Latest / Triple Da Money / We Found the Money Cheat Code (Polymarket Exposed)
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_01: Gentlemen and lady, I have found the cheat code.
- 0:03SPEAKER_02: Last time you said that, you bought a$40 ab simulator and it shocked you for a month.
- 0:08SPEAKER_01: My abs are in there, they're just shy.
- 0:11SPEAKER_01: Listen, this app is legal now that we're 18.
- 0:14SPEAKER_01: You can't bet on sports until you're 21 in most states, but this is it the poly market?
- 0:21SPEAKER_01: How do you know?
- 0:22SPEAKER_01: This is investing in the future.
- 0:24SPEAKER_01: I'm basically Warren Buffett.
- 0:26SPEAKER_02: You're basically Warren Buffering.
- 0:29SPEAKER_00: It's not investing, but we're not gonna tell you that.
- 0:32SPEAKER_00: We're gonna make you figure it out by yourself.
- 0:35SPEAKER_00: Four scenarios, no names, and you tell me if it's gambling or if it's investing.
- 0:42SPEAKER_00: And the loser does the dishes for a week.
- 0:46SPEAKER_01: I don't lose.
- 0:47SPEAKER_01: You lost the fight to a revolving door.
- 0:50SPEAKER_00: Scenario A.
- 0:52SPEAKER_00: You put$20 on an event and it happened on Saturday at 7 p.m.
- 0:58SPEAKER_00: If one side wins, you get$40.
- 1:01SPEAKER_00: If another side wins, you get zero.
- 1:04SPEAKER_00: By 10 p.m., it's over.
- 1:06SPEAKER_02: Investing.
- 1:07SPEAKER_01: I did research.
- 1:08SPEAKER_01: What research?
- 1:10SPEAKER_01: I watch highlights for four hours.
- 1:12SPEAKER_01: That's gambling.
- 1:13SPEAKER_00: Hold that.
- 1:14SPEAKER_00: Scenario B.
- 1:16SPEAKER_00: Friday night, five guys around a table.
- 1:19SPEAKER_00: Every guy puts in$20, and one guy walks away with all of it.
- 1:24SPEAKER_00: Everyone else goes home with zero and lies to their mom about where the money went.
- 1:30SPEAKER_02: That's just poker.
- 1:32SPEAKER_00: I said no names.
- 1:34SPEAKER_01: That's gambling.
- 1:35SPEAKER_01: That's every Friday night in Jake's garage.
- 1:40SPEAKER_00: Scenario C.
- 1:41SPEAKER_00: You put$20 on whether something is gonna happen by Wednesday.
- 1:46SPEAKER_00: You buy yes shares for 50 cents each.
- 1:49SPEAKER_00: If it happens, then every share pays a dollar.
- 1:53SPEAKER_00: And if it doesn't, every share pays zero.
- 1:56SPEAKER_01: It has shares.
- 1:57SPEAKER_01: Shares are stocks, and stocks are investing.
- 2:00SPEAKER_01: Write that down.
- 2:01SPEAKER_01: I'm a genius.
- 2:03SPEAKER_02: You thought net worth was how much your fishing net cost.
- 2:06SPEAKER_01: And it was a lot.
- 2:09SPEAKER_00: Scenario D.
- 2:10SPEAKER_00: You put$20 into a small slice of the 500 biggest companies in America.
- 2:17SPEAKER_00: No end date.
- 2:18SPEAKER_00: Some years it goes down, and others it goes up.
- 2:22SPEAKER_02: That's boring.
- 2:23SPEAKER_02: That's so boring.
- 2:24SPEAKER_02: That's dad's in cargo shorts boring.
- 2:26SPEAKER_02: That's investing.
- 2:28SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 2:29SPEAKER_00: Reveals.
- 2:30SPEAKER_00: Scenario A was sports betting.
- 2:32SPEAKER_00: B was poker.
- 2:34SPEAKER_00: C was the polymarket.
- 2:36SPEAKER_00: And D, the boring one, was the SP 500 fund.
- 2:41SPEAKER_01: Wait, so A, B, and C are the same thing?
- 2:44SPEAKER_01: In different outfits.
- 2:46SPEAKER_01: Polymarket is just sports betting wearing a suit.
- 2:49SPEAKER_00: Look at what A, B, and C all have in common.
- 2:53SPEAKER_00: A set date, and you either win or you lose.
- 2:57SPEAKER_00: Nothing in between.
- 2:58SPEAKER_00: Only D lets your money grow without having something to lose.
- 3:02SPEAKER_02: So who does the dishes?
- 3:04SPEAKER_00: Brandon said the polymarket was investing.
- 3:08SPEAKER_00: And you said that sports betting was investing.
- 3:13SPEAKER_00: You both do dishes.
- 3:15SPEAKER_01: Fine.
- 3:15SPEAKER_01: I'm investing in clean plates.
- 3:19SPEAKER_01: That's not investing.
- 3:20SPEAKER_01: I know that now.
- 3:23SPEAKER_00: Polymarket is a prediction market.
- 3:25SPEAKER_00: You bet on real-world stuff.
- 3:28SPEAKER_00: Elections, sports, whether crypto goes up this week, or even if some celebrity is gonna get married.
- 3:35SPEAKER_01: Can I bet if Austin gets a girlfriend this year?
- 3:38SPEAKER_01: Don't.
- 3:38SPEAKER_01: The market's at three cents.
- 3:41SPEAKER_01: That's disrespectful and probably accurate.
- 3:44SPEAKER_00: That's actually how it works.
- 3:46SPEAKER_00: The price is the odds.
- 3:48SPEAKER_00: If yes shares are 70 cents, then about 70% of the crowd thinks it's gonna happen.
- 3:55SPEAKER_00: And the crowd is pretty good at guessing.
- 3:58SPEAKER_00: In the 2024 election, it called the winner, even though a lot of polls were saying it was a coin flip.
- 4:05SPEAKER_02: So I just bet with the crowd.
- 4:07SPEAKER_02: Easy money.
- 4:08SPEAKER_00: When you're paying 90 cents to win 10 cents, and then the 10% thing happens.
- 4:15SPEAKER_02: I lose 90.
- 4:16SPEAKER_00: Yep, you lose 90.
- 4:19SPEAKER_02: That's like losing to a level one bot.
- 4:21SPEAKER_00: Funny that you say bots.
- 4:23SPEAKER_00: Here's the part that nobody tells you: you're not betting against the poly market, you're betting against other people.
- 4:31SPEAKER_00: Every dollar that a winner makes comes out of a dollar that someone else lost.
- 4:36SPEAKER_00: And a lot of people on the other side are pros with computer programs that just trade all day.
- 4:43SPEAKER_00: Most regular traders lose money.
- 4:46SPEAKER_01: So I'm a teenager with$20 in a dream.
- 4:49SPEAKER_00: Going up against a guy with six monitors and a bot named the Destroyer.
- 4:55SPEAKER_01: That's every Fortnite lobby I've ever been in.
- 4:58SPEAKER_00: There's an old saying at the poker table: if you can't spot the sucker, it's you.
- 5:03SPEAKER_01: Okay, but if it's gambling, then why would they make the age limit 18 and not 21?
- 5:09SPEAKER_00: Because it's set up as a financial trading platform, not a casino.
- 5:14SPEAKER_00: So there's different rules, different ages, even though it's all the same game.
- 5:19SPEAKER_01: So 18 isn't a green light, it's a loophole.
- 5:22SPEAKER_01: Like when mom said there's no phones at dinner, so I brought my iPad.
- 5:27SPEAKER_00: Two tests on if you're ever confused on whether something is gambling or investing, run these.
- 5:33SPEAKER_00: Can it go all the way to zero by a set date?
- 5:36SPEAKER_00: You either win everything or you lose everything.
- 5:40SPEAKER_00: Nothing in between.
- 5:42SPEAKER_00: That's gambling.
- 5:43SPEAKER_02: But stocks can go to zero too.
- 5:46SPEAKER_00: Yeah, but it almost never happens overnight.
- 5:49SPEAKER_00: Even Enron, one of the biggest scams in company history, had a couple of months worth of warning signs.
- 5:56SPEAKER_00: To lose everything in a real investment, you usually have to ride it all the way down.
- 6:02SPEAKER_01: Like Austin riding down the hill without any brakes.
- 6:06SPEAKER_01: He saw it coming, but he didn't get off.
- 6:08SPEAKER_01: The bike was fine.
- 6:09SPEAKER_01: The mailbox was not.
- 6:11SPEAKER_00: The stock market averages about 10% every year.
- 6:15SPEAKER_00: So if something promises to double your money by Saturday, that's gambling.
- 6:21SPEAKER_00: If a guy on a TikTok says it while leaning on a Lamborghini, extra gambling.
- 6:26SPEAKER_01: How do you know it's rented?
- 6:27SPEAKER_00: It's always rented.
- 6:29SPEAKER_01: Okay, new plan.
- 6:30SPEAKER_01: I won't bet on the poly market.
- 6:32SPEAKER_01: I'll just watch the poly market to see if crypto is moving up, and then I'll just put all my money in crypto.
- 6:38SPEAKER_01: So you're gambling on a gamble?
- 6:40SPEAKER_01: It's called a strategy.
- 6:42SPEAKER_00: This is not financial advice.
- 6:45SPEAKER_01: It's barely even advice.
- 6:47SPEAKER_02: Wait, what about junk bonds?
- 6:49SPEAKER_02: They pay way more, and those companies can go bankrupt.
- 6:52SPEAKER_02: Is that gambling?
- 6:53SPEAKER_00: Just don't.
- 6:54SPEAKER_01: You're gonna break the episode.
- 6:56SPEAKER_00: Junk bonds are technically investing, but go watch our previous video on bonds.
- 7:04SPEAKER_00: The polymarket isn't evil.
- 7:06SPEAKER_00: It's entertainment.
- 7:08SPEAKER_00: Like a movie theater ticket.
- 7:10SPEAKER_00: If you play, only use money that you'd be fine never seeing again.
- 7:16SPEAKER_02: It's not a plan if you want money that actually grows.
- 7:18SPEAKER_02: Boring wins, invest in an index fund.
- 7:21SPEAKER_02: And once you got a job, a Roth IRA.
- 7:23SPEAKER_00: Boring makes you rich, but exciting makes you a story at the Thanksgiving dinner table.
- 7:29SPEAKER_00: And if it can go to zero by Saturday, it's gambling, we are troubled of money, we are teenagers, and this is not financial advice.
- 7:37SPEAKER_01: It's just smart.