probability's gone down, but there's still lots.
- 6:10Speaker 1: When you're the head of the central back in Canada,
- 6:11Speaker 1: do you kind of refer a lot to what the
- 6:13Speaker 1: US was doing because your economy so tied to the US.
- 6:16Speaker 1: Or do you say, look, we're we're going to do
- 6:18Speaker 1: what we want to do. We don't care what the
- 6:19Speaker 1: US is going to do. You consult a lot.
- 6:21Speaker 2: We obsess about the US as the short answer, because
- 6:25Speaker 2: it's the most impactful external factor for the Canadian economy.
- 6:31Speaker 2: And there's also some you know, some of the things
- 6:33Speaker 2: that drive growth in the United States, they're common factors
- 6:36Speaker 2: that drive growth and or inflation in Canada. Let's talk
- 6:40Speaker 2: about your background. So where did you grow up in Canada?
- 6:42Speaker 3: Where were you born?
- 6:43Speaker 2: I was born in Fort Smith in the Northwest Territories.
- 6:46Speaker 1: And you're the Arctic and you're in the Northwest Territories. Yeah,
- 6:50Speaker 1: that's very far up.
- 6:51Speaker 2: It is very far up Yeah, So what we're your
- 6:53Speaker 2: emphasis on the north and what were your parents doing there?
- 6:56Speaker 3: My parents were teachers.
- 6:57Speaker 1: And did you ever tay to them that's pretty far
- 7:00Speaker 1: up north to be living. And did they ever move closer?
- 7:03Speaker 1: They moved, we moved. Well, it's interesting.
- 7:05Speaker 2: I mean it's whatever two hour flights south to Edmonton, which.
- 7:09Speaker 3: Is probably then you grow up in Edmonton.
- 7:11Speaker 2: I grew up in Edmonton. I went to Yes, And
- 7:13Speaker 2: so you were a hockey player too. I was a
- 7:15Speaker 2: hockey player.
- 7:15Speaker 3: Yes. So you played Harvard hockey at Harvard's right, I did? Yes?
- 7:20Speaker 2: Ish I opened the gate. I was a goalie, so
- 7:22Speaker 2: I opened the gate for a lot of very good players.
- 7:25Speaker 3: Really.
- 7:26Speaker 2: So were you a star at Harvard in the hockey
- 7:28Speaker 2: world or.
- 7:28Speaker 3: I was very good at opening the gate? Yes? But
- 7:31Speaker 3: you never consider going to the NHL?
- 7:34Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 7:34Speaker 3: I considered it. They didn't. The NHL did not consider it.
- 7:37Speaker 3: Maybe in some sort of administrative role.
- 7:40Speaker 1: But okay, So after you graduated, you went to do
- 7:43Speaker 1: something like investment banking and you went to Goldman Sacks.
- 7:47Speaker 3: I went to Golden Sacks in London, yes, nineteen eighty eight.
- 7:50Speaker 3: And what did you do there?
- 7:52Speaker 2: I worked, Actually I worked in the credit department. So yeah,
- 7:56Speaker 2: credit analysis, which was probably the best thing I could
- 8:00Speaker 2: have done, because you know, you build up a fundamental skill.
- 8:03Speaker 1: How many people go to Goldman after college a young
- 8:07Speaker 1: get an MBA and you decided not to get an
- 8:10Speaker 1: MBA but to get a PhD in economics. Why did
- 8:13Speaker 1: you want a PhD economics?
- 8:15Speaker 2: I wanted to well, I thought that at some point
- 8:18Speaker 2: i'd work in public policy, and I thought it would
- 8:20Speaker 2: be more useful. And I toyed a bit with being
- 8:23Speaker 2: an academic as well. My father was ended up being
- 8:25Speaker 2: a professor ultimately.
- 8:27Speaker 1: So you did this in Oxford. Why didn't you do
- 8:29Speaker 1: a university in the United States or Canada?
- 8:31Speaker 3: Why did you get the way to England? Yeah?
- 8:33Speaker 2: It was To be honest, you could do a PhD
- 8:37Speaker 2: in Oxford in three years, as opposed to if you're
- 8:41Speaker 2: in the US system as a doctor student, you spend
- 8:44Speaker 2: a huge amount of time teaching, which is great if
- 8:46Speaker 2: you're going to be an academic. If you want the
- 8:48Speaker 2: academic training, though, it means that the average time is most.
- 8:52Speaker 3: So when you were in Oxford, did you also played hockey? Rint? Right?
- 8:55Speaker 3: I did? And where you was a star or you're
- 8:57Speaker 3: a star.
- 9:02Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, So you stayed at Goldman for how many years?
- 9:06Speaker 3: I was back?
- 9:07Speaker 2: In total, I was thirteen years at Goldman, but eight
- 9:11Speaker 2: almost ten years, I guess.
- 9:12Speaker 3: So what the highest level you reached.
- 9:14Speaker 2: That Goldman was to be a managing director managing director,
- 9:16Speaker 2: So managing director, a managing director?
- 9:18Speaker 1: Okay, So why did you leave Goldman? Some people think
- 9:21Speaker 1: it's the greatest thing in the world to be a
- 9:22Speaker 1: Goldman managing director. Why did you decide to leave and
- 9:25Speaker 1: go back to Canada?
- 9:26Speaker 2: But I had an opportunity to become Deputy governor at
- 9:29Speaker 2: the Bank of Canada. I've always had an interest in
- 9:32Speaker 2: public policy. It was unique, unique opportunity and I fully
- 9:36Speaker 2: huge respect for the guy who was governor at the time,
- 9:38Speaker 2: David Dodge.
- 9:39Speaker 3: And so how.
- 9:41Speaker 1: Would they have heard of you? You're an investment banker
- 9:43Speaker 1: in Goldman. People in Canada are They.
- 9:45Speaker 3: Had an end. They put an ad in the paper
- 9:46Speaker 3: and I applied.
- 9:47Speaker 1: They put an ad in the paper and you responded, wow, okay,
- 9:51Speaker 1: that's how.
- 9:51Speaker 3: You got a job. Okay.
- 9:52Speaker 1: Well now it's like, okay, so it's not how you
- 9:55Speaker 1: got to be the governor as well? You responded to that.
- 9:58Speaker 2: Well, they knew they knew okay, well no, but you
- 10:01Speaker 2: know for the governor as well. I mean that's become
- 10:03Speaker 2: the norm now central banks do put ads. I don't
- 10:05Speaker 2: think the face. So you're the deputy governor. You then
- 10:08Speaker 2: went to the Finance. I went to the Finance Department
- 10:10Speaker 2: and I worked with Yeah, I was one of the
- 10:13Speaker 2: Then you become the governor and I became the governor
- 10:15Speaker 2: Stephen Harper, and that was an easy time because there
- 10:18Speaker 2: was no recession, there was no problems, the economy was
- 10:20Speaker 2: going well well. I yeah, basically I remember saying to Diana,
- 10:25Speaker 2: my wife's that.
- 10:26Speaker 3: Look.
- 10:27Speaker 2: I mean we had young kids, like you know, this job,
- 10:30Speaker 2: you know you make eight decisions a year. You know
- 10:32Speaker 2: exactly when you make those decisions, you know, work life balance.
- 10:36Speaker 3: It was going to work.
- 10:37Speaker 2: Great and U and two weeks after I started, bear
- 10:41Speaker 2: Stearn's failed. Ultimately you finished after about how many years
- 10:45Speaker 2: were you that?
- 10:46Speaker 3: Just under six six?
- 10:47Speaker 1: All right, you step down and say now I'm going
- 10:49Speaker 1: to go back and make money at Goldman Sachs.
- 10:51Speaker 3: So what did you want to do? Didn't I didn't
- 10:53Speaker 3: step down. I was asked to.
- 10:55Speaker 2: I was approached by the UK government to become governor
- 10:58Speaker 2: of the Bank of England.
- 10:59Speaker 3: And is like an illegal poaching.
- 11:01Speaker 1: I mean they're going to another country to take the
- 11:03Speaker 1: central banker from another country.
- 11:04Speaker 3: Did you think that was unusual?
- 11:06Speaker 2: Well, it was, it was, It was unusual. It was
- 11:09Speaker 2: I mean the unusual times. Technically the head of state,
- 11:13Speaker 2: Queen Elizabeth is the same, so it's inter company transfer.
- 11:16Speaker 3: Okay. So yeah, all right.
- 11:18Speaker 1: So when you're the head of the Central Bank of Canada,
- 11:20Speaker 1: by the way, you get your signature on the currency. Yes, wow,
- 11:25Speaker 1: so that it's pretty nice when your hand somebody a
- 11:27Speaker 1: dollar bill, you say to people with my signature, you
- 11:30Speaker 1: ever tell them that, well, you don't break that rag?
- 11:32Speaker 3: Okay? All right.
- 11:33Speaker 1: So you get offered to go to be the head
- 11:36Speaker 1: of the Central Bank of England and you said yes
- 11:39Speaker 1: right away?
- 11:39Speaker 3: And I didn't. Actually I.
- 11:43Speaker 2: Turned it down a few times. It was a rolling
- 11:45Speaker 2: conversation over the course of twenty two eight.
- 11:48Speaker 1: So you ultimately took the job. I then took the job. Yeah,
- 11:51Speaker 1: I eventually took the job for about eight years.
- 11:53Speaker 3: Yeah, just under. And when you're the head of.
- 11:55Speaker 1: The Central Bank of England, does the Queen call you
- 11:57Speaker 1: for advice or she ask you anything? To meet the
- 12:01Speaker 1: Queen very much.
- 12:02Speaker 3: Or I did have a few audiences, right.
- 12:06Speaker 1: And just and the prime minister, he doesn't appoint you
- 12:09Speaker 1: the prime minister or he or she doesn't appoint you.
- 12:12Speaker 3: Uh, you're appointed by the sovereign.
- 12:13Speaker 2: Yeah, and the sovereign report to the Board of Governors.
- 12:19Speaker 2: I show, uh, well you I mean you report to
- 12:22Speaker 2: the British people. Really through parliament is the way that's
- 12:26Speaker 2: really the accountability you're I mean, you can only be
- 12:30Speaker 2: removed for incapacity and that is a very Did you
- 12:34Speaker 2: enjoy that job, job, job security, the job?
- 12:39Speaker 3: I enjoy that I it was, Yes, I did.
- 12:42Speaker 2: I mean it was you know sometimes in the in
- 12:45Speaker 2: the thick of it, it's it doesn't feel enjoyable. But
- 12:48Speaker 2: it was incredibly challenged. He was you know, there was
- 12:51Speaker 2: a lot going on, which is the reason why an
- 12:54Speaker 2: outsider came in.
- 12:56Speaker 3: So yes, I did enjoy it.
- 12:58Speaker 1: Was it more fun to be the head of the
- 12:59Speaker 1: Central Bank of Canada or Central Bank of England?
- 13:02Speaker 2: I would say was with The challenges were much greater
- 13:05Speaker 2: in the UK. You had an institution that had been
- 13:08Speaker 2: totally transformed. You had a financial system that I mean
- 13:11Speaker 2: was at the epicenter of the problems and had to
- 13:13Speaker 2: be fixed. You had the elements of Brexit what ultimately
- 13:19Speaker 2: was Brexit, the Scottish referendum. You had a big management challenge,
- 13:24Speaker 2: you know, so it was you enjoyed it.
- 13:25Speaker 3: I enjoyed it.
- 13:26Speaker 1: Yeah, so you would recommend that job anybody that gets
- 13:29Speaker 1: offered it, right.
- 13:29Speaker 3: I did recommend it too. I recommended it to a
- 13:31Speaker 3: number of people.
- 13:32Speaker 1: Yet, not too long from now, the next meeting of
- 13:35Speaker 1: a COP will occur. I guess it's in Abodhabir Dubai,
- 13:39Speaker 1: and I assume you'll be there as a special envoy.
- 13:42Speaker 1: So the last COP meeting didn't seem to make a
- 13:45Speaker 1: lot of progress. What kind of progress you think is
- 13:48Speaker 1: going to be made this time where we actually get
- 13:49Speaker 1: closer to getting to the target goals?
- 13:51Speaker 3: And you have?
- 13:52Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I think the first thing. Let's just back
- 13:54Speaker 2: up for one second. So if we go to the
- 13:56Speaker 2: Paris COP seven years ago, the world was headed towards
- 14:00Speaker 2: three and a half degrees warming by the end of
- 14:02Speaker 2: this century. IA came out last week says on current policies,
- 14:07Speaker 2: what actually is happening, We're headed to two point four degrees.
- 14:10Speaker 2: So there has been quite a bit of progress, it's
- 14:12Speaker 2: not enough. The goal is to be less than two.
- 14:15Speaker 2: But just to be clear in terms of the scale
- 14:17Speaker 2: of investment in the policies that we're making progress this
- 14:21Speaker 2: COP and full credit to the Presidency of the COP
- 14:25Speaker 2: the United Emirates and Sultan al Jaber is very focused
- 14:30Speaker 2: on commercial solutions for climate change. And so first and
- 14:34Speaker 2: foremost and objective to get the major oil countries, producing
- 14:39Speaker 2: countries and companies to commit to zero methane near zero
- 14:43Speaker 2: methane by twenty thirty, doubling the efficiency of producing and
- 14:48Speaker 2: transporting oil and gas.
- 14:50Speaker 1: So you step down for the Central Bank of England
- 14:53Speaker 1: and then you often become the special envoy off you
- 14:56Speaker 1: and now you're the chairman of Field Asset Management, and
- 15:01Speaker 1: now to be the chairman of Bloomberg. Right, what is
- 15:05Speaker 1: Brookfield Asset Management?
- 15:06Speaker 2: So Brookfield Asset Management and Brookfield as a whole is
- 15:11Speaker 2: one of the world's largest alternative asset managers. The asset
- 15:15Speaker 2: management business is the capital light bit. So this is
- 15:19Speaker 2: where the twelve hundred plus investment professionals of Brookfield reside.
- 15:25Speaker 2: We oversee the investments that have two hundred thousand operating
- 15:28Speaker 2: professionals and it's a business that invests effectively in the
- 15:36Speaker 2: backbone of the global economy.
- 15:37Speaker 3: So that means renewable power.
- 15:39Speaker 2: One of the largest owners operators at renewable power, over
- 15:41Speaker 2: one hundred and sixty gigawatts of renewable power owned, operate
- 15:46Speaker 2: and develop. One of the largest real estate investors in
- 15:49Speaker 2: the world. One of the pioneers, if not the pioneers,
- 15:53Speaker 2: of infrastructure is an asset class. So one hundred and
- 15:55Speaker 2: sixty billion under management in infrastructure, and that's everything from
- 16:00Speaker 2: energy infrastructure to data infrastructure, big private equity business and
- 16:05Speaker 2: a very large private credit business as well.
- 16:07Speaker 1: Now you have many jobs. Currently you're not the head
- 16:09Speaker 1: of the central bank in Inlet anymore or Canada, but
- 16:12Speaker 1: among other things, you're the special I guess advisor to
- 16:15Speaker 1: the UN Envoy Special Envoy UN on climate change.
- 16:20Speaker 3: So right, that's correct, on climate action and finance. Right,
- 16:23Speaker 3: So what does that really mean? What are you doing?
- 16:25Speaker 1: You're telling the people in each country they should go
- 16:28Speaker 1: more electric or don't burn as much oil, or what
- 16:31Speaker 1: it's really about.
- 16:32Speaker 2: So a lot of if there's a common theme to
- 16:35Speaker 2: my career, it's working at the intersection of public policy
- 16:39Speaker 2: and private markets. So a lot of that in central banking,
- 16:42Speaker 2: that's what you're doing. And that's what I'm doing, is
- 16:45Speaker 2: this special envoy, And really it's to organize the private
- 16:49Speaker 2: financial system to be ready for climate change, not just
- 16:54Speaker 2: the physical impacts of climate change, but to be part
- 16:57Speaker 2: of the solution, to be able to provide capital, get
- 16:59Speaker 2: capital where it's needed to.
- 17:02Speaker 3: Get a mission.
- 17:03Speaker 1: So in this disposition, which I assume is probably an
- 17:06Speaker 1: unpaid position very much, so you know, people are looking
- 17:09Speaker 1: at you all the time, say you're the special envoy
- 17:11Speaker 1: for climate action.
- 17:14Speaker 2: Can you can't fly in a private plane so easily?
- 17:16Speaker 2: I guess, right?
- 17:18Speaker 1: Then do you take public transportation or you can you
- 17:21Speaker 1: drive your own carve it's an oil and gas car
- 17:23Speaker 1: or not?
- 17:24Speaker 3: Well I have I.
- 17:26Speaker 2: Might not surprise if we have an electric car, as
- 17:28Speaker 2: you would expect, and most of the time that is
- 17:32Speaker 2: charged in Quebec.
- 17:33Speaker 3: I live just on the border with Quebec.
- 17:34Speaker 2: And that's therefore, are you countable power?
- 17:38Speaker 3: Are you conscious?
- 17:38Speaker 1: People always looking at you as a special envoye saying
- 17:40Speaker 1: you know he's using too much, he's got too big
- 17:42Speaker 1: a carbon footprint, or you don't worry about that?
- 17:44Speaker 2: Well no, people, look, people will make that, particularly if
- 17:47Speaker 2: they don't want to confront the tough issues around climate change,
- 17:50Speaker 2: the big blocks of what's actually going to make a difference.
- 17:53Speaker 2: They'll go to, you know, the anything you're wearing. You know,
- 17:56Speaker 2: there's plastic on my watch strap, and therefore there's an
- 17:59Speaker 2: element of high carbons in that.
- 18:01Speaker 1: If you have an oil and gas investment that comes
- 18:03Speaker 1: to an investment committee and you're the special envoy, you
- 18:06Speaker 1: have to recuse yourself or how do you know.
- 18:08Speaker 2: Well, we have a very we have very clear approach
- 18:11Speaker 2: at Brookfield. As I say, we're one of the largest
- 18:14Speaker 2: renewable energy providers and we are systematically going through our
- 18:19Speaker 2: assets to ensure that as much as possible they have
- 18:25Speaker 2: business plans that are consistent with the transition towards net zero.
- 18:30Speaker 2: And we do that first and foremost. From a fiduciary perspective,
- 18:35Speaker 2: we see being low carbon or lowering your carbon footprint
- 18:40Speaker 2: to put it that way, as one of the fundamental
- 18:42Speaker 2: drivers of value in the market. And I have to say,
- 18:45Speaker 2: you know, we're being proven right. We know in real
- 18:48Speaker 2: time that the mapping of the temperature increase to the
- 18:51Speaker 2: extreme weather events is worse than we thought ten years ago.
- 18:54Speaker 2: So actually the goal, even though the goal is getting
- 18:57Speaker 2: tougher to get it's becoming more.
- 19:00Speaker 3: To get there. And the third thing we know is
- 19:03Speaker 3: the mapping.
- 19:04Speaker 2: You can map specific actions to specific emission reductions and
- 19:10Speaker 2: it can become very clear whether you're making a difference
- 19:13Speaker 2: on that and what we've seen. I'll make two points
- 19:16Speaker 2: if I may, on that. One is we go back
- 19:18Speaker 2: five years ago. Clean energy investment, so that's wind, solar,
- 19:24Speaker 2: battery storage, and let's say ev charging those types of things.
- 19:27Speaker 2: About five hundred billion worldwide dollars spent this year last year,
- 19:32Speaker 2: one point two trillion this year one point eight trillion. Okay,
- 19:35Speaker 2: that is one and a half one point six times
- 19:37Speaker 2: what we're spending on conventional energy investment, and that's starting
- 19:43Speaker 2: to move, you know, so you can see in real
- 19:45Speaker 2: time what's happening in terms of emission reduction, solution emission reduction,
- 19:50Speaker 2: and as well, you know, from a financial we're at Bloomberg,
- 19:53Speaker 2: you know, and talking a bit about Brookfield as well.
- 19:57Speaker 3: From a financial perspective.
- 19:59Speaker 2: First off, the numbers are huge in terms of the
- 20:01Speaker 2: you know, the action is in the clean not in
- 20:04Speaker 2: the conventional. Secondly, the information set around whether or not
- 20:10Speaker 2: a company doesn't matter what the industry is could be
- 20:12Speaker 2: tech could be motor, whatever services. The information about what
- 20:17Speaker 2: your carbon footprint is today and where it's going is exploding,
- 20:22Speaker 2: so you can tell.
- 20:23Speaker 3: Who's part of the solution, who's part of the problem,
- 20:25Speaker 3: and that is driving value.
- 20:26Speaker 1: Some of the emerging market countries say, well, wait a second,
- 20:29Speaker 1: you guys in the United States and Western Europe, you
- 20:32Speaker 1: had a century or so to pollute as much as
- 20:34Speaker 1: you want it. Now you're asking us, as we're emerging,
- 20:37Speaker 1: to give away the right to use some of these
- 20:40Speaker 1: same kinds of fuels that you use as it's not fair,
- 20:43Speaker 1: They would say, what do you respond to that.
- 20:46Speaker 3: Well, it's not fair.
- 20:48Speaker 2: Unfortunately, the disproportionate impacts of climate change will also fall
- 20:51Speaker 2: in those same countries and the people in those countries.
- 20:54Speaker 2: You know, Africa, seventeen percent of the world's people three
- 20:57Speaker 2: percent of the world's emissions run right, but you know,
- 21:01Speaker 2: you know, hundreds of millions of people will be in
- 21:04Speaker 2: uninhabitable climate if we don't get.
- 21:07Speaker 3: This on top.
- 21:08Speaker 2: So we've got to all get together and deal with it.
- 21:11Speaker 2: First point, and then the second is that now, given
- 21:15Speaker 2: the progress that has been made in the economics of
- 21:18Speaker 2: wind solar stores particularly, they are becoming the low cost
- 21:21Speaker 2: solutions for those countries as well.
- 21:24Speaker 1: You have an electric car. You said you drive electric car, right,
- 21:27Speaker 1: So some people say electric cars are not perfect in
- 21:30Speaker 1: the sense that they get the minerals you need for
- 21:34Speaker 1: some of their batteries. For example, you have to do
- 21:36Speaker 1: a lot of mining of things, and that is not
- 21:38Speaker 1: great for the environment either. But on the whole you
- 21:40Speaker 1: would say electric vehicles are infinitely better than carbon.
- 21:44Speaker 3: Well, here we are in combustion.
- 21:46Speaker 2: At Bloomberg and I can reference BNF research on this,
- 21:50Speaker 2: which they actually show depending on where you are where
- 21:54Speaker 2: the crossover point is that your electric car net impact
- 21:59Speaker 2: on the environment is you know where it's better than
- 22:02Speaker 2: the internal combustion engine car.
- 22:04Speaker 3: If you're in.
- 22:05Speaker 2: Place like Canada, where you've got a lot of clean
- 22:07Speaker 2: power eighty five percent of our power zero mission in Canada,
- 22:11Speaker 2: a little plug for Canadian manufacturing there by the way,
- 22:14Speaker 2: and the crossovers about eighteen months. If you're even if
- 22:20Speaker 2: you're in China where you have instilled in the installed
- 22:22Speaker 2: based a lot of coal, it's well, I'll have to
- 22:26Speaker 2: check on I'll do BNF and check the number, but
- 22:28Speaker 2: it's around five years, okay, So and that includes the
- 22:32Speaker 2: embedded carbon from all those processes.
- 22:35Speaker 1: For somebody whos watching it says, I'd like to be
- 22:37Speaker 1: like Mark Carney successful, but almost everything is touched to say,
- 22:40Speaker 1: maybe not hockey perfectly, but pretty good.
- 22:43Speaker 3: What was it your hard work?
- 22:45Speaker 1: It's just being good jeans, you know, just smarter than
- 22:49Speaker 1: everybody else. So what is it luck? What do you
- 22:52Speaker 1: think it is that enable you to do all these things?
- 22:54Speaker 1: And you're still a very young man by my standard,
- 22:56Speaker 1: you're fifty eight years old. That's a teenager to me.
- 23:00Speaker 1: How so what do you think made this possible?
- 23:02Speaker 2: Well, look, luck is a huge element of it, without question.
- 23:07Speaker 2: You make your own luck to some extent if you're
- 23:10Speaker 2: doing things that you like and you care about, so
- 23:12Speaker 2: you're around opportunities. You know, I wouldn't have been Governor
- 23:15Speaker 2: of the Bank of England if I hadn't wanted to
- 23:17Speaker 2: be in public policy and was the governor of Bank
- 23:19Speaker 2: of Canada, for example.
- 23:21Speaker 3: But I, at least in.
- 23:22Speaker 2: My experience, maybe with my genes or whatever, I think
- 23:25Speaker 2: you can't get away.
- 23:26Speaker 3: From hard work.
- 23:28Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to hear more of my interviews. You
- 23:31Speaker 1: can subscribe and download my podcast on Spotify, Apple, or
- 23:35Speaker 1: wherever you listen.