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Why the 10-12 Draft Slot Is Underrated in Fantasy Football · Fantasy NFL Today

0:00
[SPEAKER_00]: What up there is the football junkies, I'm your host, John Moe sales, and this is sports ethos production.
0:04
[SPEAKER_00]: Preseason's underway, roll one over active preseason, but it's still fun to use as little metric.
0:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Today I'm just gonna kind of break down the best way to handle drafting here, the end of your draft.
0:14
[SPEAKER_00]: So let's say 10, 12 man league, soon 12 man drafting in that 10 to 12 spot.
0:19
[SPEAKER_00]: We'll do just kind of the, what's the best possible team you could get from drafting there?
0:24
[SPEAKER_00]: Because I know people really like drafting at the front end, right?
0:27
[SPEAKER_00]: You get your first overall pick, then you get your second third.
0:30
[SPEAKER_00]: So you get three of the like the top, you know, 24 guys.
0:33
[SPEAKER_00]: That is great.
0:34
[SPEAKER_00]: But the volatility of that is more extreme.
0:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Drafting later, as long as you have a good plan, good tier system and, you know, good metric evaluation, dropping that, you know, 10 to 12 spot really has all the value.
0:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Because you get to the best, you know, 12 players, and then it sounds obvious.
0:50
[SPEAKER_00]: And then as a jack goes on,
0:53
[SPEAKER_00]: The part I really like is you can kind of ignore ADP because guys don't follow you right you get your pick then you got to wait 24 more picks to get a back so taking a guy six spots early 10 spots early around early doesn't really matter as long as you have faith in the guys you like.
1:09
[SPEAKER_00]: it's really you get to just ignore 80p and just go for your guys.
1:12
[SPEAKER_00]: So for that reason I love it the plus I love the long big breaks in between picks, although it can be frustrating being like oh, I no longer have any shot at any of these guys.
1:21
[SPEAKER_00]: That's the really the only downside.
1:23
[SPEAKER_00]: So let's just say, you know, we're picking 10 to 12, 12 man league, three wide receivers, one QB, half point KPR, you know, just the basics, right?
1:31
[SPEAKER_00]: So for me, I'm going running back, right?
1:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Nintendo cheat code up down left right whatever whatever actually never knew what it was.
1:42
[SPEAKER_00]: My cheat code for drafting is running back, running back, running back, tight end, wide receiver, wide receiver, running back, QB, QB, wide receiver, wide receiver, running back.
1:51
[SPEAKER_00]: There's something along those lines.
1:52
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, you can play with a little bit, but that's essentially the framework I'm working with, and it's pretty much the my foundational philosophy for draft it.
2:01
[SPEAKER_00]: So, first pick, let's say we're going 12th, right?
2:04
[SPEAKER_00]: What do we want?
2:04
[SPEAKER_00]: We want to run him back.
2:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Zoom all the other guys are gone.
2:07
[SPEAKER_00]: And it's like, this is where this real sweet spot of running back says, but I get to go too.
2:12
[SPEAKER_00]: So first, I've just gone a chain, right?
2:14
[SPEAKER_00]: Devon had chained.
2:15
[SPEAKER_00]: He was just selling that preseason.
2:17
[SPEAKER_00]: He had a big workload.
2:19
[SPEAKER_00]: They said, they're going to run him into the ground just a little scary, but.
2:22
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's got a great shot to be the R.B.
2:24
[SPEAKER_00]: one.
2:24
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm big on Miami this season on the only one.
2:26
[SPEAKER_00]: It's just no brainer for me.
2:28
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll just take him first even though you know ADP doesn't because again, it doesn't really matter.
2:32
[SPEAKER_00]: The real thing is what am I doing second?
2:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Right, we want to go running back and we got that nice glut, right?
2:37
[SPEAKER_00]: We've probably got Gen T, James Cook, let's say he's gone.
2:41
[SPEAKER_00]: We got Chase Brown, we got Sake Juan, we got Hampton, we got Derek Henry.
2:44
[SPEAKER_00]: You could even go Kenneth Walker, do you want, but we're not doing that door?
2:48
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm just going Chase Brown.
2:50
[SPEAKER_00]: I love since he this year who big surprise shocker, but the right second easy schedule, right?
2:54
[SPEAKER_00]: They're probably going to be up in games.
2:56
[SPEAKER_00]: It might even be able to be running in the second half with Bro is a top free running back, right?
3:00
[SPEAKER_00]: They're past heavy.
3:01
[SPEAKER_00]: We get all those little half PPR points.
3:03
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not quite a no brainer for me, but it's it's pretty close.
3:07
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't want to say one.
3:08
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't like the age, Hampton.
3:10
[SPEAKER_00]: I do like I'm a little scared.
3:11
[SPEAKER_00]: They say that three running back thing, McGangio, but I think that's kind of overblown.
3:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Walker, we haven't really seen the usage, Henry 32, Church, generational talent, defying all father time and skeptics and every age bell curve in the history of football, but eventually it will come for him could be the season.
3:26
[SPEAKER_00]: So boom, Shane Chase Brown, I'm locked and loaded.
3:30
[SPEAKER_00]: I am maximum excited.
3:32
[SPEAKER_00]: And now I got maximum flexibility with my draft.
3:35
[SPEAKER_00]: If there's a running back I really like later, we can do that.
3:38
[SPEAKER_00]: But in general, you know, we're probably looking to fill up some other positions now.
3:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, so we've gone running back running back our first two rounds.
3:46
[SPEAKER_00]: We'll just assume no third round reversal.
3:48
[SPEAKER_00]: So, right, so we get to pick 12.
3:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Then we got essentially way 24 more picks.
3:52
[SPEAKER_00]: So we're looking around 80 p of, you know, like, you know, 36, right, give or take, right?
3:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Because we go 12 and then 12 and then 12.
4:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Just for, you know, your math wizards.
4:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, this is the biggest no-brainer in the world.
4:06
[SPEAKER_00]: This is why I love love's traffic in the spot because I get my number one guy, hopefully, I'm at a book, right, is 80p is 36.
4:15
[SPEAKER_00]: It was like 44.
4:16
[SPEAKER_00]: I know I'm not really that big, but I have been, I'm going to take great a single handily moving him up.
4:21
[SPEAKER_00]: Although, yes, second year wide receiver, I mean, yeah, everybody loves him.
4:25
[SPEAKER_00]: He's got the toe injury, who cares.
4:27
[SPEAKER_00]: They said, optimistic for week one, don't care.
4:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I almost would want him to miss week one.
4:31
[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe ZDP falls.
4:33
[SPEAKER_00]: I know that makes him crazy.
4:34
[SPEAKER_00]: So boom, we're kind of breaking the...
4:37
[SPEAKER_00]: The foundational philosophy in Infectory, but when you eat your top, top, top guy, your alpha guy, a mecca booker, you just, you do, you do it, you don't even look, you click, and then do a little dance.
4:48
[SPEAKER_00]: And then now, what are we doing, right?
4:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Because I like to go tight in, I got the wider severs, so I'm not going wide or silver again.
4:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Things I could do is I wouldn't mind going running back again, right?
4:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe that you, Javante Williams is there.
5:01
[SPEAKER_00]: That's nice.
5:02
[SPEAKER_00]: It is a glut of wider severs.
5:06
[SPEAKER_00]: So I've got a lot of water severs, but I'm going to go with my other guy tight and colds in Lublin, right?
5:13
[SPEAKER_00]: I just, you know, it's kind of the four tier water tight ends, right?
5:18
[SPEAKER_00]: We got our trademark brides, we got a Brock Bowers, we got our Colson Lublins, and then we got our Tyler Warren, I am the biggest tight entry through the world, so I am always going to get one of them, you know.
5:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Colson Lovelin.
5:29
[SPEAKER_00]: We got bears.
5:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I think they're going to be the best offense in the league.
5:31
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, Roman Luther Burden on Peruvian Light Receivers.
5:34
[SPEAKER_00]: We saw a bird.
5:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Lovelin got 25 targets in the two playoff games.
5:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Ben Johnson loves tight ends.
5:39
[SPEAKER_00]: We got the Caleb Williams breakout.
5:42
[SPEAKER_00]: I just, you know, I'm just all in on Colson Lovelin.
5:45
[SPEAKER_00]: So boom, it's like we got.
5:48
[SPEAKER_00]: We got div on a chain.
5:49
[SPEAKER_00]: We got taste brown.
5:50
[SPEAKER_00]: We got a mecca of buka.
5:51
[SPEAKER_00]: And then we get calls to love it.
5:53
[SPEAKER_00]: We are locked and loaded.
5:54
[SPEAKER_00]: It's one QB.
5:55
[SPEAKER_00]: We're going to go QB late when I didn't think in QB.
5:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Right.
5:58
[SPEAKER_00]: So through a first four rounds, we would have almost all a fix.
6:01
[SPEAKER_00]: I know this is a hypothetical draft.
6:03
[SPEAKER_00]: So you know, whatever.
6:04
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay.
6:04
[SPEAKER_00]: So that's four rounds that would be boom, boom, boom, boom, 48 guys.
6:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Let me make sure I'm
6:15
[SPEAKER_00]: I just had to check my math there.
6:16
[SPEAKER_00]: I've got to get it for a second because it can be confusing.
6:18
[SPEAKER_00]: But so now this is the only down spot, right?
6:21
[SPEAKER_00]: We got 36 and we've got to wait 24 picks.
6:23
[SPEAKER_00]: So now we're around 60.
6:25
[SPEAKER_00]: The quality of the draft is certainly kind of taken and a turn, just in case, you know, like,
6:31
[SPEAKER_00]: We're probably going to go wide or see over here.
6:32
[SPEAKER_00]: We definitely probably want to running back.
6:34
[SPEAKER_00]: But so James Williams, if he falls, obviously he's must draft because the Lions, easy schedule in the league.
6:40
[SPEAKER_00]: They're probably going to be a little run heavy.
6:41
[SPEAKER_00]: But like that, I just think his totally mispriced.
6:44
[SPEAKER_00]: A couple other guys, if they fall, like, you know,
6:47
[SPEAKER_00]: It would have deemed Daniel's falls.
6:48
[SPEAKER_00]: We want to go QB, no, no, we have to stress contress up.
6:52
[SPEAKER_00]: We have to resist the desire to go, you know, mid-stud QB.
6:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Like maybe if you third overall pick and you get your march ace and jury, I reach for bro, because that's the most fun thing ever.
7:03
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, so around 60 so we probably we want to get a running back.
7:06
[SPEAKER_00]: We want to get a wide receiver, right?
7:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Doesn't we could go if you really, really left up a wide receiver, you could do that.
7:12
[SPEAKER_00]: But, you know, there's there is a running back clip coming.
7:15
[SPEAKER_00]: We got to the running back on Jacksonville.
7:17
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't really want him.
7:19
[SPEAKER_00]: What do I trade on Henderson?
7:20
[SPEAKER_00]: It's right, sophomore in New England.
7:22
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, that's second outbreak out, but we're wondering might be the one.
7:26
[SPEAKER_00]: are be one because we got our two running backs.
7:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't that we love that we give it to the star we can we get out.
7:32
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't mind taking a little bit of a flyer to you know because Henderson might be frustrating and might not be playing him the first part of the season.
7:39
[SPEAKER_00]: But we know his time will come and then if for Mondry does get hurt, it's to the noon Henderson might have I started Henderson over chase crowd probably not.
7:47
[SPEAKER_00]: But that's probably what I do where you got your dairy in price.
7:49
[SPEAKER_00]: You could also go for we wouldn't hate that.
7:51
[SPEAKER_00]: But you know Seattle they've got a manual Sanders.
7:55
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a little glutty there.
7:56
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't really think the aligns that great.
7:58
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it was a little propped up by clean kubiac will they even be 50 50 run past split again.
8:03
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not even sure right then you got Caleb Williams.
8:05
[SPEAKER_00]: You could go.
8:06
[SPEAKER_00]: Oh, the love and William stack.
8:07
[SPEAKER_00]: Nope.
8:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Nope.
8:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Do not draft QB you got to write down your hand because you get to very, very, alert.
8:14
[SPEAKER_00]: So, all right, we'll go favor on Henderson, which, you know, it feels like it's the sexy pick, which is never really you never want to have the sexy team because that team this will not win.
8:24
[SPEAKER_00]: It's always got a little over price ADPs, but we're going to go Henderson because we got our guys, so let's just take Henderson second, you know, a lot of options right you go, you do the car and I'll take you to the work you want to see or he's sexy, but we don't really like can see this he did.
8:37
[SPEAKER_00]: The move is kind of obvious, but we're going Parker Washington, right?
8:40
[SPEAKER_00]: It's just, it's just the way to go.
8:41
[SPEAKER_00]: The guy never leaves the gym.
8:43
[SPEAKER_00]: I know they got the three-wide receiver club with BTJ and Jacoby Myers.
8:47
[SPEAKER_00]: That's not ideal.
8:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Projects of golf and it's going to be past heavy.
8:50
[SPEAKER_00]: And now we kind of have a little vision right where Parker Washington's going to be in the slot.
8:55
[SPEAKER_00]: The himcoan loves the slot receivers.
8:57
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, BTJCX and then Myers is getting the top corners.
9:01
[SPEAKER_00]: If you looked at the schedule, Jacksonville is facing elite corners like weeks one to eight.
9:05
[SPEAKER_00]: So you almost take Myers off.
9:07
[SPEAKER_00]: Now it's just Parker Washington and BTJ, BTJ is not getting the volume, Parker Washington wedged zero one by default.
9:14
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, that's, you know, boy math.
9:15
[SPEAKER_00]: But
9:16
[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, it's just me, prior watching a little sex, he's a little hype.
9:19
[SPEAKER_00]: He's like this understated sleeper because nobody really kind of trust him.
9:24
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, Myers is a bigger name, Brian Thompson or his wife is super for is a rookie, but Parker Washington, let's go welcome to the team.
9:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, his ADP right now is about 70, you know, 60 is kind of where we're or our starting point is.
9:36
[SPEAKER_00]: So we jump from 10 spots early, but we don't really care because it's the only chance where we're going to get them.
9:42
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, so then we go 60, so we got to go 24 more picks, right?
9:45
[SPEAKER_00]: Boom, look at it, it's just you scroll all these guys, all these guys, all this tout.
9:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, so now where we got Chase Brown, we got David and the chain, we got a Mekka, a Buka, we got Colson Lovelin, we got Parker Washington, and we got Tramion Henderson.
10:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Could we start to look at QB?
10:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Yes, we can look at QB.
10:04
[SPEAKER_00]: We can just take a glance, just take a peek, but really, is that much of a difference between getting a QB now at 80, right, where it's like, let's look at the QB is available, right, we could take Jackson Dart, Brock Perty there at 94.95.
10:18
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, or if we're at 80, right, we could go to 84.
10:22
[SPEAKER_00]: This is where we are.
10:23
[SPEAKER_00]: We could go another 24 picks, 16 plus will 8.
10:27
[SPEAKER_00]: So we could go to 108, right?
10:29
[SPEAKER_00]: We said that Jared got there.
10:32
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, boom, boom.
10:33
[SPEAKER_00]: Jared got Baker, Jordan love.
10:35
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think there's that much of a difference in the dark cardee.
10:38
[SPEAKER_00]: So let's, let's, let's keep with our scale position player, right?
10:42
[SPEAKER_00]: We probably want to go running back wide or see a very good, right?
10:45
[SPEAKER_00]: So if we're at 84 and we're looking, we're looking, we got Jordan Tyson, who would have been like lock, stock, barrel, open, and end it, fantasy league's over.
10:54
[SPEAKER_00]: He's got the hamstring string string.
10:57
[SPEAKER_00]: We still might take him because his upside's crazy, but it's like when there's something you're worried about a player and then, you know,
11:04
[SPEAKER_00]: the exact same happens at some point, you know, when a player shows you who'd there believe that right, but he's the easy money, Michael Pittman 89, most most misprice player in all of fantasy.
11:15
[SPEAKER_00]: I think what he was a top 10-wide receiver for Daniel Jones got hurt.
11:19
[SPEAKER_00]: He's been awesome, almost an entire career.
11:21
[SPEAKER_00]: He's just never really had a QB.
11:23
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he was, you know, and if he's great with Daniel Jones, what's he gonna do with Rogers?
11:27
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I think top 30, top 20 wide receivers easily, almost as floor, he's going as a top 40 wide receiver.
11:34
[SPEAKER_00]: I just don't understand it.
11:35
[SPEAKER_00]: okay so now what are we doing right we probably want to chase some upside right because there's a lot like Josh downs we really like right when Johnson backed back seasons eight right eight touchdowns Jonathan Brooks who's flying up the charts I don't think he'd probably be there because we'll chat a hover too well we're getting hurt Brooks is gonna fly but he's got like 15 touches in his career all right we got JK Dobbins always gets hurt I think the move is
12:03
[SPEAKER_00]: I think we just go Blake Korm.
12:05
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the rams are going to be run heavy.
12:07
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't trust Stafford.
12:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Pook is running through glass walls.
12:09
[SPEAKER_00]: The fence is going to be great.
12:11
[SPEAKER_00]: This just get one of these elite RB2s with this crazy upside.
12:16
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe we probably could flex some early in the season, but we're probably just going to stash them.
12:20
[SPEAKER_00]: And Ocarina doesn't really get hurt, but maybe it overtakes fire tonight.
12:24
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's between core and RJ Harvey, it's actually really tough for me because I think RJ Harvey has like a three-ax chance of becoming the RB1.
12:34
[SPEAKER_00]: I know Dylan Coleman.
12:35
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not really worried about because we know JK Doppers will get hurt.
12:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Karen Lane doesn't get hurt, but corems probably better, you know what?
12:42
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm actually going to go Harvey.
12:43
[SPEAKER_00]: I just talk to myself and do it.
12:44
[SPEAKER_00]: These forums now involved in receiving game at all.
12:47
[SPEAKER_00]: All right.
12:47
[SPEAKER_00]: He's got the what 15 catches or something last season.
12:50
[SPEAKER_00]: We know Harvey is very involved.
12:52
[SPEAKER_00]: Denver is going to be is always sneaky past heavy that got the great online.
12:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's go.
12:56
[SPEAKER_00]: RJ Harvey over Blake Warren, but it is very close for me.
12:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, so that was where at 60 we went to 84 so now we got to go another 24 or 16 so we're on to 108 now we're finally looking at quarterback right if you're able to abstain this long the key is now you go double QV
13:15
[SPEAKER_00]: All right.
13:15
[SPEAKER_00]: You want to chase a little upside and you want to get a little stability.
13:18
[SPEAKER_00]: By the king of stability is Jared Dopp, right?
13:21
[SPEAKER_00]: I think what top five, top 10 seasons.
13:23
[SPEAKER_00]: He's got all the weapons, best schedule in the world.
13:25
[SPEAKER_00]: I know that means maybe run heavy, but they're probably going to be for putting up 30, 35 points every week.
13:30
[SPEAKER_00]: I know they love handing it off in the red zone, but golf is just safe, super safe.
13:34
[SPEAKER_00]: And he's my, I'm, I'm, I'm probably done just taking them first because it doesn't really matter.
13:39
[SPEAKER_00]: It was talking about them first, but you just, you start him at home, right?
13:42
[SPEAKER_00]: You start him in these great matchups, you ignore it.
13:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe, you know, you don't play them at Chicago.
13:46
[SPEAKER_00]: You don't play them at Green Bay.
13:48
[SPEAKER_00]: You don't play them outdoors and bad weather is bad at home.
13:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Boom, you know you're getting two touchdowns, 262 and 180 yards back to 20 points.
13:55
[SPEAKER_00]: And then you have watched me at all, you followed me at all, you listen to me at all.
14:00
[SPEAKER_00]: You know that this is the no-brainer.
14:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean I'm trying to find them.
14:03
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm just going Malik Willis.
14:05
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't care.
14:06
[SPEAKER_00]: His ADP is 138.
14:07
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't care.
14:08
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm leaving my draft with Malik Willis no matter what, right?
14:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Nothing would be worse and I got away 24 picks and he goes 23 22 picks Before me right I cry so she if it's a big money league Give me my guy right there's who am I even missing out on right so we're right we're at 84 so we're at 108 We're looking you know Kenny Gainwell sure I like him door Madison we're shot white
14:33
[SPEAKER_00]: Um, the only one, the only real tough spot here is Jordan Mason.
14:38
[SPEAKER_00]: If for some reason, I had gone wide receiver early or something happened where somebody fell that I absolutely loved, and maybe I was only at two running backs, which would suck, or three, and I didn't love all three.
14:53
[SPEAKER_00]: Jordan Mason is just top-eyed must draft for me.
14:55
[SPEAKER_00]: So honestly, I would have to really stare at this and think, maybe I take Jordan Mason and I go Malik Willis and I pass on golf and then, because I know if it's a 12 team league, I can always get
15:08
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, let's, let's, let's scroll to, I mean, yeah, how much do I love milk?
15:12
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm like, well, so I love milk.
15:14
[SPEAKER_00]: Well, so Jordan Mason, milk, well, so it's probably what I do.
15:18
[SPEAKER_00]: The safer decision would be going off in milk.
15:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Well, because we haven't seen well, so we're full season.
15:22
[SPEAKER_00]: You look great in preseason.
15:23
[SPEAKER_00]: I'd be starting with us in, you know, the first couple weeks.
15:27
[SPEAKER_00]: See how much right, you know, how much rushing he gets, and obviously the passing is a concern.
15:31
[SPEAKER_00]: But,
15:32
[SPEAKER_00]: I think Mason says it's going to be RB1.
15:34
[SPEAKER_00]: I think we're going to sell the O lines improve.
15:35
[SPEAKER_00]: I think they're going to want to take pressure off Tyler next to running quarterback.
15:39
[SPEAKER_00]: Right.
15:39
[SPEAKER_00]: That's all good for Mason.
15:40
[SPEAKER_00]: He's on the path in the passing game, but he is a beast mode.
15:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I think Aaron Jones is washed.
15:45
[SPEAKER_00]: It'd be very, very almost impossible for me to pass up toward Mason here.
15:49
[SPEAKER_00]: So, okay.
15:51
[SPEAKER_00]: So, so that's 108.
15:52
[SPEAKER_00]: So we go another 24.
15:54
[SPEAKER_00]: So we're like 132.
15:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Now we're now we're getting, now we're just like,
16:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Screw the ABP because nobody knows anything.
16:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I know some.
16:04
[SPEAKER_00]: I know a lot, but like we took Willis early.
16:06
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, whatever.
16:07
[SPEAKER_00]: So 138.
16:08
[SPEAKER_00]: We got Mason.
16:09
[SPEAKER_00]: So we were pretty stacked running back, but you want to be stacked at running back, especially allows you to trade.
16:14
[SPEAKER_00]: So now we're looking for a little wide receiver sleepers, right?
16:18
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't really want the wide receiver 40 like that's not my goal here, right?
16:22
[SPEAKER_00]: Like someone like
16:26
[SPEAKER_00]: To lose your career.
16:26
[SPEAKER_00]: I didn't think he's wide receiver 38 back back seasons, you know, I just made in a 16 team league or something, you know, or if I had like, milk neighbors or volatile wide receivers may be as sure, but no, no, I'm shooting moons here, right?
16:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, we're sheet sheet heat, right?
16:40
[SPEAKER_00]: As you can see, you can do a wide receiver too on Seattle over expecting Jason's target share to go down a bit.
16:44
[SPEAKER_00]: you know, she's explosive.
16:46
[SPEAKER_00]: You also get those punt returns.
16:48
[SPEAKER_00]: But for me, it's it's just no brainer.
16:50
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm taking a dishonest dribbling.
16:51
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's going to be the widest people want to say it for Cisco San Francisco.
16:54
[SPEAKER_00]: San Francisco always has a top 10 offense brought produce grade to the default.
16:57
[SPEAKER_00]: We just saw dribbling this first preseason game.
16:59
[SPEAKER_00]: He was great and he was like six for seven for like 84 yards.
17:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, the sub station, the Niners injuries are terrible.
17:06
[SPEAKER_00]: The Wikipedia cell thing is was brutal, absolutely brutal, but like,
17:11
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, rookie wide receivers are the cheat code every year.
17:14
[SPEAKER_00]: We get these great Banging up Pukas rookie rising to the BTJ is a rookie, right?
17:19
[SPEAKER_00]: These guys not only swing leagues They ruin the competitive balance because you just get a wide receiver one for nothing now Am I saying straight blue is gonna be that no, but he's got a 10% chance, right?
17:29
[SPEAKER_00]: If Mike Evans goes down like he does if Kiddles injury, you know, rehab off his Achilles doesn't go as quickly at 33 years old
17:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Scribbling could begin, you know, eight to ten targets, he's catching six a couple of little more bombs.
17:42
[SPEAKER_00]: You get six touchdowns, twelve hundred yards, like holy crap.
17:46
[SPEAKER_00]: That, you know, at that pick, absolutely nuts.
17:50
[SPEAKER_00]: A couple other guys that I like at wire to see over here, right?
17:52
[SPEAKER_00]: There's a lot of Denzel Boston help.
17:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Hi, but, you know, I just don't care about Cleveland.
17:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Boston might be the best for Steven the world here at Fairfand and might be the best Titan in the world.
18:00
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not drafting him.
18:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Um, although some of the fan and stats were crazy for the last year.
18:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
18:05
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know.
18:06
[SPEAKER_00]: It's okay.
18:06
[SPEAKER_00]: But I'm going from my guy 80 Mitchell because you got to get your guys.
18:10
[SPEAKER_00]: You have a plan.
18:11
[SPEAKER_00]: You do the work.
18:12
[SPEAKER_00]: You write down your guy.
18:13
[SPEAKER_00]: You drop them in pencil.
18:15
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, you circle him in sorrow.
18:16
[SPEAKER_00]: So right, 80 Mitchell is my guy last year.
18:18
[SPEAKER_00]: Right.
18:18
[SPEAKER_00]: He had bombs throwing him the ball without you know, Smith.
18:21
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe just as a, you know, oh.
18:23
[SPEAKER_00]: The rich fans bum buddy through for 4,400 yards two years ago, right?
18:27
[SPEAKER_00]: The jet's defense is terrible because we trade all the defensive stars.
18:30
[SPEAKER_00]: So if they're giving up 30 35 in game, they're throwing in second half.
18:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Oh, Mark Cooper, the rookie doesn't look like he's going to be good.
18:36
[SPEAKER_00]: Garrett Wilson is super talented, but, you know, frustrating.
18:40
[SPEAKER_00]: What if he gets hurt again, if 80 minutes, it'll fall.
18:42
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, fails upward into the wife of silver one roll.
18:45
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, you know, he could easily have a better season than than sibling right siblings got a clear path, but 80 Michel, we've seen it last year.
18:52
[SPEAKER_00]: He was getting all these targets.
18:53
[SPEAKER_00]: Yes, he wasn't catching a lot of them because they were poor, but his yak is great.
18:57
[SPEAKER_00]: It's just Sometimes you trust the numbers.
19:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Sometimes you trust the tape, but they be much while I watch.
19:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I will sadly watch other jets games.
19:03
[SPEAKER_00]: I trust the tape.
19:04
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay.
19:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Another guy we like here we can kind of go off script here because it just doesn't matter between the ADP 150 170 120 like you know draft the guys you like it's just people just putting names out here at this point.
19:18
[SPEAKER_00]: Jail and McMillan, right?
19:19
[SPEAKER_00]: I love the Mecca Buka.
19:20
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean you get McMillan too I mean if worst case scenario and off-down would.
19:24
[SPEAKER_00]: The Buka misses week one.
19:26
[SPEAKER_00]: Jail and McMillan, you know, create essentially the wider silver one.
19:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I'd priding Chris Gossom.
19:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Goddom's going to be
19:32
[SPEAKER_00]: He might be fine for a couple of weeks.
19:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Adam McBill also got hurt in his injury problem, but I just think big villains are supreme talent.
19:39
[SPEAKER_00]: My favorite saddest as the rookie, he was on the most fancy title team, right?
19:44
[SPEAKER_00]: That just means something.
19:45
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he had what eight touchdowns of the rookie.
19:47
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's the real deal.
19:48
[SPEAKER_00]: The dream is getting a boogab McMill and then Baker getting that kind of triple stack and then he's watching every camp again and hoping Baker contract clear though, right?
19:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't sleep on him.
19:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Just a couple other guys here we like, you know, Braille and Allen have a nice little did be debut in the preseason.
20:03
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, RB2 next to Breeze Hall, but, you know, Jets O'Line is whatever we talk that they're going to be down.
20:08
[SPEAKER_00]: So they're going to be past heavy and breezes with the running back involved in the past and game.
20:12
[SPEAKER_00]: A couple other guys, I mean, Marsha on Lloyd, I've always liked, but he can't say healthy, because we're fading Josh Jacobs and we got to be, you know, buying on whatever packers back up running back there is, it's just crazy to me.
20:25
[SPEAKER_00]: They don't have one.
20:26
[SPEAKER_00]: But this is where we just want to take shots, right?
20:29
[SPEAKER_00]: If we got a deeper league, say, got five bench spots, 12, 14, and I can, you know, I'm going to come for to be able to keep three players on my bench for a few weeks.
20:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, I love Ray Davis.
20:39
[SPEAKER_00]: James Cook never gets hurt, but what if he does?
20:42
[SPEAKER_00]: Ray Davis wins you yearly, right?
20:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Not these running backs to state healthy for a few years.
20:46
[SPEAKER_00]: It's it's unparalleled in history that these elite running backs aren't getting hurt,
20:53
[SPEAKER_00]: There are there's no other player here that can win your league with an injury, right?
20:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, you know, trade talker, what, Brock Bauer's gets hurt, truck will be fine, I guess.
21:01
[SPEAKER_00]: Untaving wicks, what if do a divante Smith gets hurt, maybe works is fine.
21:04
[SPEAKER_00]: But a James Cook gets hurt, right, Davis wins your league.
21:07
[SPEAKER_00]: That's just how we're assuming you didn't have James Cook.
21:09
[SPEAKER_00]: And then also, you could always draw a draft, right, Davis, and then, you know, if the guy with Cook is paranoid, maybe he wants to, but just buy insurance, right?
21:17
[SPEAKER_00]: A couple other guys, right?
21:19
[SPEAKER_00]: on the jets, can you in city?
21:21
[SPEAKER_00]: We've to, you know, I know he's nursing an injury, but how many years in a row do we have to see rookie tight ends blow up and then be undervalued, right?
21:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Sam will port a broke the record, broke the record, broke the record, tight end one, tight end one.
21:33
[SPEAKER_00]: Last year we had Tyler Warren, we've called some lovelin, even around a gas and have this little run.
21:37
[SPEAKER_00]: These these rookie tight ends.
21:39
[SPEAKER_00]: The rookie tight end wall doesn't exist anymore.
21:41
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's just like why not take a flyer.
21:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Right.
21:44
[SPEAKER_00]: So I would when my next pick.
21:45
[SPEAKER_00]: I would take city.
21:46
[SPEAKER_00]: I know I got lovelin, but I love going elite tight end rookie tight end.
21:50
[SPEAKER_00]: It's worked for a couple years.
21:51
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a proven strategy.
21:52
[SPEAKER_00]: And until it fails, I'm going to keep doing it.
21:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay.
21:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's let's just go for another minute here.
21:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Anyone else I really like scrolling scrolling.
22:01
[SPEAKER_00]: a manual Wilson on Seattle.
22:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I, you know, my favorite stat is Green Bay.
22:05
[SPEAKER_00]: It was the only running back across 100 yards last season.
22:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
22:08
[SPEAKER_00]: So I could just take it up.
22:09
[SPEAKER_00]: I had like 29 carries, but it's still funny.
22:13
[SPEAKER_00]: And then we're just looking like crazy upside.
22:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, date on blue, right?
22:16
[SPEAKER_00]: Second, you're running back.
22:18
[SPEAKER_00]: There's this thing where these rookie running back, don't have great years or good years, or even play it like date on blue, but like trade bets and what's terrible is a rookie.
22:24
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, whose terrible is a rookie?
22:25
[SPEAKER_00]: Like for a country miller on the Saints is terrible, but they make the little mini leap.
22:31
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the biggest jump is rookie running back to sophomore running back, right?
22:35
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it's really understated.
22:37
[SPEAKER_00]: So date on blue, right?
22:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Great offense and Dallas.
22:39
[SPEAKER_00]: So if, you know,
22:40
[SPEAKER_00]: advantage Williams.
22:41
[SPEAKER_00]: He's sneaky.
22:42
[SPEAKER_00]: Been healthy.
22:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Just not productive.
22:44
[SPEAKER_00]: But, you know, let's see.
22:45
[SPEAKER_00]: Can he do it again?
22:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Cause if they don't blues and leash, not quite leaving, winning like great Davis, but massive, massive bump.
22:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Cateron Allen, again, don't over act of preseason.
22:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't over act, but he just had a ton of carries.
22:56
[SPEAKER_00]: They all look good.
22:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Everyone downgraded the Washington offense.
22:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Cause Larry, and we counseled that hurt.
23:01
[SPEAKER_00]: one of the best tackles in the game and he's behind JPM and Rashad Smith, but like Rashad White, sorry, but not like totally behind them, but not like they're only starting, you know, they're only ahead of him in the depth chart by default.
23:12
[SPEAKER_00]: So K-Trone Allen's a very, very sneaky name, rookie, running back.
23:16
[SPEAKER_00]: You want to take a shot.
23:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, one more tip, one more tip.
23:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Who do we like?
23:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Scrolling, scrolling, scrolling, scrolling.
23:22
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not a lot to love here.
23:24
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe we can go up a bit, right?
23:27
[SPEAKER_00]: The only guy that may be kind of sneaky like Isaac Tesla, right?
23:33
[SPEAKER_00]: We want to invest our sleepers in great offenses, right?
23:37
[SPEAKER_00]: The third wide receiver on Cleveland, who cares?
23:40
[SPEAKER_00]: The third wide receiver on Tennessee, who cares?
23:42
[SPEAKER_00]: Because that offense isn't going to be thrown for 4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns.
23:46
[SPEAKER_00]: That's what LeWon.
23:47
[SPEAKER_00]: That's what Jericho off does.
23:48
[SPEAKER_00]: He's in throw a 4,500 yards and 30 touchdowns.
23:51
[SPEAKER_00]: He's probably going to throw him all to Montespebrown and James to Williams, but Montespebrown never got hurt.
23:56
[SPEAKER_00]: But James to Williams does have injury history, if and say, I'm the port of God hurt last year, right?
24:00
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to get a bunch of the touchdowns.
24:02
[SPEAKER_00]: If one of those guys does go down, Tesla is a touchdown machine.
24:06
[SPEAKER_00]: He gets a bump of the depth chart.
24:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, he's just he's a monster, right?
24:10
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's like, that's role one, well, there's a lot of rules, but all of you these sleepers should be on good offense, right?
24:20
[SPEAKER_00]: So if he steals the RB1 job, it's a nice promotion too, you know, I'm blue.
24:24
[SPEAKER_00]: Look, that offense, Dallas.
24:26
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, so if you like this on YouTube, give me a like, give me a subscribe.
24:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Let me know.
24:31
[SPEAKER_00]: See, that's the greatest team of all time.
24:33
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I probably did.
24:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Let me know if you have your own strategy or did I miss a pick?
24:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Do I screw up my math?
24:39
[SPEAKER_00]: I hope not.
24:40
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll do another one for the middle and I'll do another one for the beginning.
24:42
[SPEAKER_00]: I just wanted to start on the end because I think it's the most undervalued spot in fantasy.
24:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, so check me out.
24:49
[SPEAKER_00]: Check out our draft guide.
24:50
[SPEAKER_00]: That's work ethos.com.
24:51
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24:54
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24:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, until next time.