Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA DFS - UFC 315 | May 10, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MMA DFS - UFC 315 | May 10, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:44
  Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: Happy Thursday, Friday, Saturday, whenever you're listening, I gotta come
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: up with a better intro than Man, I've been doing
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: that for too long. Whatever you're doing though, whatever day
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: you're watching, I hope it's going well. It's definitely going
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: well over here. Reason for that pay per view season
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: always good. Not the best pay per view on paper,
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: relatively speaking, when you compare to some others we've seen
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: most definitely some other better pay per views out there,
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: but two five round fights always great for dfs and
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: two hundred big ones up top. I had to put
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: the ship in hat out here this week shipping two
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: hundred k. Hey, I'll split that with a couple of friends.
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: Heck you, I'll split that with ten friends. Big boy
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: prizes out there. Super pumped for that. UFC three fifteen, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: How we doing, big Marlin.
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm good. Glad to have a pay per view.
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: We got two five round fights. I think most are
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: a lot of the ownership's gonna go to those two,
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: and then we can kind of get a little spread
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: out around that.
• 1:42
  Speaker 4: I do think there's some clear phase.
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: There's some clear chalkier plays, so you kind of got
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: to get lucky, I think, with a couple lower on
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: plays on this card, and hopefully you could talk me
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: into who those will be.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I got.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: A pretty good feeling about this one as well, so
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: my broad slade over you quick. Obviously, the two five
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: round fights. Look at the pricing, I mean it looks
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: really good. A lot of volume for fier Roh, some
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: takedown upside for Valentina, Jack Della, great striking, great volume,
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: full all a wrestler, so both of them will be
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: jammed very heavily, there's no doubt about that. But after that,
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: by far, these prelimb fights and the bottom of the
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: card I have more interests than the top of the card.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: And it's not a hot take, but look at plus
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: two ninety to fin it or plus two ninety to finish,
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: plus two seventy five to finish plus two twenty five
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: to finish when we rattle off the first one, two, three, four,
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: five six fights right here, and the order might be
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: a little different. Ben Wat Alvarez was supposed to take place,
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: so I put this Monday in tapology order we're gonna
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: go based on the stone might be a couple fights
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: different there, but how we have it right now? Obviously
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: the two clear fights Pallall and Minelfiro gonna get ownership.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: Very good to target, but otherwise give me the pre
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: limb fights over the main card fights all day long,
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: and again ownership kind of reflects it.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to pick our spots.
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: Be different in one spot, leave a bit of salary,
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: as you guys know, MMA Roster construction, dupe sport similar
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: to NFL Showdown, but excited for this one. Nate Dean here,
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: Chris Air, what's going on? You don't need the winners.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: You always got the winners, Chris, especially on fan duel
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: back in the day. I don't know if you're still
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: grinding the two thousand dollars up top.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: I hope you're doing well, Chris.
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: Always good to see any broad slate over a few
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: big marley before we go fight by.
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: Fighting, nothing extra.
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: I think I'm ready to jump into it.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: Ready to jump into it, man, A few words.
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: You absolutely love to see that first of all, before
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: we do jump in, though, we do have a promo going.
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: Djen seventy five is the promo code, usually ninety nine
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: dollars for all of our content with Sabersimcore with the
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: best discord around. Use that promo code djen seventy five
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: seventy five dollars off your first month just twenty four
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: dollars and you get saber Sim and you get access
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: to the best discord for the first month less than
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: a dollar day. Absolutely cannot beat that. A lot of
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: the top, Like always, first fight of the night should
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: be a banger ghana right now, I don't know the
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: exact order I put this on tapology. I'm talking like
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: it's the first fight of the night, though the bout
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: orders mean nothing for DFS. One of the biggest misconceptions
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: or what people I think do wrong. Oh, I don't
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: want to be too overexposed to this first fight or
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: too under exposed.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: I don't want to be dead right away. It's all.
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: It means absolutely nothing. Every fight's independent to each other.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: So if people want to do that, I mean out
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: embrace the other way if I like to fight, But
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: it means absolutely nothing. So first fight on the card
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: Daniel Santos, the underdog and more expensive plus one oh
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: five Young Young Lee minus one twenty five minus won
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: sixty for this fight to finish Lee plus one seventy
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: five inside the distance Santo's plus.
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: Two to oh five.
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: So I put this up on Monday, Big Marley, you
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: can see Monday. It was a straight pick up. Lee's
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: taking money now he's minus one twenty five, fight open,
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: Santo's minus one seventy five, and slowly but surely Moneys
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: came in on the Lee side. Another big thing that
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: stands out to me before I throw it to you
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: much smaller fighter is Santos three inches in height for
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: Lee six inches in reach, and that is because Santos
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: is coming up away class, fighting at one five for
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: the first time. I do expect Lee to be the bigger,
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: the stronger fighter, and that's my pick. I think it's
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: a close fight. I think both are solid. Give me
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: the guy that's actual, that actually a natural one to
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: forty five, or I think he'll hit a little bit harder.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: Santos shoots the box guy though, So what's gonna happen
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: in this one?
• 5:37
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't really know. In this one, I don't
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: have a lean either way. To be honest with you,
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: I think.
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: Lee is probably more.
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: Likely to get a finish, but I think Santos would
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: be more aggressive like pace wise, and maybe i'd give
• 5:53
  Speaker 3: him the slight edge on the cards. Maybe that leads
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: to Lee being my preferred play because he is cheaper,
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: and if he gets the finish out of matchine him
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: having the higher ceiling where Santos I think he's gonna
• 6:05
  Speaker 3: have a tough time even hitting ten x. So this
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: is closer to a two star for me than it
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: is a four star. But I just don't have any
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: strong place. I don't want to throw both into the pot.
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: I'll probably try and pick more of a side later
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: in the week see where this line goes. But I
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: could see me being underweight to both, and then maybe
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: with Lee as my preferred place, just to save salary
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: because I think I'm gonna need it.
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: So this is a fight that has to be under owned,
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: or I shouldn't use the word under road. It has
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: to be low owned. And the reason for that is
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: the mid tier completely opposite of last week. Last year week,
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: the mid tier was as bad as it gets. This week,
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: the mid tier is pretty much as strong as it gets.
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: The Wall that's not technically in the mid tier, but
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: by no means as he break the bank if he
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: was ninety five hundred we'd still absolutely love him if
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: you're old Chef Janko twenty five minutes obviously gonna get
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: way more ownership. Mark Andre Berrio Bruno Silva sites minus
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: two twenty to finish, one of the most likely on
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: the card gonna be higher owned. Go down. Eon Kutalava
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: bukowskis who we're gonna talk about every Eon Kulava fight's
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: a good one to target.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: So all of those are gonna get a lot more ownership.
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: And I do think we see Lee coming a good
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: bit higher on than Santo's, maybe like a twenty five
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: Lee of sixteen Santos or something like that, because he's
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: four hundred more on a card where we're not starving
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: for salary or some He's not that that tight, but
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: it's decently tight.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: I don't think there's too many.
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: There's not a multiple underdogs people are jumping to play
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: seventy five hundred in below, so people will use that
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: four hundred savings better inside the distance prop and a
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: better money line, but both inside this is propably solid.
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: Plus one seventy five for Lee plus two oh five
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: for Santos, Like Asantos gets a finish plus two oh five,
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: let me get the odscin verter out. My math is
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: as sharp as Big Marley's right at the top of
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: the dome.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: But thirty two.
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: Point eight per for Santos to finish this fight, he
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: might be half that in ownership. So just when I'm
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: saying that, and I know I want to play both
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: five round fights a good amount. I can play ballall
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: I can pick. I can play feer Zho, I can
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: play Santos. Then I could play cute a Lota and
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: mark Andre Barrier like. I can jam the mid tier
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: that hard and I'm not giving up that much salary,
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: and you can or that much upside and you can
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: leave a lot of salary.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: So I do have Lee winning.
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: He's my preferred side, even though I think he's higher owned.
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: Still easy to leave money with him as well. But
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: in chalk your team spots, I'm looking to get different.
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: This is a fight I will be targeting to get
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: different because it's minus one sixty to finish, and it's
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: just gonna be low owned.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: Because the tier.
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: Is so good and these guys can put on a
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: high pace. I think we could get a good scrap early,
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: so probably a fight. I'm overweight too, but yeah, I'm
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: gonna have to see final ownership and look at the numbers,
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: any thoughts before he gets the next one.
• 8:54
  Speaker 3: Uh, Santos scored more than I thought he did in
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: his last two fights, which I mean I thought he
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: was active, but I didn't think he was that active.
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: So maybe I'm gonna have to go back and rewatch him.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: Fascinatah, that was great.
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: You might have talked me into this being closer to
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: a four star than the two star, to be honest
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: with me, So yeah, I had no real lean. I'll
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: probably check out your notes after this, and I'm more
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: interested than I was, that's for sure.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and a lot of it again because the mid
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: tier is so strong.
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: This is the fight I think that gets overlooked and
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: it's supposed to finish.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: We had twelve fights.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: If we had fourteen fights, I'd probably have a little
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: less interest in it. But yeah, you gotta worry more
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: about game theory stuff as the fights dwindle.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: What's going on? YSM. Appreciate you hanging out with us.
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: Appreciate all you guys hanging out. Let's keep it rolling.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: Next fight on the card.
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, the fight odds in this order is different yeah,
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: Cuti Lava minus one twenty three midstus pukawkis plus one
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: oh three minus two ten for this fight to finish,
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: Quti Lava plus one thirty five inside the distance Bukawkis
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: plus two hundred is our round one props. Cute Lava
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: plus three fifty Bukalkis plus four or five to twenty
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: five in round one. Another line movement. A little bit
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: of change. On Monday, Bukaucus was the favorite at minus
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: one nineteen. Now he's the underdog, pretty much flipped since Monday.
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: Qute Lava minus one twenty three. What I'll say and
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: then I'll throw it to you. If I'm fading one
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: of the two main events, I'm almost surely going to
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: have one of these two fighters, and probably more than
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: likely it'll be cute a Lava. When he wins, he
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: almost always scores Bukalcus. He's fighting a guy that really
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: pushes the pace, so usually I like targeting both sides
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: of qute de Lava.
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: That's the case.
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: But if Qutalava wins, I feel good he scores me hi.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: If Bukaucus wins, I don't know. I'll throw it to
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: you on that. If I'm telling you Bucaalcus wins before
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: he break down the fight, what do you think he
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: scores on average.
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: If he wins a decision, I think he scores in
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: the sixties.
• 10:53
  Speaker 4: If he gets a third.
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: Round knockout, then I mean he's probably like flirting with
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: enough right around ten x second and first round knockout,
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: I think he would score enough.
• 11:06
  Speaker 4: So I'm not sure. I don't know.
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: I think he's almost more likely to win a decision.
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: I don't I don't know that he's gonna hurt. Yeah,
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: so I'm actually thinking I'm gonna go underweight to him.
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: He's probably our more technical striker. He's gonna be the
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: more patient guy.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: He could try and wait for Cute Lobra to make
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: a mistake, but I'd rather have the aggressor in Cute Laba.
• 11:29
  Speaker 4: Who is dangerous too, very dangerous early.
• 11:31
  Speaker 3: If he gets a knockout, it's probably early and could
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: be first round, maybe even the first minute where you
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: break the slate right out of the gates. But he's
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: also our more likely wrestler, and if he wins a decision,
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: he can still score more than one hundred points. So
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: I definitely prefer q Lobo. I don't have a strong
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: lean on him winning the fight, but if he wins,
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: I think he scores a hundred points, where I can't
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: say the same thing about Bukowskis q Labo overweight. For me,
• 11:58
  Speaker 3: Bukowski is probably in line with the field because I
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: do like this fight, but I would say more likely
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: under than over another fight.
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: I would not be surprised Qute Lava wrong thirty percent,
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: Pukalkis twenty percent. I do think a lot of people
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: do gravitate towards the upside in Qute Lava, even though
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: it's only a two hundred dollars price difference. Again, I'm
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: gonna be playing Mukalkis and chalk your lineups. If I'm
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: playing Cute Lava, I gotta get different in some spot,
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: and I'm more likely to play cute to Lava if
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: I am fading either the main event or the co
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: main event, just one of those two fights, because he
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: is someone that can outscore both of them.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: His last seven wins dating back to twenty seventeen.
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: You ready for this one O eight seventy four, one
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: oh eight, one twenty seven one to nineteen, one hundred
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: and seven, not one thousand and seven I'm gonna update
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: that real quick, and then one hundred and thirty one
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: DraftKings points in that mix as well. He had an
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: eighty nine point I draw and that was against Jack
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: Dustin Jacobi when he got like eight takedowns in round
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: one and completely gas himself. But look at that, only
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: one lower than one hundred, and that was two fights ago,
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: that was seventy four. I do think Cuti Lava isn't
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: as crazy as he once was, but he's still gonna
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: come forward, he's still gonna throw bombs, and he's still
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: gonna shoot some power double legs, so it's definitely a fight.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a good bit of Keuti Lava might
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: preferred play Hu kau Kis in chalk your lineups is
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: how wall how I will be using him. Let's move
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: on to the third biggest favorites on the slate, Navajos
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: Sterling minus three ten ivon Erstline plus two sixty minus
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: one ninety for this fight to finish, Sterling minus one
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: twenty inside the distance Erstline plus four to twenty five.
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: I think Ersline was the guy.
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: That just fought qut Lava split decision loss, but that
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: is where Keti Lava scored his seventy four points was
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: against Erstline.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: Uh yeah, take it away. What are you doing with
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: this one?
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: Two primary strikers by the Elizabeth.
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this one stays on the feet where Ersline,
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: in my opinion, needs a knockout. He's dangerous early, he
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: could land something big. But Sterling has the same thing.
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: He's the bigger guy.
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: He's just as powerful, if not more dangerous in the
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: first round, and I think after round one is just
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: gonna be more and more in the favor of Sterling.
• 14:20
  Speaker 3: So I'll take him to avoid the big shots early
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: and knockout Ersline in the second or the third round.
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: At ninety one hundred dollars, I think the third round
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: is probably a little.
• 14:31
  Speaker 4: Bit too late.
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: Second round, man, it's still tough because like there's so
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: many there's other guys that I'd like to pay up
• 14:39
  Speaker 3: for second round.
• 14:40
  Speaker 4: I'd get some exposure, but it could be the first round.
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: I think he could just style in this guy and
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: knock him out in the first round, maybe late first round,
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: after accumulating some shots along the way.
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: So I don't know what I'm gonna do with him.
• 14:53
  Speaker 3: I think I'll probably be close to the field on him,
• 14:56
  Speaker 3: but underweight is what I'm thinking on Ersuline. Ersline does
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: have one of the higher ceilings for underdogs.
• 15:02
  Speaker 4: I just don't think he's very good. So I'm on
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: the Sterling side.
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: Yeah, plus two to twenty five in round one for Sterling,
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: that's thirty percent. I'm looking at our projected ownership right now,
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: we have that under thirty percent. So if that just
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: holds naturally, yeah, I mean I'm gonna probably be overweight
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: Sterling if what we have projected ownership stays true tomorrow, I'm.
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: Gonna have overweight on Sterling.
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: Any time his round one prop is better than his ownership,
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: I'll take any round one finish for sure. I wrote
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: it up the same way the round two. It depends
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: like you probably want you probably at least need one knockdown,
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: maybe two. You need volume, but it's not guaranteed, and
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: you also need like Jasmin, who we're gonna talk about,
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: not to wrestle a ton ben Wan, not to put
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: up one thirty five and still competing against the loll
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: a lot stuff like that. But he's still one of
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: my favorites in the upper tier. Yeah, thirty percent to
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: finish in round one. I expect they'll probably eat somewhere
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: around there. And Earthline, I mean he's gonna be one
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: of the lowest owned on the card. Ten of his
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: wins are by knockout four plus four to twenty five
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: inside the distance plus four twenty.
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: Five is nineteen percent. That is also above the ownership
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: that we have for him.
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean at the end of the day,
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: Stirling six and oh City kickboxing guy only twenty seven
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: years old. Big reach advantages, you see, but he's still
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: pretty green like Earthline has power.
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: If he catches him, he would definitely break the slate.
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm gonna probably be overweight on this fight,
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: and it looks to be pretty low owned. Yeah, all right,
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: I'm glad you have me going crazy for a second.
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: Mark regrets to Hoop. I'm looking around like I don't
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: see Hoop around here. And also twenty five hundred, I
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: will say, you don't need to congratulate who twenty five
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: hundreds a lot of money in life. Hoop doesn't need
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: no congrats on twenty five hundred. Yeah, that man's won
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: a lot. He's also on the daily can lose a
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: lot more than twenty five hundred.
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: But that was really nice to you. Mark.
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: Hey, it looks like training back there, got some bags,
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: got some gloves on, looking good. What's going on, Big Drigs?
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: Joe Anne good to see it as well. Now I'm
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: kidd you can congratulate anyone, but yeah, oopster, Oopster's won
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: some cheese. All right, let's give it wrong, Big Marley.
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: Next fight on the car talking wrestling, Jasmine Jazz de
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: Vishi has taken on your girl Jessica and Draj minus
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: three twenty Jasmine plus two seventy Onroje minus one fifteen
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: for this fight to finish open minus one o five
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: now minus one fifteen, so some money on the under
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: Jasmine plus one fifty five inside the distance and Drage
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: plus four hundred. I said, yeah, let me touch on
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: this real quick. Yes, I think that's the most BS
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: thing of all time. How Ball had to work so
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: hard and dominate for win so long to finally get
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: a chance for the title. There's no chance that he's
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: gonna give it up by trying to strike the striker.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: That dude's gonna do everything, and he didn't care about
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: boring fights all the way up. I don't know why
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: you would care to change is playing now. I think
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: that's the most BS of anything. We'll get to that
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: fight a little bit later though, But I said your
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: girl in drage because I feel like you're definitely on
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: her against Mackenzie Dern. I think that was the one
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: that was a really good call to getting up there
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: in age a little bit, not really thirty three, but
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: just the wear and tear on her body, the profight
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: she's had at thirty three. When you look at Jasmine
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: at thirty six, like, I don't get concerned at all
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: when I see thirty six next to Jasmine, Androge has
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: taking some damage.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: So what are you doing in this one? I like it.
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: I like both sides of it because I could see
• 18:37
  Speaker 3: it just being a binary fight. I don't think Androge
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: wants that smoke on the ground. If I expect JJ
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: to go out there and want to wrestle a lot,
• 18:45
  Speaker 3: and if the takedowns are there, she's probably gonna mop
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: the floor with Androge, and.
• 18:50
  Speaker 4: She could put up a big score.
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: At the same time, if she can't get those takedowns,
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: she can't strike with Andrage, I don't think, and she
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: might get knocked out along the way.
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: I also think.
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: Andrage could beat her to the takedowns, but that's just
• 19:05
  Speaker 3: I think that's also in the past. We haven't seen
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: that from Marage lately, so I just don't expect that,
• 19:09
  Speaker 3: and I think if she was gonna do that, she
• 19:11
  Speaker 3: would have done that in her last fight.
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: So I prefer JJ.
• 19:16
  Speaker 3: Side of this one ninety two hundred. I think if
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: she wins, she probably does pay that off, so I'll
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: be overweight to her, but I'll be right around the
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: field on Andrage, maybe overweight.
• 19:27
  Speaker 4: To her as well as as a hedge. But I
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: do like this fight I think is a good one
• 19:30
  Speaker 4: to target.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: You prefer Arslan or in Drage Andraje That's tough for me.
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: I think i prefer Earthlan slightly, just because I'm more
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: confident Jasmine wins. I think she gets takedowns, and when
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: Andrage off her back, I just don't think she's getting up.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: The control is so good on the Jazzmine side, but
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: the inside of the distance props are very like plus
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: four hundred and RAJ plus four twenty five Arslan very
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: similar in terms of ownership.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: Another thing worth noting on both these fights.
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: Again, I put these odds up on Monday I always
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: updated tomorrow before we go live, but it's very easy
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: and I like to track the line movement this way.
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: So minus two sixty five, both Sterling and Jasmine were
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: Now Sterling's minus three ten. Now Jasmine's minus three twenty
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: second biggest favorite, third biggest favorite right here, and they're
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: taking money, so that's worth noting. Yeah, I got Jasmin
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: inside of this is prop has also came down. I
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: think Jasmine just wrestles, wrestles early and often and puts
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: up a big score after that. So I would say
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: I prefer Jasmine to Sterling and Erslan to and drove
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: Ified to pick, but I will be playing all four
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: of them one way traffic either way.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: What's going on? Josh?
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: All right, keep it rolling again. Appreciate everyone hanging out.
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: All we ask is like button and subscribe button. It
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: helps us out a ton. Talk about another fight with
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: a lot of line movement.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: Look at this.
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: On Monday, Mike Mallott was minus two ten. Now he's
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: minus one sixty one taking on Charles Radkeys plus one
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: forty one fight to finish minus two ten Mike Mallott
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: plus one fifty inside the distance, Charles Radkey plus one eighty.
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: Can Chuck Buffalo get the job done against Mike Mallot
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: the hometown guy.
• 21:14
  Speaker 4: I definitely think that Radkey's live here. He could.
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: Weather in early storm and or just keep this fight standing.
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: I think he could really take the fight anywhere and win.
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: But ma Lot is the more dangerous fighter anywhere he goes.
• 21:30
  Speaker 3: He's got the higher ceiling in this one, so I'm
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: cool with both sides. I think if ma Lot wins,
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: he probably scores ten x or more, and if Radkey wins,
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: he probably scores ten x or more.
• 21:41
  Speaker 4: So I usually like that in a fight.
• 21:44
  Speaker 3: The line's been closing on this one, so I'm thinking
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: that that's gonna lead me closer to the Radkey side,
• 21:52
  Speaker 3: where maybe I'm gonna end up three and three on
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: this one rather than the four and two that I
• 21:56
  Speaker 3: have it at currently. Bah I could see me being
• 21:59
  Speaker 3: over weight on either or both of these guys, but
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: I'll take them a lot to get the win.
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: So we see two point seven to seven takedowns from
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: a lot. What would you said, is is takedown or
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: takedown line at if you had to choose.
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: I would say, oh man, I would really put it
• 22:18
  Speaker 3: right at too, because I feel like one and a
• 22:21
  Speaker 3: half is like possibly slightly too low, two and a
• 22:24
  Speaker 3: half slightly too high, So I'll just go to and
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: let people push if if that's what happens.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: Hearing two makes me like Mike ma loot the reason
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: and I'm gonna I'm gonna play both. I picked Charles
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: Radkey earlier in the week, even when the line was
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: minus two ten. But we still do play a salary
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: based game and ownership game. When you win, how much
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: do you win? Radkey's gonna be higher on than Mike Malt.
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: There's no doubt Ratky's gonna be one of the highest
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: owned dogs on the card if we're talking seventy five
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: hundred and below Jack Della, and then it'll be him,
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: and then we're looking at the upper tier. Now I
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: don't like Jose, although I don't like the Italia Silva.
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: We'll get to them later, but he's sandwich right in
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: between them. But he's gonna be lower all in the
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: jasmine than Sterling, than Benoit obviously, than bulall feer roh
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: like he's in that range where people don't really want
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: to click it much, and he's plus one fifty inside
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: the distance at the end of the day in a
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: fight that he has wrestling upside. So just with all
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: that being said, let me see his round one prop
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: plus three to fifty, where rakis plus five fifty, so
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: three p fifty twenty two percent, which is about what
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: we have his ownership at in round one, and I
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: think he is live, like if he round two could
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: very well be live for him because he can't mix
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: in takedowns and stuff like that. I'm gonna playm lot
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: in Chalkier teams and Charles Radkey, like if I'm fading
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: one of the two main events or I'm leaving seven
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: hundred or something like that is when I'll get to Radkey.
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: But again I've said it right in the beginning of
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: the card. I like these first fights a lot more
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: than I like these later fights. Obviously these two are good,
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: but these right here that we're gonna talk to talk
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: about I don't have much interest in. So yeah, I'm
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: gonna be playing a lot of the early stuff on
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: the card. Not a hot take too much, but this
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: fight and the Santos Lee fight looks like too that
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: you can get pretty different with than two fights are.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: Expected to finish.
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: Who do you think you'll have you'll be more overweight
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: too big Marley rad Key or a lot.
• 24:21
  Speaker 4: More overweight to I would.
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: I would think rad Key just because that seventy three
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: hundred dollars price is gonna be nice to click on.
• 24:32
  Speaker 3: But at the same time, I've only got like one
• 24:36
  Speaker 3: lineup that I've made so far, and I feel like
• 24:38
  Speaker 3: it's Chuck City, So I'm gonna have to think of
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: ways to get different and maybe Lot, maybe that'll change
• 24:43
  Speaker 3: me to my lot instead.
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I kind of would let saberdu its thing there.
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: I definitely I'm gonna make sure I get rad Key
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: if I ended up ahead thirty six percent a lot
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: because I'm playing a lot of the two five armeters
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: eat another chalk, I'd be good with that too, good
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: inside the distance prop. Again, it's tough when I didn't
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: pick to win, but it wasn't the strongest lean picking
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: rat Key earlier in the week. Yeah, definitely a solid
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: fight again. Don't don't turn on the TV too late.
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: Six thirty Eastern starts fight or fight start. We're gonna
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: see some some big score, some fun fights.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: I think. To kick off the card. All right, let's
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: keep it rolling.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: Next fight on the card we are looking at another
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: mid tier fight. Mark Andre Barrio ticking on Bruno Silva
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty. Barrio plus one thirty is Silva minus
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: two hundred for this fight to finish Burial plus one
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: fifty five inside the distance Silva plus one eighty five.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, man, I do not think I can pick.
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: Bruno Silva at this point in his career, so I
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: does naturally have to go Mark Andre Barrio. But if
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: there was a fight for Bruno Silva to win Burrio's
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: last two knockout, there's two losses bad knockouts.
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: I'm worried about the chin.
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: The one thing Bruno Silva does do, he hits hard,
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: take it away, you have it a three star though,
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: So I guess comparing this fight in the Santos Leaf fight,
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: what do you prefer, and then breakdown this one.
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: Also, I prefer the Santos Lee fight because I think
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: Silva's washed. He just doesn't look like he has any
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: interest being in the cage. I think he even said
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: in his last fight he didn't even want to be
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: out there or after his fight, yeah, he does. I
• 26:20
  Speaker 3: thought he was going to retire after that last one.
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: So if he wins this fight. I think it's got
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: to be a knockout. If it is a knockout, then yeah,
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: he's probably gonna be on the optimum lineup. I don't
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: even think he can win a decision based on the
• 26:33
  Speaker 3: way he has looked.
• 26:34
  Speaker 4: I would give Burry Off the wrestling edge.
• 26:36
  Speaker 3: I would give him the striking edge, the volume edge.
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: So I could see buriolt winn thirty twenty seven on
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: the cards here, but maybe being too tentative worrying about
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: that knockout from Silva where he's not bringing the volume
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: that's going to put up a high score, and we
• 26:54
  Speaker 3: end up getting a sixty five from from Burrial.
• 26:57
  Speaker 4: So I don't love this fight.
• 26:59
  Speaker 3: Okay, Away from either side, Burials might preferred play if
• 27:04
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna be overweight to either one of them. I
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: do plan on being underweight to Silva, though not even
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: against fading him with limited lineups, but he does have
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: knockout power Burial coming.
• 27:14
  Speaker 4: Off to knockout losses, so if.
• 27:15
  Speaker 3: I'm putting in one hundred and fifty, I definitely want
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: some Silva exposure too, and this could be one of
• 27:21
  Speaker 3: the ways that we get different either way on the
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: card by Burrio or Silva, because maybe either one of
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: them sucks and the other can take advantage of that easily.
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: I mean easily. I prefer this fight to Santos Lee.
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: If I'm picking maybe the Silva stuff. He looks so bad.
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: I think he's probably the first round or bust, and
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: after that, I just think Burial is gonna pepper the jab,
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: put a pace on him, just throw a bunch of volume.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: And eventually Silva will wilt.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: That way, I just don't think he's I'd be surprised
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: to see Burial fight like a Chris Wyman and his
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: dancer on the pit cage point fight into it that way.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: Barrel seems like, yeah, he has been.
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: Knocked on twice, but as the fights go, that's when
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: he starts pouring on the volume. Feeling himself that Marquez
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: fight was awesome in the second round, and once he
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: smells blood and Silva wilting, I think he can pour
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: it on him. Now, let me tell you this, what
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: do you think Bruno Silva's round one prop is.
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: Bruno Silvia's round one prop? I'd say plus three eighty.
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: Open plus three seventy five now plus two to seventy five.
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: That's a twenty six percent chance at a first round finish.
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: You're telling me that he gets that at seventy eight hundred.
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: I mean I'm probably all in, like I just seeing
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: that and looking at his ownership. Yeah, I mean we
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: have him like eighteen percent roughly right around there. If
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: his first round prop is gonna be better than his ownership,
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: I could keep saying you got me into the stuff
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: a lot, But yeah, how do I not play Bruno
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: Silvia to get different on this card when it's that good?
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: Is his round one burial?
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: It's plus five to fifty in round one, So I
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: think that goes to show and Barrio has a better
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: finishing prop, etc. So I think that chose Bruno in
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: round one. Otherwise Barrio takes over after that. Yeah, I
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: like this fight.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: Again.
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: I prefer to Santos Lee by a little bit. I
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: do prefer the cut Lava fight if I had to
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: pick in the mid tier, and obviously Furo chef Chenko,
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: but I mean.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: Mid tiers loaded. You can play no fighter.
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: Above eighty seven hundred this week, ball all and just
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: start going down. And I don't think it's a crazy lineup.
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: Anything else you want to add in this one before
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: I keep it rolling.
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: Uh nah, nah I do like uh if I was
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: gonna bet a bet burial.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I bet burial too.
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: All right, next fight on the card, were looking at
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: Beckscott Alkmana taking on Brat Katona definitely butchered his name.
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: But we're going Becksot minus one fifty six Brad Katona
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: plus one thirty six plus two twenty five for this
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: fight to finish best cut plus two fifty inside a
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: distance Katona plus nine hundred.
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: So now we're getting.
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: Into those fights. Not too much interest in too many
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: of these. Now, what I will say again, looking at
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: the stone minus one eighty three, one fifty eight on Monday.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: Now it's minus one fifty six plus one thirty six,
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: so good money line value for Brad Katona. I'll throw
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: it to you on this at what number? Like he wins,
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: I'm telling you he wins. What number do you would
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: you take it at? Seventy six hundred? And then like,
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: I don't want sixty two on this card if I
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: knew he'd score that, But what do you think you
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: would score? And a win in the decision, what would
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: you want him to score? And then yeah, break down
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: this fight.
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I would really want over seventy and I think
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: he would get that. I would think if he wins,
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: he's scoring probably around eighty, So yeah, I would definitely
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: be overweight. I mean, ru'd be close to all and
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: if you told me he was for sure gonna win,
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: just because I don't feel that good about the underdogs
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: on this card, and I do you think Katona is
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: a well rounded fighter. He's good everywhere, He's just not
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: great anywhere. And I think that Besa is the better
• 31:09
  Speaker 3: and more dangerous striker in this one. If he can
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: keep the fight standing, then I like him to win.
• 31:15
  Speaker 3: His ceiling would come through a knockout, though, so I
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: don't I don't like Becksat very much for DFS, and
• 31:21
  Speaker 3: I actually just changed it to a two for him
• 31:23
  Speaker 3: and a four for Katona, uh, because I'm looking for
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: underdogs on this card, and Katona's live to win, he's
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: live to wrestle. Not only could he score right around eighty,
• 31:34
  Speaker 3: but he could also score one hundred points, So I'll
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: be overweight to Katona and underweight to Beck's that. But
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: I my pick though, was Becksat to win. I think
• 31:43
  Speaker 3: he probably wins twenty nine to twenty eight.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: I picked Katona.
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: Backs Hout is literally the favor because of that one,
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: the one kick that he landed on Humar, like he
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: got el Strug what fifty eight to three? Absolutely dominated,
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: but he had one big moment, No doubt the dude
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: has power. Just Brad Kattona is a well rounded fighter,
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: Like he's game on the feet, he's game on the mat.
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: He's got heart, he's got der Bilby, he's got Cardio.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: Like I just when I saw plus one fifty eight,
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: I was just like, yeah, I'm definitely on Brad Katona
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: even at this number, Like give me the dog?
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: Do I love it? For DFS? No, he's plus nine
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: hundred to win.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: If you tell me two dogs or two fighters below
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: him win, I don't think Katona is on the optimal
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: You did mention wrestling upside though the other dude Becksott.
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not gonna say he could be Cheeks.
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: But it's the UFC. Like again, he one loss, one
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: fight in the UFC, one domination loss. It's umar so
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: not taking anything away from him, but what if he
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: just isn't really that good at the end of the
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: day and Katona is solid, So I don't love to
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: fight much for DFS, Katona is my preferred play. I
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: was debating what to do with with Becksott the pro
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: The thing is he's plus two fifty to the distance,
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: he has power in his hands, He's going to be
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: super super low owned. He's right in between Piaut and Bolall.
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: His money line's bad. Like if he's on the optimal
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: we have a way better chance at a Soulo shipper
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: this week than most others on the card. So for
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: that reason, he's in the pool. But I doubt I
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: get too much. But he legit might come in like
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: twelve percent, thirteen percent and at plus two fifty inside
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: the distance twenty eight percent. Again, maybe not every finish
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: at eighty six hundred, like third round isn't optimal. But
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: if you're telling me he finishes this fight, I would
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: go overweight and take my chances that way. So still
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: don't love it, but I liked it more than this fight.
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: I like it more than this fight. So it's probably
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: my third least favor fight on the card for DFS.
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: Next fight on the car biggest favorite by far Benoi
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: Saintani taking on Kyle Propellic minus one thousand BINOI, oh,
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: now it's let me refresh. Might be minus twelve hundred now, yeah,
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: minus twelve hundred now Ben whah plus seven fifty is
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: Kyle no inside the distance props from what I'm seeing,
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: But I see under one and a half at minus
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: one sixty and under two and a half on bobat
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: at minus five fifty. I mean benoas round one prop
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: is something like, I don't know, what do you think
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: minus two fifty, minus three hundred or something like that?
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: He has ninety seven hundred. I really wish we got
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: Ben wal Joel Joel avros I. That fight would have
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: been so good. Joel is looking like a beast. We
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: know is a beast.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: Sucks. We don't get that.
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: And come on, Minoir, you can't say no to gam rock,
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: Like test yourself a little bit, get back to the top.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: But DFS wise, I'm gonna tell you, I want you
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: to break down the fight.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: But if I'm telling you Benoa wins in round one,
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: how much are you gonna have?
• 34:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah, that's a good question.
• 34:51
  Speaker 3: I would still want a decent amount, probably third of
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: my lineups thirty three.
• 34:59
  Speaker 4: Percent like that.
• 35:02
  Speaker 3: And I do think he wins in round one. This
• 35:04
  Speaker 3: Prepelic guy, he's gonna have to keep the fight standing.
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: He's got somewhat slick hands, but I think the only
• 35:12
  Speaker 3: way he wins his fight is by knockout. I think
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: BSD has him covered everywhere. If it's a three round
• 35:17
  Speaker 3: striking match, maybe preple It can keep it close for
• 35:21
  Speaker 3: the first two three minutes, but I just expect BSD
• 35:24
  Speaker 3: to be throwing the harder shots, be pushing forward, landing
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: more shots. But then he can have his way with
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: them on the ground, and that's what I expect him
• 35:32
  Speaker 3: to do until he gets a finish. So for me,
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be BSD or Pass. I definitely like him,
• 35:38
  Speaker 3: but I didn't love seeing ninety seven hundred dollars. I
• 35:41
  Speaker 3: don't think he's a must have at all, and I
• 35:44
  Speaker 3: would rather have Balal for one thousand dollars cheaper.
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: I would much rather at Ballall, no doubt about it,
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: even if they were the same price. Give me Ballall
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: because he can do a twenty five minutes and get
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: you a million takedowns that way. All that being said,
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: though a you can play both, you can easily play
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: but in one and ball and I think he wrestles.
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: I think he probably gets a first round finish. He
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: probably scores one ten ish, one fifteen. He's by far
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: the most likely to get a first minute, the first
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: minute bonus sixty second bonus, which if he gets that,
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: he's more likely more than likely going to be optimal. Yeah,
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: he's one of those guys. Like if I build my
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: lineups and I had sixty five percent and I loved
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: everything else, I'm so happy. If I had thirty percent
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: and I loved everything else, I'm probably rolling with it
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: because it's easier to lead money when you don't play them,
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: Like I would be fine playing Jasmine and leaving the
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: five hundred this week from Benoa if that means cutting
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: out thirty five dupes to six, like Jasmine can still
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: wrestle and do it that way, so whereas I wouldn't drop.
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: I've been wah to Jose, although I just don't see
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: like the upside from all though to get there.
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: But I would be fine doing that with Jasmine.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: Well, I'm definitely not playing any Kyle ben Wi though,
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: great play at ninety seven hundred. Just how you play them?
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: What is he gets you at that price? What do
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: others score in the top tier? How many dogs win
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: to make him fit pretty easily. That's it's a lot
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: more than just what has bin Wad do when you
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: play him this week, whether he's optimal or not.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: Four fights left, not a fight I like much at all.
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: In DFS, Jose although minus two poh one aim is
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: a Hobby plus one seventy one, one of the most
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: likely fights to go the distance on the card, minus
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: three fifty to go to decision, although plus four to
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: fifteen inside a distance, it's the Hobby plus five point fifty.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: If Jose al those on the winner at eighty eight hundred,
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: I will not have that lineup. I want you to
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: talk to the Hobby. Though I looked at Za Hobby
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: Katona pretty similar, great money line value for their price.
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: I do think Atona has more upside with he throws,
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: more volume, more likely to wrestle, But again he's four
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: hundred dollars difference. So if very fewer no dogs win
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: and the Hobby win to score sixty five, that could
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: be enough at seventy two hundred. So for that reason
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: I'm keeping him in the pool and capping for now.
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: For twenty teams or less, He's definitely my preferred play again,
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: I'm not playing any al though at this price, I
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: think it's on the feat. I think it's boring. I
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: think they just trading jabs, trading a couple of kicks
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: and you're gonna get a very low scoring decision.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: But how do you see it?
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: And then what would you be okay with the hobby
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: scoring or look, what do you think he scores in
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: a win?
• 38:24
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I definitely don't like this fight.
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: I think I was just about to move it to
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: another one star and I have two on this card
• 38:30
  Speaker 3: because I just don't care about these next two fights really,
• 38:34
  Speaker 3: but it's a two star because of the Hobby. I
• 38:36
  Speaker 3: think he's very live to win this fight, and if
• 38:41
  Speaker 3: he wins, he could score around ten X, which I
• 38:43
  Speaker 3: think can get it done on this card. So I'll
• 38:46
  Speaker 3: have za Hobby in my pool, where I just don't
• 38:48
  Speaker 3: think I'm gonna have Aldohol probably XMLT completely. Maybe not
• 38:52
  Speaker 3: with one fifty, but if I'm making twenty or less,
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: he's gone. I picked Aldough to win, but it's also
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: probably more out of like and like I would rather
• 39:02
  Speaker 3: watch him win because a hobby can be in some
• 39:05
  Speaker 3: really boring fights. He's great defensively but that's not good
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: for DFS. So yeah, for me, it's just gonna be
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: a hobby or pass. With the lean towards pass. I
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: would just guess that the hobby ends up in more
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: of my BSD lineups because that's a way to get
• 39:22
  Speaker 3: to him.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: Again, if very few dogs win only twelve fights, we
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: can maybe get there. But again, like I and I
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: don't love Jack Dello, we get there, it's like I'm
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: not playing this much of this chalk dog there, so
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: I'll mix in just naturally. Some's a hobby and yeah,
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: like you said, a lot easier to get than WAD.
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: Then you can play bow off. Hero can really do
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: it a lot of things when he go as a hobby.
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: If three dogs win on this card, I would be
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: shocked to see the hobby on the winner. It's more
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: of a safety play. Not many dogs win, you need
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: to spend out for the upper tier. Appreciate that, Josh,
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: all right. Three fights left. Another awful fight for DFS.
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: Italian Silvia minus two to fifty taken on Alexa Grasso
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: plus two ten plus two ninety for this fight to finish.
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: The most likely to go the distance on the card,
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: Silva plus four hundred inside the distance Grasso plus six
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: point fifty. I am playing neither of these girls in
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: twenty Entry and below, just like a million others in
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: the upper tier. More like, give me him a Lot
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: over Silva, and Lot's already gonna be pretty low owned.
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: Let me say six hundred and play Cute de Lava
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: over Natalia Silva. Let me say four hundred with Mark
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: Andre Berrio to Natalia Silva.
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: If I had to pick.
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: Alina be Grasso, I just don't think she wins. I
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: think Silva's better wherever the fight goes. I think it
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: can stay on the feet. She wins a striking decision
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: maybe heck, maybe even a Silva mixes in a taytown
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: or two, and she saw Valentina absolutely owner on the mat.
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I got none of this in twenty Entry
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: and below.
• 40:51
  Speaker 3: Uh yeah, I pretty much agree. I think it was
• 40:54
  Speaker 3: just like the last fight. I'm picking Silva to win,
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: but more so because she's on the way up rather
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: than all those not on the way up.
• 41:03
  Speaker 4: He's thirty eight years old. Uh, Silva's probably a future champ.
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: Grosso is just coming off of the belt though, so
• 41:09
  Speaker 3: the lines could be a little bit too wide, and
• 41:11
  Speaker 3: for that reason, my preferred play would just be Grosso
• 41:14
  Speaker 3: Grasso er pass for me. Don't really want much of her,
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: but she could win, and if she does, she could
• 41:19
  Speaker 3: score around ten x, so same thing as the Hobby.
• 41:21
  Speaker 3: I'll be close on ownership on those two. But since
• 41:24
  Speaker 3: the Hobby is two hundred dollars less, I would guess
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: I get more of him.
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna play, uh like if I'm playing one
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: point fifty, I'm definitely gonna keep Grosso in that pool.
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: When I did try and make cuts, I was trying
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: to have four fades and twenty and below. I'm just
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: fade in this fight, hoping Silver wins as I expect
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: Silva to win. Two fights left, two big ones co
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: main event time. I appreciate you all hanging out. It's
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: like fun helps us out a ton like you guys know.
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: And again, if you're not a member, djen seventy five
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: is the promo code. Usually ninety nine dollars fall of
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: her content and sabersimcor With the code djen seventy get
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: seventy five dollars off your first month less than a
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: dollar a day. MMA going on, PGA going on NBA Playoffs, MLB,
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: NHL playoffs, NASCAR on Sundays, so much going on, so
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: much money to be made. We would love to have
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: you and definitely join the discord if you do join
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: minn Firo minus one twenty Valentina Chefchenko plus one hundred
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: plus two to fifteen for this fight to finish Valentina
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: plus three eighty five inside the distance Fiuro plus four
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: thirty five take it away. Are you gonna make a
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: rule to lock this fight? How do you see it going?
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah? This is a this is an interesting one.
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: Valentina the dog, but money is coming in on her,
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: heavily favored to go the distance.
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: Take it away.
• 42:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna make a rule on this one,
• 42:49
  Speaker 3: but I am going to be heavy on chef Chenkos.
• 42:52
  Speaker 3: She'll be my highest owed underdog on the card. I'm
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: picking her to get the win. I think if this
• 42:58
  Speaker 3: is a striking man and we knew it was going
• 43:01
  Speaker 3: to stay on the feet, then we could justify the
• 43:04
  Speaker 3: line for Fioro. But Chefchenko is a great striker, really
• 43:08
  Speaker 3: the best striker in WMMA history. So I just don't
• 43:11
  Speaker 3: I don't completely understand the line. And not only that,
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: but She's been working on her wrestling, and I think
• 43:17
  Speaker 3: that's how she wins this fight. Fioro came in as
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: a pure striker, had to work on her ground game,
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: and I just don't think it could possibly be or
• 43:27
  Speaker 3: have done enough, especially being thirty five years old herself,
• 43:31
  Speaker 3: to be at chef Chenko's level on the ground. So
• 43:33
  Speaker 3: I think chef Chenko has more ways to win this fight.
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: I think she has a higher ceiling, and I'm gonna
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: be if I was making twenty lineups, I'm probably all
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: in on her, no bullshit. But with one point fifty,
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: I think I'll have like seventy five percent or so.
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: There's nothing I can argue. I think she has a
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: higher ceiling. I think she does have more ways to
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: win for me. I just think the ownership gap is
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: going to get two wide, and I think Firo is
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: going to be the sharper play. I think I have
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: a better chance to win with less people with my
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: FURO teams than Valentina, and our ownership shows that we
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: have Valentina around fifty five, Furo around the thirty seven mark.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's something like that.
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: If you're giving me a favorite, who lands over Sat
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: six inificant strikes per minute twenty five minutes to work
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: at eighty five hundred, and she's gonna be one point
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: five x less owned, like I just naturally am gonna
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: go that way more. I'm gonna still play a bunch
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: of both. I'm not making the rule, but I very
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: well might have one hundred percent of this fight and
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: the next fight. But yeah, just that ownership, and I
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: think this team does continue. I'm gonna probably be more
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: overweight on the FURO side. The Blansfield fight was impressive
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: to me, like her distance management and now it's a
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: big it's a big cage, like I believe that fight
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: was too.
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, was that fight in the APEX or was it?
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: But do you know off the top of your head.
• 44:55
  Speaker 4: I think it was, what I can't say for sure,
• 45:00
  Speaker 4: or maybe.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: It was, Oh hold on UFC fight nights. I don't know. Yeah,
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: I can't.
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: I can't tell it was a UFC fight. No, I
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: can't tell you the regardless it.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: Oh no, it was.
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: It was in New Jersey. You're right, you're too sharp.
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: So it was the big cage, and it's the big
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: cage right here.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: Again.
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: The reason that's important is, like if it was a
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: smaller cage, and she did again Blachfield, that'd be even
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: more impressive. We're in a big cage this week as well.
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: But Firo's really good at keeping distance pepper and the
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: jab pepper and volume. Takedown defense has been great and
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: ninety one percent thus far. Now, it was a bad
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: game plan for Blanchfield. She only shot three takedowns, but
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: she couldn't even sniff the takedowns like that's the reason
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: she kept striking. Any shot was telegraphed as from too
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: far out. It just did no chance. Now, I'm not
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: comparing Valentina and Blanchfield. I'm not trying to do that,
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: but she at least fought someone that wanted to wrestle
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: a lot. I do think Valentina is gonna probably have
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: to wrestle I favorite Firo on the feet in this one,
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: and I think the distance holds out. So not by
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: no means very confident pick is fierroh. But when I'm
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: looking at the ownership difference, I feel good about Firou
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: that way, So I'm going to lean into that, and
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: especially because we're gonna get to the main event right here,
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: I think Ballall even at the steam that JDM is
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: getting I think Ballall is going to be very popular.
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: I would be surprised to see Bowall at like sixty
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: percent owned and JDM a lot less. And even with
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: that being said, I'm still going to be playing a
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: bunch of Ballall. So I kind of feel the need
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: to get a little different in the Comaine. But right here,
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: ball Mohammed minus one seventy five, Jack Della Madelena plus
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: one fifty plus one thirty for this fight to finish,
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: Jack Della plus two to twenty inside the distance, Ballall
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: plus four hundred. I made a pretty good sized bet
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: on Ballall already at minus one eighty five.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: I think I just can't believe this number.
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: I was gonna be on Ballall agains Shapcott got the
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: Ballall dog money against Lee on this dude's good man.
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: What he did to Sean Brady was absolutely insane. I
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: look at Sean Brady very very highly. It's like, yeah,
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: someone asked earlier about the takedown, to you believe he's
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: not gonna shoot a takedown?
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: No, I'd be shocked if he doesn't.
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, then I just lost probably a lot of money
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: because Jack Dell would piece him up on the feet.
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know how you could be that dumb. I
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: don't think Palal is a dumb fighter by any means.
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: Wrestling for days, baby, I mean Pascill Hafez on short notice, controls, takedowns.
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: Jack Della was losing to Gilbert Burns. Two judges scorecards
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: all first two first rounds. If he doesn't get that knee,
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: he's not in this fight, Like, this is a completely
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: different fight. We've seen him controlled, We've seen him take
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: him down. Ballall's way better than Gilbert at wrestling. He's
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: way better than Jafez at wrestling. I mean, Blall's a problem.
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: Whatever people want to say about him, This dude's I
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: don't know when I'm fading this dude anytime soon.
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: He's not fighting Islam. I'm fighting. I'm picking ball more time.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: Not so. Yeah, when I saw minus one seventy five,
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: I couldn't believe it. On Mondays, you see it was
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: minus two to zero five. Break down the fight and
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: why where's the slide movement? Like what's happening? Is it
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: that sub mission video that we saw online? Is that
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: people just hate Ballall? Like how is this slide moving
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: this way? Yeah?
• 48:18
  Speaker 3: I don't know I liked him when he was minus
• 48:21
  Speaker 3: two well, I don't remember a little two plus minus
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: two thirty. I think it was I was still on
• 48:27
  Speaker 3: the blouse side. So maybe it's what you mentioned earlier
• 48:31
  Speaker 3: that he said he's going to strike in this one.
• 48:34
  Speaker 3: I wouldn't be great, but he is a really good striker.
• 48:38
  Speaker 3: I don't think he would be terrible for him to spend,
• 48:41
  Speaker 3: you know, fifteen minutes on the feet in this one,
• 48:44
  Speaker 3: but at the same time, for him to look like
• 48:45
  Speaker 3: a minus two hundred favorite, you got to go out
• 48:47
  Speaker 3: there and wrestle, and I do think he mixes in
• 48:50
  Speaker 3: five plus takedowns even if he does strike a lot
• 48:52
  Speaker 3: in this fight, and that is probably enough to get
• 48:56
  Speaker 3: it done. I don't think Madeline is gonna have anything
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: for him off of his back, and if once it there,
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: I think he's gonna end up getting it there.
• 49:02
  Speaker 4: So well, that's my favorite, my favorite favorite on the card.
• 49:08
  Speaker 3: I don't know if I'm gonna have more of him
• 49:10
  Speaker 3: than Valentina, but those are my two favorites on the card.
• 49:12
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna load up on them and then spread around
• 49:15
  Speaker 3: everybody else around those two. I'll be underweight to Matdalina,
• 49:19
  Speaker 3: but I do think I'll be pretty much all in
• 49:23
  Speaker 3: on this fight. If not all in, like ninety five
• 49:26
  Speaker 3: percent of my line up, sill have his fight.
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: I think I'm a little gun shy after last week
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: trying to full fade the ritter absolutely did not work
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: in twenty entry and below very hurtful by Boat. So
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: I'm this week gonna lock ball All in twenty teams
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: or less. I already know that I already bet big
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: on them, Like if Ballall loses it, it's not gonna
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: be good for your boy over here. But I'm not
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: telling everyone else to do that because with all this
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: line movements, I do think ball All gets steamed. So
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: everything I said about Fierro you can say about Jack Della,
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: like for his ownership to what the walls is and
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: the price, and if he wins for seventy five hundred,
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: it has to be knockdowns, it has to be volume,
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: it's gonna score. I'm not telling everyone else to lock
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: the ball like I am. I just I'm going with
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: my I know fights, which I don't usually do too
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: much in MMA really. Much of the FS I try
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: and play game theory, portfolio management all of that, but
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: MMA is one of the few sports where yeah, I
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: watch it every week, like it's easier to take stands
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: on something like that than a football game that so
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: many random things can happen, or baseball or anything like that.
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm gonna lock ball in twenty teams or less.
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: Hope he gets the job done, and I expect him to.
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: I expect wrestling. He's a good and the threat of
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: him wrestling makes him so good on the feet too.
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: That jab is nice, the kicks are good, like he's tough.
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: He'll fight for your dollars. So yeah, it should be
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: a good fight. I know a lot of people down
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: on the wall and also even more of a reason
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: to root for ballall. Dana pretty much said ballall wins.
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: We're gonna get Islam into Porio. We need to see
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: that far if we'll all lose it is Jack Della.
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: Sounds like Islam's going up to fight Jack Della. It'd
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: be a double champ and you're gonna get only there
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: against Taporia. So I love Charles. I need to see
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: Islam to Poria. That fight would be so good. Close
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: it out for us, Big Marley. Final thoughts on this card,
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: anything you want to say before we get.
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: On out of here.
• 51:20
  Speaker 4: Uh go blau go, Chefchenko.
• 51:22
  Speaker 3: If they get it done, hopefully I'll be in a
• 51:24
  Speaker 3: good spot as well. But hopefully it's a good card.
• 51:28
  Speaker 3: Two hundred k solo would be sick, but I'm fine
• 51:31
  Speaker 3: sharing it. Good luck to you title, good luck to
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: everybody listening.
• 51:34
  Speaker 4: Let's ship it.
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: I'm fine sharing it too, but yeah, solo would be
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: that'd be nice over there. Not too often can people
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: say they wont two hundred k in MMA. This is
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: a week you can say that. Good luck everyone out
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: there again. DJN seventy five is the code for seventy
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: five dollars off if you want to join Projections Ownership.
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: Everything will be up tomorrow. Good stuff is always big. Marley,
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: you enjoy your nice weekend. Everyone else out there enjoy
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: the weekend. Good luck for bing Marley on the title
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: town Peace, be safe,