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Episode 442 - 1/28/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and. Welcome to Episode 440.
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  Two of the all. Systems.
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  Go sports betting podcast. Powered by.
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  Rhythm. I am your host, Josh.
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  Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
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  Happy Wednesday. It's officially.
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  Hump day guys. That means we are halfway
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  through our work week and one day closer to the Super.
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  Bowl. That's right, we are now again,
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  but still. In still in the bye week here.
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  You know the bye week is. You know.
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  Kind of the calm. Before the storm.
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  Then everything really. Picks up starting Monday when
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  you're in the. Week of the.
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  Super Bowl. And then we will.
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  Be talking some. Prop bets I want to spend a
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  little bit of time not on today's.
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  Pod, but over the. Next.
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  Few days here, maybe early next week.
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  We'll talk about different ways to approach.
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  Prop Bets. One big thing that.
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  I've learned over time is. You know the public when they
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  approach prop bets, it's really. Looking to you.
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  Know kind. Of foster that parlay mentality
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  of betting a. Little bit to win a lot so.
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  They're going to bet on a lot of plus money props, a lot of yes
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  props. They're going to bet.
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  The coin flip, which I'm always against because.
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  It's less than a 50% chance when.
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  You factor in the juice unless you can get.
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  Even money or some plus money, it's really not worth it.
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  But pros look at it the other way.
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  They're willing. To bet some minus.
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  Numbers, they're willing to bet. Some no's.
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  And often times. Prop.
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  A Palooza which I. Believe is it's usually Thursday
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  or Friday. The week before the Super Bowl,
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  when all the big books in Vegas, you see all the wise guys.
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  Walking up to the counter you can.
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  Bet. I think it's like.
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  Maybe like 10 or less. Than you got to go back in line.
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  And bet some more. Limits are usually around like
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  a. 1000 or 2000? But.
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  I'll have a whole. Spiel on prop bets and I do have
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  a full section. In my new book The Everything.
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  Got to or, not the. Everything got to.
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  Sports betting the NFL sharp. Betting Playbook.
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  I should say. That is devoted to betting the
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  Super Bowl and betting. Super Bowl prop so full
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  breakdown there in the in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
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  Not too. Much in terms of updates guys,
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  cuz I do want. To on every day of the pod, just
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  talk about if. Anything's changed.
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  We're still sitting Seattle minus. 4 1/2 It's mostly -1
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  tens, couple -1. Fifteens on Seattle.
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  I kind of mentioned how. Those great betting systems with
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  Super Bowl dogs performing well. And the fact that.
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  The Patriots are a big. Contrarian play Patriots are
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  only getting at this. Point.
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  Let me give you the updated stats here.
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  They are taking in at. DraftKings still only. 29% of
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  spread bets at circa 37. Percent of spread bets.
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  But 64? Percent of spread dollars.
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  And again, those Super Bowl dogs covering 68.
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  Percent of the time since 2004. If you're three or more, you're
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  covering 73% of the time since 2004.
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  Remember, rhythm had Pats. Around a.
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  Plus 1 -, 1. Very short.
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  Basically, pick a number. And.
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  I guess the only. Update to me still looking at
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  new. England here because they are
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  super. Contrarian and heavily back
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  game. Good rhythm system matches.
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  Little bit. Of a sharp mush.
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  Edge. We got our dog.
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  Systems but one. Example or another.
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  Thing that just. Popped up today.
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  Is. ESPN.
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  And their group of. Analysts or so quote UN quote.
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  Experts. They pulled everyone.
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  And I think they're like. 10 or 15?
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  Of them. Every single one.
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  Pick. Seattle to win so.
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  You know when you're looking at like a Sunday night?
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  Game, Thursday night game, Monday night game.
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  And they have the panel where they go to, they shoot to the
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  panel, they show everyone and they have them pick who they're
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  going to, you know, pick to win the game.
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  And then it has a little icon. Of the.
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  Team or the logo? Anytime.
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  You're going into a prime time game and.
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  Everybody. Whether it's sometimes they're
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  not giving you percentage of public.
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  Like 6580. Percent of of the public, I
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  don't know where they're getting that a lot of these these ESPN
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  and and and like. Prime and.
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  Stuff like that, but. Anytime you see lopsided.
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  Betting all on one side. Just gets me more.
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  Excited to go the other way. So the fact that.
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  Everybody and their mother, literally, I think it's.
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  All 9:50. ESPN experts have picked Seattle
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  to win. And the public.
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  'S on Seattle. Makes me feel even more excited
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  to sweat my Patriots. Plus 4 1/2.
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  I'm just holding out. To see if we can get a + 5.
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  Because it's mostly minus. 4 1/2 - 1 tens.
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  But there are a couple -4 1/2 -, 115 so.
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  Again, you lose by 5. I want to.
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  Push that bet. But still. 4 1/2 that'll be my
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  number as long as nothing. Totally insane changes between
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  now and then because you did. Hear Drake May shoulder injury.
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  You know there was an online. Doctor Who said he's got a
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  shoulder injury and it's a big topic of conversation in Boston.
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  Sports talk radio right now. But seems like maybe he just
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  banged up and he should be. Should be good to go, should be
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  fine. Obviously Drake May hasn't
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  played great in the play offs, but he's played well enough to
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  win these games. But still looking at the
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  Patriots, and I guess the biggest update today is just
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  that everyone at ESPN is picking the Seahawks.
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  Which makes me more. Excited to sweat New England now
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  turning the page. Toward today, guys.
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  On a big Wednesday. Halfway through our work week, I
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  have a three pack of college. Basketball plays for you today,
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  so it'll be all college. Hoops on today's pod.
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  Now, Speaking of college hoops. Last night, guys.
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  Just how? How?
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  How? More can we get?
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  Hurt. How can you hurt me?
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  In college basketball lately, because it is just.
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  Brutal overall O and 3 -, 3 units.
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  So a terrible night. Right.
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  Well, it makes. Matters worse when.
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  Number one, you're beating. Closing lines.
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  Because remember BYU two nights ago?
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  Got them. Plus 2 + 1 1/2 they.
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  Close. Pick them or minus.
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  One they lose at the very end and.
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  Fail to cover the number then. We look at last.
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  Night, UNLV. Got them +4.
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  And a half maybe even got them plus.
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  Five they close. 4 or 3 1/2 they get blown out so beat the
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  closing. Line they completely.
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  Don't show up. But what really hurt?
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  Was Oklahoma. And Grand Canyon now if you're.
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  Watching that Oklahoma game. Remember that, Oklahoma?
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  Game yesterday was sitting around. 2 1/2.
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  Three, I was able to get a. 3 1/2.
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  At Bally bet felt. Pretty good about that.
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  I ended up closing. Around 3.
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  Some books were 2 1/2 so. Basically, a line was pretty
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  much right. Where it was didn't go.
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  Up or down very much. But Oklahoma had a lead at the
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  half they were up 79 to 77 with. About a minute.
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  Left then. They were down by. 2 with 10
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  seconds left. Now when you have a dog.
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  That is down at the end. What you.
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  Want is one of two things. You want either to take a shot
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  and miss and then they don't. Foul and you dribble.
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  Off the clock. And you cover.
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  Or you got to make your. Shot.
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  And then, you know, extend the game.
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  Keep the possessions going. So what happened?
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  They were down 2. With 10 seconds left.
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  And it was almost. Like, like just this awful,
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  like, you know, PTSD. From the from the.
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  BYU game because kid goes right in the lane, Little kid.
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  It's probably 6 foot two or something.
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  But tries to go up for the layup.
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  Gets blocked. What happens?
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  They foul. What happens?
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  The guy on Arkansas drills both free throws.
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  And we lose by. 4. So again, just absolutely.
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  Brutal with a lead. About a minute left, down by 210
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  seconds left. You're holding 2 1/2. 3/3 and
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  1/2. And again, here's the thing,
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  like we can't even get lucky and have one of these guys on the
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  opposing teams miss one free throw.
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  Like all you do is miss. One drains both.
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  Lose by 4. When you had a.
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  Plus. 2 1/2 + 3 + 3 1/2. Absolutely brutal Oklahoma.
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  Disgusting implosion. But the.
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  Coup de grace, the worst bad beat that I would.
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  Argue of the entire season and again, there's been there's been
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  a few so they're they're very. Extremely frustrating and bad
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  beats are probably. The worst part of sports
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  betting? I always think to myself, would
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  I rather get my ass? Blown out.
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  And lose by 40 or get my hopes up and then lose at the very
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  end. I feel it almost.
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  Hurts worse. When you lose at the very end.
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  But after what happened? To Oklahoma.
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  And you know. BYU the previous night.
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  I'm like, OK, Grand Canyon, there's no way.
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  Grand Canyon blows this right. Of course, they find a way to
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  blow it. Grand Canyon at Nevada.
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  Grand Canyon, whether you got a what?
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  Was it AI think? It was a + 4 1/2 three and a.
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  Half or a four? Ends up closing 3 1/2.
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  Grand Canyon. Was up by 10.
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  Points with four minutes. Left.
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  They're up by 6 points with one minute left and what do they do?
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  This complete moron number. 2 Williams They're up by three
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  with no time remaining. And what does he do?
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  He fouls a kid throwing up a three pointer.
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  Meaningless. 3 could. Have gone in maybe, but.
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  I highly doubt it. What's the first thing you
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  learn? Like how dumb are you?
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  Like I it. Amazes me how.
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  Stupid these kids are and how stupid these coaches are.
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  What do you say if you're a coach up by three?
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  With like less than 5 seconds left, do not.
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  Foul a three-point shooter. This complete idiot #2 fouls the
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  three-point shooter. With one second left and what
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  happens? All we need is the opponent,
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  just like in that Oklahoma game, to miss.
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  One of the free. Throws but this kid.
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  Give him credit. Knocks down the first one,
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  knocks down the second one, knocks down the third.
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  One hits all. Three to force overtime.
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  Then what happens in overtime? Grand Canyon completely implodes
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  and loses by. 6 and we don't. Cover our 3 1/2, four, four and
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  half, whatever you got. But seriously, how dumb are you?
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  And I know I think it's is a brace Drew or Scott Drew or
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  whatever that the. Drew family it's.
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  Like, aren't you supposed to be a good coach?
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  You didn't tell your. Kids not to foul.
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  A three-point shooter at the buzzer?
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  How dumb are you? That Grand Canyon one?
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  Really I I could not sleep at. Night because I if you remember.
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  You guys telling you like I'm? On the east.
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  Coast So these are. Late games for me so I'm staying
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  up till. 1:00 AM. To see Grand Canyon lose and
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  it's like. How did?
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  Why did I devote? Three hours of my life to see
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  that. Pathetic, disgusting.
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  Absolutely just. You know, puke.
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  In your own mouth. Ending.
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  With Grand Canyon, that really, really.
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  And again I'm like. Desensitized to sports.
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  Betting I still. Get the rush every time I have a
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  sweat. But it's like once.
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  It's kind of once you've seen one, you've seen them.
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  All. And it's like nothing surprises
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  me anymore. So the old me.
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  Would have smashed my TV. To the the 38 year old me.
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  Approaching 40 years old, it's just like all I can do is just
• 10:14
  just laugh like cuz it's just, it's, it's absolutely
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  incredible. But Grand Canyon, Oklahoma, I
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  mean, that was just absolutely brutal.
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  Last night, so that's. Sports betting for you between
• 10:24
  Baylor or sorry between BYU Grand Canyon.
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  Oklahoma over the last two nights.
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  All three of those implosions bad beats.
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  At the end. Again, you.
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  Can't even get one out of two. You know again that could be 3
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  and O. It should have been three and O.
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  But hey. You got a thick skin if you want
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  to bet on sports. But.
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  If you were frustrated with grand.
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  Canyon in Oklahoma last night. You were not alone.
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  That was absolutely. Disgusting, but with.
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  That being said. You suffer bad beats.
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  You. Know what you can do?
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  You can be pissed off when you go to bed, but you wake up.
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  And the sun is shining. And we got a new slate of games.
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  So we're not going to dwell in the past.
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  You can't change the past. It's art.
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  It's. Done with.
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  I can't go back and tell that. Idiot not to foul the kid
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  shooting the three. But you know, we can do.
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  We can claw our way back and see if we can post a winning night
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  here for tonight. So with that being.
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  Said I got. 3 plays for you. See if we can find a way to get
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  at least. Two of them.
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  So. 1st but on the. Board 6:30 PM Eastern.
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  Time got a match. Up here kind of an earlier.
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  Sweat Baylor at Cincinnati. Now Baylor.
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  Comes in 11 and 8 on the year. They've dropped three in a row.
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  Just came up short. Against TCU 97 to 90.
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  Lost that game out right as a four and a half.
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  Point home favorite, meanwhile. Cincinnati 10 and 10 on the
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  year. They've lost two straight.
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  Just fell to Arizona State, 82 to 60. 8 lost out right as a
• 11:39
  three-point Rd. favorite, so. What have you seen across the
• 11:42
  market here? Will this game open with?
• 11:43
  Cincinnati listed as a 4 1/2 point home.
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  Favorite and the public. They don't know what to do.
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  You know, probably. Baylor based.
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  On the one loss. Record is the better team. 11
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  and 8 versus. 10 and 10. But Cincinnati is at.
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  Home it's. Kind of a short.
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  Number so public straight down the middle 5050 at.
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  DraftKings don't know whether. To take the points or lay them.
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  What do we always talk about? 5050 yet you see.
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  A line move theoretically. Line shouldn't move at all if
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  the tickets are even because. Oddsmakers have no incentive or
• 12:10
  reason to bring the number up or down.
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  We have seen this number. Fall toward Baylor.
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  We went from Cincinnati. -4 1/2. Now down to Cincinnati minus. 3
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  1/2. So why did the line move?
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  And drop toward Baylor if if the public is split.
• 12:25
  Down the middle. And really has no no clear
• 12:27
  consensus here. That tells me we got a 5050.
• 12:30
  Sharp line move on Baylor plus the points now.
• 12:34
  Baylor at circa 50. It's 5050 at DraftKings, but at
• 12:37
  Circa you're going to like. This. 43% of spread bets, 95% of
• 12:42
  spread dollars on the bears. So again, a good.
• 12:45
  Low bets, higher dollar split out in the desert on Baylor.
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  Also, Ken Palm he does have. Since he winning.
• 12:52
  But only by two. Points 75 to 73.
• 12:55
  So offering some actionable value on.
• 12:57
  Baylor at plus 3 1/2. You might even be able to shop.
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  Around and get a + 4. But he also has Baylor ranked
• 13:03
  higher. 52nd versus 60. First in the country.
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  Couple advantages here that. Jumped out to me.
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  I know since he ranks very well. Defensively.
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  But Baylor has a ton of. Advantages on offense Better
• 13:14
  offensive efficiency 24th, 1st, 200, and 3rd.
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  Better effective. Field goal percentage. 58th.
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  Versus 270. Second, better offensive rebound
• 13:22
  percentage, 9th versus 100. And 99th.
• 13:25
  Better three. Point shooting 59th.
• 13:27
  Versus 330th. And better free throw.
• 13:29
  Shooting 194th versus 300 and 49th.
• 13:32
  So Publix down the middle. 5050 but.
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  The line is dropped. Toward Baylor, you can get
• 13:37
  Baylor 3 1/2. You again might be able to get
• 13:39
  a. +4 so shop around. And rhythm has Baylor.
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  Plus 2.8 and plus 2.1. So a little of an edge there.
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  And we also have a 6% sharp mush.
• 13:48
  Edge in. Favor of Baylor.
• 13:49
  As well so after. Bad beat after bad beat after
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  bad beat. Last couple nights.
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  Can the gambling gods give us a break?
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  Can Baylor? Cover this number.
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  I'm going bears here again. You might be able to get a.
• 14:01
  Plus 4I jumped on a + 3 1/2 I think it was.
• 14:04
  Reduced juice though at. -1 O 5. But you know what?
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  Baylor Can you win the damn game?
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  Can you lose by? You know.
• 14:09
  Three or less. I'm on Baylor in this spot.
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  So let's go bears. 7:30 PM Eastern.
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  Time let's. Take a look at.
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  Xavier and Seton Hall. Xavier comes in 11.
• 14:19
  And nine on the year, they've lost two straight.
• 14:22
  Just lost. To Saint John's. 88 to 80. 3 did
• 14:24
  cover though as an. 8 1/2 point home dog.
• 14:26
  Meanwhile, Seton Hall 14 and 6 on the season.
• 14:29
  They have dropped, however. Four in a row.
• 14:31
  They started 14 and two lost. Four in a row just lost to
• 14:34
  DePaul. 67 to 60. Losing outright.
• 14:37
  As a 2 1/2 point. Road favorite.
• 14:40
  So we've seen across the market here this game open Seton Hall,
• 14:43
  this around a. 7 1/2 point home favorite and it seems to me.
• 14:47
  It's not an. Opinion this is.
• 14:48
  Based on the numbers. And the line movement that pros
• 14:52
  seem to. Have thought that that line was.
• 14:53
  A little bit too high because. Smart money.
• 14:55
  Has come in on. Xavier plus the.
• 14:57
  Points I'm on. Xavier guys Xavier went from
• 14:59
  plus. 7 1/2 down to plus 6 1/2. You I got.
• 15:04
  Plus 6 1/2 and you should. Still be able to.
• 15:05
  Get 6 1/2. But I see a couple books at.
• 15:07
  Six in one book at. 5 1/2. So I'm loving the fact that this
• 15:11
  line. Continues to dip towards Xavier.
• 15:14
  So if you can. Still get that 6 1/2, you should
• 15:15
  be able to still get some closing line value, but it's
• 15:18
  been one way movement in favor of Xavier.
• 15:21
  We also have. Pretty good splits here at
• 15:23
  DraftKings. Xavier's getting 60. 6% of
• 15:26
  spread bets, but over 70% of spread.
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  Dollars at circa 60. 7% of spread bets, 97% of spread
• 15:34
  dollars. So both DK.
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  And circa. Having a really good.
• 15:38
  Pro and Joe Bet. Split again.
• 15:39
  I don't. Love that it's 60.
• 15:40
  Ish percent. Public, you know, bet.
• 15:43
  Bet splits ticket wise. But big money.
• 15:45
  And the line move was also. Going on Xavier.
• 15:47
  So I'll. Classify this as.
• 15:48
  A pro and Joe play both. Public leaning Xavier.
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  As well as. Smart money and remember.
• 15:54
  Smart money pros, wise guys, whatever you.
• 15:55
  Want to call them? They don't care what the
• 15:56
  public's doing. They they don't look at.
• 15:58
  Splits. They're betting based on their
• 16:00
  internal numbers, so it. Tells me.
• 16:02
  Maybe when this opened? At 7:00 and. 1/2 they had this
• 16:03
  game. Closer to 6 to begin with, which
• 16:05
  is why they took Xavier in the points.
• 16:07
  Now big system match here both. Teams in the Big East so
• 16:10
  conference dog. Angle, but in particular.
• 16:12
  Two Big East teams. Playoff.
• 16:15
  Face off in conference. Play Take the dog.
• 16:17
  It's. 35 and 17 against the spread this year. 67 percent,
• 16:21
  28% ROI. The Musketeers have a few.
• 16:24
  Advantages here mostly. On offense, better offensive.
• 16:26
  Efficiency 90th. Versus 161st.
• 16:30
  Better effective. Field goal percentage. 176th
• 16:33
  verse 300 and 21st. Better three-point shooting.
• 16:36
  44th verse 300 and 13th. They take better care of the
• 16:40
  ball. They rank 11th.
• 16:41
  Overall in turnover percentage verse 132nd for Seton Hall.
• 16:45
  Lastly, did have rhythm. Recommending to take.
• 16:48
  Xavier in the points. Plus four point. 7 again.
• 16:52
  You're getting basically Xavier. Shop Ron.
• 16:55
  I got plus. 6 and half at -110 both.
• 16:57
  Sides, it looks like you can still get. 6 1/2.
• 16:59
  At Bally Bet. And the score.
• 17:01
  But Caesars is down to 6. And FanDuel is down to 5 1/2, so
• 17:04
  again, try to get the best. Price there, but you.
• 17:07
  Still can get the six and a hook.
• 17:09
  Rhythms got 4 point. Seven and Oh, by the way.
• 17:11
  One of the two Robo. Jackson best bet picks from
• 17:14
  Juice reel is also Xavier. Plus the points.
• 17:17
  So let's go, Xavier. Let's go, Musketeers.
• 17:21
  Win the damn game, keep it close.
• 17:22
  I'm on Xavier. Plus 6 1/2 last bit.
• 17:26
  Of the night, DePaul. At Georgetown.
• 17:29
  This is an 830. PM Eastern Time game.
• 17:32
  We have DePaul coming in 12 and. 8 on the year.
• 17:35
  Mentioned a second ago. They just beat Seton Hall 67 to
• 17:38
  61. Outright as a 2 1/2 point home
• 17:41
  dog and. They've also won for.
• 17:43
  Their last six so. Playing pretty well here with
• 17:45
  DePaul now. On the other hand.
• 17:48
  Georgetown 10 and 10. 5500 team. They did just snap.
• 17:52
  However, a six game losing skid, they beat Providence. 81 to 78.
• 17:56
  They won that game. Outright as a 5 1/2.
• 17:58
  Point Rd. Dog so.
• 17:59
  What have you seen across the market here?
• 18:01
  Well, this game open. With Georgetown listed.
• 18:03
  As a 4 1/2 point home favorite. And the public.
• 18:06
  They're leaning toward Georgetown.
• 18:07
  They're coming. Off a big.
• 18:08
  Upset win they're at. Home.
• 18:09
  It's a relatively short number we're getting. 61.
• 18:12
  Percent of spread bets at DraftKings laying it with
• 18:14
  Georgetown. However, even though nearly 2/3
• 18:17
  of bets are on the. Hoyas, the line isn't up.
• 18:19
  To -5 -. 6 It's down to -3 1/2 and some books even down to
• 18:24
  three. So line is.
• 18:25
  Clearly going toward DePaul, even though public.
• 18:28
  Is going Georgetown. Tells me we got a sharp reverse
• 18:30
  line. Move in favor of.
• 18:32
  DePaul. DePaul is.
• 18:34
  A bet against the public play only getting a roughly 1/3 of
• 18:37
  tickets. In a heavily bet.
• 18:38
  Primetime game on Fox Sports 1. You look at circa, however, 60.
• 18:43
  Percent of spread bets. 93%. Of spread dollars on DePaul.
• 18:47
  So big. Low bets, high dollar.
• 18:48
  Split out in. Vegas from the Wise.
• 18:50
  Guys in the desert also taking the points with DePaul.
• 18:54
  Now Ken Palm has. Georgetown winning by three.
• 18:56
  So still some actionable. Value there on DePaul.
• 18:58
  Plus 3 1/2. We have that same system match
• 19:01
  that was on Xavier. Which would be a Big East.
• 19:04
  Conference game take the dog 67% against the.
• 19:07
  Spread this year. DePaul has the better.
• 19:09
  Defensive efficiency 54th. Versus 109th.
• 19:12
  Better three-point shooting 180. Second versus 270. 5th.
• 19:16
  They force more turnovers. 92nd versus 2. 118th.
• 19:19
  And they hold their opponents to better effective field goal
• 19:21
  percentage. 57 versus 100 and. 10th Lastly, rhythm has.
• 19:26
  DePaul plus two point. 6 so again.
• 19:28
  We can get a. 3 1/2. I.
• 19:31
  Actually jumped on DePaul. +4 at Caesars earlier today, but.
• 19:34
  Again, you can. Still get the 3 1/2.
• 19:36
  But there's also a. 29. Percent.
• 19:38
  Pretty big there. 29% sharp mush edge for our friends.
• 19:41
  At juice rail also. On DePaul.
• 19:43
  So Baylor, Xavier, DePaul. All sharp.
• 19:48
  Dogs with rhythm. And juice real edges and after
• 19:51
  the. Torture of last night.
• 19:54
  And last couple nights. I think we're due again.
• 19:56
  The thing with sports? Betting is it's going to test
• 19:58
  you. There's going to be games where
• 20:00
  everything goes your way. There's going to be games where
• 20:01
  nothing goes your. Way.
• 20:03
  There's bad beats, there's epic backdoor covers.
• 20:05
  We just got to stick with it. And see if we can turn our
• 20:07
  fortunes around here for tonight after one of the most
• 20:10
  frustrating nights in in recent memory.
• 20:12
  But anyway, guys. All college hoops today.
• 20:14
  So that wraps up the pod again. I I'm.
• 20:17
  Also looking at maybe an NBA play.
• 20:19
  In terms of. Another award.
• 20:22
  We talked about Chet. Holmgren.
• 20:23
  Last night getting that plus 1/25 at the score but.
• 20:27
  I'm looking at coach. Of the year, so stay.
• 20:28
  Tuned. I might have one for you.
• 20:29
  I'm going to just give a little bit more time here for that.
• 20:32
  One but anyway. This is the part of the pod.
• 20:34
  Where we wrap things up. And always start first by saying
• 20:36
  thank you. Thank you for listening, Thank
• 20:38
  you for tuning in. Thank you for grinding in the
• 20:40
  arena with me every single day through the UPS, the downs, the
• 20:44
  epic backdoor covers. In the terrible, disgusting
• 20:46
  Grand Canyon, Oklahoma. And BYU bad beats.
• 20:50
  But that's that's. Life.
• 20:50
  That's sports betting. Things are going to go your way.
• 20:52
  Things are going. To go directly against you, you
• 20:54
  can never get too high or too low.
• 20:56
  But I do appreciate every day you guys tuning in, grinding.
• 21:00
  Listening to the breakdowns. And sweating these games with
• 21:02
  me, I always. I always joke.
• 21:03
  It's like. Pulling up a chair to the
• 21:04
  virtual bar as we sweat some data-driven place.
• 21:07
  Together, but as. Always guys, if you want to help
• 21:09
  me grow this pod, please could you give it a five star review?
• 21:11
  On Spotify or iTunes. Leave a nice comment.
• 21:14
  If you feel so inclined, click the follow.
• 21:16
  Button Recommend the pod to a friend.
• 21:17
  Retweet the pod. When I tweeted out at.
• 21:20
  Josh under Score insights next. If you enjoy the style of
• 21:23
  betting. Data-driven sharp, contrarian
• 21:25
  sports betting focusing. On numbers and not teams line.
• 21:28
  Movement split system matches. If you have now been.
• 21:31
  Given a blueprint to. Attack the betting market.
• 21:33
  If you can read numbers and lines and what what is the
• 21:36
  dodgeball? If you can dodge a ball, you can
• 21:37
  dodge a wrench. Well, if you can read.
• 21:38
  Lines and splits and. Movement.
• 21:40
  And read the Market. You can bet.
• 21:42
  On any sport. But if you do want to learn more
• 21:44
  about data-driven betting. Or.
• 21:46
  You have someone in. Your life Who?
• 21:47
  Could use some data-driven tips. Or you just want.
• 21:48
  To. Make my day and support the team
• 21:51
  I'd love for. You to go to Amazon.com.
• 21:53
  And type in the. NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 21:55
  Or the Everything Guide to Sports.
• 21:57
  Betting. Those are the.
• 21:58
  Two books that I've written, very proud of both.
• 22:00
  Again, the NFL sharp betting playbook has a specific.
• 22:02
  Chapter. On betting the Super Bowl props
• 22:05
  in the big game. So if you want to grab one or
• 22:07
  both of those books. You'll make my day.
• 22:10
  And also you can bring them the sports book.
• 22:11
  I'll buy a beer. Or ginger ale will sweat some
• 22:14
  some. College hoops together tonight.
• 22:16
  Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice?
• 22:18
  Real yet my two favorite sports betting apps.
• 22:21
  Rhythm and Juice Reel help me when they're going to help.
• 22:23
  You win rhythm. Fantastic for their AI backed.
• 22:25
  Models and predictions for game bets.
• 22:27
  And player props reminder. Tomorrow's Thursday, so we'll
• 22:30
  have our rhythm rundown myself, my buddy Kate.
• 22:32
  Harper. Stream live on Twitter 6:00 PM
• 22:34
  Eastern Time every Thursday. Night and then Juice Reel.
• 22:37
  Juice Reel has so many great. Features you get the Robo
• 22:39
  Jackson best bet. Picks the sharp mush indicators.
• 22:41
  The arbitrage plays the shop for the best sign features, but you
• 22:44
  can. Also support the ASG.
• 22:46
  Pod. By signing.
• 22:47
  Up to get the all systems go. Best bet picks exclusively from
• 22:51
  the Juice Reel app. As soon as I've synced all my
• 22:53
  books. Guys, and I think you should too
• 22:55
  of. Course, but once I.
• 22:56
  Bet a game it goes right to Juice Reel.
• 22:58
  You'll get it first. You can tail fade, do whatever
• 23:00
  you like, but again, you're. Going to get the.
• 23:02
  Plays earlier hopefully beat some.
• 23:03
  Closing lines and also consider. That a tip jar.
• 23:06
  It costs $4.99 a week. To get those ASG.
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  Best Bets? And if you enjoy the insights.
• 23:12
  Consider it you know. 5 bucks per week and that's really.
• 23:15
  Less than a dollar a day, but if you want to join that would mean
• 23:18
  a lot to me. So download Rhythm download.
• 23:20
  Drewsreel give them a. Five star review.
• 23:22
  In the App Store. Next, do you have a live?
• 23:24
  Odds page well if. You don't.
• 23:26
  You need. One, you got to be able to track
• 23:27
  the market, got to be able to figure out all the games
• 23:30
  available to bet that. Day start times live.
• 23:32
  Scoring live in game. Wagering odds comparing the
• 23:34
  opening line to the. Current numbers shopping.
• 23:37
  For the best price. Identifying Steam, pulling up
• 23:39
  the line history. That live odds page is your
• 23:42
  Bible. It's the It's the tab that I
• 23:44
  stare. At you know, you know how you
• 23:46
  get your screen time on your cell phone?
• 23:47
  Like that's the. The the page that has a sports.
• 23:50
  Better you're going. To have.
• 23:51
  Up most often and. Odds logic.
• 23:53
  Is the best around, so if you want to give.
• 23:55
  Odds. Logic a shot.
• 23:56
  It'll definitely change the. Way you bet on sports make your
• 23:58
  life a lot easier and it just. Gives you the ability.
• 24:00
  To track the. Market in real time which?
• 24:02
  Is half the battle, so if you want to give odds logic.
• 24:04
  A shot. Make sure you use the special
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  link odds logic.com. Slash Josh, 12.
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  Three. That'll give you a 7.
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  Day free trial 50. Percent off your first month of
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  service Lastly. Have you given Novig a shot yet?
• 24:18
  Go download the Novig. App it is a.
• 24:20
  Sports betting exchange. It's not a book.
• 24:23
  So the. Whole point there is you're not
• 24:24
  going up against the house, you're going up in an exchange.
• 24:26
  Against other betters. Who have bet the?
• 24:28
  Opposite side is you, so as a result you're getting way better
• 24:31
  juice prices you're going to get.
• 24:32
  Plus one O 2. -1 O 3. Plus one O 6. -1 O four, you're
• 24:37
  not going to have to lay -115 -? 120 which means you can.
• 24:40
  Win at the. Same rate you would at
• 24:41
  DraftKings or FanDuel, but make more money using Novig because
• 24:45
  you're. Risking less juice, Which?
• 24:46
  Means when you bet. Tris first bet.
• 24:48
  To when you're going to. Get more.
• 24:49
  Back in the back end, so. If you want to.
• 24:51
  Give Novig a shot go. Download the novig.
• 24:53
  App. And put in.
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  Josh, 12. Three in the promo.
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  Code when you fund. Your account, it'll tack on an
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  extra 25 bucks for you. So that about dozen guys.
• 25:02
  Episode 442 of the ASG Pod now in.
• 25:04
  The books two final thoughts one.
• 25:06
  Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 25:09
  Rhode. Island the Brooklyn, New
• 25:10
  Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
• 25:12
  Connecticut at the Encore in Boston Plain Ridge Park casino.
• 25:15
  MGM, Springfield. The Nash.
• 25:17
  And my. Neck of the.
• 25:17
  Woods between Massachusetts. And New Hampshire.
• 25:20
  Or out in the desert, where the true grinders get down.
• 25:22
  Where? Billy Walter sends his number
• 25:24
  runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South.
• 25:26
  Point or sweat and. Sharp and train plays.
• 25:28
  Jumping in the stadium. Swimming pool when you.
• 25:30
  Catch a big ticket at Circa? You're going to walk up to me?
• 25:34
  You're going to show me in particular, BYU from Monday,
• 25:38
  Grand Canyon in Oklahoma. From last night we're.
• 25:40
  Going to RIP those tickets up, recycle them.
• 25:42
  Don't throw them in the. Trash.
• 25:43
  Recycle them. No skin off your back.
• 25:46
  Might as well repurpose them so they can be a winning ticket for
• 25:49
  someone. Else in the future.
• 25:50
  We're just going to laugh. We're.
• 25:51
  Going to take a. Shot, we're going to right back.
• 25:53
  Out of here tonight guys, so coming off an.
• 25:55
  O and. Three or a three and OA.
• 25:58
  One and two or A2? And one a winning night, A
• 25:59
  losing night. A night with great backdoor
• 26:01
  covers. A night with terrible, crushing,
• 26:04
  frustrating bad beats. There's going to be ups and
• 26:07
  downs. We can't get too high or too
• 26:08
  low. When things are good.
• 26:09
  We can't get cocky and arrogant when things are struggling and
• 26:12
  we're getting. Bad beated.
• 26:13
  We can't give up. We can't.
• 26:15
  Triple down and start. To Chase, we just got to stay
• 26:17
  the course. Because again, there's ups and
• 26:20
  downs. You're.
• 26:20
  Riding a roller coaster? You're riding a wave.
• 26:21
  But sports betting? The key is making data-driven
• 26:24
  plays and sticking to the blueprint.
• 26:26
  Big discipline. With your bankroll management
• 26:28
  flat betting. So we can stick to that
• 26:30
  blueprint guys, which is looking for games that are.
• 26:32
  Against the public with, the House with.
• 26:34
  The pros Flat bet. Avoid.
• 26:35
  Parlays and get that CLV if we can do that.
• 26:38
  We're going to be successful better as long term.
• 26:40
  So, dear God, gambling. Gods give us some.
• 26:42
  Better luck tonight, no more bad beats.
• 26:45
  See if we can get some winners, guys, and then we'll be right
• 26:47
  back at it. Tomorrow.
• 26:48
  For a Thirsty Thursday edition, that'll be episode 443 of The
• 26:52
  All. Systems go sports betting.
• 26:53
  Podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 26:57
  great. Wednesday night.