Latest / Radio Davos / AI's real impact on jobs - what it means for you, your company and future generations
Transcript
- 0:01The business models of today, the talent models of today, the jobs of today are all
- 0:06going to reforge themselves into new jobs, new tasks.
- 0:10So I would say the single biggest shift with AI is that foresight is completely
- 0:16fogged.
- 0:17Welcome to Radio Davos, the podcast from the World Economic Forum that looks at the
- 0:20biggest challenges and how we might solve them.
- 0:23This week: what impact will artificial intelligence really have on our jobs and the
- 0:27education and training systems needed to prepare current and future generations?
- 0:31The jobs of the past are moving out very quickly and the jobs of the future are
- 0:35coming at a slower pace.
- 0:37There's a minimum of that 11% of the current world's workforce that will need
- 0:41support in a managed workforce transition to probably an adjacent industry, if not
- 0:47a wholly different industry.
- 0:49Ravi Kumar, CEO of technology services company Cognizant, says while money pours
- 0:53into AI tech, it also needs to be flowing into education and training.
- 0:58Re-skilling should be a part of the infrastructure stack.
- 1:00It cannot be done on the side.
- 1:02You have to look at it with the same lens as you look at it for compute, for LLM
- 1:05access, you have to make reskilling a part of the infrastructure
- 1:09stack.
- 1:09And World Economic Forum Managing Director Saadia Zahidi says no one should doubt
- 1:12that change is happening fast.
- 1:14Things are moving perhaps a little bit slower than we might have all thought a
- 1:18couple of years ago, but then on the other hand, they're still moving a lot faster
- 1:22than our current systems are designed to address.
- 1:25Follow Radio Davos wherever you get podcasts.
- 1:28I’m Robin Pomeroy, and with this look at the real impact of AI on all our jobs...
- 1:32How do you integrate that into everything you do? Robin Pomeroy
- 1:35This is Radio Davos.
- 1:36Artificial intelligence is already having an impact on the way most of us work -
- 1:40but it’s still early days and it's hard to predict exactly which jobs will
- 1:45disappear completely, what new ones will be created, and when and where this will
- 1:50happen.
- 1:50It’s a subject that's important to all of us - so my colleague Gayle Markovitz
- 1:55spoke to the head of an AI services firm, Ravi Kumar of Cognizant, and to the head
- 2:00of the World Economic Forum’s Centre for the New Economy and Society, Saadia Zahidi.
- 2:05Both have unique insights into the impact of AI on the economy, on employment, and
- 2:10the implications for education and training.
- 2:12Gayle started by asking Ravi Kumar for his assessment of AI’s impact.
- 2:17One thing is certain, AI has created a fog on the foresight.
- 2:21Modern businesses, modern finance has been built with this assumption that we've
- 2:28got to have long, slow bets.
- 2:30And with the fog around us, that foresight is broken.
- 2:35And those long, slow bets are no longer valid because the models, the business
- 2:41models of today, the talent models of today, the jobs of today are all going to
- 2:47reforge themselves into new jobs, new tasks, new job families.
- 2:52So I would say the single biggest shift with AI is that foresight is completely
- 2:59fogged.
- 2:59Having said that, I think we have this unique opportunity to re-pivot, a future
- 3:06which is more shared prosperity and we could re-pivot in a direction where the
- 3:12drift of value coming out of AI goes into the front lines.
- 3:17Over the last 50 years, technology has drifted that value upwards, and the
- 3:23frontlines have actually been kind of, not actually had that value shift, and
- 3:29therefore we have created a level of divide.
- 3:33I think we have this unique opportunity to re-pivot and drift that value downwards,
- 3:40capability downwards.
- 3:41And we hope that value actually moves downwards as well, so that you have more
- 3:48wages for the frontline workers.
- 3:50That's what I'm hoping so. And that's what we believe.
- 3:55We have a very nice opportunity to, you know, reset the whole future of workplaces
- 4:01and workforce.
- 4:03Saadia, why would you say this is a global problem rather than a company by company
- 4:10issue?
- 4:11I think what Ravi said is just so spot-on both at a micro level and at a macro
- 4:16level.
- 4:16And maybe just building on that, maybe there's three big reasons that I guess we
- 4:22tend to think of this as something that is a global challenge I'm not sure it's
- 4:27fully a problem.
- 4:28I think there's a huge opportunity here as well.
- 4:32But one element is of course that we found that the bet that's been placed on AI
- 4:37and the massive amount of investments, the time to productivity gains is somewhat
- 4:43slowing down, which means that there is a very interesting window in which to make
- 4:49the equivalent workforce transitions if we want those productivity gains, but also
- 4:54be able to do that in a way that people can sort of absorb and manage.
- 4:59I think the second element is that there's society level concerns that have to be
- 5:05solved for because not every organisation will be able to manage this by themselves.
- 5:10What we found in one of our last reports, and we'll do an update later this year,
- 5:16is that if the world's workforce was 100 people, 11 of them would not be able to
- 5:22re-skill and redeploy in their current organisation.
- 5:25Which means there's a minimum of that 11% of the current world's workforce that
- 5:31will need support in a managed workforce transition to probably an adjacent
- 5:36industry, if not a wholly different industry.
- 5:39So there's a set of support that is needed between the public and the private
- 5:44sector there.
- 5:45And then finally, the third element, just again at that very big picture level, is
- 5:51that AI is not the only trend and it is interacting with a number of other trends
- 5:56that include all of the geopolitical and geoeconomic shifts we see, and that
- 6:02include the demographic shift.
- 6:04So let's take the demographics piece.
- 6:06There is that opportunity here for many of the world's workforces where there
- 6:12actually is a reduction in talent over the long-term due to ageing or shrinking
- 6:17workforce, there's an opportunity here to integrate artificial intelligence in a
- 6:23very different way.
- 6:24And equally so, there's an opportunity for AI tools to actually support and
- 6:29up-skill talent in many parts of the world where education systems have not been
- 6:35able to keep up with the needs of many young populations.
- 6:39So again, it's a complex picture, but I think there are some broad global
- 6:44implications that go beyond what is happening inside each organisation.
- 6:49So Ravi, I know that Cognizant has recently conducted some new research on AI and
- 6:54jobs.
- 6:54And it's revealed some changes that you hadn't predicted.
- 6:58What was the statistic that stood out that really surprised you?
- 7:03We did a research in 2023, and we did another research in 2026, early 2026.
- 7:08We also partnered with the World Economic Forum to do some joint research as well.
- 7:13You know, when we did this in 2023 we expected impact on every job, and when I mean
- 7:19impact on every job, the job by itself changes in form, the tasks underneath
- 7:25change, some of those jobs will remain, but they will reforge in a different
- 7:30direction, and there'll be new jobs.
- 7:3290% of the jobs we actually in 2023 said will actually get impacted by AI, at least
- 7:3810% of those tasks by 2030.
- 7:40And here we are in 2026, 93% of these jobs when we did the second survey in 2026,
- 7:46we realised that they have actually got impacted.
- 7:49We took almost 18,000 tasks, a thousand occupations, and we kind of, you know,
- 7:55conducted that research on those occupations and on those tasks.
- 7:59What is fascinating is the velocity of change has significantly changed.
- 8:04You know, what was supposed to happen in 2030 is now happening in 2026.
- 8:09We saw the velocity of changes at around 9% every year.
- 8:1350% exposure to jobs, where there is, you know, you would actually believe that the
- 8:19jobs have changed tectonically, 50% of exposure, 30% of the occupations actually
- 8:24have gone through that.
- 8:2625% exposure, where you actually have those jobs reforged in a different direction,
- 8:32we almost, we almost saw 56% of the jobs going through that kind of change.
- 8:37So most of these jobs we have today, those occupations are going to reforge in a
- 8:43different direction.
- 8:44Some are jobs which are going to be futuristic.
- 8:47In fact, we believe AI is going to be in the middle of a flow.
- 8:52They're going to be a lot of jobs on the front and a lot jobs on back.
- 8:56The ones on the are related to authentication, problem finding, creativity.
- 9:02The ones in the back are going to the validation, verification, judgement,
- 9:07accountability, outcomes.
- 9:09So you're going to see a lot of those jobs.
- 9:12So the asymmetry is not going to be about expertise and intelligence.
- 9:16The asymmetry is going to come from applying that intelligence and including that
- 9:22intelligence as throughput into your input factors on a job.
- 9:26I'm actually fascinated by the opportunities which this uniquely presents to us.
- 9:32You know, look at it this way.
- 9:34If you're going to create more throughput, more productivity on the front lines,
- 9:40you're going to actually shower more wages.
- 9:43Per capita wages have not gone up for the last 20 years if you if you adjust it to
- 9:48real inflation.
- 9:49Now, wages go up because throughput goes up and you're going to get significantly
- 9:55higher output without inflation, it's a good thing for economies.
- 9:59The point is, how do you drip that capability downwards?
- 10:03How do you push more throughput downwards so that there is an incremental wage and
- 10:09higher throughput?
- 10:10That's what we are looking for.
- 10:13So this research tells us that it's coming at rapid pace.
- 10:17The capability is right out there. The production value in enterprises is way below.
- 10:22And this is what Saadia was referring to.
- 10:25The production value is way below the capabilities out there. There is a big bridge.
- 10:31So we have a unique opportunity on that bridge to build, you know, workforce skills
- 10:37and re-skill our workforce so that the production that you can go up.
- 10:42And we need the production very to go up because the technology, you now, you know
- 10:47this, in the last 12 months, a trillion dollars has been invested into AI
- 10:53infrastructure.
- 10:54The scaling loss for this infrastructure is only six months, which means in six
- 10:59months it goes obsolete.
- 11:01So the faster you could actually drip that value to enterprise production value,
- 11:06the better it is.
- 11:08And to drift that production value and bring it to the same level as capability,
- 11:13you will have to re-skill the workforce.
- 11:16I've actually said this in the WEF research we jointly did that re-skilling should
- 11:22be a part of the infrastructure stack.
- 11:24It cannot be done on the site. It has to be a power of the infrastructure stack.
- 11:30You have to look at it with the same lens as you look at it for compute, for LLM
- 11:36access, you have to make reskilling a part of the infrastructure stack.
- 11:41What does that look like, especially for say a non-tech organisation, what does
- 11:45that mean in practise?
- 11:47And I'm interested also that you use language like bridge, because it really is
- 11:52like building something.
- 11:53The
- 11:54reason why this production value is significantly lower than the capability, I
- 11:59mean, the capability will keep going up.
- 12:02So the bridge is actually going to be broadened.
- 12:05And you know you have to keep bridging it and I call it the velocity gap.
- 12:10And the reason is very simple.
- 12:12You know, we can't apply this technology on old stuff in businesses.
- 12:16You have to reinvent flows.
- 12:18You have to re-invent the ability to integrate digital labour with human labour and
- 12:24to reinvent and reimagine business models, operating models and business flows.
- 12:29This technology is very contextual.
- 12:32The classical software we wrote in the last 50 years was very deterministic.
- 12:37We codified it.
- 12:38A lot of the balanced things we in a workplace, in the flows of a business, are
- 12:43very contextual, they're judgement oriented.
- 12:46You have to ground this technology into the hustle of the company.
- 12:51We call it a science called context engineering where we put the guardrails, we,
- 12:56you now, we put the harnesses needed for this technology to be productive and it
- 13:02has to work in sync with human effort and it to be integrated.
- 13:06So all that work really means you have to reinvent those businesses.
- 13:11And therefore, I believe that bridge is very important.
- 13:14And you will then have to redesign jobs.
- 13:17You will have to redesign the flows of jobs.
- 13:20You have redesign tasks which are done by people and how they're integrated with
- 13:25what is done by digital labour.
- 13:28We did a good, nice landing spot on this and the bridge, I feel, has to be
- 13:33smoothened a little bit because the jobs of the past are moving out very quickly
- 13:38and the jobs in the future are coming at a slower pace.
- 13:42So in between the two, we have to create a bridge.
- 13:45In fact, I wrote this thesis that you should tax to a large extent digital labour
- 13:51which is eliminating tasks versus amplifying human potential.
- 13:55And that's a temporary bridge, the temporary bridge of taxing the capital so that
- 14:00there is a little bit of a level playing field between human effort and digital
- 14:06effort.
- 14:06I mean, remember, capital got a free runway because it actually created more wages
- 14:12and more jobs.
- 14:13Now if capital is creating digital labour and human effort, and human labour, and
- 14:18work, and jobs of the future are coming at a slower pace, you need a nice landing
- 14:24spot.
- 14:24So, you know, one of the suggestions I had is to look at capital taxation in a
- 14:29slightly different way in a short term and use it as a smooth landing spot
- 14:35It sounds like a huge challenge for human beings to kind of come up to speed with
- 14:40that gap.
- 14:40Is this is there some good news? Is there something?
- 14:44I know there's been research, Saadia, there have been some misconceptions about the
- 14:49time it takes, for example, to upskill.
- 14:52Yeah, so actually in the research that where we partnered with Cognizant there we
- 14:57found that it is not quite as prohibitive as people may think to have a base level
- 15:02of understanding when it comes to AI and big data, so roughly through 30 hours of
- 15:07study.
- 15:08But of course, to become more proficient, then you're talking about 137 hours or
- 15:13obviously a lot more depending on the level of depth that you want to get into.
- 15:18But I say that to note that, again, in some of the cross-industry surveys that
- 15:23we've done, one of the fastest rising in demand skills is AI and big data.
- 15:27But no one is suggesting that that needs to be at a level of depth.
- 15:32It's simply the ability to be able to work with and understand technology.
- 15:36And what also comes through over and over is that the organisations that are likely
- 15:42to be the most successful are the ones that will be able to combine artificial
- 15:47intelligence with human judgement.
- 15:49And that means there's still a huge premium on creativity and collaboration and
- 15:54interpersonal dynamics and leadership skills and social influence skills.
- 15:59So all of that combined with then the ability to understand.
- 16:03So I think it's increasingly that you won't see two completely different tracks.
- 16:08You will need to bring some of that together.
- 16:11So I think, just adding to what Ravi has said, that's what's going to be needed,
- 16:16but this is where some of the pain points come in.
- 16:19So things are moving perhaps a little bit slower than we might have all thought a
- 16:24couple of years ago, but then on the other hand, they're still moving a lot faster
- 16:29than our current systems are designed to address.
- 16:33And so, that is where most organisations will need to move forward very quickly in
- 16:38thinking about, as Ravi said, workflow redesign, but then very quickly thinking
- 16:43about what are then the consequences for the people that are currently attached to
- 16:48a set of occupations that will go through a lot of change.
- 16:52And then at a policymaker level, I think something very similar does need to be
- 16:57done as well.
- 16:58And that's where the piece comes in where there is simply no way for each
- 17:02organisation to handle this separately.
- 17:05And then there's the other pieces around, how do we fund this?
- 17:09And that where there are ideas such as what Ravi has mentioned, and there's also
- 17:14some other ways in thinking about how to do this.
- 17:17Because of course, the costs of re-skilling and up-skilling are also going down
- 17:22because of artificial intelligence.
- 17:24And the ability to personalise that learning and re- skilling and upskilling.
- 17:29Are also, that ability is just so much higher with artificial intelligence.
- 17:34So there are some ways to turn this technology and its disruptions into an
- 17:39advantage when it comes to speeding up re-skilling and up-skilling.
- 17:43A follow-on question
- 17:45from that is, given it's so much more fluid to upskill and re-skill, do you think
- 17:52expertise will be in some ways democratised, as a question to Ravi, does it mean
- 17:59that we're all going to become
- 18:02generalists?
- 18:02I think what's going to certainly happen is there's going be diffusion of this
- 18:08technology much deeper downwards.
- 18:11That's because the interface is natural language, unlike in the past when you
- 18:16needed digital skills to access technology.
- 18:19This is kind of democratising that process.
- 18:23You know, we had this distinction of a producer of software and a consumer of
- 18:28software.
- 18:29That line is blurring.
- 18:31Everybody can be a producer and a customer, which means you could build your
- 18:36technology and allow it to amplify yourself.
- 18:40So expertise in some ways is going to be on your fingertips, which means the
- 18:45asymmetry we created over the last 50 years based on expertise.
- 18:50We created asymmetry with individuals. We created asymmetry with organisations.
- 18:56That isn't asymmetry anymore. The asymmetry will come from interdisciplinary skills.
- 19:02You should be a biologist with the ability to use agentic to improve your
- 19:07throughput, improve your output.
- 19:10You should a historian to have four clock terminals around you to be a futurist.
- 19:16You could be a chartered accountant having a bunch of AI agentic work around you to
- 19:22power your insights.
- 19:23That is the future we are all looking for, which means the ability to absorb this
- 19:29as an interdisciplinary skill is much, much easier as Saadia pointed this out.
- 19:35It's much relatively easier in comparison to what we did in the past because
- 19:41expertise was really the symmetry.
- 19:43The symmetry now is interdisciplinary skills.
- 19:47We need this intersection between a domain, business operations, and technology.
- 19:52And I think that is much relatively easier, including the fact that you would also
- 19:59use AI to create a personalised, micro-personalised tutor.
- 20:03I mean, we now have this unique opportunity to have a tutor and a nurse for each
- 20:09individual, each person on the planet at a throwaway price.
- 20:13That's the power of this technology.
- 20:16I think we have to pivot this to these meaningful, purposeful use cases, which will
- 20:22support this process.
- 20:23You know, over the last 50 years, the drift of value went upwards.
- 20:28We created layers of white-collar jobs.
- 20:31We captured value there, and we created premium on wages.
- 20:35If you're pushing that downwards, a nurse in a hospital, a frontline worker in
- 20:41manufacturing, they would have this capability.
- 20:45But the way you have to design the workflows, the way you design organisational
- 20:51structures is you have drifting the capability downwards.
- 20:55It doesn't necessarily increase wages.
- 20:58You have to drift the value downwards as well, because value actually follows
- 21:03controls.
- 21:04It doesn't follow access.
- 21:06Once you do that redesign, then the asymmetry will shift to judgement,
- 21:11accountability, and outcomes.
- 21:13And once you have judgement, accountability, and outcomes on the front lines,
- 21:19you're obviously going to pay more wages.
- 21:22And so there's going to be more distributed wages in the process.
- 21:27So I think this is the re-pivot we have to do.
- 21:30We have got this unique opportunity to reset our workforce and the work we do and
- 21:36the way we actually distribute value.
- 21:39And if we can design this well, this is a unique opportunity for that reset.
- 21:45So in that scenario, what happens to the kind of traditional talent pyramid?
- 21:51Is that no longer that relevant?
- 21:54Gayle, I've been a big believer.
- 21:55I've written quite a bit about this extensively, it's a contrarian view.
- 22:00I think the pyramids are going to be broader.
- 22:03They're not going to be, you know, the pyramids were like this.
- 22:07They're going to be a broader.
- 22:08You'll have more early careers and shorter path to expertise.
- 22:12The entry barriers on the pyramid are going to to be disappearing.
- 22:16I've been a big believer of this at Cognizant.
- 22:19We hired 20,000 school graduates last year.
- 22:22We're going to hire more than 20,00 this year. The year before we hired 12,000.
- 22:27So entry barriers to jobs are going to be in some ways disappearing.
- 22:31You know, a lot of jobs were STEM related.
- 22:34Now you're going to see STEM and non-STEM because effectively you could be a
- 22:38producer and a consumer and you could intertwine technology in your daily flows,
- 22:43which means you know, you need a lawyer with agentic skills.
- 22:47You need a biologist with agentics skills to do life sciences, drug development
- 22:52kind of a thing.
- 22:53So you have broader pyramids, shorter pyramids.
- 22:56The middle layers in every company are going to be player coaches.
- 23:00We also had roles for coordination, orchestration. Those roles will disappear.
- 23:05So there'll be more player coaches roles in the middle.
- 23:08And those nodes are going to to be very real and agentic.
- 23:12So you're going to see digital labour, doing things which were in the past related
- 23:17to coordination, orchestration, and moving information up and down, as I call it,
- 23:22those roles will disappear.
- 23:23They will get transitioned to digital labour.
- 23:26The new roles are going to be player coaches in the middle, and you're going to see
- 23:31much broader pyramids.
- 23:33That's a phenomenal thing.
- 23:34I mean, if you have much broader pyramids and shorter path to expertise, you're
- 23:39going to see more modular teams, more singular pods.
- 23:42Or singular squads.
- 23:44I mean, this is brilliant because to express yourself, you don't need large teams,
- 23:49you need small teams.
- 23:50In fact, to express yourselves over the last 50 years, we used institutions to
- 23:55deliver our mission and work with companies who actually have shared mission.
- 24:00Now you could do that in a much more modular democratised way.
- 24:03So I think that's the future of how organisational structures are going to be.
- 24:08They're going to be more network versus hierarchical.
- 24:12There is this rumbling negative narrative around job losses.
- 24:16And we even saw recently with commencements some of the graduates booing tech
- 24:22leaders, for example.
- 24:24What does real augmentation look like?
- 24:26And how can we persuade those graduates that actually this is an exciting time to
- 24:33be entering
- 24:34the workforce?
- 24:34I think in terms of what does real augmentation look like, it is something around
- 24:39that player-coach model that Ravi's just mentioned, but many organisations haven't
- 24:44quite made that bridge yet.
- 24:46I'll then step back and just refer to what we've found so far.
- 24:50There is an overall net positive.
- 24:52We have found that it is very likely that there is, likely to be overall job growth
- 24:57rather than overall job displacement or reduction over time.
- 25:00And that would point to that healthy, growing, bigger base pyramid that Ravi is
- 25:05referring to.
- 25:06That is likely based on everything we've heard so far.
- 25:09At the same time, though, there's probably sort of three ways that people are
- 25:14thinking about this.
- 25:15There's a set of people that believe this is sort of an early canary in the coal
- 25:20mine situation.
- 25:21You're going to have these large urban rust belts because a lot of entry-level and
- 25:26middle-level roles are going to get wiped out.
- 25:29There's a set of people that I think, again, we just discussed this piece,
- 25:33broadening pyramids.
- 25:34Actually, we're going to need so much more talent, not just because of the
- 25:39augmentation piece, but because of wholly new roles and new value-add that people
- 25:44can bring as some of this workflow redesign takes place where essentially wholly
- 25:49new products and services are possible to create, some things that are not possible
- 25:54to imagine right now, because we're still thinking in the domain of current jobs.
- 25:58But if we think four or five years from now, this would just be a wholly new set of
- 26:04jobs.
- 26:04And then there's the set of folks that I think would probably say, actually, none
- 26:09of this is true.
- 26:10And we're essentially looking at a number of organisations that are tightening
- 26:14their belts due to the current economic situation.
- 26:17And that is why you're seeing a reduction in some of that entry-level work and
- 26:22actually has nothing to do with artificial intelligence.
- 26:26I guess it's really going to depend on industry and organisational readiness and
- 26:30what they're actually absorbing in terms of technology.
- 26:34And not every industry is making this leap at the same pace as others.
- 26:38So I think that pyramid and how things go is going to look very different across
- 26:43different organisations.
- 26:44But one point that I think is probably consistently true for over the last 10
- 26:49years, we have found business leaders telling us in one form or the other that for
- 26:54about 60 or 70 percent of them, the lack of skilled entry-level workers is one of
- 26:59the major things holding back the transformation of their organisations, which
- 27:04means that with or without artificial intelligence what the education and
- 27:08university systems have been producing in terms of talent, while it may do it that
- 27:13while there are many good things about it, it doesn't always equip young people
- 27:18with the new economy skills that they need today.
- 27:21And so if that is the case, then a lot more effort needs to go into building simply
- 27:26those new economy's skills inside education systems.
- 27:29And as they enter the workforce.
- 27:31And I think that's where we have to build the bridge.
- 27:34That's where a lot of the Forum's time and effort is going to be going, ensuring
- 27:39that those cross-cutting new economy skills are built up through education systems
- 27:44and as they enter the workforce, because that's going to necessary regardless of
- 27:49the particular shape of an org structure across any industry.
- 27:53Do you feel like traditional four-year, three, four-year degrees are still relevant?
- 27:58And do you think education is keeping up?
- 28:01That's a great question.
- 28:02You know the current system of going to an academic, full-time academic
- 28:08intervention for the first 25 years of a life, working for the next 50 years and
- 28:14then retiring is a linear template from the industrial revolution, where the world
- 28:20was running at a much slower pace.
- 28:22With the clock speed we have, I think we have to revisit that template where the
- 28:28K-12 schools should kind of focus on building lifelong learners.
- 28:33And then you have partnerships, industry partnerships for I would call it digital
- 28:39apprenticeships or AI apprenticeships or whatever you like.
- 28:43And then we draw learning resources all our life on a continual basis.
- 28:48I mean, today the alumni associations of schools are actually for networks, not
- 28:54really to draw resources all your life.
- 28:57I would think that template should be revisited.
- 29:01You should intertwine work and learning resources all of your life because the
- 29:07change is happening in the middle.
- 29:09It's not happening on the front and at the back.
- 29:13It's happening in middle when you need it the most. So there is a certain revisit.
- 29:19Every institution is doing some experiments, but it's not as mainstream.
- 29:24I wish we could you know, we could intertwine a few years of that undergrad
- 29:30education into apprenticeships in a different form.
- 29:34This is AI-led apprenticeships or digital apprenticeships.
- 29:38And then we draw learning resources all our life.
- 29:42When we look at sort of K through 12 education, let's also not forget that that is
- 29:47the place where young people learn how to be members of society.
- 29:51There's so many other sort of skill sets and traits and characteristics that are
- 29:56built up during that time that are incredibly important.
- 29:59But in many parts of the world, that K through twelve education system is designed
- 30:04for competition and for rank-ordering students by the end of a school year, which
- 30:09is very different from the skills that are going to be needed in the future.
- 30:14Very few of those systems actually teach some of those interpersonal dynamics that
- 30:19teach what is needed in terms of collaboration.
- 30:22So the earlier that can begin, I think the healthier it is for societies as a
- 30:27whole, much less for businesses and the economy.
- 30:30And then on the university point, absolutely, and this is why we've set up at the
- 30:35Forum the First Mile Sandbox, which is all about creating those industry
- 30:40partnerships with universities, including in the digital apprenticeship space that
- 30:45Ravi was mentioning.
- 30:46And we're beginning with five industries, and we plan to roll that out across all
- 30:51the various industry groupings that the forum works with exactly for this reason,
- 30:56because just this entire methodology has to change.
- 31:00And to Ravi's point, some of this is right now about that sort of first mile
- 31:04sandbox.
- 31:05And it's really focused on that early part of the career.
- 31:08But this needs to be continuous across the entire life cycle.
- 31:12And there is an interesting stat where something like 0.11% of the GDP of OECD
- 31:17countries is spent on the lifelong learning piece, the post-university learning,
- 31:22retraining, and upscaling.
- 31:24Many large businesses that can afford it spend thousands and thousands per employee
- 31:29in terms of retraining and reskilling.
- 31:31If that entire system, which does have enough funding in it, could just be better
- 31:36connected into institutions who job it is and who have really the expertise,
- 31:41universities and colleges and community colleges, that can really do this at scale,
- 31:46and if we could do that throughout entire life cycles, that would really pay off.
- 31:51And that's going to be necessary.
- 31:54I think, you know, going back to the point that I was making earlier around
- 31:58policymakers, that is essentially how policymakers will have to rethink the
- 32:03incentives they create for collaboration between private sector and the education
- 32:08sector.
- 32:09I have a teen.
- 32:10And I wonder, so asking for a friend, Ravi, if there was one piece of advice that
- 32:16you would give her if she were graduating this year, 2026, now as she's looking for
- 32:22a job, and then perhaps once she's started that job, what would the advice be?
- 32:29I have two toddlers at home. I wish I could tell them this.
- 32:33I would say the future is going to be much more interdisciplinary.
- 32:38You don't need to be a computer science graduate to thrive in the AI era.
- 32:44You need to figure out a way to apply the technology, this extraordinary technology.
- 32:51You know, it's a significant shift in terms of capability from the technologies of
- 32:57the past.
- 32:58How do you integrate that into everything you do at a workplace in your
- 33:04professional life?
- 33:05O ne of the policymakers asked me this question saying, and what should K-12
- 33:11schools and undergrad schools do?
- 33:14And you know with related to AI.
- 33:16I mean it's funny we tell students if you use AI at your work at your class we're
- 33:23going to fire you and we're telling employees if you don't use we'll fire you and
- 33:29you know the dichotomy of dealing with that is you should build native skills, a
- 33:36class without AI, and you should build, you should do your homework and your
- 33:42evaluations with AI.
- 33:43What then happens is you power your native skills with an amplification with AI, so
- 33:50effectively you have the native skills to do the judgement, which Saadia was
- 33:56referring to outcomes, accountability, and intellectual curiosity and everything
- 34:02else, but you then amplify yourself with AI.
- 34:06So I would actually believe build the native scales without it and use it to
- 34:12amplify it and you know try to power this with interdisciplinary opportunities.
- 34:18You could, be a journalist you could be a biologist you be a chemist, you could be
- 34:25a lawyer.
- 34:25You just have to look at this technology and say, you know, it's available on your
- 34:32fingertips.
- 34:33How do I integrate it into everything I do and create more productivity, new
- 34:39products, new services?
- 34:41How would the economies who are doing this right look different to those who get it
- 34:49wrong?
- 34:50Let me maybe just give a quick overview of a scenarios piece that we did, and just
- 34:55in very simplistic terms, think of one vector where it's about how quickly
- 34:59technology is moving forward and being integrated across an economy, and think of
- 35:04the other vector as how quickly people are being skilled, re-skilled, up-skill.
- 35:09And essentially, the only no-regret move available to policymakers, is to combine
- 35:14that technology investment with the people-based investment.
- 35:17There is essentially no such thing as getting the returns from the technology
- 35:22investment without the equivalent people investment, because these two things have
- 35:27to work together.
- 35:28There is no other way.
- 35:30And so I'd say the first thing is, economies that understand that, that do not
- 35:34think that the people related investments are an afterthought.
- 35:38As Ravi said, they have to be integrated into that stack to begin with, that has to
- 35:43be number one, just that basic understanding.
- 35:46I think the second piece is around raising the digital floor for everybody.
- 35:51Because I think a lot of organisations, businesses, governments are thinking about
- 35:56that sort of top end.
- 35:57But what we still have to remember is there's nearly 3 billion people across the
- 36:02planet that still don't have basic digital connectivity.
- 36:05And so this is just an extremely fast-growing chasm between the haves and the
- 36:10have-nots.
- 36:10And so the digital floor does have to be raised for everybody.
- 36:14And then the third element is the public-private collaboration that is going to be
- 36:19needed to manage this well.
- 36:21And I don't want to boil it down to sort of, you know, just a basic term like that.
- 36:26It's everything that we've just been talking about.
- 36:29It is that element of, yes, businesses have to do a lot within.
- 36:33Yes, governments have to think a lot about policymaking on their own.
- 36:37But those two sectors will have to talk much more to each other when it comes to
- 36:42managing this workforce transformation.
- 36:45Saadia Zahidi, Managing Director of the World Economic Forum.
- 36:46You also heard Ravi Kumar, CEO of Cognizant.
- 36:47They were speaking to my colleague Gayle Markovitz.
- 36:48The World Economic Forum and its partners do lots of research into the future of
- 36:50jobs and skills, and on artificial intelligence more widely.
- 36:52Find that on our website, links in the show notes.
- 36:53And it’s one of the subjects we watch closely on Radio Davos - make sure you are
- 36:55following us wherever you get podcasts and you can find the Forum’s three weekly
- 36:57podcasts at wef.ch/podcasts.
- 36:57Radio Davos will be back next week, but for now thanks to you for listening and
- 36:59goodbye.