Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Week 3 - Takedown Breakdown | Winning DFS DraftKings Lineups & Strategy Review
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go.
- 0:06Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff. What's up, everyone? Tyler Tamblyn here, a.k.a.
- 0:38Speaker 2: ToeTag and Tambo, back for another edition of Takedown Breakdown
- 0:42Speaker 2: here on the Ship It Nation YouTube station, breaking down
- 0:44Speaker 2: all things Week 3 NFL DFS. Got my guy, Mr.
- 0:48Speaker 2: Matty Bellman, here with me, Bellman967, with me this week
- 0:52Speaker 2: for the guest. Matt, what's going on, my friend? Week 3,
- 0:54Speaker 2: not quite over yet. We still got a big game
- 0:56Speaker 2: tonight to get to, and we'll preview that, and then tomorrow,
- 0:58Speaker 2: or this afternoon, actually, Title and myself, Hoops Out, will
- 1:01Speaker 2: be on for the main... for the showdown shipper show,
- 1:05Speaker 2: but how you doing my friend? How was your Sunday?
- 1:07Speaker 1: Doing well, man. Happy to be out here with you Mondays. Um,
- 1:11Speaker 1: Sunday was okay. DFS wise was pretty blah, like nothing great,
- 1:16Speaker 1: nothing too awful, you know, lost a little bit of money,
- 1:20Speaker 1: which is the nature of GPPs more often than not.
- 1:23Speaker 1: So that is what it is. Happy to see the
- 1:26Speaker 1: Browns get another dub to Sean Watson, man. He looks rejuvenated.
- 1:32Speaker 1: leading them. And we're happy over here. Big game on
- 1:35Speaker 1: Thursday night this week, Brown Steelers. So Cleveland is amped.
- 1:39Speaker 1: We got the guards and the ALDS. So yeah, man,
- 1:42Speaker 1: how's everything with you?
- 1:44Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm good, man. Right away, our man Sully's in
- 1:46Speaker 2: there congratulating on the two seed for the Guardians. Our
- 1:48Speaker 2: man Notes is in here as well. We appreciate you
- 1:50Speaker 2: guys and everybody watching this after. Make sure to hit
- 1:52Speaker 2: that thumbs up. Subscribe to the channel if you haven't already.
- 1:55Speaker 2: We're almost at 13,000 subscribers. Trying to get to 15K
- 1:58Speaker 2: this NFL season. We do all of our shows for
- 2:00Speaker 2: free on here, so hopefully you guys appreciate it. We're
- 2:02Speaker 2: going to do as usual on this show. We're going
- 2:04Speaker 2: to break down the perfect lineup. We're going to look
- 2:06Speaker 2: at 1-800-DEGREES-MIAMI. Jesse Martin, Mazer Bowie out there. He had
- 2:11Speaker 2: the double Millie maker ultimate ship it. So look at
- 2:13Speaker 2: his lineup. They took down both the 20 and the 555.
- 2:16Speaker 2: He took down other stuff too, by the way. Congrats
- 2:18Speaker 2: again to him. But just noting it, you know, the
- 2:21Speaker 2: double Millie shipper is amazing. So you love to see that.
- 2:24Speaker 2: That's possible. And then we will look at the tournament structure,
- 2:27Speaker 2: some of the player portfolios. And then last week, a
- 2:29Speaker 2: lot of people liked when we did the single entry.
- 2:32Speaker 2: So I think we'll look at at least the $ 100
- 2:33Speaker 2: single entry, if nothing else. And again, you can extrapolate
- 2:36Speaker 2: thoughts up or down from that. You can expand on
- 2:39Speaker 2: your theories and concepts. One of the ones I know
- 2:42Speaker 2: Sully came in right away, said made the mistake of
- 2:44Speaker 2: not getting to Sadiq in my portfolio yesterday after the
- 2:47Speaker 2: Adnai Mitchell news. Cost me big time, but nobody cares.
- 2:50Speaker 2: Work harder. That is correct on the sign. But it's
- 2:52Speaker 2: okay to be disappointed and to learn from it and
- 2:54Speaker 2: look at it and say, how do we get better?
- 2:56Speaker 2: That's what you're here to do, as you mentioned. The
- 2:58Speaker 2: one thing I noticed about that thing, Bellman, is like
- 2:59Speaker 2: all the time, Had a couple of years ago, I
- 3:02Speaker 2: remember it was like Pickens on the Steelers. He was out.
- 3:06Speaker 2: Everyone immediately read because they wanted to afford Saquon Barkley
- 3:10Speaker 2: on that slate. I know this is mixing slates, but
- 3:12Speaker 2: that was the same slate. So just giving the idea.
- 3:14Speaker 2: People could already get to Gibbs yesterday, but I think
- 3:17Speaker 2: what a lot of people did as soon as the
- 3:18Speaker 2: Mitchell news became official, they went to Isaiah Williams. Great
- 3:22Speaker 2: way to get a guy, 3,300 bucks, cheap wide receiver,
- 3:25Speaker 2: but it's not like we really needed that because you
- 3:28Speaker 2: could already get to gibbs you could already get to
- 3:30Speaker 2: pretty much whatever you want now you could boost up
- 3:32Speaker 2: one more guy someone will say well yeah but you
- 3:33Speaker 2: could have got to gibbs and jsn possible but also
- 3:37Speaker 2: the problem is williams fills the wide receiver slot so
- 3:41Speaker 2: is it still possible yes there's three other slots including
- 3:43Speaker 2: the flex there but one way you can always do
- 3:45Speaker 2: it and this worked out handsomely for some yesterday was
- 3:47Speaker 2: sadiq in tight end or however people use them, but
- 3:50Speaker 2: I'm just saying when he's a tight end at the
- 3:51Speaker 2: onesie position, you could just slide him in there and
- 3:54Speaker 2: hope to get some love. Look, he got 26 and
- 3:57Speaker 2: a half DraftKings points. I don't think you're expecting that,
- 4:00Speaker 2: but if you get it great, but it's more so
- 4:03Speaker 2: the concept of what's the Williams push versus the Sadiq push.
- 4:08Speaker 2: And obviously those that had Sadiq were rewarded, like I mentioned.
- 4:10Speaker 2: So any, any thoughts on just a quick strategy, last
- 4:13Speaker 2: minute news type thing. I think we kind of felt
- 4:16Speaker 2: that the Adonai Mitchell news was coming yet. People still
- 4:18Speaker 2: didn't really prepare for it in that way as much. Yeah.
- 4:22Speaker 1: A couple of things there. One, yes, but also on
- 4:26Speaker 1: that same note, the Mason Taylor news being out, like
- 4:30Speaker 1: I feel like didn't get talked about enough around the industry.
- 4:32Speaker 1: He ran a ton of routes last week. That was
- 4:35Speaker 1: just another feather in Sadiq's cap guy. They used a
- 4:38Speaker 1: high traffic on Detroit. had just gotten carved by the
- 4:44Speaker 1: Buffalo tight ends the week before. I mean, their whole
- 4:48Speaker 1: secondary is in shambles, so you can pick on them
- 4:50Speaker 1: with everyone, but Sadiq looked really good, showed why they
- 4:53Speaker 1: spent a high draft pick on him. You know, outside
- 4:58Speaker 1: of that, trying to think the only other like news
- 5:00Speaker 1: relevant piece that's sticking out to me is Brock Bowers.
- 5:03Speaker 1: And that was one thing I got right yesterday. I
- 5:06Speaker 1: played a lot of him, not in the right lineups, obviously,
- 5:09Speaker 1: but he came in an under 1% owned and, You
- 5:12Speaker 1: clearly didn't need him because of scores like Gibbs, et cetera,
- 5:15Speaker 1: but he had the highest score at the position. That's
- 5:18Speaker 1: worth something. So I feel like just because he was
- 5:22Speaker 1: out two weeks, people were obviously really hesitant to get
- 5:26Speaker 1: to Bowers when coming into the season, he's never under
- 5:32Speaker 1: 1% owned. So that was just surprising to me.
- 5:35Speaker 2: Yeah, no, don't disagree there at all. And it's pretty crazy,
- 5:38Speaker 2: just the difference. I'm just looking now at the lineups.
- 5:40Speaker 2: We'll get to them in a second. But, you know,
- 5:42Speaker 2: the tight end position was also loaded. So you just
- 5:44Speaker 2: reminded me of something else there. It's like when you
- 5:46Speaker 2: had so many different options. But I don't... Look, Brock
- 5:49Speaker 2: Bowers ended up having the game he did. Jawan Johnson
- 5:52Speaker 2: had a big game. People liked Kittle. He had a
- 5:54Speaker 2: big game. You know, Kincaid was in the pools for
- 5:56Speaker 2: people he did not. I'm just noting, like, how many
- 5:59Speaker 2: Andrews people liked. There was just so many ways... that
- 6:02Speaker 2: you could go at tight end yesterday, plus play double
- 6:04Speaker 2: tight end still, that I think that that was kind
- 6:06Speaker 2: of overlooked when you think about that, the Jets news
- 6:10Speaker 2: as a whole.
- 6:10Speaker 1: Schultz.
- 6:12Speaker 2: What did he get to?
- 6:13Speaker 1: 5%?
- 6:14Speaker 2: Just double checking here quickly to see fastest way I can.
- 6:18Speaker 2: I think, yeah, he got to 5.9% owned in the
- 6:21Speaker 2: Millie maker. So, I mean, that tells you everything you
- 6:24Speaker 2: need to know right there for that. I guess that's
- 6:26Speaker 2: the 555. I'll check it in a second when we
- 6:29Speaker 2: get there. But just to note it, anyway, the point being,
- 6:31Speaker 2: when you get that news like that, it's funny. Everyone
- 6:34Speaker 2: kind of felt it was coming. We were talking about
- 6:36Speaker 2: it in the morning in the Discord, all that stuff.
- 6:38Speaker 2: I think it still felt like a last-minute scramble for
- 6:42Speaker 2: many just to be like, all right, well, how do
- 6:43Speaker 2: I get more Williams into the lineups? And it wasn't
- 6:46Speaker 2: really a thought as much for many going to Sadiq. So, yeah,
- 6:50Speaker 2: that was a spot where, like Sully said, maybe you
- 6:52Speaker 2: want to kick yourself a little bit after if you
- 6:54Speaker 2: didn't fully do that. But I think that was... you know,
- 6:57Speaker 2: another one here, Michael Beer and appreciate the vulnerability says,
- 6:59Speaker 2: I appreciate the review guys. I too didn't get to
- 7:02Speaker 2: enough Sadiq. I had a lot of Gino stacks, but
- 7:04Speaker 2: swapped all the Mitchell to Williams. Besides a couple of lineups,
- 7:07Speaker 2: I even had Gadsden with some Gino. Like you see
- 7:09Speaker 2: that stuff after that's what I mean. It feels like that,
- 7:12Speaker 2: but Hey, look, everybody did it. That's why we're here.
- 7:15Speaker 2: You want to take a lesson away from it and
- 7:16Speaker 2: try and learn and think about that stuff. People always say, well,
- 7:18Speaker 2: looking at the results doesn't help. I always say it.
- 7:21Speaker 2: I'll say it again with you on here, Bellman. I
- 7:23Speaker 2: talked about it last week, but Poker players for years
- 7:26Speaker 2: have been going to poker training sites and reviewing pros
- 7:30Speaker 2: and seeing as many hands as humanly possible that they
- 7:33Speaker 2: can see. But you still can't see them all, typically,
- 7:35Speaker 2: because people would only stream so much. When they're live,
- 7:37Speaker 2: you're not seeing almost any of it. Even the biggest
- 7:40Speaker 2: tournaments on TV, you get to see the whole cards
- 7:42Speaker 2: of whatever the TV chooses to show us, but not
- 7:45Speaker 2: all of it. So you can only pick up so
- 7:46Speaker 2: much information. In DFS, we have the ability to be
- 7:50Speaker 2: able to go in and see exactly everything. what someone did,
- 7:52Speaker 2: how they played, but not just their winning lineup. Look
- 7:55Speaker 2: at the portfolio, how they play as a player, what
- 7:57Speaker 2: style of lineups do they build and construct for all
- 7:59Speaker 2: the different sports and all of that. And the way
- 8:01Speaker 2: we do it is we go to dfsos.com. That's what
- 8:06Speaker 2: we're going to be using today. You guys can check
- 8:07Speaker 2: it out. It's just simple dfsosforoperatingsystem.com. You can check it out.
- 8:12Speaker 2: A ton of stuff other sites don't have or charge
- 8:15Speaker 2: separately for like perfect lineups, bankroll tracker, the AI newsfeed.
- 8:19Speaker 2: I use it a ton for the content shows and
- 8:21Speaker 2: being able to get little nuggets and tidbits of what
- 8:23Speaker 2: people are doing. I know there's different sites out there
- 8:25Speaker 2: doing that now separately for 10 bucks or whatever that
- 8:27Speaker 2: you can add in, but it's got projection backtesting for
- 8:31Speaker 2: your points and your ownership. So if you're using multiple sites,
- 8:33Speaker 2: it's very complimentary. You can go backtest and see how
- 8:36Speaker 2: those results look and who's more accurate and all of
- 8:38Speaker 2: that type of thing. contest analysis, the lobby, the player profiles,
- 8:42Speaker 2: all of that. But the biggest thing is you can
- 8:43Speaker 2: check it out for $ 29 right now. So with code SHIPIT,
- 8:47Speaker 2: you go to dfsos.com, you go to the all access,
- 8:50Speaker 2: you use code SHIPIT, it will take the $ 59 a
- 8:54Speaker 2: month all access down to the pro price. Check it
- 8:57Speaker 2: out for a month. It's a dollar a day. Some
- 8:59Speaker 2: of the stuff we're going to look at inside the dashboard,
- 9:01Speaker 2: you can see it's all here, the slate review, the
- 9:03Speaker 2: contest lobby, the accuracy, the projections, all kinds of different
- 9:06Speaker 2: things going on. Here was the perfect lineup though, Bellman.
- 9:09Speaker 2: I'll let you take it from here. I know, again,
- 9:12Speaker 2: this is just, you know, success leaves clues type stuff. Like, again,
- 9:14Speaker 2: that's the perfect lineup. Funny enough, when we get to
- 9:18Speaker 2: 1-800 degrees Miami and the double milli shipper got very
- 9:21Speaker 2: close to this. I believe it was a 1v1 of
- 9:24Speaker 2: using the 200 bucks on Jameson Williams, as opposed to
- 9:28Speaker 2: Michael Wilson. And obviously the difference was drastic. It was
- 9:31Speaker 2: almost 20 points. So that just shows you guys to
- 9:33Speaker 2: 200 bucks, 20 points. Luckily it was still more than
- 9:37Speaker 2: enough to get the job done in both places. And skillfully,
- 9:40Speaker 2: because you look at this lineup, um, we are going
- 9:42Speaker 2: to be kind of using the perfect lineup as the
- 9:44Speaker 2: review today. Like I said, Matt, because it's almost the
- 9:47Speaker 2: exact same lineup. So it's Wilson instead of Williams, Jamo,
- 9:51Speaker 2: that is leaving 200 bucks on the table, but Kind
- 9:53Speaker 2: of looks amazing after the fact, right? It's not like
- 9:55Speaker 2: we weren't on these spots. These definitely were, you know,
- 9:58Speaker 2: heavily owned. in some cases, but you still had enough
- 10:02Speaker 2: guys that were low on to make this just an
- 10:03Speaker 2: awesome lineup all around. What's your thoughts?
- 10:06Speaker 1: So a couple of thoughts to start. First off, uh,
- 10:09Speaker 1: first place my mind goes to, or my eyes, whatever
- 10:12Speaker 1: is JSN. And I heard you guys talking about him
- 10:16Speaker 1: a little bit yesterday when I, when I was able to,
- 10:19Speaker 1: check the show in between, you know, doing kid stuff.
- 10:21Speaker 1: And I heard Hoop talking about JSN, about how he
- 10:24Speaker 1: wanted to be overweight on JSN going forward. And it
- 10:27Speaker 1: makes sense, man. Like even yesterday, you're looking at, you know,
- 10:32Speaker 1: the second highest leading scorer on the slate at 10% owned.
- 10:36Speaker 1: He's one of only two guys ever to have 120
- 10:40Speaker 1: yards and a touchdown in each of the first three games.
- 10:44Speaker 1: The other guy is Jerry Rice. I mean, he's in
- 10:46Speaker 1: unprecedented territory right now. And he's still low-owned every week
- 10:50Speaker 1: because of his price tag. So that stands out to
- 10:53Speaker 1: me big time. The other thing that stands out to
- 10:55Speaker 1: me is, and we talk about this a lot, and
- 10:58Speaker 1: I play like this a lot, especially in these Billy
- 11:01Speaker 1: Millimakers game stacks. Sometimes you need pieces from a few
- 11:06Speaker 1: of the games, and this is a good example of it.
- 11:09Speaker 1: You have the Geno-Wilson-Gibbs trio. Then you have Sadiq quad piece.
- 11:18Speaker 1: And then you also have Juwan Johnson from another game
- 11:21Speaker 1: that people liked a lot. So just a really well,
- 11:25Speaker 1: you know, obviously I'm more talking about the actual lineup
- 11:28Speaker 1: than the perfect lineup. When I say it's like a
- 11:29Speaker 1: well-constructed lineup, this lineup, like you said, a lot of
- 11:33Speaker 1: plays that we talked about that were talked about around
- 11:35Speaker 1: the industry, but you know, not necessarily played together. And
- 11:40Speaker 1: then the outlier JSN piece, which is just crazy to
- 11:42Speaker 1: say he's an outlier still go ahead.
- 11:45Speaker 2: No, you're good. I love that call out. And one
- 11:47Speaker 2: of the things I think that I noticed right away
- 11:48Speaker 2: is it's twofold, right? A lot of people were doing
- 11:50Speaker 2: Gibbs with Wilson talked about that a ton. Then yesterday
- 11:54Speaker 2: on the show on Sunday shippers, I know we just
- 11:56Speaker 2: put the clip out, like who won the Millie himself
- 11:59Speaker 2: a few, you know, a few years back, but it
- 12:00Speaker 2: was with Gino in Seattle versus Detroit in a game stack.
- 12:04Speaker 2: So he's like, I'm a little biased to this spot,
- 12:06Speaker 2: but he's like, also you are liking these things. And
- 12:09Speaker 2: I said that I said, if you've got just Gibbs
- 12:11Speaker 2: and Wilson and, You have to think about that and one,
- 12:15Speaker 2: be prepared if the game stack comes up over the top,
- 12:18Speaker 2: whether it's with Goff or Geno, that's one of the things.
- 12:22Speaker 2: And then the other side of it is that you
- 12:24Speaker 2: also have to look at like, what's other ways that
- 12:26Speaker 2: you can get different with it and how many people,
- 12:29Speaker 2: you know, Blake and I talked on Saturday about conditional
- 12:31Speaker 2: ownership and meaning like, Look, how many people are playing
- 12:34Speaker 2: Gibbs with Wilson? A bunch. How many people were playing
- 12:36Speaker 2: Gibbs with Wilson with this full game stack, including Sadiq?
- 12:40Speaker 2: I don't know. It would still be up there some,
- 12:42Speaker 2: but not nearly as much as those just playing the
- 12:46Speaker 2: 1v1 secondary stack of Gibbs and Wilson. But then people forget.
- 12:49Speaker 2: And while this has nothing to do with that game,
- 12:52Speaker 2: people forget conceptually that, okay, how many people are playing
- 12:57Speaker 2: Gibbs and Wilson, but also JSN? That's where people mess
- 13:02Speaker 2: up because it's like JSN is only at 10% on
- 13:04Speaker 2: his own. How many people are fitting him into a
- 13:06Speaker 2: lineup that already has an $ 8, 800 running back and and
- 13:10Speaker 2: the secondary with the Sadiq and the game stack and
- 13:12Speaker 2: the low-owned pieces there. So then that's what's confusing people,
- 13:16Speaker 2: and they're not necessarily willing to learn or wanting to learn.
- 13:19Speaker 2: They just want to deposit and move to the next slate.
- 13:21Speaker 2: It's like this is where we could look into it
- 13:22Speaker 2: and see that– 21% Warren. Well, there's nobody there but
- 13:28Speaker 2: him and he catches passes and he's a, you know,
- 13:30Speaker 2: a good PPR option. Gibbs chalk of the slate for
- 13:33Speaker 2: good reason. So was Wilson, but how do you play
- 13:35Speaker 2: those guys together and still get different? And look, I
- 13:38Speaker 2: don't know if I have it up here right now
- 13:40Speaker 2: to look at it. I'll try and find it quickly.
- 13:43Speaker 2: JMO was 11% owned, which is going to be in
- 13:46Speaker 2: the winning lineup. So just noting it, even JMO was
- 13:48Speaker 2: around 10%. So you still had Gino, low enough owned.
- 13:53Speaker 2: You had around 10% JMO in the winning lineup. I
- 13:56Speaker 2: know we're looking at the perfect right now. Around 10% JSN.
- 14:00Speaker 2: Not many people, though, would be playing Gibbs with JSN.
- 14:03Speaker 2: Then you had a low-owned Jawan. You mentioned it. People
- 14:05Speaker 2: liked Shuck. People liked Olave. People liked Vele. People liked Johnson,
- 14:09Speaker 2: but not much. They just talked about him. They didn't
- 14:12Speaker 2: be about him. 3.9%. And then Vikings were not good
- 14:16Speaker 2: enough for me to say they were in the payout,
- 14:18Speaker 2: but we just knew we weren't paying down. Mind you, Um,
- 14:21Speaker 2: the Tennessee Titans people did get there still, I think for,
- 14:24Speaker 2: for some lineups, it didn't end up in the winning.
- 14:26Speaker 2: I get it, but I'm just saying for the, for
- 14:27Speaker 2: the most part, fan duel, things like that. You saw
- 14:29Speaker 2: that seven points or whatever they put up still show up.
- 14:32Speaker 2: So I can't say anything there. I really liked the
- 14:34Speaker 2: pay up options. Um, Very surprised yesterday to see how
- 14:38Speaker 2: poorly the Seahawks and the Chiefs both played against those
- 14:44Speaker 2: defenses they were going up against. They could have played
- 14:46Speaker 2: a lot better. Obviously got the job done for the Chiefs,
- 14:49Speaker 2: the unfortunate injury to A-Chan, et cetera, et cetera. But
- 14:52Speaker 2: Seahawks was just mind-blowing to me that they went into
- 14:54Speaker 2: Washington when Washington's down D-line and O-line people with a
- 14:58Speaker 2: backup quarterback and Mariota was just able to dance all
- 15:00Speaker 2: over them. So pretty interesting stuff there. Anything else you
- 15:03Speaker 2: see with this lineup that you want to bring up?
- 15:04Speaker 2: Somebody mentioned, I think it was Sully. Double tight end
- 15:08Speaker 2: was coming up a bunch in the Sims yesterday. Like
- 15:10Speaker 2: it's constantly overlooked. The prices are just still way too cheap.
- 15:14Speaker 2: I loved your call out on Sadiq. Like Taylor's out.
- 15:17Speaker 2: Now Mitchell is out. It's like he's already only 3,500.
- 15:21Speaker 2: Like they got to throw to someone. You already liked
- 15:24Speaker 2: the other guys in this game with Wilson and Gibbs. Well,
- 15:27Speaker 2: why not put it together? So seems so easy after
- 15:30Speaker 2: the fact, but it really does make sense pre-slate as well.
- 15:34Speaker 2: Your thoughts, anything else there?
- 15:36Speaker 1: No, just that like kind of what you mentioned with
- 15:40Speaker 1: the $ 200 difference, like the margins are thin in the
- 15:43Speaker 1: NFL just in general, and DFS is no different. Even
- 15:46Speaker 1: Jalen Warren right there, really good game. I feel like
- 15:50Speaker 1: people were hesitant to play Jalen Warren chalk, even though
- 15:54Speaker 1: with him as the only guy in that backfield, not
- 15:57Speaker 1: priced as such, I thought he was a really good play.
- 16:00Speaker 1: And he had like an 87-yard run called back. Yeah.
- 16:04Speaker 1: That's what happens. You know what I mean? That's not
- 16:06Speaker 1: going to get talked about at all because he still
- 16:07Speaker 1: got there, but he would have been absolutely needed.
- 16:09Speaker 2: That, by the way, that was a crazy call. That
- 16:11Speaker 2: was on DK Metcalf. That was pretty weak, too. There
- 16:14Speaker 2: was two weak ones. It was that, and there was
- 16:16Speaker 2: another one later in the day.
- 16:17Speaker 1: The Tampa one. Well, Tampa one wasn't weak, but calling
- 16:20Speaker 1: back a Godwin 87-yard touchdown was massive.
- 16:23Speaker 2: Yeah. I think it was like the Newton, you know,
- 16:26Speaker 2: when I liked, oh yeah, it was the Purdy, the
- 16:28Speaker 2: rushing touchdown. And it was like the perfect ball. Don't
- 16:31Speaker 2: lie moment, buddy. Rushes it in from like 35 yards,
- 16:34Speaker 2: takes it in. It was just a silliness of like
- 16:36Speaker 2: a last second push by Kittle, like almost a joke.
- 16:40Speaker 2: And the very next play, he throws the touchdown to Kittle.
- 16:43Speaker 2: It was the ultimate ball. Don't lie. Like get out
- 16:45Speaker 2: of here. The rest was so bad yesterday. And many
- 16:47Speaker 2: spots and i never come on and complain about that
- 16:49Speaker 2: but just noting it there was definitely some really uh
- 16:52Speaker 2: you know tough calls out there yesterday for sure but
- 16:55Speaker 2: go ahead just keep going with this it's that's that's
- 16:57Speaker 2: not what the point of this show.
- 16:57Speaker 1: Is no just yeah blatant missed calls too it's frustrating
- 17:01Speaker 1: when you're watching that stuff but as far as the
- 17:02Speaker 1: lineup goes the war and peace i mean it's it's
- 17:08Speaker 1: not surprising that like the perfect lineup is so close
- 17:12Speaker 1: to the the actual lineup play just because the actual
- 17:14Speaker 1: lineup play took down so much, so many contests. You
- 17:18Speaker 1: know what I mean? You're only really going to see
- 17:19Speaker 1: that when the two are so close together. That's what
- 17:22Speaker 1: you have here. Yeah. The Vikings D defenses are random.
- 17:29Speaker 1: That wasn't the D that I was going out of
- 17:31Speaker 1: my way to play. The field certainly wasn't going out
- 17:34Speaker 1: of the way out of their way to play, but
- 17:35Speaker 1: they scored a touchdown early and got a bunch of
- 17:37Speaker 1: sacks and ended up getting there. And the whole lineup
- 17:40Speaker 1: just came together. Yeah.
- 17:42Speaker 2: Definitely did. I'll show you guys this. So if you're
- 17:45Speaker 2: on DFSOS.com, again, you can use promo code SHIPIT to
- 17:48Speaker 2: get half price, lock it in for the entire NFL season.
- 17:50Speaker 2: It works out to $ 29 a month or just a
- 17:52Speaker 2: dollar a day. Like I said, you'll get a ton
- 17:54Speaker 2: of stuff on here. I use it for the news.
- 17:56Speaker 2: Like if you're looking up tonight, you were looking up
- 17:58Speaker 2: Keenum stuff. It would just show you like three hours ago,
- 18:01Speaker 2: what was talked about with them. If people, when they
- 18:03Speaker 2: were in, I know they're going with Keenum and we
- 18:05Speaker 2: knew this to start the day, but just noting like,
- 18:07Speaker 2: what the stuff about badgent was. You can look up
- 18:09Speaker 2: the news there, anything you're unsure of and you want
- 18:11Speaker 2: to see, okay, what's been the topic of conversation. Like
- 18:14Speaker 2: I'm curious, maybe, uh, how do you spell my nun guy?
- 18:17Speaker 2: That's the, my nun guy.
- 18:19Speaker 1: M O N.
- 18:19Speaker 2: Yeah, I got it.
- 18:20Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 18:20Speaker 2: Okay. Right. So from a day ago today, if you
- 18:23Speaker 2: were curious, like, I wonder what's going on with him
- 18:24Speaker 2: coming into the week. Cause I'm thinking about Swift and
- 18:27Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. You can just look up anything
- 18:28Speaker 2: you want in the newsfeed, but where we're going is
- 18:31Speaker 2: slate review. You can't miss it. It's on 2026, all
- 18:36Speaker 2: months NFL. Obviously, we're in the books right now. So
- 18:38Speaker 2: it tells you, okay, there's the day I want. It
- 18:40Speaker 2: tracks mostly everything on DraftKings, right? You're not going to
- 18:44Speaker 2: get FanDuel, all this other stuff. What's the trade? Is
- 18:47Speaker 2: that real?
- 18:49Speaker 1: Just one second.
- 18:55Speaker 2: Wow, just one second. Okay, big trade. We always do
- 18:58Speaker 2: this stuff live. It's a live stream, so we might
- 19:00Speaker 2: as well be with it. So the Vikings traded J.J.
- 19:03Speaker 2: McCarthy to the Giants for a fifth round pick. So
- 19:08Speaker 2: obviously Dart going down for the season. We knew there
- 19:10Speaker 2: was going to be some stuff there. So that's pretty interesting.
- 19:13Speaker 2: Will he start there right away, you think? I don't know.
- 19:17Speaker 2: But if you're trading it away for it, you got
- 19:18Speaker 2: to think there's something going on. Sure. I'm not the
- 19:22Speaker 2: best at thinking about that, but I'm already intrigued by it.
- 19:25Speaker 2: So I'll have to look into it more after we
- 19:27Speaker 2: hop off this. But some people in the chat are
- 19:30Speaker 2: saying they're happy. So that's pretty crazy. That's big news
- 19:33Speaker 2: to start our Monday. But anyway, back to this. This
- 19:36Speaker 2: has all the tracking for the DraftKings contest, which I
- 19:40Speaker 2: think is pretty funny because it's the only way you
- 19:42Speaker 2: can do it. FanDuel doesn't give us anything. But I
- 19:44Speaker 2: know somebody was bringing this up the other day and
- 19:46Speaker 2: looking at it. I thought this was, I think it
- 19:47Speaker 2: was last night. Somebody messaged me this. if on the
- 19:50Speaker 2: dashboard you go down to player profiles and click it
- 19:55Speaker 2: it will bring you to the leaderboard so far you
- 19:58Speaker 2: know people that have played at least 10 contests you
- 20:00Speaker 2: can mess with this for 2026 and again it's only
- 20:02Speaker 2: DraftKings it states it on here I think it's at
- 20:05Speaker 2: the bottom you just got to scroll down guys or
- 20:07Speaker 2: maybe I'm missing it but anyway um It tells you everything.
- 20:10Speaker 2: There's a tutorial there. It explains that it's only for
- 20:13Speaker 2: the DraftKings contest. It's just kind of like a winnings board.
- 20:16Speaker 2: These people have won way more than this to start
- 20:18Speaker 2: the season, probably, especially if you include FanDuel. They're not
- 20:20Speaker 2: going to put up a P & L or something
- 20:22Speaker 2: like that. But 1-800-DEGREES-MIAMI, he's like, I haven't been playing
- 20:26Speaker 2: that much. I messaged him, congratulated him last night. He says,
- 20:29Speaker 2: I haven't really been playing that much, but he said
- 20:30Speaker 2: it was awesome to get this to happen pretty quickly
- 20:32Speaker 2: like that. So if you look, like Mock Lovin', Volume
- 20:35Speaker 2: for Days, Uticao, Shady, all the volume that they're playing.
- 20:39Speaker 2: 92 contests tracked that are equivalent to the others that
- 20:42Speaker 2: are tracked on here and already the winningest player. Obviously,
- 20:46Speaker 2: you win two Millies, makes that pretty easy. But going
- 20:48Speaker 2: into looking at the contest, going back here, We can
- 20:53Speaker 2: look at the $ 20 milli first and you'll see, you know,
- 20:57Speaker 2: still some crushers up there. Hishboo has been on a
- 20:59Speaker 2: tear too, I believe. So if you look, you know,
- 21:01Speaker 2: he's been around forever crushing, but you know, great dude
- 21:03Speaker 2: just up there with them. But 1-800-DEGREES-MIAMI had that lineup
- 21:06Speaker 2: we just talked about. It's Gino, Jameer, Warren. Wilson, JSN, Sadiq, Jawan, Vikings.
- 21:13Speaker 2: The only difference, like I said, was it spent the
- 21:15Speaker 2: 50K and played JMO. Instead of that, if you click
- 21:19Speaker 2: on 1-800-DEGREES-BIAMI, it's this contest. You can see 10 lineups
- 21:26Speaker 2: in this contest. And then I believe played the same 10.
- 21:32Speaker 2: If we go back here and we X out and
- 21:36Speaker 2: go to the 555, And click again. I actually played 12.
- 21:41Speaker 2: So I had a couple extra lineups that didn't go
- 21:43Speaker 2: into the $ 20, I guess. But this is the.
- 21:46Speaker 1: Might have filled. I know the 20 filled before the 555.
- 21:49Speaker 1: So he might have added a couple late.
- 21:51Speaker 2: Plus, you always feel better, by the way. Just a
- 21:53Speaker 2: side note from us both playing as much as we
- 21:55Speaker 2: do and for as long as we have. It always
- 21:57Speaker 2: feels way better if the $ 20 fills, but you got
- 22:00Speaker 2: your 555 in. Because you're like, well, at least I'm
- 22:02Speaker 2: still going up against the way smaller field. It sucks.
- 22:05Speaker 2: I won't win $ 2 million.
- 22:06Speaker 1: Imagine if it was the one of this lineup, though.
- 22:08Speaker 2: Yeah, imagine if it was. This would have been the feeling,
- 22:12Speaker 2: like one of those last two. So you nailed it.
- 22:14Speaker 2: That's exactly it. You don't feel bad because you still
- 22:17Speaker 2: would win a milli, but you're like, damn, I could
- 22:18Speaker 2: have won two milli. So anyway, lucky for 1-800-DEGREES-MIAMI, they
- 22:22Speaker 2: got it in. But, you know, there's always these little
- 22:24Speaker 2: nuances that come with it. So this was the lineup here.
- 22:27Speaker 2: We talked about it. I don't think there's a benefit to, like,
- 22:30Speaker 2: re-reviewing this in the spirit of time and just, you know,
- 22:32Speaker 2: covering it. Obviously, congrats to 1-800-DEGREES-MIAMI. If those that don't
- 22:36Speaker 2: know– Um, they've been playing for a very long time,
- 22:38Speaker 2: less lately. I noticed, you know, in the stock streets
- 22:41Speaker 2: and day trading and other streets on, on X, but
- 22:45Speaker 2: just notice noticeable, like for, for people that don't know,
- 22:47Speaker 2: you'll won the live final, the big FFWC years ago
- 22:51Speaker 2: for big money. So like, you know, been in the
- 22:53Speaker 2: streets way longer than people know or think probably. And
- 22:56Speaker 2: then also has a ton of big boy wins. under
- 22:59Speaker 2: his belt. So just to note that this is nothing
- 23:01Speaker 2: new for 1-800-DEGREES-MIAMI, but still, it's a huge accomplishment and
- 23:05Speaker 2: congrats again to you. So not much to take away there,
- 23:09Speaker 2: but I like to look at this. Let's go to
- 23:11Speaker 2: the 12 lineup portfolio. So this is the 12 lineup
- 23:14Speaker 2: I got up here now, right? So yeah, just pulling
- 23:18Speaker 2: this up, trying to see if I'm missing anything else. No.
- 23:21Speaker 2: All right. So here we go. This is their exposure.
- 23:25Speaker 2: You can look at it a couple different ways. Sometimes
- 23:26Speaker 2: you can look at it by ownership. You can do
- 23:28Speaker 2: both or either or. I'm just saying you can see
- 23:29Speaker 2: their delta of what they got on Jameer Gibbs. They
- 23:32Speaker 2: had Jameer Gibbs in almost all the lineups. But in
- 23:35Speaker 2: this case, with 12 lineups, and you can already see it,
- 23:37Speaker 2: you're going to know it's going to be deltas that
- 23:39Speaker 2: are there on 12 lineups. But heavy on Gibbs, heavy
- 23:43Speaker 2: on Wilson. Heavy on Schultz. J-Mo was in a lot
- 23:46Speaker 2: of those lineups, 30% Delta there. Seahawks D, so I
- 23:49Speaker 2: wasn't the only one, right? I like the Seahawks D.
- 23:51Speaker 2: Funny enough, I mentioned that earlier and I didn't see this,
- 23:53Speaker 2: but that was the case. Yeah, and Trap God says
- 23:57Speaker 2: Vikings D. I scrolled through some of the previous ones
- 24:00Speaker 2: on the screen here. Let's go back to this screen
- 24:06Speaker 2: and you can go to the perfect lineup again. Where's
- 24:09Speaker 2: it at? Down here. If you see here too, you
- 24:12Speaker 2: can also see alternates and like Jags D, 2% owned, 2,900,
- 24:18Speaker 2: put up almost 16. Again, you want the 17 for 3,100,
- 24:22Speaker 2: but just saying if you landed there, you still would
- 24:24Speaker 2: have been more than fine. Chargers with a cheap D
- 24:27Speaker 2: that came through, funny enough, down here at 2,200, which
- 24:31Speaker 2: is somewhat interesting because if you're not going to be
- 24:33Speaker 2: on Kincaid, you're not going to be on Josh Allen.
- 24:38Speaker 2: I always say this. It's never a problem to go
- 24:41Speaker 2: against them, not because it necessarily hurts them. It's just,
- 24:44Speaker 2: you know, that line of your lineup already doesn't have them.
- 24:46Speaker 2: You're already saying like, I'm not playing them. So it's like,
- 24:49Speaker 2: why not at least have the cheap D there where
- 24:51Speaker 2: it would hurt that many lineups that are in on
- 24:54Speaker 2: that game or that spot or whatever it might be.
- 24:56Speaker 2: So little, little things like that, but just going back
- 24:58Speaker 2: to it, does anything else stand out here for you?
- 25:00Speaker 2: When you look at the portfolio, like still had 25%
- 25:03Speaker 2: Isaiah Williams, right? Um, on Judarian price, that's another one.
- 25:08Speaker 2: So Judarian price is what got me yesterday. I don't
- 25:11Speaker 2: know why I got sucked into that, but just in general,
- 25:13Speaker 2: a full go waiting for a smash spot, going up
- 25:16Speaker 2: against Washington with no line, no D line in a
- 25:19Speaker 2: game where you would think that they would just go
- 25:20Speaker 2: in there and crush, uh, Didn't work out, but it
- 25:23Speaker 2: certainly cost me. I had a 2v2 on FanDuel. That
- 25:26Speaker 2: was Jadarian Price and the Saints D. That could have
- 25:29Speaker 2: been Jalen Warren and either the Tennessee Titans or the
- 25:32Speaker 2: Browns D. And it would have been 100K to 175K,
- 25:37Speaker 2: depending on second or third in the big milli over
- 25:39Speaker 2: on FanDuel. I still cashed it with the ticket there,
- 25:42Speaker 2: but the close call for a big six-figure score. But
- 25:46Speaker 2: anything stand out here for you in this portfolio? It
- 25:48Speaker 2: looks pretty sound.
- 25:51Speaker 1: Yeah, it looks... Yeah, it looks real sad. And he just,
- 25:53Speaker 1: you know, he had that one lineup come together. Um,
- 25:56Speaker 1: you know, with Sadiq solo owned, he was what triple
- 25:59Speaker 1: the field on Sadiq. Uh, and he didn't even have
- 26:02Speaker 1: that much of them. And that's what happens when you
- 26:03Speaker 1: get low on guys like same with JSN, who is
- 26:06Speaker 1: really low owned.
- 26:07Speaker 2: Um, his next best lineup was a JS. So I
- 26:10Speaker 2: saw this yesterday to pop up a little bit. Um,
- 26:14Speaker 2: you know, you're not going to try and figure out
- 26:16Speaker 2: the Washington guy, but when you're already going to get
- 26:17Speaker 2: a guy like JSN solo owned, why not just pair
- 26:20Speaker 2: them with Darnold? Because the big boy day could be
- 26:23Speaker 2: a big boy day for Darnold. You know, I, I
- 26:26Speaker 2: thought it was like a little bit different on yesterday's slate.
- 26:29Speaker 2: When I looked at that, like just thinking about it,
- 26:31Speaker 2: I think I even had it. Um, where was it?
- 26:37Speaker 2: So I had this in my notes yesterday for JSN.
- 26:39Speaker 2: That was not the case. I said, you know, I
- 26:40Speaker 2: said not expecting the same result from last week, meaning
- 26:42Speaker 2: the three touchdowns. He still had a very big day,
- 26:44Speaker 2: but we'll definitely go back to JSN and another really
- 26:46Speaker 2: good matchup for a guy that's already proven he's matchup
- 26:48Speaker 2: proof and one of the best receivers in the league
- 26:51Speaker 2: right now, maybe the best. So the note that I
- 26:53Speaker 2: made yesterday though, was like burrow. And this is a
- 26:55Speaker 2: concept thing now separately. And obviously it worked for, um,
- 27:00Speaker 2: a lot of people, including 100 degrees Miami with JSN
- 27:02Speaker 2: in the Gino lineups is like the big boy day
- 27:06Speaker 2: that we saw the vertical when the Millie maker with
- 27:09Speaker 2: last week. Right. Um, he had drew lock and JSN
- 27:13Speaker 2: when you get drew lock, I'm sorry, JSN having a
- 27:16Speaker 2: massive day like that. It's obviously going to attach to
- 27:18Speaker 2: drew lock just like yesterday. You could have attached to Darnold.
- 27:21Speaker 2: But some of the stuff earlier in the season, so
- 27:24Speaker 2: I wrote this about Chase because I'm the one that's
- 27:26Speaker 2: always said this about Jamar Chase, right? If I'm going
- 27:28Speaker 2: to play Jamar Chase, I probably want Burrow. But I
- 27:32Speaker 2: said I understand if he's used in a similar way
- 27:35Speaker 2: to how JSN was helping people last week because sometimes
- 27:38Speaker 2: you just land on the receiver in this case. And
- 27:41Speaker 2: it's more likely early in the season. when there's so
- 27:45Speaker 2: many value plays versus as the season goes on, the
- 27:47Speaker 2: pricing all tightens up, right? We get more appropriate pricing
- 27:50Speaker 2: based on the results and the matchups and the, all
- 27:52Speaker 2: these different factors. Um, I said, it's more likely early
- 27:56Speaker 2: in the season when there's so many value plays to
- 27:58Speaker 2: make different combinations work that don't require the quarterback to
- 28:03Speaker 2: go with them. So I'm not saying I love it,
- 28:05Speaker 2: but I get it. And this is a prime example
- 28:07Speaker 2: because when 800 degrees, Miami played some with, and the,
- 28:11Speaker 2: some without. So that just goes to show, right. That
- 28:14Speaker 2: when you see it, like from that setup, um, there
- 28:16Speaker 2: was a couple of different ways you could get there.
- 28:17Speaker 2: Do you have any thoughts on like pairing up these
- 28:19Speaker 2: really expensive wide receivers? And like, did, did you even
- 28:22Speaker 2: think about getting to JSM with Darnold yesterday?
- 28:25Speaker 1: Or did you, I didn't get to JSN. I didn't
- 28:27Speaker 1: get to Darnold. And I played a bunch of lineups
- 28:30Speaker 1: or I played 14 lineups in this five, five, five,
- 28:33Speaker 1: and I didn't play any JSN. So I certainly didn't
- 28:36Speaker 1: play any Darnold. And I totally understand why, you know,
- 28:42Speaker 1: your point is well taken. I guess my only pushback
- 28:45Speaker 1: on that would be, and kind of, you talked about
- 28:48Speaker 1: it at the beginning of the year, so many value plays,
- 28:52Speaker 1: no buy weeks and guys aren't really hurt yet. So
- 28:55Speaker 1: I think it can't be understated just how many good
- 28:59Speaker 1: plays there are on any given NFL slate right now
- 29:02Speaker 1: before really, you know, guys have gotten hurt before by weeks,
- 29:07Speaker 1: every team is playing before pricing has really caught up
- 29:10Speaker 1: to where guys should be priced There's just an infinite
- 29:13Speaker 1: amount of good plays every week right now. Maybe that'll
- 29:17Speaker 1: start to lessen as we go forward. So I almost
- 29:21Speaker 1: think pairing has gotten a little bit, and this is
- 29:25Speaker 1: talking about more to my own game than anything else.
- 29:28Speaker 1: Like I've overstated it too much. Like I think I'm
- 29:31Speaker 1: going a little bit too hard on the game stacks.
- 29:34Speaker 1: Like for instance, my two best lineups in this 5-5-5
- 29:37Speaker 1: Millie maker were lineups that a similar construction to one
- 29:41Speaker 1: 800 Miami, Gino Sadiq, Wilson Gibbs, but I played too
- 29:49Speaker 1: much from that game. I also had St. Brown and
- 29:52Speaker 1: Brees hall. Both those guys weren't good instead of those two,
- 29:56Speaker 1: you know, obviously the winning lineup was, jsn and whoever
- 30:01Speaker 1: but that kind of goes to your point about the
- 30:04Speaker 1: 200 hour salary difference can mean all the difference when
- 30:06Speaker 1: constructing lineups so that's kind of what i'm taking from
- 30:09Speaker 1: it and it goes back to what i talked about
- 30:11Speaker 1: at the beginning just about diversifying not only your portfolio
- 30:16Speaker 1: but potentially each individual lineup yeah.
- 30:19Speaker 2: So this tool, like I said, is crazy because I'm
- 30:21Speaker 2: going to do that now. So one thing I'll add, so,
- 30:24Speaker 2: you know, just quickly, and then I want to show
- 30:25Speaker 2: this off because you just mentioned it and we'll look
- 30:27Speaker 2: at them because you're here, might as well. But just
- 30:29Speaker 2: noting it, like the early in the season stuff is usually,
- 30:32Speaker 2: I've said it now, it was a leak in my
- 30:34Speaker 2: game for sure, but like week six, Week seven, week eight,
- 30:37Speaker 2: like that's when you really start to get tighter pricing.
- 30:39Speaker 2: And then it's almost like you need to find these
- 30:41Speaker 2: angles of attack to get different on a slate and
- 30:44Speaker 2: this stay stacking and all that. But even like one
- 30:45Speaker 2: eight hundreds line up here with JMO in it. It's like, yeah,
- 30:50Speaker 2: you could try and pick the Wilson game, the Michael
- 30:53Speaker 2: Wilson game there for 200 bucks less and leave the
- 30:55Speaker 2: 200 bucks and be fine with it and say, at
- 30:56Speaker 2: least I got a piece of that game. Or you
- 30:58Speaker 2: could just say, look, I'm not on golf, but I'm
- 31:02Speaker 2: just going to go to the, I'm just going to
- 31:04Speaker 2: keep adding. Cause I'm on Gino Smith here to make
- 31:07Speaker 2: it a game stack and just add another piece that
- 31:09Speaker 2: would help speed this game up. I'm way more inclined
- 31:12Speaker 2: to do that. Now, if the slate had been closer,
- 31:15Speaker 2: the 20 point or whatever it is, 18, 17, whatever
- 31:18Speaker 2: it was point gap of Wilson in the perfect lineup
- 31:21Speaker 2: to JMO, you're going to be mad. You know, I'll
- 31:24Speaker 2: say it like this. you're going to see and realize that, yes,
- 31:27Speaker 2: it can be that drastic. Hopefully that's what people are
- 31:29Speaker 2: seeing from it, but you shouldn't be mad is what
- 31:31Speaker 2: I'm trying to say, because it's like, you built the
- 31:33Speaker 2: lineup based off the proper premise. That's when people are like, well,
- 31:37Speaker 2: why wouldn't that idiot just play Wilson and get 20
- 31:39Speaker 2: more points? And it's usually not that bad or that aggressive,
- 31:42Speaker 2: but you get what I'm saying of like.
- 31:43Speaker 1: Totally. Ultimately, that's the problem. And to your point, it's
- 31:47Speaker 1: so much easier to construct lineups that way when you're just,
- 31:51Speaker 1: because instead of William or Jamison Williams, there's, 15 other
- 31:55Speaker 1: guys right there that are all viable to your point.
- 31:58Speaker 2: Yes. So for me, that's my point, especially earlier in
- 32:00Speaker 2: the season. Like again, if you're already going in on
- 32:02Speaker 2: the game stack, this is also to, um, Blick and
- 32:05Speaker 2: I talked about this on leverage lane on Saturday, but
- 32:07Speaker 2: we said on a week like this, when everyone's sort
- 32:08Speaker 2: of picking these one-offs and these second, they're blending secondary stacks,
- 32:12Speaker 2: it's best to just almost, um, go against the field
- 32:15Speaker 2: in the sense of like, let me just find my
- 32:17Speaker 2: spot because you know what? Here, look, 1-800 only had
- 32:20Speaker 2: 12 lineups in this. I say only, I mean, obviously
- 32:22Speaker 2: it's more than I think most are putting in the 555,
- 32:24Speaker 2: but it's also, he's not maxing it or something. So
- 32:27Speaker 2: just keeping this in mind, he had to make hard decisions,
- 32:30Speaker 2: but like this lineup just ends up being the winner.
- 32:32Speaker 2: I get it. But let's look for two seconds. Darnold, Purdy,
- 32:37Speaker 2: Mahomes in one, Mahomes in two. That did not work out,
- 32:40Speaker 2: by the way, including for myself. I'm the one who called.
- 32:42Speaker 2: Maybe it'd be his shot. But he was still pretty
- 32:44Speaker 2: tight on his quarterback and game selections. But you got
- 32:47Speaker 2: to remember... in this particular lineup. And I think a
- 32:51Speaker 2: lot of people have FOMO over this type of stuff
- 32:54Speaker 2: is like, oh, but he didn't get Walker or anybody
- 32:57Speaker 2: from KC. Oh, but he didn't get anybody from the
- 33:00Speaker 2: Brazil game in Baltimore against Dallas. So, you know, how
- 33:04Speaker 2: is he going to, he didn't know anybody from Arizona
- 33:07Speaker 2: and San Fran, right? But he has everybody. from the
- 33:10Speaker 2: jets and the lions game. And that's what was needed.
- 33:12Speaker 2: And then he had the other good pieces that fit
- 33:14Speaker 2: in around it. And you just got to go with
- 33:16Speaker 2: what you can. You'll, you'll never, if you're just plugging
- 33:19Speaker 2: the bet, if you're trying to pick the best guy
- 33:21Speaker 2: from every game, then sweet do that. But man, what
- 33:25Speaker 2: a parlay you'd be able just to make instead. It's like,
- 33:27Speaker 2: how are you really going to guess exactly? And then
- 33:29Speaker 2: you want to add, things like salary cap and roster construction,
- 33:35Speaker 2: all these different factors to make it even more difficult
- 33:37Speaker 2: against more light. You could just bet a single game
- 33:41Speaker 2: parlay or you could go bet, sorry, not a single game,
- 33:43Speaker 2: like a whole slate parlay and just pick your top
- 33:46Speaker 2: nine every spot. And maybe it's less, maybe you don't
- 33:49Speaker 2: feel as confident. You've got five good spots, go put
- 33:51Speaker 2: them all in a parlay and just beat their prop
- 33:53Speaker 2: and you'll be able to be good and make money.
- 33:55Speaker 2: But this is what you have to remember when you're
- 33:57Speaker 2: building the lineups like this. So yeah, I think it
- 33:58Speaker 2: was a really good job Overall, just looking at it
- 34:01Speaker 2: and then the coverage throughout the portfolio. Anything else you
- 34:04Speaker 2: want to touch on here? If not, I want to
- 34:05Speaker 2: keep it moving.
- 34:06Speaker 1: No, just your point about like when you listed off
- 34:09Speaker 1: all those games, like that just is my point about
- 34:12Speaker 1: how many good games there are on any given slate.
- 34:14Speaker 1: And there's so many different pieces you can look at.
- 34:17Speaker 1: So it's like it's hard not to consolidate.
- 34:20Speaker 2: Yeah, Never Mahomes is back, by the way. That was
- 34:22Speaker 2: a disaster. I felt like they had their chances early,
- 34:24Speaker 2: but if there was ever a spot, I really did
- 34:26Speaker 2: like the leverage to Walker, but tried to call my shot.
- 34:29Speaker 2: Didn't work. Played him in my 555. It was not good.
- 34:33Speaker 2: Maybe I'll grab that in a second too when we
- 34:35Speaker 2: do yours. I do want to show off. I do
- 34:36Speaker 2: want to say a quick shout out though. We've seen
- 34:39Speaker 2: this a couple of times this season already. Peter Gibbons,
- 34:41Speaker 2: obviously the top DFS pros that we talk about all
- 34:43Speaker 2: the time. And I've been fortunate enough to be in
- 34:46Speaker 2: enough of these live finals to meet these guys and
- 34:48Speaker 2: they're all great people. But this is awesome too. Like
- 34:50Speaker 2: if you look here in the 555, they're not going
- 34:53Speaker 2: to say it's awesome. Trust me, but you know, it
- 34:55Speaker 2: is what it is. You're coming off a million dollar win.
- 34:57Speaker 2: So Lavertical fourth in the big 555 milli the week
- 35:01Speaker 2: after shipping it and winning it. So, you know, that
- 35:04Speaker 2: is still right back in the hunt. Just to show
- 35:06Speaker 2: you guys, if you, you know, you put the, put
- 35:08Speaker 2: the work in and be consistent, you know, you can
- 35:10Speaker 2: get these runs of this.
- 35:12Speaker 1: He took down the 3180 too. He took down the
- 35:13Speaker 1: 3180 for 200K. Oh, there you go.
- 35:17Speaker 2: So I'll pull it up in a sec. Congrats, man.
- 35:20Speaker 2: That's just amazing. He's just an awesome dude. I met
- 35:23Speaker 2: him and his brother at one of the live finals
- 35:24Speaker 2: he brought out and some of their friends and stuff
- 35:26Speaker 2: like that. He's buddies too with BP because they're both
- 35:29Speaker 2: young gunners. If you think DFS is dead, LaVertical looks
- 35:33Speaker 2: like he's 15 years old. legit i'm not making fun
- 35:37Speaker 2: of him it's just awesome like he's just a young
- 35:39Speaker 2: dude and bp we always make fun of you know
- 35:41Speaker 2: he looks like he's 18 17 he's also looks very
- 35:45Speaker 2: young these two are just crushers and bp came third
- 35:48Speaker 2: to the vertical last week so he's probably hating these
- 35:51Speaker 2: finishes but he's got his in the past and i'm
- 35:53Speaker 2: sure he'll get another one very soon but just looking
- 35:55Speaker 2: at it you know those two being right back in
- 35:57Speaker 2: the hunt you said he took down the 3180 there
- 35:59Speaker 2: it is luxury box yeah man look at these killers Lavertical, Shady,
- 36:04Speaker 2: Need Lunch Money, Shark, Peter Gibbons back in the mix,
- 36:08Speaker 2: like just crushing it. So his lineup there, Lavertical had Shuck, Olave, Johnson.
- 36:16Speaker 2: He had Gibbs, Warren. Who else did he have? Wilson
- 36:21Speaker 2: with Gibbs. Ted Hurst into the lineup there. Very nice.
- 36:25Speaker 2: Played James Cook and the Jags D. That's a nice lineup, man.
- 36:28Speaker 2: Blew out the field. Pretty much a boat race for
- 36:30Speaker 2: that field. 218.9, but that's, That's a really nice lineup there. Um,
- 36:35Speaker 2: in this one, let's see if we can pull this
- 36:37Speaker 2: up real quick. Had the max. I think the max
- 36:40Speaker 2: is nine, one out of nine. You only need one baby.
- 36:42Speaker 2: That's how you get it done. Let's go down and
- 36:44Speaker 2: look at this just to see again. But, uh, yeah, 49, nine,
- 36:49Speaker 2: 218 points. The ownership is right here. You can see
- 36:52Speaker 2: Ted Hearst was at 0.3% ownership. So nice little, uh,
- 36:57Speaker 2: nice little one off there. Got a piece of that
- 36:58Speaker 2: Buffalo game. Had the Gibbs-Wilson set up, had the stack
- 37:03Speaker 2: with New Orleans, the Jags D, played Lawrence, played Lamar, Lawrence, Deshaun,
- 37:09Speaker 2: your boys in there. Trevor Lawrence, my homes, Trevor Lawrence,
- 37:13Speaker 2: Josh Allen. So, you know, stayed pretty tight though. I
- 37:16Speaker 2: think that's another thing to look at and keep in mind.
- 37:18Speaker 2: Like everyone always says like, Oh, if I had one 50,
- 37:21Speaker 2: I do this, but these players are winning in one
- 37:23Speaker 2: 50 and they're winning in the small fields too. But
- 37:25Speaker 2: you got to look at what they're doing. What are
- 37:26Speaker 2: they doing? And, you know, I think it's still pretty
- 37:28Speaker 2: condensed quarterback pool. Like, yeah, you get the one Josh
- 37:31Speaker 2: Allen out of the nine, you get the one to Sean,
- 37:34Speaker 2: you get the one Lamar, but after that, and the
- 37:36Speaker 2: one shock, but after that it was all Trevor Lawrence.
- 37:38Speaker 2: So it's like, that's kind of the setup where it's like, I'm, I'm,
- 37:40Speaker 2: sticking to Trevor Lawrence and then I'll add my one-offs
- 37:43Speaker 2: of the others but the core was uh set up
- 37:46Speaker 2: on Trevor Lawrence didn't need him to come through because
- 37:48Speaker 2: got there the other way all right if you go
- 37:51Speaker 2: to uh player profiles I'm going to do it this
- 37:54Speaker 2: way actually and you go to Bellman it knows you
- 37:59Speaker 2: it knows the number one Bellman to bring up right
- 38:01Speaker 2: there playing the most contests of anybody in the mix
- 38:04Speaker 2: and I can go down and I can go to
- 38:07Speaker 2: view details for NFL. I can find the five 55
- 38:11Speaker 2: and view the lineups from yesterday. I could see that
- 38:13Speaker 2: you had 14 lineups. You cashed five. You, you used
- 38:17Speaker 2: up most of your salary and most of those lineups.
- 38:19Speaker 2: You played a pool of 46 unique players. I can
- 38:23Speaker 2: then check by exposure. I can check by ownership, what
- 38:26Speaker 2: your deltas were. You were underweight on Garrett Wilson. Obviously
- 38:29Speaker 2: it didn't work out. You were underweight on that, that,
- 38:32Speaker 2: secondary stack of those two as a whole, you're underweight
- 38:35Speaker 2: on Walker, but you said you want to look at
- 38:37Speaker 2: your two best lines. You can also see things just
- 38:39Speaker 2: so people know of like how much of each team
- 38:41Speaker 2: you had exposure to. And then you can also see
- 38:44Speaker 2: what you used at flex, right? So you had 50%
- 38:48Speaker 2: running back in the flags. You had 36% tight as
- 38:51Speaker 2: you were, you were 36% tight end in the flags,
- 38:54Speaker 2: which was nice yesterday and could have worked out, but
- 38:56Speaker 2: here's your best two lineups. You want to look at these?
- 38:59Speaker 1: You said, Yeah, because it's kind of like a combination
- 39:02Speaker 1: of both games I liked a lot and I just
- 39:05Speaker 1: didn't play the right pieces together. The first one, as
- 39:08Speaker 1: I mentioned, almost got there. If that game extends more,
- 39:13Speaker 1: if Geno doesn't lose that fumble, you never know what happens.
- 39:16Speaker 1: If that game goes to overtime, etc. But the Amon
- 39:19Speaker 1: Ra Breeze instead of JSN and whoever it was, it
- 39:24Speaker 1: was a killer. And then you look at the second lineup,
- 39:28Speaker 1: it's a couple of things. I was way higher on
- 39:29Speaker 1: the field on Jalen Warren. He wasn't in my best lineup.
- 39:34Speaker 1: Juwan Johnson and Bowers were two guys I was over
- 39:37Speaker 1: the field on. So it was almost like one of those,
- 39:41Speaker 1: I wish I could combine the lineups, but I'm sure
- 39:43Speaker 1: a lot of people say that the day after, you
- 39:45Speaker 1: know what I mean?
- 39:47Speaker 2: Yeah, of course. One note I'll say though, this first lineup,
- 39:50Speaker 2: I believe is exactly how hoop won the Millie. I
- 39:53Speaker 2: can't remember.
- 39:54Speaker 1: It is because I played, I had a lineup that
- 39:57Speaker 1: did really well that day. Obviously it wasn't a Millie maker,
- 40:00Speaker 1: but it was like a basic full on stack with like,
- 40:03Speaker 1: I think.
- 40:03Speaker 2: The reason I see it that way though, is because
- 40:05Speaker 2: this was a, I think you went one more. So
- 40:08Speaker 2: I think who played a three, four that day, which
- 40:11Speaker 2: means like he went with Gino and two of his
- 40:13Speaker 2: guys with four from the other side. So people were
- 40:16Speaker 2: calling it unconventional, but then I believe he had, I
- 40:19Speaker 2: know he had Josh Jacobs in the flex on the
- 40:22Speaker 2: Raiders at that time. And then whatever defense you went for, for,
- 40:29Speaker 2: but I know sometimes people look at this as like, again,
- 40:32Speaker 2: it's not, but just noting it. Some people look at
- 40:33Speaker 2: it unconventional because they're like, you have, you know, four
- 40:37Speaker 2: guys from the other side, but you didn't use their quarterback.
- 40:39Speaker 2: You use the guy that you, but you use the
- 40:41Speaker 2: guy that you could afford to get all these. There's
- 40:43Speaker 2: nobody on this list that people were not talking about.
- 40:46Speaker 2: At least some, we talked about Sadiq off the top
- 40:48Speaker 2: of the show, but Gino, it still gets spread out.
- 40:51Speaker 2: But the only real big ownership was like Gibbs. I'm
- 40:55Speaker 2: in rather in comparison, half the ownership, pretty much half,
- 40:59Speaker 2: call it half just under, of both Wilson and Gibbs.
- 41:03Speaker 2: So like even mixing him in, how many people even
- 41:05Speaker 2: had all of that together? And then Jamo, almost half
- 41:09Speaker 2: of him. Sadiq, only five. Laporta at 11. This is
- 41:12Speaker 2: a sick lineup. Like you said, what if it does
- 41:14Speaker 2: keep going or we get OT or something like that?
- 41:16Speaker 2: That would have been nuts, but... Hey, speaking of the man, TigerVault23,
- 41:20Speaker 2: that's Josh from DFSOS.com. The owner says, LaVertical also shipped
- 41:25Speaker 2: the Showdown Wildcat for 100K yesterday. Insane heater. He's been
- 41:29Speaker 2: all over the DFSOS daily slate winners collage lately. Yeah,
- 41:32Speaker 2: he's crushing it. I didn't even know that one. I
- 41:35Speaker 2: didn't know about the luxury box. But when you're hot,
- 41:37Speaker 2: you're hot. We've all had our opportunities to be there. And,
- 41:40Speaker 2: you know, winning a Millie maker, then taking it to
- 41:42Speaker 2: all these other tournaments that he's winning feels good. You
- 41:44Speaker 2: sometimes play a bit looser. You feel better about where
- 41:47Speaker 2: you're at. It doesn't just magically make you win. I
- 41:49Speaker 2: wish there was, you know, otherwise we just win the
- 41:51Speaker 2: Millie to start and then keep those wins coming. But
- 41:54Speaker 2: you do typically allow yourself to play. But he's been
- 41:57Speaker 2: a great player for a long time now and across
- 42:00Speaker 2: all sports. So congrats to him. That's awesome that Josh
- 42:02Speaker 2: pointed that out. I love your call it like being
- 42:05Speaker 2: able to combine the lineups, but I still like the
- 42:07Speaker 2: way you did this one. because Gente was kind of
- 42:11Speaker 2: being held in check based on all those other running backs.
- 42:14Speaker 2: Bowers not getting played at all, but people were talking about,
- 42:18Speaker 2: you know, Olave, you know, Shuck, Ville, I would say
- 42:23Speaker 2: Potato Potato with him, but I mean, that was the
- 42:25Speaker 2: highest owned quarterback, but talk about a way to play
- 42:27Speaker 2: them differently. And then instead of Walker, I love this
- 42:30Speaker 2: one too. People won't pick up on it usually, but
- 42:33Speaker 2: instead of Walker, you played Rice. But remember, Walker was
- 42:39Speaker 2: $ 300 more than Gentee. So like, again, people don't always
- 42:42Speaker 2: see that for what it is. They see Game Stack and, oh,
- 42:45Speaker 2: this guy played Rice. Like, it's more, there's levels to it.
- 42:49Speaker 2: And it's like, if you're not, if you're playing Gentee
- 42:51Speaker 2: because he also makes the Game Stack, fit, but also
- 42:56Speaker 2: unique in a way because you're mixing it in with
- 42:58Speaker 2: these other pieces. Like how many people are playing Gentee
- 43:01Speaker 2: and Brock? Well, I can tell you it's very low
- 43:02Speaker 2: because not many people are even playing Brock to start with.
- 43:05Speaker 2: So there's that. But then when you're playing a $ 7, 100 Gentee,
- 43:07Speaker 2: let's play Rice. in that spot instead. When most people
- 43:13Speaker 2: that are on Shuck, not most people, but just the
- 43:16Speaker 2: nature of the slate, a lot of people were playing
- 43:18Speaker 2: Tennessee to make everything fit. Well, you're not doing that.
- 43:21Speaker 2: You're playing the Giants on the opposite side of that.
- 43:23Speaker 2: So it's these subtle flips that people don't always pick
- 43:26Speaker 2: up on that you can take this and really apply
- 43:28Speaker 2: it to anything. Cause people say, Oh yeah, like it's
- 43:31Speaker 2: nice when you got 150 lineups, you don't, you were
- 43:33Speaker 2: building 14 lineups for this contest. And I'm sure you're
- 43:36Speaker 2: thinking a lot of them by hand or like some
- 43:39Speaker 2: sort of virtual hand builder ability to see something and say, okay,
- 43:42Speaker 2: if this, then that all of this, what, what are
- 43:45Speaker 2: your thoughts on that? Anything you want to add to it?
- 43:49Speaker 1: No, you hit the nail on the head and you're
- 43:51Speaker 1: kind of making me feel better coming in. And obviously
- 43:54Speaker 1: it's hard not to be a little bit results oriented
- 43:56Speaker 1: in anything you do. And because of how the winning
- 43:59Speaker 1: lineup turned out and how I built my lineups, I
- 44:02Speaker 1: can't help but think I went a little bit too
- 44:04Speaker 1: hard on the game stacks, but they're making me feel
- 44:07Speaker 1: better about it. And looking in hindsight, I clearly needed
- 44:11Speaker 1: more Gibbs, even though I played some, I had like 30%.
- 44:15Speaker 1: Like in my lineups with, that I built heavy Saints
- 44:18Speaker 1: Raiders games, you know, Gibbs should have been more of
- 44:21Speaker 1: a priority because I think I could have fit him more.
- 44:24Speaker 1: That said, it also goes back to the point of
- 44:27Speaker 1: There's so many good spots. That spot might have been
- 44:31Speaker 1: a little bit better than some of the others, but
- 44:32Speaker 1: it was owned as such. You mentioned when you talked
- 44:36Speaker 1: about the Chargers defense, Buffalo, like they weren't even really
- 44:39Speaker 1: played because there are so many good spots in any
- 44:42Speaker 1: given week. It's really hard to look at any one
- 44:44Speaker 1: lineup and be like, man, I need this, this, this,
- 44:49Speaker 1: and this, and this. It's just too hard.
- 44:52Speaker 2: Yeah. Agreed. I will say, cause my, my guy Aaron's
- 44:55Speaker 2: in here all the time. And like I said, we
- 44:57Speaker 2: agree sometimes disagree on others. This is not even, I mean,
- 45:00Speaker 2: outside of the factual point that he has more bankroll
- 45:02Speaker 2: when he wins the Millie maker, he's been playing high
- 45:05Speaker 2: stakes for years now. So it's like, he didn't like
- 45:07Speaker 2: just all of a sudden decide to enter the luxury box.
- 45:10Speaker 2: I'm talking specifically about the mentality as a matter of fact,
- 45:14Speaker 2: for those winning money that then go and start doing
- 45:17Speaker 2: what you're saying and start entering bigger contests and all
- 45:21Speaker 2: of that stuff. And you say increase their odds. First
- 45:24Speaker 2: of all, most people that do it go absolutely stone
- 45:26Speaker 2: broke immediately from it. You know, I've seen people win
- 45:28Speaker 2: millions and lose them, like win a Millie maker and
- 45:31Speaker 2: now go look them up and they're playing four lineups
- 45:33Speaker 2: in the $ 20. That's another thing you can do with
- 45:35Speaker 2: these tools. Go, go check what your shows you're watching.
- 45:39Speaker 2: People are actually playing. And if they're not about that
- 45:42Speaker 2: life and telling you the truth and saying, Hey, I'm
- 45:45Speaker 2: a single entry player. So I typically only play this.
- 45:47Speaker 2: That's different. If that's their stick. But if they, if
- 45:50Speaker 2: you always saw them playing GPPs and top field, top
- 45:53Speaker 2: heavy tournaments and things like that, now you go look
- 45:55Speaker 2: it up. They're playing four lineups, but you know, they
- 45:57Speaker 2: want a Millie maker. They didn't just stop liking DFS.
- 46:00Speaker 2: I can tell you that much. They just don't have
- 46:02Speaker 2: the money. So sorry to tell you like it is,
- 46:04Speaker 2: but it's, it's the facts of this game.
- 46:05Speaker 1: So.
- 46:06Speaker 2: Bankroll management critical. It gets brushed off because people say, ah,
- 46:10Speaker 2: I hear it again. Bankroll management contest selection. It gets
- 46:14Speaker 2: brushed off. I'm telling you, people win a million dollars.
- 46:17Speaker 1: Use 100K.
- 46:17Speaker 2: People win 100K off of $ 1, 000 and that's on a
- 46:18Speaker 2: main slate Sunday. and go check your Sunday night football lobbies,
- 46:26Speaker 2: that same player who's never played more than maybe two
- 46:29Speaker 2: grand in a slate max is all of a sudden
- 46:32Speaker 2: in for 30K. And they'll tell you to your line,
- 46:35Speaker 2: your second line, they're in the higher dollar GPPs with
- 46:38Speaker 2: a smaller field, So it increased their odds. Again, outside
- 46:43Speaker 2: of math saying that, you know, one out of 300
- 46:45Speaker 2: is better odds than one out of 3,000 and 30,000, whatever. Yes,
- 46:49Speaker 2: I know math and I'm good at it. I'm getting you.
- 46:51Speaker 2: I'm not being condescending. I'm just noting it that when
- 46:55Speaker 2: people say that, You're going up against the best players
- 46:58Speaker 2: in the entire world. It's like winning $ 10, 000 at a
- 47:01Speaker 2: poker table and then being like sweet in your local hometown.
- 47:05Speaker 2: And then being like, sweet, let me fly to Vegas,
- 47:07Speaker 2: find the best game with the best players that won
- 47:10Speaker 2: all their money from schmucks like me. And let me
- 47:13Speaker 2: sit down with them because now that I can play
- 47:14Speaker 2: in the big boy stakes, they'll respect my raises, like
- 47:17Speaker 2: things like that. So I'm not saying you went fully
- 47:19Speaker 2: in there, but just noting to you that like Lavertical
- 47:20Speaker 2: has been playing the highest stakes for a while. It's different.
- 47:24Speaker 2: I'm sure there's downswings. plenty of downswings that he's seen
- 47:27Speaker 2: that go with it as well. I'm just noting, I
- 47:29Speaker 2: think there's an interesting dynamic to when you do get
- 47:32Speaker 2: a big win, sometimes having that extra money, it's not
- 47:36Speaker 2: about going up in the stakes and that type of thing.
- 47:38Speaker 2: To me, as much as it's about maybe you play
- 47:40Speaker 2: a little bit more freely and see things differently as
- 47:44Speaker 2: you're not as scared, right? People say scared money don't
- 47:47Speaker 2: make money. That's cliche. But I will say when someone's like, well,
- 47:51Speaker 2: you know, this didn't work for me last time. It
- 47:53Speaker 2: might've been a great DFS thought, right? Like your game
- 47:56Speaker 2: stacks here. I think there was nothing wrong. We talked about,
- 47:58Speaker 2: I actually think game stacks were a great idea. They
- 48:00Speaker 2: turned out to be on the winning lineup. You almost
- 48:02Speaker 2: had the full game stack of the one that was
- 48:03Speaker 2: on the winning lineup and the optimals and all that.
- 48:05Speaker 2: So it's not like you were in the bad head
- 48:07Speaker 2: space on how you were thinking of playing. Blakely and
- 48:09Speaker 2: I talked on Saturday about the overstacks and yeah, you'll
- 48:12Speaker 2: leave some places out some games on a 13 game slate,
- 48:15Speaker 2: but you're always going to leave stuff out. But yeah,
- 48:18Speaker 2: Sometimes people do that. Let's say you didn't enter this lineup, Velma.
- 48:20Speaker 2: This would be my best example, and I'll let you
- 48:22Speaker 2: rebuttal all this, but let's say you didn't play this
- 48:24Speaker 2: lineup and you lost even more in this because you
- 48:28Speaker 2: lost that money, but this was your best lineup and
- 48:31Speaker 2: it didn't get there. And then you say, well, playing
- 48:34Speaker 2: game stacks was stupid. Shouldn't even have done that. And
- 48:37Speaker 2: then you just change gears on yourself the next week out.
- 48:40Speaker 2: And then the next week out, it's game stacks again
- 48:42Speaker 2: that you need or something like that. It's like people
- 48:44Speaker 2: are too quick to flip the switch on stuff and
- 48:47Speaker 2: they overanalyze and therefore they end up. making mistakes as
- 48:51Speaker 2: opposed to like people that just think it's all luck.
- 48:53Speaker 2: Like you don't just, it's not the same players that
- 48:55Speaker 2: we're reviewing week after week and showing you the proof
- 48:57Speaker 2: of it that are just winning because they're lucky. Like
- 49:00Speaker 2: it takes luck. You do need variants to fall in
- 49:02Speaker 2: your favor over, over long-term, but you got to play
- 49:06Speaker 2: good too. I'll let you talk to all that stuff.
- 49:08Speaker 2: Anything you want to add there?
- 49:09Speaker 1: No, I think you're spot on with everything for me.
- 49:11Speaker 1: It's more just like, and I, I'm going back to
- 49:15Speaker 1: something that we talked about just a few minutes ago.
- 49:18Speaker 1: The game stacks make sense for sure. sure, but I
- 49:20Speaker 1: almost feel like I'm falling into a trap of, because
- 49:25Speaker 1: it's so much easier to build. Like it's so easy
- 49:28Speaker 1: to put guys into spots in the game stack when
- 49:33Speaker 1: there might be better plays. Now, again, it's difficult because
- 49:36Speaker 1: when you just look at like a one-on-one example, like,
- 49:39Speaker 1: you're not playing Michael Wilson over Jamison Williams in a,
- 49:42Speaker 1: you know, lions jets, you know, partial game stack. But
- 49:45Speaker 1: I do think that maybe looking outside the box more
- 49:50Speaker 1: is worth thinking about. But to your point, I feel
- 49:54Speaker 1: fine about the lineups I played. Certainly the results weren't amazing,
- 49:57Speaker 1: but to your point, like on any given week, you're
- 50:01Speaker 1: going to need luck to be on your side. And
- 50:04Speaker 1: as I've talked about a bunch on the baseball shows
- 50:06Speaker 1: and in showdown slates in particular, I, if you're not
- 50:09Speaker 1: winning the tournaments, especially on showdown, it's really hard to
- 50:12Speaker 1: make money. If you're playing tournaments, that's just the facts
- 50:15Speaker 1: of life. Yeah.
- 50:17Speaker 2: And you're going to lose so much more often. You're
- 50:18Speaker 2: going to win. I'll just say this, like, um, because
- 50:21Speaker 2: you know, this is another question from Aaron. It's a
- 50:22Speaker 2: good one says, can you show a lineup that finished
- 50:25Speaker 2: two to 10? That is an example of not playing freely.
- 50:29Speaker 2: Like I'm, I'm assuming you're saying like someone who did well,
- 50:31Speaker 2: but didn't end up winning that.
- 50:33Speaker 1: You're not going to know.
- 50:34Speaker 2: Yeah, you're not going to. This is a concept. And
- 50:36Speaker 2: that's why this is important. It's a great topic. I
- 50:38Speaker 2: love going in on this stuff. It's what I do
- 50:39Speaker 2: at DFS Mastermind. It's what we do over at Ship
- 50:42Speaker 2: It Nation. It's like all of us play. Most of
- 50:44Speaker 2: our guys are pros and they're making way more in
- 50:47Speaker 2: DFS than they are from, you know, working and doing
- 50:49Speaker 2: content videos and things like that. But just noting it.
- 50:53Speaker 2: First of all, something that gets very misconstrued by many.
- 50:57Speaker 2: If you finish this, people won't like it, but this
- 50:59Speaker 2: is exactly like it is. If you finish 10th place
- 51:02Speaker 2: in a 555 Millimaker, it's not that you unfortunately will
- 51:06Speaker 2: not have the million dollars, the trophy, or a first
- 51:08Speaker 2: place to show for it. But typically, just so you know,
- 51:12Speaker 2: you pretty much won. You put yourself in the spot.
- 51:14Speaker 2: You controlled the controllables. You gave yourself a chance to
- 51:16Speaker 2: get there, and you almost did. Yes, there's really bad lineups.
- 51:19Speaker 2: You're like, holy shit, I can't believe that one got
- 51:21Speaker 2: up there. But when I pulled up that tournament earlier,
- 51:23Speaker 2: and you saw it was, like I said, a murderer's row,
- 51:26Speaker 2: of the best DFS pros, they're just, they don't control
- 51:30Speaker 2: the coin flips down the stretch of like Trevor Lawrence
- 51:32Speaker 2: kneeling at the one for some crazy reason with eight
- 51:35Speaker 2: minutes left in the game. They don't, they don't control
- 51:37Speaker 2: that stuff, but they put themselves in the position. They're
- 51:40Speaker 2: probably all playing really good and not playing, you know,
- 51:44Speaker 2: you know, not the opposite of what I was saying earlier,
- 51:46Speaker 2: where like you could play a little bit more freely. It,
- 51:48Speaker 2: to me, it's conceptual. I'll give you another example. somebody
- 51:51Speaker 2: who plays 10 lineups and they typically play 10 lineups
- 51:55Speaker 2: pretty tight. I would say if you play lighter, play tighter.
- 51:57Speaker 2: So let's say they're there. They've been going for two
- 51:59Speaker 2: or three weeks in we're three weeks in now. Let's
- 52:01Speaker 2: just use this season for three weeks. They've been playing, um,
- 52:06Speaker 2: Three quarterbacks a week. And you don't have to put
- 52:08Speaker 2: an arbitrary number on it. I'm just noting it more
- 52:10Speaker 2: of like, hey, they're they're saying I'm taking Tambo's advice
- 52:13Speaker 2: and I'm not going to play every quarterback. I think
- 52:15Speaker 2: we showed earlier somebody had maybe it was a little
- 52:17Speaker 2: vertically at five lineups to Trevor Lawrence, then a couple
- 52:20Speaker 2: of one offs like he's committing to a spot, but
- 52:22Speaker 2: then putting his best version of whatever his process is
- 52:25Speaker 2: to get those other ones in there. Imagine if Trevor
- 52:28Speaker 2: Lawrence hits, he could take down top five prizes if
- 52:31Speaker 2: those lineups are all similar and good and balanced. But
- 52:34Speaker 2: let's say it doesn't work for three weeks. And now
- 52:37Speaker 2: I know he's not going to do this for the
- 52:39Speaker 2: most part and switch gears because it's clearly working. But
- 52:42Speaker 2: just noting that people do this in their 20 max
- 52:43Speaker 2: or whatever it might be. they now say, you know what?
- 52:47Speaker 2: This sucks, man. It's not working for me. I need
- 52:50Speaker 2: to start playing way more quarterbacks because I got to
- 52:53Speaker 2: be able to get there. And then what they do,
- 52:55Speaker 2: this is my point. They're not thinking correctly. They're like, oh,
- 52:58Speaker 2: I just got to cover more angles. And so they
- 53:00Speaker 2: start playing 10 different quarterbacks in two lineups each. And
- 53:06Speaker 2: then they have let's use a big number, 60% Gibbs
- 53:10Speaker 2: this week. Okay. And I'm using this week, blending it,
- 53:13Speaker 2: but you get the point. Let's say for the first
- 53:14Speaker 2: two weeks, this happened. They switched gears in week three.
- 53:16Speaker 2: This week, they play 10 quarterbacks, two of each 20
- 53:20Speaker 2: lineups for a 20 max tournament. And Gibbs is in 60%.
- 53:24Speaker 2: but then they don't over check. They don't check their
- 53:26Speaker 2: stuff or anything. And first of all, it's only really, um,
- 53:29Speaker 2: Gino that was needed. So had they have kept playing
- 53:32Speaker 2: the way they knew was eventually going to turn their direction.
- 53:35Speaker 2: If they just, again, you don't know, but my point
- 53:37Speaker 2: being the theory works, they, they switched off. And so
- 53:39Speaker 2: now they only have two Gino lineups when last week
- 53:42Speaker 2: they would have had them in five to 10, depending
- 53:45Speaker 2: on how they, they spent their, their, uh, 20 lineups
- 53:48Speaker 2: over three quarterbacks. But also what they noticed this week,
- 53:51Speaker 2: they get mad because they say, man, I still played
- 53:54Speaker 2: like 60% Gibbs. I don't get this. Well, you got Gibbs,
- 53:57Speaker 2: you got Gino stacks in two lineups and you didn't
- 54:00Speaker 2: look at your lineups and they were, they were both
- 54:02Speaker 2: almond raw or one was almond raw and one was
- 54:04Speaker 2: Laporta and Jamo. Like you, Oh shit. Well, guess what?
- 54:08Speaker 2: The previous week, had you stuck to your guns, you
- 54:10Speaker 2: would have had eight to 10 Gino lineups and four
- 54:14Speaker 2: or five of them with Gibbs. And then the chance
- 54:16Speaker 2: for the rest of that path to go your direction.
- 54:18Speaker 2: So Gino, Freely is trusting your, yeah, like you said here,
- 54:22Speaker 2: probably more like this. Playing freely, trusting a good rational process,
- 54:26Speaker 2: typically correct. And when people go on downswings, they don't
- 54:29Speaker 2: always think rationally. They chase larger buy-ins. They, oh, I
- 54:33Speaker 2: got to get this back. You know what? The morning
- 54:34Speaker 2: went shit for me, Bellman. So I'm going to join
- 54:37Speaker 2: the 444 this afternoon and try and win 100K. That'll
- 54:40Speaker 2: solve all my problems. It's a smaller field. Oh, you
- 54:42Speaker 2: have one lineup that you're going to put in it?
- 54:44Speaker 2: When all the top players have multiple lineups.
- 54:46Speaker 1: And that's typical behavior too. You're not speaking of outliers.
- 54:50Speaker 1: Like this is the norm. So if you're doing this,
- 54:53Speaker 1: don't think that like. he's calling you out or anything.
- 54:55Speaker 1: Cause this is what normal human nature is. Learn.
- 54:59Speaker 2: Hopefully it helps them. Right. And by the way, I
- 55:01Speaker 2: don't know everything. I'm on my own journey. I'm trying
- 55:03Speaker 2: to learn as I go. I haven't won a Millie maker.
- 55:06Speaker 2: I don't, I've got a lot of success and big
- 55:08Speaker 2: prizes that I'm happy with, but I love playing this game.
- 55:11Speaker 2: I love talking about this game. I love the process.
- 55:13Speaker 2: It's why Melbourne and I talk about all the time
- 55:14Speaker 2: when nades is on with me, they alternate weeks typically,
- 55:17Speaker 2: but we're on together, all of us and just back
- 55:19Speaker 2: and forth. We just love shoot the shit on Monday
- 55:22Speaker 2: morning and kind of learning from this, talking about it,
- 55:24Speaker 2: seeing what we can pick up and hope to be
- 55:27Speaker 2: in the spot that we're reviewing our own lineups next
- 55:29Speaker 2: week on this very show. It's like, that's the ultimate
- 55:31Speaker 2: goal is to get to that. But to me, staying disciplined.
- 55:35Speaker 2: I like how you added that, Aaron, for sure. Like
- 55:37Speaker 2: it's definitely being disciplined and sticking to your process. A
- 55:41Speaker 2: lot of people change gears. I'll give you another one.
- 55:43Speaker 2: Here's one that I think is popular right now. Chasing
- 55:48Speaker 2: contest sim ROI. A lot of people are just looking
- 55:52Speaker 2: for the highest contest sim ROI they can get because
- 55:55Speaker 2: they think on paper, it's the best number I can find.
- 55:59Speaker 2: It's like when people used to chase projected points. Yeah,
- 56:02Speaker 2: you want the best projected lines. And by the way,
- 56:04Speaker 2: 10 years ago, been doing this a long time as
- 56:07Speaker 2: of you, that would work for you. If you had
- 56:09Speaker 2: some way of getting to the best projected points lineups
- 56:12Speaker 2: then and you had good projections of your own before
- 56:14Speaker 2: the industry had anything, yes, that was the way to
- 56:16Speaker 2: win and it's still helpful. I'm just noting, That a
- 56:20Speaker 2: lot of times people are like, you know, looking for
- 56:23Speaker 2: some magic truth serum and having good Contest Sim ROI
- 56:27Speaker 2: is solid, but you have to remember it's on, you know, 10,000
- 56:30Speaker 2: simulations and it's over all these periods of time, but
- 56:34Speaker 2: we're only going to play one slate yesterday. There's only,
- 56:38Speaker 2: it's only going to play out one time in the end.
- 56:40Speaker 2: So it's, you know, all these things do work in
- 56:42Speaker 2: your favor, and I use those numbers myself and to
- 56:45Speaker 2: my advantage. But I'm saying when people just chase, like
- 56:48Speaker 2: they're selecting one lineup for their single entry tournament, and
- 56:52Speaker 2: they just go immediately to the highest contest sim ROI,
- 56:56Speaker 2: even though the projection might not be anywhere near good
- 56:59Speaker 2: for the field size. There's too many other factors that
- 57:02Speaker 2: go to it. We're not going to run through all
- 57:03Speaker 2: of them here, but just noting it, they're not actually
- 57:05Speaker 2: considering that.
- 57:06Speaker 1: A lot.
- 57:06Speaker 2: And that's where I'm saying people don't recognize that there's
- 57:08Speaker 2: different levels to it. They just chase the next shiny
- 57:12Speaker 2: new toy and be like, okay, this is what's going
- 57:14Speaker 2: to solve my DFS problems. It's not how it works. Unfortunately,
- 57:17Speaker 2: I wish it did. And I want everyone to continue
- 57:19Speaker 2: to play this game and have fun and win. And
- 57:21Speaker 2: we can keep this thing rolling. And that's the hope.
- 57:24Speaker 2: but really you can only focus on yourself. And that's
- 57:26Speaker 2: a bit selfish. What we try and give back via
- 57:28Speaker 2: shows like this, but you, you got to work on
- 57:30Speaker 2: your own game until I liked where Aaron said freely
- 57:34Speaker 2: equals discipline. That, that is something to think about, right?
- 57:37Speaker 2: You got to stay disciplined for sure. With all the
- 57:39Speaker 2: facets of your game, roster construction, bankroll management, Contest selection,
- 57:44Speaker 2: lineup selection, learning what all of that stuff means and
- 57:48Speaker 2: how it works cohesively, right? It's totally different, right? Your
- 57:51Speaker 2: lineup selection is different than your contest selection as well.
- 57:55Speaker 2: So lots of different topics that we cover over at
- 57:58Speaker 2: Chibbit Nation and dfsmastermind.com. But any follow-up on that from you, Belen?
- 58:04Speaker 1: No, I really like that freely equals discipline just because
- 58:06Speaker 1: it's so easy to not correlate the two together, but
- 58:10Speaker 1: they're extremely correlated. And- I just love that call out,
- 58:14Speaker 1: but I'm with you on everything. I mean, we know
- 58:17Speaker 1: we've been doing this for a while. It's human nature
- 58:19Speaker 1: to want to get back in it. I mean, even myself,
- 58:22Speaker 1: like I've rode the wave, you know, for years when
- 58:26Speaker 1: I'm going, when I'm not going well, like, I feel
- 58:29Speaker 1: like I can't wait for that next slate. Cause I
- 58:33Speaker 1: need that next slate to start where, when I'm in
- 58:35Speaker 1: a really good zone, like I don't care when the
- 58:38Speaker 1: next slate is I'm chilling. I'm good. The slate will
- 58:41Speaker 1: come when it comes. So just being able to have
- 58:44Speaker 1: that like peace of mind that I don't even have
- 58:47Speaker 1: the word for it, but exactly what you're talking about.
- 58:50Speaker 2: It's just, it's, it's being able to have like a
- 58:52Speaker 2: strong mentality, right? It's more mental than people realize this game.
- 58:55Speaker 2: Obviously we're hobby. Like, I don't even think people really
- 58:57Speaker 2: fully understand or think about it. Like, you know, I've,
- 59:00Speaker 2: I've had to come on and I say had to,
- 59:02Speaker 2: it's like, again, I love doing it, but I got
- 59:04Speaker 2: to be vulnerable myself with you guys. I talk about
- 59:06Speaker 2: it like I wanted to take the nobody cares, work
- 59:08Speaker 2: harder sign some weeks and throw it in the garbage
- 59:11Speaker 2: because it's like, look, I just took the bad, like
- 59:14Speaker 2: a terrible beat yesterday for all this money. I was
- 59:17Speaker 2: this close to like one thing I had to change
- 59:19Speaker 2: or maybe I was off a little bit in my
- 59:21Speaker 2: process or whatever. It's my fault. I need to own that.
- 59:23Speaker 2: But it's like, man, I do care actually, you know,
- 59:26Speaker 2: it's bothering me enough. And now I got to go
- 59:27Speaker 2: freaking talk about all this other shit and who won
- 59:30Speaker 2: and all this, you know what I mean? That type
- 59:32Speaker 2: of stuff sometimes can, as much as we love the
- 59:34Speaker 2: game can get to you a little bit, but again,
- 59:37Speaker 2: ultimately you can't complain. You got to move on. You
- 59:40Speaker 2: got to learn from it. And I think that's the key, right?
- 59:43Speaker 2: I'll go back to this one too. Again, good ideas,
- 59:45Speaker 2: bad ideas. You don't need a show for this, right?
- 59:47Speaker 2: You don't, this is not a show how to react
- 59:49Speaker 2: rationally to recent results. This is exactly what I'm talking about.
- 59:53Speaker 2: What I just said, you just need to recognize that
- 59:55Speaker 2: it's a long game to Matt's point. It's he was
- 59:58Speaker 2: just vulnerable himself and saying that someone, when it's going
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: bad or I'm losing or anything like that, I'm looking
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: for the next slate. He's saying when you're winning, you're like,
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: I'm good, man. Like I already like the next slate's
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: tonight and I'll get to it when I get to
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: it and I'll play it good again. I'm obviously good.
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: I just won. You get that feeling in that high
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: of like, I know I can do this and I
- 1:00:17Speaker 2: just proved it again last night. And then you go
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: into Monday Night Football and you do your normal day.
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: You get on your show, you talk it up, you
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: take the congrats people give you, you move on, all
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: of that. But there's no show needed. What you need
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: to do is just do what your topic was going
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: to be or your title, stay in your lane, when
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: you win, if it only took a thousand bucks to
- 1:00:36Speaker 2: win a hundred thousand, play a thousand bucks again.
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: The best point you've ever made to me. I mean,
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: we've talked about that often and it's true. And I
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: think about it all the time. And I think everybody
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: who plays DFS, whether they're an amateur or a full
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: pro should hear it.
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: You know our guy in the Discord, man? Shout out
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: to Lukey, Lukey08. This guy's having a hell of a
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: season in the baseball streets. Other stuff too, but just
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: I want to note the baseball one. So he got
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: the Sabre Sim Ultimate Package through Ship It Nation, started
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: messing around with Contest Sims, spent the time learning, getting
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: better at the game, and he won the Mini Max
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: in baseball, I think six, I don't even want to
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: use this stupid thing, six to eight times, I'm going
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: to say. You know, just skip a number there, but
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: just to note it, at least that from me seeing it,
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: but he never changes gears. I know people say, you
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: should go up, you should go up. He's saying like,
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: it is huge ROI winning the mini max for a
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: thousand bucks or 2,500 on some nights or whatever it
- 1:01:32Speaker 2: ends up getting to 2,000. I think I saw him
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: once like a 2,500, a couple of times, like things
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: like that. But it's, you want them to start throwing
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: 750 bucks into the $ 5. All of a sudden that's,
- 1:01:42Speaker 2: that's a whole mini max win almost. If he does that,
- 1:01:45Speaker 2: or you just stay in your lane and you keep
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: grinding and you keep turning small money into huge money.
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: And then eventually you'll take your shots, treat yourself a
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: little bit, move up as you feel comfortable with it.
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: But too many people are like, boom, I want a thousand.
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: It's the, you know, it's I'm onto the net. You
- 1:02:01Speaker 2: know what? Three 33 tonight. I can put three in
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: that now and have three shots at 150 K.
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: All right.
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: Sign me up. Well, everybody else has one 50 or
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: whatever the max number is a bunch of people, not everybody,
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: but you know what I mean? And like, yeah. One
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: injury dart out for the slate last week on showdown.
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: Whoops.
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: All that hard work to win your thousand dollars and
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: you just buried it on something you have no control over,
- 1:02:23Speaker 2: or you could just try and replicate it a bunch
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: of times. That sounds pretty cool to me as well.
- 1:02:27Speaker 2: And I've ranted about this Tambo tangent, if you will,
- 1:02:30Speaker 2: many times where it's like, um, man, it sucks. I
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: never win, you know, 10K. I'm just going to go
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: up and start trying to win 10K now. It's like,
- 1:02:38Speaker 2: have you ever won a thousand? No, but like people
- 1:02:40Speaker 2: are trying to skip steps. The good news, the best
- 1:02:43Speaker 2: part of DFS is you could skip full steps. You
- 1:02:46Speaker 2: could never win a thousand, never win 10,000, but all
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: of a sudden your big day is a hundred K.
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: Like it's possible. That's the best part about DFS. But
- 1:02:56Speaker 2: so many people are trying to like get, they just
- 1:02:58Speaker 2: want to make it happen fast and overnight. And it's
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: like the good news about DFS, there can be overnight success.
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: There can be a big win that just happens out
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: of the blue or out of nowhere, but chasing it
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: is not disciplined to what we talked about and kind
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: of the theme of this show. So thought I would
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: bring that up just to be, you know, added on there.
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: But our guy, Luke, he's the man for just staying
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: in his lane, continuously having success and he'll move up
- 1:03:19Speaker 2: at his own pace. That's what I think. All right.
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: That's a great call.
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: Round it up, man. I got the, the final, um,
- 1:03:26Speaker 2: set up here was the single entry. People want to
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: look at obviously the winning lineups yesterday looked pretty similar.
- 1:03:31Speaker 2: Like it was still a G it's what, how many
- 1:03:32Speaker 2: different is it? Gino Jameer, JSN, Wilson, Sadiq got away
- 1:03:37Speaker 2: with Williams, got Kittle though. That, that helped Titan still
- 1:03:41Speaker 2: came through. Like the, these are the types of lineups
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: where you're just like, man, the weeks. I mean, sorry.
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: We're like the lineups are all just going to be
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: so similar. And this is good.
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: I'm sorry. This is a good example of people talk
- 1:03:53Speaker 1: about like playing single entry drastically different from like large
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: field tournaments. And I just disagree with that, especially when
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: you're in a single entry like this size with what,
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: how many people are in this tournament?
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: This one had 4,444 entries. Okay. And it's a hundred
- 1:04:11Speaker 2: K to first. So extremely top heavy. This is the $ 100,
- 1:04:19Speaker 2: by the way, that everybody likes to play. Not to
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: cut you off, but I'll let you keep going. But
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: this is what people want to play, right? Like, I
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: got $ 100. I'm less than 5,000 people. We're all equal
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: with one lineup apiece. And I can win $ 100K in $ 40K, $ 20K, $ 10, 000, whatever.
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: But carry on. But yeah, that's the tournament we're talking about.
- 1:04:37Speaker 2: So I like where you're going with this thought.
- 1:04:39Speaker 1: The lineup you need to win it isn't that much
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: different than it took to win down, like, the 5-5-5
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: Millie maker with 5,000, you know, 1,000 more people. So...
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: Just goes to show you, I think that people who
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: play single entry, much different from large field GPPs, are
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: just doing it wrong. Now, that said, there are all
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: sorts of types of different single entries. If you're playing
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: a 10-man single entry, certainly that's way different. But these
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: very top-heavy, large field single entries, I personally treat the
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: same as multi-entry GPPs, just knowing that, first off, this
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: goes to a whole different conversation of, Whatever contest you're playing, now,
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: I played the 555 and didn't enter 150 lineups in that.
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: I could have played that much money in contests that
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: I could have max entered the field on. So there's
- 1:05:31Speaker 1: that whole conversation. Putting that aside, even knowing that no
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: one else can enter more lineups than you in a
- 1:05:39Speaker 1: contest like this, it's still just as top-heavy, and you're
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: going to need lineups that are almost as good as
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: the MillieMaker lineups to win it. That's my takeaway.
- 1:05:47Speaker 2: I love that call out. It's so important to remember.
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: You know, it's still top heavy to Nades' point in
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: the chat, but also it's just like, I think people
- 1:05:55Speaker 2: think 4,444 entries is like 44. sometimes it's like, no,
- 1:06:00Speaker 2: it's like, it's, you know, they think like under 5,000
- 1:06:02Speaker 2: means nothing. Like imagine, I'm trying to think of like
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: what the best example is, but like 5,000 people in
- 1:06:08Speaker 2: a room, just it's digital, right? Same, same way people
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: enter the money online and it's digital and they get
- 1:06:12Speaker 2: into trouble because of that, right? It's just digital money.
- 1:06:15Speaker 2: It's never going to add up, but it does, right?
- 1:06:17Speaker 2: That credit card bill, bill can rack up the, um,
- 1:06:20Speaker 2: you know, the people you're going against, you just see
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: it as like, Oh, on a piece of paper, remember
- 1:06:24Speaker 2: you're also looking at an app where 4,444 entries is
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: next to 176,000 in the $ 20 Millie maker, whatever the
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: number was over there. And so you start thinking that
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: it's small. It's like, imagine 176,000 people. That's three NFL.
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: You know, you look at the, I don't know how
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: many people were in Brazil yesterday for that game, but
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: they kept doing the overhead there for sure. But like, what,
- 1:06:48Speaker 2: what was the, um, Brazil attendance for that game. I mean,
- 1:06:52Speaker 2: the stadium was packed for the NFL game yesterday. Record
- 1:06:56Speaker 2: attendance of 72, that rounded up to 73K. Now double that.
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: And that's the $ 20 Millie maker. And you're one person
- 1:07:06Speaker 2: standing there eating a hot dog, drinking a Pepsi or
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: a Coke. Like, come on, buddy. Like you're one, you
- 1:07:10Speaker 2: think that's good odds. And then they think like four, Oh, 4,444
- 1:07:15Speaker 2: is nothing though, because it's not that well, it's still
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: a whole damn section of those people. Like, are you
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: catching the lucky t-shirt they're shooting with the pop gun today?
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: Probably not. But if you do great, but it's like,
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: you don't, you don't see it as people just don't.
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: It's not just an average section either. It's a section
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: of people that really know what they're doing.
- 1:07:32Speaker 2: Yes, exactly. That these are all people that are, they're not,
- 1:07:36Speaker 2: they didn't care. Like, uh, what was it back in
- 1:07:38Speaker 2: the day? Like MJ F those kids, man. Like they're
- 1:07:41Speaker 2: not thinking about the kids. These are all people that
- 1:07:43Speaker 2: are ready to catch that t-shirt. You're in a tournament
- 1:07:46Speaker 2: of all those people. They're in the niche. They're in
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: the industry. They're in the space. Even if you say, oh,
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: not all of them, it's such a small number, man.
- 1:07:52Speaker 2: And they're all trying to win. I promise even my
- 1:07:55Speaker 2: neighbor that throws a lineup in, he's still trying to win.
- 1:07:58Speaker 2: So you got to think about that. Like they have
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: at least something. They're taking in some sort of knowledge
- 1:08:02Speaker 2: or information. You're not sitting in an empty section. We're
- 1:08:04Speaker 2: the only one trying to catch that t-shirt, just using
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: the analogy and belaboring it. But just noting it, the
- 1:08:09Speaker 2: point you made about playing it to win, that's some
- 1:08:12Speaker 2: of the edge in single entry still, because even though there's, uh,
- 1:08:16Speaker 2: you know, the number might've got smaller, let's say it
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: used to be 10 to 15% of people that would
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: enter a cash lineup and, and just play it poorly
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: now is smaller.
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: That's fine.
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: But you still got to remember it. It's, it's not
- 1:08:28Speaker 2: about what they're doing. It's about what you're doing. So Um,
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: it's not about how others play. It's how you play.
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: It could be a new one, but just noting it,
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: it's like, that's the concept. It's like, I don't give
- 1:08:37Speaker 2: a shit. I say this in satellites all the time. Like, well,
- 1:08:40Speaker 2: technically it's still only a hundred person satellite and you
- 1:08:44Speaker 2: don't have to be as aggressive. I'm like, technically I
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: don't give a shit. I'm playing 99 other people and
- 1:08:49Speaker 2: it's a winner take all I'm winning or I'm losing. And,
- 1:08:53Speaker 2: or I've like in golf, I've come second a bunch
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: of time. I mean, I've come second everywhere. A bunch
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: of times is everyone who plays satellites do. It's not
- 1:08:58Speaker 2: a complaint or a, it's normal. That's totally normal. Cause
- 1:09:02Speaker 2: we're playing like a first or last mentality, but I'm
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: saying when you play the way I do, I can
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: get second in a PGA satellite with a five to six.
- 1:09:09Speaker 2: It's like if my golfer had just made the six
- 1:09:11Speaker 2: of six, I'm on their heels with a five of
- 1:09:13Speaker 2: six because I'm playing so aggressive. It's winner take all.
- 1:09:16Speaker 2: Like of what you said, of 99 other people, maybe
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: they're not all killers, but most of them are. So
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: I don't know where people are trying to come up
- 1:09:24Speaker 2: with like, oh, let me just play the safety lineup
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: in this thing. Or, you know, you hear this one
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: all the time. Well, I'll do that in my portfolio,
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: but I'm not going to do that in my single
- 1:09:35Speaker 2: entry lineup. Okay, why not? Well, too risky. I would
- 1:09:39Speaker 2: take some risk. You might want to take some on
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: because look at the difference in score. Like you say, 223.6
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: was still required to get the job done here. So
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: you got to be aggressive in these things, man.
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: Yeah, we see that so eye to eye. It's getting
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: me amped. I'm pumped for this showdown slate tonight. Yeah, man.
- 1:09:57Speaker 2: Back in less than an hour, myself and title. We'll
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: be breaking it down. I'm going through the game tonight.
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: We've got Philly at Chicago. Chicago at Philly, is it? Yeah,
- 1:10:06Speaker 2: I think it is.
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: I think it's in Chicago.
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: Yeah, no, it's in Chicago. It's in Chicago. You're right.
- 1:10:09Speaker 2: That's what it is. So yeah, excited. Case Keenum in there.
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: It's going to be a fun slate to break down.
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: You guys want to go check out dfsos.com, all the
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: stuff we used on this show today. Make sure to
- 1:10:17Speaker 2: use code SHIPIT. It gets you the founder pricing, which
- 1:10:21Speaker 2: is going to go up to 99, Josh has mentioned,
- 1:10:23Speaker 2: but you're getting the founder pricing of 59 a month
- 1:10:27Speaker 2: down to 29 a month. There's just a million things inside,
- 1:10:30Speaker 2: like I said, the dashboard that you'll be able to use.
- 1:10:32Speaker 2: I use it every single day now. for what I'm doing.
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: But if you want to get better at DFS, this
- 1:10:37Speaker 2: is your starting point. There's a bunch more that goes
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- 1:10:41Speaker 2: three more big winners this week, we've got nine golden
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- 1:10:53Speaker 2: Click join the nation. All of the pricing options are there.
- 1:10:57Speaker 2: But if you don't know or been living under a rock,
- 1:10:59Speaker 2: we are giving away over $ 45, 000 in cash and prizes
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- 1:11:11Speaker 2: to the rest of the top 10. The top three
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: will also all get the one-year ultimate membership. We talked
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: about our guy Lukey using it earlier to win the
- 1:11:19Speaker 2: Mini Max six to eight times this year in baseball.
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- 1:11:28Speaker 2: only getting 10 grand cash, but also the annual of
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- 1:11:39Speaker 2: You can see all access options, weekly, monthly, annual. You
- 1:11:42Speaker 2: got the content only, weekly, monthly, annual, and then under
- 1:11:45Speaker 2: single sport, NFL. Any final thoughts from you, Matt, before
- 1:11:48Speaker 2: we get out of here?
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: No, man, that's all I got. Always a blast doing
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: this show with you, man.
- 1:11:53Speaker 2: Yeah, appreciate all the fun in the chat, all the engagement.
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: If you guys are watching this on playback, remember to
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: hit the thumbs up, subscribe to the channel so you
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: guys can get more. That's going to do it for
- 1:12:01Speaker 2: this one, guys. From Matt, from myself, Toe Tagging Tambo,
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: good luck in your contest tonight. Let's ship it!