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Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: A right welcome in here. Happy Tuesday.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Customer appreciation Today over at wager talk dot com best
- 0:05Speaker 2: bets of five bucks will tell you all about it.
- 0:08Speaker 2: No pres today you had to get some sort of
- 0:11Speaker 2: rectal exam or oral exam.
- 0:13Speaker 1: What the hell's the difference?
- 0:14Speaker 2: So you got Art to Caesar and I here with
- 0:18Speaker 2: you and will of course run down the board for you,
- 0:20Speaker 2: let you know everything you need to know about what
- 0:23Speaker 2: is happening in the world of sports on this twelfth
- 0:26Speaker 2: of May. Art and of course will start where we
- 0:30Speaker 2: usually do on a Tuesday. How how did the books
- 0:33Speaker 2: do this weekend? It was a big weekend, a lot
- 0:36Speaker 2: going on, Strickland, upset win, UFC kind of crazy.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Yet a lot happening. Man, How did the books do overall?
- 0:45Speaker 3: Yeah, a lot happening, honestly, Joe. That UFC card on
- 0:48Speaker 3: Saturday was not kind to us. There were a lot
- 0:53Speaker 3: of underdogs, a lot of just things that didn't go
- 0:56Speaker 3: our way. A lot of the sharps you know that
- 0:59Speaker 3: come in and bet UFC with us, who we normally
- 1:01Speaker 3: booked to their sides did not come through.
- 1:04Speaker 4: And listen, that's gonna happen.
- 1:05Speaker 3: You know you're gonna take sharp information that you respect,
- 1:08Speaker 3: and you're gonna book to those sides. They don't always
- 1:10Speaker 3: come through. They're not one hundred percent winners. We all
- 1:12Speaker 3: know that, so that can happen. You know, if you
- 1:16Speaker 3: just go to last night, last night was good. It
- 1:18Speaker 3: was positive. We got back to our winning ways with
- 1:20Speaker 3: the Dodgers losing, the Yankees losing. You know, getting the
- 1:23Speaker 3: Lakers out of there was good. I had mentioned you
- 1:26Speaker 3: before we came on air. You know, it's stinks having
- 1:28Speaker 3: a book these fifteen sixteen, seventeen point games every night.
- 1:32Speaker 3: So it's nice to get the Lakers out of there,
- 1:33Speaker 3: and you know, it should set up for a good
- 1:35Speaker 3: Western Conference Final and also a good Eastern Conference Final
- 1:38Speaker 3: when we get there too, So the NBA will really
- 1:40Speaker 3: ramp up here also too. You'll start to expand limits.
- 1:44Speaker 3: You know, obviously NBA Finals is a totally different thing,
- 1:46Speaker 3: but you know, once we get to this conference final,
- 1:48Speaker 3: we'll start to extend limits as well.
- 1:51Speaker 4: Well.
- 1:51Speaker 2: Good, it's getting to be that that time of year
- 1:53Speaker 2: art we're that much closer here to get the you know,
- 1:57Speaker 2: crowned champions here both Stanley Cup end NBA. But we
- 2:01Speaker 2: got a lot of stuff happening in between you mentioned
- 2:04Speaker 2: Major League Baseball, a lot of great series getting ready
- 2:08Speaker 2: to start here today, let's dive into some of these
- 2:12Speaker 2: best bets here, the sharp bets that you are starting
- 2:15Speaker 2: to see across the board. And let's start with Minnesota
- 2:19Speaker 2: and san Antonio art because boy oh boy, san Antonio
- 2:23Speaker 2: gifted a non suspension for a web By Ama.
- 2:27Speaker 1: Because here are we kidding? All right?
- 2:29Speaker 2: That was about as intentional as it gets that elbow.
- 2:32Speaker 2: There was nothing oop. Sorry I didn't see purposely going
- 2:38Speaker 2: head hunting there, but no suspension. And we find ourselves
- 2:41Speaker 2: to too heading into this game tonight.
- 2:44Speaker 1: Where did you start?
- 2:45Speaker 2: Did you see money holding off in to find out
- 2:48Speaker 2: whether or not Wenby was gonna be suspended?
- 2:50Speaker 1: What's the trajectory bit on this?
- 2:54Speaker 3: Well, that's always how it's gotta be right. And obviously
- 2:56Speaker 3: these games are you know, a couple of days apart.
- 2:58Speaker 3: But when you have a suspension and that could be
- 3:00Speaker 3: sitting out there, of course people aren't gonna want to
- 3:02Speaker 3: come in and bet.
- 3:03Speaker 4: Now.
- 3:03Speaker 3: There are always those people who want to speculate and say, hey,
- 3:06Speaker 3: let me just jump in now because maybe the suspension happens.
- 3:09Speaker 3: And then even too people who do that, maybe they
- 3:12Speaker 3: just buy out of their bets, so that does happen.
- 3:15Speaker 3: But you know, I mean we've been pretty steady now
- 3:17Speaker 3: with Spurs minus ten totally to eighteen and a half.
- 3:20Speaker 3: I think the one thing people are trying to take
- 3:21Speaker 3: a chance on is Minnesota on the money line. You know,
- 3:24Speaker 3: obviously Minnesota has won two games in this series. You know,
- 3:27Speaker 3: Ant was coming into this series kind of hobbled, but
- 3:30Speaker 3: I think Minnesota has shown that they are a legit
- 3:32Speaker 3: team and can hang with the Spurs a little bit.
- 3:35Speaker 3: Even though the Spurs are still a big favorite to
- 3:36Speaker 3: win the series over four dollars and people expect them
- 3:40Speaker 3: to move on and take on Okay, see, but yeah,
- 3:43Speaker 3: I would say the total really hasn't done much, you know,
- 3:47Speaker 3: to eighteen to eighteen and a half, two nineteen, kind
- 3:49Speaker 3: of going back and forth between those numbers. But I
- 3:53Speaker 3: would say we'll probably need the Spurs outright despite them
- 3:56Speaker 3: being in all the moneyline parlays, because of the people
- 3:59Speaker 3: taking chances with Minnesota on moneyline bets.
- 4:03Speaker 2: It's interesting, hard because you know, outside of Game one,
- 4:07Speaker 2: every one of these games has landed over. I mean,
- 4:10Speaker 2: we've we've had a lot of points here. We're starting
- 4:13Speaker 2: to see now this one opened up to eighteen to
- 4:15Speaker 2: eighteen and a half.
- 4:16Speaker 1: Now we're starting to see, you.
- 4:17Speaker 2: Know, two nineteens that might have even been lower at
- 4:20Speaker 2: two seventeen and a half in some spot. So we're
- 4:23Speaker 2: starting to see that over money come into this yere
- 4:27Speaker 2: and it's kind of hard not to look at the
- 4:29Speaker 2: over right. I mean, what we expected such a defensive battle,
- 4:33Speaker 2: but what we've gotten is games in the two twenties
- 4:36Speaker 2: a lot more so than under that.
- 4:38Speaker 4: No, yeah, no doubt about it.
- 4:41Speaker 3: I mean, you mentioned we've played four games, all of
- 4:43Speaker 3: them gone over and you normally think in the NBA
- 4:47Speaker 3: Finals or you know, the NBA playoffs a little bit
- 4:50Speaker 3: more defensive minded. In some of these games, both teams
- 4:53Speaker 3: tour pretty good defensively. They have inside presence and you know,
- 4:57Speaker 3: Rudy and Wemby, so guys who can block shots. I mean,
- 5:01Speaker 3: I think you're going to reach a point here where
- 5:03Speaker 3: this game feels like the swing game.
- 5:05Speaker 4: It's two two to.
- 5:06Speaker 3: Obviously the home team, you know, they've been winning every
- 5:09Speaker 3: game for the most part, except for Minnesota. Actually they
- 5:12Speaker 3: took game one, so you know, it's just one of
- 5:15Speaker 3: those things. I think this would probably be the game
- 5:18Speaker 3: to bet under. I think if you get to a
- 5:20Speaker 3: point of two nineteen to nineteen and a half, I
- 5:22Speaker 3: actually would look under. I think eventually one of these
- 5:24Speaker 3: games is gotta go under.
- 5:27Speaker 2: Yeah, one of them has got to go on to
- 5:29Speaker 2: the Aaron Fox still listen as questionable. That's the other
- 5:32Speaker 2: big thing right now, I am starting to see nine
- 5:34Speaker 2: and a half's.
- 5:35Speaker 1: Pop up here. Art.
- 5:36Speaker 2: I think you are one of them in fact, but
- 5:40Speaker 2: it looks like you've been bouncing back and forth from ten,
- 5:42Speaker 2: ten and a half, nine and a half, ten back
- 5:44Speaker 2: to nine and a half. So it's it's just going
- 5:47Speaker 2: back and forth here. It appears like in a number
- 5:49Speaker 2: of different books.
- 5:52Speaker 4: Yeah, no doubt.
- 5:52Speaker 3: Like I said, it's pretty like there's really nothing sidewise,
- 5:57Speaker 3: like if you bounce back and forth to half a
- 5:59Speaker 3: point here, half a point there.
- 6:00Speaker 4: That's kind of maybe just playing.
- 6:01Speaker 3: With the market even sometimes seeing two, what's the best
- 6:04Speaker 3: number to book at? You know, hey, if we have
- 6:06Speaker 3: nine and a half, are they gonna flood us with
- 6:08Speaker 3: the Spurs? If we have ten and a half, are
- 6:10Speaker 3: they gonna flood us with Minnesota? Sometimes you're looking for
- 6:13Speaker 3: a little bit of what we like to call like
- 6:15Speaker 3: you know, just price discovery, like where is going to
- 6:18Speaker 3: be the number that you're actually gonna see the bets
- 6:21Speaker 3: come in and then you can kind of start to
- 6:23Speaker 3: shape your number and book that way. So obviously, when
- 6:26Speaker 3: you're messing around half a point here, half a point there,
- 6:29Speaker 3: that's what you're trying to do.
- 6:30Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's kind of what's happening in a lot
- 6:32Speaker 2: of spots here right now. So but the total seems
- 6:35Speaker 2: to still be creeping up. Wonder if we'll get to
- 6:37Speaker 2: two twenty before it's all said and done. All right,
- 6:42Speaker 2: So NBA out of the way, let's talk some NHL
- 6:45Speaker 2: because while boy, we saw Colorado kind of impose there
- 6:49Speaker 2: will last night against Minnesota, so much for those happy
- 6:53Speaker 2: feelings there for the Wild fans not so much anymore.
- 6:57Speaker 2: I don't know is Buffalo gonna be feeling this same thing?
- 7:00Speaker 2: But Saber fans tomorrow? There is Montreal taking a commanding
- 7:05Speaker 2: three one lead.
- 7:06Speaker 1: And how about Vegas?
- 7:07Speaker 2: Can they get back on track here and take a
- 7:10Speaker 2: big lead here against Anaheim? A lot to be determined
- 7:13Speaker 2: here in these two games tonight. What are you seeing?
- 7:16Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 7:16Speaker 3: They're really big games, you know, I would say on
- 7:19Speaker 3: the sides, they're actually pretty good.
- 7:20Speaker 4: Two way on both of the games.
- 7:22Speaker 3: I would say the one that we've taken a little
- 7:24Speaker 3: bit of sharp money on is the Canadian Sabers over
- 7:27Speaker 3: a little bit of sharp money there just moved five cents,
- 7:30Speaker 3: you know, from minus one twenty to minus one twenty five,
- 7:32Speaker 3: So we've seen over money come in there. We always
- 7:35Speaker 3: mentioned how the Knights are gonna be popular with the public.
- 7:38Speaker 3: The locals are gonna come in and bet their Golden Knights.
- 7:41Speaker 3: I think the one thing Anaheim has shown is that
- 7:43Speaker 3: they can play in this series. They can be competitive
- 7:46Speaker 3: in this series, and they can even win the series.
- 7:48Speaker 3: Or I think a lot of people in this year
- 7:49Speaker 3: are like, oh, this feels like a five game series.
- 7:51Speaker 3: This isn't gonna be Edmonton. You know, the Ducks are
- 7:54Speaker 3: actually gonna have to play a team that plays defense.
- 7:57Speaker 3: But you know, the Ducks have been able to play
- 7:59Speaker 3: their type of style. I'll go up and down, put
- 8:01Speaker 3: a lot of goals on the board here the last
- 8:02Speaker 3: couple of nights. I think eventually we'll see over money
- 8:06Speaker 3: coming on this game as well, because after the first
- 8:08Speaker 3: couple of games, I think the tempo has kind of
- 8:11Speaker 3: been established in that series to be an over series.
- 8:14Speaker 3: So you know, the NHL is tough because once you
- 8:16Speaker 3: put up these lines, they're really tight ten cent lines.
- 8:19Speaker 4: You see really good two way action either way.
- 8:22Speaker 2: So I'm wondering, though, art, because I saw a lot
- 8:24Speaker 2: of six and a half at the Open, you guys
- 8:28Speaker 2: over to West. I'm I'm seeing a lot of sixes
- 8:30Speaker 2: here with just a slight bit of juice to the over.
- 8:33Speaker 2: It's interesting that you'd give the six here and not
- 8:37Speaker 2: keep it at six and a half. So am I
- 8:39Speaker 2: to believe that we're getting a lot more under money
- 8:42Speaker 2: we're thinking in these games here tonight, well.
- 8:46Speaker 3: Not necessarily in the Canadians. For us, we have taken
- 8:48Speaker 3: Canadian over money. Now it's weird going to six and
- 8:51Speaker 3: a half. You know, if you're at six over twenty
- 8:54Speaker 3: over twenty five, then you go to six and a half,
- 8:56Speaker 3: then you're instantly at six and a half.
- 8:58Speaker 4: You know, under a quarter under third.
- 9:00Speaker 3: So sometimes you really don't even want to move that
- 9:04Speaker 3: half and get to the six and a half if
- 9:06Speaker 3: you feel comfortable, nonetherlessen if you just get overwhelmed and
- 9:10Speaker 3: there's nothing but money coming in on and over, you
- 9:12Speaker 3: just have to do it. But you know, we don't
- 9:15Speaker 3: mind booking at that six, making you pay the you know,
- 9:18Speaker 3: the juice of twenty or twenty five, depending what it is.
- 9:21Speaker 3: We've talked over the last couple of weeks where you
- 9:23Speaker 3: kind of get to a spot with some of these
- 9:25Speaker 3: totals where you don't want to get weird and book
- 9:27Speaker 3: it at like, you know, six over fifty. You don't
- 9:30Speaker 3: want to do that at that point eventually you would
- 9:33Speaker 3: have to move. So it's just kind of just seeing
- 9:35Speaker 3: what's going on. Who are the bets coming from? Are
- 9:38Speaker 3: they more public? Are they more respected to account? So
- 9:41Speaker 3: it's just kind of feeling that type of stuff out.
- 9:44Speaker 2: All right, let's talk Major League Baseball before we get
- 9:47Speaker 2: to the WNBA. Here schemes on the map, Well, that
- 9:52Speaker 2: one sticks out like a sore thumb here against Colorado
- 9:54Speaker 2: at home. But I'm looking forward to this Cubs in
- 9:57Speaker 2: Atlanta series too. That's beginning in Atlanta, Atlanta, finally home
- 10:02Speaker 2: after a long West coast trip there. But what are
- 10:05Speaker 2: we thinking here tonight? What are your sharp players? What
- 10:10Speaker 2: home teams? Are they land a running a half way here?
- 10:13Speaker 3: The two sharp bets that we've taken overnight of this
- 10:17Speaker 3: morning are actually on the Reds and the Cubs, and
- 10:20Speaker 3: you had mentioned this Cub Brave game. Obviously, the Braves
- 10:22Speaker 3: are coming home after the long West coast trip. People
- 10:25Speaker 3: are figuring, Hey, you know, the Braves are just coming home.
- 10:27Speaker 3: They got to get their feet under them. Let's take
- 10:29Speaker 3: those red hot Cubs at a little bit of a
- 10:32Speaker 3: plus price.
- 10:33Speaker 4: You know.
- 10:33Speaker 3: Obviously the two best teams right now in the National
- 10:36Speaker 3: League are the Cubs and the Braves.
- 10:38Speaker 4: So that will be a great series.
- 10:39Speaker 2: All right, So we got some major League I'd please,
- 10:42Speaker 2: I'm still turn on a game. I got a no
- 10:45Speaker 2: hitter going yesterday with the Yankees through what five six innings, right,
- 10:51Speaker 2: I made the mistake and turning it on right when
- 10:54Speaker 2: they started the seventh inning, and then watched it all
- 10:57Speaker 2: fall apart for the Yankees and give up a three
- 11:00Speaker 2: run homer in their bullpen. And then outside of you know,
- 11:06Speaker 2: of Ben, there's nobody that can hit on the Yankees
- 11:08Speaker 2: right now. It's absolutely They made Young look like he's
- 11:11Speaker 2: a Cy Young Award winner. The guy is a total
- 11:15Speaker 2: gas can. It's beyond me. But the Yankees, that's it
- 11:18Speaker 2: couldn't get didn't get anything done.
- 11:19Speaker 1: It's kind of.
- 11:20Speaker 2: Shocking to me that they lose to Baltimore in that fashion.
- 11:23Speaker 2: But I guess the Yankees are kind of a no
- 11:26Speaker 2: bet right now, or even the Dodgers. I mean, last
- 11:29Speaker 2: night losing to the Giants, you had said it are
- 11:31Speaker 2: does it matter? Are the publics still going to be
- 11:34Speaker 2: betting the Yankees and Dodgers?
- 11:35Speaker 3: No problem, The public's gonna bet them in their parlays.
- 11:39Speaker 3: But I mean, how can you lay the prices on
- 11:41Speaker 3: those teams?
- 11:42Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, you just can't. And we've talked.
- 11:45Speaker 3: You know, it's hard to lay the run and a
- 11:46Speaker 3: half most of the time. And you know, I think
- 11:50Speaker 3: the Sharps look for other teams to go bet.
- 11:53Speaker 4: They just do. I mean, you know we mentioned this
- 11:55Speaker 4: a week ago.
- 11:56Speaker 3: Tampa never loses, Yeah, they never lose, So they're gonna
- 12:01Speaker 3: look to find teams like that.
- 12:02Speaker 4: The Cubs who have been hot.
- 12:04Speaker 3: You know, obviously the Phillies have been hot now even
- 12:06Speaker 3: though you're paying prices with the Phillies. But now they're
- 12:09Speaker 3: started starting to come back on the Phillies like, oh
- 12:11Speaker 3: look at this, So you know, it happens that way.
- 12:14Speaker 3: And then there's always teams you're gonna fade, You're gonna
- 12:16Speaker 3: fade Houston you're gonna find a couple of those other
- 12:19Speaker 3: bottom beating teams that you could fade throughout the year.
- 12:22Speaker 3: So that's the way the Sharps attack it. But listen,
- 12:25Speaker 3: throughout the baseball season, moneyline parlays that feature MLB games
- 12:30Speaker 3: and MLB teams are always gonna be dominated by the
- 12:33Speaker 3: Yankees and Dodgers no matter how they're playing.
- 12:35Speaker 2: I agree, and they're gonna keep coming in. You just
- 12:38Speaker 2: gotta find to pick your spots because right now the
- 12:41Speaker 2: Yankees and the Dodgers are going through it there. All right,
- 12:44Speaker 2: you mentioned WNBA. Here are three games on the late
- 12:49Speaker 2: here today.
- 12:50Speaker 1: What are we seeing it? Has the action been so far?
- 12:54Speaker 4: Dex's been good. It's been steady.
- 12:56Speaker 1: You know.
- 12:56Speaker 4: I always talk about the WNBA.
- 12:57Speaker 3: As being one of the sharp markets that we book,
- 13:00Speaker 3: and from day one, the sharp WNBA people, they're there
- 13:03Speaker 3: day one and they're betting it throughout. Out of the
- 13:06Speaker 3: three games today, two of them we've seen some sharp action.
- 13:09Speaker 3: They laid twelve with the Liberty now up to thirteen,
- 13:12Speaker 3: and this one was surprising because it's been nothing really
- 13:14Speaker 3: but overs so far in the WNBA season. I think
- 13:17Speaker 3: like ten of the twelve or ten of the thirteen
- 13:20Speaker 3: games have already gone over. But they took the Mercury
- 13:22Speaker 3: under under one seventy one and a half. It's now
- 13:25Speaker 3: under one seventy. So you've seen a point and a
- 13:28Speaker 3: half move there to the under in the Mercury game.
- 13:31Speaker 2: All right, Seeing a little WNBA action, little something for
- 13:34Speaker 2: everybody here tonight, Art, that is for sure. As a
- 13:38Speaker 2: matter of fact, you mentioned that Tampa team there who
- 13:42Speaker 2: refuses to lose. They were part of my parlay of
- 13:46Speaker 2: the Day yesterday. That was my pick, and I gotta
- 13:50Speaker 2: tell you it's really hard for me not to want
- 13:52Speaker 2: to go back with them here with mcclahan on the
- 13:56Speaker 2: board on the mound, rather here tonight against Toronto, against
- 14:00Speaker 2: Patrick Corbin, of all things. But it feels like I'm
- 14:03Speaker 2: being set up looking at it that way. But what
- 14:06Speaker 2: about it, man parlay of the Day? Where are you
- 14:10Speaker 2: thinking we should look here on the board for this one?
- 14:15Speaker 3: I have a future on Buffalo to win the East,
- 14:18Speaker 3: but I think Montreal has been the better team, and
- 14:20Speaker 3: over the first three games they've shown they've been the
- 14:22Speaker 3: better team. I think they're gonna put a stranglehold on
- 14:24Speaker 3: this series. I'm laying one thirty five with the Canadians.
- 14:27Speaker 3: I think they win tonight.
- 14:29Speaker 1: I want the Canadians here tonight. I kind of like it.
- 14:33Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 14:33Speaker 2: I mean, I'm probably gonna regret this, but I think
- 14:37Speaker 2: the Mets are gonna get it done at home against Detroit,
- 14:41Speaker 2: at least in the first five, which is likely where
- 14:44Speaker 2: I'm gonna take them here because Lardy can't get anybody out.
- 14:48Speaker 2: He walks too many guys, and yes he's got swinging
- 14:51Speaker 2: miss potential, but when they don't swing and miss and
- 14:54Speaker 2: they make contact, it's of the hard sort of contact.
- 14:58Speaker 2: So not a good situation he and I do. I
- 15:01Speaker 2: think Freddie Brault he just can't get any run support.
- 15:04Speaker 2: Hopefully he gets them here tonight with the Mets starting
- 15:06Speaker 2: a home trip, so I'll take them in the first five.
- 15:10Speaker 2: There art all right, We got some predictive market stuff
- 15:15Speaker 2: you and I were talking about before the show, because
- 15:18Speaker 2: we're getting to that point where you know, now's the
- 15:21Speaker 2: time to start looking at maybe hedging or giving yourself
- 15:24Speaker 2: a few other opportunities in the futures markets on some
- 15:28Speaker 2: of these plays in the playoffs, and we'll start, you know,
- 15:32Speaker 2: we were looking let's just go with what we saw
- 15:34Speaker 2: last night right, we saw Cleveland offensively get it done again.
- 15:39Speaker 2: Donovan Mitchell was a monster in the second half. The
- 15:42Speaker 2: problem with Detroit once again is they I want to
- 15:45Speaker 2: get out shit. Twenty four to nothing, run to start
- 15:49Speaker 2: to third was all she wrote. But that's the problem
- 15:51Speaker 2: with Detroit because you can't trust them offensively. So I
- 15:55Speaker 2: don't know that I can trust either team to win
- 15:57Speaker 2: a game on the road. But boil boy fifty having
- 16:00Speaker 2: sense right now for Detroit Cleveland at forty four. You know,
- 16:06Speaker 2: Detroit Old Serve come back to Cleveland. It feels like
- 16:09Speaker 2: this is going seven one way or the other.
- 16:11Speaker 3: Aren't No, It totally feels that way, Joe, And obviously
- 16:15Speaker 3: you know we have Detroit right now minus one thirty
- 16:18Speaker 3: to win the series. Take back on Cleveland is plus
- 16:20Speaker 3: one ten. But I think the thing that you and
- 16:22Speaker 3: I looked at and we felt was even more interesting
- 16:25Speaker 3: is I mean you could bet both or just pick
- 16:27Speaker 3: the team he thinks gonna win this series.
- 16:29Speaker 4: Yep, and maybe bet them to win the East yep.
- 16:32Speaker 3: The numbers have become crazy, like we're dealing right now,
- 16:36Speaker 3: Knicks minus one eighty five and then you got Cleveland
- 16:39Speaker 3: at plus three ten or I'm sorry, Cleveland at five
- 16:41Speaker 3: point fifty and then you got Detroit at plus three ten.
- 16:44Speaker 4: If you just look at the.
- 16:45Speaker 3: Knicks playing either of those teams, even Detroit, who is
- 16:49Speaker 3: the one seed, will have home court, the Knicks aren't
- 16:51Speaker 3: almost a four dollars favorite in that series. I mean
- 16:55Speaker 3: right now, yeah, right now. To get Detroit to plus
- 16:57Speaker 3: three ten to win the East, I mean, I get
- 17:00Speaker 3: to the Knicks will be favored, and they probably should be,
- 17:03Speaker 3: but they're not gonna have home court. They're gonna have
- 17:06Speaker 3: over a week of legoff because the earliest they could
- 17:10Speaker 3: play is Sunday and they just finished Sunday. And this
- 17:13Speaker 3: thing looks like it's going seven. So I don't know,
- 17:15Speaker 3: maybe that series starts Tuesday. I mean, I don't know.
- 17:19Speaker 3: I think now you take a shot on one of
- 17:21Speaker 3: these Eastern Conference teams that's not the Knicks.
- 17:24Speaker 2: I gotta tell you, Art, I'm looking at that no
- 17:26Speaker 2: at thirty seven cents, and I'm going, you know what,
- 17:30Speaker 2: I don't.
- 17:31Speaker 1: Yet, that's not a bad luck.
- 17:32Speaker 2: Because what's gonna happen when the Knicks lose a game
- 17:36Speaker 2: or I don't care who they're playing, Detroit or Cleveland,
- 17:38Speaker 2: they're not sweeping anybody. But it feels like this is
- 17:42Speaker 2: so overpriced and you brought it up right. If Detroit
- 17:45Speaker 2: wins this series against Cleveland, Detroit's the one seed. Detroit
- 17:49Speaker 2: is home court. Yeah, I mean, make no mistake about it. Which,
- 17:52Speaker 2: by the way, they have given New York fits all
- 17:56Speaker 2: year long, So I don't know. I might this is
- 18:00Speaker 2: the no market side for me. I might look at
- 18:02Speaker 2: the nets right now with the no and let it
- 18:05Speaker 2: play out here a little bit and see what goes on,
- 18:08Speaker 2: because I think that's gonna be a pretty volatime. There's
- 18:11Speaker 2: no way the Knicks are gonna go in as a
- 18:13Speaker 2: seventy cent favorite over either of those two teams.
- 18:16Speaker 1: I just don't.
- 18:17Speaker 2: I don't see it there. So I think there's some opportunities.
- 18:20Speaker 2: I'm with you in that market. I also think the NHL,
- 18:24Speaker 2: what are we doing art your Vegas Knights?
- 18:27Speaker 1: Are we jumping on them? Here?
- 18:29Speaker 2: Is now the time to get involved with the Knights
- 18:32Speaker 2: at what fifty nine cents to win the series? Or
- 18:35Speaker 2: do we think Anaheim at forty? I mean Anaheim wins
- 18:39Speaker 2: this game? Ooh boy boy, that's gonna flip, isn't it.
- 18:44Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, no doubt you know, Joe, it's great
- 18:46Speaker 3: if you we've always talked about this kind of times.
- 18:48Speaker 3: Hey you wait, or when do you get in on
- 18:51Speaker 3: a team? Series wise, we're dealing with the Knights right now.
- 18:54Speaker 3: Minus won fifty five to win the series. When that
- 18:56Speaker 3: series closed, you know, when they dropped the puck for
- 18:59Speaker 3: game one one, how was I want to say we
- 19:02Speaker 3: closed two ten? You know, we we had opened the
- 19:05Speaker 3: Knights minus one to eighty, which we all felt was low,
- 19:08Speaker 3: and then it came all the way up to two
- 19:09Speaker 3: ten at puck drop of Game one. Now, obviously this
- 19:12Speaker 3: is the best out of three, but the Knights we'll
- 19:14Speaker 3: have both of those, two of those three games at home.
- 19:17Speaker 3: If you like the Knights, this is the time to
- 19:19Speaker 3: bet them in the series. This is the cheapest they're
- 19:22Speaker 3: gonna be because of what we've seen in the first
- 19:24Speaker 3: four games. You know, I don't know, do you want
- 19:28Speaker 3: to do the similar thing like we just talked about
- 19:30Speaker 3: in the East. Maybe take the Knights now to win
- 19:33Speaker 3: the West and then you know, you could you could
- 19:35Speaker 3: hedge a little bit out because I don't think they're
- 19:37Speaker 3: gonna beat uh Colorado, who obviously has to win more
- 19:40Speaker 3: and more game to get to the Western Conference Finals.
- 19:42Speaker 3: But Colorado just looks like a juggernaut right now. Who's
- 19:45Speaker 3: gonna make the Stanley Cup?
- 19:46Speaker 1: Well, I'll tell you.
- 19:47Speaker 2: Look at it this, John, I mean here, you can
- 19:49Speaker 2: see they went into this series, right, I mean look
- 19:52Speaker 2: at them at about a sixty seven. I mean they
- 19:55Speaker 2: were as high as seventy percent here, uh in this series, right,
- 19:59Speaker 2: it was basically a seventy thirty split. Then all of
- 20:02Speaker 2: a sudden, Anaheim goes home, wins a couple of games.
- 20:04Speaker 2: Right now, all of a sudden, Look at us here, Art,
- 20:07Speaker 2: I mean, here we go. Now it's two to two.
- 20:10Speaker 2: So my point is, if I get if I think
- 20:12Speaker 2: Anaheim is winning tonight, not only am I playing Anaheim,
- 20:16Speaker 2: but I'm playing in this market because they'll go from
- 20:19Speaker 2: forty one to sixty one. They'll flit. They'll have to flit.
- 20:22Speaker 2: It'll have to be repriced. Where Anaheim has gotta be
- 20:27Speaker 2: the sixty cent. You might still think Vegas got but
- 20:30Speaker 2: that's a twenty cent move in twenty four hours. So
- 20:33Speaker 2: you know, here's where the predicative markets come in. I
- 20:36Speaker 2: don't want to hold on. I don't give a crap
- 20:38Speaker 2: if Anaheim wins the I just care if I'm betting
- 20:41Speaker 2: them tonight.
- 20:42Speaker 1: I'm betting them right here art.
- 20:43Speaker 2: As well, for forty one cents, because by the time
- 20:46Speaker 2: wake up tomorrow, I'll cash the.
- 20:48Speaker 1: Money line and I will cash.
- 20:50Speaker 2: I will ask you cash out a sixty percent in
- 20:53Speaker 2: a heart beat. They might even pull it off if
- 20:55Speaker 2: they win tonight, but I don't, and I wouldn't discount
- 20:58Speaker 2: it by any chance. I wouldn't discount it.
- 21:01Speaker 4: No, I wouldn't either.
- 21:02Speaker 3: In Game six will be kind of what we've seen
- 21:05Speaker 3: priced in these Anaheim series.
- 21:06Speaker 4: They're basically pick thems. You know, if you look at the.
- 21:09Speaker 3: Games that have been in Anaheim, Vegas has been a
- 21:12Speaker 3: slight favorite or the games of pick them, depending on
- 21:15Speaker 3: which book you're looking at. You know, usually Vegas is
- 21:17Speaker 3: the minus one and a half on.
- 21:18Speaker 4: The goal line.
- 21:20Speaker 3: But like I said, they're pretty much priced that, you know,
- 21:23Speaker 3: minus one oh five minus one awa eight minus one ten,
- 21:25Speaker 3: so they're usually in that ring. But you're right, you know,
- 21:27Speaker 3: you take Anaheim tonight, not only in the predictive, but
- 21:30Speaker 3: take them in the game at plus money. You know,
- 21:32Speaker 3: by tomorrow money tomorrow morning, you cash out your predictive.
- 21:36Speaker 4: You won two bets.
- 21:37Speaker 1: That's correct.
- 21:37Speaker 2: Bom made a quick twenty percent in twenty four hours,
- 21:40Speaker 2: and you're already cash the money line too as well,
- 21:42Speaker 2: which is fantastic. All right, this is just head scratching, like,
- 21:47Speaker 2: good lord alcaholm Is City, You're gonna win the Western
- 21:50Speaker 2: Conference championships. Almost at seventy five cents, this market is
- 21:54Speaker 2: almost telling us like, don't even bother.
- 21:56Speaker 1: It's all whether they play san Antonio or Minute. I'm
- 22:00Speaker 1: not buying that. Man.
- 22:02Speaker 2: They can't beat Sanate. They haven't beaten san Antonio consistently
- 22:06Speaker 2: all year long. So I mean that is embarrassing the
- 22:11Speaker 2: Minnesota line right there, that Minnesota can't My question is
- 22:15Speaker 2: art that Minnesota wins tonight?
- 22:17Speaker 4: I don't know.
- 22:18Speaker 2: Is that reprice get a little higher there from three
- 22:21Speaker 2: cents to it? Can we get it to thirteen cents
- 22:23Speaker 2: if they take down San Antonio tonight? Because again, I'm
- 22:27Speaker 2: not interested in actually seeing this through. I'm just interested
- 22:31Speaker 2: in it repricing, not actually trying to figure out if
- 22:35Speaker 2: Minnesota is going to win the Western Conference.
- 22:38Speaker 1: I don't care.
- 22:40Speaker 3: No, Yeah, and we had talked about this. You know,
- 22:42Speaker 3: for US thunder minus three hundred in the West, that's
- 22:46Speaker 3: minus three dollars every three dollars. You bet you win
- 22:49Speaker 3: a dollar if you take the Spurs. They're plus two
- 22:51Speaker 3: sixty and we're thirty eight to one on Minnesota to
- 22:54Speaker 3: win the West. And I mentioned to you the reason
- 22:56Speaker 3: that is we're pretty flooded money wise to the Spa
- 23:00Speaker 3: to win the West. Thunder really not so much because
- 23:02Speaker 3: they were low all year. We're trying to sell a
- 23:04Speaker 3: little bit of the Spur liability off with giving you
- 23:08Speaker 3: a chance to almost get forty to one wow on
- 23:11Speaker 3: Minnesota to win the West. That's I mean, that just
- 23:14Speaker 3: shows you the dominance of OKC, and people will come
- 23:18Speaker 3: in and try to take shots on that because also
- 23:21Speaker 3: they'll try to hedge their position a little bit. There're
- 23:23Speaker 3: gonna be plenty of people with the Spurs positions that
- 23:26Speaker 3: they got earlier in the year that they got really
- 23:28Speaker 3: good numbers on. There might even be people who have
- 23:30Speaker 3: Thunder positions where they got them to win the West
- 23:32Speaker 3: to plus one ten or plus one twenty when it
- 23:35Speaker 3: was at its peak and its highest. But yeah, I mean,
- 23:38Speaker 3: I think the only way to go in that market
- 23:41Speaker 3: is Minnesota. That's the only shot you could take.
- 23:44Speaker 1: That's it.
- 23:44Speaker 2: I mean, listen, even if they zig zag their way
- 23:47Speaker 2: get into a game seven, you're gonna get more than
- 23:50Speaker 2: the three cents than you are right now. I mean,
- 23:53Speaker 2: my goodness, and you know it's amazing to lack of
- 23:57Speaker 2: respect in a two to two series are getting.
- 24:00Speaker 1: But I got news for you.
- 24:01Speaker 2: I'm still betting san Antonio twenty five cents too, because
- 24:04Speaker 2: I'm not convinced that the split there, They're just gonna
- 24:09Speaker 2: run through San Antonio if it's them either, Art, I'm
- 24:12Speaker 2: not buying it. So I still think there's some value
- 24:15Speaker 2: on the dogs here, and maybe Art dare I say,
- 24:18Speaker 2: maybe do a little fade here of the okay See
- 24:21Speaker 2: a little no action on okay Se winning the Western
- 24:24Speaker 2: Conference here.
- 24:26Speaker 3: It's not a terrible look if that's the way you're
- 24:28Speaker 3: gonna play it. I mean, obviously there are people who
- 24:34Speaker 3: are gonna look at okay See and say, wow, they're
- 24:36Speaker 3: minus three dollars to win the.
- 24:38Speaker 4: West, But you also have to look at it depending
- 24:40Speaker 4: on who they get.
- 24:41Speaker 3: Now I get it, if they get the Spurs, it
- 24:44Speaker 3: might be around that number, because I really think okay
- 24:46Speaker 3: See is gonna be priced prettily, pretty heavily in their
- 24:49Speaker 3: matchup no matter who it is.
- 24:51Speaker 4: But I will say this if it is San Antonio.
- 24:53Speaker 3: Because of the success San Antonio had in the regular season,
- 24:58Speaker 3: people are gonna be running to.
- 25:00Speaker 4: At San Antonio.
- 25:01Speaker 1: I agree, yep, I'm.
- 25:03Speaker 3: Just gonna And I think eventually you might even get
- 25:06Speaker 3: Okac cheaper than you would have you know, like, wait
- 25:10Speaker 3: till the serious price comes out, see what happens. And
- 25:13Speaker 3: then I think that's actually gonna get pushed down because
- 25:16Speaker 3: I think you're gonna see people run and say, well,
- 25:18Speaker 3: I don't want to lay three dollars or more with Okac.
- 25:20Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the plus money with the Spurs, who
- 25:22Speaker 3: have been very positive in their play against Okac this year.
- 25:26Speaker 4: And I think that's what's gonna happen.
- 25:28Speaker 1: I think so too. I'm with you.
- 25:30Speaker 2: I think there are some opportunities here in that market
- 25:33Speaker 2: for sure. Here Art and there you go. We've got
- 25:37Speaker 2: predicted markets for you. We've got still Major League Baseball,
- 25:42Speaker 2: NHL or told you.
- 25:43Speaker 1: All about those. We get the NBA with one game
- 25:46Speaker 1: here tonight.
- 25:47Speaker 2: What else you got going on there over at the
- 25:51Speaker 2: West Gate And what's your big what are you looking
- 25:53Speaker 2: forward to this week?
- 25:54Speaker 1: Man? What's the game of the night for you?
- 25:57Speaker 3: Oh, I'm definitely listen. I love the NBA, but I
- 26:00Speaker 3: think the hockey is enormous tonight. These two games are
- 26:04Speaker 3: so big. Like I said, does Montreal really put a
- 26:06Speaker 3: stranglehold on this series? And look to you know, be
- 26:09Speaker 3: one game away from playing Carolina in the conference final.
- 26:13Speaker 4: You know, the Nights. This is an enormous game.
- 26:15Speaker 3: This is a team who was heavily favorite to win
- 26:16Speaker 3: the series against Anaheim. Now they come home to too
- 26:20Speaker 3: in pretty much a must win spot for them, it
- 26:22Speaker 3: feels like. So I'm very excited to watch these awesome
- 26:25Speaker 3: hockey games today, and I think that Braves Cup series
- 26:28Speaker 3: is a fun maybe NLCS preview.
- 26:31Speaker 2: There you got it, man, all right, Art this Caesar.
- 26:34Speaker 2: We'll see you again tomorrow. Depending on how the President's
- 26:39Speaker 2: rectal exam went, we might take whatever you can get,
- 26:43Speaker 2: so we'll see what happens there, but we'll see you
- 26:46Speaker 2: tomorrow for sure. Art, enjoy it, man, We certainly do
- 26:50Speaker 2: appreciate it.
- 26:50Speaker 1: Guys.
- 26:51Speaker 2: Make sure you hit that like button, hit that subscribe button.
- 26:54Speaker 2: Become part of the wager Talk TV family as we
- 26:56Speaker 2: get ready for a little business. All right, it is
- 27:00Speaker 2: customer Appreciation Day here after all, at wager talk dot Com,
- 27:04Speaker 2: which means, of course, five dollars best bets. What does
- 27:07Speaker 2: that mean, Well, it means that right now I got
- 27:09Speaker 2: a four percent top play here in the NBA tonight
- 27:14Speaker 2: in this game between the Spurs and Minnesota, the all
- 27:16Speaker 2: important Game five, you can head over to my page
- 27:19Speaker 2: a wager talk dot com.
- 27:20Speaker 1: It's five bucks, guys, go grab it.
- 27:24Speaker 2: We have crushed the last week here in the postseason
- 27:27Speaker 2: three and zero right now, up over twelve units since Saturday. Yes,
- 27:32Speaker 2: we have got our finger on the pulse of what's
- 27:34Speaker 2: happening here. So for five bucks you can go grab
- 27:36Speaker 2: that play over at wager talk dot com. I will
- 27:39Speaker 2: also have a five dollars Major League Baseball top play
- 27:43Speaker 2: that I am posting as soon as we're done here.
- 27:46Speaker 1: Grab that for five bucks.
- 27:48Speaker 2: Or the pres also has one of his NBA top
- 27:52Speaker 2: plays available for five dollars. It's customer appreciation, guys. It's
- 27:56Speaker 2: a great opportunity to take advantage and up with one
- 28:01Speaker 2: of your favorite handicappers here at wager talk dot com. Now,
- 28:04Speaker 2: in the meantime, we've got some games that we have
- 28:07Speaker 2: got to go over here, and we'll start in Major
- 28:12Speaker 2: League Baseball, where all right, a couple of games where
- 28:16Speaker 2: we've got some big pitching advantages here, and maybe none
- 28:20Speaker 2: bigger than the Pittsburgh Pirates at home pol Skeens taking
- 28:25Speaker 2: on Lorenzen and the Rockies. Listen, Nobody in their right
- 28:28Speaker 2: mind is laying this kind of number here with Skeens,
- 28:32Speaker 2: and not necessarily on Skiens, but on Pittsburgh, nobody's laying three,
- 28:35Speaker 2: and I'll stop it. I would look at the first five,
- 28:38Speaker 2: or I would look at maybe a team total for Pittsburgh,
- 28:41Speaker 2: and that is it. Seattle taking on Houston today. The
- 28:46Speaker 2: Mariners bounce back yesterday, that was a client play for us.
- 28:50Speaker 2: They got it done against Houston in a three to
- 28:52Speaker 2: one win. Brian, who is on the mound here as
- 28:57Speaker 2: he is, I think maybe the more trustworthy pitcher in
- 29:01Speaker 2: this spot here. But you've got to trust the bats
- 29:05Speaker 2: who are not exactly swinging it all that well for Seattle.
- 29:10Speaker 2: But I think they can get it done again, and
- 29:12Speaker 2: by the way, so does the market. But I don't
- 29:14Speaker 2: know that I trust either bullpen all that much. Seattle's
- 29:18Speaker 2: gotten worked. Maybe just the Seattle first five Dodgers taking
- 29:22Speaker 2: on San Francisco. Big pitching mismatch here too. Yamamoto taking
- 29:27Speaker 2: on Houser of the Giants. But the Dodgers can't seem
- 29:31Speaker 2: to hit right now. Don't think that's gonna matter. Another
- 29:35Speaker 2: one of these where I'd look early, maybe first five
- 29:37Speaker 2: with the Dodgers and then move on because neither bullpen
- 29:42Speaker 2: do I trust at this moment.
- 29:44Speaker 1: Chicago Atlanta Game.
- 29:45Speaker 4: Of the day.
- 29:46Speaker 2: I kind of like the Cubs here, and you heard
- 29:48Speaker 2: Art say, so does the market. I think the Cubs
- 29:52Speaker 2: are coming in full of confidence. I think they can
- 29:54Speaker 2: get it done. I think the Phillies are a pretty
- 29:57Speaker 2: good price with Wheeler on the mound here, much better
- 30:01Speaker 2: than Bo who always gets into trouble early. I think
- 30:04Speaker 2: the White Sox might be live here against Kansas City tonight.
- 30:08Speaker 2: And I think Milwaukee should be able to handle business
- 30:10Speaker 2: against the Padres, and I think the Angels gen handle
- 30:14Speaker 2: business against the Guardians. You had Art go over the
- 30:18Speaker 2: NHL for you, and then of course in the NBA.
- 30:21Speaker 1: It is simple.
- 30:23Speaker 2: We have got a five dollars best bet which breaks
- 30:25Speaker 2: down this entire game for you guys over at wager
- 30:29Speaker 2: talk dot com. Hop on to my page, go grab
- 30:31Speaker 2: that and you will have everything you need to know
- 30:34Speaker 2: about tonight's game between the Spurs, and the Timberwolves, and
- 30:39Speaker 2: that'll do it here today for wager Talks, the best
- 30:42Speaker 2: betting show ever again. Hit the like button, hit that
- 30:46Speaker 2: subscribe button, become part of the wager Talk TV family.
- 30:50Speaker 2: Press should be back tomorrow, we hope, we think, depending
- 30:55Speaker 2: on how it went today.
- 30:56Speaker 1: But either way, Art will be here.
- 30:58Speaker 2: I'll be here, will run down everything you need to
- 31:00Speaker 2: know coming up here over the next few days. A
- 31:04Speaker 2: lot of stuff happening here, not to mention the next
- 31:07Speaker 2: major on the PGA Tour, the PGA Championship going to
- 31:11Speaker 2: take center stage. We'll have you covered with everything. That
- 31:15Speaker 2: is why it's important to come back and join us
- 31:16Speaker 2: again for another edition of the best betting show ever.
- 31:20Speaker 2: Enjoy it, guys, We'll see again.
- 31:22Speaker 1: Omar