Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Why Bitcoin's Price Will Go UP FOREVER | Beyond Bitcoin
Transcript
- 0:00One day soon you're going to look back at Bitcoin's price and
- 0:04laugh, ha ha ha ha ha or cry not because it doubled, but because
- 0:09it kept going and never came back.
- 0:11There is a number out there that almost no one talks about That
- 0:15explains exactly why that is, and once you see it, you'll
- 0:18understand why the price could only go one way up forever.
- 0:22Laura, what happens when one asset starts absorbing the value
- 0:27of everything? Not just money, but property,
- 0:31companies, stocks, resources, art and every new thing that
- 0:37humans will ever create? It's not a guess.
- 0:40It's baked into math. Once you get it, you'll never
- 0:43look at bitcoins price the same way again.
- 0:45I'm oceans. This is beyond Bitcoin.
- 0:47Buckle up there, Cowboys. We're about to zoom out of the
- 0:50universe about 21 million miles away.
- 0:58OK, here's the whole thing in one line.
- 1:00Everything divided by 21 million.
- 1:02That's it. Looks familiar, right?
- 1:05We see this meme on shirts and coffee cups popularized by Knut,
- 1:09then Knut Knut Swan Hall. Here's a big question.
- 1:13What does it mean to have everything divided by 21
- 1:16million? It's easy to print on a T-shirt,
- 1:18but its message might be one of the most profound discoveries in
- 1:20our financial world. So.
- 1:22Whenever, whenever there's a thought, I I tend to extrapolate
- 1:27the thought vector into the extreme.
- 1:30OK, so, so I guess that's how I came up with the idea of
- 1:34everything divided by 21 million.
- 1:36It's just like, what? What what happens then?
- 1:38Then? Well, it must be everything,
- 1:40like forever. Like yeah, like goes to
- 1:43Infinity. It just blows the mind too.
- 1:46It's really hard to wrap the mind around.
- 1:49But also at the at the same time, if you understand Bitcoin,
- 1:53then it's in some sense it's also obvious, kind of.
- 1:56Yeah. Then again, I don't think things
- 1:59will be infinitely valuable. It's it's just that prices can
- 2:05actually go down forever and it's good for absolutely
- 2:08everyone. It's literally every single
- 2:11person working for everyone else, which it's it's just.
- 2:16It breaks the brain because we're conditioned to think that
- 2:19like inflation is a natural thing, like it's like just a law
- 2:22of. Nature is the greatest lie ever
- 2:25told. Yes, it really is.
- 2:28And you can, you can see it all around you, like if you just go
- 2:31into a 711 or something, just a supermarket and you see all the
- 2:35stuff that's in there. And some of these supermarkets
- 2:38sell like shoes and bags and stuff also.
- 2:42Why? How can they do that?
- 2:44What, what's the it's because all the stuff in the world is,
- 2:48is already in Fiat land, almost infinitely cheap to produce and
- 2:53ship. So, so like all prices are
- 2:55trending to 00 marginal cost like and production costs.
- 3:01And so why shouldn't everyone be able to tap into that?
- 3:06The only reason is that some people have kidnapped the whole
- 3:12system and and they they are able to manipulate it.
- 3:15And then, yeah. And and this has gone on, gone
- 3:19on for such a long time and so many generations that we've
- 3:23we've never had money with a fixed supply before.
- 3:27So no, no human being has ever experienced that.
- 3:30So that I guess that's why it's so hard to think outside the box
- 3:33and you know, enormous are very hard for them to deprogram them
- 3:39when it comes to the concept of money.
- 3:41Yeah, like, yeah, but then I could sell my Bitcoin like 2
- 3:44years down the line and buy a Porsche.
- 3:46Like you're missing the point dude.
- 3:48Totally. Meets Man Home didn't just come
- 3:50up with a catchy phrase. That thought is so powerful.
- 3:54He exposed maybe the most important piece of math in your
- 3:57lifetime. Everything is the total value of
- 4:00all wealth today. All buildings, houses, boats,
- 4:05barrels of bourbon, butter, biscuits, bass guitars,
- 4:09basketballs, baked goods, bonbons, books, beds, bedtime
- 4:14stories, baths. OK, enough of that.
- 4:16This number also includes all the wealth humanity will ever
- 4:19create in its future. That's the numerator side of
- 4:22this equation. The denominator, 21 million.
- 4:25This is the total number of Bitcoin that can ever exist and
- 4:27will ever be in circulation, hard coded into the network.
- 4:30And here is where it gets simple enough for a 5 year old.
- 4:33If the number grows and it always grows, and the
- 4:36denominator stays the same, what happens to the price per unit?
- 4:41I bet you can guess all rise in the presence.
- 4:44Of Dark Helmet. Yeah, it goes up supply, demand.
- 4:48You've heard before, it's not a prediction, it's economic law.
- 4:50Let's break this numerator number down for a moment.
- 4:53Why not? Today the numerator is drum
- 4:57roll. The global gold market cap sits
- 5:00at $15 trillion or $23 trillion depending on what search engine
- 5:05you ask. This is the estimated present
- 5:08value of all gold in the world. Next global real estate, $326
- 5:13trillion. Next global M2 money supply $105
- 5:17trillion M 2 money supply is the current money in circulation at
- 5:21the moment. So 105 trillion Fiat garbage out
- 5:29there. Then there's stocks, bonds, art,
- 5:31commodities dot dot dot. The list truly never ends.
- 5:35We're talking about everything and anything you can slap a
- 5:38value onto. And yes, I know I changed my
- 5:41shirt, but you don't care about that.
- 5:43But let me reiterate, I'm just talking about now, 2025 at the
- 5:47dawn of the AI revolution. Imagine what kinds of goods and
- 5:51services that could be valued in the foreseeable future.
- 5:54A utopian future of Elon's bots serving us breakfast and walking
- 5:58our dogs. Fast forward to 2050 where we
- 6:00include space mining, gold and asteroids, AI driven industries,
- 6:05new cities, new materials, new energy sources we can't even
- 6:09imagine yet. Space mining?
- 6:10Yes, Elon Musk will be out there chiseling asteroids for gold,
- 6:16probably sponsored by Gucci or Dolce Gabbana if they're still
- 6:19around. Now here's the big head
- 6:21exploding part. Everything.
- 6:23Every single unit of whatever you can dream of from now till
- 6:28forever, we'll be competing for the 21 million Bitcoin.
- 6:32You're not just bidding against people who are alive right now,
- 6:35you're bidding against every human being that will ever live.
- 6:38So think for a second how much wealth is already in the world?
- 6:42How much value can be split into units?
- 6:44Your car, your coffee, your trip to Cancun, everything that could
- 6:48be priced. Imagine dividing it by 21
- 6:51million. It's a pretty big number, but
- 6:53that number is not fixed. Life changes, things fluctuate,
- 6:56and this is the crazy part. That number on the numerator
- 6:59side continues to expand and contract while the 21 million
- 7:04Bitcoin stay the same. So where does that put bitcoins
- 7:08price in the future? The implied value today of of a
- 7:13Bitcoin today's purchasing power against today's balance sheet is
- 7:18$43 million. And I'm not talking $43 million.
- 7:22I'm talking implied purchasing power of $43,000,000.
- 7:26And two things are going to, as you move forward, two things are
- 7:29going to happen. The existing financial, the
- 7:32existing balance sheet which is just based on more pieces of
- 7:35paper has to expand and it has to expand a lot, right.
- 7:40So as that expands, then that implied purchasing power, then
- 7:44all prices will be higher inside that system.
- 7:46House prices will be higher, oil prices will be higher relative
- 7:49to the piece of paper and that will expand that that 43, three
- 7:54million. That's why it's hard to hard to
- 7:57quantify and that 43. So, but if you said purchasing
- 8:01power today, but the purchasing power of that today will rise
- 8:06forever because prices will fall forever against it.
- 8:10That's so you're dealing with both things at the same time and
- 8:14and people are measuring the price through this other
- 8:17instrument. They can't.
- 8:19That is extractive to what I just decide.
- 8:21The context is all within the time that you are doing these
- 8:25calculations. You these calculations are never
- 8:27fixed. But let me bring you back down
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- 8:56when everyone has lost theirs. One thing is for sure, scarcity
- 9:00doesn't just change bitcoins price.
- 9:02In fact most people stop right there.
- 9:04But if Bitcoin becomes the global denominator, the base
- 9:07unit that we price everything in, scarcity affects the price
- 9:11of goods and services. 2 Imagine this one Bitcoin today buys you
- 9:15a car. Well, today I'd buy you a really
- 9:17good car. But in five years, one Bitcoin
- 9:20will buy you 10 cars, 10 really good cars.
- 9:23And all these ten cars will probably be self driving, AI
- 9:26driven, you know, built in espresso machine sort of deal.
- 9:29Why? Because the value of Bitcoin
- 9:31doesn't just rise. The price of goods and services
- 9:35in Bitcoin fall. This is the flip side of
- 9:38inflation. In Fiat, goods and services
- 9:41actually get more expensive over time because your money gets
- 9:45weaker over time. And obviously in Bitcoin, goods
- 9:47and services get cheaper over time because your money gets
- 9:49stronger. Makes sense.
- 9:51That means wages, rent, energy, food, all of it will reprice in
- 9:55Bitcoin over time. It has to.
- 9:57That is, Bitcoin strengthens, the same amount of it will buy
- 10:01you more life over time. Why would we price everything in
- 10:04Bitcoin? Legitimate question, which I'm
- 10:07sure we've answered many times on this channel, but I got a bit
- 10:11of a spin on it. Like it or not, borders are
- 10:13breaking down region to region and even person to person.
- 10:18This can be expressed at a macro scale geopolitically, or at a
- 10:22micro scale personally. Nowhere else in our history have
- 10:25the lines of so many different things become blurred.
- 10:28Global conflicts, gender identities, musical mashups,
- 10:33brown shaken espresso, cold foam latte, Take your pick.
- 10:38Because of this acceleration of borders breaking down, the money
- 10:42and value that we transmit from region to region and person to
- 10:45person becomes more and more abstracted and arbitrary.
- 10:49The Internet, for instance, already made geography
- 10:51irrelevant for information consumption.
- 10:53Doesn't matter where you are, you can consume information from
- 10:56anywhere. And what Bitcoin does is make
- 10:58geography irrelevant for money. It breaks down the borders of
- 11:02money. The rise of Bitcoin signal in a
- 11:04population of confused entire people.
- 11:07It's proof that global trade desires A neutral measuring
- 11:10stick. The dollar used to be that, but
- 11:13politics messed that up. And what's great about Bitcoin
- 11:15is it's trustless by design. So it doesn't matter if politics
- 11:18want to mess stuff up. And once oil, wheat,
- 11:21semiconductors, cloud storage, and yeah, probably even NFTS.
- 11:26Shh. I used to own a couple of NFTS
- 11:28myself. Don't tell anyone when all these
- 11:31things are clearing in Bitcoin, everything divided by 21 million
- 11:35stops being a thought experiment and starts being a kind of life
- 11:40practice, blah blah blah blah blah.
- 11:44At some point people stop measuring Bitcoin in dollars and
- 11:48they start measuring dollars in Bitcoin.
- 11:51The dollar will just be another entry into the numerator side of
- 11:54the equation. You know, like a relic, salt or
- 11:58shells, whatever you whatever thing you want to stuff into
- 12:03that everything. The dollars will be one of them
- 12:06in 20 years. How much will you pay for a
- 12:08$5.00 bill for Bitcoin? That's really the question.
- 12:12Really funny if like a $5.00 bill was worth like $30 a
- 12:16Bitcoin today, you know, just because of its nostalgia or
- 12:19something. And when that happens, it's not
- 12:22a question of what's Bitcoin's price.
- 12:24It's more of a question of how much of that 21,000,000 do you
- 12:28own. This is the most one sided trade
- 12:30in history. A finite supply of money against
- 12:34an infinite supply of value. And yeah, maybe in 20-70 we'll
- 12:38be pricing Mars condos and asteroid jewelry and sats, but
- 12:43the math will still be the same. And if you're thinking how do I
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- 13:15Everything forever divided by 21 million.
- 13:17It's not a slogan. That's the equation that will
- 13:19price your future. Once you see it, you can't Unsee
- 13:22it. The numerator will never stop
- 13:24growing and the denominator will never change, and that's why the
- 13:28price can only go one way forever Imotions.
- 13:32This is beyond Bitcoin. Thank you so much for watching
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- 13:47Thank you so much for watching. Until next time.