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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Playoffs + NFL Best Bets Saturday 12/20/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man, with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season. Man,
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browins hat Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: with the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I'm not I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have with you, as I always am until I die,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: Slump sum discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all.
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia seventy six, stop to be everybody for Philadelphia seventy six.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: You ain't go.
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia on the road stander Benchi number one, Philadelphia, you
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: ain't got team? About the year one to cream up
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: bad sixers, then nine eight seventy sixes one to clean
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: up bad six ten eight seventy six trapping and Padelphia
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: seventy six six stop to be about seventy six six
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: six seventy six, seventy.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: Say about.
• 4:00
  Speaker 3: Six, spy about seventy six stoccophy about seventy six, tybody
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: about seventy six stoc fee seventy six seventy six.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah, alright, what's up? Everybody's stowed back with you toads
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: still sports. I gotta remove this. The tab is still playing.
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: No YouTube's on auto play. All right, what's up? Everybody?
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: Two and oh?
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: Yesterday on the show The Philadelphia seventy six Ers, I
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: told you I was gonna play that it was too
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: long of an intro probably, but whatever, the Sixers got
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: it done. Outright win over the New York Knicks. Probably
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: the only time that I actually prefer the seventy six
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: ers when they're playing the Knicks. Fuck the Knicks, baby, Yeah,
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: why not. I liked it nice, outright win there with
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: the dog. And then we got it done with the
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: football game as well, with Alabama down to seventeen nothing
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: early in the game. Yeah, no problem there. I told
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: you Alabama was gonna win that game, never in doubt, obviously. Yeah,
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: I mean yeah, they did get out gained in the game.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: A pick six swung the game towards Alabama point because
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: I think they were down seventeen ten Oklahoma had the
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: ball in their midfield. Pick six that definitely impacted the game.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: But still Alabama. They finished the game on a thirty
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: four to seven run, dude, after they were down seventeen
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: and not they So whatever, we got the game right there,
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: you go, two and zero. Let's get into today. We
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: got a bunch of stuff today. I didn't do the
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: show last night, I know, because college basketball. I looked
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: at it and I'm like, yeah, the board is sizable,
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: but it's not that big. I'm gonna try to not
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: take too long with this, but we'll see. I have
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: three college basketball players. I think I'm being selective with that.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have two NHL. There's a really big NHL
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: card or board today. I should say one NBA. There's
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: a bigger NBA board than I thought. But I only
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: like one game and then skipping football entirely today. I mean,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: there's not a whole lot to choose from, really, but
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: I will talk about all the football games today.
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: All right, Yeah, let's get into it.
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: College basketball, I think there's probably not.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: As much of it because college football is taking center stage.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: So we do have a Battle of Michigan up here early.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: But it's Michigan State hosting Oakland on Big ten Network
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: at noon. I mean, this is a game where, yeah,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, the only thing I could really say is
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: Oakland they'll try to step up their game for a
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: game like this against an in state big brother in
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Michigan State. Michigan State doesn't really have this game surrounded
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: by anything big, so it's not really like a spot where.
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be in a bad spot or anything like that.
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: It's really just a matter of is Michigan State gonna
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: be incentivized to cover this number? And it's gonna be
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: I think a contrast of styles, or Michigan State plays
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: slow Oakland to place fast. The total is just kind
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: of up there somewhere in the middle. So which team
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: is gonna win out? I mean, you have to imagine
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: Michigan State will slow the game down and win out
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: in the pacing battle there, and if so, it's gonna
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: make it a little bit more difficult for them to cover.
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: So I would probably take the points if I was
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: gonna play it, but extremely weak. Lean on that one.
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: Sixty three percent of ticket, seventy five percent of the
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: cash on Michigan State. They did drop from twenty and
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: a half to twenty total in the mid one fifties. There,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: what's up, everybody, Garrett? What's up? Man? Might I might
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: have changed my mind on that UNC game? I will
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: mention that one again, Dirty Sock? What's up? Zach? Correct? Yes?
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: Roll Tide? Yeah. Not a fan of Alabama really, but
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: I mean I find myself rooting for them somewhat often
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: because they're like, they're so hated by everybody. But it
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: becomes this thing where it's like there's value playing them
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: from a betting perspective, you know what I mean. So
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: it's like, I don't know, I don't know what it is,
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: but I find myself having plays on Alabama somewhat often,
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: despite them being a huge name. Noon we also have
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: Louisville and Montana. This game is at Louisville. Oh, by
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: the way, the Michigan State games not at Michigan State.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: I should have pointed that out. It's actually in Detroit, Michigan,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: so both campuses are somewhat close to Detroit. Doesn't really
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: matter that much, although again, if Michigan State had it
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: on campus, crowd would probably be a little bit rowdier.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: But how rowdy do you get when your opponent is Oakland?
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: Probably not that rowdy, but Oakland's fan base will be
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: there as well. Montana and Louisville. This game is actually
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: at Louisville. I pointed out because Montana. I started this
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: handicap going, oh my god, Montana just lost to a
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: non Division one team. I don't know how this even happened. Montana,
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, we've seen the be one of the better
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: Big Sky teams over the last few seasons. They lost
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: to the Montana tech Ar Diggers, whoever they are at Montana.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Montana lost this game by seven Montana. If the game
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: even had a line on it, Montana would have been
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: a massive favorite. I mean now that ESPN's numbers are accurate,
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: but they would have had They had Montana as a
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: ninety nine point eight percent favorite to win that game
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: before it started. So they're coming off a horrible loss.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: They might have been looking ahead to this. Usually I'm
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: gonna look towards the team to bounce back from a
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: loss that's that bad. And yes, Montana should get up
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: for Louisville, but it's a difficult place to play at
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: the KFC Young Center, the Finger Looking Goods Center. Louisville's
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: undefeated here, and Louisville they kind of got embarrassed.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: In their last game.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: It was a big game against Tennessee, but they lost
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: by twenty one points. And I called that game correctly
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: here on the show. Maybe, in hindsight, maybe should have
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: thought about making that a play Tennessee easy win there
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: out the contrast of styles there. So in a way,
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: I kind of think Louisville should bounce back after a
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: performance like that too, But it is kind of a
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot in a way as well, because they're coming
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: out of a run of Arkansas, Indiana, Memphis, Tennessee and
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: then they have col next, so they start acc play next.
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: So I mean, this is the like remaining what looks
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: like kind of a flat spawn on the schedule for them.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: So if that game against Tennessee was more competitive and closer,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: I think I would get there with Montana here, But
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: I can't do it just because Louisville got blown out.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: But do with that information what you want. I would
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: lean to Montana in this game. Louisville's up to a
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: thirty one point favorite, and yeah, they're the fast paced team,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: but I just don't know if they're really gonna have
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: that much of that much incentive to really run this
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: thing up, you know what I mean. They could beat
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: Montana decisively without covering seventy one percent of tickets eighty
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on Louisville, so the money
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: is coming in on them early.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: But I would only.
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: Take the points here if I was gonna do anything here.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: One hundred and sixty seven pretty high total. Louisville plays fast,
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: probably will control the tempo there Louisville's missing players. Yeah,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: I haven't paid attention to the personnel at all, no
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: starting point guard. It probably doesn't matter that much in
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: a game like this, but yeah, I mean either way,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: I think if you're gonna play it, probably you should
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: take the points. With Montana. That's one of the better
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: leans I would say today in my opinion, just because
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: Montana's loss was so bad. But it's not on my card.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: Jam you was trolling the Ducks. That's not a good
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: thing on their part. What's up, Nate, That's not a
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: good thing because that's gonna if you do anything to
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: anger your opponent, it gives them more like fuel, like
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: more motivation, you know what I mean.
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: So it's really stupid.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Like if I was a coach, I'd be telling my players,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: like this team that we're playing is really fucking good,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: and I'd be like putting that out in the press,
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: like I'd be pumping up the other team basically, which
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: is gonna piss off my team more, you know, like
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: behind the scenes, you know what I mean.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: But it's gonna make us seem like.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: Complacent to the other team, you know, or something like
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like, oh, yeah, this team's
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: really good. Like I wouldn't say any I wouldn't like
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: do anything negative towards the other team to give them fuel,
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: although I'd have a hard time not because you know
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: how I am. All right, some of these other games,
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: and if you want me to talk about some of
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: these other ones, I will, But a lot of these
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: games are just crap in basketball here. Oh it's jam
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: used barstool, all right, and they's sports news. I have
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: not I haven't seen it. I haven't paid attention to that,
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: all right. We do have a big game at twelve
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: thirty on CBS, Saint John's number twenty two in the
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: country against Kentucky. This game I have a hard time
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: with this game. This game is in Atlanta, so it's
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: a neutral site game, although the location is more helpful
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: to Kentucky. Both these teams are weird. They're both really
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: similar in that they both play fast, but they're both
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: better defensively than offensively, according to Ken Bond, which Saint
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: John's was like that last year too. Kentucky played fast
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: last year, but they were the typical fast offense, no
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: defense type of thing. This year, that's not really the case.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: These teams are almost like mirror images of each other,
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: like they're almost like twins really, And I think both
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: teams are actually little bit underrated right now because both
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: teams have had a tough schedule, so they both have
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: a decent amount of loss this year. So what do
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: you want to do with this game? Well, I'm passing it.
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, it all comes down to I mean, I
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: think Saint John's is favored by a little bit too.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: I think they're favored a little bit too heavily in
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: this game. In my opinion. The schedule isn't really there's
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: nothing to really see in the schedule for either team.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: Saint John's just beat to Paul, No big deal there.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: This is the CBS Sports Classic. By the way, Kentucky
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: did just meet Indiana. I guess so that is a
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: more satisfying win. But they're not gonna overlook a game
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: against Saint John's, you know, Like, this isn't gonna be
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for Kentucky. I would not imagine I
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: would lean to Kentucky if I was gonna play this.
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: Saint John's a two point favorite. I think there's less
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: separating these teams than that. Ken Bom has Saint John's
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: like only two ranking spots higher than Kentucky.
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: I believe he has them really close.
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: Let me see where does he have these guys at
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: he has both of them in the top twenty five.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: He has Saint John's eight teen in Kentucky nineties. Again,
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: these teams are very very similar. Uh, getting any points
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: is probably a benefit in this one fifty six percent
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: ticket sixty six percent of the cash on Kentucky. Atlanta
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: is more of a favorable location in Kentucky as well.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Fan base probably is gonna show up more for Kentucky.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: So I would take the points of Kentucky if I
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. It is a total in the
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: high one fifties, since both teams do speed up the tempo.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: So I guess to do with that? What do you want?
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: You're not watching?
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: You?
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: Oh? You will be watching the FCS playoffs yet, Well,
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: what do you mean the Oh, FCS, not fbs C,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: a FCS. There's there's some good games in the FCS playoffs.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: The number one team got knocked out of the first round, though,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: which was what North Dakota State. I think, yeah, Jam,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: you might might pay for that. I agree with you. Garrett. Yes,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: Kentucky that would be my lead in that one. All right,
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: what else I want to I'm if you want me
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: to talk about another one of these games, I will.
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: When I'm kind of just skipping through a bunch of
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: these games here, games that just didn't really catch my eye,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about the big games, the games that
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: caught my eye. Saint Bonaventure and Le Moyne is kind
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: of weird. I think Lomoyne is an upstate New York team,
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna be considering this just to be a
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: little brother against the Bonnies here. So Leamoyn's gonna show
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: up for this game. I would have to imagine this
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: is at Saint Bonaventure. Bonaventure just took a loss, and
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: they hadn't lost for a while, So I talk about
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: when a team loses a win streak, sometimes it will
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: hang them over. They had a pretty competitive game against Ohio.
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: Ohio is a competitive team. Bonnies do have to play
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: VCU after this, which is a bigger game, although that's
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: not until New Year's Eves, so they do have a
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: lot of time off after this. But I would lean
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: to Lemoyne plus the points if I was gonna play
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: this one. Leamoyne did just face Texas, but they got obliterated. Yeah,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: it's their third road game in a row, but they're
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: back in their home territory in upstate New York work
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: here against Saint Bonaventure, some more familiar territory to them.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: At least Bonaventure is up to twenty one and the
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: total is pretty low one hundred and forty nine and
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: a half, So it looks like the money came in
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: on Bonaventure early eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety five
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash. I would lean towards taking it
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: with Lemoye, though in that one, I don't know that.
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: Some of the FCS football is pretty good, but yeah,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: nobody watches it. Yes, I'm the little brothers. Actually I'm not.
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: I only have one. I have one sibling and she's
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: younger than me. Although although I'm little and then I'm
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: way shorter than she is. I got the bad short,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: stocky Italian genetics that are hanging around on my mom's
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: side somewhere, and like nobody in my immediate family is
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: really short, just me. My dad is tall, and my
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: sister is tall, and my mom is like average height.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: Maybe slightly above average. The Bonnies are good, that's true.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: It's all about the spot man Montana versus Montana State. Yeah,
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: those teams hate each other too, the little brother aspect,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: I don't. I find myself not usually playing those games.
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: I did with Southern Miss last weekend though, But that's
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: only one factor that I look for. We have Mountain
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: West plays starting on CBS. This is gonna be an
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: interesting game. I think Colorado State and Utah State. Although
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: Utah State is the better team, I mean, I think
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: they're probably the best team in the Mountain West right now.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: Utah State is Colorado State, and we know they actually
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: made that run and won the Mountain West last year.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: They're nine and two this year, but they have not
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: really been battle tested yet. The one time they really
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: had to step up in class, well, they did it twice.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: I guess. They lost to Virginia Tech and they beat Colorado,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: which they always step up to play Colorado. Colorado is
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: not that good this year. Virginia Tech really isn't either.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: So as crazy as it sounds, Utah State is the
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: best opponent of the Colorado State will have faced so
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: far the season. So that makes it a little bit difficult.
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: It's only gonna be the second road game of the season.
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Their other one was at Loyola Chicago, and we know
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: all the struggles they've been having this year, so this
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: is not gonna be easy for Colorado State here. Utah
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: State is the better team. They're sitting at nine to one.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: They're not really very battle tested either, though their one
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: loss is a road game to USF South Florida, a
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: decent team. I think you have one nice win in
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: here against VCU, but both teams actually have a week
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: schedule so far. Utah State's coming off a not great
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: performance against Illinois State, which I think might have been
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: at home, or maybe it was in that salt It
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: was in the Salt Lake Slam, so it was in Utah,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: but it wasn't on Utah State's campus. It was in
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: Salt Lake, not in the lake in the city, I think.
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: So not a great performance from Utah State. Then they
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: might have been looking ahead to the Mountain West opener.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: So if I was gonna play this, Utah State would
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: be the side I would look at. In this one,
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: I would lay it. They're out from six to eight.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: Now we see sixty three percent of ticket sixty six
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: percent of the couch on Colorado State right now, though
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: the total is not that high one hundred and forty
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. But I would lay it with
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: Utah State if I was gonna play it the TU
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: laying game. By the way, well we'll talk about it
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: in a bit. I mean, there's the potential that game
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: might be closer than people think it will be. All right,
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: first best bet is coming up here.
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: Let's do it. College basketball bets coming up here.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: Man. First one is gonna be We're gonna jump on
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: NC Central plus four and a half against Longwood. Longwood
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: was like my bubble boy the other day, like I
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: almost put them on my card, SOB I believe did
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: have them on his card. They were an easy winner,
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: an easy cover. They almost got the outright win. But
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: of course when a team does that is a huge underdog.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: The move is to then look against them. So it's
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: like the gift that keeps giving. Basically like if you
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: get long Would right, you get the chance to play
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: them against them the next game. Even though I didn't
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: actually have them as a play, I was right about it.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: Now we can come in against them with a play here,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: and what I think is a good spot to fade
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: them Longwood, as I'm talking about, they had a nice
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: bounce back. Man. It was a nice spot for them
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: to bounce back because they had an awful loss to
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: Delaware State prior to their last game. They stepped it
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: up big time against Wake Forest. Man, they showed up.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: They almost caught Wake on the road. They only lost
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: by three. They were like whatever, twenty something point underdogs
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: in this game. And again, when you have a twenty
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: something point underdog and they almost win the game outright
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: against one of the big conference teams like this, they're
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: gonna be typically flat in the next game. Man. So
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: I think we have a big flat spot here for Longwood.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: We have flat Longwood here. It doesn't sound great. Maybe
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: they're just two by fours. I don't know. But this game,
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: this was in reach for Longwood, man. I mean, this
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: is a close game pretty much to the y or Longwood.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: It was a back and forth game all game. Waked
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: the lead in the second half, had it for a while,
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: and long would tied it back up in the final
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: two minutes of the game. They would not go away.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: They were still within one point with a minute to go. Brutal,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: brutal loss man Longwood. They gave Wake all they could handle.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: Huge performance from them coming off of that. I just
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: don't know if they're gonna have anything left in the tank.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: I know it would be better if they had a
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: huge game up next, but they do go into the
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: Christmas break after.
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: This, so maybe they'll be looking ahead to that a
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: little bit.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: Longwood, by the way, is one to four on the
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: road as well straight up, and NC Central's four and
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: one at home, So all of their wins have coming home.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: I know some of the most of them have been
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: against bad teams. I get it.
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: In fact, I.
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: Think all of them are against non Division I teams
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: for North Carolina Central, but they're coming out of one
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: of those, and I think it's actually a good thing
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: because they were on another losing streak and they broke
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: that lost streak with a win over Matt c oh
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: the Mid Atlanta Christian Mustangs. Yeah, okay, well we're.
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: Gonna take it.
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could argue this is a look ahead
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: to Penn State, but they don't play that game until
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: after the break. A team like NC Central, I mean,
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: they don't even have a Division One win yet. You
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna be looking to get one, and this
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: is a winnable game actually for them.
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna do it.
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the points with NC Central. Mostly it
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: is a fade Long with the n C Central is
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: a very bad team. But points in this game might
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: be hard to come by as well, because we're looking
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: at offenses that aren't really that good either. Long Wood,
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: it's down for four and a half to four here
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: getting points at home, I say we do it. I
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: know NC Central's very very bad. Ken Bom has them
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: way way low here.
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: He has them one of the.
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: Bottom like fifteen teams in all of college basketball. But
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: they have faced the third most difficult schedule according to
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: ken Pom, So they're not exactly the luckiest team. They're
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: one of the more unlucky teams. And you know we
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: have Long with a bit higher in the luck index.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Long would have faced a much weaker schedule, one of
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: the bottom twelve or thirteen schedules in all of basketball. There,
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: both teams are just bad. I mean, what else do
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: you want? So we'll take the points at home with
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: one of the bad teams in a bad spot. I
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: believe n C Central actually might have the better defense
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: out of it too. We're looking at ken Bomb's rankings here.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: Oh no, they don't. It's fairly close though. Longwood definitely
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: has a better offense, but long would also play fast.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: N C Central is gonna try to slow this thing down,
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: so you know, I like that too, because it's easier
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: to slow things down, especially for the home team, and
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: it's actually easier if you're one of the if you're
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: the weaker team in the matchup, it is actually easier
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: to slow it down because you just have to hold
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: onto the ball, you know what I mean, so and
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: hold on to it for a longer possession basically. So yeah,
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: all of that it does make me like n C Central.
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the points there in that one. All right,
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: what are the games that I want to talk about here?
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: Elon and Virginia's heck is kind of weird. Elon, they're
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: coming to have a nice win, man. They pulled off
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: an upset of a Richmond. It wasn't like a gigantic
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: upset because I think it was at home for Elon,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: but Richmond off to a really good start. I think
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: there were a one loss team, big win for Elon,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: So they could be in a little bit of a
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: hangover here, But of course you gotta think they're gonna
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: show up when they're playing one of the ACC teams,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. Virginia Tech seven and zero at home, ten
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: to two. Overall, they faced a pretty weak schedule though,
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: and their two losses were to Saint Mary's and VCU,
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: which were the two most difficult teams they played all season.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: Even though those are not big conference teams, that is
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: still the case. They did beat South Carolina on the road,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: that's their best win. They beat Providence as well. Providence
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: is not that good. Virginia Tech coming up blowing out
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore not an impressive win there, although they
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: did what they were supposed to do.
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: They blew out a bad team.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: But they do have their huge game against Virginia in
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: next so though it's not until New Year's Eve, but
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: maybe there's like a look ahead component there because of that. Overall,
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: you know, you put all that stuff in a blender.
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: I think Virginia Tech's not as good as their record
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: really looks. I would probably lean slightly towards Elon here.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: The money is agreeing with that one Virginia Tech's a
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: fourteen point favorites, sixty seven percent of tickets on them,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on Elon, with kind
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: of a mid tier total in the one fifties. Kent
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: State and you Mass. This is a weird one memory.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: I looked at this and I was like, Oh, Kent
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: State is in a pretty bad spot here because they
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: just had to go out to the Pacific Coast. They
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: lost to Portland. Now they have to fly back all
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: the way to the east to play you Mass and
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: then they have Purdue after this in nine days. So
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, man Like, so they lost to Portland,
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: which is a bad loss.
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: I mean, Kent State was a.
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Favorite in that one, but that ended a long wind
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: stream for them. They hadn't lost. It's their first game
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: of the season, so sometimes when that happens, you're not
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: used to losing, and you will lose the game twice effectively,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: especially if you have a big look ahead next to
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: Purdue like they do with all this travel. I'm like,
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: all right, this is a bad spot for Kent State.
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: But the caveat there is Kent State was a big
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: favorite against Portland and they lost, So sometimes a big
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: favorite that loses to a bad team like that will
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: be in a bounceback mode in the next game. Now,
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: the other problem with looking towards you Mass here, though,
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: is you Mass is not in a good spot. They
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: just not only beat BC they're in state biggest brother,
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: but they beat Florida State Following that, Florida State is
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: not that good. But still U Mass just beat two
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: ACC teams in a row. So I just don't know
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: what they're gonna have left in the tank. Like, sure,
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: they're gonna try to show up for Kent State. Kent
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: State's good, They're one of the best teams in the
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: MAX for sure. It's probably between them and Akron. But yeah,
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: this game, I looked at it. I just thought it
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: was an interesting game from a handicap handicapping perspective. Kent
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: State flipped from a one and a half point dog
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: to a one point favorite. Looks like money is kind
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: of coming back in on the U MASS side. Fifty
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: tickets sixty percent of the cash on U MASS. I
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: have a hard time. I would like, probably just watch
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: the market on this one and see what the market does.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: I have a hard time figuring out what I would
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: want to do with this game, man. I mean, it
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: might actually make sense to look towards U Mass in
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: this one, just with all the travel that Kent State
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: is doing, and the negatives as far as their concerned,
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: might be worse than the negatives for UMass.
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: But that's why I'm not playing that game.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: The other Massachusetts game here that we have is holy Cross,
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: and have an actual Mass versus Mass game here, but
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: I think holy Cross they consider themselves to be the
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: little brother here. They're probably gonna get up for this
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: game at Harvard haved in Cambridge. Holy Cross just lost
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: pretty badly at Dartmouth, not a good loss there. Probably
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: in bounce back mode here, they're gonna show up for
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: a game against Harvard. You know, as I was saying, Harvard,
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: they're coming off they had to play U Mass and
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: Firman on the road. Both of those teams are better
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: than Harvard. Harvard was just down at Firman in South Carolina,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: played decently, I think, lost by ten against a Firman
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: team that was favored against them. Now they get little
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: brother holy Cross back at home and they have to
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: play Saint John's in three days. That is a huge
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: game on deck for Harvard and it's coming up real soon.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: So I think holy Cross is the way to look
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: in this game. Holy crap not on my card, but
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: and hopefully they're not holy crap in this game. But
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: Harvard's then from ten to nine and a half as
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: far as the spread is concerned. One hundred and thirty
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: six and a half total on that one. So it's
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: a low total, expected to be an ugly game. But yeah,
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: I like holy Cross in that one. Now we're gonna
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: get to your UNC game here. You had a parley
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: in the Alabama game. Was it including Alabama as a side?
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: I assume hell yeah, man, all right, we have a
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: your We're North Carolina tar Heels against Ohio State.
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: This game is another one of those ones in.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia, the CBS Sports Classic. The location is
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: more beneficial to North Carolina, you would have to think,
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: because we're in the Southeast. Here, North Carolina is ranked,
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: they're definitely the better team. Now I was right about
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: where the line would be. I said it was gonna
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: be somewhere in the vicinity of three and four, which
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: is where it is. So I was right or ken
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: Bom was right about that. Yes, so in this game.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: You know, my instinct is always to kind of fade
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: the ranked teams when you think you have like a
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: like an undervalued team against them, But I'm not sure
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: that that's the case here Ohio State. They've not faced
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: a difficult schedule so far, really, and they're coming off
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: their four biggest games all in a row, pretty much
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: against pitt Northwestern Illinois, West Virginia. I know Ohio State
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: didn't play well against West Virginia, but thinking about it more,
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: it was a two overtime game, it was a neutral
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: site game, kind of a game both teams are gonna
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: get up for. We gotta win on the show. With
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: this one on West Virginia plus the points, they should
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: have won the game outright. But West Virginia also they
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: grind you down. They play really slow and play physical
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: against you. So coming off of all that, I'm actually
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: kind of not liking Ohio State that much. Whereas North
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: Carolina is coming up a much easier game against East Tennessee.
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: They've had an easier run of a couple of games,
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: the last couple of games against USC Upstate, South Carolina Upstate,
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: and East Tennessee State. So I actually think the spot
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: is actually probably easier for North Carolina here, so I
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: would actually lean that way now that I have looked
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: at the game more closely this morning. On North Carolina
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half to four. Here, they're
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be the public side, but the money might be
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: agreeing with the public in this one eighty nine percent
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: of tickets ninety four percent of the cash on the
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: North Carolina side. If I was gonna play it, I
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: would probably lay it, But in way I mean, it
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: still kind of looks too easy, Like I said yesterday,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: to lay three and a half four with the big
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: name team, the blue blood team, it's the ranked team,
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: It almost looks too easy to do it. The total
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: is skyrocketed from one and a half to one fifty eight,
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: with money coming in pretty heavy on the over sixty
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety four percent of the cash on
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: the over, which is probably a good thing for North
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: Carolina because they do also play fast. So yeah, we'll
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: see the UNC fans will show up for it. Yes,
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: probably Garrett is gonna be watching. You're you're gonna you're
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: both are gonna play North Carolina in the game. Uh,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: good luck. I mean again, I don't really disagree with it.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: So Seth trembles back, all right, heals by fifty. I
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: would imagine they do not win the game by fifty. Charles,
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out? All right? I want
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: to get this done at least before noontime, though, but
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: I think we will, even though there were some big
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: boards here. All right, another best bet here. We're gonna
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: be on Denver plus the nine and a half against
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado. We're gonna go against one of the teams
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: that we did have a play on that treated us well.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: Sorry Northern Colorado. Uh it was. It was a nice fling,
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: a nice one night stand with you, a one afternoon stand,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: afternoon delight, when norder of Colorado afternoon delight. All right,
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with Denver here, though, I mean, first
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: of all, here we go. Here's a little brother. I
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: am on the little brother here. That doesn't sound good.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado is down from nine to eight and a
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: half here now, I found a nine and a half
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: this morning. Hopefully this is not that much of a
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: difference there, though it seems like whenever I say that,
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: it lands right on that number. Ninety two percent of
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety eight percent of the casual Northern Colorado. For now,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: public's probably not getting involved in this game. But I
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what to think about that market read right now.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: But I just am gonna go with the spot here.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: We're gonna fade in Northern Colorado after what they did
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: in their last game, which won on it. They played
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: really tough against Texas Tech. And I know they lost
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: by double digits, but this is a big game and
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado was in this game. Man. They were losing
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: the game, like barely losing the game, and they get halftime.
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: It was a close game at the half.
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech got into a bigger lead, double digit leading run,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: the Colorado caught all the way back up. They caught
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: up like twice in the second half. They made huge
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: comebacks and they were back within two with a few
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: minutes left in the game. And they were still hanging
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: around within one or two possessions late in the game
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: until Texas Tech made a run late to finish it off.
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: Huge game out of Northern Colorado. I think we're gonna
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: see a hangover spot from them after this. Oh yeah,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: and then what do they have after they celebrate Christmas,
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: they got to play the big brother, Colorado. So they
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: have a huge game coming up on deck as well,
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: even though it is after Christmas, that's one of the
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: biggest games on their schedule. Man, Kenny to play the
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: University of Colorado, so they might be looking ahead to
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: that too. That's a big brother situation. That's a situation
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: where Northern Colorado is a little brother. In this situation,
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: they're the big brother.
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: And yes, I know.
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: They're four and oh at home, but we of course
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: they could win and not cover here and we'd still
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: get the win with Denver as long as they cover.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Denver just had an easy bounce back game against some
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: non Division one Colorado school I assume Colorado Colorado Springs
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: Mountain Lions. Yeah, okay, ucc Yes, So that's a nice
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: tune up game for Denver there. I know Denver doesn't
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: play good defense. I know they're really really bad defensively,
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: but we're playing the spot here, man. This is all
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: about the spot and Denver's obviously team. It's not going
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: to be thrown off by playing at Northern Colorado playing
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: in Colorado because they're a Colorado teams. So playing in
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: high elevation it's basically all they do, so they're not
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: going to be thrown off by that aspect of this
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: game at all. So we're going with it. We're going
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: with Denver in this one obviously. Yes, I know they're
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: the worst team fairly significantly, but all about the spot
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: the total has dropped. I know it's a somewhat high
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: total for taking the points down from one sixty six
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: and a half to one sixty one. Again, Denver is
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: horrible defensively, so something you do have to worry about
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Northern Colorado I think plays faster than
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: Denver does as well, but again it's a spot play.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: I think it's the right side. We're gonna do it
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: in Denver plus the points in that one, and maybe
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado just doesn't have the incentive to totally run
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: the floor there either. So you're on both U ncs.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Yeah you agree with you agree with Denver? Yeah, yeah,
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: you're you're involved in games. I know what you mean.
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: You're involved in games that that both involve the NC teams. Yes,
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: all right, and then my last bet is coming up
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: here as well, so we're gonna be finished. All my
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: games are in the afternoon. Man, I'm gonna give you
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: an ESPN game here with a with a play. I
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: actually like this one. So the other games, I mean,
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: you gotta look towards like ESPN Plus to watch those
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: other games. But this game, we're on the ESPN game.
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the points with Mississippi State minus three
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: and a half against Memphis. I'm gonna go against my
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: nemesis Memphis again. Here the money seems to agree with this,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State up from two to.
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: Three three and a half. You might be able to
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: find three on this the number, I mean it.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: Might be a little bit high debatably. I mean, ken
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: Bum doesn't have these teams separated by that much. Neither
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: team is really that good. But it's all about the
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: spot again here, sixty eight percent of tickets around Memphis,
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of the cash on Mississippi State. And yeah,
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: normally a smaller conference team like Memphis will get up
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: for a game like this against against Mississippi State. But
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: look at what Memphis just did, dude. They just beat
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Baylor two weeks ago. Then the following week they had
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: to play Louisville on the road, and yeah they got
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: blown out. But then on Wednesday, three days ago. This
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: is the game that we talked about and we had
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: it correct on the show. As far as Memphis covering,
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: Memphis took Vandy into overtime, Man, that was a monster
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: performance from Memphis. Vandy is really good this year. They're
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: ranked really high as well. They're an in state big
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: brother to Memphis as well because Vandy is one of
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: the big conference teams in the state of Tennessee. Monster
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: monster game from Memphis and they put in an all
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: out effort only to lose an overtime after they could
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: have won the game against Vandy. I think they're gonna
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: be in a major, major flat spot after that, even
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: though they are playing another SEC team. They're playing an
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: SEC team that's only six to five man. Mississippi State
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: is down this year. They don't look that good this year,
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: but I think they're gonna be up for this one
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: because they have a little bit more rest. And look
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: at the game that Mississippi State's coming off of. They
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: almost lost at home to Long Island. This is crazy.
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State had to have been like a twenty something
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: point favorite in this game. I would imagine, right ESPN
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: had the ninety five point seven percent to win the
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: game prior to the game tipping off, and they almost lost,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: losing the game in the in the like late minutes
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: of the game. Mississippi State had to escape with a win.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: And you know, I talk about that when a.
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: Huge favorite has an awful performance and they barely escape
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: with the win, I like them to come out with
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: a lot of focus in the next game. That's what
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: we're going with here. It all lines up really nicely
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: in my opinion for a play in Mississippi State here.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: And if you look at the spot in Mississippi State
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: was in, it wasn't good because they'd gone into Salt
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: Lake City and beaten Utah in the Salt Lake Slam.
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Then they had the Long Island game with Memphis on deck,
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: so that was a sandwich spot. Dude, Mississippi State got
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: caught again. I think you're gonna see a much better
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: refer out of them this time. Memphis still has the
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: name around them where teams are gonna still like, they're
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: not gonna overlook Memphis because they still have that.
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: Name, you know what I mean.
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: And again, when you're coming off a horrible performance like
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State, you're not gonna overlook your next opponent. Man,
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna lay it with Mississippi State there, even
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: though they're not that good this year. I don't think
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: Memphis is very good either, and I don't like their coach.
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: I think Mississippi State has the better coach with Jans
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: there over a Penny hart Away I assume is still
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: at Memphis. I'm not a fan of his coach. And
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: you're on both UNC money lines. Yeah, but I said Denver,
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: Denver is the play against Northern Colorado. Well, I hate
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: it if you're if you're going against my Denver play, Yeah,
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: obviously I don't like that. Kentucky. I would take the points.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, if if they're giving you the points, I
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: would take the points. The plus two, I mean, you
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: get a decent money line press on a two. But
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: whenever you play at plus two, I always say put
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: ten percent of the bet on the money line two
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: because you're pretty much saying they're gonna win the game
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: out right. I mean, in a game it's that close,
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: if you wanted to just go all money line, I
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: mean I'm not really against that either, but I I
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: prefer to take the points and then put ten percent
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: of the bet on the money line. All right, we
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: have a Northwestern and Butler on Peacock at four pm.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Weird game here between a Big Ten team and a
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: Big East team, although the teams are not separated by
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: much geographically. This game is actually not at Butler's campus.
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: It's in Indianapolis, which is Butler's city, but it's not
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: at Butler's home court, so it's like a semi home
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: game for Butler. On Northwestern coming off beating Valpo, not
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: really a big deal there. The Valpo I think gets
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: up for some of these games against other teams in
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: this region. This is the indie classic.
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: By the way.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: Butler coming enough a difficult game against yucom or they lost.
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: I told you YUKM is going to cover that one,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: which they did. Butler was coming off a double overtime
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: game I think the game before that against Providence they
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: were pretty gassed having to go up to Yukon. Now,
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: Butler did lose that game by nineteen, but that's still
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: a difficult game. They're still having to travel back, and
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: I think the public is going to look at this
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: and kind of want Butler because they're basically a pick
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: the winner situation here. Up from pick them to one
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: and a half oz. Makers are kind of telling you
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: Northwestern is the better team though, because Butler's still got
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: to get a little something from playing in their home city.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: So I'm not I'm not gonna disagree. I think Northwestern
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: the spot sets up easier for them. Fifty eight percent
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety two percent of the casual Northwestern. Uh,
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: both of these teams I think are not separated by
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: that much. I think if you look at Ken bondb
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: he probably has the team's pretty close. He's got Northwestern
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: fifty seventh, Butler fifty fifth, so he actually has Butler
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: as a slightly better team, so he'd actually probably have
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: them favored by a little bit more than this. But
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean to Northwestern in that one based
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: on the spot. Yeah, yeah, you can middle it. But
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: you when I'm fading a team because they're in a
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: horrible spot like that, I'm basically saying that there's a
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: pretty decent chance that I think they're gonna not win
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: the game. Like so I'm gonna have a little bit
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: like whenever I play a game like that, I will
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of an on the money line too,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: Like that's the type of game where I'd probably have
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: like ten percent of it on on the on the
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: underdog money line on Denver on the team. And I'm
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: playing like I'm just all in fade mode, like I'm
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: not gonna try for a middle on that and put
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: any money on a team.
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: But I think is in a terrible spot. I'm not
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: gonna do that.
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: I think there's a decent chance in Northern Colorado loses
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: that game. All Right, we have what else?
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: What did I want to talk about next? I don't
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: even know.
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: I'm all thrown off here, man, Okay, some of these
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: games I'm thinking about like previous games for some of
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: these teams at this point here, some of these games,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: these teams had other games in between the two. All right,
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: Long Island and Florida International. I will talk about this
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: game because I just talked about Long Island and like
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: I said, they just took Mississippi State to the brink. Man.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: That was a huge performance from Long Island. Now they're
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: gonna go down to Miami and face Florida International and
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: up next.
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: So though it's after Christmas.
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: They got Georgia, who's a big conference team SEC team.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: They're in the rankings now, so Long Island's an sec
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: sandwich here in a Southern fried chicken sandwich here or whatever.
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be horrible spot for Long Island here. Now.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: The only reason that I'm not playing this is FIU.
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: They're good at home.
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: They're five and one at home.
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: That's good a lot of the games soough, you gotta
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: take it with a grant AsSalt because a lot of
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: those wins are against non D one teams early in
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: the season.
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: But the reason why I'm not gonna do.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: This is because FIU just had their biggest game of
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: the season against Miami, who both FIU is in the
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: Miami area. I think they're in Miami literally. Maybe that's
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: a huge game playing the big brother in Miami, the
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: U of Miami. And this game was closer than it
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: looked like on the score where too as far as
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: like what it was late in the game. They lost
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: by seventeen points, but they were kind of.
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: In this game, dude.
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: They were still within single digits midway through the second half.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: So it was a big performance from FYU. So I'm
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: gonna skip it. I would still lean that way if
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it. I mean, the spot is
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: really really bad for Long Island. Still, so I would
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: still lay the points with that VU if I was
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: gonna play it through off from four to five and
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: a half. So yeah, that's what I would do in
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: that one, lay the points so foreign international, if I
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it.
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what I'm saying.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go from middles on this, man, I'm
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: all in on on like what I think is a
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: strong situation here.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: What are we doing.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna blame I'm gonna blame dirty Sock for that,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: saying that he's on both UNC teams. No, I lean
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: towards North Carolina, don't have a strong opinion on that,
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: but I have a strong opinion against Northern Colorado. All Right,
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: we have a huge game on CBS at five point thirty.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: All Right, we're almost done with the college basketball here.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Number eight Houston, number fourteen Arkansas. This is a big game.
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be a crazy contrast of styles. The game
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: is a neutral location in Newark, New Jersey. For whatever reason.
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know what what this tournament is. It's the
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: never Get Tribute Classics. So it's a nine to eleven thing.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: I guess Houston we know they're the defensive team. They're
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: the team that plays slow. Arkansas is a more offensive
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: team that plays fast. So it's kind of it's that
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: contrast of styles, the classic Condresses styles. Which one is
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: gonna win out is the question here. Houston is the
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: better team, but you're gonna be asking them to lay
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: points here. They've had an easy run of games leading
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: up to this one. They're not as battle tests as
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: tested as you would think, beating Auburn by one and
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: losing to Tennessee or their two biggest games. So not
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: great so far for Houston. Even I came into the
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: season thinking Houston might be the best team in the country.
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: Maybe they are, but they're not very battle tested right now.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is more battle tested, having played Michigan State, Duke, Louisville,
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech and they won two out of those four.
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a game where they won in a
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: Sandwich bottom beat off, beating Queens. I lost my play
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: on that one by like two and a half points
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: on Queens. Unfortunately for my guy, Queen's coach, one of
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: my Twitter mutuals. I think unless he's unfollowed, maybe because
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: I'm so crazy. Yeah, I mean This is a tough
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: game to read. Man, Arkansas coming into this one, you're
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be asking Houston, as the more defense oriented team
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: to lay points here. The money seems to be coming
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: in on Houston, though I agree they're the better team
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: throughout from four and a half to five and a
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: half here. Defense usually travels a little bit better than
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: offense does as well, And you know me, I like
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: defense more than I like offense.
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: I'm old school.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: Sixty eight percent and tickets seventy seven percent of the
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: cash on Houston. Money seems to be on the Houston side.
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: Total's fairly low at one hundred and forty six and
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: a half money coming on the over, but a low
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: total kind of indicates that Houston's probably gonna be dictating
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: the pace here and slowing this thing down, which it
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: is easier to slow the pace down, So if they
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: do that, that could frustrate Arkansas. I'll have a slow
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: light leaning towards laying it with Houston, and I don't
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: love it at all. Liberty versus Dayton and Marshall Troy, Yeah,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: all right, Liberty and Dayton. When was that this is
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: one of those afternoon games on the USA Network Because
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: they cover eight ten games. I did not have a
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: strong opinion on this game obviously. I mean, Liberty is
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: coming into this game beating mid Midwest Midway Midway. They're
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: not on Midway Island. They've beaten Midway whoever that is
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: a non Division one team.
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: So they're coming off a really easy, like tune up
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: win here.
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: So the spot's not that bad for Liberty for Dayton
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: undefeated at home, but they are coming off beating crushing
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: Florida State really, so yeah, I could see it being
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: a bit of a letdown for Dayton here, coming off
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: annihilating Florida State. Now, Dayton, over the past few years
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: they've been a slow paced team, but this year they're
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: actually playing faster paced than I thought, so the tempo
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: thing for Dayton, they're actually sort of becoming the Flyers
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: again now where they're actually playing a little bit faster.
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: But even so, this is a low total, and getting
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of points is good when you have a
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: low total. In the mid one forties, Dayton's up to
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: an eleven point favorite, but eighty two percent of tickets,
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash on them. Yeah,
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: I would lean to taking the points with Liberty there.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: I think Dayton's in the worst spot after just blowing
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: out of Florida State, blowing out an ACC team, even
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: though they're not a good one, Dayton might be feeling
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit too high off of that. The other
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: game was what Marshall, Marshall, where are they at? I
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: think I just saw them. I just skipped over that game.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Where is that game? Come on, man, there it is
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: at two pm, Marshall. They just beat Right State. Right
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: State is actually.
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: Not that bad this year.
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: It seems. I thought that they were not good to
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: start the season, but they've been playing pretty competitive basketball.
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: Marshall won that game by two.
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: I think Marshall was probably a slight favorite in that game,
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: so I'm guessing they didn't cover. Now they're going out
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: on the road. They have not been great on the road.
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: The last three road games they lost and didn't cover.
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: Actually they covered one of them against UNC Wilmington, so actually,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: maybe they're not that bad on the road. That's why
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: I faded.
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: Them in the next game.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: We got to win with Ohio in the game after
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: that one because Marshall gave UNC Wilmington all they could handle.
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: Wilmington's really good Anyway, this game going back out on
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: the road to face Troy. If I remember correctly when
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: I looked at this game, I think Troy just beat UAB, right,
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: So I think it is a letdown spot for Troy. Yeah,
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: so they beat UAB by one on the road. UAB
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: was probably a favorite of several points in that game.
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: That's an even bigger deal for Troy because UAB they
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: probably consider UAB to be a bigger brother than them
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: in the state of Alabama. These are both Alabama schools.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's a letdown spot for Troy
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: coming into this one. So opinion for me would be
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: on Marshall in this game. The money seems like it
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: agree with that one as well. Troy down from five
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: to four and a half. Ever, so yeah, Troy down
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: from five to four and a half. If Troy plays
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: like they have the last couple of seasons. They're also
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: more of a defense oriented team, so also a team
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: you don't necessarily want to lay points with. Ken Bumb
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: actually has them really balanced this year, one hundred and
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: forty fifth in both offense and defense. They're actually not
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: a horrible team. Really, They're high up in Kenbum's luck index, though,
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: yet they have faced a fairly difficult schedule and they're
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: a mid tempo team, I mean, nothing to really see.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: They're hard to gauge, but seventy four percent of the
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on at Marshall. So yeah, my opinions
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: would be to take the points with both of those underdogs,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: Liberty and Marshall. Okay, so hopefully that made enough sense.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: Maryland at Virginia is the ESPN game at six pm.
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: Virginia is in the rankings at twenty three. Virginia seems
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: to be back on the rise. I mean, historically very
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: good basketball program. Yes, sir, you're gonna parlor both of
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: those red bets, all right, hopefully that wins. I mean again,
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: you know me, I'm against parlays so because one thing
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: could take the one loss takes the whole thing down.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: But yes, I agree with both of those sides. Maryland.
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: This Maryland team, I mean, they just really have not
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: been as good as people thought that they might be.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: Last year they were really good, but they were a
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: very top heavy roster. Last year, like they had Queen
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: who's doing well in the NBA. Now, Maryland's like top
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: few guys from last year are all gone. So this
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: Maryland team is not looking very good at this point.
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: They played a very difficult schedule too, though, But now
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: they're coming up a loss in Michigan, they lost by
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: eighteen points. They're on the road here at Virginia. Not
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: gonna be that easy for them. I don't think Maryland's
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: only if they played one road game so far and
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: they did beat Marquette, and that was the game that
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: Maryland's best player got hurt in that game, Pharrell Pain
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: I think it is his name, whatever his name is.
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: But they're not that road tested here. Marquette's not not
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: that good as we know. Virginia is definitely better than Marquete.
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Virginia plays a much different style game. They slow you
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: way down. Virginia coming on an easy winnerver on Maryland
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: Eastern Shore. Virginia has not had a very strong schedule
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: either though, Like their best win is probably the one
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: that gets Northwestern Actually maybe road game against Texas actually
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: maybe is probably the best. They did lose to Butler
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: one of their other step up games. So this team
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: is not that battle tested. So Maryland is more battle
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: tested here. You're getting a ton of points in this game.
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: By the way, so I was actually kind of surprised
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: how big this line is. Virginia's down from fifteen to
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half here total kind of.
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: In the mid yeah, I mean it's in the mid one.
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: Fifties, so higher than I thought it would be. But Virginia,
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, unless I'm wrong about it, Virginia plays slow. Yeah,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: they still play pretty slow. So a slow down team
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: like that laying points when they're not a very battle
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: tested team. I know Maryland is not stepped up well either, really,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: but I think I would take the points in this
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: game if I was gonna play it. Just we still
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: don't really know who these teams are yet. I don't
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: think seventy ticket seventy five percent of the cash on Maryland.
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: Don't have a strong opinion on it at all, obviously,
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: but that might be the way that I would look
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: in that one. Sob what's up? Thank you sir, Bama.
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: So you went with me against yourself, So you had
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: money in Oklahoma and then you went all the way
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: back and put way more in Alabama. All right, Well,
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: if I was if I was wrong, i'd be pissed
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: about that. I don't want to mislead people here, but yes,
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: thank you sir. Yeah, I'm happy that I was right
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: about that, trying to give out winners. Here another big
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: game on Peacock six thirty pm. We have Auburn and Purdue.
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: This is in that Indianapolis tournament where Butler is also
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: playing whatever this is. So it's basically a semi home
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: game for Purdue because Purdue is also in Indiana. Yeah,
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: it's the Indie Classic, So semi home game for Purdue.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: You know, the crowd was show up for this. They're
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: the better team over Auburn this year, There's no question
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: about that. We all know this though. Auburn coming off
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: a win over chattanoogam whatever. Basically they bounce back nicely
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: after getting blown out by a pretty good Arizona team.
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: Purdue might actually be a little bit under the radar
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: right now. There's sixth in the country. Ken Bum does
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: have them sixth overall, but I think they're still like
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: a top team. Man Purdue coming up beating Marquette easily,
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: I probably would not want to look to fade Purdue
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: in the spot. I mean, that's beating Marquette is just whatever.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, Marquette's not that good, I know, Auburn's coming
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: out of an easier game against Tennessee Chattanooga.
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: But both teams are gonna show up for this, I'd probably.
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: Look towards the team that is, the team that's closed
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: in a home that's actually the better team with Purdue,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: although they do slow the game way down, so laying
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: points with them a little bit iffy, but they do
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: usually shoot very efficiently. Sixty seven percent of tickets, sixty
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the casual on Purdue at a minus
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: eight and a half favorite there total down into the
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: mid one fifties. There. Yeah, not a game that I'm
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: really that interested in though. Fresno at UNLV. Really the
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: handicap here is UNLV. First of all, it looks like
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: you don't want to lay points with UNLV, Like, why
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: would you want to lay eight and a half with
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: a team that's four and six against a six and
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: five team? Right, Well, UNLV has faced the more difficult schedule, obviously,
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: if they if they're favored by that much, obviously the
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: Odsbegers are telling you the better team, and they're also
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: coming off a real ugly loss at home to Tennessee State.
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: But you can kind of see why that happened because
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: UNLV came off a run of Maryland, Alabama a Rutgers
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: beating Stanford on the road, so I think they just
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: had nothing left in the tank and Tennessee State caught
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: them at a good time. So now I expect UNLV
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: to bounce back after that. That was an ugly loss
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: for UNLV. Is a really substantial favorite at home, probably
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: a double digit favorite in that game. So again, a
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: double digit favorite loses at home like that, they're probably
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: gonna bounce back. Fresno really has not been battle tested.
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: They haven't faced anybody that good except Arkansas, and Arkansas
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: annihilated them.
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: You see San Diego.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: I mean that's a fine loss, only losing to them
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: by five, but really, Fresno has not stepped up in
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: class yet. This is only their second road game of
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: the season, after losing the first one in their previous
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: game against Cal State Northridge. I don't love it at all,
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: even though yet I think this is the Mountain West
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: opener actually for both teams. But I expect UNLV to
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: show up and bounce back. I would lay it with
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: UNLV in this one if I was gonna play it
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: up from seven to nine. Saw yes, Sab, what's up man?
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: I agree with Florida International. You're on Denver Nancy Central?
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Was that independent of me? Are you spying on me again?
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: I haven't talked about Richmond or UNC Wilmington. I don't
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: have much of an opinion on that. I have a
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: fairly decent opinion on FIU. I agree with it, but
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: I wore worry about them coming off that Miami game,
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: which was big for them.
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: And then yeah, Nevada.
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: I mean I could talk about that game, I guess
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: I haven't talked about it yet. I think I agree
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: with you in that one too, though I don't really
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: have much of an opinion on those other ones. Though, Okay,
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: we do have. Now Portland State at Tulane. I'm gonna
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: point out that Portland State just played pretty close against
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: who was it. I can't even bring up the tab.
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: I think it was Colorado. Yeah, even though they lost
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: by eleven, Portland State was in this game at Colorado. Man,
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: now they're having to go all the way to Tulane
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: before they come back out into the mountains to face
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: Weaver State. I don't like how this sets up for them, man,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: So I'd be looking towards.
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: Tulane in this game.
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Tulane coming up beating Louisiana Attack though, I mean, maybe
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: that's kind of a satisfying win beating one of their
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: siblings in the state of Louisiana. But yeah, Tulane's up
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: from two to four here. I don't have a strong
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: opinion on that one, but I think Tulane is the
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: way to look in that one. You're spying on me
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: in the NHL, Tampa and Calgary, you do not. You
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: do not have my two plays in the NHL. I
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: thought one of the one of mine I thought was
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: gonna be obvious because it has me written all over it.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: SOB is the time traveler. Yes, although I agree with
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: the lightning. I don't even remember if I had much
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: of an opinion on Calgary or not. Duke and Texas
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: Tech ESPN eight pm. This is a huge game. Duke
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: third in the country, Texas Tech nineteenth. Duke is definitely
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: the better team. This game is at Madison Square Garden Duke.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, they have a bigger fan base, so the
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: fan base should be more beneficial to Duke. They do
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: have a big fan base in the Northeast, so I
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: think Duke will have the benefit of the fan base here,
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Duke coming off beating Lipscomb and not covering which we
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: had Lipscomb in that game. Easy win for Duke coming
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: off of that. Both teams are coming off kind of
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: ugly performances though, especially Texas which I already talked about.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech didn't do well against Northern Colorado even though
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: they won by eleven. I mean that was a fairly
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: close game. So both teams are kind of in focused
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: spots here. Both teams are looking ahead to this game.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: In that case, I think you kind of got to
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: just look towards the better team though, So I'm not
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: gonna disagree with laying it with Duke in this one.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Even though they do play slow issue usually, but this
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: year they're actually playing a little bit faster. They actually
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: play faster than Texas Tech does this year, so maybe
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Duke might actually even speed the game up a little bit.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: You can see the totals not that low in the
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: one fifties, Duke eight and a half point favorite, eighty
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on them, fifty five percent
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Texas Tech. It looks like the public
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: is actually kind of thinking that the line is high
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: even though you think the public would be on Duke
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: almost always, but they look like they're slightly tilting towards
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech, which is weird. But the actual money to
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: me looks like it is on Duke. I don't really
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: disagree with it, but I don't have a strong opinion
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: really on that one. Here the Blues. Yeah, yes, I
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: am that is correct, all right, Not.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: To give it away or anything, but yes.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: Stanford at Colorado on espn U at eight pm, big
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: conference game here between an ACC team.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: And a Big twelve team.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: Stanford coming in off some kind of lackluster efforts against
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: San Jose State UT Rarlington. I think they're gonna show
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: up here. This game is in Phoenix, so I don't
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: really know which team it benefits more. Really, Colorado plays
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: in Arizona more often, probably though in the Big Twelve. Now.
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: Colorado actually I think returned to the Big twelve, because
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: I think I think I remember them being in the
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: Big twelve not that long ago. Well, but of course
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: I mean back in the Pac twelve. Both of these
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: teams played in Arizona. So whatever, Colorado's coming off that
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: uglier game against Portland State where Portland State almost caught them,
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: so I kind of think Colorado might be in a
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: better spot here to bounce back from that. So for me,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: I slightly leaned towards them. The money is coming in
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: on Stanford though, seventy five percent tickets eighty seven percent
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Stanford. Oddsmaker's line in Colorado is
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: a four and a half point favorite in this one,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: so telling you they are the better team slight lean
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: to that, but I don't love it at all. We
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: got Xavier and Georgetown on Fox Sports one Big East
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: matchups here late at night, two of them battling with
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: each other. Although pretty sure the people watching these games
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: are gonna be watching the other game Marquet and Creighton
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: and not Xavier and Georgetown. Xavier is definitely not that
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: good this year. Xavier just got annihilated by Creighton, though embarrassing,
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: losing by forty one points. I said, I liked Creighton
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: to cover in that game. I did not think they
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: were gonna win by forty one ridiculous loss for Xavier.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, you gotta think they're gonna bounce back from that.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: I know they play Yukon, but it's way, it's after
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: the holidays, whatever, it's on New Year's Eve actually, but
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: still I kind of think they're gonna give you a
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: better effort. Hero though Xavier's is not road tested. Their
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: only road game is a loss at Iowa, but Georgetown's
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: not as good as Iowa. Xavier is more familiar with
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: playing in Georgetown because they're in the same conference. Georgetown's
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: coming out of a nice upset win at Marquette, so
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: you could argue they're in a little bit of a
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: letdown spot in Xavier in kind of a bounce back
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: spot from an embarrassing performance. So I would take the
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: points with Xavier if I was gonna play this. Georgetown's
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: up from four to four and a half here, fifty
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, fifty one percent of the cash
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: on them, I lean towards Xavier plus the points. Kind
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: Of a similar setup between Marquette and Creighton because these
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: four teams just all played each other, so now they're
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: rotating and playing against each other. So a lot of
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: times when you have that setup, I get two plays
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: out of it, and this one. I'm just holding off
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: on both. But you know which way I'm gonna lead
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: in both games. So now Marquette is coming off that
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: loss I just mentioned at home to George down, so
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna bounce back.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: In this one of those.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: They have to go to Creighton, maybe a little bit difficult,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: but Marquette is still a Midwestern team, uh So going
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: from Milwaukee to Omaha not a huge deal for them.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: Creighton coming out that walloping of Xavier where they might
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: be feeling maybe too high on themselves after a win
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: like that. Man, So pretty simple in that one, yeah,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: I mean I lean to Marquette, and that when the
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: money seems to agree Creighton down from eight to six
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: and a half year, sixty two percent of tickets on them,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: sixty one percent of the cash on Marquette, I like Marquette.
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: And then when both of those totals are at one
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: fifty one and a half by the way, in both games,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: So I lean to both underdogs in those games to
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: simplify those because they think they're both kind of in
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: bounced back spots.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: In a way. So those are my opinions on those two.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: Ducks or Sharks.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: Sob is spying on me, all right.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: And then we have a couple of big games late
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: at night, well boising of it's pretty big because it's
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: a Mountain West this game, Boise. I mean, they're coming
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: off a huge win over Saint Mary's, dude, and this
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: is a nice upset win for them. Although it was
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: a neutral site, Saint Mary's is still probably a favorite
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: of several points. This game was in Idaho, though, so
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: the location was more beneficial to Boise. Big win for Boise,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: though they do have New Mexico next, so though it's
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: not for ten days, I'm not sure they're gonna totally
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: overlook their conference opener, which is kind of my hesitation here,
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: but yeah, it does kind of look like a letdown
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: spot to me here Nevada coming off barely beating Duquine
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: at home. Ducaine's a solid team, but Nevada was still
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: I think favored in that game. It didn't cover. So
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: I agree with Nevada and this one staying at home.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: I think the spot does set up better for them.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: Boise looks like they're in the letdown spot to me.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: Both teams are in their conference opener. Here, you're getting
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: points with Nevada Boise up from three to three and
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: a half. Money coming back towards Nevada fifty three percent
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: of tickets seventy eight percent of the cash on Nevada.
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: Here Boys also plays slow and the totals down to
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: one hundred and forty one and a half. So a
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: slow paced team laying points on the road not usually
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: something I want to look towards. Nevada probably not quite
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: as good as their eight and three record looks though,
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: so I do kind of worry about that. That Nevada
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: really just is they're not very tested. Uh. The best
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: teams they played were probably you see San Diego, which
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: they did win San Francisco they did win that when
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: they lost to Washington and they lost to Santa Clara.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: So yeah, but overall, yes, I would lean to Nevada
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: taking the points there. I agree with that Blueser in
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: the third game, Third Games in four Days, I like
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: it anyway. It's a it's a huge pulled pork sandwich
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: in that game. San Diego States at number one. Arizona.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: Of course, Ken Bomb will be telling you Arizona is
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: not actually the number one team. Mcordy to him, he
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: has them at four. They're still really, really good, though.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: San Diego State maybe looks a little bit down this year.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: They just have not stepped up blowing class man. Their
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: only win against a big conference team is against Oregon,
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: who failed to cover their first nine or ten games.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: San Diego State lost to Michigan, although that was expected,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: but they also lost to Baylor. They don't have any
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: impressive wins man so and now they're having to go
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: to Arizona in Phoenix. So the location is better for Arizona.
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: It's not on their campus, but it's in Phoenix. Arizona
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: coming up that game against Abale Christian I don't know
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: which team covered that one. It was. It landed right
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: around the number. Arizona coming up that easy win. They're
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: not in a bad spot here. Both teams will show up,
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: you know. I kind of expect Arizona to be able
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: to run away with this. They're gonna push the tempo
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: as well. They're gonna go faster. San Diego State wants
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: to play slow. San Diego State just beat Air Force.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: Whatever.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, the money's disagreeing with me on this one, but
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I kind of think Arizona
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: is going to be difficult for San Diego State to handle.
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: Arizona laying fourteen points, which is quite a bit, but
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: there's a reason for it. Eighty five percent of the
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: tickets on Arizona, sixty four percent of the cash on
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: San Diego State. So the money is saying san Diego State.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with it. I would probably lay
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: the points with Arizona. And then, yeah, sob your other games.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know. Do I want to talk
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: about your other games?
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: What other games did you say you were on? I
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: have no idea. I didn't have a strong opinion on
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: either of them. I forget what you said which games
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: you're on, But I want to finish this show here. Man,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: we got a lot to talk about here. Hopefully it's
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: not going to take me another hour. I gotta get
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: this done and get my bowl stuff ready. Yeah what
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: were we talking about here?
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 3: Oh?
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Richmond, you and see what I had talked about Nevad.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: I agree with you on that one. I think it
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: is a letdown for boys. Yes, Citadel at Richmond, I
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: agree with you on this one too. The Citadel, they're
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: coming off two huge games against in state big brothers
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. They didn't play too badly, and then they
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: took Charleston pretty much to the limits. And now after
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: those a third straight road game, now My hesitation with
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: it is that Citadel might still show up for a
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: game against Richmond, because Richmond is still a good team.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: I think it's more that you're playing against the.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: Fatigue factor here.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: I still agree with that Citadel might just have nothing
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: left in the tank. Richmond, as I mentioned, is coming
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: off kind of an ugly loss where they were favored
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: on the road they lost to Elon. Maybe kind of
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: worry about Richmond being in a hangover spot though, because
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: when you sometimes take a loss and you lose along
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: wind streak, it'll hang you over into the next game.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: But yes, I do agree with Richmond in this game.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: They're down from twenty one to eighteen and a half though,
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: So the market is disagreeing with it, But I agree
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: with you. I would lay it with Richmond if I
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. Seventy percent tickets, ninety three percent
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Citadel total's fairly low one
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: hundred and forty seven and a half. So I don't
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: love laying points of the low total like that either,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: But yes, I don't disagree. Yeah, Fiu, I talked about that,
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: I think right before you got onto the stream here. Yeah,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: I agree with that one to Florida International is one
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: of them, one of the better ones I think of
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: the day. But again, I can't do it because they're
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: coming up that game against Miami that they put in
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: a big effort in that game against Miami. That was
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: a huge game for them, so I kind of worry
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: about that. And then you like Wilmington against Howard. I
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: don't think I have much of an opinion on this one.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: Howard just upset Drexel.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: I guess on the road.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: They do have Northwestern next, but it's not for ten days.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, being Drexel, I don't think it's gonna put
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: you in a hangover spot or anything. I think teams
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: are gonna step up to play against a team like
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: UNC Wilmington. Man, you know, and you and see Wilmington. Yeah,
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: they're coming up kind of an iffy effort against Valpo.
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: They didn't play particularly well, so yeah, I expect them
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: to show up. This one I think is the weakest
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: of all of those. I don't have much of an
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: opinion on this one at all. This one just didn't
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: really catch my eye whatsoever. Down from fifteen and after
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half, is UNC Wilmington is the favorite obviously,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent takes ninety five percent.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: Of the cash on them.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: The total down to one hundred and forty one and
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: a half, so it's kind of a low total. I
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: don't know if I love laying it with a low total.
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: I'm not really gonna disagree with Wilmington there, but I
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: just don't see I don't really have any strong angle
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: on that one at all. All right, hockey, let's do it.
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: Try to get through this, man, it's a huge hockey board.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: We have afternoon games of twelve thirty Flyers at Rangers.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: Flyers coming in off the loss to Buffalo. Pretty ugly
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: loss for the Flyers. And you know, I don't like
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: the Rangers at home, man, Flyers maybe trying to salvage
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: the final game of the road trip and split the
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: road trip to too ugly loss that they're coming off
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: against Buffalo.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: Again.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: I always talk about how bad the Rangers are at home.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: That trend has continued. They have not been good at home.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: They just lost again at home, I think, yeah, to Vancouver,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: I don't remember. I don't think we had a play
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: in that one. But they've lost their last two home
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: games again. Now they've been awful at home. They just
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: went out and they won on the road, which is
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: a win for us. On Thursday on the show, the
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: Rangers play them on the road, theade them at home.
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: We made decent amount of money this year doing that.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: Now they're at home. This isn't one of my plays,
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: but I'm gonna have to lean to Philadelphia here, man,
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: Rangers coming back from Saint Louis.
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: I know that's not a big win or anything, but Rangers.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: I just don't trust them at home, and Philly is
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: staying in the state of New York, travel a little
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: bit easier for them. Looks like they're kind of in
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot. So I'm gonna look towards Philly
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: in this one. The money seems like it agrees, even
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: though the Rangers did go up for minus one twenty
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: five to minus one forty one on the money line,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the tickets on them, but fifty
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on phil Hladelphia. So yeah,
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards the Flyers there. Detroit at Washington
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: is at the same time. This one's the NHL Network
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: game at twelve thirty. Good game, a big game. Both
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: these teams pretty solid Detroit coming into this game of
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss at home against Utah. They've had
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: two days off and now they're going out on the
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: road only for one game. But I think they're gonna
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: show up for it, because when you have a loss
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: at home and then you get some time off.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: It was an ugly four to one.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: Loss, I think I having extra days off and going
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: out on the road, all of that is beneficial when
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: you were when you just played an ugly game at home.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: So I think they bounce back from that. They use
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: the rest to fix some things. As I always talk
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: about for Washington year, Washington's coming up beating Toronto four
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: to nothing and they're just staying at home off that.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say Washington's not gonna show up though
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: for a game against Detroit.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: I mean they will most likely.
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: So I don't have a strong opinion on this, but
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: just based on what these teams did recently and the
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: fact that it is a positive spot for Detroit, I'd
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: lean to Detroit in this one slightly. Washington down from
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: minus one sixty five to minus one sixty two on
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: the money line market, seems to be in agreement with
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: me on this one. Fifty eight percent of the tickets
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: on Washington, fifty four percent of the cash on Detroit.
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: So again just putting all the info out there. Chicago
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: at Ottawa. Chicago on a massive skid right now. As
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: I told you, they weren't as good as the record
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: made them look. They've now lost four more games in
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: a row. It's been ugly though, so they're probably gonna
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: want to try to salvage the last game of this
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: road trip here after an ugly four to one lost
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: to Montreal, They're going up to Ottawa. Ottawa has been
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: decent this year. Ottawa, they just beat Pittsburgh four to
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: nothing on the heels of beating Winnipeg in overtime to
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: finish the road trip, so they actually return home and
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: still got the win. Now they're staying at home, they
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: do a Boston tomorrow, which might be a bigger game
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: because it's still kind of the the O Mark battle
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: there and whatever. They might overlook Chicago in a spot
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: like this, So my lean in this one is Chicago
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: not strong, though Otto is a huge favorite. Down for
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: minus two to fifty mines, two forty oz makers really
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: not respecting Chicago at all, really telling you they're one
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: of the lower lower teams in all of the NHL,
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: cash on Ottawa. But if I was gonna play it,
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think grabbing Chicago plus the one and
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: a half goals or whatever in that game kind of
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: makes sense in a spot like that. All right, Edmonton
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: at Minnesota, this is a big game. Minnesota's hot. Edmonton,
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: they're kind of on the way back up here after
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: an ugly start, kind of like last year. They just
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: beat my Boston Bruins. Unfortunately, now they're coming to the
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: end of a road trip here. It's already been a
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: successful road trip. But I don't think they're gonna overlook Minnesota. Man.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: I'm just because of how hot Minnesota has been. This
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: is a big game now for Minnesota. Minnesota's on a
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: nice stretcher. They won six games in a row. They
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: also beat my Bruins in there. But I mean a
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: couple of those games are pretty impressive, beating Dallas and
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: Washington by a combined ten to two, coming off a
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: win over Columbus, which is whatever, a I to two win,
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: which I thought that was a bad spot. We lost
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: on that one, I'm pretty sure. On the show, I
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: thought that was a weird spot, just a single game
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: travel spot there. Now they get Edmonton. They do have
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: to play Colorado tomorrow. That's a big game. But I
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: don't see them overlooking Edmonton. Man, although they did go
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: into Edmonton and beat them one to nothing on December second,
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: So you know, this game is one of the harder
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: ones for me to read like. I have more of
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: an opinion on the other games I talked about so
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: far than this one. The money is say Minnesota, but
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: I'm not really sure I agree with it. Minnesota up
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: for minus one fifteen to minus one twenty seven, seventy
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on them, fifty two percent
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Edmonton. I was, I don't know. I
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: slightly lean towards Edmonton here. Money is saying otherwise the
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: money's coming into Minnesota. Maybe Minnesota is not as overvalued
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: as they were last year. Man. Islanders at Buffalo. Islanders
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: are on a back to back, I believe, so that's
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: not easy. They did just lose to Vancouver yesterday four
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: to one. That is an ugly loss. But they're on
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: a back to back and they do have to face
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: New Jersey after this, after they have this single road
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: game against Buffalo, So I don't know if it's really
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: a bounced back spot, even though yeah, that was an
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: ugly loss yesterday, but on the back to back, I
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: don't know how the Islanders really respond to it. Buffalo.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: They are coming into this of a nice win over Philadelphia,
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: staying at home. That was a return home spot too,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: and they still beat Philadelphia. They also play New Jersey next,
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: but it's tomorrow. This game is hard to read, man,
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: because I couldn't see Buffalo maybe losing this wind streak
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: here as well. Buffalo did just beat Vancouver in Vancouver,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: so people might see that, oh Buffalo just one at
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: Vancouver and Vancouver just one at the Islanders. So obviously
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is gonna beat the Islanders at home, right, So
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: there might be that like transitive thing kind of getting
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: in the way here. The money is all over Buffalo here.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know what happened here. Maybe there's like a
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: goaltending switch. I don't know what's going on. Is there
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: like an injury, like a goaltending injury for the Islanders.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is up for minus one forty to minus one
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: eighty two. That price shocks me. It makes no sense.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: Fifty eight percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: cash on Buffalo. But I think people are also gonna
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: look at that and think that that line makes no sense, Like,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: how could this team that's like less than a five
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: hundred team if you include the overtime losses, how could
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: they be favored by that much over a team and
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: has a way better record. It's weird. Buffalo is pretty
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: good at home though, ten to five and two at home,
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: that's something that's gone under the raidar. The Buffalo is
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: definitely better at home. Yeah, I agree. The line is
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: sort of telling you what you should like, what you
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: need to know, telling you the Buffalo is kind of
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: the right side here, But you're laying a huge price
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: with them if you want to do that. I mean,
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: I guess I won't disagree with Buffalo, but man, that
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: is a huge price. Let's go to some best bets here,
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: all right, we're gonna get hockey done. We're flying through it.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: As I told you, you know what my first play is.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: We're gonna split the bet on the Saint Louis Blues,
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: partially on the plus one and a half puck line
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: at minus one sixty and partially on the money line
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: at plus one fifty eight. I did the calculation here
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: if you can see it on the johnny Ma Baseball
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: run line calculator. It's the same thing though, Like basically,
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: you just wanna have it do the math for you
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: to figure out the amount that you risk on the
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: Actually I think you've oh no, no, no, yeah, the amount
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: that you risk on the negative side of the money line,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: which in this case is the the puck line part
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: of it, should be the same that you're risking to
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: win on the other side of it, on the plus
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: money side of it, which in this case is the
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: money line, if that makes sense. So if it lands
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: on one, you're gonna push, You're gonna push the bet.
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're doing here. I know it's a
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: little bit risk averse. It's a minus one oh one
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: effective line there that you create on your own plus
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: one puck line. That's what we're doing here on this one. Yeah,
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: the spot is just awful for Florida. Dude. Yes, sab
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: pointed out Saint Louis is playing a third game in
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: four days. I'm not very concerned by that. Because the
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: first two games are at home and now they're starting
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: a road trip. And you know, I talk about that
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: when you start a road trip, usually your focus. You
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: want to get the road trip off on the right foot.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, all in
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: different cities, with all that travel, it might be worse,
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: but starting a road trip I like it, Especially coming
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: off a loss at home. I think that's a positive
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: spot for a team. Just get out of home when
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: you're losing. Usually your focused to start a road trip,
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be focused on the return the back to back,
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: returning champs here. So Florida, I mean the spot that
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: Florida is in is terrible in my opinion. They're on
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: a back to back, so you want to talk about
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: not being rested. They literally played yesterday and they beat
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: Carolina in a shootout yesterday. So this Florida team this
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: recent stretch of games, they lost to Colorado on the road,
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: they beat Dallas on the road in a shutout, beat
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay on the road, coming back to Florida in
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: the return home spot. They still won against the Kings
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: and beat us and then they beat Carolina yesterday, so
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: they're through all that, and now they face Saint Louis
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: with no rest, so they're probably gonna have Tarsov.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: And Net again for this one.
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: And by the way, their last loss was with him
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: in net that lost to Colorado. I know it was
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: Colorado on the road, but still Babrovsky is the better
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: of the goalies. And Florida has Carolina again next, and
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: then Tampa Bay, Washington, Montreal. All of these games are
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: bigger than that. And then they have a neutral side.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: I think it's.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: The the whatever it's called the Winter Classic, I think
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: is what they're in against New York against the Rangers,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: so that's a big deal too, and then they play Colorado,
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: so every one of these upcoming games is bigger. I
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna completely overlook Saint Louis here.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: I love this one. This is better than my other play.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: In my opinion.
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: We're on Saint Louis. The money is agreeing with this.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: Florida down minus one eighty and it minus one seventy nine,
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the tickets on Florida, seventy two
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Saint Louis Blues. We
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: are on the Blues. Hopefully we don't get the Blues.
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: The Blues have been up and down for us this year. Yeah,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: we were. I think we started out four and two
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: with the Blues, but now we're four and four playing
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: on them. They're the team that I've played the most
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: this year. But hopefully they get it done for us
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: this time. All right, Vancouver at my Boston Bruins. Vancouver
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: off a nice win over the Islanders yesterday, so they're
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: on a back to back. Not the greatest spot here
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: for them. I mean it's not that much travel from
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: New York to Boston, but still they're still doing that,
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: although they've been in the New York area since last Sunday,
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: but still, I don't know if I love the spot here.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: Man on the back to back, they'll probably have lankn
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: and in Net they did not do well. He's the
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: last four games that he started, they've lost all four,
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: actually five six, yeah, six games in a row that
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: he started. At Vancouver's loss, that's not a great sign
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: if he's gonna be in here. I'm assuming he is.
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: Because it's the back to back and Demco played yesterday.
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: Bruins probably will have Actually, I don't know if they'll
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: have Corpus Salo and Net they use swam in three
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: games in a row, so I'm guessing it will be
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: Corpas Salo here. So I worry about the Bruins because
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: they might be focused on Ottawa next. Although they are
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: staying at home, they probably want to go two and
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: one on this home stand rather than one and two.
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: They had the day off yesterday after losing to Edmonton,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: so overall, I think the spot is a little bit
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: better for the Bruins. The money disagrees with me on
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: that they're up for minus one fifty four to minus
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: one fifty five, sixty four percent of tickets on them,
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash on Vancouver. I don't
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: fully agree on that one, though, slightly into the Bruins,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: but Nobelias, I mean, you know, I'm Bruins fan, obviously,
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: but that's just my read on the game. It's not
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: a strong one at all. Pittsburgh at Montreal. Pittsburgh coming
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: up that shut out loss to Ottawa.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: They're on a.
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: Huge skits seven game skid, four of those losses in overtime, though,
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: so I think we might be at a point where
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: now the recent performance for Pittsburgh is worse than they
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: actually are, even though I thought they were way overrated
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: when they were fourteen.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: Seven and five. They haven't won since.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: They made the goalie swap, but this might be the
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: game where they do get a win coming off a
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: shutout loss. For it to nothing like that, that's ugly.
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: I expect they bounce back. It's probably Skinner in net
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: again here for them because he didn't play in the
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: last game. I don't know if that's good because I
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: don't think Skinner is that good. Montreal is coming up
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: blowing out Chicago, staying at home. Yeah, I think the
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: spot just sets up a bit better for Pittsburgh here.
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: So not a strong opinion really, but just based on
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: what the teams look like recently, I think there might
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: be some value on Pittsburgh. Montreal has already dropped for
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty minus one thirty five on the money line.
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: Money is agreeing with Pittsburgh in this one seventy six
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on Pittsburgh.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: I agree obviously one of plays. What was your other play?
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: Sob I forget you had? What did you have again?
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: You had Tampa Bay? I know you had, Oh, Calgary.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: I haven't talked about that one yet. Yeah, Tampa Bay,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: I agree with you on this one. It's not one
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: of my plays. But of course, as I already mentioned,
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: since Florida is in a back to back, well so
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: is Carolina. Carolina just played in Florida, lost in a shootout,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: big game, tough game, and they lost a five game
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: win streak where four of their last five games have
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: gone to shootouts. So they've been through kind of a
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: gauntlet here man. And yeah, they're traveling, you know, across
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: the state of Florida here, But after losing a win
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: streak like that, sometimes that angs you over. That was
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: a big game yesterday against Florida. My hesitation would be
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: that I think if they can, they're still going to
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: try to get up for this game because it is
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: against Tampa Bay. They're a good team. But yeah, I
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: think the fatigue factor might be a bit much for
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: Carolina here. Vassilevsky returned for Tampa Bay and their last
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: game and they lost two to one, although I don't
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: think he was bad in the game at all. They're
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: on a three game skid. They're gonna try to get
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: a win at home here. People are gonna also see
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: that Tampa just lost to Florida more ugly back on Monday,
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: so public might maybe side with Carolina for that reason.
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: But yeah, it looks like kind of a bounce backspot
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: for Tampa.
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: Guessing Vasilevski will play again here because he was off
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: for so long with that injury. But he is back,
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be looking to break that lost stren So, yes,
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: I agree with Tampa Bay in this game. Not on
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: my card, but yes, I agree with it. They're out
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: for minus one ten to minus one, nineteen fifty five
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, ninety two percent of the cash
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: on Tampa, so the money also agrees Toronto at Nashville,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: all right, let me see. Yeah, Toronto's coming off that
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: uh four nothing loss at Washington. That's a tough game, though,
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: I know it's a bad loss four to nothing, but
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: you step up your game to play Washington. And now
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: they get this still ugly Nashville team, the Sex Offenders,
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: and then they have to play Dallas on the road tomorrow.
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: So there are some sandwich aspects to this spot here,
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: man that I don't like for Toronto. For Nashville, Yeah,
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: they're starting to play a little bit better. They did
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: just lose at home to Carolina, so they're also coming
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: off a pretty ugly loss four to one, but they
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: have two days off and they're staying at home. So
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: I think this spot does set up better for Nashville here.
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: So that is the way that I would lean in
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: that game Nashville Toronto. It looks like the money agrees
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: on that one. Toronto down for minus one twenty to
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: minus one oh nine, seventy five percent of the tickets
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: and ninety seven percent of the cash on Nashville in
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: that game Vegas at Calgary. This is SOB's other game
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: on Calgary here. Toronto scored seven against Nashville or this year.
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: You might be right about that. I don't know.
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: I can't even keep it straight.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: Man. Did they let me see that should be in here?
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 3: Right? No?
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: I guess it's not.
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: Let me see, is that right? Yeah? Seven to four?
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: Back in October they beat them in Toronto seven to four.
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that matters much though, I mean,
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: teams probably aren't really gonna remember like something that you
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: know that happened in October when it's.
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: Two teams that just don't care that much about each other.
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: All right, Vegas at Colorado SAB likes Colorado or Vegas
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: at Calgary. Excuse me, definitely a difference between Colorado Calgary,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: SAB likes Calgary. Here Vegas, they just lost in a
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: shootout to New Jersey in the return home spot, and
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: now they start another road trip now. In a way,
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: I actually think it's kind of a positive for Vegas though,
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: to start a road trip here, because when a team
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: loses at home and has a couple of days off,
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: that can break the losing momentum. Starting a road trip
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: usually you are focused. But I think Sab is right
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: that on this road trip, the bigger game is the
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: fact that they have to play Edmonton tomorrow. So there
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: are definitely some Sandwich aspects of this where they just
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: played a big game against New Jersey, lost in a shootout.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: Four of their last five games and five of their
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: last seven have all gone to overtime or shootout. So yeah,
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: that's that is pretty difficult. Yeah, we won on New Jersey,
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: by the way, in that game against Vegas, because that
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: was that single game homestand returning over from a road
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: trip wedged in between two road trips. The road trips
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: Sandwich you know, I like to fade teams in that spot.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: Now for Calgary here, Oh, I already have brought them up. Calgary.
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: They just beat Seattle. They're staying at home. I agree
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: the spot is better for them. They don't play again
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: until they play Edmondson on Tuesday. So yeah, I'm not
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: gonna disagree. The spot does set up better for Calgary here,
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: not on my card, but yes, I agree with it.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: Vegas up for minus one twenty two to minus one
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: twenty seven. The money agrees as well. Fifty nine percent
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: of the tickets are on Vegas, eighty one percent of
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: the cash on Calgary. So yes, I agree. Vegas has
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: beating the Flames twice already in six to one. Yeah,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: but again, I mean I think the more recent that
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: it was, the more that it matters. Like, I think
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: you might be putting too much stock in revenge. Although yes,
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: they did beat New Jersey. Oh no, we're talking about Calgary.
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? Yeah? Calgary. When's the last time
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: they Yeah, that was early in the season. So I
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: don't know if I'm gonna put much weight into that, Like,
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they're really gonna remember something that
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: happened in October. Like I just completely ignore that. Like
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: I think revenge is definitely overvalue. You do not want
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: to overvalue revenge here, man, although I agree with Calgary
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: in this one, but revenge. The things that matter the
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: most are playoff revenge. The team that ended your season
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: the first time you play them the next time that
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: is huge, That is a big thing. And then the
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: recent revenge is kind of thing. But it's more because
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: it's a zigzag factor, which I did kind of use
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: that in the Alabama game last night, where it's more
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: that like the team that didn't do as well will
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: make the adjustments in the next game, and the team
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: that played well doesn't have the adjustments to make you
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, there's nothing to fix. You can't
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: fix anything, you know what I'm saying. So that's more
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: of what it is. The Oilers eliminated Vegas, Yeah, so
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: when are they playing each other? Well, the oil They've
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: already played this year though, right, I don't know if
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: I brought that up the first time I played this
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: year or whatever. Vegas should have won that game, all right,
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: I'll take I'll still take a win when I get it, though, Yeah,
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: I mean I agree. I think Calgary is the right side.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: I agree with SOB in this one. It's not on
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: my It's not on my car though. Yeah, the Oilers
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: are playing tomorrow against Vegas. But the question is have
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: they played already this year? Because if they have, then
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: I think it doesn't mean as much. Or the question
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: is have they beaten them? No, you're right, they haven't
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: played yet. So yes, all right, you're right, so correct.
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: So that is a that would be a playoff revenge spot.
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: Then you're correct about so that makes the look ahead bigger.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: I mean I already thought it was a look ahead
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: for sure, but yeah, you're right, so correct, So that
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: makes that look ahead a little bit bigger. Yes, correct,
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: it is a playoff revenge scenario. All right, let's finish
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: this off. We have Columbus at Anaheim this one. Columbus
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: just beat Anaheim and that was a win for US,
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: I believe on Tuesday, with Columbus getting the job done
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: for US in overtime and then they lost right away
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: to Minnesota. But now they're going out on the road.
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: You know, I like that when a team is losing
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: at home. Horrible home stand for Columbus, even though they
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: got one win in there. One of the best things
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: you can do is just forget about that and go
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: on the road. I know they did just beat Anaheim,
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: but I expect Columbus will show up for this one
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: decent spot for them to focus on the first game
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: of the road trip. Whereas for Anaheim, I question it
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: because they're on a back to back. They played yesterday,
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: but they got annihilated by Dallas eight to three. I
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: liked Dallas yesterday. It was the return home spot for Anaheim,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: but I didn't expect an eight to three win for Dallas,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: so my leen was correct in that game. But still,
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: holy crap. Uh So now Anaheim's off of that, So
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: I could see it going both ways here, like Anaheim
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: might be embarrassed and actually show up for this game
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: and because the game before that they did lose to
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: this Columbus team. But again, it's a tough spot because
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: it's a back to back. But I do talk about
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: how when a team does really bad in the first
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: game back home, they get settled back in at home
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they will do better in the
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: next game. So I do kind of worry about that
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: a little bit. And for Columbus, Remember they are having
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: to travel to the Pacific coast for the first game
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: of this road trip and start a late night game,
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: so you know, I worry about that a little bit.
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I'll lean to Columbus slightly here, but this one,
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: I really don't love Anaheim down for minus one twenty
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: to minus one oh nine sixty seven percent of the
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: tickets and seventy seven percent of the cash on Columbus.
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: But again, I don't really think Columbus is a public
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: side here.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: I think it's just more.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: That that these are just it's just professional money pretty
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: much hitting the NHL board here. The public are gonna
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: be playing the football games today, man, and maybe NBA,
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna be playing hockey today for the most part. Correct,
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: first time since the playoffs. You're correct about that. Duck's
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: playing a seventh game in twelve days. Yeah, that makes
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: it worse as well, correct. Yeah, the rapid revenge, yes, correct, exactly,
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: and they're off Yeah, an embarrassing loss at home. Yeah,
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: so I'm staying off of that one. So you know,
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: that means my last play in hockey is Seattle. We're
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be on the crack and hopefully it does get
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: cracking here. Man.
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: The money's disagreeing with me right now.
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: With San Jose down for minus one fifteen to minus
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: one fourteen, but seventy eight percent of tickets ninety five
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them for now. But we'll
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: see if the money comes my way as the day
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: goes on, because this game isn't until ten pm Eastern.
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: So Seattle, I think they're in a fine spot to
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: bounce back.
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: I mean they better.
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: I mean they've lost so many games recently, it's ridiculous. Yeah,
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: they're an ass team, but and they had lost a
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: decord for a while.
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: I believe though he is back.
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: But my guy from the Boston area, they've lost ten
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: of their last eleven games.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: Man, So nobody's gonna watch Seattle here.
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: But the oddsmakers are telling you something with the fact
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: that San Jose doesn't even get full home ice on
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: the line here, the oddsmakers are telling you San Jose
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: is still so bad that Seattle's actually the better team.
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: San Jose is pretty good at home at ten six
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: and three, so I worry about that a little bit.
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: Seattle not great on the road five seven and three.
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna look at the spot here man, And
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: that's really what it's all about here. I know, I
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: faded the Knicks yesterday when they were really good at home,
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: so they only that was only their second home loss
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: of the season. Now Seattle, I mean, they were coming
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: off playing fairly tough against Colorado, so that loss on Thursday,
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: you know, maybe they were a bit hungover ugly loss
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: against Calgary. I expect them to show up in this
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: game against San Jose. Man try to get a win
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: on the road trip here for San Jose, we're fading
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: them because the spot is bad for San Jose. They
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: just lost a three game win streak. They lost to
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: Dallas and this game was close. They're within one goal
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: late in the game. The fifth goal for Dallas in
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: that game was an empty net goal. That game was
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: four to three for a long time late in the game.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: So San Jose they played pretty well. They actually outstated
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: Dallas in some of the ways in that game.
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: So that was a close game.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: That was a tough game for San Jose and they
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: lost a win streak on it. Now they play Seattle,
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: and up next they got to play Vegas, which is
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: a much bigger game.
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: I think, a bigger opponent starting a road trip.
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: So basically, this is a sandwich spot here that San
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: Jose is in. That's what we're gonna do. We're gonna
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: fade at San Jose with Yeah. Then that's the last
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: game of the board with Seattle. Yes, so that is
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: that one more play to go. I think I have
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: one NBA play. Yeah, the line does look a little
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: bit fishy there in that one. Yeah, cracking one out
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: of their last ten correct, and they're basically a pick
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: the winner against the Sharks, who have a decent looking record.
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say the.
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: Sharks are actually good. The odsbegers are telling you otherwise,
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: and I've been saying that all season that they're not
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: actually as good as their record looks.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: All right, NBA, let's try to get through it.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: Man. Houston is at Denver. We have like ten NBA
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: games today, is way more than they're usually on Saturday. Now,
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: this is a this is a quick I don't know
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: if you want to call it a zig zag, because
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: these teams played really close at Denver, so it's the
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: same location. Back on Monday, that was a loss for
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: us on the show, Houston got kind of screwed over
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: with that bad foul call, which is why they lost
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: the game, why the game went into overtime. I'm not
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: happy about that. So now Houston's lost twice to Denver,
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: I expect them to show up again here. Man. Houston
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: just in the sandwich on Thursday. We got the win
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: on the New Orleans Pelicans. There outright win for the
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: Pelicans in that one. Houston was in the Denver sandwich.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: But it's still gonna be a bit difficult, I think
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: for Houston have to travel now back into elevation here,
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: so I can't really do it, man, I can't get
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: there with Houston. I liked it in the first matchup
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: between the two, don't really love it as much here now.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be a huge game for both teams. Really, Denver,
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: the spot is kind of easier for them because they're
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: just staying at home after they played Houston. They beat Orlando.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: Didn't start out well against Orlando, but then beat them.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: Now they're staying at home, so I kind of like
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: this less. And the line is actually more towards Houston
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: in this game because I think of the zig zag effect,
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: Houston was gonna be a plus one and a half dog,
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: which is what they were when we played them two
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: games ago. Now they're actually a one point favorite in
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: this game. So I don't think there's that much line
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: value really on the Rockets. Hero though, it is interesting
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers. They're telling you the Rockets are actually the
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: better team here, even though they're zero to two against
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: the Nuggets this season. Sixty eight percent take it, sixty
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on Houston, man, I mean,
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't even know if I agree with it.
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: I just think the spot looks a little bit easier
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: for Denver. I mean, Houston is going to be motivated,
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: but having to do that travel whatever, and Houston is
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: off that really ugly loss. Denver's win over Orlando was
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: a better win, So I don't know. I can see
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: arguments both ways here. I really don't like this game.
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: And this is the NBA TV game at five pm Eastern,
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: by the way, so it's a little bit earlier. Keep
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: that in mind. But I'm not touching this game. And yeah,
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: I don't think there are any injuries either really, so
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: there's no real reason for that line move, Like, no
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: huge injuries coming in here, except well, we know Aaron
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: Gordon's already been out for Denver, so no injury from
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: like between last game and this game. Dallas is at Philadelphia. Now,
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of spots today where I'm like,
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: I want to fade this team, but they're up against
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: another team that I want to fade. So that that's
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: what's going on in the NBA today. They're like, I
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: think at least two games where both teams involved are
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: in a fade spot so I just can't do it, man,
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: And this is one of them. Dallas just beat Detroit
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: in overtime, so you got to think, well, they're gonna
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot. Off for that. That was
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: a huge win. But they are starting a road trip
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: and if they're gonna focus on one game on the
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: road trip between Philadelphia and New Orleans, it's gonna be Philadelphia.
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're not gonna pay attention to New Orleans here,
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: and of course we know Philadelphia they got to be
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot too.
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: And they're on a back to back and coming back home.
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: I know it's only from New York to Philly, not
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: a big deal, but they've been on the road since
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: last Sunday. Actually, they went to Atlanta and then New York.
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they were Maybe they went home
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: and then went to New York. I'm not sure. But
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: they beat the Knicks yesterday. That was our only play
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: in the NBA yesterday. Huge win for Philadelphia. They're over
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: the Knicks. Man. So both teams here are in letdown spots.
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: So the only thing I.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: Do is just leave the game alone. When you see
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: spots like that, I tend to lean over. But the
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: money's coming in in the under in this game, So
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: do with all that.
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: What you want.
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the Sixers, sixty tickets, eighty
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash coming in on the Sixers.
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: They're a three point favorite here. I mean the travels
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: spot is kind of better for them because they're only
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: returning from New York. So I guess you could make
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: that argument the MAVs are having to travel further. It's
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: a difficult one, man. For what it's worth, the market
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: read for now is saying the Sixers, even though they
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: are on the back to back. But you know these
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: NBA teams that kind of counter the back to backs
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: by resting guys. But that means you might get a
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia team. It doesn't have their full line not be
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: ei there, so I don't know embiid is a game
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: time decision yet again, Uber is still not back, so
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: we'll see. And then a lot of injury report stuff
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: going on. You gotta look at what's going on with
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: the injury report too. You got game time decision for
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: ad and Klay Thompson for Dallas as well, So a
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: lot going on in that one. My Boston Celtics are
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: at Toronto. The Celtics are on a back to back
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: and they're having to travel from Boston up to Toronto. Now,
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: they did have a lot of rest prior yesterday's game.
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: I was right about the Celtics winning and covering yesterday,
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: But the Celtics had a ridiculous fourth quarter.
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 2: In that game.
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: Like that game was close going into the fourth quarter
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: and the Celtics hit a franchise record ten three pointers
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. That's insane. Ten threes in the
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter made by the Celtics in that game to
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: get the cover against Miami. That's crazy.
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 2: There's gonna be.
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: Some regression after that. The Celtics did just win the
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: last time they were at Toronto. They're on a back
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: to back, having to travel up there, I think you
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: gotta look to the Toronto side, and this one Toronto,
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: they're returning home. They've had a day off. It was
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: only a two game road trip though to Miami in Milwaukee. Technically,
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: yet's return home spot where maybe you get distracted. And yes,
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: they do go right back out on the road again tomorrow,
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: so it is one of those spots where you have
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: to get stuff done at home really fast because you
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: gotta go right back out on the road. But I
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: just I don't know. I don't see them overlooking the
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: Celtics here. I gotta lean towards the Raptors here. The
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: money is saying otherwise, seventy four percent of tickets, sixty
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on the Raptors. The Celtics
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: are down from two and a half to one and
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: a half. So I don't know. The Celtics look like
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: an anti public road favorite here though, so a lot
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: of that has to do with just the number though,
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: so it is very interesting that the Celtics, who have
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: one fewer win than Toronto, are a road favorite against Toronto.
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: So the oddspeakers are telling you the Celtics are actually
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: the better team. But again, I consider the spot a
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: lot more than most people doing. I think that's how
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: you find an edge by looking at the spot, because
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: I think you can't really quantify it into the line.
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: So I kind of disagree with the market in that one.
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: Indiana at New Orleans, Indiana. They're coming off that big
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: game against the Knicks where they fell just short, got
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: their playoff revenge. But that was a big game for Indiana. Man.
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: Now they start a road trip, and yeah, sometimes when
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: you start a road trip, it's good to just get
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: on home and focus on the road trip. But you
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna be focused more on the next game
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: of this road trip, which is against the Boston Celtics.
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: So this does look a pretty big sandwich spot here.
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: So you go, okay, well then you want to play
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: the Pelicans here, right, Well, no, because the Pelicans, yeah,
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: they're playing better, they're on a three game win streak,
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: but they just pull off that huge overtime upset that
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: win for us that I mentioned against Houston. That was
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: a huge win for New Orleans. So I think they're
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: gonna letdown spot here too. So again, this is another
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: one of those games where the two teams that I
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: want to fade or playing each other, So I'm just
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: gonna pass. For some reason, the Pelicans are down from
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: four to two here, and I looked at the injury
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: report and there wasn't really anything that I saw that
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: would indicate that that line move should have happened.
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: So I don't get what's going on with that.
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: Pacers are a public road underdog here though seventy nine
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: percent tickets sixty eight perc under the couch on the Pacers.
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: Public does not want anything to do with the Pelicans still,
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: so I probably would still lean to the Pelicans. I
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: think that sandwich spot plus the travel makes the spot
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: worse for the Pacers here. But yeah, I mean it
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: looks like an anti public play to lay it with
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: the Pelicans.
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: Maybe they win four in a row, man, that would
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 2: be crazy.
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: Charlotte at Detroit, Charlotte, they're coming into this off of
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: two nice wins and upset win over Cleveland, and then
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: they came out of that with multiple days rest and
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: they beat Atlanta as well, a couple of big wins here.
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: Now they're going to.
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: Detroit, They're gonna be focused, but it's like, how many
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: games could Charlotte really put in a big effort like
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: this all in a row, you know what I mean,
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: Like at some point I think it kind of runs
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: out for them, just the fatigue factor comes into play here.
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: Detroit is coming off that pretty ugly loss to Dallas.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: They were coming off a big win at Boston, so
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: they were kind of in a letdown spot. They got
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: caught at Dallas. They're returning home here, but they've only
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: been away for those two games since Monday, so it's
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: not really one of those true road trip return spots here.
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: So I kind of lean towards the Pistons and this one.
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: The money is saying otherwise though. They're rough from nine
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: and a half to ten and a half, ninety percent
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and only eighty nine percent of the
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: catch on them. Obviously, they're the public side. I think
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: they might get the job done in that one though,
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: and bounce back. But we're gonna stay away this next game. Unfortunately,
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: this is my play in.
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: The NBA, and this is the last play that I
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: have today.
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately, we're gonna be on the Washington Wizards again plus
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: thirteen against Memphis. Memphis.
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're easier to fathe than San Antonio.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: At least Washington we had them in their last game
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: and they got blown out again at San Antonio. So
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: what are we gonna do. Yeah, we're gonna go with
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 1: them to try to go too and one on this
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: road trip here. They're not going to but at least
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: maybe they could try to hang in this game against
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: a Memphis team. It's really just been chaotic this year.
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: Man memph they're without John Morant again. I think they're
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: still without Zach Edy. And by the way, for Memphis here,
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: John Morant missed the last game, so they were in
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: the injured player spot in their last game and they
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: actually won the game at Minnesota. So now they're returning
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: home from a road trouble. Though it's only a two
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: game road trip that they've been on since Monday. But
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: they went to LA and they beat the Clippers. They
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: had to go all the way to the Pacific Coast,
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: went to Minnesota, pulled off that big upset in the
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: first game. Now without John Morant again, and I know
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: I talk about how they're better tech like sometimes without
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: Morant because he's bad for chemistry, but they do fall
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: into that situation now where they're in a letdown spot
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: and they're in the second game without their star player
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: again though, so sometimes the team takes a step back.
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: I know.
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: Look who Minnesota plays next? Yeah, the Oklahoma City Thunderers.
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: Who they play next? Man, They've already played them once
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: and lost, and that's playoff revenge I believe is still
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: intact for them. So that's a case, right. I think
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 1: it does matter because okay, see actually knocked Memphis out
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: of the playoffs last year, I'm pretty sure. And Memphis
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: has only played them once this year and loss, so
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: that's still a factor there. This is a pretty major
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot here, man, plus the second game with the
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: injured player theory going on. Let me just make sure
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: that Edie is not back, but I'm still gonna do
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: this either way. Yeah, Miranda is out. Edie's not even
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: listed on the depth shot right now, so he is out.
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: Actually he was.
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 2: He was listed way down to the bottom right corner.
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 2: He's out.
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna play Washington in this one, man. Yeah,
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: and that's about it. Oh, well, market, Reid, I think
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: the market does agree on this one. Memphis is up
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: to a thirteen point favorite, ninety one percent of tickets,
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: only eighty six percent of the cash on them no
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: idea why the line moved up because Morant is still out.
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 2: So I have no idea what's going on there.
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: But even I mean if he plays, which I don't
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: think he is, but even if he plays, I'm still
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: going with it with the spot here, you get even
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: more points with the Wizards. If so, we're going at
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: Wizard's plus the points. That's the only play. Zach Eadie
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: is the NEF for a miss. That is correct.
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 2: All right, Let's see if I can get this done.
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: Man. Phoenix at Golden State. This is a little bit
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: of a zig zag because Phoenix did just beat Golden
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: State at home. That was a close line. I think
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: Golden State was maybe a one point favorite there. I
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: thought Golden State would win the game.
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 2: They didn't.
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: So now it might be Golden State does fix some
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: things and they zigzag from that, because that's what the
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: zigzag is all about. But I mean, you got to
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: pay attention to all the injury situation that's going on
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: here to Although I think both star players are back
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: though I think Curry and Booker I think both already
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: played in that previous game, and I think they are
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: playing tonight as well, So I think there's no real
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: issue there as far as that's concerned. I think really
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: the top players, I think you're pretty much intact for
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: both teams here, so I think we don't really have
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: to worry about that in this game. So it does
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: kind of come down to more of a pure handicap here.
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: Warriors are down from six and a half to six
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: on the line though to ticket seventy two percent of
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: the cash and the Warriors, so the money is fading
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: the Warriors in this one, and thinking that Phoenix is
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: gonna show up again, and I I mean I would
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: slightly lean towards Golden State because I do think they're
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: gonna fix some things and do better this time. They
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: are turning over from a road trip, but it was
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: only a two game road trip, so not really a
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: huge road trip or turn. I think they will be
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: focused because this Phoenix team just beat them. But then again,
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: Golden State can win and not win by margin. This
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: line does like a little bit high, maybe over adjusted
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: to the fact that Golden State lost in the last game.
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: I think the line should probably be closer to about
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: five here, but we will see what happens here. Man.
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 1: I mean I slightly lean against the market and that
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: one towards the Warriors, but definitely not touching it. Orlando
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: at Utah. This is another one of those ones where
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: I was like, maybe I want to favor Orlando because
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: they just had a couple of big games. They got
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: bounced from the semifinals of the NBA Cup. Then they
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: had to go to Denver, although it was with five
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: days off, four days off, they played really well in
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: the first half against Denver and they were still kind
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: of hanging around in that game, and then they fell short.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: Now they have to play a second game in elevation
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: against Utah. They have a bigger opponent next in Golden State,
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: so it does kind of look like a sandwich here.
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: Problem is Utah just had a really good performance against
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, and they just hung in that game against
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: the Lakers that whole time, so they could be in
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: a bit of a hangover spot here. They played Denver
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: next as well, so both teams are in bad spots
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: here as far as I can tell Orlando, you gotta
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: look at the injury situation for them because a lot
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: of their guys have been out. Looks like Wagner is
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: still out here. Suggs is what is DD is that
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 1: day to day. I don't even know, but you got
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: to pay attention to are those guys coming back or not?
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: And if you get a reverse injured player spot in
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: here for Orlando, maybe it makes sense to fade them
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: even more. But in this game overall, the money is
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: coming in towards the Jazz. Magic are seven point road
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: favorite here, seven and a half point road favorite, fifty
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: six percent tickets on the Magic, seventy nine percent of
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: the couch on the Jazz. I'll agree with the market
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: in that one, but I don't love it. I don't
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: want to play the Jazz off that huge performance. Then
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: we have Portland at Sacramento. This is also a zig
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: zag kind of where Portland just beat Sacramento at home.
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: But Portland was a decent favorite in that one, so
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: they almost lost as a big favorite, So you could
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: argue that maybe Portland will actually be the team that
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: plays better here now going out on the road to
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: face Sacramento. Sacramentos are turning from a two game road trip,
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: so not really a huge issue there. S Bonus is
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: still not back. The money is saying the Kings here though,
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: Blazers up from four to four and a half eighty
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the tickets only seventy eight percent of
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. I'll agree with taking the points there,
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: but again I don't love it. Maybe Sacramento does fix
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: some things and play better at this time, although they
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: actually played pretty well, only losing the game in overtime
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: the last seme But Portland does play Detroit next, so
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: there is maybe a little bit of a look ahead
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: component to that. And then we have the Battle of La,
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 1: which is technically at the Clippers Arena here, Lakers at Clippers.
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: Lakers coming out that close game against Utah now coming
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: down out of elevation, you think they might bounce back
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: from that, but they do have Phoenix in Houston on deck.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: Those are bigger games Clippers. They've been an absolute disaster.
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: They're coming back to LA from Oklahoma City. They lost
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 1: by double digits. Though you gotta think they will show
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: up for a game against the Lakers. Though Clippers are
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: well underperforming, they're a talent level here. But the most
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: interesting thing about this game is it looks way too
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: easy to play the Lakers. They're down to a one
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 1: point favorite here from a four point favorite. Sixty three tickets,
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the cash on the Clippers. I'm
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: not gonna disagree with the Clippers because it looks like
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: an absolute trap to play the Lakers here, But you
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: gotta keep in mind that the reason for that line
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: drop is Austin Reeves is gonna miss this game. So
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: the Lakers do have Lebron and Luca, but they they're
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: pretty shorthanded otherwise, Aighton is also hers. So Austin Reeves
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: is the main reason why this line has moved like
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: this for the Lakers dealing with a lot of injuries.
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: But then again, when you have one of those players
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: get injured like that, some times the team will be
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: more inclined.
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 2: To step up their game after that.
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: So lean to the Clippers because it looks way too
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: easy to play the Lakers. But not touching it, no
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: touch no touching all right, And then we have college football.
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: The first game up was going to be the night game,
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: but now it's moved up because the NFL is going
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 1: to be competing with college football here. The NFL starts
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: in the afternoon, so the only competitive matchup out of
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: these playoff games today, it's all college football playoff today.
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: The only competitive matchup was going to be the night
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: game primetime, but now because the NFL is there, it
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: gets an isolated noontime game in ESPN, which is number
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: ten Miami and number seven at Texas. A and M.
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: The money seems like it's fading A and M at
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 1: this point, and I do not disagree. Sixty percent of
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: the tickets, only fifty per percent of the cash on A.
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: They're down for four to three here. The line might
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: drop below three at this point. Man, it was like
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: the late money is all over Miami in this one,
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: and I kind of agree on Miami. They have the
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: more experienced quarterback with Carson Beck, so that is something
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: to look at here. They're not gonna be throwing off
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: my weather or anything like that. Even though they're gonna
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: be on the road here it's Texas. It is actually
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: gonna be raining, though I think, wait, did I hear
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: that was gonna be raining? No, maybe I'm wrong about that.
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know why I thought that it's gonna be
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: in the mid to high sixties. So obviously no issue
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: there playing in Texas. So Miami should be fine. Again,
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: they have the more experienced quarterback. Miami's defense is actually underrated,
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: I think so coming into this game, I think Miami actually,
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, Miami might actually have the better defense.
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: And the main reason why I kind of like Miami
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 1: here is that they're the only ACC team that got
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: into the playoff, and everybody's blasting the ACC like the
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: ACC sucks, you know whatever.
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 2: They had these shit teams in their conference final.
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: Whatever. People are saying Miami shouldn't be in, even I'm
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: saying that Notre Dame should be in, I'm not necessarily
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: I'm not necessarily saying Miami shouldn't be in. I think
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: they're the best team in the ACC, but I'm saying
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame should be in, and James Madison and Tulane
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 1: should not be in. I am saying that I think
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame's a top five team. But of course Miami
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: wound up getting in because they beat Notre Dame. So
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: the rankings makers flip their rankings or whatever. But that's
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: gonna put a chip on Miami's shoulder, man, because there
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: are so many people saying Miami shouldn't be here, and
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: you know that the committee wants nothing more than both
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: of those teams to win, right, Alabama and Miami. The
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 1: Committee wants them both to win so that everybody shuts
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: up about them not.
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 2: Putting Notre Dame in, you know what I mean.
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: So it wo'd be great for the committee if you
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: believe that this game is rigged for Miami to win. Here,
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: I think they might. My hesitation with it is how
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: did they finish the season and Miami finished hot, So
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't like that. This is why I
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: went part of the reason and I went against Oklahoma.
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: Just like Oklahoma, Miami finished on a four game win streak.
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: They looked really good to finish the season. When you
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: do that, you don't want to be off for that
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 1: long man. So that's one issue that I have with it,
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: is that might disrupt their momentum, Whereas for Texas A
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: and M they already lost their momentum. So I think
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: that loss actually kind of benefits Texas A and M
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit. They were undefeated until the last game
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: that they played and they lost to Texas, And normally
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: I would say, you're gonna be hung over coming into
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: the next game, But since they've had so much time
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: off that was back on November twenty eighth, I don't
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 1: think so. I think they've had a lot of time
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: off to kind of recuperate from that loss. So that's
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 1: my one hesitation with it. I lean to taking the
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: points with Miami. Hopefully you can get three to three
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 1: and a half on this. The public should be holding
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: this line up a little bit on the A and
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 1: M side. There we will see, but I leaned to
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: Miami there in that game, man, we might get cause.
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: And everybody's always, like they were saying yesterday, everybody's talking about, oh,
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: the home team in the playoffs dominated last year, but
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: I said, yeah, it was the first time that they've
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: had this playoff structure, and every home team was a
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: seven or more point favorite here, so that's why they dominated.
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 1: Now we do have Tulane and Old Miss on TNT
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: at three point thirty number eleven. Tulane won the American
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: number six Old Miss. There are some weird things going
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: on here ow And by the way, I forgot to
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 1: mention Texas A and M. I think one of their
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 1: coordinators left already. I think Texas A and M, so
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: that's kind of a weird thing. They're both head coaches
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 1: are still there though, but kind of weird that one
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: of their coordinators left. Now for Tulane and old Miss.
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: We already know. The big thing here is that Lane
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: Kiffin left for Ole Miss, So the question is going
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: to be how motivated his old Miss get for their
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: interim coach, which is their defensive coordinator, got elevated to
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 1: the head coaching roll. Golding I think is his name,
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: So he's their coach now. Lane Kiffin, I believe. I
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: think their OC actually stayed, even though I think because
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: it's Charlie Weiss junior, junior in many ways to his
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: fat father Charlie Weis, but Charlie Weis junior. I think
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 1: he is staying even though it looks like he's probably
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: gonna go to LSU with Lane Kiffin eventually, but he's
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 1: here for this game. Now. How does that affect Ole Miss? Though?
• 1:59:12
  Speaker 1: At Lane Kiffin being like, Nope, I'm not even gonna
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: coach you guys in the playoff, I don't know. It's
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 1: hard to predict. I could see them being lackluster because
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: of it, But if they like Golding, I could see
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: them showing up and wanting to play. Well, they're in
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: the playoff, man, so I mean that is obviously you're
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be motivated because you're in the fucking playoff.
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 2: You're gonna try to win, clearly.
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: But so is Tulane. And Tulane is in a spot
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: where they're basically just free rolling and everybody's saying they
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: shouldn't be here, And yeah, Tulane's coach is piecing out
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: as well, some role. He's he's gonna be the coach
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: of Florida, which is well, actually, yeah, is that right? Yeah?
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: I think I think that's right. He's gonna be the
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: coach of Florida, and Billy Napier got fired from Florida,
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: and Billy Napier, I think is going to James Madison,
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 1: now I believe is what's happening. That's all crazy, but yes,
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: excuse me for Tulane here. Yeah, I think they might
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: play with a little bit of a chip on their shoulders.
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: People are saying they shouldn't be here or whatever. I
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: don't know how they're gonna be affected by some raw leaving.
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: But he is still there. He's gonna coach them for
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: as long as they're in the playoffs. And the other
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: thing about this matchup is it's not a bad location
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 1: for Tulane because it's very close to them going to
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss and they already played there this year, although
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: they lost forty five to ten. Ole Miss blew them out.
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: But Tulane has played there once before, and it could
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: set up kind of a zigzag opportunity where maybe Tulane
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: fixes some things, you know what I mean, some things
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: that went wrong that first time. Ole Miss doesn't really
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 1: have anything to fix. And when you have a playoff
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: structure like this, you know that teams like ole Miss
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: and Oregon, they're both gonna want to get in and
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: get out without getting their players injured, you know what
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: I mean. They both know their huge favorites. They can
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 1: get in and get out of this game. All they
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: need to do is win. You don't need style points, right,
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 1: so you don't need to cover a huge number. So
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play, it would take the points
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: with Tulane. They're off from sixteen and a half to seventeen.
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: Old Miss is eighty seven percent of tickets, eighty two
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, seventy eight percent of tickets eighty
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Old Miss. But I
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 1: would lean towards Tulane in that one, and then pretty
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: much similar for James Madison, but I don't like them
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: as much even though yet their coach is also I believe, leaving,
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: so they know that Billy Napier's coming in, but their
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: coach is staying to coach this game.
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 2: I forget their coach's name.
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 1: Though Oregon, Oregon's got a legit shot to get pretty
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: far in this playoff. Man, they're like one of the
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: top four teams in college football, though this is a
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: five versus twelve here. But I don't like James Madison
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 1: as much because they're having to play a night game
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 1: on the Pacific Coast in a very unfamiliar environment. So
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 1: that's worse for James Madison. And even though they're a
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 1: good team and a balanced team, they run the football primarily,
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 1: so if they fall behind, they're not gonna be able
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 1: to catch up. So I do kind of worry about
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: all that, But I still think it might be a
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 1: situation where Oregon just kind of gets in gets out,
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like they just want to
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: just go through the motions here. Oregon, of course, did
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: finish the season on a high note, you know, so
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 1: they've had time off which might disrupt their momentum. But
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: the same thing could be said for James Madison. So
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: both teams have the same type of layoff that might
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 1: disrupt their momentum, and the same for two lay and
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: in will Miss I believe. Yeah, so all four of
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: these teams both ended the season on win streak, So
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a wash as far as the situation
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: for all these teams. But anyway, Yeah, so Oregon, they're
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: laying a lot of points here twenty one. They're public
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of tickets, eighty percent of the cash on them,
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: and a very low total down to forty five and
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: a half. So laying twenty one points with a total
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: that low, you know, I don't love that idea. So
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: if you forced me to give an opinion on this,
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the three touchdowns. With James Madison,
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: they're gonna try to slow the game down and run
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: the football. But again, I definitely have some reservations about it.
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 1: That's probably the weakest opinion. My strongest opinion out of
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 1: these three would be Miami, then Tulane, and then James Madison.
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: But I leaned to all three dogs, all right, NFL
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 1: before I get out here, I don't have a play
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 1: on these two games, but I have an opinion on both.
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: First game is at five pm on Fox, we get
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: Saturday NFL. Here, now Philadelphia at Washington. Now Philadelphia, they're
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 1: laying points on the road here. These teams actually haven't played.
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 2: Yet this year.
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 1: They played two out of the last three weeks. You
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: know that, I keep talking about if Philadelphia's offense has
• 2:03:31
  Speaker 1: been struggling and they don't cover, like, they don't win
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: by margin except for beating the Giants, and then last
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 1: week they obliterated Vegas, but Vegas was with Kenny Pickett
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 1: in the game and it was just a disaster. Vegas
• 2:03:44
  Speaker 1: basically didn't even show up and had no offense. So
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 1: Philly looks better than they actually are. It was a
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 1: nice bounce back win for them. But you know, I again, Philly,
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: they just don't really win by margin. They're having to
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: go on the road again here. They haven't been great
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: on the road this year. Really. They did have one
• 2:04:00
  Speaker 1: good win at Green Bay and I guess the one well,
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: they did win at Tampa Bay at Kansas City arly
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 1: in the season, so maybe I'm wrong, but recently they
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: haven't been as good on the road, losing to Dallas
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: and the Chargers on the road. They do a Buffalo
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 1: up next I don't know if that's really a look
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: ahead because I know this is a divisional game, but
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 1: Philly's already won the division here man, like nobody's gonna
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: catch them. So it's like, I don't know, I mean,
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: what do they have to play for now, seeding and whatever.
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, They're already gonna get a home game to
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: start the playoffs, so the reasons to show up is dwindling.
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: Let's say, and Washington. What have I talked about? When
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: a team is dead like Washington, one of the types
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: of games they're gonna get up for is a big
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: divisional matchup like this, especially when it's an isolated, isolated
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: football game like this nationally televised, which this is.
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 2: So they're gonna get up for it.
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: And Washington had just lost eight games in a row
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 1: and finally won against the Giants. So I like that
• 2:04:57
  Speaker 1: because that will boost their confidence, you know what I mean,
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 1: it'll end losing momentum for them. Finally they get a win.
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: They'll show up for a game against the Eagles. It's
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be Marcus Mariote. I think Daniels is shut down
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: for the season, which he already should have been. They
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 1: shouldn't have even tried to get him back out there, man,
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 1: because he's just gonna get wrecked. You know, his career
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: is in jeopardy. But Marcus Mariota has been good this year,
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I like Washington in that one. You're getting
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: seven to seven and a half, now even better, eighty
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets and cash on the Eagles.
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 2: They're very public.
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: Total's not that high in the mid forties. I would
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 1: only take the points with Washington, especially now that you're
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: getting a key number there, seven to seven and a half.
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: Washington's the only way I would play that one. It's
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 1: not that strong for me though. And then green Bay
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: at Chicago. People might look at this and think, oh,
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a zigzag spot, a revenge spot
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: because green Bay just beat Chicago at home. But I
• 2:05:52
  Speaker 1: don't think so, because green Bay actually didn't play that
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 1: well in that game and there's still the better team.
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: And then green Bay didn't look good last week going
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 1: to Mile High. Green Bay was winning that game by nine,
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 1: and then they turned the ball over in Denver territory.
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 1: They're about to take a three score lead, and instead
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: Denver went the other way and scored and made like
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: got right back in the game. If that one turnover
• 2:06:16
  Speaker 1: doesn't happen, green Bay probably wins that game. So now
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a loss that wasn't that great. They're
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused because the division is on the line
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: here in Chicago is ahead of green Bay right now,
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 1: so a little bit more urgency on the green Bay side,
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 1: and green Bay is gonna be an underdog here. Yes,
• 2:06:33
  Speaker 1: I know Chicago was five and one at home, but
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 1: who have they beaten at home? Cleveland, Pittsburgh, the Giants,
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: the Saints, and they did beat Dallas. They caught them
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot too, but that is not impressive
• 2:06:46
  Speaker 1: those wins at home. Man for the Bears again, the
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: Bears in face a really weak schedule. They beat Cleveland
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 1: thirty one to three last week, so they looked better
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: in the sandwich week here, and I know we took
• 2:06:56
  Speaker 1: a loss on that, but I still think Green Bay's
• 2:06:59
  Speaker 1: the bad team. Both teams are gonna show up for this.
• 2:07:02
  Speaker 1: The Bears are a dreaded public home favorite here sixty.
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say public home underdog with their favorite now,
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 1: and you could see the look aheadline here. The Eagles,
• 2:07:13
  Speaker 1: by the way, that five and a half was a
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 1: look ahead. So just based on last week's results, the
• 2:07:18
  Speaker 1: Eagles are now touchdown. So you know you're getting value
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 1: on playing Washington and playing the Packers because you can
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 1: see that the line. Before last week's games, the line
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 1: was different. The line was Packers minus three in this game,
• 2:07:31
  Speaker 1: and then last week happened and Michael Parsons got hurt.
• 2:07:35
  Speaker 2: But I don't think that really affects the line that much.
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: Man. I know he's a guy that really impacts the game.
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: He didn't really impact the game against the Bears the
• 2:07:42
  Speaker 1: last time though. I know he got hurt, but that
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 1: doesn't move the line four points. A defensive player is
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: not gonna move the line like that. So this is
• 2:07:50
  Speaker 1: all recency bias here. We're now green Bay. There were
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: gonna be a field goal favorite, another one point dog here.
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 1: I think the only way you can play this game
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: is Green Bay one percent of the tickets and fifty
• 2:08:01
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the overrated Bears. Here. Green
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: Bay has the way better defense, and that is also
• 2:08:07
  Speaker 1: the main difference here. Packers offense is mediocre, the Bears
• 2:08:11
  Speaker 1: offense is really below average too, but the big difference
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 1: is the Packers way better defensively, they're the better team.
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 1: I would play the Packers in this one, and that
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 1: is it. Man, that's gonna do it. I know I
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: felt like I rushed him. I'm trying to get this
• 2:08:26
  Speaker 1: thing out so I can get my bowl stuff intact.
• 2:08:28
  Speaker 2: Here once again, the plays college basketball.
• 2:08:31
  Speaker 1: You got NC Central plus the points, Denver plus the points,
• 2:08:34
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State minus the points, Hockey Blues split bet, make
• 2:08:39
  Speaker 1: your own plus one puck line cracking a money line,
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 1: and Washington Wizard's NBA. We're skipping football today, Sorry, but
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 1: I just don't feel strongly enough about the football. That's
• 2:08:50
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Learn to Tone on Twitter. You can
• 2:08:52
  Speaker 1: subscribe to me on there. Now learn a Tone on Instagram.
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 1: Bank subscribe to the channel here, tell everybody about it.
• 2:08:59
  Speaker 1: Cover in Yuke my other channel on YouTube. You can
• 2:09:01
  Speaker 1: check that out, the yuke stuff. We're on audio with
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 1: this show. Give me a good review on Apple Spotify.
• 2:09:07
  Speaker 1: Listen over there. Loser Cast my other show, my comedy show.
• 2:09:13
  Speaker 1: You can check that out on in YouTube. And the
• 2:09:14
  Speaker 1: Giants show should start at some point the g spot
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: but I don't know where you can not find it,
• 2:09:19
  Speaker 1: So thank you, sir. I appreciate it. I appreciate you
• 2:09:22
  Speaker 1: guys all coming back. Hopefully Jeffrey is okay. I think
• 2:09:25
  Speaker 1: he might have lost his bank roll again and now
• 2:09:27
  Speaker 1: he's not showing up again. We'll see. Hope you're out
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 1: there and you're all right. Jeffrey got to get this
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 1: video up and stuff. Peace, guys, thanks for hanging out
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 1: this morning. I'll be back tonight with the NFL show
• 2:09:37
  Speaker 1: for the Sunday Slate. I like the Sunday Slate. I'm
• 2:09:40
  Speaker 1: probably gonna have maybe three plays for the NFL tomorrow,
• 2:09:43
  Speaker 1: so that's what we're doing. I'll be back then. Peace,