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NFL Week 2, Tyreek Sky Dump, Joe Heaters, Fatty Mahomes · Three For The Money

0:00
Okay, okay, okay, we're here, we're back.
0:19
It's three for the money.
0:21
New episodes every Thursday and week one of the NFL is in the books.
0:26
Me and Sean are back from Vegas. Chris is here as well and we're here to make a
0:31
boatload of money on week two.
0:35
Damn straight. Damn straight.
0:39
I need to if not, after last week, I might have to start selling some personal effects.
0:46
Yeah, I'm sort of in that boat as well.
0:50
Is this Cash for Clunkers thing still going on?
0:58
Cash for Clunkers.
1:02
Alright Chris, let's just go ahead and start with you.
1:04
How was, what was your record? How did you do?
1:07
Well, I bet every game and did not go well in five and ten.
1:12
The noon slate or the early slate was terrible.
1:16
The afternoon slate was good and then Sunday, Monday night were terrible.
1:19
So what are you going to do?
1:23
But that just gives me more motivation to make some money this week.
1:28
Not betting every game because that was probably irresponsible, but what the hell, it's week
1:32
one.
1:35
I get it. You were really excited.
1:37
I was so excited.
1:38
Little too excited.
1:42
It happens to the best of us.
1:45
John, how did you do on your weekend?
1:50
Well, I went 11 and 2 for the lucky number 13 total bets in the NFL week one.
1:59
It is by far the best I have ever done in gambling.
2:05
Best profit I've ever made.
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The ROI is insane.
2:11
I couldn't have asked for a better week one.
2:14
Now that being said, I'm probably going to take a severe step back this week.
2:24
That's the confidence you want to have.
2:27
I am extremely nervous for week two.
2:31
Why?
2:32
You're fine.
2:33
You're hot.
2:34
You got to let it ride, man.
2:35
Yeah.
2:36
I mean, I'm going to let it ride.
2:37
I'm going to bet 13 games again.
2:38
Damn straight.
2:39
But I'd be disappointed if you didn't.
2:44
I mean, it's hard not to feel a little nervous because you have so much pressure riding on
2:50
you now.
2:52
The expectations are set.
2:53
Yes.
2:54
And I don't know if I can live up to them, but I will do my damn best to live up to those
3:01
expectations.
3:05
The expectations where they always get you.
3:07
How'd you do?
3:09
I did not bet 13 games, but I ended up going four and four.
3:17
I lost my surefire pick while we were in Vegas.
3:23
I didn't tweet this out, but there was a promo at one of the casinos we were at, and I ended
3:29
up putting a nuclear missile on Eagles minus four.
3:33
So personally, I am up, but on the show, I'm four and four.
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And right now I can live with that.
3:43
What was your surefire last week?
3:46
Surefire was manless seven.
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Oh yeah.
3:49
God.
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I had a first half.
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That was terrible.
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Yeah.
3:53
They suck.
3:54
Yeah.
3:55
Sam Howell is right now is just an average QB.
4:00
That's generous.
4:02
Yeah, but we'll see what happens with them.
4:08
But yeah, me and Sean are back from Vegas.
4:12
Lots of drinks drank lots of money lost lots of money gained.
4:19
Lost and getting up depending on who you ask.
4:24
Yeah.
4:25
I mean, I could both sides of that coin.
4:30
Yeah, more on the on the losing end of that, but we're not going to get into that.
4:36
This is a sports betting show.
4:38
That's right.
4:39
This is what this is what we're here to talk about.
4:42
Well, yeah, let's let's get into it.
4:46
But first, I think Sean, you had a monster stat that you wanted to mention.
4:53
It's not really a stat.
4:56
It's more of a trend that I've been seeing a lot of and I think I'm going to tail this
5:03
week.
5:06
So the strategy is you bet on every team that didn't cover the spread versus their
5:15
opponent who did.
5:18
And right now there are 12 teams that did not cover the spread, but are playing opponents
5:26
who did cover the spread.
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And that would be Vikings, Chargers, Seahawks, Bears, Chiefs, Bengals, Giants, Broncos, Patriots,
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Steelers and Bills.
5:40
That's 11.
5:43
Yeah, miscounting.
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Sorry.
5:47
So yeah, there are 11 teams who did not cover the spread and are playing opponents who did
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cover the spread.
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I'm obviously not going to take all of those because there are some that I'm kind of like,
6:00
I'm just going to stay away from that game.
6:05
But there are some that look promising to me for sure.
6:11
But we can get into that when we talk about these games.
6:15
Okay, Chris, did you have a stat that you wanted to say or is that later?
6:21
I have a stat, but I'm going to wait till the end.
6:24
All right.
6:25
Little tease for the folks at home.
6:29
For the people.
6:30
The people stat.
6:32
Well, first game, we're just going to get into it.
6:38
Not super pumped.
6:40
Chargers at Titans.
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Titans plus three at home.
6:45
Chargers look piss poor last week.
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Die.
6:50
Yeah, man.
6:53
It's tough to get a read on this.
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The brain is obviously take Chargers minus three just because of Sean Stat and of also,
7:06
I mean, Chargers put up what, 34 points last week?
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31.
7:12
31.
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31 points.
7:14
That's a lot of points.
7:16
That's a lot more than what the Titans scored last week.
7:21
Double.
7:22
Yeah.
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Most double.
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Almost double.
7:25
More, actually.
7:26
Who's to say?
7:27
Math.
7:28
Math.
7:29
It is semantics.
7:30
So I think against my better judgment, I'm going to take Titans plus three.
7:43
We got to get a win.
7:44
We're back home.
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Chargers are career chokers.
7:49
They couldn't be the health.
7:52
They couldn't be the Dolphins team that was healthy or while being healthy.
7:58
Jesus will.
8:01
So yeah, I'm taking Titans plus three.
8:03
I totally forgot to look at the over and under in this game.
8:07
Sean, I think we know your play, but go ahead and enlighten us.
8:13
So I'm also going to this game as I found out this afternoon.
8:19
Didn't expect to go, but I'm still going to take the Chargers minus three here for one
8:29
reason.
8:30
Well, maybe it's two.
8:32
I don't know.
8:34
See at the end.
8:35
So listen, if I walk out of Nissan Stadium with the Titans L and they lost by four, I
8:43
got money in my back pocket.
8:44
It's not a total loss on the day.
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If I walk out of Nissan Stadium and the Titans win, I essentially just paid for a win.
8:55
So you're, you're hedging joy is what you're doing.
8:59
Yes, I'm hedging my happiness.
9:01
That's exactly what I'm doing.
9:03
So I think the play here is Chargers minus three.
9:08
I feel like they're kind of pissed off.
9:11
They were, they were pretty dominant in that Dolphins game for the most part until you
9:19
know, Tyree kill just took a massive dump right on their chest.
9:28
But yeah, I feel like they're kind of pissed off.
9:31
This is obviously, this is obviously not the Dolphins.
9:36
And I mean, well, I know you just said they couldn't beat a healthy Dolphins team, but
9:42
Dolphins look pretty good.
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Two is the betting favorite to win the MVP.
9:48
Yeah.
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Plus 600.
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He went from plus like 1800 to six after a week.
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That's insane.
9:55
That's insane.
9:56
I mean, he threw for over 400 yards in one game.
9:58
Oh yeah.
9:59
Don't get me.
10:00
I'm not saying like he doesn't deserve it.
10:01
He's crazy.
10:02
He moved that much.
10:03
Yeah.
10:04
It's crazy movement.
10:06
I think the dolphins look pretty good.
10:09
I think the Chargers held in as best as they could to that team, but they're going to come
10:15
out and lay their dicks on the table against the Titans.
10:19
Chargers minus three.
10:22
I hate to say it.
10:23
I hate to say it, but it is what it is.
10:28
I'm not one of these Titans fans that's like, oh, we could beat the Chargers.
10:32
No, we can't.
10:33
We cannot beat the Chargers.
10:36
And if we do, I'll eat my words, but Chris, what do you got?
10:42
I mean, everything in me like that watched that Titans game on Sunday and saw Ryan Tannehill
10:52
play the worst game of his career, maybe the worst game I've ever seen from an NFL quarterback.
10:57
I mean, everything is on me to take the Chargers, but this line, it doesn't make much sense.
11:05
I feel like the Chargers should be favored by more.
11:10
But also, like, I can see the Titans play.
11:15
I think they have a better defense than the dolphins.
11:17
They far better defense than the dolphins.
11:18
I think they have a better run game than the dolphins.
11:22
The Chargers were struggling against the run on Sunday.
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I think the Titans will just run pretty much.
11:31
But also I can see Herbert coming out.
11:33
Blank, can you miss it?
11:34
It's 14-0.
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So for that reason, fuck it, over 45.
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I just, why not?
11:43
You know, I love a good over.
11:47
I love a good game.
11:49
I mean, it doesn't really have to be that high score, like, I mean, 28-20.
11:55
Cashes.
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So.
11:57
I was going to say something about Chargers here, but I forgot.
12:06
Maybe it'll come back to me.
12:09
I don't know.
12:10
OK.
12:11
Well, next game, divisional matchup.
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Ravens at Bengals.
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The Bengals are favored by three and a half as of right now.
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All of my lines that I'm announcing these games with, all from that MGM, if you find
12:30
a different line somewhere else, use your best judgment.
12:33
I don't know.
12:35
Bengals had their shit pushed in last week.
12:40
Not looking good for them.
12:41
Not looking good for Joe Burrow.
12:43
Ravens totally dominated the Texans.
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Not like that's a big challenge.
12:51
But I'm going to throw it to Chris and see what he thinks about this game.
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I'm taking Bengals minus three and a half.
13:00
How often, like, how often is Joe Burrow going to have just that dog should have a game and
13:05
back to back leaves?
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Like, I know he didn't practice much with his injury in the off season, or the pre-season,
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excuse me.
13:12
I think they come out and the Ravens, they lost a few guys.
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They lost, obviously, Dobbins.
13:20
They lose an offensive lineman?
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I can't remember.
13:25
Ravens didn't impress me at all.
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I know they ended up being the Texas like, handedly, but I mean, the Texans are awful.
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I'm taking Bengals minus three and a half.
13:41
I don't think we get that bad of a game from Burrow and company in back to back weeks.
13:45
Sean, what do you got?
13:48
Well, gosh, I don't know.
13:52
I mean, one of these teams lost against the spread last week.
13:56
I guess I'll take that team.
14:00
But this is the point I wanted to make against the Titans game, which is kind of the same
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as this Bengals game.
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We felt like the Chargers should be favored a little bit more.
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I think it's because it's at home.
14:20
The Titans and the Bengals are at home.
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If this were an away game, I mean, I think it'd be a touchdown.
14:28
I think it'd be a touchdown.
14:29
For the Chargers, I don't know about the Bengals.
14:32
Yes, I think it'd be six and a half, seven and a half.
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But I think the Ravens kind of came out, scored, I was at 25 on the Texans.
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Something like that.
14:47
I mean, the only time you're going to see Joe Burrow have a game like this again is
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if they play the Browns back to back.
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He's just not very good against the Browns.
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I think he's one in six against the Browns like all time.
15:02
Yes.
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Which is a crazy stat for how bad the Browns can be and how good Joe Burrow is.
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But I love the Bengals at home here.
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I'm not just taking it because of this betting trend.
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But I do think he wants a little bit revenge.
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He's got the dust.
15:26
He's shaking off the dust.
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And he's ready to prove it because I think the Ravens are really not the only competitor,
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but they're the Bengals' biggest competitor in this division for sure.
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So I think Joe Burrow wants to come out.
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They're opening.
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They have their home opener against the division rival.
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Big game.
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Joe Burrow wants to sling it.
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And maybe T. Higgins will catch a pass.
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Maybe.
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I hope so, Jesus.
15:58
We'll see.
16:00
What do you end with, zero for eight or nine?
16:04
What do you mean?
16:05
He had eight attempts.
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Eight targets?
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Yeah, he had eight targets.
16:11
Oh, I don't know.
16:13
I just saw the Goose Segging fantasy.
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So I don't care.
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Didn't catch a single one.
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From.
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Yeah.
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And that dude wants to get paid.
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Like paid, paid?
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Come on, dude.
16:27
Nah, you got to be better.
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So I'm going to rock with the Bengals minus three and a half.
16:34
Will, it seemed like, did you have a decision when you started this off or were you seeing
16:40
what Chris and I were thinking?
16:42
I did have a decision and it was the Bengals.
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And the only thing that worries me about this pick is this, this is almost the exact same
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scenario it was last year.
16:59
I don't know if you guys remember, but the Bengals lost their first two games last year
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straight up outright.
17:06
I think they got boat raced in both the, both those games and everybody was like, what was
17:10
wrong?
17:11
So, but then obviously they, you know, made the playoffs after that.
17:18
So it's, it is tough to see Joe Burrow having that kind of performance two weeks in a row.
17:27
Tough to foresee that.
17:28
So I will also take Bengals minus three and a half.
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They're at home.
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They obviously want to do better than last week.
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Yeah.
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And it's a divisional matchup.
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I mean, anything could happen.
17:44
But, but yeah.
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Next game for sure.
17:50
Next game we have the chiefs playing the Jags in Jacksonville.
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The Jags are home dogs by three and a half.
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Now I'm not sure if Travis Kels is going to come back or not, but I think if he is, then
18:11
I think this is a chiefs slam dunk chiefs minus three and a half.
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They signed Chris Jones.
18:18
If, if Kelsey's back, then, then the chiefs are back.
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It's as simple as that because he can catch a pass unlike any other teammate that he has.
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Kaderius Tony, he's, he's the, he's the main culprit there.
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He is, he definitely is.
18:39
He's a bum.
18:42
That was a very disappointing performance by the chiefs.
18:45
I guess, you know, they were injured.
18:48
But yes, I'm walking, I'm rocking with chiefs minus three and a half here.
18:53
I think this can be a wake up call to the Jags.
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This is a first place schedule and you got to earn it.
19:00
Sean, what do you think?
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Man, I feel like a, I feel like a broken record here, but these, these numbers don't lie.
19:12
Chiefs did not cover the spread last week.
19:15
Holmes is pissed off.
19:20
He is, and I think Travis Kelsey will play in this game.
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He was very close to playing Thursday.
19:29
He's had a couple, couple more days to relax than if he would have set out on Sunday.
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I'm going to rock chiefs minus three and a half.
19:39
I did already put this bed in.
19:41
I got it at minus three on Fandall.
19:46
But everybody's talking hot shit about the Jags.
19:50
I think, you know, chiefs just lost to one of the worst franchises in NFL history in
19:59
week one.
20:00
He's going to, they're going to come out and they're going to, they're going to swing
20:03
it.
20:04
And as soon as they lost the Lions, they signed Chris Jones and they were like, okay, well,
20:10
we're sorry.
20:11
Basically, here's your money.
20:14
Please come back.
20:15
Please come back.
20:16
Baby, baby, come back, please.
20:20
So yeah, chiefs minus three and a half.
20:24
Lock it in.
20:25
This is a slam dunk play.
20:30
Chris, I mean, we agree again, boys.
20:34
I got chiefs.
20:35
Like you, Sean, I got it earlier today.
20:36
I got chiefs minus three.
20:38
The hope might make me a little nervous, but I think they could win easily.
20:44
Kelsey did practice today for whatever that's worth.
20:48
I think I'll be surprised if he doesn't play, if I'm being honest.
20:52
Even if he doesn't, I think the chiefs, they have, they have time to game plan around Cadarius
20:59
Tony and to get him involved as little as possible.
21:05
So Ed plus obviously Chris Jones coming back is good.
21:09
You did say, yeah, the chiefs just lost to historically one of the, if not the worst
21:14
franchises in professional football.
21:16
Are they going to lose back to back weeks to two historically God awful NFL franchises?
21:22
I don't think so.
21:23
Give me the chiefs minus three.
21:24
I mean, how often, also, how often are you going to get like a small number with the
21:29
chiefs?
21:30
That's very true.
21:31
Not, not very often.
21:33
So yeah, I'll take it while I can.
21:35
Give me chiefs minus three.
21:36
Oh yeah.
21:38
All right.
21:39
Let's see.
21:40
Next game, Niners at Rams.
21:44
Rams are home dogs by eight and a half points.
21:49
I've been pondering this game for many minutes.
21:54
Sounds like a long time.
21:58
Yes.
22:00
Many.
22:02
I have an idea of what I want to pick, but maybe you two can sway me another way.
22:09
Chris, what would you please drop me a monster stat?
22:13
I know you're a stat guy.
22:15
I don't have any stats for this one, but I am taken over.
22:20
I'm taken over 44 and a half.
22:22
It's moved up two points since it opened.
22:24
It opened at 42 or 42 and a half.
22:26
Excuse me.
22:27
I mean, Niners offense is amazing.
22:30
But the chiefs or the chiefs, excuse me, the Steelers do have a good defense like they
22:34
do.
22:36
The Niners just dummy like they did it whatever they wanted.
22:41
I think they'll do the same this week.
22:43
I don't think the Rams are very good.
22:46
Their offense though.
22:47
Holy shit.
22:49
Like apparently Matthew Stafford is just back.
22:53
He just heard all this talk in the off season.
22:55
They always to her.
22:57
He's done.
22:58
He's going to retire.
22:59
So he dropped 30 points against like a good Seahawks team with, I mean, who the hell at
23:04
wide receiver?
23:05
Like nobody good.
23:07
So I'm not saying they'll score 30 again, but if we can get two, three touchdowns, I
23:13
think we get this over.
23:15
I would that I want to lay the eight and a half for the Niners, but that big a number
23:21
division rival that scares me.
23:22
So give me the over 44 and a half.
23:25
Sean, what do you like?
23:27
Let's try to give it to her.
23:30
Let's go.
23:31
Let's go.
23:32
I did get it at over 45 instead of 44 and a half, which I'm still comfortable with enough
23:38
to take it.
23:39
I think you said it best.
23:42
These offenses are explosive.
23:45
I don't know where this puka nuke guy came from.
23:48
I don't know how to say his last name, but I'm going to call him nuke because God, he
23:53
can catch balls and he can.
23:56
There's already a nuke in the NFL.
23:58
Yeah, but he didn't show up.
23:59
So he was a dud.
24:00
It's not his fault.
24:02
Yeah, that's true.
24:06
But I do love this over.
24:08
Like I said, explosive offenses, division rivals, just blood bath.
24:14
I just want a blood bath.
24:15
That's all I want.
24:16
And I think the over is the way to go here.
24:20
Let's go.
24:21
Will, did we convince you?
24:24
No.
24:25
Did you want to take the over the under?
24:29
No, I think I think I'm going to take the Rams here.
24:34
Okay.
24:35
This, this, I can, it's just a divisional matchup.
24:39
It's more than a touchdown.
24:41
Rams scored a bunch of points last week.
24:46
This new guy on the Rams, Pua Nuca.
24:48
I think that's how you say his name.
24:50
I don't know.
24:51
He's Samoa and I looked it up if you're wondering, Sean.
24:54
Oh, that means he's automatically a dog.
24:59
It's a divisional matchup.
25:00
Niners could easily win this game by seven.
25:04
So I'm taking Rams plus eight and a half.
25:07
Again, divisional matchup.
25:08
Anything could happen.
25:09
That's a big number.
25:11
I'm taking the Rams.
25:13
Oh, that's that.
25:20
Next game.
25:21
Jets at Cowboys.
25:23
All right.
25:25
Cowboys are favored by nine and a half.
25:29
Okay.
25:31
In Dallas.
25:32
Okay.
25:33
So the Cowboys took a massive fucking stinky skydome all over the Giants chest.
25:44
If you follow us on social media, there was a guy with lobster pants that I talked to
25:50
for a little bit.
25:51
He had a New York Giants mug.
25:55
Took it as a sign from God.
25:57
Did not go my way.
26:01
We're going to move past it.
26:02
Hopefully, I don't see lobster pants again.
26:05
I wonder what that guy's doing right now.
26:07
I hope he's having a real rough day.
26:12
He had a real rough day on Sunday.
26:13
I'll tell you that.
26:16
What I think at the play here is under 38 and a half.
26:25
Okay.
26:26
If we've known anything about the NFL for the past couple of years is that if spreads
26:32
are nine and a half or higher, take the under.
26:37
And those hit.
26:38
I don't have the numbers, but they hit really often because the books normally over-analyzed
26:46
like a huge favorite and either the huge favorite totally stomps on the dog and shuts him out
26:56
and doesn't score enough points for the over or the dog plays it up to the standard and
27:04
shuts down the favorite and win.
27:07
So I think the play here is under 38 and a half.
27:11
That's what I'm rolling with.
27:12
I think my system now is if I see a big ass spread like nine and a half or more under.
27:20
I'm trying to get all these wins I can right now.
27:23
So Chris.
27:27
I might be falling into the trap here.
27:31
I'm taking Cowboys minus nine.
27:35
The Jets, I think I've seen a lot of Jets fans on social media since Monday night just
27:44
trying to talk themselves into like, oh no, we can still win the Super Bowl.
27:49
Like we have an elite defense, great run game.
27:50
We can still win the Super Bowl even without Aaron Rodgers.
27:54
I think this is when their world just crumbles down.
28:00
I think the Cowboys stomp.
28:03
I just, I do.
28:05
I think they are just far better.
28:07
Their pass thrush we saw on Sunday night is elite and the Jets offensive line is terrible.
28:16
I mean they couldn't even protect Aaron Rodgers for more than four plays and snapped his Achilles.
28:21
So what are we talking about here?
28:24
I think the Jets defense is very good, but people are pumping them up like they're the
28:30
fucking 86 Bears.
28:31
Let's calm down here for a second.
28:35
Two of those turnovers, actually I guess you could say three, were Josh Allen just being
28:40
a bonehead.
28:42
The first interception was terrible.
28:46
Like that was, I think he was thinking essentially it was a punt.
28:50
So he was like, fuck it, why not?
28:51
Let's just launch it.
28:53
The second pick was kind of the same.
28:55
It was just terrible throw.
28:57
The fumble, he just dropped it.
29:00
Like it wasn't like nobody caused him to fumble.
29:02
He just dropped the football.
29:03
The third interception was a great play.
29:05
I will give them that.
29:06
So I think let's kind of pump the brakes here with the Jets have this defense that can beat
29:13
anybody.
29:14
I think the whole team comes back to earth and actually goes to hell.
29:18
Cowboys minus nine in a blow out.
29:21
I almost made it my surefire, but it's too big a number.
29:25
But I think they beat the shit out of them.
29:28
Sean, what are you thinking?
29:32
Fuck it, we ball.
29:37
Let's go.
29:38
Jets plus nine and a half.
29:41
You want to take that back, Chris?
29:45
No, I don't.
29:47
No.
29:48
Okay.
29:49
Yeah.
29:50
So in a rare outing, Dak Prescott did not throw an interception last week.
29:57
In a rare outing.
30:00
Like you said, Chris, Jets have a good defense.
30:03
They are not the 86 Bears by any means.
30:06
Nobody's saying that.
30:07
I'm certainly not saying that.
30:08
I know Jets fans are.
30:09
I know Jets fans are, but I'm certainly not saying that.
30:14
But this just screams.
30:19
This spread is way too high.
30:23
It's way too high.
30:24
And I know that I know Zach Wilson is quarterback.
30:31
I know that this is a pure.
30:33
The Milf Hunter.
30:38
This is a pure fuck it, we ball pick.
30:42
I think, you know, I do think the Cowboys do win this game.
30:47
They do win this game.
30:50
But I really don't have anything else for y'all other than just blind faith on.
31:00
In Zach Wilson.
31:01
No, in Dak Prescott to throw interceptions.
31:07
That's all I'm that's all I'm banking on is because he's he is now due to throw interceptions.
31:12
Okay.
31:13
Yeah.
31:14
He didn't really, um, he didn't really do.
31:18
He didn't really do too much.
31:19
He didn't have to in that Giants game.
31:22
Yeah.
31:23
I mean, halfway through the first quarter, it was what, 26 to nothing.
31:28
Yeah.
31:29
That was just monsoon.
31:31
Yeah.
31:32
And you know what?
31:35
I'll I might give it to the Giants a little bit.
31:38
It was raining, but man, you got to get to play better again.
31:43
I think these are two big defenses as well.
31:48
I'm certainly Dallas showed up, Bill showed up or sorry, bills didn't show up, but the
31:54
Jets defense sure did.
31:59
I could easily see this going under as well, but two defenses going head to head like this.
32:05
I got I got to take the I got to take the big, the big dog here at Jets plus nine and a half.
32:12
Next game Sunday night football dolphins at the Patriots.
32:19
Patriots are home dogs by three Patriots had a chance to win against the Eagles.
32:27
I know that because I was sweating it out.
32:30
My nuclear missiles secret play, um, but, uh, couldn't cover the spread there.
32:38
Um, dolphins look like world beaters.
32:41
Sean, what do you think?
32:46
Um, man, I wrote this down and I already took it.
32:55
But I'm going Pat's money line.
33:00
I'm going Pat's money line here.
33:03
Primetime Sunday night football division rival at home back in.
33:10
Is it still called Gillette?
33:13
Yeah.
33:14
Yes.
33:15
Okay.
33:16
In Gillette stadium.
33:17
I mean, I mean, I don't, this is a pure vibes play.
33:23
Honestly, uh, this, the, the Pat's also did not cover the spread last week and I really
33:29
don't have, um, a dog money line like I did last week with the Browns and the Lions.
33:37
So I just have to sprinkle one in here real quick.
33:41
Pat's money line, crazy shit happens on Sunday night football and just got to rock with it
33:48
and I'm going to rock with it and I'm going to stand by it.
33:52
Okay.
33:53
Well, what do you got?
33:57
Uh, I'm taking dolphins minus three.
33:59
I think that I think that what, what does that make sense?
34:04
No, I'm not.
34:05
You're chirping me wrong?
34:06
No, I'm saying the dolphins pick makes sense.
34:10
Mine doesn't make any sense.
34:12
All right.
34:14
Um, I'm taking the dolphins minus three.
34:19
I think that this is, I'm hoping this isn't a trap.
34:23
Um, I think, I think this is a nut up or shut up type of game for Tua and the dolphins.
34:33
I think if they can just beat the Patriots, uh, then I don't know.
34:42
I guess I was about to say if they can beat the Patriots and they're real, but I think
34:45
the Patriots stink.
34:47
Um, I don't think, man, I don't, I do the Patriots aren't definitely world beaters
34:53
either, but I think if they can just win these divisional games, I think, I think this is
35:02
easily like a put your nuts on the table situation for Tua and the dolphins.
35:06
And that's, that's what I'm going with.
35:09
And I know Tyreek wants to get 2000 yards this season.
35:12
So I, uh, I also may sprinkle the under on that, uh, but follow the Twitter and to see
35:22
if I, if I, if I play that one, but that's all I got for that game.
35:26
Chris, what do you think about this game?
35:28
Well, uh, I'm glad you said that.
35:31
That's perfect.
35:32
Um, I am not sprinkling.
35:33
I am betting the under 47 and a half, uh, or 47 even excuse me.
35:39
Uh, Bellachucks or the Patriots defense is very good.
35:43
At least they played very well in the week.
35:47
They held the almost the, did Hertzman MVP last year?
35:52
Uh, no, I think Mahomes won MVP.
35:57
Oh, yeah.
35:58
So, so, um, he held a MVP contender to, I mean, like two real touchdowns because they
36:06
had the pick six and then they had a, like a drive gifted to him at like the 20 when
36:11
Zeke fumbled.
36:12
So, um, I think Bellachucks going to have the defense ready.
36:17
He's going to have a perfect scheme going.
36:19
I think they hold the dolphins.
36:20
I love honestly Patriots plus two and a half, but two is just a winner in like when the
36:26
he plays the dolphins win.
36:28
So I, I didn't feel comfortable with either side.
36:31
So I'm just going to play the under.
36:32
Um, also, I mean, the Patriots offense sucks.
36:36
So, yes, they are not good at the Patriots can play like they did last on defense, can
36:42
play like they did last week and the dolphins can play a shred of defense.
36:46
This game will, I think we'll go under by quite a lot.
36:49
Also it's prime time and games in prime time go under.
36:52
I think it's already three and one this year.
36:54
It's just a fact.
36:56
Yeah.
36:57
I mean, that's not the reason I'm taking it, but it helps.
36:59
So under 47 hell yeah.
37:03
Well that's going to be it for our main slate that we talked about this week.
37:09
Let's go into our surefire picks.
37:13
Chris, do you have a double unit surefire guaranteed not to lose pick surefire?
37:21
I do have a double unit surefire.
37:24
Whatever, let's make it, I did whatever.
37:29
Let's make it two and no like we're one and now let's make it two and no.
37:34
There's a really stinky game coming up on Sunday is the commanders and the Broncos.
37:40
The commander's offense, I thought they were going to be really good with the enemy and
37:44
how apparently it's looking good and preseason.
37:48
They suck.
37:49
The Cardinals are trying to lose and they almost won that game.
37:54
So and the Broncos, I mean, they have a really good defense.
37:57
I think Russell Wilson is he might just be terrible now.
38:00
I don't know.
38:02
But what do we do with stinky games?
38:04
We take the under 38 and a half.
38:08
You're telling me these teams going to score five touchdowns more than five touchdowns.
38:13
I don't see it.
38:14
So, sir.
38:15
The commander's Broncos under 38 and a half to go to two and no on surefires this year.
38:20
I love it.
38:23
Will talk to me.
38:25
Let's get on the board here with your with the surefire picks.
38:28
What do you got?
38:29
Okay, so my double unit guaranteed not to lose surefire play of the week.
38:37
It's going to be the Lions minus five and a half against the Seahawks.
38:43
Okay, Lions.
38:45
Oh, my gosh.
38:47
They if they can not get in the way of themselves, they can this can cruise.
38:56
I think Seattle.
38:58
I think Tyler Lockett got hurt smithing jibbuzz out.
39:02
I don't think Seattle is very good.
39:06
This is I think the Lions stomp the Seahawks.
39:10
I kind of wanted to take the over in this game because last year that game, I think
39:18
there was 80 points scored.
39:19
It was a shootout.
39:21
It was like 53 to 30 something.
39:26
That game was crazy.
39:27
I wanted to take the over but I do think the Lions defense got better.
39:32
Yeah, but I think the Lions are just going to stomp the Seahawks.
39:38
Lions minus five and a half, they got dogs on that team.
39:42
They they love playing for this coach.
39:44
They they they'll bite in the caps.
39:48
They're doing exactly what what they're doing.
39:52
So that's my that's my surefire pick.
39:54
Sean, what is your surefire pick?
39:57
My surefire double unit guaranteed not to lose pick of the week is Packers Falcons over 40
40:06
and a half.
40:07
Let me tell you why.
40:11
This Falcons run game is kind of kind of tight.
40:17
It's kind of elite.
40:19
Split now, Jere and Bijan is dangerous.
40:25
And do you know what the Packers can't do is stop the run?
40:30
They cannot stop the run.
40:33
I think their ranks like 28th in the league with opposing rushing yards, which is not
40:40
good, which makes this even better for me.
40:45
But I mean, the Packers also put a wampan a wampan on the Bears.
40:52
Now they do own the Bears like Lee like they legally own the Bears.
40:56
Damn, yes, the Bears defense stinks.
40:59
Yes, and I think Packers could put up some points here.
41:05
This isn't going to be a shootout like I think this Niners Rams game is I'm hoping to be.
41:14
But I can definitely see 41 points being scored here.
41:19
Most definitely.
41:21
So surefire double unit guaranteed to win.
41:26
I think I said that right.
41:29
The week is Packers Falcons over 40 and a half.
41:33
Easy, easy money.
41:34
Hell yeah.
41:35
Hell yeah.
41:36
We're going to win all of our surefires this week.
41:40
I'm going to know.
41:42
I'm going to win my first one.
41:47
All right, that's our surefires.
41:50
But we got extra play is Sean, give me your extra plays this week.
41:55
All right, first extra play.
41:59
I've got the Colts minus one.
42:04
And Tony Richardson looks pretty damn good.
42:08
And I'm calling him Tony.
42:09
I hate that you call him.
42:10
I'm calling him Tony.
42:11
I'm calling him Tony Richardson.
42:16
He didn't ask me to, but I'm doing it.
42:17
No, he didn't.
42:20
Yeah, Richardson looks a lot better than I thought he would.
42:28
He put up some points against the Jags, which was really surprising.
42:33
I thought that game was a lot closer than I thought it would be, except in the fourth
42:38
quarter when the Jags just won by 10.
42:41
But I think the Colts easily take this game.
42:46
I don't think it's really going to be close, if I'm being honest.
42:49
I'm not sure why this is a pick them.
42:53
Who are they playing?
42:54
The Texans.
42:55
Okay.
42:56
Yep.
42:57
For my next extra pick, I've got the Bucks minus two and a half.
43:06
I think the bake show might have been renewed for a second season.
43:10
That was awesome.
43:11
Yeah.
43:12
The bake show is kind of, he's kind of back.
43:15
Let's go.
43:16
I mean, he's like, he played really good.
43:19
Yeah.
43:20
It's kind of wild, but he can do with kind of like with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans.
43:28
Yeah, really.
43:29
Like good wide receivers.
43:31
It's kind of wild what he can do.
43:34
So yeah, I got the Bucks minus two and a half.
43:37
I've got, I do have Seattle plus five and a half.
43:40
Sorry, Will, but this is the lost against the spread last week bet that I am comfortable
43:47
with next is giants minus six.
43:56
It's up to six.
43:57
Yeah.
43:58
Shit.
43:59
So they're playing the Cardinals.
44:00
Yep.
44:01
Yeah.
44:02
In Arizona.
44:03
I, we all know that Danny Dimes is afraid of the dark, which is why he lost that game.
44:15
Yes, I should have remembered that.
44:17
I didn't even think about that.
44:19
Damn it.
44:20
Yeah.
44:21
He's afraid of the dark.
44:22
I totally forgot.
44:24
And luckily this game's at three 30.
44:26
So I think, you know, he's looking for a little bit of revenge.
44:31
He's looking to get some confidence back in playing this dog shit Arizona team that is
44:37
actively trying to get the first pick in the draft.
44:41
Give me the giants minus six all day, another, another bet that, you know, another team that
44:47
didn't cover the spread last week, who's playing a team that did.
44:52
So give me that.
44:55
Chris, I also have the manters Broncos under 38 and a half.
44:58
Both in my notes here, I just wrote, not good.
45:06
And I think not good.
45:07
I think that's really excellent insider information.
45:11
That's all I need to say is just not good.
45:14
I think you said it best.
45:15
This is a stinky game that I will probably only be watching if it's on, if they somehow
45:23
switch it on red zone.
45:24
Well, they're not going to score any points.
45:27
So we're never going to see it.
45:28
Yeah.
45:29
So we're never going to see any plays from that game on red zone.
45:33
And for my last pick, my 13th pick, my lucky number, they burned me last week, but I'm taking
45:40
them again.
45:43
One of my only losses last week, but I'm taking Panthers plus three and a half.
45:48
Prime time divisional underdog at home.
45:51
You can't beat it.
45:54
Just go out there and show that the Saints are not as good as we made them out to be.
46:02
Please.
46:04
This is almost a revenge pick for myself.
46:09
But I still believe in this Panthers team.
46:15
Bryce did not play great.
46:18
I don't think he played terrible, but he did not play great.
46:24
And I think coming out at home, getting the crowd hyped, getting the home crowd hyped
46:30
for you could really boost your confidence a little bit here.
46:35
So yeah, it's my last play.
46:37
Panthers plus three.
46:40
Chris, what are your extra picks?
46:43
All right.
46:44
Well, I said in the towards the beginning of the show that I do have a juicy little stat
46:50
for you guys.
46:51
And here it is.
46:54
Since 2014, 62 teams have lost on week one by double digits.
47:02
In week two, those teams are 39, 22 and one against the spread and 32 and 30 straight up.
47:09
So that being, yeah, and there are seven games that fall into that category this week.
47:19
One of them being Colts Texans.
47:20
They play, they both fall into that.
47:22
They play each other.
47:24
Also don't like either the team.
47:26
So I'm not going to bet it.
47:28
So the rest that do already said this bingles my three and a half bears plus three giants
47:33
minus five and a half Seahawks plus five and a half.
47:36
Sorry, well Steelers plus two and a half Panthers plus three.
47:40
And sorry, Sean.
47:41
I'm also taking Packers Falcons under 40 and a half.
47:46
And how does that fall into that stat?
47:49
They don't.
47:50
I'm just taking both of those teams play at a they are the I think the Falcons are the
47:58
they are the they rank at the bottom of plays per game.
48:04
And the Packers are also in the bottom 10.
48:07
I think this game is going to go at a snail's pace.
48:10
Both teams do like to run the football.
48:12
So running game, give me under 40 and a half.
48:16
What you did, what you did say does make me nervous, but I don't want to go against my
48:21
gut.
48:22
So yeah, that's the that's the rest of the bunch.
48:25
Can you can you read out all the teams that those games do apply to for those steps?
48:32
Yes.
48:33
So bingles minus three and a half.
48:35
They got their shit pushed in, obviously.
48:37
And like I said, already already taking them bears plus three.
48:41
That one makes me nervous, but it falls into the system.
48:44
So we're taking it.
48:45
Giants minus five and a half.
48:48
For everything you said, I think they Mollie Woff the Cardinals Seahawks plus five and
48:52
a half.
48:53
Don't love it falls into the system.
48:55
I don't think they're as bad as they played on Sunday.
48:58
But we'll see.
49:00
Steelers plus two and a half.
49:01
They can't play that bad again.
49:03
Tomlin won't let them.
49:05
And then Panthers plus three.
49:08
Why not?
49:09
Yeah, if they if they if the Panthers lay an egg again, they might be going on the list.
49:18
Yeah, they're very close to being the list.
49:21
I'm sorry.
49:22
I was confused by your stat earlier.
49:24
I didn't realize that you were just taking those teams that fell into the system and
49:30
then you also and then under.
49:32
Okay.
49:33
Yeah, I just yeah, the the under has nothing to do with it.
49:36
I just like that.
49:37
So I'm taking that.
49:38
I'm caught up now.
49:42
Will, what is the rest of your card look like?
49:47
Do you have anything that contradicts with our surefire picks?
49:52
Because we have no shit.
49:54
We're all fading each other.
49:57
No, I only other two plays.
50:01
I got Tampa Bay minus two and a half against the Bears.
50:07
Big shows back.
50:09
Let's see.
50:11
And then my only other play that I thought I love that was almost my surefire pick where
50:17
it was Manders Broncos under 39.
50:22
So that's that's my only two other plays.
50:27
No one has made my list this past week.
50:31
Granted, we were in Vegas.
50:32
We didn't really pay attention fully to all of the games.
50:37
So we will see who makes the list next week.
50:42
But yeah, that's I think that's it.
50:49
I got college bet for Thursday night.
50:53
Lay it on Memphis.
50:55
My 14 and a half against Navy.
50:57
Navy is God awful and Memphis is pretty good.
51:00
So that's simple.
51:03
Hell yeah.
51:05
I also have a bet for that game.
51:13
I have let me pull up the stats real quick though because I've got stats.
51:18
That's on stats on stats.
51:22
So I am taking Navy Memphis under 23 and a half for the first half of the game.
51:34
Navy has hit the first half game total under in their last six away games.
51:40
And where's Memphis is.
51:43
Okay, and Memphis has hit the first half game total under in seven of their last nine games.
51:52
So I saw that and I was like, that's it.
51:56
That's all I need.
51:57
Under 20 and a half Thursday college football action probably won't be watching it just
52:04
because you know there's football NFL on there's professional football on.
52:11
Yeah, I don't really want to see Navy just run the ball again.
52:17
But yeah, that's I think that just about does it.
52:22
All right.
52:23
That just about does it.
52:24
Thank you so much for listening and watching.
52:29
Follow us on all socials.
52:31
Link is in the bio.
52:33
Follow us on TikTok for bandits Thursday night play.
52:39
He won last week.
52:41
I don't see why anyone would fade him.
52:43
Want to know?
52:45
Like me.
52:46
I put my bed in first.
52:49
So yeah, same here.
52:54
And he should have an all dog parlay.
52:56
He forgot to do it last week.
52:58
He he didn't he wasn't quite sure about week one.
53:02
So but we weren't here to show him the slate because he's a dog and he doesn't know who's
53:09
playing.
53:10
So we're going to show him.
53:11
Yeah, so it'll be back.
53:14
But they ended the dog who knows knows ball.
53:19
He does know those balls.
53:23
Yeah.
53:24
Follow us on everything.
53:26
Link is in the bio.
53:29
Like comment subscribe.
53:30
Thank you so much for watching.
53:33
I think that's it.
53:34
All right.
53:35
There's three of us.
53:37
Now let's make some money.
53:40
I hope you have a great week.