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Yankees/Blue Jays MLB + WNBA Best Bets Tuesday 7/22/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five. I don't even know what to
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: tell you about that. I just don't want to do
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: to burn my browins hack Man, I don't know what
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. But I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: I always am until I die at least oh and two.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: Doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, The slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all. What's up, everybody, It's.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: Towed back with you for Tuesday, July twenty second. Man,
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: that that intro it at least makes me laugh, man,
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: It helps me get through having all these terrible days.
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: The slump continues.
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: We were one and three yesterday. Obviously I wish it
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: went better than that. It started off pretty decently. Pittsburgh
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: got the win with a shutout over the Tigers.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: Paul's schemes went six innings. Nice start from him.
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: Didn't get over worked in that one either, so at
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: least we nailed that one. I still don't even think
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: I was wrong about Miami, man, I mean.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Vez Kez was terrible.
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: Uri Perez still outpitched Vatscaz, even though he did a
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: lot of two runs. Besquez didn't even make it through
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: the fifth inning. He went four and a third and
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: he allowed seven hits, one walk, and the Marlins only
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: got one run out of that Marlins were just failing
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: to get anybody home. They were just jamming the bases
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: full of base runners and couldn't score at all.
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: So I don't even think I had that game wrong,
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: to be honest.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: The Marlins out hit the Padres I think nine to
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: five over the course of the entire game, and I
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: think it was seven to four in the first five
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: innings something like that. So that one I think was
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: a bullshit loss. The others were not. I mean, I
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: wish I stayed away from the a's that one didn't
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: get there. Although Jack Lighter, I mean he was walking
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: a lot of guys and he got away with it,
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: and Lopez walked some guys and didn't get away with it.
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: So that was kind of the difference in that one
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: and then Seattle, I mean Seattle just they could not
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: hit Man, I mean Woodruff, I understand. I know he's
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: really good, but I thought that we were gonna get
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: kind of a close, low scoring game and that one
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: in that Seattle was gonna wind up coming out on
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: top in the end once it all came down to it.
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: But that was not the case. Nancy, what's up? Thanks
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: for hanging out all right, and Nancy, you should be
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: getting the let me know when you get the GIMP mask.
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: It should be coming to you at some point soon.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: Weird way to start the show talking about that. Right,
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: Hopefully my audio is fine. Let me just double check
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: this as I always do great professionalism here. All right,
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: I think we're good. Let's get into today. Man, this
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: is gonna be the rundown. I always forget to bring
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: up the new graphics that I made here until I
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: do the best bet segment at the end.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right. Enjoy that. Enjoy inspecting the mask or whatever.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: WNBA is back, by the way, and I'm not gonna
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: recommend any wnd NBA play today. I will have two
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: baseball players today. Trying to be a little bit selective.
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: I have what I think is the best side and
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: the best total. One of them is, of course, the
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: big game that I have in the description here, which
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: trying to get the eyes on it. Man, I'm gonna
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: talk about one of the biggest games Yankees, Blue Jays WNBA.
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: They're coming out of the All Star breaks. So, of course,
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: as I always say, when you have breaks like this,
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: generally you want to.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: Look to play against teams that went into.
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: The All Star break hot because the All Star break
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: can disrupt that momentum, and if a team went into
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: the All Star break not doing well, sometimes they can
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: use that All Star break to fix some things. So
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: you kind of want to use that as just a
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: general way to look at these games. I do have
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: two somewhat leans in the WNBA, including in this first
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: game between the Sparks and the Mystics.
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: Here this is a quick revenge spot, man.
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: So the Sparks just played the Mystics right before the
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: All Star breaks, so this is a kind of a
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: rare area and I'm kind of tempted to actually give
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: out a play on this, which would be on Washington.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: But the deal is, hold, let me ungroup these tabs here.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: Wait a minute, what I've I hated? How Firefox does this? Man?
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: I have these? How do I even get rid of
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: this tab? I don't even know? Man, whatever, I'll just
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: leave it anyway.
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: Washington just lost at LA by nineteen points going into
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: the All Star break, and they actually got pretty much
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: destroyed in this game. LA just had the complete upper
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: hand the entire way. I was a little bit of
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: a shooting outlier of a game. LA shot fifty three
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: point five percent from the field in this game, so
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an outlier there. Of course, the
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: game was at LA, so it was kind of expected
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: that Washington would lose the turnover battle, which they also did.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: I do think that LA is not really quite as
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: bad as the record looks, because they have had a
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: pretty difficult schedule. But the tables turn here man Washington
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: gets a quick revenge spot here after getting blown out
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: by LA. They get to face LA again right now,
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: and washing In is favored, and yes they're the team
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: with the better record, but I still think after they
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: got blown out by the Sparks in the last game
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: by nineteen points, I still think the public might have
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: a tendency to look at this and think, oh, well,
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: I'm getting points with LA now, Like they don't even
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: need to win the game, they just need to have
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: a close game, right. So it almost looks somewhat tempting
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: to take LA here, But I would.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: Not do that.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: I would lay the points with Washington. I think they
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: will make the adjustments here. Quick revenge is definitely a
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: fairly strong way to look in sports like this, and it.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: Doesn't come up that often.
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: So Washington They're already up from two to three and
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: a half, so it looks like some of the actual
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: money is coming in on Washington. I won't quite give
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: it out as a play, but that is the best
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: of the WNBA leans today. Scott, what's up man?
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: Scoot?
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah, scooting his ass on the floor? I guess Patrick,
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: what's up man? Good morning to everybody, Hello GM to everybody. Hi,
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: all right. Chicago at Minnesota. I mean, this is a
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: complete mismatch. The best team in the league, Minnesota against
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: one of the worst teams in the league.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's up from twelve to fifteen.
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, the question is you want to lay that
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: much of a price with Minnesota. I don't know that
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: you do. Minnesota did actually just play Chicago. They did
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: just Actually they lost at Chicago and then they had
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: a quick revenge spot one at Chicago right after that,
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: and they were playing a fourth straight road game. So
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: actually it was kind of a difficult spot for them
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: in both of those games that they were able to
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: get the revenge in the second game. They should win
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: this game, but they did go into the All Star
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: break on a winning note, and after beating Chicago last
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: time out, maybe they won't take them totally seriously, Chicago
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: may be in a spot to play a little bit
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: better because they had the worst game that you could
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: possibly have going into the All Star break after they
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: lost to Minnesota, they got annihilated by Atlanta and they
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: only scored forty nine points, losing by whatever that is,
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: thirty seven points to Atlanta. So I would slightly lean
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: too Chicago taking the points there, but that is not
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: as strong lean and the money looks like it's disagreeing
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: with me. Indiana is at New York, which would be
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: a decent game, but unfortunately Caitlyn Clark, who did not
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: play in the All Star festivities, is still.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: Injured, so she's not playing here.
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: And I also love, by the way, how all these
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: WNBA games get ESPN billing. They're like all on the
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: ESPN networks and baseball isn't on ESPN at all. Like
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: what the fuck, dude, Like you turn on ESPN, is
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: that what you want to watch? You want to watch
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: WNBA instead of baseball. I mean, I know baseball is
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: way less awesome with all these stupid new rules and whatever,
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: but still it's ridiculous that they're trying to force, like
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: promote this stuff. For baseball, you have to go to
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: some of these, like other networks, and it's not easy
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: to find baseball to watch. Like I had ESPN on
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: last night, and Baseball, of course was on. I'm one
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: of the major sports Baseball I meme was happening, but
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: it wasn't on ESPN. ESPN had no live sports on
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: last night. Oh, let's just rerun the s piece. What
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: I mean, even those I ain't Gillis was awesome and
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: he killed it on that show.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: It was still ridiculous.
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: I'm like, baseball is being played right now, Like, what
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: the fuck are you doing?
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: ESPN? It's all DEI horseshit.
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: But anyway, Caitlin Clark is not playing in this game,
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: which is basically why the Liberty are such a huge favorite.
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: They are up from nine to ten and a half now.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: By the way, it looks like there is some cash
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: coming back in on the Chicago side in that game
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: I just talked about, and on the Liberty as they're
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: up to ten and a half, they have eighty one
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash I guess, and fifty percent of
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: tickets evenly split. But I would disagree with that. I
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: would not want to touch the Liberty in this game.
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: The Liberty just beat Indiana going into the All Star
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: Break by twenty one points. That was also without Caitlin Clark.
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: That was also at New York, so this is a
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: little bit of a revenge spot as well. The Liberty
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: were nine and a half point favorites in this game.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: They blew out the clarkless Indiana team. Here, I think
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Indiana does show up with a better performance. I mean,
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: this game was a total outlier, man, I mean, look
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: at what happened in this game. The Liberty shot fifty
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: seven point eight percent from the field and fifty one
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: point nine percent from three. That's never gonna happen again.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: These WNBA teams usually shoot like thirty low thirties, probably
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: from three point range, and Indiana had a particularly horrible
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: shooting game thirty six point eight percent and twenty five
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: percent from three. That's not gonna happen again. And either
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: Indiana actually won the rebound battle in the game. Yes,
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: the Liberty are one of the top two teams in
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: the league with Minnesota. Yes, Indiana doesn't have Caitlin Clark,
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: but I expect Indiana to play at least a closer
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: game in that one, so I would lean to taking
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: the points with them Minnesota. Yeah, they probably are the
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: best team. It's between them in New York. David, what's
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: up man, Thanks for hanging out.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Uh, Atlanta is at Las Vegas here.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: This is one of the most competitive games, maybe the
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: most competitive game.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: At least based on the line.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: Uh. The Aces went into the All Star Break with
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: a lot of scoring, scoring over one hundred in a
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: crazy game against Golden State where they only won by two,
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: and then they only beat Dallas by four and scored
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: ninety points.
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: So Vegas had a couple of close calls against a
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: couple of inferior teams, so.
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: They may be thinking about that coming out of the
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: All Star Break, but they did score a lot of points.
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what their mindset is going to
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: be here, but I think both teams are gonna show
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: up because this is a game.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: Between two good teams.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: Atlanta is coming off that very satisfying blowout win that
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: I mentioned over Chicago, though, so maybe they were in
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: a little bit of the They're in a spot that's
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: a little bit less good. I would say it is
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: their fourth straight road game, but it's not really a
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: continuation of a road trip because they had the All
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: Star breaks, they probably had some time to go back
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: home and whatever, and then did the All Star stuff.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: And I don't remember where the All Star festivities actually
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: took place, but whatever, the money is coming in towards
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: the Atlanta side here is Vegas is down from two
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: and a half to one here. Not entirely sure that
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: I would agree with that one either though. And then
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: Dallas is at Seattle. This is a bit of a
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: mismatch as well.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: Seattle.
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: I went into the All Star Break with a win
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: somewhat close win over Golden State, a very low scoring win.
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: Seattle seems to be playing some low scoring defensive games here.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: They're definitely a talented team. They're certainly the better team
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: over Dallas, although I am expecting Dallas to continue to
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: improve as they get used to having their new lineup here.
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: You know, they basically rebuilt their entire team this year.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: But Dallas, they did also go into the All Star
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: break on a four game lost streaks, and they might
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: be in like a bounce back spot type of scenario
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: here where they went into the All Star break in
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: such a bad note. They might show up and play
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: well and if you're expecting it to be, you know,
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: somewhat of a lower scoring game. Although maybe we shouldn't
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: expect that because this is actually one of the higher
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: totals today. But the way that Seattle's been playing, it
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit more difficult for them to
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: cover a nine point spread. Money looks like it is
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: coming into Dallas for now, but we'll see if that
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: actually winds up being the case. And I will say, Washington,
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: when they did play LA the last time, that was
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: a second straight road game, or they'd gone to the
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: Pacific coast, and they had just won against Vegas and
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: Seattle in the two games prior, so it wasn't exactly
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: the best spot for them against LA in that game.
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: So another reason, and maybe look towards Washington today, will
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: what's up?
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: Man?
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: Good morning to you as well, Good morning to everybody.
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: All right, a game morning, Yes, that's what GM stands for.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the meat, baby, let's get
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: to the meet league baseball here, meet league of beef,
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: some big beefy baseball boys here. I'm gonna try to
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: talk about every game. Man, Can I do this quicker
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: than I usually do?
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if I can.
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right. Shane Gillis made an awesome joke about that.
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: He said that Caitlyn Clark, when she retires or whatever,
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: she should get a job at waffle house so she
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: could continue doing what she does. Anyway, fistfighting black women.
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: That got cut out actually because I had the sb's
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: on last night. The replay of it, they cut some
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: of Gillis's jokes out, and they cut that joke out
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: of it. I mean, come on, man, and they cut
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: out his story about Trump as well, but man, ridiculous. Anyway,
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: Baltimore is at Cleveland. All these games are starting in
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: the evening. This is an interesting pitching matchup between two
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: young pitchers. They do have I think, kind of a
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: high ceiling, but we will see. Cleveland did actually win
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: yesterday ten to five. So Cleveland actually has had some
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: offense recently, although I don't expect it to last.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, Cleveland's offense is pretty bad.
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: I don't think either team actually used a lot of
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: their bullpen yesterday. The starters, well, Sugano didn't last very long,
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: but there was not heavy bullpen you said for either
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: team here, the bullpen's kind of just well, Baltimore is
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: kind of mopped up, and Cleveland let bib go seven
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: innings in the game yesterday, So the bullpens are in
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: decent shape. But I don't know if I really love
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: either bullpen. Brandon Young is gonna be pitching for Baltimore here.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: He is young.
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: His numbers have not been good at all, though seven
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: point five to ERA, one point seven to eight whip.
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: He's been a little bit better on the road, better
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: being very relative there six point two to three. Roady
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: ra did not have a good outing last time out.
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: He got absolutely destroyed by Miami and gave up four
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: home runs and seven runs and nine hits against Miami.
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: Does have a fourteen to two strikeout walk ratio this
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: month and three starts, but Baltimore has lost every one
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: of his last five starts. He's only gone five innings
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: in one start all season. He's not giving up a
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: lot of walks, so his control is pretty good, or
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: has been good at least over the last five starts
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: or so, but or last four starts, I should say.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: But he's getting hit really hard, so I don't know
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: that we could trust Young here. Cleveland has never seen
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: him before, so maybe because Young is kind of a
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: hard throwing young pitcher, and maybe that is a little
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: bit of an advantage against a week off. It's like
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: Cleveland because they haven't seen him before. But I don't
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: know if we could really trust Young. Cleveland has Joey
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: Cantillo pitching. He's been mediocre four point one seven ERA,
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: one point four to four whip. He's been pretty bad
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: at home with a six ERA at home. He was
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: actually coming out of the bullpen for most of the
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: season and then they moved him to the starting rotation.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: But he hasn't been going deep into games, although Cleveland
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: actually did win his last two starts, both in extra innings,
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: though he wasn't very good in either start. Two of
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: his last three starts he walked three in each outing.
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: His very last start, he didn't walk anybody and struck
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: out six against a bad White Sox lineup. But he's
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: still allowed two homers and four runs and didn't go
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: that deep into the game. So he's not exactly really
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: really dominating or any they were getting really even getting
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: the job done.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: Up against Baltimore, his numbers are not very good, although
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: it's a small eleven at bat sample size, Mullins has
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: a home run off him, and he's allowed of three
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: sixty four average one ninety one ohps. So Cantillo doesn't
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: have good numbers either against Baltimore. So I mean to me,
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on the under in this game,
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: and I think that's pretty dangerous, especially because I don't
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: like either bulp and it looks like the professional money
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: is kind of thinking, well, you have two young pitchers
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: that are kind of unfamiliar to the opposing hitters. Maybe
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: they can get the job done here. But I would
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: not want to bank on that. The totals down for
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: mate and have to eight juice to the under, so
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: a pretty significant move. And eighty two percent tickets on
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: the over, sixty three percent of the cash on the under.
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: The strongest market read says under in this game. But
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: I mean that is not something I'm gonna want to
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: touch or anything like that. Yeah, there it is the
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: the big beef. Andrew, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out,
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: Will What's up? Yeah?
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: My baseball stuff gets way more technical.
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: I think it's easier to listen to me on all
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: the other sports, basically because I don't really talk about
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: as many like crazy statistics. I mean, that's really a
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: baseball thing. But I mean you can ask to be
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: questions all answered. I mean ERA is earned run average,
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: So it's how many earned runs like runs that are
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: not the result of an error fielding mishap or whatever,
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: runs that are basically based on actual hits and and
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: uh walks and whatever that are scored against that picture
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: per nine innings. Whip is walks and it hits per
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: innings pitch or that, which I like as a better
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: metric because that's how many earned base runners the picture
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: is putting on base per inning, which I think tells
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: you more about how the picture is actually doing because
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: he might just be getting lucky and escaping those jams.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: And then OPS is on base percentage plus slugging, which
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: I think is a little bit of a better indicator
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: of what the batting is actually doing, because you have
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: batting average, which is literally just you know, like batting
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: average is literally just the percentage of it bats that
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: the guy gets a hit.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: But OPS includes basically everything.
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: It includes walks, and it includes the extra basis that's
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: a better indicator of is this guy drawing a lot
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: of walks?
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Are these guys, you know, hitting the ball.
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: Hard and getting a lot of extra base hits. So
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: that's why I like to use those stats. But they're
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: all these new stats, Like all these guys use these
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: advanced analytics now are they're using like expected e RA?
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: Like what is this pitcher's era expected to be based
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: on how they pitched? And uh FIP, which is like
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: fielding independent pitching, which is another metric that these advanced
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: analytics guys use. They're they're fipping, They're fapping to those numbers. Man,
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: But I'm way too old school for that.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: I do not do that.
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if that puts me at a disadvantage.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, hopefully hopefully it does not. But I mean
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: I've done well in baseball in the past, even though
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: this year has not really been that good. Uh, Detroit
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: at Pittsburgh I got. I got to Pittsburgh right yesterday.
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: And Detroit, I mean I didn't necessarily expect Detroit to
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: be completely shut out, but Pittsburgh didn't win three to
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: nothing yesterday.
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think there was a whole lot of bullpen.
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: Usage either on either side, so the bullpen's fairly intact.
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: We got Casey Myz pitching today for Detroit in this one.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: He's been pretty good this season.
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: I mean I keep expecting him to regress because his
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: career numbers basically say he cannot continue doing this. We'll
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: see if that happens in the second half. Three point
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: one five ERA, one point two to two WHIP on
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: the season, those are pretty good numbers. He's been pretty
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: good both home and away, it doesn't really matter. And
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: he did just get named to his first All Star Game,
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: and he pitched in the All Star Game. Didn't do
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: that well. I mean, well, he gave up a home run,
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: so I mean that's that could be considered to be
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: a little bit fluky, went two thirds of an inning.
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: I'm still expecting him to regress, though. Man, his last
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: start going into the All Star break was pretty atrocious.
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: He gave up six runs in three innings to Seattle.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: Although he was pitching pretty well in a bunch of
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: starts before that. He hadn't a lot more than two
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: hour runs in any start before that, going all the
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: way back to the beginning of June, and he did
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: have a pretty good strikeout walk ratio too, twenty four
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: to seven in June. It is still eight to three
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: in July so far, So you could argue that maybe
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: that Seattle start was just a bit of an outlier,
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: maybe it was a fluke, or maybe he is starting
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: to regress. But I think the All Star Game could
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: potentially throw him off, man, because a lot of times
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: when you have a guy that's been around for a
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: while like him, they get named to that first All
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: Star Game. Sometimes it kind of lingers and they are
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: a little bit distracted. They don't pitch that well coming
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: out of that All Star Game pitching in the next game.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: So maybe that will affect him up against Pittsburgh. His
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: numbers actually are mediocre in thirty seven at bats seven
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: to one starke a walk ratio is good, his ops
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: allowed is pretty good, six fourteen pretty low. Two seventy
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: average is not that low. So Pittsburgh has at least
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: been able to hit him a little bit. He's going
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: up against Mitch Keller, who I prefer Keller over mys.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: I actually like Keller. He's having a good season flying.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: Under the radar here three point four to eighty RA
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: one point one for Whip. He's seemingly going to be
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: a trade target, which I've heard of some rumors that
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: maybe the Red Sox have him on the list, and
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: looking at the list, red Sox potentially going after like
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: a Contra and I forget who else, some Oh Taj Bradley.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: I'm like, please do not do that. I would actually
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: much rather have this guy, Mitch Keller. I mean, he's
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: actually pitching really well, and he's just on a really
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: bad team and he's not getting any of the accolades.
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: He's been a little bit worse at home though, three
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: point eight to nine ERA, which is interesting because Pittsburgh
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: does actually play better at home.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: But he's pitching well. Man.
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: He had a twenty one to six strikeout walk ratio
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: in June, even though Pittsburgh can't hit, and they lost
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: almost every single one of those games four out of
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: the five They've won two of his three starts this month,
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: has a fifteen to two strike out walk ratio this
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: month and has gone at least six innings in all
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: three with a one point three seven ERA, so that's
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: pretty good.
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: He's allowed two or fewer.
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: Earned runs in six straight starts, so Keller is actually, uh,
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: he's pitching well right now, and his numbers against Detroit
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: are not terrible. In thirty nine at bats, sixteen to
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: four strike out walk ratio, fifty six batting average seven
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: to fifty one OPS. So I'm gonna lean to Pittsburgh
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: again in this game. Man, I don't think it's as
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: strong as yesterday because we were fading Detroit coming off
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: the Sunday night game. But Detroit might be in bounced
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: back mode after they got shut out yesterday. But Detroit's
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: offense has been cold recently. Man, they have not been
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: playing that well. So I actually leaned to Pittsburgh in
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: this game. Detroit is very public, seventy nine percent tickets,
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: only sixty percent of the cash, Detroit laying a price
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: on the road down for minus one thirty minus one
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: twenty four.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with that either.
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, yes, I mean Detroit of course does have
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: an offensive bage, I mean that is their biggest edge,
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: but their offense, like I said, has been pretty cold recently.
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: And as I pointed out yesterday, Pittsburgh's bullpend actually might
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: be better than Detroit, so that they did have to
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: use some of their better relievers yesterday. But Pittsburgh has
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: actually slightly better bullpend metrics than Detroit does. And with
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: myes on the mound against Keller. I really don't think
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: Detroit should be laying a price like this on the road, man.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: And Pittsburgh is like it, out is a lot better.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: At home than they are on the road, and Detroit
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: is not as good on the road. So all of
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: that being said, in the market, Red is saying this
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: as well, I think Pittsburgh might be worth a shot
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: as a home underdog here. Man. Again, I do not
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: think Detroit should be favored like this on the road
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: with this particular matchup. So that's the way that I
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: look at that game. Cubert, what's up man? Or fishing Rick?
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah? All right?
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: San Diego at Miami holy crap early on the third
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: game of twenty five minutes, and although he did talk
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: about stupid WNBA, I kind of like Miami in this game, man.
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, I know, I gave out a play on
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: Miami first five yesterday and that didn't work out, and
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: it probably should have because Miami actually out hit San Diego.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: In the game yesterday. They just failed to score runs.
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: This game, again, we're looking at a similar setup to yesterday.
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: Obviously San Diego has the way better, bullpend, but San
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: Diego did use some of their better relievers yesterday, and
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: they had to bring in their bullpen earlier than Miami did.
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: And Miami's bullpen is actually not horrific. I mean, it's
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: kind of a mediocre bullpen. So with San Diego having
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: the less rested bullpen, that kind of closes the gap
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: a little bit on the bullpens as far as the
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: starting pitching, And obviously I would say San Diego has
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: the better offense, but I don't think it's really by
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: that much either. Stephen Kolek is starting for the Padres
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: and he is starting to not pitch very well. He
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: started off kind of hot and since then he has
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: not been very good. They actually send him down to
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: the miners and now they're bringing him back up. He
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: hasn't been that good though, four point twenty four ERA
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: one point twenty nine whip not great numbers. He has
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: been way better on the road, though, which is just
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: bizarre to maybe because San Diego has a very pitcher
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: friendly park, but he is a two point six roadyra
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: compared to nine point four or five at home, so
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: basically all of his bad starts have been at home.
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: But one of those was last time out, which is
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: probably why they send him to the miners. He got
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: blasted at home by Texas, which is not a good offense,
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: so that's not a good sign for Colec. San Diego
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: had actually lost six starts in a row that he made,
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: and he wasn't particularly good in any of them.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: Really.
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: He gave up three or more earned runs in all
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: but two of them, and in four of the last five.
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: His walk rate wasn't that high, but his strikeout rates
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: not that high, and he wasn't going very deep into
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: these starts either. He went.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: Five and a third.
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: Or fewer in I believe three of those last six
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: is what that is if my eyesight is right.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: So he was starting to pitch way worse. They sent
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: him down.
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: Sometimes when a guy gets sent down to the Triple
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: A and then he gets called back up, sometimes it
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: does kind.
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: Of give him a refresher and he does pitch better.
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: Though he does have good numbers against Miami in eighteen
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: at bats, they only have a two twenty two average
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: five twenty two ops, so Colic at least has a
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: matchup that isn't that bad for him here. But I
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: don't trust him at all, man, and I actually like
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: Miami's pitcher here, Edward Cabrera.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: He is I know that he's been a good pitch
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: for a while.
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: He has really good strikeout stuff, but he's been wild
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: throughout his career. But he is starting to pitch pretty well.
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: He is also a potential trade target for all the
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: Red Sox, which I wouldn't mind because I actually like
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: Cabrera a three point six one ERA, one point two
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: to six whip pitching pretty well. His numbers are good
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: at home three point one six home ERA, and.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: He's been good this month. Man actually really good.
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: A seventeen to one strikeout walk ratio this month with
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: a three ERA. That's pretty good. He's definitely in control
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: right now this month. Although he allowed four runs and
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: four innings last time out against Baltimore, which was on
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: the road, but.
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: That start he got hit a little bit hard, but
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: he was not wild.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: He had six strikeouts and no walks, so there were
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: some good indicators in that start as well.
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: So I don't think it's.
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: A situation where he's like completely falling out a form
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: and about to pitch poorly.
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: I don't think so.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: And his numbers against San Diego are not that bad
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: in twenty six at bats one ninety two batting average
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a high seven to twenty three
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: ops that batting average is really lows is a little
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: bit high because Diez does have a home run off
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: and he has a lot four walks to them again
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: though Cabrera wild and it's coming into play there. But
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: I like Miami overall in this game. That is the
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: way that I would lean. That is close to being
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: a play for me. Actually, Miami, they look like they
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: have the money. They're down for minus one twenty to
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: minus one eighteen. I would probably go full game on
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: that one because I think, like I said, I think
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: the bullpend gap has closed a little bit because San
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: Diego used some of their best relievers again yesterday. They've
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: been using a lot of their bullpen as of late
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: fifty three percent of tickets eighty five percent of the
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: cash on Miami. And you do get them at a
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: pretty reasonable price. And again, the public's gonna look at
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: this and think, how am I getting San Diego as
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: an underdog here, right, because San Diego is the better record.
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: But again, San Diego had a really hot start to
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: the season and they've been like a less than five
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: hundred team since then, so they are not really as
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: good as the record tells you that they are, and
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: they're below five hundred on the road as well. Although
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: that analysis didn't help me. Yesterday, my Boston Red Sox
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: are at Philadelphia, and man, the Red Sox almost stole
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: yesterday's game because obviously Philadelphia should have won that game easily.
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: With Zach Wheeler on the mount who might be the
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: n l CY Young winner if he steals it from
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: schemes because Skeens is on a bad team. Wheeler has
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: been excellent, but Walker Bueller for the Red Sox actually
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: had like his best start of the season. Somehow, that's
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: not a good side for Philly. Man, Philly could not
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: even do anything against Walker Bueller. That's ridiculous. And the
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: Red Sox lost on catcher interference in the tenth inning
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: last night, although the Red Sox were gonna lose anyway,
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: I mean the bases were loaded with no outs, but still,
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: that's ridiculous.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: That is not true. The Red Sox offense is not garbage.
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: They have been actually quite hot since their young guys
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: have started to coalesce. They have a lot of good
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: young hitters on this Red Sox team Roman Anthony is
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: putting up stats that are basically unheard of for a
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: twenty one year old. As far as his exit I
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: saw a stat about his exit velocity and his chase rate.
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: His exit velocity so high, his chase rate is so
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: low that only one other player in the majors matches that,
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: and it's Jue Soto. So Anthony looks like he's the
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: real deal. A Meyer looks like he might be good
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: as well. Rafaela is certainly really, really good. A bray
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: who is hitting really well. This Red Sox offense is
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: not bad at all. No, that is incorrect. I'll I'll
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: prove you wrong right now because I have the hitting
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: stats up right now. The Red Sox are fifth in
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: the majors in OPS and their team batting average is
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, these batting averages all look low. I know
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: they're where are they at? Their eighth in team batting
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: average and fifth in OPS in all of the majors.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: So you were incorrect, sir. And that's including when the
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: Red Sox sucked offensively.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: Earlier in the year too.
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, okay, I guess, but they were scoring a
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: shit ton of runs going into the break. Although it
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: was against bad teams, but the I mean the Red Sox.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox offense is not that bad.
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: They might not do well in this game, though. This
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: is an interesting pitching matchup. Both bullpens did not get
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: a lot of usage yesterday, although the Red Sox bullpen
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: is better than Philadelphia's, so at least the Red Sox
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: to have a bullpen edge.
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: Dick Fits is pitching for the Red Sox here.
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: He's been okay four point two to eighty RA, one
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: point two to two whip better on the road, two
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: point five ERA in the road, maybe because the pressure
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: is off of him when he's on the road. Red
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: Sox won his last two starts, although one he only
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: went three innings.
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: I don't really know why that was the case.
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: Maybe I don't know if there was a rain delay
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: or what happened in that one, But they've been kind
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: of limiting his pitch counts, so maybe that's why he's gone.
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: He was going deeper into games earlier in the season,
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: but then his last start they let him go a
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: starter's workload again. He threw ninety one pitches beat Colorado.
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: That was his first win of the season, five to two.
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: Thirds innings, six strikeouts, one walk. I know, Colorado very
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: bad offense, but that's a good sign moving forward for Fits.
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: He's not pitching that badly.
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: He really had one horrific starred at one point here,
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: which is against actually kind of two, but really one
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: against Anaheim.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: So I don't think Fits is that bad.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: And Philadelphia has never seen him before, so Fits he
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: might be giving me Fits he might.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: He might not do.
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: Well here, but Philadelphia, having never seen him before, he
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: may actually have a decent outing here because, like I say,
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: some of these young pictures, they can have a tendency
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: to fool opposing hitters that have never actually seen him
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: before because they have to adjust to him.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Christopher Sanchez is pitching.
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: For Philadelphia, and he is Philadelphia's second best starter behind Wheeler.
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: I think there's no question about that. He's having an
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: excellent season. Two point five R, one point one four whip,
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse at home, but still really good
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: two point nine to six ERA. He's been really good
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: as of late as well. Thirty three to six strike
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio in June with one point eight five
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: ERA this month, nineteen to four strikeout walk ratio with
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: a one point two seventy ra going at least seven
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: innings in all three starts. He's allowed one earned run
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: apiece in five straight starts, has an allowed more than
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: two urned runs since May twenty fourth, and has an
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: alumn more than three earned runs since the only time
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: he did that, which was April sixth against the Dodgers.
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: So Sanchez very very good this year.
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: Although the Red Sox they haven't seen that much of
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: him nine at bats, but they've actually hit him four
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: for nine four forty four average nine to ninety ops.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: So the Red Sox have hit him pretty well. Oh,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: by the way, I forgot to.
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: Mention, Jaron Duran is like an elite hitting speed combo,
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: basically unlike anything that we've seen. He's He's in some
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: lists for like the hitting speed combo that not a
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: lot of guys make this list, like for like amount
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: of triples and home runs to start out a career.
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: Jared Duran excellent.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: Hitter as well. Narvaillez is actually a really good hitter
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: Though he was the one that got called for catcher
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: interference to lose the game last night. I think it
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: was kind of a bullshit call, though I don't think
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: it was really his fault. And yeah, I mean Narvaias
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: has been pretty good for them as well. Yankees probably
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: shouldn't let him go. But anyway, the Red Sox may
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: at least be able to hit Sanchez because they have
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: actually done it before. We will say, the money in
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: this game seems like it's coming in on the under
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: fifty three percent of the tickets, fifty eight percent of
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: cash on the under. Totals flip from eight and a
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: half juice to the over, to juice to the under.
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: I hesitate a little bit on that with I think
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: offenses that could potentially do some damage. I don't know
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: if we could trust fits Red Sox might be able
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: to hit Sanchez based on the matchup numbers, and yeah,
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: I mean I don't think I trust Philadelphia's bullpen e either,
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: so I worry about that. A little bit money seems
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: to also be coming in on the Red Sox a
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: little bit. Philly a huge favorite, but down for minus
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: two hundred to minus seventy nine percent of the tickets
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of the cash, so more of the
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: cash is coming in on the side of the Red Sox. Yeah,
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: I mean it was not the greatest night for Narvaias
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: as a catcher there.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: The juice is also referred.
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: To as the vague basically, which is the that's the
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: amount that the books take. So typically if you're betting
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: like a spread or something like that. Baseball is not
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: a spread sport really, but if you're betting a spread
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: or a total, the books typically will try to put
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: a minus one ten price on it, which means that
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: you have to pay one hundred and ten to win
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: one hundred, if that makes sense. That's how the books
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: make money, right. They want to split the amount of
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: money evenly on both sides of that ideally, so fifty
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: percent is split between both and if that's the case,
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: that means they're gonna the books are gonna win money
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: regardless of the outcome because they charge you ten percent
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: to make the bets.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: That's what the veg is. You have to pay one
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: hundred and ten to win one hundred.
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: As a better you have to win like fifty four
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: percent of your bets to actually overcome that and actually
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: make money. But in baseball, like in totals like this
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: and whatever, the juice will move around because you're dealing
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: with like some kind of small numbers, like small numbers
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: here where the books are gonna say, well, we just
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: don't want to put a minus one ten on either
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: side of this number. We'll just we'll move the price
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: on that number instead. So like they moved this eight
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: and a half from minus one fifteen to minus one
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: or excuse me, minus one fifteen on the over all
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: the way to minus one sixteen on the under. So
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: that does mean that money came in on the under.
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: Uh in this case, I would believe, because that would
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: be really the only reason why the books would shift
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: the juice, which means that you were having to pay
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: more to get the over at first, but now you're
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: having to pay more to.
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: Get the under.
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: Hopefully that's a decent explanation of that. Hopefully that makes sense.
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure what we're talking about there. Better off dead. Yeah,
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: all right, So yeah, that's the other breakdown on that one, Cincinnati, Washington.
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna skip because I actually am gonna give out
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: a play on that, and I'm giving out a play
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: as you can see in the title on Yankees Blue
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: Jays Anaheim Mets. Mets won the game high scoring game
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: yesterday seven to seven to five. Sega actually was pretty
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: bad in the game yesterday and got taken out pretty early,
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: which is kind of surprising. Which does mean that the
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: Mets used a lot of their bullpen yesterday and Anaheim
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: doesn't have a good bullpen, so could potentially make sense
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: in this game to fade both bullpens in this game
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: if you are potentially thinking about that. Kyle Hendricks is
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: going to be starting for Anaheim. Not a huge fan
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: of this guy. I mean, he's old.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: At this point.
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: I was definitely a fan of fading him when he
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: was on the Cubs in recent years. He's done a
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: little bit better this year at times, but his numbers
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: are not very good still. Four point eight to eighty
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: RA one point two to nine WHIP not great numbers
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: for Hendrix. He's been worse on the road as well,
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: five point four road ERA, and he's not pitching.
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: That well recently.
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: He gave up four runs, four earned runs, and three
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: and two thirds last time out of Gains a pretty
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: bad Texas offense, so that's not really not a great
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: sign for him, although he does still have a five
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: to one strike a walk ratio this month and last
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: month twenty one to five with a three point two
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: to one ERA, and Anaheim actually has won five of
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: his last seven starts, which actually isn't that bad.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: So he is.
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: He's pitching okay, but his last start was kind of
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: an indicator that maybe he's falling out of form.
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: His numbers against the Mets are.
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: Not great and sixty at bats twelve to six, strikeout
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: walk ratio two eighty three average, seven eighty four ops allowed.
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: So Hendricks, Uh, maybe somebody you could fade here. He's
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: gonna be opposed by Frankie Montas, who had a late
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: start to the season here trying to come back from injury.
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: His ERA is bad five point oh three, but his
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: whip is not that bad one point one seven whip
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: this season. He's been good at home though, three point
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: three eighty R. But again it is a small sample size.
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: But the Mets did win his last two starts. Last
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: time out, he had a pretty good one against Kansas City.
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: But that's a very bad offense there. Uh, fuck you,
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: get out of my stream. Costs eat my ass, bitch.
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: I got fucking canceled due so if people want to
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: help me out, they're certainly allowed to fuck off. Get
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: out of my fucking stream. Cubert, what's up man? You're yeah, Jesus,
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: that is a nine to nine nine. That's the that's
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: the opposite of of six six six, I guess.
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: Anyway, I don't know if I'm impressed by Montas having
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: a good start against Kansas City, but I mean he
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: had an okay start against the uh Yankees.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: The day before that.
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: By the way, I've also I've paid my fucking dues.
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: Uh brother, you know how many You know how much
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: I paid in fucking taxes being a fucking software engineer
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: for like eighteen fucking years.
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: I've made a lot of money.
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: And I've worked every fucking day for like two decades
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: in my life.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: So fuck off costs.
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: Montas against uh Anaheim numbers are all over the place, man,
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: It's hard to read into these numbers. Seventy at batsy's
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: on to two twenty nine average, which is pretty good.
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: Seven thirty six ops not as good.
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: A fourteen to eight strike a walk ratio is not
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: You're going to have four home runs allowed, two of
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: them from LaMonte Wade Junior. So I don't know if
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: we trust either starting pitcher here man. So, and I
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: don't like how the bullpen's set up here, So I
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: would lean to an over in this game. And when
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: I looked earlier, I think the market wasn't agreeing with
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: me on that looks like.
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: It kind of is.
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, the books threw out a nine on this,
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: which is a high total, So you know, I mean
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: a total is that high for a reason. Although I'm
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: gonna kind of contradict myself when I talk about the
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: Yankees game, so now you know where I'm going with
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: that game. But this game total is very high for
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: a reason. I mean it's bordering on being ten. We
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: have eighty one percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over. That is the way that
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: I would look in that game would be for another
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: high scoring game there, San Francisco at Atlanta. Atlanta lost
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: or excuse me, one nine to five yesterday excusing Hayden.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: Birds Song in this game didn't even record an out
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: and he allowed five earned runs on one hit. I mean,
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: I don't think I've ever seen anything like that. I
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: think he had five walks. It was a ridiculous start
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: for birds Song. Terrible start, which meant that the Giants,
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: even though yes, the Giants have basically the best bullpen
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: in the major leagues. They had to use a lot
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: of their bullpen yesterday, so the Giants bullpen a little
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: bit more tired here. Braves didn't have to use as
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: much of their bullpen as they at least got a
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: somewhat deep start from Bryce Elder, even though he's not
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: very good either. I think I did say the over
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: kind of made sense in that game yesterday, hopefully I did.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: Lucas hard R, well, he's better than these fucking Twitter assholes.
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: Will's what's up? Man? Fuck the Yankees? That's right man.
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: As a Red Sox fan, obviously I agree, dude. These
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: people are all all they are is these progressive, perpetually offended,
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: woke losers that are offended by me covering a Kanye
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: West song on ukulele in the most retarded fashion possible,
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: Like just like, screw you, dude, these people. All these
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: people do is promote cancel culture. They do not promote
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: free speech in any way. It's just disgusting. They all
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: they do is side with the fucking government and side
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: with the regime anyway.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: San Francisco and Lanta, I think San Francisco's bullpen.
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: Edge is a little bit negated because of all the
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: bullpen that they used yesterday. Landon Raup is pitching for
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: them today. He's been really hard to predict. Three point
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: two seven ERA and one point four or five whips,
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: so his ERA is good and his whip is bad.
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: So he's one of these pitchers that's really hard to
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: figure out. Four point five to six road ye Ray,
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: so he's not been good on the road. He's better
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: in a pitcher friendly park in San Francisco. He's been
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: pitching okay recently.
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: I mean he's given up two or fewer runs.
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: And five straight starts in San Francisco one four out
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: of the five, even though San Francisco's offense is terrible,
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: and the only game he lost, he gave up one
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: or one run in six innings and had eight strikes
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: out some one walk against the Dodgers. That was a
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: great start for him, but his walk rate has been terrible,
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: and all the other starts leading up to that, he
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: walked at least two in every start going all the
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: way back to mid May prior to that, So not
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: all is good with Ralph. I mean, he has some
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: crazy breaking pitches that it seems like he struggles to
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: command at times. So it's very difficult to figure out
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: what we're gonna get out of Ralph. He does have
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: good numbers in thirty at bats against Atlanta, and they
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: only have five hits one sixty seven average four nineteen ops.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: So maybe maybe Raub will do okay in this game.
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: It's very hard to predict.
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: Again, Yeah, I mean getting mad about that. It's these
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: perpetually offended bitches. Man, Yes, thank you, thank you, everybuddy.
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: God.
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: I hate that song so much. Watch me whip and
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: watch me nay nay. I wish it was I wish
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: you made a Devo reference instead.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Man, when the hitter comes.
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: Along, you must whip it all right, Davis Daniel is
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: gonna be pitching for Atlanta. I don't know what we're
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: gonna get out of this guy either. This is maybe
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: the most unpredictable game of the day. Daniel as good
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: looking numbers one point eight e R and one whip,
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: but he does not have a big sample size that
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: we're looking at here. He's only pitched in two games
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: this season, the Braves lost both of them. He's pitched
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: five innings totals so far, six strikeouts, three walks. Is
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: in a great ratio, but only two hits a lot
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: in one run, so that's not too bad. What are
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: we gonna get out of Davis Daniel? I really don't know, man,
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, we don't even have a whole lot of
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: a career to look at here. He was on Anaheim
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: the last two seasons. Did make six starts last year,
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: but it wasn't good. He had a six point two
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: to three e R and one point four to eight
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: whip good strike out walk ratio. But he got hammered
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: last year. He was drunk all the time, I mean,
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: because he was doing so bad. No, he although being
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: drunk could help you, man, if you're Wade Boggs, the
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: most elite UH drink er.
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: Excuse the in Major League hiss.
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: By the way, if people are not familiar with the lore,
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: do not watch It's always sunny in Philadelphia. Wade Boggs
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: drank a ridiculous amount of beer on a cross country flight.
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: They landed and he went three.
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: For five with like multiple doubles and a few RBIs
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: against Oakland, basically still drunk coming off the plane. The
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: number of beers that he drank on the plane is
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: now up till like some exaggerated amount of like seventy three,
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: but I believe that he probably drank like thirty something
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: beers on that flight. I mean they were light beers,
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: probably at the very least. But anyway, Daniel, I mean
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: his numbers were not good last year. He gave up
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: a lot of hard hits last year even though he
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: wasn't that wild. So what are we gonna get out
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: of Daniel? I have no clue, dude. The Giants have
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: never seen him before, and they are a weak offense.
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: I mean a game like this, I go and I say, well,
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: what is the market telling us on this game? I
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: mean the market is the strongest market read is on
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: the Braves. They're up for minus one or nine to
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: minus win. Eighteen sixty two per tickets are on the Giants,
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: fifty nine percent of the cash coming in on Atlanta.
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: I think that's more of.
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: The professional better is basically just saying we think the
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: Giants are a little bit overrated and not as good
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: as their record looks, and we think Atlanta is underrated
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: and they are better than the record looks. I think
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: it's probably the only reason why we see the money
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: doing that. I don't know, man, I don't know if
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: I could do whip it as a U cover. I
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: don't know if it would translate at all. You're in Twitter
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: jail again, Yeah, exactly. Twitter is canceling all these people.
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: I have a Wade Box jersey, but the autograph I
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: think is a lot better. I never got his autograph.
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: I've gotten some older Red Sox player autographs, but not
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: Wade Bogs. Never seen or met Wade Bogs. White Sox
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: at Tampa Bay, oh Man, Tampa lost eight to three
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: yesterday to the White Sox are just crazy. Tampa at
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: least kind of saved some of their bullpen in that game.
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: The White Sox use more of their bullpend, so we'll
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: have to give the bullpen advantage to Tampa here. But
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: I think we don't know what we're going This is
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: a hard game to predict, too, man, I don't know
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: what we're gonna get out of either started here. Davis
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: Martin is pitching for the White Sox and he is
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: coming back from the injured list, which I still call
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: the disabled list, and he was actually pitching pretty well
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: this season prior to that three point seven to ninety
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: R one point two to three whip. He wasn't pitching
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: too badly four point six to two ran the road, though,
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: so he hasn't better on the road, and this Steinbrenner
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: Field here is a fairly hitter friendly park. But Davis,
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: I mean he was pitching mediocre. I mean he did
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: not give up more than four earned runs in any
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: start going all the way back to the one start
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: where he did that at Detroit in early April. Soe
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: he's pitching fairly consistently. At least had a twelve to
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: two strike out walk ratio in two starts in June
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: twenty to six in May not terrible.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: His numbers against who are we looking at here? I
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know who? Were who? Playing Tampa? Yeah?
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: Up against Tampa. Oh, ESPN switched it for us already,
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: thanks ESPN. Tampa only has three hitters. Was seen him
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: before in the one for four off him with that
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: Yondi Diaz double, But Diaz also has two walks. Tampa
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: has three walks against him two fifty average or a
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: pretty high one thousy seventy one ops. But it's in
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: a very small sample size. So Martin is pretty unfamiliar
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: to Tampa. So I don't know if they'll be able
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: to hit him that well. Tampa has drew Rasmussen pitching.
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: He's been really good this year, two point eight six ERA,
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: one point zero three whip, pretty good at home to
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: two point six four ERA and home. But with Rasmussen,
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: the thing is, man, he's coming out of pitching in
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: the All Star Game. He had a clean inning in
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: the All Star Game. That might have been his first
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: All Star appearance. So that might affect him a little
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: bit too, because a guy this old getting into the
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: All Star Game. I'd have to check to see if
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: that was his first. I'm not sure, but that might
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: linger a little bit. But the stranger thing about Rasmussen
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: is the team decided to like totally ramp down his
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: innings pitch. Like he was starting and doing pretty well
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: throughout the season, and then all of a sudden, he
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: goes three innings, two winnings, two innings, Like, what's going
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: on here? The Tampa's only letting him pitch three innings
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: two innings.
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: Now they're like limiting him to like forty.
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: To fifty pitches basically in some of these games, thirty
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: two in one of these games. So I don't really
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: understand why. I mean, he's not like a young guy
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: that I think they're trying to like save. I mean,
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: I think Tampa is trying to make a run at
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: the playoffs here, and he's been their best starter this year,
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: so I don't really understand why they're ramping him down
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: like that, And maybe it was just giving him a
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: rest going into the All Star break. So I really
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: have no idea how many innings or Asmusen is going
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: to pitch in this game. He has decent numbers against
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: the White Sox, very small fifteen at bat sample size
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: two sixty seven, average five seventy nine ohps. I'm thinking
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: an under might make sense in this game, to be honest,
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: first five inning under probab because I don't think you
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: want to really deal with the White Sox bullpend necessarily.
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: It looks like the money disagrees with me on that.
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: Totals just sitting at eight and a half, sixty seven
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets and ninety five percent of the cash
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: on the over. Tampa's a huge favorite in this game
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: as well, so I don't think I would want to
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: touch the side at all. But I think a first
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: five inning under you could be looking at maybe the
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: starting pitchers both putting to gather a decent performance here, Bogs.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's right.
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: That was a great Simpsons episode. We're talking soft boom
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: from Maine to San Diego, soft bom. Manning Lean Kiseko
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: Can Griffy is grotesquely swollen jaw Can Griffy trinking the
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: nerve tonic for mister Burns and his head.
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: Was like about to explode.
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: Oh man, Yeah, that episode was awesome, and Darryl Strawberry
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: is the only one who doesn't, which is hilarious because
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: Daryl Strawberry had so many off field issues.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: I think that was part of the joke.
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: He was the only one on Burns's Ringer softball team
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: that didn't have any off field issues, and he was
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: the one that played Holmer's position.
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Your Darryl Strawberry, Yeah you play right field? Yeah? I
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: played right field too.
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: Oh okay, oh man, yeah, I'll have to go back
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: and watch that episode again. That is a classic back
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: when the Simpsons was amazing and they got all those
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: baseball players to voice themselves too. It was yeah, Ken Griffy, Junior,
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: Wade Boggs, Mike Soosha I think was in it. Steve
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: sachs Uh yeah, Darryl Strawberry. Who else was in it?
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: I forget, I forget all the players that were in it.
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: But there were eight of them, I think, or no,
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: I guess there were nine, right, because they had to
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: fill out every position.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: I don't remember. Anyway, Kansas City and.
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: The Cubs, this is a really this is an interesting one.
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: Kansas City beat the Cubs yesterday twelve to four, which
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: is only part of the reason why I'm laughing here.
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: How does Kansas City score twelve?
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: Man?
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: Well, I told you yesterday. I actually leaned to Kansas
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: City in that game. I should have given it as
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: a play. Although obviously I didn't expect Kansas City to
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: score twelve fucking runs. But it was a bullpen game
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: for the Whites, for the see the White Sox. It
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: was a bullpen game of the Cubs. I apologize Cubs fans.
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: You're better than the White Sox in a better part
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: of town too. Cubs had a bad I mean, they
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: had a bullpen game, and the bullpen just got absolutely
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: destroyed in the game. And Noah Cameron had a really
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: nice start for Kansas City. Over though he did a
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: lot of four runs, he pitched pretty well in the game,
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: so it was an easy win for the Royals, and
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: I did mention yesterday I preferred Cameron over that bullpend game.
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: But the Cubs are gonna come into this game pretty embarrassed,
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: I think, man off of that loss, and they are
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: obviously a giant favorite.
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: Here. Part of the reason why and part of the
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: reason why I'm laughing so much.
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: I'm about to laugh at your team, Zach here, Greg Mannox,
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: I don't think he was one of them.
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: I'll have to go back, dude.
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: I'm a Simpsons like expert two, so I should remember this,
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: but I actually don't. I'll have to go back and
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: look exactly, Zach. That is what I'm about to make
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: fun of and laugh at here. Rich Hill is pitching
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: for Kansas City here, and he has been in the
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: majors since. A couple of his teammates, like I think
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: Witt and one of the other guys on Kansas City
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: were like four and two years old when rich Hill
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: started pitching in the majors, which is pretty hilarious, but uh,
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: hockey is even crazier, dude. In hockey, you have a
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: Ovechkin was in the NHL before Connor Bedard was born,
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: which is even more crazy. But anyway, Rich Hill is
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: coming back.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: He actually made a few appearances last year from my
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: Boston Red Sox. He's from Boston, mass Baby, he's my guy.
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: I love Rich Hill. He had a four point nine
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: to one and one point h nine whip last year
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: and like, I don't know, four or five appearances maybe
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: for the Red Sox last year. He wasn't horrific, but
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: he wasn't great either. He did struggle with the walks
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: I think last year. He's forty five years old though. Man,
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: he's the oldest player in the league, and he's actually
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: gonna be making a start year, which is complete madness
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: to me. Man, I mean, I don't even know what
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: to say about this, although you got to imagine he's
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: probably only gonna go like one to two innings at most.
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: As you could see with the Red Sox.
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: It was four appearances that he made last year out
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: of a bullpen, and he pitched at most one in
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: the third innings in any of those appearances.
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox lost all four of those games.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: Not really his fault though, because he only allowed runs
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: in one of the four appearances and had a five
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: to three strike at walk ratio, and me take from
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: that what you will. I guess he did walk too
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: many guys last year. Rich Hill up against the Chicago Cubs.
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: Not very good in his career in thirty eight at bats,
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: three sixteen batting average in eight ninety two ops.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: So the Cubs have hit him pretty well.
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: And he actually was on the Cubs he's now, dude,
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: this is it's all so funny.
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: He was on the Red Sox actually multiple different times.
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: He was on the Cubs to start his career, and
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: now he's pitching as a forty five year old against
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: the first team.
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: That he pitched four in the majors.
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: He's going up against his boys, the Cubs, so it
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit of an emotional game for him.
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: But again, I don't think we're gonna get more than
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: like one inning on a Rich Hill man. I think
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: it's just a thing like we're looking at probably a
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: bullpen game for Kansas City here. I didn't use any
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: of their high leverage relief guys yesterday, so that's good.
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: At least.
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: The Cubs didn't really use any of their really good
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers either, because they used Ben Brown to eat
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: up a lot of innings yesterday and he was a
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: guy in there starting rotation. So the bullpens are both
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: actually pretty good and in decent shape coming into this.
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: But I mean the Cubs at Matthew Boyd pitching man,
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: he's been really good. Two point three four ERA, one
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: point zero three whip. He's having a shockingly good season
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: at the age of thirty four. I don't know where
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: this is coming from, but I'm not gonna argue with it, man,
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: because he's been that good twenty to two strikeout walk
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: ratio this month. Cubs have won four starts in a
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: row of hiss and he's allowed zero earn runs in
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: three of those four starts, two in the other one.
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: And he's coming up an eight inning, four hit shot.
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: Out against the Yankees, six ks and no walks. He's
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: been really outstanding, man. I had a one point seven
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: to eighty r in June with an eighteen to six
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio point nine in the month of
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: July with that twenty to two strang a walker ratio. Yeah,
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: Boyd has been great, and he's facing a bad Royal
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: offense here. But the Royals did explode last night and
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: the Royals in seventy eight at bats actually have a
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: two to eighty two batting average against him in seven
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: eighty seven ops, so the Royals have actually hit Boyd
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: fairly well actually, and he was in their division because
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: Boyd was on Cleveland, so the Royals are actually familiar
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: with Boyd. So Boyd might not do as great in
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: this game, although a lot of that damage is Perez.
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: Perez is twelve for forty nine off him, so he
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: has most the majority of the bats, really more than
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: half of them. But two forty five averages isn't that good.
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: But he does have two of them runs off him. Uh. Still, Boyd,
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, not great numbers against Kansas City. So what
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: do we want to do with this game? It's pretty
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: difficult to say, man. I mean, I saw Zach said
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: Clubs first five. I mean I don't hate that. I mean,
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: if you think Boyd will do well in this game
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: as he has been doing all season, maybe, I mean
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: the Cubs are a huge favorite, though, if you go
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: Cubs first five, it has to be a run line play.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: You're gonna need them to be winning after five innings,
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: which is certainly obviously possible. I mean they're a big
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: favorite here, you're gonna get Rich Hill and then some
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: Kansas City relief pitchers.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: Cubs are down for minus two fifteen to mis two
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: twenty nine, eighty three percent of tickets, eighty five percent
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Cubs. So the money looks
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: like it started to come in on the Cubs. But
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: if the initial market move was against the Cubs, so
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: it's hard to read that.
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: It looks like more money's coming in on the over.
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: Sixty five percent of tickets on the over, ninety seven
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over, and the total
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: is nine, probably indicating there might be some wind blowing
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: out a little bit at Wrigley, I would guess, because
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: with Boyd on the hill and with Kansas City up
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: against him, you're probably not gonna see a total that
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: high unless the wind is blowing out.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: That would be my guest there.
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: So maybe an over is actually the way to look,
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: or you know what, Cubs team total over might not
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: be a bad way to look in this game. Take
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: the Cubs to bounce back in this embarrassed spot here,
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: that might be the way to look in that game. Really, Man,
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: the A's are at Texas here, yeah, we're dealing with
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: a severe case of gigantism Ken Griffy Junior with his
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: swollen jaw and head from Burn's nerve tonic.
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: The A's are at Texas.
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: I lost this game yesterday, unfortunately, Texas seven to two win.
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: I don't even want to talk about that any further.
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: We do have to look at what the bullpen usage
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: was though, and the A's, I mean, their bullpen isn't
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: good anyway. There wasn't a ton of bullpen usage in
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: this game on either side. The A's bullpen is obviously
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: worse though. The A's have the worst bullpen in baseball,
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: and the A's are going with j. T. Gin, which
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: might not be good for them either. He's starting for
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: them four point nine to one e R one point
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: three whip not great numbers, pretty similar home and away,
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: so not really a huge difference, even though he pitches
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: in a very hitter friendly park.
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: But he has not been go deep into games man.
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: So I think the takeaway here is that Gin is
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: probably not gonna be in the game for a whole
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: long time. He's probably only gonna go somewhere around two
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: winnings in this game, and then you're gonna get the
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: A's bullpen coming into this game again when he's in there.
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: He also doesn't have good numbers against Texas, even though
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: they've been a very weak offense this year. In twenty
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: two at bats, they have a three sixty four average
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: in one three oh ps against Ginn. So I'm not
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: expecting anything good out of the A's pitching in this game.
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: Man and Jacob deGrom Is pitching for Texas. He's been
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: great two point three two ERA point nine to one
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: WHIP and I know he set some major league record
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: where he became the only pitcher in their first I
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: don't even know how many innings it is with I
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: don't know some amount of innings pitched in the major leagues.
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: I guess having a two point.
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: Five or lower career ERA and seventeen hundred or more strikeouts,
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: he's like the only pitcher that's ever done that.
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: Crazy. I mean, he's been really good this year.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: As a thirty seven year old, he's been basically dominant.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: He's been really good at home one point nine to
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: five home ERA pitching well.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: Recently, he's allowed.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: No more than three or runs in any start going
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: all the way back to Tampa Bay facing Tampa Bay
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: on April fifth. That was the only time that ever happened.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: Texas did win all of his starts in June. They
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: actually won six starts in a row before they lost
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: two of his starts recently, which wasn't really his fault.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: He was still pretty good in those starts. Maybe a
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: little bit worse.
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: I'm not totally dominant like he has been, but still
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: pitching quite well. Three point seven to one ERA this
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: month in the nineteen to four strike a walk ratio.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: He gets the All Star break to kind of rest
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: up a little bit, which I think is helpful to
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: a veteran like him. I think he should come out
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: with some fire here. He's got pretty good numbers against
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: the A's in his career in fifty three at bats
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: twelve to one strike a walk ratio, two forty five average,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: six seventy four ops.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: Really good numbers there.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: So even though the a is two of the way
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: better offense instead is their one advantage here, most of
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: the advantages all go to Texas man. I think pitching
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: beats hitting, which it did unfortunately yesterday because I liked
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: the A's yesterday. But in this spot, I mean, you
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: have basically one of the top pitchers in baseball up
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: against a bulp end game, and it's the worst of
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: the two teams going with a bulp end game. So
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: you know, Texas is really the only way that I
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: think you could look in this game, even though the
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: money is coming in against it, which is kind of surprising.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: Texas down for minus two forty five to minus two fourteen,
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: maybe just thinking they were too heavy of a favorite.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: Ninety one percent tickets only seventy nine percent of the cash,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: And I will say the one drawback with Texas is like, yes,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: I think the way that you would have to play
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: this is the Texas run line, but then they don't
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: get the final of bats and the ninth didn because
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: they're at home.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: If they're already winning, they won't bat in the ninth.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: But Texas is such a poor scoring offense. So that's
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: the one real drawback there. If you think this is
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: gonna be a low scoring game, it has a seven
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: and a half total there, So the osmakers are telling
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: you it's probably gonna be low scoring. It's gonna make
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: it a little bit more difficult for Texas to cover
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: a number like that, So that's kind of the drawback there.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis at Colorado, Oh god, I mean this is bad.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis won sixty two yesterday. I mean, I don't
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: love either bullpen here, and I don't love either starter here.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna say this is probably an overlook in
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: this game. I don't think we want to go into
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: it too deeply. Eric Fetti is pitching for the Cardinals.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: You know, I've been fading him recently, and he's not good.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: Four point eight three ERA and one point four to
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: seven whip pretty bad. He is a little bit better
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: on the road four point two to four e RA,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: but he's pitching a cords field here, which might not
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: be great. He's gone five or fewer innings and five
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: straight starts. Saint Louis has lost four starts in a
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: row of his hell lot three or more earned runs
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: in all of those starts. He has not been pitching
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: well at all this month. He has a one to
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: five strike a walk ratio, which is absolutely abysmal. One
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: strikeout this month's so arm Fetti is not in good form.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: Man. His numbers are good again.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: The Rockies, I mean their offense sucks twenty seven at
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: bats two fifty nine average six sixty seven ops. But
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: I have no faith in Fetti right now, man, so
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: I would not want to bank on him at all.
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: Fetti Wop, Yeah, that's that is his nickname.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: Also that he's the Fetti wet ass pussy as well.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: He's going up against Bradley Blaylock, who is a young
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: pitcher who might get it together, but he has the
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: very very tough ask of having to pitch in Colorado.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: A nine point nine to seventy RA one point eight whip.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, yet those numbers are real, real bad, and
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: pitching a Corus field has in really bad for him
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: sixteen point seven to sixty RA. He is not a
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: guy that you want to bank on. Even though he
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: did hold Cincinnati to one run in his last start,
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: but he only had one strikeouts. He's not a guy
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: that's coming in and fooling hitters at all. Doesn't have
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: strikeouts stuff. He's given up too many home runs, giving
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: up too many hits. I mean, it doesn't look good
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: for Blaylock. Cardinals have never seen him before, but I
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: don't think that's even gonna help him really. Even though
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: the young pitchers can have an upper hand against opposing
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: hitters when they haven't seen him before.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: But I don't think that's gonna be the case there.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: I think this is an over game and the oddsmakers
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: have had to adjust these Rockies games way high. I mean,
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: this is an insane total of twelve, So I don't
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: know that you really want to go over a total
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: that's that high, but it is that high for a reason.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: I know the oddsmakers are having to adjust the totals really, really,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: really high in Colorado, even though Colorado's offense is terrible.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: So maybe this is over adjusted at this point because
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: usually you see ten, ten and a half eleven, So
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: this is crazy high, but it might be that high
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: for a reason. Sixty four percent of the tickets, ninety
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on the over. I would
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: still lean to the over in that one, but if
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: you do that, you're really gonna be sweating and needing
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: some runs there.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: Yes, Sir.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: Houston at Arizona, this is an interesting game. Houston won
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: yesterday six to three to break Arizona's win streak they
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: had going on there. Zach Gallon, actually, I think he
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: didn't pitch badly. He went six innings, six strikeouts. I
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: think he had one walk or something, but he got
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: hit a little bit hard kind of some untimely hitting
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: against him. There are timely hitting for the Astros against him,
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: so he wound up losing the game even though he
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: actually had a better pitching line in my opinion than
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: Colton Gordon did. Houston did have to use their best
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: relievers to finish the game off yesterday and get the save.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: Houston does still have the better bullpen though, I mean,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: Arizona's bullpen is really bad, so I still think Houston
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: probably has the bullpen advantage in this game, and they
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: have from Bervaldez pitching, and he's been really good this
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: season two point seven to five ERA, one point one
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: two whip worse on the road, though he's been a
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: lot better at home. On the road, he has a
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: four point two ERA, so he hasn't been worse on
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: the road. But recently, I mean his one bad start
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: recently was not even that bad against the Dodgers. He
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: gave up four runs on the road against the Dodgers,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: which still isn't even that bad in six innings, And
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: if you take that start out, he hasn't allowed more
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: than tour in runs and any start going all the
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: way back to May eighteenth, and he had an alum
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: with the three earn runs going all the way back
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: to May seconds. He's been really, really good, and I
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: believe we're up to the point now where Houston has
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: won I think twelve straight starts for Valdez, so they're
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: winning behind him, and that's a crazy run to be on.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: And his numbers are actually.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: Completely almost completely dominant against Arizona. They're only eight for
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: fifty six off him, one forty three batting average, three
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: ninety three oh ps. They do have eight walks though,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: sixteen to eight strike a walk ratio, although four of
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: the walks are Suarez, so it's kind of like he
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: pitches around Suarez. So it does look like this sets
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: up nicely for Valdez. He's up against e rod Eduardo Rodriguez,
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: who has been struggling this season five point nine four ERA,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: one point six to seven whip. He's kind of trying
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: to bounce back from injuries throughout his career. Man he
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: used to be a pretty good pitcher. He is not
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: right now. Six point three to two ERA at home
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: in a picture a hit or friendly park, excuse me,
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: which hasn't been good. He's been really bad this month
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: with a twelve point nine six ERA ten to two
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio is not bad, but he's been
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: getting blasted. He's given up five home runs in eight
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: and the third innings this month, twelve earned runs and
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: twenty hits. I mean, he's getting absolutely annihilated. And that
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: was against Kansas City, a terrible offense and San Diego.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: In San Diego's pitcher friendly park, E Rod is not
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: a good forum right now at all. Man, His starting
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: against Miami prior to that was a little bit shaky too, really,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: with three walks, So he is not doing well against Houston.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: His numbers are not very good either.
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: In fifty three at bats ten to eight strike a
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, Altuve hits him well nine for twenty seven
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: with two hom runs. Astros have a three zero two
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: average against him in nine to twenty two ops. So
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: I'm leaning towards Houston in this game, Man, they have
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: the better They still have the better bullpen, even though
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: they're unrested. They have the better starter. The offense does
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: go to Arizona, I would say, but still I lean
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: to Houston, but the market is telling me no, the
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: market is going way against it.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: Houston down minus one thirty to minus one fifteen, seventy
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: eight percent tickets on them, fifty two percent of the
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: cash coming in on Arizona, though, JC, what's up?
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: Man?
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: Yes, omg hi, So the markt Reed is saying Arizona.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: The money's all coming in in Arizona. But I would
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: not want to fade Baldez. I think maybe it's just
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: because again the professionals think Houston probably just should not
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: be favored like this on the road. Maybe, But Man,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: I think this is a fairly sizeable pitching mismatch. You
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: could limit it to first five innings if you want,
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: but I don't even know why you would do that really,
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: because Arizona's bullpen is bad. So even though Houston is
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: a little bit unrested, I would still do it.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: On Milwaukee Seattle.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be the pitching matchup of the day, Man,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: And it might be under the radar because maybe people
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: still don't know who these pitchers are. But Jacob Mizzierowski
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: is pitching from Milwaukee. Man, the young Fieno who was
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: named to the All Star team, which is absolutely ridiculous
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: to me.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: Honest.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think he should have been named
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: to the All Star team the fact that he's only
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: made five star so far, although he's been really good,
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: he's only had one bad start, and I think in
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: five starts has a four to one win loss record,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: already has a two point eight one ERA point nine whip.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: He's been worse on the road though, a six point
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: five to two roadio right, So actually one of his
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: two roads starts was bad, So that was his one
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: bad start was one that was on the road against
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: the Mets. He gave up five and runs in three
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: and two thirds. Other than that, he's been excellent, though
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: his thirty three strike cuts in twenty five and two
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: thirds innings eleven walks is a little.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: Bit too high.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, four home runs maybe a little bit too high
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: as well, but he's only allowed twelve hits. He's been
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: very difficult to hit, so Missyeroski, I mean, he is
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: a very talented young pitcher.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: He throws really hard.
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: He could probably get his wildness under control too, But
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: he did pitch in the All Star Game, and so
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: I think this is a lot for a rookie to
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: be named the All Star Team as well, and then
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: pitching the All Star Game, and he's coming up dominating
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers, inning's wonner and run allowed twelve k's four
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: hits alund. I mean that was probably his best start
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: of his young career. I mean it was, so he's
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: coming off all that. I think he might be in
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a letdown spot.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: Man. So I don't love the Brewers here.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: Even though I gave out Seattle as a play yesterday,
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: I thought the Brewers are in a letdown spot and
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: I got let down. Brewers continue to just defy that
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: and not get let down. But I think it's gonna
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: happen at some point, man, And maybe it'll happen here
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: though this is a very pitcher friendly park.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: But I think that Missierowski probably will do well again.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, the Mariners have never seen him before, so
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: he has that advantage as well, A really talented picture
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: with the unfamiliarity edge there. But again, his mental state
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: after that huge win over the Dodgers, you know, the
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: All Star Game, it might affect his state in this
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: game a little bit. A Logan Gilbert pitcher for the Mariners,
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: could certainly a dual Missierowski here. Man, Gilbert is pretty good.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: Three point three to ninety this year, one point zero
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: five whip Like pretty much all Seattle's pitchers, He's been
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: better at home two point twenty nine the ra at home.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: Will you like the Mariners? Yeah, we'll see they letting
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: you down.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: They won last or no, they didn't win last night
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: because I needed them to win last night and they didn't.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: A logan Gilbert. Seattle's won four of his last five starts.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: The only one they lost was at the Bronx, So
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, you can kind of give him a break
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: for not pitching that well at the Bronx, very difficult task.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: Last month, he had a twenty three to two strike
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: at walk ratio, even though he did have a five
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: point eight to seven e RA, which isn't that good,
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: But his other stats indicated that he was not pitching poorly.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: But he did give up five home runs, so he's
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: got to keep that in check. But four of his
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: last five starts have all been on the road, so
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: I think you gotta give him a little bit of
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: a pass for some of these starts. Man and one
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: against the Cubs, one against the Yankees, one against Detroit.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: This month, he has a twenty one to seven strike
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio, so his walk rate has been a
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 2: little bit high, but the home runs have gone down again.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: He is a two point nine to three e RA
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: this month, so he is overall pitching pretty well, and
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: he has okay numbers. Agains the Brewers in thirty two
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: at bats, eight to two strike out walk ratio, two
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: fifty average, and a little bit of a high seven
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: to forty two oh ps. But most of the damage
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: is from yell At, who has two of the home
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: runs three for six off him.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: So I think Gilbert could certainly pitch well in this game.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: I would lean to Seattle in this game, and I
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: would lean to the under as well. But the problem is,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: well Seattle, I mean, the market is agreeing with both
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: of those. So Seattle is up for minus one fifteen
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: of minus one twenty three. Milwaukee's very public, I think again,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: the public might be onto this now. They know Mizieryleskin,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: they know Milwaukee's extremely hot right now, So the public
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: sees this and think, oh my god, Milwaukee is an underdog.
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: Very tempting for the public to want to jump in
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: on Milwaukee as an underdog. Here, eighty four percent of
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: tickets only seventy nine percent of the cash on Milwaukee
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: Seattle up for minus one fifteen of minus one twenty three.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: So the money looks like it is coming in against
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: the public on Seattle, and the money's coming in on
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: the under, with the total getting more juice on the
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: under seven. I wish I would have given this out
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: as a play, probably on the under if I if
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: I got to it fast enough, if it was still
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: at under seven at minus one fifteen, I would have
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: given it out, or maybe even minus one twenty.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: But I don't even see that anymore.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: I see at best under seven minus one twenty five,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: and then I see mostly six and a half. So
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: you know me, seven is a key number in baseball
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: because it breaks the three to three tie. So I
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: will basically never go under the six and a half.
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: I just don't think it gives you enough leeway. But
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: I would lean in the under in this game, U
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: fifty take a sixty three percent of the cash on
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: the under. It looks like the market read is saying
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: the under as well. Those are the ways that I
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: lean in that game. I think both bullpens are actually
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: not that bad, even though I made a point that
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee had used a lot of their better relievers up
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: up until last night, but they gave their better relievers
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: a little bit of.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: A rest yesterday because they had the game in hand.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: So I think both bullpens are in okay shape coming
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: into this one. And yes, Milwaukee does have a good
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: offense on the road, but this is a pitcher friendly
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: park with two good pitching staffs here man so I think,
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: and two good starting pitchers. So I think the under
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: is still the correct way to look, probably the strongest
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: way to look in that game, but also a lean
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: to Seattle in that game, Minnesota at the Dodgers. The
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: Dodgers got back on track with a win yesterday, breaking
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: the lost streak five to two with a deep flyout
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: with multiple runners on base to end the game there,
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: and everybody kind of made a big deal of it.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: It wasn't that big of a deal. Otani pitched three
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: innings Andy Homard in the game. I'm pretty sure the
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: crazy Otani. The Dodgers did use a couple of their
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: back end relief guys, but they didn't really use a
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: lot of their relievers. So the Dodgers bullpens gonna be
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: a little bit better rested coming into this Both bullpens
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: are fairly rested though coming into this game now after yesterday,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: so the bullpens are not in terrible shape, but they're
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: not great bullpens. They have not been pitching that well recently.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: Simeon Woods Richardson is pitching for Minnesota three point nine
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: to five ERA, one point three to three whip though,
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: so even though his ERA is good, his whip is
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: not very good. He's a worse on the road four
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: point nine to six road ERA. He's a pitching a
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: little bit better recently, allowing one or fewer earned runs
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: and four straight starts and five of the last six.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: But even though Minnesota has one three of his last
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: four starts, I'm not ready to trust Richardson over his
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: last three starts this month. Even though he has one
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: point two to three e RA, he has a ten
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: to six strike a walk ratio, which is not that great.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: So Richardson he's okay, but I still don't think he's
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: that trustworthy.
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers have basically never seen him before.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: They'll confort I was oh for one with a walk
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: off of him, but other than that, Dodgers have not
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 2: seen him. So maybe he has a little bit of
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: an edge in that respect, but I don't know if
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: we could trust him obviously.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: I think the better of these two pictures by far.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: Is Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers two point five nine
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: ERA one point zero four whip. He's pitching well, a
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: little bit worse at home though, three point three eight
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: e R.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: At home.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: He's been really kind of all over the place, to
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: be honest, like it's basically like he either comes out
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: and he dominates or he does terribly, and.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: There's almost no in between.
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: Although his overall numbers are great, still has a two
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: point four to five yarra this month, even though he
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: had a bad start against Milwaukee or he didn't even
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: make it out of the first inning. His other two
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: starts were seven innings starts. Will only give a one
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: run across those fourteen innings and had a fifteen to
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: three strike a walk ratio. So those were good starts
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: for him, but they were against the White Sox and
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: the Giants, who are not good offenses. But still Minnesota
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: is not a very good offense. Bader is their only
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: hitter who's seen him before, and yes, he's that means
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: he had jacks off. I think he fips right. He's
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: three for five off of Yammoto lifetime, so he's hit
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: him okay, although.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: His both of his outs have been strikeouts.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: But the rest of Minnesota's lineup has never seen Yamamoto before,
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: so they're unfamiliar with them.
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man.
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, maybe a first five undermakes sense in this
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: game with just both offenses having some unfamiliarity.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: Here, the totals sitting at eight.
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: And a half, seventy percent of ticket seventy six percent
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over, though the Dodgers have
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: been scoring a lot at home.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: Man, that's the one thing.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: The Dodgers still do, is they score a lot at home,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: even though they're pitching has not really been that good.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if I necessarily would want to
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: really do that. I don't really necessarily want the Dodgers either.
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: They're up for minus two ten to minus two, twenty
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: three to ninety two per take his ninety five percent
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: of the cash, so it is a stay away. Randy
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: Johnson the big unit. I like Randy Johnson, Man, what's
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: wrong with Randy Johnson? He was good, man, He was
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: an ugly motherfucker, really tall, and he could throw really hard.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: Joe Madden's brother is that true? Is your pump supply guy?
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: That's crazy. Joe Madden's brother is not like a baseball
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: coach of some kind. Anyway, We're ready for it now, right,
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: Let's get to the best bets. Man, this has been
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: a long episode here, Let's get to it. I got
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: two plays in Major League Baseball here, and you know
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: what they are already, probably because I skipped them and
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: I basically already alluded.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: To what they are. Number One, the Rads.
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: We're gonna join the public on this one, man, I
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 2: don't even care. We're gonna go Red's money line. Even
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: though they're on the road. They're a favorite. It looks
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: almost too obvious to take them. But I think it's
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: the right way to go in this game, man, I
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: think it's a complete mismatch in every possible way with
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati in this game against the Washington Nationals. I almost
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: said Wizards. Washington beat Cincinnati ten to eight yesterday. So
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: I mean, first of all, come on, man, so Cincinnati
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit angry about that, and bounce
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: back there. Washington does not really have a particularly good offense, man.
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: I mean we can look at the hitting here. Cincinnati's
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: middle of the pack, fifteenth in OPS and Washington's worst.
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: They're in the bottom third, basically twenty first, So we
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: do have a slight offensive edge with Cincinnati. So we
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: can start out with that. Both bullpens saw a lot
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: of you suggesterday. So both bullpen's are blown out, which
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: is probably gonna be bad because Washington looks like they're
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: basically going with a bullpend game in this game. So
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: and Washington's bullpen is terrible anyway, so you have a
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: completely unrested Washington bullpen. The bullpen is second one in baseball,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: actually worst in RA and actually tied for worst in
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: uh whip now because I have this arranged by Whip,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: so Washington has actually overtaken the A's again. Congratulations Washington,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: you're the worst bullpen in all of Major League Baseball again,
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: and Washington.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: It's bad.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: Overly worked bullpen is gonna have to pitch most of
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: this game as well. That does not seem like a
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: good setup to me at all for Washington and for
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching. I think we have a huge advantage
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: with Chase Burns for the Reds. And I think we're
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: maybe even getting a little bit of value here because
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: people are gonna say, why would I want to do
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: that when he is a six point one to nine
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: ERA by the way, my guy right here, Roman Anthony,
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: six point one to nine ERA for Chase Burns and
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: one point six y three whip.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: Yeah, his numbers are terrible this year. He's been really
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: bad on.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: The road, ten point eight road. So why do we
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: want to do this? I mean, it's an outlier.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: He had one really horrendous start against my Boston Red Sox,
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: by the way, and in his other three starts he
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: went four and two thirds or more and the other
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: three he allowed three or fewer earned runs at all.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: Three this month he has a two point five to
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: three RRA.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: And yes, he needs to get his walk number down.
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: He's had an insane strikeout rate though so far this
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: year Man twenty five strikeouts and sixteen innings, pitch nine walks.
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: Yes it's too many walks. Yes, three home runs.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: There's too many home runs to have allowed seventeen hits
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: in sixteen innings. You'd like to see that be a
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: little bit better as well. But he is a strikeout guy.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: Man. Chase Burns is a hard throwing, very.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: Highly touted young pitcher, and he has faced some good offenses.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, look at how he had to start his
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: career by facing the Yankees, the Red Sox, and Philadelphia,
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: with those last two being on the roads. So I mean,
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: that's a really tough draw, and then he got an
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: easy go of it to face Colorado. Had a lot
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: of strikeouts in that game, ten strikeouts. I think Burns
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: is the real deal, man, I mean that was a
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: tough ass to face all those good hitters. I think
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: he's gonna do well here. He's a really talented young pitcher.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: He's facing another pretty bad offense in Washington, an offense
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: that has never seen him before. So I think Burns
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: can get this done for us today. I think he
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: should pitch well, and he's going up against Brad Lord.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: But like I said, this is a bulp end game.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: Lord.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's been fined three point four to six
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: e R, a one point two to five whip worse
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: at home though four point one five e R at home,
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: and he's a lot four of the five home runs
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: he's allowed at home. But we don't even really have
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: to handicap him that strongly because he's gonna be out
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: of this game pretty fast.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's an opener. He's only going one to
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: two innings in every single game. So you're gonna get
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: Washington's bulpend for seven innings in this game probably, and
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: it is an atrocious bulp. And so I mean, come on, man,
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: if the Reds aren't able to score in this game,
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to say. So that's what
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: we're getting. Even though the Reds have never seen Lord before.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna be much of a Lord
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: in this sweat man. I think, Uh, the Nationals are
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: gonna get burned in this game. So we're gonna We're
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: gonna go with the Reds in this game. Even though
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it's disagree with me.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: Initially it looked like the money came in on Cincinnati
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: up for minus one twenty to minus one thirty five. Yes,
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: they are public seventy six percent of tickets, only seventy
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash. I think maybe it's a
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: pricing thing where at that price, maybe there's some buyback
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: coming the other way. But I think Cincinnati is the
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: only way to look in this game. Man, It's a
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: cheap enough price. I think the money line is fine.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: If you want to go run line, you could do
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: that as well. I think Cincinnati has a huge starting
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: pitching edge bulp and edge. I mean, of course, because
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: they're going up against a bulp and game and they
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: have the better offense too, So I like it. That's
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: where we're gonna go with that one. Cincinnati Reds. You
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: guys are fighting over King Retard. I guess, Oh that's me,
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: I'm the King. Well, thank you, I guess. And then
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: the last game, which I already told you what it's
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: gonna be, is Yankees blue Jays under the total of nine.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: I believe the market read is agreeing with me on
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: this one. I think we're getting value on this.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: The oddsmakers have thrown out a total of nine year
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: I think partially because people are gonna look at this.
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: The public's gonna look at this. Can only go one
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: way on this. They're only gonna go with an over man.
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's Yankees and Blue Jays right like. They
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: know that both of these teams have the ability to hit.
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: They have no idea who Schlittler is for the Yankees.
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: Shitler Hitler, Schlitler. But I'm gonna tell you why. I
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: think the under is the right way to go in
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: a second here, and maybe they don't even trust shers
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: or anymore, even though he's gonna be a Hall of Famer,
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, he is old. At this point, seventy one
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets are on the over, but sixty
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on the under.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: So Mark Reed is saying under.
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: I'm also saying under, and the money is actually coming
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: in towards the Yankees. Toronto's down for minus one thirty
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: to minus one fifteen, fifty eight percent of tickets on Toronto,
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 2: fifty six percent of the cash coming in.
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: On the Yankees. So the money is agreeing with the well.
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: Not agreeing necessarily, but indicating on the Yankees, which I
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: think is also kind of an indicator that the under
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: is making sense here, because that means probably that the
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: professional betters are expecting Schlitler to pitch pretty well. They're
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: expecting the Yankees bullpend to be okay in this game.
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: And we know the Yankees advantage here is that they
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: have the better offense over Toronto. But we're going with
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: the under here, man, So that is what I'm gonna
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: explain right now. I don't think either bullpen saw a
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: ton of you suggested, and both bullpens are okay, but
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: because they didn't see a whole lot of use suggested,
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: I think we can we can do that. We can
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: go with the blue with the bullpens here. Toronto actually
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: is the sixth best hitting team, by the way, so
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: my mistake. Their offense is actually really good, so we're
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: looking at the number one and number six offenses ops
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: wise here. But you know me, I like pitching. So
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: the Oddsmaker's probably thrown a nine because they had to,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: but usually that indicates that they're expecting a higher scoring game,
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: and in this game, I don't think so. Toronto actually
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: is the fourth rated bullpend in baseball in the Whip.
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: At least they are a good bullpen, so we get
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: that going for us here. Yankees are right there in
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: the middle of the pack at fifteenth, which isn't terrible.
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: They've been okay, and because of the high leverage relief
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: men I think still being basically available here, I think
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: we can go with this and we're gonna roll with
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: both starters. Here, Schlittler is pitching for the Yankees. He's
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: only had one start in his major league career so far.
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: He's a trader though. He's from Walpole, mass So what
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: the fuck is he doing pitching for the Yankees? Man,
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: come on, brother, But Schlittler, I think he is actually
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: a pretty good pitcher. Man. I handicapped him going into
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: his first game. He gave up some runs. He has
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: a five point zero sixty RA but a one point
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: one to three whip indicates he was not putting a
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: ton of guys on base. Again, it was only one start.
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: It was at home against Seattle. Maybe he had, you know,
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: a little bit of nervousness in his major league debut.
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: But he was pretty good. I mean, in five and
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: a third he only gave up four hits. He gave
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: up two runs, which is really why he gave up
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: those runs. He somehow still limited Seattle to three runs.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, when you give up two home runs, that's
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: a recipe for giving up a ton of runs.
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: But he didn't.
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: He had seven strikeouts, so that means his stuff was there. Man,
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: he was fooling major league hitters. So that is a
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: good sign. Seattle is an okay offense too, had two walks,
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: but I think he can only really kind of get
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: better from there.
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: Of course Toronto, even though yeah, they have a decent
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: hitting offense at least right now, they've never seen Schlitzler before.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: So I think Schlitzler can get us into this game.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: I think he has a little bit of an upper
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: hand here because he is a good pitcher and this
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: offense hasn't seen him before, and we have a crazy
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: age gap here. Memory of he's going up against the
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: Hall of Fame pitcher shirs Or, which I think that's
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 2: gonna make Schlitler be kind of motivated here because, oh
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: my god, I get to go up against, you know,
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: a guy who's gonna be in the Hall of Fame.
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: Basically I get to try to duel against Shurser. That's crazy, right,
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: So I think that's gonna motivate him. Shurs Are, hilariously
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: is sixteen years older. So there's another nice age gap there.
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: Today's the age gap, dame. Man, go out and find
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: a really young girlfriend there. Man, for all you guys
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: in your forties, go out and start dating a twenty
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: one year old be Bill Belichick basically Max Schurzer.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean he's forty years old. He's still having
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: an no K season.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: Four point seventy RA one point two to six whip.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: He's been basically the same home and away. I mean
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: he's still effective for the most part. He's only made
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: what is his five starts so far this season, Toronto's
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: won his last three starts, including one against the Yankees.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: He pitched pretty well against the Yankees in Toronto. Five innings, pitch,
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 2: seven strikeoffs, no walks, two earn runs, three hits, So
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: he does have the ability to still pitch against good offenses.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: He's not a lot more than three on runs in
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: any start this season, so that's decent. I mean he's
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: been at least holding opposing offenses down enough to keep
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: his teams in the game.
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: And that's really what we need.
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: We just need shurez Or to go about maybe five
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: innings in this game, not allow that many runs, turn
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: it over to the boltpen, and help keep this game
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: under And his numbers against the Yankees are good. I
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: mean they're very familiar with them. One hundred and forty
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: seven at beasts. And yes, he's not what he once was.
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: I know a lot of these numbers are gonna be
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: from the pass when Schurezer was better, but still sixty
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: four rikeouts and only eight walks of the twenties strikeouts.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: For gold Schmidt, but still in ten for Bell and Er.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: I mean they've whiffed a lot against him, in fourteen
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: for Stanton, but still sixty four to eight strike a
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is crazy. He's held the Yankees to a
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: two point four average six thirty three oh ps. So
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 2: sure Aser has pitched well against them. I think he
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: can get it done for us here man to keep
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: this thing under. So that's gonna be the play there
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 2: under the total in Yankees Toronto, and we'll see what
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: happens with the Yankees. Because the Yankees lost again yesterday,
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: even though it was a revenge spot. Radon did not
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: pitch well and he got outpitched by Goussman yesterday, which
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: I did not really think was gonna happen. So the
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: Yankees are still looking for revenge, which might be part
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: of the reason why the money's coming in on the
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: Yankees too. Is Toronto has now won five straight games
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: against the Yankees, and Toronto has now won four games
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: in a Row again very hot Toronto team. But I
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: also think part of the reason why the money's coming
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: in on the Yankees is just that the professional betters
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: are base saying we know that the Yankees are still
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: the better team over Toronto, even though Toronto temporarily has
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: the better record over the Yankees, which I hate saying
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: that as a Red Sox fan, but I think it's
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: basically saying we're getting a little bit of value on
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: the Yankees as an underdog because they are the better team.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: So I think that's probably what's what's going on here. No,
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: I did not make money. I make money every day,
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: but it's a but it's a very small amount of money.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: All you Twitter trolls can fuck off. By the way,
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: I should probably not even bring up any of the comments.
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 2: Should I stop streaming at Twitter? By the way, you
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: guys can let me know, But that's gonna do it
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: for me today. So although actually maybe Ari, I apologize Ari,
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: if you're not trying to troll me, if you're asking
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: a genuine question, I apologize. But I don't know if
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: we're talking about like betting or whatever. My BET's lost yesterday.
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: But I will clarify I'm not actually making these bets
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: right now because I don't have enough money that's illiquid
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: right now to bankroll it. All right, I apologize, So
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: I'm sorry. I've had a lot of people coming at
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: me from the Twitter chain. I apologize, Man, I'm sorry
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: I've gotten you wrong, sir, but thank you for being
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: a fan.
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: No, I lost yesterday. I'm on a somewhat of a
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: bad run right now. After I was hot for a
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: while going into the the All Star Break.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: Ended my momentum.
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: Man, I was hot going into the All Star Break
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: upcoming podcast, I was just I just did another episode
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: with Jose No way, Jose. We did another HOPU reading
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: which is probably gonna be out on his channel at
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: least soon. And there is gonna be an interview that
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: I did with Jake Shields at Bohemian Grove that's gonna
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: be out at some point as well, which I think
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: is only gonna be on Twitter.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: Thanks everybody for hanging out.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: I apologized to everybody that I'm being a dick to,
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: except for that first guy that was in the chat.
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: I don't even remember his name, but whoever, that guy
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: was the only troll of the day which I shouldn't.
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: I shouldn't have even brought him up. But anyway, the
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 2: two plays today Cincinnati Red's money line, Yankees Toronto under
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: the total. That's what I'm doing today. Learned to tone
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: on Twitter, Learned it to on Instagram. I put all
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: this out on Instagram as well, in short form, just
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: the plays. If you want to follow me there, please
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: do actually please subscribe, follow them comment, you know, give
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: me a yeah, man, like subscribe, et cetera. I'm on
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: YouTube obviously these go up to the audio platforms as well, which.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: Is not getting any traction.
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: And I've covered in You, which is my ukulele channel
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: on YouTube, so I do you covers as most of
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: you know, so you can check that out as well,
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: like subscribe. Help me out on everything man and patreon
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: dot com slash learned it's owed where you can subscribe
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: to the Patreon and at the higher couple of tears
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: you get access to a Spotify feet of all my
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 2: ukulele covers. Then I'm putting up as I put them up,
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: and you get your request covers from me as well,
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: and get prioritize covers. So a huge workout routine. Oh
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: you are a fan, man, you know, Clint, Thank.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: You, sir.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: I apologize, Yeah, fuck costs is right, that's right, Ari.
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 2: I apologize, and if I win, then I have to
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: do less. Oh shit, I understand that. Yeah, so my
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: betting determines how much I have to work out. That's interesting.
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: I might be down for that. Actually, I don't know.
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: I have to talk to Clint. I got to get
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: Clint back on the Showman. I am working out. By
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: the way, the weights behind me are not totally unused.
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: I've been doing it. I've lost fifteen pounds this year,
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: I think, or thirteen something like that, so I've changed
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: my diet. I've been exercising a little bit more as well.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm gonna be able to build
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: up the muscle like Cole has, but I don't know.
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: Can we see a biceps start coming in at all?
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know. But I don't know.
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: I'm doing all right at least. But I should have
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 2: Clint back on The show Man to do some more bald.
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: I'll ask him if he wants to do an NFL
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: preview show or something like that. Maybe, So maybe some
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: other things are in the works. That's gonna do it again.
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: Thanks guys for hanging out this morning and let's get
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: some wins today.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: Thank you, sir.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: And I'm unstoppable except I need to start making income again,
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: but that's gonna do it.
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: Peace, everybody,