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Episode 434 - 1/16/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
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  welcome to episode 434 of the all systems go sports betting
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  podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
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  What's going on everyone? Happy Friday.
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  Our work week has come to an end and you guys know what that
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  means. That means we are now just 24
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  hours away from the second round of the NFL postseason, the
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  divisional round. We got a huge weekend ahead of
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  your guys. We talked about the games last
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  night. I want to thank everyone who
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  tuned into the rhythm rundown had a great stream with my buddy
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  Kate Harper going through all the games and rhythm system
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  matches hitting on a bunch of prop bets as well as sides and
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  totals. But just get ready guys.
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  One of my favorite weekends of the year.
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  We got Buffalo Denver 4:30 PM Eastern Time tomorrow 8:00 we
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  got San Fran in Seattle and then on Sunday 3:00 Houston and the
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  Patriots ram Chicago 630 on on Sunday night.
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  So very excited for a big weekend here.
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  See if we can catch some tickets, which is always the
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  goal did go over all four plays one one side on every game
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  yesterday. I'll reiterate that for today
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  and just give you some updates in terms of what's happened over
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  the last 24 hours because we are very close here to to kick off,
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  which means some late movement will either kind of make us more
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  excited or maybe a little hesitant.
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  But overall, still seeing these these moves toward the teams
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  that we talked about. But I'll give you an update on
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  the NFL best bets from my end for this weekend.
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  I also have two college basketball plays for you today.
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  It's a very small slate. There's only seven games
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  overall, but I found a favorite and a dog.
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  So let's see if we can get a couple of these two to come
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  through for the team. But then lastly, I have a
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  national championship pick because again, we're all focused
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  on the NFL, but coming up here on Monday, we have College
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  Football Playoff championship game, Miami and Indiana, and
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  they're starting to be a little bit of movement, little buyback.
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  I'm going to give you my play for this one because I talked
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  about it on the stream yesterday for the rhythm rundown and I
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  actually put it put it in the juicer lap last night because I
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  thought OK, we better jump on this now before this number
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  continues to fall because it looks like it is moving as we
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  speak. So college hoops reiterating NFL
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  plays for this weekend and the national championship best bet,
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  which again will come back on Monday and do the pod and and go
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  over what happened over the weekend and how that line has
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  moved, but thinking we should get this in now before it moves
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  too much further looking back to our last night guys, another
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  frustrating one and two night man.
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  We're having these 3 packs and you know, looking for a second
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  win to give us a winning night. Hasn't come through the way we
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  wanted one and 2 -, 1 point O 9 units last night.
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  Did have a nice hit with South Alabama coming through as a dog
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  and they were down. Had to go to overtime and won
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  that thing outright. The really frustrating one was
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  Milwaukee. They end up losing my 13 to
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  Oakland and if you remember that was about a 3 1/2 and the line
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  closed all the way down to 2 1/2 or even 2.
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  So once again, doing our part, but Milwaukee letting us down.
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  And they actually, if you're watching this game, they made a
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  push to get it down to five and then there was a scuffle and the
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  players started like kind of pushing each other around and
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  there was a flagrant 2 in the ball and it was like a 5 point
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  swing. And it was like, OK, that that,
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  you know, pretty much sunk us. That was frustrating.
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  And then the the late night game Wichita State, another annoying
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  one, got a 4 1/2 closed at 3 1/2.
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  Once again, CLV, they get their their doors blown off and lose
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  by like 20. So I've been rough out there in
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  college hoops. We're going to see if we can
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  finish off the week on a winning note, which is always the goal.
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  So that being said. Let's get right back to it.
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  Small slate in college hoops, but I got a couple plays that
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  I'll be sweating and here they are.
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  First one on the board, very heavily.
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  Back game. We got Baylor and Kansas 8:00
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  Eastern Time tonight. I think it's an ESPN game or
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  maybe it's a Fox game. But Baylor comes in 11 and five
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  just snapped A3 game losing skid by beating OK State 94 to 79
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  covered easily as a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
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  Meanwhile, Kansas 12 and five, remember they came up a huge
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  fuss earlier in the week as a sharp, unpopular dog against
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  Iowa State, beating the Cyclones 84 to 63 as a 3 1/2 point home
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  dog. Now what do we see across the
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  market? Well, this game opened with
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  Kansas listed around a 6 1/2 point home favorite.
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  And the first thing I noticed about this game, and you know
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  me, I'm one to always take a dog in a heavily back game, but I'm
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  going to leave the points here with Kansas and I'll tell you
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  why. This game opened Kansas around a
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  6 1/2 point home favorite. And when I wrote this for the
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  Sharp report for vsin.com earlier today, it had gotten bet
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  up to -7 1/2. So the first indication to me
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  was, OK, this line's going further toward The Jayhawks.
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  Now, since that time I put in Kansas -7 1/2, I'm now seeing a
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  lot of shops get up to 8. So definitely want to, if you're
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  going to play Kansas with me here, shop around and get that
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  -7 1/2. Because again, they win by 8, we
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  can cover that number, they win by 8 and we lay at 8.
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  You push that bet. But I'm looking at basically
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  across the market right now. You can still get 7 1/2 at quite
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  a few shops, but I am seeing eights pop up.
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  So that is a good sign as this line continues to go to Kansas.
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  Kansas, aside from the line move, has a pretty good bet
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  split as well. At DraftKings, 64% of spread
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  bets but 71% of spread spread dollars on The Jayhawks.
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  Over at Circa, only 40% bets, but 56% spread dollars on
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  Kansas. So we have a line move toward
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  Kansas and low bets, higher dollars at DK and Circa, all in
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  favor of The Jayhawks. Now, Ken Palm does have Kansas
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  winning by 8. He's got a winning 82 to 74.
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  So a little bit of an edge there on the -7 1/2.
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  He also does have The Jayhawks ranked higher, 17th in the
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  country versus 40th for Baylor. Kansas.
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  Some advantages here. Better defensive efficiency,
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  15th in the country versus 94th for Baylor.
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  Better free throw shooting, 72nd in the country versus 147th for
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  Baylor. And they hold their opponents to
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  a better effective field goal percentage. 7th best for Kansas
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  versus 75th for Baylor. Kansas by the way, 7/1 at home,
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  an average margin of victory of 10.1 points.
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  So let's see if they can win by 8 or 9 or more and make everyone
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  happy here tonight. Did want to mention as well
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  Kansas has a 30% sharp mush edge from our friends at Juice Rail
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  telling us that the sharper winning betters who have
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  downloaded Juice Rail are also laying the points here of The
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  Jayhawks. So I'm on Jayhawks -7 1/2 again.
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  You want to play it, make sure you grab it before it gets to 8.
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  I would mention two. Did see some over money there.
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  Total opened around 1:54, it's up to 155 1/2.
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  And if you look at the total in the spot as a sweet spot when
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  the total is between 1:50 and 160 and the total goes up at
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  least a point a point, the over is 184 and one 4556 percent, 7%
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  ROI this year. And both teams are pretty good
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  offensively in terms of scoring, offensive efficiency, effective
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  field goal percentage and shooting the three.
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  The Long story short, guys, we got low bets, higher dollars,
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  line move, Ken palm edge, sharp mush edge, and I believe Rhythm
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  had Kansas -7.9, so hopefully it's still an edge on the 7 1/2.
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  But I did lay it with Kansas -7 1/2.
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  See if they can cover for us tonight.
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  Last bet? As we have a 2 pack here.
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  Colorado State, Boise State late night 1030 game.
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  I think it's on FS1. Colorado State comes in 11 and
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  six on the year. They've rotated wins and losses.
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  They've been kind of back and forth here about the last five
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  games. Just lost to Fresno State, 79 to
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  69, lost out right as a 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
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  Meanwhile, Boise 9:00 and 8:00 on the year.
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  They have lost four in a row. However, just came up short
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  against UNLV, 89 to 85 in overtime, losing that game out
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  right as a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
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  So what are we seeing across the market here?
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  Well, I told you I had a dog in a favorite.
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  So the favorites, Kansas, the dog is Colorado State.
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  Colorado State opened as a six point dog and we've now seen
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  this line get down to 5 1/2. And I even saw one shop juiced
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  up looking like it's getting down to five.
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  Why is that important? Because we have a 5050 ticket
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  split. If you look at DraftKings right
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  down the middle, half the tickets in favor of Boise laying
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  it, half the tickets in favor of Colorado State getting the
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  points. And what do we always mention in
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  a vacuum, theoretically 5050 you would expect the line really not
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  to move at all because bets are even.
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  Again, no reason for the odds makers to adjust the number up
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  or down When you have a 5050 split and yet you see a line
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  move tells me smart money is going with the team that trigger
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  that line, which would be Colorado State year.
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  Now Circa only 33% of spread bets, but 50% of spread dollars
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  are on Colorado State. So a good low bets higher dollar
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  split from our friends out at Circa in Vegas.
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  The wise guy shop, Ken Palm does have Boise winning by 5.
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  So if you can still get that 5 1/2 which is available, a little
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  bit of an edge there. Colorado State does have the
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  better offensive efficiency, 41st in the country versus
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  125th, better effective field goal percentage, 7th versus
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  270th. Good 3 point shooting team.
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  Hope they can hit their threes tonight, but they rank 4th in
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  the country in three-point shooting percentage versus 247th
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  for Boise and they shoot the the free throw better 32nd versus
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  61st. I did notice as well there it
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  looked looked to be some under money as that total fell 142 1/2
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  down to 139 1/2 or 138. But we have 5050 public doesn't
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  know what to do but the lines dropping toward Colorado State
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  good split at Circa and our friends at Juice Reel have a 33%
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  sharp mush edge in favor of Colorado State and oh by the
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  way, rhythm as Colorado State plus 4.8.
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  So you can still get a five and a half a near one point edge.
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  So I'm taking the points late night with Colorado State.
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  Rams plus 5 1/2. So Kansas -7 1/2, Colorado State
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  plus 5 1/2. Two plays here for tonight.
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  Now, just wanted to reiterate the NFL plays and then we'll
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  finish up the pod with my national championship.
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  Best bet for Indiana and Miami. But having gone over these
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  yesterday, I'll give you the cliffs those version.
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  First bet tomorrow. I'm going Denver Broncos on the
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  money line. Now we've seen this line move
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  dog to fave in favor of Denver. They opened getting a point or
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  point and a half. They've now flipped to -1 1/2.
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  And I have noticed last 24 hours, a lot of books were
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  mostly -1 Denver. Now you're looking -1 1/2
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  Denver. So we've just kind of seen this
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  line move further toward the Broncos.
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  And what I like about this line movement, not just the dog to
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  fave, is the fact that the public's actually on Josh Allen
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  and the Bills. They're getting 61% of spread
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  bets at DK, yet this line is flipped toward Denver.
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  So that tells me we got smart money dog to fade fade the
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  trendy dog in favor of the Broncos.
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  Rhythm had a really good recommended money line play as a
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  green star recommended play on the Denver Broncos money line
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  favored by about a point and a half.
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  But I like the fact that they highlighted the money line
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  because again, you know, open around to pick em or you split
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  the difference. Both teams been favored by a
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  point point and a half. If this is a really close game,
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  I would hate to win by 1 and lose a -. 1 1/2.
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  So I did go Denver money line around -115 and once again you
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  got injuries with Buffalo Shavers and Gabe Davis.
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  Both got hurt. Second straight Rd. game.
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  Denver's rested and ready to go. That defense hopefully getting
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  to Josh Allen, as great as he is, I got to play Denver here.
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  So I did go Denver money line around -115 next game, San
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  Francisco 49ers plus 7 1/2. Now, the key here is hopefully
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  got the hook because we were sitting basically Seattle -7 1/2
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  pretty much the entire week. But over the last about two
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  days, I would say all those hooks are starting to kind of
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  get away from you. You're starting to see this line
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  or you've actually seen it completely fall down to seven.
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  So a lot of big money looks to me to be grabbing the points
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  with San Fran. You might be able to get the
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  seven half still -120 you could buy it up if you wanted.
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  You could wait see if it goes back up further.
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  But again, this is a A play on the juicer lap that I put in
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  plus seven half of the hook. You're matching a playoff dog
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  who missed the postseason the previous year.
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  That's a three and O against the spread system this year. 71% ATS
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  since 2020. Also a divisional round dog.
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  Built in familiarity, leveling the playing field benefit the
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  team getting points. You are also a primetime dog
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  with those primetime dogs typically barking here
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  historically when both teams missed the playoffs the previous
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  year. Take the dog that's a 10 and
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  three against the spread system 77%, which is one of the best
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  systems around. Doesn't happen a lot, but that
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  system is since 2017 as well. And then you look at rhythm.
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  Rhythm has 49ers plus 3.3, 49ers plus 0.8, and 49ers Green Star
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  recommended plus 3.5. So again, I would love for you
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  guys to have gotten the hook. I hope you did.
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  You could shop for it, you could buy it up.
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  We can get it to 7 1/2 -, 120 or less.
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  But we got a divisional dog, a line move.
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  I want to bet against Sam Darnold.
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  He popped up on the injury report with an oblique the other
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  day. And Rhythm is saying this should
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  be closer to a three or four point game.
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  So I did take 49ers plus 7 1/2. Now on to Sunday slate, my New
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  England Patriots. That's right.
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  I hope you guys know that I would never recommend my
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  favorite team just because they're my favorite team.
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  But I think when you start as a sports better, the first thing
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  you do is you probably bet on your favorite teams because you
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  want to see them win and you want to catch your bet.
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  Like what's better than you know, I'm a Red Sox fan.
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  I bet the Red Sox, Red Sox win, my team wins, I'm happy, I win
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  money. But you learn basically that
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  when you bet as a fan, it really is going to hold you back
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  because you're going to talk yourself into bad bets and out
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  of good bets. But here's the thing.
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  Once you get in the the process of never playing your team just
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  cuz they're your team, there are times when your team happens to
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  be sharp in a system match. And therefore those are the
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  special times where you can bet your team and feel like you're
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  still making a sharp bet from your head and not your heart.
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  And that's where I'm going with New England here.
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  I like this factor. The line is moved toward the
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  Patriots. They open -2 1/2.
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  They're up to -3 any shops that were at -3 are now really juiced
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  up -3 -, 115 -, 120. I'm seeing a couple shops now
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  get up to to 3 1/2. So all movement and liability
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  has been on the side of the Patriots.
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  I was considering the money line, but it's a little pricier
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  for me -175 so I did find a A - 3.
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  But you should be able to do at the lowest juice I could find,
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  which was -3 - 114. But we have line movement
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  liability toward New England. I like that the Patriots aren't
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  a huge public play. Like if you look at DraftKings
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  right now, they're only getting 55% of spread bets but 75% of
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  spread dollars. So low bets, higher dollars.
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  You also have Houston second straight Rd. game on a short
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  week, which is tough. Patriots second straight home
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  game. And then lastly, this is what
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  really sent me over the edge. Rhythm is telling me that that
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  -3 is a pretty good edge on the Pats.
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  First model is patriots -4.5, second model, patriots -3.6.
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  Third model Green Star recommended Pats -4.8, so Rhythm
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  is saying it should be closer to a four or five point game.
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  Movement liability, low bets, higher dollars, schedule
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  advantage for New England. I'm going Pat's here -3 -. 114
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  last bet of the weekend. Can DA Bears do it one more time
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  for us? Because boy, have they been a
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  great team to sweat this year. I can specifically remember a
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  bunch of games. There's a game, I think it was
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  against Cincinnati, where they're up big.
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  Blew it and then they got down with like, I don't know, 30
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  seconds left and came back and won it.
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  And then, of course, that insane game that they came back against
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  the Packers did it again last week in the playoffs.
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  So the Bears, they got some mojo here.
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  And I'm taking the points with Chicago.
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  Chicago sitting around 3 1/2 or 4I jumped on the +4.
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  Should be pretty available here to you guys.
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  Caesar's fanatics both having it looks like Bet MGM and FanDuel
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  are 3 1/2, but with the plus four.
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  Here's my thought process. Number one, it is a big weather
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  advantage for Chicago. Also schedule advantage because
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  the Rams are playing their second straight Rd. game.
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  Barely got by the the Panthers as a 10 1/2 point favorite.
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  Will they win by 3 or 4? Something like that.
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  Chicago second straight home game.
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  So again, I like fading teams. Second straight Rd. game.
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  I'm doing it with Houston, I'm doing with Buffalo, I'm going to
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  do with the Rams. Now I did take San Fran, second
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  straight Rd. game, but feel like at least we're going to beat the
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  closing line there. But the weather is a big factor.
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  The latest reports, if you haven't checked it out, it is
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  going to be so freaking cold in Chicago, like 15-10 degrees.
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  It's going to be windy. There could be some snow.
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  As I was listening to talk radio, I heard a hit a hit with
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  Tom Brady where he was talking about the weather and he was
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  talking about what an advantage that'll be for Chicago and how
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  tough it is for a Dome team like the Rams warm weather team to go
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  to Chicago in the freezing cold. So we have the weather
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  advantage. We also have the bears as a what
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  we have here. Playoff dog in general,
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  divisional round dog 65% ATS playoff dog missed the
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  postseason the previous year 3 and O ATS 71% since 2020, all
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  matching with Chicago. But then lastly, our friends at
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  Rhythm are also saying take da Bears.
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  Bears first model plus 2.5, Bears second model actually a
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  pick em game -0.0 third model plus 1.6.
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  So basically Rhythm has about a three-point or less game and we
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  can get a four. I'm going da Bears seeing if
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  Kale Williams can can find another way to to make my heart
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  sink and then, you know, rejoice with joy.
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  But I'm going to go with the the bears here plus 4.
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  So San Fran plus 7 1/2 Broncos money line.
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  Pats -3 Bears +4. Now to finish up the pod on a
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  big Friday, we got to talk about the national championship game,
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  final college game of the year. And it is lining up to be kind
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  of a classic system play for me. So of course, we got Miami
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  playing Indiana. This game will be played in
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  Miami, which we talked about this on the stream last night.
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  I think at least in terms of the articles that I've been reading
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  and seeing on ESPN.com, it's been a lot about how Fernando
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  Mendoza is a it's a homecoming for him.
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  He's a Miami kid. But how do you mention that and
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  then not mention that this is Miami's hometown?
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  Like literally their team is from this area.
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  So my question is, you know, do we see, I think it's a Hard Rock
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  the Dolphin Stadium, but is this a very pro Miami Hurricanes
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  crowd, which again, you know, not, I guess it's the
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  technically neutral site, but it's pretty much a home field
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  advantage play for Miami, almost like Brady and the Patriots the
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  COVID year when they had that game at at their home stadium
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  against the the Chiefs. But here's the thing, when you
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  look at the splits for this game, it is so effing lopsided
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  toward Indiana. And I get it.
• 19:36
  Indiana, they've been a powerhouse.
• 19:38
  They've been rolling everybody. I took Oregon 4 1/2 got got down
• 19:42
  to 3 1/2 felt like I made a really good bet and they got
• 19:44
  their doors blown off. So maybe Signetti Mendoza,
• 19:47
  they're just, you know, they're a team of destiny.
• 19:49
  But I'm going to take the points of Miami.
• 19:51
  I'll give you the first reason why.
• 19:52
  First reason before you even get to line movement is that you are
• 19:55
  currently getting 77% of spread bets on Indiana.
• 20:00
  So if we are in a championship game, a Monday night game,
• 20:03
  incredibly heavily bet and basically 8 out of 10, the
• 20:07
  masses are just. You know, hand over foot loading
• 20:10
  up on Indiana automatically as a contrarian heavily back game,
• 20:15
  championship game, playoff game. I want to take the team only
• 20:19
  getting 23% of spread bats, not the team getting 77%.
• 20:22
  So right off the bat, I'm I'm looking at Miami.
• 20:25
  Here's the other angle, though. You know, I was talking to my
• 20:28
  buddy Kate last night saying, hey, this isn't really quote UN
• 20:30
  quote a sharp play, but it's a value play.
• 20:32
  And what I mean by that is, yes, this line move toward Indiana
• 20:36
  because Indiana opened -7 they've gotten bet up now to -8
• 20:41
  1/2. But here's the thing I was
• 20:43
  wondering to myself, you know, hey, this such lopsided betting
• 20:46
  on the Hoosiers. Do we get up to 9?
• 20:49
  Do we get up to 9 1/2? Like, how high is this line
• 20:51
  going to go? Well, guess what?
• 20:53
  I don't think it's going much higher.
• 20:54
  If anything, it's starting to come back down toward Miami.
• 20:57
  There's been an indication of smart money taking the +8 and
• 21:00
  half with Miami because pretty much across the board, even
• 21:04
  though everyone's playing Indiana, Miami is plus 8 1/2 -,
• 21:07
  115, and I see a couple books that are down to 8.
• 21:11
  So the fact that we're juiced up and falling back toward Miami
• 21:14
  even though everybody is playing Indiana, that tells me we got
• 21:17
  some smart money here to take an inflated dog with a little bit
• 21:20
  of sharp buyback. Super contrarian in favor of EU.
• 21:24
  Now we get to rhythm. I have two recommended plays to
• 21:28
  take Miami. One is Miami, believe it or not,
• 21:31
  plus 2.9 and we're getting 8 1/2.
• 21:34
  Second model Miami plus 4.2. So take the 2 1/2, the 4.2
• 21:40
  again, rhythm is saying this should be closer to a, you know,
• 21:43
  a field goal game and we can get 8 1/2 and be against every drunk
• 21:46
  guy at the bar in America. Guys, I'm going with EU Good
• 21:50
  defense, veteran quarterback, you know, neutral, neutral game,
• 21:54
  but pretty much a home game. I got Miami against the public
• 21:58
  plus 8 1/2. And the reason why I wanted to
• 22:00
  mention today is it looks like it's getting down to 8 and if we
• 22:03
  want to play Miami 22 trains leaving the station with the
• 22:07
  hook, so might as well grab it now, which is what I did last
• 22:10
  night. So let's go Miami plus 8 1/2.
• 22:14
  So that about does it for. Episode 434 of the All Systems
• 22:17
  Go Sports Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm As we wrap up
• 22:21
  the week, always want to start first by saying thank you.
• 22:23
  Thank you for listening, Thank you for tuning in.
• 22:25
  Thank you for grinding in the arena with me every single day
• 22:29
  to the UPS and the downs, the good days, the bad days, the hot
• 22:31
  streaks, the cold streaks. But if you do enjoy the pod,
• 22:34
  could you do me a favor? Could you please give this
• 22:36
  podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
• 22:40
  Leave a nice comment, click the follow button, retweet the pod
• 22:43
  when I put it out every afternoon.
• 22:45
  Recommend the pod to a friend. I would all all that will be
• 22:48
  great. I'd very much appreciate it.
• 22:50
  Next, if you enjoy the style of sports betting breakdowns in
• 22:54
  terms of not what we think or hope or want or this has got to
• 22:58
  happen or this team's do. No, we talked about the data,
• 23:00
  what the markets telling us, looking at splits, line movement
• 23:03
  system matches, taking a contrarian approach.
• 23:06
  If this style of betting appeals to you, you want to learn more
• 23:09
  about data-driven betting or you have someone in your life who
• 23:11
  could use some data-driven tips, I would love for you to go to
• 23:14
  Amazon.com and type in the NFL sharp betting playbook or the
• 23:19
  everything guide to sports betting.
• 23:20
  Those are the two books that I've written.
• 23:22
  Very proud of both. But if you want to grab one or
• 23:25
  the other or both of them, if you really want to be a hero,
• 23:28
  bring them the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
• 23:30
  I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
• 23:32
  We'll sweat some games together next.
• 23:34
  Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
• 23:36
  Well if you haven't, now is the time.
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  Rhythm is great for their AI backed models and predictions
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  for game bets and player props. Juice Reel.
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  So many great advantages with the Juice Reel app.
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  First off, if you want to support the team tip your
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  bets from exclusively and only the Juice Reel tab.
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  And it costs $4.99 a week, so 5 bucks for a week's worth of
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  plays. We're also going to get the Robo
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  Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the
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  arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line features, all when
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  you download Juice Reel. So download Rhythm, download
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  Juice Reel, and while you're at it, give them a five star review
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  in the App Store next. Do you have a live odds page?
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  If you don't. Have one you need one.
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  It is the number one tool that a data-driven better needs.
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  Being able to track the market in real time, identifying that
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  hey, Kansas is 7 1/2 going to 8, I better jump on that now before
• 24:30
  it moves. Or Miami's falling 8 1/2 down to
• 24:32
  8. Hey, I better jump on that
• 24:34
  before it moves. Being able to track the market,
• 24:36
  identify line movement, identify steam as the colors in the page,
• 24:41
  light up when a when a side or total is getting hit or money
• 24:44
  line. But then of course, shopping for
• 24:46
  the best price, getting live in game wagering odds, pulling up
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  the line history, it's all included when you sign up for
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  Odds Logic, the best live odds page around.
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  I use it everyday. I love it.
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  I'm a proud affiliate of Odds Logic and I think you're going
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  to like it too. So all you got to do is go to
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  oddslogic.com/josh 123. Make sure you do the slash Josh
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  one 2-3 at the end because I'll give you a 7 day free trial and
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  50% off your first month of service.
• 25:13
  Next, have you downloaded Novig yet?
• 25:16
  Novig is a sports betting exchange.
• 25:18
  It's not a sports book. So you're going to get better
• 25:20
  juice prices because you don't have to pay the house.
• 25:22
  Instead of going up against the house that's going to charge you
• 25:25
  -115 -, 120, you're going up against other betters.
• 25:29
  So the juice prices are like -1 O 5 plus one O 2 - 1 O 3.
• 25:33
  So when at the same rate you would at DraftKings, FanDuel,
• 25:36
  Caesar's, Bet MGM, whatever it may be, but make more money
• 25:39
  because you're risking less juice.
• 25:40
  So you're getting more on the back end.
• 25:42
  So if you want to download Novig, I'm a proud affiliate of
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  Novig as well. Make sure you use the promo code
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  Josh 123 when you fund your account and they'll tack on an
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  extra 25 bucks for you. So that about does it guys as.
• 25:55
  Always. Whether I see you at the Borgata
• 25:58
  in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
• 26:00
  Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut, at the
• 26:03
  Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM, Springfield,
• 26:06
  the Nash, and my neck of the woods on the border of
• 26:09
  Massachusetts and National New Hampshire.
• 26:11
  We're out in the desert where the true grinders get down,
• 26:13
  where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where the lowest
• 26:16
  juice possible is found at the South Point or sweat and sharp
• 26:19
  contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 26:22
  When you cash a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
• 26:24
  to me, show me a nice South Alabama ticket.
• 26:28
  But whatever we do, Wichita State, Milwaukee, pathetic, no
• 26:32
  shows. Again, I don't know what's up
• 26:34
  with college right now, beating closing lines, and these teams
• 26:36
  aren't coming through. So we're just going to stick
• 26:38
  with it and see if we can we can post a winning day, which is
• 26:41
  always the goal. So as always, guys coming off a
• 26:43
  one and two night or two in one night, a three and O&O and
• 26:46
  three, a great night, a terrible night.
• 26:48
  Whether we're hot, whether we're cold, whether we're just
• 26:50
  grinding, eking out a profit, which is always the goal.
• 26:54
  Whatever the case may be, we're going to stick to the process,
• 26:56
  stick to the model, play the system matches not get too high
• 26:59
  or too low because there's always it's a marathon, not a
• 27:01
  Sprint. So we can find the games that
• 27:03
  fit our system against the public, with the house, with the
• 27:06
  pros, flat bat, avoid parlays and get that COV.
• 27:09
  If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters.
• 27:12
  So have a great Friday night, everybody.
• 27:14
  Have an even better weekend. Again, a great weekend of
• 27:17
  football. Let's get some winners.
• 27:19
  Let's hope the Pats can cover in advance.
• 27:21
  And regardless of what happens, we'll be right back at it on
• 27:24
  Monday for episode 435 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
• 27:29
  podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 27:32
  great weekend.