Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 489 - 4/10/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 489 of the all systems go sports betting
- 0:20podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:30What's going on, everyone? Happy fade the public Friday.
- 0:33That's right. Our work week has come to an
- 0:35end. Another big weekend upon us
- 0:37here. Guys going wall to wall MLB
- 0:40betting. Of course we got college
- 0:41basketball over and done with. I got some playoffs coming up,
- 0:45which I'm excited about. South, NBA and NHL.
- 0:47And my buddy Da Rouche, who's one of the sharpest guys I know,
- 0:51he was like, what did you say about those Game 7 unders?
- 0:53And I said, Da Rouche, if we get to a NBA playoff series or an
- 0:57NHL playoff series where we go to a Game seven, I'm going to
- 1:01ride all of the unders. Why?
- 1:04Because Game 7 unders have been a fantastic, you know, system
- 1:07play for year, year in and year out.
- 1:09Whole thought process is when you get to a Game 7, hey, number
- 1:12one, you got tired. Legs #2 you're faced with
- 1:14elimination. People get a little, you know,
- 1:16both teams get a little bit tight.
- 1:18Therefore let's lean on some lower scoring games.
- 1:20And again, doesn't really matter the sport.
- 1:22Obviously football, you know, Super Bowl is a one off.
- 1:26You know, baseball, you go have game fives, game sevens.
- 1:28But just in general, going to a Game 7 has been really, really
- 1:32good historically. And let me give you the updated
- 1:34numbers for those of you who have been wondering.
- 1:37So in the NBA you get to Game 7, the Game 7 unders in the NBA.
- 1:40Now this dates back quite a while, all the way since 2005.
- 1:44They are 41 and 26. That is a 61% win rate with a
- 1:4819% ROI. And that same time frame, if you
- 1:52look to the NHL Game 7 unders 45 and 29, almost an identical
- 1:57record here, but a 61% win rate with a 12% ROI.
- 2:01So get ready, Game 7 unders. That's really going to be my go
- 2:04to when we get to the postseason here.
- 2:06And I always say it, you know, every year I'm like, OK, let me
- 2:08just play them all. And then, you know, one, maybe
- 2:10the juice is moving upward or the percentages say something
- 2:13else. And I talked myself out of it.
- 2:15So I'm saying to myself, let's be consistent.
- 2:17Let's play these games 7 unders once we get to the postseason.
- 2:20So both NBANHL, there's only a couple games left for all these
- 2:23different teams. Something to look forward to
- 2:25these Game 7 unders. Now that being said, we got no
- 2:29playoffs to talk about what we got in Major League Baseball to
- 2:31hit on. So I do have not a three pack
- 2:34for you. You probably thought 03 pack
- 2:35will grind. Try to go 2 and 1.
- 2:37Nope I have a 5 pack for you. I got 5 bets here.
- 2:41Again trying to limit our plays. Not force too many.
- 2:44But I was hosting the Rhythm Rundown with my buddy Kate
- 2:46Harper last night and Kate and I identified a couple games that
- 2:50all cashed Kade. Really like the White Sox
- 2:52getting plus money against the Royals yesterday.
- 2:56That was kind of an inflated line dog, divisional dog.
- 2:59I highlighted the under in that game because that was a nine and
- 3:02a half down to 9, and we had all three rhythm recommendations lit
- 3:06up in green on the under, the under cash the White Sox cashed
- 3:10and then also talked about the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- 3:13That was another game that we talked about on the rhythm
- 3:15rundown where they really weren't sharp.
- 3:17The line shot up toward the Mets quite a bit.
- 3:20Like -155 up to like -185 but that was an inflated dog,
- 3:24contrarian dog and rhythm had all three green stars on
- 3:28Arizona. So not exactly what we look for,
- 3:32you know, White Sox who could make the case divisional dog,
- 3:34high total, you know, contrarian.
- 3:36But that under was super sharp and Arizona came through and won
- 3:40that Game 7 to 1. So all three plays we talked
- 3:42about on the rhythm rundown came true and in cash for us.
- 3:45And I'm saying to myself, why aren't I betting more totals,
- 3:48specifically unders, and more dogs on the pod?
- 3:51I'm leaving money on the table. So with that being said, I did a
- 3:54lot of research here and I'm trying to get back to my my
- 3:57groove when it comes to dogs and unders.
- 3:59Because I tell you what guys, I've had seasons years and years
- 4:03ago with MLB where dogs were just incredible.
- 4:06I've had years where it's been nothing but money line chalk on
- 4:09the favorite. But right now I'll give you some
- 4:12updated numbers here in a second or might as well give it to you
- 4:14right now. Dogs this year in MLB 87 and
- 4:17101. That's only a 46% win rate, but
- 4:20a 6% ROI because you're getting those plus money payouts.
- 4:24So if you had bet 100 bucks on every dog this year and MLB,
- 4:28you're up nearly $1200. So with that being said, I got
- 4:31three dogs for you today. Let's hope they bark.
- 4:34And I got 2 unders for you today, all of which includes
- 4:38some really, really good green rhythm recommendations and some
- 4:42juice real edges. So A5 pack three dogs, 2 unders,
- 4:46trying to get 3 out of five and produce a winning date to end
- 4:48the week. Now, that being said, before we
- 4:51dive into tonight's plays, looking toward yesterday, one in
- 4:541 -, 0.47 units. That's the other thing.
- 4:58When these money line favorites don't come true for you, you're,
- 5:00you're putting some juice on the on the table.
- 5:04But the Tigers, how pathetic are they?
- 5:07Shout out to my guy Rodgers who wrote who commented on Spotify
- 5:10on the pot. He said, how pathetic are the
- 5:12Tigers? Yes, they are because the Tigers
- 5:14got swept in a four-game set against Minnesota and they had a
- 5:17sharp line move yesterday. This tells you when you know
- 5:20things aren't going your way in baseball.
- 5:22If you may or may not know, I got a newborn.
- 5:24She's actually turns 3 weeks old tomorrow, boys, time flying by.
- 5:29But I was kind of hanging out with her and taking care of her
- 5:31all afternoon. And I didn't check on the
- 5:33Detroit, Minnesota score until late in the game.
- 5:36And I, I popped it open and again, I told you before, if you
- 5:39didn't know, I had paid for the MLB, it was 149 bucks and
- 5:42everyone's like, yeah, you should get T-Mobile instead of
- 5:44Verizon. You get it for free.
- 5:45So when my, when my Verizon contract ends, I'll go to
- 5:48T-Mobile. But anyway, I, I was totally
- 5:51blind, didn't know the score, didn't know anything.
- 5:53I finally turn on the Detroit Minnesota game in the 8th
- 5:56inning. It's 1 to 1 and I'm like, OK,
- 5:58you know, we're battling here. Literally as soon as I turn it
- 6:01on, I see the score 1 to 1. The very next pitch, I kid you
- 6:05not, Brooksley bases loaded, hits A2 run, single.
- 6:09Minnesota wins 3 to 1. So it's just weird how sometimes
- 6:12that happens. But how pathetic are the Tigers,
- 6:15man? They're they're in a bad place
- 6:16right now, but did get a Padres win.
- 6:19Man, goes to show you even like a -, 185 favorite you got to
- 6:22scratch and claw with. Because the Padres, if you watch
- 6:26this game, they went into I think 12 innings and it was back
- 6:29and forth, back and forth looked like the Rockies would score an
- 6:32extras and win the game and then pods would battle back.
- 6:35Pods end up winning seven to three.
- 6:37You're like, oh, easy win. But remember, if you didn't know
- 6:40Xander Bogarts of my favorite Red Sox players of all time, I
- 6:43must admit that contract probably not very smart by San
- 6:46Diego, but he had a walk off Grand Slam to win 7 to 3.
- 6:49So pods came through. Tigers did not.
- 6:52One in 1 -, 0.47 units. But with that being said, let's
- 6:57talk about some dogs and some unders.
- 6:59I'm sure we'll get back to betting favorites when they're
- 7:01sharp, but especially early in the year, I don't want to bang
- 7:04my head against the wall with these favorites anymore.
- 7:06If they're sharp, we'll play them, but if not, let's try to
- 7:08take advantage of hopefully, knock on wood, some of these
- 7:11dogs and unders. So 5 pack overall, let's get
- 7:14right to it first. But on the board for me, let's
- 7:16talk about a relatively early first pitch, 6:40 PM Eastern
- 7:20Time between the Miami Marlins and the Detroit Tigers.
- 7:24Now setting the stage, The fish come in eight and five, just
- 7:28split A4 game series against the Red Legs.
- 7:29They won yesterday's series finale 8 to 1 as a -, 125 home
- 7:33favorite. Meanwhile, the Tigers 4:00 and
- 7:369:00. You guys know the drill.
- 7:37Let us down yesterday, 3 to 1 loser as a -, 145 road favorite.
- 7:42So in tonight's interleague series opener, we got the
- 7:45Marlins going with the ready Chris Paddock.
- 7:47He's Owen, one with a 8.31 ERA. The Tigers, meanwhile, are going
- 7:51to go with the fellow righty Cater Montero.
- 7:54He's on one of the 4.15 ERA. So what we've.
- 7:57Seen across the board here will this game.
- 7:59Open with Detroit as high as a -, 155 home favorite Miami
- 8:03around a + 130 road dog. And the public is saying, yeah,
- 8:07Detroit they're a good team. They're going to get back on
- 8:09track. I had a great year last year.
- 8:11Young up and coming team, you know the drill.
- 8:14You know they're going to beat the fish and and get get back in
- 8:16business here. So you are seeing across the
- 8:19market nearly 2/3 of money line bets at DK, laying it with the
- 8:23Tigers. But here's where it gets
- 8:24interesting. Even though the Tigers are
- 8:27getting nearly 2/3 of bets, they open -155 they're down to -145 a
- 8:32lot of these books even down to -140 So what does that tell us?
- 8:35Tells us that we have a sharp reverse line move on the fish.
- 8:38I'm going with a plus money dog here guys taking a shot on Miami
- 8:42because Miami only getting about 1/3 of tickets, but went from
- 8:45plus 130 down to around plus 120.
- 8:48So it tells me smart money here again, taking the plus money
- 8:51with Miami. Now aside from that reverse line
- 8:53move, Marlins very contrarian at DraftKings, but also if you go
- 8:59over to Circa, it's a different story. 86% of money line bets,
- 9:03over 90% of money line dollars are on Miami.
- 9:06So at DraftKings, which is a barometer for the public overall
- 9:09in general across the country, everybody's on Detroit, but you
- 9:12go over to Vegas, smart money here, heavy on Miami.
- 9:16Then we get into our dog systems for Miami dogs are 87 and 101
- 9:20this year, as I mentioned, only 46%, but a 6% ROI because of the
- 9:24plus money payouts if we isolate sweet spot dogs.
- 9:28So if you're a dog between plus 1/20 and plus 150, these dogs
- 9:31are 35 and 30 this year, 54% win rate, 26% ROI.
- 9:37You know, if you have a a winning system above 500 on a
- 9:40dog in a money line sport like baseball, man, that tells you
- 9:43that it's a pretty good system because you expect to, you know,
- 9:46win less than 50% but try to profit with the plus money.
- 9:50Now Miami also has additional betting system value dog, high
- 9:53total. So trolling this one is 8 1/2.
- 9:55It's just a little bit to the over.
- 9:57More expected run scored, more variance, more upset
- 9:59opportunities. I'm going to bank on hopefully
- 10:01Paddock. I will admit I'm nervous about
- 10:03Paddock. I feel like when I play him, he
- 10:05gets lit up. Hopefully that doesn't happen
- 10:07tonight. But Miami's bats hopefully can
- 10:10get to Montero. They're hitting 269 on the year.
- 10:13They've scored 67 runs. Detroit's only hitting 233.
- 10:17They've only scored 54 runs. Lastly, noticed a 7%, nothing
- 10:21crazy, but a 7% sharp mush edge on Miami from Juice Reel.
- 10:26And I have three Rhythm recommendations all on Miami,
- 10:30one of which is a Green Star recommendation.
- 10:33So Rhythm is all lining up saying take Miami here.
- 10:36So first, but on the board from you guys, if you want to ride a
- 10:38dog or a fish, I guess we should say I got Miami plus 124 that
- 10:43was available at I believe FanDuel.
- 10:45But again, shop around. A lot of books getting down to
- 10:47plus 120. But let's go Miami next one for
- 10:52you. Let's talk about a total here.
- 10:54Another early game, 6:45 PM Eastern Time.
- 10:57First pitch. We got the Angels visiting the
- 10:59Red Legs now going into it. We got the Halo six and seven on
- 11:03the year. They just dropped two or three
- 11:05against Atlanta Reds, meanwhile, off to a good start, eight and
- 11:09five did split A4 game set against Miami, won the 1st 2:00
- 11:12but lost the next two. Pitching match up here for
- 11:15tonight, we got the Angels going with the ready Jack Kochanowitz.
- 11:19He's one and O with a 4.66 ERA. He'll be opposed by Chase Burns,
- 11:25who was a top pick I think last year.
- 11:27He's one and O with a 0.82 ERA. So he's been off to a very, very
- 11:32good start. Now this is a total play for me.
- 11:35I'm going to go under 9 in this game.
- 11:37Couple things I like about this under nine.
- 11:40First thing I like about it is that it's all been liability
- 11:43toward the under. So if we get a total, a lot of
- 11:46totals open 9 1/2 and got down to 9.
- 11:49And then any totals that are at 9 are now continuing to be
- 11:52juiced toward the under. So a lot of books are mostly 9
- 11:56under -115 -, 120 pretty decent bet splits here.
- 12:01In particular, you look at Circa for this matchup, we have over
- 12:0590% of bets and dollars going under.
- 12:07So it tells me a lot of Vegas wise guy money is also going
- 12:11under here. Then you look at the Reds in
- 12:14terms of their offense. They got a great record, 8:00
- 12:16and 5:00. But did you know the Reds are
- 12:18dead last in MLB and run scored? They've only scored 39 runs this
- 12:22year, which is again last in baseball.
- 12:25Both these teams haven't hit very well.
- 12:27Angels hitting two O 1, Reds hitting two O 8.
- 12:30Burns has been great sub one era so far to start the year. 5%
- 12:35sharp mush edge from our friends at juice reel on this under.
- 12:39But really the reason why I really like this under is
- 12:41rhythm. You pop open the rhythm app and
- 12:43I have all three of my models telling me to take the under and
- 12:48not only that, but they're all three green star recommended
- 12:51plays. So first model has a 7.8
- 12:55combined final score or total. Next model is a 7.4.
- 13:00Third model is a 7.7. So again, I would have loved to
- 13:03get the 9 1/2, but that's gone. But nine is still juiced up
- 13:07under -115 -, 120. Rhythm has about a 7 1/2 or an 8
- 13:12for a final total. So I'm going to take a shot here
- 13:14on the under 9. Here's the thing, you got to
- 13:17shop around. I found under 9 -, 113 at Bally
- 13:21Bet, whereas you have most books under 9 - 115 or -120 also, you
- 13:28know, since he is around a -, 180 -, 190 favorite.
- 13:32So hopefully a big favorite here.
- 13:33You don't have your last at bat. Maybe you win, you know, 6-1 or
- 13:37five nothing or two or two nothing, whatever the case may
- 13:40be. But when I saw all three rhythm
- 13:42models lit up in green on the under, I said, hey, let's take a
- 13:46shot here on this under. So I did go Angels and Reds
- 13:49under 9 - 113 next one for you. Let's go back to a dog.
- 13:54Let's look at the Yankees. 7:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch
- 13:58visiting the Tampa Bay Rays. Now the Yankees come in eight
- 14:01and four in the year. Did just lose, however, two or
- 14:03three against the A's, losing yesterday's series finale, 1
- 14:07nothing as a big -200 home favorite.
- 14:10Meanwhile, the Rays five and seven lost two or three against
- 14:12the Cubbies dropped that series finale 6 to 2 as a -115 home
- 14:17favorite. So have you seen across the
- 14:19board here? Well, first let's start with a
- 14:21pitching match up. Yankees are going to go with the
- 14:22ready Louise heal for years I called him Louise Gill and then
- 14:26I listen to Red Sox Yankee him it's Louise heal but he's making
- 14:30his debut. He last pitched in 2025 went
- 14:33four and one 3.32 ERA raised. Meanwhile, going with the lefty
- 14:37Steven Matz, he's 2 and O with a four point O 9 ERA.
- 14:40So. What do you see across the
- 14:42market here? Will this game open Yankees
- 14:45around a -, 140 road favorite, Tampa around a + 120 home dog.
- 14:50And the public is saying the Yankees are going to roll here.
- 14:52They lost two in a row. So on A2 game losing streak
- 14:56against the lowly A's, they'll get back on track and beat up on
- 14:59the Rays. That's what the public's saying.
- 15:01So 86%. This is one of the most lopsided
- 15:04games I've seen in a while. 86% of money line bets at DK are
- 15:09laying the truck with the Bronx Bombers.
- 15:11However, even though you're getting nearly 90% of bets on
- 15:13the Yankees, Yankees open -140 they're not up to -150 or -160.
- 15:19They're down to -130 or even down to -125 S this line, even
- 15:24though you're getting such heavy betting from the public on New
- 15:27York, the lines actually falling toward Tampa Bay.
- 15:31So we've seen Tampa Bay go from around plus 120 down to plus
- 15:34110. Tells me again, reverse line
- 15:36move. Smart money going with the Rays
- 15:38here. Now Ray's one of the top
- 15:40contrarian plays of the day. Only 14% bets, but over 30%
- 15:44money at DK. So low bets, higher dollar
- 15:46split. I have a lot of matches here.
- 15:49System plays on the Reds or sorry on the the Rays.
- 15:52Home dogs 52 percent, 15% ROI this year.
- 15:56Short home dogs plus 120 or less.
- 15:59They're three O 2 and two 7153 percent, 8% ROI since 2025.
- 16:05Both teams coming off a loss take the dog if they're getting
- 16:08$0.10 of line movement or more, they're 15 and 1452 percent, 21%
- 16:13ROI since 2025. Tampa also be a divisional dog.
- 16:18So built in familiarity, leveling the playing field,
- 16:20benefiting the team, getting some plus money.
- 16:23You also have the raise little bit of a rest versus tired
- 16:25advantage because they were off yesterday and prior to that they
- 16:28played at home against the the the Cubs so don't have to
- 16:32travel. Meanwhile, the Yankees played
- 16:33yesterday and now got to travel South.
- 16:36So hopefully a little bit of an edge there.
- 16:37Rest first tired on Tampa. So public hammering New York.
- 16:40But the lines going to Tampa notice a 27% sharp mush edge on
- 16:45the Rays at juice rail. And oh, by the way, I have all
- 16:48three rhythm recommendations here telling me to take Tampa
- 16:52Bay. And of those three rhythm
- 16:55recommendations, let's see, let me pull it up here.
- 16:58Go to my money line. Two of them are Green Star
- 17:02recommended plays. So rhythms with us, Juice rails
- 17:05with us, big contrarian play with some sharp, sharp money
- 17:08movement. I took a shot here on Tampa Bay.
- 17:11Plus 1/10. Next one for you.
- 17:14Let's go back to a total. You get the you know, you get
- 17:17the the drill here today. Guys were going dog under, dog
- 17:21under and dog. So next one is San Francisco and
- 17:24Baltimore. We got the Giants, G man
- 17:28visiting the Orioles is a 7:15 PM Eastern Time first pitch and
- 17:33I will be going under 8 1/2 here.
- 17:36Now setting the stage. G men are 5 and 8.
- 17:39They did, however, just take two or three against Philly.
- 17:42Orioles, meanwhile, 6 and six just swept the White Sox had
- 17:45them a couple times in that series, so that was nice.
- 17:48Now, Baltimore has been holding steady like -125 -, 130.
- 17:52But the under looks pretty sharp to me because a lot of these
- 17:55books opened or first, let's start about the pitching match
- 17:58up. My mistake, A couple righties we
- 18:00got Landon, Roop, one and one, 4.22 ERA going for the G men,
- 18:05Shane, Baz, O&O, 4 point O 9 ERA going for the birds.
- 18:11As I mentioned with the total, looks like all movement
- 18:14liabilities on this under because most books, some books
- 18:17open as high as 9 1/2, got down to 9 and now we're down to 8
- 18:201/2. Some books open 8 1/2.
- 18:22Juice toward the over -115 we look across the board every
- 18:27books down to 8 1/2 and many books are 8 1/2 under -115 -,
- 18:32130 or -115 -, 120 I should say. So you're seeing a lot of
- 18:36liability here on this under at DraftKings, 62% bet, 79% dollars
- 18:43are on the under. You also look at both these
- 18:45teams. Not crazy good offensively.
- 18:48Knock on wood, but Baltimore has only scored 45 runs this year.
- 18:51That's 21st in baseball. San Fran's only scored 41 runs.
- 18:55That's 27th in baseball. San Fran also only hitting two O
- 18:597 against righty's that ranks 27th and Major League Baseball.
- 19:03So both teams have really struggled offensively.
- 19:05This total has fallen or been juiced toward the under 8 1/2.
- 19:09Then we go to rhythm. I have three rhythm
- 19:12recommendations all telling me to take the under, two of which
- 19:16are Green Star recommendations. So my models with rhythm have
- 19:20the combined total of 6.97.1 and 6.7.
- 19:26So basically, rhythm is predicting a total of 7.
- 19:29We can get under 8 1/2 again, looks like a sharp bet here to
- 19:33take the under. Now remember, a lot of books are
- 19:358 1/2 under -115 but I did find under 8 1/2 -, 110 standard
- 19:40juice over at Fanatics. So here's what I'm thinking,
- 19:44guys, moving forward, if we have three rhythm recommendations all
- 19:48on the under, and at least two of them are green stars and the
- 19:52market is moving down, hey, why not play it?
- 19:55So I did take the under 8 1/2 Giants, Baltimore -110 at
- 19:59Fanatics. Last bet of the night.
- 20:02You know, I'm a Red Sox fan. I hope you guys know I'm willing
- 20:05to bet against my teams if if they're public or if the sharp
- 20:08side is the opposing team. So let's talk. 8:15 PM Eastern
- 20:12Time tonight, the Red Sox visiting the Saint Louis
- 20:15Cardinals. Now the Sox come in four and
- 20:17eight on the year. Had a terrible start but did
- 20:20just take two or three against the Brew Crew.
- 20:22Won that series finale 5 nothing as a -, 140 home favorite.
- 20:26Meanwhile, the cards 7:00 and 5:00 on the year.
- 20:28So kind of a surprise because they sold a lot of pieces and
- 20:31kind of in a rebuild. But seven and five one just won
- 20:34two or three against the Nats took the series finale 6 to 1
- 20:37yesterday as a - 125 road favorite.
- 20:41So for this interleague series opener, the Red Sox are going to
- 20:44lefty Connolly early O&O 2.89 ERA.
- 20:48You know all the cards are going to go with the Rady, Dustin, May
- 20:51O and 215.95 ERA Not great. Now, what do we see across the
- 20:56market here? Well, this game opened with the
- 20:58Red Sox listed around a -, 145 road favorite Saint Louis round
- 21:02A + 125 home dog, and the public is all over Boston.
- 21:06It's funny because the Red Sox are a minus number laying it on
- 21:09the road, and they're four and eight against the winning team,
- 21:12Cardinals. But public still says Cardinals
- 21:14stink, Red Sox are good. So right now you are getting
- 21:18across the board 66% of money line bets at DK going with the
- 21:23Red Sox. However, the Lions kind of
- 21:25stayed the same or even fallen towards Saint Louis because the
- 21:28Red Sox -140 fives. Some of them are down to -140 I
- 21:32even see a -136 out there. So why is line dropping away
- 21:36from Boston and towards Saint Louis who went from plus 125 now
- 21:41down to around or plus 135 I should say or plus 130 down to
- 21:45plus 125 + 120 again? Why is the payout getting
- 21:49smaller on Saint Louis if the public's hammering Boston once
- 21:53again, RLM reverse line move sharp, sharp money going Saint
- 21:56Louis kind of line freezes freeze ish as well.
- 22:00But Saint Louis great bet against the public play.
- 22:02They're only getting 34% of money line bets at DK if you go
- 22:06to Circa Cardinals, 55% tickets, 71% dollars.
- 22:10So sharps in Vegas more bullish on Saint Louis home dogs 52
- 22:15percent, 15% ROI this year. Both teams coming off a win.
- 22:19Take the home dog 40 and 24 this season, 63 percent, 34% ROI
- 22:25since the start of last year. Cards going up against the lefty
- 22:28Connelly early. They're hitting 271 against
- 22:31lefties. That's third best in baseball.
- 22:33Oh, by the way, Red Sox one and five on the road.
- 22:36Saint Louis four and two at home.
- 22:38Lastly, 16% sharp mush edge on the cards and even better, I was
- 22:43going through all my recommendations from Rhythm
- 22:45today. Guess what?
- 22:46All three rhythm recommendations are on Saint Louis.
- 22:49All three are green stars. So Rhythm is heavy on Saint
- 22:53Louis tonight. So I took a shot on the cards.
- 22:56Plus 125 S, 3 dogs, 3 unders, Miami, Tampa Bay and Saint Louis
- 23:03are your dogs. Reds under 9 and Orioles under 8
- 23:081/2. See if we can get three of these
- 23:09each out of winning night to end our week.
- 23:12So that about does it for episode 489 of the All Systems
- 23:16Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 23:18This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 23:20And I always start first by saying thank you.
- 23:23Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in.
- 23:25Thank you for grinding in the arena with me every single day
- 23:29through the good days, the bad days, the hot streaks, the cold
- 23:31streaks, how whether we're up or down, we wake up the next day
- 23:35with a positive, optimistic attitude, trying to make
- 23:38data-driven plays with our head and not our heart.
- 23:40And that's what I'm very, very proud of.
- 23:42If you do enjoy the pod and you want to help me grow this
- 23:44podcast, what do you think? Couple things you could do.
- 23:48Could you give it a five star review?
- 23:49Give the pod a five star review on Spotify or iTunes.
- 23:53Recommend the pod to a friend. Click the follow button, retweet
- 23:56the pod when I put it out at Josh under score insights.
- 23:59Any or all of those things would be very much appreciated.
- 24:02Next, if you enjoy the style of sports betting, breakdown,
- 24:05data-driven, sharp, contrary and betting focusing on line
- 24:08movement bets, split system matches, focusing on what the
- 24:12betting market is doing and what it means versus what our bias is
- 24:15telling us to do. If this style of betting has
- 24:17appealed to you, you want to learn more about data-driven
- 24:20betting. Maybe you have someone in your
- 24:22life who could use some data-driven tips.
- 24:24I'd love for you to go to Amazon.com and type in the NFL
- 24:28Sharp Betting Playbook or the Everything Guide to Sports
- 24:31Betting. Those are my two books that I've
- 24:32written. Very proud of both.
- 24:34I'm actually thinking of my next book writing about baseball, but
- 24:37if you want to give them a five star review or a nice comment on
- 24:40Amazon, I would love that. And then bring those books to
- 24:43the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 24:45I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
- 24:46I'll sweat some baseball together today.
- 24:49Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
- 24:51My two favorite sports betting apps.
- 24:53They're going to help you win because they help me win.
- 24:56Make sure I'm on the sharp side. Nice little cherries on top.
- 24:58If the AI models are with us, that's always a good sign.
- 25:01Albert Rhythm fantastic for their AI backed models and
- 25:04predictions for game bets and player props as well as Juice
- 25:07Reel. So many great features.
- 25:09You can get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
- 25:11indicators, the arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line
- 25:14futures and you can support the pod by getting the $4.99 a week
- 25:19best bets on Juice Reel. Cost you 5 bucks, but you get
- 25:23every play that I make, every podcast play.
- 25:25You get them a little bit earlier.
- 25:27And again, this pod is free, so I consider a tip jar.
- 25:30If you value the insights, drop a $5.00 bill.
- 25:32Get those ASG best bets from the Juice Reel tab.
- 25:37So give Rhythm and Juice Reel A5 star review in the App Store
- 25:39while you're at it. Next, do you have a live odds
- 25:42page? Well, if you don't have one, you
- 25:44need one. You got to be able to track the
- 25:45market, see what you know. Games are available to bet the
- 25:48live scoring, live in game wagering odds.
- 25:50But most important, what are the line open at and where is it
- 25:53now? Compare the open to the current
- 25:55pull up line history. Shop for the best number.
- 25:58These are all critical tools that you need to know if you're
- 26:00going to make a data-driven play and then of course, finding the
- 26:03book offering the best price. So with that in mind, if you'd
- 26:06like to give Odds Logic a shot, it's the best live odds page
- 26:09around. All you got to do is use this
- 26:11special link, Odds logic.com/josh 123.
- 26:16That's going to give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
- 26:19first month of service. Next, have you downloaded the
- 26:25Profit X app PROPHETA Profit like profit you want to make
- 26:31money and profit like, I don't know in the Bible Profit X is
- 26:35great because it's a it's a a sports betting exchange and not
- 26:38a sports book. You're going to get way better
- 26:40juice prices. So instead of getting -120 -,
- 26:43115, you're getting minus one O 5 + 1 O2.
- 26:46Therefore, in exchange against other betters, you don't have to
- 26:50you don't have to pay what the house is forcing you to pay.
- 26:53You get better juice prices by going up against fellow betters.
- 26:56So download the Profit X app use the promo code Josh Josh for a
- 27:0020% deposit match. So that about does it for
- 27:03episode 489 of the ASG pod as always, powered by Rhythm.
- 27:08Lastly, 2 final thoughts before we get out of here.
- 27:10One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 27:14River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
- 27:15Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
- 27:19Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield or the
- 27:22Nash in my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts and
- 27:25New Hampshire are out in the desert where the true grinders
- 27:28get down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
- 27:30runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
- 27:32Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
- 27:34plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
- 27:36When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
- 27:39you're going to walk up to me. You can show me a nice Xander
- 27:42Bogart to walk off Pods ticket. Don't show me a Tigers ticket.
- 27:46How pathetic getting swept in a four-game series against the
- 27:48freaking Twins. Anyway, guys, as always, coming
- 27:52off A1 and 1/2 and OO and two, a good night, a bad night, a hot
- 27:56streak, a cold streak, just got to stay even keeled.
- 27:59Baseball's a long season. We got to we got to think about
- 28:02like, you know, monthly increments of baseball and just
- 28:06continue to grind and look for games that fit our model, games
- 28:09that are against the public, with the house, with the pros,
- 28:12flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV.
- 28:14If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters.
- 28:17So that about does it, guys. I want to wish you a great.
- 28:20Friday night have an even better weekend reminder, no pods on the
- 28:23weekend, but you can always read the sharp reports that I write.
- 28:26It'll be MLB Saturday and Sunday for visen.com.
- 28:29You can find it on Twitter at Josh under score insights, where
- 28:32as always, you can get those best bet picks on the juicer lap
- 28:34over the weekend. But good luck everybody have a
- 28:37great weekend and I'll see you back on Monday.
- 28:41That'll be episode 490 of the All Systems Go sports Betting
- 28:45podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and I'll see
- 28:49ya next week.