Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Full Episode - The Redistricting “Race To The Bottom” + Winning A Landmark Case Against Big Tech
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you
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- 1:41Speaker 1: rates may vary. Hello there, Welcome to the Thursday edition
- 1:48Speaker 1: of the Chuck Podcast. You may see a different backdrop.
- 1:51Speaker 1: I am coming to you on the road. I am
- 1:54Speaker 1: at a gathering of people that are concerned about the
- 1:57Speaker 1: future of the democracy and want to do something about it,
- 2:00Speaker 1: whether it's getting rid of partisan primaries, figuring out how
- 2:04Speaker 1: to change incentive structures so partisan hackery doesn't rule the day.
- 2:12Speaker 1: You know, can we figure out a way to get
- 2:14Speaker 1: members of Congress to realize that Article one of the
- 2:17Speaker 1: Constitution is about them and a variety of other ideas
- 2:24Speaker 1: out there. But it's a great group. It's people that
- 2:29Speaker 1: are truly concerned. There's a bipartisan event, if you will.
- 2:34Speaker 1: There are Democrats here, it's really cross partisan. There are
- 2:36Speaker 1: Democrats here, there are Republicans here, and there are people
- 2:38Speaker 1: think we need a third party or an independent movement,
- 2:43Speaker 1: but everybody has the same concern that essentially what we
- 2:47Speaker 1: have learned in the last ten years of this experiment
- 2:51Speaker 1: that is Donald Trump. It's been one of the great Look,
- 2:54Speaker 1: I look at the Trump era as an MRI. I've
- 2:56Speaker 1: used that phrase every with you guys before, because it
- 3:00Speaker 1: certainly has exposed a slew of weaknesses in our system.
- 3:05Speaker 1: And we know what's whether it's you know how norms
- 3:11Speaker 1: are just you can't really rely on a norm. You're
- 3:14Speaker 1: going to have to if you care about it enough,
- 3:17Speaker 1: you're going to have to codify it. Right, You're going
- 3:18Speaker 1: to have to turn a norm into a law. Sometimes
- 3:22Speaker 1: you may need a constitutional amendment, whether it's a state level,
- 3:25Speaker 1: federal level, et cetera. But I am. I'm pretty this
- 3:31Speaker 1: is a really impressive group. I'm glad to be here
- 3:36Speaker 1: and trying to connect with people who want to do
- 3:40Speaker 1: solve real problems here and just want to make this
- 3:43Speaker 1: system function better and be majoritarian. Right, we are not
- 3:47Speaker 1: living in a majoritarian era, if you will, We've we've
- 3:52Speaker 1: you know, we've got essentially minority power, and that is
- 3:58Speaker 1: not what founders intended. You know, they intended to balance
- 4:01Speaker 1: on these things, and they certainly intended for the people
- 4:04Speaker 1: to have more of a voice than they currently do
- 4:06Speaker 1: not do now. So anyway, so that's why I'm here.
- 4:11Speaker 1: I'm gonna later I have a fascinating interview today. If
- 4:18Speaker 1: you've been following what's going on with big tech and
- 4:21Speaker 1: the civil litigation that has begun, whether it's state attorneys
- 4:26Speaker 1: generals that want a verdict against some of the big
- 4:29Speaker 1: ten companies in New Mexico or the big news last
- 4:33Speaker 1: month out of Los Angeles, when we had when both
- 4:38Speaker 1: Meta and Google basically because of Instagram and YouTube, were
- 4:43Speaker 1: found libel for essentially making a defective product. Rather than
- 4:49Speaker 1: going after these companies via section you know where they
- 4:52Speaker 1: could have protection under Section two thirty about their platform.
- 4:55Speaker 1: This was about how and it was essentially how this
- 5:03Speaker 1: platform was intentionally created to make young people addicted. So anyway,
- 5:14Speaker 1: it is with a federal government that is too paralyzed
- 5:19Speaker 1: to do its job when it comes to regulation, when
- 5:21Speaker 1: it comes to protecting consumers, the last the last resort
- 5:27Speaker 1: is the courts, and Mark Lanier and Rahu Ravapodi, who
- 5:31Speaker 1: are my guests today, are essentially overseeing a slew of
- 5:37Speaker 1: litigation against a variety of big tech companies that may
- 5:42Speaker 1: be after winning their first one. This could be the
- 5:47Speaker 1: beginning of what is big tech and social media's tobacco
- 5:52Speaker 1: big Tobacco moment. If you will, they've lost their first case,
- 5:58Speaker 1: if they lose the next four or five others, I
- 6:00Speaker 1: have a feeling these big tech companies are going to
- 6:02Speaker 1: try to figure out a way to settle like big
- 6:04Speaker 1: tobacco eventually did, because as you will hear, they basically
- 6:14Speaker 1: don't have a good defense because in they have their
- 6:18Speaker 1: own research that indicated what they were doing was in
- 6:21Speaker 1: fact what the plaintiffs suggests that they were doing, whether
- 6:25Speaker 1: it was to get young people addicted or then some
- 6:31Speaker 1: and so it's a if you want to understand where
- 6:34Speaker 1: this is headed, the legal strategy behind it, and frankly,
- 6:38Speaker 1: what maybe some ideas on what are elected officials if
- 6:43Speaker 1: they do care about protecting consumers, particularly those under eighteen,
- 6:48Speaker 1: from the predatory behavior of social media companies. Take a
- 6:53Speaker 1: listen to this interview. So I'm very excited about that conversation.
- 6:58Speaker 1: I really think you will learn a lot on that topic.
- 7:02Speaker 1: But I'm going to begin with more fallout from Virginia
- 7:06Speaker 1: a little bit and sort of. It has been an
- 7:08Speaker 1: interesting twenty four hours post Virginia. You've had an amazing
- 7:13Speaker 1: amount of gloating from the Democrats, and then you've had
- 7:20Speaker 1: a bit of a divided response among Republicans. You have
- 7:23Speaker 1: got a half of Republicans upset it Donald Trump and
- 7:27Speaker 1: other Republicans for not fighting, for not spending enough money
- 7:30Speaker 1: in Virginia, and then you have the other half just
- 7:33Speaker 1: lamenting that this happened in the first place. And there's
- 7:36Speaker 1: somehow have amnesia and forgetting that this all began with
- 7:41Speaker 1: the hackery that we saw in Texas, and actually people
- 7:45Speaker 1: seem to forget it was a re redistricting effort by
- 7:49Speaker 1: Ronda Santis in Florida in twenty twenty two that essentially
- 7:53Speaker 1: got Republicans the majority if he doesn't likely violate his
- 7:58Speaker 1: you know, well, look, the courts didn't say late to
- 8:00Speaker 1: the state constitution. But there's a lot of questions about
- 8:02Speaker 1: whether that redistricting followed the spirit of the of the
- 8:07Speaker 1: constitutional amendment that said you cannot redistrict in Florida for
- 8:11Speaker 1: partisan gain. But the fact of the matter is if
- 8:14Speaker 1: he hadn't done it, h Republicans wouldn't have wouldn't have
- 8:18Speaker 1: picked up the House. That's how you know we see
- 8:21Speaker 1: this narrow majority. It is thanks to redistricting. And so
- 8:23Speaker 1: now I guess you could say what's good for the
- 8:27Speaker 1: goose is good for the gander. But I'm not sure
- 8:29Speaker 1: this race to the bottom is a race that Democrats
- 8:32Speaker 1: ought to be gloating about winning. But I want to
- 8:34Speaker 1: address the Republican issue here a minute, because there's this
- 8:39Speaker 1: belief among some that if only they had spent more money,
- 8:42Speaker 1: if only Donald Trump had been more engaged, if only
- 8:45Speaker 1: there let me just tell you something, This is probably
- 8:48Speaker 1: as good as the no could have done in this circumstance.
- 8:52Speaker 1: And let me explain one. The more this became a
- 8:56Speaker 1: Republican effort, the more the more Independents were likely not
- 9:03Speaker 1: to vote. Now, that's one. Two. The more this became
- 9:06Speaker 1: red coated on the No campaign, the more likely people
- 9:09Speaker 1: were going to feel uncomfortable and either not vote or
- 9:12Speaker 1: vote for yes. You know Trump's involvement. You know, look
- 9:19Speaker 1: the Republican the No campaign could have tried a message
- 9:25Speaker 1: that was as follow us. Hey, you know, maybe Glenn
- 9:29Speaker 1: Youngkin gets on the air, my party is wrong about Texas.
- 9:32Speaker 1: What happened in Texas is a travesty. It shouldn't have happened.
- 9:36Speaker 1: It was a mistake. I was against it, and that's
- 9:39Speaker 1: why I'm fighting not to let it happen here. You
- 9:43Speaker 1: might have had a tad more credibility, but nobody of
- 9:47Speaker 1: significance on the right had the guts to essentially say
- 9:50Speaker 1: Donald Trump was wrong. Texas Republicans were wrong, and this
- 9:55Speaker 1: is why I think this referendum is wrong. Right. So
- 9:59Speaker 1: the fact is the No campaign played partisan politics. They
- 10:02Speaker 1: wanted to basically do a little Hey, pay no attention
- 10:05Speaker 1: what happened over here. We think what this is happening
- 10:08Speaker 1: over here is bad. Man. I'm happened to be one
- 10:11Speaker 1: of those things people that says what happened in Texas
- 10:14Speaker 1: is bad. What happened in Florida in twenty twenty two
- 10:17Speaker 1: is bad. What's happened in California's bad, and what happened
- 10:19Speaker 1: in Virginia's bad. But you know, I don't want to
- 10:24Speaker 1: hear from these fake outraged conservatives like the slaps and
- 10:28Speaker 1: that sort of you know, those that clown show that is,
- 10:32Speaker 1: those that pair who are lamenting all of this or
- 10:35Speaker 1: there's all these I've seen some concerns who just don't
- 10:38Speaker 1: acknowledge that this began with a ridiculous order from Donald
- 10:44Speaker 1: Trump to Republican governors and Republican held state legislatures. So
- 10:50Speaker 1: this is where we're at. This was potentially a winnable campaign,
- 10:53Speaker 1: but let me tell you, more involvement from the Republican
- 10:56Speaker 1: Party and Donald Trump would have actually made this worse.
- 11:00Speaker 1: One could argue him getting involved twenty four hours before
- 11:03Speaker 1: was probably a mistake. And this is the trap that
- 11:06Speaker 1: the Republican Party is in with Donald Trump everywhere, and
- 11:09Speaker 1: it's actually a bit of a preview of coming attractions
- 11:13Speaker 1: for Republicans that are on the ballot. You can't separate
- 11:17Speaker 1: yourself from Donald Trump. And then at the last minute
- 11:20Speaker 1: try to get Donald Trump to get his people to
- 11:22Speaker 1: come out and support you, right, you can't do both
- 11:25Speaker 1: things right. This is the you know, he took over
- 11:28Speaker 1: the Republican Party. He has become synonymous with the Republican Party.
- 11:32Speaker 1: And you know he even laments anytime a Republican doesn't
- 11:35Speaker 1: vote his way. He wants to kick him out, right.
- 11:37Speaker 1: He wants to not endorse them, he doesn't want to
- 11:40Speaker 1: fund them. So you cannot separate yourself if you're a
- 11:44Speaker 1: Republican from Donald Trump unless you fully repudiate Donald Trump.
- 11:50Speaker 1: And the problem they have is there they need his base.
- 11:55Speaker 1: And right now, when you look at all these polls
- 11:58Speaker 1: that have been coming out, I've been a little bit
- 12:02Speaker 1: cautious about overreacting. I know a lot of people have
- 12:05Speaker 1: been seeing this new AP pole that puts it in
- 12:10Speaker 1: the low thirties. Now, I'll say this, if that's in
- 12:14Speaker 1: the low thirties, then my guess is those with registered
- 12:18Speaker 1: voters are going to be in the high thirties now.
- 12:20Speaker 1: And that's a big deal. If we see when you
- 12:22Speaker 1: see if you see the Fox News poll or the
- 12:24Speaker 1: NBC News poll, not Survey Monkey's NBC News poll, but
- 12:27Speaker 1: the one done by the two professional campaign pollsters. Because
- 12:32Speaker 1: I know how they do their methodology. If you start
- 12:35Speaker 1: to see that drop below forty on his approval rating
- 12:39Speaker 1: and his approval rating in registered voters sort of likely
- 12:42Speaker 1: registered voters in the twenty twenty six mid term, if
- 12:44Speaker 1: that starts to be in the mid to high thirties,
- 12:48Speaker 1: that's catastrophic. You know, you're looking at with this map,
- 12:54Speaker 1: probably twenty five to thirty five seats, right, which, for
- 12:58Speaker 1: what it's worth, which would have translated in twenty ten,
- 13:01Speaker 1: you know, sort of twenty years ago into a forty
- 13:04Speaker 1: or fifty or sixty seat type of shift. We've obviously
- 13:07Speaker 1: so hardened and so partisanized the maps around the country
- 13:12Speaker 1: that there's just you know, the max, right, the absolute
- 13:17Speaker 1: tippy top that I could legitimately say Democrats could win
- 13:23Speaker 1: in the House is probably forty. And that's if Republican
- 13:27Speaker 1: turnout is in the total toilet and Democratic turnout is
- 13:30Speaker 1: through the roof, and they went independence by more than
- 13:33Speaker 1: five points, right, Like, if all of that came together,
- 13:36Speaker 1: you could, you could, you could get to thirty five
- 13:39Speaker 1: or forty seats. But the fact is that's the territory
- 13:44Speaker 1: we're headed. And of course, the larger issue and I
- 13:48Speaker 1: think what Republicans learned, right and you could see it
- 13:51Speaker 1: in that ad campaign during during the No strategy. You know, first,
- 13:55Speaker 1: you know, the most effective messenger the No campaign had
- 13:59Speaker 1: was brock a right, and that they had had this
- 14:02Speaker 1: one excerpt of him lamenting jerry mandering, talking about that's
- 14:07Speaker 1: why nothing gets done in Washington, It's because of jerry mandering.
- 14:10Speaker 1: And it was pretty powerful. It was very Obama as
- 14:13Speaker 1: quote pretty powerful quote so powerful that that's why I
- 14:19Speaker 1: think Democrats pulled the Abigail Spaandberger stuff and doubled down
- 14:22Speaker 1: on more. They needed, essentially Obama to explain himself, right,
- 14:26Speaker 1: so he didn't contradict himself. He still claimed jerry mandering
- 14:30Speaker 1: was bad, but he wanted to say this is temporary,
- 14:32Speaker 1: this is about a larger fight. And I'll say this,
- 14:34Speaker 1: the Yes campaign improved their messaging. You know, when this
- 14:38Speaker 1: campaign first started, they were lying about what it was.
- 14:42Speaker 1: They were trying to claim that this was a fairness issue.
- 14:46Speaker 1: As they realized that that wasn't working, and I'm guessing
- 14:49Speaker 1: some focus groups told him that because it's not like
- 14:52Speaker 1: we were seeing a lot of public polling on this,
- 14:54Speaker 1: then they shifted it and had to essentially explain it.
- 14:59Speaker 1: And it is still fascinating, how wordy this the campaign
- 15:03Speaker 1: messaging was for the S campaign. But this is a
- 15:06Speaker 1: unique political electorate. As I've indicated to you before with
- 15:09Speaker 1: Northern Virginia that you have essentially, you know, extraordinarily focused voters. Right,
- 15:16Speaker 1: this is an electorate that pays a lot of attention.
- 15:18Speaker 1: They understand minutia and they had you know, you had
- 15:24Speaker 1: to you had to be honest about it. Look, this
- 15:27Speaker 1: is a this this is not something anybody wants to do.
- 15:30Speaker 1: But here's why we're advocating it, and it's why they're
- 15:34Speaker 1: I think at the end, their messaging was able able
- 15:37Speaker 1: to work. You know, making it all about Donald Trump
- 15:41Speaker 1: doesn't hurt either, especially in Northern Virginia, because one of
- 15:44Speaker 1: the things that I don't think people fully appreciate, and
- 15:47Speaker 1: I've said it before, is that there is there is
- 15:50Speaker 1: no group of people that Donald Trump has targeted more right,
- 15:54Speaker 1: I would say there's probably two communities that feel like
- 15:57Speaker 1: they've been personally targeted and had their life turned upside
- 16:01Speaker 1: down by Donald Trump. Minneapolis, and we've seen that response,
- 16:07Speaker 1: you know, with the with I's killing of two American citizens,
- 16:10Speaker 1: and of course in Northern Virginia where he and frankly
- 16:14Speaker 1: the suburbs all around DC, and we just haven't had
- 16:17Speaker 1: any Maryland elections that have been of significance or we
- 16:21Speaker 1: would have seen it there. But you could just feel
- 16:24Speaker 1: it because this is you know, Northern Virginia is not
- 16:28Speaker 1: a really liberal, ideologically liberal area. What it is is
- 16:33Speaker 1: it is just simply anti Trump, and it is angrily
- 16:38Speaker 1: anti Trump, right, mister chainsaw Elon Musk when he came
- 16:42Speaker 1: in and he essentially gutted the government, he put a
- 16:45Speaker 1: lot of people that live in Northern Virginia out of work,
- 16:47Speaker 1: He forced a lot of people into retirement. And these
- 16:51Speaker 1: are people that are pretty pretty ticked off and they're
- 16:57Speaker 1: watching and seeing So this, this just instruction of the
- 17:00Speaker 1: federal government is some sort of intentional destruction based on
- 17:06Speaker 1: politics rather than based on whether something's a good idea
- 17:09Speaker 1: or a bad idea. Right, The gutting of usaid just
- 17:11Speaker 1: one of the colossal mistakes that he's made, is why
- 17:18Speaker 1: I think you've seen you know why. It was just
- 17:21Speaker 1: this was never not going to pass because of this
- 17:24Speaker 1: angry elector. So those that are lamenting, if they're oh
- 17:29Speaker 1: of more, please if the rnc AT poured money or
- 17:32Speaker 1: Trump or club for growth. These are just uncredible institutions,
- 17:37Speaker 1: uncredible people on this stuff, and it just it wouldn't
- 17:40Speaker 1: have worked. The only message that I'm curious about that
- 17:45Speaker 1: might have worked for no is if Glenn Youngkin went
- 17:48Speaker 1: candidate the camera, he's the most prominent Virginia Republican and
- 17:53Speaker 1: had said, my party is wrong. What they did in
- 17:58Speaker 1: Texas is a mistake. What's been done before is a mistake.
- 18:02Speaker 1: I'm sorry it happened, but let's not do that here
- 18:06Speaker 1: in Virginia in some form or another. But they couldn't
- 18:12Speaker 1: do it right because they couldn't risk They were afraid
- 18:15Speaker 1: of attacking Donald Trump, right, So to me, what you
- 18:21Speaker 1: see here right, and their inability to do what would
- 18:25Speaker 1: have been their best messaging to win this thing, which
- 18:28Speaker 1: was criticize Texas and criticize this national Republican effort, but
- 18:33Speaker 1: they couldn't bring themselves to do it. Well. That's why
- 18:36Speaker 1: I think this is a harbinger of just how disastrous
- 18:40Speaker 1: this is going to be for incumbent Republicans who by
- 18:43Speaker 1: the fall are going to be desperate to try to
- 18:45Speaker 1: separate themselves from Donald Trump and just aren't going to
- 18:47Speaker 1: be able to do it because they're going to have
- 18:49Speaker 1: he's got you know, yes, his numbers are in the
- 18:52Speaker 1: somewhere between you know, thirty three and thirty eight. That's
- 18:56Speaker 1: his magabase. That is all that approves of what he's doing. Right,
- 19:01Speaker 1: These are the folks that have been mainlining the kool aid. Right,
- 19:04Speaker 1: they don't just drink it, they mainline it. And they're
- 19:08Speaker 1: not going to go anywhere. But they could set out,
- 19:13Speaker 1: they could decide not to support certain Republicans if they
- 19:16Speaker 1: think that they are somehow working against Trump. So I
- 19:20Speaker 1: think that the limitations of the No campaign their inability
- 19:28Speaker 1: to look inward and criticize fellow Republicans. Well, if you
- 19:33Speaker 1: can't do it in what would have been the easiest
- 19:36Speaker 1: environment to test that message out, you're going to tell
- 19:41Speaker 1: me that your Republican nominee for senate's going to be
- 19:44Speaker 1: able to pull that off in Iowa. The Republican incumbent
- 19:47Speaker 1: senator in Ohio is going to be able to pull
- 19:49Speaker 1: that off. The Republican incumbent senator from Nomaska is going
- 19:52Speaker 1: to be able to pull that off. I'm skeptical the
- 19:59Speaker 1: try and so you're either you're gonna see one of
- 20:02Speaker 1: two things. You're gonna see some Republicans try to separate
- 20:05Speaker 1: themselves from Trump, and maybe one or two might pull
- 20:10Speaker 1: it off. Right there's you know, maybe maybe a Susan
- 20:13Speaker 1: Collins kind of has some credibility with her own voters
- 20:17Speaker 1: on that. Uh, you know, she is a better shot
- 20:22Speaker 1: than most. Maybe a Dan Sullivan, I say, maybe, I
- 20:28Speaker 1: know he's not a real maga guy, and he does
- 20:32Speaker 1: have cover in Lisa Rakowski. But outside of those two guys,
- 20:38Speaker 1: excuse me one one gallowe guy there, I don't see.
- 20:42Speaker 1: I don't see a lot of Republicans that are gonna
- 20:45Speaker 1: successfully to be able to sort of distance themselves from
- 20:48Speaker 1: Trump too much, right, and they've all felt the need
- 20:52Speaker 1: that to get his endorsement in primaries and those endorsements.
- 20:56Speaker 1: I think, I think it's gonna be one of those things.
- 20:59Speaker 1: We saw this six and I saw it in fourteen.
- 21:04Speaker 1: It was a cookie cutter ad that both parties ran,
- 21:08Speaker 1: but it worked. And the cookie cutter ad was incumbent
- 21:12Speaker 1: senator or incumbent Congressman so and so voted with the
- 21:17Speaker 1: unpopular president ninety five percent of the time. And it
- 21:22Speaker 1: absolutely and it just pounded that over and over. It's
- 21:26Speaker 1: what worked in six It ended up working in o
- 21:29Speaker 1: eight for Democrats, it worked in ten for Republicans, it
- 21:33Speaker 1: worked in fourteen for Republicans, And this is gonna end
- 21:36Speaker 1: up working the same way, except it'll even be easier
- 21:42Speaker 1: with some of these folks, because you're gonna have Trump's
- 21:44Speaker 1: own words, right, He has these flowery, absurd tweets when
- 21:51Speaker 1: he endorses, and so it only makes it even that
- 21:54Speaker 1: much more memorable and sticky who he does. So look,
- 21:58Speaker 1: as you know, I think this is I think this
- 22:00Speaker 1: race to the bottom. And I will say this, I
- 22:02Speaker 1: want you know I'm not gonna you know, I've made
- 22:07Speaker 1: my point clear that I think this is a long
- 22:10Speaker 1: term mistake. I think this is going to hurt the
- 22:12Speaker 1: credibility of the Democratic Party going forward. I think that
- 22:18Speaker 1: for those of us that actually do want to fix
- 22:20Speaker 1: the frickin democracy, Like why I'm up here in Boston
- 22:23Speaker 1: today and we need to fix the infrastructure of democracy.
- 22:25Speaker 1: And I'm a believer, by the way, it doesn't this
- 22:28Speaker 1: isn't about good people or bad people getting better people
- 22:31Speaker 1: into office. We have to have better incentives, all right,
- 22:35Speaker 1: As I'm going to tow butcher Milton Friedman quote, But
- 22:39Speaker 1: as my friend Dave Konewski reminded me of that Milton
- 22:43Speaker 1: Friedman quote, and I've used it a few times. Bad
- 22:48Speaker 1: people will do good things if the incentives are aligned,
- 22:50Speaker 1: and good people will do bad things that the incentives
- 22:53Speaker 1: are misaligned. It is incentives that we have to change,
- 22:56Speaker 1: whether it's all party primaries, whether it's constitutional amendments, whether
- 23:01Speaker 1: it's full disclosure on money. We have no idea where
- 23:03Speaker 1: any of this money came from left or right in
- 23:06Speaker 1: the Virginia referendum. It is all dark money these days.
- 23:09Speaker 1: And and this is where I why I'm probably so
- 23:13Speaker 1: tough on the Democrats on this, because dark money is
- 23:16Speaker 1: another example of this.
- 23:17Speaker 2: Right.
- 23:18Speaker 1: The party is lamented dark money and lamented redistricting, and
- 23:23Speaker 1: they've essentially done it by saying, well, we don't like
- 23:26Speaker 1: to do this, but we're going to do it because
- 23:28Speaker 1: we can't tie one hand arm behind our back and
- 23:32Speaker 1: going up against the Republicans. I understand that mindset, I
- 23:38Speaker 1: understand the rationale, I understand the argument. And it may
- 23:42Speaker 1: be that that, you know, I have more faith in
- 23:45Speaker 1: the American voter than some other people do. You know
- 23:48Speaker 1: when I see some of this, you know it's about
- 23:51Speaker 1: time Democrats, you know, went up there and say fuck
- 23:54Speaker 1: around and find out. Okay, are you gonna are you
- 23:59Speaker 1: gonna govern fairly? Or are you going to jam shit
- 24:02Speaker 1: down everybody's throat, Because that's what the Right's been doing
- 24:06Speaker 1: and people don't like it. And I promise you they're
- 24:08Speaker 1: not going to like it. Emulating Donald Trump's campaign style,
- 24:15Speaker 1: emulating Donald Trump's governance is bad for America hard stop,
- 24:21Speaker 1: so be careful. You know, I don't think Democrats should
- 24:24Speaker 1: want to celebrate winning a race to the bottom. Now,
- 24:30Speaker 1: the upside of what could happen, Maybe cooler heads will
- 24:33Speaker 1: prevail and dumb ass Republicans won't try to keep jerry
- 24:37Speaker 1: mandering their way and keep trying to rig systems, and
- 24:40Speaker 1: then you know, maybe maybe this is mutual assured jerrymandering destruction.
- 24:46Speaker 1: And if that's what we have, that's what we have.
- 24:48Speaker 1: But you know who the losers are here, and this
- 24:50Speaker 1: is why I'm not you know, it's the losers are
- 24:55Speaker 1: communities that are just being blown to smithereens when it
- 24:59Speaker 1: comes to their resources. Right, Folks that live in southwest Virginia,
- 25:06Speaker 1: uh and and folks that live in the western part
- 25:08Speaker 1: of the state, all of a sudden, you know, have
- 25:11Speaker 1: have their congressional districts begin essentially at Arlington Cemetery or
- 25:20Speaker 1: at National Airport. I mean, it is ridiculous and it
- 25:23Speaker 1: is an insult to the founders of what we're doing
- 25:27Speaker 1: and that you know this is this is I'm not
- 25:29Speaker 1: picking on just Virginia here, this is the whole mess.
- 25:33Speaker 1: The losers are the American people. The losers are those
- 25:37Speaker 1: who aren't partisan warriors, not hard left or hard right,
- 25:42Speaker 1: those of us that are sort of looking for moderate
- 25:45Speaker 1: and temperament. Doesn't mean we're looking for centrist policies, by
- 25:48Speaker 1: the way, just moderate intemperament. That's what a majority of
- 25:53Speaker 1: this country wants. They don't you know, this is why
- 25:58Speaker 1: they keep rejecting both parties the second either one of
- 26:02Speaker 1: them gets power, all right, they don't want that. What
- 26:08Speaker 1: they want is an open debate and they want an
- 26:12Speaker 1: opportunity to see different things debated. Now, I'll say this,
- 26:16Speaker 1: Democrats do get credit for at least going to the
- 26:19Speaker 1: voters in California and Virginia. Texas never asked voter permission.
- 26:23Speaker 1: They just shoved it down people's throats. Florida actually violated
- 26:27Speaker 1: what the voters wanted and shoved it down their throats.
- 26:31Speaker 1: In twenty two, and we're going to see if they
- 26:33Speaker 1: do it again. Although I think they're going to get
- 26:34Speaker 1: cold feet. It's not that they don't want to do it.
- 26:38Speaker 1: I don't think they can come up with a map
- 26:39Speaker 1: that either meets constitutional grounds because again, it's in its
- 26:43Speaker 1: state constitution.
- 26:45Speaker 2: All right.
- 26:45Speaker 1: I'm going to read the exact amendments in Florida, and
- 26:48Speaker 1: this is why I think they're a not going to
- 26:50Speaker 1: be able to pull it off even if they try. Right,
- 26:54Speaker 1: it was Amendments five and six passed with over sixty
- 26:57Speaker 1: percent of the vote in Florida in twenty ten. Remember,
- 27:00Speaker 1: Florida puts this anti democratic hurdle on the constitutional amendments.
- 27:04Speaker 1: They of the threshold is not fifty percent, but it's
- 27:06Speaker 1: sixty percent because they didn't want the people to have
- 27:12Speaker 1: full say there. Look, I do think these sixty just
- 27:17Speaker 1: a quick aside. I think these sixty percent thresholds are
- 27:23Speaker 1: I understand the mindset of it. Hey, you don't want
- 27:25Speaker 1: to make it too easy to amend the constitution. Look,
- 27:27Speaker 1: instead of sixty percent thresholds, do what Nevada does. You
- 27:30Speaker 1: have to get fifty percent plus one and back to
- 27:32Speaker 1: back election cycles, you know, make it two bytes in
- 27:36Speaker 1: order to amend the Constitution. But raising the threshold to
- 27:39Speaker 1: sixty is arbitrary, It's sort of, It's not arbitrary, it's
- 27:44Speaker 1: like purpose. It's done purposely so to sort of just
- 27:49Speaker 1: because the majority party wants to control that situation better.
- 27:52Speaker 1: But anyway, let me read Amendments five and six of
- 27:55Speaker 1: how they passed. Maps cannot be drawn with the intent
- 28:00Speaker 1: to favor or disfavor a political party or an incumbent.
- 28:03Speaker 1: It's straightforward, that's what it says. They also cannot quote
- 28:06Speaker 1: diminish the ability of racial or language minorities to elect
- 28:10Speaker 1: representatives of their choice. And then the second part of
- 28:14Speaker 1: the amendments says districts must be compact, contiguous, and use
- 28:17Speaker 1: existing political geographical boundaries like city or county lines where feasible.
- 28:22Speaker 1: So the only feasible way Republicans can pick up seats
- 28:27Speaker 1: in Florida is to do what I think. I use
- 28:31Speaker 1: this language either in the of a live stream that
- 28:36Speaker 1: we did on Tuesday night or on Wednesday morning's podcast.
- 28:39Speaker 1: Forgive me for conflating the two, but essentially think of
- 28:43Speaker 1: it as a strip of bacon there in the South.
- 28:44Speaker 1: What they want to do is there's a handful of
- 28:48Speaker 1: Democratic districts w Washman, Schultz, Jared Moscowitz sort of that
- 28:52Speaker 1: are in Broward and some parts of Palm Beach, even
- 28:55Speaker 1: parts of Miami Day and they want to, like a
- 28:59Speaker 1: strip of bacon, go from the Atlantic Ocean to the
- 29:02Speaker 1: Gulf of Mexico, basically through Lake Okuchobe through the Everglades. Well,
- 29:09Speaker 1: let me ask you this, districts must be compact, contos,
- 29:12Speaker 1: contiguous and use existing political geographic boundaries. Trying to do
- 29:16Speaker 1: that wouldn't do that. So then they have to figure
- 29:19Speaker 1: out if there's any north south ways that they can
- 29:22Speaker 1: do this, and it just doesn't appear. That doesn't mean
- 29:27Speaker 1: they won't try and that that. But I have a
- 29:30Speaker 1: sense that you're going to have enough, right DeSantis has
- 29:34Speaker 1: already had, you know, because he's a lame duck governor.
- 29:39Speaker 1: This is his last year in office. You do have
- 29:43Speaker 1: Republicans in the legislature that are not necessarily ready to
- 29:49Speaker 1: just salute the flag right now. So I think this
- 29:53Speaker 1: is going to be a bit harder than they think.
- 29:56Speaker 1: But who knows, maybe Trump uh for essentially bullies them
- 30:02Speaker 1: into doing it, which may only do something that they regret,
- 30:07Speaker 1: which is actually energized an anti Trump plurality in Florida
- 30:12Speaker 1: that could turn into an anti Trump majority. All right,
- 30:16Speaker 1: I mean Florida Republicans are operating as if Florida is
- 30:21Speaker 1: Idaho and Florida ain't Idaho. All right. It may not
- 30:25Speaker 1: be what Florida was fifteen years ago, but it hasn't
- 30:28Speaker 1: gone that far right, and so they could be. They
- 30:34Speaker 1: could be playing with matches next to a gasnect. This
- 30:40Speaker 1: episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you by Soul.
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- 31:38Speaker 1: partake in alcohol. For the most part. I think this
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- 32:09Speaker 1: code podcast for thirty percent off. And yes, I too,
- 32:13Speaker 1: am a customer. All right, I want to pivot to
- 32:19Speaker 1: Irans is. It's interesting to see now if you've noticed,
- 32:23Speaker 1: there's now a lot of legacy media coverage going back
- 32:27Speaker 1: to the Iran nuclear deal that President Obama and John
- 32:30Speaker 1: Kerry negotiated because there's now a realization that the best
- 32:34Speaker 1: Donald Trump can hope for is some reanimation of the
- 32:39Speaker 1: nuclear deal that he tore up, one that, if you recall,
- 32:44Speaker 1: he tore up despite everybody arounding around him at the time,
- 32:48Speaker 1: Secretary Pompeo, Secretary Madis, everybody was telling him, don't do it.
- 32:52Speaker 1: Even they didn't like the deal, but don't do it.
- 32:55Speaker 1: Ripping it up was a bad idea. And now he's
- 32:57Speaker 1: got to figure out how to reconstitute it, and he's
- 32:59Speaker 1: going to end up handing them probably more cash in
- 33:03Speaker 1: order to get them to relinquish the straight of horm moves.
- 33:06Speaker 1: But what was interesting is Wall Street Journal editorial board
- 33:14Speaker 1: sort of unloaded on him and noted and there was
- 33:18Speaker 1: a great headline right, and it got his attention. The
- 33:21Speaker 1: Iranians take Trump for a sucker. They do. It was
- 33:25Speaker 1: essentially the point I was making when he extended the
- 33:29Speaker 1: seasfire right. He did it on his own. The Iranians
- 33:33Speaker 1: actually basically flipped him the middle finger, and he still
- 33:37Speaker 1: extended the seasfire right. So they know he desperately wants
- 33:41Speaker 1: a deal, and he wants one badly. And the journal
- 33:45Speaker 1: I think correctly in the editorial Patriot essentially ripped him
- 33:49Speaker 1: for this, right, I am what he has done with Iran.
- 33:53Speaker 1: I mean it is astonishing, right, he actually got involved
- 33:57Speaker 1: and made everything worse than somehow strengthened to run and
- 34:00Speaker 1: strengthened China. I do think eventually China is the one
- 34:03Speaker 1: that's going to get Aroanda back down and get to
- 34:05Speaker 1: the table and they'll get their new rand nuclear deal.
- 34:10Speaker 1: So I have some cautious optimism that I think I
- 34:15Speaker 1: know where this comes to an end, because it's clear
- 34:18Speaker 1: Donald Trump just absolutely is afraid. I have been quoting
- 34:25Speaker 1: Todd Young, who, in a interview with my friendly Ane
- 34:28Speaker 1: Caldwell at Puck used a fabulous metaphor, and you know
- 34:33Speaker 1: he was not in favor of going and bombing Iran, right,
- 34:36Speaker 1: he was one of those that thought it was a mistake.
- 34:39Speaker 1: But he's also one of those. And it's kind of
- 34:41Speaker 1: where I am on this. I'm uncomfortably in this position,
- 34:45Speaker 1: and I'll explain it in a minute, which is, you know,
- 34:47Speaker 1: it's a bad idea to try to grab a tiger
- 34:50Speaker 1: by its ears, but if you grab a tiger by
- 34:53Speaker 1: its ears, you know what a worse idea is letting go, right,
- 34:58Speaker 1: because the minute you let go, tiger's on top of you.
- 35:03Speaker 1: So and that's the situation he's in, right, he grabbed
- 35:07Speaker 1: the tiger by the ears with Iran, but he doesn't
- 35:11Speaker 1: have the guts to finish the job because what it
- 35:15Speaker 1: would take to finish the job is something that would
- 35:17Speaker 1: be extraordinarily unpopular. Would probably h e rode certainly are
- 35:27Speaker 1: it would it would it would be a it would
- 35:32Speaker 1: certainly make a rock uh seem like a little excursion
- 35:39Speaker 1: to use Donald Trump language, and it would certainly sort
- 35:44Speaker 1: of we I'd say it would weaken our standing in
- 35:46Speaker 1: the world, but Donald Trump has I don't know how
- 35:50Speaker 1: he could weaken our standing anymore than what he's done.
- 35:53Speaker 1: But I want to read his response because the fact
- 35:55Speaker 1: of the matter is the louder he squeals, the more
- 36:00Speaker 1: you know the criticism is correct. So I always want
- 36:05Speaker 1: to remind people of that. And then I'm going to
- 36:07Speaker 1: get to one other topic before we get to my interview.
- 36:10Speaker 1: So of course Donald Trump says the Wall Street Journal
- 36:12Speaker 1: has lost its way, and then he's got a lot
- 36:15Speaker 1: more to say, and he goes an idiot on the
- 36:17Speaker 1: Wall Street Journal's editorial board named Elliott Kaufman just wrote
- 36:20Speaker 1: an op ed entitled the Iranians take Trump for a sucker?
- 36:25Speaker 1: Yes they do, and he goes. Really for forty seven
- 36:28Speaker 1: years they have killed our people and many others, and
- 36:29Speaker 1: taken advantage of every president except me. And what did
- 36:32Speaker 1: I give to them? A country in tatters. Their entire
- 36:35Speaker 1: navy is at the bottom of the sea. Their air
- 36:36Speaker 1: force is gone, their anti aircraft and radars wiped out.
- 36:39Speaker 1: Their nuclear labs and storage areas were obliterated late one
- 36:42Speaker 1: dark June evening by our great B two bombers. Their
- 36:44Speaker 1: leaders are dead, all caps, including General Solomoni, their evil
- 36:49Speaker 1: genius who destroyed the lives of so many with his
- 36:51Speaker 1: favored roadside bombs. The straight offor moves is blockaded and
- 36:54Speaker 1: totally controlled by the US. Is it though okay? With
- 36:58Speaker 1: no ships allowed to go to any imports. It is
- 37:01Speaker 1: said that they are losing five hundred million dollars a
- 37:02Speaker 1: day because of this. Their country is an economic catastrophe
- 37:06Speaker 1: that is hanging on by a threat. Barack Hussein Obama
- 37:08Speaker 1: gave them one point seven billion dollars in green cash
- 37:11Speaker 1: flown in by a Boeing seven fifty seven to their
- 37:13Speaker 1: leaders and hundreds of billions of dollars in order to
- 37:16Speaker 1: help them on their way to a nuclear bomb. Other
- 37:18Speaker 1: presidents did nothing to stop them. A blight on the
- 37:20Speaker 1: office of the presidency. But despite all this, I have
- 37:23Speaker 1: a moron on the editorial board of the Wall Street
- 37:24Speaker 1: Journal writing about me being taken for a sucker. Ran
- 37:27Speaker 1: certainly doesn't think so. Oh really, I mean, it's it is.
- 37:35Speaker 1: It is amusing how clueless he is on this. But again,
- 37:40Speaker 1: I think he knows he made a gigantic mistake. I
- 37:45Speaker 1: don't know. I would sit here and say this will
- 37:47Speaker 1: this will define his presidency. No, it's not going to
- 37:49Speaker 1: define his presidency. His presidency's defined by the destruction of
- 37:54Speaker 1: the of the world order that he has done for us.
- 37:57Speaker 1: I mean, I have to say, I'm shaking my head
- 38:00Speaker 1: that the latest idea from Zelensky and Ukraine is to say, hey,
- 38:03Speaker 1: can we We'll call the don Bas region Donnie Land,
- 38:07Speaker 1: and maybe that'll make and name it after Trump and
- 38:10Speaker 1: that'll make him want to help Ukraine push back the
- 38:14Speaker 1: Russians from the Dnbas. Reason the reason I think a
- 38:17Speaker 1: that's I mean, first of all, you can't you can't
- 38:20Speaker 1: reward ridiculous behavior like has been done with Trump one
- 38:24Speaker 1: but two, don't forget Zelenski. Putin will always offer Trump more,
- 38:27Speaker 1: and Trump will always take that deal. So if you're
- 38:31Speaker 1: promising him Donnie Land, he'll probably promising promising him something else.
- 38:34Speaker 1: You know, maybe he'll give back certain tapes that some
- 38:38Speaker 1: people are afraid of. But I digress. But I read
- 38:45Speaker 1: that whole thing for you, because you know this is
- 38:49Speaker 1: where his head is at. Look, I've destroyed their navy.
- 38:52Speaker 1: It's so clear he doesn't understand the Iranians. Number one,
- 38:56Speaker 1: it's clear that they didn't really have a strategy for
- 38:59Speaker 1: what they were going to do. Because if they've all
- 39:01Speaker 1: this military success, it's not worked. Who controls the straight
- 39:07Speaker 1: of horror moves. If the United States controlled the straight
- 39:09Speaker 1: of horror moves, oil would be going through. But nothing's
- 39:12Speaker 1: going through. So he is he is. I guess he's
- 39:19Speaker 1: going to say, I'm not going to give him a
- 39:20Speaker 1: palette of cash. So I'm different than President Obama anyway.
- 39:27Speaker 1: I think we know where that's at it. I'm going
- 39:28Speaker 1: to hit one final point because I rarely like to
- 39:34Speaker 1: make too many comments about other journalists or other columnists
- 39:42Speaker 1: or podcasters or whatever you want to call us in
- 39:45Speaker 1: this independent space, because you know, a lot of times
- 39:51Speaker 1: there's a there's a huge chunk of folks that are
- 39:53Speaker 1: here that just want to hear their name said, just
- 39:56Speaker 1: are hopeful that you know, someone like me notices them
- 40:00Speaker 1: so they can somehow use it to game an algorithm.
- 40:02Speaker 1: So I'm I'm always a little hesitant to sort of overreact,
- 40:05Speaker 1: but I've I've had people in my life today, multiple
- 40:11Speaker 1: people's ask me what I make of this Tucker Carlson
- 40:16Speaker 1: Heel turn on Trump in this very public airing, in
- 40:23Speaker 1: this supposed apology, two folks for misleading Trump. So I
- 40:28Speaker 1: have two reactions to it. One is the reaction that
- 40:31Speaker 1: I've given you after Marjorie Taylor Green and everybody else,
- 40:33Speaker 1: that this is every single relationship Donald Trump has ever
- 40:38Speaker 1: had that it wasn't blood. And he's even had some
- 40:42Speaker 1: relationships and badly that were with relatives. But every single
- 40:49Speaker 1: professional relationship he has had has eventually ended like this,
- 40:55Speaker 1: where the person regrets some form of either supporting him,
- 41:01Speaker 1: doing business with him, working with them. Right the list.
- 41:05Speaker 1: You know, I could sit here, if I was just
- 41:07Speaker 1: running a scroll here, we'd need another thirty minutes of
- 41:09Speaker 1: this podcast monologue in order to list all the people
- 41:12Speaker 1: over the over the decades that have his expressed regret
- 41:17Speaker 1: for it. I mean he he abandons everybody eventually, even
- 41:20Speaker 1: his most important mentor, Roy Cone, you know, as Roy
- 41:26Speaker 1: Cone's response was, you know, Donald Trump pisses ice water,
- 41:30Speaker 1: meaning he's just a cold hearted, self centered sob, and
- 41:37Speaker 1: he will everybody gets eventually feels alienated by Donald Trump.
- 41:43Speaker 1: Right it is. The list is long, so that that's
- 41:46Speaker 1: one reaction I have to, you know, to to Tucker's
- 41:52Speaker 1: heel turn onness. There's another part of this why I'm
- 41:56Speaker 1: a little skeptical to really make a big deal out
- 41:59Speaker 1: of this. You know, I think I believe Marjorie Taylor
- 42:03Speaker 1: Green was guine as genuine in her disgust and why
- 42:06Speaker 1: she's walked from from him, not the movement, but him.
- 42:12Speaker 1: Tucker Carlson has never been I don't know what's a
- 42:16Speaker 1: genuine thought. He's an incredibly smart guy and there was
- 42:20Speaker 1: a time he was an incredibly fun dinner companion. Okay,
- 42:24Speaker 1: this is why there's sort of the Tucker Carlson why
- 42:27Speaker 1: so many in the sort of Washington ecosystem don't ignore
- 42:31Speaker 1: him because a lot of us have known him for
- 42:34Speaker 1: years but clearly we didn't know him, right, you know,
- 42:37Speaker 1: he just sort of was another frequent person that showed
- 42:41Speaker 1: up to some of these events that we were all
- 42:42Speaker 1: covering together. And we were all of a similar age
- 42:46Speaker 1: as we were rising up in the nineties, and all
- 42:48Speaker 1: of us sort of got, you know, those of us
- 42:50Speaker 1: that are still left caught a break early on with
- 42:53Speaker 1: various either new publications, the Internet and all this stuff.
- 42:56Speaker 1: So you know, we we have sort of common courage trajectoris.
- 43:01Speaker 1: So I think that's why there's also this extra layer
- 43:03Speaker 1: of interest or fascination into what, you know, what where
- 43:08Speaker 1: Tucker's Tucker's head is. But I'll tell you the other
- 43:11Speaker 1: reaction I had to this is that if it's about
- 43:14Speaker 1: is it's it's like, oh, well, the WWE has a
- 43:19Speaker 1: new world champion. You're like, oh, so the scriptwriters decided
- 43:21Speaker 1: to do that, right, this there's every chance that this
- 43:27Speaker 1: is sort of a WWE type of heel turn, right,
- 43:30Speaker 1: sort of a fake heel turn, and he wants to
- 43:32Speaker 1: do this, So I, like I said, I'm not. I
- 43:38Speaker 1: can't sit here and guarantee you that that what he's
- 43:45Speaker 1: doing is genuine because he's spent so much of his
- 43:49Speaker 1: professional life, contradicting himself for years, right, whether it's on
- 43:54Speaker 1: cable television, whether it was in his writing, whether it's
- 43:56Speaker 1: been in his political support on and off Donald Trump.
- 44:02Speaker 1: You know, the the fact that he was sort of
- 44:05Speaker 1: you could see that sort of the two face in
- 44:07Speaker 1: him during the dominion trial with all the lead texts
- 44:10Speaker 1: and sort of right, Tucker would think, would say one
- 44:13Speaker 1: thing off air and then say something different on air.
- 44:19Speaker 1: So again, like I said, it's possible that he now
- 44:23Speaker 1: is one of hundreds of people over the years that
- 44:28Speaker 1: have that at some point, really, you know, Trump finally
- 44:32Speaker 1: crosses the line for them that are I'm out. I can't.
- 44:34Speaker 1: I can't deal with it. You know, maybe it's because
- 44:36Speaker 1: Trump didn't pay a bill, maybe it's Trump insulted, or
- 44:39Speaker 1: maybe Trump you know, lie to you. Whatever it is,
- 44:42Speaker 1: that is not a shock to me, and so I
- 44:44Speaker 1: can't rule that out. But because of his history of
- 44:48Speaker 1: essentially saying whatever it takes to get an audience, whatever
- 44:52Speaker 1: it takes to make a buck, I'm gonna be honest
- 44:56Speaker 1: with you, I don't know how how seriously to take
- 44:59Speaker 1: to take what he says. And there's also one other
- 45:03Speaker 1: option that he might be up to maybe he's so
- 45:06Speaker 1: delusional he thinks he can be president. And this is
- 45:09Speaker 1: the beginning of And I do wonder, you know, the
- 45:13Speaker 1: if you're I do wonder if there will be space
- 45:17Speaker 1: for somebody to be an anti Trump MAGA candidate. I
- 45:23Speaker 1: don't know how big that constituency is. It may be
- 45:29Speaker 1: that quote unquote the MAGA influencers are anti Trump, but
- 45:31Speaker 1: the MAGA rank and file not so much. But that
- 45:37Speaker 1: would be a curiosity to me if somebody decides, And
- 45:40Speaker 1: it wouldn't surprise me if somebody essentially says, hey, I'm
- 45:43Speaker 1: I'm everything. I'm I'm a more honest version of what
- 45:48Speaker 1: Donald Trump tried to be. Maybe, but anyway, I just
- 45:53Speaker 1: I normally don't address so other like, you know, it's like, please,
- 45:57Speaker 1: I know, Megan Kelly's just trying to make a buck.
- 45:59Speaker 1: I have no idea what you stands for. I don't
- 46:00Speaker 1: think any of you do either, right, Like, there's just
- 46:03Speaker 1: never been a through line of principle or honesty there.
- 46:06Speaker 1: I feel that way about Tucker, you know. And there's
- 46:11Speaker 1: so I'm not interested in, you know, creating these like
- 46:16Speaker 1: podcast standoffs and all this stuff. I know it's supposedly
- 46:18Speaker 1: good for business, but that isn't that isn't why I'm
- 46:21Speaker 1: doing this. I'm trying to be a voice for the
- 46:24Speaker 1: rational majority here, right, we're the ones that have been
- 46:28Speaker 1: We're looking around here going I got jokers to the left,
- 46:30Speaker 1: clowns to the right, right, and here I am stuck
- 46:33Speaker 1: in the middle with all of them. So anyway, my
- 46:38Speaker 1: two cents there, So I'm gonna let's get to a break.
- 46:43Speaker 1: Like I said, I think this conversation with the two
- 46:46Speaker 1: lawyers leading the charge of civil litigation against the big
- 46:52Speaker 1: tech companies for their social media platforms, they're, like I said,
- 46:56Speaker 1: the case is not It's basically section two thirty proof,
- 47:01Speaker 1: because it is not about the content. It is about
- 47:06Speaker 1: the product that they intentionally made the product you know. Essentially,
- 47:12Speaker 1: you know, and when when we had you know what
- 47:15Speaker 1: what hung the tobacco companies, it was their own research, right,
- 47:19Speaker 1: Their own research indicated what they were up to. Well,
- 47:22Speaker 1: this is the same thing that happened in this trial, right. Essentially,
- 47:26Speaker 1: the plaintiffs were able to use Meta's own research, Google's
- 47:31Speaker 1: own research to make their case that it was that
- 47:36Speaker 1: this stuff was intentionally done to make the make the
- 47:41Speaker 1: platform more addictive, particularly for young people. So sneaking the
- 47:47Speaker 1: break and when we come back, Mark Lanier and Rahul
- 47:50Speaker 1: Robert Booty. This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought
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- 49:46Speaker 1: So in March, and as I talked about at the time,
- 49:51Speaker 1: we got two what could be landmark verdicts, the big
- 49:55Speaker 1: tech companies. One was in New Mexico and another was
- 49:59Speaker 1: in Los a Angelis. And the one in Los Angeles
- 50:01Speaker 1: got a lot of attention because this was the first
- 50:03Speaker 1: one that talked about that where the where, the where.
- 50:08Speaker 1: The lawsuit was about the product themselves, not the content
- 50:14Speaker 1: on social media platforms, but the actual social media platform itself.
- 50:20Speaker 1: So there was no hiding behind Section two thirty, which
- 50:23Speaker 1: is essentially all about you know, having no liability for
- 50:27Speaker 1: what's published on their platforms. But this was a lawsuit
- 50:31Speaker 1: where Meta lost because a jury found them essentially guilty
- 50:36Speaker 1: of creating an addictive platform. And many people have described
- 50:43Speaker 1: this really as the big Tobacco moment for social media.
- 50:47Speaker 1: This will be the first of many. This is this
- 50:49Speaker 1: is was considered a Bellweather case officially. So what this
- 50:53Speaker 1: means is that this, along with about seven or eight
- 50:57Speaker 1: other cases, once they're all decided, they will be used
- 51:01Speaker 1: to help decide thousands of other lawsuits that are potentially
- 51:05Speaker 1: brought against, whether it's Meta, Snap, TikTok, you name it there.
- 51:10Speaker 1: I'm sure I've butchered some of this. But to get
- 51:12Speaker 1: into some more details on this, I've got the two
- 51:15Speaker 1: lead attorneys from that ground baking decision in Los Angeles,
- 51:19Speaker 1: Mark Lanier and Rahul Ravaputi are joining me now to
- 51:24Speaker 1: just talk about the cases, talk about the cases are
- 51:27Speaker 1: going to be trying in the next few months, maybe years,
- 51:32Speaker 1: and find out how long is this going to take?
- 51:33Speaker 1: Right if you go back into the world of big tobacco,
- 51:37Speaker 1: these are lawsuits that started in the eighties. I guess
- 51:40Speaker 1: the first one maybe even started before that, but we
- 51:43Speaker 1: really didn't get the big settlement and the big regulation
- 51:45Speaker 1: that came to be when government finally responded until the nineties.
- 51:49Speaker 1: This stuff takes years, possibly decades. And so with that,
- 51:53Speaker 1: let me bring up my guests, Rahul Mark, good to
- 51:55Speaker 1: see you.
- 51:56Speaker 3: Good to see you too, Chuck. And I'll let Mark
- 51:59Speaker 3: to this, Ugh because Mark was lead trial counsel on
- 52:02Speaker 3: this and you're on the next one.
- 52:05Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, Well Mark, go ahead.
- 52:08Speaker 1: And look you heard my little mini intro there. I
- 52:10Speaker 1: just was trying to trying to set the table a
- 52:11Speaker 1: little bit, and I got the question is you know, look,
- 52:14Speaker 1: I've got my own you know, I uh, you know. Sometimes,
- 52:19Speaker 1: you know, why do we have civil litigation? Because government
- 52:22Speaker 1: can't always tackle everything, and sometimes government needs help identifying
- 52:27Speaker 1: things they should be regulating. And this is where I
- 52:30Speaker 1: think civil litigation comes in. And this is a we've
- 52:34Speaker 1: all been demanding some better accountability on big tech, and
- 52:37Speaker 1: sometimes you don't get it from government, you get it
- 52:39Speaker 1: from lawsuits.
- 52:40Speaker 2: Yeah, And I got to tell you you do not
- 52:42Speaker 2: fight the gargantchewan that is Meta and Google without a
- 52:48Speaker 2: substantial army. And so Raoul is nice to call me
- 52:51Speaker 2: lead counsel that that's that's a misnomer. That's maybe court language.
- 52:57Speaker 2: But the bottom line is is Raoul has been chasing
- 53:00Speaker 2: this forever. In a day, he let me do some
- 53:03Speaker 2: of the more fun stuff while he kind of helped
- 53:05Speaker 2: tell me how to do it. We had other lawyers there,
- 53:09Speaker 2: two of my daughters. We had probably thirty or forty
- 53:12Speaker 2: people in this fight. Because this, I think is one
- 53:17Speaker 2: of the most important cases that America will see for
- 53:21Speaker 2: the first fifty years of the twenty twenties or the
- 53:25Speaker 2: two thousands that we're in. This is the tip of
- 53:28Speaker 2: a spear. And Raoul can say it better than me
- 53:35Speaker 2: because he's been in it much longer than I have.
- 53:37Speaker 2: But it was a brutal war we were in.
- 53:41Speaker 1: Chuck, let me describe this one case because I'll tell
- 53:45Speaker 1: you why I have connected with it so much. My
- 53:47Speaker 1: daughter's twenty two, and in this case of yours, Kaylee,
- 53:50Speaker 1: who is with it's all the name that is going
- 53:52Speaker 1: to be referred to as she's twenty and I just
- 53:56Speaker 1: want to outline some things here because I'm gonna be
- 53:59Speaker 1: honest with on the other side of outlining it. So
- 54:02Speaker 1: Kaylee begins using YouTube at age six, begins using Instagram
- 54:04Speaker 1: at age nine. She had two hundred and eighty four
- 54:07Speaker 1: videos on YouTube that she had posted before. By the
- 54:10Speaker 1: end of her time in elementary school, I assume that's
- 54:12Speaker 1: fifth grade being designed here, she testified that she stopped
- 54:17Speaker 1: engaging with family. She began suffering anxiety and depression at
- 54:21Speaker 1: approximately age ten, was later clinically diagnosed for both developed
- 54:24Speaker 1: body dysmorphia. She attributed constant exposure to beauty filters and
- 54:29Speaker 1: social comparisons on Instagram. Reported suicidal tendencies as her struggles deepened. Look,
- 54:36Speaker 1: all all of us had had parents of young girls
- 54:39Speaker 1: the sort of height of the Instagram, the initial Instagram
- 54:41Speaker 1: boom and snap, and I'd watch it with my own daughter,
- 54:45Speaker 1: and look, we would intervene every once in a while,
- 54:47Speaker 1: get more involved, make sure she was distracted, and all
- 54:49Speaker 1: these things. So I've looked at this because I lived this, right.
- 54:53Speaker 1: I didn't live I thankfully didn't have a job this
- 54:57Speaker 1: addicted in either sense. But I live this because you
- 55:01Speaker 1: know where I'm going to go here next Mark, which
- 55:02Speaker 1: is this debate about. And I'm sure Meta in their pushback, said, hey,
- 55:08Speaker 1: you know, there should have been more parental involvement here,
- 55:12Speaker 1: So let me start there. I just described what it was.
- 55:15Speaker 1: How did you push back on the idea that this
- 55:18Speaker 1: was parental challenges not about Meta and Google.
- 55:25Speaker 2: I've decided there's not a parent on the planet who
- 55:27Speaker 2: has the wherewithal to stand up against these algorithms and
- 55:32Speaker 2: these powerful social media addiction platforms. There's just not. So
- 55:42Speaker 2: you take her mother for example, her mother would not
- 55:45Speaker 2: let her download Instagram on her phone, but Kaylee figured
- 55:49Speaker 2: out a way to do it anyway. Because all of
- 55:51Speaker 2: her classmates were on it, she wanted to fit in.
- 55:54Speaker 2: Her mother put time limits on her phone, but Kaylee
- 55:57Speaker 2: figured out a way around it locked her phone up
- 56:01Speaker 2: in the kitchen at night, but Kaylie would wait for
- 56:04Speaker 2: her mother to go to sleep and she would go
- 56:06Speaker 2: get the phone and she would get back on it.
- 56:10Speaker 2: There's not a parent in the world that can handle
- 56:14Speaker 2: and do this right. And the sad part is Meta
- 56:19Speaker 2: not only knew that, but they took advantage of it
- 56:21Speaker 2: because Meta did this study that showed that especially children
- 56:27Speaker 2: who come from homes that are broken, where the money's
- 56:31Speaker 2: not there where, the resources aren't there where.
- 56:34Speaker 1: The mayor's one parent, not two.
- 56:36Speaker 2: Single parent trying to work a job and raise three kids,
- 56:39Speaker 2: which was Kaylee's situation. The company Meta knew they were
- 56:45Speaker 2: more prone and likely to get addicted and to get
- 56:49Speaker 2: hurt by it.
- 56:50Speaker 3: The other thing about it, though, to add to what
- 56:53Speaker 3: Mark said, is when you're dealing with addiction and addiction
- 56:58Speaker 3: and children, it is an irreparable harm. And so there's
- 57:03Speaker 3: a rewiring of the brain that happens, and it happens
- 57:06Speaker 3: so much faster and with so much potency in a
- 57:10Speaker 3: child's brain than an adult's brain. And the internal research
- 57:16Speaker 3: that Meta did, they did studies and they found, hey,
- 57:21Speaker 3: once a kid's addicted, if a parent gets involved and
- 57:24Speaker 3: tries to intervene, it actually leads to more social media
- 57:29Speaker 3: use for that child. So there's no safety measures that
- 57:33Speaker 3: can be done once the child's addicted. There's no intervention
- 57:37Speaker 3: by the parents that can be done. The damage is
- 57:40Speaker 3: already done and it's too late. And that's some of
- 57:43Speaker 3: the stuff that lights were shined on the internal documents
- 57:47Speaker 3: in these cases to show what's really going on inside.
- 57:51Speaker 1: Let's talk about those because I mean these internal meta documents.
- 57:55Speaker 1: To me, are this is the I mean, this had
- 57:57Speaker 1: this was the gold as far as you're concerned, was like, hey,
- 58:01Speaker 1: don't trust our experts on this. This is not like
- 58:05Speaker 1: a case where you had to get your own expert
- 58:07Speaker 1: witnesses in your own expert analysis. You just had to say, hey,
- 58:12Speaker 1: here's what you did. Is this from all those leaks
- 58:15Speaker 1: over the last few years or was this due to
- 58:18Speaker 1: discovery that you were able to force them to show
- 58:21Speaker 1: this stuff?
- 58:22Speaker 3: This was discovery. The leaks helped us conduct more discovery,
- 58:28Speaker 3: got it to kind of pinpoints some issues. But all
- 58:31Speaker 3: of this was through countless, countless documents. And this was
- 58:37Speaker 3: a true in the technology era. You talk about finding
- 58:41Speaker 3: needles and haystacks, exponential on that.
- 58:46Speaker 1: So this is like finding out the tobacco companies found out,
- 58:48Speaker 1: you know, did studies noting that nicotine was addicted.
- 58:51Speaker 3: Exactly, except it's not just one study, it's dozens of studies.
- 58:55Speaker 3: It's hundreds of studies. And so when you talk about
- 58:58Speaker 3: the number of smoking guns that exist in this case
- 59:01Speaker 3: against meta YouTube, TikTok and snap, it's unbelievable. And what
- 59:07Speaker 3: it really showed was that these companies without any guardrails.
- 59:12Speaker 3: It's a race to the bottom. Whatever it is they
- 59:15Speaker 3: can do to maximize the attention economy and take the
- 59:20Speaker 3: largest market share. If a competitors doing something that's harmful
- 59:23Speaker 3: to kids, they'll do it, and they'll do it with
- 59:26Speaker 3: more potency, just so that they can maximize their market share.
- 59:31Speaker 2: Chuck the kids. If I can see what Raoul said,
- 59:35Speaker 2: he said the smoking guns, He's making a really astute
- 59:41Speaker 2: pun there, because these companies actually did have smoking guns
- 59:47Speaker 2: in this sense. The company said, you know, we're saying
- 59:52Speaker 2: publicly there's no addiction. We're saying publicly there's no problem.
- 59:55Speaker 2: We're saying publicly there's no harm, just like tobacco did
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: when internally our studies show that there are. And then
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: these documents say one day people are going to see
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: this and they're going to know we are big tobacco,
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: we are the tobacco companies. So they are truly smoking
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: guns that we found.
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: You had some leaks to you know, was there how
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: many times did you have to go back at meta
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: to say no, I think you have this surface this.
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: I mean, how did you have to pull it out
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: of them? Did they eventually just sort of like realize
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: that it's all going to leak if and it's worse
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: if it looks like they're hiding or what was your sense.
- 1:00:40Speaker 3: Well, everything's under probably the most onerous protective order. And
- 1:00:46Speaker 3: so these hundreds and thousands of documents that we have,
- 1:00:51Speaker 3: we've only been able to scratch the surface of showing
- 1:00:54Speaker 3: them in trials because of the limited time we have
- 1:00:57Speaker 3: for trial presentation. So there's so many more that are
- 1:01:02Speaker 3: going to see the light in these next sets of
- 1:01:04Speaker 3: bell Weather trials, which hopefully will will have a large
- 1:01:08Speaker 3: impact on how people act and how these social media
- 1:01:11Speaker 3: companies act. The whistleblowers are so unbelievably important because what
- 1:01:20Speaker 3: ends up happening is documents say one thing, and they're
- 1:01:23Speaker 3: crystal clear on what they say. Witnesses come in, they
- 1:01:27Speaker 3: try their best to whitewash it. But when you have
- 1:01:31Speaker 3: a former company employee, a high level person, somebody like
- 1:01:36Speaker 3: Arturo Behar, who was the probably the most knowledgeable safety
- 1:01:42Speaker 3: expert within Meta or within the tech industry as a whole,
- 1:01:46Speaker 3: coming out and calling out all of the internal practices
- 1:01:51Speaker 3: and really the mindset at Meta of profits at the
- 1:01:55Speaker 3: expense of child safety's that's something that has real impact.
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: You know, It's interesting. I think the hardest thing to
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: prove is addiction, especially if it's not an addiction that
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: we're okay, a drug addiction or an alcoholic alcohol addiction.
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: We kind of get that, and we're sort of we're
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: sort of accepting the premise that gambling can create an addiction,
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: and we're going to have that that that debate is starting,
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: and I think you know, the question is going to
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: be same thing. Right, there's predatory tactics that the that
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: the these sports gaming mobile things are using, et cetera.
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: What is the definition of addiction you guys used in
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: this trial.
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: Well, we put on the stand the doctor that I
- 1:02:51Speaker 2: considered the greatest expert in the land on addiction. She
- 1:02:56Speaker 2: heads up the clinic, the section on adiction at Stanford
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: Medical School names doctor Anna Limke. She wrote Dopamine Nation
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: bestseller Addiction, and she uses what she called the four seas.
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: But what it really boils down to is this is
- 1:03:15Speaker 2: someone compulsively using something where they cannot stop using it,
- 1:03:21Speaker 2: even when it's to the detriment of their health or
- 1:03:26Speaker 2: their relationships. You've got to have those elements in some
- 1:03:31Speaker 2: way that you define them. Someone cannot stop using something
- 1:03:37Speaker 2: even when it's destroying them their health or their relationships.
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: And that's an addiction.
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: What could you feel like you could point to mask this,
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: were you able to prove that they actually Instagram at
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: times made things more addicted, not do without a.
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: Doubt, without a doubt. And Raoul may have better insight
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: on this than me. But the things that I thought
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: really stuck out to the jurors, or the fact that
- 1:04:10Speaker 2: they developed these features like endless scroll, and they have
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: features here in the US that they don't have overseas,
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: so they'll ignore the age of the user. They will
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: sometimes not even ask for the age. YouTube you can
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: get on YouTube Maine and never be asked what your
- 1:04:31Speaker 2: age is. You can do those shorts until you've gone
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: through them all, which we showed would take something on
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: the order of three hundred and sixty eight years of
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: twenty four hours a day, and still you wouldn't get
- 1:04:46Speaker 2: through it all because they're adding millions a day. So
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: they put an endless scroll, they put auto play where
- 1:04:53Speaker 2: it plays automatically. They put a finger swipe because it's
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: like a slot machine where you do something physical and
- 1:05:01Speaker 2: you get a change. They use slot machine science. They
- 1:05:04Speaker 2: sculpted the algorithm to trap you to be sticky. They
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: set any of the features that might stop addiction into
- 1:05:15Speaker 2: a mode where no one can access them reasonably.
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: So you need an example of it.
- 1:05:22Speaker 2: Okay, so you've got a chance to turn off an
- 1:05:26Speaker 2: endless scroll feature or where after thirty minutes it'll say
- 1:05:30Speaker 2: you've been doing this thirty minutes, there're sure you want
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: to do it. Nobody even knows that feature exists. You've
- 1:05:35Speaker 2: got to go navigate all of this stuff to even
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: find it because they don't want you to put it
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: into place. Remember, they only make money the longer time
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: you spend on it. The more time you spend, the
- 1:05:49Speaker 2: more money they make, So they want you. They're an
- 1:05:54Speaker 2: early YouTube document said, quote, our goal is not view worship,
- 1:06:01Speaker 2: it's addiction. Close quote to.
- 1:06:06Speaker 3: Think about this, Chuck, And what Mark said is so
- 1:06:09Speaker 3: on point, because why do you have to search for
- 1:06:13Speaker 3: a safety feature? And why do you have to search
- 1:06:16Speaker 3: hard for it? And this was a I think a
- 1:06:19Speaker 3: pivotal moment in the trial. Mark asked a witness, can
- 1:06:23Speaker 3: we just get real for a second, When is an
- 1:06:26Speaker 3: addict going to look for a safety feature so that
- 1:06:31Speaker 3: they can use the product less? So they get you,
- 1:06:35Speaker 3: they get these kids addicted, and then they put this
- 1:06:38Speaker 3: you know, safety feature out there that's unfindable that say, look,
- 1:06:43Speaker 3: we're a safe company, and it really kind of shined
- 1:06:47Speaker 3: a light on who these folks are. But going back
- 1:06:50Speaker 3: to some of the things and the proof, let me
- 1:06:53Speaker 3: just read from you a document from Meta's well Being department,
- 1:06:57Speaker 3: which doesn't exist anymore. Product features that are designed to
- 1:07:02Speaker 3: exploit insecurity or provide a dopamine rush, likes notifications, the
- 1:07:09Speaker 3: pull down to see the infinite scroll, etc. To increase
- 1:07:15Speaker 3: time spent are inherently at odds with well being and
- 1:07:20Speaker 3: take away from people's ability to consciously focus on activities
- 1:07:24Speaker 3: that add value to their lives. That's their internal document
- 1:07:29Speaker 3: talking about all of these design features, and they describe
- 1:07:33Speaker 3: them in two different ways. They call them addictive like
- 1:07:37Speaker 3: designs and dark patterns. Dark patterns are those things that
- 1:07:42Speaker 3: just manipulate you into doing something you don't even want
- 1:07:45Speaker 3: to do. Like if a kid is steps off of
- 1:07:49Speaker 3: Meta and Instagram for a bit it's nighttime, and then
- 1:07:53Speaker 3: all of a sudden their phone lights up and with
- 1:07:56Speaker 3: a notification that's meaningless. Hey, somebody wants to be your friend,
- 1:08:00Speaker 3: and why do you need that notification at one in
- 1:08:02Speaker 3: the morning. Well, once that notification comes, a user then
- 1:08:07Speaker 3: goes back onto the app, and then they start using
- 1:08:10Speaker 3: it more for Instead of like ten seconds, now they're
- 1:08:13Speaker 3: thirty minutes to an hour, and the sleep deprivation comes.
- 1:08:17Speaker 3: So an internal document that was used in the trial
- 1:08:20Speaker 3: showed a ven diagram and the dark patterns and the
- 1:08:26Speaker 3: addictive like designs include auto play and list roll and
- 1:08:31Speaker 3: all of these notifications. These are their documents talking about it.
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: Well, I was at a neighbor party, just an outdoor
- 1:08:48Speaker 1: it's crawfish boiled on my neighbor flows all the time,
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: and I was talking to his father in law, who
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: I've become friendly with over the years, and he said,
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: you know, I got to stop watching YouTube at night.
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: He goes, I end up, and this is he's in
- 1:09:03Speaker 1: his late seventies, early eighties, and he's he goes, all
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: of a sudden, I'll like about nine point thirty started
- 1:09:09Speaker 1: using YouTube. I look up and it's one in the morning,
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: and he goes and suddenly I'm like not getting enough sleep.
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: And he goes, and I don't feel right. And this
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: is somebody in there, right, and he's self aware, and
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: yet he said, he can't bring himself to turn it off.
- 1:09:24Speaker 1: And like I said, fully formed human being here.
- 1:09:27Speaker 2: So Chuck, that is such a great example because we
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: had on the stand a fellow named Christos Goodro, who
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: is one of the principal architects behind that algorithm for
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: YouTube that sucks people in like this. And if it's
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: an adult, it's an adult. But when children who don't
- 1:09:51Speaker 2: have their brain fully developed to understand consequences get onto this,
- 1:09:56Speaker 2: it's even worse because those children who get robbed of
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: sl now have deficient school performance, They don't learn. As
- 1:10:06Speaker 2: Raoul has said, it totally changes their life trajectory. It
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: rewires their brain. Now here's the sad part. Christus Goodrow,
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: who authored that algorithm in a sense, was asked, can't
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: we change some of this for kids? We can get
- 1:10:25Speaker 2: an extra nine thousand hours of sleep for kids just
- 1:10:29Speaker 2: in California alone if we would just make this little alteration.
- 1:10:36Speaker 2: And his answer was that we're not going to do that.
- 1:10:39Speaker 2: We're not going to do that. I mean, he's faced
- 1:10:41Speaker 2: with vulnerable children can get nine thousand hours more sleep
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: if you'll make this small tweak and he refuses to
- 1:10:50Speaker 2: do it.
- 1:10:51Speaker 3: And then just on the mindset of Christoscuodro. In particular,
- 1:10:56Speaker 3: he was quoted as saying, it would be great if
- 1:11:00Speaker 3: my kids were on YouTube five to seven hours a day.
- 1:11:05Speaker 3: And so when you have the lead architect of YouTube
- 1:11:08Speaker 3: with that mindset, you know what's going to happen. Bad
- 1:11:12Speaker 3: things are going to happen.
- 1:11:15Speaker 1: To two things happen in your case, guys, and this
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: first one, TikTok and snap settled. How no, I mean
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: the jury knows this. I mean in some ways that
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: settlement got you the guilty verdict on meta and YouTube
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: and medaan Google. I mean, if you're met at Google,
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: you're probably like, well, thanks for settling, because now you've
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: made it easier. I mean, am I just am I
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: being too simple minded about this?
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: I don't think you're being too simple minded? And I'd
- 1:11:48Speaker 2: love to get ra Rul's inside into this. But I
- 1:11:51Speaker 2: will say it's a multifaceted diamond because I think it
- 1:11:56Speaker 2: also allows the jury to say, well, we don't need
- 1:11:58Speaker 2: to give all of the damages because they've already gotten
- 1:12:01Speaker 2: some money.
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: Oh.
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: It just also allows the jury to say, wait a minute,
- 1:12:06Speaker 2: maybe this is Snapchat and TikTok's fault because we do
- 1:12:10Speaker 2: see she spend a lot of time on those How
- 1:12:13Speaker 2: on earth are you going to say it's the fault
- 1:12:15Speaker 2: of Meta or.
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: It could have you think it could have cut both ways.
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: Yeah, it scares us. We'd rather them not know that,
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: but it was such news that they knew it.
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: I guess I just think juries aren't going to distinguish
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: between the four between those four entities the way.
- 1:12:34Speaker 2: You both think.
- 1:12:35Speaker 3: But maybe you know on that check. I don't disagree
- 1:12:37Speaker 3: with you in the sense that if the jury got
- 1:12:40Speaker 3: to see the evidence as to all four defendants, it's indistinguishable.
- 1:12:46Speaker 3: But one of the things in the trial, and we
- 1:12:50Speaker 3: don't know how it would play out and if it
- 1:12:52Speaker 3: would play out differently. But Meta and YouTube they were
- 1:12:57Speaker 3: not blaming Snap or TikTok, and I think if they did,
- 1:13:02Speaker 3: that would be an admission of guilt on their part. Right,
- 1:13:06Speaker 3: So they took the calculated decision of saying, we're just
- 1:13:10Speaker 3: going to try and get people to believe that these
- 1:13:14Speaker 3: platforms are safe as designed, which is a very hard
- 1:13:18Speaker 3: lift on their part.
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: How much discovery did you get out of TikTok and
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: Snap before they settled? It was part of their motivation
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: to settle not to produce some documents.
- 1:13:28Speaker 3: The litigation has been going for over three and a
- 1:13:31Speaker 3: half years, so at the time of the first Bellweather trial,
- 1:13:36Speaker 3: all of the discovery has been completed against all four defendants.
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: You have abbat and they just settled in this case,
- 1:13:43Speaker 1: or are they settling all cases just in this case? Okay,
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: could you use any of the TikTok or snap in
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: this or you could have the discovery in there or
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: in this case because they settled, you had to keep
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: it just about meta and Google.
- 1:14:03Speaker 3: That's corrected, just about meta in Google.
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: I want to get to something that Google's attorney said
- 1:14:12Speaker 1: after the fact, which is interesting. A Google spokesperson stated
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: post verdict, this case misunderstands YouTube, which is responsibly built
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: streaming platform, not a social media site. So well, hey, look,
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: you know this is the old divide and conquer strategy
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: right potentially, but Google's basically and this is sort of
- 1:14:41Speaker 1: I think of Google as a friend of mine was
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: active and been involved as here a club for decades,
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: and he used to describe BP as sort of the
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: oil company that apologizes for being an oil company, like
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: they always like want to be the ones that like,
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: we care about climate chain me. All this stuff Google
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: strikes me is that they don't like to be the
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: bad guy. They always are looking and if you told
- 1:15:06Speaker 1: me Google was going to try to find a way
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: to like, hey, we don't want to be lumped in
- 1:15:10Speaker 1: with Instagram and TikTok and snap and maybe they end
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: up pulling away and changing some of their behaviors sooner
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: than others. Are you getting a hint of that with
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: these next trials that are coming.
- 1:15:28Speaker 2: Up or not? I don't think so. And I'll say
- 1:15:30Speaker 2: this that reminds me of an Italian restaurant saying, hey,
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: we serve pizza. You misunderstood it. We're a pizzeria. Well,
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: but for the fact you also have salads, you also
- 1:15:46Speaker 2: have pasta, you also have tiramissu, you also have you know,
- 1:15:50Speaker 2: a complete Italian menu. So no, we're not going to
- 1:15:54Speaker 2: just focus on the pizza you serve. Do they have
- 1:15:57Speaker 2: a video streaming service, Yes, but they also have shorts.
- 1:16:01Speaker 2: They also have all sorts of recommendations. They have lights,
- 1:16:05Speaker 2: they have comments, they have dislikes, they send out notifications,
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: they have endless role they have auto play. They're not Netflix.
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: Interesting. And the thing Netflix is not a social media
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: site in your and they don't qualify for this, right.
- 1:16:23Speaker 3: And the thing that drives me crazy about YouTube in
- 1:16:26Speaker 3: particular is what that representative said, is there forward facing misrepresentation,
- 1:16:35Speaker 3: and it's what I believe got them into the schools.
- 1:16:39Speaker 3: They inject themselves into the schools, and now kid that
- 1:16:42Speaker 3: really young ages are getting exposed to screens and YouTube
- 1:16:48Speaker 3: and YouTube, which then leads to exposure to the other
- 1:16:52Speaker 3: social media apps. And what they started as and what
- 1:16:57Speaker 3: they've become with the algorithm and infinite scroll is they
- 1:17:02Speaker 3: become everybody else. So they wedged themselves in early on
- 1:17:05Speaker 3: with kids under a false premise, and now their.
- 1:17:08Speaker 1: Candy cigarettes huh, except that.
- 1:17:11Speaker 3: They are and then the candy box became cigarette nicotine
- 1:17:15Speaker 3: in there too, so.
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: Right right, yeah, well I only look, I hear where
- 1:17:21Speaker 1: you guys are coming from, and I don't disagree on
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: how you're describing it, But going forward, what does that
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: tell you that they're going out they're like, hey, hey, hey,
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: don't call us a social media side. It's almost like,
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: hey man, we don't want to be we don't want
- 1:17:35Speaker 1: to be labeled that, Like that's terrible.
- 1:17:38Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it is.
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: A It is sort of saying we're not guilty, but
- 1:17:43Speaker 1: maybe they are, and you can go after Mata and
- 1:17:45Speaker 1: you can go out. Please go for it, be my guest.
- 1:17:48Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. The side joke that was running with the
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: lawyer for YouTube in this case is he was trying
- 1:17:57Speaker 2: so hard to say that they were not social media.
- 1:18:00Speaker 2: He was calling himself YouTube instead of YouTube, and that
- 1:18:05Speaker 2: did not work. And the reason it did not work
- 1:18:08Speaker 2: is because there are exhaustive documents from Google and YouTube
- 1:18:14Speaker 2: files that call them social media, that refer to them
- 1:18:18Speaker 2: as social media, that speak of their social media platform,
- 1:18:24Speaker 2: their app. They are social media. You know, I can
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: tell you that I'm not a human being, that I'm
- 1:18:31Speaker 2: actually a duck, but you're looking and I've got a
- 1:18:36Speaker 2: birth certificate and I've got you know, I'm a mammal.
- 1:18:41Speaker 2: I mean, they can say all they want to say,
- 1:18:44Speaker 2: but the truth is the truth.
- 1:18:47Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm just from another YouTube document. This is the vision.
- 1:18:52Speaker 3: We aspire to create an app that is addictive. And
- 1:18:57Speaker 3: so you know, you look at these documents and you
- 1:18:59Speaker 3: look at what their their true aspiration is and they
- 1:19:04Speaker 3: they can't hide from it, and none of these social
- 1:19:06Speaker 3: media companies can. And then it just begs the question,
- 1:19:09Speaker 3: like what's in a name anyways? You know, it's it's
- 1:19:13Speaker 3: it's obviously a bad moniker to have to be called
- 1:19:16Speaker 3: a social media company, but you can't hide from it
- 1:19:19Speaker 3: by calling yourself something else.
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: Mark, What was what? What did you? Uh? How was
- 1:19:25Speaker 1: your experience cross examining Mark Zuckerberg? Were you nervous? Were
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: you what? Were you just like chomp chomping at the bed? Like?
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: What was your mindset going into it?
- 1:19:35Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: I found him rather wooden. You know, he's had media
- 1:19:40Speaker 2: training for hundreds of hours before he testified. He had,
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: you know, probably hundreds of hours with his lawyers getting
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: him ready, which really calls out the cross examination question.
- 1:19:52Speaker 2: How many hours of media training do you need to
- 1:19:55Speaker 2: tell the truth? I mean, do you get fifty seven
- 1:20:00Speaker 2: twenty five hours of media training before you.
- 1:20:02Speaker 1: Tell you were such a great? When did you stop
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: beating your wife? Question?
- 1:20:06Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 1:20:07Speaker 1: How many hours of media training doesn't take to tell
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: the truth? You know, you're like, there's no answer to
- 1:20:12Speaker 1: that question, thanks a lot.
- 1:20:14Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so it just you know, you don't need
- 1:20:19Speaker 2: media training to tell your kid don't forget your backpack
- 1:20:21Speaker 2: on the way to school. You know, all we need
- 1:20:25Speaker 2: is the truth, and I found that he was prepared
- 1:20:29Speaker 2: for certain questions. What were they?
- 1:20:33Speaker 1: What did you feel like he was most prepared for,
- 1:20:35Speaker 1: and what were you surprised he wasn't prepared or do
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: you not want.
- 1:20:39Speaker 2: To No, no, no, I'm fine saying it. He was
- 1:20:44Speaker 2: clearly prepared for how wealthy he is, because he volunteered
- 1:20:49Speaker 2: an answer that said, you know, but we've set up
- 1:20:52Speaker 2: a corporation to give money to so that it can
- 1:20:55Speaker 2: cure cancer. So we're just really here to cure cancer.
- 1:21:00Speaker 2: But what he couldn't do is he couldn't, you know,
- 1:21:05Speaker 2: for a guy who's supposed to be one of the
- 1:21:06Speaker 2: smartest in the world, and certainly in his mind maybe
- 1:21:09Speaker 2: the smartest in the courtroom, he couldn't handle the unusual
- 1:21:12Speaker 2: questions like this, mister Zuckerberg, would you agree with me?
- 1:21:16Speaker 2: There are vulnerable children in the world who don't come
- 1:21:19Speaker 2: from the best homes, whose parents aren't on the top
- 1:21:21Speaker 2: of their game, who don't have all the money, who
- 1:21:23Speaker 2: may have a learning disability, who may not be social misfits.
- 1:21:27Speaker 2: Those vulnerable children are in the world right right. They're
- 1:21:30Speaker 2: in America, right right, They're in California, right right, They're
- 1:21:34Speaker 2: in our neighborhoods, right right, And then I said, it
- 1:21:37Speaker 2: seems to me there are three ways we can approach
- 1:21:40Speaker 2: those vulnerable children. One, ignore them outside, out of mind
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: not not problem too. We can help them. We can
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: volunteer at the temples, the churches, the synagogues, the school groups,
- 1:21:55Speaker 2: big brother, big sister, library reading programs. We can go
- 1:21:59Speaker 2: out of our way to help the vulnerable children. Fair, fair,
- 1:22:03Speaker 2: I said, but there's a third option. We can look
- 1:22:06Speaker 2: at those vulnerable children and see a dollar sign on
- 1:22:09Speaker 2: their back if we trample on them. We can enrich
- 1:22:12Speaker 2: ourselves upon them. We can pray upon them to feed
- 1:22:16Speaker 2: our bank accounts. Now, why didn't Meta choose option three?
- 1:22:21Speaker 2: And his reaction is, you know, was oh, I don't
- 1:22:24Speaker 2: think we did. And I said, well that's why we've
- 1:22:27Speaker 2: got these documents. Now let's look at them and see
- 1:22:29Speaker 2: if you didn't do that. And so we started with
- 1:22:31Speaker 2: the documents.
- 1:22:33Speaker 1: So well, Bell Weather case, not everybody understands what this means. So,
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: you know, let me just paint the picture. There's a
- 1:22:41Speaker 1: ton of people filed lawsuits against the big tech companies
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: on some form of this, right, what is there some
- 1:22:46Speaker 1: twenty three hundred cases?
- 1:22:47Speaker 3: A little over three thousand.
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: Now we're over three thousand cases. So what has happened
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: that put it into a situation where there's a quote
- 1:22:57Speaker 1: bell Weather, So there's three thousand cases, they're not going
- 1:22:59Speaker 1: to hear all three cases? Correct?
- 1:23:01Speaker 3: Well, I would like to believe that. But the way
- 1:23:06Speaker 3: the way the court system is set up here in California,
- 1:23:10Speaker 3: thousands of cases are filed. They all end up in
- 1:23:13Speaker 3: front of one courtroom, in front of one judge, and
- 1:23:17Speaker 3: that judge is Carolyn Cole here in the Los Angeles
- 1:23:19Speaker 3: Superior Court, and she needs to manage these thousands of
- 1:23:23Speaker 3: cases and try to get them in a position of
- 1:23:27Speaker 3: efficiently getting tried, resolved whatever right. And the way that
- 1:23:34Speaker 3: she wanted to do that is through a Bellweather trial process.
- 1:23:38Speaker 3: So while all the discovery, depositions, documents are being produced,
- 1:23:43Speaker 3: on the other side of it, there's hundreds, if not thousands,
- 1:23:47Speaker 3: of plaintiffs with data they're called plaintiffact sheets that are
- 1:23:50Speaker 3: provided so that the judge and the parties can look
- 1:23:54Speaker 3: and go what are the similarities between the claims, the usage,
- 1:23:58Speaker 3: the injuries, et cetera, and then decide what would be
- 1:24:04Speaker 3: maybe representative cases as to what's a a very powerful
- 1:24:11Speaker 3: case and maybe a little less powerful case and everything
- 1:24:15Speaker 3: in between. And so Judge Cole went through that exercise.
- 1:24:19Speaker 3: The parties then talked about the cases and then selected
- 1:24:22Speaker 3: nine cases that she thought in total would have characteristics
- 1:24:27Speaker 3: that would represent the other two nine and ninety one cases.
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: And how did she decide in the nine in consultation
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: with defense and plane off here?
- 1:24:38Speaker 3: Correct? Correct, And it's not necessarily by agreement. So just
- 1:24:42Speaker 3: like selection of a jury, you get like no, no, yes,
- 1:24:46Speaker 3: or you know, exactly executed jury selection is a misnomer.
- 1:24:50Speaker 3: It's just de selection. You're you're left with what's left there.
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: Yeah, you don't get to pick who you want, but
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: you can eliminate who you really don't want exactly exactly.
- 1:24:59Speaker 3: And so it's really in the judges call on these cases.
- 1:25:02Speaker 3: And that's how she picked.
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: Up And these are all in Los Angeles because the
- 1:25:06Speaker 1: companies are based in California. Correct, it's not so these
- 1:25:10Speaker 1: I believe Kaylee was not a Californian.
- 1:25:13Speaker 3: Right, she was a Californian.
- 1:25:15Speaker 2: She was from chic Up North.
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: Yeah, Okay, so she is a Californian. But there are
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: cases where it won't just be California, Right, like.
- 1:25:22Speaker 3: The next trial for Russell is he's a Florida resident,
- 1:25:26Speaker 3: but it's going to be here in La Superior as well.
- 1:25:28Speaker 1: Yep, this case from start to finish took how long.
- 1:25:34Speaker 3: January twenty seventh to March twenty seventh feels like somewhere
- 1:25:38Speaker 3: right around there, so about two months.
- 1:25:41Speaker 1: And well that was because you got a trial date.
- 1:25:44Speaker 1: How long did it take to like when did you know,
- 1:25:46Speaker 1: when did this all get formalized with discovery and all
- 1:25:49Speaker 1: that stuff.
- 1:25:50Speaker 3: Oh three and a half years, so three almost four years.
- 1:25:54Speaker 1: But we don't expect you to have to have three
- 1:25:56Speaker 1: years for each each subsequent next case.
- 1:25:59Speaker 3: All of the cases got worked up together for these
- 1:26:02Speaker 3: bell Weather cases, so the next eight cases they could
- 1:26:06Speaker 3: go back to back to back to back if need be.
- 1:26:09Speaker 3: So we're going to show up in court tomorrow and
- 1:26:12Speaker 3: Judge Cole is going to set the trial date for
- 1:26:15Speaker 3: Russell's case, and it could be.
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: This will be by the time this there is probably
- 1:26:19Speaker 1: later in the month, but we're we're taping on four
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: to twenty on April twentieth here, so we'll we'll just
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: to give people a date stamp, yeah on this. So
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: eight more trials, So the judge need to get the
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: verdicts in all nine before she starts characterizing the rest
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: of the three thousand.
- 1:26:42Speaker 3: I don't know. That's that's I think a moving target
- 1:26:46Speaker 3: as to how she sees things and whether there's enough
- 1:26:50Speaker 3: information to start getting the cases out her mindset is
- 1:26:56Speaker 3: what you What she wants to do is get enough
- 1:26:58Speaker 3: rulings on all of the unique issues so that there
- 1:27:01Speaker 3: are essentially no unique issues that require the knowledge base
- 1:27:06Speaker 3: of the entire Section two thirty work up and everything else,
- 1:27:10Speaker 3: and then it can just get sent to other court
- 1:27:12Speaker 3: rooms in La Superior and have multiple trials going at
- 1:27:16Speaker 3: the same time.
- 1:27:18Speaker 1: Do you expect jury trials for all three thousand?
- 1:27:21Speaker 3: I don't.
- 1:27:24Speaker 2: Yeah. Now, I think once there's a pattern established of
- 1:27:31Speaker 2: who's going to win, who's going to lose, and which
- 1:27:33Speaker 2: ones do you win and which ones do you lose? Realistically,
- 1:27:37Speaker 2: the companies that they don't need this media publicity. They
- 1:27:41Speaker 2: need to figure out how to get about making their money,
- 1:27:44Speaker 2: not spending it.
- 1:27:55Speaker 1: I guess the question is you we I mean, we're
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: all just spit in here. But if you win the
- 1:28:01Speaker 1: first four, one would assume they start to think about,
- 1:28:05Speaker 1: do we need to create a settlement fund and just
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: settle them all.
- 1:28:10Speaker 2: Yeah, I certainly agree with that.
- 1:28:13Speaker 1: Yeah, what's the model, what what is Where is this
- 1:28:18Speaker 1: like tobacco? And where is this not like tobacco?
- 1:28:23Speaker 3: Well, it's like tobacco in the sense that they created
- 1:28:27Speaker 3: an addictive product by design.
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: Okay, like the intentionality. Yeah, so there was it was
- 1:28:34Speaker 1: intentionally addictive and they knew it. You know, it's not
- 1:28:38Speaker 1: something they made and they found out it was addictive
- 1:28:41Speaker 1: after the fact, And that's that'd be a slight difference here, right.
- 1:28:45Speaker 1: You guys are contending they wanted to build it to
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: be addictive and they accomplished their task.
- 1:28:53Speaker 4: I would just pray with addiction by design, yeah, okay,
- 1:28:57Speaker 4: all right, And you know some of it, it I
- 1:29:00Speaker 4: think is irresponsible deployment of different features as well.
- 1:29:05Speaker 3: So there there may be some circumstances where they just
- 1:29:08Speaker 3: blindly launched certain features and then said, hey, we don't
- 1:29:15Speaker 3: know if it's safe or not, but let's just try
- 1:29:18Speaker 3: it out and our test our test sample will be
- 1:29:20Speaker 3: the entire child possible.
- 1:29:22Speaker 1: That's negligence. That that's negligible, yes, exactly.
- 1:29:26Speaker 3: But then getting to the next step for all of
- 1:29:29Speaker 3: the features that are part of this case, they knew
- 1:29:32Speaker 3: for a very long time, so they either intentionally launched
- 1:29:36Speaker 3: it knowing it's addictive, or launched it negligently then found
- 1:29:41Speaker 3: out through their internal research that it's addictive and did
- 1:29:44Speaker 3: nothing about it. Either way gets to the same same point,
- 1:29:48Speaker 3: which is intentionality in the way that they did it.
- 1:29:53Speaker 3: Then you've got concealment. And this is to me, the
- 1:29:59Speaker 3: destruction of an entire generation of kids. And you know,
- 1:30:03Speaker 3: I've got three boys twenty seventeen and fourteen and looked
- 1:30:08Speaker 3: at these things and looked what they were doing and
- 1:30:11Speaker 3: the harm that they could inflict, and it's created irreparable harm.
- 1:30:18Speaker 3: And so what ends up happening is through the concealment,
- 1:30:23Speaker 3: they're allowed to get a critical massive kids using social media.
- 1:30:28Speaker 3: I think it's almost ninety percent of teens are using
- 1:30:30Speaker 3: it now. And then what do you do next. It's
- 1:30:34Speaker 3: like you can't just renavigate a battleship. Turning that shit
- 1:30:39Speaker 3: is so hard to do and take so many layers.
- 1:30:42Speaker 3: So now they've got a market share and are profiting
- 1:30:46Speaker 3: off of it and creating the situation where it's very
- 1:30:50Speaker 3: hard to undo the damage and to change the narrative
- 1:30:55Speaker 3: so that kids stop using it so that they start
- 1:30:59Speaker 3: using safe practices and are forced to use the safe practices,
- 1:31:04Speaker 3: and so with each passing day, and Chuck you asked
- 1:31:06Speaker 3: about the four trials and whether they'd finally see the
- 1:31:09Speaker 3: writing on the wall. I don't know, because they're pretty
- 1:31:13Speaker 3: happy lining their pockets with every passing day, and the
- 1:31:17Speaker 3: cost of this litigation is less than the profits that
- 1:31:21Speaker 3: they ned.
- 1:31:22Speaker 1: You're describing the Ford, the infamous Ford Pinto really trial
- 1:31:26Speaker 1: right where where the Ford Pinto was? This for some
- 1:31:30Speaker 1: of my younger folks, was this economy car that when
- 1:31:34Speaker 1: it got rear ended, it's had a design flaw and
- 1:31:37Speaker 1: if it got rear ended the wrong way, it basically
- 1:31:39Speaker 1: blew up the gas tank and it just had this explosion.
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: And Ford knew it, and they made a calculation of
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: what it would take to fix it after the fact
- 1:31:52Speaker 1: and the recall versus settling claims that were filed, and
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: it would be cheaper to settle the file clib names, Yeah, yeah,
- 1:32:02Speaker 1: Are you sure we're not in a situation like that
- 1:32:04Speaker 1: already with with with these social media companies?
- 1:32:07Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think we are, And I'll give you
- 1:32:10Speaker 2: my reasons, and.
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: Well thinks we are the two of you disagree on this, well.
- 1:32:15Speaker 2: And we may and if so, I think he's probably
- 1:32:17Speaker 2: right and I'm wrong, at least historically, I'll put my
- 1:32:21Speaker 2: chips on him. But uh so much of these companies
- 1:32:27Speaker 2: depend upon PR. And uh you take Google for example.
- 1:32:32Speaker 2: Google wants YouTube in every classroom. And Google is going
- 1:32:37Speaker 2: to have trouble if they repeatedly go to trial and
- 1:32:41Speaker 2: get hammered with juries saying they've done this maliciously, They've
- 1:32:47Speaker 2: done this intentionally, they're destroying children. And then Google goes
- 1:32:53Speaker 2: and says to the school district, hey, let us be
- 1:32:57Speaker 2: on all your school computers to learning. That's a left
- 1:33:04Speaker 2: hand and right hand. And the kind of money that
- 1:33:08Speaker 2: these companies make, settling this would be a boon to them.
- 1:33:14Speaker 2: It would send their stock through the roof. It would
- 1:33:18Speaker 2: give them PR pluses, and they care deeply about the PR.
- 1:33:23Speaker 2: I think they care more about the PR than just
- 1:33:26Speaker 2: the part.
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: What does that tell you you think settlement's coming?
- 1:33:30Speaker 2: I think it will at some point. I like your
- 1:33:32Speaker 2: try four cases, maybe it's eight, you know, maybe it's fifteen.
- 1:33:39Speaker 2: But somewhere down the road the settlement will.
- 1:33:43Speaker 1: You Now you guys, this happened to I mean, it
- 1:33:45Speaker 1: was like back to back days. We had the trial
- 1:33:47Speaker 1: in New Mexico was brought by the state government, and
- 1:33:51Speaker 1: you're going to have states and that was a separate thing.
- 1:33:52Speaker 1: With tobacco, right, you had private litigation. I remember to
- 1:33:56Speaker 1: me that I remember the first one on tobacco that
- 1:33:59Speaker 1: really sort of got everybody's attentions. I think it was
- 1:34:02Speaker 1: the flight attendant lawsuit. Right, it was just sort of like, hey,
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: they had no way of avoiding secondhand smoke. They couldn't
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: do it, and look what happened. And then I think
- 1:34:11Speaker 1: blackjack dealers were next, Like it was like those were
- 1:34:14Speaker 1: the two. You couldn't dispute that they were sort of
- 1:34:19Speaker 1: trapped with secondhand smoke on that front. So is is
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: there a corollary here?
- 1:34:29Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 1:34:30Speaker 1: Private versus public And then the state ags came in
- 1:34:33Speaker 1: and then they did it as sort of harmful to
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: their You know, what is the distinction between a private
- 1:34:37Speaker 1: litigation for a class that's harmed in this case teens
- 1:34:42Speaker 1: versus what the state ags are doing?
- 1:34:45Speaker 2: Well, you ought to answer this because you've got your
- 1:34:47Speaker 2: hands in both pies pretty deep.
- 1:34:49Speaker 3: Yeah, So there's kind of multiple buckets going here. There's
- 1:34:53Speaker 3: going to be a school district trial that's happening very soon.
- 1:34:57Speaker 3: And then you've got the New Mexico who brought that
- 1:35:01Speaker 3: case and it was really for statutory damages for violation
- 1:35:06Speaker 3: of a state statute and had a lot to do
- 1:35:10Speaker 3: with grooming, exploitative material and exposure to children, and that
- 1:35:15Speaker 3: led to five thousand dollars per event and ultimately got
- 1:35:19Speaker 3: to three hundred and seventy five million. And so, speaking
- 1:35:24Speaker 3: not as the lawyer but as a human being, I
- 1:35:27Speaker 3: think it's fantastic that all of these verdicts are coming
- 1:35:32Speaker 3: with different lenses. So you're looking at the conduct related
- 1:35:37Speaker 3: to harming children through exploit child exploitative material, sexual content,
- 1:35:45Speaker 3: grooming pedophiles, awful stuff. And then you've got verdicts that
- 1:35:50Speaker 3: are coming through the impact to children directly through addiction awful,
- 1:35:56Speaker 3: awful stuff. And then you're going to have public nuisance
- 1:35:59Speaker 3: by way of the school districts and how it's negatively
- 1:36:03Speaker 3: impacting education because it's just permeated the school district. That's
- 1:36:08Speaker 3: terrible as well. And I think all of those things,
- 1:36:10Speaker 3: to Mark's point, are going to create a significant negative
- 1:36:15Speaker 3: pr for these companies and at the same time creating
- 1:36:19Speaker 3: awareness where things are just going to get shut down.
- 1:36:23Speaker 3: And there's school districts now, and there's parents in every
- 1:36:25Speaker 3: community that are chuck. I think even you too, right,
- 1:36:29Speaker 3: don't want you know.
- 1:36:30Speaker 1: My local community, we're starting to see homemade signs that
- 1:36:36Speaker 1: say tell Arlington Public schools to get to get iPads
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: out of the class. Yeah.
- 1:36:43Speaker 3: Yeah, And that's a grassroots movement that's now expanding across
- 1:36:49Speaker 3: the country. And these verdicts have led to that this litigation,
- 1:36:53Speaker 3: which started three and a half plus years ago. After
- 1:36:56Speaker 3: it started, the US Surgeon General came out with his
- 1:36:59Speaker 3: report on how harmful social media is. So it's coming
- 1:37:03Speaker 3: from all angles, which I think is a great thing.
- 1:37:06Speaker 1: Mark and Roe play pray regula, pray regulator for me here. Okay,
- 1:37:13Speaker 1: let's assume I have a few members of Congress listening
- 1:37:15Speaker 1: to this interview. I'd like to think I do, and
- 1:37:18Speaker 1: they want to do something, and they want they've been
- 1:37:21Speaker 1: we've all been dying, like, what is some good structure
- 1:37:25Speaker 1: that could be put around these tech companies. You know,
- 1:37:29Speaker 1: I could get extreme here. I think that all of
- 1:37:31Speaker 1: this stuff should be banned to twenty five. I believe
- 1:37:36Speaker 1: in that for sports gambling, I believe in that for
- 1:37:38Speaker 1: marijuana usage. I believe that for alcohol usage that I'm
- 1:37:41Speaker 1: a believer. I believe all of the science that says
- 1:37:44Speaker 1: the brain, especially among young men versus young women even
- 1:37:47Speaker 1: but still, the twenty five is when you know your
- 1:37:49Speaker 1: your sort of fully formed brain. So, and I will
- 1:37:54Speaker 1: note rental car companies, insurance companies have made it so
- 1:38:00Speaker 1: there's a reason they don't let anybody under twenty five
- 1:38:02Speaker 1: rent a car without paying through the nose on that front.
- 1:38:06Speaker 1: But let me set that aside. Actual regulatory ideas. You know,
- 1:38:12Speaker 1: is it the end specifics that lawmakers should target to
- 1:38:17Speaker 1: limit social media addiction?
- 1:38:20Speaker 2: Well, I really like the idea of limiting it. The
- 1:38:22Speaker 2: problem is, I think in America that may be dead
- 1:38:25Speaker 2: on arrival because the power of these companies to influence
- 1:38:32Speaker 2: and lobby is.
- 1:38:33Speaker 1: Look, we have a drinking age of twenty one. We
- 1:38:35Speaker 1: have tobacco. You know. I'm not saying it's perfect, you know,
- 1:38:39Speaker 1: but we have put age requirements. We have done some things.
- 1:38:45Speaker 1: We usually wait till it's done, all sorts of destructive
- 1:38:48Speaker 1: behavior before we do it, but we do eventually do it.
- 1:38:51Speaker 1: And I guess what could be done without getting it
- 1:38:55Speaker 1: thrown out in court due to the first Amendment.
- 1:38:58Speaker 2: Well, I think I like your idea of putting age
- 1:39:01Speaker 2: limits on it. Australia is but thirteen and that made
- 1:39:04Speaker 2: a big deal out of everything. But I'm thinking thirteen mercy,
- 1:39:08Speaker 2: go for twenty one, go for twenty five. You add
- 1:39:13Speaker 2: to it. You know, if I were a legislator, I
- 1:39:17Speaker 2: would get rid of Section two thirty right now. These
- 1:39:20Speaker 2: these companies can put porn on there to anybody at
- 1:39:23Speaker 2: any age and you can't hold them accountable. And I
- 1:39:27Speaker 2: would get rid of two thirty protection for these companies
- 1:39:29Speaker 2: and a heartbeat. The sad part is these companies have
- 1:39:33Speaker 2: written their own legislation. It's like Protect the Kids Act
- 1:39:37Speaker 2: Kids and it does. Yeah, all it does is give
- 1:39:41Speaker 2: them free get out of jail cards. And so you
- 1:39:45Speaker 2: don't want to hand over policing to the industry. You've
- 1:39:50Speaker 2: got to do something roll I don't.
- 1:39:52Speaker 3: Know, so just some real simple things. So I agree
- 1:39:57Speaker 3: one hundred percent with Mark. They need to be a
- 1:40:00Speaker 3: auntable and responsible and repealing Section two thirty is a
- 1:40:03Speaker 3: part of forcing responsible behavior on the part of these
- 1:40:06Speaker 3: social media companies. But looking at as crazy as it sounds,
- 1:40:12Speaker 3: China okay, TikTok in China it's called dough yin And
- 1:40:17Speaker 3: here's what they have. They have age modeling, so there's
- 1:40:19Speaker 3: age verification to make sure that kids are treated like kids.
- 1:40:24Speaker 3: And as part of that, if you use it for
- 1:40:26Speaker 3: just several minutes you're forced to rest. You have to
- 1:40:30Speaker 3: get off of it. It won't work anymore. They have
- 1:40:33Speaker 3: a forty minute daily limit. After forty minutes you're done,
- 1:40:37Speaker 3: nighttime curfew. You can't use it at night because you
- 1:40:40Speaker 3: need to get your rest at night. All of the
- 1:40:42Speaker 3: things that oh, even in the endless scroll you know
- 1:40:46Speaker 3: this slot machine effect of just keeps swipe, swipe, swipe.
- 1:40:50Speaker 3: It has a lag in between each time you swipe
- 1:40:53Speaker 3: it so that your mind actually doesn't get into that
- 1:40:55Speaker 3: slot machine, endless reward and intermittent reward system. There's already
- 1:41:00Speaker 3: things that exist in other countries that people know to
- 1:41:05Speaker 3: be safe practices that can be implemented here. But I
- 1:41:08Speaker 3: really think with technology in particular, there has to be
- 1:41:13Speaker 3: a responsibility shifted onto the companies to continue to be vigilant,
- 1:41:18Speaker 3: and their failure to do so and do best practices
- 1:41:22Speaker 3: is something that has to hit them where it hits
- 1:41:24Speaker 3: them the hardest, which is in their shareholder price and
- 1:41:28Speaker 3: in their bank.
- 1:41:29Speaker 1: Barker, No, I mean, and this is sort of why
- 1:41:31Speaker 1: I sort of I keep using the rental car companies
- 1:41:34Speaker 1: as an interesting example, because there's no law that says
- 1:41:38Speaker 1: you have to be twenty five to rent a car.
- 1:41:41Speaker 1: You don't, right, Actually you can be younger. It's the
- 1:41:44Speaker 1: rental car companies that won't ensure you unless you're twenty
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: five and won't allow it to carry over. And I
- 1:41:52Speaker 1: just wonder, like, is you know, this is why I
- 1:41:55Speaker 1: always say in a true free market, free system, you
- 1:41:58Speaker 1: have to have private civil litigation or you'll never get
- 1:42:01Speaker 1: you'll never have, you know, be able to have full accountabilities,
- 1:42:04Speaker 1: right because you have government cap regulatory capture with the
- 1:42:07Speaker 1: government that Mark was just describing right now of how
- 1:42:10Speaker 1: they sort of get to write the legislation for the
- 1:42:12Speaker 1: Protect Kids Act things like that. Is there a Is
- 1:42:17Speaker 1: there an equivalent here? I mean, you guys think if
- 1:42:20Speaker 1: there's an you know, if you extract enough financial pain,
- 1:42:22Speaker 1: they're just going to change because they're tired of losing
- 1:42:24Speaker 1: these lawsuits.
- 1:42:27Speaker 2: I think too. I think that's what we see. You
- 1:42:31Speaker 2: used four kinto as an example very clearly the financial
- 1:42:36Speaker 2: analysis of how much we lose in a lawsuit was
- 1:42:39Speaker 2: done by Ford, it's done by everybody. What's our exposure?
- 1:42:44Speaker 2: Insurance companies ask the same question. Car rental companies ask
- 1:42:48Speaker 2: the same question that if car rental companies can make
- 1:42:52Speaker 2: more by renting out a car to a twenty year
- 1:42:54Speaker 2: old or an eighteen year old or a sixteen year old,
- 1:42:56Speaker 2: they do it in a heartbeat, but they know financially
- 1:42:59Speaker 2: they're going to lose money, right, And that's what you've
- 1:43:01Speaker 2: got to do with these companies. That's that's their language.
- 1:43:07Speaker 3: And the and the other problem and part of it, candidly,
- 1:43:11Speaker 3: I think that it's going to require the Congress and
- 1:43:16Speaker 3: send it to do something, because what you're going to
- 1:43:19Speaker 3: see is if somebody makes a move to be engaged
- 1:43:24Speaker 3: in a safer, safer practice for children, nobody else is.
- 1:43:29Speaker 3: So let's just say TikTok does something because it's the
- 1:43:32Speaker 3: right thing to do. And this hypothetical world I'm offering, Okay,
- 1:43:36Speaker 3: you think Instagram, Meta YouTube and Snap are going to
- 1:43:40Speaker 3: follow along or are they going to just reap the
- 1:43:43Speaker 3: market share at the expense of TikTok and so people
- 1:43:46Speaker 3: are not better off for it, and uh, and so
- 1:43:50Speaker 3: none of these companies are going to consistently do the
- 1:43:53Speaker 3: right thing unless unless there's somebody forcing them to do it,
- 1:43:58Speaker 3: and you're a peel teck up?
- 1:44:00Speaker 1: Is allation the appeals. They're going to appeal what happened?
- 1:44:04Speaker 1: Tell me about the appeal process. Do you expect is
- 1:44:07Speaker 1: this gonna you think they're going to do? Is this through?
- 1:44:10Speaker 1: So it's federal court, so it's going to go circuit?
- 1:44:12Speaker 1: Then do you expect have to go all the way
- 1:44:14Speaker 1: to spring?
- 1:44:15Speaker 3: This is actually a state court?
- 1:44:17Speaker 2: Uh?
- 1:44:17Speaker 3: Trial verdict? So this is.
- 1:44:19Speaker 1: A this is a state court even though it's federal.
- 1:44:22Speaker 3: It's a federal statute that they're asserting as a defense.
- 1:44:27Speaker 1: Okay, so it's a state court case. So you expect
- 1:44:29Speaker 1: this to go through the state Supreme Court.
- 1:44:32Speaker 3: That's that's their intention. And then if it if it
- 1:44:35Speaker 3: ends in the state Supreme Court being affirmed, then I
- 1:44:37Speaker 3: expect they're going to try and get it to the
- 1:44:40Speaker 3: United States Supreme Court.
- 1:44:42Speaker 1: What would be the what's there? What? What? What? Why
- 1:44:47Speaker 1: would they just access it or or what? What? What's
- 1:44:51Speaker 1: their appeal or have they not filed? What they're why
- 1:44:53Speaker 1: they say the verdict was wrongly wrongly given?
- 1:44:58Speaker 3: Yeah, So the process is it starts with emotion for
- 1:45:00Speaker 3: new trial, which has not yet been filed, and then
- 1:45:04Speaker 3: after that's ruled upon, then the appellate process starts through
- 1:45:08Speaker 3: a notice of appeal. And then once the notice is filed,
- 1:45:13Speaker 3: and then I think it's either sixty or ninety days
- 1:45:15Speaker 3: than the appellate briefing gets filed. And then only after
- 1:45:19Speaker 3: it's fully briefed, which could take upwards of a year,
- 1:45:23Speaker 3: and then it gets calendared for argument in the Court
- 1:45:26Speaker 3: of Appeal and then and so you're probably about a
- 1:45:30Speaker 3: year and a half ish in before that's actually heard.
- 1:45:35Speaker 3: And then after the Court of Appeal issues it's ruling,
- 1:45:37Speaker 3: which it has a period of time to do, then
- 1:45:39Speaker 3: they can seek review from the United or from the
- 1:45:42Speaker 3: California Supreme Court. If the Supreme Court then hears it,
- 1:45:45Speaker 3: that takes a period of time, and then after that
- 1:45:48Speaker 3: they have an opportunity, there may be an opportunity for
- 1:45:52Speaker 3: them to seek relief from this United States Supreme Court.
- 1:45:58Speaker 1: So I'm like thet in my head twenty thirty twenty
- 1:46:03Speaker 1: thirty two, Like Mark, there's resolution, some resolution ten years okay,
- 1:46:10Speaker 1: and that look Tobacco took. That's why I was making that.
- 1:46:12Speaker 1: I think the first tobacco cases were in the seventies.
- 1:46:17Speaker 1: I don't remember first from early eighties. Like I said,
- 1:46:21Speaker 1: I remember the early flight attendant one when they just
- 1:46:23Speaker 1: got rid of smoking sections and airplanes. Any of us
- 1:46:26Speaker 1: that were old enough to remember, those were just the
- 1:46:28Speaker 1: most ridiculous, as if you weren't going to have any
- 1:46:32Speaker 1: smoke in Rose one through eighteen. But after you know,
- 1:46:35Speaker 1: you know, smoking nineteen and back luck with that, all right,
- 1:46:41Speaker 1: Well by then you're going to be well, we'll all
- 1:46:44Speaker 1: be getting Instagram in our brain, right.
- 1:46:48Speaker 3: Yeah, I know. I mean, look, technology is something that,
- 1:46:51Speaker 3: as you know, with the AI coming on the heels
- 1:46:54Speaker 3: of this, it only highlights how much we need to
- 1:46:58Speaker 3: be ahead of ahead of it, opposed to waiting.
- 1:47:02Speaker 1: Instant narrati regulators. And by the way, on section two thirty,
- 1:47:06Speaker 1: the minute they create an algorithm, they've become a publisher.
- 1:47:10Speaker 1: I don't think section two thirty applies to any other
- 1:47:12Speaker 1: stuff anymore. They've created way too many things. If they
- 1:47:17Speaker 1: have created an accelerant for me to see somebody's content,
- 1:47:20Speaker 1: they're also a publisher.
- 1:47:23Speaker 2: Yep. So well, I don't even vote for you for
- 1:47:26Speaker 2: Supreme Court.
- 1:47:29Speaker 1: I mean I have I look, you know, when you
- 1:47:32Speaker 1: decide if something's above the fold and below the fold.
- 1:47:35Speaker 1: You're a publisher. Well, an algorithm is deciding what's above
- 1:47:39Speaker 1: the fold or below the fold. So I don't even think,
- 1:47:44Speaker 1: like I as much as two thirty is a good boogeyman,
- 1:47:47Speaker 1: I think there's I think there's actually still some arguments
- 1:47:51Speaker 1: to be made that it's just Section two thirties null
- 1:47:54Speaker 1: and void. The minute you create an algorithm. I like
- 1:47:59Speaker 1: the way you think for it. Yeah, well, if it works,
- 1:48:01Speaker 1: then then can I get a free law degree somewhere.
- 1:48:03Speaker 1: I don't have to say it if it works.
- 1:48:05Speaker 2: If it works, we will come on your podcast and
- 1:48:07Speaker 2: tell everyone this was the Chuck tod podcast.
- 1:48:12Speaker 1: There it is, there is we created new law, new
- 1:48:16Speaker 1: legal doctrine. Here, Mark and Rahul, this was great. I
- 1:48:22Speaker 1: think there's Here's the thing. We like these products. We
- 1:48:26Speaker 1: just don't want them to be predatory. There are good
- 1:48:29Speaker 1: things about them. Just stop trying to like make it
- 1:48:33Speaker 1: twenty four hours of our life exactly. I mean, I
- 1:48:37Speaker 1: like a good steak. I don't want it every hour
- 1:48:40Speaker 1: of the day or I'm gonna have a heart attack.
- 1:48:42Speaker 2: Yeah, And that was our position with the jury. We
- 1:48:45Speaker 2: were very honest.
- 1:48:46Speaker 1: We said, hey, these can be useful tools.
- 1:48:51Speaker 2: We can enjoy these tools, but it doesn't mean that
- 1:48:55Speaker 2: they're allowed to addict our vulnerable children on purpose.
- 1:48:59Speaker 1: For the good is this will appear on YouTube. So
- 1:49:01Speaker 1: let's see how well the algorithm does and making sure
- 1:49:04Speaker 1: we get to see all of this. Gentlemen, I learned
- 1:49:06Speaker 1: a lot. Thank you so much, good.
- 1:49:07Speaker 2: Luck on these cases.
- 1:49:18Speaker 1: Well, there you go, the big tobacco moment. But look,
- 1:49:21Speaker 1: do realize with these social media companies, we're probably talking
- 1:49:26Speaker 1: that sometime in the early twenty thirties before we start
- 1:49:30Speaker 1: to see serious changes unless unless we get a we
- 1:49:36Speaker 1: get somehow a bunch of elected officials who realize, oh,
- 1:49:40Speaker 1: maybe government ought to be in the consumer protection game again.
- 1:49:45Speaker 1: Right now, we don't have any serious consumer protectors in office.
- 1:49:50Speaker 1: This is why, you know, I'm somebody who's like, I know,
- 1:49:54Speaker 1: you know, there's trial lawyers can get a bad name,
- 1:49:57Speaker 1: ambulance chasing this and all this stuff. They exist for
- 1:50:01Speaker 1: a reason. They exist when when when government fails to
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: do their job, and the courts are sometimes the last
- 1:50:07Speaker 1: resort for the for the uh, for the for the abuse,
- 1:50:11Speaker 1: for the consumer that gets abused. All right, let's do
- 1:50:16Speaker 1: some questions and then stay for my hot take on
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: Kevin Durant. Ask Chuck, but we're gonna start with Max.
- 1:50:26Speaker 1: Any writes Hey, as ever, appreciate that between the thirties
- 1:50:28Speaker 1: of view you deliver on important stories. Thanks for the
- 1:50:31Speaker 1: rare bit of rational sanity in the whirlwind of chaos
- 1:50:34Speaker 1: we face every day. You have frequently discussed that we
- 1:50:36Speaker 1: seem to be entering Donald Trump's lame duck era, but
- 1:50:38Speaker 1: considering his insistence on gilding everything around him, painting everything gold,
- 1:50:43Speaker 1: wouldn't it wouldn't he be our first LeMay duck president Cheeserrie,
- 1:50:48Speaker 1: Thank you, Max. You made me laugh. He put the
- 1:50:51Speaker 1: accent on the ease. That's why I said, LeMay duck.
- 1:50:54Speaker 1: I think it's duck a la range, right, I mean,
- 1:50:56Speaker 1: how did you miss that one? Right? That was sitting there,
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: you Max duck le lem In fact, we'll use your
- 1:51:03Speaker 1: lemae duck a la range the orange lame duck man, right,
- 1:51:08Speaker 1: So anyway, brilliant, But yeah, we got to add the
- 1:51:14Speaker 1: uh a la range right. Next one comes from might
- 1:51:22Speaker 1: be a six timer, he says. When I first got
- 1:51:24Speaker 1: into politics, Tim Russell was my favorite go to media figure.
- 1:51:27Speaker 1: He had the perfect blend of common sense and sharp
- 1:51:29Speaker 1: intelligence when needed. Can you just tell a good story
- 1:51:32Speaker 1: about Tim? Thanks, Adam B. Davey, Florida. I'll give you
- 1:51:35Speaker 1: a good one. And it's a good Florida story. So,
- 1:51:40Speaker 1: and it's something I'm a young Chuck Todd at this time.
- 1:51:44Speaker 1: This is twenty twenty eight. I'm just like trying to
- 1:51:48Speaker 1: think of when this was. This is twenty oh eight February.
- 1:51:56Speaker 1: He he's, uh, we're down in Boca Raton, Florida, because
- 1:52:01Speaker 1: he's moderating a Republican presidential primary debate at FAU Florida
- 1:52:09Speaker 1: Atlanta University. And I believe the debate was on a Thursday,
- 1:52:14Speaker 1: and he decided to do meet the press on the road.
- 1:52:20Speaker 1: But the guests that we could get for the show
- 1:52:24Speaker 1: was John McCain and he was going to be in Tampa. So,
- 1:52:30Speaker 1: you know, we get in the car and we drive,
- 1:52:32Speaker 1: you know, we just do the quick, short trip. But
- 1:52:34Speaker 1: he decides, you know, we we decided it's myself another
- 1:52:39Speaker 1: producer of his and Tim. Tim was driving and of
- 1:52:42Speaker 1: course for lunch, you know, and I've I'm this way too,
- 1:52:47Speaker 1: you know. No, we're not any in a chain, No
- 1:52:50Speaker 1: chain restaurants or any of us. Come on, let's let's
- 1:52:52Speaker 1: go find something interesting. So we find a little barbecue joint. Man,
- 1:52:59Speaker 1: I'm trying to think where we were. I mean, we
- 1:53:00Speaker 1: would have been on seventy five because we took where
- 1:53:03Speaker 1: we were headed over. I think we would turn Pike
- 1:53:05Speaker 1: to seventy five. So I can't remember where we were,
- 1:53:08Speaker 1: but I'm gonna say probably, you know, somewhere west of Sarasota,
- 1:53:18Speaker 1: excuse me, east of Sarasota. And somebody recognizes Tim, but
- 1:53:27Speaker 1: they don't know it's Tim Russer. They just know they
- 1:53:30Speaker 1: know him from TV. And this woman comes up and
- 1:53:32Speaker 1: she says, hey, do you do the sports in Cleveland?
- 1:53:36Speaker 1: And he goes, no, that's not me, and they go okay.
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: And so when we're and we were eating, I think
- 1:53:42Speaker 1: it was Barbara. I know we were having barbecue. It
- 1:53:44Speaker 1: was a local barbecue place and we were eating, and
- 1:53:46Speaker 1: so it was the person was sort of it was
- 1:53:48Speaker 1: one of those where you quit your order then you
- 1:53:50Speaker 1: you know, it wasn't you know, you serve yourself. And
- 1:53:55Speaker 1: then this was somebody as we were in the middle
- 1:53:57Speaker 1: eating and they were sort of they were just coming
- 1:53:59Speaker 1: in and going to sit down, and we were we
- 1:54:04Speaker 1: lingered longer because we were chatting. We were probably you know,
- 1:54:07Speaker 1: who the hell knows what we were chatting about. You know, Hey, Tim,
- 1:54:10Speaker 1: tell us a story, right, just like you were asking.
- 1:54:14Speaker 1: You know when it was just whenever I was doing
- 1:54:16Speaker 1: meals with him, right, I was always getting some interesting,
- 1:54:19Speaker 1: interesting stories. And then the person comes back, and this
- 1:54:24Speaker 1: woman then comes back about half hour later and she goes,
- 1:54:27Speaker 1: are you sure you don't do the sports in Cleveland?
- 1:54:30Speaker 1: Like as if Tim was like lying about it. I mean,
- 1:54:33Speaker 1: I understand if you don't want people recognizing you. I
- 1:54:36Speaker 1: remember where we are. We're like, you know, somewhere on
- 1:54:40Speaker 1: I seventy five east of Sarasota on our way to Tampa.
- 1:54:45Speaker 1: And this person is thinking that the local sports anchor
- 1:54:48Speaker 1: of Cleveland wants to be so anonymous, right, that they
- 1:54:51Speaker 1: were lying to them about that, and what Tim never
- 1:54:55Speaker 1: does and what I don't do, Nor is other producer.
- 1:54:58Speaker 1: We don't say no, no, no, he's Tim Russ. You
- 1:55:00Speaker 1: must know who he is, because there's something frankly arrogant
- 1:55:05Speaker 1: about it, right, there's something weird. Anytime people have come
- 1:55:07Speaker 1: up to me and say, well, where do I you know,
- 1:55:10Speaker 1: do I know you from somewhere. It's always it's always awkward.
- 1:55:14Speaker 1: I don't know, like I never know what to say,
- 1:55:16Speaker 1: or like, you know, where did you or a lot
- 1:55:18Speaker 1: of times that the one one will say where did
- 1:55:20Speaker 1: you go to high school? And I'll say in Miami, oh, well,
- 1:55:22Speaker 1: you just look like somebody I thought I went to
- 1:55:24Speaker 1: high school with. And then sometimes people will come back
- 1:55:26Speaker 1: to me go, I know where I know you from,
- 1:55:29Speaker 1: and then they'll figure it out. Anyway, so the person
- 1:55:34Speaker 1: comes back to him and says this, and then and
- 1:55:36Speaker 1: he goes, no, that's it, and then they're walking out
- 1:55:39Speaker 1: the door he goes, but go Indians. And you know
- 1:55:44Speaker 1: he did say, he goes, I went to law school
- 1:55:45Speaker 1: in Cleveland, which is true. He did go to law
- 1:55:47Speaker 1: school in Cleveland. But we've often wondered, my friend and I,
- 1:55:53Speaker 1: Betsy Fisher, we've often wondered about that story. Whether the
- 1:55:56Speaker 1: persons like left later go oh my god, now I
- 1:55:59Speaker 1: know who that is, right, and they got it on
- 1:56:01Speaker 1: the way home. So I hope that's good enough. You know,
- 1:56:06Speaker 1: you can hit me with it in six months. You
- 1:56:10Speaker 1: can ask me to come up on another one if
- 1:56:12Speaker 1: you will. Anyway, thanks for the question, Adam, next question
- 1:56:16Speaker 1: comes from Jim m and he writes, Hey, every Monday,
- 1:56:18Speaker 1: I watch your show with Chris Eliza. This week you
- 1:56:20Speaker 1: mentioned a project you're working on to get independence elected
- 1:56:23Speaker 1: in major elections. Can you expand on that. Well, it's
- 1:56:25Speaker 1: actually in part why I'm up here in Boston as well.
- 1:56:30Speaker 1: It's it's about not just independence, but it's also about
- 1:56:34Speaker 1: coming up with a mechanism and a support function for
- 1:56:40Speaker 1: members of either party who decide not who decide not to,
- 1:56:44Speaker 1: who decide to break from leadership right and want to,
- 1:56:46Speaker 1: you know, actually vote what they think is in the
- 1:56:49Speaker 1: best interests of their constituents rather than what's in the
- 1:56:52Speaker 1: best interests of a party leader. Because what you're seeing
- 1:56:57Speaker 1: now is that when you break from the party, suddenly
- 1:56:59Speaker 1: the party won't support you. You lose all this stuff. So,
- 1:57:03Speaker 1: you know, is there a way to create a third alliance,
- 1:57:06Speaker 1: if you will, that supports elected officials who simply want
- 1:57:13Speaker 1: to be more responsive, whether they're independent, so they so
- 1:57:17Speaker 1: you want to number one, I hope you can give
- 1:57:19Speaker 1: them the opportunity to not have to feel like they
- 1:57:21Speaker 1: need to belong to a political party in order to
- 1:57:24Speaker 1: effectively govern. And unfortunately, right now, I think some of
- 1:57:27Speaker 1: our infrastructure isn't there yet for that Ballot access is
- 1:57:31Speaker 1: difficult for independence and things like that. And by the way,
- 1:57:34Speaker 1: some aspects of this is about helping you know, maybe
- 1:57:40Speaker 1: you know, helping to get you know, run referendum campaigns,
- 1:57:43Speaker 1: to force open primaries, maybe create all party primary ballots,
- 1:57:47Speaker 1: which I'm really you know, when I look at all
- 1:57:50Speaker 1: the different iterations of what's the fairest way to make
- 1:57:55Speaker 1: sure you're actually getting elected officials who represent the electorates
- 1:57:59Speaker 1: that they're trying to represent, I think it's pretty clear
- 1:58:01Speaker 1: we need all party primaries and everybody on the same
- 1:58:04Speaker 1: primary ballot. If you want polarization, then please separate your primaries.
- 1:58:10Speaker 1: But if you don't want polarization and you want just
- 1:58:15Speaker 1: actual debates on merits, I think you want you want
- 1:58:20Speaker 1: everybody on one ballot on that front. So I don't
- 1:58:25Speaker 1: want to get too much into it because it's in
- 1:58:27Speaker 1: the you know, it's in the it's not in the
- 1:58:30Speaker 1: incub it's out of the incubation stage, but we're still
- 1:58:33Speaker 1: in the you know, finding the supports system. But I'm
- 1:58:36Speaker 1: working with a lot of interesting folks and there's people
- 1:58:41Speaker 1: from both parties involved with this effort, People in independent
- 1:58:45Speaker 1: entities involved with this effort, People in other walks of
- 1:58:49Speaker 1: life like myself, involved in this effort. But all I'll
- 1:58:56Speaker 1: say is stay tuned. You know, as you can see
- 1:58:59Speaker 1: this is this It is clear to me there's a
- 1:59:02Speaker 1: plurality of Americans that are just underrepresented in our politics.
- 1:59:08Speaker 1: Right we have the fastest growing party is no party.
- 1:59:12Speaker 1: And we have got to align our small d democratic
- 1:59:17Speaker 1: system with the electorate that we have, rather than forcing
- 1:59:20Speaker 1: the electorate to choose between to choose to support an
- 1:59:24Speaker 1: outdated system, and that's essentially what we have as an
- 1:59:27Speaker 1: outdated system. I am coming to you know, Look, this
- 1:59:31Speaker 1: is probably a decade away, so this is something that
- 1:59:34Speaker 1: will either age really well or you can use it
- 1:59:36Speaker 1: and put it on my epitaph. But I think both
- 1:59:39Speaker 1: parties are facing a existential crisis that probably comes to
- 1:59:46Speaker 1: fruition sometime in the mid to late twenty thirties. So
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: we shall see bills as the next question. Hey check,
- 1:59:54Speaker 1: I get frustrated with surveys that separate MAGA from Republican.
- 1:59:58Speaker 1: Is there really a meaningful distinction if the same voters
- 2:00:00Speaker 1: are supporting Trump? And how should accountability work within the
- 2:00:03Speaker 1: GOP for the direction of the party has taken under
- 2:00:06Speaker 1: his influence. Hope you had a happy four twenty and
- 2:00:08Speaker 1: enjoyed a HEMP derived beverage of your choosing. Hey, get
- 2:00:11Speaker 1: sold ay Man, Remember get sold and use the code.
- 2:00:14Speaker 1: Thanks and go Nats. Their record is better by one
- 2:00:16Speaker 1: loss than my ever anxiety inducing Mariners. Well, Bell, I
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: will tell you this. I have Emerson Hancock on my
- 2:00:25Speaker 1: fantasy team. I just picked him up, So I'm you know,
- 2:00:28Speaker 1: I'm a little invested in your Mariners succeeding there for
- 2:00:31Speaker 1: what it's worth, and I'm just pleasantly surprised that my
- 2:00:35Speaker 1: Nats are. I love put it this way. I you know,
- 2:00:40Speaker 1: sometimes you know, you have your favorite team and you're like,
- 2:00:42Speaker 1: you know, do you want to watch them when they're
- 2:00:44Speaker 1: on offense or defense? Like you know, this last year
- 2:00:48Speaker 1: with the University of Miami, I was always more excited
- 2:00:50Speaker 1: when Miami was on defense. I just loved watching that
- 2:00:52Speaker 1: defense that Weirdly, the offense always got me nervous. You know,
- 2:00:55Speaker 1: you back up, I hope he's got it. Oh good,
- 2:00:57Speaker 1: he handed it to Fletcher right, Like you know, you
- 2:01:00Speaker 1: just sort of like dor Cridge. Well, this year with
- 2:01:02Speaker 1: the Nats, like when they're at bat. I can't wait
- 2:01:04Speaker 1: to watch when it's their time to when when when
- 2:01:07Speaker 1: when the other team's up and we're pitching, that's when
- 2:01:11Speaker 1: I get really nervous. Well, look, we've been as as
- 2:01:17Speaker 1: the person who helped author the original that we were
- 2:01:21Speaker 1: the first entity to start doing this. When I say we,
- 2:01:24Speaker 1: it was my former employer NBC. They're two pollsters, Bill
- 2:01:31Speaker 1: mcadurff and Jeff Horatt Hart McInturff, the combination there. We
- 2:01:36Speaker 1: came up with this question going way back in twenty
- 2:01:40Speaker 1: sixteen and twenty seventeen, and we've been consistently seeing, like
- 2:01:44Speaker 1: you know, we just said, there are many many America.
- 2:01:46Speaker 1: Do you consider yourself more of a supporter of the
- 2:01:49Speaker 1: Republican Party or more the way the question is asked,
- 2:01:52Speaker 1: at least certainly the best version of the question, I
- 2:01:54Speaker 1: think is the way I'm outlining here, which is, you know,
- 2:01:58Speaker 1: and we just ask it among folks who already align
- 2:02:01Speaker 1: as Republican, do you consider yourself more of a Republican
- 2:02:05Speaker 1: or more of a Trump supporter and make America great again?
- 2:02:08Speaker 1: Mag and just saying shorthanding MAGA at this point, or
- 2:02:11Speaker 1: do you consider yourself more of a MAGA supporter than
- 2:02:13Speaker 1: you are a Republican. And here's what we've noticed is
- 2:02:18Speaker 1: that what it this is as good of a test
- 2:02:22Speaker 1: of trying to figure out what is Trump. How tight
- 2:02:27Speaker 1: is Trump's grip on the party right, and when it's
- 2:02:30Speaker 1: more MAGA, his grip is tighter, when it's more Republican,
- 2:02:33Speaker 1: his grip is looser right, And it's an early sign
- 2:02:37Speaker 1: to sort of see where things. It's another way to
- 2:02:39Speaker 1: sort of because you know, some of these folks aren't
- 2:02:43Speaker 1: going to say they disapprove of Trump's job if they're
- 2:02:45Speaker 1: a Republican, even if they kind of do but they
- 2:02:48Speaker 1: don't want to say it. But if they start saying, well, no,
- 2:02:51Speaker 1: I'm more of a Republican than I am a member
- 2:02:53Speaker 1: of MAGA, and it may be that the very same
- 2:02:56Speaker 1: person three surveys before said no, I'm MAGA more than
- 2:02:58Speaker 1: I am Republican, it's a We have found it to
- 2:03:02Speaker 1: be the best sort of early warning sign to try
- 2:03:06Speaker 1: to understand. You know, he got problems inside the GOP.
- 2:03:11Speaker 1: So I think that distinction, I you know, it is
- 2:03:16Speaker 1: for strategicy reasons. I think the distinction does matter because
- 2:03:22Speaker 1: it matters how you talk to Republicans. Right. It matters
- 2:03:25Speaker 1: how much do you feel. And if you start to
- 2:03:27Speaker 1: see that Republican number going up and up and up,
- 2:03:29Speaker 1: then you'll see. What you will also see is more
- 2:03:32Speaker 1: elected Republicans feeling comfortable distancing themselves from Trump. So look,
- 2:03:37Speaker 1: I'm not going to sit here and say that I
- 2:03:39Speaker 1: think that I have I believe. I'm not going to
- 2:03:44Speaker 1: quote myself. I want to quote I just I associate
- 2:03:48Speaker 1: myself with Marco Rubio when it comes to Donald Trump
- 2:03:51Speaker 1: and the accountability question. And this is what Marco Rubio
- 2:03:56Speaker 1: said in March of twenty sixteen. And I think this
- 2:04:00Speaker 1: quote will live longer than Marco Rubio's lack of support
- 2:04:07Speaker 1: for Donald Trump. But anyway, the quote is for years
- 2:04:09Speaker 1: to come. There are many people on the right, in
- 2:04:11Speaker 1: the media and voters at large that are going to
- 2:04:13Speaker 1: be having to explain and justify how they fell into
- 2:04:15Speaker 1: this trap of supporting Donald Trump because this is not
- 2:04:18Speaker 1: going to end well one way or the other. It
- 2:04:21Speaker 1: is probably the most prescient quote that the current Secretary
- 2:04:24Speaker 1: of State has ever uttered, and it is one that
- 2:04:27Speaker 1: I'm here's my prediction. One day he himself will quote
- 2:04:36Speaker 1: himself and have to admit he should have known better.
- 2:04:41Speaker 1: Maybe not in his fifties, maybe not in his sixties,
- 2:04:45Speaker 1: but at some point he too will have to do
- 2:04:50Speaker 1: what he predicted. Many other people will have to do.
- 2:04:53Speaker 1: So I take your point, Bill, and I do think
- 2:04:57Speaker 1: supporting Trump is a is a tattoo, not a stain,
- 2:05:04Speaker 1: and the people that it's you know, I don't think
- 2:05:07Speaker 1: many are going to have luck scrubbing that away. You're
- 2:05:12Speaker 1: gonna have to go full repudiation. Next question comes from
- 2:05:16Speaker 1: Joe Nashville. Hey, check, if there's a third party that
- 2:05:18Speaker 1: emerges from today's ultra partisan environment, what do you think
- 2:05:20Speaker 1: they will call themselves? I think you should make this
- 2:05:22Speaker 1: a top five list. Will they try to reconstitute a
- 2:05:25Speaker 1: past party? Name the Federalists, the Whigs, the Constitution Party
- 2:05:28Speaker 1: are something new, the America Party, the Freedom Party Joe
- 2:05:31Speaker 1: in Nashville, You know, the the Freedom Party is interesting.
- 2:05:37Speaker 1: That's an interesting idea, you know, or you might call them,
- 2:05:41Speaker 1: you know, you could see sort of a hybrid right
- 2:05:43Speaker 1: freedom Democrats. Remember there was a time we had the
- 2:05:47Speaker 1: we had the republic the Democratic Republican Party, the early
- 2:05:51Speaker 1: early version, uh, one of the early versions back the
- 2:05:55Speaker 1: Federalists are an interesting idea is to go back me
- 2:05:58Speaker 1: and are you are actual federalist US? I like that
- 2:06:02Speaker 1: better than the Constitution Party. The Constitution Party has been
- 2:06:04Speaker 1: associated with some quirky crazy There is a Constitutional Party
- 2:06:08Speaker 1: that that has existed, and it's super far right, not
- 2:06:11Speaker 1: really a serious entity. But I certainly I wouldn't I
- 2:06:18Speaker 1: wouldn't want to be associated with a Whigs, that's for sure.
- 2:06:23Speaker 1: But I could see Federalists is a good one. And
- 2:06:28Speaker 1: that's kind of where I think that there is how
- 2:06:33Speaker 1: you would rationalize, right, you know, it's a federalist system.
- 2:06:37Speaker 1: We're a republic right in that sense. The Republicans right
- 2:06:41Speaker 1: at the time, you know, they don't believe in US
- 2:06:43Speaker 1: being a republic anymore. I don't think they fully. There's
- 2:06:46Speaker 1: a lot of Republicans who don't understand the actual origin
- 2:06:48Speaker 1: of the of the term that named the party. But
- 2:06:51Speaker 1: I digress. But I guess I would embrace I could
- 2:06:56Speaker 1: embrace federalists on that run. Look, in the way our
- 2:07:01Speaker 1: systems designed, I suspect that you will have a party
- 2:07:05Speaker 1: collapse in a party replacement, not necessarily a third party,
- 2:07:09Speaker 1: that it would act the way, you know, you'd have
- 2:07:10Speaker 1: sort of one or two cycles of success. And if
- 2:07:13Speaker 1: it had a huge success, then you just essentially they
- 2:07:16Speaker 1: would become the majority of party. Look, we've seen you know,
- 2:07:19Speaker 1: this has happened, right, parties have all sorts of party
- 2:07:22Speaker 1: coalition names have come and gone in Israel. We're starting
- 2:07:25Speaker 1: to see this now in the UK. So I am
- 2:07:28Speaker 1: I don't think this is something that people ought to
- 2:07:31Speaker 1: say is pie in the sky anymore. You know, there's
- 2:07:35Speaker 1: just when you look at the brand and I mean
- 2:07:39Speaker 1: the fact is we've torched We've torched every institution. So
- 2:07:43Speaker 1: why do we think the two parties are going to
- 2:07:44Speaker 1: survive this? Right? Every other institution hasn't been able to
- 2:07:47Speaker 1: survive this. So I'm I'm you know, I think there's
- 2:07:52Speaker 1: going to be a reckoning of how did we get
- 2:07:54Speaker 1: into this mess? You know at these two parties in
- 2:07:57Speaker 1: some ways both have a hand had a hand in it.
- 2:07:59Speaker 1: And I think that in that sense, why that you
- 2:08:02Speaker 1: it won't be additions, it'll be replacements john S and
- 2:08:09Speaker 1: Miliwaukee rites. What effect on the midterms do you think
- 2:08:12Speaker 1: the retirement of Alito and Thomas would make if this
- 2:08:15Speaker 1: is done in October? Well, here's what I do believe
- 2:08:22Speaker 1: that the that the Republican campaign strategists would love to
- 2:08:31Speaker 1: have anything to change the subject from the economy, changed
- 2:08:34Speaker 1: the subject from the war. Perhaps a Supreme Court nomination
- 2:08:39Speaker 1: could do that. And you know, and there's no doubt
- 2:08:49Speaker 1: that whoever Trump Trump would want to nominate somebody as
- 2:08:51Speaker 1: controversial as possible, almost to to bait Democrats into doing
- 2:08:57Speaker 1: whatever it took to stop this person. Uh, even though
- 2:09:00Speaker 1: you could argue if it's a leader for the leader
- 2:09:03Speaker 1: or Thomas seat, it's you know, sort of right winger
- 2:09:06Speaker 1: for right winger, right, like, it's not really going to
- 2:09:09Speaker 1: change the makeup of the court. You know. I think
- 2:09:13Speaker 1: the smart strategy would be to basically olay it in
- 2:09:16Speaker 1: and don't create the fight because I think, you know,
- 2:09:20Speaker 1: there's a lot of Republican consultants who believe, well, boy,
- 2:09:25Speaker 1: I don't know how else to motivate voters. Maybe we
- 2:09:28Speaker 1: can do Maybe we can do it again on judges, right,
- 2:09:30Speaker 1: we can do it again, you know, And that has
- 2:09:33Speaker 1: been a go to for getting out the Republican base
- 2:09:38Speaker 1: for years. I just don't know now that they've overturned Row,
- 2:09:44Speaker 1: I just don't know if it has the same salience
- 2:09:46Speaker 1: that it did in twenty eighteen. Where I do think
- 2:09:50Speaker 1: the Kavanaugh nomination taking place when it took place, and
- 2:09:54Speaker 1: because there was the scale of vacancy at sixteen. I
- 2:09:57Speaker 1: do think these Supreme Court vacancies had a huge impact
- 2:10:01Speaker 1: on the twenty sixteen election. I mean, you know, if
- 2:10:03Speaker 1: you want to all the different butterfly effects at twenty sixteen,
- 2:10:07Speaker 1: if you had just told me what's one to get
- 2:10:09Speaker 1: rid of Scalia, Scalia lived, Trump doesn't win, and Kavanaugh
- 2:10:18Speaker 1: in eighteen, I think definitely cost Democrats two sentence seeds.
- 2:10:22Speaker 1: I think they were on their way to having a
- 2:10:25Speaker 1: much better midterm year and they still had it in
- 2:10:27Speaker 1: the House. But I do think it it cost Claire
- 2:10:32Speaker 1: mccaskell her senate seed, and Joe Donley.
- 2:10:34Speaker 2: His.
- 2:10:45Speaker 1: Brayden and Charlotte Wrights. Hey, I really enjoy the podcast
- 2:10:47Speaker 1: and always learn something. It feels like part of Trump's
- 2:10:50Speaker 1: coalition is more focused on owning the Libs than on policy.
- 2:10:53Speaker 1: So how do Democrats or independence actually make inroads with
- 2:10:56Speaker 1: those voters. Is there a way to shift the conversation
- 2:10:58Speaker 1: towards tangible issues like cost of living, in governance, or
- 2:11:01Speaker 1: just as a segment of the electorate that's increasingly out
- 2:11:03Speaker 1: of reach. I just yeah, I think they own the
- 2:11:06Speaker 1: Libs segment of the electorate are just those aren't. They're
- 2:11:10Speaker 1: not serious people. They're performers, they're theatrics. They're just they're
- 2:11:15Speaker 1: they're not they're they're not persuadable voters. So I wouldn't
- 2:11:18Speaker 1: treat them as persuadable voters. But I do think there's
- 2:11:20Speaker 1: quite a few Trump voters that are persuadable voters, those
- 2:11:24Speaker 1: that are frustrated with the system, those that wanted disruption. Right,
- 2:11:28Speaker 1: I think the own the Lib's crowd is really kind
- 2:11:31Speaker 1: of like, you know, kind of what the current version
- 2:11:34Speaker 1: of Heritage is, Right, there was a Heritage in the
- 2:11:38Speaker 1: nineties was like a serious institution. Heritage today is a
- 2:11:41Speaker 1: kind of a clown show. They just they're just sort
- 2:11:44Speaker 1: of organized around quote owning the Libs. And that's that's
- 2:11:47Speaker 1: kind of, you know, kind of what I think these
- 2:11:51Speaker 1: the MAGA influencers who are right now all upset at Trump,
- 2:11:55Speaker 1: but what they really want to be is, you know,
- 2:11:57Speaker 1: they're also the ones that like, do these silly little
- 2:11:59Speaker 1: I whant to drink liberal tiers and all this stuff.
- 2:12:02Speaker 1: So no, I think you ignore the own the Libs crowd.
- 2:12:05Speaker 1: In fact, when you're doing research, you find a way
- 2:12:07Speaker 1: to you just you know, this is not about talking
- 2:12:11Speaker 1: to one hundred percent of everybody in the electorate, right.
- 2:12:13Speaker 1: I always say this, if you want to be a
- 2:12:16Speaker 1: successful politician, you've got to be able to be credible
- 2:12:21Speaker 1: with sixty percent of the electorate. You're not going to
- 2:12:24Speaker 1: get support from sixty percent of the electorate most of
- 2:12:27Speaker 1: the time, you know, I few could, But you need
- 2:12:29Speaker 1: to be credible with sixty percent of the electorate. If
- 2:12:31Speaker 1: you want to be an effective politician, you want a
- 2:12:36Speaker 1: job approval rating that's closer to sixty, which tells you
- 2:12:41Speaker 1: you know it. You know, in the twentieth century, it
- 2:12:45Speaker 1: was common for our presidents to have higher approval ratings
- 2:12:48Speaker 1: than their actual vote number. Now it's common, it's more
- 2:12:56Speaker 1: common for presidents to get elected with they where their
- 2:13:02Speaker 1: approval rating is already below the number that they received
- 2:13:05Speaker 1: their overall percentage numbers. So yeah, I just think the
- 2:13:10Speaker 1: the own the LIBS crowd isn't worth talking to. But
- 2:13:12Speaker 1: I think that's probably half of mega right, Maybe it's
- 2:13:18Speaker 1: two thirds of the Republican Party, maybe it's half the
- 2:13:21Speaker 1: Republican electorate. But I think there is a somewhere between
- 2:13:26Speaker 1: twenty and thirty percent of the of the Republican electorate
- 2:13:28Speaker 1: and sort of seventy percent of the independent electorate. And
- 2:13:34Speaker 1: you know, depending on your point of view and the
- 2:13:36Speaker 1: part and the Democratic party, right, if you're looking for,
- 2:13:39Speaker 1: you know that that is that is persuaded, you know,
- 2:13:42Speaker 1: and I think probably thirty percent of the Democratic electorate, right,
- 2:13:46Speaker 1: I think it's sort of sixty percent of Independence thirty
- 2:13:49Speaker 1: on each side. That are the persuadable people that you know,
- 2:13:52Speaker 1: that that center left Democrat that every once in a
- 2:13:55Speaker 1: while might support a Republican, that center center right Republican
- 2:13:58Speaker 1: then might every once in a while support a democt
- 2:14:00Speaker 1: at uh, and of course the independence. But yeah, you know,
- 2:14:03Speaker 1: if I wouldn't the own the LIB crowd, you know,
- 2:14:06Speaker 1: the best way to deal with them is just simply
- 2:14:08Speaker 1: use them as a use them as a foil. Right
- 2:14:13Speaker 1: to me, the the you know, if you're like this,
- 2:14:16Speaker 1: the leadership is in the owned the LIB business, right,
- 2:14:19Speaker 1: Like Johnson's not serious about policy, He's just in the
- 2:14:22Speaker 1: own the LIB game. So it is a way I
- 2:14:24Speaker 1: think to to to sort of make if you're trying
- 2:14:28Speaker 1: to paint your opponent as not serious about helping people,
- 2:14:33Speaker 1: you use that on the Lib messaging Jim in Pennsylvania. Rights,
- 2:14:38Speaker 1: is there any way to stop jerrymandering? What it need
- 2:14:40Speaker 1: to be state by a state by state regulated? Could
- 2:14:43Speaker 1: it be regulated through Congress or an executive order or
- 2:14:45Speaker 1: with a different Supreme Court? And then one NFL draft question.
- 2:14:48Speaker 1: If you were GM, what would your strategy be? Standpad
- 2:14:50Speaker 1: every year, trade up for the star players, trade back
- 2:14:52Speaker 1: in stockpile picks, win with volume and quality depth Jim
- 2:14:57Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania. So I will say this on redistricting, it
- 2:15:04Speaker 1: is it is written into the Constitution that the states
- 2:15:09Speaker 1: are in charge of this. So you need a constitutional
- 2:15:11Speaker 1: amendment if you want to try to put some rules
- 2:15:16Speaker 1: in place for how it's done. I think instead there
- 2:15:20Speaker 1: are ways to minimize the impact. Look, I think you're
- 2:15:25Speaker 1: you're always going to have one person's fair map is
- 2:15:28Speaker 1: another person's gerrymandered map, right, Because I could argue that
- 2:15:33Speaker 1: a community of interest is not a competitive district, but
- 2:15:39Speaker 1: a competitive district is not a community of interest because
- 2:15:42Speaker 1: in some places the community of interest is pretty partisan.
- 2:15:46Speaker 1: You know, and they and you know, it's a it's
- 2:15:48Speaker 1: sort of a one sided thing. But you know, if
- 2:15:50Speaker 1: you if you mandated competitiveness, then you might actually need
- 2:15:54Speaker 1: to jerrymander and create all sorts of weird districts if
- 2:15:57Speaker 1: your goal was to create nothing more than fifty five
- 2:15:59Speaker 1: to forty five. So there's the state by state referendums
- 2:16:05Speaker 1: are about the only way to do it, because the
- 2:16:07Speaker 1: problem is if you don't have a if you're not
- 2:16:09Speaker 1: a referendum state and you're asking, you have to ask
- 2:16:13Speaker 1: the state legislature to take away its own power, and
- 2:16:15Speaker 1: they're just not going to do that. I will go
- 2:16:19Speaker 1: back to the solution that I've been advocating. I think
- 2:16:21Speaker 1: there's two things I would do. I'd have a constitutional
- 2:16:26Speaker 1: amendment that mandated that a congressional district could be no
- 2:16:30Speaker 1: bigger than point zero three percent of the population. And
- 2:16:34Speaker 1: so why do I put it that way, Because that
- 2:16:37Speaker 1: right now would put us at one per four hundred
- 2:16:39Speaker 1: thousand members of Congress population. It would probably pretty close
- 2:16:44Speaker 1: to double the size of the House. And a larger
- 2:16:49Speaker 1: House wouldn't eliminate jerrymandering, but it would minimize jerrymandering's impact
- 2:16:54Speaker 1: because if you have more district lines, it's just sort
- 2:16:58Speaker 1: of it's easier to create the communities of interest and
- 2:17:02Speaker 1: there's just less less votes to play. With less communities
- 2:17:07Speaker 1: to break up and all of those things. Alternatively, I
- 2:17:16Speaker 1: will tell you I have always, I have always fantasized
- 2:17:21Speaker 1: about creating the following metric, which is you take that
- 2:17:27Speaker 1: every ten years, you know, and this is what you'd
- 2:17:30Speaker 1: have to write into the constitution. You average the party,
- 2:17:36Speaker 1: You average the vote by party of the governor and
- 2:17:41Speaker 1: the president in every state during the decade up to
- 2:17:47Speaker 1: the census. Right, So let's say, going into twenty thirty,
- 2:17:50Speaker 1: you would take, you know, all the governors result by
- 2:17:53Speaker 1: party and the president, and then you'd sort of average
- 2:17:55Speaker 1: it out, and let's say it worked out to fifty
- 2:18:00Speaker 1: three forty seven R to D Well, then I would
- 2:18:07Speaker 1: say that's your baseline, which means no congressional district could
- 2:18:10Speaker 1: be drawn more than you know, with a with a
- 2:18:14Speaker 1: Republican advantage, no more than ten points higher than the
- 2:18:17Speaker 1: best performing overall average Republican statewide. So you know, you
- 2:18:21Speaker 1: couldn't have a district that was more than sixty three
- 2:18:24Speaker 1: percent Republican, and you couldn't have a district that was
- 2:18:27Speaker 1: any less than forty three percent Republican. And did it
- 2:18:31Speaker 1: with the Democrats. So you do some you know, and
- 2:18:32Speaker 1: whatever it is that you create sort of a a
- 2:18:36Speaker 1: ten point guard rail over and above what the what
- 2:18:40Speaker 1: the statewide average is and said state over a ten
- 2:18:43Speaker 1: year period. So that way you're reflecting the general direction
- 2:18:47Speaker 1: of the you know, is this a republican state, is
- 2:18:49Speaker 1: a democratic state? Or is this a purple state? And
- 2:18:52Speaker 1: maybe you put a limit that if that if if
- 2:18:54Speaker 1: it's under you know, if your state is under fifty
- 2:18:57Speaker 1: five to forty five, if the average is below fifty
- 2:18:59Speaker 1: five to forty five, then has to be as evenly
- 2:19:01Speaker 1: divided as you possibly can can come up with. So
- 2:19:04Speaker 1: those are sort of some of the math ideas that
- 2:19:08Speaker 1: I've had put to this. But I do think the
- 2:19:10Speaker 1: simpler way to sort of d defang Jerry Manderin is
- 2:19:17Speaker 1: to just uncap the house and you know, let's let's
- 2:19:21Speaker 1: go double cat the house. All right. As for your
- 2:19:24Speaker 1: as for your GM question, I'd have a simple strategy.
- 2:19:30Speaker 1: I would draft the best offensive tackle or defensive tackle,
- 2:19:34Speaker 1: best offensive lineman or defensive linemen available every single first round,
- 2:19:41Speaker 1: hard stop just about every single first round unless I
- 2:19:45Speaker 1: needed a quarterback. That's it. I would never use a
- 2:19:48Speaker 1: first round pick for any other position. Ultimately, you win
- 2:19:53Speaker 1: football games at the line of scrimmage I I have.
- 2:19:57Speaker 1: I am only becoming more convinced to this the more
- 2:20:02Speaker 1: the longer I live and the more I watch football. Right,
- 2:20:04Speaker 1: I mean, just think about it. Every championship team NFL
- 2:20:09Speaker 1: or college, they always have a dominant offensive line or
- 2:20:14Speaker 1: defensive line. And you build football teams inside out, you
- 2:20:19Speaker 1: could always find receivers all over. I would never draft
- 2:20:21Speaker 1: a receiver in the first round. They are always receivers
- 2:20:24Speaker 1: to be found. I would never draft a running back
- 2:20:28Speaker 1: in the first round. There are always running backs to
- 2:20:31Speaker 1: be found, So that would be That would be my
- 2:20:34Speaker 1: basic strategy. And yes, I would stockpile as many second, third,
- 2:20:40Speaker 1: and fourth round picks as I could get. I think
- 2:20:42Speaker 1: those are the sweet spots. I'd use my first round
- 2:20:44Speaker 1: pick almost exclusively on the lines and or a quarterback
- 2:20:49Speaker 1: if I needed a quarterback, and then spend two, three,
- 2:20:54Speaker 1: and four, the second, third, and fourth round on linebackers,
- 2:21:00Speaker 1: defensive backs, receivers, and running backs, and then fifth and
- 2:21:04Speaker 1: six are flyers, right, are sort of I've you know
- 2:21:09Speaker 1: one of those that you've But that would be my
- 2:21:11Speaker 1: basic strategy. So there's my hot take on that.
- 2:21:15Speaker 3: I am.
- 2:21:18Speaker 1: I love the draft. I will admit I found out
- 2:21:22Speaker 1: that my new partner in the sports history podcast that
- 2:21:25Speaker 1: I'm doing Dynastic, Jay and Doande he hates the draft.
- 2:21:29Speaker 1: We had a fun little We just taped our it's
- 2:21:31Speaker 1: not yet up, it'll be up in very soon, but
- 2:21:34Speaker 1: we taped our next episode of Dynastic. We were just
- 2:21:36Speaker 1: putting it through the editing machine here for a few minutes.
- 2:21:39Speaker 1: And it's a focus on the Pittsburgh Steelers, and a
- 2:21:42Speaker 1: big part of the story of the Pittsburgh Steelers is there. Essentially,
- 2:21:46Speaker 1: they might have had the greatest draft run in the
- 2:21:48Speaker 1: history of professional sports from nineteen sixty nine to nineteen
- 2:21:51Speaker 1: seventy four. And so I've been I've spent a lot
- 2:21:57Speaker 1: of time learning about draft strategies. But in nineteen sixty nine,
- 2:22:02Speaker 1: their first overall pick was a kid from North Texas,
- 2:22:06Speaker 1: from the from the mean Green down there at North Texas,
- 2:22:09Speaker 1: guy named Joe Green. Right, So you know, I'm I
- 2:22:13Speaker 1: think you build, I think you build inside out. So
- 2:22:16Speaker 1: that would be my strategy. All right, I'm gonna leave
- 2:22:18Speaker 1: with you know, as I told you about the NBA playoffs,
- 2:22:21Speaker 1: I'm I'm I'm enjoying Wemby. I'm bum that he's hurt
- 2:22:26Speaker 1: and we're gonna not have him this weekend. I hope
- 2:22:28Speaker 1: he can get back and get healthy pretty quickly. He's
- 2:22:31Speaker 1: just it's just fun to watch him out there. And uh,
- 2:22:35Speaker 1: I can't quit Lebron. I love I want to, you know,
- 2:22:38Speaker 1: I want to see Lebron in the playoffs, which brings
- 2:22:41Speaker 1: me to Kevin Durant. Kevin Durant is one of the
- 2:22:46Speaker 1: is is going to be the most If you get
- 2:22:51Speaker 1: people that know basketball, there's nothing I enjoy more than
- 2:22:54Speaker 1: getting them to debate Kevin Durant, right, because he's one
- 2:23:00Speaker 1: of the greatest players of all time, there's no doubt
- 2:23:02Speaker 1: about it. But it's pretty clear he's a shitty teammate.
- 2:23:06Speaker 2: Now.
- 2:23:07Speaker 1: I don't know if he's like a shitty teammate because
- 2:23:10Speaker 1: of how he behaves or he's just a shitty teammate
- 2:23:13Speaker 1: because of how he plays. But look at you know,
- 2:23:19Speaker 1: you know, there's this old joke that you know, you know,
- 2:23:22Speaker 1: this person complains, you know they've had a bunch of
- 2:23:24Speaker 1: jobs and they're going, yeah, I had this asshole boss,
- 2:23:27Speaker 1: and then I had this other job. And boy, I
- 2:23:29Speaker 1: had this asshole boss, and then you have this another job.
- 2:23:31Speaker 1: You know, I've had this asshole boss. And then you
- 2:23:33Speaker 1: start to say to yourself, Huh, if everybody you work
- 2:23:37Speaker 1: for is an asshole, is it possible you're the asshole? Right?
- 2:23:45Speaker 1: And I don't you know, Durant's sort of a head
- 2:23:48Speaker 1: scratcher to me, right, He's got his whole the weird
- 2:23:50Speaker 1: he's too. He seems consumed with himself and he's consumed
- 2:23:55Speaker 1: with critics. And I feel for him. I do because
- 2:24:00Speaker 1: I think he's there's something he's looking for that he's
- 2:24:03Speaker 1: apparently never going to get right, like some form of satisfaction.
- 2:24:07Speaker 1: Like he's got a chip on his shoulder, and I think,
- 2:24:09Speaker 1: you know, there's nut. Look, I think chips are important
- 2:24:12Speaker 1: for successful people. A lot of successful people have a
- 2:24:16Speaker 1: chip on their shoulder. Maybe it's a daddy issue, maybe
- 2:24:18Speaker 1: it's a mommy issue, maybe it's something else. But you know, I,
- 2:24:22Speaker 1: in a weird way, I respect chips on the shoulder.
- 2:24:26Speaker 1: But I want to share with you a quote like
- 2:24:28Speaker 1: those actually back to Dynastic. So there was there's this
- 2:24:36Speaker 1: great book about the Steelers by a gentleman named Gary Palmerantz.
- 2:24:40Speaker 1: And he wrote this book in twenty thirteen about basically
- 2:24:44Speaker 1: the dead Pittsburgh Steelers. The ones that had passed on,
- 2:24:48Speaker 1: and he called it their life's work. And there's this
- 2:24:53Speaker 1: there's this factoi that I couldn't shake. And so before
- 2:24:59Speaker 1: Terry Bradshaw was the initial starter for the Steelers, he
- 2:25:02Speaker 1: was in a QB controversy with two other quarterbacks that
- 2:25:06Speaker 1: there was a bit of a rotation. Joe Gilliam and
- 2:25:10Speaker 1: he was one of the early black quarterbacks to get
- 2:25:15Speaker 1: a starting job in the NFL. Back the seventy four season,
- 2:25:19Speaker 1: he was the starting quarterback for the Steelers, not Bradshaw.
- 2:25:22Speaker 1: Bradshaw would eventually get the get the job later and
- 2:25:25Speaker 1: a former Notre Dame quarterback named Terry Hanratty and Joe
- 2:25:30Speaker 1: Gilliam all sorts of talent, but he and Noel just
- 2:25:33Speaker 1: couldn't get along with each other anyway. In the Gary
- 2:25:36Speaker 1: Palmeran's book, he had notes this that Joe Gilliam's gravestorm
- 2:25:43Speaker 1: epitaph was he was loved in spite of himself. And
- 2:25:48Speaker 1: I just remember I read when I first read that,
- 2:25:51Speaker 1: it just sort of gut punched me and I thought, man, man,
- 2:25:54Speaker 1: I'd love to know more what happened with Joe Gilliam
- 2:25:58Speaker 1: and all this stuff. And he had he ended up
- 2:25:59Speaker 1: he had issues, and there were clearly some other demons there.
- 2:26:04Speaker 1: But I thought of that quote when I saw, you know,
- 2:26:07Speaker 1: and I was sort of like, way, another disappointing Durant
- 2:26:10Speaker 1: performance right against you know, Lebron, And I've been thinking
- 2:26:14Speaker 1: about this, right, Phoenix got better after Kevin Durant left. Right,
- 2:26:20Speaker 1: he couldn't make Brooklyn happen. He had to join Steph
- 2:26:25Speaker 1: Curry's team to win a title. And I say all this,
- 2:26:27Speaker 1: and I am there is nothing scarier than that fifteen
- 2:26:31Speaker 1: footer that Kevin Durant takes because he never misses, right,
- 2:26:34Speaker 1: that little arc shot that you're just like, man, it's
- 2:26:37Speaker 1: it's like Kareem and his jump shot and is a
- 2:26:39Speaker 1: hook shot, right, It's like it's indefensible. Some foot guy
- 2:26:42Speaker 1: you know who has this incredible and you know, just
- 2:26:48Speaker 1: just automatic from about fifteen wherever he is in the court.
- 2:26:53Speaker 1: But that epitaph he was loved to in spite of himself.
- 2:26:57Speaker 1: And I kind of feel this way about Durant, like
- 2:27:00Speaker 1: I think there's something and I don't think any of
- 2:27:03Speaker 1: us know what it is, and it's I feel like
- 2:27:07Speaker 1: it's holding him back and I don't know what it is.
- 2:27:09Speaker 1: And I you know, look, I put politicians on the couch,
- 2:27:11Speaker 1: so hey, guess what, I'm gonna put professional athletes on
- 2:27:14Speaker 1: the couch. But this is going to linger as part
- 2:27:19Speaker 1: of his legacy that he was this roving player, right,
- 2:27:23Speaker 1: I mean, and I've been trying to think of who's
- 2:27:25Speaker 1: the who is somebody like him one of the all
- 2:27:28Speaker 1: time greats? Probably I'm sorry, he's probably one of the
- 2:27:31Speaker 1: ten greatest basketball players period on the planet Earth of
- 2:27:35Speaker 1: all time, and yet I wouldn't put him in the
- 2:27:38Speaker 1: top ten all time NBA guys because he doesn't make
- 2:27:42Speaker 1: people around him better, I think the closest comparison, and
- 2:27:46Speaker 1: I'd love Look, I'm a amateur basketball fan, meaning I'm
- 2:27:51Speaker 1: not going to sit here and claim I'm I'm super
- 2:27:54Speaker 1: expert on any of this. I'm not a basketball historian,
- 2:27:58Speaker 1: and probably a little bit more of football and baseball
- 2:28:00Speaker 1: in the basketball historian. But the the the player I
- 2:28:05Speaker 1: think about when I think about Duran is Wilt Chamberlain,
- 2:28:07Speaker 1: where you're just like, individually amazing, but for some reason
- 2:28:12Speaker 1: the teams he were on, you know, they were great,
- 2:28:16Speaker 1: but they weren't great enough, right, And I you know,
- 2:28:22Speaker 1: you never look, it's not like you hear that Kevin
- 2:28:23Speaker 1: Duran has a bad attitude or anything like this. But
- 2:28:25Speaker 1: there's you know, maybe he's a loaner. I don't know
- 2:28:28Speaker 1: what it is, but there is a there's an emerging
- 2:28:34Speaker 1: pattern here and it is something that is gonna it
- 2:28:39Speaker 1: is it is gonna linger in this discussion. You know
- 2:28:44Speaker 1: about him, you know it is his You know, everybody's
- 2:28:47Speaker 1: got a butt. You know, when you talk about in
- 2:28:50Speaker 1: any greatness, you know they were this this and this butt, right,
- 2:28:54Speaker 1: and the butt with him is going to be this.
- 2:28:56Speaker 1: The unanswerable question is this. He's never seen happy where
- 2:29:00Speaker 1: he's at, and even when he has nothing but success,
- 2:29:04Speaker 1: it doesn't seem to fulfill him. Right, He's missing something.
- 2:29:09Speaker 1: So all I'll say is I hope he finds it.
- 2:29:13Speaker 1: But it is it is, It is a it is
- 2:29:16Speaker 1: an intriguing pattern. Look, I I confess, man, I hope
- 2:29:23Speaker 1: when I had hoped, and I'd hoped that he was
- 2:29:25Speaker 1: going to be the guy to resurrect and rescue the
- 2:29:27Speaker 1: Washington NBA franchise. He is a PG County kid, but
- 2:29:33Speaker 1: apparently the last place he wanted to play. He's been
- 2:29:36Speaker 1: willing to play just about in any other NBA city.
- 2:29:40Speaker 1: Except his hometown, which is which is quite the bummer.
- 2:29:43Speaker 1: All right, what a weekend of sports. Enjoy the Draft.
- 2:29:47Speaker 1: For those of you that enjoy the draft, we get
- 2:29:49Speaker 1: the big White House correspondence dinner. So get ready for
- 2:29:53Speaker 1: all sorts of faux outrage this weekend from people either
- 2:29:57Speaker 1: self satisfied that they're not going or self satisfied that
- 2:30:00Speaker 1: they are going. Either way, I think people over overreact
- 2:30:04Speaker 1: to both parts of this. Uh, and I'll see you
- 2:30:07Speaker 1: on I'll see you on Monday. Thanks for listening. Don't
- 2:30:10Speaker 1: forget to like and subscribe.
- 2:30:12Speaker 2: Mm hmmm mmmmmmmm h