Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 545 - 7/8/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 545 - 7/8/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to episode 545 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:19
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:23
  I am your. Host Josh Applebaum.
• 0:31
  What's going on, everyone? Happy Wednesday, Another day
• 0:33
  here. In the arena, guys, we've
• 0:35
  officially reached hump day. That means we're halfway through
• 0:38
  our work week. We're also.
• 0:39
  One day closer to the MLB. All Star Break.
• 0:42
  So we got today, we got Thursday, Friday, Saturday,
• 0:45
  Sunday. We're at the home.
• 0:46
  Stretch here cuz Sunday will be the last day of games before the
• 0:49
  unofficial end of the first half.
• 0:51
  And then of course, Monday we got the Home Run Derby.
• 0:54
  I just saw who's at Junior Caminero, Ben Rice and just came
• 0:58
  out that Jack keg Leone, the big slugger, their top pick for the
• 1:02
  Royals will now join the Home Run Derby.
• 1:04
  So we got the Derby. Coming up on Monday.
• 1:06
  Tuesday we got the All Star game automatically.
• 1:09
  I haven't. Even seen the I.
• 1:10
  Don't think the line has come out yet.
• 1:12
  Don't have any bet splits or anything, but typically bet the
• 1:15
  under in the All Star game. I don't know if it's going to be
• 1:17
  like 7 1/2 seven. We'll have to do a little more
• 1:19
  digging there, but usually you see those unders do really well
• 1:23
  historically, really good pitching.
• 1:25
  Again, you're also looking at, you know, historically I think
• 1:28
  the under I don't I don't have the number off the top of my
• 1:30
  head, but I know it's a really good play in for years past
• 1:34
  because you get a lot of two to one games, three to two games,
• 1:36
  four to three games. You got the best pitchers, the
• 1:38
  best relievers. So again.
• 1:40
  We'll wait and see. What the line comes out at
• 1:42
  whether, whether it's 7 1/2, seven, but usually I feel like
• 1:46
  every every Midsummer classic, I'm on the under 7 1/2.
• 1:48
  So we'll see if that holds true here coming up which?
• 1:51
  Would be a week. From yesterday, but with that
• 1:54
  being said, guys going to get right back to.
• 1:55
  MLB try to embrace. These last few days before the
• 1:58
  All Star break, try to pat our bankroll a little bit.
• 2:01
  As we get into the gamblers. Vacation.
• 2:03
  I don't know if you guys have any plans for next week when
• 2:06
  these these games are off, but you know, hey, try to make the
• 2:09
  most of it, take a breather. And then, you know, you kind of
• 2:12
  get excited for the stretch on MLB knowing that, hey, football
• 2:16
  is not that far away. Really what's crazy?
• 2:19
  I mean, you get Week 0 college football.
• 2:21
  I mean, we're. Basically a month away, which is
• 2:24
  not not much at all here as we as we get closer to NFL and
• 2:27
  college football. But anyways, we got some some
• 2:30
  stuff to talk about before then. I do have a three pack of sweats
• 2:33
  for you today guys. I got 2 short favorites and I
• 2:35
  got a dog. I got a sharp dog here that has
• 2:38
  a really good line move. Great bet, splits super sharp, 3
• 2:42
  rhythm recommendations all lighting up in favor.
• 2:44
  Of this team and a 28% sharp. Mush Edge from our friends at
• 2:48
  Juice rail, so I'm going. To see if we can get 2 out of 3.
• 2:52
  Eke out a winning day, which is always the goal.
• 2:55
  Now looking back to our last night, guys, that's what we did.
• 2:57
  Two in one. Eeked out A2 in one day.
• 3:00
  Plus zero point. 7 units. Remember we had all those -118
• 3:04
  games again, if you. Were able to get.
• 3:06
  FanDuel get those numbers, but all short favorites and we got 2
• 3:09
  out of 3. So that was the goal.
• 3:11
  We got the Rays. Hanging on six to four against
• 3:14
  the Yankees, so. That was a little bit dicey
• 3:16
  there in the last few innings with the Rays hung on, which was
• 3:19
  a good winner, and then also the Marlins epic walk off.
• 3:22
  Their Marlins had a lead. They coughed it up.
• 3:24
  They got down. There was an eighth inning.
• 3:26
  They're down. 5 to 4 pinch hit home run.
• 3:28
  Absolutely massive. From Herberto Hernandez.
• 3:32
  Guy hit a huge Homer for us to tie the game.
• 3:35
  They went to the What was it? The 9th.
• 3:39
  Or was it extra innings and they were able to shut him down and
• 3:42
  then they walked off? On a Jacob Marcy, it was it.
• 3:45
  Was unclear if it was a home run or a triple or a single because
• 3:49
  it took a little bit to to grade the play because there are
• 3:52
  multiple guys on it. Looked like a home run but then
• 3:53
  it looked like oh it actually hit the fence.
• 3:56
  But either way it didn't matter they won the game so ended up
• 3:59
  being graded as a single. But nice little walk off there
• 4:01
  with the Marlins that was great to see only.
• 4:04
  Loser was the Nationals going down six to three against
• 4:07
  Houston. Kind of annoying because again,
• 4:10
  that was another sharp play, but I'll never complain about going
• 4:13
  going 2 and. One and.
• 4:13
  Eking out a winning day that is again always the goal.
• 4:16
  So without further ado, after a 2 and. 1 + 0.7 unit night.
• 4:21
  Let's see if we can replicate. It so we can get another.
• 4:23
  Two and one winning. Night here for tonight.
• 4:25
  Fingers crossed. Knock on wood.
• 4:27
  So without further ado, let's get right to our plays.
• 4:30
  Excited to sweat these games with you guys tonight.
• 4:32
  And again see if we can get. Two out of three, so first, but
• 4:35
  on the board, I'm going to go right back to the scene of the
• 4:37
  crime. They let us down last night, but
• 4:39
  they're sharp again tonight. They owe us a win.
• 4:41
  I'm talking about 6:45 PM. Eastern Time, the Washington
• 4:44
  Nationals hosting the Houston. Astros Now this is the rubber
• 4:49
  match of a three-game. Interleague series The Nats, who
• 4:52
  are 47 and 46. They won the opener. 12:00 to
• 4:55
  11:00. That was a crazy game.
• 4:57
  They're up big. Almost blew it but hung on as a
• 4:59
  -, 115 home. Favorite then the Stroh.
• 5:01
  'S 46 and 48 on the year bounce back with a six to three win.
• 5:05
  Yesterday, unfortunately for us. Houston came through as a + 100.
• 5:09
  Road Dog. So pitching match up here for
• 5:12
  tonight in the series finale, we have the Astros.
• 5:15
  Going with the ready Spencer Araghetti, he's seven and four
• 5:18
  with a 3.81 ERA. You know all the Nats are going
• 5:21
  to go with the lefty Foster Griffin.
• 5:24
  He's nine and two with a 2.87 ERA.
• 5:26
  So what we've. Seen across the market here.
• 5:29
  Will this game open with the Nats listed around a -. 130 home
• 5:32
  favorite Houston around A + 110 Rd.
• 5:35
  Dog and sharps. Clearly going Nationals.
• 5:38
  Here so we've seen this line. Creep up further toward
• 5:40
  Washington. Open -130 Now they're up to
• 5:43
  -130. Five, a lot of books now closing
• 5:46
  in on -140 So not a 2030. Cents the move.
• 5:49
  But very clearly 5 to $0.10. Of movement in favor of the
• 5:52
  Nationals. Then we layer in our bet.
• 5:55
  Splits go over to DraftKings. Currently at DraftKings, the
• 5:58
  Nats are only getting 61% of money line bets, but 88% of
• 6:04
  money line. Dollars, that tells me.
• 6:05
  We. Got a sharp low bets, higher
• 6:07
  dollar split, basically slight public support.
• 6:09
  But also heavy. Sharp money moving that number
• 6:12
  further toward Washington. Now nationals would have that
• 6:15
  classic interleague favorite value.
• 6:17
  So lack of familiarity historically benefiting.
• 6:20
  Quote UN quote. The better team.
• 6:21
  But also a good system match. When you're a home favorite
• 6:24
  -140. Or less so they're kind of right
• 6:26
  on the edge here because they're creeping up toward -140.
• 6:29
  You can still. Get them around -135 But those
• 6:32
  home favorites minus. 140 or less.
• 6:34
  Who missed the playoffs the previous year?
• 6:36
  Facing an opponent who? Also missed the playoffs the
• 6:38
  previous year. Again, Nationals would match.
• 6:40
  Those teams are 107 and 6860. 1% eleven percent ROI this year.
• 6:47
  Nationals also hopefully can get to Araghetti tonight.
• 6:49
  They got the better bats. As a team, they're hitting two.
• 6:52
  50 with 500 runs scored. Astros.
• 6:55
  Hitting 242 with 430 runs scored.
• 6:58
  I want to back Foster Griffin. This guy's been really good.
• 7:01
  I mentioned this his last start and he came through for us, but
• 7:04
  I think he was a first round pick and he kind of flamed out
• 7:06
  or really didn't. Do much.
• 7:07
  He went to Japan at one point. Signed like a one year
• 7:10
  $5,000,000 deal with Washington and the guy's been just nails
• 7:14
  ever since in. His 18 starts this year.
• 7:17
  Washington is 14 and 4. So again, overall, the Nats are
• 7:21
  just. What was it, one game?
• 7:23
  Yeah, one game above 500, basically when he doesn't start,
• 7:27
  you know, they're they're nine games below.
• 7:29
  And I guess that's one way to look at it.
• 7:31
  But fourteen and four and Griffin's 18 starts this year.
• 7:35
  He's also given up only 1 earned run or less In six straight
• 7:39
  starts. He's 8 and O, with a 2.3 O ERA
• 7:42
  at night versus 1 and 2 of. The 3.6. 3 ERA in the day.
• 7:47
  So 3.63 you know, not a bad. ERA, but he's been.
• 7:50
  Really good in particular. At night we got a night game
• 7:52
  here. Tonight, in the nation's
• 7:53
  capital, you flip to Aragetti. Houston is O and.
• 7:57
  Four in his last four starts. And he's posted a 4.74 ERA at
• 8:01
  night. Versus 2 point. 2O during.
• 8:03
  The day so you've. Seen, you know we.
• 8:06
  Just talked about how you know Griffin is way better.
• 8:09
  At night. Well, it's the opposite for
• 8:11
  Aragetti. He's good during.
• 8:12
  The day 2.2 O. Versus nearly 5 at night, so I
• 8:16
  want to fade. Erigetti, I want to back Griffin
• 8:19
  the gambling. Gods deserve to give us a win
• 8:21
  here with Washington tonight because they let us down last
• 8:23
  night. But a good sharp steam move.
• 8:25
  Good bet splits, good system, matches my first play of the
• 8:28
  night going right back to the to the nationals here.
• 8:31
  Got the Nats minus. 134 at FanDuel.
• 8:34
  Definitely shop around most. Folks inching up toward. -140
• 8:39
  Now let's look at a battle here on the South side 7. 40 PM
• 8:42
  Eastern Time. Between the Red Sox and the
• 8:45
  White Sox. Now the Red Sox.
• 8:47
  Come in 41 and 48. They won last night.
• 8:49
  Series opener 8 to one came through as a -. 125 Rd.
• 8:53
  Favorite. I can't believe it.
• 8:55
  I can't believe I'm saying this, but are they finally making me
• 8:58
  believe they're nine and two in their last eleven games?
• 9:01
  Hopefully it's not. Lucy in the football getting me
• 9:03
  excited only to to tail off. But anyway pitching match up for
• 9:07
  tonight. Red Sox are going.
• 9:08
  With the lefty Jake Bennett three and three, 3.1 O.
• 9:12
  ERA White Sox. Meanwhile, who are 47 and 43?
• 9:16
  They're going to go. With the righty Davis.
• 9:17
  Martin, He's nine and three with a three-point O 8 ERA.
• 9:21
  Now what do we see across the market?
• 9:23
  Well, this game open White Sox around a -, 130 home favorite,
• 9:26
  Boston around a + 110 road dog. And sharps, believe it or not,
• 9:32
  riding the Red Sox. Because we've seen.
• 9:35
  Red Sox again, nine and two, their last 11.
• 9:37
  They're playing their best baseball of the year.
• 9:39
  They're closing in on the All Star break.
• 9:41
  Big conversation. If you're a talk radio person
• 9:43
  like me who likes listening in New England, it's whether the
• 9:47
  Red Sox should be a buyer or a seller.
• 9:48
  They're kind of right on the edge here.
• 9:50
  But if they keep winning, who knows, maybe they start to buy.
• 9:53
  But anyway. We've seen this line.
• 9:54
  Move away from Chicago. Chicago's gone from minus. 1:30.
• 9:58
  Down to minus. 1:15 and. Seen this line also move toward
• 10:01
  Boston Red Sox. Went from getting plus 110 now
• 10:05
  they're. -1 O 5 so basically. We're seeing smart money on
• 10:08
  Boston move this game. Toward a pick em.
• 10:11
  Now it's still Chicago -115 Boston minus one O 5, but again,
• 10:15
  open Chicago -130 so we're seeing.
• 10:17
  This line tighten up. Which tells us smart money's
• 10:20
  going Red Sox. You look at the splits, they
• 10:22
  look really good. On Boston at DK.
• 10:25
  Red Sox are getting. 64% of money line bets but 97% of money
• 10:30
  line dollars. Over at Circa.
• 10:32
  Red Sox are getting 59% of money line bets, but 74.
• 10:35
  Percent of money line dollars. So the lines moving toward the
• 10:39
  Red Sox. And both DK.
• 10:40
  And circa, especially out in Vegas, showing a sharp split in
• 10:44
  favor of. Boston now once it's the match,
• 10:47
  it lit up for me. Dogs off a win who received line
• 10:51
  movement in their favor and that team.
• 10:52
  Also made the playoffs the previous year so you're getting
• 10:55
  plus money. Little bit of momentum.
• 10:57
  Markets moving in your direction and Oh yeah.
• 10:59
  You're a decent team. You made the playoffs.
• 11:02
  That's just a match which matches with the Red Sox.
• 11:03
  Tonight is 31 and 28. 53% and automatically.
• 11:08
  You know, if you're. 53% on a dog money line system, you're
• 11:11
  doing pretty good because of the plus money payouts.
• 11:13
  That's an 8% ROI. This kid Bennett, he's 6 foot 6
• 11:18
  and he's pitched very well, knock on wood, since joining the
• 11:21
  rotation. He's giving up two earned runs
• 11:24
  or less. In four straight starts.
• 11:26
  He has an ERA. Of 3.97 during the day.
• 11:29
  But two point. 76 at night and again night.
• 11:31
  Game here. Meanwhile, Davis, Martin.
• 11:33
  The guy's got pretty good numbers overall again.
• 11:36
  Was it 9 and 3 three-point O 8 ERA but he.
• 11:39
  Started off really hot, kind of tailed off a bit and his last
• 11:42
  six starts he has a 5.74 ERA. He's given up 18 earned runs in
• 11:46
  28.2 When? He's pitched.
• 11:49
  Red Sox also have the better bullpen.
• 11:50
  Again. Another topic conversation is
• 11:52
  what role does Chapman be traded?
• 11:53
  I think they should trade him because he's older and can
• 11:55
  probably get a lot for him. A lot of teams want a good
• 11:58
  reliever, but at least he's on the team.
• 12:01
  Now and tonight. And the Red Sox.
• 12:03
  Overall, have an ERA. In the bullpen of. 3.3.
• 12:05
  Seven, that is third. Best in.
• 12:07
  Baseball. Chicago's bullpen. 4.14.
• 12:10
  ERA that's 616th. So hope you guys know this.
• 12:14
  You know I'm a Red Sox fan. I would, I learned a long time
• 12:17
  ago, don't. Bet on your favorite.
• 12:18
  Teams just because they're your. Favorite teams and you.
• 12:20
  Want to catch your bet and root for your team?
• 12:22
  You learn a long time ago when you first start betting, don't
• 12:25
  bet your favorite teams just because they're your favorite
• 12:27
  teams. But there are situations where
• 12:29
  your favorite team, you're not looking to bet on them, but
• 12:32
  they're jumping out to you because they're sharp.
• 12:33
  So I'm going to take a shot on the Red Sox here tonight.
• 12:36
  Again, good splits, good line movement.
• 12:39
  Playing. Playing really well, right?
• 12:40
  Now and then to add a little cherry on Topper multiple
• 12:43
  cherries on top, you look over at rhythm popped open the rhythm
• 12:47
  app all. Three of my rhythm.
• 12:49
  Models are lighting up on the Red Sox and then if you go to
• 12:53
  Juice Reel I. Noticed a 28.
• 12:55
  Percent a nearly 30% sharp mush edge on Boston.
• 13:00
  So it tells me a lot of sharp betters like you guys out there
• 13:03
  who are listening are also going Red Sox here.
• 13:05
  So fire up your your clam chowder, get your Dunks coffee
• 13:09
  going. We're sweating the Red Sox
• 13:11
  tonight on the South Side. I got Boston.
• 13:13
  Even money +100. At the Score.
• 13:16
  Definitely shop around. A lot of books now.
• 13:17
  Red Sox are on -1 O five, last bed of the night.
• 13:21
  Let's go to Saint Louis, 7:45 PM Eastern Time, where the
• 13:25
  Milwaukee Brewers are. Visiting the Saint Louis.
• 13:27
  Cardinals now the Brewers come in 50. 8 and 33.
• 13:31
  Having another great year. Taking the first three games of
• 13:34
  this four-game series, Milwaukee won the opener 4:00 to 3:00 as a
• 13:38
  -, 120 road favorite and. Then they swept yesterday's
• 13:41
  doubleheader. They won. 4:00 to 3:00 as.
• 13:43
  A -. 225 road favorite. They won again. 1:50.
• 13:46
  In the nightcap as a -, 110 road pickup.
• 13:50
  So pitching match up here for tonight.
• 13:52
  Brewers are sending out the. Lefty Kyle Harrison.
• 13:55
  He's 8 and one with a 2.82 ERA. Cardinals, meanwhile, who are 47
• 14:00
  and 43, are going to go with the ready Michael Mcgreevy.
• 14:03
  He's three and seven with a 3.12 ER a.
• 14:06
  What have you seen across the market?
• 14:08
  This game open Milwaukee around a -. 130 road favorite Saint
• 14:12
  Louis around a. Plus 110 home dog and you got to
• 14:15
  imagine, hey, you know, it's a four-game set.
• 14:16
  Milwaukee's won the 1st. Three You know Milwaukee can't
• 14:20
  sweep all four, right? You know the Cardinals are a
• 14:22
  decent. Team above 500, they're at home,
• 14:25
  probably going to see this line go to the Cardinals, right?
• 14:26
  Because they're they're due gamblers fallacy.
• 14:29
  They got to win tonight. They can't get swept.
• 14:30
  They will get at least one this series right.
• 14:33
  Well, maybe they will, but. That's not what the market is
• 14:35
  telling us. The markets moving this game
• 14:37
  further toward all Milwaukee. So the beer makers.
• 14:41
  Have seen this line. Move in their favor -130.
• 14:43
  Up to. -145 some shops even minus. 1:50 So that tells me
• 14:48
  smart money. Banking.
• 14:49
  On the beer makers. To win this game, that's where
• 14:52
  I'm going. I'm going Milwaukee guys.
• 14:54
  You look at the. Splits make it even.
• 14:56
  Sharper of a play, 83% bets. 90. 6% dollars on.
• 15:00
  Milwaukee at DK and then over at circa 60%.
• 15:04
  Money line bets 91%. Dollars on Milwaukee so line
• 15:08
  move toward. Milwaukee.
• 15:09
  Low bets, higher dollars on Milwaukee, then we get to our
• 15:12
  system matches. Good one here when both teams
• 15:15
  are above. 500. Just take the team receiving
• 15:18
  line movement in their. Favor so 2.
• 15:19
  Good teams just go where the market goes.
• 15:21
  That system is 1. 27 and 7563. Percent, 14% ROI this year.
• 15:28
  Milwaukee would also have that correlative betting value, so
• 15:30
  it's a favorite. Around -145 -. 150, with a low
• 15:35
  total of 8 so. Fewer amount of expected run
• 15:38
  scored, more likely. To come from.
• 15:39
  Quote UN quote. That better team Who's?
• 15:41
  Expected to win I. Want to?
• 15:43
  Bank on the Brewers. Bats hopefully getting to
• 15:45
  Mcgreevy and. Harrison, knock on wood,
• 15:47
  pitching well. Brewers are hitting 255 as a
• 15:49
  team, 467 runs scored. Cardinals are hitting 245 as a
• 15:54
  team, 400. And eleven runs scored.
• 15:57
  Mcgreevy last eight starts, Cardinals are just one and seven
• 16:01
  in his starts. Milwaukee, by the way, 29 and 15
• 16:05
  on the road. That is the best.
• 16:07
  Road record in baseball and Saint Louis is actually below.
• 16:10
  Water at home. They're 23 and 24 at home.
• 16:13
  And hopefully this is to our benefit, but Milwaukee has had
• 16:16
  the. Cardinals number this year.
• 16:18
  Brewers are 7 and one against Saint Louis, so fully admit it's
• 16:22
  hard to sweep A4 game set. I remember the Red Sox swept the
• 16:25
  Yankees in a four-game set week ago or so, but I'm going to go
• 16:28
  where the markets telling me this line's moving further
• 16:31
  toward Milwaukee, so I'm going to back.
• 16:33
  Milwaukee here. I.
• 16:34
  Got the brew crew. -140. Five at the score.
• 16:37
  Definitely shop around. I'm seeing a -1. 50 MC even
• 16:40
  seeing. One book at -155 So 3 bets
• 16:44
  tonight. The Nationals, the Red Sox, the
• 16:46
  Brewers. Let's try to get 2 out of three.
• 16:49
  Post another winning night. Knock on wood.
• 16:52
  So that about does it for episode 540.
• 16:54
  Five of the all. Systems go Sports betting
• 16:57
  podcast powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pot
• 16:59
  where we wrap things up and I always start first by.
• 17:02
  Saying thank you, thank you for listening, thank you for tuning
• 17:05
  in, thank you for grinding in the arena with me through the
• 17:08
  ups. And downs the wins and the
• 17:09
  losses. Again, I know it's summer.
• 17:11
  You got a lot going on. You got to drive the kids to
• 17:13
  camp. You got to do this, do that.
• 17:16
  But you guys, you guys TuneIn, you grind the plays with me.
• 17:19
  That means the world to me. So thank you, thank you, thank
• 17:21
  you. Now that I've buttered you up,
• 17:23
  I'm going to ask a favor of you. Could you please give this
• 17:25
  podcast a five star review? If you haven't done it yet, you
• 17:29
  listen on Spotify or iTunes, Give it five stars.
• 17:31
  Help. Us to continue to.
• 17:32
  Grow the pod if you want to leave a nice comment saying you
• 17:35
  enjoy and value the insights. Hey, that's great.
• 17:38
  If you'd also recommend the pod to a friend, retweet the pod or
• 17:41
  like the pod when I put it out on Twitter or click that follow
• 17:44
  button, any or all those things would be very much appreciated.
• 17:48
  Next, if you enjoy the style of sports betting, breakdown,
• 17:51
  data-driven, sharp contrarian betting focusing on not what our
• 17:55
  heart is telling us, but what the betting market is telling
• 17:57
  us. What are the line open at?
• 17:58
  How is it moved? Where the the splits and the
• 18:01
  percentages where the system matches?
• 18:02
  What are the AI models saying? We're always betting based on
• 18:05
  our head and not our heart, so if this style of betting.
• 18:08
  Has appealed to you. It's helped you to cash some
• 18:10
  plays, provided A blueprint how to attack the market, multiple
• 18:13
  sports. Maybe you want to let me know
• 18:15
  you? Appreciate the pod or.
• 18:17
  Hey, you want to learn more about the data-driven sports
• 18:20
  betting? Or maybe you have someone in
• 18:21
  your life who wants to get into betting and doesn't know the
• 18:23
  difference between a run line and a total.
• 18:26
  Or maybe someone you know bets a lot, but they lose a lot and
• 18:28
  they really have just no no philosophy.
• 18:30
  There's throwing darts out loud. Love for you to go to
• 18:34
  Amazon.com. And type in the.
• 18:36
  Everything guide to sports betting.
• 18:38
  Or type in the. NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 18:41
  Those are the two books that I've written.
• 18:42
  They make a great birthday gift for your uncle, your grandpa,
• 18:45
  your son, your nephew. Again, Father's Day is over
• 18:48
  with, but hey, you can buy it all year long.
• 18:50
  Doesn't have to be a special holiday or anything.
• 18:53
  If you want to grab one or both of my books, you can bring the
• 18:56
  sports book. I'll sign them for you.
• 18:57
  I'll buy a be it or ginger ale. Sweat some games together next.
• 19:01
  Have you downloaded Rhythm in Juice Reel yet?
• 19:03
  Well, if you haven't, what are you waiting for?
• 19:05
  They're 2 great apps that I use every day as another box to
• 19:08
  check off when I'm deciding whether or not to place a bet.
• 19:11
  Rhythm is great for their AI backed models and predictions
• 19:13
  for game bets and player props. Juice Reel is fantastic for a
• 19:17
  variety of reasons. You can sync up your sports
• 19:19
  books. Got a running report card of
• 19:20
  your? Action you can get the Robo
• 19:22
  Jackson best bet picks that come out at noon, a pair of plays
• 19:25
  every day at noon, and get the sharp mush indicators arbitrage
• 19:29
  plays. Shop for the best sign futures
• 19:31
  you can. Get those CLV.
• 19:33
  Meters, which are always interesting to track after you
• 19:35
  made the bet. OK, there's a line moving.
• 19:37
  With me or against me? But also it's another way to
• 19:40
  support the pod because if you go sign up on juice.
• 19:43
  Rail you can go to. The buy sell tab, click the
• 19:46
  bottom right corner, little search box, type in ASG, you'll
• 19:50
  find my profile page and you can sign up to get the best bets.
• 19:53
  So as soon as I bet them, they go right to the app.
• 19:56
  You're going to get the best bets.
• 19:57
  If you follow them earlier in the day, you're hopefully going
• 20:00
  to beat some closing lines. And I consider it a tip jar
• 20:03
  because the pod is free if you want to get the best bets.
• 20:06
  You can get them for a full week.
• 20:07
  For $9.99 or a full month for $24.99.
• 20:13
  So for the 990. 9 a week. That accounts to a.
• 20:15
  Dollar and 40. $0.02 a day. The 2499 for a month.
• 20:19
  That accounts to 80. $0.03 a day.
• 20:22
  So if you enjoy the pod again. You want to support the team.
• 20:25
  Get the plays early. I would love for you to sign up
• 20:27
  to get the ASG best bet picks directly from Juice Rail, but
• 20:32
  either way, download rhythm download juicer will give them
• 20:34
  both a five star review in the App Store.
• 20:36
  Next, you have a live odds page. Well, if you don't have one, you
• 20:39
  seriously need one. You got to be able to track the
• 20:41
  market. If you don't, if you don't have
• 20:43
  access to, you know, tracking the market, you're really flying
• 20:48
  blind. You got to know, OK, what are
• 20:49
  all the games that are being played today?
• 20:52
  I need start times, live scoring.
• 20:53
  When the game gets. Going live in game wagering odds
• 20:56
  if I want to get down in. Game I need.
• 20:58
  Accurate, liable sports books that update in real time with no
• 21:02
  delay because timing is everything in sports betting,
• 21:04
  you got to be able to. Compare open to current.
• 21:07
  See which direction the line is moving.
• 21:08
  Pull up the line history a lot. You know lines get lit.
• 21:11
  Up in red. I know that Steam is coming.
• 21:13
  In and lines are moving and also got to be able to see all the
• 21:16
  books side by side and shop for the best line find the book.
• 21:19
  Giving me the best. Price because it makes a big
• 21:21
  difference over the long haul. So in order to do all those
• 21:24
  things and. More.
• 21:25
  You got to use odds logic. All you have to do is use the
• 21:28
  special link oddslogic.com slash.
• 21:31
  Josh 123 that's going to give you a 7.
• 21:34
  Day free trial and 50% off your first month of service.
• 21:38
  Again, that's oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 21:42
  So that about does it for episode 545.
• 21:45
  Of the ASG. Pod on a big Wednesday as always
• 21:48
  guys. Two final thoughts, one whether
• 21:49
  I see. You at the Borgata in Atlantic
• 21:52
  City Twin. River in Rhode Island, the
• 21:53
  Brooklyn, New Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan?
• 21:55
  Sun down in Connecticut. At the.
• 21:57
  Encore in Boston, Plainridge Park Casino, MGM Springfield or
• 22:00
  the Nash in my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts
• 22:03
  in New Hampshire, We're out in the desert where the true
• 22:06
  grinders get down. Where Billy Walters sends his
• 22:08
  number runners with lowest juice possible is found the South
• 22:11
  Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays, jumping in the
• 22:14
  stadium swimming. Pool.
• 22:15
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa.
• 22:17
  Wherever. It may be you're going to show
• 22:18
  me, you're going to walk up to me.
• 22:19
  And show me a. Tampa Bay Rays ticket.
• 22:22
  And show me a beautiful walk off Miami Marlins ticket.
• 22:26
  First one's on you or first one's on me, I should say next
• 22:29
  one's on you. We'll post about the book,
• 22:31
  reinvest those funds and bet three more MLB games here for
• 22:34
  tonight. So as always, coming off a two
• 22:36
  and one or one and two A3 and O or.
• 22:38
  An O and three a winning. Night, a losing night, a hot
• 22:41
  streak, a cold streak, whether everything's going our way or
• 22:43
  nothing's going our way or we're just perpetually grinding
• 22:46
  because that's the life of the sports better.
• 22:48
  We just got to stick with it, guys not get too high when
• 22:50
  things are good, don't get too low when things are bad.
• 22:53
  Stay the course. Think long term marathon, not a
• 22:55
  Sprint. All these cliches, they're true,
• 22:57
  but. If we can find the games that.
• 22:59
  Fit our model games that are against the public with the
• 23:03
  house with the pros flat bet avoid parlays.
• 23:05
  And getting some CLV. If we can do that.
• 23:08
  We're going to be. Successful sports bettors so
• 23:10
  everyone has a great Wednesday night we'll be right back at it
• 23:13
  tomorrow for a big thirsty Thursday edition that'll be
• 23:15
  episode 546 of the all systems go sports betting podcast
• 23:20
  powered by rhythm good luck everybody and have a great.
• 23:24
  Wednesday night.