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NFL Week 14 Parlay Show · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the favorites. I am Jeff Schwartz. This is
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: our Monday parlay show and with me as usual when
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: Chad is out in his black jack fetcher and Paula Duca. Gentlemen,
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: how are we doing this Monday morning? Great? Shwartsy, how
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: about you? I'm fantastic, Polly. How you doing today, Buddy?
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I'm doing great as usual on this Monday beautiful morning. Man.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: What was your worst what was your worst bad beat
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: this weekend? Paully, I beg one of our worst beats
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: ever this weekend, as in a funny beat. I am
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: positive as Scotty Montgomery, the coach at East Carolina played
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: the over the intern over East Carolina against NC State
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: with sixty this weekend. Now, if you go look at
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: the steps and see State had over six hundred yards
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: on off East Carolina had a hundred. Well, the end
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: of that game, it's fifty eight. Nothing was like a
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: minute left in East Carolina has the ball. At this point,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: they have fifty yards of offense. Guy runs the ball
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: fifty four yards all the way down to the NC
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: State like thirty yard line. They proceed to run two
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: more plays and not gain a yard. Now there's three
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: seconds left and they run out of bounds and they
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: start lining up to kick a field goal down fifty
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: eight nothing, and the under and over is sixty. Then
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: NC State coach starts using the kicker because he wants
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: the shutout, and of course to get drill it to
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: make a three sixty one. I think Lauren Joffrey ow
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: Lauren Joffy had it under. It was the most comical.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: It's not it's not an awful beat, not a bad beat,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: but it was the most comical beat of the NC
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: State coach tried to ice the kicker, and then Scotty
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Montgomery actually tried to kick the drill goal down fifty
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: eight nothing. Have I know, we've had some rough weekends,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: all three of us. What do you do? You have
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: a bad one this weekend? They were all bad, Jeff,
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: Every single one of them was bad. I mean I
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: had the Indianapolis Colts who lost six to nothing to
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: the jack Yes, the Jaguars had two hundred and eleven
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: total yards of offense and one a game. I had
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns who just got obliterated by the Texans.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: I had the Steelers who choked it away at home
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: against the Chargers. I mean, it was just it was
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: a disaster of a weekend. I said this to someone
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: in our office this morning. Chad and I look at
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: gambling very very differently, and somehow we both went over
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: for Sunday. I don't know how that happens. Um. Your
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: show on Friday was contentious. It was fantastic. It was
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: a lot of real anger. I feel like, really like
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: you both despise each other's betting styles. You bet more
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: like a combination of the public and a little bit
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: of sharp and Chad obviously tries to be as sharp
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: all the time. And you're right to produce some interesting
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: result because this weekend, Look on the NFL side, it
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: was weird, right, we had and look and all of
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: us did this. So I think PAULI bet the bet
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: the Patriots. But you know the Vikings, right, the Vikings
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: felt like the right play in New England. Of course,
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: it wasn't the right play. They covered that as usual
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: at home. Um, and you know, some big favorites continue
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: to just you know the rams. For example, I had
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: Detroit plus ten. I thought that was the right place,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: felt the right play the entire game. Well, guess what
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: they covered the very end, you know as well, there
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: we was just some you know, Seattle covers big as well.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: There's just some weird games again this weekend. Um, and
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: my worst beat, I think a couple of them. I mean,
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: like I had Utah plus five in the Patrol Challenge game.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: They lost ten to three. I mean, come on, that
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: was a bad DJ. I mean, listen was about ready
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: to take the momentum and listening, kid drops the ball,
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: bounces off his handstrinking kid from Washington goes seventy yards home.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: Amum of that game. So just there was things like that.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: And in college football, Memphis collapsed in the second half.
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: How about Buffalo being up twenty nine to ten against
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: n a U and NUI ranked offense and they scored
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: like thirty points in a row. There was a lot
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: of collapses in the second half this week, you know,
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: in especially college football. Yeah, I mean I think I
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: think my favorite, well, Texas getting not covered as pretty
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: brutal too in that Oklahoma game. But I had so
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: I had the Jets yesterday the under the under team
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: total of sixteen and a half. Like I knew they'd
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: go into Tennessee and not play well offensively. I was
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: certain of it. They had not played well on the
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: road all season. Tennessee is a really good defense, so
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: I was right. The Jets had five field goals on offense,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: so fifteen points, but they had had to pick six
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: in the first quarter and went over. I mean, what
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: are you gonna do at that point? Um? All right,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna have a great week of of our
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: parlay bets. Last week I was one in two, Chad
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: was one in two, Paul was one and two, and
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: this week I feel we're gonna have a great week. Now.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Look college football. By the way, only one college football
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: game this weekend Army Navy, so big slide NFL. We
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: can also, because parlay's last, however long you want to
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: make them, we can put in futures in this. We
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: can put a basketball game, a hockey whatever you want
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: to guys want to do, we can do whatever we want.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: So just a quick reminder of how this works. We'll
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: take a look at everything that's that's ahead of us
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: for the week, like we talked about, like I just
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: mentioned Um, and we'll put him into a nine team
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: parlay twenty bucks a person sixty bucks to win twenty thousand.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: We've been sort of close sometimes, but I think this
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: week we're really gonna get it. I'm gonna start us
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: off as usual. Let's get some some NFL action here.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: The Ravens are are plus seven right now in Kansas City.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Opened at nine. I should have grabbed yester. I looked
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: at it yesterday, thought to myself of grabbing it. Didn't
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: do it. But I'll still take Baltimore plus seven. Here.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Give you a couple of reasons why. Um, Obviously I'm
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: a Chiefs fan. I'll sart of out there. So I
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: watched every Chief snap Paul Pusible. Um, and the Chiefs
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: have games every year that Baltimore is a perfect example
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: of this, of this game where they play a home
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: game and they just have a complete stinker. And it's
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: typically gets a team that runs the ball well and
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: plays good defense and gets what the Ravens do. They
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: play good defense and I run the football, especially with
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, and they've won three straight games. Um, and
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: it's just just right for the Chiefs can still win
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: this game. I think they will, but this is ripe
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: for Chiefs. Three to four point victory where the Ravens
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: run the ball for two and fifty yards. They are
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: able to shut down this office just a little bit. Now,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs did not miss Kareem Hunt yesterday. They probably
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: won't miss him very much. They play the Raiders, though, right,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: and and the Chiefs defense all the Raiders to to
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: almost win that game. It was then the fourth quarter
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: before Chiefs added a late touchdown. So give me Baltimore
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: plus seven? Uh, PAULI, what do you think about that?
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: They've surprised me. I played against Baltimore in the last
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: three weeks. I mean even RG I know, I mean
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: like play well, Um and Jacker came in and sealed
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: the deal. Their defense was just uh was just dominant
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: to Um when they get to lead the two dangers
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: and you're right, they're playing the ball control game. But
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty accurate. He's been pretty good, better than
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: I thought he would be. Yeah, I like this pick
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: a lot, Jeff, because I think that after we you know,
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: we we saw we got another look at that Chiefs
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: defense against the Raiders. You know, we saw what the
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: Rams did, but you didn't expect the Raiders to go
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: in there and put thirty three on the board. H
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson's gonna shred that Chiefs defense. I mean, they
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: are going to run all over them. It's it's I
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: think they'll absolutely hang in this game. I think seven's
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: too many. Um, so yeah, I'm with you. I like it, Paul,
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: You're up, buddy. Okay, Well, um, I'm just gonna go
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: with the principal. You just can't lay too many points
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: and the Buffalo Bells being nine point favorite is just
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: too much for me. So I'll play the Jets in
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: somewhat of a revenge game. I guess, considering the Jets
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: got beat by the Bills, I'll have time they play,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: So I'll take the nine points in Buffalo. This game
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: has a sel sixteen thirteen, even though the Bills I
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: don't know how they keep doing it consistently are in
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: games and maybe Josh Allen is like proven that he
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: has a little gusto in him and he's a winner.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: I thought Darnall played a little bit better this weekend,
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: and like I said, after they get the gown out
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: n this game is sort of start to tighten up
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: the second time they played each other. So I'll take
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: the nine points. I mean, the Bills being a nine
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: point favorite at home, I don't think that we probably
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: have to go probably like six or seven years back
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: for them to be that bigger than the favorite at home.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: But I mean, PAULI, if you can catch nine, I
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: absolutely would do that. Um but I mean I see
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: three and a half most places, so I don't it's
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: nine on the app That's what I didn't understand. What
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: if it was bound before. Well, there's one book that
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: has that has nine, and then there's every other book
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: that has Buffalo minus three and a half. Okay, that's
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: what I thought. I'm stupid anyway. So so you're taking
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: we're taking the nine. We are we gonna lock we
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: gotta lock this in somewhere, lock it in somewhere. So
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: there is a nine, black there is a nine there.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at a nine. Okay, well we have a
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: nine and nine it is look at us, all right.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: I like this as well. Let me come on, Buffalo
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: should not be nine point favorite against anybody, and it's ridiculous.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: That's that's that's a mistake. And hopefully people, if you're
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: listening to the show this morning, go find this line
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: and go jump on it as quick as possible. Alright,
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: black Jack, you're up, buddy, all right, listen, there's no
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: more college football except for Army Navy. But you know what, Jeff,
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: no problem. We're going to the ice, brother, We're going
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: to the NHL. We're gonna take a look at Saturday's
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: slate is a game I love here and Jeff, I
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: know you're gonna love it. It's our Vegas Golden Nights
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: playing the l A King's. Vegas hasn't played quite as
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: well as they did last year, but there's been one
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: thing that still holds true. They own the Los Angeles Kings.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: They've got their number, baby, they dominate that team. I'm
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: taking the Nights on the road Saturday, four pm Eastern.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: Golden Knights money line absolutely fantastic. You know that my
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: hockey gambling consists of following your picks, especially if you
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: have the Golden Knights. I'm rolling with it. PAULI do
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: you are? Paul? Are you a heavy hockey gambler? No,
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: I don't play. I think I played one game last year,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: but no, I like have my um Las Vegas Nights
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: Jersey because of all the money that black jack went
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: last year, so I was on his train. So yeah,
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: I'm with them. I agree with this. I'm I'm in
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: on this alright, guys, Let's go to my second pick. Um,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: my third one is gonna be a doozy. By the way,
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: I have a fun I didn't have a fun third one,
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: but my my second one here, Let's go to Arizona
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Cardinals plus two and a half at home against the
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: lines that this is outrageous. The lines are not good
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: enough to be a favorite on the road against anybody.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: They can't score right now in Arizona just came off
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: being the Packers. It doesn't matter. The Packers maybe have
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: quit or not quit. They went into lambau Field and
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: the game the Packers had to win and won this game.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Now they go back home and everyone, of course so
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: far early on is taking the Lions. The line has
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: gone up, it might even go up even more. But
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals defense, by the way, has played decently enough,
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: especially at home. Look, yes, the Chargers game wasn't very good,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: but Rosen keeps improving, right. I just I don't trust
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: the Lions quite honestly, to go on the road and
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: cover this spread. I don't even trust them to win
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: this game, quite honestly, on the road. They're a complete
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: wreck right now. They're four and six see me four
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: and eight. Um, I like the Cardinals here, and also
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: because the public is throwing all their money on the
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: Lions early on. Yeah, I actually liked it. That was
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: a big win for rosen Um. They moved the ball
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: consistently yesterday, and like Matt Stafford came down and tried
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: to with the back door recovery yesterday, or at least
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: try to. Is it me or Stafford ever gonna learn
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: to throw a ball less than a d eighty miles
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: an hour on a five yard game route from the
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: five yard line, Probably not God, So I actually don't
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: mind his pick. And you listen, when you have a
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: young quarterback, Craig mcvarn, we've got one quarterback and the
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: season's over. She's over for both teams, the younger quarterback,
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: and I would think the guys are gonna play more
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: for him and try to progress, especially for Wilkes to
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: first year coach. So I don't mind this play at all.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: I like it. Swartsy, I like it a lot. I've
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: been high on the Cardinals this year. I you know,
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: Steve Wilkes the first year as a head coach. He
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: he obviously needs a little bit of experiencing game. But
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: everything you read coming out of Arizona is that the
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: players really love him. They're playing hard for him. You know.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: Rosen I think is developing. It's been a little slower
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: than I than I kind of expected it to be,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: but he's getting there. David Johnson's getting more involved lately.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: Um and yeah, the Lions just don't do it for me. Man,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what's going on there.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Matt Patricia has not impressed. He's done some weird things,
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: said some weird things. I that team's done. I'm with you,
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: they shouldn't be a road favorite. I'm taking the points
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: to the home team. Because Patricia actually used that pencil.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: I am not seen to use the pencil. No. I
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: feel like, I feel like, if you're a head coach, though,
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: you have to present yourself a certain manner, Like I
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: get the Bears. The thing. He doesn't even look like
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: he brushes the beard. It's just like he wakes up
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: in the morning. It just shows up at the facility.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: Like you're a head coach. Man, It's okay to have
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: a beard, but like, can you brush it a little bit?
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: Maybe one if there's a lady rolling in there, or
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: a guy that has no clue. He could be mistaken
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: for the Christodian. How about the first game this season
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: he worked a backwards hat. Yeah yeah, I mean that's
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: when I knew Chris Mullen was a joke. When Chris
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: Mullen became the head coach of St. John's and he
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: worked shorts on the sidelines, that was it me. Wait,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: I thought of MAUI like they in the opening tournaments,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: they wear shorts and stuff coaches. It doesn't matter. You
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: don't wear shorts on the side of any program. Jack.
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: I don't think men should ever wear shorts unless you're
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: like Frank push that you wear a s should should?
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Should everyone go? Should everyone do? The Mike Nolan on
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: the sidelines in the NFL, just wear a suit. Remember
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: Mike Nolan warre suit. But by the way, the suit
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: was like sponsored by Rebok. They wouldn't let him wear
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: his own suits like that, he had Rebok sponsored suits
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: he was wearing on the sidelines. Very awkward if it
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: just looked weird. If Paul la Duca were coaching an
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: NFL team, he would be wearing a suit. I've never
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: seen the man anything other than a suit or so yeah,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: I would go Kane Stewart or why why can't if
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: baseball managers wear the uniform, which is still a weird
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: thing in my opinion, Gabel cabe Keatler is like there
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: was only coach last year. I just refused to wear
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: uniform at all, Like he didn'tven have it underneath right
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: because he just wore the pull over every game. So
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: how funny would be if Bill Belichick was out there
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: yesterday custy Adam feeling while wearing a full uniform with
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: New England Patriots, It would be It would be unbelievable
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: if he is as well Bobby Cox were Spikes his
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: whole career as the manager. Yeah, listen, if we're talking
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: about if we're talking about coaches wearing NFL uniforms, I
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: gotta see Andy Reid in some spandex. Oh my god.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: And Raid is the best. He would not the all
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: white uniforms will not be good for him, not be
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: good for him. I love you Andy, all right, Paul.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: I believe you're up, buddy. Okay, So I got theto
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: last week on the Texans and it was a layup.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: It was a layup. I told the baker Mayfield to
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: joke and that the Texas going to be But now
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: they come back with the Texans minus five basically last
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: week is a weird line, right, you come back with
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: four and a half after the Colts get shut out.
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: I think the Colts, and I know you don't want
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: to us. I don't want to be on the sharp side,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: but I think the Colts the sharp side here. So
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: I like the Colts plus the four and a half points.
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: I have a feeling that this game is to come
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: down and they love possession. The Colts need this game,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna have to run the football because they
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: cannot protect. They have protected Andrew Ducktis yesterday they didn't
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: but up till yesterday, and they're gonna have to run
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: the ball a little bit better. I mean, there's absolutely
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: no offense. I think the knee jerk reaction would be
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: after watching Indianapolis do nothing. Um, I think a lot
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: of the action there idiots on Easton saying they're on
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: a roll. But I just have a feeling that Indianapolis
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: and Andrew Luck somehow is going to stay in this game.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be a three point game. I love this fact.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: I don't even I don't even look at this. I mean,
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: I think you're absolutely all the public money so far
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: as being thrown in Texans not surprisingly after Colts get
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: shut up. But how often do we see Andrew luck
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: team get shut out? There's gotta be a notes early
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: in the weekend. We don't have all the information in
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: front of us at this time. So but like, there's
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: there's gotta be something where if you can shut out
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: the next week, you score forty points a week after, right,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's there's no way that the Coast don't
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: come into this game and score a lot of points.
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: I agree with you here, four and a half seems
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: like a great pick. I'm not going to throw the
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: flag on you here, PAULI, but I will tell you
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: I'm concerned. I'm concerned about this because I've I've been
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: on the side of fading the Texans for a few weeks.
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: I've been high on the Colts. I don't know, man,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: at some point do we just have to look in
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: the mirror and realize that maybe the Texans team is legit,
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Like maybe they're just really good almost. I think the
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: Texans for you are like the Ravens for me, like
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: I can't. But the difference is this team is nine
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: and three. Yeah, I know the Ravens, they're getting fed
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Plata and amost not no way you're making this guy
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: can't playing bloom shacka locka. They're playing better. It's like, yeah,
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: I get what you're seeing. The one thing that worries
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: about the Texans, and this is where it looks DeShawn
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: Wants has not thrown for over two hundred and thirty
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: nine yards in the last seven games. Like this is
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: a passing league and they win one way, and that
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: to me is a concern. That's why when you have
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: a Colts team that's more well rounded with the way
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: they can win football games, That's what worries me about
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: the Texans is they win one star. That's the same
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: with the Cowboys, right, And look, I know it's maybe
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: tough sometimes to to convince yourself that that's a winning way,
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: but I can't. I can't see it. Like the Colts
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: can do a lot of things and they're gonna come
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: in this game upset, especially they lost the first game
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: over time and that was a close game as well.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: I just I can't. Maybe the Texas win this game
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: by overfield goal. I don't see it, man, Yeah, I
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: mean that. That's why I'm not throwing the flag on
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: a Pouli because I think it's it's close. And you know,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: you're catching four and a half indivisional game, as you said,
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: Andy has to have, and they're off a bad effort,
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: so you know, let's let's hope for the best. All right,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: you're a buddy. My next pick, I'm sticking with the
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: NFL here, I'm taking the surest betting entire damn league,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: and it's in New England. Patriots. All right. I don't
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: care that they're in Miami. I don't care that they
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: struggle in Miami. You know what I do care about
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: that everyone listening to this has already gone and bet
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: Miami plus nine and the numbers now down to eight.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: All right, give me the Patriots and laying the eight points.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: They are the only certainty in the NFL weekend week out.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: They not only win games, they cover them. And if
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: you need a little extra motivation, this game matters to them,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: whereas a lot of years it doesn't. Because they've got
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: the Texans right on their heels for the second seed
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: in the a f C. They're still trying to catch
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Kansas City for the one seed. This game is important
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: to New England. New England by about a thousand. They
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: have struggle for whatever reason in Miami. It's very odd.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: I don't get it, um, but isn't this true? Man?
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: We have all these teams kind of like all up
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: in the air, and Steelers a struggle last night, and
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: Chargers playing well, and the Chiefs didn't terribly great against
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: the Raiders, and and the Ravens of one three in
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: a row with them are jack like everything is kind
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: of like this is weird. And then look over here
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: in New England just quietly stomps the Vikings out playing
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: some good football. It's just New England's playing their football
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: in December like they should be. And so I agree
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: with you. I think they go into Miami and try
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: to solve this curse of the Dolphins, um and cover
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: this game. So I'm with you here, all right. I'm
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: a third pick already. Um. I said I was gonna
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: be weird with it. And also I'm gonna throw it
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: a pick. I'm not gonna take this pick, but I'm
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: in this parlay, but I will take it eventually. Alabama
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma under seven or nine and a half. It's gonna happen.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: I'm that was gonna be my word. I'm not gonna
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: take it here because I found another pick that I
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: think is better for this week. Especially give me the
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: Browns at home plus one over the Panthers. First of all,
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: the Panthers are now like one in six against the
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: spread on the road or one in five agains. They're
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: awful on the road this season, awful on the road
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: this season, and for whatever reason, of course, everyone's betting
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: on the on the Panthers again so far. Uh in Cleveland, Yes,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: Cleveland came off their worst performance of the year offensively
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: really may feels you know, through for a thousand yards,
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: but three three turnovers. Uh, they played better than the
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: second half of that game. The Panthers are not the Texans.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: The Panthers go back on the road again. They've lost
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: four in a row now, Greg Olsen out for the
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: season with a busted up foot. Cam Newton's shoulder is
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: not what it used to be. They had to bring
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: in the backup to throw a fifty yard of hail mary,
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: not not seventy a fifty yard hail mary. They're bringing
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: the backup quarterback for that. The Panthers team looks lost
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: right now. Defensively, they are not what they're supposed to be.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: Ron Rivera took over the defensive play calling juice from
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: Eric Washington. I think they're in disarray. Um. I like
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: the Browns here to win this game outright, and you
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: give me a point, I'll take it. I love it.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: I love it the Panthers. I I was high on
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: the Panthers about three or four weeks ago, and now, Jeff,
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: I'm officially ready to say they stink. They stink a
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: bad team, and I'm gonna go one step further. They're
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: gonna totally finish this collapse. And Ron Rivera is out
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: of a job at the You know, I like I
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: like Rivera, and obviously I live here in Charlotte, Like
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of firing coaches very often. Um,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: but Ron river is in a great job here. He's
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: been very under Ready he'll be he'll be hired in
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: two seconds if he gets fired. But with a new owner,
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: his first year owner and David Tepper, I kind of
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: think he's gone. I don't want to see it because
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: I think he's done a lot with a little at times,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: and the team is not as talent as people would
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: like to think it is. But um, you can't start
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: six and two and then not make the playoffs. No, no,
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: it's a train wreck. What's going on there right now?
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: How about this stat By the way the Panthers have
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: been existence since I think I want to say ninety five,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: I should probably know this. I played for them, they
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: have never had back to back winning seasons in their
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: franchise history. They made the playoffs three years they rode before,
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: but one year with seven eight and one. Yet to
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: have back to back winning seasons and then time. I mean,
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: what does that say about Ron Rivera? Jeff? I mean,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: he's essentially the NFC's version of Marvin Lewis, right, but
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: he's made a Super Bowl. Though he made it, they lost,
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: I know, But I mean they've they've played well and
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: and an injuring part about the way they're playing now too,
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: is Ron Rivera is really good in December, um, which
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: is quite yesterday he's not. But it's interesting because they've
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: played well in December, and it's it's you don't normally
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: see this type of poor performance late in the season.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: PAULI what do you think about this pick? I like
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: to play I I do. I mean, like I played
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: them in the second half yesterday, and it seems like
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: he Cam now is like he trusts one person. So
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: it was all the Christian Jeffrey every time, maybe once
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: in a a while the Funches and then he decides, you
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: know what I do not he has so many trust
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: is usual, trust is Christian and himself. And then they'll
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: throw the ball off to Funches. And you know, ever
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: since Oldston got hurt, they've never been back and sinking.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know, oh, I mean, it's the most underachieving team.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: And like I said, you have to sip the coil
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: with Carolina every weekend. By the way, Cam Newton is
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: two and nine December, that includes the lost yesterday. Said
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: they do plays a really good ball in the year,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: but they just haven't haven't shown this year and maybe
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: there said there's some correction now, um kind of getting
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: to the mean in December football. All right, PAULI your
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: last pick. You're up, man, Okay, I'm gonna go, uh
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit outside the box and teams that
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: I sort of didn't believe in, and I'm gonna go
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: with the Chicago Bears plus two points against the Rams
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: at home. I think this is going to be the
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: biggest game in Chicago in a long time. And you
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: know the way the Bears fans um on how they
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: won't at least some where they're going to come out.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: And you know, yesterday watching golf, I I really feel
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: that my homes and some of the other guys, they
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: stand in there a little bit more sturdier. With pressure,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: you can get the chaired goff a little bit. And
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: I have a they're gonna come at in in so
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: many different ways and get in his face. Hopefully be
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: a nice little cold day they're in Chicago, and I
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: think it's just time. I think it's time for the
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Bears that take that stuff. Matt Maggie is just done
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: unbelievable to get that game and over time. First of all,
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: yesterday was unbelievable. Um in whatever quarterback he throws out there,
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: the system is working and I think they'll be able
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: to put up points and I think their defense will
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: will will definitely show up. I don't hate it, PAULI,
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: I'm good with it. I think that the Bears defense
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: is going to be real fired up, and um, you
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: know the Bears are kind of the Bears remind you
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit of the Rams, don't they. I mean
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: with the way they their offense kind of works at
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: this point, it's it's reminiscent of it a little bit.
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: Trabisky is kind of following the path that Goff did.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: Disappointing first year, much improved the second year. They used
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: Cohen and Howard really nicely. Um yeah, I don't hate
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: this on the road. I think the Rams in a
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: cold weather outdoor environment can can be can be got into.
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: I think this is a great pick, um Paul, because
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: Mr Bisky will be back. I assume um home Doog
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: is fantastic, and the Rams are not very good at
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: covering this year. They're a great team, but they're not
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: great at covering that you know we cover yesterday late
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: Todd Gurley tried not to cover. He tried to run
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: the clock out, and then Matt staffort through a pick.
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: You know, they had the ball twenty seconds left at
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: like the eleven and threw a pick and end zone.
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: They had a chance to cover that game. The lines
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: did so I'd like to pick here. Alright, black Check,
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: you're up, all right, I'm gonna go to Sunday as well, Jeff,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: But I'm not going to football and going back to hockey, baby,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: back to the ice. We got an NHL game that's
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: really piqued my interest on Sunday. It's the Philadelphia Flyers
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: at the Winnipeg Jets. The Jets are not only the
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: better team in this matchup, but they have the advantage
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: on the schedule as well. This game is at three
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: o'clock Eastern in the afternoon. The previous day, Philadelphia is
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: on the road in Buffalo playing a one o'clock Eastern
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: game against As we talked about, a very good Buffalo
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: save his team. Now they go second game of a
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: back to back on the road, second day in a row, too,
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: afternoon games in a row at Winnipeg. Love the Jets
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: take them on the money line, black Jack says. So
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: I'm taking the Jets on the money line, all right.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: We have our nine picks. Let's recap all nine of them.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: I took Baltimore plus seven against the Chiefs. I took
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: Arizona plus two and a half at home against the
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Lines this weekend, and I ended with Cleveland plus one
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: against the Panthers. That as in Cleveland as well. Paula
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: duca Buffalo plus nine got a great number against the Jets.
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: You better hop on that now, people before that changes
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: that they're at home against the New York Jet. Second
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: pick took the Colts plus four and a half at
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: the Texas. The Colts obviously losers and six nothing yesterday.
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: Remarkable getting some points here like this play, and ends
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: with the Bears at home Big game Bears Rams Bears
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half. Blackjack. First pick going with
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Golden Knights against the l A Kings
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: on the money line, sat a little hockey action, bringing
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: to the Parlay podcast goes back to football for a
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: second pick in New England minus eight at the Miami
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: Dolphins and ends with another hockey play, the Winnipeg Jets
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: money line on Saturday against the Philadelphia seven sais that
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: is all that's give me the Philadelphia Flyers. Let's just say, what?
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: Can I throw a flag on the last one? I
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: want to throw a flag on the Winnipeg Jets. Yeah,
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: because I'm worried that they're not gonna be able to
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: drink beer. They're not gonna be hungover. What what the
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: hockey players usually get hungover, drink some beer. I'm a
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: little worried. I'm not going over there gonna get a
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: nice sleep. So I don't know, but I want to
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: be hungover, Polly, what the funk are you talking? What
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: are you talking about? They didn't get the joke, Just
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: go ahead to raise it from the podcast. It's not
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: a podcast. Is unbelievable. Why why would you do do a podcast?
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: What can you explain? Because I'm playing on back to
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: back nights? Is that what you're talking? H Yeah, back
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: to back nights? You ever seen, dude? You played black?
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: You played back to back nights all the time. You
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: guys drink all the time in between games. Yeah, but
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: then I wouldn't play. I had a backup, that's right.
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: I know a lot of baseball players that drink after
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: a night game before a day game and still play.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: Come on, do a lot better one than So why
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: do you flag? What do you throw the flag? Then? No,
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: I was just saying I was just trying to make
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: a joke. Ah good, I mean, I can't argue with
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: black drinking hockey. It's money, I tell himself. What an
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: amazing ending my edition of the Favorites. Thank you to
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: all our listeners on the Favorites. We have shows every Monday,
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Wednesday and Friday. Told download our Free Action Network app
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: and whatever app store that you are a part of.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: You can rate and review. Our show is all Subscribe
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: and subscribe, subscribe again and on Friday Georgina will read
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: our our favorite reviews on the Friday Show for black
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: Jack Fletcher and Paula Duka. I am Jeff Schwartz. Thank
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: you and we'll see you Wednesday when Chad talks a scootch.
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: Until next time,