Latest / UK Column Radio / Debunking Western myths about China
Transcript
- 0:38I often call you Scott in China. I think I'm going to change that
- 0:41to Austrian Scott. I quite like the sound of that
- 0:44and the lines, the lines quite nicely with the sub stack.
- 0:47None. So Austrian Scott, thank you for
- 0:51joining me in the chances again. Well, I mean, there, there are a
- 1:09lot of, there are quite a few sources out there of, of people
- 1:15inside China trying to communicate to a Western
- 1:18audience a more, let's say realistic view of China than
- 1:23what you typically get from, well, certainly Western media,
- 1:26but actually it's most of what you get on Western social media.
- 1:31We also have a Chinese language production team.
- 1:35So we actually most of our content we produce for China,
- 1:37inside China, but for the Western audience, every now and
- 1:40then we do do some of a few things.
- 1:43And I think that as with any country, China has all sorts of
- 1:48problems and some things go well and some things go less well.
- 1:52And one of our goals that we set ourselves is to try and
- 1:58interpret what's going on in China from the perspective of
- 2:01the Austrian School of Economics, which is somewhat
- 2:05known in China, but they're not very many people that are
- 2:07reporting from that perspective. And the Austrian School of
- 2:10Economics is kind of a toolbox more than anything else, helping
- 2:13you to use economics to understand what's going on.
- 2:17And we try and do that for applying to China with a focus
- 2:21on, let's say, more our focus on the economy.
- 2:23But of course, the economy is interconnected with all sorts of
- 2:26other things. But inevitably, you know, trying
- 2:29to communicate these what the reality in China to Western
- 2:34audience means that we also have to spend some time, as you often
- 2:39say, debunking myths, debunking propaganda is being spread in
- 2:44mostly Western social media, not so much the official media,
- 2:47because the official media is a little bit more careful.
- 2:49But social media, you tend to get a lot of pure propaganda.
- 2:53And I think that's, it's a delicate thing because I don't
- 2:59want to create the impression that we're just, that's our, our
- 3:01sole mission is to debunk Western propaganda and say that,
- 3:04you know, everything in China is all rosy.
- 3:05I think that's also one of the things that that you, you
- 3:08appreciate, which not many people do.
- 3:10And is that we try and we try and deliver sort of a more
- 3:13balanced view of China without, without saying it's perfect,
- 3:17without any problems. On the contrary, it has lots of
- 3:20problems. And, and that's one of the
- 3:22topics we've talked about times before.
- 3:23And that is that China is in that sense, it's really just a
- 3:26normal country. In that sense, it has some
- 3:28things that does well, some things that does less well.
- 3:31It's all those are problems. And it's not, it's not the the
- 3:37authoritarian dystopia that it's painted out to be, but there are
- 3:42some definite authoritarian tendencies there.
- 3:44It's not like that's that's all imagination either.
- 3:46So I think that's, that's the kind of balanced view that we
- 3:50try and try and transmit. However, as we both know, that's
- 3:55that view is not appreciated by very many people.
- 3:58People want to have you really all be on one side or the other.
- 4:01And it's always amazing to me that people accuse you of being
- 4:04a shill for the Chinese Communist Party because you
- 4:07actually deliver a very balanced view, which is unlike most of
- 4:10the people out there, right. And it's not really, it's not
- 4:14really the same thing when you see, when you, when you
- 4:16appreciate the the things that do go well and then at the same
- 4:20time and then see the other side as well.
- 4:23It's it's it's a puzzle to me how people don't notice it.
- 4:25But I guess it's probably because a lot of the people that
- 4:28do spend time attacking you probably do so because they are
- 4:33being paid to do so. Maybe, maybe not.
- 4:35But I get that impression. That was when I read various
- 4:38posts, which may give me the impression that people are not
- 4:42listening, they're not paying attention.
- 4:46Yeah. So that's that.
- 4:48So I mean, that's that's one of the reasons why I started read
- 4:53evaluating my views on China. I just when I stumbled across
- 4:56your stub, your sub stack a few years ago and I realized it sub
- 5:01stack. What did I say?
- 5:03It's. It's still morning.
- 5:08Yeah, not that many more, although it could be more, it
- 5:10could be fuller, but it's more. Yeah, one of the one of the
- 5:14things that caught me about reading the articles that you
- 5:18put out is that you weren't suggesting or haven't been
- 5:21suggesting that China is utopia. And you're also not suggesting
- 5:27that it's this totalitarian hellhole.
- 5:28And I mean, if you if you if you look at Western media as a
- 5:32whole, it is this totalitarian hellhole where everybody's got
- 5:35social credit scoring and you can't do anything.
- 5:38And and this is Great Wall. Well, you've sort.
- 5:42Of had the message delivered? The people that live in terror
- 5:44of the government, yes, Yeah. And the people, one of the
- 5:47favorite phrases is that people are oppressed.
- 5:50I can't remember if I told you I was at a cocktail party with
- 5:53some in the USA while back. Well, not that long actually.
- 5:56Just half a year ago. Hold on, hold on, hold on.
- 5:58Just hold on. Let's just contextualize.
- 6:01You're not actually in the US, you're living in China.
- 6:04I'm actually in China. Yes, I'm in China.
- 6:05Yeah, OK. Sorry.
- 6:06Go on. Yeah, this, this party was the
- 6:09high, high level political people.
- 6:12And, you know, I was trying to do my typical thing of trying to
- 6:17dispel some of the some of the myths.
- 6:20And I think we talked, we got to the social credit system, which
- 6:24this guy who allegedly has all these political connections,
- 6:28well informed and he completely believes the story and he he
- 6:31believes the whole thing. And then he asked me this quite
- 6:34well, I won't go to that right now, but they have to say he
- 6:38said, so do you think the Chinese people are oppressed?
- 6:43And it was a kind of a difficult question, but I'd say in, in
- 6:46many respects, certainly they feel much less oppressed than
- 6:48the people in the US. And that was like, why that was
- 6:53the question. That was that was too much for
- 6:55him. But I can understand because
- 6:57without the, without the information that you need to
- 6:59understand that then that that doesn't make sense, right?
- 7:02But certainly I would say that in general, people don't,
- 7:04Chinese people don't feel particularly oppressed.
- 7:07And that's just even that one statement is kind of a shock for
- 7:11people that read too much Western social media.
- 7:14I mean, you're in Shanghai right now and we are not using AVPN,
- 7:17so there's no Great Firewall of China.
- 7:20Well, that's not true. No, there is.
- 7:22China does block some. That's that.
- 7:24China does definitely block some sites, although they block less
- 7:27and less. They used to block most of
- 7:29western media, at least that was my impression.
- 7:32But now, except for a few of the really bad ones like the New
- 7:35York Times, the BBC, some of the main propaganda organs of the
- 7:40West, most of the, most of the media is actually open.
- 7:43So you look at, I think CNS is open even now.
- 7:46And most of the regional newspapers you can reach,
- 7:51they're a little bit less paranoid, I think about the
- 7:54propaganda. But ultimately the issue is that
- 7:56the Chinese government, and I'm quite sure of this, they just
- 8:00feel like their propaganda systems are no match for the
- 8:02Western ones. And that's also kind of a little
- 8:05bit difficult for, for a lot of Westerners to get their, their,
- 8:08their hands around or their, their head around that this idea
- 8:11that the reason they might be blocking things is not because
- 8:14they're afraid of people getting on the truth.
- 8:15It's because they're afraid that they, they won't be able to
- 8:19match the Western propaganda systems.
- 8:22And actually, I have to say, even though I don't agree with
- 8:25their approach, I think it's paternalistic and silly and, and
- 8:27self defeating in the end. But in that sense, they are
- 8:30right. Their, their propaganda systems
- 8:32are worse than the Western ones. There's just no doubt about it.
- 8:35Their propaganda organs are very clumsy and most Chinese don't, I
- 8:41can't say they don't pay very much attention, but they still
- 8:44pay a lot less attention than Westerners do to their own
- 8:46propaganda systems. They're much more, much less in
- 8:49tune with what is in the Chinese media.
- 8:52I mean, most people don't don't watch television in China.
- 8:57The newspapers have practically disappeared.
- 9:00So most people get their information completely from the
- 9:02Internet. And the government's censorship
- 9:06systems, and maybe we'll talk about this in a bit, are not
- 9:09very effective. They didn't try, they definitely
- 9:12try and censor things and, and they try and block things they
- 9:15don't, they think are make them look bad, but they're not very
- 9:17good at it. So in that sense, I, I, I know
- 9:20where they're, I understand where they're coming from, put
- 9:22it that way, which is not to, which is not to justify their,
- 9:25their decision. When somebody starts rethinking
- 9:30their views on China, I suppose the obvious starting point is
- 9:33trying to re establish what the CCP or the CPC means and what
- 9:39its relation to China actually is.
- 9:42Well, that's kind of a, it is a sensitive talk about social
- 9:45media because you'll, you can really see if people on social
- 9:48media, particularly on X, they refer to the CCP, then you can
- 9:53kind of, you can usually guess where they're getting their
- 9:56information from. Because that's not the official
- 9:59term that's used to describe the Communist Party, which is the
- 10:02Communist Party of China, CPC, not the Chinese Communist Party,
- 10:06CCP. That's a Western term.
- 10:09Not that it really makes that much difference, but it is kind
- 10:12of a hint at where they're getting information from.
- 10:14Because you have to know that there are these very well funded
- 10:19propaganda factories in the West.
- 10:21And there's particularly this 1X account called Song Ping Ank
- 10:27that produces, I'm sure they must have 20304050.
- 10:32Thus far, I think they have somewhere around 4 or 500,000
- 10:37videos that they've shared that are also basically 99% of them
- 10:43were either fake or completely twisted so that their content is
- 10:49has no relationship. Their alleged content has no
- 10:51relationship with what they're what, what is really being
- 10:53shown. So they'll show you a video and
- 10:56they'll, they'll explain it in a way that is makes no sense.
- 10:59So for example, they had a, they had a video once they were a
- 11:02couple years ago, they, they showed a video of a fence and
- 11:06they said it was to keep people out from escaping out of China.
- 11:10And they showed people on the fence.
- 11:12But actually what it was showing was the opposite.
- 11:14It's defense there is to keep people from coming into China.
- 11:18So they just turned it completely around, right?
- 11:21And then, but if you don't, if you're not used to that,
- 11:23expecting that, then they get away with it, right?
- 11:25They, they're showing you a real video, but they're giving you
- 11:28the completely inaccurate explanation of it.
- 11:32That said, I must say a number of them are completely fake,
- 11:35like a lot of the ones that refer to the social credit
- 11:38system, so-called. They're completely fake in the
- 11:41sense they're showing you from this absolute relationship with
- 11:44what what they're talking about is ultimately, this is the
- 11:46social credit system. And they might show you, for
- 11:50example, somebody's credit score on their phone for a normal
- 11:58credit score, like most countries have.
- 11:59China has them as well. And they tell this is the, this
- 12:02is the social credit. It's of course incorrect.
- 12:06But my favorite ones are the ones where they show people
- 12:08crossing the street and they say, if you jaywalk, then then
- 12:12there's the voiceover that claims this, right?
- 12:14Then, then you're, they show a picture of the, of the person on
- 12:18a big screen there. And this is persons they found
- 12:20you through the face recognition.
- 12:22And then they say you automatically get fined so on so
- 12:25much and it gets deducted from your WeChat account, which would
- 12:28be really incredibly sophisticated.
- 12:30But this is of course complete fantasy.
- 12:33But if people would know, you know, they get they, they get
- 12:35away with it, right? And the people, of course,
- 12:36anytime soon as anybody comes to China and me, do they realize
- 12:39that that stuff is not true. But if you don't know and you
- 12:42and you and you are here sort of predisposed, you have been fed
- 12:44this, this, this idea for the past 10 years that China's
- 12:49totalitarian dystopia or the government surveils everything
- 12:53and controls everything and is extremely capable of dealing
- 12:56with all this data, then you believe it, right?
- 13:00We all know it's that it's that bias.
- 13:03I believed it. It's understandable.
- 13:05I mean, you, you've had this prop, this propaganda that has
- 13:09been constantly delivered since 2008.
- 13:12That's when it started. And you know, with 2008 to now
- 13:16or 2025, it's, that's a long time for some people.
- 13:19It's all of their lifetimes, their adult lifetimes.
- 13:22They've, they've had that from the since, since they, they
- 13:24began to try and understand the world.
- 13:27They've heard that. And so if you deliver anything
- 13:29along those lines, they think, well, that's what I've heard so
- 13:31many times. It must be true.
- 13:33It's understandable, but that's the that's the that's the
- 13:36miracle of propaganda. And that's something the Chinese
- 13:38government is completely incapable of delivering that
- 13:42type of long term campaign. They just don't have that.
- 13:44They just don't have that level of sophistication or even
- 13:47perspective to deliver that type of long term type of propaganda
- 13:52plan. Not that they don't try, but
- 13:54that's way beyond their scope of what they're capable of.
- 13:59I know you've dealt with this question a number of times, but
- 14:02Scott, it keeps coming up. So let's just premise the rest
- 14:05of the conversation on this. The Communist Party of China,
- 14:08the word communist, this gets everybody every time.
- 14:11And it, it happened again with me the last few days.
- 14:14Ah, but they have the word communist.
- 14:16They're commies. Well, yeah, yeah.
- 14:17It's like it's we, as we often say, it's like you think just
- 14:20because the Democratic Party of of in the United States calls
- 14:24themselves Democratic, that they are Democrats, whatever that
- 14:28means. I mean, it's just a name, right?
- 14:31And I think that once if you compare it the situation in
- 14:34other places, you'll realize that's exactly what it is.
- 14:38North Korea also says Democratic.
- 14:41It's nice that they're democratic, right?
- 14:42In all the countries in Eastern Europe, they also call
- 14:45themselves democratic, right? So whatever that means.
- 14:48But I mean, I think on objective standards, if you were if the
- 14:52differentiations between communist organization of
- 14:56society and let's say a capitalist organization, which
- 15:00is not the exact opposites, but just for the sake of argument,
- 15:03we'll pretend it is. Well then I'd say I think it's
- 15:06one can quite objectively say that China is less, is more
- 15:10capitalist and less communist than certainly any country in
- 15:13the West by far. And that's just really in terms
- 15:18of the, the role of the state in society, which is the level of
- 15:23control that it has and the level of competition in China
- 15:27that you have in most industries is far, far more intense than in
- 15:31the West. And you also literally you have
- 15:34China accumulates much, much more capital than any any other
- 15:38Western country. It's a huge capital accumulation
- 15:41machine, which is really the, the essence of capitalism.
- 15:43People often forget that. And so despite all this falls
- 15:46and China has a lot of waste, right?
- 15:48There's a lot of bad investment out there, but at the end of the
- 15:52day, it's still the amount of capital being accumulated is
- 15:55enormous. And if you look at the sad
- 15:58situation in places like the United States, for example, if
- 16:02there's any capital being committed at all, it's not much.
- 16:05I mean, there is real investment there, but when you subtract out
- 16:09the the the replacement factor, what needs to be replaced, how
- 16:13much is on the net really going into new investment and
- 16:17productive capital in the USI guess it's probably not too
- 16:19high. OK, so let's just quickly hover
- 16:24around that for a second opening businesses doing business in
- 16:27China. Again, one of the tropes is
- 16:31everything is controlled by the by the Chinese government.
- 16:35Right. Well, actually let me that, that
- 16:37reminds me of a story that we, we just mentioned prior to this
- 16:40discussion. And that is the story of the
- 16:43Smithfield Company or when I raised that to you, it's a, it's
- 16:47a American company that specialized in the, the swine
- 16:53raising industry. And I believe in the US they
- 16:55have like an 80% of the, the, the pig production.
- 17:01And that company was bought something like 15 years ago,
- 17:06maybe not quite that. I can't remember these that it's
- 17:07something like that by a Hong Kong with a Hong Kong based
- 17:12company. That company was originally a
- 17:19state-run Chinese company back in the day 1995, but eventually
- 17:25privatized. And at the time when it when it
- 17:29acquired Smithfield and I'll get a minute to explain why how I'm
- 17:32getting this. It was actually I think
- 17:34controlled by Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs, they invested in
- 17:37it and this is about Smithfield and if they still own Smithfield
- 17:42now eventually Goldman Sachs cashed out.
- 17:44They went public in Hong Kong. Now it seems to be even the most
- 17:47part controlled by its leading managers.
- 17:49Think they have about 40% of the shares.
- 17:53But if you listen to the reporting about this company in
- 17:56the US, there's this constant discussion of how the Chinese
- 17:59own all of our farmland. They're buying up all of our
- 18:01farmland. And just recently there was
- 18:02this, there was a piece by that RFK Junior did talking about
- 18:06this and he specifically mentioned this example of
- 18:08Smithfield. He said yes.
- 18:10And they, they control 80% of the of the pig production in the
- 18:12US and they all controls land and it's owned by the Chinese,
- 18:15right? The China owned by China.
- 18:17I can't remember if he said China or if he said by the
- 18:19Chinese, but that's so typical is that all China is binded of
- 18:23China owns. It's not China.
- 18:25It's a Hong Kong listed company that partially belongs to
- 18:27BlackRock, right? It's so this is so typical.
- 18:32And then, you know, when we talk about the thing with China, is
- 18:34the topic of the discussion or anything related to China that
- 18:36this is oh, the Chinese bought or the Chinese owner or China
- 18:40owns. But no, it's just some person or
- 18:43some Chinese company. It's not the same thing as the
- 18:46government, right? I mean, maybe the government in
- 18:49some cases has some share of it, but at the end of the day, most
- 18:51companies, so most of the productive companies in China
- 18:54are privately run. The figure is roughly 20.
- 18:58No, it's roughly 75%. That's of the of the value
- 19:02adequate in China comes from privately run companies,
- 19:05including foreign investment companies.
- 19:08So 25% is comes from the state, but they're producing almost
- 19:13none of the new jobs, none of the very little of the export.
- 19:17Basically, they're, they tend to be state monopolies or very,
- 19:21very large heavy industry monoliths, like all steel, for
- 19:26example, British and steel or in the telecom industry.
- 19:28So those, yes, they're the state is heavily, heavily present, but
- 19:31they're not the ones that are driving the economy.
- 19:33And it just went, as we all know that wouldn't, that wouldn't
- 19:36work, right? It wouldn't work.
- 19:39And people, it's so funny because you see people often on
- 19:41the right in the West talking about the this talking about
- 19:44China, the danger of China and so on.
- 19:47And it seems like they, they're you'd think that they would
- 19:51understand that, that if, if things were really as they seem
- 19:55to imagine that the state were running everything, it would
- 19:58never work. It would be a disaster.
- 20:00It would be exactly what happened in China 4050 years ago
- 20:03when the whole economy collapsed.
- 20:04So yes, that that's what happened.
- 20:05The state was running everything and it was a disaster.
- 20:09And all the use of all the capital, people were starving.
- 20:12It doesn't work and everybody knows it doesn't work.
- 20:14So the funniest basis of funny thing that people imagine?
- 20:17That could possibly work. And certainly that that that
- 20:20they somehow managed to imagine that China with this this setup
- 20:24that they seem to believe in or the state runs everything,
- 20:28actually managed to dominate most of the industry in the
- 20:30world and most, most sectors of the economy in the world are
- 20:34dominated by Chinese exporters. How could that be possible?
- 20:37Is it always because they pay subsidies?
- 20:41No, you cannot. You cannot come to dominate the
- 20:43world's economy by paying tariffs and tariffs or tariffs
- 20:48or whatever. But no, you have the only way
- 20:51you can get this, by being competitive.
- 20:52You can't become the competitive by being run by the state.
- 20:55The state is absolute way beyond its scope of handling anything
- 20:59like that. Yeah, as I was saying, one of
- 21:01the triggers for me is why is China always the target of the
- 21:06Western industrial complex? Is there industrial complex or
- 21:12is there is is the the political elite the political?
- 21:16OK, yeah, politically that's good enough.
- 21:21I, I mean, I'm not, I, I'm not Privy to their conversations,
- 21:24but I would, I would, I think we can all make a guess that it's
- 21:28for good reasons in the sense that they are afraid of China as
- 21:32a competitor. I think that certainly is the
- 21:37logical explanation. And there's that, that that's a
- 21:40reasonable fear. But as Trump himself said back
- 21:46in 2016, you know, he said that we have China and the US have a
- 21:50have a bad deal. But I don't blame the Chinese
- 21:53for it. It was mutual.
- 21:55I didn't use exactly those exact words, but that's pretty much
- 21:57what it boiled down to. I mean, it was that this whole
- 22:00setup they've been running for the last 25 years with if
- 22:03China's been allowed to accumulate massive export
- 22:08surpluses and the US and and Western Europe to an extent have
- 22:12deindustrialized. That was completely agreed on a
- 22:16high level between the leadership of China and the
- 22:19West. I mean, they were both in on it.
- 22:21It could not have happened without complete collusion on
- 22:25both sides. They all had to be on in on it.
- 22:28And I don't, I don't, my personal opinion, as you
- 22:31probably recall, is that it's not a very good deal for it's
- 22:33neither a good deal for China nor for the rest of the world.
- 22:36Why should China be dominating all of these industries?
- 22:39Why can't their the play a little bit, a little bit more
- 22:42even and give companies in some other countries a chance to
- 22:46compete? I but I don't think it's you
- 22:49can, you can't blame that all in China either.
- 22:50It's really, it was both sides that were that were in on the
- 22:53steel. And where we are now, it is
- 22:55we're in a difficult situation because because of the economies
- 23:00of scale in so many industries, it is very, very difficult for
- 23:04Western companies to compete with China.
- 23:08And but we have this bizarre situation where China in so many
- 23:11areas is producing everything for the entire world.
- 23:15And it's, it can keep doing that and and in return, it's
- 23:18accumulated ever larger amounts of debt, right.
- 23:22The rest of the world owes China.
- 23:24I don't see what's in it for China.
- 23:26I think that that it would be a much better deal to may even the
- 23:31playing field a bit, not with tariffs, but just by adjusting
- 23:33the exchange rate and giving the Western companies a little bit
- 23:39better chance. But our government doesn't want
- 23:42to do that. So so there we are.
- 23:47But but you were you were alluding to the fact that the
- 23:49Chinese government is not actually all that brilliant.
- 23:52They make a lot of mistakes and bad judgement calls.
- 23:56I yeah, I'd say that's definitely one of them in my
- 23:58opinion. And because they, what they're
- 24:00doing is they're trying to, they're trying to harken back to
- 24:05their, their wishful thinking of a planned economy.
- 24:08And they, they, they see that China is, there's a well, first
- 24:16of all, the, the, the government is running a huge deficit.
- 24:20And the reason that one of the reasons they're doing that is
- 24:22because they are not cutting taxes, because companies are not
- 24:26investing and, or they are investing, but they're investing
- 24:29less than they, they, they wouldn't in a real, in a real,
- 24:34let's say, balanced economy. And the reason for that
- 24:41ultimately is because the Chinese government is still
- 24:43interfering too much, at least that's my opinion.
- 24:46They're still trying to favor certain sectors.
- 24:50And mostly what they're doing is they're, they're forcing A
- 24:54unrealistic exchange rate on the economy.
- 24:56So if they were to allow the exchange rate to compare to a
- 24:59normal level, that's which I'd say it has to be at half of
- 25:01where we are now, then there would be some adjustment.
- 25:05And yes, OK, some of the Chinese Expo industries would drop off a
- 25:08little bit. But then there would be other
- 25:10competitions. You could things would become
- 25:12much more cheaper and much cheaper to import.
- 25:14We could import many more services from the West, not only
- 25:17product all the services and things would have a way of
- 25:22balancing themselves out. But if the government insists
- 25:24and saying, OK, what, so we have all these unemployed people and
- 25:27what are we going to do? And let's let's subsidized the
- 25:29electric car industry, right? But to then the electric cars it
- 25:33grows and grows and grows, but then produces too much, right.
- 25:36So this is all the problem with central planning.
- 25:38I don't create the wrong impression to to give the idea
- 25:41that that China's central planet centrally planning everything.
- 25:44They aren't. But but the one that sectors
- 25:47they do try and centrally plan almost all basically create what
- 25:51in Austria in terms we would call malinvestment.
- 25:53They're they're putting too much money in the sector and as a
- 25:55result, the in the electric car and in the car industry in
- 25:58general now prices in China are half the level they are outside
- 26:02of China. You get the exact same car here
- 26:04for the half of what you get in the rest of it.
- 26:06Not only electric cars, but even even petrol driven cars.
- 26:10It's because the competition is so intense here.
- 26:13So everybody's losing money, right?
- 26:15It's just, it's, it's, it's really, it's not a good
- 26:18solution, right? It's all because the government
- 26:20is, is, has tried to push that sector.
- 26:22So it hurts the, it hurts the competition in the West, but
- 26:25also hurts China. It's nobody, nobody's profiting
- 26:27from this. So they should just, if the
- 26:29Austrian perspective, they should just let things go and
- 26:32the market will sort things out. They'll find useful things to
- 26:35do. But right now all these plants
- 26:37are occupied producing cars and people are occupied.
- 26:40Free the people, free the plants, and they'll find
- 26:42something more productive to do, something that's profitable,
- 26:45right? That's the Austrian perspective.
- 26:48And I think at some point the government's going to do going
- 26:50to do wise nap to this, but they're not quite there yet.
- 26:54Yeah, In South Africa we have a massive influx of Chinese cars
- 27:01and they're a lot better priced than than the, let's say,
- 27:07European cause. In fact, I think it was Volvo
- 27:10that put out a plea to our government a few months ago
- 27:14asking to put penalties on Chinese car imports.
- 27:17Really. But don't forget, Volvo is
- 27:19Chinese, Volvo is. Chinese then?
- 27:23Then maybe it wasn't Volvo, but it was a European manufacturer.
- 27:26I forget now who it was, I don't know.
- 27:27Volvo is Chinese, Is that true? Yes, it was bought by China, but
- 27:31they're one of our big customers, I know.
- 27:33So yes. I didn't know that.
- 27:36That's fascinating. But anyway, the point I was
- 27:38making is that the old trope of Chinese goods being cheap junk
- 27:44is gone. I mean, Chinese calls are are
- 27:47incredible. They're incredible.
- 27:48My next call will be China, hands down.
- 27:50It is true. You're, you're right.
- 27:52And, and, and so there some of the parts of the world, no doubt
- 27:55in China as well. We also benefit from this from
- 27:57the, the, the intensive competition and you know,
- 28:00quality goes up, prices go down. But I'm just saying, at the end
- 28:04of the day, those that would, that those funds, probably those
- 28:09resources could be used elsewhere better.
- 28:12There's too much, too many resources going into that
- 28:15industry. But yeah, of course, yeah, we
- 28:16all find that. We all probably all benefit from
- 28:18it. Yeah, the cars are wonderful.
- 28:19And the, and, and you know, I used to long ago, I used to work
- 28:22for Mercedes-Benz. And we back in the day, we
- 28:26Mercedes-Benz, we had our own strengths, but we really look to
- 28:28Toyota as the example of how to produce things economically and
- 28:33be sort of cutting edge in terms of quality management.
- 28:35And that's now been taken over completely by China.
- 28:38And even now Mercedes-Benz is planning to use in the future,
- 28:40it's planning to use Chinese built engines for art for
- 28:43everything. You mentioned Mercedes-Benz,
- 28:46they were one of the worst performing cars in South Africa
- 28:50in terms of sales, and it's Audi, not Volvo.
- 28:52Does Audi that that? Yeah, they contacted the
- 28:55government. Ridiculous though.
- 28:58I mean just make it. I mean the rest of the profits
- 29:01from and it is true. I mean they they are very
- 29:04efficient and they are like you say, I mean in terms of quality,
- 29:08in terms of the feature set, it's hard to beat, that's true.
- 29:13There is censorship in China, there's censorship everywhere,
- 29:16there's censorship across Europe, in the UK even.
- 29:19I mean, look what's going on now in the UK.
- 29:22Yeah, I mean, I'm not in the UK, so I'm always hesitant to judge
- 29:24places that where I'm not personally and because I don't
- 29:27know how much I'm getting is propaganda and how much is that
- 29:29accurate. But it's certainly, it sounds
- 29:31pretty shocking when you read the numbers of allegedly several
- 29:371000 people in prison for comments on social media.
- 29:41I think in China that would be unimaginable.
- 29:44Just as a point of comparison, I'm no big fan of Chinese
- 29:50censorship policy. In fact, as you probably know,
- 29:52I've ridiculed it many times because I think it's ridiculous.
- 29:57That's the only word that comes to mind.
- 29:59But while it's ridiculous, it's not particularly totalitarian.
- 30:02It's very rare for people to go to prison for something.
- 30:05They were on social media here. It's almost unheard of.
- 30:07I, I can think of a few examples I know of.
- 30:10But really, these people were people that just kept at it.
- 30:13And the government would tell them like, oh, we're going to
- 30:15please cool it, cool it, cool it.
- 30:17And then and then like the ones that are parading on the street
- 30:19demonstrating. And so eventually, if you keep
- 30:22pushing them, eventually, yes, they will, but they will put you
- 30:24in prison. But you have to work really hard
- 30:27at it because they're just, it's not part of the Chinese system.
- 30:29So what typically happens here, if they, you write something
- 30:34they don't like, then, well, first of all, the most likely
- 30:36thing is not just delete it, if they even noticed it at all.
- 30:39But I mean, there are so many billions of comments all the
- 30:42time. Most of the stuff never gets
- 30:44noticed at all anyway. But if, even if there's
- 30:46something that that that gets noticed, first of all, they're
- 30:50likely to delete it. But if you keep doing it over
- 30:52and over again, the things that really irritate them, then
- 30:53eventually you might get a call. What they typically do is
- 30:58they'll call your employer or your parents and they'll say you
- 31:02know, XYZ If the person is, let's say under 30 or so is, you
- 31:09know, a little over over overdoing it.
- 31:12Tell him to cool it over 30, more likely to come to his
- 31:17inmate, more likely to go to his employer.
- 31:19We actually gotten calls like that before one of our well,
- 31:22actually, actually actually I only know of two cases.
- 31:26One I can think of here in Shanghai where one of our
- 31:28employees talking about he was writing stuff about something
- 31:30about the Philippines and the situation there with them.
- 31:35And there was, I don't know, in that case, he was written
- 31:38something they didn't like. So they written a message on
- 31:41multiple occasions. So they asked us to have a
- 31:43discussion with him and tell him be cool.
- 31:45That's kind of typical. This other possibility is that
- 31:50if you, they might actually call you to give a statement to the
- 31:53police. And so then the police call you
- 31:56out and they say, yeah, well, you said stuff, you know, it's
- 31:59difficult. Why don't you come down and have
- 32:00a talk with us? That's also happens.
- 32:03I know several things like that, but it's quite civilized.
- 32:06I'm not mostly I'm not supporting this policy.
- 32:08But they don't, you don't come in like in the US, you don't
- 32:11have people coming in at 5:00 AM with the SWAT team to raid your
- 32:15house, breaking down your door. That just doesn't happen.
- 32:17They just call you and they say, well, you know, you come to the
- 32:20police. They didn't get a statement,
- 32:22which is rather this device that said, of course, that as I
- 32:25mentioned earlier, a lot of the the restrictions are, are
- 32:27ridiculous. Like my favorite example is
- 32:29you're not allowed to mention the name of the great ruler, the
- 32:32the party secretary, dental secretary, President Paddock.
- 32:35You can't mention his name and you can't even elude to him with
- 32:39references. It's not it's because only the
- 32:41official media is allowed to do that.
- 32:44I mean, that's that's just ridiculous.
- 32:45Why? That's the reason.
- 32:49I don't know it's I'm not Privy to their conversations, but it's
- 32:55just one of their rules, right? And even the police, even the
- 32:57police think it's stupid, right? So like I, I know the case
- 33:00someone they were in a, in a private group and they chat
- 33:03group and they were talking about, they were alluding to him
- 33:05by reference. And then as like the honored one
- 33:08or something like that. And they got called the police
- 33:11and the police thought the whole thing was poor silly.
- 33:12Anyway, they said, why don't you just write that you'll never do
- 33:15it so it won't do it again. And that's over, right?
- 33:18And it's both positive and negative.
- 33:20You can't speak about him. Yeah, you can't and praise him,
- 33:26right? That's it's ridiculous.
- 33:28I mean, no other word to describe it, right?
- 33:32And everybody thinks it's ridiculous, right?
- 33:35So I'm sure that in the UK you don't have that right.
- 33:39So, so you can't say it's all, it's all black or white.
- 33:41So in the UK you can talk, I'm sure you can talk about Starmer
- 33:44all you want. Well, maybe you can't, but you
- 33:47can probably at least get away with mentioning his name.
- 33:49But here you can't. So in that sense, China is much
- 33:51less free than the UK. But probably in the level, let's
- 33:54say in the civilized approach towards censorship, I'd say
- 33:57China wins hands down. And there are also interesting
- 34:03topics that are very different in sort of Western countries.
- 34:07You you can't, for example, in most Western countries question
- 34:11the Holocaust or even, as Trump wanted to do recently, criticize
- 34:15Israel. He wanted to criminalize those.
- 34:17He said he wants to criminalize anybody who who criticizes
- 34:21Israel. If, if, if, if those are things
- 34:25that you find someone finds, let's say, relevant to discuss,
- 34:30then China's a good place to do that because you will never get
- 34:34arrested here with that. And Chinese social media is full
- 34:39of such disguise. However, one once again, once
- 34:43again, I mean, once again, like this, for example, one of the
- 34:47things that I would say about the current situation in the
- 34:49Middle East is that the Chinese government has done absolutely
- 34:53nothing in terms of deeds to back up its words.
- 34:58And I would say that's worthy of substantial criticism.
- 35:01But you won't find that in China's social media.
- 35:04You can't protest either like the Chinese government doesn't
- 35:06like people. Protesting.
- 35:08They don't like people protesting in the street.
- 35:10They really don't like that. So if you really want to get
- 35:12yourself in trouble, then you go protest in the street.
- 35:15So it's difficult to be a political cartoonist in China.
- 35:21Yeah, you can. Well, there are a lot of
- 35:23cartoons. In fact, there's some really
- 35:24good ones that work for Global Times.
- 35:25They're they're they're they're outlet.
- 35:27They make a lot of really good cartoons ridiculing the West,
- 35:33but you can't ridicule things related to China.
- 35:36That's true. So once again, I'm not a fan of
- 35:40that. I'm not, I'm not trying to, I'm
- 35:41not trying to defend that system at all.
- 35:44I'm just saying if you, if you do do an objective comparison
- 35:48with other countries that are also practicing various forms of
- 35:50censorship, China doesn't come off all, all too bad.
- 35:53I'd say on average, the US is still the country with the least
- 35:57amount of censorship that I'm, that I'm aware of where you
- 36:01really do the most. But in the US office, if you
- 36:02talk about forbidden topics, then the danger, of course, is
- 36:06that you face a loss of income and that you will be ostracized
- 36:11or, you know, deed taken off various social media sites and
- 36:15try to kind of do the same thing in a way, except that obviously,
- 36:17once again, like you mentioned, the topics are different
- 36:20forbidden. But if you, if you send too
- 36:22often, for example, you can get your, your WeChat account can be
- 36:27prevented from making comments. Or in the worst case you can
- 36:31actually your WeChat account can get completely frozen and yes,
- 36:35you have to open up a new one, which case you lose all your
- 36:37contacts, but. You call that the Singaporean
- 36:42route, didn't you? No, that was the Singaporean
- 36:47model that was really referring to.
- 36:49That's one approach that Chinese takes towards keeping stopping
- 36:54people from saying things they don't like, and that is by
- 36:56finding companies. There was that case that we
- 36:59reported about a couple of years ago where this comedy production
- 37:03company, one of their top comedians, had made some joke
- 37:06which was taken to be insulting to the army, and they fined them
- 37:10almost $2,000,000 for this joke and then banned them from
- 37:16appearing for a month or so. I think that was the This is
- 37:19Singapore universe because this is Singapore kind of I think
- 37:22they were kind of pioneers in that area of trying to suppress
- 37:26political opposition by basically finding people out of
- 37:28existence. They're just enormous fines.
- 37:32The ability to OK, OK, I get it. I get it.
- 37:33They were like, well, they wouldn't imprison them, but they
- 37:35just make it economically to to the price too high.
- 37:40So China does use that approach as well, but more for companies
- 37:44like that for individuals, not so much for individuals.
- 37:47It's just like I said what I said story I told you before.
- 37:51I think the undercurrent so far is that is that China is a, is a
- 37:54normal country. It's not special.
- 37:55It's not unusually different to any other country.
- 37:59It has its own challenges and it's good as good things and bad
- 38:01things. The government makes good
- 38:03decisions and makes bad decisions like every other
- 38:05country. Another bad decision was the
- 38:08COVID response in 2020. Yeah, I think and that's
- 38:13certainly true. It was, I think their initial
- 38:17response didn't work out as well, well at all.
- 38:20But to be fair, I think if we go back and look at the record, we
- 38:24can see that what China did in February of 2020 was exactly
- 38:30what was written in that lockstep scenario that the
- 38:33Rockefeller Foundation put out in in 2010.
- 38:37And they obviously had that in their drawers, and they pulled
- 38:41it out of the drawer and just did exactly what was written
- 38:43there. And they did that for about two
- 38:47months. And then somebody said this is
- 38:50not working and we can't keep doing this.
- 38:52And then they changed course. So like also the whole thing
- 38:55with the ventilators was obviously not working.
- 38:59And it took them about four to six weeks to figure that out.
- 39:04And of course, the amazing was by the time that China had
- 39:07figured it out that this ventilator thing wasn't working,
- 39:12that was when New York was saying we have to buy 500,000
- 39:15ventilators, right? So the West went whole hog at
- 39:20the moment when China actually already figured out this was not
- 39:22working at all. And also the whole lockdown
- 39:24thing was not, it was not sustainable, right?
- 39:27So the, and they, they pretty quickly figured that out.
- 39:30So then they went to a much more localized approach, which in the
- 39:34end also ended up being unsustainable, but it was
- 39:35certainly much more sustainable than their their initial
- 39:37approach, which was the one they practiced in places like New
- 39:40Zealand, for example, where they actually locked down the whole
- 39:43country for long periods of time, which is getting
- 39:46incredible to believe that any, anybody could be so stupid as to
- 39:48believe that would actually work.
- 39:50But it's like they were you, you look at what's going on, How can
- 39:54they be so dense and not realize this is not going to work?
- 39:56Right. Well, at least China realized
- 39:58that was not sustainable. So the other so they stopped and
- 40:00they went to a very, very localized and sometimes
- 40:02localized down the point of the individual like block area.
- 40:06They said it will quarantine just this individual block and
- 40:08that's it. And then we won't the economy
- 40:10would collapse. You can't do that.
- 40:14Later on, they, I think they, they also made a really the, the
- 40:17one of the most stupid thing was that they did was they didn't
- 40:20realize. They didn't, Well, they did
- 40:21realize, but the central government refused to accept
- 40:24this whole quarantine approach was not going to work anyway, no
- 40:27matter what. Even the more, the more focused
- 40:29quarantine approach they use is also going to be ultimately a
- 40:31failure. And it was clear by even the
- 40:36beginning of 2022 that was not going to work.
- 40:39And they just the, the, the central leadership in Beijing
- 40:42refused to accept the obvious, but eventually reality overcame
- 40:46them, as we know in 2022. And they they gave in and.
- 40:50But yeah, Scott, Scott, come on, we all know the Chinese
- 40:54government welded people's doors shut.
- 40:57Right, That was one. That's a very, that's a good
- 41:00example because that's a great example of the, the, the, the
- 41:04effectiveness of propaganda. And it really it, it's a, it's a
- 41:07good example of the concept of, of, of generalization.
- 41:12I mean, I don't know if that even happened at all.
- 41:14It's possible maybe it did happen somewhere that somebody
- 41:17was welded in, which is almost impossible to leave, but maybe
- 41:20it did happen. But if it did happen, it, it was
- 41:24a massive violation of the fire, fire regulations.
- 41:28And you'd have to be insanely that that would, that would,
- 41:32that would, that would be sustainable and certainly never
- 41:34happened on a large scale. And probably if it was actually
- 41:37happened, whoever did it was probably disciplined for it
- 41:40because it's crazy. It's insane, right?
- 41:43Another good example is an even better one.
- 41:46In fact, is the it's a story about the the pets being being
- 41:53killed. That was one of the other
- 41:54favorites that went around WW in social media for for probably
- 41:57more than years. Yes, this the Chinese are
- 41:59killing all the all the house pets.
- 42:02Well, that story actually did that went back.
- 42:04There was a piece of truth, a brain of truth, and that it
- 42:08actually did happen once. In fact, it was here in Shanghai
- 42:10and some crazy official did actually apparently kill some
- 42:14dog and it appeared pretty quickly after that in the
- 42:19newspaper and the the government attitude was this this guy lost
- 42:25it and this is I was not acceptable.
- 42:28We can't have that. But so it was actually in
- 42:31internally in China, it was over pretty quickly.
- 42:33It was recognized, reported on. No, this is something officially
- 42:37going overboard, but in the Western social media and not the
- 42:40mainstream media, but the social media that became what's that
- 42:45word called? What do you call that in
- 42:46English? When it's just that it gets
- 42:48repeated over and over and over and over and over again.
- 42:52And then it was all of this very general state, like the Chinese
- 42:54are killing all the house pets is really was going back to one
- 42:57incident, right? And that is it was generalized
- 43:00and people in their own sphere. They're they're, I think most
- 43:05people are aware of this issue of generalization, but when it's
- 43:08something from China far away that has this or this terrible
- 43:10reputation of the government controlling everything, then
- 43:14people are more likely to believe it, even though it's
- 43:16just a typical example of of over.
- 43:18Generalization. What's another example of over
- 43:23generalization within the Chinese context?
- 43:27Cryptocurrency. I'm trying to think now if, if
- 43:30there is a there's an overlap there because that's a big topic
- 43:33at the moment with with the US and stable coins.
- 43:36I'd say that's another that's an example of the Chinese
- 43:42government's inability to face reality and to let's say their
- 43:48ambition in terms of control is much higher than their, their,
- 43:51their ability. So the cryptocurrency industry
- 43:57was really centered in China for many years until 2017.
- 44:02And still even today, many of the largest exchanges in the
- 44:05world of Chinese, for example, finance is, is still one one of
- 44:09the that's probably still officially the the largest,
- 44:11which is it was usually originally based here in
- 44:13Shanghai. And then in 2017, the government
- 44:16decided they didn't like cryptocurrency anymore because
- 44:18they felt it was it was infringing on their control of
- 44:23financial flows, which is kind of true.
- 44:26But instead of trying to regulate the industry,
- 44:28eventually they decided to just ban it, which I'd say it was a
- 44:35really big mistake because now did they destroy a bunch of
- 44:37their really good companies or or hurt them significantly?
- 44:40But then they actually made it impossible for them to work with
- 44:45the exchanges to deal with, for example, fraud.
- 44:49And we have a big problem all around the world, but certainly
- 44:52in China we also have a big problem with fraud to be
- 44:54defrauding elderly. And then when they, when the
- 44:58fraudsters want to go along with that money, they, they typically
- 45:02launder it into stable, into USDUSDT stable funds, which is
- 45:05kind of the, the number one black market currency both in
- 45:09China and all across Southeast Asia.
- 45:11So in the old days, what would happen is the police would just
- 45:13go to the major exchange and say, please help us, we have
- 45:16this case black money, whatever crime, please help us out and
- 45:19deal with it. But now they can't do that
- 45:21because it's all illegal. So now they have no, they have
- 45:23the police have no recourse. There's no official recourse.
- 45:25Sometimes there, there's some, you know, they're unofficially,
- 45:28they say, oh, we know this person in such and such town is
- 45:31like the local money change and he'll do it.
- 45:32And then maybe the police know the guy and they'll work some
- 45:35deal with him in the, you know, back back office.
- 45:39But it's, it's makes it much more difficult to deal with.
- 45:42And that's that's I think it's a good example of of refusing,
- 45:45refusing to face up to the reality that this is going to
- 45:48exist whether you permit it or not.
- 45:49You might as well come up with a system that allows you to
- 45:53actually work with the people in, in the industry instead of
- 45:55just, you know, pretending it doesn't exist.
- 45:59So once again, there, I guess you could say governments in
- 46:02general make that mistake because we what we intended, we,
- 46:05we, our intention was good, right?
- 46:07Well, don't, but you didn't look at the result.
- 46:10The results is bad because it doesn't matter what your
- 46:13intention for that, You know, you in particular just going out
- 46:16right and banning things, that's rarely leads to good result.
- 46:19Same thing goes with the education industry where they a
- 46:21couple years ago the government said, oh, the children haven't
- 46:23studied too much. It's too much work and it's too
- 46:26expensive for the parents. They keep sending their kids to
- 46:28these external schools to, you know, get them ahead in school.
- 46:33So the government basically banned the whole tutoring
- 46:35industry overnight, which is crazy, right?
- 46:38And so you destroyed a whole bunch of a whole bunch of of,
- 46:40of, of jobs. Didn't completely destroy the
- 46:44companies. Some of the companies survive,
- 46:45but still, it was a big, it was a big blow to them.
- 46:47But did did the tutoring industry disappear?
- 46:49No, no, no, I kept going. And of course, the Chinese are
- 46:52not going to stop tutoring their kids.
- 46:53Are you kidding? The, the idea that anybody could
- 46:56have believed that they would actually ever work was, is, is
- 46:58ludicrous. Chinese are the most education
- 47:01oriented people in the world. They're not going to stop
- 47:03tutoring their kids. So what happened?
- 47:05Well, the prices went up. So what happened to the people
- 47:09that were a little bit poor? The family's a little bit poor.
- 47:11They got edged out of the market, so they couldn't afford
- 47:13anymore. That was the result.
- 47:15It wasn't, it wasn't that the kids had less, less pressure or
- 47:18the parents got to save some more money.
- 47:20No, no, the parents had to spend more money now.
- 47:22So instead of looking at the results, they all our intentions
- 47:25were good. So of course, as anybody could
- 47:27have expected, a year or two later, the government, you know,
- 47:29we said well, OK, yeah, we have our parents that never.
- 47:32But I think, Scott, that's the that's the other generalization
- 47:37that I was referring to earlier is that the the Chinese
- 47:40government is this well oiled machine that is always ahead of
- 47:42the curve. It's it's.
- 47:44Exactly right. And they're not at all they're
- 47:46they're not at all. And and I'll give you another
- 47:48example. We mentioned that earlier that,
- 47:49that this recent Tantrae case with the, the lead poisoning.
- 47:54So there you have a typical example.
- 47:55There's all these these kids from this elementary, you know,
- 47:57it's actually kindergarten private 200 plus kids show up
- 48:02with some sort of POI symptoms of poisoning.
- 48:05Don't know what it is. Go to the local hospital.
- 48:08Local hospital says that they don't know what it is, what's
- 48:11going on. But actually they we found out,
- 48:13right? They probably didn't know what
- 48:15was going on, but they didn't want to say.
- 48:17And so some parents said, well, we don't believe you.
- 48:19And so they took their kids to other hospitals in other big
- 48:22cities, Tianjin, I think. And Xian, this is in western
- 48:27China, in Tianjin, which is way out in the Goonies mid sized
- 48:31city. And then the the hospitals in
- 48:33the big cities said, yeah, they have lead poisoning, right?
- 48:35And so basically the government tried to cover it up.
- 48:39And then they came up with this ludicrous story that the school
- 48:43was mixing in lead paint with this, with the food to make it
- 48:48more shiny or colorful, which is, it's so ludicrous.
- 48:52I can't, I don't know who thought of that story, but who
- 48:55could believe that? I mean, it's not water soluble.
- 48:57I mean, it's, it's just, it's a, it's a preposterous story.
- 49:01The truth seems to be that what's really going on is they
- 49:04have a lead zinc, a lead zinc factory in the town and it's on
- 49:09the, on the, the balance of the river.
- 49:11And that they've been poisoning the, they've been contaminating
- 49:13the water tail with lead. And what the school did was
- 49:17because it was a privately owned school.
- 49:19And so the school, because they ran it for profit, they sank
- 49:22their own well instead of paying the high water rates.
- 49:25And so they took water from their own well.
- 49:27And that's how people, that's, that's how the kids all got
- 49:30poisoned. But of course they couldn't
- 49:32reveal, the government couldn't allow that to come out because
- 49:34that would reveal the whole water table was contaminated.
- 49:36And why is the water they were contaminated?
- 49:37Because they didn't obey the environmental regulations.
- 49:40That's that prohibited this plant from being erected next to
- 49:44the river. So they tried to cover the whole
- 49:47thing up and try to suppress the discussion so completely, but it
- 49:49all failed and it all came out and now everybody in the country
- 49:53knows, right? And so now they look really
- 49:55stupid. Not only they come with this
- 49:56really stupid story that is so preposterous to like, like how
- 50:00could anybody, how could they be so stupid?
- 50:02Anybody would actually believe that with the paint, right?
- 50:05And then they're, they're trying to cover up they're, they
- 50:08actually, they actually coerced the hospital into covering up
- 50:13the truth and not telling the parents what was going on, which
- 50:15is itself a crime, right. And so probably the end result,
- 50:18what typically happen in case like this, they'll probably can
- 50:21the entire leadership of the all of the city and they'll all lose
- 50:24their, their, their career and the party because of this.
- 50:28So the government makes themselves look stupid, but
- 50:31there is a correction mechanism and there's like a seated
- 50:35feedback method in the works. So it's not like there's like,
- 50:37so yes, the government does some stupid things, but there is a
- 50:40kind of a feedback this is no works and it kind of comes out
- 50:43and works just on the end. But of course, the only reason
- 50:45this feedback mechanism works is because their whole idea, their
- 50:50whole totalitarian concept of the government can only doesn't
- 50:53work, right? If it did, then there would be
- 50:56no Fagin feedback mechanism. But because it doesn't work,
- 50:59there is and it does work, right.
- 51:01So it's a good example of, of how, yes, they have
- 51:05authoritarian tendencies and maybe that's an idealized world.
- 51:09They can control everything, but they don't.
- 51:11And, and because there is no social credit system, people are
- 51:15not worried about writing things the government doesn't like and
- 51:17say, they say, oh, the government is, is tolerating,
- 51:20for example, this lead poisoning.
- 51:22Well, there is no social credit system.
- 51:23So they don't, they don't, people don't worry about that
- 51:26sort of thing. They just write what they write,
- 51:27whatever they think. Maybe if they write on their, if
- 51:30they write, if they write on their, their, you know, their,
- 51:33their blog, whatever. The government down with the
- 51:35government. Government should be kicked out
- 51:37of office. Well, that wouldn't go over
- 51:38well, right? But if they just complain about
- 51:40the lead poisoning, nobody says no happened.
- 51:42To that, the idea of a social credit system is obviously quite
- 51:46nuanced. I think every country has it to
- 51:47some degree. Even here, if I'm applying for a
- 51:50car loan or a home loan, they do a credit check on you there that
- 51:53that is a type of social credit system.
- 51:57To do some ways it's been sold in the West, right.
- 51:59In the West, it's been sold is this concept of, you know,
- 52:02whether you're whether you're politically correct, right.
- 52:05And that's, I mean, that does exist to sort of in every
- 52:08country because there are ways of, of discovering whether
- 52:11you're politically correct and that can influence your career
- 52:13and so on. But it's much more indirect.
- 52:16Like so if you apply for a job typically in the West as well,
- 52:19as far as far as I understand, they'll look up your social
- 52:22media posts. And now even the US government's
- 52:26come out and said anybody that says anything bad about Israel
- 52:28or something is you will not get admitted to the United States,
- 52:30right. That's you got to watch out.
- 52:33But I, I'd say compared to what goes on in the West, China is
- 52:37probably much less systematic in doing that.
- 52:41Maybe because you're kind of so many people, they just don't,
- 52:43they don't have the resources to try and do that on the scale
- 52:46that that seems to be going on in the UK.
- 52:49Certainly I say seems because I one thing I don't know, I'm not
- 52:53in the UK, I'd say I, I don't want to judge that, but it
- 52:55certainly seems like that level of supervision or surveillance
- 52:59is going on there. Social media is much more
- 53:01intense than in China. Am I wrong?
- 53:07No, I don't think you're wrong, but if you watch some of these
- 53:11fear porn documentaries that have come out over the last few
- 53:14years, the social credit score that shows you these aerial
- 53:17shots of each Chinese citizen with the squares.
- 53:20You know, yeah, Little, little. Boxes.
- 53:23Yeah, well, I think I tell you, it's this, it's this Twitter
- 53:25channel, this this X channel called song being on the mixes,
- 53:29the videos, yeah. I mean, basically you're not
- 53:35going to get penalized because you buy meat.
- 53:38No, no. And it's really not for
- 53:40jaywalking. People jaywalk all the time and
- 53:44nobody, nobody notices. And certainly there's no record
- 53:47of it. Every single time, Scott, I do a
- 53:50conversation like this, I always get somebody saying yes, but
- 53:54look at this YouTube channel. There's some guy called.
- 53:59Or serpent, Serpent, which is Serpent South Africa, Zod
- 54:05Africa. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 54:09He lived there for for 12 or 15 years and.
- 54:12Those two, those two guys, they do well, I mean, I, I, I guess
- 54:16they're either being paid or maybe it's just through the
- 54:19YouTube because YouTube promotes them so, so heavily.
- 54:22I'm sure they get a lot of monetization from YouTube, but
- 54:27yeah, they seem to have made a career out of that.
- 54:30What can I say? But.
- 54:31I mean, are they're telling the truth or they are they're
- 54:33propagandizing the truth or what?
- 54:36I don't watch much of the production, I have to say.
- 54:39I have to confess, In the old days, a couple of years ago, I
- 54:43didn't watch a few. But just for research purposes,
- 54:47yeah, I'd say it's pretty much all fantasy.
- 54:49I mean, they don't live in China anymore because they were, I
- 54:52think they would have difficulties if they were to try
- 54:54to come back. I don't think they would be
- 54:56letting our guy get a visa. But they've been gone now for
- 54:59over 10 years. So.
- 55:02But these people are really lowlife.
- 55:03I mean, one of their videos they said, yeah, Chinese don't love
- 55:07their children. I mean, stuff like that.
- 55:09And this is, this is like from a guy that's married to a Chinese
- 55:11woman, right? I mean, I don't know, Lowlife is
- 55:17the only word that comes to my mind from people like that.
- 55:21And the point is, is that people should go, shouldn't they, and
- 55:25go see for themselves. Yeah, definitely.
- 55:26I mean, particularly from the West, it's typically a shock for
- 55:29most people because they've never been in such a futuristic
- 55:33place really. And certainly and people, some
- 55:35people say, oh, it's just a big city.
- 55:37No, it's not. China looks like this all over
- 55:38the whole country. It's a beautifully paved roads
- 55:43and high speed trains and shiny metros all over the country.
- 55:47Sometimes you could have to wonder if the government's
- 55:49investment is really, it's not overdoing in a bit, but in terms
- 55:52of the basic infrastructure, it's very good throughout the
- 55:55country. And, you know, because China is
- 55:57at the cutting edge of so many industries.
- 55:59Well, like the one we talked about, the electric car
- 56:01industry. Yeah.
- 56:03I mean, it's just you have a level of technology in society
- 56:06that is unmatched anywhere else in the world and certainly in
- 56:09society in China really works, right.
- 56:11And it's particularly in a lot of Western countries which where
- 56:15things don't work and even, let's say places like South
- 56:19Africa where many things don't work.
- 56:22Yeah, it's, I think it is a shock to see that how things,
- 56:27how well things work in China. And it is, it is a superficial
- 56:30impression to a certain extent because there are things that
- 56:33don't work in China. You don't see those immediately,
- 56:35right? So don't get me wrong.
- 56:36But it is good to have that, that, that comparison.
- 56:39And, you know, and it's not all, it's not all on China's side.
- 56:45You know, we don't have, for example, the right to carry arms
- 56:47here. We don't.
- 56:48And you can't go hunting here, which you guys can do there.
- 56:50So it's you have to sort of take the, you know, take the good,
- 56:53good side of it. But yeah, people should
- 56:56definitely come and see for themselves.
- 56:59And it's seeing is believing, as the saying goes, right?
- 57:03You can't really, you can't get it the same way from a distance.
- 57:06And people it's I had a friend of mine that was thinking about
- 57:12coming here, but she says she was so afraid because here
- 57:15people, people so rarely use cash anymore.
- 57:17And she didn't like concept of using her phone to pay for
- 57:19things. Well, I mean, if that's if
- 57:22that's a really if that's a principle you want to, you know,
- 57:24you want to fall on you and that's then then that you want
- 57:27to make that allow it to decide where you go on in, in the
- 57:30world. And, you know, so be it.
- 57:31But yeah, it's part of the deal. Well, actually just on that, a
- 57:37lot of people also misunderstand how these things work in
- 57:40different countries. In South Africa, it's not a good
- 57:42idea to carry cash. It's it's, it's a dangerous
- 57:46country. Carrying cash is a terrible
- 57:48idea. Yeah.
- 57:50Well, here you don't have that Problem, of course, is we have
- 57:52almost no crime or we have, no, there's no public theft of
- 57:57anything really. So you don't have that issue at
- 58:01all. It's just people.
- 58:02People pay things with their phone for reasons of
- 58:05convenience, but it's been in China.
- 58:08There's some things that pay with cash and those might be
- 58:10large transactions, but small transactions all, all by phone,
- 58:15but not because not for fuzz of fear.
- 58:16It's just as easy in it. I mean, I've been for a long
- 58:19time. I would still carry some cash as
- 58:20well if I needed. You know, man, you never know
- 58:22when you minded. But I have to admit, I even two
- 58:25or three years ago, I, I kind of gave up on that.
- 58:27And it's just all you need is a phone and it's really it's, it's
- 58:31phone base. It's not by facial recognition.
- 58:33There are a few places where you can pay by face if you signed up
- 58:37for that feature with one of the server payment providers, but
- 58:41it's pretty rare. A couple of years ago people I
- 58:45think did it for for for for kicks, a couple of a couple of
- 58:48stores, but it seems to be completely disappeared now.
- 58:51I don't. I don't see it at all anymore.
- 58:54I did experience facial recognition technology when I
- 58:56was in Hong Kong though. Doing what?
- 59:01Yeah, well, for example at the airport.
- 59:03Oh yeah, well, that's all over the West too.
- 59:05In the US now, if you leave whenever you get on a plane,
- 59:07they all do facial recognition now to get on a plane.
- 59:10I don't know where they have a copy of my friend's face from.
- 59:12I'd like to know, but they do here in China.
- 59:16We don't have facial recognition for the for, for at the airport
- 59:19that I know of. But yeah, I mean, there, there
- 59:22are systems in, in China is a lot of cameras.
- 59:24And that's a long story as to why that that happened, the
- 59:26whole terrorism thing. But but yeah, in China, if you
- 59:29if you're on The Wanted list, eventually they will catch you
- 59:33through via facial recognition. It's true.
- 59:36And that's also probably one of the reasons why crime crime is
- 59:38still low. Yeah, we can't come in for
- 59:41landing because you mentioned cameras and somebody's going to
- 59:44ask about that so quickly. Tell me a bit more about that.
- 59:46Why are there so many cameras? Because there was a state of
- 59:49terrorism back in what was it 2008 to 2014 roughly, and the
- 59:55usual suspects. I think we can be pretty sure
- 59:58we're behind that. I'm talking about people outside
- 1:00:00of China. That were supplying that
- 1:00:03organizing that they were mostly terrorists from Xinjiang from
- 1:00:07the from the western part of China and they blew up train
- 1:00:14stations and marketplaces and stuff and and the Chinese
- 1:00:18government, the war we got to do something to stop this.
- 1:00:21And so that's that was really what what what pushed to it go
- 1:00:24take it off. And so they put up facial
- 1:00:27recognitions all, all around the country to stop the terrorism.
- 1:00:29And that was, and well, they did, they succeeded.
- 1:00:31I'm not sure whether it was it worth or not.
- 1:00:33I don't know. But I'd say if you asked an
- 1:00:36average Chinese, do they mind the Super, the, the
- 1:00:39surveillance? I'd say most people don't
- 1:00:42because you can see the obvious advantages because it's so the,
- 1:00:47it's so difficult to get away with the crime.
- 1:00:48This is committed in public because of the, of the
- 1:00:51surveillance. Even even smaller things.
- 1:00:53For example, I, I had a couple of twice last year, I had run
- 1:00:59insurance with scooter drivers and then the call the police and
- 1:01:06the police said, OK, well, we'll get the video right from
- 1:01:08whatever it is, you know, nearby to saw, saw what happened then.
- 1:01:12And then they can use the video to just to make an assessment,
- 1:01:14which is handy, right? So they won one case and I think
- 1:01:18technically it was maybe my fault.
- 1:01:20But then the policeman said, but the guy was obviously speeding,
- 1:01:24he was driving too fast. So you can't say it was all your
- 1:01:26fault. So at the end of the day, it was
- 1:01:27like, you know, OK, never mind. So that's handy, right?
- 1:01:31So I think most people are not, don't see that as something
- 1:01:33negative. But that's also because the
- 1:01:35government doesn't use it to as far as people's at least people
- 1:01:39don't have the impression government is easy to track
- 1:01:41them. And I know for a fact the
- 1:01:42government for the most part has no idea where people are.
- 1:01:44But that's also something that's very hard for people in the West
- 1:01:46to imagine that there are hundreds of millions of Chinese
- 1:01:49living in cities where they're not registered and the
- 1:01:53government has no idea where they live, where they live and
- 1:01:55they don't actually care. They don't, they don't even try
- 1:01:57and track these people. And we know that for a fact
- 1:02:01because there's lots of evidence for this.
- 1:02:02The government doesn't know. But if the if you do get on the
- 1:02:04on The Wanted list, they try and tracking it, then they use it.
- 1:02:08So that's, that's the difference.
- 1:02:10But people don't perceive the government's tracking them
- 1:02:12because they know from multiple examples in their lives, the
- 1:02:14government has no idea where they are.
- 1:02:17So they don't have that, that let's say that paranoia that
- 1:02:21people associate in the West or the government's tracking me and
- 1:02:24they know, they know that as far as people's experience is that
- 1:02:28they what they do use the cameras for is see the track
- 1:02:31criminals or to figure out what happened in case of an accident.
- 1:02:34That's how most people interact with the cameras.
- 1:02:39OK, looking at the time, how can I follow your work?
- 1:02:44Well, yeah, I will share a couple of this.
- 1:02:46As I mentioned earlier, we, you know, we do have a lot of
- 1:02:50production in Chinese as well, but we also do some things for
- 1:02:54the Western, Western market. And one of the projects that
- 1:02:59we've been working on for a while now is a project called
- 1:03:02Quantum Intel website is Quantum Intel dot me.
- 1:03:06And that's actually most for the Western market itself.
- 1:03:09Independent media provide provide a platform for
- 1:03:12independent media. So you can find independent
- 1:03:14media, what independent media is talking about in all these
- 1:03:17different areas around all around the world.
- 1:03:19So like for example, you can check out UK columns.
- 1:03:23We have a library in that. The UK column is in there as
- 1:03:26well. I think I looked up the UK
- 1:03:27column today and I think U column is over 1000 entries
- 1:03:31actually. So you can actually go to the UK
- 1:03:33column and page in our on our website.
- 1:03:40And I think the UK column is 933-O.
- 1:03:42That's the feed number. And then you can actually do a
- 1:03:46search. For example, you can see, let's
- 1:03:47say you look up for example censorship, you want to know
- 1:03:51what what UK column is, has had say about censorship in the last
- 1:03:54couple of years. And I looked it up today and UK
- 1:03:57column has 12 different episodes about censorship in the last
- 1:04:01three years and you can find out what they are.
- 1:04:04So it's kind of a handy thing. But you could also look up and
- 1:04:06see what people are talking about in other countries, in
- 1:04:10other language zones. And so it's also really
- 1:04:12interesting to look up what other countries are not talking
- 1:04:14about. So, for example, a couple of
- 1:04:16years ago, we, some people, some listeners may recall there was a
- 1:04:23really hot podcast put out by Tiger Carlson they did with
- 1:04:27Darryl Cooper. And it was sort of the talk of
- 1:04:30the country in the USI don't know about the UK, but it was
- 1:04:33some sensitive topics. And, and there's a lot of, there
- 1:04:37are a lot of articles about him. But if you looked at Darryl in
- 1:04:40the German press or the German independent media or in the
- 1:04:43French media, you would discover nothing.
- 1:04:45He was completely blocked out. So it's actually quite
- 1:04:48interesting to see what's not being discussed.
- 1:04:50But because you can do that content search through the
- 1:04:52platform, you can tell you can find that out.
- 1:04:54And we also have a translation function.
- 1:04:56So you're not too comfortable reading German, then it will it
- 1:04:58will translate it for you. So that's also kind of candid.
- 1:05:00So that's one thing you can you can check out.
- 1:05:03And of course, you can also check out our Austrian China sub
- 1:05:06stack, which is Austrian China, Austrian with an N that's from
- 1:05:10the country Austria, Austrian, Austrian china.substock.com.
- 1:05:16What's the quantum URL again? Quantum Intel.
- 1:05:20Dot ME. So it's all quantum like, like
- 1:05:22quantum physics and Intel, like intelligence. dot ME.
- 1:05:28And if you, if you enter 933-O there you'll see at the top on
- 1:05:31on search for that and you'll find that's the, that's the UK
- 1:05:34column, the main UK column fee. Although you you also search for
- 1:05:38UK column as well, but that's just the abbreviation.
- 1:05:42Austrian Scott, it is always a pleasure chatting to you.
- 1:05:44Thank you for joining me in the trenches.
- 1:05:46Thank you, Durham.